PUBLICATIONS Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences RESEARCH ARTICLE 10.1002/2015JG003193 Key Points: • We show systematic spatial variability 13 in the δ C of soil CO2 and soil CO2 flux in complex terrain • At the landscape level, we found 13 different seasonal trends in the δ C of soil CO2 and soil CO2 flux • The spatial variability of soil moisture 13 is a strong predictor of the δ C of soil CO2 flux at the landscape scale Supporting Information: • Supporting Information S1 Correspondence to: D. A. Riveros-Iregui, [email protected] Citation: Liang, L. L., D. A. Riveros-Iregui, and D. A. Risk (2016), Spatial and seasonal variabilities of the stable carbon isotope composition of soil CO2 concentration and flux in complex terrain, J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci., 121, 2328–2339, doi:10.1002/2015JG003193. Received 23 AUG 2015 Accepted 21 AUG 2016 Accepted article online 25 AUG 2016 Published online 14 SEP 2016 Spatial and seasonal variabilities of the stable carbon isotope composition of soil CO2 concentration and flux in complex terrain Liyin L. Liang1,2, Diego A. Riveros-Iregui3, and David A. Risk4 1 School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, Nebraska, USA, 2School of Science and Environmental Research Institute, University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand, 3Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA, 4Department of Earth Sciences, St. Francis Xavier University, Antagonish, Nova Scotia, Canada Abstract Biogeochemical processes driving the spatial variability of soil CO2 production and flux are well studied, but little is known about the variability in the spatial distribution of the stable carbon isotopes that make up soil CO2, particularly in complex terrain. Spatial differences in stable isotopes of soil CO2 could indicate fundamental differences in isotopic fractionation at the landscape level and may be useful to inform modeling of carbon cycling over large areas. We measured the spatial and seasonal variabilities of the δ13C of soil CO2 (δS) and the δ13C of soil CO2 flux (δP) in a subalpine forest ecosystem located in the Rocky Mountains of Montana. We found consistently more isotopically depleted values of δS and δP in low and wet areas of the landscape relative to steep and dry areas. Our results suggest that the spatial patterns of δS and δP are strongly mediated by soil water and soil respiration rate. More interestingly, our analysis revealed different temporal trends in δP across the landscape; in high landscape positions δP became more positive, whereas in low landscape positions δP became more negative with time. These trends might be the result of differential dynamics in the seasonality of soil moisture and its effects on soil CO2 production and flux. Our results suggest concomitant yet independent effects of water on physical (soil gas diffusivity) and biological (photosynthetic discrimination) processes that mediate δS and δP and are important when evaluating the δ13C of CO2 exchanged between soils and the atmosphere in complex terrain. 1. Introduction In complex terrain, the morphology of the landscape can influence the spatial distribution of resources such as surface available energy [Korkalainen and Laurén, 2006], soil moisture [Emanuel et al., 2010], soil temperature [Lundquist et al., 2008; Liang et al., 2014], or soil carbon and nitrogen [Webster et al., 2008]. Spatial variability in biophysical resources has been found to lead to spatially organized heterogeneity in fluxes of soil CO2 in mountainous, forested ecosystems [Riveros-Iregui and McGlynn, 2009]. Investigating the way in which topography mediates the transformation of soil carbon is required for improved understanding of the physical and biological processes responsible for carbon exchange between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2012; Adams et al., 2014]. The ratio of the stable isotopes of carbon (13C/12C) is commonly used to examine carbon transformation along the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum [Bowling et al., 2009; Hu et al., 2010; Riveros-Iregui et al., 2011b]. While recent studies have identified strong feedback between topography and soil CO2 concentration and flux [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2007, 2012], little is known about the effects that topography can pose to the spatial and temporal variabilities of the stable carbon isotopes (δ13C) that make up that soil CO2, particularly in complex terrain. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. LIANG ET AL. Much of our understanding of environmental controls on δ13C of terrestrial ecosystems is derived from the seminal work of Farquhar and colleagues more than three decades ago [Farquhar et al., 1982], which elucidated fundamental relations that control the exchange of CO2 at the scale of single leaves. Discrimination against 13 CO2 can occur along the photosynthetic pathway when CO2 enters the plant through the stomata, and variables such as air temperature, soil moisture, vapor pressure deficit, or photosynthetic photon flux density influence the degree of isotopic discrimination [Farquhar et al., 1982, 1989]. At the ecosystem level, a large fraction of the ecosystem-respired CO2 may come from recently produced carbohydrates [e.g., Flanagan et al., 1996; Högberg et al., 2001; Knohl et al., 2005], and thus, the estimated δ13C value of these carbohydrates is usually extrapolated across multiple spatial scales [e.g., Lloyd and Farquhar, 1994]. General ecosystem C VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2328 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 models typically include empirical relationships between environmental variables, the δ13C of recent carbohydrates, and the δ13C of ecosystem-respired CO2. However, these models generally do not account for the spatial heterogeneity in C fluxes derived from spatially distributed soil moisture and soil temperature [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2011a; Liang et al., 2014] or for the landscape variability in ecosystem type, stage of development, or disturbance [Gifford, 2003]. Studies that examine stable isotopes in forest ecosystems typically focus on the vertical variability of the δ13C of different forest compartments, including soil CO2 [e.g., Ehleringer et al., 2000; Fessenden and Ehleringer, 2003], leaves at various heights in the canopy [Vogel, 1978; Schleser and Jayasekera, 1985; Medina et al., 1991], or CO2 in canopy air [Buchmann et al., 1996; Schaeffer et al., 2008a; Bowling et al., 2009; Riveros-Iregui et al., 2011b]. However, little attention has been given to the spatial variability of the δ13C of forest carbon across heterogeneous landscapes (although see Tucker et al. [2014] for comparisons between the δ13C of soil respiration of a forest patch and a meadow patch during winter). Previous studies have recognized that the assumption of spatially homogeneous composition of δ13C of forest carbon is often violated [Pataki et al., 2003]; however, this assumption has not been rigorously tested in heterogeneous landscapes. Here we address the need to understand the spatial variability in the δ13C of forest carbon at spatial scales that are greater than individual forest patches (e.g., at scales from 1000 m2 to 10 km2). We examined the spatial variability of the δ13C of bulk soil CO2 (δS) and the δ13C of soil CO2 flux estimated by using two different methods: a two end-member mixing relationship known as the Keeling plot (δP) [Keeling, 1958, 1961] and a CO2 gas diffusion method (δJ) [Davidson, 1995; Bowling et al., 2009]. We collected these measurements by using 34 soil respiration plots distributed across a 3.9 km2 forested watershed of the Rocky Mountains of Montana. We hypothesized that the morphology of the landscape can mediate the spatial patterns of the isotopic composition (δ13C) of soil CO2 and flux in the same way that it mediates the magnitude of soil CO2 concentrations and flux [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2012]. We further hypothesized that soil moisture plays an important role in the spatial and temporal variabilities of the δ13C of soil CO2 and flux at the landscape scale. The information presented here is necessary to enhance our understanding of soil carbon transformation over large areas and should contribute to our continuous refinement of the mechanistic understanding of ecosystem processes and models. 2. Methods 2.1. Site Description This study was conducted in the Tenderfoot Creek Experimental Forest (TCEF) located in the Little Belt Mountains of central Montana, USA. The elevation of TCEF ranges from 1840 to 2421 m. Mean annual precipitation is 880 mm with 70% falling as snow, and peak snowpack accumulations occur between late March and mid-April [Farnes et al., 1995]. Mean annual temperature is 0°C, and the growing season typically extends from early or mid-June to the end of August. The two dominant landscapes at this site are upland forests and riparian meadows, both of which are vegetated by C3 plants only. This forest is a characteristic of other subalpine forests of the northern Rocky Mountains and exhibits a broad set of microtopographic features, including slope, aspect, convergent, and divergent areas, all of which mediate the variability of the soil environment. Upland forests are mostly covered by Pinus contorta (lodgepole pine) in the overstory and Vaccinium scoparium (Whortleberry) in the understory, whereas riparian meadows are covered by Calamagrostis canadensis (blue joint reed grass) [Mincemoyer and Birdsall, 2006]. Thirty-four (34) soil CO2 sampling plots across a 3.9 km2 watershed were used in this study (Figure 1); these were part of 62 plots installed between 2004 and 2005 (see Pacific et al. [2008] and Riveros-Iregui and McGlynn [2009] for details). The spatial location of the soil CO2 plots was intended to capture the complete range of the relative soil wetness potential of the forest (i.e., the full range from wet to dry locations). A quantitative assessment of the microtopography of this site in relation to soil CO2 plot location was conducted by Riveros-Iregui and McGlynn [2009], concluding that the location of all soil CO2 sampling plots was a characteristic of the topographic heterogeneity (i.e., the full spectrum of soil moisture microenvironments) of the landscape. Twenty-four (24) of those soil plots were located in forested uplands, whereas 10 soil plots were located in riparian areas. At each soil plot, three PVC gas wells of similar volume were installed at 5 cm, 20 cm, and 50 cm, respectively. The gas wells were made of 15 cm sections of 5.25 cm (inside diameter) PVC inserted into a hole augered to LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2329 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Figure 1. Spatial distribution of the sample locations (34 sites) across the Tenderfoot Creek Experimental Forest, located in Central Montana. Sampling locations included 10 riparian meadow sites (circles) and 24 upland forest sites (triangles). Color shading represents elevation (m). 10.1002/2015JG003193 17, 20, or 50 cm, as described by Pacific et al. [2008]. In all cases, the top of the PVC was capped with a rubber stopper (size 11) through which passed two sections of PVC tubing (4.8 mm inside diameter Nalgene 180 clear PVC, Nalge Nunc International, Rochester, N.Y., USA) that extended above the ground surface. In the case of the deeper wells, the PVC was left open at the bottom (20 and 50 cm, respectively). In the case of the shallowest wells, the bottom of the PVC was capped with a rubber stopper (size 11) and the PVC was drilled into from its sides, leaving openings at a 5 cm depth to facilitate gas equilibrium between the gas well and the soil. Above the ground surface, the tubing was joined with connectors to prevent gas leaks between measurements. A total of 123 gas wells were used in this study. 2.2. Data Collection Measurements were taken at each of the 34 plots about twice a week over the period between 7 July and 8 August 2012 (23 sampling days in total). At each plot, we collected three measurements of volumetric water content (VWC) by using a portable meter (Hydrosense, Campbell Scientific, Logan, UT, USA) that was inserted through the top 12 cm of soil. VWC measurements are reported as percent values (m3 m3 × 100). At the same time, we measured VWC; we collected three measurements of soil temperature by using a 12 cm soil thermometer (Reotemp Instruments, San Diego CA) for each site, integrating from 0 to 12 cm depth. Soil gas samples were collected from the gas wells at three depths (5 cm, 20 cm, and 50 cm) at each of the 34 plots. Soil gas samples were taken on different days, usually 3–4 days apart, allowing enough time for the soil gas atmosphere to equilibrate. On each sampling day, 120 ml of soil gas were extracted from each gas well with a syringe over a period of 2 min. An infrared gas analyzer (GM-70, Vaisala, Woburn, MA) was connected in line with the sampling setup to circulate the air in the gas well and ensure that no major changes in CO2 concentration occurred inside the gas well and Nalgene tubing while sampling (such changes in CO2 concentrations could be indicative of leaks in the sampling setup). The samples were immediately transferred into a 180 ml air sample Tedlar bag (SKC Inc., Eighty Four, PA, USA). Within 4 h of collection, Tedlar bags were connected to a Cavity Ring-Down Spectroscopy (CRDS) analyzer (model 2101-i Picarro Inc., Sunnyvale, California) to measure the δ13C composition of soil gas samples in the Tedlar bag. According to manufacturer specifications, the CRDS analyzer offers a precision of δ13C that is better than 0.3‰. Our routine checks using two standard tanks yielded a repeatability of the instrument better than 0.2‰. However, owing to the reported drift in δ13C values of the CRDS analyzer over longer periods [Vogel et al., 2012], we performed a quality check that consisted of running one standard sample at the beginning of each day and one standard sample every ~90 min between soil gas samples. We also ran one standard sample after all soil gas samples were analyzed on each day. The measured precision of the standard gas is 0.2‰ from 31 repeated measurements. We used all measurements of standard gas to calculate the daily drift of the CRDS analyzer and used this information to correct the δ13C measurements of soil gas on a daily basis. 2.3. Isotopic Mixing Relationships Under steady state conditions, the δ13C of soil CO2 flux is equivalent to the δ13C of soil CO2 production [Cerling, 1984]. We used two different methods, both commonly used, to estimate this value. The first method was the Keeling plot method [Keeling, 1958, 1961] whose product is hereafter called δP, whereas the second LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2330 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 method is a diffusion-based relationship [Davidson, 1995; Bowling et al., 2009] whose product is hereafter called δJ. The Keeling plot method is based on the relationship between the isotopic signature of soil CO2 and atmospheric CO2 as expressed in δS ¼ C a ðδa δR Þ 1 þ δR ; CS (1) where C and δ represent the CO2 concentration ([CO2], ppm) and its stable carbon isotopic composition (δ13C [‰]), respectively. The subscripts S, a, and R represent values for the soil, background air, and the apparent respiratory source, respectively. In our experimental setup, a Keeling plot consisted of a regression Figure 2. Estimation of the stable carbon isotopic composition of soil between the observed carbon isotopic respiration via the Keeling plot approach, noted as δP [Keeling, 1958, composition of soil CO2 at three depths 1961]. The open circles represent the CO2 concentrations (ppm) and stable (i.e., δS for 5, 20, and 50 cm) and above 13 carbon isotopic composition (δ C, ‰) of soil CO2 collected at 5, 20, and air (δa), and the inverse CO2 concentra50 cm depths. The closed circle represents the CO2 concentration (Ca) and tions for the same four points (CS for 5, isotopic composition (δa) of background ambient air. Using these four points, we derived the apparent isotopic signature of soil respiratory source 20, and 50 cm and Ca). The above-air (δR; closed square). δP (closed triangle) was obtained by subtracting 4.4‰ values for Ca and δa were collected at a from δR. single location near the headwaters of the watershed at an elevation of 70 cm above the soil surface and throughout the study period. The means of all measured Ca and δa were 384 ± 7.6 ppm and 11.1 ± 1.2‰, respectively. In particular, the seemingly more negative values of δa are due to the proximity of these measurements to the soil, as it is well established that this value varies with height within the canopy (Bowling et al., 2009). We used time-specific measurements of Ca and δa from each day to calculate each Keeling plot. We did not collect location-specific Ca or δa, and thus, we assumed that both values were homogenous across the study site. Previous studies have demonstrated that the variability of Ca or δa is negligible compared to the much larger variability of these quantities in the soil [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2008; Bowling et al., 2015; Mauer et al., 2016]. We then calculated the intercept of the regression (δR) as shown in Figure 2. We employed the ordinary least squares regression and quantified the uncertainty by using the standard error of the intercept, according to Zobitz et al. [2006]. Any regression with a standard error of the intercept above 1‰ was discarded (i.e., 59 out of 285 records), ensuring that only the most robust regressions were used in further analysis [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2011b]. The δP was calculated by subtracting 4.4‰ (diffusive depletion constant) from the estimated δR [Bowling et al., 2009]. Being a depth-averaged technique (where the atmosphere is the uppermost level), the δP solution is not overly sensitive to errors at any particular location. Keeling plots are known to show curvature under non-steady-state conditions [Nickerson and Risk, 2009; Bowling et al., 2015]. Nickerson and Risk [2009] used numerical simulations combined with measurements of the δ13C of soil CO2 flux to show that Keeling plots are nonlinear when diffusivities are high. Their work also demonstrates that nonsteady state conditions must be very low (or nonexistent) to allow for the development of linear Keeling plots. In our case, each Keeling plot showed an R2 greater than 0.95, suggesting that our measurements were sampled at or near steady state and that the theoretical diffusive depletion constant (4.4‰) between 12C and 13C could be applied to estimate δP. The second method is a diffusion-based relationship derived by Davidson [1995] that uses δS measured at a single depth and δa to estimate δJ. Bowling et al. [2009] further proposed a solution for the Davidson [1995] model as follows: δJ ¼ LIANG ET AL. C S ðδS 4:4Þ C a ðδa 4:4Þ ; 1:0044ðC S C a Þ VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 (2) 2331 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 where the CS/Ca are the soil/air CO2 concentrations, respectively. In principle, equation (2) is useful because δJ can be obtained for any soil depth. Note that this model allows for the calculation of δJ independently of the diffusivity coefficient and all related parameters (including air porosity, tortuosity, temperature, and pressure) as they are the same for 12CO2 and 13CO2 at each point (see original derivation by Davidson [1995]). We looked for systematic differences between the δP and δJ techniques by comparing both values as calculated from equations (1) and (2) and using our field measurements. We further evaluated this comparison by simulating the concentrations of 12CO2 and 13CO2 in an ideal soil profile, following the idealized diffusive steady state model described in detail by Cerling [1984], ϕi z2 C iS ¼ i Lz (3) þ C ia 2 DS where i denotes the 12CO2 or 13CO2, ϕ is the soil respiration rate, Ds is CO2 diffusivity in soil, L is the impermeable boundary at which CO2 production rate is assumed to be zero, z is the measured depth, and Ca is the ambient air CO2 concentration. The concentrations of 12CO2 and 13CO2 can be further used to calculate the depth profile of δS (see supporting information). Based on the simulated δS, we tested the sensitivity of δP and δJ to the change of CO2, δS, or both by introducing artificial variability in both terms; that is, we allowed soil CO2 and δS to fluctuate within reasonable boundaries (5% for soil CO2, 0.3‰ for δS) and assessed the impact that this fluctuation—independently or combined—had on the estimated δP and δJ. In our case, the δ13C of CO2 production was set at 27‰, the diffusivity of CO2 was 3 × 105 m2 s1, L = 1 m, and soil temperature and soil moisture were assumed constant. Atmospheric pressure was set at 1 standard atmosphere (1 atm) at 25°C, and the δ13C of atmospheric CO2 (8.3‰) and its concentration (394 ppm) were based on Mauna Loa's records for 2012 (http://scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/). See supporting material for additional information. 2.4. Data Analysis We performed a three-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) for the measured δS to quantify differences in this variable across soil depths (5, 20, and 50 cm), landscape locations (riparian meadows and upland forests), and time (sampling date, 21 days). Prior to conducting the ANOVA, we tested the normality of the data by using the Shapiro-Wilk test [Shapiro and Wilk, 1965; Royston, 1982] and examined the homogeneity of variances by using the Bartlett's test [Bartlett, 1937]. The Tukey's honestly significant difference (HSD) test was used to process post-hoc ANOVA comparisons. We also tested the effects of landscape location and sampling date on the calculated δP by using two-way ANOVA and incorporated the soil moisture and soil respiration rate as the covariates to conduct ANCOVA analysis. We further examined the relationship between the calculated δP and environmental variables such as soil temperature (Ta), soil volumetric water content (VWC), and soil respiration rate via linear and multiple linear regressions. We applied a bootstrap analysis to the multiple linear regression among the estimated δP, the measured VWC, and the measured soil respiration rate. Bootstrap is a random resampling with replacement method that allows for the quantification of uncertainty (including measures of bias, standard error, and confidence intervals) of sample estimates [Efron, 1979]. The 10,000-iteration bootstrap analysis and resulting confidence surfaces were intended to provide information regarding the interaction of the two measured variables (VWC and soil respiration rate) and the prediction error in the estimated δP, across their full range of variability in VWC and soil respiration. All statistical analyses and data processing were performed by using MATLAB R2011b (The MathWorks Inc., Natick, MA, USA) and R Studio (Version 0.99.903, R Studio Inc., Boston, MA). 3. Results 3.1. Measurements and Spatial Variability of δS Across all 34 plots, the δ13C of soil CO2 (δS) varied from 29.7 to 10.0‰, with consistently less negative values near the surface in both riparian meadows and upland forests (Figure 3a). The δS was significantly different among depths (ANOVA, p < 0.0001), landscape locations (riparian meadows and upland forests, p < 0.0001), sampling date (p < 0.0001), and the interaction between landscape locations and depths (p = 0.0002). No significant effects were found between sampling date and depth (p = 0.46), sampling date and landscape locations (p = 0.32), or all three (p = 0.45). Upon closer look, the HSD test indicated that δS was systematically more negative in riparian sites than upland forests (Figure 3a) with average differences LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2332 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 Figure 3. (a) Measured isotopic composition of soil CO2 (δS) at all riparian meadows and upland forest sites at 5, 20, and 50 cm. The dashed gray lines are the theoretical δS profiles according to an idealized diffusive steady state model [Cerling, 1984, 1991] under different soil respiration rates, as indicated. (b) Variability of δS from different depth in relation to changing soil volumetric water content (VWC). Probability distributions of measured δS at 5 cm (c), 20 cm (d), and 50 cm (e) at different VWC. The dashed lines represent the mean δS for each probability distribution (18.3, 21.1, and 21.6‰, respectively). of 2.4‰ (95% confidence interval (CI): (1.9 2.8‰)), and more negative in deeper layers than shallow soils (Figures 3a and 3b) with average difference of 2.8‰ between 5 and 20 cm (CI: (2.4 3.3‰)) and 0.5‰ between 20 and 50 cm (CI: (0.1 1.0‰)). Furthermore, our analysis showed that landscape positions with consistently higher VWC also exhibited systematically more negative δS than those landscape positions with low VWC (Figures 3a and 3b) and that this trend was consistent at all three depths (Figures 3c–3e), leading to a prominent spatial organization of δS along the range of observed soil moisture. 3.2. Estimates of δP and δJ When comparing estimates of the δ13C of soil CO2 flux derived from the Keeling plot method (δP) and diffusionbased relationship (δJ), we found significant differences between the two at 5 cm (p < 0.0001) but not at 20 cm (p = 0.98) or 50 cm (p = 0.96) (Figure 4). These results were further confirmed by the idealized diffusive steady state model (equation (3)). An analysis of the sensitivity of δP and δJ to the variability in CS and δS at different depths showed that estimates of δJ are much more sensitive to small variability in CS and δS in shallow horizons than in deeper soil horizons, whereas estimates of δP showed similar sensitivity to changes in CS and δS across all depths (see Figure S1 in the supporting information). Thus, based on the comparison of the measured δP and δJ with depth (Figure 4) and the sensitivity of each to idealized diffusive steady state conditions, we chose to use LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2333 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 the δP values derived from the Keeling plot approach in all further analysis given their greater confidence, particularly for the surface layers. The estimated δP ranged from 32.4 to 23.8‰ for all 34 soil plots. Similar to the spatial variability exhibited by δS, estimates of δP were significantly more negative in riparian meadows (30.7 ± 0.5‰) than upland forests (28.1 ± 0.1‰) (Figure 5a), with an average difference of 1.7‰ (CI: (1.3 2.2‰)) across all sites. Two-way ANOVA results showed that landscape position (p < 0.0001), sampling date (p < 0.0001), and their interaction (p = 0.017) had significant effects on δP, indicating a strong spatial and temporal Figure 4. Comparison of the isotopic composition of soil CO2 flux esti- variability of δP. Furthermore, incorporating the VWC and respiration rate with landmated by the Keeling plot approach (δP) and the diffusion approach (δJ) across different depths. The error bars represent the standard error scape position and time, the ANCOVA of the intercept of all Keeling plots. These results show higher agreeresults showed that both VWC ment by both techniques at deeper soil horizons (20 and 50 cm) than at (p < 0.0001) and respiration rate (RS) shallow horizons (5 cm). (p = 0.039) have significant effects on δP, although the effect of the interaction between landscape position and sampling date on δP was not significant (p = 0.11). Furthermore, we found no significant effects from the interaction between RS and VWC on δP (p = 0.47). No statistical relation was found between δP and soil temperature (Figure 5c). At the landscape scale the spatial variability of δP appeared to be systematically mediated by VWC and soil respiration rate (RS) (Figures 5b, 5d, and 5e). A multiple linear regression among δP, VWC, and RS showed that VWC (p < 0.0001) and RS (p = 0.016) had significant effects on δP, with more negative δP at higher VWC and RS (R2 = 0.335, p < 0.0001) (Figure 5b). Furthermore, a 10,000-iteration bootstrap analysis of this multiple linear regression revealed much lower uncertainty at low RS and low VWC and greater uncertainty at high RS and high VWC (Figure 5b). While VWC and RS were correlated (R2 = 0.25, p < 0.01), these predictors did not exhibit multicollinearity on the multiple linear regression (variable inflation factor = 1.503) and their interaction did not have a significant effect on δP (p = 0.0832). 3.3. Spatial and Temporal Variabilities of δP To further illustrate the spatial and temporal variabilities of δP at the landscape level, we combined the emergent multiple linear regression model (Figure 5b) with results from a recently developed ecohydrological model developed for this same site, which includes VWC and RS modules [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2011a]. This analysis sought to examine the potential variability of δP under highly variable soil water content and soil respiration rates, characteristic for this site. Our results revealed strong spatial variability of δP across the landscape, which closely followed differences in VWC imposed by the topography and drainage patterns (Figure 6). More importantly, these effects are noticeable across the growing season (i.e., seasonal changes from June to August) although the magnitude of the differences between high and low areas of the landscape seems to change across the season. 4. Discussion It has been established that topography and landscape morphology can play an essential role in mediating soil and ecosystem carbon transformation at the landscape scale [Riveros-Iregui and McGlynn, 2009; Emanuel et al., 2011; Riveros-Iregui et al., 2012; Adams et al., 2014] as a result of the spatial distribution of biophysical variables such as soil water, soil temperature, and soil nutrients. Our working hypothesis was that the morphology of the landscape, and in particular soil moisture, can mediate the spatial patterns of the isotopic LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2334 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 Figure 5. (a) A comparison of Keeling plot between the aggregated δP at riparian meadows and upland forest sites. (b) A multiple linear regression between δP and soil water content (VWC), and soil respiration rate (RS), including an estimated confidence surface interval proposed by Liu and Lin [2009] and derived from a 10,000-iteration bootstrap. Correlations between (c) δP and soil temperature, (d) VWC, and (e) RS revealed that VWC and RS are stronger predictors of the variability in δP than soil temperature. The error bars represent the standard error of the intercept of all Keeling plots. Figure 6. Modeled spatial and seasonal variabilities of δP across the entire watershed based on the relationship between δP and soil moisture (VWC) and soil respiration (RS), shown in Figure 5b. The likely range and spatial patterns of δP assessed for three different time periods: (a) June 28, (b) August 8, and (c) August 23. LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2335 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 composition (δ13C) of soil CO2 and flux in the same way that it mediates the magnitude of soil CO2 concentrations and efflux. We found clear spatial and temporal patterns in δS and δP across the entire watershed during the growing season, which appeared to be mediated by VWC, soil respiration rate, and their interactions. Furthermore, our empirical model suggests that there are confounding effects from physical and biological controls on the δ13C composition of soil CO2 flux in complex terrain. 4.1. Physical Effects on δS and δP Plot-level comparisons between δS measured various depths (5 cm versus 20 cm or 20 cm versus 50 cm) (Figure 3b) and VWC, revealed that the δS was systematically less negative in the shallow soil relative to the deeper soil (Figure 3a). Previous studies have reported similar depth-dependence of δS [Cerling, 1984; Cerling et al., 1991; Davidson, 1995] under steady state conditions, which is likely caused by (1) faster molecular diffusion at shallow depths and enhanced gas exchange between soil CO2 and the overlying atmospheric CO2 and (2) reduced soil gas diffusivity at deeper depths [Suwa et al., 2004]. Our findings further suggest that in complex terrain, the depth-dependence of δS is also strongly influenced by soil moisture (Figure 3). Regression analysis of the relationship between environmental factors, i.e., soil temperature and soil moisture, and δP, showed that δP is strongly related to VWC. Thus, accurate representation of δS and δP at the landscape level should include information regarding the spatial variability of soil moisture and its differential effects on the rate of soil respiration. However, we found no soil temperature effects on δP in our study (Figure 5a). This might be because of a hypothesized strong autotrophic contribution to soil respiration during the growing season at this site, according to previous studies [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2007, 2011a]. The autotrophic component of soil respiration is more sensitive to photosynthesis and soil moisture rather than soil temperature, which could result in the lack of relationship between δP and soil temperature found in this study. Similarly, wind-induced variability could potentially affect soil CO2 diffusion and the δS value of shallow soil, as it has been observed for CO2 profiles in snow [Bowling and Massman, 2011]. Under windy conditions, the diffusivity ratio between 13CO2 and 12CO2 deviates from the 4.4‰ diffusion constant [Bowling and Massman, 2011], since wind can cause a pressure gradient between the soil and the atmosphere and induce a small but persistent airflow within the soil [Bowling and Massman, 2011]. Advective effects could be strong in riparian areas due to low canopy cover and associated wind. However, previous studies have shown that wind advection does not significantly affect the diffusivity ratio of CO2 for buried gas wells [Kayler et al., 2010; Moyes et al., 2010], as those deployed in our study. While we did not collect wind speed in riparian areas that would allow us to further evaluate this effect, our data quality control, namely, the standard error of the intercept of each Keeling plot lower than 1‰ and the R2 of each soil Keeling plot greater than 0.95 (section 2.3), suggest that in our study steady state conditions were met during data collection and the wind-induced effect is negligible. Nonetheless, the confounding effects of covarying factors can be problematic and remain to be resolved experimentally to further our mechanistic understanding and uncertainty estimation [e.g., Ogle and Pendall, 2015]. 4.2. Plant Physiological Effects on δS and δP Several studies have investigated the variability in the δ13C composition of ecosystem respiration or soil CO2 flux as a response to variable soil water content, either at the stand level or across broad geographic climate gradients [Ekblad and Högberg, 2001; Bowling et al., 2002; Pataki et al., 2003; Ekblad et al., 2005; Knohl et al., 2005; Lai et al., 2005; Alstad et al., 2007; Schaeffer et al., 2008b] in ways that are consistent with our understanding of carbon isotopic exchange between the leaf and the atmosphere [Farquhar et al., 1989]. These studies hypothesized that the variability in the δ13C of respired CO2 (from soil or canopy) is partially dependent on leaf-level photosynthetic discrimination and derived respiration by plants and root symbionts. Our results confirmed the relationships reported by those studies: δP increases (less negative) with decreasing soil moisture (Figures 5b and 5d). Our results also suggest that the effects of soil moisture on photosynthetic processes and resulting soil CO2 are evident across gradients of soil moisture (Figures 3b–3e) in heterogeneous landscapes. Thus, in complex terrain, the spatial variability of δS and δP may be described, at least partially, as a function of landscape position. This spatial variability is likely indicative of plant physiological responses along topographic gradients and the interdependent autotrophic and heterotrophic contributions to total forest respired 13CO2 across wet and dry portions of the landscape. Recent studies at another subalpine forest in Colorado have shown that fine-scale spatial variability in topography can have significant species-specific LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2336 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 effects on tree growth patterns as well as water-limiting conditions, mediating the physiological response of trees to moisture in variable landscape positions [Adams et al., 2014]. Nonetheless, further examination into the physiological mechanisms driving this spatial variability across topographic gradients is required. 4.3. Model Implementation and Isotopic Mixing Relationship Considerations The potential for seasonal variability in δP at the landscape scale was observed after coupling the emergent multiple linear regression model (Figure 5b) with an ecohydrological model, previously developed for this site [Riveros-Iregui et al., 2011a]. Although the multiple linear regression model only explains 33% of the variation in δP, our results suggest systematic spatial and temporal differences in δP, mainly mediated by changes in soil water content throughout the growing season (Figure 6). To the best of our knowledge our study is the first to show the extent of this isotopic variability. By examining the seasonal dynamics of modeled δP on a 5 m grid cell from June 28 to August 23, we can see that a substantial portion of the landscape exhibits a decrease in δP across the landscape. At the landscape level, the modeled δP started out more uniform but it became more spatially complex, as ridges dried out and riparian areas stayed productive. This trend is likely because in riparian areas plants achieve optimal photosynthetic conditions in response to higher summer temperatures, whereas toward the ridges plants respond to lower soil moisture conditions. Further studies are needed to fully examine the linkage between plant photosynthesis and δP in complex terrain. An important outcome of this study is that appropriate methodologies need to be used for interpreting isotopic differences with confidence. In shallow soils, the δJ estimate is quite sensitive to possible errors in isotopic signature or concentration, and this would be expected as a direct consequence of the steep concentration and isotopic gradients at the surface-atmosphere interface that are being interpreted when solving for δJ. Though the Keeling approach has been criticized for its lack of accommodation for nonsteady-state diffusion processes [Nickerson and Risk, 2009], it should be noted that δJ and δP are both steady state solutions requiring the assumption of equilibrium. From this study, however, the Keeling approach represented a more certain technique for interpreting near-surface differences because concentration-isotopic data across the depth profile will buffer against slope (and intercept) change resulting from error at any one depth (Figure 4). The δJ is advantageous in that it requires measurements at only one soil depth combined with atmospheric background air, meaning that it also may be useful to estimate different signatures of production or as a diagnostic depth-specific tool to evaluate changes in the signature of production or the degree of non-steady-state activity through depth. However, we suggest that δJ estimates should be interpreted with caution near the surface-atmosphere interface. The inherent sensitivity to error does not systematically bias δJ estimates or make them wrong, but simply more prone to mislead, especially where errors in isotopic measurements or concentration could exist. Because we found that the results of the δP and δJ approaches were quite similar at 20 and especially at 50 cm depth, we abandoned the use of the δJ for interpreting patterns in the shallow profile for extrapolation across the landscape. This gives us more confidence that the observed landscape patterns are real and not an artifact of methodology. It is also important to note that the Davidson [1995] model assumes a homogeneous, uniformly diffusive soil column whereas the Keeling approach is depth-averaged. Combining both methods could serve as a proxy for near-surface advection effects and aid in the characterization of the environmental conditions under which measurements were taken. When estimates of δJ do not exhibit isotopic depletion near the soil surface, it signals that the soil transport regime is indeed diffusive. Future modeling studies should further investigate observed differences between δJ and δP near the surface and the impact on landscape estimates of isotopic exchange, particularly in areas with variable soil moisture. 5. Conclusions Our results suggest that the spatiotemporal variability of δS and δP is influenced by soil water content and soil respiration in complex terrain, and as such its spatiotemporal variability is the combined result of the seasonal change in CO2 production (including autotrophic and heterotrophic sources) and transport (including moisture-driven effects on soil gas diffusivity). Areas with low soil respiration rates had less negative δP, which is consistent with our understanding of the physical effects of diffusive mixing of soil gas with overlain atmospheric CO2 [Cerling, 1984]. These conclusions should cause some caution LIANG ET AL. VARIABILITY OF THE δ13C IN SOIL CO2 2337 Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1002/2015JG003193 to studies directed to estimate the dynamics of δS or δP at the landscape level, especially in areas of variable soil moisture. Furthermore, our results suggest that the parameterization of soil moisture variability in space and time is needed to accurately predict and model the δ13C of soil CO2 flux in heterogeneous landscapes and areas of pronounced topography. Acknowledgments The soil CO2 isotope data and computer code used in this manuscript are available for collaborative use in the supporting information. Please contact the corresponding author, Diego RiverosIregui ([email protected]), prior to use. This work was supported by the USDA award 2012-67019-19360 and the NSFNebraska EPSCoR First Award Program to D. R.-I. D. R.-I. acknowledges support from a Visiting Faculty Fellowship at National Center for Atmospheric Research while writing this manuscript. 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