International Journal of Mechanical and Production Engineering, ISSN: 2320-2092, Volume- 2, Issue- 2, Feb.-2014 AN INTEGRATED STOCHASTIC MULTI-OBJECTIVE SUPPLIER SELECTION PROBLEM WITH INCREMENTAL VOLUME DISCOUNTS 1 REMICA AGGARWAL, 2S.P SINGH 1 Department of Management, Birla Institute of Technology & Science, Pilani, Rajasthan, India 2 Department of Management Studies, Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi, India Email: [email protected]; [email protected] Abstract— A stochastic multi-objective supplier selection model with lot size volume discounts is proposed in the paper. The stochastic parameters involved in the model are the uncertainties related to supplier’s capacity, product demand, unit cost of purchasing and lead time. These stochastic parameters are handled and converted to their deterministic equivalents using chance constraint based approach. To validate the proposed model, data is generated randomly and solved in LINGO 10. Keywords— Supplier selection; Chance constrained approach; Incremental quantity discount model uncertainty. Section III presents model for deterministic version of the Integrated Multi-objective Supplier Selection Problem (IDMoSSP) while section IV extends the IDMoSSP into Integrated Stochastic Multi-objective Supplier Selection Problem (ISMoSSP). Section V presents an illustrative example to demonstrate the proposed model. Conclusions and directions for future research are given in Section VI. I. INTRODUCTION Nowadays businesses largely depend on longer-term working relationship with the suppliers. Supplier selection is one of the tricky decision making process as right choice of suppliers reduces costs, increases profit margins, improves component quality and ensures timely delivery. Selection of suppliers becomes more challenging when suppliers offer interesting deals such as better price and quality, incremental or all units quantity discounts etc. Selecting an optimal supplier under multiple conflicting criteria such as purchasing cost, quantity discounts, order size restrictions, product quality and service levels, supplier capacity and lead time, often gets complicated even for an experienced purchase manager because competing suppliers have different levels of achievement under these criteria. Also in the event of uncertainty such as uncertain or fluctuating demand, changing supplier’s capacity, supplier’s unreliable lead time and varying quality, selection of suppliers becomes even more complex. Although the researches have been made in the field of selecting suppliers under uncertainty or under discount pricing and lot size restrictions, no research has integrated quantity discounts model with uncertainty and lot size restrictions at a time. In this paper, an attempt has been made to present a mathematical model for supplier selection supplying multiple products to a buyer under uncertain scenario incorporating incremental quantity discounts on lot sizes of multiple products to be supplied by multiple suppliers. Uncertainty in model parameters such as capacity, lead time and demand uncertainty is handled through the Chance constraints approach [13]. These uncertainties are captured by probability distribution of capacity, demand, cost and lead time. II. LITERATURE REVIEW Supplier Selection Problem with Quantity Discounts Although the process of supplier selection has been studied extensively, the problem of supplier selection under multi-supplier with quantity discounts has received attention quite recently. A weighted fuzzy multi-objective model for the supplier selection under price breaks or quantity discounts environment in a supply chain is proposed by [4], [5]. A multi-objective optimization problem is proposed by [6], where one or more buyers order multiple products from different vendors in a multiple sourcing network using a pricing model under quantity discounts. Similar kind of a problem is considered by [7] using business volume discounts. Reference [8] uses a scatter search algorithm for supplier selection and order lot sizing under multiple price discount environment. A problem of allocation of orders for custom parts among suppliers offering business volume discounts in make to order manufacturing as a single or multiobjective mixed integer program is considered by [9]. All the above mentioned researches consider supplier selection under all units, incremental or business volume discounts in an exact or certain scenario. They have not incorporated uncertainties related with each of the capacity, demand or lead time parameters. The paper is structured as follows. Section II presents a review of the relevant literature on supplier selection under volume discounts, lot size restrictions and An Integrated Stochastic Multi-Objective Supplier Selection Problem With Incremental Volume Discounts 7 International Journal of Mechanical and Production Engineering, ISSN: 2320-2092, A. Supplier selection problem under uncertainties A two-phase stochastic program is proposed by [10] where plant selection, product allocation and supplier selection under uncertain costs, product prices and demand is considered. Tang [11] observed four drivers of operational risks, uncertain demand, uncertain supply, uncertain lead times and uncertain costs. Reference [12] also developed a supplier selection model with demand uncertainty and unreliable suppliers. Reference [13]consider both operational risks and disruption risks in an inventory problem by considering a reliable and an unreliable supplier and derived expressions of optimal order quantities under different conditions. A supplier selection model under uncertain demand was developed by [14] where suppliers have limits on minimum and maximum order sizes. These researches has not explored uncertainties related to demand, capacity and lead time at a time and also lack the concept of quantities discounts on the part of supplier. Present paper integrates the concept of incremental quantities discounts and lot size restrictions offered by multiple suppliers in the event of uncertain demand, supplier’s capacity and lead time. III. PROBLEM DEFINITION FORMULATION m jk Middle order quantity to be supplied from supplier j of product k u ' jk u '' jk kth product unit cost incurred on buyer from jth m jk Aggregate unit cost incurred when order quantity m jk u jk F j Q jk Fixed cost of operating with supplier j Percentage of good quality items of product k procured from supplier j L Lead time of product k from supplier j jk q j Minimum order quantity to be supplied from supplier j ljk Mean lead time of product k from supplier j k Level of probability that units supplied satisfies the demand of kth product & jk Level of probability that h jk c a p j k x j k l Level of risk for the calculated value of lead time to be greater than aspired level F Dk1 Constant inverse probability distribution function for random demand 1 Fcap jk xjk Constant inverse probability distribution function for random capacity FA11 l Constant inverse probability distribution function for random lead time B. Deterministic model Integrated Deterministic multi-objective supplier selection problem (IDMoSSP) integrating incremental quantity discounts and lot size restrictions can be written as: J Minimize Z 1 K u J J M ax im ize Z 2 K x jk + F j x jk (1) jk j 1 k 1 j 1 k 1 K Q jk h jk x jk (2) j 1 k 1 J M inim ize Z 3 K L jk h jk x jk j 1 k 1 (3) Subject to jk jk m jk supplier if order quantity 1 if supplier j is assigned as supplier of product k, 0 otherwise h kth product unit cost incurred on buyer from jth supplier if order quantity A supply chain management problem with single buyer and multiple suppliers is considered. Suppliers offers incremental quantities discounts on lots to be purchased by the buyer provided their lot size aspirations for each product is fulfilled by the buyer. There is quality level associated with each supplier for every product which needs to be maximized. Another objective before a buyer is to minimize the total cost which may include variable as well as fixed costs. There is lead time associated with each product. Each product has an associated demand which need to be met to the fullest extent. Hence, this supplier selection problem have multiple conflicting objectives such as total cost , quality and lead time subject to the constraints such as demand and limited capacity. The problem is stochastic in nature since some of the parameters such as total cost, lead time, demand and capacity are not certain or deterministic rather stochastic or probabilistic in nature. This section formulates an Integrated Stochastic Multi-objective Supplier Selection Problem (ISMoSSP) with quantity discounts and lot size restrictions. Following notations are used to formulate the model. j 1,2,...,J suppliers k 1,2,...K products x Volume- 2, Issue- 2, Feb.-2014 J h jk D k , k K (4) j1 The amount of product k shipped from h jk cap jk x jk , j J , k K supplier j D k Demand for product k C a p jk Capacity at supplier j for product k K h jk x jk q j , j J , k K k 1 An Integrated Stochastic Multi-Objective Supplier Selection Problem With Incremental Volume Discounts 8 (5) (6) International Journal of Mechanical and Production Engineering, ISSN: 2320-2092, x jk [0 ,1] j J , k K u jk u ' jk h j k if h jk m independently. Using equation (17) this situation can be modeled with the separate chance constraint as given below: (7) h jk 0 , j J , k K (8) P (9) jk (10) u jk u jk u ' jk * mjk (hjk m jk )u '' jk , if hjk m jk J K j 1 Q j x jk jk h jk x jk j1 k 1 l jk h jk x jk k j1 k , k K (18) J h jk F Dk1 k k K (19) j 1 Following the similar steps in the preceding section, the capacity constraint given in inequality (15) can be expanded as follows: h1 1 cap11 x11 ; h12 ca p1 2 x12 ;......h1 k cap1 k x1 k h 21 cap 21 x 21 ; h 22 cap 2 2 x 22 ;......h 2 k cap 2 k x 2 k . . . . . . h j 1 cap j1 x j1 ; h j 2 cap j 2 x j 2 ;......h jk ca p jk x jk cap (20) x jk jk Assuming follows probability distribution with cumulative distribution function F c a p j k x jk satisfying capacity of each supplier for each product independently. Using inequality (20) this situation can be modeled with the separate chance constraint as given below: (11) P (12) K F 1 D Deriving Capacity uncertainty [inequality (15)] K + jk k 1 J 3 x jk The deterministic equivalent in (19) preserves the linearity of inequality (18). K j 1 M in im iz e Z jk j1 k 2 u k 1 J M a x im iz e Z J h J F D k h jk k j 1 C. Stochastic Multi-Objective Supplier Selection Problem (ISMoSSP) Applying chance constraint approach given by [1-3], the deterministic model given in (1) to (10) is converted to ISMoSSP described from (11) to (16) as follows: 1 J Deterministic equivalent to the chance constraint in (18) can be written as: Objective function Z1 minimizes the total cost incurred by the buyer. Objective function Z2 maximizes the total quality of purchased products. Objective function Z3 minimizes the total lead time. Constraint given by (4) ensures that shipments from the suppliers cover the entire demand for each product. Equation (5) restricts the amount shipped from the suppliers to their capacity. Constraint (6) provides the lot size restriction on different products. Constraints in (7) and (8) enforce binary and non negativity condition in the decision variables respectively. Constraints (9) and (10) indicate the incremental quantities discount provided by the jth supplier for kth product based on the number of components ordered. M in im iz e Z Volume- 2, Issue- 2, Feb.-2014 h jk cap jk x jk jk , j J ,k K (21) Deterministic equivalent to the chance constraint in inequality (21) is simply (13) P hjk cap jk x jk 1 jk , j J , k K Subject to 1 Fcap jk x jk h jk 1 jk hjk Fcap 1 jk j J , k K jk x jk J Deriving demand uncertainty [equation (14)] (22) The deterministic equivalent (22) preserves the linearity of inequality (21). Deriving Lead time uncertainty [equation (16)] Let A1 be the aspired lead time of the lead time objective function. This aspiration level may be obtained by getting the ideal solution of solving lead time objective separately. Applying chance constraint approach the probabilistic equation for lead time objective function can be written as : The demand constraint given in (14) can be expanded as follows: P h j k F Dk1 k k K (14) j 1 h j k F c a 1p jk x j k 1 J jk j J ,k K (15) K j1 l k 1 h jk jk x F jk 1 A1 l (16) Constraints (6)-(10) h h h . . . h 1 2 h h 1 3 h 1 1 1 K h 2 2 h h 2 3 h 2 1 2 K 3 2 . . . . . .h . . . . . .h 3 3 . . . . . .h 3 1 h 3 K J 1 J J . . . . . .h 2 3 D D D J K K l j k h jk x jk A 1 l (23) Deterministic equivalent to the chance constraint in (23) is simply written as 1 J 2 j 1 k 1 3 D K J K FA1 l h jk x jk jk j 1 k 1 (17) l J K j 1 k 1 l jk h jk x jk F A11 l (24) Assuming the Dk follows probability distribution with F cumulative distribution function Dk and we are concerned with satisfying demand for each product The deterministic equivalent in inequality (24) preserves the linearity of inequality (23). An Integrated Stochastic Multi-Objective Supplier Selection Problem With Incremental Volume Discounts 9 International Journal of Mechanical and Production Engineering, ISSN: 2320-2092, IV. Volume- 2, Issue- 2, Feb.-2014 be the corresponding problem and 0 objective function value then final problem can be formulated using this optimal solution as follows: 0 GOAL PROGRAMMING APPROACH 0 g , ,X * Each of the objectives Z1, Z2, Z3 has ideal value Z 1 0 * * , Z 2 and Z 3 associated with them. These are the optimal values for a given objective in the multiobjective model ignoring other objectives. Since multiple objectives conflict with each other, the ideal value can never be reached for all objectives simultaneously in a multi-objective optimization problem. Therefore some target values which are fixed percentages of ideal values can be assigned to each of these objectives in order to get a compromised solution. For example, formulation of problem from (11) to (16) incorporating the ideal values for each of the objective becomes J K J Stage 2: Minimize g ( , , x ) 1 1 2 J J M a x im ize Z 2 J jk j 1 k 1 J x jk + K F j x jk 1 1 Z 1* (35) j 1 k 1 Q jk h jk x jk 2 2 Z 2 * j 1 k 1 J J j 1 k 1 l h jk x jk 3 3 F A1 1 l Z 3* jk 0 0 j 1 k 1 l jk (37) 0 g ( , , x ) g 0 ( , , x ) (38) Constraints (30)-(31) ; Constraints (6)-(10) (26) Where i , i and i are the weights, positive and negative deviational variables respectively corresponding to ith objective function ( i=1,2,3). K (36) K K Q jk h jk x jk (34) K (25) j 1 k 1 M inim ize Z 3 K u K j 1 k 1 33 Subject to Minimize Z1 u jk x jk + F j x jk j 1 k 1 2 h jk x jk (27) Subject to J K J u jk j 1 k 1 J V. K x jk + F j x jk Z 1* j 1 k 1 jk h jk x jk Z 2* (29) j 1 k 1 J Consider Five suppliers (S1, S2, S3, S4, S5) supplying three different products (P1, P2, P3) to the buyer. Stochastic data corresponding to the capacity, minimum order, demand, unit cost, fixed cost, quality levels and stochastic lead time are given from Table I to Table VI. All data are randomly generated. The reliability level for the capacity is set at jk = 0.95 j 1, 2,...5; k 1, 2,3 meaning that at least 95% of demand should be met. The risk level is set (28) K Q K j 1 k 1 l jk NUMERICAL ILLUSTRATION h jk x jk F A1 1 l Z 3* (30) Constraints (6)-(10), (14), (15) This multi-objective problem when solved gives an infeasible solution. In order to obtain compromise solution, goal programming technique is used. The above formulation of the problem is solved in two stages as described below. at k ,l 0.05. Stage 1: M in im iz e g 0 ( , , x ) jk ' jk (31) Subject to J h jk jk F Dk1 k jk k K j 1 1 Fcap 1 jk h jk 'jk 'jk 0 j J , k K jk x jk (32) (33) Constraints (6)-(10) ' TABLE II. STOCHASTIC DEMAND DATA (IN UNITS) P1 P2 P3 N(210,36) N(250,49) N(250,64) ' Where jk , jk , jk and jk are negative and positive deviational variables corresponding to k demand constraints and j*k capacity constraints respectively. , , X be the optimal solution to the above 0 Let 0 0 An Integrated Stochastic Multi-Objective Supplier Selection Problem With Incremental Volume Discounts 10 International Journal of Mechanical and Production Engineering, ISSN: 2320-2092, TABLE III. FIXED COST ( IN DOLLARS ) FOR SUPPLIERS S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 100 200 150 150 120 Volume- 2, Issue- 2, Feb.-2014 ujk u ' jk hjk ,if hjk mjk ; j 1,2..5;k 1,2,3 ujk ujk u ' jk *mjk (hjk mjk )u'' jk , if hjk mjk ; j 1,2..5; k 1,2,3 (44) The above problem is solved in LINGO 10 and the results are displayed below in table VII and table VIII. Number of units supplied has been approximated to the nearest decimal places. TABLE VII . RESULTS IN TERMS OF COST, QUALITY TABLE IV. UNIT COST DATA WITH PRICE BREAKS (IN DOLLARS) AND LEAD TIME TABLE V. Q UALITY DATA (IN % OF GOOD ITEMS) P1 0.95 0.95 0.9 0.9 0.9 S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 P2 0.95 0.97 0.9 0.93 0.92 P3 0.93 0.99 0.9 0.9 0.97 TABLE VIII. NUMBER OF UNITS SUPPLIED FROM EACH SUPPLIER TABLE VI. STOCHASTIC LEAD TIME DATA (IN DAYS) P1 N(10,6) N(5, 2) N(8,2) N(3,1) N(8,2) S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 P2 N(9, 5) N(2,1) N(3,1) N(4,2) N(2,1) P3 N(1,0) N(8,1) N(9,2) N(6,2) N(4,1) CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS 3h32x32 9h33x33 3h41x41 4h42x42 6h43x43 8h51x51 2h52x52 4h53x53 The paper provides a multi-objective supplier selection with incremental quantities discount and lot size restrictions optimization model under uncertainties in demand, capacity and lead time associated with supplier. Stochastic model with deterministic equivalents is solved assuming a fixed level of probability and risk which in practice can be varied to test different scenarios. Goal programming approach has been used to provide a compromise feasible solution to the supplier selection problem. The problem can be extended to include the cases of multiple buyers, business volume discounts and all unit discounts as well. (39) REFERENCES On putting the various parameters, the SMoSSP for the given example appears as: Minimize u11x11 u12x12 u13x13 u21x21 u22x22 u23x23 u31x31 u32x32 u33x33 u41x41 u42x42 u43x43 u51x51 u52x52 u53x53 100(x11 x12 x13) 200 x21 x22 x23 150 x31 x32 x33 150 x41 x42 x43 120 x51 x52 x53 Maximize 0.95h11x11 0.95h12x12 0.93h13x13 0.95h21x21 0.97h22x22 0.99h23x23 0.9h31x31 0.9h32x32 0.9h33x33 0.9h41x41 0.93h42x42 0.9h43x43 0.9h51x51 0.92h52x52 0.97h53x53 Minimize 10h11x11 9h12x12 h13x13 5h21x21 2h22x22 8h23x23 8h31x31 Subject to [1] h11 h21 h31 h41 h51 219.87; h12 h22 h32 h42 h52 259.87; (40) h13 h23 h33 h43 h53 263.16; [2] h11 46x11; h12 41x12 ; h13 92x13 ; h21 83x21; h22 46x22 ; h23 18x23 ; h31 64x31 ; h32 46x32 ; h33 138x33; h41 76x41; h42 46x42 ; h43 46x43 ; [3] h51 64x51; h52 92x52 ; h53 64x53 (41) h11x11 h12x12 h13x13 100; h21x21 h22x22 h23x23 100; h31x31 h32x32 h33x33 100; h41x41 h42x42 h43x43 100; h51x51 h52x52 h53x53 100; (42) [4] [5] xjk [0,1] j 1,2,...5,k 1,2,3 hjk 0 , j 1,2,...5 ,k 1,2,3 (43) [6] A. 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