Polio eradication programme in India – Progress, Response and Issues for action Dr Ajay Khera Deputy Commissioner Ministry of Health & FW, Govt. of India Presentation Prepared for IEAG Meeting on 13th July, 2011 at New Delhi A Snapshot of Polio Situation in India 2000 P2 cases eradicated in 1999 1750 14 States and UTs free of polio Since 2001 1500 NIDs conducted since 1995 covering 170 million children per round 1250 Sharp decline in polio cases in 2010 1000 Single WPV 1 case reported in 2011 and longest polio free period 741 750 bOPV mOPV 1 500 250 42 1 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 P1 wild 2004 2005 2006 P3 wild 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Geographical distribution of Wild Polio cases during last two years 2009 2010 A single case of WPV1 detected in India in 2011 – in Howrah, West Bengal WPVs State WPVs P1 P3 Total Bihar 38 79 117 Uttar Pradesh** 34 569 602 Delhi 3 1 4 Punjab 2 2 4 Jharkhand 2 0 Rajasthan 1 Haryana Uttarakhand P1 P3 Total West Bengal 6 2 8 Maharashtra 5 0 5 Bihar 3 6 9 2 Jharkhand 3 5 8 2 3 Jammu & Kashmir 1 0 1 0 4 4 Uttar Pradesh 0 10 10 0 4 4 Haryana 0 1 1 Him achal Pradesh 0 1 1 Total 18 24 42 Total 80 662 741 ** One case reported mixture of P1 wild & P3 wild State WPV cases during previous 12 months, India Dec 2010 – June 2011* Jun 2010 – Nov 2010 Type 1 Polio N=11 N=2 West Bengal is the only state with wild virus transmission in past 6 months N=7 N=0 Type 3 Polio AFP surveillance and polio situation in 2011 Year AFP WPV Compatible VDPV 2009 50405 741 473 21 2010 55781 42 188 5 2011 24314 1 1* 4 No circulating VDPVs No genetic linkage amongst 2011 VDPVs No genetic linkage with VDPVs of 2009 & 2010 VDPVs Single P1 case in 2011 Howrah, West Bengal Onset of paralysis - 13 January Related to wild poliovirus detected in sewage sample of Delhi in August 2010 *Classification of cases pending State P1 P2 Total Chhattisgarh 1 1 Madhya Pradesh 1 1 Rajasthan 1 1 Uttar Pradesh 1 1 Total 4 4 Wild Polio Virus in environmental (sewage) samples 8 Mumbai Samples not collected between March 2006 and April 2007 due to fire in Mumbai Lab 6 4 2 0 8 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M WPV3 WPV1 Delhi F M A M Mumbai and Delhi sewage test results confirm that P1 and P3 circulation is at very low levels in 2010. No evidence of circulation in 2011 6 4 Collection of sewage samples started from April 2010 2 0 J F M A M J J A S O 2005 N D J F M A M J J A S 2006 O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D 2007 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J 2008 2009 2010 2011 Note: six samples reported mixture of P1 wild & P3 wild in Delhi WPV1 cases in endemic states, 2009-2011 12 Uttar Pradesh 10 Longest indigenous WPV1 transmission free period simultaneously in both endemic states 8 6 4 2 0 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J 12 Bihar 10 8 Cross-border transmission with Nepal 6 4 2 0 J F M A M J 2009 J A S O N D J F M A M J J 2010 A S O N D J F M A 2011* M J WPV3 cases in endemic states, 2009-2011* 120 Uttar Pradesh 100 80 60 40 20 0 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J M J 120 • Transmission limited to western UP & central Bihar • No WPV3 case in endemic states for 13 months 100 80 60 40 Bihar 20 0 J F M A M J 2009 J A S O N D J F M A M J J 2010 A S O N D J F M A 2011* Bihar, WPV1 spill over, 2010 Nepal Bihar Champaran East • Cross-border transmission with Nepal that resulted in 3 cases in a single block • All 3 cases within a span of 1 month • 3 mop-up rounds conducted within a period of 10 weeks • No case in this transmission area for 8 months Maharashtra, WPV1 transmission area, 2010 3 WPV1 mOPV1 2 bOPV mOPV3 1 tOPV 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Jan Feb 10 10 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1 Mar 10 Apr 10 May 10 Jun Jul 10 10 Aug 10 Sep Oct 10 10 Nov 10 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Dec Jan Feb 10 11 11 Mar 11 Apr May 11 11 Jun 11 • Transmission focused in a small geographical area in Malegaon and a single case in Beed • Multiple mop-up rounds • Last case in September 2010 • No case in this transmission area for last 8 months West Bengal & Jharkhand, Mix transmission area, 2010-11 WPV3 WPV1 3 Jharkhand mOPV1 2 West Bengal bOPV mOPV3 1 tOPV 0 Jan1 Feb1 Mar1 Apr1 May1 Jun1 Jul1 Aug1 Sep1 Oct1 Nov1 Dec1 Jan Feb 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 11 • • • • Mar 11 Apr 11 May 11 Only area with WPV1 & WPV3 transmission simultaneously Majority cases in Murshidabad (WB) & Pakur (JH), with the most recent case in Howrah (the only case of 2011) Transmission continued throughout 2010 in northern WB despite multiple SIAs The most recent case in Howrah related to a separate importation, most likely from Delhi Pulse Polio Response : SIAs conducted during 2011 2nd week Feb 23 Jan March April 27 Feb May June mOPV1 mOPV3 bOPV tOPV Quality of Response during 2011 regarding SIA Pulse Polio activities (Percent average children found unimmunized, End-of-round survey) % unimmunized 9% 8.40% 8% 7% 6.30% 6% 4.80% 5% 4% 3.40% 2.60% 3% 1.80% 2% 1% 0% 0.30% 3.50% 4.80% 6.40% Response : Revised communication strategy launched Focus on personalizing risk perception of polio, Addressing OPV safety issues during sickness and Promoting a more active attitude for RI and polio vaccination, particularly among migrants The New Logo From ‘Every Child’to ‘My Child’, Two Drops, Every Time. Polio Plus Handbook addressing OPV safety and convergent interventions New social mobilizer flipbook addressing OPV safety and convergent interventions “OPV is totally safe … do not pay attention to rumors.” Emergency Preparedness & Response Plan prepared & shared with State Govts EPRG formed in 23 States/UTs * (out of 35 States/UTs) Response to migrants: coverage of migratory communities in states with large migratory population during each SNID # children: 0.7 mn in each round # children: 0.5 mn in each round # children: 0.7 mn in each round # children: 1.1 mn in each round Actions Taken on Research & AFP Surveillance • Informing programme decisions – Seroprevalence surveys in UP and Bihar to start from 6-August – Mucosal immunity study scheduled to start from 5September • AFP and Laboratory Surveillance – Environmental sampling started in Patna – Surveillance reviews conducted in Central & Eastern UP, West Bengal & Gujarat Trends in Seroprevalence Against Poliovirus Results from Different Sero-surveys Moradabad Nov 2007 (N=121) AFP cases UP Nov 08 – mid 09 (169) Moradabad May 2009 (N=534) UP & Bihar Aug 2010 (N=1280) 6-7 mo 6-11 mo 6-7 mo 6-7 mo Type 1 78% 96.5% 99% 98% Type 2 56% 33.7% 75% 65% Type 3 69% 42.6% 49% 77% Age High immunity levels achieved both for P1 & P3 in 2010 through bOPV introduction Current Program Priorities 1. Intensified surveillance for poliovirus 2. Full and consistent coverage of migrant and mobile populations 3. Intensified program in 107 High-risk Blocks of UP and Bihar 4. Rapid and effective response to any wild poliovirus 5. Identify and cover areas and populations at high risk for importation and spread of poliovirus 6. Identify areas with low RI coverage and strengthen it Summary • Country at historic low transmission levels • Genetic & environmental surveillance confirms progress • Simultaneous progress in both endemic states • The coming high transmission season will be the test to know whether poliovirus transmission has stopped in India • Any case of Wild Polio considered as Pubic health emergency and needs quick & effective containment Thanks
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