Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NOy and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer L. Perry* and Patrick M. Owens Department of Chemistry Winthrop University, Rock Hill, SC 29733 *Current address: Department of Chemistry, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708 Objectives Show Charlotte regional growth by traffic volumes and power plant emissions Characterize trends in NOy, CO, Hydrocarbon, and Ozone monitoring data Understand how traffic and power plant emission fluctuations within each week affect pollutant levels 2 Type of Data Monitoring Site Interstate I-77 Selected Data Jun-Aug, 1990-1997 Traffic Counts South Blvd, Wilkinson Blvd, Graham St. Mecklenburg County Ambient Air Monitors Power Plant Emission Monitors (CEM) May-Sep, 1990-1997 (8-9 AM, 6-7 PM, daily) Plaza, County Line O3 : May-Sep, ’90-00 CO: May-Sep, ’93-00 NOy: May-Sep, ’95-00 Hydrocarbons, ’95-99 Arrowwood O3: May-Sep, ’90-00 Riverbend, Allen Marshall, Buck NOx: May-Sep, ’96-00 3 Traffic Locations, Monitoring Sites, & Power Plants 4 Regional NOx Sources 1997 Gaston County Power Plant Emissions 12,930 tons (Allen) 3,780 tons (Riverbend) 1996 Mecklenburg County Emissions 17,295 tons (mobile sources) 687 tons (stationary sources) 5 Traffic Sites Roadway Tachograph Loc. Data Available Interstate 77 SC Welcome Center Between Exits 88 & 90 June-August 1990-1997 (Hourly data) South Blvd (Hwy 521) Between Poindexter & Marsh @ Pepsi Plant May-Sept 1990-1998, (7-8AM, 5-6PM, Daily) Wilkinson Blvd (Hwy 29&74) Remount Rd Intersection May-Sept 1990-1998, (7-8AM, 5-6PM, Daily) Graham St. Past Railroad Tracks @ 12th St. May-Sept 1990-1998, (7-8AM, 5-6PM, Daily) 6 I-77 Traffic Volume vs. Time of Day Hourly Volume 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Time of Day (Hour) Sun Mon Tues Thu Fri Sat Wed 7 Avg Hourly NOy Concentration (ppb) May-Sep ‘95-‘98 Plaza Average Hourly NOy 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 Time of Day Sunday Monday Tuesday Thursday Friday Saturday Wednesday 8 May-Sep ‘93-‘98 Plaza Average Hourly CO Avg. Hourly CO Reading (ppb) 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 Time of Day (Hour) Sunday Monday Tuesday Thursday Friday Saturday Wednesday 9 1990-1998 May-Sep Diurnal Charlotte Ozone Averages By Day of Week (weekend days-lines, weekdays-markers 10 Day of Week NOx Emissions from Four % Difference from 7-Day Average Coal-fired Plants near Charlotte 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 Allen Riverbend Marshall Buck Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Day of Week 11 Daily Tons NO x Emissions Coal-fired Power Plant Hourly NOx Emissions by Day of Week for a Recent Season 55.00 50.00 Sun 45.00 Mon 40.00 Tue Wed 35.00 Thu Fri 30.00 Sat 25.00 0 5 10 15 20 Hour of Day 12 Day of Week Variation in Average Noon to Noon BTEX Levels in Charlotte Aug-Sep ’96 and May-Aug ’97 0.15 Day of Week Variation at Dilworth Urban BTEX Sampling Site Day of Week Variation at Fontana Urban BTEX Sampling Site 0.1 0.15 0.05 0.1 Benzene 0 Toluene -0.05 Benzene 0.05 Toluene 0 m/p-Xylene -0.05 -0.1 m/p-Xylene -0.15 I-77 Traffic Cts I-77 Traffic Cts -0.1 Thu-Sat Sat-Sun -0.15 Sun-Thu Thu-Sat Sat-Sun Day of Week Variation at Kennedy Urban BTEX Sampling Site Fraction of Diff from 7-Day Avg Sun-Thu 0.2 Benzene 0.1 Toluene 0 m/p-Xylene -0.1 I-77 Traffic Cts -0.2 -0.3 Sun-Thu Thu-Sat Sat-Sun 13 Traffic Growth for I-77 and South Blvd Locations 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Year 1995 4000 1996 3500 1997 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Year Average Hour Traffic 8:00 Traffic 18:00 Traffic 14 32 CO Concentration (ppb) NOy Concentration (ppb) 7-9 AM Yearly NOy and CO Trends at County Line and Plaza (Gar ’00) Sites 30 28 26 24 22 20 700 600 500 400 300 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Year County Plaza County Plaza 15 May-Sep Mecklenburg County Ozone Trends 0.07500 0.07000 0.06500 0.06000 0.05500 0.05000 0.04500 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Year County Line Arrowwood Plaza 16 NOx Emission Trends from the two Coal-fired Power Plants, Allen and Riverbend, near Charlotte 80.00 Avg Tons NO x / Day 70.00 60.00 1996 50.00 1997 40.00 1998 1999 30.00 2000 20.00 10.00 0.00 June July Aug Jun-Aug May-Sep 17 9000.00 5.50 8000.00 5.00 4.50 7000.00 4.00 6000.00 3.50 5000.00 3.00 4000.00 2.50 3000.00 2.00 1996 Tons NOx emissions 1997 1998 1999 GigaWatt-Hours Lbs NOx / Megawatt-hr NOx emissions + GigaWatt-Hours Long-term Trends for Allen & RB NOx Emissions, Power, and Emissions per Unit of Power 2000 Lbs NOx/Mwt-hr 18 ’95-’99 AM Hydrocarbon Reactivity-weighted Concentration Trends for the Plaza Site 135 MIR * Concentration (ppbC) 120 105 90 75 60 45 30 15 0 PAMS Tot. Paraffins 1995 1996 Olefins 1997* 1998 Aromatics 1999 19 ’95-’99 AM NMOC/NOy Ratios for the Plaza Monitoring Site 20 NOx Limited NMOC/NOy 15 10 VOC Limited 5 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 20 Reading / 7 Day Average 7-8 AM Within Week Fluctuations for NOy, CO and Traffic Data 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Sun Mon NOy CO Tue-Fri Sat Traffic 21 Reading / 7 Day Average May-Sep 1990-1998 Within Week Ozone Averages for the three Mecklenburg County Monitors 1.05 1.03 1.01 0.99 0.97 0.95 Sun County Line Mon Tue-Fri Arrowwood Sat Plaza 22 P-Values for Day of Week Comparisons of Traffic, Ambient Pollutants, and Power Plant NOx Emissions Days Traffic CO NOy Ozone Power NOx Su/Tu-Fr 0 0 0 0.3373 0 Mo/Tu-Fr 0.7488 0.9473 0.0381 0.3484 0.0023 Sa/Tu-Fr 0 0.0012 0 0.4683 0.0025 23 Conclusions AM CO and NOy ambient concentrations correlate well with observed traffic patterns Weekend AM levels much lower than weekdays Monday AM CO comparable to other weekdays Monday AM NOy lower than other weekdays Within week power plant NOx emissions Tues-Fri 10% above 7-day average Mon & Sat 7.5% below 7-day average Sun 19% below 7-day average Monday AM NOx lowest in week; low Monday AM NOy ambient levels may be due to this 24 Conclusions Total Power Plant NOx emissions from Allen and Riverbend Power Plants are stable From 1996-2000, power generated during May-Sep by the two Gaston Co. plants increased 27%. From 1996-2000, NOx emissions per unit of power decreased 20%. From 1996-2000, total NOX emissions from Allen and Riverbend increased 4%. 25 Conclusions Hydrocarbon Trends From 1997-1999, average AM Hydrocarbons levels at Plaza decreased The Charlotte metropolitan region appears to be a VOC-limited area 1995-1999 Plaza AM VOC/NOy ratios are primarily between four and eight. Ozone within week variation: Weekend ozone levels in Mecklenburg County are equivalent to weekday levels 26 Recommendations For the city of Charlotte, implement ozone control measures that reduce ambient VOC levels Replace the use of ozone action days with practices to be implemented throughout ozone season Evaluate the use of total NOx emissions budgets for all power plants in the Charlotte region 27 Acknowledgements North Carolina Division of Air Quality (Steve Few, Brian Timin) Winthrop University students (Gentry Ridgeway and Steve Hudson) City of Charlotte Department of Transportation (Charles Able) South Carolina Department of Transportation (Joe Boozer) Duke Energy (Buddy Davis and Kris Knudsen) 28
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