Campaign Planning Process Step 6 – Commander’s Estimate to Higher Headquarters 29 March 2006 UNCLASSIFIED Learning Objectives This module will cover Step 6 of the Campaign Planning Process. • Aim of Step: – Provide the CCTF recommended Campaign Plan & CTF COA to the Lead Nation Supported Strategic Commander and National Authorities. • Starting Conditions: – Planning has been linked to execution within the Campaign Planning Process resulting in identification of Component COAs & a recommended CTF COA. UNCLASSIFIED 2 Learning Objectives • Basic Process: – C5 PLANS prepares the Commander’s Estimate consisting of two parts: – – Campaign Plan Directive Operational Factors (Mission, Intent, Concept of Ops, S-COG, Operational End States, & Campaign Schematic). Recommended CTF COA, & considered COAs. CCTF, NCE, & Component Commanders review & concur with the estimate. CCTF approves the Estimate & it is forwarded to the Lead Nation Supported Strategic Commander & National Authorities for review, approval & / or comment. UNCLASSIFIED 3 Learning Objectives • End Product of the Step: – Commander’s Estimate UNCLASSIFIED 4 Preliminary Notes • The Lead Nation National Authorities acts as the “coordinating body for the multinational effort” & is the reviewing / approving authority for the Commander’s Estimate. The Lead Nation retains the executive authority for coordinating the deployment of forces in accordance with the legitimacy framework established for the multinational military effort. • – The Lead Nation will take the appropriate strategic consultation actions with international bodies & participating nations in accordance with the specific protocols established for the crisis response situation. UNCLASSIFIED 5 Preliminary Notes • – – – • It should be noted that multinational planning has NOT been done in isolation. During the process, the Supported Strategic Commander & National Authorities have been keep fully informed on the progress & direction. Further, daily & intra-day updates & situational reports have been exchanged between CTF command & with higher headquarters. The NCEs (within the CTF Headquarters) have also been fully involved & integrated into the CTF planning process for Unity of Effort. This assists in the rapid review / approval / comment of the Commander’s Estimate by higher headquarters. UNCLASSIFIED 6 Step 6 – Commander Est to Higher Headquarters Main Actions – – – C5 PLANS develops the formal Commander’s Estimate based upon the Campaign Plan Directive & the CCTF recommend COA (two parts to this estimate). CCTF, NCE, & Component Commanders review the Commander’s Estimate. CCTF approves the Commander’s Estimate. UNCLASSIFIED 7 Step 6 – Commander Est to Higher Headquarters Main Actions – The Commander’s Estimate will be submitted thru the Supported Strategic Commander to the Lead Nation National Authorities. Lead Nation National Authorities will do one of three actions: – Comment & approve the Commander’s Estimate. Comment & disapprove Commander’s Estimate & direct follow-on actions, as appropriate. Comment & refine the Commander’s Estimate with revised guidance. UNCLASSIFIED 8 Campaign Planning Process Products • Planning Document 1 - Warning Order 1 • Planning Document 2 - Situation Review Summary (Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment-OIPE) • Planning Document 3 - Mission Analysis Template • Planning Document 4 - Warning Order 2 • Planning Document 5 - Campaign Plan • Planning Document 6 - Warning Order 3 • Planning Document 7 – Commander’s Estimate • Planning Document 8 - OPLAN • Planning Document 9 - OPORD UNCLASSIFIED 9 Strategic Military Direction (HHQ Warning Order to JTF / CTF) 30% Steps 1 to 3 1 – Commander’s Scoping WARNO 1 2 – Situation Review 3C – Factor Analysis 3A – Mission Analysis 3B – S-COG Analysis 4A – Develop the Campaign Framework OIPE Msn Analysis WARNO 2 CTF Component 50% Steps 4 & 5 4B – Decisive Point (DP) Analysis & Supporting Effect (SE) Development 4C – Decisive Point (DP) Evaluation 4D – Produce Campaign Plan Directive (C5) & FID (Staff) Analysis Campaign Plan 4E – Determine Prioritized Supporting Effects (SEs) WARNO 3 20% Steps 6 & 7 5 – Linking Planning to Execution 6 – Commander’s Estimate CTF Staff Command Group CDR’s Estimate CTF Components Summary • The Commander’s Estimate formally outlines the Operational & Tactical level focus for the initial CTF crisis response actions for review / approval by the Lead Nation National Authorities. • It consists of two parts: – Campaign Plan Directive primary operational factors (Mission, Intent, Concept of Ops, S-COG, Operational End States, & Campaign Schematic). – Recommended COA, & considered COAs. It is essential that the National Command Elements (NCE) & CTF Component Commanders are fully involved in & have ownership of the Commander’s Estimate within a multinational crisis response situation. UNCLASSIFIED 11 Quiz UNCLASSIFIED 12 Discussion UNCLASSIFIED
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