PAPER Examining the Impacts of Tidal Energy Capture from an Ecosystem Services Perspective AUTHORS Heather M. Leslie Megan Palmer Brown University, Institute at Brown for Environment and Society and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Introduction H uman energy demands are increasing rapidly, motivating research for new ways to meet this growing need. From 2010 to 2040, world energy consumption is projected to increase by 56%, placing a huge fuel demand on limited resources (U.S. DOE, 2013). Growth in the renewable energy sector can lessen the impacts of energy consumption; however, the contribution of alternative fuel sources to overall energy is still small. In the United States, renewable energy sources, including hydroelectric, geothermal, solar, wind, and biomass, comprised only 9% of primary energy sources in 2013 (U.S. IEA, 2013). Governments from the local to national level have recognized the need to integrate renewable sources into their energy portfolios because of the environmental and human health costs of carbon-intensive fuels, concern for energy security, and direct incentives and other economic considerations (Long, 2008). Relatedly, there has been a recent push to innovate and harness the diverse sources of marine renewable energy in particular. These include marine ABSTRACT As governments from the local to national level have recognized the need to integrate renewable sources into their energy portfolios, there has been a recent push to harness diverse sources of ocean energy, including those generated by tides and waves. Despite the potential benefits, development of these marine and hydrokinetic (MHK) resources has raised concerns in terms of their potential socioeconomic and environmental impacts. An ecosystem services perspective offers a useful means of monitoring how MHKs will affect both people and nature by enabling the identification of the benefits provided by functioning ecosystems to people, including biodiversity, tourism and recreation, and food provision. To illustrate the value of this approach in evaluating the potential impacts of an MHK project, we present the case study of the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project (United States) and identify the types of data and analytical tools that could be used to develop an ecosystem service assessment of MHK development in this study region. To complement this case study, we also reviewed the published literature on tidal energy and other MHK project types, which highlighted how little is known about the ecological effects of MHK development in coastal and marine ecosystems. Integrating ecosystem service knowledge into projects like Muskeget Channel can contribute to more scientifically informed MHK siting processes and more effective, ecosystem-based management of the diverse human activities undertaken in coastal and marine environments. Keywords: ecological, marine and hydrokinetic resources, Massachusetts, Muskeget Channel, ocean energy and hydrokinetic (MHK) sources (i.e., waves, tides, and ocean currents) and offshore wind energy (NRC, 2013). In the northeastern United States specifically, there is considerable industry, government, and civil society interest in deploying offshore wind turbines and MHK energy devices (Musial & Ram, 2010). Governmentled marine spatial planning (MSP) has been largely motivated by the opportunities and challenges created by ongoing efforts to harness wind energy resources off the coasts of Massachusetts and Rhode Island (CRMC, 2010; Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 2009). Several tidal current energy development projects also are under development in the Northeast, including Roosevelt Island in New York City’s East River, in the Gulf of Maine, and Muskeget Channel south of Cape Cod, Massachusetts (Bedard et al., 2010; Devine Tarbell & Associates, 2006). MHK energy devices have the potential to contribute to regional and national scale energy portfolios, but how the arrays will function in the different marine settings raises many January/February 2015 Volume 49 Number 1 97 questions (NRC, 2013). While designs of offshore wind turbines are quite standardized, in part because the technology is farther along (Inger et al., 2009), the designs of wave and tidal energy capturing devices are quite diverse, and neither form of energy generation has fully reached commercialization (Kadiri et al., 2011; NRC, 2013). Tidal energy technologies in particular are garnering attention for their predictability and the alternative they offer to carbon-based energy capture. Tidal energy is captured in two main forms: tidal barrages and tidal stream turbines. Tidal barrages are dam-like structures built across estuaries. Turbines are incorporated into the dam and capture potential energy from the rise and fall of the tide. Tidal in-stream capture is a newer technology and most often consists rotating submerged turbines that capture the kinetic energy of moving tidal waters. These structures can be submerged and are thus are aesthetically more appealing than some other MHK designs; these features make them particularly suitable in proximity to highly urbanized coastlines (O’Rourke et al., 2010). These characteristics also may help reduce conflicts between tidal energy projects and other marine uses, in contrast to some other MHK designs (Terray et al., 2014). Despite the potential benefits of marine renewable energy production, MHKs have raised concerns in terms of their potential socioeconomic and environmental impacts. MHKs are expanding into coastal and ocean spaces that are already used by people in many different ways, including commercial and recreational fishing, tourism, and navigation (Kim et al., 2012; NRC, 2013; White et al., 2012). Initial concerns over MHKs, like those regarding offshore wind development, have 98 focused on the impacts on iconic marine mammals such as dolphins, migratory birds and seabirds, and fish (Miller et al., 2013). Concerns also have been raised about the potential effects on hydrodynamics, sediment transport, and water quality (Gill 2005). For example, changes in the flow speeds and regimes of tidal channels have important consequences for sediment transport as well as for movement of nutrients and marine organisms, particularly larval forms (Bunn & Arthington, 2002; Freeman et al., 2001). These processes are well understood in many ecological settings, but the specific effects of MHK technologies—particularly tidal energy infrastructure—on coastal and marine ecosystems are largely unknown (Devine Tarbell & Associates, 2006; Gill, 2005; Terray et al., 2014). Ecological effects of MHK construction and operation will depend both on the environmental context as well as on existing human uses and other human dimensions of the project. Moreover, they will vary with the phase of the project; marine species and biophysical conditions at MHK sites will be differently impacted during the construction and installation stages of a given project in comparison with the operation and decommissioning stages (Gill, 2005). Finally, impacts from pilot scale projects are not necessarily indicative of the magnitude of impacts due to scaled-up commercial arrays (Miller et al., 2013). An ecosystem services perspective offers an integrative means of evaluating and monitoring how MHKs will affect both people and nature. “Ecosystem services” are the benefits provided by functioning ecosystems to people, and marine ecosystems provide a diverse array of such services (Halpern et al., 2012). For example, coastal estuaries and offshore areas with complex Marine Technology Society Journal bottom habitats support the production of recreationally and commercially valuable fish species by sheltering young fish and providing habitat for feeding and breeding (Beck et al., 2001; Lindholm et al., 1999). Other coastal habitats, including salt marshes, mangroves, and coral reefs, can reduce the effects of coastal flooding and storms on coastal human communities by attenuating wave forces and providing a buffer for the communities (Arkema et al., 2013). Coastal and marine ecosystems not only are valued by people for the benefits like fish production and coastal storm protection that can be measured in dollars but also for less tangible benefits, including sense of place and opportunities for tourism and recreation (Daniel et al., 2012). By enabling integrative analyses of the production, value, and use of benefits provided by marine ecosystems, ecosystem service assessments facilitate explicit evaluation of the multiple dimensions of the ecology and humanenvironment connections associated with an MHK site. Such assessments also can be used to forecast the effects of different conservation and development strategies, including ocean energy projects and coastal development (Guerry et al., 2012; Kim et al., 2012; Ruckelshaus et al., 2013). On the west coast of Vancouver Island, for example, Kim and colleagues tested a decision support tool to assist with siting wave energy facilities (Kim et al., 2012). The tool allows the user to balance environmental and economic constraints unique to this form of MHK infrastructure, while minimizing the conflicts with fisheries and other ecosystem services. Ecosystem service analyses also have been used in terrestrial settings to help inform agricultural, flood control, and land use policy (e.g., Chan et al., 2006; Eigenbrod et al., 2011; Kareiva et al., 2011). During an MHK planning process, an ecosystem services analysis could facilitate analyses required by both developers and regulators that link the effects of deploying and operating an MHK to changes in ecosystem structure, functioning, and services (Figure 1). Consider, for example, how construction and deployment of an MHK may alter the structure of the marine ecosystem such as the amount of hard structure that exists on the seafloor. This structure creates habitat for bottom-dwelling fish and marine invertebrates (e.g., crustaceans, bivalves, and gastropods) and consequently changes in structure due to MHK development may have important individual and population level effects. Whether organisms are simply attracted to the MHK underwater infrastructure or, alternatively, marine populations increase due to changes in recruitment, growth, or reproduction that are causally related to the MHK deployment is an important issue, as it is in the artificial reef context (Caselle et al., 2002; Langhamer 2012; Powers et al., 2003). Addition or alteration of structure on the ocean bottom can influence ecosystem processes at the community level, e.g., via shifts in prey availability or other changes in species composition and abundance (Gill, 2005). These ecosystem changes can ultimately affect the delivery of valuable benefits to people such as food provision via commercial fishing. Construction and deployment of an MHK also can influence humans’ activities, and these shifts in people’s behavior are also important when evaluating the full effects of MHK development. With an ecosystem services approach, monitoring data on ecosystem condition (e.g., water quality, abundances of habitat-forming organisms and species of economic and/or conservation concern; current speeds and direction; and the rugosity of the ocean bottom) and human activities (e.g., the number and types of vessels engaged in fishing, whale-watching, and other commercial and recreational activities) can be integrated in order to evaluate how MHK development may affect the benefits provided by the site to people and the ecosystem they are part of, both negatively and positively. In summary, such analyses can inform both site-based planning as well as implementation, monitoring, and adaptive management of MHK projects. To illustrate the value of an ecosystem services approach in prospectively assessing the potential impacts of an MHK project, we present the case study of the Muskeget Channel Tidal FIGURE 1 Conceptual framework linking the deployment of an MHK energy device to changes in ecosystem structure, functioning, and services. The construction and deployment of an MHK device can alter the structure of the marine ecosystem such as the amount of hard structure (habitat for organisms) that exists on the seafloor. Through this alteration, the functioning of the ecosystem may change and ultimately affect the delivery of valuable benefits to people such as biodiversity, food production, and sense of place. Adapted from Bernhardt and Leslie (2013). Energy Project, a proposed array of tidal stream turbines south of Cape Cod, Massachusetts (Figure 2). While a full assessment of the ecosystem services of the Muskeget Channel study region and the possible consequences of MHK development in this location is beyond the scope of this paper, here we begin this process by identifying the types of data and analytical tools that could be used to develop a full ecosystem service assessment in the future. To place this case study in context, we first conducted a review of the published literature on tidal energy projects and other MHK projects, focusing particularly on the extent and content of research to date on the environmental aspects of tidal energy capture. This review highlighted how little is known about the ecological effects of MHK development on coastal and marine ecosystems. We conclude with a discussion of the opportunities and challenges of bringing ecosystem service considerations into MHK citing, regulatory, and monitoring processes, and how such analyses could contribute to more scientifically informed siting and monitoring of MHK developments as well as more effective, ecosystem-based management of the diverse human activities undertaken in the coastal and marine environments off the coast of New England and elsewhere. Methods To conduct the literature review, we used the Web of Science database (© 2014, Thomson Reuters) and a predetermined set of terms in order to search for peer-reviewed publications regarding the ecological impacts of MHKs and other articles relevant to ecosystem services assessments of MHK development. The search terms January/February 2015 Volume 49 Number 1 99 FIGURE 2 The Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project is located between the islands of Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket south of Cape Cod, MA (USA) at approximately 41°21′0.43″N, 70°23′58.08″W. The study region is delineated by the box outlined in gray, and the proposed tidal stream turbine array would be situated within it, directly between the two islands. included the combination of each term in List A: “marine renewable energy,” “offshore wind,” “tidal energy,” “wave energy,” and “hydrokinetic,” with each term in List B: “environment,” “fish,” “benthic,” “habitat,” and “impact,” for a total of 25 searches (e.g., “marine renewable energy” AND “environment”). Each search returned results with a match by either topic or title. Each return was saved and recorded, and the full record for all articles was exported to the citation manager EndNote X5 (© 2011, Thomson Reuters). After removing duplicate papers, 406 articles were found. After removing 115 irrelevant articles, 291 papers remained, which were then classified by MHK type and geographic location. To create a synthetic description of the Muskeget Channel tidal energy 100 development project and how an ecosystem services perspective may contribute to the next phases of this and related projects, we reviewed reports from diverse organizations involved with the project, including University of Massachusetts’ Dartmouth School for Marine Science and Technology, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Provincetown Center for Coastal Studies, and Harris Miller Miller & Hanson, Inc. Supplementary information about the regional ecological context was provided by U.S. Geological Survey’s Coastal and Marine Science Center in Woods Hole, Massachusetts (Poppe et al., 2010). We also reviewed relevant data accessible via the Web-based Northeast Ocean Data Viewer, a component of the Northeast Ocean Data Portal (http://www. northeastoceandata.org/), to create Marine Technology Society Journal maps of potential indicators of ecosystem services relevant to the proposed MHK development in Muskeget Channel. Results Published Literature on MHK and Ecological Impacts We surveyed the peer-reviewed literature on MHKs globally in order to assess the extent of research on the environmental impacts of such projects. We investigated which types of MHKs were most often studied, where the studies were conducted, if the types of ecosystems were specified, and what results were reported. We summarized our results according to the frequency of MHK type addressed in each article, including offshore wind, tidal, all, wave, and tidal and FIGURE 3 Review of the published literature revealed (A) the frequencies of published articles (n = 291) about particular types of MHKs varied considerably and (B) the geographic distribution of published papers regarding tidal energy is highly skewed towards the United Kingdom. Note that “all” in (A) refers to publications not specific to an MHK type and in (B) “N/A” refers to articles that were not specific to a location. wave (Figure 3A). The classification “all” indicates that the article discussed all types of MHKs and did not focus on one specific technology or place. We found that, among the 291 relevant articles identified in our search, offshore wind energy projects were most intensively studied. One hundred ninety-four articles focused exclusively on offshore wind. This result matched our initial expectation, as this technology has been commercialized. The next highest frequency by MHK type was the tidal category: we found 36 articles focused on tidal energy projects. We also classified 36 articles in the “all” category, meaning that these did not focus on a singular type of MHK. This category included several review papers. We found only 17 wave energy articles. This also fit our initial expectation because wave energy technologies are not as commercialized as the other MHK technologies (Drew et al., 2009). Finally, eight publications addressed both tidal energy and wave energy considerations. This reflects an interest in developing interlocking tidal and wave energy designs to harness both types of energy at the same site. Focusing exclusively on the 36 tidal energy articles, we synthesized the geographic and thematic foci discussed in each article. These papers include publications on both tidal barrage projects and submerged in-stream turbine projects: the full list of citations can be found in Appendix I. The geographic distribution of the topics of these pub- lications was particularly telling (Figure 3B). Only eight countries were represented by these 36 articles, and of those geographically specific papers, half were focused on the United Kingdom, with 18 publications. This distribution can be explained by a longstanding interest in the U.K.’s Severn Estuary. For decades, people have proposed damming the Estuary. Consequently, researchers have devoted substantial effort to characterizing the ecology and hydrodynamics of the study region and conducted other investigations related to the project feasibility. More recently, a proposed tidal barrage for this U.K. estuary has generated species-specific ecological studies and simulation models of the estuary’s tidal regimes. In Figure 3B, the category N/A refers to those articles without a specific geographic location (n = 6). Of these six articles, two are review papers of tidal conversion technologies, and four address results from computers models of different tidal energy extraction scenarios, siting scenarios, life cycle assessment of the Seagen marine current turbine, and distribution of global tidal energy (Liu et al., 2010; Bryden & Melville, 2004; Douglas et al., 2008; Kowalik, 2004). Finally, there are a number of locations with four or fewer publications: the United States, Ireland, New Zealand, Malaysia, Italy, Germany, and South Korea. In terms of the 36 tidal energy articles specifically, they covered a wide range of topics, including project citing, introductions of specific designs, water quality, baseline data, commercial viability, and impacts and potential impacts on fish communities, sediments, and acoustic environments. Of these 36, a small set explicitly addressed ecosystem concerns. For January/February 2015 Volume 49 Number 1 101 example, Shields and colleagues assessed the possible impacts of tidal energy development in the Pentland Firth by explicitly considering the influence of MHK development on different marine habitat types (benthic, intertidal, etc.) and how those effects would likely vary with the phase of the project (e.g., construction, operation, decommissioning; Shields et al., 2009). Relatedly, Sheehan and colleagues demonstrated the value of careful experiment design, in order to generate robust baseline (i.e., preconstruction) environmental data at Big Russel, a potential site for tidal energy development (Sheehan et al., 2013). This type of preconstruction monitoring is needed, along with monitoring during operation and decommissioning of MHK projects. We ultimately hope to see future research that incorporates these approaches (consideration of ecosystem impacts in varied ecological settings and different phases of MHK projects; collection of baseline data through careful experimental design); they are illustrative of the types of data that are needed in order to develop ecosystem services analyses relevant to tidal energy projects and other MHK developments. Not only did the topics covered by the 36 tidal articles vary, but so too did the methodologies the authors employed. Seventeen of the 36 papers that did discuss ecological or environmental concerns were modeling studies that simulated the potential effects of tidal energy development in various contexts. Of the remaining 20 tidal energy articles, nine were empirical, seven were reviews, and three focused on economics. While the peer-reviewed scientific literature is not the only source of information on MHK developments and impacts, our review illustrates the 102 paucity of published articles focused on ecosystem services and other environmental dimensions of tidal energy development. Gray literature reports, environmental impact statements, policy briefs, and other related documents created by government, private sector, and nongovernment organizations also contain much valuable information (as the References section of this paper attests). While full review of these other sources was beyond the scope of the literature review we undertook—which focused on peer-reviewed scientific articles—such sources are certainly relevant to future assessments of MHK projects, particularly those that are place-based. Case Study: Muskeget Channel, Massachusetts We chose to focus on the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project because of the ecological value of the site and because this project is still in development (Barrett, 2013; Devine Tarbell & Associates, 2006; King et al., 2010; Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 2009). The case study below highlights some of the challenges of developing an integrative understanding of the socioeconomic and environmental context of a potential offshore energy site as well as the value of connecting such an analysis with ongoing marine spatial planning efforts at the state and regional levels (Tierney & Carpenter, 2013). Environmental Context Muskeget Channel is a 10-km (6-mile) wide channel situated between Muskeget Island and Chappaquiddick Island, south of Cape Cod, Massachusetts (Devine Tarbell & Associates, 2006). The two larger, more visible islands surrounding the channel are Martha’s Vineyard (to the west) and Marine Technology Society Journal Nantucket Island (to the east) (Figure 2). Importantly, the channel is characterized by an annual average tidal current velocity of 2.0 m s−1 on the flood and 1.7 m s−1 on the ebb tide. These characteristics make Muskeget a feasible location for energy extraction (Devine Tarbell & Associates, 2006; O’Rourke et al., 2010). The project site is in an area of fairly homogenous gravel sediment between the islands, at depths ranging from <20 to 40 m. The marine ecosystems of Muskeget Channel are ecologically important for several reasons. The proposed site includes or is adjacent to two Significant Coastal Habitats, as designated by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service (USFWS): the Muskeget Channel and Muskeget and Tuckernuck Islands, and Martha’s Vineyard Coastal S a n dp l a i n a n d B e a c h C o m pl e x (USFWS, 1991). Shallow waters around the islands are known to be productive areas for finfish, specifically bluefish (Pomatomus saltatrix), winter flounder (Psudopleuronectes americanus), striped bass (Morone saxatilis), and Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) (Devine Tarbell & Associates, 2006; King et al, 2010; Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 2009). Unfortunately site-specific information on the marine ecology of the channel is sparse: trawl survey stations and infaunal grab sample stations conducted by the Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries consistently under-sample Muskeget Channel (King et al., 2010), and the NOAA fisheries trawls are conducted offshore of this area and thus do not capture population abundances either (NOAA 2014). However, regionspecific reports (USFWS, 1991; Leeney et al., 2010) indicate that the adjoining nearshore areas are important for eelgrass (Zostera marina) and a variety of marine crustaceans, gastropods, and bivalves, including the commercially valuable soft shell clam (Mya arenaria), the quahog (Mercenaria mercenaria), and conch species (Busycotypus canaliculatus and Busycon carica). Several species of marine pinnepeds, including the harbor seals (Phoca vitulina) and gray seal (Halichoerus grypus), use coastal sites in this area as haul out or resting locations, and a number of whales including the humpback whale (Megaptera novaeangliae), minke whale (Balaenoptera acutorostrata), and the endangered North Atlantic right whale (Eubalaena glacialis) also are regularly found here. Seabirds [including common terns (Sterna dougallii), gulls (Larus argentatus, Larus marinus, and Larus atricilla), and common eiders (Somateria mollissima)] use the surrounding areas for breeding, feeding, and/or resting. Tidal energy capture devices, both during the construction and operations phases, could impact these organisms’ behavior and abundances. Based on this site-specific information, we used the ecosystem services framework developed by Halpern et al. (2012) to identify the services most salient for the Muskeget Channel study region (Figure 4). These are heretofore referred to as “focal ecosystem services.” As Figure 4 illustrates, ecosystem services include a wide range of benefit created by ocean ecosystems. Each of these services, or “goals,” as Halpern and colleagues refer to them, are generated by a quantifiable set of interactions between marine ecosystem components and the people who valuable these services. For example, in the case of tourism and recreation, the ecosystem services models published by Halpern and colleagues (2012, 2014), enabled quantitative estimates of the extent of tourism and recreation activity in the geographic FIGURE 4 Benefits provided by coastal and marine ecosystems include the ten goals (and associated subgoals) listed below. By synthesizing globally available data on the status and trends in each of these ten goals or ecosystem services, Halpern and colleagues (including the first author, HL) present a framework for assessing ocean health using an ecosystem services perspective (Halpern et al., 2012). This “ocean health index” framework can be used to forecast the consequences of different marine policy choices, like MHK development, as well as to systematically monitor ecosystem condition and human activities in specific marine environments. See text for details. Adapted from Halpern et al. (2012). area of interest and how such activity has changed both through time and under different marine management scenarios. This explicit connection between ecosystem functioning and benefits to people is one of the notable differences between an ecosystem services analysis and a typical environmental impact statement (EIS). An EIS is required in the United States for all major federal government actions or actions that involve federal funding that significantly affect the environment, under section 102(2)(C) of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). EISs tend to be organized around specific natural resources; e.g., water resources or wetlands, although they allow for cumulative impacts analyses, which could enable integration of an ecosystem services approach (Salzman et al., 2001; Scarlett & Boyd, 2011). Based on the published information we were able to review and knowledge of first principles of marine ecology and ecosystem service science (Daily et al., 2009; Kareiva et al., 2011), we have preliminarily identified the following focal services for the Muskeget Channel case: biodiversity, tourism and recreation, and food provision. In the context of a full ecosystem services assessment for this area, it would be prudent to gather additional data on these and other ecosystem services from resource users and other stakeholders, both to validate this list as well as to gain further insight into the array of values people hold for this ocean space and the potential impacts of MHK development in this study region. Such value and ecosystem service mapping has proven quite useful in other marine spatial planning contexts, including the January/February 2015 Volume 49 Number 1 103 Channel Islands, Massachusetts, and Vancouver Island processes cited earlier (Airamé et al., 2003; Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 2009; Kim et al., 2012). As a first step in evaluating the potential spatial overlaps between MHK development and areas important for the focal ecosystem services we identified for the Muskeget Channel study region, we accessed spatial information for the study region using the Web-based Northeast Ocean Data Viewer, a component of the Northeast Ocean Data Portal (http://www. northeastoceandata.org/). Here we include several representative spatial overlays to illustrate how such tools can be used to visualize and integrate diverse biophysical and social science data relevant to MHK energy development (see Leslie, 2005, for a review of related spatial planning tools, in the context of biodiversity conservation). First, in terms of biodiversity, inspection of the available seabird and marine mammal data indicates that Musekget Channel is an important area for coastal birds. This is indicated by the spatial overlap between the tidal energy project icon (in blue) and identified bird habitat (in the green polygons; Figure 5). These data were created from NOAA’s Environmental Sensitivity Index, which was developed to characterize shorelines based on their sensitivity to spilled oil in order to understand the potential risk to various target species (in this case, coastal birds). The dataset from which this layer was created includes sensitive habitat for coastal bird species in Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New York, and Rhode Island. Based on the data available through the portal, the channel does not seem to be an important area for 104 whales or other marine mammals. However, other portal layers identify coastal areas of both Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket that are important for bird nesting and marine mammal haul-out areas, as well as coastal habitats such as eelgrass beds and salt marshes. Second, terms of tourism and recreation, available data suggest that recreational boaters do not heavily use Muskeget Channel, whether for fishing, wildlife observation, or other boat-based activities, relative to other adjacent areas (Figure 6). The mapped data were collected by SeaPlan and the Northeast Regional Ocean Council (NROC) through the 2012 Northeast Recreational Boater Survey and illustrate major routes of recreational traffic. Companion point data, specific to each recreational activity (not shown here, but also available through the data portal), suggest that recreation is concentrated on the shores of Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket, with a small set of trips reported in 2012 to the southern part of the channel for fishing and other unidentified boat-based recreation (Northeast Ocean Data Working Group, 2014). No recreational activity was reported for the center of the channel in the area where the proposed tidal energy array would be constructed. Finally, in terms of food provision via commercial fishing, the Muskeget Channel study region has yielded relatively low fisheries catches, in terms of total biomass (in kg), relative to areas throughout the northwest Atlantic, based on data collected from 2007 to 2011 (Figure 7). These data were collected from the Bay of Fundy to Cape Hatteras, North Carolina through fall bottom trawl research surveys conducted by the National Marine Fisheries Service of NOAA, and they Marine Technology Society Journal were synthesized as part of The Nature Conservancy’s Northwest Atlantic Marine Ecoregional Assessment (Greene et al., 2010). In-the-water validation of these observations, over a more extensive time period than that covered by the datasets mapped here, would be an important next step, should a full ecosystem services assessment be conducted for this region. Regulatory Context The permitting process for MHKs involves many organizations at both the federal and state levels (Tierney & Carpenter, 2013). At the federal level, U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has jurisdiction to issue licenses for MHKs on the outer continental shelf, while the U.S. Bureau of Ocean Energy Management has jurisdiction to issue leases on these same projects. As mentioned before, an environmental impact statement also is required in the United States for all major federal government actions or actions that involve federal funding that significantly affect the environment, under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). Tidal energy arrays have not yet been permitted in U.S. state or federal waters, and thus, this project is breaking new regulatory ground (NRC, 2013; Tierney & Carpenter, 2013). The Town of Edgar town on Martha’s Vineyard (Massachusetts, USA) first applied for a preliminary permit with FERC in 2007 and received the preliminary permit in 2008. Next, the municipality filed for a draft pilot license application in 2011. A renewed preliminary permit (filed in 2011) expired in July 2014 and the town signaled its intention to submit a final application prior to that date (Barrett, 2013). HHMH, Inc., FIGURE 5 Mapping of bird habitat data (in green polygons) and the location of the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project (in blue) illustrates the spatial overlap between bird habitat, a proxy for the ecosystem service biodiversity, and the proposed MHK development. This map was created in the Northeast Ocean Data Viewer, a component of the Northeast Ocean Data Portal (Northeast Ocean Data Working Group 2014). (Color versions of figures are available online at: http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/mts/mtsj/2015/00000049/00000001.) submitted a Final Progress Report to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission on behalf of the Town of Edgartown on August 13, 2014, again signaling its intention to seek a successive preliminary permit. And in August 2014, Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick signed Bill H. 4375 into law, which allocated $300,000 to the University of Massachusetts Dartmouth to conduct remaining studies for the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project, as part of a comprehensive environmental bond bill (Rothe, 2014). The Town of Edgartown holds the FERC permit but plans to use a private company’s technology to develop the site (Barrett, 2013). The Town of Edgartown has had several partners in this project, including the Town of Nantucket and the Provincetown Center for Coastal Studies. Multiple governmental and nongovernmental scientific institutions, including the University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Marine Renewable Energy Center and Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, have conducted baseline ecological surveys and studies of compatibility of the site. The lead role played by the town with this MHK project is quite distinctive, in contrast with the state-led marine renewable energy development off the coast of Rhode Island (through the Ocean Special Area Management Plan; CRMC, 2010) and the multiobjective marine spatial planning process conducted by the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, which culminated in the first-ever, Massachusetts Ocean Plan (Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 2009). Evaluating the Impacts of Tidal Energy Development with an Ecosystem Services Approach There are at least two ways of using the ecosystem services conceptual framework to inform MHK siting, regulatory, and monitoring processes (Figure 1). The first approach parallels a typical Environmental Impact Assessment but goes a step further by incorporating ecosystem services. For example, consider how deploying tidal current turbines would impact the ecosystem service biodiversity and specifically seabird populations. Deployment of the array would result in subtidal habitat structure and could lead to changes (either decreases or increases) in the distribution and abundance of prey species targeted by seabird species in the channel. These January/February 2015 Volume 49 Number 1 105 FIGURE 6 Mapping of recreational boating density (as represented by a gradient of warm to cool colors, where red represents high density and green represents low density) and the location of the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project (in blue) illustrates the spatial overlap between recreational boating activity, a proxy for the ecosystem service tourism and recreation, and the proposed MHK development. This map was created in the Northeast Ocean Data Viewer, a component of the Northeast Ocean Data Portal (Northeast Ocean Data Working Group, 2014). changes in prey resources as well as the presence of new subtidal structure itself could in turn influence bird behavior and potentially reproductive success and survival (for a related review, see Wiese et al., 2001). The condition of coastal birds—both at the individual and population levels— following the turbine deployment could also be conceptually linked to other ecosystem services (e.g., tourism and recreation related to wildlife viewing). The alternative approach first requires identifying valuable services and the supporting ecology. For example, the preliminary mapping we did of indicators of the focal services (Figures 5–7) suggest that the channel is important habitat for coastal birds, but not heavily used for either commercial fishing or recreation. These 106 observations suggest that the tradeoffs between MHK development and food provision and between MHK development and tourism and recreation are likely to be limited, albeit not trivial (Figures 6 and 7). In contrast, however, spatial overlap of the biodiversity indicator, bird habitat, and the project site (Figure 5) suggests potentially a stronger trade-off between this service and the proposed MHK development. There is a fair amount of uncertainly regarding these relationships, a point we return to in the Discussion. We caution that these observations are based on temporally limited data that vary in resolution and only reflect spatial overlays, rather than causal relationships between the relevant ecosystem processes, human activities, and the possible socioeconomic and ecological effects of MHK development. Marine Technology Society Journal Nonetheless, if biodiversity is identified as an ecosystem service of particular interest, we can trace the conceptual model from right to left and identify relevant indicators that must be maintained at quantifiable levels when turbines are deployed in order to preserve the focal service (for a detailed discussion of setting management targets and thresholds for those targets, see Samhouri et al., 2010, 2012). In the case of Muskeget Channel, for biodiversity, these indicators could include not only coastal bird habitat but also spatially explicit information on populations of fish, invertebrates, marine mammals, and turtles of either commercial or conservation concern (Greene et al., 2010). Including indicators that are linked to specific ecosystem services as part of pre and post construction monitoring would help FIGURE 7 Mapping of commercial fisheries landings (biomass in kilograms, as represented by a gradient of warm to cool colors, where red represents high landings and purple represents low landings) and the location of the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project (in blue) illustrates the spatial overlap between fisheries catch, a proxy for the ecosystem service food provision, and the proposed MHK development. This map was created in the Northeast Ocean Data Viewer, a component of the Northeast Ocean Data Portal (Northeast Ocean Data Working Group, 2014). ensure that the project proceeds in a manner that does not unduly compromise biodiversity and the other ecosystem services provided by Muskeget Channel. While an actual ecosystem service analysis for the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy Project is beyond the scope of this study, depending on how the project progresses and the resources available, formal analysis could include either conceptual or quantitative modeling, as well as empirical data collection based on in situ and remotely sensed information (Tallis et al., 2010). We can take the case of the West Coast of Vancouver Island (WCVI), Canada, as an example. In WCVI, Guerry and colleagues (2012) used the ecosystem service modeling software INVEST to investigate how different coastal conservation and development scenarios would influence the extent of habitats of interest and, consequently, the production of focal ecosystem services (Guerry et al., 2012). In the WCVI case, these included the same three we identified: recreation, food provision, and biodiversity. They began by conducting interviews with community members, resource managers, and other stakeholders in order to identify three potential scenarios for future management: a baseline scenario, similar to the current level of development; a conservation-oriented scenario that represented increased protection of coastal habitats; and an industry expansion scenario that represented increased aquaculture and tourism infrastructure development. They then used the decision support tool InVEST to estimate how the three scenarios would affect fisheries, recreation, water quality, and coastal marine habitats (Sharp et al., 2014). Some of the INVEST models—like those for fishing and recreation— were essentially spatial overlays in GIS, whereas the models for water quality and habitat incorporated more information on ecological processes as well as linkages between human activities and the ecosystem services themselves. The resulting analyses helped the local community to visualize the trade-offs among different services, activities, and development paths and through proactive marine spatial planning to resolve and, in some cases, avoid conflicts among particular uses. January/February 2015 Volume 49 Number 1 107 Discussion The case study of the Muskeget Channel Tidal Energy project illustrates the value of an integrative analysis based on ecosystem services. Marine renewable energy projects, like other ocean uses, have varied impacts on existing human activities and ecosystem health. An ecosystem services approach enables researchers and energy developers to create an integrative description of the possible environmental and socioeconomic impacts of a particular project, which in turn can help inform project planning (i.e., citing and regulatory processes), implementation, and monitoring. Rather than considering the effects of MHK development on the diverse sectors, species, and resource users who are active in coastal and marine environments around the world in a piecemeal manner, an ecosystem services perspective enables one to take a more systematic and system-based approach to managing potential trade-offs associated with MHK development. Indeed, ecosystem-based management of human interactions in the marine environment is increasingly called for in policy and scientific circles, both in the United States and globally (McLeod & Leslie, 2009). By connecting site-based analyses with broader marine spatial planning efforts, developers will be in a better position to access relevant ecosystem and human use data and also to efficiently address the substantial regulatory demands associated with such projects (Tallis et al., 2010; Tierney & Carpenter, 2013). In the case of Muskeget Channel, in addition to the ongoing marine spatial planning effort in Massachusetts (Commonwealth of Massachusetts 2009, 2014), the regional ecosystem-based ocean m a n a g e m e n t p r o c e s s co n v e n e d 108 through the Northeast Regional Planning Body is particularly relevant. Muskeget Channel is one of the better-documented tidal project development efforts currently underway, based on our review of the peerreviewed and gray literature. Yet, many gaps remain in terms of forecasting the full impacts of ocean energy development in this area. We conclude with discussion of two of these. First, there is a serious lack of placebased information regarding the ecology and human uses and values of the marine ecosystems of Muskeget Channel in particular. This situation mirrors what we found in a survey of the scientific literature on tidal energy development and ocean renewables more broadly, highlighting the paucity of place-based investigations of the social and environmental dimensions of proposed existing MHK project sites. Nonetheless, scientists already know a lot about how coastal and marine ecosystems work, especially in the coastal and continental shelf areas of the Northeastern United States (Fogarty, 2005), and the lack of sitespecific data may be partially addressed by drawing on knowledge of how marine ecosystems work from other contexts in order to inform predictions of MHK impacts on ecosystem functioning and services. For example, jetties, artificial reefs, offshore oil platforms, and other built structures in the marine environment provide hard substrate that can be colonized by marine organisms such as invertebrates and algae, and lead to increased densities of mobile species, including commercially and recreationally valuable fish. This “reef effect” can increase biodiversity and biomass in a given location but may also provide new habitat for invasive species, which are often socially undesirable (Glasby & Connell, Marine Technology Society Journal 1999, 2007). Given the potential for MHK devices to create new surfaces for benthic organisms, inclusion of location-specific literature on artificial reefs may enrich future assessments like the one outlined above. Relatedly, the peer-reviewed scientific papers and government documents we found that related to the geographic area in and around Muskeget Channel largely focused on the coastal and nearshore species and ecosystems, as our references to the USFWS publications earlier illustrate. And yet, the coastal margin is quite distinct ecologically and in terms of human uses from the center of the channel, and the same socialecological heterogeneity no doubt exists at other MHK project sites. For this reason, repeated mapping of species and habitat occurrences and human activities at fairly fine spatial scales (on the order of hundreds of meters to kilometers) will be critical in order to ensure that ecosystem services influenced by MHK development are appropriately assessed, similar to the scale utilized in site-based marine conservation planning (see Airamé et al., 2003; Arkema et al., 2014; Guerry et al., 2012; Kim et al., 2012; Leslie, 2005, for relevant examples). Second, those empirical studies of MHK development that have been done are largely based on demonstration or pilot-scale arrays, rather than on the commercial scale arrays that developers envision eventually deploying (Shields et al., 2009). Consequently in many cases we can only forecast what the ecological and social consequences of MHK installations will be based on data collected at a more limited spatial scale. This situation raises serious challenges and requires that we confront multiple types of uncertainty, e.g., what the current status of the marine ecosystems and socioeconomic context is in the channel; what the impacts of MHK construction, maintenance, and eventually, decommissioning, will be on both ecological processes and human activities; and how transferable knowledge from other, related settings are to this specific ecological and social context. As MHK developments, including the one proposed for Muskeget Channel, are implemented, it will be critical to collect empirical data on both the ecological and socioeconomic effects so that future projects in other locations can be sited in a more data-driven manner. Moreover, such integrated monitoring enable appropriate adjustments can be made to the Muskeget project as more is learned (in the spirit of adaptive management, after Lee, 1999). The science and practice of marine reserves, marine protected areas, and other types of area-based marine management have proceeded in a similar fashion and thus may offer some lessons for how to effectively proceed in inevitably uncertain and evolving context: at first, the predictions of the social and ecological effects of siting parks in the ocean were based largely on theory, then, on very small scale, science or community-driven experiments. More recently, with the increased use of area-based marine management to meet both biodiversity and fisheries goals (e.g., Murawski et al., 2000; Hamilton et al., 2010), scientists and practitioners are gaining place-based knowledge of how marine ecosystems respond to the changing ecological and socioeconomic conditions created by marine protected areas, which in turn is changing how these protected areas are designed and implemented in the water. In summary, development of projects like Muskeget Channel presents an opportunity scientifically as well as economically and in terms of renewable energy production. As highlighted in by the maps presented above, many valuable sources of data already exist, including Web-based data sources and sector-specific assessments previously conducted to guide fisheries management, biodiversity conservation, and multiobjective planning (i.e., marine spatial planning). We anticipate that future ocean energy development projects will take fuller advantage of these resources and that as both ocean energy development and marine spatial planning progress, these efforts will be better integrated, with measurable benefits for both human well-being and marine ecosystem health. Acknowledgments We thank Shreyas Mandre, Kenneth Breuer, Jennifer Franck, and colleagues for inspiring us to investigate the ecosystem effects of ocean renewable energy development and three anonymous reviewers for constructive comments on earlier versions of this manuscript. We gratefully acknowledge support from the Brown University Humanities Research Fund and the U.S. Department of Energy’s ARPA-E Program. Corresponding Author: Heather M. 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