Private Partnership in Infrastructure Facilitating – World Bank Guarantees October 25, 2004 Pushing the frontier of private investments IFC MIGA IBRD/IDA IFC A Loan IFC B Loan IFC Guarantees (partial credit structures usually for local financing) Political Risk Insurance (expropriation, transfer restriction, breach of contract, war & civil disturbances) Guarantees -Partial Risk -Partial Credit -Policy Based IBRD Loan IDA Credit Similar requirements on safeguards, development impact Joint transactions (e.g., MIGA/IFC/PFG) World Bank Guarantees Help to catalyze debt with extended maturities and lower financing costs. Risk mitigation for Government performance- backs sovereign contractual obligations. Key features: Partial Guarantee IBRD/IDA balance sheet Counterguarantee Cross defaults Flexibility Two types of guarantees commonly used with new products being developed • Partial Risk Guarantees (PRG): Privatization, LC, PRG Facility, FX Liquidity Facility, Local Currency Guarantee • Partial Credit Guarantees (PCG), Debt and Capital Markets, Policy Based Guarantees (PBG) Which risks can be covered by a PRG? Tariff Regulatory risk Collection risk Arbitration Change in law Convertibility Transferability Subsidy payments (e.g., OBA) How does the PRG relate to IFC/MIGA instruments? PRGs can be considered in the following situations: Sectors in early stages of reform Larger size/riskier operations Operations highly dependent on support/undertakings of governments Joint transactions Coordination The WB Partial Risk Guarantee usually does not increase contingent liabilities “The host government’s indemnity of the World Bank does not increase the government’s liabilities when the government is already directly obligated to the private sector on the same liabilities.”. “Involving the Private Sector in Forestalling and Resolving Financial Crises – Private Project Finance Flows to Developing Countries,” IMF Board Paper SM/99/211, August 20, 1999, page 21. Partial Risk Guarantees mitigate concerns related to government performance A Partial Risk Guarantee (PRG) can cover lenders in case the Government does not meet its commitments Project Company Loans Commercial Lenders Government Undertakings Guarantee Indemnity Agreement Government World Bank Partial Risk Guarantees help access private finance at sustainable terms Debt Maturity 5 Vietnam (P. Risk) Uganda (P. Risk) Bangladesh (P. Risk) Cote d’Ivoire (P. Risk) Interest Spread 5% 16 2% 0 8% 16 3.1% 1 3% 14 1 2% 3% 12 without Guarantee 2.75% with Guarantee Partial Credit Guarantees help access private finance at sustainable terms Debt Maturity 5 Colombia (P. Credit) Thailand (P. Credit) Philippines (P. Credit) 6.5% 5% 10 0 8.5% 10 Lebanon (P. Credit) Jordan (P. Credit) Interest Spread 2.9% 5 3% 10 1% 2 3% 7 1% 7 15 3% 2.5% without Guarantee with Guarantee Policy Based Guarantees to leverage adjustment loans An extension of partial credit guarantees beyond investment projects to adjustment / sector programs Facilitates sovereign borrowings in support of structural and social policy reforms Alternative/Complement to an adjustment loan Bank Guarantees have limited impact on CAS envelope Country’s total CAS envelope will be increased by 75% of the face value of guarantee commitments This incentive will apply to both partial credit and partial risk guarantees for investment projects PFG Risk Mitigation Instruments Privatization New Applications of PRG Letter of Credit structure Facilities Local Currency Guarantees Application of PRGs to support privatization Government Private Investor Equity (US$50m) Shareholder Loans (US$ 25m) Partly covered by WB-PRG Sale Proceeds Government Support Agreement Indemnity Guarantee Regulator License Agreement / Regulatory Contract Commercial Loans (US$ 25m) Partly covered by WB-PRG Commercial Lenders PRG can mitigate Government payment risk using letter of credit Commercial Bank Letter of credit can be drawn if Government defaults Private Entity Commercial Bank Government commits to repay LC bank World Bank guarantees LC Bank Payment obligations (e.g, OBA) PRG facilities to support medium size investments World Bank Indemnity Government Line of PRGs Intermediary for Retail of PRGs Obligations Projects A B C Z Regional Gas Project: Enclave Guarantee Structure (Rand Guarantee) (Sasol owned, Moz company) Loan Agreement (Rand denominated) Pipeline Agreement ROMPCO Indemnity Agreement SPT GOM Petroleum Production Agreement Project Agreement Guarantee Agreement SPT (Sasol owned, RSA company) Project Agreement Guarantee Agreement ROMPCO SCMB (Lead arranger) Loan Agreement (Rand denominated) South African Regional Gas Project World Bank Group participation… Total Project Cost: US$ 1 billion Upstream Development CMH Eq uity Debt Facilities Total CMH – Unincorporated Joint Venture Funding Origin 18.00 38.00 56.00 IFC SPT Equity Debt Facility Total 10.00 including political risk coverage PRG MIGA ECAs 148.00 182.00 from: 20.00 25.7 50.00 Total SPT 330.00 Investments in Upstream Project Gas Pipeline currently wholly- owned by Sasol Equity Debt Facilities including political risk coverage from: PRG MIGA ECAs Investments in the Gas Pipeline TOTAL Financing Required for the Project 396.00 285.00 320.00 10 .00 89.00 77.00 605.00 1001.00 Guarantee pricing* Types of Fee Stand-by ..Bank retains Guarantee ..Bank retains Initiation & Processing Front-end Payment of Guarantee Fee IBRD IDA 75 bp 25 bp 75-100 bp 50 bp 25 bp 0 bp 75+ bp 75 bp 0.15-0.65% 0.15-0.65% 1%** Periodic/one time upfront N/A Periodic/one time upfront *Excluding PBGs provided under SSALs and for IBRD enclave guarantees in IDA only countries ** For FY 05 with the waiver the effective front end fee is 0.5% Guarantees completed so far… Total exposure as of March 2004: US$ 1.41 billion PRGs: 10 PCGs: 8 PBGs: 2 Guarantee Allocation by Sector Guarantee Allocation by Region Total IBRD Guarantees: US$ 2,300 million Total IDA Guarantees: US$ 121 m Other 16% Finance 17% EAP 26% MENA 14% Power 56% Oil & Gas 1% Telecom 10% Power AFRICA 2% SA 16% Telecom LAC 17% Oil & Gas Finance Other AFRICA ECA 25% EAP ECA LAC MENA Future operations in the pipeline: Africa: 14 EAP: 1 ECA:8 MENA: 3 SA: 1 LAC:1 SA Cases: PCG Structure Vietnam Phu My 2-2 BOT Power South African Regional Gas Project BOAD Guarantee Facility PCGs: Various structures Example: Borrower: Jordan Telecom Corp Project: Modernization Terms: 7 year US$ 50 million bond matured in September 2002 Longest term available to Jordan at the time 0 US $50m Bond World Bank support for principal repayment at maturity Additional term provided by WB support 2 7 US Treasury + 1.1% Similar structures have been used in the past for project-based partial credit guarantee in Lebanon, Philippines etc. 21 Partial Credit Guarantee WB will guarantee debt service for specific periods $150 million Example: China Ertan Power Project $50 million 0 3 6 Average financing term for China without World Bank Guarantee 9 12 15 Additional uncovered World Bank risk taken by Guaranteed commercial banks Total risk assumed by commercial banks Policy Based Guarantee: Leveraging adjustment loans Interest Payments Guaranteed at Issuance Principal US $159m Bank’s max. exposure 0.5 1 1.5 Fitch S&P 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 Example: Colombia Policy Based Guarantee BBB+ Moody’sBaa1 BBB NAIC 2 9 9.5 10 Vietnam: Phu My 2-2 BOT Power Project Key Contracts IDA Indemnity Agreement MOI Government Guarantee ADB GOR Private EPRI MPI Government (MPI) World Bank EPRI BOT Contract Investment Licence IDA Project Agreement IDA PRG EVN Loan Agreement Mekong Energy Company Gas Supply Agreement Loan Agreements PV Water Supply Agreement BR-VT Water Supply Co. Shareholder Agreement Land Lease Agreement BR-VT People’s Committee (UDEC) EPC Contract EDF-CNET Commercial Lenders JBIC ADB OCR Proparco Technical Support Agreement EDF TEPCO EDFI Sumitomo TEPCI BOAD Guarantee Facility WAEMU Country Government(s) Guarantee Facility Agreement (GFA) MIGA World Bank (VP Approval) (RVP Approval) Contract of Guarantee Indemnity Agreements AFD (Board Approval) Guarantee Agreements BOAD Sub Project Company Commercial Debt, L/C Commercial Banks EPC Contract Equity Investor O & M Contract Construction Contractor O&M Contractor - Equity - Shareholders loans Toll Roads Financing The wave of toll road concessions in 1990s 12,000 60 10,000 50 8,000 40 6,000 30 4,000 20 2,000 10 0 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Investment in Road Projects with Private Participation in Developing Countries Source: World Bank PPI Database No. Projects Investment US$million Financial Crisis Issues in toll road financing • Traffic – New facilities (roads/ports/railway) – Extensions/rehabilitation • High local cost component • Barriers to local funding – Short maturities – High cost of financing – Insufficient capacity • Barriers to foreign funding – Country creditworthiness – Devaluation of currency – Political risks/government obligations • Levels & type of government support Risk allocation • Risk allocation based on better understanding of project risks, their impact on project outcomes, who can best control them and the cost of bearing them Risk/Obligation Pre-construction Concession Term Construction Operations Agency Land Acquisition/Right-of-Way Environmental Approvals GOC Financing Contribution Project Design (Tunnels) Project Design (Roads, Bridges) Debt & Equity Financing Political Force Majeure (3) Changes in Law Expropriation (4) Natural Force Majeure Currency Devaluation Currency Inconvertibility (1) (2) Cost Overrun (roads-bridges) (5) Cost Overrun (tunnels) Construction delays/project completion Tort Liability Toll Evasion Traffic Level (years 1-9) Traffic Level (years 9+) Toll Adjustment Operations & Maintenance 1 / Actual amounts or level of comfort subject to bidding. (6) ü ü ü Investors & Lenders Insurance Third Party Guarantee ü ü ü ü ü (1) (1) ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü ü Sustainable schemes: Seeking more secure debt structures Example of variation of domestic interest rates C 40% Toll Revenue B 30% 20% Expected Revenue Toll x Traffic 10% J-00 J-99 J-99 J-98 J-98 J-97 J-97 J-96 J-96 J-95 J-95 0% Local financing: short amortization (3-5 years), high interest rates, insufficient market depth Loan 1 (3-5 years) “Roll over” of short term instruments (high refinancing risk) Loan 2: (10 years) 0 10 Years 5 Foreign financing: foreign exchange risk (mismatch with local revenue), political and regulatory risks, sovereign risk. Sustainable schemes: Seeking more secure debt structures Typical Project Cash flows with long-term financing Sustainable schemes: Evolution of risk during project phases Institutional Investors (long-term) financing) Eng. & Const Phase Start Up Phase Operation Phase Refinancing risk Delay Construction risk Land/Ground condition Financial risk Design Traffic (ramp up) Toll adjustments O&M Traffic Service quality-standards Time Sustainable schemes: Selecting government support options Impact on ability of project to raise debt High • Debt Guarantees • Exchange Rate Guarantees • Grants • Subordinated Debt • Minimum Traffic/Revenue Guarantees • Shadow Tolls • Revenue enhancements • Concession Term Extension Low Government’s financial exposure High Trends in minimum revenue guarantees a) A percentage of traffic forecast (fixed, bid, bid within ceiling) throughout concession period, with share over agreed value; Additional revenue shared Projected Traffic Minimum Revenue Guaranteed Outstanding debt 1 2 3 4 b) Bid within specified limits in duration (e.g., “ramp up”) and amount (e.g., debt service); 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Projected Traffic Minimum Revenue Guaranteed 1 2 c) Present value of cumulative revenue, fixed through bidding. Concession ends when: 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Actual Revenue Term expires upon reaching Present Value of Revenue (fixed at bid) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Colombia: Salgar Toll Road Project Project Cost: US$400-430 million Borrower: Concessionaire selected by competitive bid Amount: US$ 80-100m syndicated loan/bond Maturity: At least 12 years Bank support: Partial Risk Guarantee: political events, toll collection & adjustments set in contract Contingent Bank loan; construction cost increases (tunnel only), Liquidity Facility: minimum revenue guarantee (capped annually, limited duration, revolving) Evaluation based on minimum use of Government support Partial Risk Guarantees - Toll Road What was covered Not covered Toll adjustment & collection Expropriation Currency Inconvertibility Political Force Majeure: • Sabotage, war • civil disorder, national & regional strikes • finds (archaeological-mineral) • delay in award of permits Changes in Law No competing road Access roads Min. Traffic/Revenue Guarantees Non-political F.M.: • employee strikes • earthquakes, hurricanes, fires, floods, slides • accidents on roadway Toll evasion Design shortfalls Inefficient O&M Construction delays & cost overruns Bank Guarantee Program Procedures Selecting Guarantee Operations 1. Government & Bank dialogue 2. Government undertakes competitive bid for sponsor 3. Sponsor proposes project to Bank Operational Procedures: Appraisal and Negotiations Discrete Steps Vs. Ongoing Process Same appraisal standards as Bank loans/credits Can accept 3rd party assessments/appraisals Disclosure requirements: IBRD Guarantees: different that IBRD loans IDA Guarantees: same as IDA credits Standard Bank environmental guidelines Private sponsor prepares EA, flexible timing Negotiations Contractual arrangements: Govt.-sponsors Financial arrangements: Bank-lenders Operational Procedures: Appraisal and Negotiations Discrete Steps Vs. Ongoing Process Same appraisal standards as Bank loans/credits Can accept 3rd party assessments/appraisals Disclosure requirements: IBRD Guarantees: different that IBRD loans IDA Guarantees: same as IDA credits Standard Bank environmental guidelines Private sponsor prepares EA, flexible timing Negotiations Contractual arrangements: Govt.-sponsors Financial arrangements: Bank-lenders Procurement Guidelines Paragraph 3.15: If the Bank Guarantees the repayment of a loan made by another lender, the goods and works financed by the said loan shall be procured with due attention to economy and efficiency and in accordance with procedures which meet the requirements of paragraph 1.5. Paragraph 1.5: ….Goods and Works to be procured: a) are of satisfactory quality and are compatible with the balance of the project b) will be delivered or completed in timely fashion; and c) are priced so as not to affect adversely the economic and financial viability of the project. Environment Assessment In accordance with OP/BP 4.01 Guarantees – Disclosure Policy. Category A EA report - no later than 60 days at the Infoshop Category B EA report - no later than 30 days at the Infoshop Operational Procedures: Documentation Project Information Document After government request Send to PIC 30 days prior to Board date PCN/PAD for Guarantees Legal Documents: Indemnity Agreement between Govt. and IBRD/IDA Guarantee Agreement between Lenders and IBRD/IDA Project Agreement between Sponsor/s and IBRD/IDA Sponsor’s Role Early consultation with government & Bank ensures project priority Sponsor takes lead Project structuring Financial arrangements Provides data for Bank appraisal Sponsor selects arranging banks Bank reviews selection/structure for guaranteed amount Sponsor’s Role Early consultation with government & Bank ensures project priority Sponsor takes lead Project structuring Financial arrangements Provides data for Bank appraisal Sponsor selects arranging banks Bank reviews selection/structure for guaranteed amount IBRD or IDA PRG Government Request PID and IM (or PCN) Processing of Guarantees Management approval to make the PRG available in the bidding documents Concept Review Corporate Review (Operations Committee) Appraisal Start PAD and MOP Approval by RVP, ENV, LEG World Bank Board Approval Signing of Agreement and Effectiveness Negotiations with Government, Sponsors, and Guaranteed Lenders For further information contact: Suman Babbar, Sr.Adviser The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 (USA) Ph: +1 (202) 473-2029 Fax: +1 (202) 522-0761 Email: [email protected] or visit our web site: www.worldbank.org/guarantees
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