Objectives and analysis Module B2, Session 14 SADC Course in Statistics Learning Objectives students should be able to • Explain some criteria • for modifying initial objectives, once the data are available • Explain the importance of specifying • objectives precisely before starting an analysis • Be able to outline a simple table or graph • that corresponds to a stated objective • Be able to complete a simple table or graph • given an objective and an outline. • Review a table or graph to specify • to what objective(s) this presentation corresponds To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 2 Contents • Introduction of the ideas • Sitting in on a review class • (Flash presentation) • Practical work • Using rice survey and the Tanzania survey • Discussion To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 3 Defining the objectives of the study • In defining statistics (Session 3) • Statistics is NOT just collecting numbers • It is collecting numbers with a purpose • So, as part of the planning for a study • You must specify the objectives • You need this also, before getting a budget! • Once you have your overall objectives • You plan the study • Collect the data • And get the data ready for analysis To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 4 Analysis objectives • Before you start the analysis • You review the overall objectives • Possibly modify them for the analysis • Why? 1. Perhaps some objectives are not possible • Questions may have been misunderstood • Questions answered in an inappropriate manner • etc 2. Perhaps new objectives become possible • A practical complication adds a new objective • A minor point becomes more crucial To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 5 Overall objectives – small example • Rice survey • Two objectives 1. Estimate total rice production • in the district 2. Investigate the possible relationships • between production and cultural practices • and justify the questions in the study To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 6 The district for the rice survey To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 7 The data ready for analysis To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 8 Objectives and measurements • The objectives led to the questions • the measurements we took • 1st objective – total yield in the district • So we measured the yield on sampled plots • 2nd objective – relationships with cultural practice • so we asked about size of field, fertilizer, variety • See how the objectives • lead directly to the questions To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 9 Objectives of the analysis • Now the data are ready for analysis • Can we still meet the objectives? • Possibly – so continue with both parts to the analysis • But suppose we now realised • that date of planting was crucial, and not measured • or there was disease on some fields, not recorded • Perhaps the 2nd objective is not attainable • So look carefully at the objectives • And be prepared to rewrite them • Or state them more precisely To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 10 Breaking the “curse of variation”! • Statistics is concerned with studies where variation is important • Otherwise you only need a sample of size 1! • This was discussed in the Concepts Session - Session 3 • Hence also take measurements • if they may help to explain variation in the data • even if that measurement is not related to a specific objective • Understanding variation in key variables • like the yield in this rice survey • Is effectively an objective itself in all statistical studies • Then the analysis can adjust for these aspects To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 11 Objectives once you see the data • Sometimes looking at the variables • permits you to specify objectives • That’s not as good as starting with them • But it is still useful • And the tables and graphs • Should then follow directly • From the objectives of the analysis • This is illustrated in the demonstration • Look for the following 2 slides in particular To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 12 To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 13 Tables and graphs to satisfy objectives To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 14 Practical work • Do practical 1 • It benefits from discussion • So it is good for students to work in pairs • First is an demonstration lesson • This should partly be revision • Complete the sections in the practical sheet as watch the lesson • Then the rice survey data are analysed • Finally data from the Tanzania agriculture survey are processed To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 15 The Tanzania agriculture survey • Here is a second example • From the Tanzania agriculture survey • Page 2 of their technical guide • The details are less important, • than that the objectives are stated carefully • and justify the questions in the study questionnaire To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 16 Overall statement: Sample census objectives • The 2003 Agriculture Sample Census was designed • to meet the data needs of a wide range of users • down to district level • including policy makers at local, regional and national levels, • rural development agencies, funding institutions, • researchers, NGOs, farmer organisations, etc. • As a result the dataset is both more numerous • in its sample and detailed in its scope • compared to previous censuses and surveys. • To date this is the most detailed Agricultural Census carried out in Africa To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 17 The sample census was carried out to: • Identify structural changes • if any, in the size of farm household holdings, crop and livestock production, farm input and implement use. • Determine if there are any improvements in rural infrastructure • and the level of agriculture household living conditions; • Provide benchmark data on production and agricultural practices • in relation to policies and interventions promoted by the Min. of Agriculture • and Food Security and others stake holders. • Establish baseline data for the measurement of the impact • of high level objectives of the Agriculture Sector Devt Programme (ASDP), • National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty (NSGRP) • and other rural development programs and projects. • Obtain benchmark data to address specific issues, such as: • food security, rural poverty, gender, • agro-processing, marketing, service delivery, etc. To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 18 Analysis to meet objectives • Overall reports have been produced • In addition, the data can be used for a wide range of objectives • The practical assumes 2 NGOs • with particular questions • One is on food security • The other is on energy for lighting To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 19 Food security Why is a pie chart a reasonable type of display? To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 20 Food security by district Why might a stacked bar chart be appropriate? To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 21 Energy use for lighting Required 1. Decreasing order 2. With small categories combined To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 22 Tables sorted and then grouped To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 23 Horizontal bar chart – for long titles To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 24 Finally: Are you now able to • Provide some principles • that characterise good tables and graphs • Use these principles • to recognise examples of good practice • Suggest reasoned improvements • for tables and charts • Provide examples of improved presentations • Be able to extract points • from a table or graph for a talk or a report To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 25 In the next session these ideas are applied to numeric variables To put your footer here go to View > Header and Footer 26
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