European Urban Roadmaps to 2030 Dr Guy Hitchcock Knowledge Leader ETC, 28th September 2015 Project Overview Project launched by DG MOVE to: • Catalyse action on developing sustainable urban mobility across Europe • Ensure urban transport objectives of 2011 Transport White Paper can be realised • Facilitate practical action through development and dissemination of robust, easy-to-use tools and guidance Key features: • Free, on-line, policy support tool available at the end of 2015 • Five illustrative policy roadmaps • Stakeholder engagement key Duration: • 2014 – 2017 Project team • Ricardo Energy and Environment, TRT and ICLEI Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 2 Link to the SUMPS process Facilitates assessment and discussion of current issues Quantification supports development of priorities and targets Allows scoping and development of policy packages Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 3 Online policy support tool © Ricardo plc 2015 Key objectives of the online tool • To support small and medium sized cities who have less resources for modelling • Aims to be simple and easy to use with limited data input and no need for significant transport modelling experience • Provides quantified outputs for a range of transport, environmental and economic impacts • Online, easily accessible tool • Helps a range of city policy makers to explore and scope initial policy packages (roadmaps) to meet sustainability objectives • Facilitates discussion and engagement between key city departments with a common tool Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 8 Outline structure of the tool Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 9 Outline structure of the tool Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 10 The City Wizard Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 11 Outline structure of the tool Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 12 The policy toolbox Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 13 Adding policies in the tool Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 14 Outline structure of the tool Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 15 Tool outputs Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 16 Building a policy roadmap © Ricardo plc 2015 From policy measures to roadmaps 1. Analyse the current situation 2. Setting the vision (objectives) 3. Identify policy measures 4. Grouping of policy measures in consistent strategies 5. Specify the pathway and timelines to proceed towards scenarios’ goals 6. Assess the outcomes Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 18 Analysing the current situation Set baseline Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 19 Exploring policies Assess outcomes Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 20 Promote and regulate roadmap - overview Roadmap Promote and Regulate: a scenario based on changing behaviour by means of push and pull incentives. Light interventions aimed at promoting the use of existing and new alternatives to private transport and to regulate the use of cars and goods vehicles in the city Objective The municipal authorities intend to pursue the objective of halving the use of conventional vehicles travelling in the city by 2030. Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 21 Promote and Regulate roadmap - policies Supporting Primary 2015 2020 2025 2030 Traffic calming measures Traffic calming measures Traffic calming measures Access regulations and road and parking space reallocation Bike sharing scheme Bike sharing scheme Parking regulation and pricing Car sharing (Car Clubs) Legal and regulatory framework of urban freight transport Delivery and servicing plans Delivery and servicing plans Sustainable travel information and promotion Sustainable travel information and promotion Sustainable travel information and promotion Public Transport integrated ticketing and tariffs schemes Public Transport integrated ticketing and tariffs schemes Prioritising public transport Prioritising public transport Prioritising public transport Walking and cycling networks and facilities Walking and cycling networks and facilities Walking and cycling networks and facilities Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 22 Promote and Regulate roadmap – example impacts Domain Base year (2015) Indicator Transport Abs. Value Vkm travelled by conventional cars (gasoline/diesel) (Mio vkm/year) 776.7 Reference % Diff. to base year 4.8% 0.0% Bike Motorbike 42.3% Car mode share Vkm travelled by conventional cars Average distance per trip (km) 28.3% 19.1% Car 23.9% 2015 Abs. Value 42.3% % Diff. to base year 1.8% Reference % Diff. to 2020 2015 Motorbike Motorbike 28.1% 28.3% CarCar BusBus 2.579 42.3% 42.7% % Diff. to base year Tram Tram 3.7% 1.6% Metro Metro 1.8% 3.7% % Diff. to Reference Environment and safety Bike Bike 172,381 Motorbike Motorbike 19.1% % Diff. to base year 19.0% 2020 2030 28.1% 27.7% Car Car Bus Bus % Diff. to Reference Abs. Value PM emissions (t/year) sharing CarCar sharing 0.5% Pedestrian Pedestrian 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 0.0% Abs. Value CO2 emissions (t/year) 43.6% 42.7% % Diff. to base year Tram Tram 1.2% 22.1 1.6% Metro Metro 3.7% 3.7% Carsharing sharing Car 0.0% -12.9% 43.6% 37.5% 23.8% 26.4% 3.2 3.2 0.3% 0.2% 4.8% 0.0% Policy 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 35.2 -0.1% 1.7% 33.8 0.0% -2.2% Pedestrian -6.1% 28.3 % -4.0% 20.4 0.0%% 2.560 2.724 -0.6% 37.9 5.7% % 2.6% 0.1% 6.5% 4.0% 0.0% 1.7% 5.0% 0.0% 1.8% 31.4% 29.4% 5.1% 145,781 138,082 20.4 -15.4% 21.3% % -0.1% 10.0 -54.8% 0.5% % Diff. to Reference Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence -37.6% Bike Bike Abs. Value Penetration of alternatively fuelled car vehicles Car sharing Pedestrian Pedestrian 36.0 % Diff. to base year 19.1% 19.1% Reference 3.2 Tram Mode split Metro 3.7% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Abs. Value 4.8% 0.0% Value of travelled time per individual (1000 Euro/year) Policy -28.3% Bus % Diff. to Reference Average car speed in peak hours (km/h) Roadmap + Ref trend in 2030 484.8 Pedestrian 0.0% % Diff. to Reference PT mode share Reference trend in 2030 556.9 5.1% 28.3 27.8% -19.9% % -5.4% 37.9 37.5% % 2.9% 2.6% 9.3 3.7% -57.8% 4.0% 0.0% -6.1% 1.8% © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 23 Key project dates • Testing tool with case study cities September, 2015 • Finalising tool with results from testing October – December, 2015 • Launch of tool with launch events from Jan 2016 • Stakeholder event to support dissemination March 2016 • Live tool available and support through to end of 2017 • Final conference September 2017 www.urban-transport-roadmaps.eu Coming soon! Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 24 Thank-you for your attention Visit us on the TRIP stand (stand 111) Ricardo Energy & Environment in Confidence © Ricardo-AEA Ltd 25 Guy Hitchcock Knowledge Leader Ricardo Energy and Environment [email protected]
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