Landscape Ecology 17 (Suppl. 1): 69–81, 2002. © 2002 Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed in the Netherlands. 69 A decision support system for restoration planning of stream valley ecosystems N.M. Pieterse1,∗ , A.W.M. Verkroost1 , M. Wassen1 , H. Olde Venterink1,2 and C. Kwakernaak3 1 Department of Environmental Science, Utrecht University, The Netherlands; 2 Present address: IHE, Wetland Ecosystems, PO Box 3015, 2601 DA Delft, The Netherlands; 3 Department of Water and the Environment, Alterra Green World Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands; ∗ Author for correspondence (Present address: Grontmij Group, Department of Watermanagement and Hydrology. PO Box 203, 3730 AE De Bilt , The Netherlands; e-mail: [email protected]) Key words: Decision support systems, Ecological economics, Ecological models, Landscape planning, Restoration Abstract Despite efforts that have been put into conservation, there is a continuing loss of species and ecosystems in Western Europe. There is a growing awareness that restoration is an essential step to stop this tide. Unfortunately, there is lack of understanding about the multitude of functions and the complexity of spatial interactions in a landscape. The focus of this paper is to demonstrate that an Integrated Decision Support System (IDSS) is indispensable to offer insight in this complexity and to design efficient restoration programmes. The IDSS is applied in a lowland catchment on the border between The Netherlands and Belgium and leads to the following recommendations: (1) The site conditions on the location where restoration is planned must be close to the range that is required for the target ecosystem. (2) The manager has to decide for the most attainable targetecosystem, and accept the inevitable loss of other ecosystems as a result from this choice. (3) Restoration planning involves that the optimal measure for each catchment, subcatchment or region is assessed, being ecological, urban or agricultural. (4) For each ecosystem an optimal set of measures must be selected. An analysis of the restoration efficiency (ecological gain divided by economic costs) is crucial for this selection. Introduction Wetland ecosystems in Western Europe have been lost or are threatened in spite of efforts for conservation, international agreements and national policies (McCollin et al. 2000; Rich and Woodruff 1996; Stanners and Bourdeau 1995). While up to the 1950s lowland valleys contributed to wetland biodiversity with clean meandering streams and marshy woodlands, nowadays, large-scale reallotment, intensified agriculture, urbanization and stream works have left a small part of these ecosystems (Pedroli 1989; Stanners and Bourdeau 1995). The remaining ecosystems are continuously threatened by anthropogenic influences such as the drop of water levels and chemical changes of groundwater and surface water (Dodds et al. 1998; Runhaar et al. 1996, 1997). During the last ten years policy and nature protection organizations have be- come aware that restoration of wetlands is an essential step to stop this tide. When the decision is made to restore a wetland, a debate starts about the efficiency of restoration measures: what are the abiotic and ecological effects? How do we optimally use our money and space? Answering these questions is not easy in present day multi-land use catchments. Measures meant to realize restoration targets interfere with existing economic functions; they may not always yield the expected ecological gain, or might even cause deterioration of existing ecosystems. To make restoration projects successful, information is needed about the trade-off between ecological gain of measures and the optimal use of limited money and limited space. Unfortunately, there is a lack of understanding about the multitude of functions and the complexity of 70 Figure 1. Location and shape of the catchment of the river Dommel. spatial interactions in a landscape. Turner et al. (2000) argue that integrated wetland research combining social and natural sciences might be helpful to solve the information problem. The aim of this paper is to investigate if an Integrated Decision Support System (IDSS) can be helpful to fill the information gap. The value of the IDSS approach and its opportunities for spatial planning are discussed. An IDSS is built and demonstrated for the river Dommel on the border between the Netherlands and Belgium. Four different types of restoration measures and two groups of target ecosystems were selected: wet woodland ecosystems and aquatic ecosystems. Models to calculate the environmental site conditions for these ecosystems were integrated in a Geographical Information System (GIS). The IDSS spatially quantifies the change of environmental site conditions, the gain or loss for ecosystems and the economic costs. Study area The river Dommel is a tributary of the river Meuse (Figure 1), draining an intensively agricultural and heavily populated area (approx. 600,000 people) of 1,350 km2 . Groundwater hydrology is dominated by infiltration in upland sandy areas and seepage in valleys. The mean annual rainfall is 740 mm a−1 , and the reference evapotranspiration is 560 mm a−1 . The average annual runoff is 190 mm a−1 , of which 70% can be ascribed to groundwater seepage (Pieterse et al. 1998a). Geo referenced land use data (Figure 2a) were derived from satellite images in the Dutch part of 71 Figure 2. (A) Anthropogenic influences in the catchment of the river Dommel. Black cells represent urban areas (18% of the catchment), grey cells represent agricultural areas (50% of the catchment), white cells represent natural or forested areas (32%). (B) Black cells represent the river network, composed from a digital terrain model and river topology. (C) Black cells represent the riparian zones, defined as the zone around the river banks with peat sediments or wet sandy soils. Cell sizes are 500 m. the watershed (Thunnissen et al. 1992), and from the national inventory of the vegetation of Belgium (De Blust et al. 1985). Agriculture occupies 49% of the catchment, 26% of the catchment is forested and 18% is urbanized. Heather, semi-natural grassland, ponds and the drainage network occupy the remaining 7%. Cells defined as streams are shown in Figure 2b, cells defined as riparian area are shown in Figure 2c. Only 808 ha of natural riparian woodlands are left in the area (Anonymous 1990; De Blust et al. 1985) which is 2% of the total of 31,950 ha riparian zones in the catchment. For the occurrence of aquatic communities only a biotic index of stream communities was available (Bervoets and Schneiders 1990). This index showed that 5 out of 37 sampling stations are well developed, 15 are slightly disturbed and 17 are heavily disturbed. Figure 3. General layout of the integrated decision support system. Methods A GIS based decision support system Most elements of the IDSS (Figure 3) were constructed in a GIS. The GIS provided the tools to manage data; create hydrological-, hydrochemicaland ecological models; create the structure for the logical sequence of modelling steps and visualize the data. The GIS database contained raster-based input maps with cell sizes ranging from 50 × 50 to 500 × 500 m. Choice of ecosystems The first step in the IDSS was to select the appropriate ecosystems to be modelled. The selection was based on historical references (Pedroli and Borger 1990) and biodiversity in the catchment. A subset of these 72 Figure 4. Schematic diagram of the integration of abiotic models in a GIS. Rounded boxes are results of input maps, fat outlined squares are coupled models, open arrows indicate a sequence of operations in the GIS, closed arrows indicate a result or dependence. Table 1. Environmental site conditions and class borders for ecosystems in lowland stream valleys. Model Environmental site conditions Class borders Riparian woodlands (ALNION) Average groundwater level below surface. Wet: Drained: Aquatic ecosystems (ECOSTREAM) Saprobic state Intermittence Flow velocity Clean: Intermediate: Polluted: Permanent: Intermittent: Stagnant: Running: ≤0.25 m (peat soils) or ≤0.30 m (mineral soils) >0.25 m (peat soils) or >0.30 m (mineral soils) 0–0.2 mg l−1 0.2–0.5 mg l−1 >0.5 mg l−1 ≤42 days year−1 dry a >42 days year−1 dry ≤0.1 m sec−1 >0.1 m sec−1 a A stream is considered to be dry when discharge is less than 1 l sec−1 . All class borders were derived from Olde Venterink et al. (1998a,b). Saprobic state is defined as Dissolved Organic Nitrogen (DON). ecosystems is chosen, namely riparian woodlands that depend on wet or moist conditions and aquatic ecosystems that depend on clean, fast running and permanent flowing conditions. The project that delivered the data for this paper also included wet and moist grassland ecosystems and included the terrestrial site condition acidity for grasslands and woodlands. The choices were according to policy goals and they were supported by local nature protection organizations. Ecological models Over the last decades, several ecological response models have been developed to assess the effects of changing environmental site conditions on ecosystems (e.g., Fitz et al. 1996; Latour and Reiling 1993; Olde Venterink and Wassen 1997; Witte et al. 1993). Ecological models generate an output that is a ‘potential ecological change’. This means that an ecosystem will change upon changed site conditions given that other site conditions, e.g., management or seed dispersal do not prevent this. Because there are many 73 The occurrence of wet and drained woodlands was assessed with the decision tree model ALNION (Olde Venterink et al. 1998a), based on average groundwater levels (c.f. Table 1). The occurrence of aquatic ecosystems was assessed with the decision tree model ECOSTREAM (Olde Venterink et al. 1998b), based on intermittence of streams, flow velocity and saprobic state of the stream water (c.f. Table 1). Abiotic models Figure 5. Spatial distribution of each of the four measures. (A) Measure 1: stopping groundwater extraction wells, represented by dots or circles. (B) Measure 2: locations where infiltration in urban areas is enhanced (black cells). (C) measure 3: locations where natural stream properties are restored (black cells). (D) Measure 4: locations with reduction of organic compounds from diffuse sources. Grey cells is a reduction of 50%, black cells a reduction of 100%. White cells are not affected by the measures. site conditions that might limit or affect occurrence of ecosystems, a selection of adequate site conditions was required. The criteria for the selection of site conditions were: (1) site conditions should have a major influence on biota of the target ecosystem; (2) it should be possible to adequately simulate site conditions on a landscape scale; (3) restoration measures should be influential for the state of the site conditions. The selected site conditions are listed in Table 1. The models to simulate site conditions were integrated in a GIS (c.f. Figure 4). The site condition intermittence was simulated with the model STREAMFLOW (Pieterse et al. 1998a). The core of STREAMFLOW is a dynamic water balance, carried out for every cell in the catchment for every ten days during a sevenyear period. Dynamic stream discharge includes the components fast runoff, base flow and effluent from households and industries. The water balance model incorporates climatic influences, the influence of vegetation type on the soil moisture content and dynamic groundwater levels. Average groundwater levels were simulated with the finite element groundwater flow model MODFLOW (Harbaugh 1990). The geology in the Dommel catchment was schematised in cells of 500 × 500 m over 9 model layers (Pieterse et al. 1998b). Average groundwater levels were derived by subtracting groundwater simulations from a detailed digital terrain model with a cell size of 100 × 100 m. Because both hydrological models are mutually dependent (STREAMFLOW provides recharge rates to MODFLOW and MODFLOW provides annual seepage rates to STREAMFLOW), iteration steps were applied. The iteration criterion was an identical average base flow within a 5% range. Flow velocity was estimated with the Manning formula, being a function of water depth, stream width, slope, and roughness of the streambed (c.f. Pieterse et al. 1998a). Basic assumptions were that the hydraulic slope and stream width remain constant over time and that one value for the roughness parameter could be used for the whole catchment. Saprobic state of the stream water was represented by Dissolved Organic Nitrogen (DON). Basic properties are (Pieterse et al. (1998a): (1) Spatial assessment of the sources (loads), being individual households, industries and wastewater plants. (2) Estimation of nitrification of DON during transport in the river network, as a function of the residence time in a cell and a 74 Figure 6. Summary of the simulated impact of four measures on the Dommel catchment. Values in the figure are derived from maps. The four graphs A–D indicate the four site conditions in Table 1. The numbers 1 to 4 on the X-axis refer to the four measures (see also Table 2 and Table 3). Change of site conditions is represented by a high-low bar at the bottom of each of the four graphs, showing the highest- and lowest change in the catchment. Ecological change is represented by filled bars at the top of each graph and shows gain (positive values) or loss (negative values) of the corresponding ecosystem. Unit is km2 (woodlands) or km (aquatic ecosystems). 75 Table 2. Selected measures in the Dommel catchment. Code Measure Cell type Action 1 Reduction of ground water extractions – 2 Enhance infiltration in urban areas Urban 3 Restore natural stream properties Designated for naturea and nature 4 Stop effluent from individual households, not connected to wastewater plants Designated for naturea and nature Termination of water extractions for industry with a total pumping capacity of 15 million m3 a−1 . Reduction of water extractions for drinking water with 20%, in total of 10 million m3 a−1 . Separating rainwater from sewerage in already existing urban areas. The number of sewers is decreased with 15%. 1. Removal of weirs (increase of the hydraulic head). 2. Re-meandering: length of stream increased with 50%. 3. Depth of riverbed was set to 0.4 m below the riverbank. 100% purification of effluent by local treatment plants. Rural areas 50% purification of effluent by local treatment plants. a Areas that are ‘designated for nature’ are areas with a present-day economic function, but will be used to restore natural conditions in the future. Table 3. Economic costs of various measures. Unit is US$. i.e. = one inhabitant equivalent. Values are derived from Kwakernaak et al. (1998). Code Measure Specification Costs per unit Amount of units 1 Reduction of ground water extractions for: Enhance infiltration in urban areas Restore natural stream properties Stop effluent from individual households, not connected to wastewater plants Industry Drinking water – 1.5 US$ m−3 yr−1 3.0 US$ m−3 yr−1 9,700,000 US$ km−2 12,100,000 m3 11,600,000 m3 190 km2 Development in the stream Acquisition of land Urban 59,400 US$ km−1 2,376,000 US$ km−2 568 km2 59 km2 0 i.e. Designated for naturea nature Other 1188 US$ i.e.−1 80656 i.e. 2 3 4 20609 i.e. a Areas that are ‘designated for nature’ are areas with a present-day economic function, but will be used to restore natural conditions in the future. decay constant. Residence time was derived from flow velocity calculations. (3) Concentration is load divided by discharge. Policy analysis and restoration measures A policy analysis was carried out to investigate what kind of measures were feasible to apply and on which location these measures could be realized (Kwakernaak et al. 1998). The selection of measures was based on the merits that they are generally accepted to lead to nature restoration and at the same time are acceptable to policy actors and landowners in the area. From the ten selected measures in the Dommel project, only four are discussed in this paper (Table 2). The spatial distribution of each measure is shown in Figure 5 (A–D). The four measures were: (1) Stopping of groundwater extraction wells, the first measure to consider in most restoration projects. (2) Enhance infiltration in urban areas. This measure should provide both a quality enhancement in the stream and cause higher groundwater levels due to enhanced groundwater recharge. (3) Restore natural stream properties. The idea behind this measure was to go back in time, and rewind human interferences as much as possible. Most Dutch streams have been straightened, which caused 76 should be compared with each dollar spent. The IDSS provides all the information to calculate restoration efficiency (Equation 1). To optimise restoration planning, restoration-efficiency can best be calculated for every measure per ecosystem. Restoration − Efficiency = Ecological gain − Ecological loss . (1) Economic cost Economic costs is in US$ and ecological gain and -loss in km2 (woodlands) or km (aquatic ecosystems). Results Figure 7. Economic costs per measure. Measure codes ‘1’ to ‘4’ on the x-axis refer to the measures in Table 2. Measure 1 is expressed as US$ a−1 ; for all other measures money is spent once, unit is US$. erosion and subsequently lowering of the riverbed. Moreover, weirs in the stream channel influence fish migration and stream velocity (Pedroli 1989; Verdonschot 1990). (4) Stop effluent from households. This measure is directed on the site-condition saprobic state. The aim of this measure was to reduce point loads and diffuse loads. In this paper only the effect of reduction of loads from individual households was analysed. Abiotic and ecological change The actual situation of various environmental site conditions (c.f. Table 1) was simulated as a reference for the effect of restoration measures. Abiotic change is presented as the difference in simulation results. Ecological change is presented as an increase (gain) or decrease (loss) of the number of cells where potential occurrence of an ecosystem was predicted, relative to the predicted actual situation. Economic costs The assessment of economic costs (Kwakernaak et al. 1998) was based on an analysis of acquisition costs, management costs and opportunity costs, where the latter are economic losses that occur when a measure interferes with existing economic functions (van Ierland and de Man 1996). Table 3 lists these economic costs per measure per unit. Only the costs that surpassed existing policy were taken into account. Because space and money is limited, ecological gain Dynamic stream discharge, including intermittence, was calibrated at the outflow point of the catchment (Nash-Suthcliffe R 2 = 0.78) and 9 other locations within the catchment (Nash-Suthcliffe R 2 of −0.60; 0.33; 0.47; 0.60; 0.68; 0.72; 0.78; 0.80 and 0.80, respectively). The spatially distributed capability of the year-average discharge yielded an R 2 of 0.82. Correlation between simulated and observed average groundwater levels yielded an average discrepancy of +0.12 m with a standard deviation of 0.69 m (n = 139). Simulated DON concentrations matched adequately with field data (R 2 = 0.6, n = 31). Stream velocity could not be calibrated because there were no field data available. Validation of simulated actual occurrence of ecosystems was only qualitative because the number and size of natural ecosystems in the Dommel catchment was insufficient. A rough validation for woodlands reveals that the dry conditions in the catchment were adequeately reconstructed: 4% of the riparian zones could be classified as wet woodlands whereas field observations (anonymous 1990; De Blust et al. 1985) show that 2% of the riparian zones are wet woodlands (Olde Venterink et al. 1998a). According to observations of aquatic ecosystems (Bervoets and Schneiders 1990), simulations adequately separated the clean channels from polluted channels (Olde Venterink et al. 1998b). The model exercises (Figure 6A–D and Figure 7) show differences in ecological gain, abiotic change and economic costs. The amplitudes of abiotic change for each of the measures vary per measure and per site condition. If it were the aim to enhance groundwater levels (Figure 6A), the most effective measure is to stop groundwater extraction wells (measure 1). The least effective measure is reduction of diffuse effluent (measure 4), which did not yield any effect (c.f. de Wit 77 Figure 8. Restoration efficiency of each of the measures. (A) For wet woodlands. (B) For aquatic ecosystems depending on clean stream water. (C) For aquatic ecosystems depending on permanent running water. (D) For aquatic ecosystems depending on high flow velocities. 1999). If it were the aim to enhance water quality (Figure 6B), the best measure would be to reduce diffuse effluent. The least effective measure is restoration of natural stream conditions (measure 3) that even caused deterioration. If it were the aim to reduce the intermittence of streams it would be best to apply infiltration in urban areas. Restoration of natural stream conditions caused deterioration. If it were the aim to restore fast flowing streams (Figure 6D) only restoration of natural stream conditions (measure 3) produced an effect, which was positive in some channels and negative in other channels. By translating the absolute abiotic change into ecological gain some ecosystems do not respond in accordance (Figure 6A–D). The most apparent are wet woodlands, benefiting by rising groundwater levels that were best restored with measure 3 ‘restoring natural stream properties’. All other measures did not, or only slightly, contribute to ecological gain. Some measures show a positive effect on the restoration chances in some channels and at the same time a negative effect in other channels. This is clearly demonstrated with measure 3 ‘restoration of natural stream properties’ in Figure 6B–D. 78 Figure 9. Spatial distribution of the predicted gain of wetland ecosystems. (A) The effect the measure 3 ‘restore natural stream properties’. Black cells are cells where recovery of wet woodlands is predicted. Grey cells indicate loss or did not change. (B) The effect of measure 4 ‘stop diffuse effluent’. Black cells are cells where recovery of clean aquatic ecosystems is predicted. Grey cells indicate loss or no change. Economic assessment of each of the four measures shows that, when applied on the catchment scale as in Figure 5A–D, the second measure (enhance infiltration in urban areas) is by far the most expensive with 1,700 million US Dollar. The cheapest measure, with 15 million US dollar, is reduction of diffuse effluent. Restoration-efficiency refers to the ecosystem profit that is expected for every dollar spent (Figure 8). According to this figure, restoration of wet woodlands (Figure 8A) can be achieved for the lowest price by restoring natural stream properties. Restoration of clean aquatic ecosystems (Figure 8B) can best be achieved by reducing point sources of effluent. Permanent aquatic ecosystems (Figure 8C) only cost money, except from a small gain that can be achieved by infiltrating water in urban areas. Efficient restoration of fast running aquatic ecosystems (Figure 8D) can only be achieved by restoring the natural stream properties. Discussion and conclusions It is important for policy makers and managers of nature reserves to make the right decisions for nature reserves under their custody. However, decisions about possible measures are not easy if we take into consideration the large uncertainty in assessing ecological gain and that money is limited. We show that integration of abiotic models, ecological models and economic cost assessment is crucial to solve the information problem as observed by Turner et al. (2000) in their search to quantify the trade off between ecology and economy of wetlands. Unfortunately, we cannot simply add up the ecological gain and loss that is calculated for each measure and then select the best for restoration planning. There are several reasons for this. Firstly, simply adding up gain or loss would be double counting the area of aquatic ecosystems. For instance, a simple measure like removing a weir in a channel improves flow velocity and enhances intermittence at the same time. This doesn’t mean that there is gain for one ecosystem that is responding on flow velocity and loss for another ecosystem that is responding on intermittence. Instead, the changes of both site conditions affect only one ecosystem in the channel. Secondly, adding up different habitats (e.g., aquatic ecosystems and terrestrial ecosystems) would be like comparing apples and oranges. Thirdly, researchers working with an IDSS should not aim to put everything in one single number, but should instead aim to present objective data and allow managers to make the best decision on restoration of those ecosystems that fit best in the landscape or are considered to be historically correct. This study must be seen as a tentative study for the quantification of the opportunities and constraints in spatial planning. We expect that models will have an error due to the model concept (Connolly et al. 1997; van Horssen et al., 1999), due to propagation of errors (Heuvelink et al. 1989) and due to scale problems (Burrough 1995; Clemen 1998; Fitz et al. 1996). And the error of some of the elements of the IDSS cannot be quantified at all (e.g., the economic assessment). However, De Wit (1999, 2000) demonstrated that interdisciplinary analyses on a landscape scale with complex underlying processes can be performed. Three obvious conclusions can be drawn. Firstly, the results show that for some measures increase of ecological values is not proportional to abiotic change. This can be explained when we take into account that the tolerance of ecosystems for environmental conditions is often narrow (e.g., Bio 2000; Runhaar et al. 1997). Consider, for instance, a location where groundwater levels are 4 m below the surface. Managers aim to restore wet woodlands on that site. Even with a measure that causes an increase of 3 m the aimed ecosystem will not return because wet woodlands require waterlevels of at minimum 0.3 m below 79 the surface. In contrast, some measures that yield only small effects might be more effective if they are implemented on locations where site conditions are already at or close to the critical range for the desired ecosystem (Luijendijk and Helmich 1997; Luijendijk and Straatman 1997; Oomes et al. 1996). Hence, restoration must be tailor-made in respect to the right measure on the right location. Secondly, results also show that restoration measures will not always lead to ecological gain but also can lead to loss of ecosystems. It has already been demonstrated that management influences ecological communities in the affected area (e.g., Grootjans 1980; Grootjans et al. 1985). Comparably, we show that a measure meant to restore one ecosystem may be conflicting with other ecological functions. For instance, measures meant to enhance flow velocity in a stream by removing weirs might cause low groundwater levels along this stream, and vice versa. This means that restoration of aquatic ecosystems that depend on a permanent water flow might lead to loss of groundwater dependent ecosystems in the vicinity of the stream. The idea of modelling conflicts between ecological functions due to management is not new (Garritsen 1993; Kluge et al. 1994), but we are to our knowledge the first who try to quantify the ecological gain and loss of different ecosystems at the same time. Other studies or available models were mostly confined to one habitat (Latour and Reiling 1993; Miller 1994; Olde Venterink and Wassen 1997; Qiong et al. 1997; Witte et al. 1993). So the message is: a policy maker or manager of a nature reserve should bear in mind that any measure aiming at restoration of a specific ecosystem may cause deterioration of other already existing ecosystems. The manager has to make a decision in favour of the most attainable ecosystem, and take the loss that comes with it. Thirdly, a cost benefit analysis (Figure 7 and 8) shows that even if the abiotic effects of a measure yields high ecological profit, the measure might be too expensive to implement and therefore be a sub optimal choice. This is demonstrated by comparing the ecological effects of measure one (stopping groundwater extraction wells) and measure two (enhance infiltration in urban areas). Measure 2 yields a higher ecological gain, but is it also the better choice? Even if the investment for measure one would return every year for ten years to come, it will still have a higher restoration efficiency than measure 2 (Figure 8). This leads to the conclusion that not only the right measure on the right place for the right ecosystem need to be considered, but that also the price-tags need to be examined carefully (e.g., Costanza 1996; Grossmann 1994). Calculations for restoration-efficiency have so far not taken into account that every subcatchment might offer another potential for different ecosystems. It is argued that the efficiency of restoration planning would increase considerably if an optimised set of measures could be defined for the catchment, offering great opportunities for spatial planning. As an example, detailed spatial results of the effect of two restoration measures are shown in Figure 9A and B. One can easily imagine that the modeller can select regions in these two maps (9A & B) that offer the highest ecological gain for one ecosystem and combine it with other measures that enhance the overall effect. This optimisation might lead to restoration plans for different ecosystems in every channel or subcatchment, or even might lead to the conclusion that, for instance, agriculture is by far the most beneficial for that subcatchment. In other words, restoration planning involves that a selection must be made of the optimal function for each catchment or region. From our study the conclusion is drawn that it is most likely that not one single measure will be the best for restoration of ecosystems. Instead, an IDSS approach must be used to define a set of measures that is optimised for location, target ecosystem and costs. 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