Prediction of Nuisance Blue-green Algal Growth in North Carolina Waters Val H. Smith Department of Biology, OlOA University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC 27514 The work on which this publication is based was supported by funds provided by the Water Resources Research Institute of The University of North Carolina. WRRI project Number 70076 May 1987 Acknowledgments p his research was funded by a grant from the Water Resources Research ~nstituteof The University of North Carolina. I am very grateful to Dr. D.H. Moreau for making this grant available, and Ms. L. Lambert and Ms. D. Ruffner for their patient assistance. Data used in this study were very generously provided by Dr. 3. Overton and Ms. D. Moody of the North Carolina Division of Environmental Management, Raleigh, and by Dr. M. Rodriguez and Dr. J.C. Knight of the Duke Power Company. Access to additional data which were not used in this study was also kindly offered by Dr. B. Ward of the Carolina Power and Light Company, and by Dr. C. Weiss and Dr. D. Francisco of the Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. I thank Dr. D. Vogt for helpful comments, and W.S. Baillargeon for his assistance during this study. The contents of this publication do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Water Resources Research Institute, nor does mention of trade names or commercial products constitute their endorsement or recommendation for use by the Institute or the State of North Carolina. . Abstract In the state of North ~arolina,nuisance blooms of bluegreen algae have caused water quality problems in the Chowan and Neuse Rivers, and the potential for similar blue-green problems is still an unresolved question in new impoundments such as the B.E. Jordan and the Falls of the Neuse reservoirs. Few general models have yet been developed for the prediction and the management of blue-green algal blooms in freshwaters. However, Smith (1985) has recently developed a set of empirical models predicting the summer mean biomass of blue-green algae (mm3 m-3) , and models predicting the relative biomass of blue-greens in the phytoplankton (Smith 1986). These models can potentially be used as tools to help manage North Carolina water resources experiencing nuisance blue-green algal growth. However, these empirical models were developed entirely from north temperate data, and their applicability to North Carolina reservoirs is not known. The objective of this research was to test the applicability of these models to North Carolina reservoirs. Statistical analysis of data from 34 reservoirs, collected and made available by the State of North carolina Division of Environmental Management and by the Duke Power Company, suggested that none of the above models for blue-green algae were applicable to North Carolina reservoirs. The reasons for the lack of fit are not yet clear, but may include effects of non-algal turbidity, hydraulic flushing, and inorganic carbon availability. iii 0 Table of C o n t e n t s Paqe ii AC~OWLEDGMENTS........................................ iii ABSTRACT............................................... LIST OF FIGURES........................................ v LIST OF TABLES......................................... vi CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS....................... . vii ................................ RESULTS ................................................ MATERIALS AND METHODS.. 3 4 HYDRAULIC FLUSHING RATE........................... 22 INORGANIC CARBON AVAILABILITY..................... 23 INORGANIC TURBIDITY............................... 23 LITERATURE CITED....................................... 27 . List of Figures Paqe Plot of summer mean total algal biomass versus the summer mean concentration of total phosphorus in north temperate lakes (closed triangles) and in North Carolina .reservoirs (open squares) ............ 6 Plot of the summer mean biomass of blue-green algae versus the summer mean concentration of total phosphorus in north temperate lakes (closed triangles) 8 and in North Carolina reservoirs (open squares) ..... Plot of the predictions of Eq. 1 versus observed blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs .......................................... 11 5 Plot of the predictions of Eq. 2 versus observed blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs 12 Plot of the predictions of Eq. 3 versus observed blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs 13 Plot of the predictions of Eq. 4 versus observed blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina resenroirs 14 Plot of the predictions of Eq. 5 versus observed relative blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs 15 .......................................... .......................................... .......................................... ......................................... Plot of peak observed blue-green algal biomass versus summer mean total phosphorus concentrations in North Carolina reservoirs 16 ................................ Plot of individual measurements of Secchi disk transparency versus chlorophyll concentrations in North Carolina reservoirs ........................... 18 List of Tables Paqe Results of a regression analysis to test for differences in the response of total algal biomass (TOTALVOL) in north temperate lakes and in North Carolina reservoirs to total phosphorus (TP), using a dummy variable (DUMMY) ..................... Results of a regression analysis to test for differences in the response of blue-green algal biomass (BGVOL) in north temperate lakes and in North ~arolinaReservoirs to total phosphorus (TP), using a dummy variable (DUMMY) ..................... Results of a stepwise regression analysis of the summer mean blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs (NCBG) on station depth (STADEPTH), water column mixed depth (MIXDEPTH), and estimated 21 non-algal turbidity (NONALG) ....................... Conclusions and Recommendations Determinants of blue-qreen alqal qrowth voirs. As has been found for chlorophyll North ~arolinareser- a in lakes monitored during the National ~utrophicationSurvey (Canfield and Bachmann 1981) and in midwestern reservoirs (Hoyer and Jones 1983), the results of this study suggest that total phosphorus is most likely the primary limiting factor for total algal biomass in turbid North Carolina reservoirs. However, the same is not true for the summer mean biomass of blue-qreen alqae. Tests of 4 published empirical models for blue-green algal biomass (Smith 1985) and a model of blue-green algal relative biomass (Smith 1986) clearly indicate that the response of bluegreen algal growth in North Carolina reservoirs to nutrients and light availability differs from that observed in clear north temperate lakes. Furthermore, stepwise regression analysis suggests that blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs is much more strongly influenced by non-nutrient factors such as station depth, water column mixed depth, and non-algal turbidity (Eq. 1 ) . Further analyses of data from North Carolina reser- voirs and experimental studies are necessary to confirm these conclusions, and to explore the factors which govern summer bluegreen algal growth in these systems. It is suggested that these studies include detailed experimental examinations of the roles of inorganic suspended solids on nutrient availability, light extinction, and algal sedimentation. vii It is also suggested that the roles of hydraulic flushing and inorganic carbon availability be explored in future models of blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs. Data limitations for future modellinq. When this research was proposed, it was expected that a large data set already existed on phytoplankton and water chemistry in North Carolina waters. Contacts were then made with a number of individuals to assess the availability and suitability of these data. For example, an - extensive data set was offered by Dr. Charles Weiss and coworkers in the Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Similarly, a large data base was offered by Dr. Bobby Ward of the North Carolina Power and Light Company. However, on close inspection these data proved not to be applicable to this study because the phytoplankton measurements were not consistent with the microscopical methods used in the temperate lakes studies from which the models were originally developed. Furthermore, total nitrogen is an important chemical variable which is apparently not consistently measured by all investigators. Finally, given the potential importance of non-algal turbidity in these systems, it is suggested that the concentration of inorganic suspended solids be directly measured in future investigations. In order to assure that the data collected can be universally used and interpreted, it is strongly recommended that those involved in the monitoring of water quality in the State of North viii Carolina use standard methods of biological and chemical analysis in the future. It is also vital that future water quality modelling efforts be based on data generated using consistent chemical and microscopical methods. Introduction Recent empirical phosphorus loading models and phosphoruschlorophyll models (Vollenweider 1968, 1976; Dillon and Rigler 1974, 1975; Jones and Bachmann 1976; Hoyer and Jones 1983; OECD 1982: Smith 1982; Walker 1984) provide a rational management basis for the management of water quality based on nutrients, chlorophyll g , and transparency. However, in many situations other water quality criteria may be of greater importance in making management decisions. For example, in many lakes and reservoirs the absence of hypolimnetic oxygen is an undesirable condition, and numerous empirical models predicting hypolimnetic oxygen depletion rates have been developed and are now in use (e-g. OECD 1982; Walker 1984). Furthermore, a recent model pre- dicting the occurrence of undesirable summer fishkills from total phosphorus concentrations in the lake water has been developed by Mericas and Malone (1984). Similarly, the concentration of chlorophyll 2 alone is not a good predictor of the reduced water quality associated with bluegreen algal dominance in the phytoplankton. Research in North Carolina has identified blue-green algal blooms as a major problem in the Lower Chowan River (Witherspoon et al. 1979; Paerl 1982), in the Neuse River (Christian et ale 1986: Paerl 1983, 1987), and in thermally-enriched, offstream systems such as Sutton Lake near Wilmington (Re Yates, Carolina Power and Light, pers. comm.). Blue-green algae thus present a significant water *' quality problem in a number of North ~arolinawaters, and Witherspoon et ale (1979) have indicated that there is a need for models of blue-green algal growth which will allow us to predict the occurrence of blue-green blooms, and which will allow us to make rational cost-benefit analyses of potential nutrient control measures. Smith (1985) has recently developed a series of empirical models predicting the summer mean biomass of blue-green algae (BG, g m-3) in north temperate lakes from total phosphorus (TP, mg mW3) , total nitrogen (TN, mg m-3) , and lake mean depth (2, m) : (1) log BG = -1.371 + 0.979 log TP, r2 (2) log BG = -0.142 + 0.596 log TP - 0.963 log Z, r2 (3) log BG = -2.994 + 1.244 log TN (4) log BG = 2.203 - - 0.835 log TN:TP = 0.71. = 0.80. 0.751 log Z, r2 = 0.79. - 1.336 log Z, r2 = 0.77. In addition, Smith (1986) has developed an empirical model predicting the summer relative biomass of blue-green algae (%BG, the proportion of the total algal biomass which is represented by blue-greens). In Eq. 5, SD is the summer mean Secchi disk transparency (in meters), and Zm is the summer mean mixed depth for the water column (meters): (5) logit (%BG) = 2.358 - - 1.297 log TN 2.058 log SD + + 0.692 log TP 0.538 log Z , , r2 = 0.52. These models potentially may provide tools for the prediction of blue-green algal growth in North Carolina waters. However, Eq. 1-5 were developed from a data set containing only north temperate lakes, and the applicability of these models to southeastern waters has not been evaluated. Recent research (Higgins and Kim 1981; Walker 1982; Carriker and Taylor 1984; Pearse 1984; Reckhow and Clements 1984) has in fact suggested that models developed from north temperate lakes may not apply to the warmer, more turbid water resources of the southeastern United States. The purpose of this research was thus to evaluate the applicability of Eq. 1-5 to North Carolina reservoirs. Materials and Methods The data needed to test these models were generously provided for sampling stations in 32 North Carolina reservoirs by Dr. J. Overton and Ms. D. Moody of the North Carolina Division of Environmental Management, Raleigh, and for 2 reservoirs by Dr. M. Rodriguez and Dr. J.C. Knight of the Duke Power Company. These data included individual measurements of water chemistry, Secchi disk transparency or vertical light extinction coefficients, sampling station total depth and mixed depth, chlorophyll a, and al- gal biomass during the months of May-September for each year of record. For algal cell volume, it was assumed that lo3 mm3 mo3 was equivalent to 1 g m-3 wet weight (Smith 1985). These data were compiled and subjected to statistical analysis using the SYSTAT software (Wilkinson 1986) on an IBM PC-AT microcomputer. . The overall data set, containing the measurements from all sampling dates, was used to examine water quality relationships for individual sampling dates. However, summer means of each variable were needed to test Eq. 1-5, and sufficient data to calculate May-September means were only available for stations in the B.E. Jordan ~eservoir,the Falls of the Neuse Reservoir, Lake Norman, and Lake Wylie. The analyses discussed below thus are based primarily on a reduced data set containing the calculated summer means from stations in these 4 reservoirs. I n t h e reduced iata'set, each case is represented by one summer mean for each station sampled, for each year of record. Copies of the data are available on floppy disk from the author. Results Prior to statistical analysis, the data from north temperate lakes (Smith 1985) were pooled with summer mean data from sta- A tions in North Carolina reservoirs from the reduced data set. dummy variable was used to code the data by location (DUMMY=O if lake=temperate, and DUMMY=l if lake=NC), and differences in the response of algae to total phosphorus in the two locations were then explored using 'this dummy variable. In this analysis, the presence of a statistically significant (P<0.05) coefficient for the dummy variable indicates a significant difference between the response of algae to total phosphorus in the two lake types (cf. Kleinbaum and Kupper 1978). The dummy variable analysis indicated no significant difference in the response of total algal biomass to phosphorus in clear lakes and North Carolina reservoirs (Table 1). As can be seen in Fig. 1, the summer mean values for total algal biomass from stations in 4 North Carolina reservoirs (open squares) were consistent with data from the north temperate lakes (closed triangles), with the exception of one outlier from the Falls of the Neuse Reservoir (station 13). r A similar pattern was not evident, however, when the data for blue-green algal biomass were plotted for each of these same stations. As can be seen in Fig. 2, three clusters of outliers are evident: four points from Lake Norman (station ll), two points from Lake Wylie (station 244), and three points from the Falls of the Neuse Reservoir (station 13). A dummy variable analysis of the entire data set confirmed a highly significant (P = 0.002) difference in the response of blue-green algae to Table 1. Results of a regression analysis to test for differences in the response of total algal biomass (TOTALVOL) in north temperate lakes and in North Carolina reservoirs to total phosphorus (TP), using a dummy variable (DUMMY). DEPENDENT VAR1ABLE:LOG TOTALVOL ADJUSTED SQUARED MULTIPLE R VARIABLE COEFFICIENT = DF= 74 0.637 SQUARED MULTIPLE R STD ERROR P(2 TAIL) LOGTP DUMMY ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE SUM-OF-SQUARES REGRESSION RESIDUAL DF 0.647 STANDARD ERROR OF ESTIMATE:0.232 CONSTANT SOURCE = MEAN-SQUARE F-RATIO m 100,000 , SUMMER MEAN TOTAL ALGAL BIOMASS IN N . TEMPERATE LAKES AND NC RESERVOIRS A LAKES RESERVOIRS F i g . 1. P l o t o f s u m m e r m e a n t o t a l a l g a l b i o m a s s v e r s u s t h e summer mean c o n c e n t r a t i o n o f t o t a l p h o s p h o r u s i n n o r t h temperate l a k e s (closed t r i a n g l e s ) and i n 3 o r t h Carolina r e s e r v o i r s (open s q u a r e s ) . Table 2. Results of a regression analysis t o test for differences in the response of blue-green algal biomass (BGVOL) in north temperate lakes and in North Carolina Reservoirs t o total phosphorus (TP), using a dummy variable (DUMMY). DEPENDENT VAR1ABLE:LOG BGVOL DF=74 ADJUSTED SQUARED MULTIPLE R = 0.453 VARIABLE COEFFICIENT SQUARED MULTIPLE R = 0.468 STANDARD ERROR OF ESTIMATE:0.538 STD ERROR CONSTANT LOG TP DUMMY ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE SOURCE SUM-OF-SQUARES REGRESSION RESIDUAL DF MEAN-SQUARE F-RATIO SUMMER MEAN BLUE-GREEN ALGAL BIOMASS 3 100,000 IN N . TEMPERATE LAKES AND NC RESERVOIRS LAKES RESERVOIRS Fig. 2. P l o t o f t h e summer m e a n b i o m a s s o f b l u e - g r e e n a l g a e v e r s u s t h e summer m e a n c o n c e n t r a t i o n o f t o t a l p h o s p h o r u s i n n o r t h temperate l a k e s (closed t r i a n g l e s ) and i n North C a r o l i n a r e s e r v o i r s (open s q u a r e s ) . phosphorus in north temperate lakes and North Carolina reservoirs (Table 2) . Because the mean depths of the individual reservoir segments sampled by the North Carolina Division of Environmental Management and by Duke Power were not immediately available, station depth was substituted for segment mean depth in further analyses of the data. These analyses indicated that Eq. 1-4 were uniformly poor predictors of blue-green algal biomass in North Carolina reservoirs (Fig. 3-6), and that Eq. 5 could not be used to predict the relative biomass of blue-green algae in these . reservoirs (Fig. 7) Although the summer mean biomass of blue-green algae can be used as an indicator of water quality, the summer peak biomass of blue-greens may be of more interest since it represents the worst case and may be of much greater concern to both industrial and recreational users of lakes. Data from the Jordan and Falls reservoirs and from Lake Norman and Lake Wylie were thus used to generate an additional data set containing the summer peak observed blue-green algal biomass. However, no consistent relationship could be found between peak blue-green biomass and total phosphorus in these reservoirs (Fig. 8). In an attempt to determine which factors were responsible for the scatter observed in Fig. 2-7, further analyses were made of the overall data set. In order to evaluate the possible role 10,000 , PREDICTED BLUE-GREEN ALGAL BIOMASS MODEL 1 100 1000 10,000 3 -3 LOG OBSERVED BLUE-GREEN BIOMASS, mm rn F i g . 3. P l o t of t h e p r e d i c t i o n s of E q . 1 v e r s u s observed blue-green a l g a l biomass i n North Carolina r e s e r v o i r s . 100,000 , PREDICTED BLUE-GREEN ALGAL BIOMASS MODEL 4 3 -3 LOG OBSERVED BLUE-GREEN BIOMASS, mm m Fig. 6. P l o t of the predictions of Eq. 4 versus observed blue-green a l g a l biomass i n North Carolina r e s e r v o i r s . b 'TI r PREDICTED LOGIT(percent blue-green algae) P- C 00 fD I 00 w Y o fD fD s 'd r D O Prt 00 D 0 rn, ~ r fD 3 r fD a, rt 'd P-'.Y C f~ fD a P d O I-'. rt 0 .'-t 0 Pis m m V, 0 P n, 3 M za 0 Y rt Ln 3 4 0 fD a, Y Y m 0 C r m t-'. 3 0 b P, m Y f D fD Y m C fD Y C 0 P Y m fD a t m ' - 100,000 SUMMER PEAK BLUE-GREEN ALGAL BIOMASS IN NORTH CAROLINA RESERVOIRS 100 LOG TOTAL PHOSPHORUS, mg m3 Fig. 8. P l o t of peak o b s e r v e d b l u e - g r e e n a l g a l biomass v e r s u s summer mean t o t a l p h o s p h o r u s c o n c e n t r a t i o n s i n N o r t h C a r o l i n a reservoirs. of inorganic turbidity, an estimate of non-algal turbidity was calculated for each station from measurements of Secchi disk transparency. In the case of Lake Wylie and Lake Norman, ~ e c c h i disk transparency (SD, meters) was first calculated from measurements of vertical light attenuation (k, meters-') using the relationship of Megard (1980): Non-algal turbidity (NON-ALGAL, meters-') was then calculated em- pirically for each sampling date in the overall data set using the method of Walker (1982). A plot was first made of Secchi disk transparency versus measured concentrations of chlorophyll g (CHL, mg m-3 ; cf. Fig. 9), and then values of A and B in the generalized relationship were selected to provide good empirical fits to the upper and lower boundaries of the data. In Eq. 7, the value of A is an es- timate of non-algal turbidity, and B is an estimate of the ex- SUMMER SECCHI DISK TRANSPARENCY IN NORTH CAROLINA RESERVOIRS CA g I- 10 2 - 0 - >-I 7 W CK 4 a CA 7 4 LT t1L CA ii 1/SD = 0.15 + 0.003CHL - i - I - . - .. . . - . - I 0.1- 8 W c/) (3 0 J .. . . .. . I I. Dm.. I . I/SD=20+0.003CHL - rn - I I # I I I I I I L I 1 - I I 1 10 LOG CHLOROPHYLL a, rng 1 I I I 100 m3 F i g . 9. P l o t o f i n d i v i d u a l m e a s u r e m e n t s o f S e c c h i d i s k transparency versus chlorophyll concentrations in North Carolina reservoirs. tinction due to chlorophyll q. This method provided an upper boundary of and a lower boundary of 1/SD = 20 + 0,003 CHL. The value for B = 0.003 rn2 (mg C H L ) obtained from this analysis (Eq. 8-9) is lower than the typical values cited by Walker (1982), but nonetheless provides a good fit to the observed data. Using this value of B, it was then possible to estimate the magnitude of non-algal turbidity from measurements of Secchi disk transparency and chlorophyll on each sampling date as NON-ALGAL = 1/SD - 0.003 CHL. Summer mean values of non-algal turbidity were then calculated for each sampling station represented in the reduced data set, and regression analyses were then run to determine the best model for summer mean blue-green algal biomass (NCBG, mm3 Carolina reservoirs. in North The stepwise regression analysis included total nitrogen, total phosphorus, station depth, mixed depth, and non-algal turbidity as candidate variables. surprisingly, however, this analysis suggested a predictive model which included only morphometry and turbidity (Table 3 ) : (11) log NCBG = 4.129 - + 3.506 log MIXED DEPTH 4.094 log STATION DEPTH - 0.165 log NONALGAL TURBIDITY, r2=0.52. Simple regression analysis further indicated that the summer mean blue-green biomass in these reservoirs was only very weakly correlated with total phosphorus: Discussion Based on the regression analyses discussed above, the response of summer mean total biomass of algae to total phosphorus appears to be similar in clear lakes and in North ~arolina Table 3. Results of a stepwise regression analysis of the summer mean blue-green algal biomass in North ~arolinareservoirs (NCBG) on station depth (STADEPTH), water column mixed depth (MIXDEPTH), and estimated non-algal turbidity (NONALG). DEPENDENT VARIABLE: LOG NCBG ADJUSTED SQUARED MULTIPLE R DF= 45 = 0.486 SQUARED MULTIPLE R 0.521 STANDARD ERROR OF ESTIMATE:0.459 VARIABLE COEFFICIENT STD ERROR CONSTANT 4.129 0.333 12.412 <0.001 LOG STADEPTH -4.094 0.633 -6.468 <0.001 LOG MIXDEPTH 3.506 0.707 4.960 <0.001 -0 .165 0.066 -2.487 0.017 NONALG = P(2 TAIL) ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE SOURCE SUM-OF-SQUARES DF MEAN-SQUARE F-RATIO REGRESSION 9 397 3 3.132 14,869 RESIDUAL 8.637 41 0.211 . <O 001 reservoirs (Fig. 1, Table 1). However, response of both the ab- solute and the relative biomass of blue-sreen alsae to total phosphorus appears to differ significantly in the two types of systems. The reasons for these differences are not yet clear, but may include factors such as hydraulic flushing rate, inorganic carbon availability, and inorganic turbidity. Hvdraulic flushinq rate. An additional factor which may have in- fluenced the response of blue-green algae to nutrients is the hydraulic flushing rate. The flushing rate of most artificial impoundments is significantly higher than that of natural lakes (Walker 1984). If the hydraulic flushing rate is sufficiently rapid, many algal species will not have sufficient time to grow during their brief residence time in the reservoir. Weiss et al. (1981) and Uttormark and Hutchins (1985) have in fact suggested that slow-growing blue-green algae may be held in check by the rapid flushing rates observed in lakes and reservoirs with extensive fluvial inputs. This mechanism would also act to minimize the likelihood of blue-green algal blooms even under conditions of high nutrient loading to the reservoir. Unfortunately, this hypothesis could not be directly tested in this study. Although some estimates of water flows between segments of the B. Everett Jordan reservoir have been made by Moreau and Challa (1985), estimates of the hydraulic flushing rates for all the individual reservoir segments analyzed here were not available. If possible, hydraulic flushing rate should be included as candidate variable in the development of future models for blue-green algal growth in North ~arolinareservoirs. Carbon dioxide. The environmental factors which have been ex- perimentally demonstrated to favor dominance by blue-green algae also include low inorganic carbon availability (King 1970; Talling 1976; Shindler et al. 1980; Shapiro 1973, 1984; Paerl and Ustach 1982; Paerl 1987). However, only one large-scale study has examined the effects of inorganic carbon on the growth of bluegreen algae in a broad cross-section of lakes. Smith et al. (1987) have concluded that total C02 was indeed an important determinant of the peak summer biomass of the bloom-forming bluegreen Aphanizomenon flos-aquae in Swedish lakes, and experimental studies suggest that it may be important for other species as well (cf. Shapiro 1983). Inorganic carbon availability can be easily calculated from pH, temperature and alkalinity using tables in Mackereth et al. (1978), and should also be considered in future modelling efforts. Inorsanic turbiditv. Perhaps the most likely factor influencing the growth of blue-green algae in North Carolina reservoirs is the presence of high concentrations of inorganic suspended solids. Research on midwestern and southeastern U.S. reservoirs has shown that high levels of inorganic (non-algal) turbidity have a marked effect on the productivity of each trophic level (Marzolf 1984). For example, the presence of high concentrations of inorganic suspended solids clearly can reduce the concentra- tion of chlorophyll a produced at a given concentration of total phosphorus (Hoyer and Jones 1983; Pearse 1984), and it is important to note that the outlier in the relationship between total phosphorus and total algal biomass in ~ i g .1 is the most turbid station in the reduced data set. Nonetheless, Fig. 1 suggests that the total algal biomass observed in these 4 North Carolina reservoirs was typically consistent with that expected from epilimnetic concentrations of total phosphorus. The same was not true of blue-green algal biomass, however (Fig. 2). It is possible that this difference in the behavior of total algal biomass and blue-green algal biomass results from a differential effect of inorganic suspended solids on the growth of the different algal taxa. In a study of four eutrophic Nebraska impoundments, Hergenrader (1980) found that blue-green algae were much less important in the most turbid system, suggesting that the presence of high levels of inorganic turbidity acted to reduce the likelihood of blue-green blooms in eutrophic reservoirs. Weiss et al. (1981) similarly concluded that high turbidities and rapid hydraulic flushing limited the possibility of blue-green blooms in eutrophic High Rock Lake, North ~arolina. At least two potential mechanisms could act to reduce the ecological success of blue-green algae in reservoirs having high concentrations of suspended silts and clays. First, the pub- lished literature has documented the fact that dissolved inorganic phosphorus interacts strongly with suspended soil particles (e.g. Green et al. 1978; Logan et al. 1979; Beek and van Reimsdijk 1982; Kuenzler and Greer 1980; Kuenzler et al. 1986). Weiss et al. (1981) noted that phosphorus, the principal limiting nutrient in High Rock Lake, appeared to be readily removed from the water column by binding to clay particles and was subsequently lost via sedimentation or discharge from the reservoir. Cuker (1985) has in fact found that suspended clays and phosphorus interact to regulate algal primary productivity in a small Piedmont North Carolina lake. Fertilization of a series of ex- perimental enclosures with phosphorus alone stimulated the growth of the blue-green alga Anabaena, but the subsequent addition of kaolinite clay reduced the growth of Anabaena. This reduction in growth could be mitigated by the addition of further inorganic phosphorus. The second major mechanism involves the enhancement of phytoplankton loss rates from the water column by sedimentation. Avnimelich et al. (1984) have found that the presence of suspended silts and clays causes the flocculation and sedimentation of algae. Furthermore, this interaction was dependent on the species of algae present, and may preferentially remove bluegreens from the water column relative to other species. Another important effect of inorganic suspended solids is their influence on light penetration and scattering. The presence of high concentrations of suspended soil particles results in a reduction in the depth of the euphotic zone, and a reduction of light availability in the mixed layer. However, blue-green algae are thought to be competitively superior under conditions of low light availability (cf. Smith 1986). Examples of turbid systems exhibiting nuisance blue-green algal blooms are the Kentucky Reservoir, USA (Carriker and Taylor 1984) and Lake Burley Griffin, Australia (Rosich and Cullen 1981). It is clear from the above discussion that the effects of silt and clay turbidity on the intensity and the frequency of blue-green algal blooms are not yet well understood, and should be examined in much greater detail. It is suggested that further experimental studies of the effects of inorganic turbidity similar to those performed by Cuker (1985) be made to quantify the effects of suspended silt and clay on nutrient availability, light availability, blue-green algal growth, and blue-green algal sedimentation. Furthermore, future modelling efforts should con- tinue to include inorganic turbidity as a candidate.variable. However, non-algal turbidity should be measured directly as concentrations of inorganic suspended solids (Hoyer and Jones 1983), rather than estimated indirectly as in this study. LITERATURE CITED Avnimelech, Y., B.W. Troeger, and L.W. Reed. 1982. Mutual floc- culation of algae and clay: Evidence and implications. Science 216: 63-65. Beek, J., and W.H. van Riemsdijk. 1982. Interaction of orthophosphate ions with soil, p. 259-284. In: G.H. Bolt [ed.], Soil chemistry physico-chemical models..Elsevier, New York. canfield, D.E., Jr., and R.W. Bachmann. 1981. 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