Intra-Regional Transmission Service Agreement Limit Hurdle Rate Proposal Market Subcommittee Conference Call June 25, 2014 Overview • Purpose – Discuss MISO’s proposal on dispatch flows over 1,000 MW Transmission Service Agreement Limit Between MISO South and MISO North and Central including: • • • • Status of Cost Allocation Filing Overall Proposal Initial Hurdle Rate Rate Adjustment Mechanism • Key Takeaways – MISO recommends moving forward with this approach and plans to file changes on June 30, 2014 2 Regulatory Update • On June 16, 2014 FERC issued an order in Docket ER14-1736-000 accepting and suspending proposed tariff revisions and establishing hearing and settlement procedures for MISO’s April 17, 2014 proposal to recover costs invoiced to MISO under the tariff of another transmission provider. • MISO had proposed the Transmission Surcharge be allocated on a pro rata basis to Market Participants’ loads based on their Market Load Ratio Share. • Given the settlement procedures put in place from that filing, MISO is not proposing any modification to its cost allocation in this filing, although future modifications will be evaluated based on the outcome of the Settlement proceedings established in ER14-1736000, as well as, the outcome of the proceedings in Docket Nos. ER12-678-002, ER12-678-003, ER13-984-001, ER12-1266-005 and ER13-2124-001. 3 Proposal Overview • • Establish a hurdle rate of $9.57/MW in the Day Ahead and Real-Time commitment and dispatch in order to assess congestion charges to Market Transactions associated with the Intra-Regional transfers above the 1,000 MW which are subject to Transmission Service Charges under a FERC accepted SPP Transmission Service Agreement. – This hurdle rate will be implemented as a separate Sub-Regional Power Balance Constraint (SRPBC) Demand curve with a limit of 1,000 MW, in parallel with a SRPBC modeled to manage the ORCA limit, currently 2,000 MW – The hurdle rate will be adjusted on a going forward basis to minimize surpluses and shortfalls in congestion collection Return excess congestion funds created by hurdle rate to loads and FTR Holders via existing Market Settlement mechanisms – Congestion funds created in Day Ahead will be returned to FTR holders through the typical settlement processes (hourly, monthly, yearly), with excess Yearly congestion returned to Firm Transmission Customers on a pro rata basis under existing tariff provisions – Congestion funds generated in Real Time will be returned to loads and exports through Revenue Neutrality Uplift (RNU) 4 Proposal Addresses MISO’s Stated Objectives Hurdle Rate Demand Curve achieves MISO’s stated objectives 1. Minimizes economic inefficiencies and potential reliability impacts a) Avoids out-of-merit dispatch to maintain the 1,000 MW SPP Transmission Service Agreement Limit once production cost savings exceed the Hurdle Rate, while maintaining the ability to manage to ORCA limits 2. Provides appropriate matching of costs and beneficiaries a) SRPB Constraint reflects redispatch costs in LMPs appropriately 3. Minimizes time to achieve result a) Able to implement on or before July 1, 2014 with next day effective filing at FERC 5 Funds Flow Overview Proposal Annual FTR Auction Revenues Individual Day Ahead Transactions SRPBC Congestion Charges Day Ahead Excess Congestion Funds and Monthly Auction Revenues All FTR Holders (pro rata) Annual Excess Congestion Funds S MW * [MCC_CPNode) Individual Real Time Transactions All Load and Exports (ARR Holders) Real-time Excess Congestion Funds All Load and Exports (pro rata) ER14-1736-000 SPP Transmission Invoices All Load and Exports (pro rata) 6 Proposal Overview • This proposal does not modify the cost allocation of Transmission Service Invoices from SPP, which will be paid when and if appropriate, and recovered through Revenue Neutrality Uplift as accepted and suspended by the Commission on June 16, 2014, subject to refund. – FTR holders (largely held by load) and load will receive the excess congestion funds that would otherwise not be due to them absent the congestion associated with the new hurdle rate – Loads roughly equivalent to the FTR holders and other loads receiving the excess congestion funds will pay the Revenue Neutrality Uplift Charge associated with the invoices • • However, the proposed changes to the demand curve and constraint limits are not necessarily contingent on which cost allocation methodology is ultimately accepted by FERC. To the extent the RNU cost allocation mechanism is not ultimately adopted, two alternate methods could be to: – Allocate the bill based on FTR Ratio Share: Allocate Transmission Costs based on FTR Administration Volumes pro rata – Use some combination of the two methods 7 Funds Flow Overview Alternate FTR Annual FTR Auction Revenues Individual Day Ahead Transactions SRPBC Congestion Charges Day Ahead Excess Congestion Funds and Monthly Auction Revenues All FTR Holders (pro rata) Annual Excess Congestion Funds S MW * [MCC_CPNode)] Individual Real Time Transactions All Load and Exports (ARR Holders) Real-time Excess Congestion Funds All Load and Exports (pro rata) ER14-1736-000 SPP Transmission Invoices All FTR Holders (pro rata) 8 Simplified Funds Flow Overview Day ahead and Real time Transactions generate excess revenues approximating the cost of the SPP bill • Requires addition of hurdle rate to Sub Regional Power Balance Demand Curve Loads receive (through FTRs and directly) the excess revenues collected from the Day ahead and Real Time Transactions MISO pays SPP transmission service bill and then recovers those costs from Loads holding excess revenues • Currently through Revenue Neutrality Uplift, but subject to modification through settlement and hearing 9 Reserving Day Ahead Excess Congestion Funds to Pay the Bill is Significantly More Complex and Not Necessarily More Precise • Complex Settlement rules associated with FTRs, including monthly and annual true ups, full funding guarantees and auction revenue • Require additional rules to handle shortfalls, underfunding, and rebates of surplus funds • Requires creating a special congestion right, held by MISO to account for funds, however, only addresses Day Ahead Congestion • Similar to GFA Carveout, as shown on next page 10 Funds Flow Overview - GFA Carve Out Annual FTR Auction Revenues Individual Day Ahead Transactions SRPBC Congestion Charges Day Ahead Excess Congestion Funds and Monthly Auction Revenues All FTR Holders (pro rata) Real-time Excess Congestion Funds ER14-1736-000 SPP Transmission Invoices All Load and Exports (pro rata) REBATES AND UPLIFT Annual Excess Congestion Funds S MW * [MCC_CPNode) Individual Real Time Transactions All Load and Exports (ARR Holders) MISO holds FTRs to fund SPP Invoices Excess/Shortfall 11 Funds Flow Overview Annual FTR Auction Revenues Individual Day Ahead Transactions SRPBC Congestion Charges Day Ahead Excess Congestion Funds and Monthly Auction Revenues All FTR Holders (pro rata) Annual Excess Congestion Funds S MW * [MCC_CPNode) Individual Real Time Transactions All Load and Exports (ARR Holders) Real-time Excess Congestion Funds All Load and Exports (pro rata) ER14-1736-000 FERC Settlement SPP Transmission Invoices All Load and Exports (pro rata) All FTR Holders (pro rata) Combination of Load, Exports, 12 FTR Holders Illustration of Proposal Sub-Region Transfer Hurdle Rate $9.57 Dispatch Flow Congestion FTR Excess Funds Payments Congestion $ 3,254 $ $ 9,570 $ 6,316 8,613 $ 8,613 2,000 MW Dispatch Flow 650 MW Histoical Rights 1,900 MW Orca Limit Contract Path Hurdle Rate Approach 1,000 MW Contract Path Current Approach Existing FTRs Surplus/(Shortfall) SPP Rate $12.50 SPP Charges ~$0 $ 12,500 $ (633) 13 Illustration of Proposal – True Up Sub-Region Transfer Hurdle Rate $9.57 Congestion $10.05 Funds $ $ Dispatch Flow FTR Excess Payments Congestion $ 3,254 9,570 $ 6,316 8,613 $ 8,613 2,000 MW Dispatch Flow 650 MW Histoical Rights 1,900 MW Orca Limit Contract Path Hurdle Rate Approach 1,000 MW Contract Path Current Approach Existing FTRs Surplus/(Shortfall) SPP Rate $12.50 SPP Charges ~$0 $ 12,500 $ (633) 14 Proposal: Addition of Transmission Service Agreement Constraint and associated Hurdle Rate Demand Curve • Define two SRPB Constraints in each Sub Regional Flow Direction: South to MW, and MW to South 1. Transmission Service Agreement Limit Constraint – Limit: 1,000 MW – Demand Curve: Single Price generates congestion revenue sufficient to fund SPP Transmission Charges 2. ORCA Constraint – Limit: Set per terms of ORCA. • Phase I limit of 2,000 MW or less. – Demand Curve: Contract Path Demand Curve Exceedance Percentage Price > 100% $9.57 ORCA Demand Curve Exceedance Percentage Price ≥ 100% and < 110% $40.00 ≥ 110% and < 130% $90.00 ≥ 130% $500.00 • Multi-Step from $40/MW increasing to $500/MW • Effect of two constraints will be cumulative 15 Proposal: Calculation of Hurdle Rate • Analysis of January through March SPP Invoices and operational results yielded an initial Hurdle rate of $9.57/MW from the following process: – Convert SPP bill rates into a MW/HR capacity bill rate – Calculate Total Dispatch Flow MWh / Billable MW capacity factor – Calculate derived hurdle rate – MW/HR capacity bill rate/capacity factor Period JanuaryMarch A SPP Cap Rate (Calc. $/MWHR) $ 6.457 B C Billable MW (From SPP Bill) Billable MWHR (B * 24) 129,548 3,109,152 D E Total Dispatch Cap Factor (%) Flow (MWh) (D / C) 2,098,190 67.48% F Hurdle Rate ($/MWh) (A / E) $ 9.5675 16 Proposal: Ongoing Recalculation of Hurdle Rates • As illustrated above, congestion revenues generated from the hurdle rate are expected to produce surpluses or shortfalls, given the differing basis for the SPP Transmission Service Charges and congestion collections. • Included in the proposal is an on-going True Up of the derived hurdle rate based on actual surpluses or shortfalls of congestion revenues relative to Transmission Service charges. • On a monthly basis, Transmission Service invoice amounts will be compared with computed net congestion collections associated with the Hurdle Rate for the Transmission Service Agreement and the derived hurdle rate will be updated for future periods. • This process will help ensure that Market Dispatch is not over or under constrained, maximizing the benefits attained to all participants. 17 Proposal: Demand Curves Contract Path Demand Curve Exceedance Percentage Price > 100% $9.57 ORCA Demand Curve Exceedance Percentage Price ≥ 100% and < 110% $40.00 ≥ 110% and < 130% $90.00 ≥ 130% $500.00 18 Proposal: Demand Curves Potential Benefits ($) 19 Matching of Costs and Beneficiaries • • • Hurdle rate congestion approach establishes a self-funding mechanism for SPP Transmission Charges Load in importing region pays increased LMP which are deposited in DA and RT ECF RNU is a reasonable basis to recover the cost of transmission charges because: – Loads with firm transmission service qualifies them for Auction Revenue Rights (ARRs) Entitlements, which lead to allocations of ARRs including Long Term Transmission Rights (LTTRs) – Loads with ARRs, receive the FTR Auction value of the transmission system on a point to point or pro-rata basis – Loads hold a majority of FTRs • Self scheduled FTRs representing 80 percent the auction value of the all allocated point to point rights • FTR Holders purchased their FTRs from Load Serving Entities, ARR Holders directly or indirectly via an FTR Auction – Annual Congestion Surpluses are returned to Firm Transmission Customers at the end of the year, not FTR Holders 20 Frequently Asked Questions • Why not reserve the day ahead and real time congestion funds and pay the bill directly out of that pool? – FTR and Day ahead processes do not exactly align with the dispatch flow method; – Reconciling those differences and extracting funds would require complex changes to FTR, DART and Settlements systems. – Similar to the administration of Carved-Out GFA Rebates, this approach still results in surplus revenues that need to be rebated and shortfalls that need to be uplifted. • Why not use a zero hurdle rate? – It is appropriate to constrain the dispatch until the production cost savings exceed the potential cost of transferring energy (potential transmission service cost). 21 Required Tariff Changes • This approach builds on the Sub Regional Power Balance Constraint mechanism that was recently accepted by FERC. • Changes are required to Schedule 28B - SubRegional Power Balance Constraint Demand Curve, to describe the new Hurdle Rate curve, the initial price, and the process for updating the price to true up for under of over collections. 22 Implementation Timeline • June 25, 2014 - Special MSC Call • June 30, 2014 - File changes to Sub Regional Power Balance Constraint Demand Curve with next day effectiveness • July 1, 2014 – Implement changes to the Sub Regional Power Balance Constraint and Demand Curve 23 Next Steps • Continue settlement discussions with Southwest Power Pool on contract path sharing and transmission service dispute • Settlement Conference at FERC on Cost Allocation filing, Docket ER14-1736-000 • Develop BPM changes and process changes as appropriate 24
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