Domestic Gas Strategy - implementation report Report to the Council of Australian Governments’ Energy Council (COAG Energy Council) on the implementation of the Domestic Gas Strategy – January 2016. Released in April 2015, the Domestic Gas Strategy (the Strategy) identified a number of key actions that the Australian Government will undertake to support the responsible development of unconventional gas resources. The Government has already made significant progress in delivering on key activities, particularly enabling and disseminating scientific research across physical and social science, improving competition and transparency in gas markets, improving information on gas reserves, supporting innovation in the oil and gas industry, and facilitating sharing of information across jurisdictions in Australia and internationally. 1 Objective The Strategy aims to support the responsible development of coal seam, shale and tight gas resources for the benefit of all Australians. This report highlights the achievements made under the Strategy in the first year of implementation and outlines key next steps. Background The regulation of gas supply is primarily a state responsibility, and individual jurisdictions have been taking active steps to address gas development issues in a manner that meets the expectations of their local communities. The Strategy outlines how the Australian Government can support the responsible development of unconventional gas resources by: 1. Improving gas markets to enable better access and price discovery for all market participants including customers; 2. Understanding and responding to potential social impacts to build confidence that community needs and expectations will be properly considered; 3.Understanding and communicating the results of scientific work to build confidence in the community that risks and environmental impacts can be managed; 4.Attracting investment and encouraging steady and predictable supply through better regulation; 5.Tailoring production technologies for Australia to ensure we are making the most of our resources; January 2016 · 15-54590 Energy · Domestic Gas Strategy 6.Establishing an Oil, Gas and Energy Resources Industry Growth Centre to accelerate advancements within the industry; 7. Improving access to geo-scientific precompetitive data to understand our resources and attract investment; 8.Demonstrating the macroeconomic benefits to build community confidence; and, 9.Learning from mistakes and successes of other jurisdictions through sharing knowledge. For each of these activities, the Government identified key actions that would contribute to achieving the Strategy’s objective. • AEMO is also continuing to work towards establishing a new gas trading hub in Moomba based on the Wallumbilla model. The Moomba Hub is expected to begin market trials in May 2016 and launched in June 2016. This will create new opportunities for gas producers and consumers to trade wholesale gas, which will generate better opportunities for price discovery. • Implementation of the recommendations from the Australian Energy Market Commission’s (AEMC) East Coast Wholesale Gas Market and Pipeline Framework Review Stage One to enhance the transparency and efficiency of the market recommendations. These include: Headline achievements • A new gas price index to improve price transparency. Improving gas markets • Reducing complexity with harmonised gas market start times. Key action: • Continue to work with the state and territory governments through the COAG Energy Council to bring on new supply and improve market transparency and competition, making it easier for all market participants, including customers, to access supply and make more informed decisions about their gas needs. Gas Market Reforms The Australian Government continues to work with state and territory governments through the COAG Energy Council to implement the Australian Gas Market Development Plan to deliver on the Gas Market Vision. Implementation of the following work streams is underway: • The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) released the draft Wallumbilla Hub (Queensland) Services review, which has identified ways to increase trading by implementing a single Wallumbilla wholesale gas product. Implementation is underway and will occur via a staged approach over a 12 month period. This will support the establishment of more transparent and accessible trading at the Wallumbilla Hub which will improve price discovery for wholesale gas trade. 2 • Removing restrictions on who is able to propose rules changes for the Victorian Declared Wholesale Gas Market. This will bring the process for making rule change requests in line with the current open standing process applying to the Short-term Trading Market. • Enhancing information to improve gas pipeline trading capacity. • The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) is undertaking an inquiry into the competitiveness of the wholesale gas industry. The inquiry is considering wholesale gas prices in the context of Eastern Australia’s gas production, processing, transportation and storage infrastructure. The focus is on upstream competition and, in particular, price setting and contracting between producers and buyers. This inquiry is expected to be completed by early 2016. Gas Supply Strategy In December 2015, the COAG Energy Council agreed to the Gas Supply Strategy. The Gas Supply Strategy is the Council’s commitment to improving collaborative efforts between jurisdictions on scientific and regulatory issues associated with onshore gas. The Council recognises that more can be done collectively to determine the role that different forms of gas play within individual jurisdictions. The Gas Supply Strategy identifies four opportunities for deeper collaboration to improve collective understanding of the issues associated with a rising reliance on gas from unconventional reservoirs, improve the information available to the community and regulators on development activities, and lead to refinements to existing COAG Energy Council frameworks. These opportunities are: 1. Improving information on gas reserves and production potential. 2. Improving public availability and accessibility of the outcomes of rigorous science and factual information. 3.Consideration of leading practice regulatory frameworks that effectively manage the risks and address issues for all conventional and unconventional gas resources. 4.Supporting leading practices in industry to support responsible development. More information on the COAG Energy Council’s gas market reform agenda is available at: http://www.scer.gov.au/ Individual jurisdictions will determine their level of participation in this gas market development work and how they will use the outcomes of the Gas Supply Strategy. However, COAG Energy Council members will continue to share information and experiences, regardless of individual Government policy positions. A detailed implementation plan, with clear accountabilities and timelines, will be developed in the first half of 2016 in conjunction with consultation with industry and other stakeholders. More information on the ACCC’s wholesale gas market inquiry is available at: https://www.accc.gov.au/ More information on the Gas Supply Strategy is available at: http://www.scer.gov.au/. January 2016 · 15-54590 Energy · Domestic Gas Strategy Review of the socioeconomic impacts of coal seam gas in Queensland Key Action: • Finalise and release the Department of Industry, Innovation and Science review of the economic impacts of the CSG industry in Queensland to inform the community, using real examples, of the economic benefits that can flow from the development of gas. On 9 October 2015, the Office of the Chief Economist released its Review of the socioeconomic impacts of CSG in Queensland. The review provides a timely synthesis of the impacts of CSG development, defined broadly to encompass both headline economic indicators and other factors which influence wellbeing. It found that the economic impacts of CSG development are consistent with other natural resource developments, with net positive impacts on employment, income, output and government revenue. Broader community impacts, including social, demographic, and health outcomes, differ from other developments as a result of the geospatial dispersion of CSG activities, and uncertainties in some communities about potential environmental impacts. The full report is available for download at: www.industry.gov.au/coalseamgas Gas Industry Social and Environmental Research Alliance (GISERA) expansion Key Actions: • Support the replication of the GISERA model to states across Australia to enable research to extend into emerging areas, including tight and shale gas. • Utilise and expand GISERA’s scope and reach as a way to disseminate trusted information to communities. GISERA was established in Queensland in 2011 through a partnership between CSIRO and industry to provide Australian governments, industry and the community with expert scientific advice into the environmental, social and economic impacts of the natural gas industry. To ensure research is independent of funding, GISERA’s management is subject to unique 3 governance arrangements that preclude the industry funders from influencing how the research is conducted. Current research topics include: socio-economic impacts, surface and groundwater matters, the greenhouse gas footprint of the coal seam gas industry, agricultural land management issues, biodiversity and marine environment impacts. On 11 August 2015, the Australian and New South Wales (NSW) Governments announced funding through CSIRO, to extend GISERA into NSW. The Australian and NSW Governments are investing $3 million in a strategic alliance with CSIRO and industry to expand research into the onshore gas sector’s social and environmental impacts. The expansion of GISERA is a key initiative of the Strategy to help build community confidence through the provision of independent research into the gas industry. More information about GISERA and its research is available at: http://www.gisera.org.au/. 2015 Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering Unconventional Gas Conference Key Action: • Consider collective findings and shared learnings from the Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering’s (ATSE) International Conference on Unconventional Gas. The ATSE Unconventional Gas Conference was held in Sydney from 22-23 September 2015. The conference speakers included well-regarded international scientists, social scientists and economists. In November 2015, the ATSE Conference and Workshop Outcomes Communiqué was released, outlining a set of credible findings on the way forward for unconventional gas which can be used by academies and related organisations to produce recommendations for governments and regulators. The Key Findings are summarised in eight main themes: 1. Unconventional gas resources: Unconventional gas can be produced in a manner that is environmentally responsible and that provides significant societal benefits, provided best practice is followed. 2. Addressing community concerns: Gaining community support for unconventional gas developments requires sustained engagement, recognition of prevailing community values, communication of scientific, technical and socio-economic information by trusted sources, certainty in the regulatory regime and confidence that long term socioeconomic benefits will accrue. 3.New knowledge: Research in sedimentary basins will reduce gaps in our knowledge of unconventional gas, decrease project costs and impacts, improve regulations and contribute to the development of a risk-based approach to regulation and to the management of environmental and community impacts. 4.Hydraulic fracturing: Provided best practice is followed and there is comprehensive knowledge of the sub surface, hydraulic fracturing is unlikely to cause damaging seismic events or result in widespread, systemic impacts on drinking water resources. 5.Groundwater: Poor well construction and improperly decommissioned wells are risks to groundwater and it is important to be able to demonstrate life-time well integrity and remediation responsibility for unconventional gas wells and adopt best practice for waste water disposal and management of materials and chemicals. 6.Protecting landscape and the environment: Cumulative environmental and biodiversity impacts can be minimised, using a risk-assessment framework along with better planning of infrastructure and integrated land management. 7. Emissions: Fugitive methane emissions, which can be significant over the lifetime of an unconventional gas project, need to be monitored and a baseline established, in order to remove uncertainties regarding the magnitude of these emissions and provide a basis for remedial action. January 2016 · 15-54590 Energy · Domestic Gas Strategy 8.Regulations: If regulations are to meet community expectations, protect the environment and reduce costs to industry, they must have clarity of purpose, transparency and engender trust. The ATSE Communiqué is available at: http://www.atse.org.au/ The Australian Energy Resources Growth Centre Key Action: • Establish the Oil, Gas and Energy Resources Industry Growth Centre. The Australian Energy Resources Growth Centre is expected to be operational from first quarter 2016. The Growth Centre will support the growth in Australia of the oil, gas, coal and uranium sectors and their suppliers. Through a national focus the Growth Centre aims to improve competitiveness, collaboration and productivity by focusing on reducing cost, directing research to industry needs, improving work skills, facilitating partnerships and reducing regulatory burden. Further information on the Australian Energy Resources Growth Centre is available at: www.business.gov.au. Water and environmental issues Key Action: • Continue to support the Independent Expert Scientific Committee on Coal Seam Gas and Large Coal Mining Development (IESC) and undertake the Bioregional Assessment Programme and other research in order to provide robust advice and scientific information to better inform regulators. By the end of 2015, the IESC provided 91 pieces of advice to Australian and state government regulators covering 67 different projects; 14 of which were related to coal seam gas proposals (eight located in Queensland, five in NSW, and one in South Australia). IESC advice ensures that decisions by environmental regulators on coal seam gas development proposals are informed by the best available science. The Bioregional Assessment Programme is over half way through completion, with an anticipated end date in mid-2017. The science-based studies follow a methodology to develop multi-layered records of the natural environment in specific bioregions. The studies analyse the ecology, hydrology, geology and hydrogeology of bioregions, with explicit assessment of potential direct, indirect and cumulative impacts on water resources both above and below ground. Bioregional assessments will be key tools for decision makers in government and industry, the IESC, and other interested parties to better understand and manage the cumulative impacts of CSG and large coal mining development on surface and groundwater. As of the end of 2015, the programme has published 36 reports since May 2014. These include: • Context Statements which incorporate information and characteristics to improve our understanding of how the whole water system works have been released for these subregions: Galilee (Qld), Namoi, Central West, Hunter, Gloucester (NSW) Cooper, Gwydir, Maranoa-Balonne-Condamine, ClarenceMoreton (Qld and NSW), Arkaringa (SA), Pedirka (NT and SA), and Gippsland basins (Vic). • Coal and coal seam gas resource assessments for the Galilee, Cooper, Maranoa-Balonne-Condamine, Gwydir, Namoi, Central West, Hunter, Gloucester and Clarence-Moreton basins. • Description of the water dependent asset registers for Maranoa-BalonneCondamine, Namoi, Clarence-Moreton, Gloucester and Gippsland basins . • Data registers for Galilee, Cooper, Maranoa-Balonne-Condamine, Gwydir, Namoi, Central West, Hunter, Gloucester, Clarence-Moreton and Gippsland basins1. The Department of the Environment’s research programme is also strengthening the science which underpins regulatory decisions, by informing the advice the IESC provides to regulators. The research spans four priority themes identified by the IESC: hydrology, ecosystems and water, chemicals, and cumulative impacts. As at 30 December 2015, over 20 research projects have been commissioned, and 18 technical reports and four facts sheets are published on the Department’s website. Further information on the IESC, bioregional assessments and other research is available at: www.environment.gov.au/water/ coal-and-coal-seam-gas/ office-of-waterscience. Demonstrating the macroeconomic benefits to build community confidence Key Action: • The Department of Industry, Innovation and Science, in consultation with Treasury, will continue to undertake work to quantify and demonstrate the broader macroeconomic benefits to Australia from unconventional gas development. Total Australian exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) are expected to grow significantly by 2016 17 as the more advanced LNG projects begin production. By 2016 17, the value of LNG exports is expected to roughly double its 2014-15 level, to a total of $31.7 billion. This would see it surpass both thermal and metallurgical coal export values, currently Australia’s second and third largest exports by value. This strong growth is expected to add 0.75 percentage points to real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in 2016-17. Continued robust growth is also expected beyond the forecast years as additional projects come online, with Australia likely to overtake Qatar to become the world’s largest LNG exporter before the end of the decade. LNG project construction has also been a key driver of investment and growth in Australia’s economy over the past few years. From 2009 10 to 2016-17, LNG investment is expected to exceed $200 billion of which, unconventional gas projects have accounted for over $60 billion worth of investment. LNG investment is estimated to have peaked at over $50 billion in 2013-14, contributing around 0.7 per cent to nominal GDP growth in that year. Put another way, LNG investment accounted for almost one fifth of economic growth in 2013 14. 1 A water-dependent asset is one that could potentially be impacted by changes in groundwater or surface water due to coal or coal seam gas resource development. 4 January 2016 · 15-54590 Energy · Domestic Gas Strategy As most of the LNG construction in Australia nears completion, the slowdown in investment is now contributing less to GDP growth. That said, the investment in productive capacity will contribute to Australia’s economy for many years through increased LNG exports. • CSIRO, through GISERA, to complete socio-economic research that provides information to communities to enable them to derive maximum benefit from CSG developments. Currently GISERA has 16 environmental, social and economic research projects underway. Within the LNG sector, CSG projects on the eastern seaboard will contribute between a third and a half of national production. • Further identification of opportunities to support GISERA’s expansion and enable research to extend into emerging areas, including tight and shale gas. Next Steps The Australian Government has made significant progress in implementing the key actions from the Domestic Gas Strategy. Key actions to be undertaken during 2016 include: • Identification of ways to strengthen links between the Forum of Australian Chief Scientists and the COAG Energy Council’s Exploration Investment and Geoscience Working Group to enable a broader exchange of ideas and expectations2. • The Gas Supply Strategy Implementation Plan will be developed for the COAG Energy Council’s consideration in mid-2016. The implementation plan will have clear accountabilities and timelines, developed in consultation with industry and other stakeholders. • Improve knowledge of the environmental impacts of shale and tight gas development and seek to address scientific knowledge gaps to enable improved measurements for environmental baseline and impact monitoring. 2 The Forum of Australian Chief Scientists provides independent advice to the Australian government and respective state and territory governments, to encourage a national approach to science priorities; research and development efforts; and encourages stronger links between government, industry and research organisations. 5 • Continue to support the Independent Expert Scientific Committee on Coal Seam Gas and Large Coal Mining Development and the dissemination of the Bioregional Assessment Programme and other research products in order to provide robust advice and scientific information to regulators. • Continue to publish environmental, information, data and analysis in accessible forms and improve access to baseline data and monitoring data through such programmes as the Department of the Environment’s Bioregional Assessment Programme. The data will be made available on an Information Platform 3. • Support CSIRO’s partnership with the Lloyds Register Foundation (UK) to develop international best practice industry standards for unconventional gas exploration and production to inform regulators. Cover image: Tharlane property in the Fairymeadow district near Miles. Courtesy of QGC. 3 The Information Platform is a new web portal that will host an interactive data library for the Bioregional Assessments, and will include and visualisation of results. January 2016 · 15-54590
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