SBR Winter 2015/16 - Tender Round 2 Market Information 24th June 2015 Peter Bingham – National Grid Volume Requirement for SBR and DSBR National Grid has identified a requirement for 2.5GW of Supplemental Balancing Reserve (SBR) and Demand Side Balancing Reserve (DSBR) for winter 2015/16 to support security of supply. This was determined in accordance with the recently updated and approved Volume Requirements Methodology1 using our 2015 Future Energy Scenarios (FES) and a range of sensitivities approved by Ofgem2. This has increased from the original 1.8GW requirement due to recent notifications from some generators of reductions in capacity. Detail on the impact of this additional reserve on the overall market position for winter 15/16 will be published shortly as part of our Winter Review and Consultation. SBR and DSBR Tender Round 2 The second SBR tender round for winter 2015/16 closed on 7th May. A total of 20 tenders were received from 7 companies, representing 11 different power stations offering 5.2GW of capacity, of which 3.6GW is not currently available in the market. This report provides more detail of the results from this tender. A separate market information report on the recent DSBR tender will be issued once the validation process regarding these tenders has been completed. SBR Tender Assessment In accordance with the updated and approved SBR Procurement Methodology, tenders were assessed in unit cost order. Unit costs were derived from each tender as the total cost (including capability, warming, testing, utilisation, and contract costs) divided by the expected saving in energy unserved resulting from contracting the tendered unit. The expected saving in energy unserved takes account of the likelihood of the unit being otherwise available in the market based on the registered TEC position and the load factor over the previous 12 months. The following table ranks the compliant tenders in unit cost order. This also includes two existing SBR contracts which were assessed alongside the new tenders. Two tender scenarios are not included, as these are lower volumes from the accepted SBR Unit (SBR2). 1 The methodologies can be found on our website at http://www2.nationalgrid.com/UK/Services/Balancing-services/Systemsecurity/Contingency-balancing-reserve/Methodologies/ 2 “Decision to approve the sensitivities proposed by NGET in accordance with volume requirement methodology for tender round two of SBR and DSBR”, Ofgem, 3rd June 2015. 1 SBR Winter 2015/16 – Tender Round 2 Results Tender ID Capability Offered Tender Accept/Reject Code Capability Price1 (£/kW) Assessed Unit Cost2 (£/kWh) SBR 1 B TA 10.6 1.0 SBR 2 C TA 10.0 1.4 SBR 3 A TA 12.9 2.5 SBR 4 B TA 13.7 2.5 SBR 5 A TA 15.6 3.2 SBR 6 C TRV 10.3 3.5 SBR 7 A TA 16.0 3.7 SBR 8 A TA 16.0 3.7 SBR 9 A TA 17.0 3.9 SBR 10 A TA 17.0 4.0 SBR 11 C TRV 14.4 4.2 SBR 12 B TA 19.8 4.5 SBR 13 B TA 18.9 4.7 SBR 14 C TRP 17.2 5.8 SBR 15 B TRP 24.7 7.0 SBR 16 C TRP 23.2 7.8 SBR 17 C TRP 21.0 8.7 SBR 18 C TRP 29.4 9.7 SBR 19 B TRP 24.2 9.9 SBR 20 C TRP 18.9 31.8 Notes 1 Tendered capability price plus estimated costs for proving tests divided by the volume of capability offered de-rated by the tendered reliability factor. 2 Unit cost (including warming and utilisation costs) assessed in accordance with the approved SBR Procurement Methodology, with compliant tenders accepted in ascending unit cost order to meet the volume requirement. Offered Capability: A = 0 to 100MW, B = 101MW to 500MW, C= 501MW to 1,000MW Tender Accept/Reject Codes: TA = Tender Accepted, TRV = Tender Rejected on Volume TRP = Tender Rejected on Price In general, compliant SBR tenders were accepted in unit cost order to meet the identified volume requirement at least cost. However, although SBR6 and SBR 11 offered a lower unit cost than some of the tenders accepted - accepting either of these tenders would have exceeded the identified volume requirement and breached the volume cap. Hence these were rejected in favour of smaller units at a higher unit cost. This is permitted by the 2 methodology, allowing the volume requirement to be met at least cost without breaching the volume cap. Proposed SBR Contract Awards Following this assessment, SBR contracts are being offered for a total volume of 1,784MW to the following Power Stations: Owner De-Rated Capability (MW) SSE 675 Centrica 660 GdF Suez 250 Uskmouth Power 90 Fiddlers Ferry GTs (2 x 17MW ) SSE 32 Ferrybridge GTs (2 x 16MW) SSE 30 Rugeley GT (1 x 25MW ) GdF Suez 25 Keadby GT (1 x 23MW) SSE 22 Unit Peterhead CCGT (2 x 375MW) Killingholme CCGT (1 x 660MW) Deeside CCGT (Additional 250MW) Uskmouth (1 x 100MW Coal Unit) Total 1,784 The procurement cost of this plant (including testing) is forecast at £23.1m, giving an equivalent unit cost of £12.95/kW. Competition for service provision has seen this reduced from £17.80/kW in the first tender round, reflecting the economic and efficient procurement of the service in delivering value for money to consumers. Additional costs will be incurred if this service is used. Latest SBR and DSBR Position for Winter 2015/16 The overall procurement position for Winter 2015/16 is as follows: Total Capability (MW) De-Rated Capability (MW) Cost (£m) DSBR Round 1 215* 65 1.7 SBR Round 1 600* 600 10.8 DSBR Round 2 300† 112 1.7 SBR Round 2 1,874 1,784 23.1 Total 2,989 2,561 37.3 Tender Costs include setup fees, admin fees and testing costs for DSBR, capability and testing costs for SBR. DSBR reduced from 242MW following validation, SBR reduced by 20MW following Centrica’s decision to reduce the maximum output at South Humber Bank. † DSBR volume in Tender Round 2 subject to validation checks. * 3 Contract Parameters This table provides the operational data associated with each proposed SBR unit from the second tender round, including reliability factors, maximum notice periods, ramping times, BM start-up/standby prices and utilisation rates. Killingholme (Centrica) Peterhead (SSE) Deeside (GdF Suez) Uskmouth U13 Fiddlers Ferry GTs (SSE) Ferrybridge GTs (SSE) Rugeley GTs (GdF Suez) Keadby GT (SSE) Contracted SBR Capability 1 x 660MW CCGT 2 x 375MW GTs Additional 250MW CCGT 1 x 100MW Coal Unit 2 x 17MW 2 x 16MW 1 x 25MW 1 x 23MW Minimum Despatchable Volume (SEL) 360 MW 249 MW 360MW 70 MW 17 MW 16 MW 10 MW 23 MW Reliability Factor 1.0 0.95 & 0.85 1.0 0.9 0.95 0.95 1.0 0.95 Maximum Notice Period (NDZ) 240 minutes 220 minutes 89 minutes* 320 minutes 30 minutes 30 minutes 10 minutes 30 minutes Minimum NonZero Time (MNZT) 360 minutes 240 minutes 141 minutes 300 minutes 60 minutes 60 minutes 30 minutes 60 minutes Max Run up Time 208 minutes 130 minutes 56 minutes* 107 minutes 1 minute 1 minute 3 minutes 7 minutes 22 minutes 41 minutes 13 minutes 17 minutes 1 minute 1 minute 1 minute 7 minutes 240 minutes 240 minutes Utilisation Price £200/MWh £65/MWh + Gas Cost + Carbon Cost £550/MWh £550/MWh £500/MWh £150/MWh + Gas Cost + Carbon Cost BM Start Up Price £1,000/hour £1,200/hour £2,700/hour Hot Standby Price £1,000/hour £1,200/hour £2,700/hour Min Run Down Time Maximum Hot Standby Period 120 minutes £225/MWh £100/MWh * While the main plant is operating at 260MW, allowing the additional 250MW of SBR despatched in BM timescales. 4
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