Choosing the Right Spread Consistent Modelling of Funding and Tenor Basis Sebastian Schlenkrich QuantLib Workshop Düsseldorf, December 4, 2014 © d-fine — All rights reserved | 0 Agenda 1. Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing › Tenor- and Funding-Specific Yield Curves › Why Do We Need to Model the Basis? 2. Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis › Continuous Compounded Funding Spreads › Simple and Continuous Compounded Tenor Spreads 3. Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves › Why Not Just Substitute Discount Curves? › What Can Go Wrong with Simple Compounded Spreads? 4. Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis in QuantLib › Where Is the “Best” Place to Model the Basis? › Instruments, Models or Pricing Engines 5. Summary and References 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread © d-fine — All rights reserved | 1 Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing › Tenor- and Funding-Specific Yield Curves › Why Do We Need to Model the Basis? 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing © d-fine — All rights reserved | 2 Pre-Crisis Yield Curve Modelling Single-Curve Setting » Discount Factors Interest Rate 𝑃 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑇 𝑒 − 𝑡 𝑓 𝑡,𝑠 𝑑𝑠 = 𝑒 −𝑧 𝑇 𝑇 » Forward Libor Rates Yield Curve with 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇) 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇 ′ ) 1 𝐿 𝑡, 𝑇 , 𝑇 = −1 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇) Δ ′ » (Discounted) Libor Coupons Maturity 𝐿 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 ⋅ Δ ⋅ 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇′) - 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇) » Derivative payoffs are expressed in terms of single interest rate curve » Term structure models describe single interest rate curve dynamics, e.g. in terms of › Continuous compounded forward rate 𝑓 𝑡, 𝑇 , › Short rate 𝑟 𝑡 = 𝑓 𝑡, 𝑡 , or › Simple compounded (Libor) forward rate 𝐿(𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇) 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing © d-fine — All rights reserved | 3 Differentiating Forwarding and Discounting Curves Incorporate Tenor Forwarding Curve (e.g. 3M/6M Libor Curves) Interest Rate Forwarding Curve with 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇) Discount Curve with 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇) » (Pseudo) Discount Factors 𝑃Δ 𝑡, 𝑇 » Forward Libor Rates 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇 ′ ) 1 Δ ′ 𝐿 𝑡, 𝑇 , 𝑇 = Δ −1 Δ 𝑃 (𝑡, 𝑇) » (Discounted) Libor Coupons 𝐿Δ 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 ⋅ Δ ⋅ 𝑃(𝑡, 𝑇) Maturity » Derivative payoffs are expressed in terms of two interest rate curves › Discount Curve › Tenor-specific Forwarding Curve » Often some deterministic spread assumption is applied to allow using available models 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing © d-fine — All rights reserved | 4 Differentiating Funding Curves Incorporate Funding-specific Discounting Curve (e.g. Cross-Currency Funding) Interest Rate Forwarding Curve with 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇) OIS Discounting Curve with 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 (𝑡, 𝑇) XCY Discounting Curve with 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 (𝑡, 𝑇) » Forward Libor Rates 𝐿Δ 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 » Cash Collateralizes Discounting with 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 » Cross-Currency Collateralizes Discounting with 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 (𝑡, 𝑇) Maturity » Use Case: › Calibrate model to cash collateralized (Eonia/OIS discounting) swaptions based on 6M Euribor Forwards › Use model to price a USD cash collateralized (XCY discounting) derivative » Discounting spread could also originate from uncollateralised discounting or credit spread 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing © d-fine — All rights reserved | 5 Why Do We Need to Model the Basis? Linear Products (e.g. Swaps) Interest Rate Forwarding Curve with 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇) OIS Discounting Curve with 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 (𝑡, 𝑇) XCY Discounting Curve with 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 (𝑡, 𝑇) » Only need 𝐿Δ 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 , 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 , 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 (𝑡, 𝑇) » Require multi-curve bootstrapping » Relation between curves irrelevant Maturity Classical Term Structure Models » Describe dynamics of only one curve » Payoffs of Exotics may depend on various curves Relation between curves required to evaluate exotic rate option payoffs 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing © d-fine — All rights reserved | 6 Tenor and Funding Basis Spreads Forwarding Curve with 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇) Interest Rate Tenor basis spread OIS Discounting Curve with 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 (𝑡, 𝑇) Backbone curve Funding basis spread XCY Discounting Curve with 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 (𝑡, 𝑇) Maturity Multi-curve modelling via backbone curve plus basis spreads 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing © d-fine — All rights reserved | 7 Our Focus: Relation Between Tenor and Funding Basis Spreads Tenor “plus” funding spread Interest Rate Tenor basis spread Backbone curve Funding basis spread Maturity Multi-curve modelling requires consistent treatment of basis spreads 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Refresher Multi-Curve Pricing © d-fine — All rights reserved | 8 Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis › Continuous Compounded Funding Spreads › Simple and Continuous Compounded Tenor Spreads 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 9 Continuous Compounded Funding Basis Interest Rate Discount Factors OIS Discounting Curve with 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 (𝑡, 𝑇) 𝑃 Funding basis spread 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡,𝑠 𝑑𝑠 𝑒− 𝑡 𝑓 XCY Discounting Curve with 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 (𝑡, 𝑇) 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑇 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑒 − 𝑡 𝑓 𝑡,𝑠 𝑑𝑠 𝑇 Maturity Continuous Compounded Funding Spread 𝒔 𝒕, 𝑻 = 𝒇𝑿𝑪𝒀 𝒕, 𝑻 − 𝒇𝑶𝑰𝑺 𝒕, 𝑻 Multiplicative Discount Factor Relation 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 =𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷(𝑡; 𝑡, 𝑇) with 𝐷 𝑡; 𝑇′, 𝑇 = 𝑇 𝑒 − 𝑇′ 𝑠 𝑡,𝑠 𝑑𝑠 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 10 Deterministic Funding Basis Continuous Compounded Funding Spread 𝑠 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 − 𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 Assumption: 𝒔(𝒕, 𝑻) is a deterministic function of t for all T Forward Rate Modelling Relation 𝑑𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑑𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 + 𝜕𝑠 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑑𝑡 𝜕𝑡 » Equivalent forward rate volatility for OIS and XCY curve » Equivalent volatilities of OIS and XCY zero coupon bonds 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 and 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 » 𝑇-forward meassure associated to numerairs 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 and 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 coincide, i.e., 𝑬𝑻,𝑿𝑪𝒀 ⋅ = 𝑬𝑻,𝑶𝑰𝑺 [⋅] No convexity adjustment for switching between OIS and XCY discounting 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 11 Term Structure Models Using Deterministic Funding Basis Forward Rate Modelling Relation 𝑑𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 = ⋅ 𝑑𝑡 + 𝜎 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑑𝑊(𝑡) 𝑑𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑑𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 + 𝜕𝑠 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑑𝑡 𝜕𝑡 Derivative Pricing Model Calibration » Model OIS curve 𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 » Model XCY curve 𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 » Calibrate OIS curve based model » Use OIS curve based vol structure 𝜎 𝑡, 𝑇 parameters » In particular vol structure 𝜎 𝑡, 𝑇 » Substitute 𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 = 𝑓 𝑋𝑌𝐶 + 𝑠 Model parameters can be reused under deterministic funding basis assumption 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 12 Simple Compounded Tenor Basis Interest Rate Forwarding Curve with 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇) Tenor basis spread Forward Libor Rates 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇 ′ ) 1 𝐿 𝑡, 𝑇 , 𝑇 = Δ −1 Δ 𝑃 (𝑡, 𝑇) Δ ′ OIS Discounting Curve with 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 (𝑡, 𝑇) OIS Forwards 𝐿OIS OIS ′ 𝑃 (𝑡, 𝑇 ) 1 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 = OIS −1 Δ 𝑃 (𝑡, 𝑇) Maturity Simple Compounded Tenor Spread 𝑩 𝒕, 𝑻 = 𝑳𝚫 𝒕, 𝑻′ , 𝑻 − 𝑳𝑶𝑰𝑺 𝒕, 𝑻′ , 𝑻 Assumption: 𝑩(𝒕, 𝑻) is a deterministic function of t for all T Payoff adjustment at event date 𝑡𝑒 𝐿Δ 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 = 𝐿OIS 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 + 𝐵 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 Tenor basis results in static payoff adjustment, e.g. shift in strike for caplets 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 13 Simple Compounded Tenor Basis with XCY Discounting Tenor “plus” funding spread Tenor Basis Interest Rate 𝐵 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝐿Δ 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 𝐿𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 Funding Basis 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 =𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷(𝑡; 𝑡, 𝑇) Maturity Payoff adjustment at event date 𝑡𝑒 𝐿Δ 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 = 𝐿OIS 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 + 𝐵 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ XCY = 𝐷 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐿 𝐷 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 1 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 + 𝐵 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 + Δ ′ Both tenor and funding basis required for static payoff adjustment 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 14 Continuous Compounded Tenor Basis Continuous Compounded Tenor Forward Rates 𝑓 Δ 𝑡, 𝑇 = − 𝜕 ln 𝑃Δ (𝑡, 𝑇) 𝜕𝑇 Continuous Compounded Tenor Spread 𝒃 𝒕, 𝑻 = 𝒇𝚫 𝒕, 𝑻 − 𝒇𝑶𝑰𝑺 𝒕, 𝑻 Assumption: 𝒃(𝒕, 𝑻) is a deterministic function of t for all T Multiplicative Discount Factor Relation Δ 𝑃 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑃 OIS 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷𝑏 𝑡, 𝑡, 𝑇 −1 with 𝐷𝑏 𝑡, 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑒 𝑇 𝑇′ 𝑏 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 Payoff adjustment at event date 𝑡𝑒 Δ ′ ′ OIS 𝐿 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 = 𝐷𝑏 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐿 𝐷𝑏 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 1 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 + Δ ′ Payoff adjustment results in affine transformation of OIS forwards 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 15 Continuous Compounded Tenor Basis with XCY Discounting Tenor “plus” funding spread Tenor Basis Interest Rate 𝑃Δ 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑃OIS 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷𝑏 𝑡, 𝑡, 𝑇 −1 Funding Basis 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 =𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷(𝑡; 𝑡, 𝑇) Maturity Payoff adjustment at event date 𝑡𝑒 Δ ′ ′ OIS 𝐿 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 = 𝐷𝑏 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐿 ′ 𝐷𝑏 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 1 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 + Δ ′ ′ XCY = 𝐷𝑏 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐿 𝐷𝑏 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 1 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 + Δ ′ Affine transformation payoff adjustment structure is preserved 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 16 Continuous Compounded Tenor Basis with XCY Discounting (2) Payoff adjustment at event date 𝑡𝑒 Δ ′ ′ XCY 𝐿 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 = 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐿 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 1 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 , 𝑇 + Δ ′ with 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 = 𝐷𝑏 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐷 𝑡𝑒 , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 =𝑒 𝑇 𝑇′ 𝑏 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 =𝑒 𝑇 𝑇′ 𝑓Δ 𝑡,𝑢 −𝑓𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 =𝑒 𝑇 𝑇′ 𝑓Δ 𝑡,𝑢 −𝑓𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 ⋅ 𝑒− 𝑇 𝑇′ 𝑠 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 ⋅ 𝑇 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡,𝑢 −𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 𝑒 − 𝑇′ 𝑓 Cont. Compounded Spread payoff adjustment is independent of OIS curve 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis © d-fine — All rights reserved | 17 Summary Funding and Tenor Basis Payoff Adjustments 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 = 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 ⋅ 𝐷 Funding Basis Spread Convention Simple Compounded 𝐿Δ = 𝐿𝑂𝐼𝑆 + 𝐵 Continuous Compounded 𝐿Δ = 𝐷𝑏 ⋅ 𝐿OIS 𝐷𝑏 − 1 + Δ Tenor Basis 𝐿Δ = 𝐷 ⋅ 𝐿XCY +𝐵 + 𝐷−1 Δ 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis 𝐿Δ = 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 ⋅ 𝐿XCY + 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 − 1 Δ © d-fine — All rights reserved | 18 Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves › Why Not Just Substitute Discount Curves? › What Can Go Wrong with Simple Compounded Spreads? 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 19 Modelling Funding Basis vs. Modelling Individual Discount Curves Interest Rate Tenor and Funding Basis Δ 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑋𝐶𝑌 Maturity XCY discounting (e.g. pricing) Δ 𝑂𝐼𝑆 Interest Rate Δ Interest Rate Discounting and Tenor Basis OIS discounting (e.g. calibration) Maturity 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves 𝑋𝐶𝑌 Maturity © d-fine — All rights reserved | 20 Consistently Modelling Individual Discount Curves Consistent Model Dynamics 𝑑𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 = ⋅ ⋅ 𝑑𝑡 + 𝜎 𝑂𝐼𝑆 ⋅ 𝑑𝑊 𝑡 𝜕𝑠 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑑𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑑𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 + 𝑑𝑡 𝜕𝑡 = ⋅ ⋅ 𝑑𝑡 + 𝜎 𝑂𝐼𝑆 ⋅ 𝑑𝑊 𝑡 𝜎𝑋𝐶𝑌 » Invariant Volatility structure (with deterministic shift) 𝜎 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 ; 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝜎 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 − 𝑠(𝑡, 𝑇); 𝑡, 𝑇 » In particular unchanged short rate volatility and mean reversion for Hull White model Uniform Payoff Adjustment Function OIS discounting 𝐿Δ = 𝐺 𝐿𝑂𝐼𝑆 , 𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 , 𝑓 Δ XCY discounting 𝐿Δ = 𝐺 𝐿𝑋𝐶𝑌 , 𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 , 𝑓 Δ » Depends on spread compounding convention 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 21 Recall Funding and Tenor Basis Payoff Adjustments Funding Basis Spread Convention 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 = 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 ⋅ 𝐷 Simple Compounded 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 Continuous Compounded 𝐿Δ = 𝐿𝑂𝐼𝑆 + 𝐵 𝐿Δ = 𝐷𝑏 ⋅ 𝐿OIS + 𝐷𝑏 − 1 Δ Tenor Basis 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝐿Δ =𝐷⋅ 𝐿XCY 𝐷−1 +𝐵 + Δ 𝐿Δ = 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 ⋅ 𝐿XCY 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 − 1 + Δ Simple compounded tenor basis spreads do not yield uniform payoff adjustment function 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 22 Enforcing Uniform Tenor Basis Payoff Adjustments Funding Basis Spread Convention 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 = 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 ⋅ 𝐷 Simple Compounded Continuous Compounded 𝐿Δ = 𝐿𝑂𝐼𝑆 + 𝐵 𝐿Δ = 𝐷𝑏 ⋅ 𝐿OIS + 𝐷𝑏 − 1 Δ Tenor Basis 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑳𝜟 = 𝑳𝑿𝑪𝒀 + 𝑩𝑿𝑪𝒀 𝐿Δ = 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 ⋅ 𝐿XCY 𝐷𝑏,𝑋𝐶𝑌 − 1 + Δ Assume a deterministic basis 𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 in addition to deterministic terms 𝐵 and 𝐷 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 23 Contradiction of Simultanously Deterministic Terms 𝐷, 𝐵 and 𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 We have 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝐿 ′ 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 , 𝑇 − 𝐿 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ 𝑡, 𝑇 , 𝑇 = − 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑃 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ 1 = 𝐵 𝑡, 𝑇 − 𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 (𝑡, 𝑇) Δ It follows 𝑒 𝑇 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑇′ 𝑓 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 −𝑒 𝑇 𝑇′ 𝑓𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 = 𝐵 𝑡, 𝑇 − 𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅Δ Solving for the funding spread yields 𝑠 𝑡, 𝑇 = 𝑓 𝑋𝐶𝑌 Though 𝐵 𝑡, 𝑇 − 𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑡, 𝑇 − 𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝜕 𝐵 𝑡, 𝑇 − 𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑡, 𝑇 = ln 1 + 𝑇 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝜕𝑇 𝑒 𝑇′ 𝑓 𝑡,𝑢 𝑑𝑢 ⋅Δ ⋅ Δ deterministic, 𝑠 𝑡, 𝑇 depends on future forward rates 𝑓 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡,⋅ Simple compounded tenor basis vs. XCY may only yield approximate payoff adjustment 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 24 Example: XCY Cash Collateralized Caplet with Simple Comp. Tenor Basis We have 𝐶𝑝𝑙𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡 = 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 𝐸 𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝐿 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 𝑘 𝐶𝑝𝑙 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡 = 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡, 𝑇 𝐸 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝐿 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 − 𝑘 + ⋅Δ + ⋅Δ From 𝐸 𝑋𝐶𝑌 ⋅ = 𝐸 𝑂𝐼𝑆 ⋅ follows model-independent that 𝐶𝑝𝑙 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑡 = 𝐷 𝑡; 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅ 𝐶𝑝𝑡 𝑂𝐼𝑆 (𝑡) Rewriting OIS caplet payoff as zero coupon bond put option and Hull White model 𝐶𝑝𝑙𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑇 ′ 𝐶𝑝𝑙 𝑂𝐼𝑆 1 = 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑇 Δ ⋅ − 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑇 ′ , 𝑇 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑇 Δ 𝑡 =𝑃 𝑂𝐼𝑆 + 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ 1 𝑡, 𝑇 ⋅ 1 + 𝑘 − 𝐵 𝑇 Δ ⋅ 𝐵76 , , 𝜎 , −1 𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑆 𝑡, 𝑇 1 + 𝑘 − 𝐵 𝑇 Δ 𝑃 ′ Discount Factor Notional Black Formula Forward ZCB 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves Strike Bond Put Vol Flag © d-fine — All rights reserved | 25 Correct vs. Simplified Payoff Adjustment XCY Cash Collateralized Caplet We have Correct 𝐶𝑝𝑙 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑇 ′ = 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑇 Δ ⋅ Variance Notional Simplified 𝐶𝑝𝑙 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑇 ′ = 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑇 Δ ⋅ 𝐷 𝑇 ′ ,𝑇 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑇 Δ −𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 + ′ 𝑇 ,𝑇 Variance Strike 1 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑇 Δ −𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 ′ 𝑇 ,𝑇 + Relative Valuation Error 𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑁𝑡𝑙 1 + 𝑘 − 𝐵 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑇 Δ = − 1 ≈ 𝐿𝑋𝐶𝑌 − 𝐿𝑂𝐼𝑆 Δ 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑇 Δ 𝑒𝑟𝑟𝐵76 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝐵76 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑃 = 𝑃 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝐵76 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑃 ≈ Φ 2Φ 𝜎𝑃 2 𝜎𝑃 2 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ 𝑡, 𝑇 𝑡, 𝑇 ′ 𝑡, 𝑇 𝐷 𝑇′, 𝑇 , , 𝜎 , −1 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑇 Δ 𝑃 −1 𝐷 𝑇′, 𝑇 , , 𝜎 , −1 1+ 𝑘−𝐵 𝑇 Δ 𝑃 𝐿𝑋𝐶𝑌 − 𝐿𝑂𝐼𝑆 Δ ⋅ ⋅ 𝑘 − 𝐿Δ 𝑋𝐶𝑌 𝑂𝐼𝑆 1 + Δ𝐿 − 1 1 + Δ𝐿 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 26 Numerical Example XCY Cash Collateralized Caplet » Yield curves for OIS/XCY/6M Forward flat at 100BP/50BP/200BP respectively » Black caplet volatility 65% 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 27 Summary Consistent Payoff Adjustment Continuous Compounded Tenor Basis » Uniform payoff adjustment formula for OIS and XCY discounting » Consistent multi-curve pricing with Hull White model by substituting discount curve Simple Compounded Tenor Basis » Different payoff adjustment formula for OIS and XCY discounting » Approximations in multi-curve pricing with Hull White model by substituting discount curve » Valuation error depends on cross currency basis and strike 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Consistent Payoff-Adjustments for Multiple Funding Curves © d-fine — All rights reserved | 28 Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis in QuantLib › Where Is the “Best” Place to Model the Basis? › Transforming Instruments › Generalising Models vs. Pricing Engines 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis in QuantLib © d-fine — All rights reserved | 29 QuantLib Object Model (Simplified) Instrument EuropeanSwaption 1 Model PricingEngine HullWhiteEngine 1 HullWhiteModel Where Is the “Best” Place to Model the Basis? 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis in QuantLib © d-fine — All rights reserved | 30 Generalising Models EuropeanSwaption HullWhiteEngine HullWhiteModel discTermStructure_ forwTermStructure_ europSwaption() HullWhiteModelS HullWhiteModelC europSwaption() europSwaption() Model simple compounded Basis Model continuous compounded Basis » Keep modelling assumptions and details in one place » Manage forwTermStructure_ consistent to EuropeanSwaption→Index→TermStructure 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis in QuantLib © d-fine — All rights reserved | 31 Generalising Pricing Engines EuropeanSwaption HullWhiteEngine swaption2BondOption() HullWhiteModel termStructure_ couponBondOption() HullWhiteEngineS HullWhiteEngineC swaption2BondOption() swaption2BondOption() Model simple compounded Basis Model continuous compounded Basis » By design knows forwarding and discounting term structure (no redundant information) » Holding modelling assumptions out of the pricing model mixed up with instrument data 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis in QuantLib © d-fine — All rights reserved | 32 Transforming Instruments EuropeanSwaption BondOption HullWhiteEngine BondOption( EuropSwaption s, TermStructure discTS, SpreadMethod m ) HullWhiteModel termStructure_ couponBondOption() Model simple and continuous compounded Basis » Disentangle spread modelling from existing yield curve modelling and pricing » Requires consistency of discounting curves between BondOption construction and HullWhiteModel 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis in QuantLib © d-fine — All rights reserved | 33 Summary and Reference 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Summary and Reference © d-fine — All rights reserved | 34 Summary and Reference Modelling Deterministic Tenor and Funding Basis » Interdependencies of tenor and funding spreads » Payoff adjustments for simple and continuous compounded tenor spreads » Consistency for payoff adjustments with multiple funding curves Continuous compounded spreads appear more favourable Integrating Tenor and Funding Basis into QuantLib » Modifying Instrument, PricingEngine or Model classes Best practice has yet to emerge Further Reading S. Schlenkrich, A. Miemiec. Choosing the Right Spread. SSRN Preprint http://ssrn.com/abstract=2400911. 2014. 2014-12-04 | Choosing the Right Spread | Summary and Reference © d-fine — All rights reserved | 35 Dr. Sebastian Schlenkrich Manager Tel +49 89-79086-170 Mobile +49 162-263-1525 E-Mail [email protected] d-fine GmbH Dr. Mark W. Beinker Partner Tel +49 69-90737-305 Mobile +49 151-14819305 E-Mail [email protected] Zentrale Frankfurt München London Wien Zürich d-fine GmbH Opernplatz 2 D-60313 Frankfurt/Main T. +49 69-90737-0 F: +49 69-90737-200 www.d-fine.com © d-fine — All rights reserved | 36
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