House of Commons Energy and Climate Change Committee Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Fifth Report of Session 2013–14 Volume I Volume I: Report, together with formal minutes, oral and written evidence Additional written evidence is contained in Volume II, available on the Committee website at www.parliament.uk/ecc Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed 16 July 2013 HC 108 [Incorporating HC 1060, Session 2012–13] Published on 29 July 2013 by authority of the House of Commons London: The Stationery Office Limited £27.30 The Energy and Climate Change Committee The Energy and Climate Change Committee is appointed by the House of Commons to examine the expenditure, administration, and policy of the Department of Energy and Climate Change and associated public bodies. Current membership Mr Tim Yeo MP (Conservative, South Suffolk) (Chair) Dan Byles MP (Conservative, North Warwickshire) Barry Gardiner MP (Labour, Brent North) Ian Lavery MP (Labour, Wansbeck) Dr Phillip Lee MP (Conservative, Bracknell) Rt Hon Peter Lilley MP (Conservative, Hitchin & Harpenden) Albert Owen MP (Labour, Ynys Môn) Christopher Pincher MP (Conservative, Tamworth) John Robertson MP (Labour, Glasgow North West) Sir Robert Smith MP (Liberal Democrat, West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine) Dr Alan Whitehead MP (Labour, Southampton Test) The following members were also members of the committee during the Parliament: Gemma Doyle MP (Labour/Co-operative, West Dunbartonshire) Tom Greatrex MP (Labour, Rutherglen and Hamilton West) Laura Sandys MP (Conservative, South Thanet) Powers The Committee is one of the departmental select committees, the powers of which are set out in House of Commons Standing Orders, principally in SO No 152. These are available via www.parliament.uk. Publication The Reports and evidence of the Committee are published by The Stationery Office by Order of the House. All publications of the Committee (including press notices) are on the internet at www.parliament.uk/ecc. A list of Reports of the Committee in the present Parliament is at the back of this volume. The Report of the Committee, the formal minutes relating to that report, oral evidence taken and some or all written evidence are available in a printed volume. Additional written evidence may be published on the internet only. Committee staff The current staff of the Committee are Sarah Hartwell-Naguib (Clerk), Liz Bolton (Second Clerk), Dr Alfred Gathorne-Hardy (Committee Specialist), Tom Leveridge (Committee Specialist), Luanne Middleton (Inquiry Manager), Shane Pathmanathan (Senior Committee Assistant), Jonathan Olivier Wright (Committee Assistant), Joe Strawson (Committee Support Assistant), Nick Davies (Media Officer) and Constantinos Regas (Scrutiny Unit). Contacts All correspondence should be addressed to the Clerk of the Energy and Climate Change Committee, House of Commons, 7 Millbank, London SW1P 3JA. The telephone number for general enquiries is 020 7219 2569; the Committee’s email address is [email protected] Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 1 Contents Report Page Summary 3 Glossary 5 1 Introduction 7 2 Energy prices 8 8 9 11 12 13 15 16 16 18 20 22 23 24 Rising energy prices Driving factors behind price rises Wholesale cost of fuel Costs of supply – transmission and distribution Costs of energy and climate change policies Supplier operating costs and profit margins Communicating reasons for price rises Government and regulatory action Energy company action A failure to communicate Ensuring a competitive retail market Market competitiveness Measuring competitiveness 3 Profits Energy company profits Company structure Increasing transparency of energy company profits Consolidated Segmental statements Supply Market Indicators REMIT 4 Fuel Poverty Measuring fuel poverty Current and new definition of fuel poverty A better definition? The role of data-sharing Need for urgent action Fuel poverty policies Efficacy of fuel poverty policies Closure of Warm Front (WF) The Energy Company Obligation (ECO) Rural fuel poverty Use of levies on bills Ways to protect the fuel-poor from impact of levies Reinvesting revenues in energy efficiency programmes Government spend on fuel poverty 26 26 27 29 29 38 41 45 45 45 47 50 51 53 54 55 56 57 58 61 62 63 2 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Delivery of fuel poverty policies 5 65 Conclusion 69 Recommendations 71 Annex 77 Formal Minutes 97 Witnesses 98 List of printed written evidence 99 List of additional written evidence 99 List of Reports from the Committee during the current Parliament 100 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 3 Summary Rising energy prices are a worry for households across the UK. Since 2007 average prices of gas and electricity have risen by 41% and 20% in the UK in real terms, according to DECC. This has had an adverse impact on fuel poor households and thrown Government targets to eliminate the problem by 2016 off-course. The main driver behind energy price rises has been wholesale gas and electricity costs, but network charges, energy and climate change policies, and company costs and profits also contribute. In future, DECC estimates that its energy and climate change policies will add 33% to the average electricity price paid by UK households in 2020, in addition to any potential wholesale price rises. The Department maintains, however, that household bills will be lower than they would otherwise be in the absence of policies. The six largest energy companies argue that the majority of these costs behind price rises are outside their control. However, these energy companies are complex with several different arms performing different roles – generating, trading and supplying energy. The complex vertically-integrated structure of these firms makes it difficult to determine where profits and losses are being made within them and how they might relate to recent energy price rises. Despite huge turnovers, and in some cases large profits, the six largest energy companies have made significantly different levels of profit and loss between the supply and generation parts of their business. The actual level of profit in, for example, the energy supply arm is therefore difficult to establish. Greater transparency is urgently needed to reassure consumers that high energy prices are not fuelling excessive profits. One thing is clear; energy companies have been poor at communicating with their customers. Confusing bills, complex tariffs and a lack of transparency around profit margins have fuelled deep mistrust among consumers. Some energy companies deserve praise for the recent improvements they have made to simplify bills, but we remain concerned that efforts are falling far short of what is required to improve transparency, increase competition and enhance consumer trust. It is disappointing, for instance, that the big energy companies have not gone to greater lengths to explain the reasons behind price rises. Regulatory intervention is now needed to deliver meaningful change. Ofgem is failing consumers by not taking all possible steps to improve transparency and openness in the energy market. That the regulator has not taken up accountancy firm BDO's recommendations to improve energy company reporting or listened to criticism over Supply Market Indicators is astonishing and lays it open to criticism that it is unwilling to use the teeth it has. Considering consumers’ lack of confidence in energy companies, Ofgem should consider whether the transparency to be gained by implementing BDO’s recommendations outweighs the costs involved. Increasing transparency and simplifying bills would help to improve the currently low level of competition. Increased competition is one of the best ways to ensure customers were paying a fair price for their energy. Ofgem has the power to make the changes necessary to improve competition through the licensing conditions it sets for companies. If it fails to 4 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty act, the Government must stand ready to use any new statutory powers it has under the forthcoming Energy Act to compel greater transparency from energy companies. The Government must not forget that rising prices are exacerbating fuel poverty. Energy is becoming increasingly unaffordable for low-income families living in poorly insulated and inefficient homes. Yet just as the situation for the most vulnerable is worsening, it appears that fuel poverty policy has effectively been frozen. Spending on the problem has been cut in England and some of the Government’s fuel poverty programmes appear to be in hiatus. The use of levies on bills to fund social and environmental programmes will add to the burden faced by energy bill payers, particularly in low-income households. Public spending is less regressive than levies in this respect. If Government is to continue raising levies in this way, it must ensure that the public understands the different components of an energy bill and how these relate to policy costs. Ministers have been unacceptably slow to respond to the Hills Review and take action to stem the problem. It is imperative that the Government’s new fuel poverty strategy, expected at the end of this year, is not delayed any further. It should be published and implemented as an urgent priority. Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 5 Glossary Arbitrage: The practice of taking advantage of a price difference between two or more markets: striking a combination of matching deals that capitalize upon the imbalance, the profit being the difference between the market prices. Distribution charges: The cost of building, maintaining and operating the local gas pipes and electricity wires, which deliver energy directly to your home. Suppliers are charged for this, and usually pass on these costs in the price they charge retail customers for energy. Exchange: Bring together brokers and dealers who buy and sell products in an organized market. Liquidity: In the case of a market, a stock or a commodity, the extent to which there are sufficient buyers and sellers to ensure that a few buy or sell orders would not move prices very much. Some markets are highly liquid; some are relatively illiquid. Margin: Proportion of profit relative to total revenue. Merit order: A way of ranking available sources of energy, especially electrical generation, in ascending order of their short-run marginal costs of production, so that those with the lowest marginal costs are the first ones to be brought online to meet demand, and the plants with the highest marginal costs are the last to be brought on line. The merit order was the method used in the electricity market of Great Britain when electrical power generation was the responsibility of a single integrated utility (the CEGB). After privatisation of the sector this was replaced by a more complex bidding system, the electricity pool, in 1990. Natural monopoly: A condition on the cost-technology of an industry whereby it is most efficient (involving the lowest long-run average cost) for production to be concentrated in a single company. In some cases, this gives the largest supplier in an industry, often the first supplier in a market, an overwhelming cost advantage over other actual and potential competitors. This tends to be the case in industries where capital costs predominate, creating economies of scale that are large in relation to the size of the market, and hence high barriers to entry; examples include public utilities such as water services and electricity transmission. Over-the-counter (OTC) trading: Trading which occurs between dealers through private bilateral contracts, as opposed to through an exchange or market. There is often little publicly available data about OTC trades. Supply costs: The costs associated with running a retail sales business, including sales, billing etc. 6 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty System operator: A transmission or distribution system operator is an entity entrusted with transporting energy in the form of natural gas or electrical power on a national or regional level, using fixed infrastructure. Transfer price: The price paid by the supply arm of a vertically-integrated energy company to purchase energy from a generation arm of the business Transmission charges: The cost of building, maintaining and operating the high pressure gas and high voltage transmission networks. Transmission companies charge users of these networks and these costs are often passed on to retail customers. Value Added Tax (VAT): Paid directly to HM Revenue and Customs by energy companies. Vertical integration: A business structure whereby different elements of a supply chain are united under common ownership. In the case of energy companies, this can refer to the same company owning generation, supply and distribution assets. Wholesale energy: The cost of the gas or electricity. Your energy supplier may buy this on the wholesale market, or have a contract with a generator. Some suppliers are also part of companies that generate their own energy. Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 7 1 Introduction 1. The UK’s energy system will be subject to significant changes in the next few years in order to deliver the form of capacity required in future. Our recent report, Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets found that public trust in energy companies was low and there was a clear sense of a lack of transparency around energy company prices and profits.1 If changes in the energy system are to be successful, the Government and energy companies will need to strengthen public confidence and trust in their ability to deliver a fair deal to consumers and protect the most vulnerable, fuel-poor households. DECC’s latest fuel poverty statistics showed that in 2011, 4.5 million households were in fuel poverty in the UK. Energy price rises in 2012 and 2013 will have exacerbated the situation for low-income households.2 2. We launched our inquiry on the Floor of the House on 20 December 2012.3 We received 37 pieces of written evidence.4 We held four oral evidence sessions during our inquiry. A full list of witnesses can be found at the end of this report.5 We would like to express our thanks to all those who contributed to our evidence-gathering. As part of our work on this inquiry we visited Centrica’s trading floor and head office in Slough and also held a Parliament Talks outreach event in Glasgow where we heard local people’s concerns about energy price rises and fuel costs (see transcript at Annex 1). We are grateful to those who took the time to meet us and provide us with this first-hand experience of the concerns people have about energy prices. We were also supported by two specialist advisers, Marc Ozawa and Dr Anthony White. We are very grateful for their time and for helping to explain what is a very complicated topic. 3. In this report, we consider, through an analysis of energy prices, energy company profits and fuel poverty, what is being done to ensure consumer protection and fairness in the energy market. Chapter two looks at the energy price rises since the middle of the last decade, the factors other than profits (which we consider in chapter three) which are contributing to this trend and how energy companies and the Government communicate this to customers. It also discusses how the retail market could be made more competitive. Chapter three evaluates whether rising energy company profits are linked to rising energy prices. It explores the difficulties in determining this link and assesses current mechanisms which try to increase transparency. It also discusses how the wholesale market could be made more competitive. Chapter four assesses how rising energy prices could exacerbate fuel poverty, the implications of the proposed new definition of fuel poverty, and the delivery of fuel poverty policy. 1 Energy and Climate Change Committee, Fifth Report of Session 2012-13, Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets, HC 554-I 2 DECC, Annual report on fuel poverty statistics 2013, May 2013 3 HC Deb, 20 December 2012, col 1015 4 List of written evidence, p 73 5 Witnesses, p 73 8 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 2 Energy prices Rising energy prices 4. The price of domestic gas and electricity has generally increased over the past eight years after around a decade of falling prices (see figure 1). The big six energy suppliers have all recently increased their gas and electricity prices by between 6% and 11% (see table 1). DECC recently estimated that a UK household dual fuel (electricity and gas) energy bills in 2013 would be around £1,267 (before the Warm Home Discount (WHD) rebate) based on average levels of energy consumption. DECC reported that the average prices of gas and electricity paid by UK households had risen by around 18% and 9% (in real terms), respectively between 2010 and 2013, and by around 41% and 20% (in real terms), respectively, between 2007 and 2013. Taking into account declining levels of energy consumption, average household dual fuel bills were estimated to have increased by around 13% in real terms between 2010 and 2012.6 Figure 1: Index prices of selected fuel components of the RPI (indices relative to the all items RPI, January 1987=100) 150 Gas Electricity 125 100 75 50 25 0 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 Source: ONS series DOBY, DOBX, and CHAW 5. Consumers are increasingly concerned about the price of gas and electricity. Mr Lloyd, Executive Director of Which? reported polling results into consumers’ top financial concerns. Domestic energy prices were consistently either the highest or second highest concern. He described results from their most recent survey which showed that up to 40% of consumers had used savings or credit to pay for their domestic energy.7 This was echoed by Ms Pardoe, Energy and Policy Liaison Officer of Citizens Advice, who stressed that 6 DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate change policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 7 Q 41 [Mr Lloyd] Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 9 energy prices were one of the biggest issues for their bureaux. Last year, for example, they had a total of 97,000 inquires relating to fuel debt.8 6. A key message from Ofgem’s Project Discovery – which looked at what challenges in Britain’s energy market could lead to an increased risk to consumers’ energy supplies – found that consumers bills would rise under all the future scenarios considered. As a result, Ofgem cautioned that increasing numbers of consumers would find it difficult to afford adequate levels of energy to meet their requirements.9 Table 1: Big six price rise announcements in 2012–13 E.ON* British Gas** EDF*** ScottishPower**** SSE***** RWE****** Price rise effective from 18 January 2013 Average dual fuel price increase of 8.7% Average electricity only price increase of 7.7% Average gas only price increase of 9.4% Average increase of 6% on domestic gas and electricity prices from 16 November 2012. (Equivalent to approximately £80 a year or £1.50 a week for a dual fuel customer with average consumption.) Increase of standard variable prices for domestic gas and electricity consumers of 10.8% from 7 December 2012. (Equivalent to an increase of approximately £2.35 per week for a dual fuel customer with average consumption.) Average increase of 7% for domestic gas and electricity prices from 3 December 2012. (Equivalent to an increase of approximately £2 per week for an average standard dual fuel bill paid for by direct debit.) Increase for an average standard dual fuel bill paid for by monthly direct debit from £1,172 to £1,274 per year. (An increase of £102 per year, or 8.7%). From 15 October 2012. Average increase of 8.8% for gas and 9.1% for electricity from 26 November 2012. (Equivalent to an average increase of £109 per year or £2.08 per week) Source: * E.ON UK, Press Release, E.ON writes to customers to confirm price rise, effective from 18th January 2013 10 December 2012 ** British Gas, British Gas pricing announcement, 12 October 2012 *** EDF Energy, Press Release, EDF Energy announces price change for residential customers, 26 October 2012 **** BBC, Scottish Power to raise gas and electricity prices, 15 October 2012 ***** SSE, Household energy prices from 15 October 2012, 22 August 2012 ****** RWE, Npower announces changes to gas and electricity prices, 12 October 2012 Driving factors behind price rises 7. There are several factors which make up a customer’s energy bill. DECC recently estimated that the wholesale cost of fuel made up around 47% of an average household energy bill, the costs of supply – transmission, distribution and metering – around 20%, other supplier operating costs and profit margins around 19%, the costs of energy and climate change policies around 9%, and VAT 5% (see table 3).10 Most of the six largest 8 Q 41 [Ms Pardoe] 9 Ev 123 10 DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate change policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 10 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty energy suppliers provided a breakdown of their bills in their evidence to our inquiry (see table 2). The numbers were broadly in line with DECC’s estimate. 8. DECC suggested that the main drivers of recent increases are: wholesale energy costs, estimated to have contributed at least 60% of the increase in household energy bills between 2010-2012; network costs, supplier operating costs and profit margins, estimated to have contributed around 25% of the increase; and the costs of energy and climate change policies, estimated to have contributed around 15% of the increase.11 Energy supply companies argued that the majority of the costs which had contributed to energy price rises are outside their control.12 11 As above 12 Ev 4; Ev 13; Ev 30; Ev 81; Ev 101; Ev 113 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 11 Table 2: Big six energy suppliers breakdown of domestic energy bills Centrica Dual fuel E.ON Dual fuel SSE Dual fuel Elec Gas Elec Gas Elec Gas 46% 52% 50% 39% 58% 48% 51% not supplied not supplied Delivery (network 24% and transmission on costs) 21% 24% 24% 19% 22% 25% not supplied not supplied Environmental and social policies 9% 5% 10% 15% 6% 8% 4% 14% 7% Operating costs 10% 15% 6% 13% 9% 17% 15% not supplied not supplied Profit 5% 2% 5% 4% 3% not not not supplied supplied supplied not supplied VAT 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% not supplied not supplied 2011 2011 not stated not stated not stated 2011 2011 not stated not stated Wholesale energy costs Year Scottish Power EDF RWE npower Source: Ev 4, Ev 13, Ev 30, Ev 81, Ev 101, Ev 113 Wholesale cost of fuel 9. The wholesale cost of gas and electricity was the largest contributor to customer’s bills.13 RWE described how for gas, wholesale costs were determined by global gas prices and for electricity, the wholesale price was determined by the underlying fuel costs and the ‘merit order’ of plant.14 British Gas highlighted that because gas-fired power generation currently makes up roughly a third of UK installed capacity and typically generates around 40% of UK power. Therefore, rising wholesale gas prices would also have a significant impact on UK electricity prices because they set the marginal price for much of the year.15 10. There was widespread agreement that wholesale gas and electricity costs were the main reason behind price rises in recent years.16 The Committee on Climate Change had calculated in their report, Household energy bills, that increases in the wholesale cost of gas was the most significant factor behind energy bill rises from 2004 to 2010, adding around £290 to the average annual bill.17 DECC suggested wholesale costs can be volatile, driven by international demand and supply which can vary significantly over time.18 The Institute of Public Policy Research (IPPR) similarly asserted that predicting how wholesale energy 13 Ev w11, Ev 4, Ev 13, Ev 30, Ev w23, Ev w38, Ev 73, Ev 81, Ev 101, Ev 123 14 Ev 13 15 Ev 81 16 Ev w11, Ev w38, Ev 73, Ev 81 17 Committee on Climate Change, Household energy bills – impacts of meeting carbon budgets, December 2011 18 Ev 73 12 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty costs will change in coming years was an exercise fraught with uncertainty.19 DECC, however, believed that wholesale costs were likely to rise in the short- to medium- term.20 11. Ofgem’s 2008 Energy Supply Probe – which sought to understand whether the supply market was working in the interests of customers – examined how changes in wholesale gas and electricity prices were passed through to consumers by the large energy suppliers. It showed there was a lag between changes in wholesale and retail prices, and explained that this was the result of suppliers' hedging of their wholesale market exposures.21 British Gas explained how it tried to mitigate wholesale energy price volatility through hedging which benefited consumers: Energy retailers provide a valuable service for their customers by forward hedging much of their wholesale energy purchases, smoothing the impact of wholesale price volatility for customers and reducing price shocks.22 12. Citizens Advice suggested, however, that there is a common perception amongst consumers and many commentators that energy prices, ‘rise like a rocket when wholesale prices rise but sink like a feather when the wholesale prices fall.’23 In 2011, Ofgem reported that it had found, ‘some evidence that consumer energy bills respond more rapidly to rising supplier costs compared with falling costs.’24 While Citizens Advice said they recognised that suppliers strongly refute that claim, they noted that there was insufficient transparency in the way in which energy prices are set, which factors have an impact on the final bill a consumer receives, and what proportion of the bill is accounted for by each of these factors.25 Costs of supply – transmission and distribution 13. SSE described how suppliers had to pay the companies (system operator) which own the UK’s electricity and gas network for transporting energy along wires, cables and pipes to customers homes.26 These network companies had a natural monopoly.27 The amount they charged users of their network was controlled through a long-term regulatory formula determined by Ofgem. Cornwall Energy argued that the methodology used by network companies to determine charges to users was overly complex and the timeframe by which users were notified of price changes, too short. As a result, suppliers were unable to confidently assess future costs in retail offerings to their customers. Cornwall Energy went on to suggest that this uncertainty probably produced unnecessary costs to the customer.28 19 Ev w11 20 DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate change policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 21 Ev 123 22 Ev 81 23 Ev 1 24 Ofgem, Do energy bills respond faster to rising costs than falling costs?, 21 March 2011 25 Ev 1 26 Ev 4 27 In England and Wales the system operator is National Grid. In Scotland the system operator is Scottish Power and SSE 28 Ev w23 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 13 Scottish Power stressed, however, that the large cost associated with this element of bills was a result of significant and necessary investment undertaken to modernise the network and accommodate increases in renewables.29 E.ON warned that these costs were expected to rise over the coming years.30 Costs of energy and climate change policies 14. Table 3 shows the breakdown of energy and climate change policy costs in average household bills. Figure 2 shows DECC estimates for the costs of these polices in 2020 and 2030. Table 3: Breakdown of average household gas, electricity and energy bill in 2013 Real 2012 prices Gas bill Electricity bill Energy bill Wholesale energy cost £383 (55%) £215 (37%) £597 (47%) Network costs £124 (18%) £133 (23%) £257 (20%) Other supplier costs and margin £119 (17%) £121 (21%) £240 (19%) £33 (5%) £80 (14%) £112 (9%) £25 (4%) £22 (4%) £47 (4%) RO - £30 (5%) £30 (2%) EU ETS - £8 (1%) £8 (1%) CPF - £5 (1%) £5 (0%) £6 (1%) £6 (1%) £11 (1%) - £7 (1%) £7 (1%) £2 (0%) £1 (0%) £3 (0%) £33 (5%) £27 (5%) £60 (5%) £691 £576 £1,267 - -£13 -£13 £691 £563 £1,255 Energy and climate change policies ECO117 Warm Home Discount FITs Smart Meters & Better Billing VAT (5%) Total (no warm Home discount rebate) Average rebate (inc VAT) Total (with rebate) Source: DECC 2013. Figures may not add due to rounding Source: DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 29 Ev 113 30 Ev 30 14 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Average household gas and electricity prices (Real 2012 £/MWh) Figure 2: Estimated impact of energy and climate change policies on average retail gas and electricity prices paid by UK households (including VAT) 225 Small-scale FITs support cost 200 EMR support cost 175 RO support cost 150 EU ETS and CPF carbon price impact 125 Warm Home Discount support cost 100 ECO support cost and Green Deal admin cost 75 Smart Meters and Better Billing net supplier cost 50 Wholesale price effects 25 Baseline gas price 0 Baseline electricity price -25 Final gas price Gas Electricity 2013 Gas Electricity 2020 Gas Electricity 2030 Final electricity price Source: DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 15. In its recent report, Estimated impacts of energy and climate change policies on energy prices and bills, DECC reported that the average gas prices paid by UK households in 2012/13 were 5% higher due to Government energy efficiency policies such as the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) (see table 10). They claimed that the estimated impact of policies on household gas prices was expected to remain broadly unchanged to 2020. The average electricity price paid by UK households in 2012/13 were 17% higher due to Government energy efficiency policies and the added cost of supporting renewable energy. In the future, DECC estimated that the impact of these policies on the electricity price could increase to 33% in 2020 (in addition to any potential wholesale price rises).31 The Renewable Energy Association agreed with DECC’s analysis that support for renewable energy would comprise a larger proportion of energy bills in 2020. They were keen to point out, however, that current support for renewable energy which, it believed, was frequently blamed in the media for escalating energy bills, had contributed only 2% of the amount by which bills had increased over the past two years. It also highlighted that the impact of these polices on energy prices was predicted to fall in the longer-term to 2030.32 16. DECC emphasised that despite electricity price rises, the combined effect of policies on energy prices in 2020 was, on average, expected to be offset by the impact of policies which improved energy efficiency by helping households reduce energy consumption.33 The Secretary of State emphasised: We look at our impact of our measures on current bills and we believe that without our policies, bills would now be higher. Our policies on things like product efficiency, energy efficiency, have helped drive overall bills down compared with 31 DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate change policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 32 Ev w38 33 As above Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 15 what they otherwise would have been. When you then project forward to 2020, that saving is greater.34 Nevertheless, there was significant concern about the impact these policies could have on customers including the fuel poor (see paragraph 124). Supplier operating costs and profit margins 17. Supplier operating costs and profit margin is the part of a bill that energy companies control. It can be broken down into two: supplier operating costs and profit margin (see chapter three for discussion of energy supplier profits). Some energy companies were keen to emphasise that they had worked hard to reduce their operating costs. British Gas said, for example: We have been working hard to reduce our operating costs over recent years in order to protect customers from the full impact of rising prices. We are on track with our publicly announced programme to remove a further £300m of operating costs from our business over 2012 and 2013.35 Similarly, RWE pointed out that despite inflationary pressures, they have been extremely successful in reducing their operating costs in recent years through significant investment in systems and services.36 They drew attention to consolidated segmental statements (see paragraph 48) which they argued showed that cost cutting initiatives by large suppliers had resulted in operating costs falling by c£100m or 3% between 2010 and 2011, with further falls likely in 2012.37 18. In their report, The true cost of energy, the IPPR showed that Ofgem’s estimates of suppliers’ operational costs increased in real terms over time, by £9 per customer per year from 2007 to 2011. The IPPR suggested that if Ofgem’s estimates were accurate the suppliers would not have delivered the efficiency savings in the operational costs that should be expected if competition was working effectively.38 Furthermore, it showed that the difference between the most and least efficient supplier, in terms of operational costs per account, increased from a 90% differential in 2007 to a 113% differential in 2010. It concluded that in a competitive market the operational efficiency of the suppliers should converge over time. It took this as further evidence that competition was not fully effective in the market.39 Which? said: While the cost of retailing energy should be a small component of consumers’ bills, ineffective competition reduces pressure on suppliers to ensure that their costs are as 34 Q 439 35 Ev 81 36 Ev 13 37 Ev 13 38 Ev w11 39 Ev w11 16 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty efficient as possible [...]. This will remain a source of inefficient costs unless competition in the retail market becomes more effective.40 19. DECC suggested that supply company operating costs and profit margins may change overtime as direct and indirect costs change and as market share changes. Government and Ofgem are taking action to bring about greater competition in the energy market to put downward pressure on this element of the bill.41 20. Energy bills are rising and are likely to continue to rise in the future. The wholesale price of fuel has been the largest contributing factor, driven by rising global gas prices. Several other factors are also contributing to price rises including the need to invest and finance UK’s electricity and gas network and energy and climate change policies. The extent to which energy supply companies are actively working to reduce their operating costs remains unclear. Communicating reasons for price rises Government and regulatory action 21. Ofgem stated that its commitment to tackle poor transparency of consumer prices and bills was at the heart of its Retail Market Review (RMR). The RMR is central to its efforts to protect consumer interests. By reforming the energy market to make it simpler, clearer and fairer for consumers, it aimed to encourage and equip consumers to get the best deal for themselves.42 Ofgem proposed three key reforms as part of its review: Reducing tariff complexity by limiting each supplier to offering no more than four core tariffs at any point in time. Providing customers with better and more relevant information including tools to help them navigate the market, and relevant prompts on what engaging in the market might be. Providing greater confidence that an energy supplier will treat their customers fairly by requiring each supplier to develop management and business systems and processes to embed the Standards of Conduct in all aspects of their engagement with their consumers.43 22. Ms Harrison, Senior Partner of Ofgem said of the reforms; The reform package will reduce the number of tariffs, so that if companies are making profits and putting up their prices, that will not be done on the basis of bamboozling and confusing customers.44 40 Ev 26 41 Ev 73 42 Ev 123 43 Ofgem, The retail market review – Final domestic proposals: Consultation on policy effect and draft licence conditions, 27 March 2013 44 Q 399 [Ms Harrison] Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 17 In its recent report, Ensuring a better deal for consumers, DECC built on Ofgem’s retail market review work. The Secretary of State told us that while Ofgem would take forward the detailed reforms, the Energy Bill will give statutory backing to those proposals.45 Indeed in our Consumer Engagement report we noted the Government’s assertion that licence modifications did not carry the same weight as legislation. The Rt Hon Gregory Barker, Minister of State for Energy, suggested that legislation was required to avoid delay caused by disagreements between suppliers and the regulator.46 “Frustration” at the slowness of Ofgem’s progress on RMR was also noted by the Minister.47 The Government amended the Energy Bill to enable Government to: Cap the number of tariffs that suppliers may offer; Require suppliers to move customers on poor value dead tariffs to better value tariffs; Require suppliers to inform their customers of the savings they can make by moving to the cheapest tariff; and Introduce a tariff comparison tool.48 23. Consumer Focus49 stated that Ofgem had been slow to respond to the need to improve transparency in the market. They suggested that the Government could set a deadline to use its powers to concentrate Ofgem and the industry on the need for progress – and provide reassurance to consumers that something would change if they did not.50 Furthermore, Which? said that it thought the Government and Ofgem’s intervention via their tariff proposals contained a serious risk of allowing competition to remain weak. They argued that prices still could not be compared at a glance and that this would constrain competitive pressure on energy bills.51 Ofgem, however, suggested that they had been quick to tackle poor transparency where they have found problems. They went on to say that their past actions and future planned actions, which have yet to be implemented, will take time for customers to realise the full benefits.52 24. Professor Littlechild, Fellow at the Judge Business School, University of Cambridge was concerned that some of the proposals put forward by Ofgem and DECC, while wellmeaning, ‘fail to look at the implications for energy prices.’ He argued that: [...] those elements of Ofgem’s key proposals that sought to make the market simpler would restrict energy tariffs and would thereby remove attractive offers that 45 Q 423 46 Oral evidence taken before the Energy and Climate Change Committee on 30 October 2012, HC (2012–13) 554-ii, Q 288 47 Oral evidence taken before the Energy and Climate Change Committee on 30 October 2012, HC (2012–13) 554-ii, Q 286 48 Ev 73 49 Consumer Focus has changed its name to Consumer Futures 50 Ev 54 51 Ev 26 52 Ev 123 18 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty customers valued, reduce competition, increase prices and work to the disadvantage of customers without encouraging them to engage effectively.53 Professor Littlechild went on to say that it might be possible to provide more appropriate information. He suggested, “critics might [...] argue that the required measures represent undesirable further steps towards regulatory micro-management that will be burdensome and costly to suppliers, Ofgem and customers alike.’ He suggested that the proposals raise questions which are a matter for debate and discussion with customers, suppliers, consumer bodies and others.54 25. We welcome Ofgem’s and the Government’s proposals to ensure energy companies to improve the way they communicate with their customers. In addition to their proposals we recommend that the regulator compel energy companies to: a) Standardise the presentation of their bills to make it easier to understand bills and compare prices (for example on a price comparison website); b) Identify the various components which make up the costs of the bill (i.e. wholesale price of fuel, costs of supply (i.e. transmission, distribution and metering), the costs of UK/EU policy (including support for low-carbon/renewables and energy efficiency schemes) and company margins (i.e. operating costs and profit); c) Express price changes in pounds and pence as well as percentages. 26. We are disappointed at the regulator’s slow progress on requiring energy companies to improve their transparency and communication with their customers. We hope that Ofgem will use its existing powers to ensure that its RMR reforms are implemented. If the requirements proposed under Ofgem’s RMR are not in place by the August 2013 as promised, we recommend that the Government stand ready to use any statutory powers to compel greater transparency from energy companies, early in 2014. We believe that this intervention should deliver the desirable long-term aim of incentivising companies to provide more competitive products for consumers. It should not be considered a one-off intervention to reduce energy company profits. 27. We also repeat the recommendation made in our Consumer Engagement report that DECC should lead a full and frank conversation about the contribution that consumers are being expected to make towards ensuring we have safe, secure and affordable energy supplies in future. DECC should set out a detailed strategy and programme for action over the next two years. This should include how it will engage with the public on these issues in a meaningful way. Energy company action 28. Mr Lloyd of Which? suggested that energy companies needed to have an ‘honest conversation [...] about what is genuinely driving the increase in [customers] bills, what they can do to manage that, and where the investment that we are all paying for through 53 Ev w67 54 Ev w67 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 19 our bills is taking us.’55 In a speech, the CBI Director for Business Environment, Ms Kelly, argued that: [...] industry and government had a more honest conversation about solutions to make the market work better for consumers. Energy bills are going up. Neither side should try and hide the facts. But we should be clear on the reasons why. It's because global prices are increasing. It's because we need to invest to keep the lights on. And it's because policy costs are rising to facilitate investment in a balanced energy mix [...].56 Energy companies emphasised that they were doing a number of things to try and improve their communication and trust with their customers: E.ON had developed a ‘Reset programme’ which had led it to simplify the presentation of its tariffs using a new online tool. It also encouraged customers to check that they were on the best deal for their circumstances. E.ON reported that since launching its customer communication and advertising campaign towards the end of last year, over 300,000 customers had switched to one of its new products.57 SSE had reduced the number of tariffs from over 60 to three core products. It had also published a breakdown of costs on consumer bills. It also reported that it had introduced a Sales Guarantee offering all customers and an Annual Energy Review to ensure they were on the right products.58 British Gas had introduced a single unit rate and fixed standing charge tariff structure to improve customer understanding and helped compare British Gas tariffs with other suppliers. It had developed an online tool, showing the costs, benefits and fees associated with each tariff. It was introducing on its bills a personalised, proactive six-monthly comparison of what a customer was paying and what they would save by switching to other tariffs. It had also written to all its customers checking they were on the most appropriate tariff and it has reviewed customers’ bills and annual statements to make them easier to understand. This included using a light bulb to show graphically a breakdown of costs on the energy bill (see figure 3).59 55 Q 55 56 CBI, Don’t fall into ‘the blame game’ on energy costs – CBI, 4 July 2013 57 Ev 30 58 Ev 4 59 Ev 81 20 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Figure 3: British Gas light bulb showing average British Gas dual fuel bill in 2011 £474 £249 Wholesale energy costs Delivery to you home External costs £93 Environmental and Social policies £65 £102 Taxes Operating costs Our costs £48 Our profit British Gas 2011 Average Gas &Electricity bill (Total £1,031)* * Based on actual 2011 results, is and average of all payment types/tariffs/regions and is based on consumption levels of 443 therms for gas and 3,805kWh for electricity Source: Ev 81 EDF Energy had simplified its tariff structure. (It was keen to point out it did this before Ofgem’s announcement to reform the retail market). It also offered a Blue+ Promise product which informed customers if they would save more than £1 a week with any competitor’s product. It also published in graphic format a breakdown of a typical consumer’s bill on its website.60 Scottish Power had its own ‘trust and transparency agenda’, underpinned by its ‘World of Difference’ commitments, in which it had focused on providing customers with choice, clarity and control over its energy purchases, including through improved tariff information and tariff choices.61 RWE’s CEO, Mr Massara explained in oral evidence that it was launching an Energy Explained series which would aim to explain to the public how their bill is made up and how those different segments are likely to be impacted.62 29. Despite serious shortfalls in the way energy companies communicate with their customers, we are pleased to see that they have started to make some progress on improving how they communicate with their customers. It is clear that some are doing better than others. We commend those companies, including British Gas and EDF Energy, who are developing innovative new ways of communicating complex information to their customers. We are concerned, however, that their efforts are still falling far short of what is required to increase transparency and improve consumer trust. It is clear that meaningful improvements are unlikely to be achieved without regulatory intervention. A failure to communicate 30. DECC reported that Ofgem’s research had found that the public’s view of the energy market was ‘overwhelmingly negative’.63 Citizens Advice suggested there was insufficient 60 Ev 101 61 Ev w6 62 Q 229 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 21 transparency in the way energy prices were set, which factors had an impact on the final bill a consumer received and what proportion of the bill was accounted for by each of these factors. Consumer Focus suggested that while suppliers were improving their communication of underlying cost drivers affecting their businesses, there was still room for improvement.64 They outlined three key issues: The use of percentage figures without appropriate context. Because consumer familiarity with the components making up their bill is low, attributing a percentage figure to changing components within it, without reference to their overall cost could create, rather than remove, confusion. Juliet Davenport, CEO of Good Energy said that she did not see any problem with explaining in pounds and pence and percentages because, ‘some people appreciate one way, some people appreciate another.’65 Simultaneously blaming and taking credit for Government schemes. When Consumer Focus looked at the recent round of price rises, they noted two common themes: suppliers attributing much of the blame for price rises on the cost of Government schemes; and pointing out that the supplier was making great strides to help consumers by offering them free or subsidised insulation. It is not always made clear, it suggested, that the latter is paid for by the former. Citizens Advice argued that this leaves consumers angry and confused and that uncertainty around these issues further erodes consumer trust.66 Inclusion or exclusion of VAT from figures used for international comparison. Suppliers frequently point to the prices paid by consumers in the UK compared with those paid elsewhere in the EU to suggest that these strongly indicate that the UK had a competitive market. Consumer Focus observed that the UK applies an unusually low VAT rate to energy. This means that the UK’s position in international league tables can vary considerably depending on whether you choose to use tax-inclusive or tax-exclusive figures.67 31. Poor communication on the part of energy companies had resulted in what Mr Lloyd of Which? described as a deep mistrust of the energy suppliers.68 Citizens Advice recommended that, ‘in order for suppliers to regain the trust of consumers, transparency and clarity around pricing was essential.’ There was a key role for Government, the regulator and suppliers in ensuring a more open, reasoned public debate around price rises. This should move beyond political point scoring in the media between suppliers, Government and Ofgem which it believed had characterised price rises in the past.69 32. To some extent the failings highlighted by consumer groups were acknowledged by energy companies. Mr Massara, CEO of RWE admitted: 63 Ev 73 64 Ev 54 65 Q 205 [Ms Davenport] 66 Ev 1 67 Ev 54 68 Q 41 [Mr Lloyd] 69 Ev 1 22 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty I do not think the [energy] suppliers have necessarily got it right in explaining to customers what is happening to their bills, how their bills are made up, and indeed how their bills are likely to be made up.70 33. Similarly, British Gas accepted that, ‘the energy industry has not always done as much as it could to improve consumer trust, and that tariffs in particular have been both complicated, and delivered in a framework that has not always been transparent or easy to navigate.71 They went on to declare that, ‘more needs to be done to [...] better explain the components of their energy bills and the upward pressures on prices.’72 Alistair PhilipsDavies, CEO of SSE also recognised that, ‘bills are a little complex and confusing for people generally [...] and we should seek to simplify the bills for people.’73 RWE agreed that customers would benefit from enhanced information including some communication standardization (e.g. common terms and the annual statement).74 34. Ofgem emphasised the importance of transparency in driving effective competition. It suggested that transparency facilitated market functioning in a number of ways. Transparent and simple consumer prices and bills, it argued, enabled consumers to engage with the market. This would drive companies to compete more vigorously to retain customers and win new ones.75 35. We are disappointed that energy supply companies have not gone to greater lengths to explain to their customers the reasons behind energy price rises. It should come as no surprise to energy companies that poor communication on their part has resulted in deep mistrust from their customers. We welcome the industry’s acknowledgement that it has failed to act and needs to simplify and improve bills including explaining the individual components of a bill and the reasons for the upward pressure on prices. Ensuring a competitive retail market 36. Which? argued that competition driven by engaged and informed consumers was often the most effective mechanism to drive efficient prices.76 Professor Littlechild of the University of Cambridge suggested that the benefits of reducing complexity and increasing information may be overstated. He argued that customers are more likely to switch the greater the gains to be made.77 Mr Lloyd of Which? expressed his view that there was a growing distrust from consumers about whether they were paying a fair price: I think what we have seen over the years, where we have relied on a liberalised competitive retail market, is growing distrust on the part of consumers about 70 Q 228 71 Ev 81 72 As above 73 Q 206 74 Ev 13 75 Ev 123 76 Ev 26 77 Ev w67 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 23 whether the price they are paying is fair, a great difficulty in navigating their way around the market and identifying the best deals, and nowhere to look to, to compare authoritatively whether the price they are paying for gas and electricity is a decent one.78 The Secretary of State advocated increasing competition asserting, “we absolutely have to make sure that the energy companies feel the heat of competition.”79 A concern remains, however, as to whether the retail energy market is truly competitive.80 Market competitiveness 37. We examined competition in the domestic market in some detail in our report on Consumer Engagement.81 In evidence to this inquiry Which? argued that with only 5-10% of customers actively engaged in the retail market there was little incentive for suppliers or generators to be efficient and offer the lowest prices and, therefore, offer consumers the best deal.82 The IPPR believed that competition was not fully functioning in the supply market: its report, The true cost of energy, said that this was demonstrated by energy supply companies slowness to reduce their operational costs (see paragraph 18) and to overcharge their ‘sticky’ customers.83 Others suggested that the fact that no new entrant into the retail market had secured significant market share demonstrated that there were significant barriers for new entrants.84 38. RWE reported that ‘there was no evidence (as opposed to rhetoric) of problems on the supply side.’85 British Gas also argued that, ‘effective competition is the best way of ensuring that customers get a “fair deal”, and we believe the UK fundamentally delivers for customers.’86 Mr Cocker, CEO of E.ON said: We are in a competitive market and in terms of the price that we offer to our customers we have to be competitive. What we try to do is to make sure we offer fair, competitive prices to our customers and simple products.87 The Secretary of State also suggested that the UK was seeing more competition, not less. This was based on smaller companies entering the supply market and the development of collective switching of which he was an advocate.88 Professor Littlechild of the University of Cambridge said he thought this, ‘deserves further consideration.’ He suggested that one of 78 Q 42 79 Q 444 80 Ev w11, Ev 26, Ev 123 81 Energy and Climate Change Committee, Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets, HC 554-I 82 Ev 26 83 Ev w11 84 Ev w46 85 Ev 13 86 Ev 81 87 Q 140 [Mr Cocker] 88 Q 436 24 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty the most promising avenue of inquiry is DECC’s related question whether, ‘there is benefit in seeking to establish a co-ordinated network of voluntary organisations and community groups that work proactively with trained energy advisers to support vulnerable consumers to engage in the energy market’. This, Professor Littlechild argued, ‘would focus directly on the core concern [to encourage and equip consumers to engage effectively in the market], and would address it by extending the benefits of the market to a wider range of consumers.’89 Measuring competitiveness 39. E.ON commented that as part of the retail market reform, Ofgem needed to have a ‘vision of the market’ in the latter part of this decade. According to E.ON this vision should reflect Ofgem’s view of what competition and customer choice should look like, the potential for innovation, and Ofgem’s role in the market. It argued that Ofgem should be confident in its ability to manage principles-based regulation, whilst avoiding the restriction and risk of detailed regulation, to ensure customers got a fair deal in the market.90 40. In our Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets report we examined what metrics would help determine whether the supply market was competitive and concluded that there were several different ways of measuring whether the supply market was competitive including: The percentage of consumers who had never switched; The quality and outcome of switches; The number of suppliers in the market; The market share held by the largest energy companies; Supplier operating costs; The level of efficiency savings made by large suppliers; and The level of self-selling of electricity by vertically integrated companies.91 We recommend that Ofgem also include ‘profit margin’ and ‘rate of return on capital’ (because excessive profit margins are a symptom of poorly functioning markets) in the above list of metrics which would help determine whether the supply market was competitive. 41. We had previously recommended that: When Ofgem implements its final RMR measures, it should publish its targets for improvements in the market as a result of these measures and the criteria it will use 89 Ev w67 90 Ev 30 91 Energy and Climate Change Committee, Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets, HC 554-I Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 25 to judge the success of the measures. Going forward, Ofgem should also publish an annual assessment of the effect those measures are having on competition and consumer engagement. The Government responded stating; The government agrees that it is important that Ofgem sets out the indicators it will use to measure the effectiveness of its RMR proposals. We agree that indicators should seek to measure whether the market is working better for consumers and whether competition and liquidity are increasing.92 We were unsatisfied with Ofgem’s original response and asked them to write to us again clarifying their response. They said: With respect to recommendation 2, the Committee asked that Ofgem consider publishing its targets for improvement in the market as a result of the RMR reforms. We have given this area consideration and, in the RMR October 2012 consultation, we published a range of market indicators which could potentially be used for monitoring of the domestic RMR package, if it was implemented. Following the publication of our final RMR proposals, we are conducting further analysis in order to understand how we may measure the direct impact of the proposals on the market. This work will continue to be considered in more detail over the next few months. We are also committed to undertaking a comprehensive review of our proposed package of retail measures no later than 2017 if they come into effect before the end of 2013. Ofgem may carry out a review earlier if there is evidence to suggest it is necessary. 42. We conclude that the small level of switching by customers between energy suppliers suggests the retail market is not as competitive as it could be. There is, however, insufficient data to determine accurately the actual level of competition in the retail market. We repeat our recommendation that when Ofgem implements its final Retail Market Review measures, it should publish its targets for improvements in the market as a result of these measures and the criteria it will use to judge the success of the measures. Going forward, Ofgem should also publish an annual assessment of the effect those measures are having on competition and consumer engagement. 92 Energy and Climate Change Committee, Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets: Government and Ofgem Responses to the Committee’s Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, HC 1036 26 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 3 Profits Energy company profits 43. Mr Lloyd of Which? suggested that the six largest vertically integrated energy companies (big six) had been making regular and substantial profit announcements whilst at the same time raising energy prices: I think there is a justified lack of trust. [...] I think there are a number of causes. One is a lack of transparency about how the price and, in particular, the price increases that people have been paying have been arrived at, with very regular, very substantial profit announcements by particularly the vertically integrated suppliers [...]. That fuels the perception among consumers that there is something going on in the industry.93 Ms Gallacher, Director of Energy of Consumer Focus supported this view, suggesting that from 2008 to 2011 there had been a 36% increase in (pre-tax) profits across the big six.94 In its written evidence Consumer Focus reported the big six’s profits increased from £6.67 billion to £9.09 billion.95 Table 4, however, doesn’t appear to support this. It is also worth noting that the figures referred to by Consumer Focus are absolute profits rather than profit margins. Absolute profits will inevitably rise if energy company activity and investment rise. 44. Table 4 shows the reported turnover for the six largest energy companies. whether profits are 'excessive' is a matter of opinion. we accept that energy companies need to be profitable and profits will increase if the investment in infrastructure that the UK needs comes forward. Nevertheless, there remains a perception that profits are excessive. In this chapter we focus on how transparency can be increased in order to facilitate a better understanding of energy company profits. 45. Calculating energy company profits is, however, complicated. Despite very large turnover, and in some cases large pre-tax profits, the big six made significantly different levels of profit and loss in different parts of their business (see table 4). Furthermore, understanding how much profit an energy company was making requires an understanding of company structure (including whether they are based offshore), how they operate in the wholesale market and whether it is easy to trade in the wholesale markets (i.e. are they sufficiently “liquid”, and how they use their trading arm - if they have one). 93 Q 44 94 Q 56 95 Ev 54 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 27 Table 4: Turnover and profit for the big six (£ million) Turnover Company EDF EDF Energy Holdings Limited EDF Energy PLC EDF Energy Customers PLC British Energy Direct Limited SSE SSE PLC SSE Energy Supply Limited British Gas Centrica PLC British GAS Trading Limited Scottish Power Scottish Power UK Holdings Limited Scottish Power UK PLC Scottishpower Energy Retail Limited E.On E.On UK PLC E.On Energy Solutions Limited Npower RWE Npower PLC Npower Limited Npower Northern Limited Npower GAS Limited Npower Direct Limited Npower Yorkshire Limited Pre-tax profit Profit margin 2007-11 average 2011 2007-11 average 2011 2007-11 average 2011 2,457 n/a 5,301 1,009 7,371 3,849 4,951 676 386 n/a -127 15 627 41 -211 22 15.7% n/a -2.4% 1.5% 8.5% 1.1% -4.3% 3.2% 24,458 22,812 31,724 32,008 1,031 375 269 -7 4.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 20,979 12,316 22,824 12,786 1,527 713 1,268 1,898 7.3% 5.8% 5.6% 14.8% 6,261 5,098 3,192 7,450 6,441 3,378 690 625 76 327 295 -14 11.0% 12.3% 2.4% 4.4% 4.6% -0.4% 9,071 6,529 9,240 7,028 621 24 -199 157 6.8% 0.4% -2.2% 2.2% 785 3,224 1,449 606 412 309 687 3,293 1,686 386 355 236 96 -12 -102 -36 46 -57 -38 55 -117 -11 55 -27 12.2% -0.4% -7.1% -5.9% 11.2% -18.4% -5.5% 1.7% -7.0% -2.9% 15.4% -11.5% Note: The subsidiaries listed include energy supply among their activities, some but not all include other activities both inside and outside the energy sector. The table showed relevant subsidiaries for each of the big six. This excluded some of the much smaller subsidiaries. The range of operations of each company varies considerably. There is no direct read across from one company to another from such figures. Source: FAME database Company structure 46. SSE and British Gas are owned by UK companies. E.ON and RWE are owned by German companies, EDF Energy is owned by a French company, and Scottish Power a Spanish company. Some companies have upstream oil and gas exploration and production arms while others have gas storage arms. Common to all the big six is an (upstream) generation arm, a (downstream) supply/retail arm and a trading arm which provide trading services for both the generation and supply arms (see table 5). In oral evidence, each of the big six outlined the different parts of their business: 28 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Mr Cocker of E.ON said it had a, “retail business, which supplies electricity and gas to residential customers and business customers. We have a generation business, which generates electricity. We have a renewable business. We also have an upstream gas business and a gas storage business.”96 Mr Poole, Director of Business-to-Consumers of EDF energy said it had an, “upstream business, which is largely generating energy, on one hand and we have a downstream supply business supplying electricity and gas to our residential and business customers.”97 Mr Phillips-Davies of SSE said it had three business streams. “We have a network stream that is completely regulated and separated. We also have a wholesale or generation stream, and then we have a retail stream that deals with customers.”98 Mr Peters, Managing Director, Energy of British Gas said, “We have a very clear separation between downstream supply and our upstream business. We do also have a smaller storage business that is held out to one side through undertakings we made to Ofgem relating to the Rough transaction. Our trading operations are a route to market for both downstream and upstream and are embedded in our upstream business.”99 Mr Clitheroe of Scottish Power said it had three businesses. “The generation business, the energy management business and the retail business. The energy management business manages the buying and selling of energy on behalf of the generation and retail business.”100 Mr Massara of RWE said, “as of 1 January [...] the generation business is now a European generation business and therefore that is a separate P&L (profit and loss) completely. The trading division will have their P&L and, effectively, the downstream supply business will have theirs.”101 47. The big six argued that their businesses were simple, but the structures and relationships between the component elements are varied and complex. Some of the big six had a parent company which owned, or partly owned, multiple companies in different countries around the world. When these companies reported their overall profits they included all these multiple different companies. This complexity made it difficult to determine where profits and losses were being made within the company and how they might relate to recent energy price rises (see paragraph 4). Indeed, SSE explicitly pointed out that: 96 Q 115 [Mr Cocker] 97 Q 115 [Mr Poole] 98 Q 115 [Mr Phillips-Davies] 99 Q 224 [Mr Peters] 100 Q 224 [Mr Clitheroe] 101 Q 224 [Mr Massara] Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 29 With energy retail just one part of SSE’s business, and given the many factors that determine energy prices, attempting to draw correlations between energy prices rises and company-wide profits is misleading.102 Mr Lloyd of Which? said: [...] consumer perception is one of distrust in the energy market. A part of that is the lack of transparency about what is driving retail prices, but then if you look at the results that companies are reporting, they are reporting much healthier margins on the generation businesses than the retail businesses. That is part of why there is a perception, on the part of consumers, that there is something perhaps untoward going on between the different arms of vertically integrated companies.103 Energy Action Scotland stated its belief that, ‘in order to obtain a true competitive market for all suppliers big and small there must be a more transparent wholesale market with strong regulation from Ofgem.’104 Table 5: Different arms which make up each of the six largest vertically integrated energy companies Exploration/ Company production Generation x x E.ON* x EDF x x SSE Centrica/ British Gas ScottishP ower RWE x Trading x x x Retail x x x x x x x x x x x x Net‐ Gas work storage x x x x x Renewables x x x x x x x x *E.ON operates each of the businesses listed (Exploration and Production, Generation, Trading, Retail, Gas Storage and Renewables) as an independent standalone business within the overall E.ON group, which must optimise its own position separately, and not on a vertically integrated basis. Source: Q 115, Q 224 Increasing transparency of energy company profits Consolidated Segmental statements 48. In an effort to increase transparency of the big six’s profits, Ofgem has, since 2009, required them to publish Consolidated Segmental Statements (the statements) annually. The statements are intended to provide greater transparency about the profitability of the different parts of vertically integrated companies. Ofgem highlighted that as a result, for the first time, data was available on the companies’ revenues, costs and profits, disaggregated for their generation and supply arms.105 The Secretary of State said, “[the statements are] a 102 Ev 4 103 Q 52 [Mr Lloyd] 104 Ev w17 105 Ev 123 30 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty unique regime, to my understanding, and therefore I think it is something that should be celebrated and supported.”106 49. Ofgem has summarised the average profit margin of all big six energy companies (see table 6 below) over the last three years using the statements from them.107 Its figures are aggregated across the big six and show that the supply margin fell to 3.1% in 2011 after increasing from 1.8% in 2009 to 3.8% in 2010, and that the generation margin rose from 21.9% in 2010 to 24.4% in 2011. Ofgem reported how in its 2008 Energy Supply Probe it found that suppliers’ margin targets were between 4 and 10%. We would expect generation margins to be larger because it requires larger capital investment and carries greater financial risk. The Probe also explained more about the structure of energy supply businesses, which have low levels of invested capital and a high level of pass-through costs. Both these factors, Ofgem reported, would suggest significantly lower levels of profitability on the supply side than the capital intensive generation parts of these companies.108 Table 6: Average profit margin by segment 2011 aggregate margin 2010 aggregate margin 2009 aggregate margin All segments 7.6% 7.2% 5.8% Generation 24.4% 21.9% 22.5% Supply 3.1% 3.8% 1.8% Electricity - Domestic 1.5% 0.3% 2.1% Electricity - non-Domestic 3.3% 4.7% 4.0% Gas - Domestic 4.3% 5.7% -0.4% Gas - non-domestic 6.5% 6.2% -0.5% Profit margins Source: OFGEM: Consolidated Segmental Statements 50. Most of the big six believed that the statements helped to improve transparency. E.ON described them as a, ‘valuable tool’.109 EDF Energy similarly suggested that they, ‘provide robust information’.110 Scottish Power proposed that media and political commentary should focus more on the statements and that they should be made more visible to consumers.111 Ms Gallacher of Consumer Focus said they had stimulated discussion around energy company profits which she thought was positive: [...] it does generate quite a lot of debate now. Maybe if we had not had them, the level of consumer interest in energy prices might not be as great as it is, so I think they have definitely prompted a degree of debate. [...] If that is something that brings focus on this market and encourages Ofgem, Government, consumer bodies, and 106 Q 448 107 Ofgem uses EBIT (Earnings before Interest and Tax deductions) as our measure of profit. In the 2009 and 2010 summarydocuments it used EBITDA for the supply margins, where EBITDA adds back depreciation and amortisation to the profit figure. It has now chosen to present all the results on a consistent EBIT basis. 108 Ev 123 109 Ev 30 110 Ev 101 111 Ev 113 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 31 industry to try to sort it out, rebuild consumer trust and try to give greater confidence on price fairness and transparency, then that is a good thing.112 51. There were, however, limitations to the effectiveness of the statements in increasing the transparency and comparability of the big six’s profits. Ofgem put this down to how companies operate and structure themselves: This is mainly because of the various differences among the companies in how they operate and structure their businesses and therefore how they report their results. In particular, differences in the way the trading arm remunerates the generation and supply arms will create differences in how the information contained in the Statements is calculated.113 Mr Lloyd of Which? also thought that the Statements had failed to demonstrate that consumers were paying a fair price: What it [CSS] has not done, if I may, is [...] translate what we think is an accurate picture of what is going on in the market to consumers. [...] if part of what is intended through the publication of segmented accounts is to give customers some assurance that the businesses are operating competitively and the retail end in their interest, as well as to show shareholders what is going on, then they are failing in that objective. There is not sufficient data there for us to be able to say with confidence that consumers are in a competitive market that is giving them keen prices.114 52. Ofgem emphasised that, since introduction of the statements, it had worked to improve their transparency and cross-comparability. In 2011, it commissioned a detailed review of the statements by the accountancy firm BDO. The review concluded that the methods the big six used to complete the statements were ‘broadly fair and appropriate’. However, it also identified a number of inconsistencies in the business models used, limiting crosscomparability. BDO made a number of recommendations to improve the statements. Ofgem consulted on a range of proposals based on the recommendations and enacted them in 2012 (see table 7). They did not take forward any of the proposals in their original form. Ms Gallacher of Consumer Focus said she did not understand why Ofgem did not implement all BDO’s recommendations: I do not understand [...] why Ofgem did not choose to implement all the recommendations from BDO. It would be quite helpful to understand whether it was cost drivers or technical or physical ability to do that but you would really have to question why you would pursue this if it is not really helping the situation.115 53. Mr MacGregor, Head of Advisory Services of BDO told us that if its recommendations had been implemented it would have led, over a period of time, to more transparency over the performance of the big six.116 When asked why they didn’t take the recommendations 112 Q 76 [Ms Gallacher] 113 Ev 123 114 Q 75 [Mr Lloyd] 115 Q 75 [Ms Gallacher] 116 Q 345 32 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty forward Mr Wright, Senior Partner of Ofgem said Ofgem had taken forward five modified recommendations and rejected three: [...] because they did not meet our criterion of meeting our cost benefit analysis, so we did not think that the cost associated with the usefulness of the information released would be in the interests of consumers.117 54. In written evidence Ofgem did, however, state that there is, ‘still more that the companies can do to make the statements clearer to consumers in a way that substantially increases their understanding and trust’. Ofgem asserted that companies, ‘have a key role in delivering this and we would hope to see them taking this responsibility seriously’.118 Table 7: Ofgem revised proposals following BDO’s report Recommendation January 2012 May 2012 1. Require the companies to publish their Statements to the same year-end We do not intend to take forward this recommendation As in January 2. An independent auditor to provide an opinion on the Statements We propose obtaining an independent opinion, at least for the first year, but not necessarily from an auditor We propose to take forward this recommendation As in January We do not propose to take forward this recommendation, although we do propose companies produce a checklist to identify where functions are undertaken We do not intend to take forward this recommendation As in January 6. Introduce uniform reporting treatments for generation fuel costs and free EU ETS allowances We propose to take forward this recommendation 7. Guidance on scope and definition of exceptional items 8. Specify consistent profit base for reconciliation We propose to take forward this recommendation We propose to take forward a variation of this recommendation and allow companies that operate toll processing arrangements to provide the fuel costs as a supplementary note to the main results template As a result of our amended proposal on recommendation 3, recommendations 7 and 8 are no longer required in their original form. 3. Instruct reconciliation of the Statements to an audited IFRS income statement 4. Require the reporting of trading function results, including disclosure of the risk each trading function assumes 5. Perform further work to assess current transfer pricing policy We propose to take forward this recommendation We propose to take forward a variation of this recommendation and require companies to reconcile to the UK result in their published Group Accounts As in January Source: Ofgem, Improving the Reporting Transparency of Large Energy Suppliers consultation, 1 May 2012 117 Q 376 118 Ev 123 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 33 Trading 55. Trading provides a route to market for energy companies.119 The trading arms of the largest vertically integrated energy companies provide a service buying and selling energy on behalf of the generation and supply arms.120 There are two key markets which energy companies use: the day ahead market (usually done through an exchange) and the forward market (usually done through a trading platform using bilateral over-the-counter (OTC) transactions). The big six described how they buy and sell (or “churn”) energy products from these markets several times before delivery.121 The big six emphasised that they traded as part of a risk management strategy to manage (or hedge) any peaks in market prices (see paragraph 11). Mr MacGregor of BDO agreed with this assertion: What we are talking about is the companies themselves trying to work out what the future is going to look like as far as demand is concerned and then coming up with pricing modelling to manage that risk over the period of time. That is what they are doing as far as the trading is concerned. They are basically trying to work out what future demand is and keep their costs of purchase to a minimum, because of course the closer you get to needing power, if you do not have a contract which will give you that power, the more money it will cost you.122 Mr MacGregor went on to say that, ‘there is nothing suspicious about trading and hedging itself. It is a perfectly rational business activity, especially for these businesses.’123 56. Trades in both gas and electricity were overwhelmingly transacted in OTC trades with comparatively only a very small amount traded through exchanges (see table 8). EDF Energy said that since the advent of the New Electricity Trading Arrangements in March 2001,124 the OTC electricity market has been the main route to the wholesale market for energy companies who wish to forward hedge their electricity market risks.125 This market is also the most liquid for both gas and electricity which means that prices are more competitive which is important for companies looking for the most economic route to market.126 In addition, British Gas and Scottish Power reported that trading forward contracts on exchanges could be more costly than the OTC market.127 57. Which? was concerned that the wholesale market was dominated by OTC trades. They argued that these trades were not transparent because they were not disclosed and were, therefore, vulnerable to manipulation. They also argued that it raised questions about 119 Q 224 [Mr Peters] 120 Q 118 121 Q 133 [Mr Cocker] 122 Q 361 123 Q 366 124 New Electricity Trading Arrangements (NETA) is the name of the system under which electricity is traded in the United Kingdom's electricity market. NETA came into force on 27 March 2001. As of April 2005, NETA changed its name to the British Electricity Trading Transmission Arrangements (BETTA), and expanding to become the single Great Britain electricity market of England, Wales and Scotland 125 Ev 110 126 Ev 9, Ev 18, Ev 35, Ev 94, Ev 110, Ev 119 127 Ev 94, Ev 119 34 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty whether contracts linked to OTC indexes were value for money.128 Richard Lloyd of Which? described BDO’s conclusions and its implications; it was impossible to see whether the transfer pricing had been done in the best interests of consumers. It was impossible to determine the prices offered to the supply businesses within the vertically integrated companies. I think much more transparency about transfer pricing and the methodologies that are being used is a start, but in the end, without more structural changes the segmented accounts, to be honest, at times just raise more questions than they answer.129 58. All of the big six stated, however, that there was either no or minimal price difference between the OTC and exchange market.130 In particular, British Gas and RWE suggested that any price difference which did emerge was quickly reduced by arbitrage.131 RWE stated that, ‘traders buy the cheaper product (wherever it is traded) and sell the more expensive product (on the other platform) to ensure that prices return to an equivalent basis.’132 In written evidence, the big six also consistently specified that price bids were available to everyone on the trading platform and that is it is not the case that preference for OTC trades were necessarily secretive thereby advantaging the company.133 Table 8: Percentage of volume of gas and electricity traded in either over the counter trades or through an exchange Electricity Gas Company OTC Exchange OTC Exchange Period EDF 71% 21% 95% 5% 2012 E.ON 80% 20% 70% 30% N/A SSE 0% (forward) 4% 99% 1% Current RWE 100% (forward) 96% 99% 1% 2011 Centrica (British gas) 96% 4% 77% 23% Scottish Power 85% 15% 90% 11% First four months of 2013 2012 Source: Ev 9, Ev 18, Ev 35, Ev 94, Ev 110, Ev 119 59. The original consolidated segmental statements did not require the big six to explicitly disclose their trading activities. Ms Gallacher of Consumer Focus told the Committee that not including trading in the statements was a fundamental omission.134 MacGregor of BDO said that trading was an important part of their overall business model.135 Mr Wright of Ofgem said that: 128 Ev 26 129 Q 74 [Mr Lloyd] 130 Ev 9, Ev 18, Ev 35, Ev 94, Ev 110, Ev 119 131 Ev 18, Ev 94 132 Ev 18 133 Ev 35, Ev 18, Ev 94, Ev 110, Ev 119 134 Q 74 [Ms Gallacher] 135 Q 349 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 35 [...] because we do not necessarily have the full picture of all the relationships between the license businesses and the trading businesses, we accept that there is a possibility there are some missing pieces of information.136 60. In the interests of promoting increased transparency, BDO recommended that trading function results be reported, including disclosure of the risk each trading function assumes. Instead Ofgem proposed that the statements include a checklist table where trading activity can be allocated to segments. Mr Wright said he thought that, “the independent checklist adds value.”137 Mr MacGregor, however, asserted that the checklist was not at all satisfactory: My recommendation was including the trading in the segmental accounts, not a checklist. The checklist is possibly open to interpretation. I don’t know the value of it. Including the trading gives you a much better idea of the total picture of the financial performance of the companies, if that is what you are trying to get to. The review was—my instruction was—to look at improving the way these CSSs are prepared. Quite frankly, I would much prefer to see numbers, rather than a checklist with some ticks on it.138 61. Mr Wright emphasised that this there might be difficulties in obtaining full information because the regulator did not necessarily have the power to make companies disclose profits they were making overseas.139 Mr MacGregor, however, said that he thought the big six would have detailed trading information.140 He doubted that the cost of producing trading information is significant.141 He agreed that the perceived reluctance of energy companies to include their trading information in the statements reinforces the suspicion that is an activity which can be used to confuse and obscure.142 He underlined his opinion that trading could be used to move profits from one part of the business to another: Yes, in trading and the transfer pricing aspects of trading, as between generation and supply, of course there is an opportunity for profits to be moved around, within certain parameters. There is no doubt about it.143 He concluded that including trading activities in the Statements would give a much better idea of the total financial performance of the companies.144 62. We understand that there may be difficulties in getting large vertically integrated energy companies to report their trading activities especially if they are foreign owned or based overseas. However, we believe that the increase in transparency and associated 136 Q 377 137 Q 380 138 Q 356 139 Q 377 140 Q 357 141 Q 357 142 Q 358 143 Q 359 144 Q 356 36 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty consumer trust clearly justifies including trading activities in the statements. We recommend that Ofgem require the big six to include trading activities in the statements. There is an opportunity for energy companies to make reputational gains by setting an example of best practice. In the context of low consumer confidence, we hope that energy companies will see the benefits of increased transparency. Auditing 63. Unlike the statutory accounts, there is no requirement for the segmental accounts to be certified as true and fair by an independent auditor. Auditors are subject to a regulation and supervision regime governed by the Financial Reporting Council. Audits must follow International Standards on Auditing, whereas accountants’ reports can follow any format agreed in terms of reference. Auditors are also subject to ethical standards that are designed to limit conflicts of interest and maximise quality assurance. Non-audit engagements are not subject to these limitations. BDO recommended that an independent auditor provide an opinion on the statements. Ofgem, however, instead proposed obtaining an independent opinion, at least for the first year, but not necessarily from an auditor. 64. Mr Wright of Ofgem said he thought that an audit, “would be quite an extensive and intrusive thing to do to companies that are already audited.”145 Mr MacGragor of BDO said he thought a review did not provide the same level of assurance: An audit will look at the information in the CSSs and how that relates back to the underlying financial information. It will give some level of assurance—that is the point of audit—that that segmental information has been correctly prepared and stated. The review does not do anything like that. As I understand it, it is a desktop review with no enquiries made of the companies or their auditors. [...]. It does not give an assurance.146 65. We believe that obtaining an independent opinion as opposed to requiring an audit of the statements is unsatisfactory because it does not provide a sufficient level of assurance to bolster trust in energy companies. The potential cost and inconvenience to the large vertically integrated businesses would be eclipsed by the gains in confidence an audit would bring. We recommend that Ofgem require the statements to be audited. Publishing statements to the same year end 66. The financial reporting period is not mandated. All of the big six have a 31 December year end, except for SSE, which has a 31 March year end. This reduces comparability because the cost of generation fuels varies with time and because the later year end for SSE means that Ofgem takes much longer to produce its analysis of the statements for the big six. BDO recommended that companies be required to publish their statements to the same year end. Mr Macgregor of BDO suggested that he didn’t think it would cost very much considering the size of the big six.147 Mr Wright, however, disagreed suggesting it 145 Q 380 146 Q 353 147 Q 352 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 37 was of limited value because the numbers were still comparable: the difference over the three months would not be huge. He suggested that significant costs would be incurred by SSE. He suggested, “all of that needs to be borne in mind against the limited improvement in transparency that would provide. I do not think there is a great deal been lost by SSE having a different year-end when you look at the statements that have been published so far.”148 67. We note that Scottish Power recently changed its financial reporting period to align with the majority of companies.149 We believe that the costs and inconvenience to SSE to change its year end would be outweighed by the gains in comparability across the different statements. We recommend that Ofgem require SSE to change its financial reporting period to align with the other large vertically integrated energy companies. Uniform treatments for EU Energy Trading System (EU ETS) allowances150 68. Trading activities related to environmental measures, such as sale of Renewable Obligation Certificates or Carbon Trading may not be adequately disclosed in the statements. Similarly, supplier spending in support of other schemes (e.g. domestic energy saving) may not be included in the statements. Carbon permits in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme have an intrinsic value that varies, depending on market conditions. BDO recommended that Ofgem introduce uniform reporting treatments for generation fuel costs and free EU ETS allowances. Mr Macgregor said this should be done in the interests of improving comparability of the Statements: They just treat things differently. One of my recommendations—again, I take you to my overall contextual point at the beginning—was that if you are going to do things and look at comparability, you need the information compared on a consistent basis. The carbon credits and things like that are just one of a number of areas where I was recommending that you need to start from the same base point. You need to have a consistent approach to exceptional items, for example. You need to reconcile back to the same starting points—EBIT or EBITDA.151 Otherwise, as I said before, you end up with six statements that mean something on their own but do not really mean anything as a group.152 Treatment of exceptional items 69. Areas of accounting estimate, such as depreciation and impairment on asset values, can distort the presentation of figures. Significant one-off items, such as provisions for restructuring, or profits or losses on the disposal of an asset, can distort the financial statements and reduce year-on-year comparability. BDO recommended that Ofgem 148 Q 381 149 Q352 150 EU emissions trading system (EU ETS): a ‘cap and trade’ policy tool for reducing industrial greenhouse gas emissions cost-effectively. It is the first and largest international system for trading greenhouse gas emission allowances. The EU ETS covers more than 11,000 power stations and industrial plants in 31 countries, as well as airlines 151 Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) 152 Q 370 38 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty introduce guidance on scope and definition of exceptional items. Mr Macgregor credited Ofgem with pursuing this. He suggested that one-off items were to be expected. He highlighted however, that, “you do need the ability to strip [exceptional items] out of the ongoing activities so you can understanding what the underlying financial performance has been.”153 70. We reject Ofgem’s assertion that most of BDOs recommendations would put unnecessary burdens on the big six. The impact of BDO’s recommendations should be considered as a package We believe that taken as a whole, the benefits of BDOs recommendations – in terms of improvements to transparency and comparability of the statements and associated improvements in consumer trust – significantly outweigh any burdens on the six largest vertically integrated energy companies. We acknowledge that there will be additional costs involved with implementation of BDO’s recommendations, but we believe that the benefits in terms of increased transparency and competition, and the potential downward pressure on prices that may result, justifies the expense. 71. We recommend that Ofgem should require the six largest vertically integrated companies to implement BDO’ recommendations 1 (publishing statements to the same year-end), 2 (independent auditor opinion on statements), and 4(reporting of trading function results). We also encourage Ofgem to consider requiring implementation of BDO’s recommendations in full and to publish, in its response to this report, its analysis of the cost to energy companies of full implementation. We also recommend that Ofgem undertake further work to assess current transfer pricing policies. Supply Market Indicators 72. The SMI is Ofgem’s key indicator to improve transparency in the retail market. Its role is to help interested parties gain a greater understanding of the relationship between retail prices and supplier costs. It is a rolling average net profit margin which an energy supply company could expect to make on supplying a typical customer on a standard tariff for both gas and electricity. Ofgem also produce a snapshot estimate of the net margin on supplying a typical, standard tariff dual fuel customer for the next 12 months (see table 9). In order to calculate this average net profit margin Ofgem uses: Data: including an average of the estimated net margin data for the previous six months, the current month, and the next six months. A methodology: based on a number of assumptions such as the typical household energy consumption. It also uses its own hedging strategy (similar to actual energy companies) to estimate supplier wholesale costs. 153 Q 372 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 39 Table 9: Changes in retail bills, costs and total indicative net margin for the next 12 months – June 2013 Dual Fuel Year Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Customer bill £1,150 £1,105 £1,170 £1,310 £1,420 Wholesale costs £655 £485 £570 £635 £640 VAT and other costs £400 £435 £480 £525 £560 Gross margin £95 £185 £125 £150 £220 Operating costs £130 £130 £130 £130 £130 Total indicative net margin for the next 12 months -£30 £55 -£10 £20 £90 Rolling net margin -£5 £55 £45 £45 £100 Source: Ofgem, Electricity and Gas Market Indicators, www.ofgem.gov.uk 73. SMIs have in the past caused heated public debate between Ofgem and the energy companies.154 Consumer Focus describe the SMI as ‘very useful’ with ‘significant use as a diagnostic tool in order to understand what’s driving bills’.155 Mr Wright of Ofgem highlighted the benefits of SMI: The supply market indicator, once again, is an initiative from us to improve transparency in this market. Had we not taken this initiative there would be no ongoing view of the forward looking profitability of these companies. It enables consumers, politicians and the media to have a dialogue about whether or not price increases were justified, whether price increases are in the offing. It is used by other agencies, for example, the Bank of England, to look at inflation forecasts. So it is a useful addition to the transparency in the market. You cannot expect us, in the position we are in, to be able to make accurate forecasts of the company’s profitability looking 12 months ahead.156 74. Several organisations argued that methodological deficiencies reduced the accuracy of SMIs. In oral evidence, some energy companies suggested that energy consumption figures under the SMI were overstated, leading to exaggerated profit margins. SSE stated that Ofgem’s methodology “appears to have a consistent bias towards overstating profit margins”. Alistair Phillips-Davies of SSE explained: Unfortunately there are errors in those figures. They consistently overstate the consumption that people make. It is the most fundamental part of the errors they make. We could give you a list of the errors they make, but they fundamentally and consistently overstate the levels of consumption that people make and therefore that causes a fundamental overstatement of the profitability of those businesses.157 154 Ev 1 155 Ev 54 156 Q 382 157 Q 209 40 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Mr Wright said he accepted the accusation on consumption. He agreed that consumption levels had changed. Ofgem had initiated a review both for use in the supply market indicator and the average consumption levels that Ofgem would use in the media when quoting the size of a typical bill. They will update the assumptions following this review.158 75. But Mr Wright also defended the methodology overall: [...] because we want to make what we are doing transparent, we have a published methodology which we allow other people to replicate. We rely on public domain information and as a result, there are some simplifying assumptions in that. I think that makes it practical to update the supply market indicator regularly. As a result of that, we look at the profitability of a typical customer, with typical consumption, on standard dual fuel tariffs. Now, that is not the same as giving a forecast of the profitability of the companies. The companies point out the differences; typical consumption is not necessarily the same as average consumption. They have discounted tariffs that we don’t take into account. We use a simplified hedging strategy, an 18-month hedging strategy because we do not know the companies’ hedging strategies. They do not disclose it and we have no way of knowing. So inevitably there are going to be differences, but does that mean this is not useful? I don’t think it does. I think this is a useful indicator that provides a useful indication.159 76. Some organisations have identified disparities between the SMI and the CSS which call into question their accuracy. Consumer Focus explains: It should also be noted that it is hard to reconcile the statements with Ofgem’s separate monitoring of supply market indicators. For example, the statements suggest that in 2010 three of the big 6 made profits on their electricity supply business while three made losses, with an aggregate margin of the six businesses of 0.3 per cent – roughly breakeven. However, its supply market indicators reports suggest that electricity supply was consistently profitable throughout 2010 at about a £30 margin on an approximately £500 average annual bill, inferring a supply margin around 6 per cent. Although the supply market indicators are based on a ‘typical’ standard tariff bill at average consumption levels rather than all bills, the majority of consumers remain on standard tariffs. To get from a ~6 per cent margin across the majority of consumers to a 0.3 per cent margin across all consumers might imply predatory pricing; that market leading deals are being sold at a very heavy loss. Alternately, it might imply that either the statements and/or the supply market indicators provide a false perspective of supplier profitability.160 77. We believe that the Supply Market Indicator is a useful tool, for assessing the supply margin of the big six’s retail business. The disagreements between Ofgem and the energy companies over the figures, played out in the media, are deeply unhelpful and only work to erode public trust in the companies and confidence in the regulator. 158 Q 232 159 Q 382 160 Ev 54 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 41 Companies should engage constructively in improving the SMI. We recognise the methodological concerns and recommend that Ofgem actively review the methodology and improve it so that the SMI more accurately reflects the actual activities of energy companies. REMIT 78. The EU regulation No 1227/2011 on wholesale energy market integrity and transparency (REMIT) came into force in December 2011. It is aimed at preventing market abuse including market manipulation and insider trading in wholesale energy markets. It will do this by introducing explicit prohibitions of market manipulation and insider trading. It requires public disclosure of insider information by market participants and introduced an obligation to report suspicious transactions. Importantly it provides Ofgem with enforcement and investigatory powers. Consumer Focus hoped that the regulations would provide Ofgem with greater powers to disclose energy companies’ actual traded cost of energy and therefore allow it to verify suppliers’ wholesale costs.161 With regards to REMIT the Secretary of State said that he was implementing REMIT and that he wanted to be one of the first EU countries to transpose it.162 79. We recommend that the Government ensure Ofgem takes full advantage of these new REMIT powers. Improving wholesale market competitiveness 80. In addition to improved transparency and communication, measures to encourage more competitive markets were proposed as one of the best ways to ensure customers were paying a fair price. This was especially true for the electricity wholesale market. Which? described the important role wholesale markets play in encouraging investment and influencing future energy prices. They suggested that the Government and regulator should consider what action was needed to ensure that price information was robust and that the markets were competitive.163 Mr Cocker of E.ON also emphasised that liquidity in the market was important for his company’s business model and to engender confidence in market: [...] it is absolutely vital for us that we have a deep and liquid market in order to enable that business model to work. So we had a clear self-interest in supporting liquidity. In addition to that, I personally believe that it is very important to have liquidity in order to engender confidence in the market and competition.164 81. Consumer Focus said that there were significant problems with liquidity in the wholesale electricity market. They suggested that, ‘while spot and prompt markets are relatively heavily traded, the forward market is thinly traded and largely illiquid.’ Liquidity 161 Ev 54 162 Q 428 163 Ev 26 164 Q 141 [Mr Cocker] 42 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty was an essential prerequisite for a healthy market and to keep costs down, they argued.165 This was confirmed by Ofgem. As part of their proactive monitoring of the wholesale electricity market they identified, ‘poor and stagnating liquidity as a barrier to compensation, preventing entry and growth of new players and imposing costs on consumers.166 Consumer Focus described how, ‘for all stakeholders, liquid heavily traded markets would provide clear signals of the ‘real’ price of energy – and could therefore help gauge whether end user prices are fair.’167 82. Since its 2008 Energy Supply Probe, when it first identified liquidity as a problem, Ofgem has used a combination of carrot and stick techniques to improve liquidity. Mr Wright of Ofgem said that, ‘it is far better that the industry steps up and solves this problem itself rather than responding reluctantly to rules we put in place.’168 Its Liquidity Project which sits alongside Ofgem’s retail market review (see paragraph 21) is, ‘central to [its] efforts to ensure that consumers get the best possible deals from competitive energy markets.’169 The Liquidity Project challenged the industry to deliver three key objectives: Availability of products which support hedging; Robust reference prices along the curve; and An effective near-term market. 83. Mr Wright of Ofgem described the improvements Ofgem has made to market liquidity: There have been significant increases in the volumes traded on the day-ahead market, for example. The day-ahead auction is now well established and the shortterm market is a critical part of the market. It is not only useful in its own right but potentially encourages other people to come into the market to trade on longer-term products as well. On top of that the companies now treat small suppliers far better than they used to. We used to have a litany of complaints about the credit terms, the clip sizes and a whole bunch of barriers about why small suppliers were not able to get hold of the electricity and gas they needed from the Big Six.170 84. SSE in particular had supported smaller suppliers. Mr Phillips-Davies of SSE explained that they had made available to smaller suppliers’ ‘free credit’ so they could trade in the market.171 When asked why it did this, Mr Phillips-Davies said it was responding to criticism that the big six were not helping smaller suppliers and that, ‘[it was] very happy to see a deep, liquid and competitive market, and we would support actions that delivered that.’172 165 Ev 54 166 Ev 123 167 Ev 54 168 Q 390 169 Ev 123 170 Q 390 171 Q 126 172 Q 141 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 43 85. Ofgem reported that even though there had been improvements, overall its objectives remained unmet.173 Mr Wright said that it could no longer wait for the industry to solve the issue by itself and would plug the remaining gaps that exist.174 In written evidence Ofgem said it had a, ‘firm preference for intervention to improve liquidity.’175 This included proposals it had recently announced designed to give independent energy suppliers a more level playing field to compete against larger companies. Ofgem also hoped that it will increase competition between these larger companies. Ofgem said that under the proposals: The big six suppliers will have to post the prices at which they buy and sell wholesale electricity on power trading platforms up to two years in advance. They will be obliged to trade at these prices, which means independent suppliers and generators will have far more opportunities to buy and sell the power they need to compete effectively. Posting prices in this way will make wholesale prices clearer for all firms in the market. The new licence conditions will be backed by Ofgem’s powers to fine companies if they are in breach.176 The Secretary of State said that he had made it clear that he wanted to see much greater liquidity in the forward markets because it was good for competition and transparency: Just in case anyone was in any doubt, we obtained in the Energy Bill reserve powers so that if Ofgem proposals do not work, we would still have the powers to come and revisit the wholesale markets to get liquidity. I do not think we could have been clearer supporting the independent energy regulator and giving a clear steer that we want to see more competition in the wholesale markets.177 Consumer Focus outlined their view that, ‘Ofgem has made little progress despite five years of trying.” They encouraged the Government to set a firm deadline to use the powers in the Energy Bill. They believed that imposition of a deadline would focus Ofgem and the industry on the need for progress (see paragraph 23).178 86. Some organisations advocated more fundamental reform of the wholesale market. The IPPR suggested that a way to reform the wholesale market, improving transparency and liquidity, would be to consider ‘whether all wholesale trading activity should go through some kind of pooling system, similar to the Nordpool system in Europe.’179 Which? suggested that ideas for improving wholesale market liquidity included a self supply restriction and the legal separation of the supply and generation divisions of the big six.180 E.ON suggested that, ‘clear and consistent prohibition of cross-subsidy between the generation and supply activities that are within the same group’, together with ‘some form 173 Ev 123 174 Q 390 175 Ev 123 176 Ofgem, Opening up electricity market to effective competition, 12 June 2013 177 Q 437 178 Ev 54 179 Ev w11, Ev w46 180 Ev 26 44 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty of self supply restriction’ would help create clarity in energy company profits.181 Mr Wright of Ofgem however suggested that implementing a self-supply restriction or a mandated auction presented challenges including for example how it was enforced. Instead he highlighted, ‘the important thing is that people who want to trade are able to trade at fair prices.’ Ofgems proposals outlined above represent, according to Mr Wright, Ofgem’s view on what was the best and most appropriate solution to this issue.182 87. Improving wholesale market competitiveness will be vital in ensuring customers are paying a fair price for their energy. We are astonished at how long it has taken Ofgem to act since it first identified this as an issue in 2008. The relatively light touch approach favoured by Ofgem has failed to deliver the changes required to improve competition. We recommend that urgent intervention is required to resolve this problem. Ofgem needs to implement its proposals to improve liquidity as soon as possible taking a more assertive approach than it has in the past. 181 Ev 30 182 Q 389 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 45 4 Fuel Poverty 88. Rising energy prices will exacerbate fuel poverty. DECC’s latest statistics show the severity of the problem has increased: in 2011 fuel-poor households spent £448 more on fuel costs than the national average, an increase of £26 since 2010.183 This is largely due to the fact that fuel poor households are more likely to live in inefficient properties, be less able to take advantage of cheaper tariff options such as direct debit tariffs, and have unavoidably high fuel requirements (for example the elderly, disabled people or those with a long-term illness who need to remain at home).184 . Additionally the lack of consumer trust in energy companies, caused partly by the perception of excessive profits, could undermine efforts to identify and support fuel-poor households. This section will consider the scale of the problem and assesses Government fuel poverty programmes. Measuring fuel poverty Current and new definition of fuel poverty 89. Effective action cannot be taken without a clear understanding of the scale and nature of the problem to be addressed. Under the current definition of fuel poverty (“the 10 % definition”), a household is said to be fuel poor if it needs to spend more than 10 % of its income on fuel to maintain an adequate level of warmth.185 Government has a statutory obligation to ensure that by November 2016 “as far as reasonably practicable persons in England or Wales do not live in fuel poverty.”186 The 2001 Fuel Poverty Strategy set out how this would be achieved through policies on energy efficiency, fuel prices and household income.187 90. There was consensus among witnesses that Government would fail to achieve this target.188 Citizen’s Advice noted that “without a significant increase in Government spending on the energy efficiency of fuel poor homes the number households in fuel poverty is as likely to increase by 2016 as be eliminated.”189 Some organisations have questioned whether Government is doing all that is “reasonably practicable” to meet the target in light of the closure of the Warm Front (WF) scheme in January 2013. WF was a tax-funded scheme which provided grants for heating and/or insulation measures for qualifying households in England, such those on certain income-related benefits or on pension credit, in order to deliver affordable warmth. Witnesses observed that the closure of WF marked the first time since 1978 when there would be no Government-funded 183 DECC, Annual report on fuel poverty statistics 2013, May 2013 184 Professor John Hills, Fuel poverty: the problem and its measurement: Interim report of the fuel poverty review, CASE Report 96, October 2011; Professor John Hills, Getting the measure of fuel poverty: Final report of the fuel poverty review, CASE Report 72, March 2012 185 The adequate standard of warmth is usually defined as 21 degrees for the main living area, and 18 degrees for other occupied rooms 186 Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act 2000 187 DECC, UK fuel poverty strategy 2001: Government response to the consultation on amending reference to the warm front scheme eligibility criteria, 21 March 2011 188 Ev w7, Ev 1, Ev 40, Ev w34, Ev 54, Ev w49 189 Ev 1 46 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty domestic energy efficiency programme in England.190 NEA claimed that the closure of WF represented a “breach of the legal duties contained in the Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act” and expressed concern that the Exchequer was “abdicating responsibility for funding fuel poverty programmes and [...] simply shifting the burden on to energy consumers.”191 91. In 2008, Friends of the Earth and Help the Aged sought Judicial Review on the grounds that Government action on fuel poverty did not represent all that was ‘reasonably practicable.’ Although the judgement was in favour of Government, the responsible department was cited as noting ‘that the Act and Strategy would not (as presently formulated) permit the Government to eliminate Winter Fuel Payments in their entirety or cut Warm Front funding to zero.’192 The Secretary of State maintained that the Government was meeting its statutory obligations in relation to fuel poverty.193 92. As part of the Spending Review in 2010, the Government announced that it would commission an independent review of the current fuel poverty target and its definition. An interim report was published in October 2011 and in March 2012 Professor Hills, Professor of Social Policy at London School of Economics, published the final report of his independent review of fuel poverty, making a number of recommendations and proposing a new indicator for fuel poverty.194 Under the proposed Low Income High Cost (LIHC) indicator, a household would be considered “fuel-poor” if its fuel costs were above the national average, and if spending this amount would leave a residual income below the official poverty line.195 Hills also recommended that Government should measure the depth of the problem through a “fuel poverty gap” indicator. This would measure “the amounts by which the assessed energy needs of fuel poor households exceed the threshold for reasonable costs.”196 The LIHC definition is intended to give an indication of the severity of the problem for fuel-poor households by showing the amount by which their costs exceed the national median. The Government published its response to the consultation on Hills’ proposals on 9 July 2013, after we had finished taking evidence in this inquiry, confirming that the LIHC indicator would be adopted.197 Alongside the Government response, DECC published a framework for action on fuel poverty to underpin its forthcoming fuel poverty strategy. This framework set out plans to introduce a new long-term fuel poverty target and strategy.198 190 Ev 40, Ev 54, Ev w49 191 Ev 40 192 Ev 40; Case No: CO/3373/2008, Royal Courts of Justice, 23/10/2008. 193 Q 455 194 Professor John Hills, Fuel poverty: the problem and its measurement: Interim report of the fuel poverty review, CASE Report 96, October 2011; Professor John Hills, Getting the measure of fuel poverty: Final report of the fuel poverty review, CASE Report 72, March 2012 195 The official poverty line is calculated if a household has an income of less than 60% of the median income. This is known as the Households Below Average Income (HBAI) and is calculated by DWP. For 2011 this resulted in an average poverty threshold of £11,553 196 Professor John Hills, Getting the measure of fuel poverty: Final report of the fuel poverty review, CASE Report 72, March 2012 197 DECC, Fuel poverty: changing the framework for measurement government response, July 2013 198 DECC, Fuel poverty: A framework for future action, July 2013. An amendment was passed in the House of Lords at Committee stage of the Energy Bill on 11 July, requiring the Secretary of State to set a fuel poverty objective, target date and strategy for meeting the objective Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 47 A better definition? 93. Many witnesses endorsed the following elements of the Hills’ review: the recognition of fuel poverty as a distinct national problem; the recommendation to focus policy efforts on energy efficiency, and the recommendation to introduce a new fuel poverty strategy and target. However, serious concerns were expressed regarding the effectiveness of the new LIHC indicator. The Government’s Fuel Poverty Advisory Group (FPAG) suggested that the use of median household costs to determine affordability and determine the threshold for ‘reasonable costs’ was problematic, since household energy costs could be below the median and still remain unaffordable to a low-income household.199 National Energy Action (NEA) emphasised that this was a concern shared by many respondents to the Government’s consultation: However the [Hills] Review’s recommendation that high energy costs should be understood as costs exceeding the median for all households was subject to near universal disagreement as a failure to comprehend the concept of affordability in the context of low-income households.200 94. Consumer Focus echoed these concerns, stating that the “definition of high energy costs failed to reflect fuel affordability and in effect made ‘it almost impossible to literally eradicate fuel poverty.’”201 This is because under the LIHC indicator, half of all households will be defined as having higher than average (median) costs. DECC noted that it was “difficult to imagine that none of these households would be low income.”202 The Government’s response to the consultation on Hills’ proposals acknowledged that the energy costs threshold was a point of contention, with “two thirds of those that responded [...] disagreeing with the approach that we suggested.”203 Government cited a lack of robust income data as the reason for not introducing a link between income and bills within the proposed definition. Another concern was that the use of median figures would mean the LIHC indicator would lack sensitivity to changes in energy prices. In oral evidence, Mervyn Kohler, Special Adviser at Age UK, explained why this might be the case: I think the key point is that John Hills observed in our current definition of fuel poverty that it was too sensitive to price changes, and the key point about his proposed alternative is that it is not sensitive enough to price changes, and that because he is taking a median of a median [...] to help define who is going to be in fuel poverty under his new definition, we will be looking at a target that scarcely ever changes. The value of a fuel poverty definition is that it gives us a picture of the scale of the problem. It also enables us to measure whether we are going forwards or 199 Ev w49 200 Ev 40 201 Ev 54 202 DECC, Fuel poverty: Changing the framework for measurement, September 2012 203 DECC, Fuel poverty: Changing the framework for measurement government response, July 2013 48 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty backwards dealing with it, and if we have a measure that doesn’t change very much it doesn’t seem to be awfully helpful from that point of view.204 However, Professor Hills contested this point in oral evidence, citing the importance of the “fuel poverty gap” indicator in accurately measuring the problem: On the one hand, the number of households or individuals captured by my measure varies as energy prices vary, but the thing that really changes is how big a problem that is for the people affected by it. That is the fuel poverty gap.205 95. Professor Hills pointed out that the previous indicator could lead Government to “focus on action that tips people just across the [fuel poverty] line”, rather than those people most in need of support. Under the 10% indicator, a small rise in energy prices could tip disproportionately large numbers of households into fuel poverty due to the number of households close to fuel poverty. Examining the depth of the problem, Professor Hills argued, would “focus your energy on using your resources to make the biggest difference.”206 The new indicator, by taking account of the combined impact of a low income with high energy costs, while defining fewer households as fuel-poor, would be a more accurate measure and would help to identify those suffering the greatest hardship. The IPPR explained that the current indicator captured a broad cross-section of the population, including wealthy households, which distorted the debate about where resources should be targeted.207 96. However some witnesses were critical of the fact that the new definition effectively reduced the fuel-poor headcount without any Government action having taken place: NEA observed that “the Hills definition significantly reduce[s] the incidence of fuel poverty – without having provided affordable warmth for a single household.”208 Similarly FPAG observe that “the new definition leads to large numbers of low-income households no longer being classed as ‘fuel-poor’, yet these households clearly cannot afford their fuel costs.”209 97. In general, energy companies and service providers welcomed Hills’ proposals. Carillion agreed that the “fuel poverty gap” indicator could “enable better targeting of policy towards households most severely affected,” a point of view also shared by Scottish Power who noted that the LIHC indicator would “help the Government to better identify and design policies that focus resources on those most in need.”210 E.ON and SSE also expressed their support for the review and revised definition.211 98. There has been some concern that the proposed definition is “overly complex”, leading to a debate on “complex and abstruse technical issues rather than to policy development 204 Q 38 205 Q 302 206 Q 301 207 Ev w11 208 Ev 40 209 Ev w49 210 Ev w34, Ev 113 211 Ev3 0, Ev 4 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 49 and advocacy”.212 In oral evidence Professor Hills acknowledged the importance of “relatively simple-to-measure indicators on the ground” for effective implementation of fuel poverty policies.213 Hills also stressed the importance of striving for an approach that was “good, rather than perfect”:214 We want things that by and large hit the right people in the right order, but if we can find relatively simple proxies that get us to the bulk of the problem, that is where we should start.215 99. Witnesses have suggested that the fuel poverty indicator should also incorporate the energy efficiency rating of a property. Jan Rosenow of the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford, described how existing indicators could be improved: The proxies we are using to identify fuel-poor households are not that precise. [...]We are focusing on income, benefits and age, but not the actual properties and their energy efficiency ratings.216 There was considerable support for this suggestion among witnesses. Professor Hills recommended that a “priority order” be established to target “anybody on a low income who is living in a property with an energy efficiency certificate rating of E, F or G.”217 DECC’s consultation also underlined the significance of energy efficiency ratings, stating that “81% of [those households in]the fuel poverty gap, under the LIHC indicator, have an EPC energy efficiency rating of E, F or G.”218 Consumer Focus noted that an indicator based on the number of households living in EPC E, F or G-rated properties “has much merit and would enable tracking of progress, including the impact of local projects and programmes.”219 Government recently announced plans to “monitor [...] the number of fuel poor households who live in the most energy inefficient properties e.g. E, F and G rated properties.”220 100. We conclude that the focus on low-income under the proposed LIHC indicator, by reference to the official poverty line, ensures a more accurate identification of fuel-poor households. The use of a ‘fuel poverty gap’ is welcome in giving a measure of the severity of the problem faced by households as energy prices continue to increase. However, we are concerned by the use of median national spend on fuel to determine “high costs” within the indicator. It is clear that fuel costs can be below the median and yet still remain unaffordable. If the median national spend is high it may not provide a true indication of affordability. We recognise that consumers who are paying the median could also be finding their energy bills unaffordable, even if they are not classed 212 Ev w17, Ev 40 213 Q 317 214 Q 325 215 Q 317 216 Q 319 217 Q 318 218 DECC, Fuel poverty: Changing the framework for measurement, September 2012 219 Ev 54 220 DECC, Fuel poverty: A framework for future action, July 2013 50 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty as fuel-poor. We recommend Government modifies the proposed definition to better reflect affordability in the context of low-income households by introducing a link between the income threshold and the energy costs threshold within the new indicator. 101. We welcome Government’s commitment to monitor the number of fuel-poor households living in E, F and G-rated properties, and recommend that Government use this information to help focus policy on improving some of the UK’s most inefficient housing stock. 102. Stakeholders criticised the Hills Review and Government for a lack of engagement with the concerns of consultees. NEA stated that “we have seen no indication of any proposed revisions since Professor Hills published his Interim Report in October 2011”221 while FPAG criticised the “minimal recognition of the cogent arguments put forward by stakeholders in the final Hills proposals.”222 We are alarmed by the reported lack of Government engagement with input from consultees during the Review process, in particular with regard to recommendations from the Government’s own statutory advisory body (Fuel Poverty Advisory Group). Government has not modified the LIHC indicator, despite the fact that two thirds of respondents were opposed to the use of the national median to determine “high costs”. We seek assurances that DECC will take full account of stakeholder concerns when formulating the new fuel poverty strategy. The role of data-sharing 103. Increased data-sharing between Government departments and energy companies could help identify fuel-poor households in a more efficient and cost-effective way. Under The Pensions Act 2008, data-sharing was permitted between the Department for Work and Pensions and energy suppliers to enable automatic payment of the Warm Home Discount (WHD) to low-income pensioners.223 Witnesses including most energy companies were almost unanimous in recommending the extension of such data-sharing to facilitate the delivery of fuel poverty programmes. EDF also emphasised the importance of cross-departmental engagement and linking programmes such as WHD and Energy Company Obligation (ECO) with benefit checks to achieve greater targeting efficiency: To be effective the new fuel poverty strategy should be cross- Governmental to ensure full engagement and ownership by all relevant departments, and not only DECC. For example, the DWP and HMRC have full information on household income and benefit status and are therefore best placed to identify those householders who would most benefit from policy interventions.224 104. Ofgem acknowledged in written evidence that increased data sharing could help identify eligible Affordable Warmth Group households under the ECO. Sarah Harrison, Senior Partner, Sustainable Development at Ofgem, outlined how suppliers’ data on vulnerable consumers could be shared to help provide targeted support: 221 Ev 40 222 Ev w49 223 The Pensions Act 2008 224 Ev 101 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 51 There are other ways that suppliers in particular and distribution companies can act here. Many suppliers and distribution companies maintain priority service registers, which gather information about some of their most vulnerable customers who have particular needs. One of the strands of our new consumer vulnerability strategy is going to look at ways in which we can improve the awareness of the public service registers and seeing ways in which suppliers and distribution network companies can make better use of that data, not only to target their own services and support to those customers but also potentially to share that information with other providers and organisations, particularly in the local communities, who might also be able to provide additional help.225 105. Household-level energy consumption and spend data collected by energy companies could also be useful in helping Government to identify fuel-poor households. Ofgem does not currently require energy companies to pass on such data except in the case of the Warm Home Discount scheme, where suppliers are required to provide data on mean annual energy consumption and fuel costs for discounted tariff customers until March 2014.226 The Government’s framework for action on fuel poverty states that it “will consider the scope for increasing the use of automated data matching” and “the role of data sharing in the [...] delivery landscape.”227 The Secretary of State confirmed that datasharing could be extended if appropriate safeguards were in place: There are obviously other data sets that could be used and we have certainly not ruled out expanding the use of data-sharing, but I think you could immediately imagine that we would have to go about that with some caution and some sensitivity. People do not necessarily want their data shared widely and we need to respect that. I think there would have to be a full, proper debate in Parliament before we decided to expand the use of data-sharing. It has to be an option, but there are reasons why people are nervous about that.228 106. We welcome Government’s recent commitment to consider extending the use of datasharing to ensure the most efficient and cost-effective delivery of fuel poverty policies. We further recommend that Ofgem considers introducing a licence condition to ensure that energy companies share data on household energy consumption and spend with Government, in order to facilitate identification of fuel-poor households. Need for urgent action 107. DECC’s latest statistics on fuel poverty provided data according to both the 10% definition of fuel poverty, and the proposed new LIHC indicator.229 The statistics showed that in 2011 there were 4.5 million households in fuel poverty under the 10% definition, of which 3.2 million were in England. Under the new indicator, there were 2.6 million fuel- 225 Q 409 226 The Warm Home Discount Regulations 2011 227 DECC, Fuel poverty: A framework for future action, July 2013 228 Q 456 229 DECC, Annual report on fuel poverty statistics 2013, May 2013 52 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty poor households in England in 2011 (data is only currently available for England).230 Although under both measures the overall number of fuel-poor households was shown to have reduced, the fuel poverty gap (the difference between energy costs for the fuel-poor and average energy costs) increased between 2010 and 2011. The aggregate fuel poverty gap increased in real terms by £22 million to £1.15 billion, and the average gap increased by £26 to £448 – meaning that energy costs in a fuel-poor household were on average £448 higher than national average fuel costs. DECC attributed this rise to increases in energy prices.231 The Secretary of State acknowledged that any reduction in overall fuel poverty was likely to be “a temporary reduction” in light of significant energy prices increases since 2011, and that the LIHC indicator revealed that “the depth of fuel poverty has become worse.”232 Other estimates for fuel poverty suggested the scale of the problem is even greater: FPAG estimated that there are approximately 6 million households in fuel poverty, while Consumer Focus suggested that households in fuel poverty would reach 6.2m by 2016 based on current trends.233 108. As NEA noted, fuel poverty does not relate to a “small sub-set of the population”, but to a large and growing proportion of households in the UK. In this context, it is more urgent than ever that fuel poverty resources are deployed as quickly and as effectively as possible. Many campaigners called for more action on fuel poverty and less academic discussion. Citizen’s Advice described Government new fuel poverty strategy as “long overdue” and summed up the frustration felt by some organisations: It is more than two years since the Spending Review in 2010 in which the Government announced its intention to commission an independent review to look at the fuel poverty definition and more than eighteen months since Professor Hills and his team were commissioned to carry out this task. Furthermore, as welcome and vital as the commitment to draw up a new strategy to combat fuel poverty is, this will take further valuable time to put together and longer still to implement. Meanwhile the fuel poor continue to suffer in cold homes [...] it is now time to stop quibbling over the precise definition of fuel poverty and take action.234 109. We conclude that while an accurate definition of fuel poverty is important, the Government has been unacceptably slow to respond to the Hills Review and take action to stem rising fuel poverty. We are concerned that fuel poverty policy has effectively been frozen at a time when significant energy price rises have made energy costs increasingly unaffordable for vulnerable and low-income households. We welcome the recent publication of the Government’s framework for action on fuel poverty which will underpin the Government’s fuel poverty strategy when it is introduced. It is imperative that the introduction and implementation of the strategy, expected at the end of this year, is not delayed any further. For Government to have done all that is 230 Data sets for the new indicator are only available for England. These showed that in 2011 there were 2.6 million households in fuel poverty in England. Source: DECC, Annual report on fuel poverty statistics 2013, May 2013 231 DECC, Annual report on fuel poverty statistics 2013, May 2013 232 Q 451 233 Ev w49, Ev 54 234 Ev 1 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 53 reasonably practicable to tackle fuel poverty, the new fuel poverty strategy should be published and implemented as an urgent priority. Fuel poverty policies 110. The Government has a number of schemes in place provide help with high energy costs. These include: The Winter Fuel Payment. This is an automatic payment of between £100 and £300 to those in receipt of the state pension. It is not means-tested and is funded through the Exchequer and administered by DWP. The Cold Weather Payment of the Regulated Social Fund, administered by DWP. This is payable when local temperature is either recorded as, or forecast to be, an average of zero degrees Celsius or below over 7 consecutive days. Low-income pensioners and other vulnerable consumers receive a payment of £25 for each 7 day period of very cold weather. It is tax-funded. The levy-funded Warm Home Discount offers a mandatory reduction of £130 on electricity bills for low-income older households and, on a discretionary basis, for other financially disadvantaged vulnerable households. The Energy Company Obligation (ECO) was introduced in January 2013 to reduce the UK’s energy consumption and support people living in fuel poverty. It does this by funding energy efficiency improvements worth around £1.3 billion every year. It is a continuation of previous obligations on energy companies to deliver energy efficiency measures across the housing stock, but with a much stronger emphasis on higher cost insulation measures. It will run until March 2015. There are three obligations under the ECO: Carbon Saving Obligation (CSO) – this covers the installation of measures like solid wall and hard-to-treat cavity wall insulation, which are ordinarily too expensive to be financed solely through the Green Deal. This aspect is worth around £760m per year. Carbon Saving Community Obligation (CSCO) – this provides insulation measures to households in specified areas of low income. It also makes sure that 15% of each supplier’s obligation is used to upgrade more hard-to-reach low-income households in rural areas. Affordable Warmth Obligation – this provides heating and insulation measures to consumers living in private tenure properties that receive particular means-tested benefits. This obligation supports low-income consumers that are vulnerable to the impact of living in cold homes, including the elderly, disabled and families. This combined with the CSCO will provide around £540m of support per year to lowincome households. In addition, DECC supports collective switching and purchasing schemes for vulnerable customers through the £5 million “Cheaper Energy Together” fund which was launched in 54 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty October 2012.235 The Government’s flagship energy efficiency programme, the Green Deal, offers loans for home energy efficiency improvements which are repaid over time through energy bills. The idea is that energy savings will be equal to or exceed the costs of installing the measures. However, the Green Deal will have limited application to fuel-poor households concerned about or unable to take on debt. Efficacy of fuel poverty policies 111. Expenditure on the Winter Fuel Payment (WFP) far exceeds spend on any other fuel poverty policy, costing an estimated £1.723 billion in 2013.236 It is significantly larger than the ECO. Witnesses have questioned whether this is an effective use of Government funds to tackle fuel poverty. According to Professor Hills, “spending more money on the winter fuel allowance is one of the least effective ways of tackling this problem”237, reflecting the conclusion of the final report that the WFP suffered from “poor targeting and limited value for money from a fuel poverty perspective.”238 British Gas suggested that better targeting of the WFP would enable Government to make a bigger contribution to tackling fuel poverty.239 The National Pensioners’ Convention however supported the continuation of the policy given “excess winter deaths amongst older people and the expected increases in fuel bills.”240 112. Collective switching could be a useful tool in enabling vulnerable customers to get a good energy deal. Ron Campbell, Chief Policy Analyst at NEA, expressed support for the community-based approach of the Government’s collective switching initiatives, although Mervyn Kohler of Age UK noted that individual preferences regarding payment method and type added “extra tiers of complication to a collective arrangement.”241 113. There was widespread agreement that focussing on long-term energy efficiency programmes was the best way to tackle fuel poverty, as opposed to short-term help with rising bills. Professor Hills’ Review identified low energy efficiency as the fundamental cause of fuel poverty, a view reflected in the oral and written evidence of both fuel poverty campaigners and energy companies. Energy efficiency measures were described as a “good national investment” offering value for money in tackling the causes of fuel poverty, while also contributing to decarbonisation objectives.242 This was particularly applicable to work carried out on existing properties: 235 DECC, Collective switching and purchasing, 22 January 2013, www.gov.uk 236 Ev 40 237 Q 309 238 Professor John Hills, Getting the measure of fuel poverty: Final report of the fuel poverty review, CASE Report 72, March 2012 239 Ev 81 240 Ev w7 241 Q 4 242 Q 308 [Professor Hills], Q 317 [Professor Hills] Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 55 In terms of cost-benefit analysis—the benefit you get for each pound spent— renovation and retrofitting is probably much more effective than demolition and rebuilding.243 DECC’s recently published framework for action on fuel poverty highlighted the costeffectiveness of energy efficiency measures such as low-cost loft and cavity-wall insulation (CWI), but suggested that bill rebates could prove more cost-effective than the more expensive efficiency measures such as solid wall insulation.244 114. We conclude that energy efficiency programmes should be the focus of Government’s fuel poverty policy in order to tackle the long-term root causes of the problem cost-effectively. It is disappointing that so much of current Government fuel poverty policy centres on short-term help with bills when improving the thermal efficiency of UK housing stock should be the priority. We welcome the recent announcement in the Spending Review that the Winter Fuel Payment will no longer be paid to those living in warmer European climates. We recommend that Government considers better targeting of the Winter Fuel Payment through means-testing, considering how savings made could be used to boost investment in energy efficiency programmes. We also recommend that Government reviews the allocation of funds for fuel poverty policies, prioritising energy efficiency initiatives over provision of financial assistance. Closure of Warm Front (WF) 115. As noted earlier, the closure of Warm Front (WF) in January 2013 marked the first time since 1978 that there would be no Government-funded domestic energy efficiency programme in England.245 By contrast, in other parts of the UK similar schemes continue in operation: the Nest scheme in Wales; the Energy Assistance Package in Scotland, and the Warm Homes scheme in Northern Ireland. The Energy Company Obligation (ECO) is designed to replace WF, however overall expenditure in comparison will be reduced and will derive from levies (see next section and “Use of levies on bills”). Research by the Association for the Conservation of Energy suggested that the total budget reaching fuelpoor households in England had reduced by 26%, while overall spending on energy efficiency programmes in England fell by 44% between 2009 and 2013.246 116. England will be the only country in the UK without a tax-funded energy efficiency programme to address fuel poverty following the closure of Warm Front. We are concerned that there have been such significant reductions in the fuel poverty budget for England at a time when rising energy prices are having an increasingly adverse impact on vulnerable households. 243 Q 309 244 DECC, Fuel poverty: A framework for future action, July 2013 245 Ev 40 Ev 54, Ev w49 246 These figures compare budgets in 2009 to budgets in 2013. Association for the Conservation of Energy, The impact of fuel poverty budgets in England, November 2012 56 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty The Energy Company Obligation (ECO) 117. ECO replaces Warm Front, the Carbon Emission Reduction Target (CERT) and the Community Energy Saving Programme (CESP). ECO therefore takes on the dual objectives of carbon reduction and fuel poverty alleviation. Under the Affordable Warmth and Carbon Savings Communities Obligation (CSCO) components of ECO, approximately £540 million per year will be directed at low-income households. In 200910, CERT, CESP and WF expenditure totalled £1,035 million.247 Witnesses have expressed concern that ECO resources are not sufficient: Looking at the potential funding that ECO is going to provide for dealing with fuel poverty, it seems to be a disappointingly small total in relation to what we have seen in public expenditure in the past through Warm Front. Indeed, the Government’s own impact assessment, looking at how many people will have been taken out of fuel poverty over the next decade is very, very disappointing—125,000 to 250,000 households. In relation to the target, which is now probably over 6 million households, that is just a drop in the bucket.248 In oral evidence Ron Campbell of NEA maintained that “the £1.3 billion ECO expenditure should be devoted in its entirety to fuel-poverty programmes.”249 118. RWE explained that low-income consumers were unlikely to benefit from the Carbon Emissions Reduction (CERO) component of ECO but that this could be incentivised: Under the ECO, fuel poor households living in solid-wall and hard to treat properties can access ECO funding under the Carbon Emissions Reduction (CERO) and the Carbon Saving Communities Obligations (CSCO). However, suppliers are obligated to discharge their ECO obligations as cost-effectively as possible, and will seek to maximise the carbon savings from every £ of ECO subsidy provided. As CERO is not focused on fuel poor households, this will almost certainly mean that households that are able to take out a Green Deal loan or can part self-finance will be more attractive to suppliers. This could be remedied by revising the targets and scoring system to compensate for this, while ensuring the overall cost of ECO is not increased.250 119. In the case of Solid Wall Insulation (SWI), an expensive and intrusive process, a high level of subsidy will be required under ECO to encourage take-up.251 Suppliers seeking to fulfil obligations cost-effectively are therefore unlikely to target fuel-poor households, but instead target those customers who can part-finance. The Committee on Climate Change suggested that this could be avoided through greater targeting of the fuel-poor under ECO, for example by prioritising SWI measures in the 1.9 million fuel-poor households that live in solid walled properties.252 As an alternative, Consumer Focus suggested that expensive 247 Ev 40; Association for the Conservation of Energy, The impact of fuel poverty budgets in England, November 2012 248 Q 5 [Mervyn Kohler] 249 Q 7 250 Ev 13 251 Ev w11, Ev 40 252 Ev 40; Committee on Climate Change, Meeting carbon budgets – 3rd progress report to Parliament, June 2011 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 57 measures such as SWI should be publicly funded in order to ensure take-up, while low-cost insulation measures could be funded by ECO.253 In its current form, the ECO is unlikely to provide SWI where it is most needed — in fuel-poor households. 120. We conclude that resources under ECO are insufficient considering the scale of fuel poverty. We recommend that ECO expenditure is devoted primarily to fuel-poor households, and further recommend that Government reconsider how best to incentivise take-up and funding of the most expensive energy efficiency measures such as solid wall insulation. Rural fuel poverty 121. Age UK stated that rural fuel poverty is “under-resourced” and requires greater attention from Government.254 Rural households are particularly vulnerable to fuel poverty due to off-gas grid areas, the number of solid-walled properties, and lower than average wages. Off-gas grid consumers are subject to higher bills due to reliance on heating oil or Liquid Petroleum Gas (LPG) to heat their homes: as a result, the average off-gas grid bill in 2010 was approximately £2,100.255 One witness expressed concern about the confidential and often uncompetitive pricing of LPG and the difficulties in switching, describing the market as “effectively unregulated”.256 The Committee investigated this issue as part of its inquiry Fuel poverty in the private and off-grid sectors. In a letter in July 2012 to Minister of State Gregory Rt Hon. Barker MP, we outlined our concerns about offgas grid consumers and questioned the effectiveness of self-regulation in the domestic heating oil market, suggesting that Ofgem could have a role to play.257 These concerns still stand, and we urge Government to review regulation of the domestic heating oil and LPG market, as well as extending support for fuel-poor households reliant on these fuels. 122. Witnesses have questioned whether ECO resources will be able to address rural fuel poverty. Ron Campbell of NEA described the 15% “rural safeguard” as part of ECO’s CSCO as a “fairly modest” ambition, equating to approximately £29 million per year.258 Consumer Focus and FPAG suggested that the lack of heating cost reduction, “hard-toreach” and “hard-to-treat” targets in ECO could mean that rural fuel-poor households would lose out compared to previous schemes.259 Mervyn Kohler of Age UK noted that “a special focus on rural fuel poverty issues might be helpful as part of a fuel-poverty strategy”.260 Hastoe Housing drew attention to the lack of competitive energy deals for those on pre-payment meters or without internet access, and suggested that energy tariffs be reviewed to ensure that low-income, rural households had access to the best deals.261 253 Ev 54 254 Ev 24 255 Ev w49 256 Ev w5 257 Letter to Minister of State Gregory Barker MP from Tim Yeo, Chair of the Energy and Climate Change Committee, 4 July 2012 258 Q 7 259 Ev 54, Ev w49 260 Q 7 261 Ev w20 58 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Concerns regarding the charges faced by pre-payment consumers were also highlighted by Barnado’s, which called for improved access to direct debit facilities for families and a review of price bands for pre-payment meters. The charity also cited the introduction of keypads to pre-payment meters in Northern Ireland as an example of how costs could be brought down through innovation and regulation.262 123. We conclude that further and more specialised resources are needed to tackle fuel poverty in rural areas, in particular to address the difficulties experienced by off-gas grid customers. Ofgem and DECC should consider further measures as part of RMR and the Fuel Poverty Strategy to ensure that pre-payment customers and those without internet access are able to obtain best market deals. Use of levies on bills 124. Environmental and fuel poverty policies may be funded from tax or through levies on bills (see table 10). In our earlier discussion of prices, we examined the cost of UK/EU policy as a component of energy bills (see paragraph 14). Here we consider in more detail the extent and impact of the use levies on consumer bills to fund policy initiative, with particular reference to fuel poverty. Table 10: Expenditure on fuel poverty and environmental programmes Programme Who pays? Expenditure Warm Front (England) CERT CESP ECO Affordable Warmth + Carbon Saving Communities Obligation Winter Fuel Payments Cold Weather Payments Warm Home Discount EU Emissions Trading System Carbon Floor Price Renewables Obligation Taxpayers Consumers263 Consumers Consumers £370 million (2009/10) £564 million (2009/10) £101 million (2009/10) £466 million (2013) Taxpayers Taxpayers Consumers Consumers £1.723 billion (2013) £228 million (estimated) (2013) £237 million (2013) £700 million264 Consumers Consumers Consumers £900 million (2013-14)265 £2,156 million (2012/13) (budget available under the levy control framework) £196 million (2012/13) Consumers Consumers (budget available under the levy control framework) Not yet introduced Not yet introduced Feed-in Tariffs for small-scale renewables Contracts for Difference Capacity payments 262 Ev w64 263 Consumers may be domestic or non-domestic 264 Note that firms outside the UK may participate in UK auctions 265 Figures on a national accounts accrual basis Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 59 Renewable Heat Incentive CCS competition Taxpayers £133 million (2012/13) Taxpayers £1 billion Sources: EV 40 (NEA); Control Framework for DECC levy-funded spending; HM Treasury, Budget 2013; Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2013 125. According to Ofgem, environmental charges currently account for around 11% (£59) of average annual electricity bills and 6% (£49) of average annual gas bills.266 DECC analysis suggests that energy and climate change policies make up approximately 9% (around £112) of the average annual dual fuel bill.267 However this is set to rise sharply in future years, with costs falling largely on the wholesale electricity price. DECC estimates that its policies will add to 33% to the average electricity price paid by UK households in 2020 and 41% in 2030.268 This significant increase is of particular concern to those households, often fuel-poor, that rely on electric heating systems.269 The Secretary of State explained that the Government’s assumption was that companies would “pass on these costs the way they are levied, typically on the basis of relevant units of energy supplied.” Although it was up to energy companies to decide how to recoup costs, Government expected approximately one third of policy costs to be passed on directly to household bills. Approximately two-thirds of policy costs would fall on non-domestic consumers, reflecting the share of energy consumption across these consumers. However, the majority of costs are still likely to be passed through to domestic consumers through higher prices for services and products. These extra costs could also impact on the competitiveness of UK exports. Mr Davey also explained that a policy such as ECO, which applied only to households, would be funded by domestic consumers alone.270 A breakdown of the costs of each levy funded programme can be seen in table 3 (paragraph 14). 266 Ofgem, Updated household bills explained, Factsheet 98, 16 January 2013 267 DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate change policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 268 As above 269 Ev 26 270 Letter from Secretary of State Edward Davey to the Committee, 27 June 2013 60 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 126. Many witnesses were concerned about the impact of levies on the fuel-poor and expressed a preference for taxpayer-funded environmental and social programmes.271 Consumer Focus explained: The choice of whether to use bills or taxes to fund the decarbonisation of our energy infrastructure matters because it greatly affects the distributional impact of where these costs fall. In simple terms, the poorest households pay proportionately more when measures are added to their utility bills. In the UK, the proportion of income spent on energy decreases as income increases, while the proportion of income spent on direct taxation increases as income increases. Public finances are extremely difficult, but we think that greater consideration must be paid to the least regressive ways of paying for low carbon infrastructure.272 Ron Campbell (NEA) asserted that “the levy is regressive in its function [...] because it does not take any account of [their] ability to pay” in contrast to tax-funded programmes.273 Jan Rosenow and Dr Nick Eyre, of the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford, stated that while revenue-raising from levies could be considered “regressive”, the provision of levy-funded measures such as CERT and CESP could have a positive impact in addressing fuel poverty. Dr Eyre stated that it was possible “for revenues that are raised in a regressive way to be used in a progressive way and for the overall balance to be positive” but noted that this was not the case with environmental levies which implied “all the regressive effects and none of the progressive ones.”.274 Professor Hills of London School of Economics stated that the impact of levies was dependent on how the funds were used. Careful targeting of revenues to low-income households could result in a positive impact and avoid a situation “where people on low incomes are paying higher fuel bills in order to subsidise the energy efficiency of people on high incomes”.275 127. The Secretary of State Edward Davey explained how the use of levies on bills had been decided at Government level: I think the big debates on that happened both in the last Government and the early stages of this Government when they were doing the spending review and there was a decision that they would continue with these levies on consumer bills.276 We note that Mr Davey did not offer an explanation as to the reasons behind these decisions. The Secretary of State went on to suggest there was a case for the levy-funded approach since it could encourage more efficient and competitive delivery of programmes from energy companies.277 Gareth Baynham Hughes, DECC, explained that this reflected an “assumption built into the Hills review” regarding investment in and delivery of energy efficiency programmes. We note however that Hills’ final report stated that “funding from 271 Ev 1, Ev 24, Ev 40, Ev 54, Ev 101, Ev w49 272 Ev 54 273 Q 22 274 Q 313 275 Q 313 276 Q 440 277 Q 440 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 61 energy consumers can increase the fuel poverty gap of those who do not benefit from them”.278 We have noted, in this report (see paragraph 17 to 20 for a discussion of energy company cost-efficiency) and in out report on Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets that the ability of energy companies to deliver cost-effectively is far from proven: and that supplier operating costs were increasing annually, with little evidence of efficiency and operational savings. This leads us to question whether “competitive pressures” on energy companies will indeed lead to a more cost-effective delivery of ECO.279 Ways to protect the fuel-poor from impact of levies 128. Witnesses have suggested a number of policy initiatives that could help protect the fuel-poor from the impact of levies on energy bills. Charging per unit of consumption 129. Consumer Focus and Age UK recommended that environmental and social levies were applied on a per-unit of consumption basis (per KWh) rather than a per-household basis through the standing charge. They suggested that this would be in line with the “polluter pays” principle280 and help to protect fuel-poor households which, on average, consume less energy.281 Consumer Focus stated that its discussions with energy companies suggested that CERT and CESP levies were applied on a per-household basis, and this was likely to be the case with ECO also.282 The Secretary of State noted that the Government assumption was that these costs were passed on “typically on the basis of relevant units of energy supplied.” (see paragraph 125).283 However, witnesses have pointed out that it is difficult to establish precisely how levies are distributed across standing or other fixed charges and unit costs: Some of the cost will be passed on a per unit basis and some of that will be passed on in the standing charge, but we have no insight into what the proportions of that will be and how much is on the unit and how much is on the standing charge.284 130. Witnesses also pointed out that a per-unit approach would be detrimental for some of the most vulnerable households in fuel poverty with unavoidably high levels of energy consumption — such as older people and those who needed to spend most of their time at home due to a medical condition or disability. Professor Hills suggested that a “dual strategy” was needed involving emphasis on per-unit charging combined with extra measures for fuel-poor households in low-efficiency properties.285 278 Professor John Hills, Getting the measure of fuel poverty: Final report of the fuel poverty review, CASE Report 72, March 2012 279 Q 440 280 The notion that those with higher carbon footprints should pay more towards decarbonisation 281 Ev 54, Ev 24 282 Ev 54 283 Letter from Secretary of State Edward Davey to the Committee, 27 June 2013 284 Q 313 [Jan Rosenow] 285 Q 313 62 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 131. The current tariff structure allows suppliers to reduce energy rates once consumption exceeds a certain threshold.286 Hastoe Housing Association described how some of the residents living in its most energy efficient homes were paying higher than average per KWh rates due to low consumption. It called for “a reform of the current system where heavy users pay a reduced charge per kWh and low users pay a higher than average charge per kWh.”287 A number of commentators also supported a move toward a single unit price with no standing charge in order to provide greater price transparency and comparability.288 We recommended Ofgem consider regulating or abolishing standing charges in our Consumer Engagement report. In its response, the regulator stated it was not “ruling out proposing further measures to improve the functioning of the retail energy markets” following robust analysis and assessment.289 Alternative tariff structures 132. Alternative tariff structures, such as rising block tariffs or tariffs partly exempt from levies, could help to address fuel poverty. 290 FPAG and Consumer Focus recommended the introduction of a “protected block of consumption” on energy bills on which no levies were raised, with costs recovered above a certain level of consumption. This protected block would be available to all consumers and would provide an incentive for consumers to use less energy as well as protecting the fuel-poor.291 133. Others were concerned about the possible use of rising block tariffs as a mechanism to alleviate fuel poverty. DECC highlighted that such tariffs are likely to have an adverse impact on high-consuming fuel-poor households, and are also in conflict with Ofgem’s RMR proposals to eliminate multi-tier tariffs.292 EAS suggested that rising block tariffs would leave elderly and vulnerable consumers “frightened to exceed their agreed allowance”.293 A simpler approach was proposed by the NEA through introduction of a “universal social tariff to households meeting the pre-defined eligibility criteria.”294 Reinvesting revenues in energy efficiency programmes 134. Some witnesses expressed support for the Energy Bill Revolution campaign to reinvest carbon tax receipts from the EU Energy Trading System (EU ETS) and Carbon Price Floor 286 Ev w67 287 Ev w20 288 Ev 26, Ev 52 289 Energy and Climate Change Committee, Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets: Government and Ofgem Responses to the Committee’s Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, HC 1036 290 Rising block tariffs employ variable rates depending on consumption. A reduced price is payable for consumption below a defined threshold 291 Ev w49 292 Energy and Climate Change Committee, Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets: Government and Ofgem Responses to the Committee’s Fifth Report of Session 2012–13, HC 1036; Q 441 [Secretary of State Edward Davey MP] 293 Ev w17 294 Ev 40 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 63 (CPF)295 into energy efficiency and fuel poverty programmes.296 Audrey Gallacher, Director of Energy at Consumer Focus, argued that reinvesting revenue generated by the CPF into energy efficiency measures could “take nine out of 10 homes out of fuel poverty” as well as reducing carbon emissions.297 Fuel poverty groups expressed dismay that while energy intensive industries would receive compensation for the impact of EU ETS, carbon price floor and CfD policies,298 no support would be available for domestic fuel-poor consumers.299 When questioned as to the viability of using carbon tax receipts in this way, the Secretary of State responded that it was an unlikely prospect: If it is a theoretical question, [...] “Is it possible”, I think it is probably possible. Whether it is likely I think is really the question. I do not think it is very likely. Successive Governments and successive Chancellors have taken the Treasury view in these types of things that hypothecation is not the right way to go. There are some fights one has in Government because you think you can win them and there are the fights that you think, “Maybe that is quite a tough call”. While I have great sympathy with the way the Energy Bill Revolution make their arguments and one can understand the power of their argument, they are up against decades, if not centuries, of Treasury orthodoxy on hypothecation.300 We note however that the Australian and French Governments have used carbon tax revenues in this way to provide support measures for households.301 Government spend on fuel poverty 135. A number of witnesses cited research by the Association for the Conservation of Energy, which suggested that overall spend on energy efficiency programmes in England had fallen by 44%. The same research showed that the budget targeted at fuel poverty in England would fall from £1.19m in 2009 to £879 million in 2013.302 This underlines our concern regarding energy efficiency resources in England (see paragraph 115). In oral evidence, we questioned the Secretary of State regarding the cut in fuel poverty spend shown in the Department’s Annual Report and Accounts: £319m was spent in 2010-11, while £97m was spent in 2011-12.303 The Secretary of State maintained that “if you add both taxpayer-funded and levy payer-funded, the overall spending on fuel poverty programmes has increased during the spending review period.”304 A recent parliamentary written answer confirmed that estimated spend in 2014-15 would be greater than spend in 295 The Carbon Price Floor (CPF) came into effect on 1 April 2013. The CPF is designed to provide an incentive to invest in low-carbon power generation by providing greatersupport and certainty to the carbon price in the UK’s electricity generation sector 296 Ev w34, Ev 54, Ev w49, See www.energybillrevolution.org 297 Q 43 298 DECC, Estimated impacts of energy and climate change policies on energy prices and bills, March 2013 299 Ev w49, Ev 54 300 Q 467 301 Ev 54 302 These figures compare budgets in 2009 to budgets in 2013. Association for the Conservation of Energy, The impact of fuel poverty budgets in England, November 2012 303 DECC, Annual report and accounts 2011-12, 11 July 2012, p122 304 Q 449 64 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 2010-11 when levy-funded programmes are included.305 However, we note that tax-funded expenditure has decreased significantly following the closure of Warm Front and that focus has shifted to levy-funded schemes paid for by consumers, namely ECO and WHD. Witnesses concerned by reduced tax-funded Government spending in this area also pointed out that the impact of welfare reform and the Levy Control Framework on fuel poverty had yet to be assessed by Government.306 136. We conclude that the increasing use of levies on bills to fund energy and climate policies is problematic since it is likely to hit hardest those least able to pay. We note that public funding is less regressive than levies in this respect. 137. We are particularly concerned by the significant projected increase in the wholesale electricity price and how this will impact on households reliant on electric heating. It is clear that vulnerable and fuel-poor consumers require protection from the impact of rising bills and extra support to ensure affordable warmth in their homes. We therefore recommend that Government consider introducing a “protected block of consumption” on bills exempt from levies, as proposed by FPAG and Consumer Focus. 138. We note that under the current tariff structure, energy users are effectively penalised for low consumption, with reduced rates for high energy consumption. This is at odds with both energy conservation and fuel poverty aims. We therefore recommend that the Government and Ofgem consider how tariffs could be restructured to ensure that energy conservation is incentivised, while ensuring that high consuming vulnerable consumers are protected. 305 HC Written Answers, 18 June 2013, Column 623W. Estimates expressed in 2012 constant prices. 306 Ev w31, Ev w49, Ev 54 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 65 Delivery of fuel poverty policies Use of targets 139. Government is subject to a fuel poverty target to ensure that by November 2016 “as far as reasonably practicable persons in England or Wales do not live in fuel poverty.”307 There was consensus among many witnesses that Government would not achieve this target.308 The IPPR noted that ECO, as the main policy instrument for addressing fuel poverty, looked set to “fall woefully short of addressing the government’s legally binding target to eliminate fuel poverty by 2016.”309 Citizen’s Advice stated that “without a significant increase in Government spending on the energy efficiency of fuel poor homes the number households in fuel poverty is as likely to increase by 2016 as be eliminated.”310 Given reduced spending on energy efficiency programmes, some organisations have questioned whether Government is indeed doing all that is “reasonably practicable” to meet the target (see paragraphs 90 and 91). 140. The usefulness of such an elimination target can therefore be questioned. The interim target to eliminate fuel poverty by 2010, introduced under the Fuel Poverty Strategy, was also missed.311 Professor Hills expressed a preference for short-term, adaptable targets: My advice would be that there probably should be a system of rolling targets, taking account of changing situations, that keeps officials’ and Government’s nose to the grindstone in delivering the greatest possible action to deal with a problem of this kind. Where I would probably part company from the original specification in the Act would be the use of the word “elimination.” [...] I would much rather see meaningful targets that lead to a more rapid pace of change, directed at what can be done over the next 10 years, than to focus on something in 16 years’ time [...].312 Mervyn Kohler of Age UK noted that targets would only be useful if they could ensure that the “trajectory [for fuel poverty] is downwards instead of remorselessly upwards, as it has been for the last seven or eight years.”313 141. Government has acknowledged that an elimination target may not represent the best approach for tackling fuel poverty and has set out plans to establish a new target based on the number of households living in inefficient properties.314 This target will be set through secondary legislation, although there will be a statutory requirement in primary legislation for the Secretary of State to adopt a strategy to meet the target. DECC stated that “detailed 307 Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act 2000 308 Ev w7, Ev 1, Ev 40, Ev w34, Ev 54, Ev w49 309 Ev w11 310 Ev 1 311 Ev 40 312 Q 298 313 Q 40 314 DECC, Fuel poverty: A framework for future action, July 2013 66 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty proposals for consultation...on the form, date and level of target” will follow in due course.315 142. We agree with Government that an elimination target is not the best approach for tackling fuel poverty. The importance of a target lies in its ability to create political momentum and measure the effectiveness of policy. The current target has failed to achieve these objectives. We therefore support Government proposals to introduce a new target which focuses on improving the energy efficiency of fuel-poor households. We look forward to hearing further details on the form, date and level of the proposed target. Government should also consider whether further short-term, fuel poverty targets which can adapt to changing policy contexts could also be introduced as part of its forthcoming fuel poverty strategy. Role of energy companies 143. Some have questioned whether energy companies are the best delivery agent for fuel poverty policies such as ECO. It was suggested that large energy companies may not know a great deal about local housing stock.316 In addition, a lack of consumer trust toward energy companies could hinder effective delivery.317 The National Pensioners’ Convention also suggested a potential conflict of interest or “underlying disinterest” for energy companies in encouraging customers to reduce energy usage.318 SSE expressed concern that suppliers were required to “seek information about their customers that are beyond the normal customer/commercial company relationship, such as benefits data and health conditions.”319 The company therefore proposed that a “central agency” be set up to match consumers with support. In the longer term, an energy company obligation may not be the best way to address fuel poverty.320 Community-based approach 144. A community-based approach to tackling fuel poverty could overcome some of these barriers. NEA suggested this could involve the following elements: Practical heating and insulation improvements Energy, money and fuel debt advice Assistance in claiming full benefit entitlement Community-based collective switching.321 315 DECC, Fuel poverty: A framework for future action, July 2013. An amendment was passed in the House of Lords at Committee stage of the Energy Bill on 11 July, requiring the Secretary of State to set a fuel poverty objective, target date and strategy for meeting the objective. 316 Q 321 [Dr Nick Eyre] 317 Ev 40 318 Ev w7 319 Ev 4 320 Q 332 [Dr Nick Eyre] 321 Ev 40 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 67 Mervyn Kohler of Age UK stressed the benefits of a community approach involving local authorities in terms of efficient delivery and greater community engagement and confidence.322 Consumer Focus also endorsed an area-approach: Area approaches that use door knocking and extensive community outreach, coupled with scaled up installation programmes, have many benefits. They ensure that the hardest to reach are reached, they encourage take-up through ‘word of mouth’ communication of the benefits, they facilitate involvement from local third sector bodies and they realise considerable cost efficiencies through concentrated delivery of measures. Consumer Focus Scotland commissioned research that highlighted the benefits of area approaches which helped influence the Scottish Government to shift resources towards this approach.323 145. DECC’s framework for action on fuel poverty recognised the effectiveness of areabased approaches, but suggested that “the clustering of fuel poverty in a specific area is uncommon.” A street-by-street approach could therefore result in many non fuel-poor households receiving support. Given the limited resources available, Government suggested that using “benefit proxies” could be a more efficient means of targeting support.324 146. In oral evidence, Jan Rosenow and Dr Nick Eyre of the University of Oxford agreed that an area-based approach which sought out low-income, low-efficiency areas was likely to achieve a higher targeting efficiency.325 According to the Local Government Association (LGA), over half of all energy efficiency programmes were delivered by councils. It maintained that locally-designed schemes were more effective than national definitions and suggested that local councils were “best-placed to broker relationships and facilitate data-sharing across a range of partners.”326 The LGA recommended that local councils were granted access to the ECO brokerage scheme without having to acquire Green Deal provider status, in order to support fuel poverty schemes at a local level.327 Ofgem agreed there was a “key role for face to face advice provision by trusted intermediaries” in supporting vulnerable consumers, citing the Energy Best Deal campaign delivered in conjunction with Citizen’s Advice.328 Ron Campbell of NEA noted that this was a positive development but suggested that it should be extended in scope to provide a more comprehensive service offering advice on debt and energy efficiency grants as well as switching.329 147. The Energy Savings Advice Service and Big Energy Saving Network, as highlighted by the Secretary of State in oral evidence, are a step in the right direction but further resources 322 Q 6 323 Ev 54 324 DECC, Fuel poverty: A framework for future action, July 2013 325 Q 320 326 Ev w31 327 Ev w31 328 Ev 123 329 Q 3 68 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty will be needed to reach the most vulnerable fuel-poor households.330 We conclude that energy companies are not the best delivery agent for fuel poverty policies due to low levels of consumer trust and lack of local knowledge. In the longer term, policy instruments such as the Energy Company Obligation may not therefore be the most effective means of addressing fuel poverty. Local councils and voluntary organisations may have greater knowledge of property and occupant characteristics, leading to a more effective targeting of resources. We therefore recommend that Government considers how to maximise the involvement of councils, voluntary sector organisations and other trusted intermediaries as part of its new fuel poverty strategy. We also recommend that Government considers extending access to the ECO brokerage scheme to local councils, in order to ensure finance for locally-led energy efficiency projects. 330 Q 459 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 69 5 Conclusion 148. In chapter two we concluded that wholesale costs can be expected to continue to rise in the short to medium term driven by the rising price of gas. We identified that customers’ bills are made up of a variety of different components. Most of these constitute costs (the wholesale price of energy and operating costs), including the cost of implementing energy and climate change policies, which energy companies pass through to customers. Profits also form part of energy bills but, as we discussed in chapter three, the six largest energy companies in the UK are very complex with several different arms to their business. When reporting their overall profits they include all these different business arms. This makes it difficult to determine the profits of the energy supply companies and see how this impacts upon energy prices. It has not been possible for us to determine with certainty the level of energy company profit margins. We therefore call for more transparency and more robust data to enable an accurate assessment of profitability to be made. 149. Attempts to improve clarity over energy company profits have proved challenging. Both Ofgem’s Consolidated Segmental Statements and Supply Market Indicators have worked to muddy the waters. That a forensic accountant was required to help Ofgem understand the statements is illustrative of the complexity in determining profits. The average consumer has little hope. That Ofgem has not taken up BDO’s recommendations or listened to criticism over SMIs is astonishing and lays it open to criticism that is unwilling to use the teeth it has. It is time for Ofgem to take decisive action to improve transparency and competitiveness in the retail and wholesale markets taking full advantage of both EU and UK legislative powers. 150. The trend of rising prices that we have noted will exacerbate fuel poverty. It is disappointing that Government has not been quicker to respond to the Hills review to set out the full implications for policy of a new definition of fuel poverty. In the meantime the situation for the most vulnerable worsens while some fuel poverty policy programmes are in a state of hiatus. At the same time there is a reduction in the money available for fuel poverty, and a shift, in England at least, away from public spending towards levies – adding further burdens on consumer bills. 151. We have noted that tax-funded public spending is a less regressive mechanism than levies, and that the impact of levies on the bills of the fuel poor is perverse when they will derive no direct benefit. Shifting the emphasis from levies to taxation would help protect vulnerable households. There is no widespread understanding by consumers of how much of their bills are made up of levies. As we noted in our Consumer Engagement report inconsistent and, in some case, inaccurate media reporting serves to further undermine public trust in energy suppliers. We have called for an honest conversation about the fact that energy bills are highly likely to continue to rise. Government also needs to be in the lead in ensuring that consumers understand its decision to fund policy in this way, and of what the breakdown of these costs within bills are. This can only enhance transparency. 152. We strongly believe that the gains in transparency and associated public confidence and trust far outweigh the cost of reform. It is clearly in everyone’s interest including the energy companies to improve understanding of energy companies profits. It will be difficult to deliver the reform our energy system, increasing efficiency, reducing demand, 70 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty investing in infrastructure, whilst meeting our statutory obligations to carbon and fuel poverty reduction, without the support of consumers. The affordability of energy is a matter of great concern to most consumers, not just those that are technically fuel poor. Governments, the regulator and energy companies need to do more to promote accurate understanding of energy prices. Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 71 Conclusions and Recommendations Energy prices 1. Energy bills are rising and are likely to continue to rise in the future. The wholesale price of fuel has been the largest contributing factor, driven by rising global gas prices. Several other factors are also contributing to price rises including the need to invest and finance UK’s electricity and gas network and energy and climate change policies. The extent to which energy supply companies are actively working to reduce their operating costs remains unclear. (Paragraph 20) 2. We welcome Ofgem’s and the Government’s proposals to ensure energy companies to improve the way they communicate with their customers. In addition to their proposals we recommend that the regulator compel energy companies to: a) Standardise the presentation of their bills to make it easier to understand bills and compare prices (for example on a price comparison website); b) Identify the various components which make up the costs of the bill (i.e. wholesale price of fuel, costs of supply (i.e. transmission, distribution and metering), the costs of UK/EU policy (including support for low-carbon/renewables and energy efficiency schemes) and company margins (i.e. operating costs and profit); c) Express price changes in pounds and pence as well as percentages. (Paragraph 25) 3. We are disappointed at the regulator’s slow progress on requiring energy companies to improve their transparency and communication with their customers. We hope that Ofgem will use its existing powers to ensure that its RMR reforms are implemented. If the requirements proposed under Ofgem’s RMR are not in place by the August 2013 as promised, we recommend that the Government stand ready to use any statutory powers to compel greater transparency from energy companies, early in 2014. We believe that this intervention should deliver the desirable longterm aim of incentivising companies to provide more competitive products for consumers. It should not be considered a one-off intervention to reduce energy company profits. (Paragraph 26) 4. We also repeat the recommendation made in our Consumer Engagement report that DECC should lead a full and frank conversation about the contribution that consumers are being expected to make towards ensuring we have safe, secure and affordable energy supplies in future. DECC should set out a detailed strategy and programme for action over the next two years. This should include how it will engage with the public on these issues in a meaningful way. (Paragraph 27) 5. Despite serious shortfalls in the way energy companies communicate with their customers, we are pleased to see that they have started to make some progress on improving how they communicate with their customers. It is clear that some are doing better than others. We commend those companies, including British Gas and EDF Energy, who are developing innovative new ways of communicating complex information to their customers. We are concerned, however, that their efforts are still 72 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty falling far short of what is required to increase transparency and improve consumer trust. It is clear that meaningful improvements are unlikely to be achieved without regulatory intervention. (Paragraph 29) 6. We are disappointed that energy supply companies have not gone to greater lengths to explain to their customers the reasons behind energy price rises. It should come as no surprise to energy companies that poor communication on their part has resulted in deep mistrust from their customers. We welcome the industry’s acknowledgement that it has failed to act and needs to simplify and improve bills including explaining the individual components of a bill and the reasons for the upward pressure on prices. (Paragraph 35) 7. We recommend that Ofgem also include ‘profit margin’ and ‘rate of return on capital’ (because excessive profit margins are a symptom of poorly functioning markets) in the above list of metrics which would help determine whether the supply market was competitive. (Paragraph 40) 8. We conclude that the small level of switching by customers between energy suppliers suggests the retail market is not as competitive as it could be. There is, however, insufficient data to determine accurately the actual level of competition in the retail market. We repeat our recommendation that when Ofgem implements its final Retail Market Review measures, it should publish its targets for improvements in the market as a result of these measures and the criteria it will use to judge the success of the measures. Going forward, Ofgem should also publish an annual assessment of the effect those measures are having on competition and consumer engagement. (Paragraph 42) Profits 9. We understand that there may be difficulties in getting large vertically integrated energy companies to report their trading activities especially if they are foreign owned or based overseas. However, we believe that the increase in transparency and associated consumer trust clearly justifies including trading activities in the statements. We recommend that Ofgem require the big six to include trading activities in the statements. There is an opportunity for energy companies to make reputational gains by setting an example of best practice. In the context of low consumer confidence, we hope that energy companies will see the benefits of increased transparency. (Paragraph 62) 10. We believe that obtaining an independent opinion as opposed to requiring an audit of the statements is unsatisfactory because it does not provide a sufficient level of assurance to bolster trust in energy companies. The potential cost and inconvenience to the large vertically integrated businesses would be eclipsed by the gains in confidence an audit would bring. We recommend that Ofgem require the statements to be audited. (Paragraph 65) 11. We note that Scottish Power recently changed its financial reporting period to align with the majority of companies. We believe that the costs and inconvenience to SSE to change its year end would be outweighed by the gains in comparability across the different statements. We recommend that Ofgem require SSE to change its financial Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 73 reporting period to align with the other large vertically integrated energy companies. (Paragraph 67) 12. We reject Ofgem’s assertion that most of BDOs recommendations would put unnecessary burdens on the big six. The impact of BDO’s recommendations should be considered as a package We believe that taken as a whole, the benefits of BDOs recommendations – in terms of improvements to transparency and comparability of the statements and associated improvements in consumer trust – significantly outweigh any burdens on the six largest vertically integrated energy companies. We acknowledge that there will be additional costs involved with implementation of BDO’s recommendations, but we believe that the benefits in terms of increased transparency and competition, and the potential downward pressure on prices that may result, justifies the expense. (Paragraph 70) 13. We recommend that Ofgem should require the six largest vertically integrated companies to implement BDO’ recommendations 1 (publishing statements to the same year-end), 2 (independent auditor opinion on statements), and 4(reporting of trading function results). We also encourage Ofgem to consider requiring implementation of BDO’s recommendations in full and to publish, in its response to this report, its analysis of the cost to energy companies of full implementation. We also recommend that Ofgem undertake further work to assess current transfer pricing policies. (Paragraph 71) 14. We believe that the Supply Market Indicator is a useful tool, for assessing the supply margin of the big six’s retail business. The disagreements between Ofgem and the energy companies over the figures, played out in the media, are deeply unhelpful and only work to erode public trust in the companies and confidence in the regulator. Companies should engage constructively in improving the SMI. We recognise the methodological concerns and recommend that Ofgem actively review the methodology and improve it so that the SMI more accurately reflects the actual activities of energy companies. (Paragraph 77) 15. We recommend that the Government ensure Ofgem takes full advantage of these new REMIT powers. (Paragraph 79) 16. Improving wholesale market competitiveness will be vital in ensuring customers are paying a fair price for their energy. We are astonished at how long it has taken Ofgem to act since it first identified this as an issue in 2008. The relatively light touch approach favoured by Ofgem has failed to deliver the changes required to improve competition. We recommend that urgent intervention is required to resolve this problem. Ofgem needs to implement its proposals to improve liquidity as soon as possible taking a more assertive approach than it has in the past. (Paragraph 87) Fuel Poverty 17. We conclude that the focus on low-income under the proposed LIHC indicator, by reference to the official poverty line, ensures a more accurate identification of fuelpoor households. The use of a ‘fuel poverty gap’ is welcome in giving a measure of the severity of the problem faced by households as energy prices continue to 74 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty increase. However, we are concerned by the use of median national spend on fuel to determine “high costs” within the indicator. It is clear that fuel costs can be below the median and yet still remain unaffordable. If the median national spend is high it may not provide a true indication of affordability. We recognise that consumers who are paying the median could also be finding their energy bills unaffordable, even if they are not classed as fuel-poor. We recommend Government modifies the proposed definition to better reflect affordability in the context of low-income households by introducing a link between the income threshold and the energy costs threshold within the new indicator. (Paragraph 100) 18. We welcome Government’s commitment to monitor the number of fuel-poor households living in E, F and G-rated properties, and recommend that Government use this information to help focus policy on improving some of the UK’s most inefficient housing stock. (Paragraph 101) 19. We are alarmed by the reported lack of Government engagement with input from consultees during the Review process, in particular with regard to recommendations from the Government’s own statutory advisory body (Fuel Poverty Advisory Group). Government has not modified the LIHC indicator, despite the fact that two thirds of respondents were opposed to the use of the national median to determine “high costs”. We seek assurances that DECC will take full account of stakeholder concerns when formulating the new fuel poverty strategy. (Paragraph 102) 20. We welcome Government’s recent commitment to consider extending the use of datasharing to ensure the most efficient and cost-effective delivery of fuel poverty policies. We further recommend that Ofgem considers introducing a licence condition to ensure that energy companies share data on household energy consumption and spend with Government, in order to facilitate identification of fuel-poor households. (Paragraph 106) 21. We conclude that while an accurate definition of fuel poverty is important, the Government has been unacceptably slow to respond to the Hills Review and take action to stem rising fuel poverty. We are concerned that fuel poverty policy has effectively been frozen at a time when significant energy price rises have made energy costs increasingly unaffordable for vulnerable and low-income households. We welcome the recent publication of the Government’s framework for action on fuel poverty which will underpin the Government’s fuel poverty strategy when it is introduced. It is imperative that the introduction and implementation of the strategy, expected at the end of this year, is not delayed any further. For Government to have done all that is reasonably practicable to tackle fuel poverty, the new fuel poverty strategy should be published and implemented as an urgent priority. (Paragraph 109) 22. We conclude that energy efficiency programmes should be the focus of Government’s fuel poverty policy in order to tackle the long-term root causes of the problem cost-effectively. It is disappointing that so much of current Government fuel poverty policy centres on short-term help with bills when improving the thermal efficiency of UK housing stock should be the priority. We welcome the recent announcement in the Spending Review that the Winter Fuel Payment will no longer be Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 75 paid to those living in warmer European climates. We recommend that Government considers better targeting of the Winter Fuel Payment through means-testing, considering how savings made could be used to boost investment in energy efficiency programmes. We also recommend that Government reviews the allocation of funds for fuel poverty policies, prioritising energy efficiency initiatives over provision of financial assistance. (Paragraph 114) 23. England will be the only country in the UK without a tax-funded energy efficiency programme to address fuel poverty following the closure of Warm Front. We are concerned that there have been such significant reductions in the fuel poverty budget for England at a time when rising energy prices are having an increasingly adverse impact on vulnerable households. (Paragraph 116) 24. We conclude that resources under ECO are insufficient considering the scale of fuel poverty. We recommend that ECO expenditure is devoted primarily to fuel-poor households, and further recommend that Government reconsider how best to incentivise take-up and funding of the most expensive energy efficiency measures such as solid wall insulation. (Paragraph 120) 25. In a letter in July 2012 to Minister of State Gregory Rt Hon. Barker MP, we outlined our concerns about off-gas grid consumers and questioned the effectiveness of selfregulation in the domestic heating oil market, suggesting that Ofgem could have a role to play. These concerns still stand, and we urge Government to review regulation of the domestic heating oil and LPG market, as well as extending support for fuel-poor households reliant on these fuels. (Paragraph 121) 26. We conclude that further and more specialised resources are needed to tackle fuel poverty in rural areas, in particular to address the difficulties experienced by off-gas grid customers. Ofgem and DECC should consider further measures as part of RMR and the Fuel Poverty Strategy to ensure that pre-payment customers and those without internet access are able to obtain best market deals. (Paragraph 123) 27. We conclude that the increasing use of levies on bills to fund energy and climate change policies is problematic since it is likely to hit hardest those least able to pay. We note that public funding is less regressive than levies in this respect. (Paragraph 136) 28. We are particularly concerned by the significant projected increase in the wholesale electricity price and how this will impact on households reliant on electric heating. It is clear that vulnerable and fuel-poor consumers require protection from the impact of rising bills and extra support to ensure affordable warmth in their homes. We therefore recommend that Government consider introducing a “protected block of consumption” on bills exempt from levies, as proposed by FPAG and Consumer Focus. (Paragraph 137) 29. We note that under the current tariff structure, energy users are effectively penalised for low consumption, with reduced rates for high energy consumption. This is at odds with both energy conservation and fuel poverty aims. We therefore recommend that the Government and Ofgem consider how tariffs could be restructured to ensure 76 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty that energy conservation is incentivised, while ensuring that high consuming vulnerable consumers are protected. (Paragraph 138) 30. We agree with Government that an elimination target is not the best approach for tackling fuel poverty. The importance of a target lies in its ability to create political momentum and measure the effectiveness of policy. The current target has failed to achieve these objectives. We therefore support Government proposals to introduce a new target which focuses on improving the energy efficiency of fuel-poor households. We look forward to hearing further details on the form, date and level of the proposed target. Government should also consider whether further short-term, fuel poverty targets which can adapt to changing policy contexts could also be introduced as part of its forthcoming fuel poverty strategy. (Paragraph 142) 31. We conclude that energy companies are not the best delivery agent for fuel poverty policies due to low levels of consumer trust and lack of local knowledge. In the longer term, policy instruments such as the Energy Company Obligation may not therefore be the most effective means of addressing fuel poverty. Local councils and voluntary organisations may have greater knowledge of property and occupant characteristics, leading to a more effective targeting of resources. We therefore recommend that Government considers how to maximise the involvement of councils, voluntary sector organisations and other trusted intermediaries as part of its new fuel poverty strategy. We also recommend that Government considers extending access to the ECO brokerage scheme to local councils, in order to ensure finance for locally-led energy efficiency projects. (Paragraph 147) Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 77 Annex: Transcript of public meeting Public meeting with the Energy and Climate Change Committee on Thursday 7 February 2013 Members present: Mr Tim Yeo (Chair) Mr Peter Lilley John Robertson ________________ Guest speakers Sarah Beattie-Smith, Citizens Advice Scotland, Graeme Mullin, G-Heat, and Norman Kerr, Energy Action Scotland, were in attendance. Q1 Chair: Good afternoon, and a warm welcome to this very open meeting. I am Tim Yeo. I chair the Energy and Climate Change Select Committee in the House of Commons, and I have also been a Member of Parliament since 1983. Thank you for coming along. These meetings depend entirely on attracting a decent audience and I am delighted we have done that today. I am joined by my colleagues John Robertson—who is very well known to you and I hope his chances at future elections will not be permanently damaged if I say he is a good friend of mine, even though I am a Conservative; we have worked happily on the Energy Select Committee for the last two and a half years—and Peter Lilley, on my left, who has just joined the Committee last year and who has been a colleague of mine in the House for the last 30 years. Mr Lilley: Elected the same day. Chair: The same day, exactly. Mr Lilley: With Tony Blair. Chair: As well as Gordon Brown, all on the same day. What a quartet. Pity two of them did not turn out quite so well, but I will not say what two I am referring to. Anyway, what I want this to be is Parliament listens: that the purpose of this is to hear from you. But before we get to that part of the meeting, I will just say a word or two about how the Select Committee process works in Parliament and then John will also say a few words, and Peter, and then we have some participants from a number of organisations who will introduce themselves presently. The Select Committees are appointed by the House. Their membership reflects the party balance, so our Committee has 11 members, which means five Conservatives, five Labour and one Liberal Democrat, so the minority parties—they are not all Liberal Democrats, but the minority parties are always represented on the Committee. The Chair is now directly elected by the whole House, for the first time in 2010. The work of the Committees normally focuses on an individual Government Department. Nearly all the Select Committees have a specific focus on a Department, and obviously in our case it is on the Department of Energy and Climate Change. I would have had more of my colleagues here this afternoon, but we have a clash with the Bill Committee. The Energy Bill is currently before the House of Commons. There is a Committee looking at it clause by clause; it was sitting today, and several of the members of my Committee are also members of that Committee and so they could 78 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty not be here. That Bill is very relevant to some of the things that we are going to talk about this afternoon. The way the Select Committee operates is that we choose the subjects that we want to look at. Our agenda is entirely under our own control. Obviously it has to relate in some way to the work of the Department of Energy, but it is a pretty broad agenda, and we have more topics that we would like to investigate than we have time for. We have a small staff, an excellent staff of seven people who help us, but time is a big constraint. The process is that we choose a subject, which we think is relevant or important or perhaps where the Government is about to make a decision, we receive evidence—written evidence—and we call some people to give oral evidence at public meetings, which take place once a week. We produce a report that will contain the recommendations, and the Government is required to respond to that report and those recommendations normally within 60 days of its publication. Our recent reports have included shale gas and nuclear. We did a report on the draft Energy Bill when it was published last summer, and a number of our recommendations on that draft were incorporated when the Bill finally appeared in final form in November. We are about to start doing some work on smart-meters, but we have a particular concern with consumers. Before Christmas we published a report called Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets. After the work we did on that we did have some quite serious concerns about how the energy markets are working and how the companies are operating. There does appear to be a lack of trust among the public in the energy companies. There is not much engagement with the public about the issues. I do not think there is a good understanding of what drives prices up, and they have certainly been going up in the last five years. I think many consumers do not know where to turn to for advice. A particular concern for us is that the most vulnerable consumers tend to be the ones who are least likely to switch their energy supplier; they have the least understanding of the advantages they can gain. Energy efficiency is absolutely at the heart of all this. The Green Deal was launched in the last two weeks, and energy efficiency measures can help, but even there there is not as much take-up of some of the energy efficiency measures as we would like even though they are financially often directly very beneficial. The purpose of today is to try to promote a debate. We would like to explore how we can get more engagement from consumers, how we can tackle fuel poverty, how we can improve competition and a variety of other things. That is enough from me. I will pass firstly now to John and then to Peter. John Robertson: Thanks very much. Can everybody hear me? I do not particularly want to hold a mic, but it is all right. First of all, can I thank you for coming to Anniesland College, which opened in 1964, and this new building came in just after Christmas in 2008. It is a pleasure to have you all here; this is obviously the heart of my constituency, and I know many of you are constituents. One of the reasons that we came here was mainly because I shout the loudest on the Committee sometimes, and I believe that part of the problem was we did not really listen to real people and it was important, therefore, maybe to get real people along to get real questions that we will take back when we have the Big Six, in particular, up to give evidence in a short time and then followed by the Minister, who will have to answer the questions that I hope you are going to ask us today. Basically what I am saying here is we are here not because we want to give you a message but we want to take your message back to make sure that these people, who run our country, who make the policies, will listen to what real people have a problem with. Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 79 Part of the problem has been, as Tim has said, is trying to get people to be more efficient. We hear that a lot of the people are switching from company to company, and we hear a lot about, “There’s too many carrots”, and nobody really understands what the process is. I honestly believe the energy companies do that deliberately so they can rip us off, and it is our job to make sure they will not do that in the future. The tariffs are going to come down. We are not quite sure where that goes, but we will make sure we keep on top of them. One thing is for sure the prices will not come down because they seem to go up every other month, and then when they start getting cheap gas the prices do not come down quick enough. So, our job is to keep on top of them to make sure they do and deal with real people. I think it is important that people see what is coming and the like. I am pleased that we have so many people from companies who do know how to help you, and hopefully the questions you are going to give us will put us further down the road. Certainly as your constituency MP once we get the report I will get you a copy, and you can read it yourself and find out did he do anything; and that is my job. At the end of the day when you go to the ballot box will determine whether I have done what I said I would do and what you wanted me to do. It is great to see you here, and I look forward to your questions. Thanks very much. Mr Lilley: Can I add my thanks to you all for coming and for Anniesland College for hosting this evening. I think it is very important for us, as a Select Committee, to get out and hear people’s views. When I was the Secretary for Social Security, and before that Trade and Industry, I found that every time I went out and visited a benefit office and talked to claimants or talked to people in the office I never failed to learn something that I had not been told by my officials. I am pretty sure that we will learn things tonight that we would not otherwise have known or would only have found out belatedly. I know there is great concern and even anger in my constituency, among my constituents, about the rise in heating bills, and they want us to hear their concerns to try to establish the causes of those increases and to examine the measures that can be taken by Government to mitigate them, particularly for those in fuel poverty. As Tim said, I am new the boy on the Committee. I have only been on a couple of months. I still cannot understand all the acronyms that are used in this area, and I have a very simple-minded view, which is that it should be the job of the Department of Energy and Climate Change to give us the cheapest possible energy. Both because we want our heating bills to be as low as possible, particularly for those on low incomes and in fuel poverty, and because also we want to rebalance the economy towards manufacturing and cheap energy will help do that and create jobs in that sector. I also have a confession to make. I am among a small minority, a very small minority, of Members of Parliament who have been highly critical both of the last Government and of this Government for the over-emphasis, in our view, they give to the objective of combating climate change. I was one of five who voted against the Climate Change Act not because I do not believe in global warning—I studied physics at university; I know it is a reality—but I have also looked at the economics. To my amazement I discovered that the likely benefits of that Bill—in the Government’s own estimate, the maximum benefits were half the likely costs, so it seemed to be selfevident one should vote against it and find some better way of doing things. Then I looked further and found, again from the Government’s own guru on these matters, Lord Stern, all the increased costs we are bearing now, from switching from fossil fuels to more expensive types of making energy—those costs are going to exceed any 80 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty benefits for more than a century. So, what we are doing is designed to make people better off more than a century ahead, and I would like your views as to whether you think that is sensible, especially as Lord Stern thinks that by 200 years’ time, on his worst possible scenario, the worst possible implications of global warming if we do nothing at all—people will still be seven times better off than we are now. Should we be making ourselves worse off so that they can instead be 10 times better off? Again, that is something we ought to ask about. We need to look at where costs come from in our heating bills. We know part of it is imported fuel. We cannot do much about that in the short term. It is about half of it and has been a big source of the increase. Another part is the cost of generating transmission and distribution, which is a fixed cost for the short term. There is not much we can do about that. Then there is profit, and we know very little about how much profit the gas and energy companies are making. Ofgem, the regulator, puts the figure at about 6% of the bill, but I am as sceptical of them as I am of the Government and we, in the course of our inquiry, want to see whether that is true or whether it is more or less. Also, the element that we never look at—and that is the cost that the Government is imposing on fuel bills. At the moment it is quite small, but on the Government’s own figures by 2020 the average household energy bill will increase by £280 as the result of moving to high-cost energy but will be reduced by the measures they hope will have the effect of reducing the amount of energy we use, more insulation and so on, by £370. It will be up to you to give your views as to whether you think they will deliver on the promise of higher costs and whether they will also deliver on the promise of lower consumption. I have to say I am rather sceptical about the latter. We look forward to your views. I am told that I must give you a sort of health warning like they do on phone things that this meeting will be recorded for training purposes, or at least we have a Hansard official with us from the House of Commons Transcription Service, which will ensure that a full record is kept of what passes. If you have any further points you want to make after the discussion is over, please can I encourage you to submit them to us in written evidence to our inquiry so that we can take that on board as well as what we hear today. Thank you very much. Chair: Peter, thank you; now, from Energy Action Scotland, Norman. Norman Kerr: I will move away from the speaker. The batting order tonight, folks, I am going to do the high-level policy stuff, and then we are going to hear about a bit of the forward-facing things that are happening and then from G-Heat very much on the local side of where we are. Energy Action Scotland, I am sure many of you have never heard of us, and that is because we are not a public-facing campaigning organisation. A lot of what we do is working with fuel utilities, with housing providers, housing associations, local authorities, manufacturers of insulation materials, and we do a lot of work to lobby, if that is still a word that we can use, Government both here in Scotland and at Westminster on energy and fuel poverty policy. Energy Action Scotland celebrates—no, it does not; it marks—its 30 years in business; we were formed in 1983, and sadly we are still here because we still have fuel poverty. In a Scotland-wide context fuel poverty in Scotland runs around about 40% of the population, and a lot of that is caused by the fact that we have many rural communities, communities that are off the gas grid and houses, very much in the area here, are very difficult to treat, and certainly we have already heard, this evening, about reducing the demand for energy and for a lot of houses in this particular area that is quite a tall order when you look at the construction of the house. Fuel poverty, now at 40%, almost 900,000 households in Scotland, has fallen. It fell to somewhere in the region of 220,000 households in 2004, and that was caused Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 81 mainly by the deregulation of the energy market when we saw prices go down, but unfortunately since 2004 prices have gone back up and we are now seeing the adverse effect of that in terms of more fuel per households. The cost of energy is something that, although Members of the Committee are looking at it, we are also asking to be looked at, because we have a fairly simplistic view and unfortunately it is a very complicated area, because the companies tell us they make between £25 and £65 profit per organisation. The biggest single factor in your bill is the wholesale cost. The cost of buying and selling the electricity before it gets to you amounts for something like 42% of your total bill, and to be honest that is a bit of a black hole that we do not really understand. Ofgem have just launched a market liquidity review; in other words, they are looking at that cost. We believe that a lot of savings can be made if we get the wholesale market right. Just recently, last week, we had a situation where it was recorded that the UK was selling gas to Europe at a very low price while buying liquefied natural gas from Asia at a much higher price. So, we are selling it at a loss but buying it in from elsewhere at a cost that then impacts on each of our bills. We certainly welcome the Committee’s look at fuel poverty and energy price but also the energy bill, because I do believe that we have an opportunity. If I can just stay with bills—and certainly Mr Lilley talked about bills rising—currently for your bill, your electricity bill, whether you know it or not, you contribute around about £100 to the energy companies who then do a variety of work with that money, but that money is not theirs; it is yours, as we have said, but they collect it because Government have placed levies upon them to do so. Those levies will continue to rise, and you will continue to pay more. One of the things that we are very keen to look at is how that is done, because an OAP in a one-bedroom flat will pay exactly the same as a family of five living in a fivebedroom home using much more energy. So, we have a very regressive and blunt nature of collecting of taxes, and we need to review that because that is contributing to the cost of your bills and contributing to fuel poverty. I am conscious of time, so I think there is a lot on the policy side that really requires a lot of stones to be turned over and delved in much deeper, but I think in terms of the human impact and the cost I will now hand over to Sarah Beattie-Smith from Citizens Advice. Sarah Beattie-Smith: Thanks. Like Norman says, I am Sarah. I work for Citizens Advice Scotland. We are the umbrella body for all the CABs in Scotland, and there is 61 of them across the country and you can get advice from 250 different places. You can get it online and on the phone as well, and there is some information about us over there. We recently published a report about the kind of issues that people come into CAB with around energy, and there are an awful lot of people coming in for fuel debts because they simply cannot pay. It is no surprise that the big message from that report is energy costs too much and people cannot afford it. I am not telling you anything you don’t know there. I think it is interesting that we are talking about fuel poverty. To me sometimes I think fuel poverty is really just a subset of poverty, pure and simple. I think it is something that we are all pretty familiar with, but it also helps to think about fuel poverty; it has a particular price of it, because it means that you can treat that element of poverty, and there are certain things that can be done. There are three things that tend to cause fuel poverty. There are three elements of it. One is your energy efficiency of your home; so, if your heat is leaking out through the roof, that is no good. It is going to push the cost of your energy up, and that is going to mean that you are spending more on it. 82 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty There are things like your income. How much you have coming in is obviously going to have a bearing on how much is going out on your energy, but there is also the cost of energy itself from your company. The cost of energy is something that we have perhaps the least control over. Like Norman says, there are a lot of questions about how those bills are made up and how wholesale prices are set. What we see is people on low incomes essentially and most of my experience with the CAB is looking at people who really just can’t afford to pay. We are seeing increasing numbers of people coming through the doors who have not eaten in days. They cannot afford to heat their homes—whose income has collapsed because they are relying on benefits that are no longer there, whose wages have not gone up in years, who have lost their jobs and it takes an age to get any benefit. There are some really dire things out there happening now, and you are looking at welfare reform just around the corner. Some bits of it have already hit, and there is over £2 billion going to come out of the Scottish economy because of the impact of welfare reform. Not to paint a huge doom and gloom picture, but that is the kind of context that we are operating in. If you are looking at how to tackle fuel poverty, and one of those three causes of fuel poverty is low income, we are not doing too brilliantly on that, and there is an awful lot more that needs to be done on boosting people’s income and investing in jobs, a living wage and a benefit system that works for people. Those would all be nice things. Just to run quickly through some of the points that have been put forward by the others so far, I think on the transparency issue most of us have no idea of how our bills are made up. It is just something that comes through the door, and if you want to put the kettle on or you want a hot home, you are going to have to pay that bill one way or another. People are trying to pay their loans and things as well as that, it is pretty unhelpful. I would refute the points about climate change and wanting to pay for that. I think you might expect that your Government would be where your taxes go and that those taxes then support those most in need, but instead what we have is a system where energy companies are being used as a default taxman so we all pay our energy bills and some of that money then goes back in in helping people who cannot pay for those energy bills but that increases the price for everyone else as well. Whereas you might think that if we all just paid our taxes to Government then Government could invest in fuel poverty measures. Government can be doing the things like helping people who are in fuel poverty in insulating their homes. I think there is a big question around that. Just to quickly move on, I think Ofgem—we quite like Ofgem. They seem to do a pretty good job of regulating the market. Sometimes they could do things a wee bit faster because sometimes your energy companies are doing things they are not supposed to, like doing doorstep sales that they are really not supposed to and taking advantage of vulnerable consumers, and some of those things could be tackled a wee bit faster, but generally we quite like them. I would just say finally, I think one of the things that is always said that consumers can do to help themselves in this situation as well is maximising your income, and we can do that at the CAB by seeing if you are entitled to a benefits that could help you to get out of any debt. You are often told that you should be switching but there are only so many companies out there. There are so many tariffs, and there are only so many times that you can switch before your choices run out, so there needs to be something done about bringing bills down, trying to cap them in some way. I would argue that some of the schemes that have been started recently, the energy company Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 83 obligations, which is a new way of tacking fuel poverty from a UK level is not particularly amazing in doing what it is supposed to do. The Green Deal, which is an amazing new policy where you can get a loan to get energy efficiency measures in your home like solar panels or really fancy insulation, is only available for homeowners. There are difficulties in their long-term credit that it is basically a loan that you take on yourself and I would question whether that maybe not the role of Government once again to be a massive roll-out, creating jobs for industries to do insulation and so on. That is basically the position of our organisation, but I would really like to hear from you guys as well as to what you think can be done. I will pass over to Graeme. Graeme Mullin: Thanks very much, Sarah. For anybody that does not know me, which might be quite a few of you, my name is Graeme Mullin and I look after a project in Glasgow called G-Heat, which is the Glasgow Home Energy Advice Team. As Norman has gone over some of the policy stuff and Sarah has gone over some stuff to do with Citizens Advice—we certainly operate on the ground in Glasgow. The G-Heat service is a Glasgow City Council service, and it is open to people across the city; it does not matter whether they are renting, and it does not matter whether people own the home, rent from housing associations or private landlords. Anybody can take advantage of the service. We have eight advisors that work across Glasgow who do home visit energy advice aspects. They give advice on tariffs. They give advice on how to help people understand the heating systems to the best of their ability. They look at things like billing, and we also offer quite a strong advocacy service where you might come across people who have specific issues relating to energy companies that they need to contact on the client’s behalf. This probably takes up the largest part of the work that the GHeat advisor will do. We find that a lot of the people that come to us, and a lot of people who are referred to us have specific problems with billing or they cannot contact the utility company just due to other poverty issues. What we generally find is the G-Heat service works best because it is in the home; they can give the advice face to face in the home. They can look at things like metering. They can look at people’s usage. They can look at people’s fuel bills and they can help people understand how their fuel bills transmit into what they paying at the end of the month. Much of the advice that is out there at the moment, in terms of energy efficiency, in terms of fuel poverty, is done over the phone or it is done online. We find, and certainly the advice workers in Glasgow find, a lot of the stuff can be lost in translation over the phone. A lot of the stuff that is put on online—maybe people do not have access to the internet and perhaps people do not understand some of the terminology that is used, so getting somebody to be able to give you that type of advice face to face in the home is certainly very important. One of the points I would like to pick up on that John mentioned about the tariff and about choice of tariff. Generally at policy level it is very big on the switching and talking about tariffs, availability, and there is a big encouragement for people out there to switch between companies. I think between the Big Six companies at the moment there are around 400 or 300 utility tariffs on the market. I agree with John about the confused marketing. I think it is partially deliberate where people take a look at it, they cannot understand and they are immediately turned off by it. I think tariffs and changing and switching is a little bit of a red herring. The advice that I get passed back to me from the home energy advisors, day-to-day, when they are in people’s home is we should really be looking at a more holistic approach where they look at people’s debt, they look at people’s usage and they help people understand how what they are using 84 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty converts into the end of month bill, they do not always understand what they are paying for at any given time. If you go around the supermarket you see how much something costs before it goes into the basket. If you are filling up the car with fuel you can see how much has gone in or how much you are paying for but utilities are something that we use and we are not always perfectly sure how much we are using and how much it is costing. With that in mind the switching in the tariff is only a small part of it. The holistic approach that G-Heat advisors tend to take would be to look at all aspects from how people use a central heating system, do they understand how to use it, are they getting the maximum efficiency from it, right up to understanding their bills and right up to the advocacy service that they give. Sarah mentioned general poverty issues that people deal with. We find a lot of people who have to deal with the utility company about billing or about points and so on are already in debt with practically every other aspect of their life. Fuel debt is a massive part of that. The majority of the contact the utility companies have with the consumer is done over the phone. What we try to get is people who have issues accruing from a debt to contact the utility company perhaps to try to sort out problems that are not their own doing. We come across many instances of incorrect billing; people maybe have meters or on tariffs that their heating system cannot support. That is when the advocacy service kicks in, and we have to do quite a lot of work on behalf of the client direct with the utility company. I guess that is where the frustration comes in and I hear the frustrations from the team every day. The utility company’s response to people who are in debt tends to be more of a reaction to credit control first and foremost, “How quickly can we get the money back? How much can you afford to pay back?” rather than understanding how the person got into debt and how they can try to help them with the consumption and help them get back out of that debt. I believe that we probably all pay it, and that is a kind of “computer says no” culture if you remember it from the TV show, where somebody sitting in a call centre will make a decision on somebody’s usage without knowing anything about them and without maybe knowing the problems that they are suffering from at home. Again it is probably where the service from GHeat works, and what we can offer is we can see in the home the circumstances that the people are suffering from. We can look at their heater. We can look at their metering. We can look at their billing. We generally find that when we contact the utility companies and we convey some of that information to them we can have a bit of an influence and a bit of an impact. So the service, for anybody who does not use it or know about it, is available the length and breadth of Glasgow. We have one or two of my advisors in the room tonight and some other advisors from other advice agencies in Glasgow here as well; make use of them, and ask them questions maybe at the end here. I am certainly happy to answer to any questions, but hopefully that gives you a little bit of a flavour as to maybe what is happening at a more local level and a more coalface level in Glasgow. Thanks. Chair: Thank you very much, and now is the moment for the public debate. Can I ask you for the first time you ask a question please to say who you are and if you represent an organisation what that organisation is? Who wants to go first? We have two roving microphones, one at the back and then that the lady in the third row there. Q2 Speaker 1: Hello, my name is [...]. I am just here myself today. I would like to congratulate you for coming up to Glasgow and hope you enjoy your stay. I have a few points to make. I think it was Peter Lilley that spoke there a minute ago, and he was saying, and I agree with him, that there is no real difference between the last Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 85 Government and this Government, because I was poor in the last Government and I am still poor in this Government, so who is responsible for it? I really don’t care, but I want a solution to it, and I have not heard many solutions as to how you are going to solve the poverty industry. In terms of the chap across here, he was speaking about a black hole in terms of fuel. The black hole is a speculation of the markets, and you say it yourself: the fuel is going out, one road, and it is coming in at a higher price on our road. Is it actually leaving the country? It could be sitting in a tanker here getting moved across on the Great Western Road there and put in an oil tank and you buy it in Asia, the underdog, at 50%. So, if you don’t understand and then you didn’t understand it, you will have to pull your socks up and hoist them up a wee bit. Secondly, just recently you have changed the tariffs in relation here on the panels on the roofs that people were getting a tariff themselves, they were getting money back. They were able to produce their own electricity effectively. That was direct competition with the monopoly of the utilities. That was a small approach but if that was spread across the country between that, micro wind and somebody’s house, anyway that you can produce fuel on your own property then that is direct competition to these utilities. If that was happening across the board the utilities would soon drop the prices so you didn’t have to do that. Currently there is no competition, and by your own admission what you are saying there is you really don’t understand the market; and it is not a criticism. It is an observation to—what you say is you really don’t understand the market. You don’t have control of the market, therefore you are really not protecting me as a person or as a citizen of the country so you really needed to get control of it. Chair: Just on the point you make about the reduction in the feed-in tariff for solar PV. it is important to remember that the cost of that tariff, which is a sort of subsidy for solar PV, that cost is borne directly by you as an electricity consumer. The subsidy that solar and other low carbon technologies receive in the form either of renewable obligation certificates or in future feed-in tariffs or contracts for difference is not free it does get paid. It gets paid by consumers so if the Government had maintained those feed-in tariffs for solar at the levels that they were two years ago, which were delivering large profits to the homes who installed them that would have been at the expense of other electricity consumers. It is important to appreciate that those costs have to be paid for. I will take the lady in the third row here. Q3 Speaker 2: I am Ms M, Glasgow Housing Association. I do the same job as Graeme, basically front line, on the ground. Basically my problem is we had an article in a key magazine that was also issued in the Glasgow Evening Times regarding smartmeters, obviously they are compulsory and everyone is to get them. My concern is that a smart-meter supposedly is to send messages back to the supplier to let them know what readings are so we can take away estimated billing, which is very dear. Whether your meter is read or not you are still receiving estimated billing, and it is causing a lot of confusion. We had a gentleman where there was no reading taken, or should I say fed back, where the meter was working for 18 months so they continued to reduce his bills and then tried to back-bill him for a bill of £1,000 but it is faulty equipment. Where is the responsibility in that and how are the smart-meters going to work and who is going to be answerable when they are not? Chair: I am not sure who is responsible in the case of a faulty meter at present. I am an enthusiast for the potential benefits of smart-meters, which I hope will give 86 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty people good information that will enable them to use their energy much more efficiently than they do at the moment and give them much more control over their consumption. We should not be very far away from the position where you can be on your way home and decide what room you want to heat up from your telephone. That would be a considerable advance. It would lead to much less wastage of energy. The Committee is just about to start doing some work on smart-meters, but I do not know whether one of my colleagues wants to answer the point about who can be held responsible for a company that has a faulty meter that leads to someone being backbilled by a very large amount. Anyone have an idea about that? Any volunteers? Norman Kerr: The company itself should be responsible. The company have a duty, if you said the meter was faulty, to investigate that and replace the meter. Speaker 2: Basically that should happen, whereas they consistently reduced his costs, told him to pay, told him to pay, told him to pay. We was an elderly gentleman, pensionable age, unwell, very unwell, paid immediately as they asked and as they required but basically they told him, “You used the electricity, you must pay”. They wrote it off. The article says about along the lines of me getting my teeth in it and not letting it go. Chair: Your local MP is about to come to the rescue. Speaker 2: To be honest with you this, I do obviously a lot of this— John Robertson: It does not matter. If your local MP got this, then I would expect him or her to contact the company and basically give them a short shrift. These things happen all the time and the people, unfortunately, just accept it and carry on. What should happen is the company are obliged, if nothing else, to fix it and also to give the person a good goal payment of some description so that they do not have to pay it all back. If it was one of my constituents I would go and talk to the company immediately to make sure that they were not going to pay the full amount. Having said that that does not necessarily mean they would get everything back but it certainly would— Speaker 2: I don’t think you are understanding the question. What I am really saying is basically that is what I did—I didn’t have to use an MP—I did everything myself—but my point is that why do we not have this element built in around about this smart-meter where he has still not getting the registration back to see that the meter is not responding; it is not sending a signal back. Why is this not highlighted? Because basically it would just—they send it like that. John Robertson: If I am right, and I am not 100% sure I am right, but there is new variant of smart-meter coming out, smart-meter 2. The first smart-meter that came out gave the individual in the house information. The information did not transfer on to your telephone line and go through to the other end. The new smart-meters allow you to do that where they will take a meter reading straight from the telephone line that goes to the smart-meter and they will take it away. Under those circumstances you would be right. If it is an old smart-meter, if it was one of the first group then they did not transfer the information— Speaker 2: There were not fit for purpose, basically. John Robertson: It is the old story, people wanted to know what they were doing and people thought it was a great idea. Personally I was not all that keen on the first group of smart-meters. Certainly the idea of being able to use your telephone and doing all the other things that you want to do in relation to power is important and will be useful. It also lets you know if anything is happening in your house when you are not there and you can find out these things but the first lot of smart-meters were, in my opinion, not fit for purpose. Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 87 Q4 Chair: Another topic; the lady immediately behind that. Speaker 3: Hi there. Evelyn Milligan, Shettleston Energy Advice. Chair: Yes, we can hear you. Yes. Speaker 3: I have a couple of points. The first one is a continuation on the smart-meter. I am not sure if you are aware that that can easily be switched to a pay-asyou-go meter. At the moment some are not paying and obviously people should pay but there is quite a lot of letters and information having to be done and also a warrant has to be authorised by the Justice of the Peace to change someone from a private meter to a pay-as-you-go. Obviously there is forced entry sometimes into the property. My concern is—and it is the same with a smart-meter, which can be done at the press of a button in the supplier’s office so I am just wondering if you can feed back to the suppliers to make sure that all the systems that are in place at the moment for that being done appropriately are being carried out and to get that guarantee. Chair: That is an interesting point for the work we are about to do. If it becomes too easy for a supplier to change the basis of someone’s tariff and force them to go on to the pay-as-you-go there would need to be safeguards to prevent that from being done without proper cause. I am glad you have raised that. It is a point we can look at. We are literally just about to start work on this, so thank you for bringing that up. Q5 Speaker 3: Can I make one other point? Chair: You can if you are quick about it, yes. There are others. Speaker 3: I will do my best. Recently I think you tried to have a go at making the supplier simplify the prices. Five of them have a daily standing charge and one doesn’t, which is British Gas. I think most energy advisors would have preferred to make them do away with the daily standing charge altogether so that the prices were transparent. What happened is I think it is possible just one company. It was easier to meet them and to address their daily standing charge. Regarding British Gas, they have a daily standing charge, and they have still got the three tier pricing system so it is quite confusing and for a lot of people it is hard for them to understand that. It would have been simpler if you had done away with the daily standing charge, okay the unit prices for gas, electricity, would have gone up, but it would have made it easier for us to explain that to people. Chair: Yes, I think that point is very well made and I think there is a lot of support for what you suggest that a charge that simply is what you have used is easier to understand. There is another debate allied to that about whether we should introduce what people have called a rising block tariff that means that if you are quite careful about your use of energy and you are only slightly above the average use, or below it, you would pay at a certain tariff. If you are very extravagant and you can measure an expectation for the size of the household and the size of the premises and so on and maybe you should pay more for the extra bit rather than less. That would be encouraging people to think carefully about their energy usage. That has not been adopted as policy and some people will criticise it, but I think it is interesting because almost every consumer can find ways of using their energy more efficiently and the more we incentivise that the better it is in all sorts of ways. It may even reduce the peak demand for electricity particularly, which would reduce the cost of the extra investment we have to make in order to meet that demand so I think there is an interesting debate. The basic point you make is a very strong one and certainly one that I would be sympathetic with. 88 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty We cannot hear you, and even more importantly the Hansard reporter will not pick up what you are saying. Please use the microphone. Q6 Speaker 2: Sorry about that. Basically I have wee bit of concern with that because a daily standing charge is a one-off payment per day. Obviously at this point in time you are talking about consumption and obviously people overusing consumption. If you were to put an incentive onto—it would be every unit was then higher because basically the terminology is, “If you have no standing charge the unit price is higher. If you have a standing charge the unit price is lower”. With a one-off payment of 20 pence, bearing in mind, using British Gas for example, they will start off at 24 pence for the first 40 units and then it drops down to about 15 pence. Do you know what I mean? I have a background in sales. I think we need to get the pricing of the per unit right before we take away daily standing charges. Mr Lilley: The lady before mentioned the complexity of tariffs and there is also complexity of people’s household circumstances. To some extent one reflects the other so it is unnecessary or just confusing. One thing we suggested in our report, which should at least be considered, was developing a sort of app that would be available both for advisors and individuals where you could just feed in your, like your tax code, your tariff or data from your bill and it would work out what the best tariff for you was assuming your future consumption was the same as it had been in the last year or recent quarters. That ought not to be beyond the wit of man to be able to do that and then even people like me who find these tariffs very confusing would be able to work out what is the cheapest. Chair: While we are waiting for another question, can I just do a poll of the audience? How many people here have switched their supplier? Okay; that is a bit more than half I would guess. How many people have never done so? Okay; it is just interesting. Among an audience that is quite interested in these issues by definition, which is why you are here, and smart enough to know what to do half of the audience have never done so. Another question: yes, I have one in the front row, and then a lady—can we take two or three, we will take you first and the lady at the end of that row there, and then the gentleman right at the back. Q7 Speaker 4: Hi, my name is [...] and I work for— Chair: A bit nearer the mic please. Speaker 4: Sorry, which is a charity on the south side of Glasgow and our aim is to reduce carbon and help people to reduce their energy bills. Sorry. Chair: Yes, it is but hold it close; almost kiss it. Speaker 4: Right. In the south side of Glasgow, in Govern Hill, there is a square mile where there is over 2,900 landlords, so that is privately rented accommodation. Some of the poorest people live in privately rented accommodation not social housing. Some of the poorest people live in privately rented accommodation. They are living where the energy efficiency is very poor, with no investment and white goods use up loads of energy because they are ancient. There are pre-payment meters they cannot get rid of. I understand that there are a few measures to combat this but they just do not seem to work at all. The vast majority of people in privately rented accommodation are the least able to control their energy bills. The system has just completely failed people who are renting privately. Chair: That is a well made point. I am going to take a couple at a time so we get more people in. The lady at the end there, second row. Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 89 Q8 Speaker 5: Thank you. My name is [...], and I just came here myself. I am just representing my building. Our problem is that we cannot switch suppliers. We cannot regulate our own heat. We cannot turn it off or on because it is a communal heating system. It is probably in excess of 60 years old, and we are unable to get funding where we are to do precise funding. Pretty much it is a building with low income and elderly vulnerable people. It is a poor area but purely because of our postcodes we were unable to get it. We are hopeful that through Green Deal that we will get this funding but, as that lady was saying there, from the Citizens Advice, it may be a loan that our building cannot really afford to have. The disappointing thing about that is that we have two buildings on either side that were built at the very same time, very similar, all the same building materials and they both got funding assessed for a new heating system. As I say just because of our postcodes it was decided years ago, we tried to contest it, but it will take about 16 years to fix. So, we are in a pretty bad position. Some of our quarterly bills have reached £790 we are pulling in a company that are pretty much charging anything they like so we are in a really bad position and we just don’t know what to do about it. Sorry, just before you start, one of the ladies on the ground floor is 80 years old and she has emphysema. The building is not fit for purpose. It has asbestos and the factor are saying, “In order to try to put you through for this new funding coming up. You will need to pay £170 each”. We have just got a quarterly bill of £460 from them. That is one of the lowest bills that we have had. It is pretty much the lack of help from the factor. Just to put that out there because I know that is not something that maybe has been touched on yet. John Robertson: Whereabouts are you? Speaker 5: Mossview Quadrant in Cardonald. John Robertson: That is not mine, he says thankfully. The new energy company’s obligation may help in that, which is taking over from this so hopefully that will make a difference to you. I cannot tell you because you are not mine so I will not be able to follow it up as they say but that could help you in that respect but I just want to keep an eye on it and find out. If you have problems then go and see your equivalent of me and your MSP on the housing. That brings me to the housing problem, which is basically England and Wales are different and I am not sure if the same thing will apply up here or not where private lets will have to be a minimum of—no, just England and Wales, is it? Okay. So that would solve a lot of your problems so go and see your MSP on this one and what they are doing is in a couple of years’ time they are bringing in a level where everybody who is a private let must have a standard of or the equivalent of a certain band, Band D, I think it is. My friend at the end— On the type of accommodation that you are renting through somebody they have to have a certain standard. If you think about it most of the lets that you are talking about are Band F and G. These would just—no private. This is private let. What you are talking about is of private people she is not talking about council lets. No, because they would have to have income. Speaker 6: What band are you talking about? Speaker 7: Energy efficiency of building. Speaker 6: (inaudible - 18:55:15) John Robertson: Unfortunately housing in Scotland, first of all, but everything that affects it. Speaker 6: (inaudible - 18:55:29) 90 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty John Robertson: It does not necessarily mean that she will help you of course. Speaker 6: (inaudible - 18:55:34) John Robertson: The thing as a Labour Member of Parliament I would say that, would I not? Chair: It is a very serious issue, and John says there is a particular problem with the Scottish housing heritage, the stock here. Some of it is very difficult to improve but it is a problem that we are acutely conscious of, south of the border as well, which is why the regulations have been changed to compel private landlords, who often do have old and rather substandard property that are let to quite poor tenants, will not be able to continue like this under the new arrangements. We have quite a few people now there is— Speaker 6: Can I just— Chair: Very quickly. Speaker 6: It is not just a Scottish problem. If you look at Victorian stone tenement building it is mainly huge glass windows so it is really important that sash and case windows are in Green Deal or the eco package otherwise huge areas of Glasgow will not benefit from Green Deal or eco package because that is the most energy efficient measure you could do? Chair: Okay. The Committee also has a watching brief on the Green Deal. We are going to see how it goes. So the gentleman in the middle there has put his hand up there, and then one lady further back and a gentleman here too, and the lady there. Q9 Speaker 7: I am David Kennedy. I am one of Graeme’s G-Heat advisors. My old politics lecturer used to always say that a lot of this stuff that happened in the House of Commons, to him it was like pantomime. He used to say if you want to see the Commons at its best go to a Select Committee. He has retired now but we are all present tonight and we will welcome the parliamentarians. I am very glad you have taken your time to come up. Just taking the point that Lucy made in the front row, the area of Glasgow she is talking about and the housing conditions are so poor that it has been raised specific in the Scottish Parliament with concerns. What we decided to do is in GHeat is to do visits with interpreters. I have done visits with a Slovak interpreter, a Polish interpreter and a Somalian interpreter. Not all at the same time, but it is a good way of reaching for the hard to reach groups there and just take the holistic approach. The last time I went there, when I finished I phoned the council and said, “Can you fix the drain because I had to swim to get into the front door”, because it was that bad. There definitely are challenges but I think we can ensure that we do reach the hard to reach groups. Also I think it is important to remember that although conditions are particularly bad in the private rental sector, I have been quite shocked at the middle class areas and people struggling to pay their bills sometimes. Just because maybe someone lives in a nice-looking private estate does not mean that they are finding their bills easy to manage. Sometimes they have very high levels of debt and are almost in tears when you visit them. Chair: Okay; right at the back and then there are two on this side as well. That is you. Q10 Speaker 8: It is just to mention about— Chair: Name please first. Speaker 8: Sorry, [...]. It is just to mention about the amount of public awareness. There was a grant of £130 for pensioners that has been awarded and I do not Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 91 think it has been made widely aware enough for people. I know that my mum did hear about it on the telly just before Christmas and phoned up about it and she was given the run around by the energy supplier that she phoned, which was British Gas, saying it did not exist. Then when she eventually managed to get to speak to somebody they said, “Oh, I don’t know why the Chancellor was on the telly telling people about it, because they shut the books several weeks ago”, and you were not allowed to claim for it. Why are people mentioning things that exist and not properly advertising it or putting the advice in the newspaper? The other thing is that British Gas obviously had access to my mum’s personal details and when my dad died she was given a lot of pressure to take out additional maintenance contracts on different things around the home. When there was plumbing work needing done that she claimed for and they said that she would not be insured for this type of taps and different work that was required to be done around the home after putting the pressure on, saying she was a widow and she would be vulnerable. It is just that they have access to this personal information and they are not always using it wisely. Chair: Okay, I will take a couple from this side now please. Yes, the gentleman towards the back with the light grey shirt; yes, with his hand up, please, and then one rather near the front. We will try to respond to the points in a moment. Q11 Speaker 9: My name is [...]. I am representing Haemophilia Scotland. Can I just refer to the point this gentleman here made. I am a wee bit concerned that there is a danger that the notion of fuel poverty is referring primarily to those not in employment and in socially deprived areas. Although these people obviously need the most attention and most direct action I believe there is a danger that there is a very large constituency somewhere in the middle of people who are in good jobs with good incomes who also suffer fuel poverty and who, like me, dread their quarterly bills coming in. I was interested in Norrie’s figure, 40%. Norrie, you are saying of Scottish people is just in fuel poverty, I am sure the lady at CAB Scotland is seeing more and more people, even just four or five years ago, who are middle class people who are feeling their energy bills, it would not have been a problem are now experiencing this issue. I want the assurance from the politicians on the Committee that they their understanding of the term “fuel poverty” affects not just the most vulnerable people in society. It affects everyone. Chair: On that point there is a statistical definition of “fuel poverty”, and that is an absolute measure. The kind of people who may fall into that category may well have changed over the last few years but it is a quantified measurement. A gentleman just a little bit further at the front here. John Robertson: Before you take the mic, can I just say there is nearly a million people now in Scotland who hit the fuel poverty area, and I have raised it on a number of occasions in Parliament, believe me, and it is one we will look at and are looking at. Mr Lilley: I think the Government commissioned a new definition of fuel poverty, or an analysis of how it might change from Professor Hills, who is an expert in poverty and low income households. I do not think it has yet been adopted. He has only just reported, and I certainly have not yet read his report, but there is, therefore, consideration as to whether the existing definition, which is simply households where a certain percentage of their income is consumed by their fuel bills, should be adapted in some way. I think your point is one that is being considered. 92 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Q12 Speaker 10: My name is [...]. I am just a concerned home owner from a local area down here. One of my concerns, why doesn’t the Government step in and do something about all the profits that we read in the paper that the gas board and the electricity board are making? Cut their costs, surely that would help this heavy billing that everybody is getting. Another point I would like to make as well, I hear you talking about smartmeters and things like that. I have all kinds of meters in my house. My gas and electricity bill just now is £400 a month. I go into all the suppliers, I say, “This is extortionate. I cannot afford to pay this”. You cannot get anybody to come out. You cannot get anybody to check your meters. They are putting in smart-meters. You can watch them. You can watch the lights coming on. What do you do? I am shouting at my three kids every day, “Get out of that shower”. We cannot afford the gas to run the shower every day, let alone twice a day. That is how bad it is getting. The Government has to step in and do something about the money they are making. I am fed up reading in the papers they make multi-million pounds every year and I am struggling to pay my bill. I have to go and work six days a week to try to meet the bills in the household to keep the household together. I would be better packing my job in and going on to the dole, let them pay for it. I think that is a shocking attitude for me to take. I have worked all my life and I am really concerned about the way it is going. I cannot think for the day I retire because I cannot afford to. It is shocking the way the general public have to try to deal with this. Chair: Two of the three MPs here are over retirement age, but that is a matter of choice, I dare say. On the question of profits, clearly profits should be at a reasonable level. We do have to see sufficient profits to attract the investment. We need over £100 million of investment in new generation and transmission capacity in this decade, and to attract that—I do not think taxpayers are keen to fund it—we have to allow companies to make profits. But there are concerns naturally, and we have touched on these and we will return to this issue, that the companies, the Big Six particularly who have a very dominant position in the market, may well be exploiting their market power. In particular, prices do seem to go up sometimes faster than they come down. If you track the relationship between the wholesale and the retail prices, there is a suspicion, I think—the expression “up like a rocket and down like a feather” has been used to describe the way in which the pricing works out. I think that is a legitimate point. It is hard to respond exactly. When you say £400 a month it sounds an awful lot of money to me, but I do not know how large your house is and how many people live there and so on. Speaker 10: It is not that big, I can assure you— Chair: I do think it is worth, therefore, getting advice. I would have thought that the scope for some energy efficiency measures if a bill is as high as that is probably quite considerable. That advice is available if sought. Mr Lilley: Sounds like an ideal candidate for the Green Deal, of which I am not normally a wholly convinced advocate but in your case it sounds sensible. Graeme Mullin: Yes, we would be quite happy to come out and get one of the G-Heat advisers to maybe go through some of the things with you. If you want to grab myself or one of the advisers before you go, certainly I am sure we can give some advice. Q13 Speaker 10: They do not want to know your problems. You go down and they will ask, “What do you have in your house? How many fridges do you have? How many televisions do you have? Oh, you should not be using that amount of electricity” Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 93 but still you have to pay your standing order every month or you have no gas or electricity. That is how serious it starts to get, and it really gets me down that that is the way you have to live. Graeme Mullin: Yes, and that is the problems that the G-Heat team and the advice that is given through Glasgow that they come across every day. As I say, most of the contact with the utilities is done over the phone and you do not have the face to face, so if we can send somebody in person maybe to try to push it the right way and maybe liaise on your behalf with the utility company, we will certainly try to help. If I can just come back to Catherine’s point as well just about the warm home discount of £130, it is a constant source of frustration for us that we come across people every day, every week, who should be eligible for the warm home discount and the utility company do not recognise it. It generally takes us to make a phone call on the client’s behalf to get them registered for it. It is not very well publicised on the website or by the utility companies so it is probably one of the bigger criticisms that we come across. Again, we come across people who maybe have huge debt issues that we handle advocacy cases for with utility suppliers and we go in and find out that they could have the warm home discount, so that is £130 better off they could be. Again, the default setting for utilities seems to be how quickly can they try to recover the money rather than how can they look at the person’s circumstances and how can they help. It is a view that we share and that we come across day to day. Chair: I am aware that some people who have already contributed are trying to get in again, but at the moment I am favouring people who have not yet had a chance to say anything. I will start with the gentleman right at the back and then the lady in green, second row back there. Q14 Speaker 11: My name is [...], and I suppose I represent my children. I would like to say how much I agree with the first speaker. The way these energy companies are behaving, I think they have been taking lessons off the banks in the way that they ship gas out, ship it back in, change the price. To be quite honest, Centrica, BP, whoever is buying the gas in Malaysia, this is the same company that is exporting the same gas out of the country and bringing it back in. These people are running rings round you in the same way that the banks ran rings round you. One way of dealing with it would be perhaps renationalisation. Perhaps nationalisation was a good thing after all, this would not be happening, but we know which party decided to open up this market and it is a big free for all and we will all get the best deal. All we actually have is a cartel and it is the same cartel that we had with the oil companies and the seven sisters, only it is the Big Six now, one of the sisters is dead. Maybe one way you could deal with it is to take a golden share in each of these companies the same way that when Rolls-Royce was put out the Government held a golden share so they could basically say to Rolls-Royce, “This is what you will do”. Perhaps sometimes you tend to think that politicians are just basically in bed with these people because you mentioned about retiring coming up. Where will you retire to? A seat in the boardroom? This is exactly what happens. There is a revolving door between Parliament, big companies, seats on boards, remuneration committees. The people can be fooled some of the time but not all of the time. One more thing, when you talk about a million people here in Scotland being in fuel poverty, it is not so much a million people, it is 20% of the population. Do you have any answers to this? Twenty per cent of the population are living in fuel poverty. 94 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty What percentage is now also going to be living in food poverty? A country that has so much resource and they contribute so much, and yet we live in a state of abject poverty. We are going back to the days of Dickens here. We either heat our homes or we starve. We should not be making the choice of can I afford to buy a pair of shoes. Chair: Okay, you have made a very powerful point there, which goes a bit wider than energy and, indeed, I think when we talk about fuel poverty many of us feel that the solution to that does not lie only in energy policy. It may lie partly in energy policy; it lies more widely in how we tackle the problem of poverty generally. I will let others respond in more detail to your points, but I would just like to let the lady in green there with her hand up. Q15 Speaker 12: My name is [...]. I am voluntary chair of Community Central Hall in Maryhill, which is a community organisation, a very large one. We are situated in what is regarded as one of the four most deprived constituencies in Britain. I would like to draw together a couple of points that people have been making, I think it is important because we have to ask what is Government policy going to do about it. Now, first of all, Glasgow has particular problems. We are one of the most dense cities in Europe for living. The majority of our residents live in flats in Glasgow and that is our basic housing. When you talk about the energy efficiency measures and the incentives, the people who stand to benefit most are suburban areas because that is where you can benefit from solar panels, from all kinds of measures and many generation systems, and you can benefit from the feed-in tariffs. But who pays for feedin tariffs? The consumers who live in older housing, in flats that are very dense, often poorly built and for which there are minimal measures that can be taken. These are the people who suffer also from the standing charges. It is not just the people who are in fuel poverty at present but most of Glasgow is probably marginalised because of their own situation. That is also a large percentage of the population. I think this is a policy that needs to be addressed because it is not just rented private housing, it is not just— socially registered housing accounts for about 40% of our catchment area, but the rest of the housing is either private rented or privately owned. Because a person is an owneroccupier it does not mean to say that they are wealthy either or that they can afford the situation. They are very often at the mercy of factors who have interest in maximising their income. They are very often intimidated by them. There have been factoring Bills in Parliament but they are not enough. It needs to go further. But also, the problems of many older people living in this housing need to be addressed as well because all this is related to it. When you give preference to one section of the population you may well damage others. I think policy is very insufficient in this area and it needs to be addressed. Chair: Thank you. John, do you want to talk— John Robertson: Yes. Peter I know well and Anna I also know well. What surprised me is I am probably on the side of the audience as far as I am not in their party. Having said that, I understand exactly what you are saying. It is nothing, I have to say, that I have not said in my own way. What I do know is that in fairness to my colleagues this Select Committee has been very good in not being political, and I mean that by not taking up a political stance like some other areas of Parliament, particularly I have to say in Scotland where the committees here have become more and more political. We do believe that we try to do the best we can. Yes, it is very difficult. Yes, there are a lot of people in poverty and, yes, there is a lot we want to do. The housing in Scotland is not great and we know the problems Glasgow have. Again, it is something that we have to strive to improve. What I will say is that my colleagues at the end there Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 95 who have worked very closely—sadly, I suppose in a way—Citizens Advice and also G-Heat, who have done a lot of work for me, and I know Energy Action is good as well and they have helped me out in a number of areas. If anybody needs any help, these are the people to talk to. They are the experts on this. All I can do is try to persuade the Government to go down a different road. We do give them a hard time. I have to say our Chairman is an excellent chairman and he gives his Secretary of State more than a hard time when he comes up and it is something that I quite enjoy doing because I think they deserve it. Let me finish on this. I do believe that the Big Six are ripping us off and I do believe that we as politicians have to bring them to account, but I also believe that this Government will not do it without us pushing and shoving them down that road. Mr Lilley: On the question of most of the benefits going to the suburbs, it is very important that we make sure that that is not the case. Indeed, earlier the Committee went and saw a community heating power scheme here in Glasgow, which is ground breaking and is basically entirely social housing, not suburban housing. That could be a model for elsewhere if it all stacks up economically. On the gentleman who said the rise in bills is all due to the Big Six energy companies, well, that is partly what we are looking into. In a sense, I hope we find he is right because if that is the case then we can deal with it. If they have been increasing their profits, they are British companies; those profits will be within our domain. We can seize that money back or if it is monopoly profit, monopoly power driving up profits above what is necessary to remunerate the investment that is being put in and to attract future investment, then the whole anti-monopoly power of the state should come down and ensure that does not happen. But I am not sure that that is the case. Obviously, we cannot nationalise the oil fields or the gas fields in Malaysia or Nigeria. The Malaysian and Nigerian Governments can if they like, but we cannot. Any profits that are being made out there are outside the control of the British Government. We can control the margins that energy companies are levying on top of the cost of imported gas and oil and coal, but we cannot really influence the world price and the world price has gone up. IPPR, which is a left of centre think tank, says that the bulk of the rise in energy prices is due to the increased cost of fuel and the wholesale cost that creates. Ofgem says the margin has gone up from about £30 on the average bill to £85. Now, I do not trust those margins and it may, of course, have gone up from a higher figure to an even higher figure. One reason I do not trust them is because it shows five years ago they were all making a loss. Although I am a capitalist, I believe in market forces, I do not think oil companies voluntarily subsidise us, oil or energy companies, so there is something funny about those figures. We have to get to the bottom of it, but I very much doubt whether we will find that the bulk of energy bills is there for taking back. Most of it is due to higher world prices, which we suffer from. Q16 Chair: I think we are going to be out of time as some of us have to go back to London on the flight in a little while. I know that people are keen to get in again, but I will just ask if anyone else on the panel wants to say anything by way of winding up. Norman Kerr: Can I say something on housing? A number of people have spoken about housing tonight. John Robertson mentioned the fact that there is a different regulation in housing and housing down south will be regulated in terms of its energy efficiency from 2018. That does not apply to Scotland and I think it is incumbent upon organisations like ourselves and those who represent householders to press the Scottish Parliament to ensure that that legislation comes in here. But I will also say in terms of fuel poverty the work that John Hills has undertaken in terms of redefining fuel 96 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty poverty will thankfully only apply south of the border and the Scottish Parliament have said that they will maintain the definition of fuel poverty in Scotland that gives us greater scope to include a whole range of more vulnerable people, as was mentioned up there, in terms of how we support people. So there is a bit of yes, some things are good down south but some things are bad up here, and I think we have to look at what the best of those things are and push politicians both in Westminster and at Holyrood to move in the right way. Chair: Okay. I am sorry we cannot accommodate people for a second round, but we have been talking for nearly an hour and a half now and we are driven by the timetable. No, I am sorry, we took a question from you earlier on, I am really sorry. I would just like to reiterate what John has said that this Committee is absolutely determined to act in the consumer interest. Peter has made the same point that if there are abuses, whether they are by Government or by companies or regulators or any agency that is involved here, we will address those and get to the bottom of them. We do try to operate as far as possible by consensus. We think we have a much greater influence if there is a group of 11 MPs from three parties all agreeing, and I think the evidence shows in the last couple of years that our reports and recommendations are taken very seriously by the Government and, indeed, by the industry. I am very grateful to you all for coming along. I hope you regard this as a useful exercise. In one of our reports we called for an honest conversation between consumers, businesses, academics, regulators, politicians, Government and so on, and this is part of that process of trying to promote the honest conversation. It has been a very valuable session for us and we have staff from the Committee here and staff from Parliament who will take note of what has been said. Thank you all for coming along. Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 97 Formal Minutes Tuesday 16 July 2013 Members present: Sir Robert Smith, in the Chair Dr Phillip Lee Mr Peter Lilley Christopher Pincher John Robertson Dr Alan Whitehead The following declarations of interest relating to the inquiry were made: Sir Robert Smith declared interests, as listed in the Register of Members' Interests, in the oil and gas industry, in particular a shareholding in Shell transport and Trading (oil integrated), and as honorary Vice-President of Energy Action Scotland. Draft Report (Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty), proposed by the Chair, brought up and read. Ordered, That the draft Report be read a second time, paragraph by paragraph. Paragraphs 1 to 152 read and agreed to. Annex and Summary agreed to. Question put, that the Committee be the Fifth Report of the Committee to the House. The Committee divided. Ayes, 4 Noes, 1 Dr Phillip Lee Mr Peter Lilley Christopher Pincher John Robertson Dr Alan Whitehead Question agreed to. Resolved, That the Report be the Fifth Report of the Committee to the House. Ordered, That the Chair make the Report to the House. Ordered, That embargoed copies of the Report be made available, in accordance with the provisions of Standing Order No. 134. Written evidence was ordered to be reported to the House for printing with the Report (in addition to that ordered to be reported for publishing on 26 and 28 February, 16 April, 9 and 21 May, and 2 July). [Adjourned till Tuesday 10 September at 9.30 am 98 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty Witnesses Tuesday 12 March 2013 Page Ron Campbell, Chief Policy Analyst, National Energy Action and Mervyn Kohler, Special Adviser, Age UK Ev 1 Richard Lloyd, Executive Director, Which?, Audrey Gallacher, Director of Energy, Consumer Focus and Anne Pardoe, Energy Policy and Liaison Officer, Citizens Advice Ev 8 Tuesday 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Chief Executive Officer, E.ON, Juliet Davenport, Chief Executive Officer and Founder, Good Energy, Jim Poole, Director of B2C, EDF Energy and Alistair Phillips-Davies, Deputy Chief Executive, SSE Ev 21 Paul Massara, CEO, RWE npower, Ian Peters, Managing Director, Energy, British Gas, Neil Clitheroe, CEO Retail and Generation, ScottishPower and Stephen Fitzpatrick, Managing Director, Ovo Energy Ev 38 Thursday 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, London School of Economics, Dr Nick Eyre, University of Oxford and Jan Rosenow, University of Oxford Ev 52 Gervase MacGregor, Head of Advisory Services, BDO LLP Ev 62 Tuesday 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright, Interim Chief Executive, Markets, Ofgem and Sarah Harrison, Senior Partner, Sustainable Development, Ofgem Ev 68 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, Rachael Crisp, Head of Energy Markets and Consumers, DECC and Gareth Baynham-Hughes, Head of Fuel Poverty, DECC Ev 77 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 99 List of printed written evidence 1 Citizens Advice 2 SSE 3 RWE npower 4 Age UK Ev 116 5 Which? Ev 118 6 E.ON 7 National Energy Action 8 Ovo Energy Ev 144 9 Consumer Focus Ev 146 10 DECC Ev 165 11 British Gas 12 EDF Energy Ev 193: Ev 202 13 ScottishPower Ev 205: Ev 211 14 Ofgem Ev 93 Ev 96: Ev 101: Ev 104 Ev 105: Ev 110 Ev 122: Ev 127: Ev 131 Ev 132: Ev 143 Ev 173: Ev 186 Ev 215 List of additional written evidence (published in Volume II on the Committee’s website www.parliament.uk/ecc) 15 Ray Cope Ev w1; Ev w5 16 Barry Rosindale Ev w5 17 Chris March Ev w6 18 National Pensioners Convention Ev w7 19 IPPR Ev w11 20 All Party Parliamentary Carbon Monoxide Group Ev w15 21 Energy Action Scotland Ev w17 22 Hastoe Housing Association Ev w20 23 Martin Allan Ev w21 24 Cornwall Energy Ev w23 25 Mr D Shah Ev w31 26 Local Government Association Ev w31 27 Carillion Ev w34 28 Brian Mongey Ev w37 29 Renewable Energy Association Ev w38 30 Caroline Flint MP Ev w46 31 UK Government's Fuel Poverty Advisory Group 32 Barnardo's Ev w64 33 Stephen Littlechild Ev w67 34 Penelope Draffan Ev w86 35 Brian Catt Ev w86 36 Michael Dangoor Ev w96 37 George Herraghty Ev w96 Ev w49; Ev w59; Ev w61 100 Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty List of Reports from the Committee during the current Parliament The reference number of the Government’s response to each Report is printed in brackets after the HC printing number. Session 2010–12 First Report Emissions Performance Standards HC 523 (807) Second Report UK Deepwater Drilling–Implications of the Gulf of Mexico Oil Spill HC 450 (882) Third Report The revised draft National Policy Statements on energy Fourth Report Electricity Market Reform HC 742 (1448) Fifth Report Shale Gas HC 795 (1449) Sixth Report Ofgem’s Retail Market Review HC 1046 (1544) Seventh Report A European Supergrid HC 1040 (1684) Eighth Report The UK’s Energy Supply: Security or Independence? HC 1065 (1813) Ninth Report Solar Power Feed-In Tariffs HC 1605 (1815) Tenth Report The EU Emissions Trading System Eleventh Report The Future of Marine Renewables in the UK HC 1624 (93 Session 12-13) Twelfth Report Consumption-Based Emissions Reporting HC 1646 (488 Session 12-13) First Special Report Low carbon technologies in a green economy: Government Response to the Committee’s Fourth Report of Session 2009–10 HC 455 Second Special Report Fuel Poverty: Government Response to the Committee’s Fifth Report of Session 2009–10 HC 541 Third Special Report The future of Britain’s electricity networks: Government Response to the Committee’s Second Report of Session 2009–10 HC 629 First Report Draft Energy Bill: Pre-legislative Scrutiny HC 275 Second Report The road to UNFCCC COP 18 and beyond HC 88 (633) Third Report Low-Carbon Growth Links with China Fourth Report Pre-appointment hearing with the Government’s preferred candidate for Chair of the Committee on Climate Change HC 555 Fifth Report Consumer Engagement with Energy Markets HC 554 HC 648 HC 1476 Session 2012–13 HC 529 (748) Energy Prices, Profits and Poverty 101 Sixth Report Building New Nuclear: the challenges ahead HC 117 (106 Session 13-14) Seventh Report The Impact of Shale Gas on Energy Markets HC 785 (609 Session 13-14) First Special Report The Future of Marine Renewables in the UK: Government Response to the Committee’s Eleventh Report of Session 2010–13 Second Special Report Consumption-Based Emissions Reporting: Government Response to the Committee’s Twelfth Report of Session 2010–12 HC 488 Third Special Report The road to UNFCCC COP 18 and beyond: Government Response to the Committee’s Second Report of Session 2012–13 HC 633 Fourth Special Report Low-Carbon Growth Links with China: Government Response to the Committee’s Third Report of Session 2012–13 HC 748 HC 93 Session 2013–14 First Report The Green Deal: watching brief HC 142 (607) Second Report A Severn Barrage? HC 194 Third Report UK Oil Refining HC 340 Fourth Report Smart meter roll-out HC 161 First Special Report Building New Nuclear – the challenges ahead: Government Response to the Committee’s Sixth Report of Session 2012–13 HC 106 Second Special Report The Green Deal: watching brief: Government Response to the Committee’s First Report of Session 2013–14 HC 607 Third Special Report The Impact of Shale Gas on Energy Markets: Government Response to the Committee’s Seventh Report of Session 2012–13 HC 609 cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [SO] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 1 Oral evidence Taken before the Energy and Climate Change Committee on Tuesday 12 March 2013 Members present: Mr Tim Yeo (Chair) Barry Gardiner Ian Lavery Mr Peter Lilley Albert Owen Christopher Pincher John Robertson Sir Robert Smith ________________ Examination of Witnesses Witnesses: Ron Campbell, Chief Policy Analyst, National Energy Action and Mervyn Kohler, Special Adviser, Age UK, gave evidence. Q1 Chair: Good morning and welcome to the Committee. Thank you very much for coming in. You probably are aware that Derek Liquorish has been unable to get here because of some travel difficulties. So we will crack on now. We know who you are and you know who we are, so I will not go through a long formal introductory process. We have been told that there are barriers that prevent fuel-poor households from engaging in the market and switching supplier. Given that I find that quite difficult to do myself, I can well imagine that others who are less expert in the field may, too. Do you think it is possible to overcome those barriers? Or do you think it is always going to be a difficulty for fuel-poor households to take advantage of the opportunities of switching? Mervyn Kohler: From the point of view of the older population, one of the major barriers, of course, is access to the internet and to the use of a computer, because without the information available online, the whole process of switching becomes extremely tedious. Sometimes in this world the task of being an active consumer is a full-time job in its own right and that may be another barrier in some senses. Switching is obviously worthwhile, particularly the first time you switch, although it becomes subject to a law of diminishing returns thereafter. Arguably, if we had a strategy of fair pricing in the first place, would we need to encourage people to be switching all the time? Ron Campbell: I think there is probably a more general point than that, that in fact we have seen a significant degree of disengagement from the competitive market across all consumers. My understanding is that switching rates across all categories of consumer are quite low; they are in a degree of decline. In the case of low-income consumers of course, as Mervyn says, there is a number of barriers, not least of which is access to the kind of technology that, in fairness, I think facilitates that kind of process. However, there are other barriers—there is lack of confidence; there is lack of knowledge; in some cases there will be a problem because the consumer is indebted and consequently cannot switch. Also, one of the fundamental problems, possibly across the market, is that there is a degree of scepticism. There is a perception that there is very little to be gained from the switching process and consequently people do not get involved to the extent that perhaps they once did. Q2 Chair: Are they right or wrong? Ron Campbell: As Mervyn said, there is probably still a meaningful benefit for a first-time switcher but, again as Mervyn said, the law of diminishing returns applies. If you look at the general offerings across all six of the main energy suppliers, we seem to be seeing an increasing convergence in terms of the overall costs and I think the conclusion there is that in many instances the benefit of switching will be marginal. Q3 Chair: Are you familiar with the Citizens Advice scheme, which I think is run with Ofgem, called Energy Best Deal? Is that something that might be helpful for vulnerable consumers? Ron Campbell: Yes, I am familiar with the concept. I have read some reporting on it and yes, our view is that Energy Best Deal is a beneficial development but that it has the potential to be considerably better. It is modest in scope; it is modest in its ambition. Our preference certainly would be for Energy Best Deal to develop into something that could be provided on a much wider—probably national—basis, and that it should be concerned with much more than simply guiding people towards the best energy-price offer in a competitive market. For example, we would like to see an advice service that, in addition to providing the support and guidance in switching to the best payment option, provided advice on access to grants through energy efficiency schemes and/or advice on debt and money management, and a fairly comprehensive service that extended beyond simply, “This is the best deal you can get through the competitive market”. Mervyn Kohler: Ron’s point there is important. Anything that has a collective flavour attached to it means that people begin to discuss issues, to understand the issues better and to develop a greater awareness of what can be and what is possible either in that market or in relation to their consumption of energy more generally. So there is room for encouragement for schemes like that. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 2 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Ron Campbell and Mervyn Kohler Q4 Chair: Mr Campbell, could you just explain collective switching and how that works and how people benefit from it? Ron Campbell: Thankfully, I have Mervyn here, who I think may make a better fist of explaining how it will work. As the Committee knows, the Government invested significant amounts of money in supporting collective switching arrangements, primarily through local authorities but also through voluntary-sector agencies. That money was made available in the autumn of last year and, as we understand it, progress will have been limited up to now. I would say however that the kind of collective switching that seems to be encouraged by the Government initiatives seems to us to be more the kind of initiative that we would want to see, that is to say, it appears to be based on a community, on a geographical area, and as such would not have the exclusive nature that might apply across some other collective switching arrangements, for example, where there is a compulsion to pay by direct debit in order to join whatever that community of switchers was. Mervyn Kohler: Nothing very much to add, Chairman. We, Age UK, are participating in this really with the intention of finding out how useful it is and how helpful it can be, remembering that a lot of the older population in particular—but probably the population as a whole—will sometimes want to buy their energy for reasons other than simply price. This adds extra tiers of complication to a collective arrangement. If people like the idea of paying on a traditional quarterly bill basis or of some add-on services like a safety check and things of that nature in the package they are getting from their supplier, that makes the whole collective principle more difficult to organise and goes back to the fact that you can really do it adequately only if you are using a computer-based system. Q5 Sir Robert Smith: There is a lot of concern that the ECO will not make a significant impact on fuel poverty. Is that a concern you share? Mervyn Kohler: Very much so. Looking at the potential funding that ECO is going to provide for dealing with fuel poverty, it seems to be a disappointingly small total in relation to what we have seen in public expenditure in the past through Warm Front. Indeed, the Government’s own impact assessment, looking at how many people will have been taken out of fuel poverty over the next decade is very, very disappointing—125,000 to 250,000 households. In relation to the target, which is now probably over 6 million households, that is just a drop in the bucket. Q6 Sir Robert Smith: So expanding the ECO would be a solution? Mervyn Kohler: Or finding some other form of finance with which to do the essential energy efficiency work that we want done in houses. In England now, we have no publicly funded scheme. We are front-loading it all on to the energy companies and that means that all consumers, including those in fuel poverty, are contributing towards the cost of these housing improvements that we all recognise as the ultimate solution of where we want to go. Ron Campbell: As Mervyn says, the most recent impact assessment suggested that between 125,000 and 250,000 households might be removed from fuel poverty over that 10-year period to 2013. That is not necessarily a reduction in the scale of fuel poverty because we do not know fully what the impacts of other developments in energy markets will be as a result of Government programmes. However, given that there are currently 4 million fuel-poor households in England alone, and that of course the ECO funding is distributed across Great Britain, we think that is a very modest outcome. As Mervyn says, despite constant assurances from Government during the passage of the most recent Energy Act that additional resources would be available to address fuel poverty, that the level of resources that would be available would dwarf previous levels of expenditure and that therefore we should not be overly concerned about the loss of Warm Front, that just has not proved to be the case. Resources are considerably reduced and, in fairness, I think they will not be deployed in the optimal manner because there are two things: the level of resources and the means by which these resources are deployed. The existing ECO schemes—at one point the Government’s estimate was £1.3 billion; we would emphasise that the energy suppliers suggested the cost of ECO might be as much as double that amount— these resources would be much better deployed through the kind of programme, the National Retrofit Programme, that will be introduced in Scotland, which, rather than considering fuel poverty in individual households will look at addressing fuel poverty on a community basis. You will have heard this before. You will have heard this from us. You will have heard this from any number of agencies, not least the Energy Minister, who in evidence to your Committee, I think in October or November, was extremely enthusiastic about the idea of a communitybased, street-by-street, energy efficiency programme. Sir Robert Smith: So more resources and community-based would be your approach? Ron Campbell: Much more resources and community-based would be the approach. As Mervyn says, this is a problem too with the Energy Company Obligation. The imposition of levies on domestic consumers, while it obviously has a beneficial impact, also has a negative impact. To some extent, we have seen this in Government programmes before, that the well-intentioned schemes that impose fairly significant levies on domestic consumers result in the redistribution of fuel poverty. The households who cannot benefit from the programmes that are introduced and implemented lose out in real terms. Mervyn Kohler: Just to underscore Ron’s arguments, I believe the approach to use a local initiative to get this sort of work done to be truly important because that brings the community together. People live in areas where the housing will often share similar characteristics and they can chat to each other about, “What’s happening in my house; what’s happening in yours” and gain strength, reassurance and confidence about what is happening to them and to their home as cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 3 12 March 2013 Ron Campbell and Mervyn Kohler a result of being able to work together. To make a local initiative really work, we have to somehow draw in the local authorities, who have both information about households in their patch and who will understand the nature of the housing stock in the area. Making it more possible for more local authorities to become engaged is a very important aspect of what we hope we will find in the forthcoming fuel poverty strategy. Ron Campbell: Could I just reinforce that point, very quickly? I am not sure about what the protocol is about quoting other witnesses. I did laboriously copy out what the Minister said to the Committee in the autumn, but regardless of that, the point is that the Minister was strongly supportive of the area-based approach. I think there is another point here that, given the eligibility criteria for schemes, and the view of energy suppliers that accessing eligible households is prohibitively expensive and adds significantly to the cost of these schemes, we need to reduce the expenditure that goes on reaching the eligible households. It is a very expensive process. Q7 Sir Robert Smith: On a specific community that I suppose is even more difficult, the concern is that the ECO will not tackle fuel poverty in rural areas— although it does solid walls—and that the fuel poor will not be able to benefit in the same way as elsewhere because you would want to combine it with the Renewable Heat Incentive, where there is an upfront capital cost or a Green Deal cost. Mervyn Kohler: That is absolutely right. There is a technical problem as well, that as you define an area as having characteristics of multiple deprivation and so on, sometimes in rural areas the geography just does not allow you to identify those sorts of clusters in the way you can do in an urban world. The problems of rural fuel poverty sometimes invite different solutions, not available in urban areas, which is to do with renewable generation and so on, which could be very helpful. Going forward, a special focus on rural fuel poverty issues might be helpful as part of a fuel-poverty strategy. Ron Campbell: Within the Carbon Saving Community Obligation there is a fairly modest 15% rural safeguard. I am not sure how reasonable it is, but if you were to translate that into monetary terms, I think it would be equivalent to about £29 million as the rural safeguard element. It is probably advisable that there be such a specific requirement, that a certain level of work be carried out on behalf of rural households because otherwise energy suppliers are going to find the measures expensive and they are going to find accessing eligible households expensive and they are going to find the whole logistics issue expensive. That is one of the difficulties with a programme like this that is to a large extent driven by suppliers. It is not like Warm Front, where you would have a rural household that knew because it had seen a leaflet about the eligibility criteria and the measures that were available, that they could get a grant for £6,000 towards the cost of a new oil-fired central heating system and/or additional insulation measures. As Mervyn says, there are significant problems with rural households. There is the built type. That is an issue that is more commonly found in rural communities than in urban communities. Of course, there is the off-the-mains-gas network issue, which is a significant problem. However, the main concern in relation to ECO support for rural households is that energy suppliers, or whoever is tasked with delivering the measures, will not be prepared to fund the level of required works. Sir Robert Smith: Except they are being focused on solid walls so that will help rural building. Ron Campbell: Yes, the Energy Company Obligation is. That is the primary rationale for that part of the Energy Company Obligation, the Carbon Reduction Obligation. ECO is quite a complex issue, given that it is now seemingly divided, with three different components. In relation to the Carbon Reduction Obligation, rural households should not be any more disadvantaged really than urban households with that built type. However, we have not seen any indication that there is an enthusiastic appetite for these measures and again the energy suppliers are now asserting that in order to incentivise take-up of solid wall insulation, the subsidy will have to be even greater than was originally envisaged and certainly it was originally envisaged that the level of subsidy would be that which would be sufficient to comply with the golden rule of the Green Deal. This is another problem that the suppliers have raised. If I could just make another point about solid wall insulation, if it transpires—and it looks as though this is the case—that private sector householders occupying a property with solid walls are not encouraged to take up a Green Deal arrangement, despite the fact that 50% of that cost might be defrayed by ECO subsidy, if that is the case and the private sector does not take this up, we said from the outset that the £1.3 billion ECO expenditure should be devoted in its entirety to fuel-poverty programmes. We think this is a particularly rational solution. If the idea was to kick-start development of the solid-wall insulation industry in this country and, by doing so, bring about a situation whereby this measure became economically feasible, became cost effective, then you can do that by using the social-rented sector as, to some extent, a testing ground. Sir Robert Smith: Thank you. Q8 John Robertson: Can I ask why it is not taken up by the private sector? Ron Campbell: I think it is simply the scale of expenditure required. I think we would be talking about £10,000 or so for external solid-wall insulation and despite the fact that the subsidy would be significant—the subsidy might be 50% or so—it would be organised in such a way—in righteous economics it should be organised in such a way—as to just tip that measure over into compliance with the golden rule in the Green Deal. So, say it would be £5,000, but it would not be £8,000 or it would not be £9,000. It would just be enough to make this measure cost effective. I cannot honestly see the marginal economic benefits that would accrue to a household prepared to invest £5,000 in that measure being cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 4 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Ron Campbell and Mervyn Kohler something that appeals to a huge section of the population living in solid-walled properties. Mervyn Kohler: To build on that point—and you may not want to go here yet because I’m talking about more generally the difficulties; the barriers to getting this sort of energy retrofit work performed—a lot of people will be looking at the construction, the inconvenience of the work. In the private sector, about one third of the housing stock is occupied by older households, and I am afraid I hear from a lot of older people, “Oh, I don’t think I’ll be around for another five or 10 years at the most and I can’t be bothered to have the work done”. We have to get over that barrier as well, as we craft and develop the ECO or whatever we have for the future. Q9 Barry Gardiner: Mr Campbell, National Energy Action suggests that 45% of fuel-poor households will be unable to benefit from cavity-wall insulation under the ECO. Can you just explain why that might be the case? Ron Campbell: To be honest, I do not recognise that figure. Barry Gardiner: Maybe if you want to check whether you did come up with it and if so if you want to write to us and advise us why, that would be helpful. Are you aware of the sensitivity analysis that DECC has done for uptake by 2022? Ron Campbell: No, I am not familiar with that. Q10 Barry Gardiner: What about the Committee on Climate Change’s recommendation of uptake for 2015? Ron Campbell: Of solid-wall insulation? Barry Gardiner: They have done an uptake on solidwall, loft and cavity-wall insulation. Ron Campbell: I think these things are not terribly scientific. I think there is a general recognition certainly that the kind of measures that were the basis of previous grant schemes— Barry Gardiner: What is it that is not particularly scientific? Any estimates that DECC come up with or any recommendations that the Climate Change Committee come up with? Ron Campbell: Both, I think. There is a degree of conjecture in these things. You have to look into the heart of households and energy consumers to see just what it is; how they will react to various grants, schemes and incentives. The Climate Change Committee did say something rather supportive about the negative impact of the cost of ECO on fuel-poor households and in relation to solid-wall insulation. It did suggest that this was a good and rational deployment of resources to fund solid-wall insulation on behalf of fuel-poor households. Mervyn Kohler: I think a lot of these projections are anticipating how the public is going to respond and here we are so recently into the Green Deal-related programmes, it is very difficult to make a judgment and that is probably where a certain amount of the speculativeness that Ron is referring to comes in. We certainly do need to make sure that the public get behind the concepts that we are trying to extol here— the idea of making homes much more energy efficient. Sometimes it is not helped particularly by the fact that the Green Deal has been crafted very much as a market-led initiative and the energy companies are seen to be among those who will be in the van leading the charge. Q11 Barry Gardiner: My point, Mr Kohler, was that it has been marketed and also stated that the policy is there to reduce carbon emissions and therefore the recommendations that are put forward by the Climate Change Committee are related to what is necessary to achieve those levels of emission reductions. For solid wall, for example, they said that there should be 2.3 million installations of solid wall by 2015. So given what you have said about the marketing of the scheme and the reluctance of people to have work done in their properties, do you see any possibility of those recommendations being fulfilled? Mervyn Kohler: Not, I fear, without considerably more effort to generate interest in this sort of subject from communities and so on. Q12 Barry Gardiner: You said that in an ideal world you would tip the scales to make any subsidy conform with the golden rule of the Green Deal. Nevertheless, that would be ideal only if the Green Deal itself and the golden rule itself were incentivising people to take up the Green Deal programme, would it not? Mervyn Kohler: Absolutely correct. Barry Gardiner: It is not, is it? Mervyn Kohler: No. Q13 Barry Gardiner: So when Energy UK found that the cost of ECO could not be perhaps the £1.3 billion that DECC have estimated but £2.35 billion or more, adding on average £94 to consumers’ bills, do you think that is a more realistic estimate? Ron Campbell: This is the kind of report that we have had from the industry relating to the last few years of what they see as very challenging targets, so the super-priority group element of the carbon emissions reduction target reaching these households and offering them some kind of incentive to adopt energy efficiency measures—I am not entirely sure what the figure was, I think it was something like £200 per household—and that I think is for fairly basic measures. If I could go back— Barry Gardiner: I would rather you answered the question. Ron Campbell: If the cost of the scheme is as expensive as the energy suppliers claim, it will work out at £94 per household. Q14 Barry Gardiner: DECC have rejected having benefit entitlement checks carried out as part of ECO. Would that have been a useful way of ensuring that more people in fuel poverty engaged in this deal? Mervyn Kohler: It is an absolutely essential way of making progress on several fronts all at once. Linking benefit entitlement checks to energy efficiency work is a convenient link to make. The important thing at the end of the day is that the benefit entitlement check is carried out because—certainly again I would speak with knowledge only in this respect of the older cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 5 12 March 2013 Ron Campbell and Mervyn Kohler population—the numbers of people who are underclaiming on benefits, and under-claiming by very significant amounts is quite frightening. Q15 Barry Gardiner: So why do think DECC decided not to include it? Mervyn Kohler: Presumably again on the grounds simply of managing the costs of the programme. Q16 Albert Owen: Can I just move on to more general environmental and social levies? We have heard that these social and environmental programmes are paid for through levies on the energy bills and these costs can hit the fuel poor the hardest. Why is that? Mervyn Kohler: It is a question of proportionality. A person in fuel poverty is going to be spending, by definition, a larger chunk of their available income on energy and if a chunk of that energy cost is going up, it bites on their broad budget in more general terms. Also, the fact of the matter is that we charge for these environmental and social obligations on a per household bill basis. There would be surely a greater case in terms of equity if it was charged on a per consumption-unit basis. Q17 Albert Owen: I understand your general theme there, but some housebound people who are fuel poor need heating all the time so they would pay more under a per-unit charge. Mervyn Kohler: Absolutely right. Again, with the older population, living in their homes 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, probably needing a higher ambient temperature because of their health conditions, people who might be incontinent and need gallons of hot water to wash their bedding and things of that nature, they will need to be looked at in a slightly different way if we were to move to a payment-by-consumption basis. They would need to be properly safeguarded. Q18 Albert Owen: I am not really sure what you are saying as an organisation. You said in your opening remarks that you supported the units. Yes? Unit cost. However, that would be detrimental to some people whom you represent. Mervyn Kohler: As an organisation we look at the figures, which give us the flavour in the big picture of things, that people who are in fuel poverty are usually smaller consumers so let’s start with that and then deal with the exceptions, who we want to protect. Q19 Albert Owen: However, are they the exceptions? The people I come across or visit in their houses in my constituency who have concerns, they are growing in number. So I am not so sure that the balance would be, in the way that you said, better for them by going to unit price. Mervyn Kohler: This may be a subject worth more research and more discussion, but I come back to the fundamental point that the most profligate users of energy are wealthy households, and the converse is true as well. Q20 Albert Owen: The Fuel Poverty Advisory Group has advocated that there be a protected block of consumption. Do you think that would work? Is that the practical solution to the dilemma that you outlined there: that you can identify who are the fuel poor and then in their bills there is a block of consumption exempted? Mervyn Kohler: The fly in that particular ointment is whether you can identify the fuel poor. We have spent a lot of time debating the definition of who is in fuel poverty or not and wherever you make a definition of a description of a household, you are going to have silly cliff-edges where people are either in or out of the box and sometimes inside it and sometimes outside it. Q21 Albert Owen: Nevertheless, a lot of people on benefits are fuel poor as well so those would be an easy target group for the DWP. Mervyn Kohler: They would, and undoubtedly to find some way of protecting those people by a strategy such as having a protected block of expenditure would be a help—and a help to people who are living on such seriously narrow margins that even a small amount of help is going to be very welcome respite. Q22 Albert Owen: So you think it is a good idea and it is something worth looking at? Mervyn Kohler: It is definitely an idea worth looking at. Ron Campbell: My assumption here is that all households would benefit from a number of units that were not subject to any kind of levy, so it would not simply be a question of identifying fuel-poor households. The hypothetical benefit to fuel-poor households would result from the fact that they generally do consume less energy. Consequently, what would be a higher charge on the second tranche of units would not impact so badly on these households because they consume so many fewer units of the second tranche. The main issue about raising funding for Government social welfare and environmental objectives is not so much to do with how the levy is structured and whether the levy is right in principle. The levy is regressive in its function, not simply because energy costs represent a higher proportion of low-income households’ expenditure and income; it is because it does not take any account of their ability to pay. Q23 Albert Owen: Neither do the other breakdowns of the bill. Transmission costs—if you are rural poor in the west of Scotland, you are still paying more for your transmission costs. So it is not just the environmental and social costs that that applies to in the bill. Ron Campbell: The fundamental issue here from our point of view is less to do with modifying the way levies are imposed on domestic energy bills and more with developing some kind of system that better reflects ability to pay and that, we consider, unavoidably involves Exchequer-funded programmes rather than levies on consumer energy bills. Q24 Albert Owen: Just one final question, I think you have covered most of what I was going to ask. How confident are you that these are passed on to the cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 6 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Ron Campbell and Mervyn Kohler consumers in a fair way because we do not really know from the bill. I am sure you are familiar with the figures, Ofgem suggests 11% or £59 per annum on electricity and 6% or £49 on gas. Do you think that fairly reflects what people are paying? Mervyn Kohler: I think that to have the information about these extra charges much more clearly spelled out on the bill is a good thing in principle. It makes people, if they are going to pay any attention to their bill at all say, “Oh, what are these social and environmental levies? Oh, is that what it’s about?”, and it would perhaps improve their overall awareness of the energy that they are using, how they are using it, why they are using it. It would help with that background noise of making energy something that people are prepared to talk to each other about in the convenience store or in the pub or whatever. Albert Owen: They are talking about it now and they don’t like it, many people. Ron Campbell: Levies are simultaneously problems and solutions. Albert Owen: My question was do you think there is sufficient information now? Mervyn Kohler: There is not sufficient information on consumer bills, no. Albert Owen: That can be done quite easily by the regulator suggesting that the energy companies do it? Mervyn Kohler: A very simple change, yes. Q25 Albert Owen: What about DECC? How can they control how companies decide on the levy? Mervyn Kohler: I think I was answering you, Mr Owen, on the basis of how we explain to consumers what the levies are about, not how we fix the levies. Q26 Albert Owen: That was my first part, yes, which you answered. You are saying it is very simple; it can be done. The second part I wanted to talk about relates to when you were talking about unit costs and household costs earlier. Can DECC have a direct input into this? Ron Campbell: I think DECC can frame the structure of levies in any way they see fit. I could not imagine what the— Q27 Albert Owen: Do you think they should be more proactive or just leave it to the companies? We will be asking them and we will be asking the companies, but we are asking you now. Ron Campbell: Presumably they will tell you that they are being as proactive as they can. Albert Owen: They will give us their account. We are asking for yours. Ron Campbell: Levies are very complex. As we have been discussing here, certainly you can structure levies so that they benefit, for example, the majority of fuel-poor households. The unintended consequence in certain cases—depending on the individual household’s circumstances, say, an all-electric household—is that you might end up inadvertently penalising a fuel-poor household, but these are issues where there has to be a kind of utilitarian approach. The vast majority of fuel-poor households would presumably benefit from option A, but a smaller proportion of fuel-poor households would further be penalised. Mervyn Kohler: I think the question of whether DECC leaves the setting of the levies to the companies is an unusual one and an odder one, but I would feel instinctively that it is for DECC to decide and to apply uniformly across the companies, or else we are inviting the companies to do even more obscure things with their bills in order to try to provide the argument that they are offering the best price to consumers, and we are all surely about simplifying bills rather than making them more complicated. Q28 Mr Lilley: Presumably we can all agree that cost efficient programmes to reduce the amount of energy you consume—particularly for poor families— is a good thing, and the Green Deal therefore in principle, if the golden rule is met, meets that criteria and that the cost will be less than the benefit. You mention ECO costing £1.3 billion. My simple arithmetic, if there are 20 million households, is that that makes £65 per household, presumably over the lifetime of the programme. Do you think that is a good deal? Ron Campbell: I think if the overall expenditure can be limited to the £1.3 billion, I think that is one of the main concerns at the moment. The industry is suggesting that, because of the way the programme is structured, expenditure might be in the region of 100% more than the £1.3 billion. It is all to do with the outcomes and the value for money of course, and to go back to— Mr Lilley: Surely the ECO is designed to cope with the things that cannot be financed by the Green Deal, i.e. whether costs exceed the benefits to the household? Almost by definition the costs exceed the benefits, so it is not a good deal. Mervyn Kohler: Yes, the cost of ECO is going to fall on all households and only a handful will see the benefits of that programme of expenditure, in terms of having work done in their homes. That is the balance that we have to try to address. That would be the balance if you were the householder in question looking at the extra cost of the levy on your bill, and looking at the energy efficiency that you are getting out of your property at the moment. Q29 Mr Lilley: Are your organisations concerned about other costs of the Government’s climate change programme, in general? The costs of moving from relatively low cost coal, gas and old nuclear, to renewable energy, which costs twice or more as much: wind, offshore wind, new nuclear? Mervyn Kohler: We are very conscious of the fact that the energy industry is facing huge costs going forward, in terms of generating and the manner in which electricity and gas are provided to us, and distribution. All these matters will add remorselessly to our energy bills. If we are concerned about fuel poverty, of course we will be concerned about how these extra costs are going to be factored into bills and consumer costs going forward into the future, because it looks as if it could plunge a lot more people into cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 7 12 March 2013 Ron Campbell and Mervyn Kohler fuel poverty. So, yes, we are aware of the bigger picture. Q30 Mr Lilley: Are you aware that, according to Lord Stern’s report that the Government uses as justification for imposing all these higher costs, the costs of these measures will not be exceeded by the benefits in terms of reduced damage from climate change until the next century, in 100 years’ time? Mervyn Kohler: From my point of view, I do not think I have the intellectual apparatus to challenge Lord Stern. Q31 Mr Lilley: No, I am not seeking to challenge him. I am asking whether you accept his analysis, which is in his report? Mervyn Kohler: I can see the argument that we have to make a difference to climate globally. The contribution that we will make in the United Kingdom, by sheer dint of our size, will be a relatively small part of that, but that is not an argument for not doing it. Q32 Mr Lilley: Don’t you think it is a bit rich that your client group—the elderly, the least well off— are being asked to subsidise future generations, which again, according to Lord Stern’s forecast, in 100 years’ time will be three times as well off, even on his worst scenario for climate change, and in 200 years’ time will be seven times as well off, even on the worst scenario he shows for global climate change. Should the poor today subsidise the rich tomorrow? Mervyn Kohler: You make your challenge to me, Mr Lilley, about the older population. I would submit in return that the older population feels a sense of the importance of leaving an inheritance to their children and to future generations. A safer planet might seem to me to be an important part of that inheritance. Q33 Mr Lilley: However, if their planet is going to be seven times as well off, it is pretty well saved, isn’t it? Mervyn Kohler: “If”, you said. Mr Lilley: According to him, his worst scenario. Q34 John Robertson: I want to ask some questions about the Energy Bill and the Retail Market Review. Unfortunately, your colleague who is not here—the first question was to him, really, but perhaps if I can structure it in a way that you will be able to let me know what your thoughts are. The Government have said—I think I can even quote part of it here—that the costs of the Contracts for Difference will be passed to consumers in their energy bills and that there is no intention to charge the industries for it. How do you feel about that? Ron Campbell: Obviously, in relation to our client group, anything that impacts negatively on energy costs is to be deplored or at least regretted. We recognise—and I suppose this is very much in line with what Mervyn was saying earlier in response to Mr Lilley’s question—that there are compelling arguments related to the generation mix and how we develop the generation mix in the future, and that— unavoidably, it seems to us—additional costs will be incurred as a result. We get a kind of tentative reassurance from Government. I personally do not find it remotely reassuring, but I think it is intended to be reassuring in that, as much as energy costs may be higher, they will be less high than they would be if we continued with business as usual in terms of generation. That simply, in relation to the fuel-poor population, isn’t good enough. We say this in relation to as and when you identify a detrimental impact on fuel-poor households, your primary objective should be to develop a proportionate response to ease or eliminate that detriment. As I say, there are two issues here. One is the macro energy generation issue. The other one is back at the individual household level—what actions do you propose to take to mitigate the negative impact on these households? Mervyn Kohler: We have to look at this in the round as well. To add to Ron’s point, the Government is trying to steer the market by a number of different levers, of which Contracts for Difference is one and carbon taxes and so on are others. We have to look across the piece here and see what benefits there will be for consumers. I would submit that we would be talking about the potential costs to consumers of things like Contracts for Difference, and the benefits that might be accrued if we looked at the revenues from carbon taxes going forward as being a pot of money we could use to help people in fuel poverty. Q35 John Robertson: Yes. I have many elderly people in my constituency, and I sometimes think that perhaps we should be looking after not just them but people with disabilities, people who do not have the money. Should we try to introduce some kind of levy that helps them, as opposed to other people? Mervyn Kohler: It is perfectly right and proper and laudable, and no doubt Age UK would argue that it should be done too, that we make special provision for people who are disabled or who have special needs and so on. However, what we know in the long run is that the solution that we want to reach is housing that is much more energy efficient, where we do not have to have this discussion about, “Do you have enough money to keep yourself adequately warm?” The slowness of our collective effort, our willpower as a country over the last 30 years to improve our housing stock is why we have an urgent problem now, with so many people in fuel poverty and so many different potential ways—I do not criticise your potential ways of helping people who are poor, but they are essentially “finger in a dyke” operations, whereas we actually want a bigger dyke. Q36 John Robertson: Yes. Mr Campbell, NEA said that the Government had failed to undertake a rigorous and convincing analysis and fully consider the advice consequences of the Energy Bill. What was missing from the Government’s analysis? Ron Campbell: I think the fundamental thing that was missing was a credible indication of the impact that electricity market reform would have on households in general, and fuel-poor households in particular. As I say, much of the emphasis in the impact assessments related to the Energy Bill have concerned, not the cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 8 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Ron Campbell and Mervyn Kohler actual degree of detriment to households but have concentrated on how much worse potential detriment would be if the proposed measures of the Energy Bill were not undertaken. We have no way of deducing from that kind of analysis just what the implications are for fuel-poor households. We have 4 million fuelpoor households in England at the moment, 5.0 million-something fuel-poor households in the UK. We have no idea how many fuel-poor households there will be in 2020 or 2025, and we would like to see some kind of analysis that demonstrated the extent of that problem over the next 10/15 years or so, but more importantly, I think, increased recognition of the need to undertake remedial action to address what appears to be a significantly growing problem. Q37 John Robertson: NEA have suggested an alternative approach to that set out by the RMR would be to offer a universal social tariff to households meeting the pre-defined eligibility criteria. Can you explain this proposal in a bit more detail, and what you think would be preferable to simply putting all consumers on the lowest tariff rate? Ron Campbell: This would be an attempt to bring clarity, consistency and uniformity across the energy industry, working on the assumption that you have identified a category of the population that is particularly vulnerable, that is financially disadvantaged and that is in need of specific assistance. We see this now across a whole range of fuel poverty labelled programmes, because eligibility criteria are converging. Whether it is based on the Warm Home discount, whether it is the Affordable Warmth element of the Energy Company Obligation, whether it is cold weather payments, the most vulnerable and financially disadvantaged households are being prioritised for assistance. I think in relation to a universal social tariff, that simply reflects the way other benefits work or other sources of support work, that there is a consistency across all entitlement to the extent that a household knows whether they qualify for some kind of support and/or an adviser knows how they can refer people into that level of support and what that degree of support will be. So you do not have individual suppliers having a non-standard offer. Q38 Ian Lavery: I want to focus very quickly on the Hills Fuel Poverty Review, the independent review for Government, which was published in March 2012. Some concerns have been expressed about the new fuel poverty indicators recommended by Professor Hills. Can you explain the potential pitfalls of the new low income, high costs indicator? Mervyn Kohler: I think the key point is that John Hills observed in our current definition of fuel poverty that it was too sensitive to price changes, and the key point about his proposed alternative is that it is not sensitive enough to price changes, and that because he is taking a median of a median, and things like that, to help define who is going to be in fuel poverty under his new definition, we will be looking at a target that scarcely ever changes. The value of a fuel poverty definition is that it gives us a picture of the scale of the problem. It also enables us to measure whether we are going forwards or backwards dealing with it, and if we have a measure that doesn’t change very much it doesn’t seem to be awfully helpful from that point of view. Neither measure helps us do anything very tangible with targeting measures to alleviate fuel poverty. So, in that sense, there is a certain amount of technical happiness about getting the right definition of fuel poverty, but it doesn’t necessarily help us with practical implementation of fuel poverty strategies. Q39 Ian Lavery: Do you think that the Hills Review in some cases was a distraction from designing effective fuel poverty policies? Mervyn Kohler: It has certainly taken people’s eye off what is happening on the fuel poverty front. As we have seen, the price of energy continued to spiral upwards in such a widespread way. It has also brought into disrespect the will of Parliament, for example, in 2000 with the Warm Homes Energy Conservation Act, getting agreement from the Government that fuel poverty would be eliminated as far as practicable by 2016. We are not going to get there. What is Parliament going to do about it? Q40 Ian Lavery: Finally, if the Government decides to adopt the new definition, do you think a new target should also be set? Mervyn Kohler: There certainly needs to be a new strategy. How far we can attach targets to that I do not know, but I certainly want to see the targets bringing down the numbers of fuel-poor much faster than we have currently forecast for the intervention of Green Deal and ECO and, above all, to make sure that the trajectory is downwards instead of remorselessly upwards, as it has been for the last seven or eight years. Chair: Thank you very much indeed for coming in. It is much appreciated. Examination of Witnesses Witnesses: Richard Lloyd, Executive Director, Which?, Audrey Gallacher, Director of Energy, Consumer Focus, and Anne Pardoe, Energy Policy and Liaison Officer, Citizens Advice, gave evidence. Q41 Chair: Thank you very much for coming in. I am sorry we are running slightly behind time but we will proceed now. I will not go through a formal introduction, as we know who you are, and you should know who we are. Some of the Committee visited Glasgow last month, and we did hear concerns from members of the public who said they were simply unable to afford their bill. One homeowner claimed their bill was more than £400 a month. We were not able to stand that up while cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 9 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe we were there, but another one was saying they had to switch off their heating for six months of the year. Do you think that is a genuine and widespread experience for people? Richard Lloyd: I think it is, Chairman, and we have been polling every month now for a year what are consumers’ top financial concerns. Domestic energy prices are consistently either the top concern or the second. The second is often the price of petrol or diesel. We found that a significant proportion of consumers are dipping into savings, using credit to pay for domestic energy costs; up to 40% of consumers in our most recent tracker. So all the evidence we have seen is that this is a very widespread and longstanding problem for consumers. They are worried about the trajectory of prices into the future, they are worried about what they are hearing from the Government about where prices are likely to go before potentially the effects of decarbonisation start to mitigate that, and they are looking to the Government for solutions, and all of this with a backdrop of deep mistrust of the energy suppliers. Audrey Gallacher: I think probably Citizens Advice will have more specific anecdotal evidence around the clients that go to them, but we have a small complaints handling team up in Glasgow in fact that deal with debt and disconnection cases. It is a statutory responsibility that we have. They have never been busier. They are reporting that they are seeing increasing cases of consumers who have selfdisconnected from pre-payment meters, to an extent that they are encouraging us to do more work to understand the drivers behind that. So I think, as Richard said, it is a significant problem—not one that is going away, but one that is only getting worse, but I am sure Anne probably has lots more examples around that. Anne Pardoe: Yes, I think it is one of the biggest issues that our bureaux are dealing with at the moment. Last year we had 97,000 inquiries just to our bureau alone about fuel debt. In the first three-quarters of this year we have received 68,000, which is roughly the same proportion of our overall inquiries. Interestingly, every year we survey our bureau, as a policy team, to see what the biggest issues they think we should be working on for the year are, and this year, perhaps unsurprisingly, welfare reform came top, and then energy prices were something that they thought we should be doing something about second. Energy prices are rising hugely out of step with household income, and the cost of living is rising hugely as well. It is becoming more and more of an issue, and we think that it is going to get worse, with the prices continuing to rise. We are particularly concerned about the impact of welfare reform on benefit claimants as well. I brought a couple of examples along with me of some bureau clients who we have seen quite recently, since January this year. We had one client who was a widow and she lived alone on a very low benefit income. She was in poor physical health. She was working parttime, but was currently signed off sick. She could not afford to turn her heating on during the winter as she was terrified that she wouldn’t be able to pay the bill when it came. She had resorted to wearing extra layers of clothing, hats and scarves, indoors. We also had a 35-year-old woman, with two young children, who is in receipt of benefits. She had arrears with her gas company that were being collected through her prepayment meter at the rate of £8 per week. She could only afford to put £20 per fortnight on her meter, which only gave her £4 worth of gas. She and her children were very cold and the children were getting ill and hadn’t been going to school as a result. Q42 Chair: Could a benchmark retail energy price help? Richard Lloyd: In our view, yes. One of the problems with the market, both retail and wholesale in our view, is that there isn’t a clear reference point for pricing. In particular, if you look at other markets where there is a benchmark price set by the regulator, for example, in some states in the United States, in Northern Ireland, and around that, suppliers can compete. It gives consumers—the vast majority, as you know, are very disengaged in this market—some assurance about whether they are paying a fair price. I think what we have seen over the years, where we have relied on a liberalised competitive retail market, is growing distrust on the part of consumers about whether the price they are paying is fair, a great difficulty in navigating their way around the market and identifying the best deals, and nowhere to look to, to compare authoritatively whether the price they are paying for gas and electricity is a decent one. So, in our view, yes, it would help. Q43 Chair: Consumer Focus, you have expressed concern about the Carbon Floor Price. Could you tell us how you think carbon tax receipts could be used to alleviate fuel poverty? Audrey Gallacher: There is a campaign running at the moment called the Energy Bill Revolution, which is looking at making the homes in the country more energy efficient, so making them as energy efficient and up to the standard of homes built today. Obviously, to do that would cost a significant amount of money. We know there is pressure on public spending, so it is quite difficult to see where that would come from. To us, there is an obvious vehicle around the Carbon Floor Price, which is obviously a tax on carbon. As an organisation, we would rather see that scrapped. We do not think it is a very good policy vehicle. We do not think it really delivers the intent to reduce carbon; it just displaces it across Europe. We would do much better to try and work with other member states to sort out the EU ETS. However, on the basis that we have this, that it is raising significant tax receipts every year, the Energy Bill Revolution suggests anything up to £4 billion a year. There has been some economic modelling done and it shows that if you use that money you can make homes more energy efficient. You can take nine out of 10 homes out of fuel poverty and, as a by-product, clearly you are reducing carbon, which is an ongoing aim, but you are improving the health of those households. Potentially you are offsetting the need to build increasing amounts of generation plant, because we won’t be using as much. It would also create quite a cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 10 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe lot of jobs, which is clearly something that we are looking for in these current economic times. Q44 Mr Lilley: Mr Lloyd has referred several times to lack of trust in the energy companies by consumers. Do you think this is justified? I presume you mean by that that they think that the profit margins taken by the energy companies account for a significant percentage of the increase in price that they have experienced. Do you agree with that? Richard Lloyd: I think there is a justified lack of trust. The energy suppliers acknowledge that and they are saying to us they are trying to rebuild that trust. I think there are a number of causes. One is a lack of transparency about how the price and, in particular, the price increases that people have been paying have been arrived at, with very regular, very substantial profit announcements by particularly the vertically integrated suppliers, who are making significant margins on their generation business, perhaps not so significant on their retail end of the business. That fuels the perception among consumers that there is something going on in the industry. Q45 Mr Lilley: I am not talking about perception; I am fully aware of the perceptions of consumers. I am saying, do you objectively think that increased profits account for a significant proportion of their increased bills? Richard Lloyd: I think they do. Mr Lilley: How much? Richard Lloyd: This is part of the problem that we have with the industry— Mr Lilley: The simple answer is you do not know. Richard Lloyd:—is that there isn’t enough transparency about what is going on in the market— both at the retail and the generation end—to be able to objectively assess whether there is some advantage being taken of consumers through people being very reluctant to move in this market. So my view is, yes, people are right to distrust the market. Whether they are right to distrust individual suppliers, I would say depends on how transparent those suppliers are being about what they are doing about the costs that they are imposing on people, and in general—I will have to come back to this—what we are asking consumers about is consistently finding there is a low level of trust for those reasons. Q46 Mr Lilley: Roughly, what proportion of the cost to consumers is profit to shareholders? Is it all stages of the process do you think? Audrey Gallacher: We did some research last year: “Who Pays?”, which is about consumer attitudes to— Q47 Mr Lilley: No, I am not asking about consumer attitudes. I am asking about the reality, the facts, the money going to shareholders, not what people think it is but what you know it is or do not know it is. Audrey Gallacher: We have done some work looking across the whole value chain, so distribution activities and generation. We thought about 20% of the bill was made up of profits and some investment. We really do not know—and this is another issue for consumers— companies continually tell us that they need to make profits because they need to invest, but we do not ever see what that investment is. However, we thought approximately 20% of the bill—all told, not just suppliers, right through the value chain. That was peer reviewed by some DECC economists, who did not find any fault with it but were not going to sign up to it. Again, it is quite a lot of conjecture because we just do not know. Q48 Mr Lilley: By how much do you think that percentage has increased? Audrey Gallacher: One of the concerns that we have had on— Mr Lilley: Could you just answer the question: by how much do you think that has increased? It could be, “Yes, 5%, 10%” or “don’t know” or “100%, don’t know”. Audrey Gallacher: We have some figures where we have seen that— Mr Lilley: Tell me what the figures are. Audrey Gallacher: I will need to look for them in my brief, but profitability across from 2008 to 2012 has shown that the—can I come back to you on that because I don’t want to waste a lot of time looking for it? Q49 Mr Lilley: Sure. Presumably, at one stage they might have been earning zero profit. It could have gone up to 20%, so the maximum amount of the price increase it could account for is 20%, if previously they were earning zero profit, which would have been an unsustainable position. Richard Lloyd: What we can say is that on the retail end for the Big Six, for the largest suppliers, margins have been on average about 1.3% to 3.2% over the last three to four years. Q50 Mr Lilley: That is trivial compared with the cost increases my consumers have suffered. Richard Lloyd: For the same companies, the wholesale electricity businesses that they own have been showing margins of between 30% and 10%. So, again, this is part of the difficulty consumers have in trying to figure out—when they are presented with for a group, say, like Centrica—what the truth is here. You are hearing about very substantial margins on their generation business, still reasonable pretty healthy margins on the retail business— Q51 Sir Robert Smith: What percentage of the bills is the generation business? Richard Lloyd: About 60% of the average bill. Sir Robert Smith: So that is 8% on the final bill? Mr Lilley: No, you are giving the figure as a percentage of the final bill, aren’t you? Richard Lloyd: Yes. Sir Robert Smith: When you were saying 17%, was that on their wholesale operation or was that— Richard Lloyd: 17% on their wholesale operation is margin. Sir Robert Smith: So that only makes up half the bill then? Richard Lloyd: Your maths is better than mine, Robert. We can write to you with what we think in more detail the numbers look like. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 11 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe Q52 Mr Lilley: It is becoming clear to me that you are feeding public concerns that the main reason for the rise in their bills is an increase in the profit margin. You have little evidence for this, and the maximum, from the figures you have given us now, if they previously had or could in future have zero profit— which is obviously unsustainable—is it could add 15% to their bill. Bills have gone up by much more than that, so it must be other factors. You should be expressing that. The main factor I would have thought is increased fuel costs. A secondary factor is increased Government costs imposed by all these green levies. Richard Lloyd: We have always stressed that a significant proportion of what people are paying as an increase in their bills is due to decarbonisation, to social policies. Mr Lilley: You have not told us that. Richard Lloyd: You did not ask me about that, with respect, Peter. Mr Lilley: No, we asked you—you volunteered. Richard Lloyd: You asked me about the contribution of profit to the increase in people’s bills. Mr Lilley: I am talking about what you talked about. You talked about consumers’ concerns that it was about the companies’ dishonesty and lack of transparency. You never mentioned the Government’s position in your opening remarks. Richard Lloyd: I have said consistently publicly that there are a lot of components— Mr Lilley: Except today. Richard Lloyd: With respect, you did ask me a very specific question about profit but I am very happy to talk about the range of policies that are also driving the increase in bills, and I was saying that I thought very clearly that the consumer perception is one of distrust in the energy market. A part of that is the lack of transparency about what is driving retail prices, but then if you look at the results that companies are reporting, they are reporting much healthier margins on the generation businesses than the retail businesses. That is part of why there is a perception, on the part of consumers, that there is something perhaps untoward going on between the different arms of vertically integrated companies. On top of that—as I also said in my opening remarks—people are worried about what they are hearing from the Government about the costs they are going to have to pay to decarbonise the system. I thought I was quite clear on that. Mr Lilley: You did actually say that, and I apologise. I suggested you had not said that. You did say that. Audrey Gallacher: I have some figures. Do you want me to come back? Q53 Albert Owen: Can I just—Mr Lloyd is absolutely right to say that there is this lack of trust because of transparency, and it is the companies themselves that actually admit to this now. Do you ever think that we will get to a position where there is full transparency and that people will accept that energy costs are going to keep going up? Do you think we are ever going to get to that stage or is it always going to be this sort of cloak and dagger we are worried about, whether the price has been reflected, whether the costs are passed on to the consumer? Do you think we are ever going to get there because some of the energy companies are asking for that, to be fair to them? Richard Lloyd: The reforms on the table at the moment aren’t going to get us there. I think the opportunity is there, were the reforms on the table to go further. The most forward- thinking suppliers actively want that degree of transparency because they want to regain the trust of their customers, as I said before. Why do those reforms not go far enough, in my view? Well, I think if we have a much simpler market, we are taking some steps towards getting that simplicity, whereby people feel they are more likely to be able to engage in it, to be able to spot the cheapest deal, to switch more easily, to get—if they are not engaged with the market—a price that they can feel confident is fair. Q54 Albert Owen: I understand all that, but my point is—and the current Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change has said it as well—that in the short term there is going to be an increase but, when market reform comes in, there is going to be mid to long term cheaper bills in the future, but we are going to have to pay this bill. Do you accept that premise? Richard Lloyd: I do accept the premise and support the idea that if we get the system to work better, more efficiently, that if we can all better manage our energy consumption, we should be better off than where we otherwise would be. However, that is a very difficult message to get across to people. Q55 Albert Owen: Final point, do you think collectively we have a responsibility to have that open argument with the public? Richard Lloyd: I think we do, and part of that needs to be a responsibility on the part of suppliers and the regulator to get out into the open what is going on between the different arms of their business, to get some numbers out, some facts out, a reference price as we were mentioning earlier. In the end, having that honest conversation—as one of the suppliers has been saying they have been wanting to have with the public—about what is genuinely driving the increase in their bills, what they can do to manage that, and where the investment that we are all paying for through our bills is taking us. However, I fear we are a way off that and, in particular, while there is still this question mark about what is going on with the profitability of companies, there will still be that suspicion that there is something not quite right in the system, and that is the hump we have to get over. Q56 Sir Robert Smith: That leads into one of the aspects of how the companies communicate with their consumers, and I think Consumer Focus have expressed concerns that it can be misleading with the way they make their comparisons. You say particularly with European countries’ prices. What other aspects of the communication are misleading? Audrey Gallacher: What I have found quite frustrating over the last few years—and it leads to this point around trust and profitability—is that around 2008, companies told us that they didn’t make any money at all, and so that is why they had to increase. This is in relation to price increases, so “We don’t cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 12 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe make any money so have to increase our prices”. In that period, from 2008 to 2011, there has actually been a 36% increase in profits across the Big Six, but that is another story. Sir Robert Smith: Is that 36% across the whole vertically— Audrey Gallacher: Yes, so, on the production and the trading arms as well. We have taken that from financial accounts. We then heard that prices have to go up because wholesale prices are increasing, and clearly we have seen that. We have evidence of that. We know that there was a spike, but since that big price spike in 2008, wholesale gas, wholesale prices have come down and we haven’t seen a corresponding reduction in consumer bills. That is something we campaigned about for ages—whether prices were passed on. Ofgem has found some potential evidence that falling prices were not passed on as quickly to consumers as rising wholesale prices were. Now that we have a less volatile or certainly a lower wholesale price, companies are now using the excuse of social and environmental obligations and other noncommodity costs to justify price increases. So, I think, as consumers we are just about sick of these continually changing messages, which adds to that degree of mistrust that Richard has been speaking about. I really don’t think it helps because we don’t understand the magnitude of those issues on bills, particularly in relation to certain costs that you discussed in the previous evidence session. We have no idea what those costs are. We are going on what the companies tell us. So I think there is quite a lot of conflicting information out there. My worry would be that we now have an industry that points towards Government and blames Government for rising costs. There is absolutely no doubt that Government energy policy will contribute to consumer bills, but to continually be involved in this kind of bun fight over whose fault it is isn’t really going to take the debate forward or help consumers to reduce their energy costs. Q57 Sir Robert Smith: Can you see any way of providing a clear way of communicating those Government costs to consumers? Audrey Gallacher: One of the things that is quite difficult is that there is not really an open discussion, so we have seen situations whereby, for example, at the moment the Energy Bill is looking at introducing measures to put consumers on the cheapest tariff because it was mentioned by the Prime Minister in the House of Commons. However, there isn’t really as much prominence of how Government energy policy is potentially going to contribute to consumer bills. We have accepted that we need to break the link with fossil fuels, that we need to decarbonise and that all these measures will mean that, longer term, prices will be cheaper than they would have been had we done nothing, but we still have a good 10 years to get people there. That is going to be massively painful, and I don’t think there has been a proper debate about whether consumers can afford that, the pace and the scale of it. Also, potentially, Government policy is much more targeted at the supply side rather than reducing demand. So if you have done things to make houses more energy efficient, people use less. We shave peaks. That would deliver the same benefits in terms of carbon reduction, but it would probably be a bit more comfortable for consumers, so there is an issue. We have a budget. Every year the Chancellor gets up and says what he is doing with taxes. A lot of these levies on energy bills are, in effect, imputed tax, but there doesn’t really seem to be the same level of public exposure around them, and that makes it difficult for consumers to make a judgment. The last thing we need is industry and Government at each other’s throats because what we need is consumers changing their behaviour, becoming more energy efficient, engaging with the smart metering programme, taking up the Green Deal, all of those things. While there is that continued argument in the background, there is a real danger that consumers will not take action because they are leaving it up to everybody else to sort it out. Q58 Sir Robert Smith: So you think the Government needs to be clearer about costs as well as the industry? Audrey Gallacher: Yes. We have done research and consumers were not aware that they paid social and environmental obligations on their bills. Sir Robert Smith: Even though you have said that the companies are exaggerating that, that had not got through to the consumers? Audrey Gallacher: I do think they are. I am quite worried now about what the background commentary is on profits. Potentially, we need the Government to come out and make a statement on whether prices are fair or not and let us know where things are potentially going. Richard Lloyd: If I can add to that, Robert? I think there is a limit, especially where consumers are at the moment, to what you could expect people to do in engaging with these numbers. If organisations, like Consumer Focus and Which?, are not able to translate the limited data we are being given—because it is very limited—about what is driving costs into a way that consumers would engage with, then I think the suppliers will struggle as well. There are examples of companies producing graphics with a radiator with different chunks of it in different colours, attributing costs to different drivers, to different sources, but in the end if you know that most people don’t look at their bills or read their annual statements or want to engage in that level of detail, I think there is a job for the Government to do to help— and for us to help in doing that—to translate what is going on into more accessible information to consumers. There is a lack of transparency in the market that allows us to do that. Q59 Sir Robert Smith: Do you think Ofgem could have more of a role in encouraging an open understanding of what is going on? Richard Lloyd: I think it should, and they need to think about how they can much more clearly present what is going on to consumers; much more proactively do that. I think they have been far too quiet about this for too many years. Surely it is part cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 13 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe of their job, as the regulator with a duty to protect the interests of consumers, to be explaining to consumers in much more understandable language what is going on in this market and what they are doing to protect people from unnecessary costs. Anne Pardoe: We would agree with that as well. We would like to see Ofgem take far more of a role in mediating the public debate around this. When there is a round of price rises from suppliers, they have the information there, they have the ability to say, looking at the market, “This is fair” or “This is not fair.” Is the level of profits fair? Surely it is part of Ofgem’s job to look at that and mediate that debate. We would also like to see more of a unified, sensible public debate about the costs. What are the costs imposed by the Government? What are energy profits? What are the wholesale? We think Ofgem has a role to play in mediating that public debate as well. We would like to see them do a lot more. Q60 Sir Robert Smith: I suppose a lot of the debate has been about the retail market, and trying to make that as competitive as possible to maximise efficiencies, but you have highlighted that, in a sense, underlying that you can have a really efficient retail market but if the wholesale market is producing a product that isn’t so competitive then retailers cannot make much difference. It is only on their retail margin that they are going to be competitive. So you are thinking that there are deficiencies in the wholesale energy market. What sort of data on wholesale gas and electricity prices are currently publicly available and what do you think needs to be done to tackle your perception of the deficiencies? Richard Lloyd: There is a very small proportion of the trades in gas and electricity for which there is publicly available data. For example, while 70% of day ahead trading is on N2EX, an exchange for electricity, only 6% of total consumption is estimated to be traded. The vast majority of trades are done behind the scenes for a far longer curve into the distance; three years and that kind of timeframe. It is impossible for people outside the industry to know what kind of deals that far out are being done, and there is no transparency about the prices that are being paid. In particular, in the vertically-integrated companies, there is a lot of self-supplying going on, for which there is no publicly available data. So our view is, at the very least, there needs to be much more transparency about the prices that are being paid to wholesalers, including by their own retail businesses. We have welcomed the moves that Ofgem have been encouraging to make more energy traded openly through exchanges. Some suppliers agree that one of the things they could do to rebuild trust in the market would be to do much more through exchanges, rather than the kinds of very large volume trades that are going on behind the scenes. However, in the end, there is very little data that suggests to third party observers what is going on, what are the prices that are being paid to the wholesalers. Audrey Gallacher: Yes, I would agree. Early estimates are that about 85% of trades are made bilaterally, so there isn’t really any proper disclosure around about that price. Of course, we have seen the recent scandal where the reporting organisations, who rely on traders to tell them the price, are suggesting that that price may have been slightly manipulated to improve position. Sir Robert Smith: Did that not actually ironically improve the position to the benefit of the consumer? Audrey Gallacher: I am sorry, I don’t know enough about it. I suppose the issue is that we are looking at this market reference price to set Contracts for Difference, for example, in the future, so it is really important that we have a robust price to start with. Whether or not there is any kind of merit— Q61 Sir Robert Smith: So greater liquidity in that market? Audrey Gallacher: I think that is the main thing. First, we don’t understand the price that is being paid, and Ofgem has options open to it, we think, through the European Directive to get more information on the costs companies are actually paying. However, the long-term goal is that we need to sort out liquidity, because we are not going to have a true reference price if we do not have a properly competitive market. This is an issue that Ofgem identified in the probe in 2008 and we need to get it sorted out, particularly as we are bringing in electricity market reform and we are going to be reliant on that reference price. The biggest thing—which I think Richard alluded to—is that it is a potential barrier to new entry into the market. Acquisition products are generally 12 month fixed rate contracts. Right now the market is completely or more or less illiquid after six months, so it is quite difficult for any new supplier to come in and purchase the cheaper energy that they need for that contract without taking a significant risk. They will either price that risk into what they are offering customers or they just will not enter the market. Richard Lloyd: I think it would be helpful if we had the same focus on what it would take to create a genuinely competitive wholesale market, as we have had on the retail market in recent months. So what would it take in terms of transparency in the publication of data, in ensuring more wholesale trading is done through exchanges? If there is—and as I say we don’t know because we do not see the data—an unfair competitive advantage being given to the retail arms of the wholesale companies in the vertically integrated suppliers’ case, should there be a restriction on self-supplying? Should the generators be required to put all their energy on to the market rather than selling it to themselves in this very nontransparent way? So I think we need Ofgem and DECC to take as hard a look at that as they have on generating competition in retail. Q62 Sir Robert Smith: Is there an argument, though, that the vertical integration might mean a benefit for the consumer in terms of hedging and, therefore, in what is a very big market, the companies’ ability to see its way through the troughs and peaks? Richard Lloyd: That is what the suppliers would say and that may well be true. Again, we cannot look into enough of the trades to say if that is right. What we do know, though, is that if you are a vertically integrated company and you increase your wholesale price, even cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 14 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe if that loses you some retail customers by the way you pass that price through to the consumer, you are still a net winner as a group. So what is there in the system that incentivises efficiency in generation, maximum competition in generation, and therefore what is being passed through to the consumer being kept in check? At the moment it is a very murky world and, as we have seen with the allegations of gas price rigging, one that is reliant on a very small number of players, a small number of traders who have access to very sensitive market information. The vast majority of trades are not done transparently. Q63 Chair: I think you have advocated a review of competition. Do you think that needs to go beyond what Ofgem have already been doing in this area? Richard Lloyd: I think it does. As I say, we have welcomed the moves that Ofgem have been proposing on greater liquidity and ensuring that the smaller suppliers can challenge the bigger in this market. Although I think there is much more that could be done, both to address the consumer confidence point that I was discussing with Peter earlier, but also to ensure that they can reassure the consumer that this is a market that is operating efficiently and competitively, and the previous efforts to look at this, segmented accounts and the investigation into vertically-integrated suppliers and what is going on, did not deal with that adequately. I think you will find some suppliers would advocate, too, that there is now a moment where part of the process of regaining trust in the energy industry needs to take a very hard look at how the generators are operating, how the wholesale market is operating and potentially some changes to ensure that people have confidence in that. Q64 Christopher Pincher: Can I clarify something that Ms Pardoe said earlier, with respect to the role of Ofgem and price and profit? I can understand that Ofgem may have an interest in a role with respect to prices that are charged, but do you think that Ofgem should have a role with respect to profit? After all, a company can be very efficient and that might improve its profit margin. Does Ofgem have a role to play there or shouldn’t that be more properly the role of the tax system? Anne Pardoe: I certainly think they have a role to play in terms of saying whether a price is fair, looking at the retail price and the wholesale price. Whether they have a role to play in profit, I think that is more something for them and the Government to look at, to be honest. Q65 Mr Lilley: How would you define a fair price? Anne Pardoe: A fair price? I think it is more of what is a reasonable price, given what people can afford to pay, given that it is an essential service and based on the wholesale cost of the energy. Q66 Mr Lilley: Those are two rather different things, aren’t they? So you are saying the price should not reflect primarily the costs? Anne Pardoe: I think, given Ofgem’s role as regulating the market in the interests of consumers, as well as other businesses, I think they should have a role to play in deciding what a reasonable price is. Audrey Gallacher: I think there is a different issue about the cost reflective price and the degree of crosssubsidy that currently goes on. I think a fair price is arguably going to be one that is cost reflective, we haven’t seen that—well, we have seen issues of a fairly significant cross-subsidy so we are talking about allegations that are being made around predatory pricing where acquisition deals are significantly— Mr Lilley: So prices may be too low? Audrey Gallacher: There is a concern that inactive customers are providing a cross-subsidy for suppliers to offer attractive deals. While that might be great for those individual customers, and while it might be difficult for me as a consumer advocate to say I do not want people to get cheap bills, there is an issue in that. As Anne says, it is an essential services market. It is a non-discretionary spend, and at the beginning of this session we heard some really quite emotive stuff around the impact that an inability to afford energy has on households. We know it has a massive impact on health and wellbeing and all of that stuff, so there is an issue about having a fair pricing regime that doesn’t allow those degrees of cross-subsidy. Although I suppose there is then another question about whether as a society we rely on a competitive market to deliver what essentially might be some social intervention that is required by Government. We could find ourselves—particularly as we see the levels of investment required over the next 10 years— with lots of affordability issues. One of our concerns is that the energy policy debate has not given enough prominence to the affordability issue. We would like to see it up there with security of supply and decarbonisation, so there is a real issue about how we cope with that, and whether we should be relying on the competitive market to deliver that for consumers or whether we just need to recognise it will only go so far and we need some other intervention, like a really decent energy efficiency programme or some additional financial assistance. Richard Lloyd: There is a market I am fond of quoting—and apologies if I have told you this before—there is an example of regulators in the United States that, on behalf of consumers in their area, go to the market and see what the best price is that they can get with their expert knowledge on behalf of people who are on a default standard tariff. The market operates around that. It effectively becomes a price for others to beat. That gives the unengaged consumer confidence that an expert on behalf of them has secured the best possible price, with all the variables in that market, the pressures that are exactly the same as in our market, in terms of wholesale costs and Government policy. However, it effectively sets a benchmark around which the rest of the retail market could operate. Which? is always the last consumer advocate to advocate price controls, and we are not advocating it in this case. I think that, particularly if we have a much simpler market, people are more likely to move around, they are likely to be mobile. Competition should be the best way to keep prices fair and keen. Nevertheless, given the complexities and the lack of cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 15 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe transparency in this market, I think people would take comfort from an expert intervening in that market and saying, “This is a price that is fair”. That is why collective switching has occasionally given people that assurance because, as individuals in this market, they are feeling completely overwhelmed or disempowered relative to the size and expertise of the supplier that you have to engage with. Q67 Mr Lilley: I was excited by the suggestion that there are under-priced, cut price deals available. I haven’t been able to find them. If there are, why don’t we all pile in and it will have the effect of reducing any excess profits that the company are making and put pressure on them to be more efficient. I would have thought the answer to my question—which I will offer you—was that a fair price is one which does not have a monopoly price element, so it is generally competitive, where there is pressure through competition on the suppliers to keep down their costs and where the Government does not impose too many extra costs, which I fear it is doing and that is my principal concern. That is the principal avoidable element, if we did not have all these feed-in tariffs and high cost energy we are being forced to use. The last point is contentious but the first two ought not to be. Richard Lloyd: If I can come in on your third point? I think there is an issue, putting aside the rights and wrong of decarbonisation, about whether the costs to the consumer of decarbonisation are being kept in check too. With ECO, there is the hope that competition between suppliers will keep the price of ECO under control. I think that is rather naive. The Smart Meter programme: again, the Government is hoping that competitive pressures between suppliers will keep the cost of that programme in check. Contracts for Difference: how do we know that the price that is being negotiated between the Government and suppliers is the best possible for the consumer? So again, there is a cloud of non-transparency hanging over a significant and growing chunk of what people are being expected to pay, and a hope on the part of Government that competitive pressures, competitive forces will keep those costs in check and, therefore, keep the price that is passed through to the consumer in check. If we cannot see the numbers, if we cannot see the data, certainly we cannot reassure consumers that they are paying a fair price, and I think that feeds the suspicion we were discussing earlier. Anne Pardoe: There is also the point to make on whether that should be on consumers’ bills at all in the first place and whether it could be funded through general taxation, which is generally less aggressive and has less of a distributional impact which colleagues in the earlier session were talking about around if people who are paying for these energy efficiency programmes are not benefiting from them personally, that can have an impact of pushing people into fuel poverty, so there is a wider debate around how you fund that as well. Q68 Sir Robert Smith: Can I just ask if Which? were confident that the market was working and that the horrendous bills people were paying reflected the world we live in, but your readers wanted to believe there was a magic solution and that it was all down to large companies exploiting them, would you be up front with them and say, “I am afraid there is a real problem and it is the fundamentals that are causing your bills to be this high”? Richard Lloyd: We are already being that up front with them because we know that there are pressures in the wholesale market. Everyone knows that. What we do not know is whether those pressures are being kept sufficiently in check through competition, through competitive forces. What we also know is that the retail market is not operating effectively for consumers, so absolutely. In all our public messages, just to reinforce the point I made to Peter, we are constantly saying, “No one should be fooled by anyone that your energy bills are going to come down in the near future”. The wholesale market is bound to be driven upwards in the medium term over time through pressures on commodity prices. We all know that. Sir Robert Smith: What we need to know is that it is not being driven higher than it needs to be. Richard Lloyd: What we want is to be able to assure people that they are not being taken for a ride through the structure of the market, through a lack of competitive forces, through unnecessary Governmentimposed social and environmental costs, and that this is a market within which you can be confident: provided you move around in it and use your consumer muscle, you can get a fair deal. At the moment it is only a very small minority of people that are engaged enough to be able to do that. Yes, we are already telling the million and a half people who subscribe to us that they should be in no doubt that you should expect that your bills will rise. What you should be in doubt about is whether the current system is keeping that rise in check enough. Q69 Ian Lavery: Which?, Mr Lloyd, has suggested there is a lack of information relating to the uncleared, over the counter (OTC) trades and you say there is a particular cause for concern with regard to these. Can you say what is known about these types of trades and how they influence wholesale energy prices and ultimately value for money for the consumer? Richard Lloyd: It is the dominant form of trading, over the counter in the wholesale market. It is about 80% of electricity and 70% of gas that is traded in that way. They are largely primarily commercially confidential contracts so there is no data about the prices, the volumes, the products that are being traded in that way. If such a large proportion of wholesale energy is being traded in that way, it is very difficult to understand how a price signal is sent to, for example, small suppliers, how you can be confident that those trades are being done in a genuinely competitive fashion and how the interests of the end user is being taken into account. It is significant. It is often trades between the retail and wholesale arms of the same business and, as I think I mentioned earlier, only about 6% of total electricity consumption is traded externally, for example, through to N2EX. There are ways of finding out. There is data available if you want to pay for it about some of the trades that cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 16 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe are done, pricing data in particular, but by and large it is very hard to get to the bottom of the prices that are being paid and what are the dynamics in those trades. That is why we think there needs to be much more trading through exchanges and much more price transparency, much more data transparency. Q70 Ian Lavery: In the interests of competition, do you think there should be some form of alternative model such as a pooling system? Would that be fairer in terms of competition? Richard Lloyd: We think it is worth exploring other mechanisms including the pool that has been tried in the past but I think for us probably the primary focus should be on whether there should be a restriction on self-supply and whether in vertically-integrated companies there should be a legal separation of their retail from their wholesale generation arms. That would help bring the transparency and, we think, the competitive forces to bear given that the six largest companies are dominating the wholesale and the retail markets. We think that is the first place to look. There are other issues here about the ability of smaller players to access the market, in particular their ability to get credit that will allow them to trade and hedge in a way that allows them to compete with the large suppliers. I think a mix of liquidity and transparency, probably some form of self-supply restriction, would go a way towards reassuring us that the market at the generation end is operating more competitively. Audrey Gallacher: I think we have looked at issues around the pool and what we could do because obviously there are advantages in that buyers and sellers have access to each other, there is a lot more transparency around the price. It would also probably help market entry, as Richard has already alluded to. There were potential concerns around gaming, so there would need to be some safeguards in place. I think for us one of the issues is that we are going through such a massive round of policy change and electricity market reform that to make that kind of wholesale change to the wholesale market might just create too much change, making it riskier, which would ultimately increase investment costs being passed on to consumers. I suppose our issue is how much we can reasonably do all at the one time, given the scale of the job that is in front of us and whether it would be a prudent idea to start dismantling the whole of the wholesale and trading arrangements. I do not have an answer but we would need to weigh those things up. It may well be that looking at options to try to fix what we have rather than scrapping it and starting again may be a better option at this particular time. Q71 Ian Lavery: Ms Gallacher, I know it has been stated from Consumer Focus that there is evidence of a decline of competitive intensity in the UK energy market, do you have any evidence of this? Audrey Gallacher: It depends on what your measure of competition is. Historically it has always been around the levels of switching, so we have seen that levels of switching have significantly tailed off since 2007, from 20% down to about 11%, I think, are the figures but I am going to have to come back to you and clarify those figures. If that is a measure that you are using: consumer engagement in the market and switching, we know it has reduced. What we think is that there needs to be just a whole additional raft of information and more effective monitoring within the market to really understand what is going on, because companies will come back and say, “Quite a lot of switching goes on within the company”, with consumers going on new products that are more attractive and that, in itself, is evidence of consumer engagement, but we really do not understand that. We don't know the spread of products across companies, how many customers are on them. We know about payment methods—that about 55% of people are on direct debit—but there is still a whole chunk of consumers who are paying cash and cheque, about 15% on pre-payment meters. Frankly, there is no competitive offering out there for them. In the last 3 years, about 280-odd new tariffs have come out on to the market. Only 3% of those have been available to pre-payment meter customers, so we have a really segmented market, where you have a core of engaged consumers, you have people who are online, prepared to pay by direct debit and who can get access to good deals, but you still have approximately 45% of the market who nobody really appears to be competing for. I am sure the companies will call me on that one, but there is a real issue about the products that have been made available and this links back to the work that Ofgem is doing on its retail market review. Quite a lot of the solutions that it is putting in place and the remedies are really targeted at a group of consumers who are arguably already fairly engaged. I have real concerns that there is a big chunk of the market out there, generally the people who are in fuel poverty and the people who have real affordability issues, for whom the market is just not working. Q72 Ian Lavery: How could Ofgem use EU legislation to encourage suppliers to disclose the actual cost of trading energy? Audrey Gallacher: Since 2011, there has been a European Directive in place. It came in on the energy third package, which is about Ofgem being able to require companies to say how much they actually spent. Continually, when we talk about the relationship between wholesale and retail prices, it is quite difficult because Ofgem will make an assessment. It will come out with a report, and then the companies will commission an alternative report that will completely refute what Ofgem says. This really confuses customers all the more and that is because nobody really knows the actual cost that has been paid. Companies will say, “You have used the wrong hedging strategy. That is not the price we paid. That is not the average consumption for our consumers”, so lots and lots of holes are picked in the various bits of analysis. Moreover, there is an ability for Ofgem to go and require companies to tell them how much they paid. It would be done retrospectively but it might be quite a good check on the industry if they knew that there would be an audit coming down the line that would require them to disclose what they had paid and therefore we could retrospectively see cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 17 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe whether prices are falling as quickly as they should or increasing too quickly and give some retrospective reassurance. The fact that that would be a threat to companies might keep them honest in the intervening period. We have put it to Ofgem that it should do this. It has not so far. It has not explained why not. I do not know whether it is too complex, if it does not have the skills, if it cannot do it, but we think that there are potentially tools available there that it would appear that Ofgem has not yet utilised. Richard Lloyd: We would support that, and just to reiterate that what that would not do, of course, would be give market participants pricing signals, so it would be a retrospective reassurance, not a means for ensuring that there is greater competition in the day ahead, the month ahead, further ahead in the market. Why have Ofgem not done it yet? I do not know. In what form they would do it that would allow third parties to scrutinise this has yet to be explained, but I think it would help. Q73 Sir Robert Smith: Back to trying to understand the market and improve transparency and information. Ofgem have come up with a supply market indicator, which you and Which? have some concerns over. It is, I suppose, a sort of averaging. Could you maybe outline your concerns with where it could be improved? Audrey Gallacher: Is it the segmental accounts or the ongoing Ofgem weekly stuff? Sir Robert Smith: The supply market indicator. Audrey Gallacher: We think it is okay. It has given a picture of potential profitability. The information could probably be disaggregated. It would not be a simple message, but you could make that information available. I suppose the issue we have is that the industry continually picks holes in it and we also have done some kind of backward analysis where we have looked at what the segmental accounts are seeing around company profitability compared to what the market indicator was saying around what company profits should be, and we have put that in a written submission. There are some issues around how accurate it is and this is why we have often put a challenge out to both Ofgem and industry that what might be quite helpful is if we had a set of metrics that everybody could agree on so that instead of continually having these arguments about whether we were looking at the right things and how helpful or otherwise they might be, is that if we are all agreed what it is we are looking at, we could hopefully get a more robust picture on what is going on in the market—competition, profit value, whatever—but also it just shuts down these circular arguments that are not really doing anything in taking it forward or tackling issues around consumer trust. I have already said this, but the longer we continue to talk about consumers or if consumers feel as if they are getting ripped off and they are not getting a good deal and somebody is going to fix it for them, it takes the onus off ourselves doing something about the fact that energy is becoming increasingly unaffordable and we need to take measures personally to sort it out. That is my view. Richard Lloyd: We think the indicators are not enough. They do not say a great deal more than we already know. They are based on estimates of expected wholesale and operational costs. We think, as Audrey has just said, there is a much more robust set of indicators that would be much more helpful. Sir Robert Smith: Do you have an idea of what indicators those would be? Richard Lloyd: Yes, I think there is information about wholesale energy trading that they could put out. There are volumes of trading, numbers of market participants and so on, to allow us to build a much more robust picture of what is happening in the market. There are probably indices they could develop that would allow us to track that better too. I would be happy to write to you with more detail, but it would be a build on what they currently have. Q74 Christopher Pincher: Which? and others take the view that the SMI indicators are okay. Ofgem takes the view that more substantial data needs to be reported upon hence the Consolidated Segmental Statements, but when you commissioned BDO to analyse the CSS, they found some significant issues about the data that was supplied. What do you think are the main deficiencies in the CSS in terms of the timeliness of data, the data that is included and the understandability, if there is such a word, of the data? Richard Lloyd: BDO themselves concluded—and it was quite a thin report as you will remember—that it was impossible to see whether the transfer pricing had been done in the best interests of consumers. It was impossible to determine the prices offered to the supply businesses within the vertically integrated companies. I think much more transparency about transfer pricing and the methodologies that are being used is a start, but in the end, without more structural changes the segmented accounts, to be honest, at times just raise more questions than they answer. Without that greater scrutiny about what is going on in the wholesale market it is impossible to tell whether—just by looking at the segmented accounts—what is going on is indeed fair. It is quite a mixed picture that BDO reported, yet Ofgem seem to have parked that and moved on. Strong supporters of segmented accounts but they do not show enough to us of what is going on in the market for us to be able to say that, in particular, with the vertically integrated companies what is happening is competitive and fair. Audrey Gallacher: I would echo that. A fundamental omission is that the trading activity is not included in them and, as they are pretty out of date by the time you get them, some of the values are questionable, but, yes, I have no doubt that it costs Ofgem and companies a whole lot of money that will ultimately will be borne by consumers who produce them. So there is an issue about either sorting them out and make them more robust or not doing them—we really question the value of them. Q75 Christopher Pincher: They are costly to produce. Have you seen any benefit as a result of them? Has there been any change in behaviour or any cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 18 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe change in engagement as a result of the data that is produced? Audrey Gallacher: I have not observed anything like that. I do not understand either why Ofgem did not choose to implement all the recommendations from BDO. It would be quite helpful to understand whether it was cost drivers or technical or physical ability to do that but you would really have to question why you would pursue this if it is not really helping the situation. I might be wrong but personally I have not seen any evidence that it has changed things because of that fundamental omission on trading activities. Richard Lloyd: What it has not done, if I may, is allow us—again sorry to keep going back to my earlier point—to translate what we think is an accurate picture of what is going on in the market to consumers. Again, to go back to the earlier point, if part of what is intended through the publication of segmented accounts is to give customers some assurance that the businesses are operating competitively and the retail end in their interest, as well as to show shareholders what is going on, then they are failing in that objective. There is not sufficient data there for us to be able to say with confidence that consumers are in a competitive market that is giving them keen prices. Q76 Christopher Pincher: Just in the term you used there, the translation of data. Richard Lloyd: Yes. Christopher Pincher: There seems to be general agreement among you that the data provided is not really comprehendible by many people who may wish to benefit from it. Does that then mean that rather than improve the situation, the CSS and the data in it, and the SMI and the data in it, simply muddy the waters? Audrey Gallacher: I think it is a difficult one because obviously it does generate quite a lot of debate now. Maybe if we had not had them, the level of consumer interest in energy prices might not be as great as it is, so I think they have definitely prompted a degree of debate. I think the fact that prices have doubled over the last seven years is probably the bigger issue for consumer interest in energy but, nevertheless, we have this thing that goes out there and generates a bit of a story. If that is something that brings focus on this market and encourages Ofgem, Government, consumer bodies, and industry to try to sort it out, rebuild consumer trust and try to give greater confidence on price fairness and transparency, then that is a good thing. I suppose it is just the fact that we have these things rather than what they are themselves that potentially brings the benefit because it brings more focus to this debate. I know that sounds kind of strange because we are thinking they are not very good, but they do act, probably, as a bit of a catalyst and a prompt to have these kind of discussions and if it leads us to a place where we have something that is a bit more meaningful that will allow us to offer consumers those assurances or challenge the industry when things go wrong, I think at this point in time we have reports that do not do either of those jobs. They do not allow us to reassure consumers. They do not allow us to find out where there are problems in the market and get somebody in place to try to fix them, so in that respect they do not work. Christopher Pincher: What you seem to be saying is that although they act as a catalyst for debate and they focus concerns, they do not really encourage greater understanding of the way in which the market works and the costs and the way pricing operates. Audrey Gallacher: Yes. Q77 Christopher Pincher: What are the disparities between the data as reported through SMI and the data as reported through the CSS? Are there any glaring differences? Audrey Gallacher: Yes, we looked back retrospectively through to 2010, when the segmental accounts were speaking about industry profitability at about 0.3%, but Ofgem were showing that the difference was on margins of about 6% across the board on the weekly monitoring, whereas on the segmental accounts it was 0.3%. There was quite a significant gulf between those two different reports. Obviously, when we were looking back at them, it was two years before we obtained the segmental accounts. There is an issue that Ofgem on an on-going basis is telling us the potential level of profitability in the industry, albeit that industry refutes that, but we then look at the financial statements that tell us quite a different picture. That in itself can be quite confusing when you understand where that disparity lies, whether it is around pricing strategies or whether it is the veracity of the reports themselves. Q78 Mr Lilley: Am I right that the SMI is simply the retail cost and profit breakdown? Audrey Gallacher: Yes. Mr Lilley: So the problem is that it does not tell you anything about the wholesale cost and profit breakdown? Audrey Gallacher: I think it is looking at the relationship between prices as well. Richard Lloyd: They use estimates of expected wholesale costs in arriving at that figure. Mr Lilley: Yes, so it is just the retail? Richard Lloyd: Yes. Q79 Mr Lilley: Over time that will even out, whereas the Consolidated Segmental Statement does that give us the breakdown for the generating level, for example, in electricity? Audrey Gallacher: It gives generation and retail but it does not give trading activities. Mr Lilley: All right, but it does give generating which is what we need to know as well as the retail figure? Richard Lloyd: Yes. Audrey Gallacher: Yes. Mr Lilley: It is surprising they make such a meal of this and do not seem to define things very clearly. It says in our briefing, or rather in Consumer Focus stuff, that to get from a 6% margin across the majority of consumers to a 0.3% margin across all consumers might imply predatory pricing. That is still at the retail end, not wholesale? Audrey Gallacher: Yes, that has just picked up the retail aspect of the segmental accounts that were saying supply businesses looked as though they were cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 19 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe breaking even with 0.3% profit in that 2010 year, but if you looked at the SMI through that period, Ofgem is suggesting that there was a £30 margin which is a 6% margin. There is an issue that we have two sets of information that are quite significantly different and the issue is can we understand why that is? Is it about how robust the reporting arrangements are? Clearly one of them was after the event, actual what was reported by companies. One of them is Ofgem’s estimates, so it will again call into question whether those estimates are so far out from what has been reported. It just continues with this level of uncertainty over what consumers are paying, and whether they are paying a fair price. I think probably more work needs to be done to ensure that the— Mr Lilley: It ought not to be beyond the wit of man to establish what the profits and what the costs and what the prices are? Audrey Gallacher: It apparently is. Mr Lilley: I am baffled. Richard Lloyd: I think if you are baffled, the average consumer is baffled many times over. Q80 Mr Lilley: That brings me to another point. I am slightly diverging, Chairman, but in my younger days Which? used to tell us which was the best buy for things. Richard Lloyd: We still do that. Mr Lilley: Do you tell people which is the best buy, given their particular household circumstances or consumption pattern, for buying electricity and gas? Richard Lloyd: We do. We also do customer service ratings so we can tell people not only—if they provide the right data—who the best supplier is likely to be, but also whether they are likely to be treated well or badly by them. Mr Lilley: Most of us would put the priority on having a low bill. Have you seen the work by Stephen Littlechild who says The Sunday Times’ best buy was the SSE tariff and that is now prohibited under the Government’s widely supported proposals for limiting the number of tariffs? Do you think that is a good thing, that by trying to simplify the market we outlaw the best deals? Richard Lloyd: It depends, I am afraid, is the answer. Our view is that simplifying the market is absolutely essential in enabling more people to engage in it and thereby we would hope for a more competitive market to exist and for prices to be keener. Q81 Mr Lilley: Why do you think people are particularly incapable of shopping around in this market? I went to buy some hair shampoo the other day and there were 40 different varieties at all different prices. I managed to stagger through and buy some. No one says I need to be protected from myself in this market. If I go and buy a car, there are scores of different models at different prices and I can negotiate a better deal here than I can there. Nobody says I have to be protected from it. The competitive forces seem to work. Richard Lloyd: You have a much simpler pricing arrangement. You do not need to figure out for your shampoo whether you are a low, medium or high user of your shampoo. Mr Lilley: Yes, I do. There are all different varieties. You have not studied the shampoo market. Richard Lloyd: I think perhaps the shampoo market may be a poor analogy but it is the simplicity. In our view what we have done is ask consumers, “Look at the tariffs and the pricing structures that exist now. Can you spot the cheapest deal for you?” We wanted to test whether people could themselves navigate around the market without an intermediary and people—with the way pricing information is presented under the existing mechanisms—in most cases could not spot the best deal on the market for them. Mr Lilley: However, there are many markets which would not exist. Richard Lloyd: We would like to see simple markets that consumers can operate in and operate in a far more mobile way. That is what we were set up to create. It is not in our interest to promote complexity. Mr Lilley: You give consumers the information on the assumption that they could use it, but in this market you say, “No, we are not going to give them the information. Let us reduce their choice to four tariffs and that is it”. Richard Lloyd: No. Mr Lilley: This almost inevitably means that the companies will cut out their cheapest tariffs, does it not? Richard Lloyd: Again, the cheapest tariff needs to be one that is competitive and that is exactly why we have been saying if the price is presented in a complicated way that people cannot compare easily then competition will not be sufficient to keep that price in check. That is why we have said that Ofgem’s proposal for a comparative rate is just too complicated. You need to have a single unit price that, like your shampoo, you can compare one product against another at a glance and spot the cheapest deal. I would be delighted if there was no need for comparison sites, for pages of reports about how you can find the best deal in the gas and electricity market. It is different from shampoo. You need it to live. You cannot get by without energy and that is why a move to more simplicity, in our view, is to the greater good of consumers and then we can get on with advising people about which supplier to look to for other dimensions of service delivery and customer satisfaction. I think under the current reform arrangements we will not move to a market where the prices are presented in a simple way that will allow people to choose between suppliers quickly, and that means we will not get those competitive forces operating that we were talking about. Q82 Mr Lilley: Would it not be fairly easy to devise an app for our mobile phones that if it had our gas and electricity bills fed in to it automatically, it would tell us which is the best deal? Richard Lloyd: We have developed a prototype for that with Scottish Power and we have been asking the energy suppliers, all of them, to buy in to that system where you could download your consumption data, plug it in to a comparison site like Which? Switch and find the best deal on the market for you. They have been dragging their feet on that, so I am with you on cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:56] Job: 030522 Unit: PG01 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/Corr EnCC 12.03.13.xml Ev 20 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12 March 2013 Richard Lloyd, Audrey Gallacher and Anne Pardoe that. That would certainly take some of the friction out of switching but, again, you have to recognise that it is a minority sport still. There are not that many people who are that interested, despite the cost, in going to the market and switching. Mr Lilley: For most people the most important single worry is their heating bill. Richard Lloyd: It is the paradox about this market that despite people being worried about the price, a lot of people are so disengaged in the market that they are not shopping around and getting the best deal for them even with a simpler structure of tariffs there will be gains for them to do that. That is why we need a mix of things to enable consumers to engage—simpler pricing, easier and quicker switching with less hassle, easier means to identify the best deal on the market for you—and not this halfway house of some tariff simplicity but still complex presentation of pricing, slow switching and so on. Q83 Sir Robert Smith: Is there a fear of getting yourself trapped in an even worse deal or is it just that some people’s minds go blank and they think it is all too confusing? Anne Pardoe: I think with the complex market, obviously if you simplify it then you reduce the areas where suppliers can compete and offer innovation. The issue being that for some of the sharper elbowed consumers, more able consumers, then that is fine. They may be able to, with some difficulty, navigate their way round the market. The issue comes for time poor and also less able consumers who just do not have the time or the ability to sift through all those and work out which is the best deal for them. In order to allow them to engage in the market more effectively you need to simplify. In terms of your example, where I think you said SSE had this with the tariff— Mr Lilley: The Sunday Times said it was the best buy on the market. Anne Pardoe: Yes, the issue around that is if everyone did decamp and switch on to that tariff it would no longer be viable for SSE to run that tariff because of the way that pricing is worked out, quite often some tariffs are subsidising other tariffs. It sort of works out in a way that if we all were savvy consumers and switched on to that, that would probably not be available anymore and a lot of the suppliers say, although they would not say on their advertising, “It is open for 200,000 consumers” or whatever, and then as soon as that number of people are on that, that tariff would then be closed and they will have to open a new one. Mr Lilley: It seems a very funny position for a consumer advocate to say a tariff may be too good; too many people may be attracted to it; let us be satisfied that it has now been outlawed by the Government. This whole business baffles me. Anne Pardoe: No, it is not. It is just giving everyone an equal chance to be able to access a tariff which is the best one available for them. Obviously, we would love suppliers to offer the best tariffs to everyone, but it is simply not the case that that happens at the moment. With pre-payment meters, in particular, I think there is one supplier now that is moving to open all their tariffs to pre-payment customers, but in the vast majority of cases the pre-payment customers do not have access to those deals. Audrey Gallacher: I think some of the Big Six, and certainly smaller suppliers, have alleged predatory pricing and we have had some positive statements from some of the larger suppliers. Q84 Mr Lilley: I would love some predatory pricing. I would go and sign up for some predatory pricing. You are against predatory pricing and you are against high pricing. What sort of pricing are you for? Audrey Gallacher: I think predatory pricing of shampoo is okay, but when it is an essential service and the people subsidising that predatory pricing are the people who can least afford it and who are really suffering quite significant hardship as a result of it then there is a question about whether that should be allowed. So we would move towards fair pricing, whatever fair pricing may be, but we would move towards fair pricing rather than cheap pricing. Chair: I think on this note of bafflement we will have to draw to a conclusion. Thank you very much for coming in. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [SO] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 21 Tuesday 16 April 2013 Members present: Mr Tim Yeo (Chair) Dan Byles Barry Gardiner Ian Lavery Dr Phillip Lee Mr Peter Lilley Christopher Pincher John Robertson Sir Robert Smith Dr Alan Whitehead ________________ Examination of Witnesses Witnesses: Tony Cocker, Chief Executive Officer, E.ON, Juliet Davenport, Chief Executive Officer and Founder, Good Energy, Jim Poole, Director of B2C, EDF Energy, and Alistair Phillips-Davies, Deputy Chief Executive, SSE, gave evidence. Q85 Chair: Good morning and welcome to the Committee. There is, as you know, a lot of interest in this inquiry. We are televised today, so could you please identify yourself by name, starting with you, Tony Cocker. Tony Cocker: Tony Cocker, CEO of E.ON UK. Juliet Davenport: Juliet Davenport, CEO of Good Energy. Jim Poole: Jim Poole, Director of EDF Energy’s retail supply business. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Alistair Phillips-Davies, Deputy CEO of SSE. Q86 Chair: Mr Phillips-Davies, can I start with you? Can you tell us exactly when SSE stopped misselling? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I would like to start in terms of the mis-selling announcement that Ofgem made. Personally and on behalf of the management team, individually and collectively, I would like to apologise for the issues that we faced, the fact that the standards that we showed during the period that Ofgem investigated us were not the standards we would have liked to have lived up to and were clearly not what customers would have expected. But in answer to your question specifically, we cleared all the items in relation to the Ofgem investigation principally during 2011, and then there were some minor clear-ups as well that took until September 2012. Q87 Chair: It is the case, is it not, that your staff and agents continued mis-selling up to and after the point at which the Trading Standards Authority started to investigate? Alistair Phillips-Davies: The Trading Standards Authority? Chair: Surrey County Council. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Are we talking about the Ofgem investigation or Surrey County Council? Chair: Surrey County Council. Alistair Phillips-Davies: In respect of the Surrey County Council investigation, which related specifically to scripts in 2009, all of those issues related to that were dealt with immediately after the judgment. Q88 Chair: But you were happy for your staff to continue using dishonest selling methods and would have continued presumably doing so indefinitely for the benefit of your profits had Surrey Trading Standards Service not started their investigation? Alistair Phillips-Davies: No, I do not think that is the case. Q89 Chair: What action did you take to stop this process prior to the investigation by Surrey Trading Standards Service? Alistair Phillips-Davies: In respect to the matter with Surrey Trading Standards, there was essentially one script where there was a detailed discussion between us and them around whether that script was appropriate. When it was ultimately decided that there were inappropriate elements within that script, we changed that script. Q90 Chair: Illegal elements, not “inappropriate”; illegal and misleading. Alistair Phillips-Davies: We have apologised to our customers for what happened in regard of that. We have obviously been fined in regard of that, and we have put that matter right. Q91 Chair: You will create a better impression with this Committee and your customers if you do not use weasel words like “inappropriate” for illegal and misleading sales scripts, will you not? Alistair Phillips-Davies: If you say so, yes. Q92 Chair: It is not, if I say so, that is what the vast majority of people who have been in touch with this Committee have already told us. We have had the benefit of a lot of contributions from the public today about the questions we should ask you, and, not surprisingly, this is one of them. Will you just be absolutely clear that SSE continued the use of illegal and misleading sales scripts up to and after the point at which the investigation by Surrey Trading Standards Service commenced? Alistair Phillips-Davies: After the investigation commenced? Chair: Yes. Alistair Phillips-Davies: So, prior to the judgment? Chair: Yes. Alistair Phillips-Davies: There were a number of changes made to the scripts at the time that the investigation commenced, and then there were further cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 22 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies changes put in place after the judgment was issued and there was a clear ruling on what had happened. wants to contact us, we would consider that case and we would compensate them for it. Q93 Chair: Prior to the commencement of the Surrey Trading Standards Service investigation, your company took no action to stop the use of illegal and misleading sales scripts, yes or no? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Can you repeat the question, please? Chair: Yes. Prior to the commencement of the investigation by Surrey Trading Standards Service, your company took no action whatever to stop the use of illegal and misleading sales scripts by your staff? Alistair Phillips-Davies: No, I have to disagree with that. Q100 Chair: So the onus is on the offended party rather than you as the guilty party? Alistair Phillips-Davies: We have placed adverts in national papers and we have written out to approximately 10% of our customer base or those people who may have been affected by these practices in an attempt to try to make sure that they all come forward and we can have a proper conversation with them about what compensation they are due. We have been doing that for the last 17 months. We have done it in conjunction with a well-known or leading consumer body and we estimate, in conjunction with Ofgem, that probably less than half of 1% of our customers would have been affected by this. Q94 Chair: What action did they take and when? Alistair Phillips-Davies: As a company, we have always sought to hold the highest standards in respect of dealing with our customers. Q95 Chair: What action did you take to stop the use of illegal sales scripts and when? Alistair Phillips-Davies: We have a compliance function within the company and that compliance function would audit what was going on. We would review scripts and other materials that we used for sales to try to ensure that that complied with all relevant legislation, whether regulatory or legal. That is an ongoing process that we have had for a number of years and since we have been in the business of energy sales. Q96 Chair: How many of your customers were missold tariffs? Alistair Phillips-Davies: In the Ofgem report that was issued two weeks ago, they estimated in the region of 23,000 people would have been disadvantaged by some of the sales practices that went on during the period of their investigation. Q97 Chair: Is it the case that these mis-sold tariffs started from 30 September 2008? Alistair Phillips-Davies: The Ofgem investigation did not cover the period that early. It covered the period from 2009; I think October 2009, from memory. Q98 Chair: We have been contacted by Surrey Trading Standards Service to point out that this illegal and misleading sales script was used from 30 September 2008. Do you dispute that fact? Alistair Phillips-Davies: No, and we have a sales guarantee in place. If there is any customer who feels they have been mis-sold to, we have had in place for 17 months a guarantee that offers any customer who thinks that they have been mis-sold to the opportunity to come to us. We were the first and remain the only company that has sought to recompense customers fully for any disadvantage that they have received as a result of any mis-selling. Q99 Chair: You will compensate people who were mis-sold from the beginning of October 2008? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Yes. If there was anybody who was mis-sold to who could prove that to us and Q101 Chair: What date do the advertisements suggest you will pay the compensation from? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I would have to go back and look at the advertisements, but if there is any customer who feels that they have been disadvantaged by the mis-selling practices from October 2008, we would happily recompense them. Q102 Chair: It was suggested to us that the compensation offer was only going to apply to customers from October 2009, but I am happy to note your on-the-record commitment to using the earlier date. Alistair Phillips-Davies: We will seek to rectify that, and we will also talk with the consumer body we have been working with about how we communicate with any people who have not been made aware of that. Q103 John Robertson: I was interested in your advert, of which I have a copy here. Do you not think, considering this is 7 April 2013, that that is actually an insult to the people who buy their energy from you? Alistair Phillips-Davies: No. Q104 John Robertson: You think that is fair, and yet you have already said that you were making changes to the script earlier at that time? You must have known you were cheating and all you were doing was trying to continue cheating but to manufacture some new words to try to convince people that you were not. Is that not right? Alistair Phillips-Davies: No. Q105 John Robertson: You are a member of the board? One of our public who have tweeted us has asked if you were a member of the board during this mis-selling. Alistair Phillips-Davies: I was a member of the board during the period of the investigation that Ofgem undertook, the report of which came out two weeks ago, yes. Q106 John Robertson: So why are you still a member of the board? Alistair Phillips-Davies: During the period of the misselling when Ofgem are investigating what we did, we took extensive action in regard to retraining, cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 23 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies additional audit procedures, significant changes of staff. We took unprecedented action in respect of actually closing our doorstep sales activity in 2011, terminating a number of contracts of external agencies, and we have replaced a lot of the senior management within the retail business. We now have the right team to deliver for our customers and I believe I am the right person to lead that team. Q107 John Robertson: So what you are really saying is, “It was a big boy who did it and he ran away. It is not my fault, guv”? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I am not running away from this. We have said we are sorry. We absolutely acknowledge that what we did— Q108 John Robertson: Words are easy. To me that is an insult. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Words are easy but equally, Mr Robertson, we have spent the last 17 months— John Robertson: You knew before that you were cheating. You were cheating the public; you knew that. Alistair Phillips-Davies: As soon as we became aware of things that may have been misconstrued or viewed as mis-selling or illegal or anything else, we took action. We took significant action over the period of the investigation, and we have been taking action for the last 17 months to seek to recompense fully all of the customers who were affected, which again I would reiterate is less than half a per cent of our customer base. Q109 Chair: How much profit did you make as a result of this mis-selling? Alistair Phillips-Davies: In Ofgem’s estimate there were 23,000 customers who may have been mis-sold to. What they said was that they felt that we were making £45 a year out of those customers. Of the customers that we have spoken to to date and settled with, the average compensation figure we have paid— I am rounding up and adding a small amount on to cover any interest and other inconvenience—has been between £65 and £70. If you took £65 and £70 and multiplied by 23,000, I would imagine you would end up with a number of about £1.5 million in terms of the detriment that has been suffered by customers. We have obviously provided £5 million for that and we will go through a process to make sure that we deal with all the customers who contact us, and then we will go through a process that we have been discussing with a leading agency for any customers who have not approached us to try to make a fair and reasonable recompense to them by trying to identify what their circumstances were. On top of that, we have borne the not insignificant fine of £10.5 million, which we decided to accept to try to draw the matter to a close. John Robertson: Chair, can I come back? Chair: Yes. Q110 John Robertson: Just so it is not just Mr Phillips-Davies who is getting hammered all the time, the other companies, are you squeaky-clean in all this or do you want to hold your hand up now and say guilty? Jim Poole: I can speak for EDF Energy. EDF Energy, in the past, has been through an investigation by Ofgem into this area. It did not identify any misselling activities, but it did identify control weaknesses, which Ofgem commented at the end of the investigation, that we corrected very quickly. We are confident now that those controls are robust and in place. Q111 John Robertson: That is quite interesting, because I complained to your company about people phoning me up that had information about my energy, and yet they refused to tell me where they got their information from. Does that sound like being legal? Jim Poole: That does not sound right. Q112 John Robertson: You are right, it does not, but that happened and it was your company. What are you going to do? Jim Poole: Certainly, if you give us the details of that, I will look into it. As I say, there was a thorough investigation and we have taken all of the actions that Ofgem asked us to take. As Ofgem said at the end of the investigation, the speed with which we did that was appropriate. Q113 John Robertson: Mr Cocker, what about E.ON? Tony Cocker: Ofgem is currently investigating E.ON. We are working fully with Ofgem to understand their concerns. We have a very strong view that we want to provide the best products to our customers at fair prices and to enable customers to make the right decisions in terms of their energy tariffs, so we will work fully with Ofgem. If there are findings, we will implement those findings. Q114 John Robertson: As far as you are aware, you are squeaky-clean? Tony Cocker: I think it is too early to say. We are working as hard as we can— John Robertson: I am bound to say, Mr Cocker, I would expect a company to know whether they are doing things right or not doing things right. You and I both know that you know whether you are squeakyclean or not. Come clean now and tell us if you are or you aren’t. Tony Cocker: We are working as hard as we can to make sure we are squeaky-clean. John Robertson: Not good enough. Q115 Chair: One of the points that I think many people are concerned about is the lack of transparency in the operations of the big six, the fact that their corporate structures are extremely complex and with very large numbers of subsidiaries, with vertical integration, in fact with profits being generated partly in the generation business, partly in the trading business, partly in the supply business. I want to ask all three of you this. Why do you use these very complex and somewhat obscure structures? Tony Cocker: Mr Chairman, I think the way we think about it, we have a number of businesses in the UK, cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 24 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies and each of those businesses has to stand on its own two feet. We have a retail business, which supplies electricity and gas to residential customers and business customers. We have a generation business, which generates electricity. We have a renewables business. We also have an upstream gas business and a gas storage business. Each of those businesses has to operate and stand on its own two feet, as I say. Then in terms of ensuring transparency for our customers, we explain as clearly as we possibly can what is the makeup of our customers’ bills and as clearly as we can what is the makeup of our profits, both in terms of the retail profits that we make in the retail business, which is providing a service to those customers, and also in the other areas of the business, the generation business or the exploration and production business. Jim Poole: I guess the easiest way to explain the structure is that we have an upstream business, which is largely generating energy, on one hand and we have a downstream supply business supplying electricity and gas to our residential and business customers. The segmented accounts that are produced accurately reflect the performance of those two businesses. Alistair Phillips-Davies: We have three business streams. We have a network stream that is completely regulated and separated. We also have a wholesale or generation stream, and then we have a retail stream that deals with customers. Those three streams are reported in our financial accounts every year, and they are subject to audit. Also, Ofgem have over the last three or four years asked us to produce specific accounts in relation to retail and generation businesses solely in the UK, because we do have some businesses based in Ireland as well. We produce those accounts. They are fully reconciled to the published accounts and the Ofgem auditors have given us a clean bill of health on the fact that what we are doing is entirely appropriate. I think they went as far as to say, in response to issues around trading profits, that because we reconcile those accounts fully and they are publicly available there was no opportunity for us to disguise or hide profits within either the generation or supply business. We do not have a central trading or hedging business that we attribute any significant profits or losses to, so they are all entirely attributed to either the customer business or the generation business. They are available every year. I have a copy here if you want to see them. Q116 Chair: Is not the effect of these very complex structures to allow you to move profits at will from one part of the business to another? Tony Cocker: No, absolutely not. You keep calling it a complex structure. Actually, Mr Chairman, it is a very simple structure. As I said, we have a generation business. There is a team that runs that. We have a retail business and a team that runs that, a renewables team that runs that business, an E&P team that runs that business. It is actually very simple and straightforward and we report very transparently on each of those businesses, including through the Ofgem segmental analysis. Q117 Chair: Just on that, all the transactions between the generation business and the retail business are at prices that are available publicly, are they? Tony Cocker: No, the retail business buys all of its electricity and gas through our trading business. It is a service from our trading business, which is based in Germany. The generation business sells all of its electricity and procures all its fuel also through a service that is provided by the trading business. They are completely separate, completely standalone. Each of them, as I say, has to stand on their own two feet, and those transactions are at market prices. Q118 Chair: This transparent structure involves a company in Britain buying from another company in Britain via an intermediary in Germany at a price that is not disclosed. That is your transparency? Tony Cocker: No. The retail business does not buy from the generation business. The generation business, through the trading business, sells all of its generation into the market and the retail business, through the trading business, buys all of the electricity and gas that we require for our customers through the marketplace. Q119 Chair: Wouldn’t it be much simpler just to transfer it straight from the generating business to the retail business at a price that you could then publish? Tony Cocker: No, because we want to be very focused on simple standalone businesses, each of which stands on their own two feet and each of which is competitive in their own marketplaces. Q120 Chair: How does it work in your case in EDF? Jim Poole: Very similar model. The upstream business sells its energy at market prices into the market and the downstream business, the business I am responsible for, effectively does the same. It buys from the wholesale market and the prices that impact the performance of both those businesses are the prices of the wholesale market. The view that vertically integrated businesses effectively self-supply is not the case. As I say, the upstream sell into the market and the downstream buy from the market, and that means that we get an accurate reflection of the downstream profitability of the business. It is appropriate, because clearly we are competing with businesses that are all doing the same thing in terms of buying energy from the wholesale market. Q121 Dr Lee: How is the market price set? In each case, how do you arrive at a market price for any particular commodity? Tony Cocker: Our retail business buys the electricity or the gas at the market price, so at the prevailing market price in the traded market. Q122 Dr Lee: Is that done at that time or is it done over a period? Is it a spot price? Tony Cocker: The retail business for our residential supply business will buy the electricity and gas gradually over the front of the coming two to three years to manage the volatility in the prices, so we get a smoother price than if we attempt to buy all of it cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 25 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies on one day or all of it in one week or all of it in one month. Q123 Dr Lee: Do you think that market price is set by country conditions or is it a global price? The price of liquid natural gas is different in different parts of the world, for example. You say it is based in Germany in your case. Clearly, the decision on nuclear has made a difference to the price of gas in the region. How do you make a calculation over two to three years on how much you are going to buy and at what price when something like that can happen? How do you do it? I do not quite understand how you price something in that environment. Tony Cocker: For our residential business, for example, our risk management team here will say, “Okay, we are going to buy a certain amount of gas for summer 2014 now, and we will buy that in the market”. By “in the market” I mean it is the UK North West European traded gas market and the indicator of that price is the NBP price, which is published on a daily basis. That is a very clear and transparent price and a very clear and transparent way of doing it from our business perspective. Q124 Dr Lee: Do you think that is truly subjected to market forces in the way that you can trade oranges and lemons and there is a proper market, or is there a danger that it is not really? Tony Cocker: The UK traded market, the North West European traded market particularly around the UK, is the most liquid, it is the most traded energy market in Europe. Therefore, the price that we procure our gas for through that market we believe is a fair price. There have been some issues and you will recall in September of last year there was accusations of traders attempting to manipulate the price. Clearly, that is bad behaviour and absolutely should not happen, and all the serious participants in the market absolutely do not condone that sort of behaviour. Q125 Dr Lee: That was actually my next question. Is there any evidence of any of your companies being involved in an equivalent to a LIBOR scandal in terms of fixing of price at all? Tony Cocker: Absolutely not. Dr Lee: There is no game-playing, nothing at all? Tony Cocker: We have thoroughly reviewed it and absolutely not. Q126 Dr Whitehead: Could each of you let me know how much you trade, bearing in mind what we have just been discussing, over-the-counter and how much over the wholesale markets, bearing in mind that all of you in one way or another self-supply? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I will answer. We routinely trade 100% of our generation in the day-ahead market and our demand as well, so it is relatively routine for us to put all of our power into the day-ahead market. Q127 Dr Whitehead: These are not financial contracts? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Well, they go into an auction. There is an auction structure that Ofgem support, and the support has been fully transparent. Anybody can bid for that power and we routinely put 100% of the volume of our generation into that market on a day-ahead basis. In addition to that, in respect of I think both of the smaller energy companies here and four others, so therefore six in total, at our cost we have made available to them free credit so they can trade in that market. We have offered them favourable terms without quoting bid-offer spreads. We do a number of contracts with those six smaller companies. Therefore, in terms of short-term liquidity, which is this day-ahead auction market, and/or medium-term liquidity, offering to trade with the various companies, we have done clearly more than anybody else in order to improve that liquidity. Q128 Dr Whitehead: Could I be clear that you put all your generation in— Alistair Phillips-Davies: We routinely put all of our generation into that day-ahead market. We can come up with figures. Do we do it absolutely every day? No, but we routinely put 100% of the generation into that market. If you wanted we could give some statistics or if you want to send somebody to come and see our traders and look at it or verify that, we would be very happy for you to do that, but that is what we routinely do. Q129 Dr Whitehead: Then you buy from that dayahead market as if that were not your generation? Alistair Phillips-Davies: That auction, which is free to anybody to bid into, we end up selling in that auction, and we end up buying back from that auction for our supply business as well. Q130 Dr Whitehead: You do not trade two years ahead, three years ahead? Alistair Phillips-Davies: No, we will routinely look to hedge our position further out as well. In terms of that day-ahead market we do routinely put all of our volume into that market, but we will actually keep contracts further out as well. Q131 Dr Whitehead: What is the effect on the dayahead trading and the hedging strategy? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Say that again. What is our— Dr Whitehead: You say you hedge against the dayahead trading for longer term trading. What is the effect of that? Alistair Phillips-Davies: What do you mean? Sorry, I don’t understand the question. Dr Whitehead: Well, you have just mentioned that you put everything into the day-ahead market, which you then trade as if it were not your generation, but you hedge presumably in order to mitigate the effect of the day-ahead trading in terms of the long-term market arrangements, which is then relayed back to your own self-supply? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Yes. So, if we are trying to mitigate the issues around particular price spikes and things like that—so, for instance, in March we obviously saw gas prices more than double at times during March—then we would want to trade ahead for things like that in order to mitigate the risks to our customers of not being able to supply them. Similarly, cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 26 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies we do the same within the electricity market, which is what you are talking about. We would seek to hedge some of our exposure forward and, therefore, we would end up putting generation into the market and our supply business would end up buying generation out of that market as well, that day-ahead market, to cover its position, because it could not take it straight from our generation business. Q132 Dr Whitehead: How do you do that? Jim Poole: The model is very similar, actually. We trade over the horizon for both the supply business buying energy and the upstream business selling energy. The over-the-counter market it is about 86%, and the auction market is about 14%. Very similar to the way that Alistair has just described, we then do effectively the gross bidding process in the day-ahead market, so a very similar model. Buying over that longer period of time clearly helps to manage any peaks that we see in the market prices. Q133 Dr Whitehead: Are you also hedging? Jim Poole: Yes. Juliet Davenport: We buy and sell in a very different way from everybody else. We buy power from about 500 independent generators on longer and short-term contracts. We then balance that in the day-ahead marketplace. One of the reasons why we buy power from a significant number of generators is that it gives us a forward position so that we are not changing our prices constantly for our customer base. In fact, we have only changed our price once in four years on the electricity side recently. In terms of the percentages, that changes. Obviously, we trade in 100% renewables, so we have wind and solar on our portfolio. How much we are selling and buying in the day-ahead market will change on a daily basis. Essentially, we have a very different business model. We do buy power from our own generation as well, but we will balance that in the day-ahead market as well. Tony Cocker: Our approach is to hedge over the front three years both for our generation portfolio and for our retail portfolio, but separately as I described earlier, and then also to use the day-ahead market. We put about 60% of our volume through the day-ahead market. Right from the beginning of this day-ahead auction, which Alistair described, we have been very supportive of building that to ensure that there is adequate or good liquidity in that market. Overall, we churn our volume, so sell and buy our volume, for generation about four times before delivery. To your question about hedging and then day-ahead, we might hedge the volume out but then conditions might change on generation so we might sell it back. We do that four times overall on average for the generation side of the business. Q134 Dr Whitehead: Selling back to yourself? Tony Cocker: No, back to the market; backwards and forwards into the market. Q135 Dr Whitehead: I imagine you should have a very robust reference price right across the curve on the basis of that model, the model that, with the exception of Good Energy, you have all said is pretty much similar between companies? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I think one of the issues with electricity is that you have 48 half-hourly periods in every day, so despite the fact that you may have reasonable liquidity further down the curve, let us say a year out, for a season or a quarter or a month, it is more difficult to get liquidity if you happen to want to buy 5.00pm until 7.00pm on a Thursday afternoon in October 2014. That is a pretty difficult product to buy, and that is simply a function of the fact that you can’t store electricity very easily. Essentially, you have 8,000-odd hours in every year and for each of those hours it is split into two, so therefore you have an awful lot of chunks of electricity to try to trade to completely balance yourself further out. That is why you tend to go for either flexible supply contracts or have flexible generation on standby that you maybe own or contract with in some way, shape or form. I think there is good liquidity, but the problem is the granularity of that liquidity given how many halfhours the day is chunked up into. I do not know whether Juliet would agree, because it is probably an issue for you. Juliet Davenport: I think the issue with liquidity particularly for smaller suppliers is down the curve and how do you sort that. For the day-ahead liquidity we have seen improvements over the last two years, and that is good. We can now balance the position day-ahead. But in terms of further down the curve I think it is still very difficult. One of the reasons why Good Energy’s business model has grown up as it has is because by dealing with smaller generators we can get a forward position. But I do worry personally about some changes in policy we are seeing that might restrict that going forwards rather than improve it. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Also, further about liquidity, I would just add that you get unintended consequences from things like a carbon price support mechanism that makes it incredibly difficult to trade power in a period where you have a tax rather than something you can hedge in terms of the carbon price. Therefore, really there is very, very limited liquidity, if any liquidity at all, beyond the point in time where there is certainty from Treasury on what that carbon price support mechanism will be. It is not necessarily a bad thing but it is just because of the nature of it you can’t hedge your exposure to that tax and, therefore, trading the power will give you a significant exposure, potentially, to how that tax is set. Q136 Dr Whitehead: Ofgem’s liquidity project, did indeed mount a challenge to provide, they said, robust reference prices along the curve and they say that the big six in particular have failed to meet this challenge. That appears to contradict what you have said this morning in terms of the likelihood of a robust reference price indeed round the curve; unless hedging strategies actually detract from that? Alistair Phillips-Davies: From my perspective, SSE have clearly done more than anybody else to try to provide liquidity into this market and also to small independent suppliers who may have issues. As I said, I think it depends where you draw the line going down the curve. I think there is pretty good liquidity out a cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 27 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies couple of years. Once you go much beyond a couple of years, you get these issues like the carbon price support mechanism, which make it very difficult to trade there or very risky. Tony Cocker: I have to say I would not agree with Alistair that SSE have done more than anybody else, but I would say that there has been progress made. Having said that, our proposals to Ofgem were to absolutely put in place a no self-supply restriction, in line with the comments we just made, and to require all generators to trade at least 30% of their generation in the day-ahead market. When I say “all generators” I mean all significant generators, which would include a number of the players who you have not invited to these sessions today, so the standalone generators. Those were two of the key things that we proposed to Ofgem to further continue to improve the liquidity in the wholesale market, which we believe is vital both for competition in the market and for confidence in the market. Q137 Dr Whitehead: Just a closing thought: if you are all hedging in different ways as you have described, how come the results are all so similar? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I think if you look at the average weighted cost of going into the supply businesses across the different companies they are actually quite different. Maybe we end up making similar profits, but equally I think over the last two or three years you have seen reasonably steady rises in energy. There have been small blips, like clearly the last month or so has seen extraordinary prices for gas, but— Q138 Dr Whitehead: Forgive me, if you are trading mainly transparently on the day-ahead market, and you are then hedging on forward markets in order to offset the effect of that and each company is working on its own information in order to hedge those results of what it has done on the day-ahead markets, you would anticipate that the results of the hedging for each company would turn out to be rather different. Therefore, the outcome in terms of performance and prices and what have you would also be different. But that is not the case, is it? Alistair Phillips-Davies: There is a very wide variation in domestic electricity purchase costs. I note, just looking at the last year where I have all the information from, the highest company is 30% to 40% different from the lowest company there. You perhaps are not— Q139 Dr Whitehead: No, I am talking about the major generators and suppliers here; all the integrated generators and suppliers. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Okay, so ScottishPower, EDF, E.ON, RWE, British Gas and SSE—I am just saying there are significant differences in the purchase costs of energy that appear in their accounts that Ofgem sign off and have been looked at by BDO. You may not have seen the information, but I can give you our view of the information. There are very significant differences in those costs. I will send you a table if you want. I understand exactly what you are saying and I am just saying from what I see from analysing what public information Ofgem make available, we see significant differences and we would be happy to send that through to the Committee afterwards so you can have a look at it and decide what you make of it. There are also significant differences in cost to serve and things like that as well. Some people have much higher cost to serve than we do. Q140 Dr Whitehead: Do you have any view on that, Mr Cocker? Tony Cocker: I agree that the data show that there are significant differences in the cost of energy from the segmental accounts, and there are also significant differences in the cost to serve and there are significant differences in the profitability of the individual businesses. Underlying those differences, at the end of the day we are in a competitive market and in terms of the price that we offer to our customers we have to be competitive. What we try to do is to make sure we offer fair, competitive prices to our customers and simple products. Jim Poole: The only point I would add is that, as has been mentioned, the breakdown is in those segmental accounts. I think it is a good reference place to go to see the costs. Clearly, that also highlights the profitability of the businesses being quite different in terms of their supply side of the business. EDF Energy has not made a profit in that part of the business since 2009, so it is an improving picture but it is still not a profitable business for us. We are focused on trying to engage customers and grow our business in terms of the activities that we have in the market, because that is one of the challenges that we have. Although we are one of the major suppliers, we are a relatively small one of the major suppliers, and actually being bigger and having scale is something that we are very keen to do. An active, competitive and engaged market is something that we are very keen on. Juliet Davenport: I think also it depends on the type of product you are trying to deliver to your customer base and understanding what those customers want. Our customers particularly have appreciated stability in prices and I think customers do not want to see their prices constantly changing. What you see in profitability may change from year to year in terms of the supply business and not only the hedging policies are different but also the pricing policies will be different depending on what product you are delivering. Q141 Sir Robert Smith: I just want to ask Mr Phillips-Davies: what motivated you to make the market more liquid? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Essentially, as we understood it, there were a number of people who were saying that the market was not liquid enough to be fair to some of the smaller suppliers. What we did was seek to put activities in place to try to provide more liquidity. We clearly have a large business. We have differing customer needs day in, day out, as you win and lose customers, and we also have a large generation portfolio. Having a reasonably deep and liquid market at a time when a lot of banks have exited the market because bank capital is not there to do it is helpful and, therefore, we were prepared to do cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 28 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies that. Equally, with people criticising the big six for us trying to keep out small suppliers and whatever, we were perfectly happy to say, “No, that is not true. We will put our money where our mouth is”. We want to see a vibrant, competitive market, and therefore we made available credit terms to those small suppliers so that they could trade more actively. We are very happy to see a deep, liquid and competitive market, and we would support actions that delivered that. Tony Cocker: In the business model that I described earlier of how we operate the business as separate businesses, each of which has to stand on their own two feet, it is absolutely vital for us that we have a deep and liquid market in order to enable that business model to work. So we had a clear self-interest in supporting liquidity. In addition to that, I personally believe that it is very important to have liquidity in order to engender confidence in the market and competition. Q142 Mr Lilley: I am obviously a bit obtuse, but if most of you are selling all your electricity into the market a day ahead, when you enter into longer-term contracts who are you buying from? Alistair Phillips-Davies: From the large generators. Q143 Mr Lilley: So they are also selling you stuff they do not have? Alistair Phillips-Davies: No. There are large generators, so— Mr Lilley: Oh right, the people we are not seeing. Alistair Phillips-Davies: So, International Power— that is now GDF—I would imagine would have a long position in the UK because they have generation; they do not have a particularly big supply business. Intergen is a reasonable-sized generator, and Drax equally. I think the output from their power station is larger than their supply business. Then finally in the case of EDF, I would imagine since they have bought British Energy they have a significant surplus of generation, over-supply. So, all of those four people I would imagine would sell substantial volumes of energy into the market that some of us would need to buy, because we can’t cover all of our supply business with the generation that we currently have or own. Q144 Mr Lilley: I can see that if you are supplying more than you are producing, you will have to buy from a third party, but I was thinking in terms of the term of contract that if you are all selling just a day ahead, who are you buying from a year ahead? Alistair Phillips-Davies: For instance, I suspect all four of those people will be looking to potentially hedge their business. I think generators look to hedge further ahead so they provide themselves with some certainty, particularly a generator who relies on coal, like Drax, because you will enter into forward physical contracts to ship coal to the UK and therefore you will want some certainty of making a profit out of it, so those sorts of people would. I think where you do get into difficulties, as I say, is where you get to the end of where you have certainty on carbon price support because the swing factor on that in terms of being able to hedge your position is very large basically. It is just a risk that is very difficult to deal with. Therefore I would imagine or I know that there is a reasonable market through into 2015, but much beyond that the market gets relatively patchy and, as I say, the spreads between bids and offers are quite wide at that stage. Tony Cocker: Can I just clarify, you said if you sell all day-ahead from generation, and I think your natural assumption is we sell all day-ahead. You are reserving it all to day-ahead; you are not doing any trade, any selling down the curve. In fact, what we do is we will sell on our generation side one, two, up to three years out, but then we will constantly need to adjust our position as gas prices change and coal prices change. We will unwind it, and then we will sell on the dayahead market 60% of our generation. As I said before, we churn four times. So, let’s say three years out, where liquidity just about starts—as Mr PhillipsDavies just said—to today we will be buying and selling that generation in aggregate four times before we get to full delivery, because we constantly have to adjust that position. Q145 Mr Lilley: The overall effect of that will be to smooth out peaks and troughs in prices but collectively, if one of you happens to be particularly skilful at trading, then the others must be losing a fraction on the trading side. Trading can’t itself generate profit. Tony Cocker: There are also other players in the traded market. It is not simply the electricity retailers and electricity generators in the electricity market in the UK. There are other players as well. Alistair before mentioned banks and there are also independent trading houses and that is true both in electricity and gas. There are a large number of participants in these traded markets. Juliet Davenport: I think there is another element to that as well, because obviously there is the forecasting, how much your customers are going to use, what impact weather is going to have. The market of last resort is National Grid and as soon as you go into the market of last resort you are paying a penalty for being in the market of last resort, so you can be better as a trader by knowing exactly what your portfolio is doing. For us it is even more important because we trade wind and solar, so we need to know what the day-ahead weather is doing and we will be trading that within day, an hour ahead, depending on what is happening with the sun and the wind. Q146 Mr Lilley: But if you are doing particularly well because you have better weather forecasters than the rest of us, which wouldn’t be difficult, someone else will be losing. It is just demand. Juliet Davenport: Potentially what you may not have is gen-sets coming on to fulfil that position, because expensive gen-sets are helping to balance the market. You are using those much less than you would need to if you are better at trading. Alistair Phillips-Davies: So, your assertion about having a good weather forecaster is correct. If you have a good weather forecaster, it helps, no doubt. Q147 Mr Lilley: But the trouble is, in talking about this, the public often gets the impression that traders cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 29 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies are making a profit, but if one trader is making a profit, another must be making a loss. Jim Poole: I think the interesting thing is that the way we are approaching energy is really around managing the risk of the business. Q148 Mr Lilley: Collectively it is worthwhile doing it because you are smoothing things out? Jim Poole: Yes. Mr Lilley: But certainly it would be wrong to suggest that there are people who are traders who are making a profit in aggregate. Some traders will be making a profit; others will be making a loss. The overall effect will be to smooth things out over time. That is a sort of a question stated as an assertion. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Yes. I suspect, rather like the foreign exchange market, ultimately probably enduser consumers will pay a small premium for the bidoffer spread on the foreign exchange they are buying. Equally, the cost of us hedging out our exposures to our customers and doing that in a traded market, if you do it well that benefit will flow through to customers. If you do it poorly, that dis-benefit will either flow through to your customers or flow through to a reduced bottom line. Juliet Davenport: I think an efficient use of resource is what it comes down to. Q149 Dr Whitehead: Your traders will have, clearly in terms of hedging strategy and down the curve, preferential information about your own generation, and therefore the trading on the basis that that preferential information will be loaded towards selfsupply. Alistair Phillips-Davies: There are very clear rules in the remit in European legislation, where any information that we have in relation to generation sets we have to make available to the market for stock exchange announcements and things of that nature. Those rules been in place for—I don’t know if Mr Cocker can remember—a couple of years now, something like that, so therefore a screen is publicly available to everybody. We have to post what happens in the generation business and/or in the storage business. Q150 Dr Whitehead: Right down the curve? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Yes. Well, if you make nominations to National Grid, National Grid will then publish that as well about when there are outages and things of that nature. It is generally the very shortterm movements where you lose sets or where sets have had a problem that is going to affect things in the short term, which the remit market covers. Longerterm we will provide information to National Grid and they present plans as to roughly what is going on in terms of how people are setting there. So, there is quite a lot of information available and we are very careful to keep our traders or the people who hedge our retail and generation business away from that information until it is made public. They are not allowed to do anything with it until it is made public. Q151 Barry Gardiner: I want to begin to explore with you accounting and transparency and what you referred to as the simple process earlier, Mr Coker, and the Chairman referred to Ofgem and their remarks that there were limitations to transparency and comparability, and that is particularly in relation to the CSS, the new Consolidated Segmental Statements. They allow you or they require you to separate your business out and show your gains and losses in terms of your generation, in terms of your domestic and your retail supply. The problem is though that there are inconsistencies here in the way in which you account for things and there are various lacunae, shall we put it that way, in the way in which the rules say that you have to allocate things. Just picking up on the trading element of what we were talking about and in particular the hedging that you discussed with Mr Whitehead, any gains or losses on financial instruments such as hedging, which have a major effect on the profitability of your businesses, the CSS include a checklist table where that trading activity can be allocated to the different segments, but there is also a box that says “another part of business”, and that box is frequently checked. Can you say for each of the three of the big six businesses whether you have allocated financial instruments gains and losses to that other part of the business box? Mr Cocker. Tony Cocker: I haven’t been back through our Ofgem postings. Q152 Barry Gardiner: It may be an unfair question to put to you on the spur of the moment. Perhaps you could write to the Committee, all of you, and say whether you have allocated those profits and losses to the other part of the business box. Alistair Phillips-Davies: We will write to you. I just say for us we only have a generation and a supply business and they are reconciled to the accounts. There is nothing else in there. I suspect it would be the same for one other company as well. You are a publicly listed company in the UK, you have complete transparency for the publicly listed companies in the UK of what is going on. We will write to you as well, but I believe it is— Tony Cocker: Can I just add, we will write to you as well. I am told that we have not ticked that box and the Ofgem accounts cover the retail business here in the UK and the generation business in the UK, and it is as simple as that. Q153 Barry Gardiner: Mr Poole, EDF Trading is a UK registered company, yes? Jim Poole: It is not part of the EDF Energy organisation in the UK. It is a group— Barry Gardiner: But it is a UK registered company, yes? Jim Poole: I didn’t believe it was actually, but—1 1 Note from the witness: In response to Q153 from Barry Gardiner MP, I said I did not believe EDF Trading was a UK registered company. This was incorrect—the business is registered in the UK (company number is 03750288) to the following address: EDF Trading, 3rd Floor, Cardinal Place, 80 Victoria Street, London, SW1E 5JL. EDF Trading Markets Limited is also registered at the same address, with company number 04255974. This is the arranger for EDF Trading, and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority as an Energy Market Participant.” cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 30 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies Q154 Barry Gardiner: Okay, interesting. It is 100% owned by its French parent company? Jim Poole: It is, yes. Q155 Barry Gardiner: Indeed. In the year ending 31 December 2011 it made pre-tax profits of £530 million. Is that correct? Jim Poole: That is right, yes. I think that is euros.2 Barry Gardiner: Euros? Jim Poole: I thought it was euros.2 Q156 Barry Gardiner: I thought it was pounds, but anyway, maybe you will write to us on that. The trading arm isn’t owned by the other UK-based parts of EDF, and so its activities are not separately reported within the segmental statements, although some of its revenues and expenses are allocated to UK segments. Is that not right? Jim Poole: So it is reported separately under our group financial performance, and it does the trading activity— Barry Gardiner: Not within the segmental statements is what I said. Jim Poole: Yes, so it is not within the segmental statements. Q157 Barry Gardiner: So when you are looking at segmental statements, it is not giving you a complete view of the business, is it? Jim Poole: It gives you a complete view of the business, of how those two businesses performed in relation to the energy that was procured from the wholesale market, so it does isolate those businesses from any trading activity. Q158 Barry Gardiner: Yes, this is one of the things we will come on to look at. The prices that can be shifted around groups through inter-company sales and loans and management fees and suchlike, that sort of transfer pricing is very difficult to get a handle on. In 2011 you and EDF Trading had a short-term intergroup loan of £1.6 billion, didn’t you, or was that euros as well? Jim Poole: I am not aware, sorry. Q159 Barry Gardiner: You are not aware of that? Perhaps you could check that, and when you do could you tell us about paying interest on that loan and whether through that the company could repatriate profits to France and not show them in the consolidated accounts? Jim Poole: Okay, I will check and respond. Q160 Barry Gardiner: Thank you very much. Why is that you use different accounting standards, so 2 Note from the witness: “In response to Q155 from Barry Gardiner MP I suggested that pre-tax profits from EDF Trading should be 530 million euros, rather than pounds. I suggested this because EDF Trading’s financial results usually are reported in euros. However Mr Gardiner’s figure, £530 million, was based upon a conversion to sterling from EDF Trading’s pre-tax profits, as reported in euros. EDF Trading’s 2011 pre-tax profit was €614.5 million, which is roughly equivalent to £530 million. Therefore Mr Gardiner’s figures were correct, and I retract my comments about the currency.” sometimes you use IFRS, sometimes you use GAAP? I think EDF Trading uses GAAP, whereas EDF Energy Holdings uses IFRS. Isn’t that just another way in which by using the different accounting standards you are not able or the public is not able— and indeed the regulator is not able—to compare apples with apples, but finds it is comparing apples with pears? Why do you use those different accounting standards in those different parts of the business if it is not for confusion? Jim Poole: It is not for confusion. They are the accounting standards that are relevant to the activities that are undertaken by that business and how those results are consolidated within the group’s position. Barry Gardiner: Sorry, could you say that again? I did not quite catch that. Jim Poole: It is not designed for confusion. Accounting can be— Q161 Barry Gardiner: It may achieve confusion, but it is not designed for confusion. Is that the answer? Jim Poole: Accounting can be complicated, but our intent isn’t to try to do that. It is to use the appropriate standards that are relevant for the parts of the business and how those results are consolidated within the group. Q162 Barry Gardiner: Mr Cocker, some companies can sell capacity and that earns revenue because it is available for dispatch even if it is never used. For a plant with low fixed costs that can be a particularly profitable venture, can’t it? Tony Cocker: Yes. It depends on the price. Barry Gardiner: It can be a particularly profitable venture. Is that right? Tony Cocker: It depends on the price. Forgive me, can you maybe carry on, and I can understand where you are headed? Q163 Barry Gardiner: I would have thought you could always see where I am headed, but what I am saying here is—well, let me put this another way. You can allocate that to different parts of the business, can’t you? Tony Cocker: No, we are very clear. Generation profit arises in generation, retail profit arises in retail, upstream gas profit arises in upstream gas and optimisation or trading profit arises in trading. Q164 Barry Gardiner: What about your overheads, then? Estates, administration, marketing, pensions, financing can be allocated to any of those segments, can’t they? There is no set method for doing that, so the way in which you do that may be entirely different from the way Mr Poole does it, may be entirely different from the way Mr Phillips-Davies does it, and therefore getting a handle on how you have allocated those overheads and comparing again company with company is extremely difficult. Tony Cocker: If we look at the Ofgem segment accounts, I would be very happy separately to discuss with you how we allocate overheads to, for example, the residential business, the industrial and commercial business and the generation business. I am very happy to discuss that. Of course what we are trying to do cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 31 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies is to reflect the true profitability of the business and therefore when we are allocating overheads, we are trying to reflect what drives those overheads. For example, is it accounts, is it staff numbers or what? We apply them on a sensible basis and I believe there is also guidance from Ofgem on how to allocate some of those things. Q165 Barry Gardiner: But you talked earlier, I think, about your trading arm based in Germany, didn’t you? Tony Cocker: Yes. Q166 Barry Gardiner: Are any of those allocated to that? Would they be? Tony Cocker: The trading business in Germany has some services from us here in the UK— Barry Gardiner: So you are able to allocate across there. Tony Cocker:—so we allocate some costs to them, but it is relatively little service that they receive from here in the UK. Q167 Barry Gardiner: BDO recently recommended to Ofgem that the Consolidated Segmental Statements require suppliers to report on trading activities and that was not brought forward. It would not be in your interests to have it brought forward, would it? Tony Cocker: In our case, it is a strange question. We simply receive a service from a trading organisation that is overseas. We have an exploration and production business, which produces gas and oil both in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea and the British sector of the North Sea. It is sort of consistent to saying we should report also the profits in Norway; it is clearly a separate jurisdiction and we wouldn’t dream of doing that. We have nuclear power stations in Germany, and undoubtedly from time to time the electricity from those power stations finds its way over here, and we would not dream of identifying the profit of that for the UK. Q168 Barry Gardiner: But if you had done like EDF had done—Mr Poole hasn’t written back to me yet and told me whether he did do it, although I think he did—and had that short-term intergroup loan of £1.6 billion, the very fact that you do not have to record the transactions or pay any interest on that loan, the way in which you can shift that between trading arms—what I am saying to you is that is extremely beneficial to the way in which you are able to show either inflated or reduced profits in any one part of your business as it may suit the company at a particular moment in time. Is that not the case? Tony Cocker: No, I fundamentally disagree with you. The Ofgem segmental accounts are reconciled to our UK audited accounts, and they give a fair representation of the profits in our business. If you separate it out between generation and retail, our retail business makes a margin of less than 5%, as you have seen from the Ofgem reports. Our generation business is profitable, and at the same time over the last five years in our generation business we have invested more in capital expenditure in new power stations or upgrading existing power stations than we have made in profit in those businesses, and you can see that from our published accounts and from our Ofgem reports. Q169 Barry Gardiner: Are you saying to me that it would not be possible that where a trading arm is based overseas, profits from the UK business activities might fail to show up in the segmental statements presented to Ofgem? Is that what you are really telling us? Tony Cocker: I am saying there is a business that is based overseas that may make some profit from trading around the UK, but at the same time there is also a business based in Germany— Q170 Barry Gardiner: But I asked you what will show up in the segmental statement accounts. Tony Cocker: You are absolutely right; that will not show up in the Ofgem segmental accounts. Q171 Barry Gardiner: So, in that respect, there is a failure of transparency, is there not? Tony Cocker: The Ofgem accounts deal with only parts of each of our businesses. They deal with the retail business, and they deal with the generation business. They do not deal with the exploration and production business, they do not deal with the gas storage business and they do not deal in our case with the trading business. The key thing is I believe that the Ofgem segmental accounts were developed to focus on the retail business, to give transparency of the costs and profits of those retail businesses. I believe they do an adequate job of that, a good job of that, of showing the transparency of the retail business here in the UK for the residential customers and industrial and commercial customers. Q172 Barry Gardiner: So, if in fact it is not to your advantage as a company to have trading excluded from the Consolidated Segmental Statements, why don’t you just include them? Why don’t you just say, “Yes, let’s include them”? You have given a very strong argument that you gain no advantage from this. Tony Cocker: I believe the data that we currently provide give an accurate description of the retail business here in the UK. Q173 Barry Gardiner: You have told me that there is therefore information that is not provided in the Consolidated Segmental Statements; you agreed with me on that. So, even though there is information that is not provided, you say, “Well, because we are giving adequate, we will not give full”. That does not seem to be a very robust position for open transparency and simplicity. Tony Cocker: That is not what I am saying. I think it is a robust position for simplicity. We have a retail business and we are very clear on that, and there is then a question of how wide you want to cast the net. Do you want to cast the net to the E&P business in Norway, the nuclear generation business in Germany? Q174 Barry Gardiner: BDO suggested in their report that it should be cast as wide as trading arms, but you disagree with that. Ms Davenport, you have been in a sense observing this discussion because you cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:58] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 32 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies do not have the same structure as the big six. What do you make of the openness, transparency and simplicity of the way in which the accounts are reported to Ofgem? Juliet Davenport: I think we would appreciate more transparency to make sure. One point of view is that we are a publicly listed company here in the UK. We have to publish our accounts and there is quite a lot of detail. I think in terms of any energy company, a private company in the UK can restrict the amount that they publish as well. I do think there is a case for making all companies—not just necessarily the big six but obviously start there—across the board have more transparency so we understand what is going on. From my point of view, I think customers have lost trust in energy companies full-stop across the board, and the more transparency we can provide to customers across all types of energy companies the better. I think we need to start to rebuild that, and I think if we rebuild that, we can see a better functioning energy market in the future. Q175 Barry Gardiner: Do you think including the trading activities in the CSS would aid that transparency and help rebuild that trust? Juliet Davenport: I think that is possibly one route to look at it, but I think you should look at the overall market as well, and there should be a complete review of what is happening in companies and how that is being reflected to consumers. Q176 Ian Lavery: At a time when energy costs and energy prices are becoming unaffordable to many people, I am absolutely alarmed to learn of the fact that out of the big six energy companies one of the big six never paid any corporation tax in any one of the last three years. In addition to that, it is suggested that three of the big six have enjoyed significantly less effective tax rates than should be expected. That is an absolute outrage as far as I am concerned. I might be totally naïve. I wonder if each of the individual companies could explain whether they are either one of the three that enjoy these significantly less than expected taxes, or indeed you are the company that has never paid any corporation tax within the last three years? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Okay, I will start. We are a UK-listed company. I think there was a survey based on our last report and accounts. We are between the 30th and 35th largest company in the FTSE and we were the 17th largest taxpayer in the UK. We paid around about £460 million of direct taxes last year, so I believe that means we pay our fair share. Jim Poole: EDF Energy, if I look at the performance of last year, had a corporation tax liability of £200 million. Jim Poole: Our EBITDA3 operating profit was £800 million and corporation tax I think is 24%, so I think it is the right amount that we would expect to pay. Tony Cocker: I think if I look over the last five years and average it, our total profits for E.ON in the UK, so all the elements in the UK, not just the retail business but also including gas storage and exploration and production, were nearly £5 billion. Of that, our total tax contribution was £2 billion including corporation tax, PAYE, National Insurance, VAT and CCL. Our total UK investment figure in that period was £6 billion and we also paid £330 million on business rates. We do have a lower corporation tax rate, as you would describe, than the standard corporation tax rate, but that is because we have invested so much money, £6 billion in that period in capital expenditure. In addition to that, we have also invested nearly £1 billion to repair the deficits in our pension funds for our existing pensioners and current and deferred employees, which we believe is very important. We have a very big pension fund with lots of pensioners; so, very significant investments into the UK, significant corporation tax and other tax paid. Yes, our rate is slightly lower, but that is because of those very, very significant investments. Q178 Ian Lavery: At least you have said that. I just wonder whether the other two gentlemen would say whether they enjoy paying less than the normal rate. Tony Cocker: Mr Lavery, I would not say I would enjoy— Ian Lavery: Well, if you pay less, I am sure you enjoy it. Tony Cocker: No, it is a rate. We have invested £6 billion, and the way corporation tax works is the depreciation on assets for corporation tax purposes is different, at a different pace than the depreciation for accounting purposes, and therefore you end up with a lower rate. But in due course, of course, all of that will come back. Alistair Phillips-Davies: The majority of our profits are made in the UK despite the fact that we invest more annually currently than we make in profits. We invest in CAPEX. I think we pay a pretty full rate, because the bulk of our activities is in the UK, just subject to normal UK corporation tax. The number I quoted of £460 million was corporation tax plus NI and other direct taxes but excludes VAT and things of that nature because I don’t think they are direct taxes. Our total profits across the entire group are £1.3 billion. So I think you will find that our rate is somewhat as I stated. We are paying rather more than the average among large FTSE companies. If we are between 30th and 35th and we are the 17th largest taxpayer, we are paying rather more than many big companies in terms of paying our fair share within the UK. You can get our accounts to look at, but I think that is what you would find, and that is why I quoted that statistic. 3 Q177 Ian Lavery: Is that a significantly reduced rate? Do you enjoy better rates than others or is that what you would expect to pay? Note from the witness: “In response to Q177 from Ian Lavery MP, I said that “Our EBITDA operating profit was £800 million...”. However, EBITDA is the term for earnings before interest, and is not the same as operating profit. I would like to clarify that “our EBIT operating profit was £800 million”.” cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 33 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies Q179 John Robertson: How much of your £6 billion investment comes from the Government for renewables? Tony Cocker: None of it. We have invested— John Robertson: Because it is not all £6 billion from your company. Tony Cocker: Yes, it is. John Robertson: A lot of it comes through the Government for investment in other areas, is it not? Tony Cocker: I am sorry, John, it is money that comes from our company. We have invested in the last— Q186 John Robertson: What was the dividend to shareholders recently, or last year? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Ours would have been in excess of £600 million in total for the year. Jim Poole: So we returned to the group £400 million, but I would stress that the inward investment was £1.3 billion. John Robertson: No, it is okay. I will come to the reason why I am asking the question in a minute. Tony Cocker: I do not recall the exact number, but it was less £200 million. Q180 John Robertson: You do not get any money from the Government to invest into other areas; is that what you are telling me? Tony Cocker: We have invested in onshore wind, offshore wind— John Robertson: You do not get anything for that? You have paid all that? Tony Cocker: We invest upfront. Obviously in the case of the existing onshore wind farms and the existing offshore wind farms we will benefit from the Renewables Obligation Certificate. Q187 John Robertson: When you are calculating your dividends, does your dividend just mean the retail part of the industry, or does it also include the generating part of the industry? Alistair Phillips-Davies: For our business the retail part last year made about 19% of the overall profit and the rest came from regulated networks and generation and our dividend is obviously derived from the profitability of all those three business, which totalled just in excess of £1.3 billion last year before tax. Q181 John Robertson: Is that included in your investment figures? Tony Cocker: No, we invest upfront, and then— John Robertson: Are you sure? Tony Cocker: Yes, the ROCs, the Renewables Obligation Certificates, we will receive over effectively the lifetime of the plant. We have invested that £6 billion upfront in onshore wind, offshore wind, refurbishing Ratcliffe power station £750 million—it is about the same as Wembley Stadium—and also in upstream gas in the North Sea, Huntington Field that just opened yesterday, and also in gas storage facilities. Q182 John Robertson: You do not get any money from the Government to help you with that? The £6 billion is purely out of the purse of the company? Tony Cocker: The £6 billion is investment from the company. The Renewables Obligation Certificate is a subsidy from which we will earn in due course— Q183 John Robertson: Do you know how much you get from that? Tony Cocker: No. John Robertson: Could you write to us and tell us? Tony Cocker: We can. Q184 John Robertson: EDF, how much money do you get for renewables and so on, and do you include that into your investment bill? Jim Poole: The investment number I gave was £1.3 billion, which was the money that was invested last year, primarily in our nuclear assets and our upstream coal gas generation and gas storage activities, and that is funded by the company. Q185 John Robertson: You do not get anything from the Government, then? Jim Poole: No. Q188 John Robertson: I take it that is the same— Tony Cocker: That is the dividend for E.ON UK. Q189 John Robertson: I just wanted to know because I have a problem with that. You are paying out your dividends that cover your whole industry and yet when we ask you a question about how much money you are making you always split everything up into retail and generation. We know from the figures that Ofgem have given us you are making roughly 25% on the generating side of the business, as opposed to, which is always what you quote, a 6% or a 2% rise in retail. Yet when you pay your dividend out to your shareholders you bring them both together. Why can you not bring them both together when you are working out the price of your electricity for your customers? Why can you not reduce the 25% increase to 12% and do something that would help those that really need it? Why can you not do that? To me you just put the figures together and you use them for your own benefit and yet when it comes to the general public, and particularly those that are involved in fuel poverty, they are the ones that suffer and you guys are still making 25% profit. In effect, all the companies when they sell it are selling it to themselves. You might have put it into the market, but it is your electricity that you have generated, and now you are selling it back to yourselves. It is a con, is it not? Jim Poole: If I can comment on that, in terms of in EDF Energy the supply business did not make a profit, as can be seen and as I mentioned earlier on. Q190 John Robertson: But what did you make in generation? Jim Poole: So the overall performance of the business in terms of EBITDA was £1.7 billion. Q191 John Robertson: See this is the problem that ordinary people have, and we have many people who tweet us and ask us questions on this. Their problem is that you make all these billions of pounds of profit cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 34 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies over the years in generating, you shove it basically into a big pot and then you all go in and you bid for it and you get it. But you are the people you put the stuff in the pot in the first place. Tony Cocker: I am sorry; I am going to have to disagree with that picture. As I said right at the beginning, the way we run our business is that each business, whether it is retail or generation, is a standalone business— John Robertson: But not if you are a shareholder. Tony Cocker: I added them up. The ones that I have just described happen to be owned by E.ON UK plc, so I quoted the dividend. But each business has to stand on its own two feet and— John Robertson: Not if you are a shareholder. Tony Cocker: No. First of all, from a profitability point of view, from an analytical point of view, our profit last year in our retail business was £234 million, our profit in our residential business per customer was £27 per customer and in fact in our residential business over the next few years we will have to invest in smart meters, which we believe will cost us about £1.2 billion. So that is a huge— Q192 John Robertson: Okay, I have made my point. Let me ask you a question that one of the general public has asked. How much money did you make from interest from customers paying in advance during the summer for their winter energy? How much profit did you make in interest? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I am not aware that we made any profit. We have clear rules about paying money back to customers. Ofgem have clear rules in place so— Q193 John Robertson: But do you understand what these people—it is not just one person who has asked this question. They are paying upfront and yet they are paying for something that in effect they are not getting at that point in time and you can use that money. It must be sitting in a bank somewhere, or you have maybe invested it. They would like to know what you have done with that money. Tony Cocker: Let’s say a customer joined us in September 2013 on the basis of a direct debit, then they would owe us for much of the winter and then we— Q194 John Robertson: Yes, but you have had all these customers, most of them a long time, so what do you do with that money? When you are getting it in the summer, what do you do with it? Do you invest it, do you stick in the bank to get interest or what? You are not spending it on electricity, because we do not need it. Tony Cocker: As Mr Phillips-Davies says, if the customer gets out of balance, if they have paid us too much, then we pay them back. Alistair Phillips-Davies: I would agree. You obviously know that the industry has worked reasonably hard, I think, to try to make sure that we repay credit balances to people but if we have a credit balance it would clearly be sat in our bank and therefore will help fund our business and we need to be aware that we have to pay those balances back to customers. If customers have any concerns about balances or excess balances they have with us we normally have a process to pay them back. but if we don’t and the customers request it. we will absolutely do so. If we are not living up to that then we will clearly take that away. But your basic assertion is right, John, that we should not be sat on any significant balances of customers’ monies, and that is correct. It does happen from time to time. and we will repay them. Juliet Davenport: Can I just— Q195 John Robertson: Sorry, we think of you as one of the good guys at the moment, but if you want to change your mind on it— Juliet Davenport: Just a comment. We have about 2,000 customers, a proportion of our customer base, who we pay a fee for depositing in advance and so we recognise that. That is potentially a way forward if people get a similar rate to what they might get in the bank on those credits. That is what we are looking at going forward over the whole lot. Q196 John Robertson: So you are one of the good guys? Juliet Davenport: We already have customers on that, so maybe yes. Q197 Sir Robert Smith: Obviously the argument has been that the retail price of the electricity is set by the market from the point of view of the companies, but part of the market is much less flexible and that is the dynamic teleswitching customers. So. I wondered, for those of you who have dynamic teleswitching customers, how you set the price for them? Alistair Phillips-Davies: It will be relatively similar and probably unfortunately for them—because there is a weighting of a lot of the policy scheme costs on to electricity more than gas—particularly those people therefore who have electric heating, they will probably bear an excessive share of the burden of those schemes. Looking at the figures recently, probably the rises in prices that may come over the next couple of years will be bigger for those people because they will get more allocation of costs from those particular schemes on a unit basis. I think there is definitely an issue around that. because what you are potentially doing is disadvantaging people who often fall into the more vulnerable and fuel poor groups by lumping costs, which are seeing the biggest increases, i.e. those from Government schemes, on to those particular customers. I think that is a genuine issue and one that the Committee might want to have a look at. If you wanted to do something very simple and straightforward around that, you would clearly ask for people to cap the ECO scheme. People have clearly said that they believe the ECO scheme will not be more expensive and in the impact assessment we are seeing costs run away at 50% plus above that. For somebody to cap that cost I think would be very helpful for customers generally, and particularly for those customers who are more likely to be prepayment electricity customers and therefore are more cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 35 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies vulnerable groups. So, that is something you could probably usefully do for those people. Q198 Sir Robert Smith: But those customers also find it very difficult to switch because of the— Alistair Phillips-Davies: There are some customers who are on historic heating tariffs that have very unusual arrangements around metering and things like that. Is that what you mean? Sir Robert Smith: Yes. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Where there are fewer suppliers who offer deals for those particular people— yes, I think that is a fair point and a fair issue that we have in our market, but equally, in respect of any of those customers that we may have, we are absolutely clear and transparent on our pricing and I think it is fair to say at the moment, given the burden of costs and where we are on things like ECO, they are probably enjoying a slightly lower unit rate than they might do if we were charging them at a proper cost reflective rate. That was something I saw recently announced, and that is why I flagged up that issue to you. Going forward next time prices do change, I think they will see a bigger increase than other people. Those are the numbers that we are looking at. Q199 Sir Robert Smith: Do you other companies operate in the dynamic teleswitching? Juliet Davenport: We are looking at time of day switching, which is not dynamic teleswitching, and I think with smart meters we could potentially offer more of those because they potentially do give customers the opportunity to load switch and therefore reduce their costs going forward. What you have is a tariffing system that is more retrograde than our current tariff in terms of buying train tickets. You can’t buy off peak and peak power easily and switch easily as well, but we are hoping to see, with smart metering coming in, that you may be able to offer more dynamic tariffs to individuals. But teleswitching is a very specific issue. Q200 Christopher Pincher: Mr Cocker, earlier on when you were talking about transparency you said, “We try as hard as we can to explain our customers’ bills”, and I am sure you probably all claim that you would all try as hard as you can to explain your customers’ bills, but do you think customers would be surprised at that statement? Tony Cocker: When I meet customers and we discuss the bills and what is the makeup of the bill, roughly half from energy, 20% roughly from network cost, bringing the electricity or gas to their door, then customers do understand that and they do understand what are drivers on us: one, to give them that transparency; two, to provide them with a fair price and simple products; and, three, to control our costs, the costs we control, to help to hold the prices down where we can. So I think they do understand it when we discuss it with them, and they do understand that many of the costs are going up as we invest in our electricity and gas system, to refurbish it and make it cleaner, and that the best thing that we can all do is reduce energy waste. There is clearly a big focus on that, both ECO coming up, CERT and CESP where, as I think you know, we were the first to complete. So, I think customers do understand roughly the makeup of the bill, what is driving the increases and the need for all of us to help with energy efficiency. Q201 Christopher Pincher: That is not what our Twitter feed is telling us. One of the questions that was put earlier on is why are bills and payments laid on in such a complicated manner. Consumer Focus are saying that you could be much more transparent in simplifying your bills. For example, you talk about costs rising in terms of percentages. Unless you know as a customer what the component of the bill that percentage relates to, which you probably do not, you do not know meaningfully what that price rise is. Tony Cocker: I think we can always explain better. We are learning each time. I am not sure whether Consumer Focus’ reference was to the explanation of what makes up the bill, as in the costs that go into it, or whether it was the simple, “Is your bill on one piece of paper?” Q202 Christopher Pincher: I will give you an example. One big six supplier said that the cost of implementing the Government schemes has approximately doubled between 2011 and 2013. When you drill down, when you ask the company what is the component of the bill that relates to policy-related costs, it is 17%. So rather than talking about a doubling of the cost for a relatively small component of the bill and misleading your customers, why don’t you simply say, “As a result of Government policy changes, we are adding an extra £25 or £30 to your bill this year”? Tony Cocker: You are right, we can communicate better, we all have to learn and continue to improve on communication. From the fundamental conversations I have had with customers, they do understand that a portion of the bill is the wholesale energy cost, a portion is the cost of getting it to the door and a portion is the cost of Government subsidies either for energy efficiency or for renewable generation. Q203 Christopher Pincher: But can you not say what the cost is in pounds and pence of Government policy, what the cost is in pounds and pence for transmission, what the cost is of wholesale costs? You must know them. Tony Cocker: Yes, of course we can. Christopher Pincher: It is a very simple structured business, so why can’t you tell your customers what those costs are? Tony Cocker: There is no reason why we can’t. I think it is just how we explain this picture. You are recommending we explain it in way A or way B. We have explained it in way A, and you are saying maybe it is a better explanation if we use way B. I think we are both trying to explain it to our customers in as simple way as we can. Q204 Christopher Pincher: But you would accept that explaining in pounds and pence, which is what most customers are interested in—that is why if they cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 36 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies switch at all they will switch probably—would be a more simple and sensible way, a more transparent way, to use an overused phrase. Tony Cocker: I am perfectly happy to explain it in pounds and pence. Q205 Christopher Pincher: What about the rest of you? Juliet Davenport: Just as a general comment, our customer service team and our marketing team get very nervous when we have to do a price change. It is like jumping into a very cold swimming pool, you don’t know quite how it is going to feel until you get there. We do a lot of work in terms of explaining what is going on, if our prices are changing, why they are changing. Generally—and slightly touching wood here—we have very good feedback in terms of how we have explained that and how that has come across. I do not think there is any problem with explaining it in pounds or pence or percentages. You have to, to a certain extent, do it in both because some people appreciate one way, some people appreciate another. I think you should do it in as many ways as possible, using social media, using your website, using direct letters. We have a lot of communication tools now that can improve this, and I hope that we are doing a good job on that. Jim Poole: To the point around engaging in transparency and simplicity, the breakdown you ask for we now produce, so we are deploying a new bill. We have listened to some customer feedback about more clarity and more information and we are now deploying a new bill that regularly shows the breakdown of how the bill is made up to help build that education and transparency. We have also significantly simplified, I think, what it is we offer to customers to make it easier for them to engage. We now have just a standing charge and a single unit rate. We only have two tariffs in the market, which was something that generated some confusion before. As I say, we have deployed new bills and annual statements. We are very keen to see that sort of engagement from our customers and to help our customers engage. Those that can’t engage, and particularly our vulnerable customers, we are effectively now trying to automatically engage them in the market by moving them on to our cheapest tariff. Q206 Christopher Pincher: Mr Phillips-Davies, can I ask you to answer the question to the Committee but not to me, because I am afraid I have a health question that I need to ask now, so my apologies. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Fine, okay. Thank you. I will be very brief, then. Simply, the bulk of the information that appears on the bills is often legal or regulatory requirements. I think the bills are a little complex and confusing for people generally. I think we should make that information available, put more on an annual statement over the internet, through accounts or when requested, and we should seek to simplify the bills for people. Therefore, we would welcome working with Consumer Focus and Ofgem to try to simplify people’s bills, to make it clear what they are paying and why they are paying it. Q207 Sir Robert Smith: In terms of understanding what is going to be happening to customers in the future, you have talked about the investments you have made in generating capacity. How does the scale of the investments that you have made in the last couple of years compare with the needs looking forward in the years to come in terms of generating capacity to meet the needs of this country? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I will go briefly. I think we have done quite a lot on the decarbonisation agenda, although if we are going to meet the legally binding targets for 2020, there is a lot more to be done. Whether I truly believe that everybody in Europe is going to get there, given the current financial constraints on Europe generally, I don’t know. That is quite an interesting debate as to how much we really have to invest and whether people are all going to meet their targets or a number of countries are going to decide when they get closer they will not meet them and therefore what the implications are for us. The other thing is that in terms of going forward, we could do with having some of the legislation that is being brought forward at the moment clarified earlier and made simpler. We have seen the regulator and other people comment on the fact that the UK’s electricity system is tighter, we have a number of plant that are closing at the moment and the investments that may need to be made for flexible thermal capacity are not being made. If you want an example of that, I would just ask anybody to re-run 12 December 2012 with a similar day in December 2013, and you will find that all the major generating plant that were available in the UK were turned on and actually 5,000 MW of that plant, or close to 10% of them, will not be available because they will be closed by the time you get to December 2013. Therefore, the UK could, not necessarily will, if a similar situation arose have a very serious situation indeed in terms of security of supply. So the quicker we can get the clear policy pieces in place then potentially the more of a safety net we will have and the more likely we are to avoid an issue. The thing to do is have a look on 12 December 2012 and you will see that there are six or seven major plants that will not be available that were all needed to keep the lights on that day. Q208 Barry Gardiner: Mr Phillips-Davies, the supply market indicators, which you recently had a spat with Ofgem about, are indicators of the current state of the market and hence the future profits that you as a company might make, and yet you have heavily criticised Ofgem. You said, “Their methodology appears to have consistent bias towards overstating profit margins”. Are you aware of the statement that Ofgem has released, I think since we have been in Committee, on energy supply margin figures, where they say, “It is astounding that Centrica and SSE claimed that Ofgem initiatives to make the link between retail and energy prices more transparent is undermining public confidence in the energy market”. They point out that this comes just over a week after Ofgem fined SSE a record £10.5 million for mis-selling, and they say that you should be supporting their aim of making the market clearer. How do you respond to that? cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 37 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies Alistair Phillips-Davies: We agree that we would support Ofgem if they were making the market clearer. What we find unusual is the fact that the figures that people trumpet in reporting Ofgem’s numbers—I remember a year or 18 months ago when they talked about making £125 or £130 margins from customers—never seem to materialise in our bottom line. Q209 Barry Gardiner: Maybe they do not materialise because you see the writing on the wall because they release those indicators. But you don’t dispute that they are a correct indication of the level of profit that you would make if you continued operating at that level, do you? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Unfortunately there are errors in those figures. They consistently overstate the consumption that people make. It is the most fundamental part of the errors they make. We could give you a list of the errors they make, but they fundamentally and consistently overstate the levels of consumption that people make and therefore that causes a fundamental overstatement of the profitability of those businesses. Q210 Barry Gardiner: They point out that, “The weekly figures we publish are projections that will inevitably differ from the figures in the company’s yearly statements. The margins in these statements are for each individual supplier, and they reflect all the tariffs it offers, including discounted rates where they make lower margins. These margins also reflect the effective changes in energy consumption due to weather and actual operating costs, which vary by company and vary year on year. Our weekly indicators are a projection for a typical standard tariff consumer. These indicators have been helping provide consumers with more information about the relationship between retail and wholesale prices since 2009.” Alistair Phillips-Davies: I believe that their consumption figures are overstated. I think almost each and every time that they have published those numbers those consumption figures have been overstated. I do not think we have ever seen consumption in UK at the levels that they have there. Q211 Barry Gardiner: So, the row between you and the regulators is going to go on? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I do not know whether it is row between us and the regulators. I think there is an issue about people being fair, honest and transparent and we do apologise— Q212 Barry Gardiner: Who has a better record on that, you or Ofgem? Alistair Phillips-Davies: On what? Barry Gardiner: Honesty and transparency. That was not a question. Q213 Chair: We are a bit over time. Just to wrap this up, on the basis of not just what you have heard today but generally, do the three of you representing the big six really have any conception of the level of public distrust of the way you run your businesses? Alistair Phillips-Davies: Yes, I think we do. I think a number of the businesses have worked very hard on trust and we will continue to work hard. Clearly what happened two weeks ago is going to require us to redouble our efforts. Q214 Chair: Do you think the way in which your company particularly have handled the mis-selling issue has increased or decreased the trust of your customers in that business? Alistair Phillips-Davies: I would have thought for some of the customers it would have decreased the level of trust but equally, having looked at comments and listened to calls from customers who we have spoken to over the last two weeks, I think there are a number of customers who also feel that we have dealt with the issue well. We remain the only company in respect of any issues on mis-selling and complaints handling, and things like that, who have actually gone out and tried to talked to our customers and recompense them for the actual losses that they may have suffered. We are still the only company to do that. Q215 Chair: Can your industry not understand that there are those of us who support the idea that you should make decent, fair profits, and want you to do that so you can invest in the capacity that this country needs, and that the public tolerance of that would be enormously enhanced if you adopted the same kind of basic approach to transparency in the way you run your business as most other industries take for granted? Can you not see that? Tony Cocker: I think we, as E.ON, have worked hugely hard on this issue over the last 18 months. I completely agree with you; we recognised that the industry had lost the trust of stakeholders and many customers. We worked very hard last year to improve transparency, to simplify our bill—got it down to one page—to reduce our number of tariffs, to simplify our tariffs so they are much more comparable, to communicate much more clearly where we spend the money that customers give to us, so on the network costs, the energy costs, our own overheads. We have worked very hard. We have to continue to do that because we are on a journey, we have challenges internally and we all know we have not been as simple as we should have been in the past, and we need to improve on that, we need to continue to do that. At the same time we also know that the whole of the industry, not just the big six, needs to invest and therefore there are a lot of drivers that are pushing prices up. I think we have tried to be clear on what those drivers are and explain those both in public and also to customers in private, and we need to continue to engage on that. With respect to the question that Mr Gardiner had for Mr Phillips-Davies, we believe that the SMI has the right intent to give a transparent indicator of the pressures on prices, and there are opportunities to improve it and we would be very keen to work with Ofgem to improve it. So I completely agree with you, Chairman, that the industry has lost trust and the industry is working hard—or in our case we are cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 38 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Tony Cocker, Juliet Davenport, Jim Poole and Alistair Phillips-Davies working hard—to try to regain that trust, and we will continue to do so. Jim Poole: I think we have taken lots of steps, so I think we do need to start looking at the things that we have done because they are, and customers are telling us that they are, starting to have an impact. We have simplified our bills; we have simplified our tariffs down to two. We have launched a product where we proactively tell people if they could save money of more than £1 a week with another supplier and we have seen a significant response in terms of an increased trust with us through that offer that we have made. We have done, I think, the right thing for our most vulnerable customers and the ones that are perhaps least likely to engage in the market by automatically engaging for them and putting those customers on our cheapest product. We welcome more work in terms of transparency. We think the segmented accounts are a good reference point, but if we need to do more to make them clearer and more easily understandable, then we should do that. Coming back to the Ofgem supply indicator report, I think the things you read out are some of the weaknesses of it because it talks around the profitability of one product and it gets interpreted as being the profitability of a business, and that is where we get a disconnect. I agree it would be good to have something that was a robust indicator and I think it is in our interest to work collectively to try to improve it and make it the case. Juliet Davenport: Helping all of this and underpinning all of this is making sure this marketplace is fit for multiple types of players in the place, not least customers, and to make sure that customers feel part of this marketplace, that they can engage, they can reduce energy, they can change the way they use energy and in fact they can generate their own. I think by doing that and by engaging them in part of this market we can rebuild trust. We have two-way partnership with our customers. They sell us power as well as us selling them power. I think beginning to build that up as an overall marketplace and a possibility, and making sure there are more market players in this marketplace, is absolutely key to building trust for the future and bringing investment into this market. Chair: Thank you for your time this morning. It has gone on a bit longer that we planned, but it is very illuminating from our point of view, and I am grateful to you all for coming in. Examination of Witnesses Witnesses: Paul Massara, CEO, RWE npower, Ian Peters, Managing Director, Energy, British Gas, Neil Clitheroe, CEO Retail and Generation, ScottishPower, and Stephen Fitzpatrick, Managing Director, Ovo Energy, gave evidence. Q216 Chair: I am grateful to you for waiting. I am sorry we have overrun a bit. We will aim to wrap up by 1.00pm so you can protect the rest of your day. I will start on the same issue that we started the earlier session with, if you were here. Could you tell us whether any of your companies have been involved in any selling practices that you think were either illegal or unethical? Ian Peters: If I can start, Mr Chairman, British Gas has not been involved in any mis-selling investigation and is not currently under investigation, so to the best of my knowledge there is no systemic mis-selling practice in British Gas. Clearly with 30,000 people talking to customers every day I can’t absolutely assure every one of those conversations to be perfect, but there is no underlying mis-selling issue and there has not been in the last decade in British Gas. Neil Clitheroe: We take every instance of mis-selling, misleading customers very seriously and it is unacceptable. We are currently under investigation from Ofgem, are working with them. Where we have found historical problems, where we have misled a customer, we have paid compensation, we have made sure that we have put them on to the right tariffs and paid compensation. We have done that over the last four or five years. We have changed significantly in this area. We no longer do doorstep selling, but more importantly we have improved every part of our sales process over the last two years. We have come top of the Which? survey of telesales companies in the last two years. So, we have improved significantly, and if there are historical instances that we have, then obviously we will resolve the problem, we will pay compensation and we will apologise for that. Q217 Chair: Do you expect to be paying compensation? Neil Clitheroe: There have been instances where we have had somebody who was doorstep selling in 2009 who did not present products correctly. We have paid compensation where we have found that. We have written to customers where we suspected that, we have had phone calls coming into us where we have discovered it and we have corrected it and done that. So yes, we have paid compensation to some customers. Q218 Chair: The question, if you did not hear it, was whether your company has been involved in any kind of mis-selling of tariffs that is either illegal or unethical? Paul Massara: At the moment we have one outstanding investigation by Ofgem, which relates back to August 2010 in relation to explaining of direct debits. That is on information finding and has been continuing on, I must say, for nearly three years now. There has been no statement of case produced for it and we are still talking to Ofgem. We do not believe we have done anything wrong. Ofgem are still asking the questions. But we, like many of the players in the industry, have done a huge amount over the last couple of years to improve our services and our practices. Therefore we believe now, as we operate in this market today, that we are clean, completely. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 39 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick Q219 Chair: I am sure that you recognise that not contesting cases that turn out to have been ones where the company was at fault may be a way, in some small degree, of mitigating the degree of offence and mistrust that results from such cases? Paul Massara: Absolutely, but at the same time I think you would want a process that is fair. The fact that this investigation has been going on now for nearly three years, with no statement of case being raised against us, also raises questions, I think, about how Ofgem does its investigations. Q220 Chair: If the company is absolutely confident that it has done nothing wrong, it can say so. If you think you might have done something wrong, it would be in your interest to try to clear it up before Ofgem have completed their process. Paul Massara: Absolutely, I agree with you, and that is why we have not reached any settlement with Ofgem. Q221 Chair: So, you are not expecting any kind of criticism from Ofgem at all? Paul Massara: We believe we do not have a case to answer on it. Q222 Chair: It is not quite the same thing, is it? Do you expect Ofgem’s conclusions, after three years’ investigation, to give you a completely clean bill of health? Paul Massara: Will they find something? It is impossible to say, to be honest. They have not even issued a statement of case so it is hard to know what they are driving for. Q223 Chair: Let me just put the question one more time. Presumably you have looked quite carefully internally at what has happened. Are you absolutely confident on the basis of that analysis that you have done nothing wrong? Paul Massara: Yes. Q224 Chair: Fine; thank you. On the question of the structure of your businesses, do you each have a supply, a generation and a trading aspect of the business? Ian Peters: We have a very clear separation between downstream supply and our upstream business. We do also have a smaller storage business that is held out to one side through undertakings we made to Ofgem relating to the Rough transaction. Our trading operations are a route to market for both downstream and upstream and are embedded in our upstream business. There was a lot of talk about transparency in the previous meeting, so for the Committee’s benefit the trading division executes the hedging business for our downstream business and we are charged a cost reflective fee, which in 2012 was £7 million. There is no transfer of value and every transaction is undertaken at market rate, so £7 million is the small amount of executional cost passed to the residential business through our trading arm. All of our numbers, as with one of the other suppliers, add up to our group accounts. There is no kind of black hole—or lacuna I think was your word, Mr Gardiner—in our numbers. They all add up to the total. Neil Clitheroe: We have a similar structure with three businesses, the generation business, the energy management business and the retail business. The energy management business manages the buying and selling of energy on behalf of the generation and retail business. All transactions, external transactions, internal transactions, internal offsets, are priced at market. There is no transfer price. Everything is priced at market. All of that reconciles back in terms of our accounts through to the statutory accounts, and obviously those are audited, but the key point for us is that everything that we have is referenced to the market prices. Paul Massara: Ours would be exactly the same, and as of 1 January in fact the generation business is now a European generation business and therefore that is a separate P&L completely. The trading division will have their P&L and, effectively, the downstream supply business will have theirs. We trade everything effectively, or 90% of our supply, through the traded market and we buy from the market as well. Therefore we have a very similar structure to everyone else. In fact, we would not be allowed to pass profits around because of the taxation issues, that they would look at whether there has been profits moved between jurisdictions or cases. So, we have complete transparency and the transparency aligns very clearly with the segmental reports. Stephen Fitzpatrick: We run a very simple business model. We supply to UK customers only. We are a UK-registered business; we have no overseas operations. We are in the process of splitting out our trading from our retail business. We think it is the most efficient way to deliver better value for customers, and at the moment we do not have any generation. Q225 John Robertson: I am sure my colleagues will come back with questions about corporation tax and things like that. There is this idea that RWE are transparent and yet you put everything into one pot from all over Europe together. How do I know what you are doing in the United Kingdom? What do I know about your generation here and how much it is worth? How do I find that out? Paul Massara: Up until now you have had our segmental reports that would give the position between the UK generation and the UK supply business, which is completely visible and transparent. I think there has been a very good insight into what we are doing. Q226 John Robertson: What happens from now on in? We can’t see that? Paul Massara: No. From now on we will report both our retail profit and also our generation profit in the UK as a separate position so that you will have that full transparency, clearly to do it as part of the segmental statements. Q227 John Robertson: Let me get this right; you are basically going to hide it? cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 40 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick Paul Massara: No, absolutely not. We are going to continue to be transparent. I think it is completely— Q228 John Robertson: If you were transparent, you would not be here today and you would not be in front of us so many times. The one thing the general public thinks is that you are not transparent. Why do you think they would say that? Paul Massara: I think that is a broader and wider question that relates to having an honest conversation with consumers and I do not feel necessarily there has been an honest conversation. I do not think the suppliers have necessarily got it right in explaining to customers what is happening to their bills, how their bills are made up, and indeed how their bills are likely to be made up. I do not think necessarily that we have it right, and I would share some of the concerns that my colleagues had earlier on before relating to Ofgem’s intermediate monthly reports, which I think are misleading and are not particularly helpful. I also would say that there has not been an open and transparent conversation from Government about the cost of Government policy and the impact on people’s bills. Q229 John Robertson: I made a statement to one of your colleagues in the previous panel, and I am going to say the same thing to you, and that is it is always somebody else’s fault, “It was a big boy who did it, and he ran away”. When are you—I mean you as a group of companies—ever going to take responsibility for the problems that we have? The problem is that people don’t like you and they don’t like you because they feel you are ripping them off. You can cover it anyway you like, you can use gobbledygook about having an intelligent conversation with somebody, but I have to say that most of the people that you might want to have a conversation with will not understand what you are talking about. You might think that they are being ignorant and that you are all knowledgeable, but at the end of the day they pay the bills. Paul Massara: I totally agree with that. John Robertson: You need to get down the level of letting them understand what you really mean. I think at this point in time you are nowhere near that. To be honest, Mr Massara, I think it is deliberate. Paul Massara: Can I answer that question, if I can? There are a couple things. As an industry I would say that we have not helped ourselves; we have not helped consumers to build trust, because I do not believe that we have given them the insight and the visibility. When we look at the bill that people get on their doorstep, that bill is incredibly complicated. It is not the bill that helps consumers understand it. It is interesting that there are 26 regulation issues from Ofgem that require things to be changed on that bill. We are simplifying bills, we are changing bills, and I think we have to be more open and transparent. The second issue that we believe fundamentally is that we have to explain to consumers how their bill is made up and where those components of the bill are likely to go in the future. We are launching an Energy Explained series, which effectively will do that, both to the general press and to the public, but also to go out to the public and explain to them how their bill is made up and how those different segments are likely to be impacted so they can make informed decisions about saving energy. Q230 John Robertson: A question I ask at the end— and I only thought of it when I was listening to your answers—is: when you pay your dividends to shareholders, how much are you giving them these days? What was your last dividend? Paul Massara: I can’t remember what the last dividend is. It is probably £200 million or so.4 Q231 John Robertson: You obviously have too many shares. What about you gentlemen? Ian Peters: I would have to come back with the precise number. We have 700,000 small shareholders, which is a legacy of privatisation. Q232 John Robertson: Does this include all parts of the industry? I don’t know how you are going to do it if you are including part of your international wings. Ian Peters: I suggest it does not give you the figures from Centrica in this context, because the dividends come from Centrica. Last year we reported £2.7 billion profit, of that, on the tax point, we paid £1.1 billion of tax, £773 million of that— Q233 John Robertson: Don’t worry about the tax, my colleagues will come back to that later. I am sure they have some nice questions for you. What I am trying to say, the same point I made to your colleagues, is that the shareholders get all the benefits from the whole company and yet the general public are basically getting screwed into the ground because everybody always talks about retail. Ian Peters: I was going to give you all the numbers, Mr Robertson. Of that £2.7 billion, around £600 million, less than 25%, comes from residential energy supply, the rest of it comes from our operations in North America. Our upstream business, which again is a focus of some questioning, last year made £1.23 billion. That is pre-tax 17%; post-tax it is 13%. Given the billions of pounds we invest in generating that, the return on that capital is in high single digits. So I think that is a fair return for all of that. These need to be looked at in the aggregate on a post-tax basis. Q234 John Robertson: Do you know how much you get from Government to help you with that? Ian Peters: Virtually nothing. Q235 John Robertson: They don’t give you anything? Ian Peters: Virtually nothing. I will have to come with precise amounts. Q236 John Robertson: I wonder what they are spending the money on, then. Ian Peters: There are some subsidies for exploiting new gas fields. I think that is right. John Robertson: I think the exploitation is of the general public, if you ask me, never mind the oilfields. 4 Note from the witness: “The actual number is £125 million.” cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 41 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick Q237 Dr Whitehead: No doubt you are all going to say to me now that you trade transparently on the dayahead market and then hedge in order to balance your positions. Would that be an accurate description of what you do as companies? Paul Massara: That would be an accurate description of what we do. We trade about four times what we actually trade in the forward market. We trade four times—recycle in the forward market, but 90% of what we do goes through the spot market, of all our production. Ian Peters: We do broadly similar. Again, in terms of the multiples we sell about 30% of our generated power into the day-ahead market. In terms of selfsupply, in 2012 the downstream business bought about 10% of our power from Centrica Energy, the upstream operation, and only 6% of our gas. So, the underlying self-supply percentages are very small. Neil Clitheroe: We hedge over a two- or three-year period and 30% traded in the day-ahead market as well. Q238 Dr Whitehead: You are obviously a different— Stephen Fitzpatrick: We buy between 12 and 18 months forward. We buy on the day-ahead market, we buy on the within-day market, so a pretty straightforward situation. Q239 Dr Whitehead: I am trying to understand this better. Your hedging strategies as companies are in what relation to any day-ahead trading? That is, to what extent would you hedge before you went into day-ahead trading, and to what extent is the hedging as a result of what has happened as far as day-ahead trading is concerned? Paul Massara: From our perspective, we would look to hedge in the forward curve for two to three years. We want to give customers a longer-term duration for their standard tariff. Obviously for fixed price contracts for standard fix we would have to match it as best as possible. Then we would run into the day, but it would lead to incredibly volatile prices for customers if we were to balance everything in for customers and therefore we have a hedging programme over two to three years, which I think is similar to many of the other players. Neil Clitheroe: You obviously get an increased certainty the closer you get to the point of delivery. Two years out you can see maybe in January two years’ time an average weather pattern with an average customer base and you start buying a proportion of your gas or your power for that delivery in January, and then the closer you get the more certainty you get. Maybe your customer number has increased, maybe volumes on average have dropped in terms of consumption, maybe the weather is different, all the way up to the point of delivery. So you are basically hedging against the certainty you know at that point. At ScottishPower we will leave some positions open right the way through to the point of delivery, but three years before we are likely to have covered hardly anything because you don’t know what is going to happen in three years’ time at that half hour when you are actually delivering that power. Ian Peters: For us it is a broadly similar story. To ensure primarily security of supply we buy anything two years up to cover all of that. We do leave open positions in the short term, that is primarily to manage weather volatility. How good your weather forecasters are is relevant, but the majority of the position is bought forward in layers. Q240 Dr Whitehead: Essentially the impression that one might get that the hedging is a post hoc activity, actually that is an initial activity? That is, you will secure your positions with over-the-counter trading. Sometimes there will be an open position, but the minority of positions, that is the rump position that is left, will be then catered for on the day-ahead market? Ian Peters: That is right, and it is why you do see different outcomes in terms of hedging, because we do not all hedge the same. We take different risks and different rewards along the way and that is reflected in the segmental accounts that come out. But you are right, your fundamental point, Alan, is pre hoc rather than post hoc. Q241 Dr Whitehead: So what proportion of what you might call pre hoc trading really occurs over the counter and what proportion really occurs in terms of what you might call competitive trades informed by transparency of those forward markets at the point in which you are undertaking your initial trades? Is it fair to say that there is very little relation between what you are yourself generating and what you are yourself purchasing at that point? Ian Peters: As I say, our own purchases from our upstream division is 10% in electricity and 6% in gas. I have no problem disclosing the splits but I do not have them with me in terms of over-the-counter. Dr Whitehead: It would be very helpful if that could be sent to us in writing. Ian Peters: I would have to come back to you, because I don’t run the upstream division. Paul Massara: I think we would obviously be buying to hedge our position. We have a strict hedging policy relating to our forward exposure in retail and therefore we have as systematic approach on how we hedge. We go into the market via the trading team, they give us a price and we buy. We do not know what the generation team are doing at any time. They may be buying or selling from their generation; that is their choice. Q242 Dr Whitehead: But that is completely untransparent, isn’t it? Paul Massara: For us, we know we are getting a market price from our traders and that is it. That has to be the case from a tax position, and we have to know that and we pay a small fee for doing that. We do not know what the generation business is selling in at the same time because it is completely ringfenced. In terms of whether that can that been seen through the segmented statements, no, it can’t be, but then what you have is us purchasing at market rate that feeds into the margin for our supply business. Q243 Dr Whitehead: When you say you are purchasing at market rates, you are purchasing, I cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 42 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick presume, on the basis of at least some information that you have relating to your own generating activities? Paul Massara: To the market, whether it is the OTC market, on who is trading out there. As we talked about before, I think there are a lot of different players, independent power stations who are long, other people are buying and selling, so there are trades out there. Q244 Dr Whitehead: But you will trade at the market rates and you will trade on the basis of your traders. How will your traders be incentivised in order to get the best deal on the forward curve prior to any patching up, you might describe it, taking place on the day-ahead market? How are they incentivised? Do you simply say, “Go out to the market and get the best deal, guys”, or are there any arrangements that can be informed by the nature of what it is that you are supplying yourself, i.e. are there any preferences on the basis of clearly a good market price for the fact that you have deals available to you that relate to overthe-counter trading? Paul Massara: Yes. As part of our formula, we would go to the traders and ask them to buy at market rate. We would want to make sure it is at market rate, because that affects my P&L, whether they are buying and the generation may be selling to them but they will also be selling at a market rate. There may be a bit of a spread, but that is it. If they decide to hold the position and trade it for themselves, then that is their trading position, and that is nothing to do with my P& L. My P&L is transacted at the market rate. Neil Clitheroe: It tends to be based on staying within risk parameters. What we are looking for from our energy management area is to hedge within risk parameters so it does not put a huge amount of risk at the point of delivery. Is the value at risk within parameters? Have they covered 18 months out, or two years out, 10% of the power at that point in time? So, the measurement of our traders tends to be based on those risk parameters. Q245 Dr Whitehead: Your forward hedging strategy, and I appreciate that may be different between different companies in terms of, for example, how much of your positions you have covered early, how much of your positions you leave open, at what point on the curve you are taking positions. If you do that well you will make a particular return, won’t you? So you would make a good return and you will be ahead of other companies in terms of your proceeds from your positions. Ian Peters: Yes. To go back to your earlier point, there is no insider information here. There are no preferential deals, and our trading operation is simply an executional function. They operate to deliver a strategy that we define, the downstream business. Q246 Dr Whitehead: But if you do it badly— Ian Peters: Then we can be out of the market. Dr Whitehead: The customer will have to cough up. Ian Peters: That way we are not competitive or, if we get it right, the other way round. That plays into the broader decisions we make around our operating costs, our profit returns and the degree to which we want to be competitive in the market. It is one of but not the only consideration. Q247 Dr Whitehead: Bearing in mind the way round that you are undertaking the hedging process and then the patching process, shall we say, in terms of your overall positions, what perhaps I could suggest is that if you hedge very well, you get that right, then you are banking those proceeds. If you get it wrong, the customer coughs up, so either way you win. Ian Peters: Well, no. If you look at—again, in the spirit of transparency—British Gas’s residential accounts you will see movements up and down, and there are years when, to be frank, we have hedged well and we have passed that on in terms of lower prices to consumers and we have grown market share. There are years when we have lowered our profits because we thought it was wrong to pass it on to the customer. So, it is one of a number of considerations. Q248 Dr Whitehead: How might we know that you are doing that? Ian Peters: To an extent, you can see the outcome in terms of the overall margins around segmental accounts. British Gas have said that we aspire to make an average return post tax of 5%, and the weighted average costs of gas and electricity, which are the outputs of what we are discussing, can be derived from the segmental accounts. Paul Massara: I would absolutely agree with that. We lost money in the supply business in 2009, 2010 and 2011, and we could not pass that through to get a benefit and that is it. The fact is if you look at the consolidated reports they give a full breakdown of your energy input and of your margin, and the fact is on the whole the big six have earned 3% margins in the last four years. Those are the facts. Stephen Fitzpatrick: Can I offer an observation? I was a little bit confused as to the direction of the inquiry, but I have ended up completely agreeing with the point that you have ended up making, which is that it can certainly appear to be, from an outsider’s point of view, a one-way bet. Our observation, as an independent supplier that is only buying in the wholesale market, is that it appears to us that the free bets that our larger competitors have is that they can be pretty sure, within a certain margin, of the demand that they will need to satisfy their incumbent customer base and they can hedge that. If they get it wrong, they can be relatively comfortable that they will not lose too many customers. If they are able to achieve a better than market price, let’s say, they can use that lower commodity price to go out to win new business and undercut other competitors, including us. If one of my large competitors wants to take a directional position, betting that the market will go up or down, I would say they can put the cost of that towards their incumbent customers that they know are much less likely to switch away, and any benefits they can use either in profits or they can try to grow a market share through winning business on aggressive discounting. This kind of one way, it is a legacy from the ex-monopoly nature of my competitors here. That is what leads to anti-competitive behaviour, and that is one of the main reasons why 15 years after cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 43 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick deregulation you have a very small independent retail sector. We think this price inconsistency, the gap between the cheapest prices available and the average or the most expensive, is by far and away the biggest reason for lack of trust in the sector and also lack of competition. Paul Massara: I would fundamentally disagree with that statement. If we go and bid or if we go and hedge in the sector than somebody, then effectively, yes, that would be a choice about how you would take that. The fact is that about 30% of all of the customers we lose now go to new suppliers. The reason they are going to new suppliers is because new suppliers are not required to meet the cost obligations that we are required to as a big supplier, that is ECO. The cost of ECO now is probably somewhere between £70 to £100 per customer, which small suppliers have an advantage for. So they have an inbuilt advantage to be in the marketplace. In a competitive marketplace you would expect suppliers to react to that and therefore we do. We react to that by trying to match them or trying to get close to them on the broker tables. That allows the discounting on the front, which allows the differential pricing. So because we have an ECO policy that does not apply to everybody equally, leading to a distortion in the marketplace, which is also leading to a distortion in the tariff structure. Q249 Dr Whitehead: But the fact is that as three of the big six you are exercising very substantial power in terms of, as we agreed, your pre hoc trading arrangements down the curve. Indeed, the Ofgem liquidity inquiry suggested that you do not have a robust reference price down the curve in a way that would actually enable trading to be placed on a more equal forward footing in the market in general, i.e. you are in a position where you are able to generally hedge quite successfully in the forward market. Would you say that that ability to do that outweighs, in terms of your overall market advantage, the disadvantages that you may face in terms of what you are required to undertake in regard to obligations as opposed to the very small traders? Paul Massara: Absolutely not. Stephen Fitzpatrick: I am just going to step in and say that we have never faced any challenges hedging in the wholesale market. We do not think that we are at a disadvantage, and if any one of my larger colleagues or smaller colleagues would like to ask me for a price I would be happy to quote them a price for electricity or gas for two or three years. I do not think there is a lack of a reference price. I have no axe to grind on that; I think— Q250 Dr Whitehead: The Ofgem analysis is wrong? Stephen Fitzpatrick: We are on the record for the last two or three years as stating that the wholesale market—everybody wants more liquidity and more transparency but it is by far and away a much smaller piece of the lacuna that is missing in the regulatory framework to drive more competition. I don’t feel at a disadvantage. Ian Peters: As a general statement—and we talk to some of the small suppliers—liquidity, the aggregate is not the issue it was perhaps three to four years ago. There are pockets where it is. For example, the average clip size in power is about 10 MW. Some of the small suppliers we talk to would rather it be 1 MW, so we are talking to them about changing terms to enable that. As a general statement, I do not think liquidity is a barrier to entry. Neil Clitheroe: Access for small suppliers to generation from the bigger companies and the independent companies is an important issue that everybody needs to facilitate. We wrote to 56 small suppliers a couple of years ago. We are currently working with 20. We are transacting down to a clip size just now of 0.25 MW. Our lowest gas trade is at 50 therms, and we have given extended credit lines to a number of smaller suppliers. Putting a smaller supplier on an exchange, where they have to cover that collateral, is very difficult when they are trying to get started. So we are working hard with them. I think there is more that we are trying to do. We are trying to have more discussions on this topic, but I think that access to small suppliers, alongside the straight liquidity point, is as important to bring more retailers into the market. Q251 Mr Lilley: Every economic transaction has two sides. If you are buying electricity ahead on a hedging transaction, someone is selling it. It seems to me there are two kinds of sellers. There are generators who actually generate it—in other words, instead of only selling it to the daily market they are selling ahead to you—or there are banks who are themselves taking the risk that when they actually have to deliver in three months or three years’ time, the price will not be too high, the price will be low. Which is it? If it is companies trading between themselves, then it means that the companies who are successful in hedging ahead will be matched by others who are less successful or fail. They wouldn’t say it like that because they would lose their jobs, but less successful. If it is between banks and the industry, then if you are doing well in hedging futures the banks will be doing badly. Is there something wrong with my analysis? Paul Massara: I think generally the analysis is correct. I think people may be hedging for different risk reasons, so people may have a different profile. Some people will be selling three years, two years, one year; some people may decide they have to get rid of it, they have a plant that has to despatch and they want to sell forward. Therefore, there are different risk appetites. In general there are two equal parties who are coming to a fair price to trade on that. It may be banks, but banks have pulled back because of liquidity issues, but generally I think it is a fair position. I think there is more that we could do on transparency and it would help. I also think that obviously with the Energy Bill coming in it creates a degree of uncertainty. We do not know what the capacity mechanism is going to be like. We do not know how CFDs are going to be structured, therefore it is difficult to transact forward without a clear position in the marketplace. Once we get that clarity I think that may also help liquidity as well, is an honest point. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 44 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick Q252 Mr Lilley: But I think the industry could help itself if it could make it clear that they can’t all be profiting at the expense of each through hedging. There is a degree of misunderstanding out there that somehow there is a magic, that hedging can make money out of the customer. Well, except in the way that Mr Whitehead is aware of as sort of a “heads I win, tails you lose” system, I do not see how that can be the case. Paul Massara: We certainly do not recognise the “heads I win, tails you lose”. I think we are in a competitive position and we look to see where the market is and where we are. We lose market and we have to look every day at what tariffs are out there and how we compete. Q253 Barry Gardiner: You have all seen the first session so you know where I am headed. See if you can head me off at the pass. Mr Lilley: Why don’t you go straight to the pass? Barry Gardiner: You are such a killjoy, Peter. Mr Lilley: You have had the foreplay. Now let’s get on to it. Barry Gardiner: Right, here we are. Mr Clitheroe, in 2010 ScottishPower moved £119 million of profit away from generation in its Consolidated Segmental Statement and reclassified its carbon permits to another segment. Why did you do that? Neil Clitheroe: I will need to come back to you on that one, Mr Gardiner. I do not know the answer to that, in terms of the 2010 segmentals. Q254 Barry Gardiner: But you understand, in terms of what we were saying about transparency, all that we were saying in terms of having consistency of presentation? Neil Clitheroe: Yes. Q255 Barry Gardiner: For you to have whisked it out of one segment and put it into another looks as if what you are trying to do is either show less of a profit in that sector or more of a profit in the other sector. Either way it is not exactly transparent, is it? Neil Clitheroe: 2010 was the first year of the segmentals and there were improvements that we had to make in 2011. I think the key improvement that we made was to reconcile the whole of the 2011 accounts to a statutory audited account. So those are our legal accounts, the legal entities, and we did that in 2011. Those have been reviewed by Ofgem and they represent an accurate split between the retail and generation businesses. In 2012 we made further improvements; we will make further transparency improvements as we go through that. The key thing I can say is that the 2011 accounts, which are the latest ones that are within the retail and generation splits, are correct in those and have been audited by Ofgem and are aligned with our statutory accounts. Q256 Barry Gardiner: Isn’t it the point that you have a discretion here as to which segment you show something in and, by varying it, you vary it to suit yourself and that in itself impedes transparency on behalf of the consumer? Neil Clitheroe: I think there are various aspects to transparency, and the transparency that we have between retail and the generation business is improving. It improved in 2011 and we will improve it more in 2012. In 2012 we are transacting everything based on market rates, and therefore our ability to actually move anything is reduced because it is all at market rates and that is what is in the 2012 segmentals. We have also done a huge amount of work on transparency with regard to bill breakdowns, service standards and so on. There is work that we need to do. We made further recommendations to Ofgem in terms of the trading that we do. We have made recommendations to Ofgem that we will provide the information on the market for all our trades, provided other players do that, and we did that in the last liquidity consultation of the RMR. So, there are a number of steps that we have made since 2010. Are we there yet? No, but are we on line to do that— Q257 Barry Gardiner: But you will provide the Committee with a note as to precisely why you moved that £119 million of profit away from generation? Neil Clitheroe: Certainly for 2010. Q258 Barry Gardiner: Mr Peters, there are areas of accounting estimates, aren’t there, and they can distort the presentation of figures can’t they? Ian Peters: Are you talking about allocations of overheads here? Barry Gardiner: No, I wasn’t, although it is a perfectly reasonable one and I did mention that earlier, but with you I was looking more at the depreciation on asset values. Centrica has a disclosure that, “Generation EBIT earnings before interest and tax excludes depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment relating to the strategic investment in British Energy”. Do you think that that is fair and transparent? Ian Peters: It is very hard for me to comment on the specifics because I wasn’t a party to those conversations, and if there is anything I want to come back to you on— Barry Gardiner: So you are going to have to write to us as well then, I take it? Ian Peters: Yes, I suspect— Q259 Barry Gardiner: But you take my point about accounting estimates and depreciation of fair value on assets? Ian Peters: I do. As a slightly broader point, we have not changed our methodologies for two years, and Ofgem and BDO recognise the consistency of that. I would surmise that the British Energy— Q260 Barry Gardiner: Have not changed it in two years? That is not an awful lot of time, is it? Ian Peters: We have only been going since 2010, but this is the point about consistency and the way the segmental accounts are put together. As I say, there are no black holes. Depreciation, to an extent, is clearly a judgment call. The investment in British Energy was conditional upon the valuation around the cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 45 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick new nuclear build, so I suspect that is what is behind it but I will have to write to the Committee and confirm. Q261 Barry Gardiner: Mr Massara, income and costs relating to the levy control framework and Government policy are also not disclosed in full— feed-in tariffs, warm home discount, renewables obligation and the levy control framework. RWE npower states in a note that other direct costs of generation largely relate to the Community Energy Saving Programme and power purchase agreement costs, but you do not break that down, do you? Paul Massara: I do not think we do, not in that position. Q262 Barry Gardiner: Do you not think that again to break it down would provide people with much greater transparency here? Paul Massara: I think the greater indication of programmes, giving people greater insight would be helpful. There is a degree of competitive concern about it, but on the basis that these are post-dated, yes, I think that could be done. Q263 Barry Gardiner: Could you perhaps provide us with a note after you have talked with your fellow directors as to whether you think you might be able to do that in the future? Paul Massara: I would need to go back and talk to them, yes, sure. Q264 Barry Gardiner: Thank you. Mr Peters, some of the companies, such as yourselves, offer additional services, which can also distort profits presented at a group level. Centrica group offers boiler servicing, for example. They are not presented in the segmental statements. Particularly given your market share in gas, the very fact that you have that market share means that you tend to get quite a revenue stream out of that, don’t you, and yet that is not part of the segmental statements? Ian Peters: The segmental accounts only relate to residential energy supply, and all of our services business, which covers everything from plumbing to drains to electrical services, are all outside the scope of the segmental accounts. At the aggregate level it all adds through to the published accounts, so there are no black holes, but it is an entirely separate business outside the scope of the Ofgem returns. Q265 Barry Gardiner: Can I ask all of you as well how often you have check listed, in relation to trading activities, the “another part of business” box? Neil Clitheroe: We check listed it I think on the 2011. We show that the activity is done within our energy management business and that is notated at the bottom very clearly, and we actually show where the P&L impact of that activity is within our retail and generation business. It is very clear on the last page of our segmentals where the responsibility and then where the profit and loss impact is for those activities. Ian Peters: To the best of my knowledge we have never done it, but I will come back and confirm that when— Q266 Barry Gardiner: You never ticked the “another part of business” box? Ian Peters: To the best of my knowledge, but I will come back and confirm that when I write back on depreciation. Paul Massara: I will have to come back and confirm on that. Q267 Barry Gardiner: Thanks very much. In terms of the BDO recommendation, don’t you think that trading activities should be reported in the Consolidated Segmental Statements? Ian Peters: I have already disclosed that there is no kind of out of market transfer. I have disclosed to the Committee, the £7 million that flows between the two. I think that is good in the spirit of transparency. As a general point, I think it would require the entire market to move in unison. Q268 Barry Gardiner: Would you be in favour of that? Ian Peters: I would be sympathetic to that as long as everybody else moved in the same way. Q269 Barry Gardiner: Thank you. In that case, Mr Massara, when you are discussing with your colleagues the other positive news that you gave the Committee this morning, could you perhaps discuss whether you would be prepared to do that and disclose that as well? Paul Massara: I think it becomes problematic when you have a European trading business, which trades across all of Europe, and therefore you end up saying, “Well, are we disclosing what we are making in trading in Romania, Hungary and Poland?” I am not sure that helps the average consumer to get insight to the segmental reports. Certainly, we could disclose what fee we have for doing it but, like everyone else I think, we trade at market. There is a minute fee that we pay the traders for transacting that we could pay anybody. We happen to pay our traders. But I do not think it is going to add to insight for consumers to understand what our trading position is across the whole of Europe. Neil Clitheroe: In terms of being able to see for ScottishPower that the energy management area is simply a transactional area that is managing things on behalf of retail and generation and it is effectively a hedging mechanism, a post box mechanism for those businesses, then showing that on a confidential basis I think is fine, Mr Gardiner. Q270 Barry Gardiner: Mr Massara, just a thought; you complained earlier in the session that the cost of Government schemes adds approximately £70 to £100 to the consumer bills. Do you not think it is therefore odd that you are not prepared to disclose how much those individual elements of the Government schemes actually cost you in your segmental accounts? Paul Massara: No, I think I have said already that I think that is a good idea. In fact, we are going to go out with an Energy Explained position where we will be showing people’s bills. As DECC themselves have said, 60% of the increase in electricity prices until 2020 is actually going to come from Government cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 46 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick policy. It is absolutely imperative that we explain to consumers that bills will be going up because there is £110 billion of capital that needs to be invested in refreshing the infrastructure, and that comes with the cost. Barry Gardiner: I entirely agree with that. Neil Clitheroe: That is shown clearly on ScottishPower’s website. Most customers see their bill in terms of how much they pay per month, so we show very clearly for £100 direct debit precisely where every pound goes in terms of all those obligations, in terms of all those delivery charges, in terms of all those wholesale charges. That is there on our website today. Q271 Barry Gardiner: Do any of your companies use base erosion and profit shifting or a tax haven in your accounting? Ian Peters: Not to the best of my knowledge. Q272 Ian Lavery: I think you were all present beforehand at the earlier panel, but I have to raise this question. At a time when the public say the energy companies are making obscene profits, there are hundreds of thousands of people being added to the list of people in fuel poverty. There are millions of people in fuel poverty. It has been suggested that of the six big energy companies there are three of the companies paying significantly less corporation tax than would be expected and there is one company that never paid any corporation tax at all in the last three years. I wonder if Mr Massara could confirm how much corporation tax his company has paid in 2009, 2010 and 2011? Paul Massara: We will not have paid corporation tax in those three years. The very simple reason why is because we have invested £5 billion in the last five years building power plant, creating jobs, creating employment and helping to keep the lights on. If we had not made that investment, we would not have the deductibilities that we would be allowed. That is a simple accounting UK rule. There is no mystery to it. There is no desire to not pay tax. We have fully paid all our taxes, the substantial employment tax, business tax and all the other taxes. The fact is you are allowed depreciation for your investments, and we have been the biggest investor by a mile in the renewable offshore business, and therefore we have allowed deductibilities. There is nothing amazing about that. In fact, I would go the other way to say if this country wants to get £110 billion of capital invested, then the basic levels you are going to need to allow people that deductibility. It is no different from any other industry. People should not be surprised that if you make heavy investment that you get deductibility for it.5 Q273 Ian Lavery: I am sorry, but I am absolutely amazed that you have not paid any. To say that it should not be a surprise—it absolutely is a surprise. Looking at the other statistics for the other companies, every other company has paid corporation tax, albeit at different levels. It might be an opportune moment 5 Note from the witness: “Please see our letter to the Committee on 17 April which provides clarity on our position on corporate tax and capital expenditure.” to ask the representatives of the other companies if they have and if they currently enjoy a significantly less than expected tax rate? Ian Peters: From a Centrica point of view, the answer to that is no. Our 2012 tax charge in aggregate was £1.1 billion; £773 million of that relates to the UK. That is a tax rate of 44%. It is one of the highest in the UK. We will pay £400 million of corporation tax, which makes us the sixth highest payer of corporation tax in the UK. On top of that, roughly the same in supplementary corporation tax and petroleum revenue tax. When you add it all together, we are at the higher end of that range and that excludes the £140 million in National Insurance. To the investment point—and I will take issue with RWE on this—that is despite having invested £11 billion over the last five years, and £9 billion of that is in securing energy supplies in the UK, most recently the Cygnus gas field, which will keep 1.5 million homes going for the next 15 years. So, no, is the short answer. Neil Clitheroe: In 2009, 2010, 2011, we paid £669 million in corporation tax. In addition, obviously we paid the usual other taxes: employees’ National Insurance, business rates, and so on. Q274 Ian Lavery: Did you pay less than would be expected? Neil Clitheroe: Over the five years that we look at, we have paid out £1 billion. We have paid less in the last two years because of capital allowances from the investments that we have made. Basically, in 2008 we were making between £550 million and £600 million of capital investment. In 2012 we were close to £1 billion. We have doubled our capital investment so we have seen a reduction because of that. The other reduction we have seen is just the reduction in the corporation tax rate that has occurred in this country, which has affected deferred tax liabilities. But in terms of the overall numbers—and for an energy company you do need to look at it over a longer period just because of the investment profile—we have paid £1 billion over the last five years. Paul Massara: If I can just add one clarification. I think over the last three years net profit has only been about £40 million, including generation and retail.6 Compared to that, the £5 billion we have invested over five years just gives you the view of where you would be paying tax anyway. We have been losing money in the retail business and in fact now we are losing money in the generation business too. Q275 Ian Lavery: I am really sorry but according to my figures over the period I mentioned before, 2009, 2010, 2011, npower’s pre-tax profits were nearer £750 million and there wasn’t any corporation tax paid. It is astounding, isn’t it? Paul Massara: I have different numbers, so I can come back to you on that.7 6 7 Note from the witness: “The correct aggregate EBIT for the years 2009–2011 is £31 million.” Note from the witness: “Please see our letter to the Committee on 17 April which provides clarity on our position.” cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 47 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick Q276 John Robertson: I am amazed about this as well. We have had E.ON who said they had invested £6 billion, which was £1 billion more than yourselves, and they were paying, albeit a reduced—this is the Starbucks gambit, isn’t it? It is basically, “I employ so many people therefore I won’t pay tax”. Do you understand how the general public feel about this? Anybody watching these proceedings will be absolutely shocked that you are willing to stand up and say that, “We deserve not to pay tax”. If I said that I would get crucified. Paul Massara: I think there is an informed debate that needs to be had, which says there are general accounting rules that if you make significant investment creating jobs, education, if you create and keep the lights on—which I think we are all trying to do—then you are allowed to depreciate. That is no different from any other industry, and that is all we have done. We just happen to have been a very big investor and we have not made the profits out of the business that we expected. Q277 John Robertson: So you have used the rules to suit yourselves. Paul Massara: No, not at all. Q278 John Robertson: I can honestly say I am glad I don’t get my energy from you. If I did I would be switching as soon as I left this room. I am so annoyed about that. Let me ask you a couple of questions that some of the general public have sent us, one of which I asked earlier. What are you doing with the money that is paid during the summer months and that is stored up and makes interest for you? Ian Peters: Can I take that one? Across a whole year we try to get direct debits to balance out. The figures we have for 2012 would say across the whole of the year, on average, we were owed £550 million by customers in aggregate and we had £120 million of credit balances on the other side, so net the interest free equation actually worked against us. More particularly, if any customer has more than £100 on their account at the end of the period we will automatically refund it. We now have I think the unique ability for customers to go online and manage their own direct debits. They can get payment holidays and if they want a refund at any time they can take it. I don't think anybody else can do that. That is great in terms of putting customers in control. Q279 John Robertson: ScottishPower? And I am one of your customers. Neil Clitheroe: We are pleased about that, John. We try to balance across the year. If a customer at the annual point is more than £100 in credit then we pay interest on that amount that is linked to the bank rates. I can’t remember the exact interest, I will have to come back to you, but we pay interest on that amount and then we refund that to customers. It is something we introduced about four years ago called “Credit where credit’s due”, so we have done that for quite a long time. However, we do try to balance it across the year. It is better for customers to be paying the right amount over the year, and there are troughs. At the moment with the cold weather most customers are in a negative position and over the warmer weather, over the next three or four months, they will play catch-up with that. Q280 John Robertson: Mr Fitzpatrick? Stephen Fitzpatrick: I am glad I have the opportunity to answer this one. About three years ago we decided that it was a bit anomalous that we were asking customers to pay in advance over the summer and we would keep their money and not pay them any interest. So three years ago—about six months after we launched—we brought in Ovo interest rewards where we pay customers 3% throughout the year on any credit balance at the end of every month. For every customer who is in credit over the summer we are paying 3% interest to every single customer, and if they fall into arrears over the winter, as is the case with many customers this winter, there is no interest penalty. It is their money. We want to encourage them to pay the same amount throughout the year and we think that if there is any benefit that we get from that we should give it right back to them. We set the rate at 3% so there would be absolutely no confusion as to the fact that we were not making any money. In fact we lose money from this, but we think we would rather be above suspicion on this point. Paul Massara: We manage it throughout the year and we may have balances from the customers in the summer but in the winter then clearly there is a big deficit. Funding them in the winter and not funding them in the summer is rolled into the general price, so we don’t pay interest, per se, but again if a customer has more than £60 on their account they would automatically get it sent back. Q281 John Robertson: They don’t have to ask for it? They would get it? Paul Massara: Yes. Q282 John Robertson: Here is a question that was asked at our evidence session in Glasgow, and also people have been tweeting it to us, and it is, why are low energy users penalised because the cost of usage goes down the more you use? I thought we were trying to encourage people not to use it. Ian Peters: This is about how costs play through. At one level it can look quite seductive to tip it the other way, but I think the Committee should be aware of the distortions that will then create. One consequence—and there are probably three—is it makes high consumers very profitable and low consumers unprofitable. I think the risk there is many of the vulnerable customers would get disengaged from the competitive market because they would be loss making. Secondly, there is not a great correlation between consumption and vulnerability, and I think perversely one of the bigger beneficiaries of that would be second homeowners who are sitting there with very little consumption. So there is a debate to be had in this area but I think we have to have it in the round, have a look at things in total, because I do worry at creating loss-making customers at a time we are trying to make pricing cost reflective. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 48 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick Q283 John Robertson: The point that these people made was the fact that they probably would like to use more electricity in some cases but they can’t afford that, but they seem to be penalised and the number of people that are in fuel poverty seems to be going up and up year on year. Here is a chance for the companies to punish the people who are the big users, and I am not talking about businesses. I appreciate businesses have to have a certain level. As a city MP I have to say that, and the evidence session we took was in Glasgow where we do have more than a fair share of people in fuel poverty. The point I think was well made. The fact is that they feel as a low user who is probably trying to cut back on their usage they are punished, whereas others who can turn everything on are winning on it and they don’t think that is fair. Ian Peters: I recognise that perception. What I do think, though, is it puts the onus on us to do everything we possibly can for all customers, particularly the vulnerable ones, to keep their bills down and, despite rising prices, British Gas bills have gone up by an average of about 3% or 4% over the last four or five years because of what we have done, particularly for the vulnerable market. Last year alone, we spent £223 million, I think, helping precisely those customers insulate their homes better, do everything we can to get them on to the right tariff. So I think it is in the bigger context of working with our customers to help them keep their bills down. It is not just about tariffs. Q284 John Robertson: We talked to people in California about the same thing, and they are getting to the stage where they are talking about splitting the cost of electricity up depending on the time of day. Do you think you will go down that road at some stage? Ian Peters: That will get enabled by smart meters, and British Gas are very happy to lead the industry. We have about 80% of the smart meters. We have rolled out about 600,000. They have a kind of embryonic time of use tariff within them. I would expect within the next six to nine months to see a very significant breakthrough in enabling lower costs to lower price through smart meters. Stephen Fitzpatrick: Could I make a suggestion here, just on a practical point? If you want to see flat unit pricing—and I think the perception that people that use more energy get charged lower prices is to do with two-rate tariffs that are set up to hide the fact there is a fixed cost of providing the infrastructure. So a lot of companies have in the past marketed “No standing charge”. John Robertson: A lot of these accounts still have a fixed price on it. It is hidden in the bill. Stephen Fitzpatrick: What I would suggest we do is we start the conversation around convincing network operators that they should receive a pence per kWh transmission and distribution cost. As long as there is a fixed cost to retailers for providing infrastructure then the two options are you either create loss making low volume customers and you ignore the fact that a power line to a house that only uses a small amount of electricity and a power line to a house that uses a lot is broadly the same. So you either ignore that fact and lose money on small consumption customers or you end up in a position where you have this standing charge and then unit costs. If we can get to a point where National Grid and the other network companies can charge per kWh then retailers can pass on those costs on a per kWh basis. Otherwise there is very little that we can do that ends up in a good outcome for customers. Paul Massara: I agree with that. I think part of the changes under RMR is you are going to see more standing charges coming in. That is part of the development. In fact, we have just moved from having a two-rate tariff ahead of RMR in order to put in the standing charges, and people have written to us saying, “We don’t like having the standing charges because we are small users”. Some of those small users are actually second homes, and so you may have a different approach to that than you do to people who actually are in fuel poverty, which is clearly— Q285 John Robertson: I am sure something can be done in that respect, but the small number of second homes compared to first homes is a very small number of people. I understand where you are coming from but I don’t accept that as a reason for it. I have to put the record straight because I have just been told that I mis-said that Centrica’s bills have gone up by 6% and not 3% or 4% as I said. Ian Peters: The prices went up 6% last year. There is an important distinction between prices and bills. John Robertson: I am just putting that on the record just to make sure that people understand that. Ian Peters: I will accept that prices went up 6%. The bills went up— Q286 John Robertson: Going back to the charging by usage, one of the great fears in California, in particular, is the fact that they try to encourage businesses to run at times when there is low usage so that they can meet the requirements that they have. At some stage if we don’t start getting investment into our electricity markets and start building some power stations, then we might get to the stage where we are talking about cutting people off because we don’t have enough power to meet the needs, particularly as the coal-fired power stations are closing. Have you looked at this and thought about how you are going to handle it? Again, I do not want to see the fuel poverty people being the ones that suffer. Neil Clitheroe: I think you are absolutely right, Mr Robertson, because the margin that is in generation is reducing all the time. We have closed a plant, as you have seen, in Scotland in the last three months, at Cockenzie. That is a good plant that we have closed, and that has come off the system and other plants are coming off the system. I think as usual there are two or three ways to solve that. One is we need plant, we need certainty in terms of that capacity, and that is going through on the Energy Bill at the moment. There are things you can do on demand. We are seeing a lot of business customers, refrigeration business customers, we are giving a lot of energy advice to them and moving their demand from the day into the evening and you can level that out. But how far you can take the peak down with those activities is questionable. I think that peak will still exist. Those cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 49 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick three peak half hours in the winter will still exist, and we need to provide that. So there is a lot of work to do on this to provide more firm generation, and that will only come through some certainty through the capacity mechanism that is going through the Energy Bill at the moment. Ian Peters: From my point of view, the primary accountability for securing energy supply rests with National Grid. But this is an investment story. I think Centrica is doing its part. I talked about the Cygnus gas field. We have secured planning permission to build an 850 MWh offshore wind farm. I think there is a debate to be had around storage. The economics of storage now are very fragile. I think, as we have just seen from the near crisis we had a few weeks ago, it would probably be a good thing if we had more storage but we need to look at how that is incentivised and remunerated. We, as a company, are doing our part to invest in securing supplies for the future. Q287 Sir Robert Smith: One of the answers has prompted this observation that you are all, quite rightly, highlighting that Government schemes put costs on to bills that consumers have to pay, but then you are also quite keen to take the credit for the insulation and energy saving measures you put into people’s homes. Do you recognise that those are coming out of those costs that are being put on to people’s bills as part of the Government schemes? Paul Massara: I think we would all say that fuel poverty is a combination of economic poverty and the housing situation. Obviously that is a real issue, and so, although we have some of the lowest costs per unit, we have some of the highest bills in Europe because effectively the usage is so high. As an industry we have a real issue, as actually as society we have a real issue with fuel poverty, because fuel poverty is not going down, it is going up, and we need a way of tackling it. The sensible way to do that is to effectively apply funds to those people who need it the most, who have the poorest housing. So I think that is absolutely the right thing to do. The question we would have is do the design of those systems and the processes achieve that lowest carbon position at the best possible price? Our assertion would be that on CESP it did not achieve that at the lowest possible price. Towards the end we were paying £50 or £60 a tonne of CO2 to get those obligations away, which is very expensive. We believe or we think ECO will be very expensive. The Government’s own position is it is 1.3, which is £77 a tonne. We believe it could be significantly higher. So we absolutely agree that it is needed to be done. If anything, I would say that the Energy Bill is too light on demand side management and it needs to have greater emphasis on it. But everybody clearly has an interest in getting those costs in at the best and the lowest possible price for those people who need it. Our concern is that the way that some of these initiatives have been structured means that those prices are going to be higher than they otherwise would have had to be. Ian Peters: Just a couple of additions to your point, Mr Smith. We have done much more than our obligations, particularly around fuel poverty. We have the broadest criteria for the warm home discount. We have uncapped it and 530,000 of my customers will benefit from that—they already have, actually, by March—which is much more than we were obliged to do. I would support the point RWE made that there is a case for a mid-year review around ECO. There are many assumptions that have gone into that and we have some reservations about how that is playing out. We are doing what we can to roll it out at the lowest cost, but I think DECC’s assumptions are fragile and would warrant a mid-year review. Neil Clitheroe: You know my views obviously on Green Deal and ECO from the last Select Committee, but there is an interesting point on all of this and that is what is happening to consumption in the UK. Obviously all of these investments are going ahead and consumption is falling, but the averages that are used for consumption at the moment, in terms of the Ofgem average—16,500 for gas, 3,300 for electricity—have not been updated since 2010 to reflect the reductions that all the companies are seeing with regard to consumption. Therefore, when you look at the bill values then the bill values are effectively quoted too high, because there has been a drop. We are seeing numbers at 14,500 for gas, 3,100, 3,150 for power. We are speaking to Ofgem at the moment through Energy UK to try to influence that debate. But that is an important point because we are not seeing in the tariff tables the impact of all that investment into average bills in the UK. I do think that is a lost opportunity in terms of the transparency of what energy is costing. Paul Massara: To add to that, I think we would have the same problems that others have suggested about the Ofgem monthly analysis, on volumes and on types of tariff. Also in terms of when we are making decisions now, we are going into the market and making decisions about prices. We are having to make estimates of what ECO is going to be worth and therefore we are having to factor in those costs. Those don’t apply or don’t occur in Ofgem’s analysis. So there are significant faults with that and the worry is that people jump on a headline and say, “Wow, I can’t believe they are earning £125 a customer” but continuously, year after year, it comes out and shows that we are only earning 3% or 4%. To me that does not build trust in the marketplace, and I think it is right that we get those numbers correct in order to get a sensible conversation. Q288 Mr Lilley: On profits and prices, opinion surveys consistently show that a very high proportion of consumers believe that the 50% increase in their bills in recent years is largely due to the increase in the profits of the energy companies. Indeed, when we went to Scotland that was the view of the audience that we had there. There were many activists, and some members of the Committee believe it. I would like to believe that it wasn’t so. If it were so, it would mean there was a margin being earned that had gone up from 100 to 150. Your profits are 50 of that 100, a third of the total. That is clearly extreme. We could bring in the Monopolies Commission and bring down prices. I suspect it is not so, but it would be helpful if we could have the information in a usable form. How cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 50 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick much of the increase in prices in bills in recent years has been due to an increase in profit? Not just the profit at the retail and supply end but the profit at the generating end as well, because people outside do not distinguish between the two, and rightly not. They are part of the profit of the whole industry. We do not get that. Somebody will say, “We only generate a fraction of what we supply and therefore we can’t throw the— ”. What is the percentage to begin with and how much has it increased? Paul Massara: I think that data is there. It is all in the segmental reports. I think that the— Mr Lilley: Well, because it is all segmented— Paul Massara: But it is segmented between supply and between generation and it is very clear, and that is— Q289 Mr Lilley: For example, if the generation profits are 20% they are 20% of what, of the wholesale price that is going—so not 20% of the final bill, so you are shooting yourself in the feet. Paul Massara: Absolutely. We announced in our last set of results that our profits in the UK as a whole were up 25% and everybody goes, “Oh my goodness, they are up 25%”. What they do not say is we have invested £5 billion over the last five years and therefore you would be amazed if your profit doesn’t go up. What they don’t say is in 2009, 2010 and 2011 we lost money in the retail business and are now making a wafer thin margin. What we have to do is be able to communicate better, because fundamentally we are not earning above margin. Q290 Mr Lilley: Some of us would like to help you, but give us the figures. If the bill was £100 in the past and £3 of that was profit at the retail end and £5 was the generating end, and now it is £200 and it is £6, I would like to know that but I do not have it in that form. Paul Massara: Sure. We can provide that for you. Q291 Mr Lilley: You can say, “Look, okay, profits have gone up a bit or down a bit or something but the big increase is either in fuel or in other operating costs, because of increased investments and these absurdly expensive forms we make you produce energy in now or Government add-ons and things”. We ought to be able to get those but as something for the total bill, not segment by segment. Ian Peters: We do that through our light bulbs. In short, British Gas residential’s profits in 2007 were 571. They were 606 in 2012. So the short answer is none, but we lay out the breakdown—the moving parts, wholesale, moving it around, transport and distribution—on the back of the bill every month for our customers. Stephen Fitzpatrick: Mr Lilley, if I could offer one observation, from all of my time in the energy sector, neither you nor the Government nor the Department of Energy and Climate Change nor Ofgem will ever chase these guys down on profitability because they are always a couple of years ahead of the numbers that they are reporting to you. As an observation from the customer’s point of view—and we speak to a lot of our customers all the time and we listen very closely—nobody cares about the profits that energy companies make if they feel they are getting good value. So all of the time that we have spent today, and all the time we have spent over the past years, about energy company profitability to me is a bit of a red herring because I think energy companies should be profitable. I think it would be great if we had more profitable energy companies. It would mean more investment in the business and maybe more money to spend on communicating the good that the energy industry does. But energy customers do not feel that they are being treated fairly because they keep finding out that there is a new deal that they can get offered by another company or even the same company. Their neighbour is paying less than they are. Their bills keep going up. I think it is a complex industry that, as industry participants, the larger industry companies have done a very bad job in trying to simplify that for the customer. I would make one proposal to the Committee, that where we start to see a more uniform approach to energy pricing so that there is less of a disparity between the cheapest deals on the market and the most expensive deals, then people become a lot less suspicious that they are being overcharged. All this talk about profitability and where the money is going and so on, I think from a tax point of view it is perfectly reasonable to ask that if the profits are being generated in the UK that tax is paid in the UK. But otherwise I would say create a market where competition works and then people can see the results for themselves, whether that is in generation or in supply. But if you have more competition you do not need to ask these guys about their profits because good companies will be profitable and poor companies will leave the market. I would suggest to Paul that if npower are apparently not very successful in running their retail business over the past three or four years, then we will very happily talk to you about taking over the business and I think we would do a much better job. Ian Peters: I don’t always agree with Stephen but on this one I do agree with him. This is about stating values and there is no doubt that since we have started writing to our customers saying, “These are the other tariffs, the other prices you can get from British Gas” it absolutely has changed the perception. Stephen Fitzpatrick: But, Ian, you run Sainsbury’s Energy and you won an option yesterday offering customers buying Sainsbury’s Energy a £200 cash back deal sweetener to sign up for 12 months. You did not offer that to your 9 million British Gas customers and so that is what leads to lack of trust. Ian Peters: There are two things on that. That was a particular transaction to do with collective switching that involved local authorities, which was priced on a particular basis. Stephen Fitzpatrick: Next year for those customers the price is going to go up by £200 and they will wonder why. Ian Peters: I am not saying that. If a British Gas customer phones up our call centre today, and asks for our cheapest deal, we will explain to them the British Gas number and the Sainsbury’s number. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG02 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030592_o002_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 51 16 April 2013 Paul Massara, Ian Peters, Neil Clitheroe and Stephen Fitzpatrick Neil Clitheroe: Just coming back to the question, we do provide those details, so for £100 that you spend today in 2010 you would have been spending £81 as a monthly average. That £19 is made up of £4 of wholesale cost increase, £5 from the wires and pipes increase that has come from the investment, £8 from VAT and various sort of ECO, green levies and so on, a £1 increase— Mr Lilley: VAT and ECO? They are different things. Neil Clitheroe: In fact it is 5%, 5%, so it will be £2, £2 to £10 between 2010 and 2013, and operating costs are £1. So we do provide that detail on our website to try to improve understanding of this. Q292 Mr Lilley: That includes the generating element in this? Neil Clitheroe: That is within that £4 increase from £46 to £50 for the gas and the power. Q293 Chair: That does not tell you what Peter says in terms of presentation from saying that the profits of the company came from— Neil Clitheroe: It shows the profitability. Q294 Mr Lilley: The figures in our brief do not show that. I would agree that complexity is a source of aggravation, but it is a source of aggravation if the price is going up. When the price is coming down or static it is not such a source of aggravation. There is great complexity in the price of computers, but computers are coming down. There is great complexity in the price of mobile phones, but mobile phones are getting cheaper. People do not worry about the complexity when things are going down. When they are going up they blame them on you and if you do not give us clear figures about where the profits are they will blame it on your profits, so it would be helpful for us to know where the profits are, what they are on average for an average consumer and how much they were a few years ago. Then, when the BBC comes out with one of their things, “Oh profits have gone up by so much” we will be able to say, “This is what they were last year. This is what they are this year. The big increase has come somewhere else”, if it comes somewhere else. If it has come from rising profits, then we will be able to— Paul Massara: We have already stated in our papers the historical and the forward view of that, in terms of profit margins and how the bills are likely to rise in the future by each of those costs. Chair: Thank you for your patience. It has been a helpful and illuminating session for us, and we look forward to seeing you again in due course. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [SE] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 52 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Thursday 9 May 2013 Members present: Mr Tim Yeo (Chair) Dr Phillip Lee Albert Owen Sir Robert Smith Dr Alan Whitehead ________________ Examination of Witnesses Witnesses: Professor John Hills, London School of Economics, Dr Nick Eyre, University of Oxford, and Jan Rosenow, University of Oxford, gave evidence. Q295 Chair: Good morning. Thank you very much for coming in. As you know, there is a lot of interest in this inquiry—although perhaps not intellectually in your session—and when we had the energy companies in the other day there seemed to be a particular amount of interest, for some reason; I cannot quite work out why. Perhaps you could start off by telling us whether you think the Government is on track to eliminate fuel poverty by 2016. Professor Hills: I don’t think the Government is going to eliminate fuel poverty by 2016, however you measure it. Those of you who have seen the summary of or read the whole of the report I wrote last year will see that, in the way that I suggest that fuel poverty might be measured, and with the focus on the measure which I think captures the scale of the problem best, which I call the fuel poverty gap, given the central forecast that DECC was producing for fuel prices over the next few years—some of those increases have already happened—I was suggesting that that measure of the scale of the problem would increase by as much as half, from where it was back in 2009, by 2016, rather than being eliminated. As you will have seen from the report, I thought that was a profoundly disappointing projection. Dr Eyre: No, I don’t think the Government is on track to eliminate fuel poverty by 2016. I don’t even think it is on track to do so as far as is reasonably practicable, which I think is what it is obliged to do. Q296 Chair: Why do not you think it’s doing that? Dr Eyre: Because it is reducing the amount of resources that are being committed, particularly through Government funding—for fuel poverty measures for England—and the affordable warmth programme in no way substitutes for that and the parts of CERT devoted to low-income customers. Jan Rosenow: I would agree with the previous speakers. I think ECO is going to take about 125,000 to 250,000 households out of fuel poverty; these are the DECC projections. I think, currently, we have about 5 million households in fuel poverty; with a new definition it is a bit less than that, but it is still nowhere near the figures that DECC are projecting for this. I agree with Nick. The fuel poverty spending, according to ACE—the Association for the Conservation of Energy—has been reduced by about 29% from previous fuel poverty budgets. So there is a quite significant cut. Q297 Chair: Professor Hills, if the Government adopted your new definition of fuel poverty, should they set a new fuel poverty reduction target? Professor Hills: That is for Government and Parliament—given that the original Act originates from Parliament—to make those decisions. I think that giving people clear objectives to deal with serious national problems can be a helpful device. Q298 Chair: Of course it is for the Government and Parliament, but what would your advice be about whether we in Parliament, whether we as this Committee, should recommend that they do that? Professor Hills: My advice would be that there probably should be a system of rolling targets, taking account of changing situations, that keeps officials’ and Government’s nose to the grindstone in delivering the greatest possible action to deal with a problem of this kind. Where I would probably part company from the original specification in the Act would be the use of the word “elimination.” If you look at the history of the child poverty target, which was originally announced by the former Prime Minister, Mr Blair, as having the objective of eliminating child poverty, that language was modified to talking about becoming among the best in Europe, for instance. We do not have that kind of comparator as far as fuel poverty is concerned. To be honest, what matters is what happens over the next five or 10 years and the scale of action. I would much rather see meaningful targets that lead to a more rapid pace of change, directed at what can be done over the next 10 years, than to focus on something in 16 years’ time or whatever it is. When we get closer to it, I am very happy to argue about whether we have eliminated the problem, or reduced it to extremely low levels, which is what I think the objective should be in practical terms. We are so far away from that at the moment, that I am not sure that it matters. We are going in the wrong direction and we need a scale of action that takes us in the right direction. Q299 Sir Robert Smith: I should probably declare that I am an honorary vice-president of Energy Action Scotland, which has argued that your new definition, Professor Hills, makes it much more complicated to work out whether a household is to be classed as fuel poor because it requires a great deal of data to be gathered on an individual basis. Is that a fair point? Professor Hills: Well, the proposal I put forward for measuring the scale of the problem is based on precisely the same data as are used to create the cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 53 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow existing fuel poverty statistics. I have suggested some tweaks to that, which, in terms of the use of the surveys, could improve the way in which we allow for particular household situations, but it basically uses exactly the same information that we have at the moment. There is a big difference between the information you use to see how you are doing nationally and whether you are going in the right direction, and the information you use on the ground to see which households need assistance and action fastest. The existing measure is not that helpful on the ground. It requires quite a lot of information about people’s income, and to measure it precisely would require a full survey of the house, in the same way that the sample properties are done. I actually think that the reverse could be true. The way I suggest we focus on the problem—as the original Act suggested, we look at households that have low incomes and high need to spend on energy, and we look at the way that that creates the worst problems for the people who are furthest away from being out of fuel poverty, the ones who have the biggest fuel poverty gaps—allows you to think about the characteristics of the people themselves and also of the houses they live in, which you can then use as some form of proxy. You do not do a full survey of every house in the country; that would be prohibitively expensive. However, we do know—I set out in the report the information that I had available to me then, and I hope the Department has done more work since. That information allows you to say what proportion of the problem is accounted for by particular kinds of houses. It is that information—looking at people who are off the gas grid or people who are in pre-1940s properties and so on—that allows you to home in on the people you want. It is that kind of information that matters, rather than the precise calculation that is used from the sample service, either now or possibly in the future. Q300 Albert Owen: In the remit you were given by the Government, did they say that the original indicator was too crude and that you should look deeper into it? What was the remit that you were given? Professor Hills: No. The first part of the remit was to ask whether fuel poverty was actually a problem because, after all, there are all sorts of other aspects of hardship for people on low incomes and we do not have particular targets or measures for those. The first part of my remit was to look at that, and I reached the firm conclusion that fuel poverty is a serious national problem. The second part of my remit was to look at the existing measure. I was not given any instructions as to what conclusion I should reach. I wasn’t pushed in any particular direction, but looking at the way in which the existing 10% indicator works it seemed to me that it had some problems and led to misleading identification of who the priorities for action should be. It also gave some misleading impressions that in the past led to complacency in what the trends were in the scale of the problem. That was my own conclusion, and I then thought through different ways of trying to get at the problem as it hits people in terms of hardship, health and climate change, and came to the conclusions I did. Q301 Albert Owen: I respect that. I asked the question because Ministers indicated to us that it was too crude, and used the headline that multimillionaires, including the Queen, could be described as being in fuel poverty. So there was no pressure put on you to look at that because of the circumstances and the crudeness? Professor Hills: I don’t remember anyone using the word “crude” to describe the existing measure. Many aspects of the way it is calculated are sophisticated. The conclusion I reached was that it did not deliver what people thought it delivered. You have mentioned the potential for people on high incomes to be caught by it sometimes. That is true, and obviously you would not normally expect a measure of fuel poverty to capture people—you quoted the Financial Times story about the Royal Household— Albert Owen: I’m repeating what Ministers said. Professor Hills: I think they’re probably repeating a line I have repeated from a front page of the Financial Times. That is just not helpful because it leads to conclusions—as some assessments of the Warm Front programme did, for example—that a lot of money was going to the wrong people. That happened because the assessments were being done at a time when energy prices were particularly low, and the effect was that apparently we had almost licked the problem. According to the official indicator, the problem had fallen by three quarters between the late 1990s and 2003 or thereabouts. None of the people I spoke to— I did quite a lot of consultation for my report— believed that the underlying fundamental problem had been reduced by three quarters over that period, yet that is what the numbers were saying and I think that fed some complacency in Whitehall about the overlap period. Those sorts of problems led me to think that we were possibly not using the data we had to capture the problem in the right way. The second thing that struck me was the focus. It is very nice to have a single number to focus on—the number of households—particularly if you are lobbying on something. It is particularly nice to have a number that is going up rapidly, but that focus on the number of households caught, which moves around rapidly with energy prices, can lead to you thinking that some people are out of target when they should be in it, and others are now a problem when they shouldn’t be, and also possibly to focus on action that tips people just across the line, because the easiest thing to do is to give someone who is just on the edge a bit of loft insulation so that they are on the right side, which reduces the numbers. The problem is the people on low incomes who have to pay £800 or £900 a year out of their very small incomes over and above what a typical household has to pay for their energy bills. Those are the people we need to focus action on—the people who are furthest away from the line—and that is why I suggest a focus on the fuel poverty gap, and that the depth of the problem is the best thing to focus on, however you cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 54 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow set up your programmes and whatever targets you set, because that will focus your energy on using your resources to make the biggest difference. Q302 Sir Robert Smith: You mentioned that the swing in energy prices made a huge difference to the statistics. Do you think that it goes too far, though, to ignore energy prices as part of the problem? Professor Hills: I think, if you look carefully, that that is not what the framework I have suggested does. There are two different aspects to that. One is that as energy prices rise, more people are pushed into a position where the income they are left with after paying necessary fuel costs would push them into poverty. Some people are dragged into poverty by the particularly high level of their fuel prices, because the retail prices index or the consumer prices index does not capture the cost of living to them as their energy prices are so high. On the one hand, the number of households or individuals captured by my measure varies as energy prices vary, but the thing that really changes is how big a problem that is for the people affected by it. That is the fuel poverty gap. I can give you a copy of the summary of the report, if it will be helpful. You will see from the graphs in the report how that measure of the seriousness of the problem has gone up and down. That is why I project that the problem will worsen over the next few years as energy prices rise. Q303 Sir Robert Smith: Another statistical concern is that using the median figure means that you would never be able to eradicate fuel poverty. Professor Hills: I don’t think that is strictly true, but it is certainly very difficult. We are using the figure of median costs for the whole population, that is, “What does a typical household have to pay to keep warm to a certain degree?” We are then focused on low-income households who would have to pay more than that to keep adequately warm. It is possible—it would be very hard—to ensure that everyone on low income was below the level. You cannot get the whole population below the median, even in Lake Wobegon, where, if you remember, all the children are above average. You could theoretically get all people on low incomes below it, but that is not the issue. The issue is whether you can get most people on low incomes below that level. After all, people on low incomes live, by and large, in smaller houses than people with higher incomes. Then, when we get there, we can have an argument about the people who are left near the line and are just above those median costs, but we are so far from that at the moment. We have so many people who have costs way above that level. It would be very nice to have that argument in 10 years’ time—I would welcome it—when we have got the problem down to the level where some people on low incomes have costs that are still £50 or £100 higher than the median, but let’s get close to that level before we worry about that. Q304 Dr Lee: How much equality do you want to see, Professor Hills? Professor Hills: In what respect? Dr Lee: Equality means equal. I notice that you chaired the National Equality Panel. Human beings are not equal, and I am trying to understand what your definition of equality is. Professor Hills: Oh, well, you could have a definition of equality, and someone could set an objective that everyone in the country should have the same income, the same energy costs and wear the same suit or whatever. Q305 Dr Lee: Is that your objective? Professor Hills: It is certainly not my objective. I cannot think of any political philosophy, apart from the most extreme, that would set that objective. Q306 Dr Lee: My point is that your judgment of equality is subjective, is it not? Professor Hills: I think my job as an academic is to try to report on the extent to which, as a society, we vary from that position. Q307 Dr Lee: And what is an acceptable amount of variance? Professor Hills: I think that is something that society makes decisions about, and politicians like yourselves make decisions about what you feel is acceptable and right. Different countries make different decisions, and at different points in time we have been a more equal society than we are today, but that is— Q308 Dr Lee: But you keep saying “more equal than before”. I am trying to bear down on what is an acceptable level of equality. Equality for me is that I should be the same as Alan, the same as Albert and the same as Tim. Equal is equal; two equals two. If we are getting into the realms of subjective assessment of what equality is, and indeed what reasonable is—I notice your definition is “reasonable costs”—I wonder what it is. The 1980s are blamed for the gap between rich and poor, but not much difference occurred, I notice, under the previous Government. There has been a problem between the richest and the poorest, but it is a subjective judgment about what is an acceptable difference between the rich and the poor. I am not saying that there is not a problem between the rich and the poor; I am just trying to work out what you think. Underlying your report will be a sense of grievance: “I don’t think it’s right that the top 10% have x amount more than the bottom 10%.” The same applies to fuel costs. Unless we come up with some wonderful invention in the next 10 years, fuel costs will continue to go up, so by definition, the proportion of people’s income being spent on fuel will go up. Does that mean that they are increasingly becoming fuel-poor, or does it mean that they will have to make decisions about what they spend their money on in future as a result of the changed reality? Professor Hills: Can I separate that out into two issues? I will be very happy to talk to you if the Committee wants to carry on talking about equality in general, income inequality and wealth inequality. I would be very happy to do that, but in fact, given what the issue of fuel poverty is about, what happens to the top 10% is completely irrelevant. The reason why I suggested that if one is taking a threshold, it cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 55 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow should be based on what a typical or median household is doing, is that that number is not affected by what plutocrats are doing with their large ranches or multi-million-pound residences. I am looking at the position that people with low incomes are in by comparison with the mainstream of society. The issue, then, is whether we think it is acceptable— you may or may not—that somebody who has a low income would face very high costs to keep their home at a temperature that allows them to protect their health. The evidence I reviewed in the interim report suggested that there are good reasons for thinking that living at low temperatures damages health, and that the scale of the problem is such that people who are already facing hardship in different ways will have that hardship exacerbated by what they must spend to try to keep warm. You say it is inevitable that fuel poverty will rise. I do not think that is true. What one is looking at is a product of both energy costs and the energy efficiency of the building that they live in, and that is something that they can make a difference about. One of the conclusions of my report was that when you look at the evidence on what happens if you invest money in energy efficiency measures in the homes lived in by everybody, but particularly people with low incomes, there are measures you can take that are very good value for money according to the kind of cost-benefit analysis that the Treasury, for instance, does. It is a good national investment, and that is the focus of the report. That has nothing to do with what has happened to the incomes of, the top 1%. Q309 Dr Lee: Following on from that, one short question. I have long thought that the winter fuel allowance should be scrapped. Would you agree that we could invest that money in social housing that is energy efficient, with insulation and everything else? We could take that money and perhaps add to it. One thing Government could do is get rid of the tenement blocks that John Robertson often goes on about, which cannot be insulated. If they were to decide to invest in and build new social housing, that is probably the most that a Government can do to address fuel poverty in the way you have defined. Professor Hills: Again, there are several things there. First of all, you will see in the analysis that we did in the report, using the framework I set out, that spending more money on the winter fuel allowance is one of the least effective ways of tackling this problem. There are many other reasons why you might want to have a winter fuel allowance, and the current Government are committed to keeping it, but with those resources there are more effective ways you could spend that money that would deal with fuel poverty. That is the very clear conclusion of the report. There is then a second issue that you brought up, which is precisely what you do with it. The one point I would make there is that my biggest priority for action would be taking measures with existing property—retrofitting existing property. The centre that I am part of recently published a report, which you might be interested in, called “High Rise Hope”, about the programme that has been insulating a series of energy-inefficient tower blocks in west London and how that has worked out. I think examples of that kind show what can be done, rather than using a great deal of resources to demolish something and then rebuild it. In terms of cost-benefit analysis—the benefit you get for each pound spent—renovation and retrofitting is probably much more effective than demolition and rebuilding. It seems to me that using the money we have got in the most effective way, whether it comes from abolishing the winter fuel allowance, or from somewhere else, is the top priority. There is a lot that can be done at very good value for money. Q310 Dr Phillip Lee: You could say that, but I am just saying that the winter fuel allowance is actually in place to try and prevent fuel poverty. My point is that, if you are going to try and prevent fuel poverty, or address it, I do not think it is— Professor Hills: If you look in detail at the report— Dr Phillip Lee: I have not read the whole report. Professor Hills: I can point you to the precise pages where we make a comparison between the different measures. I am afraid that the winter fuel allowance comes out very badly on all those grounds. Q311 Chair: I should disclose an interest, as I am old enough to receive the winter fuel allowance myself. I have never expressed a view on its desirability or otherwise. I have listened to the arguments with great interest and the attack by my colleague. Jan Rosenow: If I may chip in, there seems to be a difference in the principle of how you address the problem. One is a long-term investment, where you invest in energy efficiency measures, and the other one is short-term help with rising energy prices. From a long-term perspective, the former—the long-term investment—seems the wiser investment. That is my view on whether we should invest in short-term financial help or long-term energy efficiency measures. Q312 Chair: Moving on a bit, do you agree with the NEA that environmental and social levies are regressive? Jan Rosenow: I do agree that the revenue-raising side of social and environmental levies, if raised by energy prices, is by definition always regressive. However, on the spending side, the provision of measures can be progressive, and CERT and CESP have made attempts to deliver a large proportion of the measures to lowincome households, to offset some of the regressiveness on the revenue-raising side of things. So I think you have to distinguish between the revenue-raising side, which will always be regressive in the current system, and the spending side, where you spend the revenues on energy efficiency measures. But broadly, I would agree with the analysis that NEA put forward. Q313 Chair: Age UK suggested it would be better to levy those costs on a per unit, rather than a per household, basis. Would that be better? Jan Rosenow: We had a discussion yesterday between the two of us and the standing charge for electricity is, I think, about £15, probably, for most households, cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 56 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow and the cost of CERT and CESP was more than £50 per year. Some of the cost will be passed on a per unit basis and some of that will be passed on in the standing charge, but we have no insight into what the proportions of that will be and how much is on the unit and how much is on the standing charge. On average, we would probably agree that putting it on a per unit or per consumption basis is less regressive. However, there will be fuel-poor households who consume quite a lot. For example, elderly people who live at home 24/7 need to heat their homes. So I think you have to be quite careful with these sort of proposals. Dr Eyre: Can I just add something? I think that what you quoted was about environmental and social levies in general. It is important to distinguish those levies that support energy efficiency and fuel poverty, and to look at whether it is possible, as Jan has explained, for revenues that are raised in a regressive way to be used in a progressive way and for the overall balance to be positive, both in being generally progressive and, in this context, in actually addressing fuel poverty. That is not generally true for all environmental levies. Where we are raising environmental levies to fund new low-carbon supply, for example, with proposals to put very significant amounts of money into contracts for difference, which are laid out on the same basis, you are going to get all the regressive effects and none of the progressive ones. I sometimes find it a bit odd that this debate focuses on the levies for energy efficiency and not on the levies for nuclear power, for example. Professor Hills: Could I add to that? There is a tension. If the costs are passed on per kilowatt-hour, or whatever, that will be less regressive in general. It will hit lower-income households less hard, because on average they use less energy. However, the cost of that is that the people with the worst problems—the most fuel-poor—will be the worst hit. It seems to me that that then makes the case for a dual strategy: yes, you probably would rather have more emphasis on the per-unit side than on standing charges, for environmental reasons as well, but the corollary is that you absolutely need to be taking action to help eliminate the problems of people who have low incomes and are living in G-rated or F-rated properties, because they will be hardest hit by that. The other side, which follows on exactly from what Nick has been saying, is that it depends entirely on how the revenue is used. It makes it very important that a large slice of the action comes back to people on low incomes, and it makes the case for a large scale of the affordable warmth component, for making sure that the CSCO part of the ECO is hitting the right people and that we are not in a position where people on low incomes are paying higher fuel bills in order to subsidise the energy efficiency of people on high incomes. Q314 Chair: Could we use rising block tariffs to address this problem? Dr Eyre: You could do, but that would mean regulating prices. That is the caveat that I always put on that. Yes, if you are prepared to tear up the whole of the liberalised energy market, which I might be prepared to do, that could be made to work. However, people should go into talking about rising block tariffs with their eyes open in that way. Professor Hills: And you should also be aware of exactly the problem that we were just talking about— the people who would be hit hardest would be the people paying the very high unit costs who had the worst problems to start with. There is a little bit of a chicken-and-egg situation here. At the moment, we have these people with low incomes with very energyefficient homes who would be hard hit by that, even though in general people on low incomes would benefit from RBT. Q315 Chair: It depends how you do the formula, surely. If you had a free allowance, someone living in a very energy-efficient home might be getting their fuel for free. Professor Hills: But only up to a certain level. Chair: Well, up to the level that a two-person household would need. I can see the difficulties of designing the formula, but I cannot see that the concept is open to the objection that you have put forward. Professor Hills: The problem is that couples live in a vast variety of properties. Chair: Yes, absolutely. That is their choice, of course. Professor Hills: Well, it may be a choice, but they may not easily be able to do something about it. If you are living in a rural area, off the gas grid, in an old property, in theory you do have an option of moving into somewhere small in town, but that is a very costly option in terms of the disruption of your life and abandoning the property you leave behind. Q316 Chair: It is always easy to find an extreme example that about 0.01% of the population might encounter and say that that is a reason for not doing something that is generally desirable. Professor Hills: Unfortunately, it is not 0.01% of the population who are living in extremely energyefficient properties at the moment. Dr Eyre: The broader point is that a rising block tariff is essentially trying to use the price mechanism to dissuade people from using large amounts of energy, and they may be people who are more or less poor, as John indicates. If you are going to charge people more than the marginal cost for high uses, the real trick is to use that revenue back in direct energy-efficiency programmes rather than simply relying on the price mechanism. Marginal block tariffs will financially achieve something, but it is much better to invest where you need the investment. Q317 Dr Whitehead: One of the enduring issues of the whole fuel poverty debate is that all the figures are based on extrapolation of the household condition survey, which I think covers about 8,000 homes. We have never known where anyone in fuel poverty actually is, yet we have a system of effectively requiring energy companies to find out where people are and then lavish devices on them to alleviate fuel poverty. As Citizens Advice pointed out to us recently, people may not be aware that energy companies are about to lavish goods on them. Indeed, last year, £50 cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 57 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow million from Warm Front was unspent as a result. Bearing in mind that that is what we are stuck with, what lessons might be learned for future policy from that record of identification and take-up concerning fuel poverty? Professor Hills: Could I say two things on that? First, reiterating the distinction between how we measure as well as we can the scale of the problem at national level, whether we are going in the right or wrong direction, and what we do on the ground, I think the trick is to take one’s best understanding of how you would measure the problem if you had perfect information, and then translate that into relatively simple-to-measure indicators on the ground that you know capture most of the problem, with the important proviso that this is an area where we probably do not mind if we get it a bit wrong to start with. If you think about it and take seriously the carbon budget, climate change and where the country must be by 2027 or whatever it is, we must go round most of the housing stock. That is one of the most important things we can do to tackle climate change. In a sense, we are talking about the order we do it in. If we do someone a bit early when we would have had to do them later on, that’s not such a big problem. If you are treating stock where someone has an income that is a bit above the poverty line, incomes vary and people move between properties. We must work our way round the whole housing stock eventually, so I would not be too nice about exactly how we set the objectives on the ground. We want things that by and large hit the right people in the right order, but if we can find relatively simple proxies that get us to the bulk of the problem, that is where we should start. Q318 Dr Whitehead: But that is a bit of a “which is to be master” problem from “Alice in Wonderland”. You may consider tackling all properties on the basis that they should be energy-efficient and thereby scoop up people who are in fuel poverty and eradicate fuel poverty. Alternatively, you may target those in fuel poverty and incidentally make considerable strikes towards the energy efficiency of properties. Professor Hills: You do the best you can, but you don’t get too hung up if somebody turns around afterwards and says, “Well, that person wasn’t really in fuel poverty,” because their income was £10 too high or their property was not quite as bad as somebody else’s. We will need to get there eventually, but yes, you do want to set a priority order, and you want to look at anybody on a low income who is living in a property with an energy efficiency certificate rating of E, F or G. Those properties need to be brought up to standard. You do not need to do a lot of calculation to see whether somebody fits those characteristics. Q319 Dr Whitehead: But previous schemes missed by 40% or 50%. Jan Rosenow: Yes. If you look at the proxies that have been used under CERT, they are mainly income and age. The same will be the case under Affordable Warmth, like many income and means-tested benefits. Only about 30% of households on means-tested benefits are actually fuel-poor under the current definition, and only 19% of all pensioners. The proxies we are using to identify fuel-poor households are not that precise. I think, however, that Affordable Warmth is more targeted than previous schemes. I have seen some analysis from York university saying that about 37% of all the beneficiaries will be fuelpoor households under the current definition, compared with about 20% to 25% under the CERT priority order. So it is an improvement, but we are still quite a long way off. The main reason for that, as John pointed out, is that we are not looking at the energy efficiency of the property under the current indicators. We are focusing on income, benefits and age, but not the actual properties and their energy efficiency ratings. Q320 Dr Whitehead: I am trying to get a better feel for this. Is it effectively being suggested that that level of inaccuracy is okay for future schemes, inasmuch as that is about the best you can do? Jan Rosenow: I don’t think it is. I think area-based approaches achieve a higher targeting efficiency if they are done properly, not just by focusing on income. I think CESP was also based on income, looking at the bottom 10% of the income deciles. Again, that doesn’t achieve a very high targeting efficiency. I think you have to design area-based approaches in a way that captures low efficiency and low income. By that you achieve a very high targeting efficiency. Dr Eyre: I think that is in the spirit of what John was saying about doing well rather than perfectly. Ideally, we would know the fuel poverty status of every household and go through them in order, starting with the deepest, but in practice, we are not going to be in that position. Rather than looking for low-income, high-cost households, looking for low-income, lowefficiency areas is probably a reasonable way to do it, and it has the outcomes you suggest. The targeting is not perfectly efficient, but it is better than a nationally based approach. Q321 Sir Robert Smith: If it is area-based, does it also make roll-out and delivery more efficient? Dr Eyre: Certainly, for some measures like external wall insulation. If you could go up my street and do a block of 30 at a time, it would be more effective. It also says something about the delivery agent. Large multinational energy suppliers actually don’t know very much about the housing stock. That is one reason why they have struggled with parts of CERT, I think; they don’t know much about their customer base in terms of its income characteristics, or about the housing stock in particular areas. That would indicate that we should be looking to more trusted and more local organisations for delivery, whether that is local authorities or the third sector. There are many options open. I am not convinced that fuel poverty is best done through the big six energy companies, and I actually think the big six are not convinced it is best done through them either. There is perhaps a degree of agreement that often does not exist on these issues. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 58 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow Q322 Dr Whitehead: SSE has suggested, for example, a central register or clearing house agency to match customers and presumably allocate them to energy companies in some way. Would that work better? Would that work? Dr Eyre: Well, if you’re going to do it through an energy company obligation, yes, you need some mechanism like that. I guess I am saying that in the longer term, maybe an energy company obligation is not the right way to address fuel poverty delivery. Professor Hills: In terms of delivery, I think there is an opportunity here, which I think some housing associations are taking up, but one of the great unsung success stories of the recent period has been the huge improvement in the energy efficiency of the social housing stock and the success of the decent homes programme, under the last Government. But what that means is that social landlords have actually got experience of doing this stuff in their own property— they need to do more; we need to push further on that—and they also have local knowledge. Some of them are quite dispersed and quite large, but a lot of them do have local knowledge and, to some extent, are those trusted agents. It seems to me there is a big opportunity here for social landlords who have been doing this to become—whatever mechanism you have for financing—the intermediary that helps people do all of this. I hope that is something the sector takes up. Q323 Dr Whitehead: Returning to Nick’s point about ECO and the way that might take up the torch, certainly there is a fair amount of evidence suggesting that, as far as the individual approach is concerned, energy companies, in discharging their obligation, are not likely to go for people in fuel poverty living in solid wall homes and would perhaps prefer to do a partial arrangement with a “better level” of customer, who would be partly taking the green deal up and partly doing ECO. Dr Eyre: Yes, I think it is important to distinguish— ECO is essentially there to replace both Warm Front in England and the CERT super-priority group approach. It is actually two things. It is important to distinguish between the affordable warmth bit of ECO and ECO in general. I am sure you are right. For ECO—the ECO carbon saving—the energy companies will be looking to factor in Green Deal money or customers’ money generally. That is the only way they are going to deliver that costeffectively. Affordable Warmth, I suspect, will look more like the CERT super-priority group approach. Q324 Dr Whitehead: Yes, but that will be one way. An energy company will go to a local authority and say, “Can you please discharge x percentage of our obligation by doing up all your system-built homes? Thank you very much. We will then leave the area.” Dr Eyre: I think that is our best guess at the moment, yes. Professor Hills: Affordable Warmth itself I don’t think applies to social housing. Others will probably know better than me on that. CSCO probably could cover it, but the Affordable Warmth part does not. There is clearly a crucial issue in the administration of all of this, which is that the potential of there being, effectively, a market in all of this through ECO is that you get the most cost-effective delivery. So you do want people to be catching the low-hanging fruit and to be doing this in the most cost-effective way. You then get more done for the money that is being put on people’s bills or, if it was tax-funded, from people’s taxes—but in this case through their bills—but the rules and the monitoring of those rules have to be set up in a way that does not allow the energy companies, or the people who have the obligation on them, effectively to cheat by doing things that don’t really meet your objective. I have, still sitting in a drawer, a whole load of light bulbs that a former energy company sent to me—not even one I was still using—because it met one of their obligations. That kind of extreme game playing has been ruled out, but it will be a continuing tension all the way through—and this is maybe Jan’s area in particular: making sure that the rules that apply to the obligation are in line with, and can only be met by, measures that really achieve your objective will be crucial. Q325 Dr Whitehead: But are we not back to the “who is to be master” problem? Let us say you are doing an area envelopment scheme and you are keen to get value out of that, obviously, in terms of reducing the unit cost, and you might then deal with a lot of properties in an area. You might then, depending on what part of ECO you are working with, work with a housing association and go out into private properties in the area and get the whole scheme working, at which point you have completely gone off the question of the extent to which fuel poor households might in any way be identified. The DWP is increasingly sharing data, is it not, on identification? Are there ways in which that DWP data sharing could be allied with those schemes to target better? If the target were better, would that be at the cost of the efficiency of the operation? Jan Rosenow: I think the response rate to the letter that the DWP sent out was very low. They sent a letter to all eligible households, but few of them responded to that. It is a problem of self-identification, I guess, and people voluntarily saying, “I would be interested in receiving measures.” There might be some data issues with the DWP providing energy companies with those data. That is why it sent out that letter, but the letter did not lead to the desired response rates. There is an issue about data protection and about getting uptake from eligible householders who are not responding to the offers. Professor Hills: We have two problems. One is that with the warm home discount there is matching of data between the DWP and the energy companies. Some people get a reduction off their bill if they opt in. Obviously, a lot of people in that kind of situation do not take it up, so you miss some of the people who you want. There is also a problem that not all of the people on low income who you are worried about are receiving means-tested benefits. There is a group that you are worried about that the DWP does not even know about. The people you are most worried about are those who are entitled to means-tested benefits of cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 59 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow one kind or another and do not claim them, because they are the ones left furthest below the poverty line. Again, you would not want to have a system where you counted it as a failure that you had not reached some households who had low incomes—you do not have a good way of measuring that—but were not claiming benefits, because it is another of these areas where your targeting is inevitably fuzzy. It is never going to be completely precise. You can monitor on a national scale how well you are doing, but unless we have vast amounts of data sharing and households reporting more of their circumstances to authorities than they do at the moment, we will never have anything that is perfect. The idea that what you want is something that is good, rather than perfect, is important. Jan Rosenow: May I add to that? The question you raised is very important: how much of the ECO funding will go to fuel-poor households, especially with the carbon saving obligation, although not so much with the Affordable Warmth scheme? The impact assessment that DECC put out last year suggested that most of the activities would focus on the larger properties—wealthier households—and there is a big question mark over whether the privaterented sector will benefit. Under CERT, I think 5% of all the households that received benefits were privately rented, but nationally 13% to 14% of households are privately rented. It was the same with CESP. There is a question mark as to how this important sector for fuel poverty will benefit from the obligation. Q326 Albert Owen: You have touched on many of the points I was going to raise, but I wanted to recap on ECO. There will be less funding for ECO than for the previous Warm Front scheme. How can we maximise that ECO? Are you suggesting that we move away from targeting individual households and go to community-based schemes? Is that the general view of the three of you? Jan Rosenow: It is certainly my view that that would be a more cost-effective approach. There would be a higher targeting efficiency by doing that. How exactly you design the scheme is complex. One would want to look into it. In general that would be a better approach compared with what we are doing now. Q327 Albert Owen: It would be less hit and miss in terms of individual households and the data available. Is that what you are suggesting? Jan Rosenow: Yes, I think looking at the individual household is a strategy that proved quite difficult under the super-priority group in CERT. Suppliers found it quite difficult to identify households. Also, the targeting efficiency of doing that was quite low. We have seen that 30% of SPG customers, or maybe a bit more, were in fuel poverty, so an area-based approach might be more desirable to increase the targeting efficiency and to make delivery more cost effective. Dr Eyre: I broadly agree with that. It is important to bear in mind that there will be households with a big fuel poverty gap who are not in the areas that would be targeted, so keeping a balance between individual entitlement and an area-based approach is probably the right way forward. That is essentially what is being proposed in ECO, and when we see the final evaluation of CESP we may know a bit more about the relative strengths and weaknesses. I do not have a problem with ECO having its different elements; the biggest problem is that it is not big enough. Q328 Albert Owen (Ynys Môn) (Lab): But you did touch on this earlier: will it be a problem that there is less funding available for schemes per se? Dr Eyre: Yes. Professor Hills: I would agree that you are trying to achieve different things, and you therefore probably need all three elements. I would not put all my resources into community-based schemes. Our analysis based on the measurement framework I suggested did not show such a high hit rate on fuel poverty, if you target it by area of deprivation, for example. You have to have some other way of targeting, such as when a property was built and what sort of property it is, otherwise you might be doing a lot of good, but your hit rate of fuel-poor households will not be so large. Unfortunately, the problem is quite scattered, so some people will always be outside any of the areas that you identify, which is why it is right to have both kinds of targeting. You want to remember that there is another objective—carbon saving in general. If the carbon saving part of ECO achieves that, well and good. The royal household has very leaky palaces and we should be doing something that anyway, but it is just a different problem from fuel poverty. The issue is the balance between three different parts of ECO, and I think you have to look at the evidence of how well you can use either an area approach as your proxy for getting to the people you are trying to get to, and probably at lower cost because you can envelope things, or— Q329 Albert Owen: You indicated earlier that you felt that local authorities were better placed to deliver it. Yes? Professor Hills: They are not the only people, but many social landlords have experience of doing that, and they have knowledge of the areas they operate in and are more trusted agents than some of the alternatives. As part of the delivery pattern, I hope they will play a big role. Q330 Albert Owen: A large number of people, as you indicated, are off the gas grid. They may have the most energy-efficient houses in the country, yet they have to pay a lot of money for LPG or oil to cook and to heat their properties. How do we deal with them? Would it be better to spend money in those areas on ground source heating and the extension of gas mains, so that they have a more level playing field for their fuel prices? Professor Hills: You have to look at the value for money of any intervention. I have not done enough detailed work on that. Q331 Albert Owen: But there will some very energy-efficient households that are— cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 60 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow Professor Hills: If they are in very energy-efficient houses, the problem may not be large, even if they are off the gas grid. The ones I am really worried about are those in leaky old properties that are off the gas grid. There will be cases where different kinds of investment will be more valuable, but that will be on not a case-by-case basis but a type-by-type basis. Q332 Albert Owen: Do you think there should be a special taskforce for rural fuel poverty? Professor Hills: It’s an interesting idea. Albert Owen: I think you will find that the evidence is there to show that most fuel poverty is in peripheral and rural areas. Professor Hills: I’m not sure that is quite true. I haven’t revised the numbers in the last few days, but I think you will find that the problem is spread between rural and urban areas. What is important is that it is different in different places, so in some areas it is about being off the gas grid and having very high costs, but there is also a very large urban problem. Some people living in tower blocks are not on the gas grid because of restrictions on gas supply. Q333 Albert Owen: But many have the choice of switching to dual fuel, which those in rural and peripheral areas do not have. Professor Hills: Some do and some don’t. The people we are most worried about are people who do not have the resources to make the capital investments that can deal with these problems. That is one reason why fuel poverty is a particular problem. Those of us who are in a less energy-efficient property than it might be can afford to make investments that pay for themselves—the green deal, and so on, is supposed to help us do that—but giving somebody a low-interest loan, or a 6.9% interest loan, to deal with a problem when they do not have the money to pay the loan at all does not help. That is one of the reasons why fuel poverty is a particular problem. Q334 Albert Owen: That is important. Regarding the funding being decreased, through ECO, to previous schemes, you are indicating that the green deal is not the panacea to help with that. What else can we do? What other funding streams and extra money can be used to help these people? Jan Rosenow: One of the proposals that have been put forward—I am sure you are aware of it—is an energy bill revolution, recycling some of the EU ETS revenues and directing them into energy efficiency programmes. Broadly, that is an interesting idea that one should look at. But there are, generally, three funding streams that are available. One is Exchequer funding; one is looking at— Q335 Albert Owen: Sorry, but how would that work in practice? It is all right having these headlines, but what can the Exchequer do that will help fuel poverty tomorrow? Jan Rosenow: Warm Front is a prime example. Q336 Albert Owen: So it was wrong to abandon Warm Front. More money should have been put into it and it should have been more targeted. Jan Rosenow: That is one option. Warm Front became more targeted in the later stages. They introduced a SAP rating as one of the requirements in April 2011, if I remember correctly. The targeting efficiency for the proportion of fuel-poor households that received benefits from Warm Front was high—it was more than 70%, if we believe the models. So yes, in theory, that would be one of the approaches that could deliver more on fuel poverty, but based on the proposition that you actually have Exchequer funding for that programme. Dr Eyre: I think there is a case for looking, as Jan said, at the ETS revenues in particular. We all know it would be heresy with HM Treasury, because it counts as hypothecation, but actually these revenues have been raised in a particularly regressive way on people’s energy bills and there does seem at least some intuitive logic in applying them back to addressing fuel poverty issues. Sir Robert Smith: I suppose the problem is they are probably being spent at the moment. Dr Eyre: We all know there are problems with the public finances, yes. Q337 Sir Robert Smith: Just one thing. It is fairly obvious to those involved directly, but for those outside, a measure designed to reduce carbon emissions is probably not so effective in a fuel-poor household, because the fuel-poor household, by definition, is living in a cold environment. If you make the house more energy-efficient, they will use what money they have to continue to buy their heating to make better use of it. So you don’t reduce carbon, but you improve their health and lifestyle. Dr Eyre: You do not reduce carbon as much in the short term. In the long term, I would hope that everybody would live in a decently heated house and, therefore, in the long term it saves just as much carbon as doing the house that is properly heated now. Professor Hills: I would add that if we do not take action about people with low incomes living in energy efficient homes, we will then get a huge barrier to any measures that use the price mechanism to try to encourage better use of carbon. You have always got this group of people who are, as it were, in the front line and will be the people who suffer most from higher prices. So if you think that having a carbon price, or things that proxy for a carbon price, is part of how we meet carbon objectives in the long run, you have to deal with the problem of people with low incomes who are then hit by that. One of the biggest things that we can effectively do something about is energy efficiency, both in delivery of people’s energy and the energy efficiency and insulation of their home. Those two things go together. I do not think that fuel poverty is a separate problem from dealing with carbon. Dealing with fuel poverty is a necessary part of also being able to do things about carbon. Q338 Sir Robert Smith: Just one other thing that came up. You mentioned people who do not claim benefits. In effect, one of the quickest wins in trying to get people closer to being out of fuel poverty is to have benefit take-up campaigns and to make sure that cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 61 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow those who are entitled to them are actually getting the benefits. Professor Hills: Absolutely, and more generally, things that reduce the level of poverty will reduce the level of fuel poverty, so there is a whole series of measures. One of the suggestions that comes through the framework that I put forward is that we have traditionally thought of fuel poverty as being a problem of the elderly; but when you look at it in detail you see there are also quite a lot of workingage families with children who are facing very high costs compared with their income, and compared with the costs that other families face. If those families were out of poverty, the problem would be smaller. For each individual pound tackling this particular problem, energy efficiency is your best buy, but anything you do in general to reduce poverty and the extent of low incomes—getting people into work, or whatever—will also help. Jan Rosenow: These tensions, I think, go back quite a long way, back to 1994, when the first obligation was introduced. People were discussing exactly that: if we just have a market-based instrument that focuses on carbon and low cost, what will happen to lowincome households? That is why Ofgem—at the time, it was Offer—put in provisions for targeting vulnerable customers. Those tensions will never go away with an instrument that is market-driven and at the same time raises revenues via prices. There are certain tensions built into that instrument that you will always have to deal with. I think what is interesting is that for the first time we are actually using the obligation as a deliberate fuel poverty policy, whereas with CERT, EEC and EESoP, as they were called previously, they always said, “We have these provisions in there as social equity provisions, not necessarily in order to target fuel poverty.” Back in those days the Government were quite explicit that this was not a fuel poverty policy, whereas now they say exactly the opposite: it is a fuel poverty policy—and it is probably the most significant one after we terminated Warm Front in this country. So I think it is quite an interesting transition that we have seen, from a carbon market-based mechanism to a fuel poverty policy. Q339 Dr Whitehead: Where do you think the £1.3 billion that is being regarded as the amount that they will come to each year came from? Jan Rosenow: Do you mean, where did that figure come from? Dr Whitehead: Yes. Jan Rosenow: That is the figure that I have seen in the impact assessment that DECC produced, which is based—like previous obligations—on a list of the various measures that are likely to be taken up, and then the cost per measure. Dr Whitehead: I appreciate that it was in the impact assessment, but where did it actually come from? Jan Rosenow: I think this has been modelled within DECC, using various models, and they make assumptions—how many solid walls will we insulate? What is the cost per solid wall insulation? That is how they have come up with that figure. Q340 Dr Whitehead: Yes. The general wisdom, particularly in thoughts from energy companies, is that bearing in mind that that £1.3 billion is explicitly not capped in the levy control framework, costs could spiral up to more than £2 billion, perhaps £2.3 billion, in order to discharge obligations fully. Jan Rosenow: Yes. Dr Whitehead: Is that your view? That surely would represent a very serious impact, for example on the extent to which that cost gets carried over to bills. Dr Eyre: I think it is difficult to tell. I am wary of taking energy company judgment on this. They have a long history of telling us that obligations would cost more than the Government said, and then miraculously delivering them for less than the Government said. But I also think we need to be careful that they may not simply be crying wolf— the nature of ECO, with new and relatively expensive measures, is that actually nobody is very sure how much it will cost to deliver them. So there is a risk that the costs will be substantially higher than £1.3 billion, yes, but I don’t think you will find anybody who knows the answer to that question. Q341 Dr Whitehead: Will the competition between energy companies help to keep that cost down, with competing companies knocking on the doors of local authorities, saying “I can do all your system-build houses at half the cost of the other guys”? Jan Rosenow: Of course it will. I think it always has had that effect. That is one of the benefits of having a system with competition; energy suppliers will offer different prices for different measures and different contributions, so I think that it will help. However, I agree with Nick that there are huge uncertainties. DECC itself pointed out that there are uncertainties, ranging from £0.5 billion up to £3 billion per year— that was in the same impact assessment. I could not say where in that range the real figure lies—nobody can—but there are uncertainties attached to this. I also agree with Nick that we have seen that previous obligations have been delivered much more cheaply than the Government thought. I think they were about 20% cheaper than was initially modelled. The honest answer is that we do not know exactly how much it will cost, but there are risks. Q342 Dr Whitehead: The Committee on Climate Change has suggested that one way forward might be to put a cap on individual treatments, so you would say, for example, “You cannot treat a solid-walled property at greater than x cost.” Would that be selfdefeating, or would it be a way of maintaining costs? I have to say, first, that I am a little alarmed that nobody knows what the real cost is going to be; secondly, the £1.3 billion figure appears essentially to be made up. Thirdly, what we do know is that since it is an obligation, it will go on bills and will then be capped one way or another if the alarming truth comes out that we really do not know how much this is going to cost over a period of time. Are there ways in which that might be done less, rather than more painfully? Is the Committee on Climate Change on to something that might work? cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 62 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 9 May 2013 Professor John Hills, Dr Nick Eyre and Jan Rosenow Dr Eyre: I think you would have to be quite careful about that, because the way you would expect costs to work for newer measures, such as solid wall insulation, is that the costs would come down as the experience of delivering them goes up. You would expect the cost to be lower at the end of the obligation than at the beginning. So, if you capped at quite a low level, you risk nothing happening. You would then have to ask whether it is a quantity obligation or a price obligation. I do not think you can do both very easily. My worry would be that you would be telling people that they have to do something, but that they cannot do it at the cost for which it is available in the market. Professor Hills: You would also have to be a little careful about whether that would then become the norm. You put a cap on, at £10,000 or £8,000 or whatever—I don’t know what figure you or they are thinking of—and that becomes the standard. Dr Whitehead: It becomes a tariff. Professor Hills: Yes, and that could be very inefficient; but I don’t know. Dr Eyre: You would have to differentiate between different types of property and different types of insulation. I am not saying it’s not possible, but it would be a little more complex than saying, “It’s £5,000. That’s the answer.” Jan Rosenow: To some extent it will be driven by the golden rule of the green deal. You have cross-funding whereby part of the solid wall insulation is basically funded by the green deal, so the contribution the energy suppliers make will be determined by how much of the cost is funded by the green deal in that instance. To some extent, it is not a cap on the total cost, but the contribution will be determined by the golden rule, which has been built into the green deal—if that makes sense. Professor Hills: I think there is an issue of timing. My report was completed in spring last year; I think that most of the work on the ECO had been done by then. I very much hope that the Department has been paying attention to the analysis that we did in the report and that, as ECO evolves, they will be able to use the kind of framework that I put forward to help them design it. Given that I hadn’t written the report before the Department was doing the ECO and that they didn’t tell me what to write, it would have been quite hard for them to have taken account of it; but I hope they are now doing so. Q344 Dr Whitehead: Do you think they should do that in any specific ways? I guess this is a question of redesign rather than design. Professor Hills: Of ECO? Dr Whitehead: For example, in terms of the in-depth fuel poverty cohort. Professor Hills: Whatever action is taken, through whatever form, I hope that what I think is an insight in trying to identify people who have got the worst problems, and trying to think through how you actually find them on the ground, could be helpful to them. I hope that, in the last year, since I did all of this, that people who do that kind of analysis have been pushing it further and that their work on the promised fuel poverty strategy will be informed by that and will be better informed than my report was. So I hope that what we have given DECC—not just DECC, but other parts of Government as well—is a tool that they can use to get on with it and deal with this really pressing national problem. Chair: Thank you very much indeed for that interesting and useful session. Q343 Dr Whitehead: Professor Hills, do you think the Department looked at your report at all when designing the ECO? If not, should it have? Examination of Witness Witness: Gervase MacGregor, Head of Advisory Services, BDO LLP, gave evidence. Q345 Chair: Good morning. Thank you for coming along and helping us address some of the more complex issues that this inquiry is covering. Could I start generally? The background, in looking at the accounts, is a level of public distrust now of energy companies, some of which is possibly justified—they have sometimes contributed to it by things they have done—and some of it may just be based on people’s difficulty in understanding the information that is available. Were there particular recommendations in the BDO review that you think would have addressed that issue of distrust and would have genuinely improved the transparency of accounts? Gervase MacGregor: Yes, but with time. Shall I give some context as to our approach to this? Chair: By all means, yes. Gervase MacGregor: Obviously, I am an accountant and accountants love figures and data, and if we are trying to make some sort of comparison between one company and another, one wants that data to have a level of consistency across the companies you are trying to compare. The other thing is that you cannot fix something like this in one year—one set of financial statements or one set of CSSs—you have to look at it over a period of time. The recommendations that I put to Ofgem in view, had they been implemented, over a period of time would have led certainly to more transparency over the performance of the six companies. Of course, more transparency and more data—first, making comparisons and, secondly, looking at how things changed over time—may well have led to more questions. I think that is probably inevitable. But over, say, probably a three-year period at the very least, you cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 63 9 May 2013 Gervase MacGregor would have got more information out of it, and possibly—probably—a greater understanding of people who read these things and what is going on. Q346 Chair: Who do you think does read these things? Gervase MacGregor: Analysts, I am sure; people like yourselves; probably, people like the gentlemen who have been speaking before. I appreciate that there is an interest in the financial performance of the energy companies, and that people trying to understand that will reach a brick wall when it comes to trying to interpret what, these days, are relatively complex documents—financial statements. They become even more complex when you have businesses which are undertaking a number of different activities: generation, trading and supply. Q347 Chair: Ideally, we would like a world in which these sorts of statements are accessible for consumers to understand as well. I am sure the average electricity or gas consumer does not plough their way through the various notes to the accounts of the big six companies. Is there a way in which these statements can be made more accessible and understandable to consumers, rather than their having to go through some intermediary such as the Daily Mail? Gervase MacGregor: At the moment it is very difficult. I think, as far as any set of accounts is concerned, this is a debate about education and the extent to which individuals in this country get properly educated in respect of financial matters. Unless you can understand the most basic set of accounts it is quite difficult to understand a set of sophisticated accounts, which means that you are reliant on an intermediary. I don’t know about the Daily Mail—well, it probably is the Daily Mail and some of the other newspapers that look at these things on an informed basis. Chair: I’m one of the few members of the Committee who started life as an investment analyst, and even I find the accounts quite difficult sometimes to penetrate. Gervase MacGregor: It hasn’t got any easier. A lot more information is provided these days in respect of business in their financial statements. It hasn’t got a lot easier to understand what’s going on. Q348 Chair: Is there any way that we can make the bills for domestic and non-domestic consumers a little more instructive and informative about the profits of the companies? Gervase MacGregor: That is an interesting question. A lot of people read their bills with horror, rather than anything else, these days. Putting more financial information on those things would probably scare people off. I have read some of the evidence that some of the big six gave on the transparency of bills and the various regulations that they try to meet when they put information in there. If you want something that fixes it for everybody, it is just not there. I’m afraid you have to do a bit of work to understand what’s going on in these things. Q349 Chair: Ofgem suggested some time ago that “retail prices do not always track wholesale costs closely, partly because retail margins act as an internal hedge for generation profits.” You could argue, therefore, that both generation and supply are part of the same overall market strategy, and should be considered together when you are evaluating whether the big six prices are fair and justified. Gervase MacGregor: One could look at that, but then you would have to put trading in the middle. You left out trading, there. Trading, to the extent that it is not included within the financial statements of companies operating in this country, is quite an important part of their overall business model. Q350 Albert Owen: You mentioned your review and Ofgem’s response to it, and you identified eight recommendations. After consultation, Ofgem effectively decided not to take them forward in the original form. Why do you think the BDO recommendations were not taken up? Gervase MacGregor: I am going to start by saying that you will have to ask the individuals at Ofgem why that was the case. My view, based on our discussions with Ofgem, is that there was a concern about the ability of the companies concerned to adjust to some of these changes, and perhaps a concern about the costs that would be incurred. I have a particular view about that, but I think that was probably driving some of the thought there. I have some sympathy with that, but not a lot. I saw in one of the companies’ letters in response to the consultation that they welcomed the fact that there was not going to be an independent auditor crawling all over this, because they didn’t see why they should pass on the cost of the audit to the customer. That seemed to be a strange way of looking at a way of dealing with something like this. I doubt that is the case at all, actually. Q351 Albert Owen: So you think it is to do with the costs? Could you explain to the Committee what the costs and benefits of your recommendations are? Gervase MacGregor: In respect of each of the eight recommendations, I went through and identified what I thought—I wrote the recommendation relatively clearly, and then went through them saying what the benefits are. They are principally what I have talked about before: transparency, consistency and comparability—to give a better insight into what is going on as far as these businesses are concerned. On costs, the first recommendation, which seemed relatively sensible, was about each company having a coterminous year-end, or at least producing their CSSs on a coterminous basis because the business is seasonal. If you have one—you used to have two— with a March year-end and the other four with a December year-end, it makes comparison a little difficult. You only have one now, and moving SSE to a December year-end will have a one-off year cost. That is how I identified the benefit. The benefit there is greater comparability between companies, and the cost is the cost that one of them has in producing 12month information to December or changing its accounting reference date. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 64 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 9 May 2013 Gervase MacGregor Q352 Albert Owen: In pounds, how much would it have cost the big six to follow your recommendations? Gervase MacGregor: I don’t know; I didn’t cost that. I don’t know, for example, how much it would cost SSE to go from a March year-end to a December yearend. It would have to accelerate one year’s audit and financial preparation. Scottish changed its year-end not long ago from March to December, and you could probably find out from it how much it cost. I doubt that it cost a lot given the overall size of such businesses. Q353 Sir Robert Smith: One of your recommendations was an independent audit of statements, and Ofgem came up with the idea of independent opinions. What is the difference between auditing and an independent opinion? Gervase MacGregor: What it got is a review. That is what it ended up with. The Ofgem recommendation said: “We propose obtaining an independent opinion…but not necessarily from an auditor”. It has ended up with a review. An audit will look at the information in the CSSs and how that relates back to the underlying financial information. It will give some level of assurance—that is the point of audit—that that segmental information has been correctly prepared and stated. The review does not do anything like that. As I understand it, it is a desktop review with no enquiries made of the companies or their auditors. In some respects, it is the sort of thing that any of us who are suitably qualified could do. What you get is not an assurance certificate from the accountant doing the work but, in technical terms, an agreed-upon procedures report with a series of tests to make sure things add up and that there is a reconciliation, and reciting that that is what has been done. It does not give an assurance. Q354 Sir Robert Smith: How often would you have had the audit done? Gervase MacGregor: Once a year, at the same time as the CSSs came out. Q355 Sir Robert Smith: So it’s all about giving the wider consumer market confidence in the information. Gervase MacGregor: Yes, it is. If you look at the work that was done by the independent accountant, it identified issues around—I am sorry to be technical again—differences in GAAP between groups of companies that are essentially non-UK and those that are essentially UK-based. There were issues in trying to do those reconciliations. There was no overall view of the six as a whole to try to work out whether there was any comparability. Essentially, you continue to have six CSSs which you can only really read on a stand-alone basis, and six separate reports by the independent accountant on those six CSSs. Q356 Chair: On trading, which a lot of people are suspicious about as a way of—well, it reduces transparency and gives companies some flexibility about where they move their profits to, and so on. Your recommendation was that trading activity should be included in the segmental accounts. Gervase MacGregor: Correct. Chair: Ofgem did not require that. They have this checklist. Do you think that their checklist is satisfactory? Gervase MacGregor: No, not at all. My recommendation was including the trading in the segmental accounts, not a checklist. The checklist is possibly open to interpretation. I don’t know the value of it. Including the trading gives you a much better idea of the total picture of the financial performance of the companies, if that is what you are trying to get to. The review was—my instruction was—to look at improving the way these CSSs are prepared. Quite frankly, I would much prefer to see numbers, rather than a checklist with some ticks on it. Q357 Chair: Why would the companies resist this? Why wouldn’t they do it voluntarily? Gervase MacGregor: Companies don’t necessarily do things voluntarily if it requires more work or if it means putting out information into the market. Why would a company do something if it doesn’t need to do it? Chair: I was trying to work it out—okay, on the cost factor, you might not think it was an enormous cost to separate that out. Gervase MacGregor: I very much doubt that the cost of producing trading information is that great. Chair: Exactly. Gervase MacGregor: Just think about it. One independent trading entity had, I think, turnover in 2011 of €175 billion. That seems to me to be an awful lot of trading and a lot of positions being taken during the year. I would be astonished if those companies did not have pretty granular information about those trades during the year, and if they did not, I think we should all be a bit worried. Q358 Chair: So we can eliminate cost as being a genuine reason for not doing this. It seems to me that their reluctance to do so voluntarily is only going to reinforce the suspicion that this is an activity which can be used to confuse the whole picture—to obscure what is really going on. Gervase MacGregor: I can certainly see why people would take that view; it is a natural suspicion. I have to say that when I spoke to them—I spoke to a number of the finance directors of these companies in a relatively informal way, as part of the review but just to try to get their views on things—I came away with a sense of their willingness and desire to improve their transparency and to engage properly on these things, but not really knowing how to do it. You cannot expect just one of them to do it. It probably requires a direction that all of them have to do it, otherwise any single one is not going to take that decision. Q359 Chair: Yes. But taking EDF as an example: they have EDF Trading—a subsidiary of the French parent company—which made £513 million in 2011. I am not sure it is the same year, but there was a big inter-company loan. The opportunity to move profits around, if you’ve got a trading company, is considerable, is it not? cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 65 9 May 2013 Gervase MacGregor Gervase MacGregor: Just a couple of things. As far as that inter-company loan is concerned, all the information which I have been looking at is on a preinterest basis: EBIT—earnings before interest and tax—and EBITDA, which is earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation. So really, the CSSs do not go down to that interest level; that is the first thing. The second thing is that, if there is a loan from the holding company, under the normal rules you cannot be taking penal rates of interest out of one company— one jurisdiction—and sticking them into another company, because the Revenue services are going to challenge that. I have no doubt about that. Yes, in trading and the transfer pricing aspects of trading, as between generation and supply, of course there is an opportunity for profits to be moved around, within certain parameters. There is no doubt about it. Q360 Chair: It seems to me that if Ofgem had accepted your recommendation on this particular matter, that would have been at least a step in the direction of greater transparency and improving the trust which is, at the moment, conspicuously absent. Gervase MacGregor: That’s why I recommended it. It was all about improving the quality of those CSSs and the reporting, and that is why I recommended that trading be put in. Q361 Chair: Is the trading done like an investment bank just trying to make money on the market, or is it done as a genuine hedge to reduce the risks that these businesses are facing? Gervase MacGregor: I think it’s quite complicated, actually, what you are doing. On one side, you have a generation business; on the other, you have a retail business. My understanding, from going through how the trading is undertaken by each of the companies, is this. First of all, on the amount of speculative trading— that is, taking vast positions simply by betting that the gas price will go up or down, depending perhaps on the weather—for all intents and purposes we can put that to one side, because not much of it goes on. But we are not talking about that. What we are talking about is the companies themselves trying to work out what the future is going to look like as far as demand is concerned and then coming up with pricing modelling to manage that risk over the period of time. That is what they are doing as far as the trading is concerned. They are basically trying to work out what future demand is and keep their costs of purchase to a minimum, because of course the closer you get to needing power, if you do not have a contract which will give you that power, the more money it will cost you. Q362 Chair: In terms of their reluctance to make these disclosures, if they are all required to do it, there’s no commercial reason why they shouldn’t disclose the possibility of trading activity separately, is there? Gervase MacGregor: No, not at all. The problem would be if they were required—if I recommended something like this, I think I would get in trouble with the Competition Commission—to disclose their future strategy regarding the market. I am sure that any one of them would like to know what the others, in particular one of them, is doing as far as its future purchases are concerned. That would be uncompetitive, so I am not in any way recommending it. Chair: I don’t think anyone who reflects on it would suggest that; but that objection, of course, does not apply to historical activities. Gervase MacGregor: No. Q363 Dr Whitehead: In the report you not only mentioned concerns about transfer pricing but suggested that further work should be done on that. What sort of further work did you have in mind, and what particular concerns motivated your recommendation? Gervase MacGregor: I am going to come back to the trading point on this, and explain why. My concern is not about transfer pricing as a way of shifting profits between taxing jurisdictions, because actually, when you look at the ownership of these groups—UK, Germany, France—if you are worried about transfer pricing as far as moving profits away from highertax jurisdictions is concerned, they wouldn’t do that, because the higher-tax jurisdictions are France and Germany. My concern is not about tax revenues being shifted around to minimise tax; my concern is much more about trying to understand the agreements which have been entered into with trading, and trying to work out, particularly where you have brokerage arrangements, whether the price being charged in the centre by the trader is a fair reflection of the risks being borne by that trader, as opposed to the risks which go with the generation and retail sides of the business. Q364 Dr Whitehead: So the fair apportionment of risk down the line where a company is essentially trading with itself? Gervase MacGregor: That is absolutely right; so, if you think about it, the least risky part of the business shouldn’t be paying a risk premium at all in respect of any transaction; they should be receiving something, whereas it is the other way round for the most risky part of the business. It was really about trying to go much more in depth—and I didn’t get into this at all— to get into some sort of detail as to how that was working in respect of the companies and their trading, what benchmarking they were using, and whether the apportionment of risk was fair. Q365 Dr Whitehead: The relationship between hedging strategies, buying long in the market and churning trading over on a number of occasions— coming up to the day-ahead market, for example— appears, certainly to the outside observer, to give a number of opportunities, shall we say, to transfer price and risk, particularly the three or four churns in trading that may take place between the long position and the— Gervase MacGregor: That is precisely my point—to try to understand the transfer pricing arrangements, to see exactly what is going on, to see whether there is cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 66 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 9 May 2013 Gervase MacGregor a fair apportionment of risk. Now, as far as that trading over two to three— Q366 Dr Whitehead: It is not just about risk, though, is it? It is about the question of the extent to which, as it were, you are buying ahead because of your dominant position in the market. You can then retrade as you get closer and closer to day-ahead, possibly on a transfer basis or conceivably to your own or the collective advantage. Gervase MacGregor: Yes, there are two very good points there. First of all, there is nothing suspicious about trading and hedging itself, and thinking into the future. It is a perfectly rational business activity, especially for these businesses. It is completely seasonal—the sun’s out, the sun goes in, that sort of thing—and allows them to try to work out what demand is. Of course, your view of demand is going to change over a two to three-year period. The great thing about being able to forward-buy and forwardsell is that you can change your mind as many times as you want up until the point when you actually have to buy something and deliver something. I don’t necessarily have a problem with a company wanting to change its forward-buying on a regular basis if it just starts reading the market differently, which of course it is bound to do. On your other point, about the dominant position, that is a big competition issue, really, isn’t it? I have to say that you have got one very big buyer and retailer of gas. I am sure that everybody else would like to work out what it is going to be doing as far as the market is concerned, because by definition if you are that big a player in gas of course you are going to have some effect on future prices. It must be the case. Q367 Dr Whitehead: So the big six, collectively, make the market as well as deal with the market, as it were. Gervase MacGregor: They do, but they don’t act, really, as a coherent group. I think what is probably happening is that each of them is trying to guess what the others are doing and five of them are trying to guess what Centrica is doing, just because of its market position. Q368 Dr Whitehead: You also have the development within some companies that are effectively offering their service as a wing under which smaller companies can shelter. The small company effectively takes on the trading arrangements of the larger company, perhaps from an efficiency point of view buying into its services so that it doesn’t have to do it. Is that something that has an effect on that market dominance, or is it a wholly rational device from which everyone benefits? Gervase MacGregor: It is not something I have looked at, but from that description, and from some of the transcripts I have read of previous sessions, I would say that you have a market, which is made up some very big players and some big players. It then gets down to smaller and smaller parts of the market. In a market, you like to have smaller and larger players, so that the market works properly and you have an ability for somebody to take on power, just as others have small amounts of power and just as you have the ability for small generators of power to come into the market and provide it when it is necessary. Q369 Dr Whitehead: But in this market you do not have smaller and larger players. You have very, very large players and very, very small players. The concern that I was raising was that the very, very small players would have to undertake an entire market operation—the whole lot—were they to trade entirely independently. Actually, they come in under the wing, as it were, and track the large company’s trades, a little like the Costa Rican economy running on the dollar. In fact, that company is effectively trading for them and then giving them the benefit of that for their subsequent operations. That seems on the one hand to be of benefit to that very small player, but on the other hand it is further consolidation of the way the market works. Gervase MacGregor: It is not something that I know about in detail, but it may well be that small players coming in and doing that essentially means nothing more than that they are acting almost as agents of the big players. Therefore, as you say, there is big consolidation. Why are the large companies doing this for the small companies? There will be some rationalist, capitalist reason, even if it is just responding to regulatory and media pressure. Q370 Sir Robert Smith: You identify that the EU emissions trading scheme allowances were treated differently in the different segmental accounts. What does that do to the overall presentation, and do you have any thoughts on why it has come about? Gervase MacGregor: They just treat things differently. One of my recommendations—again, I take you to my overall contextual point at the beginning—was that if you are going to do things and look at comparability, you need the information compared on a consistent basis. The carbon credits and things like that are just one of a number of areas where I was recommending that you need to start from the same base point. You need to have a consistent approach to exceptional items, for example. You need to reconcile back to the same starting points—EBIT or EBITDA. Otherwise, as I said before, you end up with six statements that mean something on their own but do not really mean anything as a group. Q371 Sir Robert Smith: So would you treat them in the same way as trading. Gervase MacGregor: Yes. I would treat them so there was consistency across the piece and so that when one looked at the CSSs, one could see how, on a company by company basis, one could make a valid comparison. Q372 Chair: In the review that Ofgem did of the 2010 segmental accounts statements, it noted that four of the big six had made significant accounting adjustments—in one case, £340 million—which had the effect of reducing the stated profits. Do you think that there should be a good method of presenting exceptional items, so that they cannot apparently be used to reduce profitability? cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG03 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_030593_o003_odeth_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 67 9 May 2013 Gervase MacGregor Gervase MacGregor: It is one of the things that Ofgem did take up in terms of getting a consistent approach as far as exceptional items are concerned. As far as reducing exceptional items is concerned, you are going to have, company by company, events that give rise to these sorts of things. They are not necessarily bad things. If you have a massive impairment charge because something has happened, of itself that as an exceptional item is not a bad thing, but you do need the ability to strip it out of the ongoing activities so you can understand what the underlying financial performance has been. Q373 Chair: The existence of exceptional items does make it slightly harder to make consistent comparisons across the industry, doesn’t it? Gervase MacGregor: It does. It is certainly true that some companies are a bit more free with their use of exceptional items than others, depending what it is they are trying to show as far as their level of profitability is concerned. One wants to be able to adjust to that. If it has not been stripped out or if it is something that was an exceptional item where perhaps there was an element of judgment over it and it should not have been, you need to be able to adjust for those things across the companies to aid comparability. Q374 Chair: An accounting adjustment is effectively a paper transaction, or a paper calculation by the company. It does not necessarily have any bearing on how much cash the business has generated from one activity or another. Gervase MacGregor: Well, it might do. Your big impairment charges obviously do not have any cash effect at all. If you are going through some sort of reorganisation and you are paying out genuine money to restructure something then that may well have—it probably will have—a cash impact. Q375 Chair: Is there anything else you think we should have asked you that you have not told us? Gervase MacGregor: No, it has been very comprehensive. Thank you for the questions. Chair: Thank you for coming in. It has been very useful for us. Gervase MacGregor: Thank you. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [SE] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 68 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Tuesday 21 May 2013 Members present: Mr Tim Yeo (Chair) Dan Byles Barry Gardiner Ian Lavery Dr Philip Lee Mr Peter Lilley Albert Owen Christopher Pincher John Robertson Sir Robert Smith Dr Alan Whitehead ________________ Examination of Witnesses Witnesses: Andrew Wright, Interim Chief Executive, Markets, Ofgem, and Sarah Harrison, Senior Partner, Sustainable Development, Ofgem, gave evidence. Q376 Chair: Good afternoon. Welcome back to the Committee. Thank you for coming in. As you know, there is quite a lot of interest in this particular subject. I wonder if I could start by asking why Ofgem decided not to act on the recommendations from BDO, which you commissioned to review the consolidated segmental statements. Andrew Wright: Yes, good afternoon. First of all, thank you very much to the Committee for the opportunity to give evidence today. It is probably worth taking a step back. Around about three or four years ago, when we were conducting the energy market probe, I think only one company published separate accounts for its retail business in the UK. That was British Gas. All the other companies either combined those accounts with other businesses in the UK or, in some cases, other businesses internationally. We thought it was important that consumers, for reasons of confidence, had sight of these accounts; so we put in place a licence condition requiring companies to publish separate segmented accounts for generation and supply, supply divided into gas, electricity, domestic and non-domestic. That is a significant improvement in transparency. When we did the RMR, I think there were some concerns about the comparability of these accounts, the approaches companies took to transfer pricing, and we asked BDO to help us look at ways to improve these segmented accounts. We didn’t have to do this. This was something we asked them to do because we wanted to make these accounts as useful for consumers and indeed for competitors, as possible. BDO put forward eight recommendations. We accepted, pretty much completely, five of them. We had good reasons not to accept the other three. Just to be absolutely clear, we are the decision-maker here. It is for us to decide whether or not the changes are necessary, proportionate and whether they meet our cost benefit requirements. As for the three that we did not include, one was to require the companies to publish trading profits; one was to requiring all companies to publish on a common year-end; and I think the third one was to do further further work on transfer pricing, looking at the implications of our approach of requiring the companies to look at transfer pricing based on current wholesale prices. If you like, I can go into each of them in turn. Generally, we did not accept those three recommendations because they did not meet our criterion of meeting our cost benefit analysis, so we did not think that the cost associated with the usefulness of the information released would be in the interests of consumers. Q377 Chair: On the question of trading activities, though, the costs would not be very great. These activities must be recorded in the books of the companies and audited. I am not quite sure why the cost point comes in there. “Not including trading activities” means we do not have a complete picture of what the companies are doing. Andrew Wright: I think this is the one that is gaining the most attention out of these three recommendations that we didn’t accept. First and foremost, I would say that BDO have said that there is no reason to expect that the companies are not giving a fair picture of the profits in the segmented statements and there is no evidence to support the view that profits are being taken out into trading businesses. Having said that, because we do not necessarily have a full picture of all the relationships between the licensed businesses and the trading businesses, we accept that there is a possibility there are some missing pieces of information. If we were to require companies to publish their trading figures, there would be two ways of doing that and BDO highlighted this. They talked about a narrow approach that would require us just to look at the trading profits associated with the UK businesses and not to inquiry any further than that. BDO themselves said that would be of marginal value and potentially confusing. The other possibility is a more in-depth and detailed approach, which would require the companies to disclose trading profits associated with businesses outside of the UK and to divide those trading profits into proprietary trading, speculative trading and trading associated with hedging and procurement. BDO themselves accepted that that information would be difficult to get hold of. There is a question of whether companies overseas are required to give us that information and it would be quite intrusive in terms of requiring companies to do a lot of analysis. We agree with that and our view is that in order for this information to be useful to customers, it would be significantly intrusive and even then, there would be question marks about whether companies had correctly allocated between speculative and hedging and whether or not there were cross-border contracts that we did not have sight of, because we would not cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 69 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison necessarily have the power to make companies disclose profits they were making overseas, for example. So all of these questions would still arise. To get to the bottom of it absolutely we would have to require the companies to run their businesses differently. I think the view we have always taken is that is not appropriate in a competitive market where companies should be free to organise their businesses as they see fit. Q378 Chair: The problem is that that fails to address the fact that there is now a complete breakdown of consumer confidence in the trustworthiness and, indeed, the integrity to some extent, of these companies who have a very dominant position in the market. It is very hard for smaller companies to get into this business and, therefore, at best it is an oligopoly. All the evidence we have shows considerable consumer suspicion about the way they are treated by the Big Six in particular. You will be aware that the performance of Ofgem has come under scrutiny, particularly from the Opposition. Given that, I would have thought that it would be a pretty obvious thing to get the information. It is an incomplete picture. Of course it may be complex to get to the bottom of it, but that seems to be all the more reason for making a good effort at doing so. We have companies that are operating in all aspects of the industry as generators, retailers and traders. The scope for them to continue at least appearing to pull the wool over people’s eyes remains almost unchecked. Andrew Wright: I can understand that any possibility of a gap in this information is unsatisfactory. Companies organise their businesses as they see fit on an international basis, they combine their procurement activity and their trading activity and take all of their optimisation of their generation portfolio and their supply position through the same trading book—that is arguably an efficient way of running these businesses. Unless we prevent them doing that and require them, as indeed we do in our regulated business, to run separate ring-fenced supply businesses in the UK and prevent them from benefiting from those types of synergies, it is difficult to see how we can get to the bottom of it. We could ask them to provide more information on a tokenistic basis, but I don’t think it would actually shed a great deal more light on what is going on. Just to come back to it, the situation is an awfully lot better than it was three years ago and you can thank Ofgem for having made those changes. BDO made it very clear that they had no evidence that the companies are doing anything untoward in terms of moving profits out of the UK regulated businesses into other businesses, certainly not in a systematic way. I think it would be wrong for us, just for the purposes of show, to make changes that impose costs on the industry. Q379 Chair: This is not for show. There are no grounds for complacency at all. Until this Committee started taking an interest in the matter and the Trading Standards Department of Surrey County Council did, customers were being mis-sold tariffs. They were being lied to by the representatives of the companies. I am afraid Ofgem did not intervene very successfully in that area. Until very recently consumers have been confused by an extraordinary array of tariffs. Again, sometimes there is a suspicion, at least, that those tariffs have been organised in a way that is more for the benefit of the companies than for their consumers. To say this is going to be done for show is ridiculous. There are genuine concerns about the way in which these companies can continue to conceal from public view their activities and the profits they generate from different parts of those activities. It is unsatisfactory. You commissioned some experts to review all this. You then ignored half of their recommendations and it is no great surprise that consumer confidence remains very low. Andrew Wright: I don’t think we need to apologise for our achievements in this area. Certainly the Committee has done, as you know, an excellent job in holding us to account and indeed the industry to account. We identified issues around mis-selling in the probe in 2008. We put in place new licence conditions. We have enforced those licence conditions vigorously. As a result the selling on the doorstep is now a thing of the past and I think consumers have benefited from that. They no longer need to live in fear of being tricked on the doorstep by energy suppliers. I think we have acted robustly in these areas. We have a duty to regulate these companies in a proportionate manner, not imposing unnecessary regulatory burdens on them. If our conclusion is that requiring additional information from them does not add any value to consumers then it is right for us to act in that way. You may disagree on that but that is the judgment we came to, partly on the evidence that BDO supplied, that what we could reasonably do would be potentially confusing and would be of limited use. What we would need to do in order to make it useful would be difficult to realise and costly. Those were BDO’s own conclusions as a part of their recommendation. Q380 Chair: The BDO witness we heard from said he did not see the value of the checklist that you produced regarding trading activities. They recommended an independent annual audit of the consolidated segmental statements, but you have chosen to produce an independent opinion. They highlighted differences in accounting treatment across the companies. We are still lacking some information that would be quite valuable. Andrew Wright: Firstly, I think the independent checklist adds value. It is worth saying there are other bits of information of value to understanding trading. The companies do publish their trading profits. We do require the companies to reconcile their segmented statements with their published accounts, so it is possible to look and see where the trading profits are. Sometimes these are published on as pan-European basis but that reflects the reality of how these companies organise their businesses so it is not as if there’s a complete absence of transparency in this area. As far as the independent audit is concerned, actually BDO recommended that an independent auditor cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 70 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison provide an opinion, which is what we implemented through PKF. They provided an opinion on how the changes we had made had been implemented and any further recommendations to the improved comparability. So we did implement that. We did not commit to doing it annually. We will be doing it again until we are comfortable these accounts are settled down and there is no room for further improvement, but we did implement that. It is not the case that they asked for an audit, which would be quite an extensive and intrusive thing to do to companies that are already audited. Q381 Chair: One thing that would not cost very much is if they all have the same year-ends. It is a one-off small cost to change from one quarter to another to have the year-end. You did not want to proceed even with that recommendation. Andrew Wright: Once again, I respectfully disagree. First of all, it is of limited value. The year-end of Scottish and Southern Energy and the other five companies is just three months apart, so the numbers are quite comparable. There may well be differences over that three months, but it is not going to be huge. Secondly, if you are going to require Scottish and Southern to change its year-end, you are going to require it to release into the financial markets information that it does not currently provide or you are going to require it to change its financial reporting year-end with all the implications and costs of that, and you may end up having to delay the release of information from all other companies because you have to wait until that financial information is released into the market and properly audited, which SSE does not do until 31 March. Finally, although the costs overall may not be large, there are significant costs on one party. All of that needs to be borne in mind against the limited improvement in transparency that would provide. I do not think there is a great deal been lost by SSE having a different year-end when you look at the statements that have been published so far. Q382 Sir Robert Smith: I had better remind the Committee of my entry in the Register of Members’ Interests to do with oil and gas, in particular a shareholding in Shell. The Big Six have raised concerns about the supply market indicator and your assumptions about the amount of fuel they sell and, therefore, it may be exaggerating their profits. They also suggest your model has an oversimplified hedging strategy. How do you respond to that concern? Andrew Wright: The supply market indicator, once again, is an initiative from us to improve transparency in this market. Had we not taken this initiative there would be no ongoing view of the forward looking profitability these companies are making. It enables consumers, politicians and the media to have a dialogue about whether or not price increases were justified, whether price increases are in the offing. It is used by other agencies, for example, the Bank of England, to look at inflation forecasts. So it is a useful addition to the transparency in the market. You cannot expect us, in the position we are in, to be able to make accurate forecasts of the company’s profitability looking 12 months ahead. The companies themselves are not even able to do that because unexpected things happen. For example, you had Centrica in here earlier talking about the increased demand over the April period, which you can’t necessarily predict. Then there is the higher cost of meeting the CERT and CESP obligations. These are all changes that you can’t predict. So inevitably, because we do not have a crystal ball, there are going to be differences between our supply market indicators. Also, because we want to make what we are doing transparent, we have a published methodology which we allow other people to replicate. We rely on public domain information and as a result, there are some simplifying assumptions in that. I think that makes it practical to update the supply market indicator regularly. As a result of that, we look at the profitability of a typical customer, with typical consumption, on standard dual fuel tariffs. Now, that is not the same as giving a forecast of the profitability of the companies. The companies point out the differences; typical consumption is not necessarily the same as average consumption. They have discounted tariffs that we don’t take into account. We use a simplified hedging strategy, an 18-month hedging strategy because we do not know the companies’ hedging strategies. They do not disclose it and we have no way of knowing. So inevitably there are going to be differences, but does that mean this is not useful? I don’t think it does. I think this is a useful indicator that provides a useful indication. The particular accusation on consumption I think we accept. We change our definition of a typical customer; we last did it in 2009 and there is a lot of evidence that since then consumption levels, particularly in gas, have fallen considerably and we need to take that into account. We have just initiated a review of consumption levels, both for the use in the supply market indicator and the average consumption levels that are tended to be used in the media and elsewhere when quoting the size of a typical bill. This work is underway now and we will update the consumption assumptions, which should make the supply market indicator more reflective of a typical customer. Q383 Sir Robert Smith: In 2010 when the segmented accounts suggested an average profit margin on electricity of 0.3% supply, the supply market indicator suggested a margin around 6%. Andrew Wright: First of all, we have done the exercise of calibrating or checking our supply market indicator against actual results and it performs fairly well. As I say, there are a couple of adjustments you have to make; the most obvious one being that we do not take account of discounted tariffs in the supply market indicator. We are looking at the profitability of a typical dual fuel customer on standard tariffs. Sir Robert Smith: CSS is coming up at 0.3% and the SMI at 6%. Andrew Wright: As I say, you need to compare like for like. Hopefully, I can provide the Committee with calibration work that we have done on this, if I can cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 71 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison dig it out. We have done it internally as a check to see whether or not there is broad consistency between the supply market indicator and the published numbers. We look at it line by line in terms of what the cost of fuel is and so on. We see where the differences are that we understand. They are not identical because they are looking at different things, but we were broadly comfortable that the two were consistent. I do not recognise those exact numbers but, nonetheless, we have gone through that exercise and we satisfied ourselves that there was nothing suggesting that the methodology we were using in the supply market indicator was grossly wrong, recognising that it is a simplification for good reasons. Q384 Sir Robert Smith: In answer to the Chair earlier you were saying how you would not want to tell them how to run their business, but obviously when it comes to the retail tariffs you are going to be telling them quite a lot about how to run their business. What restrains you from feeling you should be telling them? Andrew Wright: Our responsibility as an economic regulator is to ensure the market works effectively. Where it is necessary to require the companies to behave in a certain way in order to get a more effective market, either because we feel the consumers are finding it difficult to engage in a complex market or that the companies are providing misleading information, for example, then it is appropriate to put in place licence conditions to deal with that. I do not see any inconsistency. I think what we are talking about is that in a competitive market in general you want companies to compete for different suppliers, organise themselves and organise the way they run their business as they best see fit in order to compete in the market. That is what we want to achieve. Q385 Sir Robert Smith: I suppose the bottom line is that, if it is a working market, if the company is more efficient, then the consumer should get a share of that. Andrew Wright: If it is a working market then absolutely, but, similarly, if a company is more efficient and has a competitive advantage over other companies you will also expect them to make more profit. That is also a part of the incentives of getting companies to compete in the market. Q386 Sir Robert Smith: You mentioned quite a lot of them have overseas markets. Is there perhaps a need for international co-operation on creating some more transparency in the trading figures? Andrew Wright: Possibly. I think that is an interesting question. Certainly in the wholesale markets there has been a lot of Europe-wide initiatives on transparency; for example, about the amount of gas in gas storage and about flows in gas pipelines and REMIT, the market abuse directive. So there have been a lot of initiatives to improve transparency, particularly in the wholesale market. It is an interesting question about whether or not that could be extended to retail markets and certainly one worth thinking about. But generally, for good reasons I think, the focus of European Commission activity has tended to be on wholesale markets. Q387 Barry Gardiner: Back to vertical integration, surely the problem here is that it allows, as a business model, companies to cross-subsidise different activities and to distort the market. Until there is a real attack on the ability of the companies to adopt a radically-integrated model then all the problems of transparency and trust are not going to go away, are they? Andrew Wright: No. I think you are right. Vertical integration could have an adverse effect on competition if it allows vertically integrated players to foreclose the market. Generally, in competition terms, that would need to be some form of collusion, otherwise competitors would gain market share at the expense of each other or dominance associated with that. We have focused on trying to generate sufficient liquidity to enable new entrants, both independent generators and independent suppliers, to compete on level terms with the vertically integrated companies. That is where we are focused. Once again, we think that is a proportionate intervention given the scale of the issue and I think we have had considerable success in that. There is significantly greater liquidity on the short-term markets, on the near-term markets, and there is lots of evidence the smaller suppliers are now finding it easier to get hold of the products that they need, and we are seeing significant growth in the market share of small suppliers, albeit from a very low base. So there are signs of improvement but we are not satisfied with that. We are proposing to put in place obligations on companies which will have the effect of increasing liquidity, particularly along the forward curve where I think the progress has been disappointing. Q388 Barry Gardiner: Mr Wright, you say that you are trying to get competition into the market and smaller companies in to break things up. The other day I watched as a magpie had taken an egg from the nest of a goldfinch. I watched the goldfinch for about 150 metres chase that magpie. Right? The magpie still obtained the egg. The idea that small companies are going to be able to come into the market here and take away from the big companies in the manner that you indicate you believe they could, is very unlikely. They are so small by comparison and their power-to-weight ratio is so poor by comparison that I cannot believe that you believe that that is a sensible short-term solution. Andrew Wright: I am not being naïve here. I think it would be wrong to say that smaller suppliers are yet at a stage where they are maintaining a consistent and credible threat to the Big Six. Having said that, they are making considerable gains. Some of them are now getting to the scale where I think, in terms of the customers— Barry Gardiner: They were bought out by the Big Six. You know what is going to happen with one of them in the near future. They try to grow themselves to the size but they then get bought out the moment they become a threat. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 72 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison Andrew Wright: If you look at the participation of the small suppliers in changes of supplier, albeit that leaves the big lump of disengaged inactive customers where they are, but if you look at the active part of the market, the small suppliers are more significant than their market shares would suggest. Certainly concerns that some of the big companies are raising about the small suppliers not being subject to some of the environmental obligations suggest to me that they are starting to feel the pain from competition from small suppliers. I don’t think we are there yet. I am not at all satisfied that we have sufficient competition from small suppliers. There is also the independent generation sector that has the prospect of undermining the vertical integration in the industry as well. You should not just focus on suppliers. Q389 Barry Gardiner: What about introducing a self-supply restriction? E.ON have recommended clear and consistent prohibition of cross-subsidy. Now, of course, at the moment it is very difficult to know whether that is taking place or not between generation supply activities. Wouldn’t those sorts of measures help to improve transparency? Andrew Wright: We are going to be putting forward our proposals on liquidity in the next couple of months, certainly before everyone goes away on their summer holidays, and I will be happy to come back and answer questions on them. We have already set out the shape of that, which we have talked about as secure and promote; in other words, to put in place obligations to secure the gains that have been already made and to promote further liquidity where we think it is necessary, which is predominantly along the curve. The important thing is that people who want to trade are able to trade at fair prices. A self-supply restriction has many of the same challenges as a mandated auction or a mandated market maker, which is, first of all, how do you enforce it? The self-supply restriction is only part of the issue. You want to make sure that the rest of the power is supplied into the market. In doing that you need to make sure that it is done in a way that benefits people who want to trade. You have the same issues about preventing companies from trading with each other, making sure that the trades are genuine, and I think there are real challenges with a self-supply restriction. I am not saying it is any better or worse than the mandated auction or other approaches, but many of the same challenges exist. I don’t think it is a panacea. We will be coming up with what we think is the best and most appropriate solution to this issue, given the progress that we have already made in the short-term market. Q390 Ian Lavery: Just continuing on the theme of liquidity and competition in the energy markets, you have been working on improving wholesale liquidity, particularly in the electricity market, since you identified the problem in 2008 and further measures will be introduced as part of the Energy Bill. Can you briefly explain what you have achieved so far and what impact the Energy Bill provisions will have? Andrew Wright: Yes, gladly. First of all, you are right in saying this was an issue first identified in 2008 as part of the energy supply probe. I suppose we have been using a mixture of carrot and stick. We have been trying to encourage industry initiatives that were already in train in 2008 to deliver and, to some extent, the reason we have taken a long time in getting to where we are is that we wanted to give industry the opportunity to respond to the challenge. In part they have done that. There have been significant increases in the volumes traded on the day-ahead market, for example. The day-ahead auction is now well established and the short-term market is a critical part of the market. It is not only useful in its own right but potentially encourages other people to come into the market to trade on longer-term products as well. On top of that companies now treat small suppliers far better than they used to. We used to have a litany of complaints about the credit terms, the clip sizes and a whole bunch of barriers about why small suppliers were not able to get hold of the electricity and gas they needed from the Big Six. I can’t say there are no complaints about this anymore or they are completely happy, but it is a significantly improved situation. You heard recently about Scottish and Southern, for example, providing collateral-free trading opportunities for small suppliers up to a certain size. That is just one example. There are a number of others around the industry. We have made significant progress and we have been developing our proposals and I think we have now come to the end of that process. We can no longer wait for the industry to solve the issue by itself and we have to plug the remaining gap that exists, but I think, in doing that, it is far better that the industry steps up and solves this problem itself rather than responding reluctantly to rules that we put in place. Q391 Ian Lavery: You mentioned Scottish and Southern. They suggested that a division of a trading day into 48 half-hour chunks meant that liquidity in the electricity market was very granular. Is granularity an issue and, if it is an issue, why is it an issue? Andrew Wright: Granularity is a fact of life and, if anything, the more granular it is then the more cost reflective and the more efficient the market is likely to be. I think we would not want to remove the granularity of the market in the near term because it means that generators can respond to price signals in real time in an effective and efficient way. Electricity is a product the the price and value varies quite sharply over relatively short periods of time. That does make it fairly difficult as far as liquidity and trading is concerned. Having said that, as I say, the day-ahead auctions, which are in half-hour chunks, are reasonably liquid and it is not where we see the problem in the market today. I do not think granularity is an issue and, if anything, it would be nice to see even more granularity because that provides a greater role of the market and reduces the role of the system operator. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 73 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison Q392 Ian Lavery: If you think there should be more granularity, do you think in any way, shape or form it can be improved? Andrew Wright: Certainly. We are undergoing reform of the balancing mechanism and cash-out at the moment, the so-called significant code review of the balancing mechanism, and we are looking to improve that balancing mechanism in a number of ways. We are not looking to change the half-hourly settlement period, and partly for some of the reasons you talked about in that liquidity may be not enough to justify it. We are not looking to change that, but we are looking to change the way prices are formed, to make sure security of supply is properly reflected, potentially moving from a dual cash-out to a single cash-out. Those things are not directly affecting liquidity but improving the operation of the balancing mechanism will help liquidity. It will give people increased confidence in the market. Q393 Dr Whitehead: If you are a very large company trading you may well, as now appears to be the case, buy way down the curve, well in excess of what you know that you are eventually going to have to produce for the purposes of balancing, and you will then buy and sell, repeatedly, some of that in order to balance off what you have when you get to day-ahead and closure. You may then take on board small companies in the process of buying and selling down the line and, indeed, you may take small companies under your wing and offer them facilities to trade as if they were you. Now, this is a rather different process to trading with yourself but, nevertheless, comes to the same result, which is the effective making of the market in favour of particular very large suppliers and, effectively, the capturing of small companies so that the terms they are on are no better ever than whatever it is you are offering them as part of that wider process. Is that something that concerns you or is that a development that you think is okay as far as liquidity is concerned? Andrew Wright: You may need to clarify what you mean about the relationship with the smaller companies. As far as the practice of companies buying large blocks of power, base load for example, a long way out and then refining and sculpting their positions as they get closer to the time, then that is exactly how I would expect the market to work and that sounds to me like a description of an effective market. As they sculpt their positions they will be trading in different times of the day, different days of the week, different half-hour blocks and, in doing that, I would guess that would then enable them to make available to smaller suppliers the shaped and sculpted products that they may well need. If that is what is happening, I would see that as an efficient and well-functioning market. I am not sure I have any particular concerns unless I am missing your point, which I may be. Q394 Dr Whitehead: It is rather like if you are supplying cucumbers to Tesco’s and Tesco’s take your entire supply of cucumbers year one and year two. Having given your entire supply of cucumbers to Tesco, they will then come back with an over-rider to say that you must supply your cucumbers to us, Tesco’s, at 10% less in year two, at which point you have no option but to supply your cucumbers to Tesco’s because you have gone under their wing as far as your entire supply is concerned. Andrew Wright: This is for generating you mean, or supplier? Dr Whitehead: If you are a small company seeking to purchase and you went under the wing of a large company, at some stage in that process of sculpting are you not effectively— Andrew Wright: You are effectively talking about companies, I suppose, cornering the market by buying up all the power a long time ahead and then dropping the terms of it. That would— Dr Whitehead: That would come under the sculpting. You are then captured, are you? Andrew Wright: Yes, that would be a concern. To some extent, that would be foreclosing the market against smaller suppliers and new entrants. I personally have not seen a great deal of evidence or, indeed, any evidence of that type of behaviour. We know the companies buy in large chunks of power a long way out because that is the nature of the market. As you get further out you lose the granularity, so you tend to be only able to trade, for example, in baseload power or maybe peak power but not in the discrete chunks in times of day. You would expect that, but I have not heard those accusations. Certainly if people are making those sorts of accusations, they should come to us and we will listen to them. Q395 Dr Whitehead: You have not looked at, say, trading well down the curve; the extent to which that relates reasonably to the amount of purchases that may be necessary in order to deal with obligations or whether there is a wide margin between them? Andrew Wright: No, we haven’t, only in that generally the trading positions the companies take are confidential. We will have to make specific requests to get that information, which we would not do unless we had suspicion that something was awry. Apart from the general concerns about vertical integration and the effect of that, which we have already spoken about, we have not seen any more general evidence that companies are foreclosing the market by purchasing power a long way in advance, in excess of their needs. If anyone has such evidence they should bring it to us. Q396 Sir Robert Smith: On vertical integration, how much of it is a natural product for investors wanting to be on both sides of the risk so that if generators are doing well, suppliers do badly and if suppliers are doing well it is probably generators who are doing badly and therefore, while it is not quite so exciting, it is more secure? Andrew Wright: That may well be a significant part of it. I do not think that is particularly surprising. You could expect companies to look for efficient ways of managing their exposure to the market and having a vertically integrated business is one way of doing that. Arguably that is an efficient way of running your business. It reduces transaction costs and reduces the risk premium and could lead to a better deal for customers, provided you can be satisfied that there— cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 74 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison Sir Robert Smith: Doesn’t it then make it very difficult for people to operate who are not vertically integrated? Andrew Wright: Yes. There may well be competitive advantages to being vertically integrated and some of those may be legitimate. Some of them might be the products of the balancing mechanism and we are looking at reforms of the balancing mechanism to see whether that can be improved. I suppose there is a risk that that could be anti-competitive, but, as I say, we are looking to improve liquidity to try to ensure that new entrants can compete on a level playing field. Nonetheless, once again it comes back to the same view that if companies want to organise their businesses in an efficient way we should not be discouraging them from doing that. Q397 John Robertson: You mentioned SSE a while ago, about the free credit to small suppliers. Has Ofgem considered requiring or incentivising the Big Six companies to do this? Andrew Wright: We have considered whether there is anything that we ought to put in place on suppliers by way of an obligation to provide free or cheap collateral. We took the view that it was not appropriate, that collateral is a normal part of doing business and that would, in effect, be requiring these companies to cross-subsidise. Having said that, we welcome this initiative and we would encourage others to look at this and other initiatives that may make it easier for new entrants to come into the business, but it is probably right that companies do that themselves. Q398 John Robertson: I know what you are saying, that it is a good idea to do these things. To be honest, they could all do a lot more, but you as a regulator should be taking some kind of lead in this. You should be saying, “Okay, this is a good idea and SSE have thought of it. So let’s go to Scottish Power and tell them to go out and do this. We want you to do this”. Why not? Andrew Wright: We have. Throughout the long time that we have been trying to encourage greater liquidity in the market, part of that is getting people to trade more, particularly in the short-term market, but part of that is ensuring companies treat small suppliers fairly. Partly through stick and partly through carrot, we have been doing a lot of encouraging. A lot of the improvements that you have seen across the industry are down to the pressure that we have been applying on the industry to treat small suppliers better. We do not think it is enough, by the way, and that is why we are likely to bring forward obligations that will reinforce and strengthen that. Q399 John Robertson: I am trying to tell you that, “you are not doing enough” is an understatement. We have here the Independent today where it says, “SSE prepares to announce a 30% jump in profits in its division by supplying gas and electricity.” This goes back to December 2010, when they put the prices up for gas by 9.4%. In September 2011, gas went up 18% and electricity 11%. They did bring it down in March 2012 by 4.5% but, lo and behold, we get to October, 9% gas rise and 9% electricity rise. They are having a laugh, are they not? What are you doing about that? This is ridiculous. Andrew Wright: It is worth taking a step back. We are the economic regulator responsible for ensuring that markets work effectively. Companies set prices and they— John Robertson: You are the regulator, regulate. Andrew Wright: No. The framework of competitive markets has been established by Government since the early days after privatisation. For more than 20 years this is the framework in which we operate. I have not heard anything from the current Government to suggest that has changed. Indeed, it is set out in European law that there should be competitive— John Robertson: We will talk about European law in a minute. You said things were better than three years ago. I have just given you a lot of figures that say it is not. Sarah Harrison: If I could come in here, you are absolutely right; in a competitive market, which is the framework in which we are operating, there is a place for regulation. There is regulation, the first part of which we announced the introduction of last week, to put in place new standards of conduct to protect customers. John Robertson: Last week? Every single one of these companies has been putting their percentage up within months of each other for all those years and you are telling me things are better. How are they better? Sarah Harrison: The reform package will reduce the number of tariffs, so that if companies are making profits and putting up their prices, that will not be done on the basis of bamboozling and confusing customers. We have been on to this. We have a package of reforms coming in and I think the other test of this is not just about waiting for the regulation. It is how the industry is reacting. We have seen companies, like SSE and others, coming forward and saying, “Yes, we got it wrong. We need to do things differently”. We are seeing the effects of some of that, but that does not meant to say there is not a place for regulation. Q400 John Robertson: What effects? A 4.5% rise over three years and, according to newspaper reports today, tomorrow they will announce they have increased their profits 30%. They have upped the prices every year—30% profit and they up their prices by 9%. That is outrageous. Come on, that is outrageous. Andrew Wright: In a competitive market it is for the companies to set their prices. We are doing everything we can to try and make this market as effective as possible, including some of the most dramatic interventions or the most dramatic interventions since liberalisation to make it easier for consumers to engage in the market and hold companies to account. The level of profits the companies are making— John Robertson: Who is holding the companies to account here, by the way? I must have missed something. If it was not this Committee, who brings them to account? I must have missed you doing something. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 75 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison Sarah Harrison: We share your concern. There is no question that more needs to be done and what Ofgem is putting in place in the retail market is doing that. John Robertson: So are the— Sarah Harrison: But it is also about making sure that when the companies foul up, and they have done, that we are there to take the action and to put in place the financial penalties and to make sure that their action is drawn to wider public attention. The impact on these businesses from a reputational point of view is significant when the regulator intervenes and, quite rightly, we see those companies standing up and accepting when they get things wrong. Q401 John Robertson: Hang on a second, these are the same companies who have talked about 2% and 3% profits on the retail side and yet on the generating side they are making 17%, 18%, 19%, 20% profit. You said earlier on, “Forcing companies to publish figures is difficult and we will not look at it”. You are the regulator. Andrew Wright: No, we— John Robertson: Hold on a second. You talked about Europe as well. Customer Focus drew attention to powers under the EU Electricity and Gas Directives that Ofgem could use to force suppliers to disclose the relevant data. Why are you not using these bodies and these powers? Andrew Wright: All right, let us— John Robertson: Is that not a help? I have to tell you, I still have a real problem. When those companies gave the dividends out to the shareholders, I asked them whether they included the generation and the retail profits. They said yes, they put them out together. Well, if they can put them out together and give dividends to the shareholders in the United Kingdom we should be able to find out exactly how much money is involved. Andrew Wright: All right, let me go back to the first of your comments. We have done more than any comparable regulator to increase the transparency of these companies and to make it clear where they are making money, in the generation business, the supply business, in a consistent and fair manner right the way across the whole Big Six, whether they are internationally owned or UK owned. We are having this discussion today partly because we have made that information available. I think we have a strong commitment to greater transparency in this market. It is for the companies to explain their profits and to explain their prices. Our job is to make the competitive market as effective as possible and we are not apologists for this market. We are on record, through the retail market review and the probe, in saying the competition is not as effective as we would like and we are putting in place radical measures to simplify the market—once again, probably more radical than any comparable sector—to try to make that work more effectively. If you wanted, there could be a legitimate public debate about whether competition is the right way to manage this sector, but this has been UK policy— Q402 John Robertson: Hang on a second, to get the gist of it, you have to get people come and give us the information. We are not getting that. You did say you had done an investigation into the alleged manipulation of gas prices and you reported that September last year. Eight months down the line, what has happened? Andrew Wright: We have been working hard on this investigation, working closely with the FCA. John Robertson: Eight months. Andrew Wright: The investigation is still underway and it is our policy not to comment on the progress of current investigations that could lead to enforcement. John Robertson: Are we likely to get something this year? Andrew Wright: I am not going to comment on how much longer it is going to take. John Robertson: This is getting worse. Andrew Wright: No, it is what we have to do. It is appropriate that we do not comment on ongoing investigations that could lead to enforcement. That is important in enabling us to do our job properly. Sarah Harrison: It is important for the simple reason that at the moment when you are conducting investigations, you want to create a climate that allows people to come forward with information. By being open and transparent, as attractive as it might be, you might compromise your ability to be able to do that. So there is a reason behind this. That is not to say, though, that we are not obviously committed to progressing this investigation and I can assure you that Ofgem is putting the priorities and resources in place to do that, but also in this case working very closely with the Financial Conduct Authority which is a key other regulator in respect of these market manipulation allegations. We are also doing so in the context of looking forward to receiving new powers that will be given to us by Government as part of the implementation of the directives put in place to tackle the market manipulation, abuse and insider trading that, if you like, are the subject of some of the allegations that you have referred to. Q403 John Robertson: Part of the problem is— Mr Lilley: So you are stalling— John Robertson: Hang on a second, Peter. Let me finish and then I will let you in. Part of the problem is how long it takes to get your judgment and while we wait people are having to pay the increased prices and are wondering whether they can actually pay their bills. We know that people do die of hypothermia in winter and we have had a rather cold spell. If we do not allow these people to get as cheap as possible fuel and energy then we have not done our job. You take too long to do it. You are effectively closing yourselves down. The Opposition, which I am part of, have already said they will close you down. So my question to finish off is: can you afford not to have increased powers and to use these powers to bring these companies to boot? Sarah Harrison: Absolutely we need the right powers. To be clear, when we have found ourselves in a situation where we don’t think we have the right powers we have been the first to seek them. Two examples: the powers to be able to award financial redress to customers when, for example, they have been mis-sold to, is a gap in our armoury. We are cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 76 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison very pleased that the Energy Bill is going to bring those forward. Q404 John Robertson: Are you using the EU as well, because you have not done that? Will you go to the EU and use the EU REMIT to try and bring these companies to boot? Sarah Harrison: This is in relation to wholesale market transparency and pricing? Andrew Wright: Yes, exactly. First and foremost— John Robertson: You are a bit reticent to do it? Andrew Wright: No. There are two things. First of all, the Government is in the process of putting in place the powers that we need to investigate and enforce under REMIT, which will enable us to get access to the information that we need to be able to do that. On top of that, the European regulatory agency, ACER, will be routinely collecting all the trading data across the whole of Europe, which will make a huge difference to our ability both to monitor and to enforce and indeed speed up our enforcement because we will have access to that data immediately without having to go to market participants to ask for it. John Robertson: Sorry, Peter. Q405 Mr Lilley: No, I just wanted to reinforce your point because it seemed Ms Harrison was saying that you are deliberating stalling until you get more powers. Did I correctly interpret that? Sarah Harrison: No. Mr Lilley: You gave that as a reason for taking a long time, that you were going to get— Sarah Harrison: No. Mr Lilley: So it is not a reason? Sarah Harrison: No, I think it is important to know that investigations like this take time and— Mr Lilley: Why did you mention the fact that you were going to get more powers in future? Sarah Harrison: Because the REMIT regulations, the directive, has been established to give national regulatory authorities like Ofgem and others in other member states the powers to be able to— Mr Lilley: So it is not a reason that it is taking more time? Sarah Harrison: But the point is— Mr Lilley: I am just trying to establish that fact. Do not bother to answer any other questions that I haven’t asked. Sarah Harrison: No, of course. I am telling you— Andrew Wright: The absence of that power means it does take longer to get hold of the information that we would otherwise be able to get in a straightforward manner. This is potentially a long and complex investigation and we may not have reached a conclusion by now in any case, but that is a fact of life at the moment. Q406 Mr Lilley: Just pursuing the point of my colleague, Mr Robertson. He is of the opinion that this is not a competitive market and you are saying, “Oh, we are assuming it is a competitive market”, in which case it is not quite clear why you are carrying out an investigation. Surely it is supposed to be competitive. You are looking to see whether it is operating as a competitive market or as an oligopolistic one. The symptoms of being an oligopolistic market and of oligopolistic power being exploited would be abnormally high returns on capital and abnormally high profits. Now, have you established whether or not they exist? It can’t take eight months. Andrew Wright: That is two questions. First of all, it is quite possible to get individual instances of market manipulation and insider trading and market abuse in competitive markets. That is a separate issue. Secondly, we are not apologists for the retail market. We have been clear that we think this market is not competitive enough. Mr Lilley: Sorry, I just asked a simple question. Have you tried to establish whether there are excess profits? Andrew Wright: In retail or in wholesale or— Mr Lilley: In this market. Andrew Wright: In the retail market we have done a lot of work looking at the competitiveness of the market, including looking at profits and whether or not companies raise their prices more quickly than they drop them, whether they are making excess profits, comparing that against other sectors. We have done a lot of that sort of work, yes, and that is all in the public domain. Q407 Dr Lee: If they are buying and selling to themselves they can make the profits less in retail and more in the generation sector. You have to look at the total profit across the entire company. You can’t just do it in retail. Andrew Wright: I do not want to be complacent enough to give any of the markets we look at an absolute clean bill of health. In the generation market, the power stations that are at the margin, the gas-fired power stations, appear not to be making any money at all at the moment. Companies are closing those stations and mothballing them because they are making insufficient profits. That does not look to me like a market where the competition is not sufficient. Having said that, we continue to monitor the market. We look for individual instances of market abuse and we look for evidence of anti-competitive behaviour and problems with the market. We do that all the time. Chair: We have the Secretary of State outside, so we will just finish up with one final question. Q408 Dr Whitehead: When you did your retail market review in October last, you proposed a pilot scheme for vulnerable and sticky customers and you said that you would set up a working group and undertake pilots, possibly. How is that coming along? Andrew Wright: Yes, we have started that. We are focusing very much on getting the statutory consultations out on the retail market review at the moment, but we have already sent out the initial letters to establish that process. Do you have a timeframe, Sarah? Sarah Harrison: Yes. The workshops met for the first time and it is worth bearing in mind that what this is about is trying to look, as you say, at those particularly sticky customers who are the least engaged and who are going to find it more difficult to engage in respect of the reforms that Ofgem is putting in place. One of the proposals on the table is something we have called the Market Cheapest Deal, which is a cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 77 21 May 2013 Andrew Wright and Sarah Harrison proposal whereby suppliers would have to put on their bills information about the cheapest deal available in the market, even if it were not from that particular supplier. The workshops are about trying to work through the mechanics of that as an option, but also to look at, if you like, what sits behind that idea. That is about trying to provide an “at a glance” solution to make it easier for customers who struggle to really engage in the market to be able to see very readily the best deal in the market. I think it is interesting to note that, despite some of the initial opposition, let us call it, from the industry to that idea, nonetheless we have seen evidence that some suppliers are beginning to move into that space. It is interesting to note that EDF Energy’s Blue Price Promise commits to notify its customers of any supplier deal that is more than £1 cheaper a week than its own deal and not put in place any termination fees if the customer then wants to switch to that deal. I think this is an important area of the concept of never knowingly being undersold that we will want to explore now that our working group is up and running not just with the industry but, critically, also with customer groups who have some very good thinking and ideas about this. Q409 Dr Whitehead: You also said to us a little while ago that you thought increased data-sharing would help identify affordable warmth group households, for example, under ECO. What steps are you taking to advance data-sharing among companies? Are you considering an obligation on data-sharing or similar? Sarah Harrison: Two things I suppose. In terms of sharing information, for example, about customers who might be in receipt of certain benefits, we are not in the lead on that but what we have observed, in particular through the conclusion to the CERT and CESP schemes, was that suppliers and generators were able to match and verify their information against DWP data so that they could be assured that the measures were actually being installed in the households for whom they were intended. Of course, the value of having access to that is it reduces the search costs associated with targeting these measures. We are supportive of working with Government to the extent we can to see further progress in that respect. There are other ways that suppliers in particular and distribution companies can act here. Many suppliers and distribution companies maintain priority service registers, which gather information about some of their most vulnerable customers who have particular needs. One of the strands of our new consumer vulnerability strategy is going to look at ways in which we can improve the awareness of the priority service registers and seeing ways in which suppliers and distribution network companies can make better use of that data, not only to target their own services and support, but also potentially to share that information with other providers and organisations, particularly in the local communities, who might also be able to provide additional help. Chair: Thank you very much. That has been very useful for us. Examination of Witnesses Witnesses: Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, Rachael Crisp, Head of Energy Markets and Consumers, DECC, and Gareth Baynham-Hughes, Head of Fuel Poverty, DECC, gave evidence. Q410 Chair: Good afternoon. Welcome back to the Committee. Delighted to see you as ever, but we are disappointed not to see the Minister of State. Mr Davey: I do not think there is any particular reason why he should not be here, but I am not quite sure where he is today. I am sorry if I am not good enough for you. Chair: No, I was not casting any aspersions on you at all. I am sure you will answer all the questions we have very fully, but it does seem to reinforce the parttime nature of the Minister’s role if, on his first scheduled appearance at the Select Committee, we get a last-minute message saying he is not coming. Mr Davey: I did not realise it was last-minute. It has been in my diary for some time. I have to say, I think Michael is already making a big contribution to the Department and I am sure you will see that when you do meet him. I think the links he is able to bring between DECC and BIS are a positive thing. As he has already remarked on a number of occasions, the companies he is seeing in his role as Energy Minister are many of the ones he was seeing when he was BIS Minister, so that is getting a very good message out. Chair: So, the fact we had a full-time Minister of State for the previous two and three-quarter years was an unnecessary waste of ministerial time. Mr Davey: No, I would not say that. I think a huge amount of progress has been made in that period, but Michael is a Minister with exceptional talent. Q411 Chair: Right, okay. We are on our third Minister of State in about nine months. You have lost two of your most senior officials in the last few weeks. Ben Moxham has left No. 10. We noted that the Bill took four months to appear after we had commented in detail on the draft. We note that a further four months has elapsed from the completion of the Bill’s Committee stage before it returns on Report next month. Would you say this is a sign of a Department that is functioning smoothly? Mr Davey: If you don’t mind my saying so, Chairman, if those same facts were described in a slightly different way, you would reach a different conclusion. For example, the Energy Bill and EMR is on target, if you said that, which is true. It is on schedule, as we originally said it would be. We have kept to the timetables, as we originally said we would. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 78 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes Moreover, the fact that the Energy Bill left Committee and is only going to come back to the House after the recess is because it was always a carry-over Bill. You have to do the final stage, as you know, in the Commons in the following session of Parliament to meet the carry-over procedure rules. It might have been taken this week, but there was a desire to have the Marriage (Same Sex Couples) Bill debated. After the recess, it is the next Bill scheduled to complete its final stage in the Commons. It seems to me the legislation is very much on track as always planned. As for officials, I have to say I cannot speak for Mr Moxham at No. 10. I know there is already a replacement there, but for my own officials, the particular individuals, movement is a normal part of their career development. There is nothing unusual about that. Senior officials come and go. With our new Permanent Secretary, Stephen Lovegrove, I think we are in an extremely strong position and the morale in the Department is very high. Q412 Chair: When you meet people from the energy industry, do they not sometimes say to you that they are concerned that some matters, including the Bill, are progressing more slowly than they would like from the point of view of making new investments? Mr Davey: The industry and investors always say they want the next bit of the picture. I think the question to which we should be held account is whether or not we are giving that information at the time we said we would. The issues now when you talk to investors are not the issues that you were raising with me when I first came before you because they have all been dealt with. The issues now are things like the draft strike prices for the contracts for difference, which we said we would publish in July and we are on schedule to publish them. That obviously is a critical part of the next stage. Most of the investors I talk to are now focusing their minds on that. Q413 Chair: Why do you think so little investment is taking place in new generating capacity? Mr Davey: There was inevitably going to be a bit of a hiatus as we changed the legal framework. While we got the renewable obligation certificates and banding review done last July, which has helped and we have seen some investment as a result of getting that decision, clearly those investors who are looking to the first contracts for difference when the new obligation band certificate system closes are waiting for the draft strike prices, as I have mentioned. I would say that we have structured the process so that there are go-early options for investors. They do not have to wait until the Royal Assent. That is why, when we set the draft strike prices in July, companies who want the final investment decision enabling FiT CfDs, the core investment contracts, in the Bill will be able to start talking to the Department to sign those and in March we published the criteria that we would use to judge those. I think we are going to see the investment chain really get going at this juncture, which is frankly when one would have expected it to start getting going. Q414 Chair: One could summarise the current situation as saying nuclear negotiations stalled; investment in coal obviously unlikely until we have CCS; the gas investors are all holding back to see if they can make more money out of the capacity market; and a lot of the renewables are waiting for the strike prices. At a time when there is increasing concern about the overall capacity available in the remainder of this decade, it is a bit worrying that there is so little new investment happening, isn’t it? Mr Davey: You could describe it that way but I think that would be inaccurate and unfair. First of all, we are seeing investment under the renewable negotiation. We are seeing at least one gas plant being built in Carrington. The nuclear negotiations are not stalled. They are intense and lively and, I certainly believe, near a conclusion. This will be a remarkable thing because no previous Government for a long time has arrived at that position. Rather than the negative spin you put on it or interpretation you put on it, I think the reverse is the case. With CCS we are at the preferred bidder stage with both the Scottish Aberdeenshire project and the Yorkshire project to go ahead with probably the biggest CCS projects in Europe. Again, progress. I am not apologising for keeping to my timetable for draft CfD prices. Q415 Chair: The spin I was putting on it was not negative so much as concerned that, at a time when we are anxious about the availability of supply, the Government’s position seemed a bit complacent about not really worrying about the fact that very little is actually happening. Mr Davey: Can I say we are absolutely not complacent. We are engaging with Ofgem and engaging with National Grid. We are looking at the projections and I think you will see in some of the announcements we will make in due course that we have a very clear strategy, on which we have been consulting and working with industry and across Government. Q416 Chair: We have arrived at a situation now where the Treasury seems to be leading on the nuclear negotiations. Mr Davey: That is not true. Chair: The gas strategy was announced by the Chancellor of the Exchequer. The changes in tariff policy regulations were announced by the Prime Minister at PMQs on a day that DECC had not been informed about. Does DECC have any role in energy policy these days? Mr Davey: I am delighted that so many people across Government are so helpful, but I do think, again, the way you characterise things is slightly inaccurate. First of all, we are in charge of the nuclear negotiations. We are working closely with the Treasury, as you would expect. Would you seriously think we should not work with the Treasury on something as important as this? But we are very much leading them, so it is not the case with nuclear that the Treasury are leading. As for the gas generation strategy, we developed it. We had the pen. It was agreed with the Chancellor that he would announce it at the time of the Budget. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 79 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes That was absolutely fine by us. That was the agreement ahead of the Budget. The position the Prime Minister took at Prime Minister’s Questions was in response to a question. I would point you to the fact that Ofgem were announcing their conclusions for the retail market review a few days after that session of PMQs and the proposals that are going forward for tariff reform are based on the retail market review done by the independent energy regulator. I think those facts as I have just described them slightly jar, again, with your interpretation. Q417 Chair: Is the Government still serious about its energy reforms and the need for more low carbon investment or is it now pinning its hopes on the good burghers of Sussex allowing their county to be dug up to discover lots of shale gas and we are going to have an almighty dash for gas? Mr Davey: Our low carbon investments are very strongly committed to by all people across the Government. They are central to our energy strategy. We have the levy control framework that was agreed last year. We have a tripling of support for low carbon to £7.6 billion by the end of this decade. We have the Energy Bill that is reforming the electricity market to provide the world’s first ever low carbon electricity market. This is not a sign of a Government reneging on its low carbon agenda, far from it. I think the shale gas agenda is extremely exciting, too. These are not mutually exclusive. Although we need to invest in a lot of low carbon, whether it is renewables, new nuclear or CCS, we will still need an awful lot of gas over the next two decades, three decades or more. All our analysis for decarbonising our economy and society shows that, including our detailed carbon plan. There is this myth that it is low carbon or gas. It is low carbon and gas and the question people have to ask themselves is, “Do we want to increasingly rely on imports of gas as production of gas from the North Sea declines or does not increase to what it used to be and we have to import a lot more or, if there is a potential opportunity for onshore gas being produced from fracking, do we close down that option?” I think we must keep it open. I think we must explore that option. We are doing that vigorously, though there are other people who disagree with the vigour with which we are going about this. We are doing it to make sure that it can be done in a way that takes the public with us and can be done in a way that is acceptable and I think we are leading Europe again in that. Q418 Albert Owen: I just wanted to come in on a couple of those points. Can I just go back to the role of the new Minister of State and BIS? Who is his boss? Is it your friend and colleague— Mr Davey: It is the Prime Minister, probably. Albert Owen: No, whose Department does he work for? Does he work part-time in your Department? Does he work for BIS and seconded over to your Department? What hours do you expect out of him? What duties do you expect out of him? Importantly, the primary role of this Committee is to scrutinise your Department and yet we have not had any clear indication from you or your Department what responsibilities that Mr Hayes had have been transferred over to any other Minister. Is Mr Fallon doing it part-time or have other Ministers been given extra roles as well? Mr Davey: If there are particular questions about the ministerial response I am very happy to answer them. The ministerial responsibilities for Mr Fallon are on the website. They are not hidden away. They are very transparent. Albert Owen: Why have you not told us about them? The question was to you, from us, why haven’t you told us about them? We hear in the media that we are going to have a different Minister of State. We hear in the media that Mr Hayes has been promoted to have an internal role within the Conservative Party. What does that say about your Department and energy policy? Mr Davey: We have had the benefit of the work of John Hayes, who took the Energy Bill through the House of Commons, with some aplomb I should add— Albert Owen: With a what, sorry? Mr Davey: With some aplomb. Albert Owen: Right, okay. Is that what you call it? Mr Davey: Then the benefit of Mr Fallon is I think extremely good for energy policy. The fact that Mr Fallon brings a wealth of skills from his previous career as well as the benefits he has as a BIS Minister is something to be welcomed. I have talked to many people in the industry who think that is a good thing. Q419 Albert Owen: You are comfortable as Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change that you have a full-time Minister being replaced with a part-time Minister? Mr Davey: I think the question for me is can the work that needs to be done get done. Everything that I have seen from Michael is that it is getting done in a very professional, very diligent way. He is an extremely hard-working Minister. Albert Owen: I am not judging Mr Fallon on his ability. Mr Davey: Therefore, I think this Committee and you, Mr Owen, should be relaxed about that. Albert Owen: I am very relaxed. I just need some information from you. Are Mr Hayes’ responsibilities going to be spread between other Ministers or are they going to be taken over in a part-time capacity by a BIS Minister? Mr Davey: There is some look at the ministerial responsibilities that Mr Fallon has both at BIS and at DECC to see if there are things that can be taken off his list of things. We have already, for example, taken off him, from DECC, the work that Mr Hayes was doing with respect to the deregulation agenda and Baroness Verma is doing that. I believe Dr Cable has done similar things at the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills. The ministerial responsibilities, I stress, are on the website. If you would like us to write them— Q420 Chair: I am very sorry to interrupt you. Just on that point, I have looked at your website in the last two or three minutes. The last update on Mr Fallon’s responsibilities was on 28 March and it said, “The exact portfolio of the Energy Minister is still to be cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 80 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes confirmed following the appointment of the Rt Hon Michael Fallon in addition to his current role as Minister in the Department of Business.” Mr Davey: I beg your pardon. I assumed it was on the website. It ought to be on the website. I will ensure the website is updated. Chair: Two months into his job— Albert Owen: I am very relaxed but I am still not clear. Do you know what his responsibilities are, Secretary of State? Mr Davey: Of course I do. Albert Owen: Okay, so you will let us know in detail what they are? Mr Davey: Of course. They are not a secret. I am sorry that they are not on the website. Albert Owen: You did tell me they were on the website. Mr Davey: Yes, I did and I made a mistake. I absolutely apologise— Albert Owen: We all make mistakes. Mr Davey:—that I do not manage my website on a daily basis. Q421 Albert Owen: One final point, Secretary of State. You said that some of Mr Hayes’ responsibilities had gone to your colleague in the House of Lords. For scrutiny purposes, it is going to be difficult for us to scrutinise the responsibilities that she has at DECC questions. Is Mr Fallon going to be able to answer some of those questions or, indeed, yourself? Mr Davey: This is not a new thing, to have a Minister— Albert Owen: I am not saying it is new. I am asking specific questions. Mr Davey: Therefore, in terms of the previous practices at DECC oral questions or, indeed, the Select Committee, where you want to ask Ministers questions about responsibilities of other Ministers, you are very free to go ahead. Of course I am responsible for all policies, so you can ask me any question you like in the Department. Q422 Albert Owen: Okay. On that one, sorry, just to drill it down, what Mr Hayes had as a responsibility has been transferred up to your colleague in the House of Lords. You will answer for it in the House of Commons or will Mr Fallon? Mr Davey: I think it could be either Mr Fallon or myself. When we, for example, are doing topical questions you will have known from not just my Department but other Departments that we often decide at the last minute who is going to take a particular question. Albert Owen: Sure, but a specific question? Mr Davey: If it was a written question, for example, it almost certainly would be answered by Mr Fallon. Q423 Ian Lavery: The general public are very interested in the cheapest tariff proposals, which was outlined by the Prime Minister at PMQs. Your frontline Minister, Greg Barker, stated that the detail of the cheapest tariff proposals will be set out in secondary legislation. I wonder if you could give an idea of how the mechanics of forcing suppliers to put consumers on the cheapest tariff will work in practice. Mr Davey: As you know, the detail reforms have come from the regulator, from Ofgem, who I know you have been talking to just now. What we are doing in the Bill is putting statutory backing to those proposals, but it will be Ofgem who will take them forward. I understand they will start implementing them this summer and hopefully there will be full implementation by March 2014. There are a number of elements to it, which we could go through. The element that you have particularly raised is that there are some customers of some energy companies who are on so-called dead tariffs, tariffs that are not currently available in the market. They tend to be uncompetitive, so those customers are paying significantly more in some cases than they should be. Under Ofgem’s proposals, which we strongly support, those companies will have to move them down to the tariff they have of that type, whether it is a variable type or a fixed type. Normally, in these instances, it is a standard variable tariff that has become a dead tariff over time. That is one example that you mentioned in your question but, of course, there are many other aspects of the retail market review and the tariff reform that Ofgem have put forward and which we support. Q424 Ian Lavery: How do you measure Ofgem’s performance in delivery of policy objectives? Mr Davey: In terms of the tariff reform or more generally? Ian Lavery: More generally. Mr Davey: The Government when it came to power did a review of Ofgem, had a lot of discussion with the industry and consumer groups and so on, and we decided that there were a number of things we needed to do. The strategic policy statement, the SPS, is probably the core of it in terms of the accountability and the framing of what Ofgem does. There are clauses in the Energy Bill to take that proposal forward and it will set out in clear terms the different roles played by the Department and particularly Ofgem and how that will work. I think that strategic policy statement is probably the core of how Ofgem will be held to account by the Government, yourselves and others. Q425 Ian Lavery: In relation to Ofgem, it would be interesting to hear how you, as the Secretary of State for Energy, currently rate Ofgem’s performance. If you have obviously scrutinised it, which I am sure you have, what areas for improvement have you identified as priorities? Mr Davey: Let us start off by recognising that it is very important that Ofgem has its independence in the EU’s third energy package and I would support, as a former Competition Minister, the importance of independent regulators. It is important that people recognise they have that. Because of investment and because of consumers, it is important that there is certainty there and that people do not think Government is going to second-guess or interfere with the regulator. Of course, we take an active interest in cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 81 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes what they are doing, because that is very important for the efficient and fair running of our energy markets. I could point to one or two things that I think are welcome from Ofgem in recent times. First, the retail market review we talked about. When we were in Opposition we were arguing that we needed to have less complexity in the tariffs. Ofgem, through the retail market review, are simplifying the tariffs and I think that will prove to be good for competition and good for consumers. They have not yet told us their conclusions from the consultation they have done on liquidity in the wholesale markets, but we very much welcome that they have said in their consultation paper that they intend to intervene to improve liquidity in the wholesale market. That is something that I strongly support and one of the reasons we put in the Energy Bill some reserve powers to make sure that the changes that come from their deliberations will actually happen. Those two examples of improving competition in the retail market, improving competition in the wholesale market, are welcome developments and Ofgem deserves credit for taking them. Q426 Albert Owen: Can I just come in on Ofgem’s role in particular? I understand what you are saying about its independence and getting on with it. As you know, there is an all-party group on the off-grid gas supplies that has come up with a report that has been debated and responded to by your Department. One of their key recommendations is to enhance the responsibilities of Ofgem to the off-grid. I asked your predecessor about that. He said that it would be a matter for Ofgem themselves to make the request. When I asked the Chief Executive of Ofgem, he said that is a matter for Government. Can I ask you, as the representative of Government here, whether you would welcome what the all-party group has done to have equal regulation off-grid as they have on-grid? Mr Davey: I am very happy to get back to you on that, Mr Owen. I have not looked at that detailed proposal. Again, it has not been made to me from Ofgem and I am afraid I was not aware— Albert Owen: No, just for clarity, from the all-party group. Mr Davey: I was not aware of the all-party group’s recommendation. I apologise that I was not aware of that, but I think it is worth reminding the Committee that when we have considered increasing the powers of Ofgem, we have acted. For example, for— Q427 Albert Owen: With respect, can I just ask your opinion on this? I obtained the opinion of your predecessor, who said it was up to Ofgem and they would be minded to take it on board if the regulator made that proposal, but the regulator said very clearly that it was up to Government. You do represent the Government. What is your opinion, just your opinion as the current Secretary of State? Mr Davey: I am sure that we do not need Ofgem’s permission to give them extra powers. We are the Government. We can legislate to give Ofgem extra powers if we so chose to. I can’t answer for what my predecessor particularly said but I cannot see why, if we chose to give Ofgem more powers, we could not do that. We are doing it in a number of areas to enhance protection for consumers. As for the particular example that you have cited from the APPG, I would have to study that. Q428 John Robertson: I asked questions to Ofgem about the connections with Europe. I know Europe can be a bit of a problem for this Government, but your wing should be okay in relation to using it. I asked them Ofgem if they would go and use the EU powers. It was Consumer Focus who drew to our attention the EU electricity and gas directives, which Ofgem seem somewhat reticent to use, and also the EU REMIT and legislation as well to look at how we can get more information on the Big Six to find out exactly what are in their bills and why they are in the bills. Ofgem seem to have a problem with using it. What do you think? Do you think they should be working with Europe on this? Mr Davey: My understanding is Ofgem have been working with Europe. John Robertson: No, not in talking to them. Mr Davey: In the development of the REMIT powers, I thought both the UK Government and Ofgem had contributed to the debate at European level. As you will know, we are implementing the REMIT. We want to be one of the first countries in the EU to transpose that. Some of the powers that were in REMIT we already had in our legislation, but there were others that we needed to consult on. We have consulted on them. Ofgem has been very much part of that, not least because they will be powers given to Ofgem. I am surprised, Mr Robertson, they said that because they are involved in the transposing of those powers because they will be powers given to Ofgem. John Robertson: I am sure they have heard what you have said. Q429 Dr Lee: Moving on to wholesale energy prices and the future of UK gas prices, we are likely to become increasingly dependent on supplies of gas by LNG as the contribution from the North Sea declines. Won’t this make the UK increasingly exposed to prices in Asian markets? Mr Davey: One of our long-term concerns is to make sure that we have a diverse energy supply, that we are not over-dependent on a particular energy source and, in this case, for our gas, which is going to be a very important part of our energy mix, it is important that we are not dependent on one particular source. But we do have a very liquid gas market in the UK, probably the most liquid in Europe if not the world. Yes, we have gas supplies still from the North Sea and we are doing an awful lot to enhance those supplies because they have been declining. We want to halt that decline if we can, but we also have pipelines from Norway and from the continent as well as LNG. The point I am trying to make, Dr Lee, is that we have a variety of supplies and that is the right thing, but I do not disagree with your point that we should not be over-reliant on one form of energy because it exposes our economy. Q430 Dr Lee: Yes, that is all very well. The problem is that the Asian economies need the energy at the cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 82 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes time of winter and their winter is the same as ours. Their seasons are the same, so the likelihood is we are going to need it as much as when they need it. If you add into the mix the rather bizarre decision by the German Government over nuclear and Fukushima in Japan, the likelihood is we are going to be dealing with higher prices. The tanker coming out of the Strait of Hormuz, it is going to turn left, isn’t it? It is not turning right. Mr Davey: If you look at the recent flows you are right to say that Japan has seen some very high hikes in the gas price it has been prepared to pay and that has attracted quite a lot of the LNG that has been around. That does not mean there have not been tankers from Qatar and other places that have come to the UK. You are right, LNG is one part of the gas market that is much more global by the very nature that it is on ships, but my point to you back is that we are not dependent on LNG. We have other forms of gas from the North Sea, from pipelines from other countries. Q431 Dr Lee: Yes, but you said earlier that gas is going to play a major part and we are going to need significant amounts of gas. Fingers crossed, they can recover further assets from the North Sea, and fracking delivers whatever, but the reality is that we are going to be increasingly dependent on gas as coal switches off. That is true and, in view of the fact that our gas we get from Europe, the Norwegians are going to start—if the Germans start paying more for it because they are having to import more because they have switched off their nuclear power stations, the chances are we have high gas prices ahead of us, don’t we? Mr Davey: You are right to say that if you look at some of the forecasts by the International Energy Agency and some of the market analysts, they do say that gas prices are likely to stay high and potentially to go higher. One of the problems, of course, in working out where the future gas prices will be is understanding the underlying demands in the three regional markets that we have in the world; the North American market, the Asian market and the European/ North Africa market. That has been complicated by things in Germany and Japan, the nuclear switch-offs that you have referred to. It has also been complicated because we do not know how much unconventional gas we are going to get from fracking, particularly in Europe and North Africa. I hope that will be successful but, again, it is one of these uncertainties. Q432 Dr Lee: Sure, and also it would be further complicated by increased renewables because on cold windless days you have to underwrite every wind farm with gas. Moving on to the winter gas storage problems we also have, we have pretty limited facilities. What plans do you have to develop seasonal gas storage capacity? Mr Davey: A number of new gas storage facilities are being built, but one of the— Dr Lee: Whereabouts exactly? Mr Davey: I do not know. My colleagues are not the experts in this area. We could give you the exact details. Some of these are fast-cycle gas storage plants, which are quite interesting because they are different from some of the storage plants we have had previously in the country, which have been more longterm storage. It is quite helpful because it can deliver the gas more quickly. There are a number that we have under way. One of the misunderstandings that we have seen, not least in the headlines a few months ago when we had that cold period, was that people seemed to think that we depended on the gas from these storage facilities. Because we have a diversified supply of gas, we take gas on any one day from a number of different sources, including the pipelines we have with Norway and the continent, including LNG and including the North Sea. Sometimes people think that the storage is a critical part of the supply of gas to the UK on any one day. That is not the case. It is part of the mix, but not the critical part. Q433 Dr Lee: Yes, but, of course, having that capacity would allow us some buffer against a closure of the Strait of Hormuz event, for example, would it not, which is not beyond the realms of possibilities at the moment, is it? Mr Davey: I would suggest to you that if the Strait of Hormuz closed you might be more worried about our imports and the world’s imports of oil rather more than about gas. Dr Lee: I know, but the problem is a lot of our longterm contracts with the Russians are fixed oil barrel prices. So it does have an impact. Mr Davey: The UK does not have very many longterm contracts with Russia, as you know. Dr Lee: Yes, but if those countries have those supplies, they are going to look elsewhere for their supplies and thereby drive up the gas prices coming from elsewhere, which we use from our diversified base. The American shale gas, the Norwegian gas, all those prices will be lifted up by the fact that the gas price from Russia has gone up because the barrel price has gone up. Mr Davey: If, Dr Lee, you are interested in the— Dr Lee: Do you accept— Mr Davey: I would like to answer your question. We do a lot of work thinking about energy security where we look with colleagues across Government about “what if”. What if the Strait of Hormuz closes? What if a pipeline has some maintenance problem or a strike so that the pipeline is not getting gas to the UK? We look at scenarios where we take two or three things happening and say, “Would we be secure for gas supplies if this, this and this all happened suddenly on the same day?” We do that type of analysis because you would expect us to do that. There may be some security issues, I am not sure how that would play, but I am very happy to share with the Committee some of that work. Dr Lee: You do not have sleepless nights about it, is that what you are saying? Mr Davey: No, I do not. I think we do a lot of preparatory work and, if anything, we have stepped that up. Q434 Dr Lee: Okay. Moving on to comparing gas and electricity prices within the European Union, your cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 83 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes written evidence states that UK consumers are paying the lowest gas and among the lowest electricity prices in the EU15 when tax is included. However, when tax is excluded UK consumers pay a significantly aboveaverage electricity price and slightly above-average gas price. Why don’t you use tax-exclusive figures to give a fairer representation of UK energy prices compared with Europe’s? Mr Davey: We use the ones with tax because that is what people pay. Q435 Dr Lee: Yes, but when you are talking about— Mr Davey: Well— Dr Lee: No, hang on a minute. When you are talking about wholesale energy prices, that is net. It is irrespective of tax. The price is not set on the markets based on what the VAT level is in various countries. We choose to add that on top of that. In this context, we are trying to work out whether we are paying significant sums of money wholesale, separate from tax. I am not on about how much it costs Mrs Bloggs down the road because she is paying VAT. I am on about how much you are paying Vladimir Putin for your gas, and that is not subject to VAT. Mr Davey: If you are saying that there may be more room for increased competition to make sure— Dr Lee: No, candour; not competition, candour. Mr Davey: Sorry? Dr Lee: Candour. Mr Davey: Candour? Dr Lee: Yes, as in let us be transparent; let us compare like with like is my point. Mr Davey: You were able to deduce from our figures that we presented after-tax figures, so we were pretty transparent on that and we always have been. I think one of the reasons we have done that is that is what people pay. I think that is quite understandable. People obviously want what they are paying, understandably, and I do not disagree with your line of questioning, Dr Lee. It is a fair question to say, “Pre-tax, are we getting the best prices?” We are getting, as you said, around average, a little above, in electricity and that suggests that there is room for more competition. One of the obsessions I have in policy in both retail and wholesale markets is to make sure we have as competitive markets as possible. Q436 Dr Lee: Building on that, we have not seen any new companies of significant size entering the energy supply market. What do you see as the main barriers to entry to provide the competition that you seek? Mr Davey: You are talking about the supply to retail customers now? Dr Lee: Yes. Mr Davey: We have seen quite a lot of smaller companies. They do not yet have big market share, but I think the recent trends are in the opposite direction to the one you described, Dr Lee. One of the reasons I am very keen on collective switching, which I have regaled the Committee about before—this idea of bringing consumers together so they can purchase together and increase their buying power—is not only does it get better deals for those customers who see the deal that is good for them after joining a collective switch, not everyone will but many do, but the auction of a large number of accounts promotes competition. It has an indirect effect for all customers because it enables smaller suppliers to gain access to a larger number of accounts at relatively low cost. Winning new accounts in the energy business can be quite an expensive process, from knocking on doors, from mailing and so on, but the auction process—collective switching, which I have been really pushing, as you know, as Secretary of State—opens up in one go large numbers of accounts. We have seen as a result of that some of the small suppliers increasing their customer base. I think the trend on that side is such that while I am not saying we are there, we are seeing more competition, not less. Q437 Dr Lee: Okay. Finally, a question on liquidity. Contracts for difference proposals under the Energy Bill will require a liquid market in electricity contracts, and yet Ofgem has been striving to improve liquidity since 2009 with limited success. Does your Department have any alternative arrangements if liquidity does not develop? Mr Davey: It is something we have been doing a lot of work on, but Ofgem equally have been doing a huge amount of work on it. They have learnt from the period that you described where they have done analysis for a number of years but, as I said in my remarks I think to Mr Robertson, the latest consultation had some very strong proposals and I understand that GEMA are looking at them to make final decisions following that consultation next month and we look forward to their conclusions. We have made it clear that we want to see much greater liquidity in the forward markets. That is good for competition. It is good for transparency. I think it will help independent generators not just get contracts for difference for electricity market reform but, anyway, enable them to manage their risk better. It will be one factor in helping them get power purchase agreements so they can grow and compete with the bigger companies. I could not have been clearer over a protracted period that that is the direction of travel that I support. Just in case anyone was in any doubt, we obtained in the Energy Bill reserve powers so that if Ofgem proposals do not work, we would still have the powers to come and revisit the wholesale markets to get liquidity. I do not think we could have been clearer supporting the independent energy regulator and giving a clear steer that we want to see more competition in the wholesale markets. Q438 Sir Robert Smith: One of the concerns raised with us about what is affecting bills is, of course, some of the levies for social and environmental reasons that are put on to the energy bills. In your submission you talk about how bills are now 11% lower or will be £166 lower in 2020 by doing what you are doing than they would have been without your intervention. How have you come to that conclusion? Mr Davey: In order to make sure we are being as transparent as possible, the Government every year does a bills and prices report that analyses the impact of all our energy and climate change policies for consumer bills and business bills. It is quite a detailed cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 84 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes piece of work and the figures you described, Sir Robert, come from that work. What that shows is all the different impacts on energy bills. The biggest, of course, is the rise in wholesale gas price. We have seen in recent years a 60% rise. Given wholesale gas is about 50% of the average dual-fuel bill, you can see why that has been the big driver of higher energy prices. But in our bills and prices report we look at the other factors. We look at the network costs. We look at margins. We look at overhead costs. We look at taxes and we look at Government policies that you referred to. When you look at the average dual-fuel bill, 9% of it comes from Government policies. In 2013 that is £112. Yes, we have added to bills, but it is by no means the biggest increase in the bills. That is far outweighed by the increase in wholesale gas prices and network cost rises. It is also important to remember what that 9% is going on. Some people think it is all on low carbon; far from it. The majority of the Government-imposed cost elements are on energy efficiency and measures to tackle fuel poverty. That often is forgotten when you read these articles that say it is the Government who are driving up costs. Our measures are designed to help people save energy long term and also to tackle fuel poverty. Q439 Sir Robert Smith: Do you think there could be a clearer breakdown of those impacts on the bill to the individual consumer? Mr Davey: Quite a lot of energy companies do break down their bills. Obviously they may do that in different ways. One of the reasons why I think it is right that my Department publishes the bills and prices report is—we put out the information there and let people challenge it, read it and debate it—is so that there is an authoritative position. We look at our impact of our measures on current bills and we believe that without our policies, bills would now be higher. Our policies on things like product efficiency, energy efficiency, have helped drive overall bills down compared with what they otherwise would have been. When you then project forward to 2020, that saving is greater. Overall, if you look at all our policies together, which I think is the only fair way rather than just taking a little slug as some people like to do, we are trying to cushion consumers from these high gas prices that Dr Lee referred to. It is a worry. We can’t control global gas prices, of course we can’t, but I think our job as a Government is to try to cushion people from the effects of those. That is why we have taken those measures that are behind that analysis and it is why it is one of my obsessions to try to help consumers who are feeling the pinch with high energy bills. Q440 Sir Robert Smith: One of the concerns is that, of course, the poorer consumers are paying the same big chunk as some of the better-off consumers and, therefore, that method of raising funds is more aggressive than general taxation. How is the debate held as to whether something should be a levy on the bill or funded through the general taxation? Mr Davey: I think the big debates on that happened both in the last Government and the early stages of this Government when they were doing the spending review and there was a decision that they would continue with these levies on consumer bills. Although you make that point that there may be some poorer consumers who are not getting the benefits of CERT or now ECO, yet are paying on their bills— and that is a valid point—I note that Professor John Hills’ report into fuel poverty, when he looked at different ways of funding energy efficiency programmes to help the fuel poor, saw a case for the levy-funded approach, not least I think because it might force energy companies to be more effective in rolling it out. I think I am right in saying that he thought it was a better way of delivering those programmes. Gareth, do you want to add to that? Gareth Baynham-Hughes: Yes. There is an assumption built into the Hills review about the types of measures that would be delivered through investment in energy efficiency if it were done by suppliers or if it were done by Government. The assumption that was in the review was that competitive pressures and so on would encourage energy companies to deliver a more cost-effective package of measures. I think that is something we would expect to see under ECO. If you look at the amount of money that used to go into Warm Front, for example, compared with a similar amount going in under ECO, we would expect more households to be reached through ECO because it is more cost effective per measure. Q441 Sir Robert Smith: One of the other suggestions to maybe smooth the burden is to have a protected block of the tariff that is not subject to the levy and then levy on those consumptions over that protected block. Is that at all attractive? Mr Davey: I have not looked at detailed analysis, but I will give you my first instincts and it is the issue that the Chairman has raised with me before about the rising blocks. He will recall that when he was Energy Minister he received the same advice that I get, namely that there are some energy users who use a lot of energy because they are large households who are very poor. If you restructure the tariff system in a number of ways, in the way you described of restructuring the levy system, you might have an unintended consequence of putting more weight on some of these large households who are fuel poor. I am not saying that necessarily would follow from your proposal because I have not analysed it, but that might be the outcome. Sir Robert Smith: I suppose another concern would be those who are not on the gas grid and rely on electricity for their heating would be similarly penalised. Mr Davey: If they were high consumers, yes. Q442 Mr Lilley: You measure that element of the environmental levies and so on that falls directly on household bills. The rest falls on industrial energy costs, but you would agree with me, I am sure, that ultimately all costs are borne by individuals. Companies do not exist. They are simply composed of employees, shareholders and customers. Could you tell us what proportion of the total cost of all these cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 85 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes levies falls directly on household bills and what proportion goes through industrial bills? Mr Davey: I do not have that figure to hand. Mr Lilley: I did put down a PQ and I received a very confused answer, but it seemed to say roughly a third goes on household bills and two-thirds via industry. I think it was designed to confuse. Mr Davey: I am happy to look out that written answer and see if there is any way we can make it clearer for you. If you have a particular point you wish to come back on, then we aim to try to make it clearer. Mr Lilley: That is what I am doing now. If it is twothirds to one-third, that would mean that the total cost being borne is three times the figure that you quote. Mr Davey: Let us be clear. In our bills and prices report that I referred to before, we do not just do it for consumers. Mr Lilley: You do it for industry, but industry does not exist. It is employees, shareholders and customers. Industry does not pay the bill. Employees, shareholders and customers pay bills. Mr Davey: I do not deny the instance that you are referring to, but the point might well be that the people who own those industries that you are referring to may not be only domestic residents because, as you will readily be aware, many industries are multinational and they have owners who live all round the world, so we get into quite a complicated system of the distributional effects of these levies. Moreover, they may be a smaller part of the population compared with the analysis that you would do on distributional effects for consumers. If you are suggesting that it is somehow wrong to separate the two, I would disagree with you. I do not disagree with the fact that, of course, it is individuals who pay bills, but I do not think it is true to say that there is a complete mapover with other analysis in terms of the individual with economic interest in the industries that we are talking about. Mr Lilley: No, but it is incomplete to present households as if they are the people who pay the bills and industries as if that is something that does not consist of— Mr Davey: I would be interested in the methodology that tried to merge the two. I think it would be— Mr Lilley: It is quite simple. You take the total cost and divide by the number of households and you get an average figure. Mr Davey: Yes, but I do not think it would be an accurate figure. Mr Lilley: It would be an average figure. Mr Davey: It would not be an accurate figure for the impact on the UK domestic consumer for the reasons I have already given you. Mr Lilley: Some of it might go abroad, as indeed does a large slug of the subsidies we pay, most of which end up in foreign households. You never take that into account. Mr Davey: I believe in open markets and global markets. As someone who believes in free markets and free trade, I think that is an inevitable consequence. The people who do not believe in free markets and free trade, I think, would undermine the prosperity of our country. Our policies should not be protectionist. Mr Lilley: The idea that subsidies are a symptom of free markets is an interesting one. I will just round up and say could we have an answer to the question: what share of the total environmental levies goes on households and what share goes on taxpayers and industries, if so called? Mr Davey: Yes, I have already said I will provide it. Q443 John Robertson: On company profits and tax, today’s Independent has said that struggling customers prepare to receive the announcement that the SSE are going to have a 30% jump in profits in its division supplying gas and electricity to the UK. Now, given that SSE put gas and electricity both up by 9% back in October, what do you have to say about that? Mr Davey: To make sure that energy companies’ profits are reasonable ones but not excessive, the Government need to ensure that we have proper competition both in the retail sector and the wholesale sector. It is absolutely critical that the consumer is not ripped off and our best way of doing that is with competition. Of course, when energy companies have poor behaviour with mis-selling, as we have seen recently, it is absolutely vital we have strong consumer protection laws and Ofgem can levy the fines, which we have seen. Poor behaviour can be cracked down on, but competition is in many ways our bulwark to make sure that profits are reasonable and, let us be clear, there have to be some profits. John Robertson: 30%? Mr Davey: Let me just— John Robertson: When you are talking about— Mr Davey: That is why we may well need more competition. It is what I have been talking about the whole time. I am absolutely not complacent about this, Mr Robertson. We have to act. Q444 John Robertson: You say competition is great. They have all put their prices up within months of each other, to round about the same figure. The highest was 10.8% and the lowest was 7%. They are all the same. Where is the competition? Mr Davey: I think the price rises were different and one of the major reasons for the prices going up was, regrettably, the rises in global gas prices that Dr Lee was talking about. We absolutely have to make sure that the energy companies feel the heat of competition. It is one of the reasons why I am, again in answer to Dr Lee’s question, so keen to make sure that through things like co-operative energy buying, through tariff reform, that that competition bears down on the energy companies. I think they should expect that and they should expect me as Secretary of State and Ofgem as the independent regulator to be very hard on making sure we have the most competitive market. Q445 John Robertson: Seriously, I think you are missing the point; either that or you are not getting the right advice. The Big Six will tell you that they are only making 2% to 3% profit. As a matter of fact, your own statement that we had in previous times said 3% profit, but that is retail. If you go to generation, they are making between 17% and 20% profit. When they pay their dividends to shareholders in the UK, cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 86 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes they put the whole lot together. They do not just say, “We are only going to give you a dividend on the 2%”. They say, “We will give you the dividend on the 17% plus the 2%.” They are ripping us off and yet we cannot get hold of the figures. We cannot get hold of the books. That was the reason I asked you a question earlier on about Europe, who seem to be part of the way of getting some of this information. We hear of a company, npower, who now want to consolidate their accounts in Malta. With the best will in the world, this is a company that does not pay any corporation tax in the UK. Please, how are you going to support the people in this country? Mr Davey: We are determined to support the people in this country, whether they are consumers or businesses, and we do support and have taken action—indeed, the last Government started this in 2009—to get greater transparency in the accounts of energy companies. They are now required to have segregated accounts and, although that is a recent development, I think it has improved transparency. There is a recent report by BDO for Ofgem to see whether or not there are improvements to that new system to make sure it is as transparent as possible, so you and others and Government and the regulator can have that information. That transparency is critical to enable us to take decisions as we need to. If you want to talk about tax I am very happy to talk about that, but I do think the transparency in the accounting regime that the energy utilities face is very important. Q446 John Robertson: But this seems to be related. It is not just about energy, I know. I have a rather large letter kicking about here from npower, from a Mr Paul Massara who gave evidence to us, pleading poverty always. I have to say, I understand what you are saying, he may not be breaking the law, but we are doing nothing to hold these people to account. We have two companies who pay corporation tax to the proper amount. We have three companies who pay some, and we have this company, which pays none. That can’t be right. One of them can’t be right and the other five wrong. There is something not right here. Mr Davey: Mr Robertson, I am not going to go into the details of an individual company’s tax affairs, not least because, not surprisingly, I do not know all the massive details, but I will comment— John Robertson: I only asked a basic question, without being fair to all the— Mr Davey: Can I just finish my answer, though? I did note from your previous proceedings that Mr Lavery, I think it was, had asked Paul Massara a number of detailed points on RWE’s tax affairs. While there were some interesting exchanges there, it is worth noting to the Committee that, in his reply to this Committee and the reply that I was copied in on, the argument he made was that npower had been investing heavily in plant in this country. They showed that they had been the largest investor of the Big Six over the last few years and the reason why their tax bills were what people have been saying at this Committee was because they had used the capital allowances passed in Finance Bills by the last Government, and confirmed by this because they were making that massive investment. The capital allowances are there to give tax advantages to companies which are making that investment. While I completely agree with you that we need transparency and we need to make sure that companies, and not just energy companies, all companies, pay the tax that they should pay, if we also want to promote investment and encourage investment, it is important that when a company uses capital allowances, as Parliament wanted them to do so, I do not think they should be criticised. Q447 John Robertson: Okay, but this is the same company that can’t tell us what they are generating in this country. If they can do that, surely they can tell us exactly how much money is involved in the generation of energy. Let me explain it to you, because you obviously do not know. You have the generators and you generate the power. You put it into a central area of which, funnily enough, the same companies come around and buy it back off themselves and then sell it to the customer. That generating side is the one where they make the most money and the retail one is the one they say makes the least money. Why do they do that? Because it is all a part of trying to hide the money at the other end that can be hidden within the European and the big multinational companies. Let me go on to another thing about your own Department. I wrote a series of questions on 10 May and basically the questions were: “So, as the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, how much has the Department given in subsidy to RWE npower in each of the last five years, and to what projects the money was earmarked?” I asked that for each one of the Big Six, and I received this extensive answer. “The data is not collected in the format requested and could not be provided except at a disproportionate cost,” which said to me you have not a clue how much is involved, and yet I can go down the Library and they can give me figures of projects and money where the Government has invested. Secretary of State, it is not good enough. We have to hold these companies to account, and I do not think you are doing the job properly if you do not hold them to account. It is all very well making excuses for them, but we have people who cannot afford to pay their bills and we need to support them, not these companies. They can afford to support themselves. If they can support themselves in tax avoidance, then they can certainly support the country in paying some of the taxes that they are avoiding paying. Mr Davey: You are absolutely right that we have to hold companies to account. They have to be held to account for the way they behave in the electricity market and the way they buy and sell energy. They have to be held to account for how they pay their taxes. But I am afraid I reject your conclusion that that is not happening and I can cite very recent examples of record fines imposed on UK energy companies for mis-selling, and I would have thought you would have welcomed that, not failed to mention it. John Robertson: Of course you did. Mr Davey: Moreover, Mr Robertson, in the Energy Bill we have increased the support for consumers because we have said that, where an energy company cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 87 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes is fined for bad behaviour, those fines do not just come to the Government and go to the consolidated fund. They go to help those consumers who lost out. That is action that this Government is taking to make sure that consumers who are mistreated get proper recompense, and I think you should welcome that. I would have thought you would want to welcome that. John Robertson: I gave you the credit last time when I said how well you had done. This time I am not going to do that, so you do not expect me to be nice to you all the time. Q448 Barry Gardiner: Secretary of State, I was very glad that you mentioned the BDO report and that you are aware of that. You will probably recall that there were eight recommendations that BDO made. Do you happen to recall the responses that Ofgem made to those eight recommendations? Mr Davey: As I recall, what BDO said was, overall, the way the accounts had been presented and segregated was fair and reasonable. So their overall judgment— Barry Gardiner: The trouble of just reading executive summaries, Secretary of State— Mr Davey: Let me finish answering the question, Mr Gardiner. You did not mention this in your question, but for the record it is important that the full picture is painted. BDO said that the overall approach was fair and reasonable, but they asked for some improvements and then we get to the recommendations. My understanding is that Ofgem have accepted some of those recommendations, but one or two they have not. I do not know— Barry Gardiner: Not one in its original form. Mr Davey: Well, I don’t know if Rachel wants to— Barry Gardiner: “We do not intend to take forward this recommendation. We propose obtaining an independent opinion at least for the first year, but not necessarily from an auditor. We propose to take forward a variation of this recommendation. We do not propose to take forward this recommendation. We do not intend to take forward this recommendation. We propose to take forward a variation of this recommendation,” and then the final two, “As a result of our amended proposals and recommendation, 3, 7 and 8 are no longer required in their original form.” In your response to Mr Robertson you pleaded BDO in aid, saying that this was an example of the way in which these companies were going to be held to account and you praised the BDO report, but the BDO report’s recommendations have not been taken up by the regulator. That is the problem; critical recommendations. Mr Davey: I start by going back to the key point, which you did not make, which— Barry Gardiner: No, but you had already made it. Mr Davey:—was that BDO said that they were a fair and reasonable approach. They found no evidence of distortions of company profitability. Let’s start with that basis. They did make some recommendations, and Ofgem have not taken all of them forward and they have not taken some of them forward in the way that they were proposed. Barry Gardiner: They have not taken any of them forward in the form that they were recommended by BDO. They varied or not accepted every single one. Mr Davey: I think, and I have always said this, that we should keep this type of thing under review. This is a very new regime. It has only been going a few years. It is a unique regime, to my understanding, and therefore I think it is something that should be celebrated and supported. If there need to be more improvements we are certainly happy to consider them, but this was a report to Ofgem, not to the Government. Ofgem have taken the views that they have taken. Q449 Barry Gardiner: Secretary of State, unless you had raised it in defence to Mr Robertson, I would not have brought it up. I wanted to ask you about fuel poverty and the Hills review. The spend on fuel poverty overall, as you know, has been cut dramatically. In 2010–11 it was £319 million. In 2011–12 it was £97 million. Five days ago you released the latest fuel poverty report from your Department and under both the Hills definition and the old 10% definition, fuel poverty has decreased and I want to give you credit for that. You will know that under the old definition it has gone down by 9.5%, and under your new definition it has only gone down by 4.3%—but that is because, of course, the figures are also smaller in the first place—but the fuel poverty gap has gone up. That means that, for those who are in fuel poverty, that poverty has become worse. In the light of that, can you assure this Committee that you believe you have allocated sufficient funds to tackle the problem? Mr Davey: First of all, I slightly disagree with some of your interpretations of the facts. Let me explain why. First of all, I think, if you look at the full spending review period to March 2015, total spending on fuel poverty programmes is being increased if you take account of the levies like the Warm Home Discount and so on. I do not accept that there have been overall— Barry Gardiner: Increased from where, from £97 million? Mr Davey: Over the spending review period. I think there is a slight difference in views, I am afraid, with you, Mr Gardiner, over the amount of spend. Also— Barry Gardiner: Sorry, I have just quoted two figures. Let us be clear whether you agree that those figures are accurate. That is all I did. I did not talk about anything else. I simply quoted that £319 million was spent in 2010–11, and £97 million was spent in 2011–12. Mr Davey: I think you are focusing on taxpayerfunded schemes. In my analysis, I have included both taxpayer and levy funding. Barry Gardiner: It is overall fuel poverty spend. It is both. Mr Davey: Let me bring in the expert, but my understanding is, if you add both taxpayer-funded and levy payer-funded, the overall spending on fuel poverty programmes has increased during the spending review period. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 88 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes Q450 Barry Gardiner: We are not talking about the spending review. I gave you two specific years, 2010–11, and 2011–12 and I gave you the figures for fuel poverty and the fuel poverty gap in those years in accordance with your own report produced five days ago. If you want to tell me they are wrong that is fine, but it is your report. Gareth Baynham-Hughes: I do not recognise those figures on spending. I would have thought that total spending on fuel poverty through taxpayer-funded mechanisms that were in place at the time and through levy-funded and other similar policies would be way in excess of that. You are absolutely right, in terms of the fuel poverty statistics, that they showed a fall in the headcount under both the 10% indicator and the low-income high-cost indicator and an increase in the fuel poverty gap. The gap is the new measure proposed from the Hills review that helps you understand, precisely as you say, for those people who remain in fuel poverty, what the impact is of changes in incomes and changes in prices and so on. That is a very helpful insight that we didn’t used to have under the 10% indicator that shows you the depth of continuing hardship for households that happen not to benefit in a given year of the policies that are being deployed. Q451 Barry Gardiner: Thank you. Mr BaynhamHughes, you would agree with me that, under the report that you released, the depth of fuel poverty for those in fuel poverty, which under your own latest figures is 2,570 households—under the old figure it was 3,202 households—for those people, fuel poverty has become worse. Let me clarify also, for the purposes of the Secretary of State, that the figures are from your Department’s audited accounts and are what you actually spent, because of course it is not about what you budget to spend. It is about what you do spend and those figures are in your audited accounts. Mr Davey: We may have been taking different periods, because clearly our fuel poverty spend over the period with the Warm Home Discount is coming on. Maybe they are not in the figures that you presented but, to be fair to the Committee, I am giving you the figures over the spending review period. Can I go to the point that you were just focusing in on? Sometimes you are damned if you do and you are damned if you don’t. We published figures on fuel poverty showing that, under the old definition, fuel poverty was coming down. You welcomed that. I have to say I think that is probably a temporary reduction because we all know that prices have gone up and, therefore, we should still be incredibly worried about fuel poverty. Then you referred to one of the matters that we are using, a new measure from Professor John Hills’ review, which shows that depth of fuel poverty has become worse. It is one of the reasons why we needed to introduce that figure, because under the old definitions we would not have known that. We would not have known that. If you are going to tackle fuel poverty, you have to measure it properly. Okay, if there has been a worsening that is something we should be worried about and I am worried about it, but it is rather odd, is it not, that you get criticised for measuring something properly, which other Governments have not done, so that you can make sure your policies are better targeted and better focused? Fuel poverty, like much poverty, can be grinding and with the depth of fuel poverty, just like the depth of income poverty, it is essential that we understand that better. The fact we did not in the past is a bad thing. The fact that we are going to in the future is a better thing so we can target our resources more effectively. Q452 Barry Gardiner: Secretary of State, I have not criticised you for changing the way in which we calculate it today. If you apply the Hills methodology back to 2009, I think what you will find is that in 2009, under the Hills methodology, 2,697 people were in fuel poverty. That came down in 2010 to 2,675. The fuel poverty gap, which was 1,173, came down under Labour to 1,130. These are your own figures by the new methodology that you favour. What it shows is that up until 2010 fuel poverty was coming down and the fuel poverty gap was coming down; so the depth of poverty, the extent of that poverty, was decreasing. What your figures under your methodology show is that, while the number of households concerned has come down by 4.3%, the actual depth of their problem has worsened. They are worse off. What I asked you, which I still have not had a response to, is are you confident that you have allocated sufficient funds to tackle the problem or perhaps I should say that you have spent sufficient funds out of those that you have allocated in order to tackle this problem? Mr Davey: I think fuel poverty is a huge problem and I think the figures that you show, that we have now caused to be published, show the depth of that. You are absolutely right to ask us whether or not our strategies are sufficient to meet that challenge. It is one of the reasons why we will shortly be publishing a framework for our policies on fuel poverty, and we will follow that up with the first fuel poverty strategy to be published in this country for, I think, 12 years or a bit longer than that. We are very much focusing on that. I can’t prejudge the publication of the framework or the strategy and the resources that are going to go into that because we are working on that with both our stakeholders and within Government, but the fact that we are taking this so seriously, the fact that we had the Hills review, the fact that we are making sure that we, for the first time, measure it in a better way, and the fact that we are coming forward with a framework and a strategy does suggest to me we are taking this very seriously. Barry Gardiner: I am delighted to hear that you are going to be publishing the new fuel poverty strategy shortly. Mr Davey: The framework shortly; the strategy comes later because it enables people to respond. Q453 Barry Gardiner: Can you give us any idea about the timelines there? Mr Davey: I think the framework is quite shortly. The strategy will be towards the end of this year. Barry Gardiner: That would be imminent and by the end of the year? cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 89 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes Mr Davey: Yes. Barry Gardiner: Thank you for that. John Robertson: Which year? Barry Gardiner: This year. Mr Davey: Mr Robertson, this year, if it helps you with marking of my— Q454 Barry Gardiner: Professor Hills suggested to this Committee that a system of rolling targets that adapt to changing situations could be a better way of tackling fuel poverty than an elimination target. How effective do you think the current target is, and would you consider introducing a different system such as rolling targets? Mr Davey: The proposal that Professor Hills comes out with, which is this low-income high-cost measure, in many ways is a more challenging measure because it is not an absolute measure. It is more of a relative measure. Therefore, it will be challenging to meet and it has these two elements, not just the numbers that are measured by this low-income high-cost measure but also the depth that we have been talking about. We have taken on board a huge amount of what Professor Hills has said. I am not familiar with the proposal of a rolling target. I am not sure where that has come from. Gareth Baynham-Hughes: I think it was something he mentioned when giving evidence to the Committee. Barry Gardiner: Absolutely. He said this to us, yes. Gareth Baynham-Hughes: I do not have privileged information. I was just here watching it. My interpretation was that he was thinking about targets that would allow you to incrementally improve the situation of low-income, high-cost households. Presumably you would set five-year targets, and you would set absolute targets within that context, either around the level of the fuel poverty gap or around energy efficiency standards or something. I think that was what he must have been thinking about. By contrast— Mr Davey: It was not in his report. Gareth Baynham-Hughes: It was not in his report. By contrast to the 2016 one-off target that has been in place since 2000. Q455 Barry Gardiner: Finally, under the Warm Homes Act, Secretary of State, you have a statutory obligation to do all that is reasonably practicable to eliminate fuel poverty. In the light of end of taxfunded support for energy efficiency programmes and the closure of Warm Front, how do you respond to those fuel poverty organisations who doubt that you are meeting that statutory obligation? Mr Davey: I think we are meeting it because you have mentioned things that are being phased out but you have not mentioned things that are being put in. We have a lot of policies, such the Warm Home Discount that I have mentioned to you, which is targeting supporting support on 2 million of the lowest income consumers, £130 directly off bills, and that is 1 million of the lowest income pensioners directly targeted through that. That is new. That was not there before. Of course, we replaced CERT with the Energy Company Obligation. We think it is a better approach. It has elements that directly focus on fuel poverty with the affordable warmth element, the carbon saving communities obligation, and the second part of it, the other chunk, is the carbon saving obligation. Many people in fuel poverty will also benefit from that. We assess that slightly over half of the Energy Company Obligation will be going to the fuel-poor. Again, that is a policy. We could talk about that we think the Green Deal will be particularly helpful for the fuelpoor, but there are other measures as well. I have to say that a full analysis of what we are doing for fuel poverty, even before we get to the refreshed strategy that I have mentioned to you, shows that we are taking that obligation very seriously. Q456 Sir Robert Smith: In identifying those that could best benefit, it is becoming more difficult, as a lot of houses have already been dealt with, to identify those who are most in need of support to tackle fuel poverty because of the data-handling of the situation. Is there anything that can be done to overcome data protection and privacy rights so that help can be more efficiently targeted? Mr Davey: The current legislation only allows us to share pension credit data and we have been doing that very successfully in the Warm Home Discount Scheme I have just been talking about with Mr Gardiner. Energy suppliers are able to use that data to deliver further help, for example energy-efficient measures, to low-income pensioners. They can use that data for a number of things to help tackle fuel poverty. There are obviously other data sets that could be used and we have certainly not ruled out expanding the use of data-sharing, but I think you could immediately imagine that we would have to go about that with some caution and some sensitivity. People do not necessarily want their data shared widely and we need to respect that. I think there would have to be a full, proper debate in Parliament before we decided to expand the use of data-sharing. It has to be an option, but there are reasons why people are nervous about that. Q457 Sir Robert Smith: Does universal credit help in any way, because it tries to capture data on a household basis and obviously it is the household that is being affected by the condition of the home? Mr Davey: It may well, but I think it is relatively early days in universal credit. I think we should wait a little while before that system is bedded in. The DWP might think it is a step too far in their IT system’s redevelopment for universal credit to want us to use it for this purpose. As I said, we are not against and certainly have not ruled out expanding the use of datasharing and that might be an option. Q458 Sir Robert Smith: I suppose another way around it is to try to identify areas that, on the whole, would benefit from intervention because obviously it is much more cost-effective to intervene on a community basis than on an individual household basis. Help could be targeted at those areas that are most likely to benefit. Would that be a more— Mr Davey: Part of the Energy Company Obligation— in fact I tweeted when I came into office—was to cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 90 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes create this carbon-saving communities obligation. It is worth £190 million per year and it does just what you described. We do have within the ECO an area-based approach to tackling fuel poverty. Sir Robert Smith: Does it have any specific targets or directions towards those in the off-grid, rural area? Mr Davey: I think, from memory, about 15% is ringfenced for rural areas. Gareth Baynham-Hughes: That is right. Mr Davey: Yes, there is that. Q459 Sir Robert Smith: You have already identified that you see the energy companies as an important part of delivery because of the efficiencies that could come from that. Do you not think there is a role for other trusted intermediaries like social landlords to market or encourage people to take up these schemes? Your energy company coming and saying “I am here to reduce your bills” is still a counter-intuitive thing for the consumer to accept. Mr Davey: I am keen for lots of players to encourage take-up of these schemes and to show people that these are schemes they should take up. We announced last week that we are spending just under £1 million to create what we call the Big Energy Saving Network. This is not some new bureaucracy, you will be pleased to know. This is using existing advisers from the CAB, from the national energy advisers and so on, to use that network that exists already, that we have seen in cases like Big Energy Saving Week, and to create a permanent network of advisers who get support with training and materials who can coordinate better so they can be a voice to promote these types of schemes and help people know what is available. Of course, anyone can ring the Energy Saving Advice Service on 0300 123 1234. Q460 John Robertson: Secretary of State, earlier you replied to my question while I was ranting at you about my written questions to Mr Fallon. I get the feeling you probably thought they were just a fishing exercise, but these questions were anything but a fishing exercise. I do want to know what kind of money this Government and previous Governments invested in the Big Six—I want the figures for last five years. I have a horrible feeling that they have, shall we say, used the figures to mask their actual investment in this country and what they say they have invested. The fact of the matter is I think part of the investment is money that the Government has invested and probably you should be taking the credit for it, rather than them. I want to know what kind of money we are talking about because it is very difficult to work out their books at the best of times, but at least I can do an audit trail of your money to them and spent in this country. Mr Davey: Maybe I can look at the written answer you received and the question to see whether or not we could be more helpful for you, but the issue is this: there will be some investments that these companies will have made that are completely private-sector transactions with no Government support and no consumer support. There would be no impact on consumer bills. For example, I think it was npower which invested in the Pembrokeshire Gas Plant, which was slightly over £2 billion, and that would not have received any Government support. There will be investments that are completely unrelated to any support systems for low carbon. Of course, there will be those energy companies who invested in onshore wind and offshore wind and so on for whom the consumer, once those plants are generating, will be contributing under the ROC system and the contracts for difference, but that is quite a transparent process. People can see a wind farm. They know who owns it. They know the regime, so it is not something that is— Q461 John Robertson: If it is transparent, I would not have thought it would be difficult to get the figures. I have some figures from the Library and they tell me that through the RO obligation we have given them £251 million, which was up from £176 million the previous year. I can track some money, and there is £10 million that has been given from the Rhyl Flats Offshore Wind Farm. There are figures there, but I have a horrible feeling that they are using part of these figures to make it look—because they come to this Committee, as you are, and they tell us all about the money they have invested in this country, and yet, when I ask them the question, “How much of that investment came from financing from the UK Government”, they cannot tell me. Call me a cynic, but I just think they are trying to hide something here. If somebody can’t tell me a figure and I know it is there and they know it is there and they will not say, then they are hiding it and I would like to know why. Mr Davey: I would have thought they would be able to explain that, if they had made an investment in, say, an offshore wind farm, the Government scheme enables them to get money from consumers over the lifetime of that scheme because that cost is passed on. I can’t answer for them, but that is quite— John Robertson: You have told us a figure. Mr Davey: Indeed, but what I am saying is it is not directly Government money going in to pay for the wind farm. Okay? It is money that will come from consumers who pay when that wind farm generates, because that energy is slightly more expensive than from other sources. Q462 John Robertson: Exactly, and take the credit for it and also perhaps hide an expense somewhere, which allows you not to pay the tax you possibly should be paying. There is a possibility, and I want to make sure that I am trying to help them and make sure that what they are doing is above board and correct. I just have a terrible feeling that the letter I had from npower would probably be a carbon copy of the letter that was received from Starbucks, which was a carbon copy of the letter received from Amazon. These companies need to be looked at. Mr Davey: I completely agree that companies who are not transparent about their tax affairs need to be held to account by their shareholders, their customers and the jurisdictions that they operate in. The Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister have been extremely strong on this and at the G8 and at the EU level the UK is leading the charge for greater transparency in tax. The Prime Minister recently wrote to some of the UK territories to try to make cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 91 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes sure that they are being supportive of what the UK Government is trying to achieve. I think there is a real, strong direction of travel to make sure that companies pay what they are supposed to pay and I completely support that. John Robertson: As we do. Q463 Chair: There is a consensus that improving the thermal efficiency of the housing stock through energy efficiency measures is a particularly cost-effective way to tackle fuel poverty, but minimum efficiency standards in the private rented sector are not due to be introduced until 2018. Could that not be brought forward? Mr Davey: One of the benefits of setting regulation a few years away is it enables people to prepare for that and invest ahead. Of course, there is always an argument about whether a particular year is the right year. Of course, there is bound to be discussion. There is quite a lot of literature and empirical evidence that, whether it is a car manufacturer and having to have cleaner emissions or whether it is, in this case, energy efficiency in the private rental sector, giving people some time to prepare for that is a sensible way to make sure you can achieve that without unintended consequences and without negative effects. I am not saying that there is a science to choosing 2018. I am just saying that giving a bit of time for adjustment does make sense. Q464 Chair: Just moving on to ECO to finish up with, your Department’s projections suggest that ECO will take up to a quarter of a million households out of fuel poverty, but that is only a relatively small proportion of the estimated number of maybe 3 million or 4 million fuel-poor households, and only around 50% of ECO will be directed at low-income households. Given that ECO targets only a small proportion of fuel-poor households, do you have any plans to expand the scheme? Mr Davey: I think we have an agreement on how we take that forward to the end of the spending review. Decisions beyond that will not be made immediately. We want to learn from this scheme. It is in its early days. I think there are many good signs already from the scheme and I think we just need to get some more experience. For example, there are parts of the scheme that we have designed that did not happen before, for example the brokerage, to make sure there is greater transparency in prices and that other players beyond the Big Six can come in and deliver so there is more competition in the market. We have taken powers in the Energy Bill to require more transparency from the Big Six who have these legal obligations upon them to make sure we get the proper cost information, because that will help us learn to make sure we are doing things in the most efficient way. I think we have to learn some of those lessons before we decide what comes next. I personally think the Energy Company Obligation should have a long life, but we should obviously see if it can be improved in the next iteration. I would say, though, Chairman, that it is not just the Energy Company Obligation that we are using to tackle fuel poverty. There are lots of measures that are not just directed at the fuel-poor but will help the fuelpoor; the tariff reforms we have talked about. I come back to collective switching, because one of the reasons I set up the Cheaper Energy Together scheme was to try to promote collective switching and energy co-operative purchasing—one of the ways I did that was to say that you could only get funds from Government to help you set up these schemes if you showed that your scheme was going to include the fuel-poor. There is quite a bit of evidence that the fuelpoor were among the group who switched least and, therefore, were not benefiting from competition in the market. By trying to tie these energy-purchasing cooperative schemes to the fuel-poor was one of our ways of trying to get extra help to the fuel-poor. I have already talked about the Warm Home Discount. There are quite a few measures there and I think, while I agree with you that energy efficiency is the best way of doing it, which is where you started from, I do not think we can simply do it that way, not least because it is going to take time to refurbish the whole housing stock of the UK, even if you are just focusing on those houses that are the most thermally inefficient. We have to help people with bills. We have to help people get the best deal from the market. Q465 Chair: The energy companies are disputing the Department’s assessment of costs of ECO. Do you have any comments on that? Mr Davey: They have been disputing that for some time. It is interesting to note that, even in these early days, some of their new figures are rather closer to ours than closer to the ones they were publishing before ECO started; so the direction of travel is in the right direction. I hope that when Green Deal is in its next stage that will also help reduce costs and, of course, we are going to learn. No one wants to see ECO delivered at a high cost. Of course not. When I talk to the industry, I say, “Well, give us your ideas about how we can achieve these objectives”, which we have set out very clearly, “to reduce carbon, to improve energy efficiency of housing stock at a lower cost”. Doing it this way enables us to use competition and to use the learning from the scheme so we can achieve that. I would hope we can come in at not just our estimate of £1.3 billion per annum on these measures, but maybe even lower. That would be an achievement. If you look at the CERT scheme, I think I am right in saying that the analysis of the CERT scheme was that it came in lower than the Department had estimated, even though the companies at the time had said that the Department’s estimate was too low. These are early days in ECO, but I think the evidence is coming our way. Gareth, do you want to add to that? Gareth Baynham-Hughes: I am not sure there has been a final evaluation of the costs of CERT and CESP, but certainly anecdotal evidence would suggest that fears that it was vastly more expensive than Government estimates were not true. I think different supply companies would have slightly different perspectives, but in broad terms you are absolutely right. cobber Pack: U PL: COE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 09:59] Job: 030522 Unit: PG04 Source: /MILES/PKU/INPUT/030522/030522_o004_Corrected Transcript.xml Ev 92 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 21 May 2013 Rt Hon Edward Davey MP, Rachael Crisp and Gareth Baynham-Hughes Q466 Chair: I recognise that it would not be an enormous surprise if some of the anxieties expressed by the industry turn out to have been unfounded. Just to clarify, if the cost did exceed what you estimate, does that mean those costs would feed straight through to consumer bills? Mr Davey: That is certainly possible and that is one of the reasons why I take them very seriously. We are trying to reduce all the pressures on consumer bills, particularly the ones we can control. We have looked at this incredibly carefully and if there are more things that we can do we will do them. Q467 Chair: The Energy Bill Revolution Campaign suggested that the receipts from the carbon price floor could be used to fund energy efficiency measures. Do you think that is possible? Mr Davey: If it is a theoretical question, Chairman, “Is it possible”, I think it is probably possible. Whether it is likely I think is really the question. I do not think it is very likely. Successive Governments and successive Chancellors have taken the Treasury view in these types of things that hypothecation is not the right way to go. There are some fights one has in Government because you think you can win them and there are the fights that you think, “Maybe that is quite a tough call”. While I have great sympathy with the way the Energy Bill Revolution make their arguments and one can understand the power of their argument, they are up against decades, if not centuries, of Treasury orthodoxy on hypothecation. Q468 Chair: Just on the point about the carbon price floor, it is, I suppose, now absolutely clear that it is simply a tax-grab by the Treasury. It serves no environmental purpose. It is a distortion in the market that penalises sections of British industry compared with businesses in the rest of the EU and there is no energy or climate change policy justification for it at all, is there? Mr Davey: That is a little unfair. I think— Chair: Only very slightly. Mr Davey: It does give some signals for investing in low carbon technologies, but the way I see the carbon price floor is it shows how important getting Europe’s carbon market working is. Clearly, if the carbon price from the EU emission trading system was producing a price above the carbon price floor, we would not even be having this debate. That does show that carbon prices are important for long-term investment. If you talk to CCS developers, if you talk to renewal developers and new nuclear vendors, they see that getting a good carbon price will help us make this transition to a low-carbon economy in the most efficient way. While I understand some of the concerns about the carbon price floor, it is one of the reasons we have introduced proposals to compensate energy-intensive industries from the indirect costs of the EU ETS and we are getting responses from the Commission on those proposals while we have done that. I do think the long-term approach is to reform the EU ETS. If I make take this opportunity, Chairman, I think we need to see the European Parliament voting on backloading before the summer recess and saying yes to back-loading. It is quite a mild reform of the EU ETS, but it is an essential first step and I was deeply disappointed that Parliament voted—by a small majority, but nevertheless it was a majority—against back-loading recently, and I and my Department and colleagues are trying to put the case for back-loading and for getting Europe’s carbon market working properly. Q469 Chair: I am sure on that point you would have the very strong support of this Committee and I certainly regret that decision as much as you do and regret the fact that some of my colleagues were responsible for it. Thank you very much for your time. We look forward to seeing you again before the summer recess. We have a date, I think, in July to have a more general debate, although you may think we have strayed slightly beyond energy price reform. We look forward to straying even further in a few weeks’ time. Mr Davey: I am sure my Minister of State is looking forward to his appearance before you. Chair: Thank you very much. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [SO] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 93 Written evidence Written evidence submitted by Citizens Advice Introduction 1. Citizens Advice welcomes the opportunity to respond to the Energy and Climate Change Committee’s call for evidence on energy prices, profits and fuel poverty. 2. The Citizens Advice service provides free, independent, confidential and impartial advice to everyone on their rights and responsibilities. It values diversity, promotes equality and challenges discrimination. 3. The service aims: — to provide the advice people need for the problems they face — to improve the policies and practices that affect people’ s lives. 4. The Citizens Advice service is a network of nearly 400 independent advice centres that provide free, impartial advice from more than 3,500 locations in England and Wales, including GPs’ surgeries, hospitals, community centres, county courts and magistrates courts, and mobile services both in rural areas and to serve particular dispersed groups. 5. In 2011–12 the Citizens Advice service in England and Wales advised 2.03 million people on 6.9 million problems. Debt and welfare benefits were the two largest topics on which advice was given. In total we received 136,000 fuel related enquiries in 2011–12 including 97,000 about fuel debt, 2,600 enquiries about complaints and redress and 400 enquiries about selling methods. 6. We have limited our response those questions which best fit our areas of expertise. We have chosen to address prices and profits in tandem as it is difficult to consider these interlinked aspects in isolation. Prices and Profits To what extent (if at all) should the Government or the regulator intervene in the market to affect the prices consumers (or certain groups of consumers) pay for their energy? Should any changes be made to the Government’ s current approach? AND Many consumers believe that energy company profits are the reason energy bills have been going up in recent years. Is this perception fair? AND To what extent does the way energy companies communicate profits to the general public influence the public’ s perception of these companies? 7. Citizens Advice is extremely concerned about the ongoing exponential rise in consumer energy bills. In 2010–2011 the average electricity and gas bill grew by 8% and 9% respectively and the “big six” energy companies announced further increases of around 10% in the final quarter of last year.1 This rate of increase is significantly out of step with household income. In 2011 most benefits were uprated by 5.2% in April 20112 and will rise by just 1% this year while average earnings for full time employees grew by 1.4%3 and the minimum wage by 2.5% in 2010–11.4 8. A CAB in the South West reported the case of an elderly woman who had large gas and electric bills which she was unable to afford to pay and so had accrued arrears on both accounts. Her supplier was threatening disconnection if she did not pay what they wanted. She was unable to afford the amount they were asking and had cut down on the amount of gas and electricity she used to the point where she no longer had a bath and warmed up any water using the kettle rather than running the hot water tap. She had also been unable to afford to heat her home through the winter. 9. The economy is yet to show significant signs of improvement and welfare reform will result in an estimated two million benefit recipients being worse off. In addition, the worrying trend towards funding infrastructure, such as those contained in the current Energy Bill, and social policies, such as the Energy Company Obligation, through consumer bills rather than general taxation will place further upward pressure on bills in the coming years. In 2011–12 our bureaux received 97,000 enquiries about fuel debt and we expect these numbers to increase over the next few years unless decisive action is taken to address fuel poverty. 10. There is a common perception amongst consumers and many commentators that energy prices rise like a rocket when wholesale prices rise but sink like a feather when the wholesale prices fall. Suppliers strongly refute this claim and maintain that their profits have remained fairly steady at around 5% with changes in prices reflecting rises and fluctuations in wholesale prices. What is clear is that the way in which energy prices 1 2 3 4 DECC (2012) Average annual domestic electricity bills by home and non-home supplier and DECC (2012) Average annual domestic gas bills by home and non-home supplier Office for National Statistics (2011) 2011 Annual survey of Hours and Earnings (SOC2000) and Office for National Statistics (2012) Consumer Price Indices September 2012 detailed table http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/ dcp171778_282923.pdf Figure calculated using data on historical rates from http://lowpay.gov.uk cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 94 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence are set, which factors have an impact on the final bill a consumer receives and what proportion of the bill is accounted for by each of these factors is currently insufficiently transparent. 11. For example, a common theme in the communication by suppliers of the most recent price rises to consumers was the part played in the decision by the increasing number of obligations placed on suppliers by Government. The Government strongly refuted this claim, leaving consumers angry and confused. Uncertainty around these issues further erodes consumer trust in energy suppliers, reinforcing the idea that suppliers are all the same, as well as having an impact on the ability of consumers to understand the market and make informed decisions. 12. In order for suppliers to regain the trust of consumers, transparency and clarity around pricing is essential. Government and the regulator, along with suppliers, have a key role to play in ensuring that this becomes a reality. There should also be a more open, reasoned public debate around price rises from all parties, rather than the political points scoring in the media between suppliers, Government and Ofgem which has characterised recent price rises. How effective is Ofgem in ensuring consumers get a fair deal? Are there any areas for improvement 13. Since the probe into the energy market carried out in 2008, Ofgem has overseen and contributed to some very welcome improvements in the energy market in relation to the policies and practices of energy suppliers. We also welcome the work they have done, and are continuing to do, in improving the identification and experiences of vulnerable consumers. We have worked closely with Ofgem on these issues, among others, and will continue to do so. 14. We would, however, like to see Ofgem act more quickly and decisively once a problem is identified. For example, while some significant improvements have undoubtedly been made, many of the problems identified in the probe in 2008 persist to the extent that Ofgem deem it necessary to introduce legally binding standards of conduct requiring suppliers to, amongst other things, treat customers fairly, communicate with consumers in plain and intelligible language and make it easy for their consumers to contact them. It is now more than four years since the initial probe was carried out and yet Ofgem is still consulting on measures to address these issues with even optimistic estimates placing the implementation of the first of these reforms several months from now. Meanwhile consumers are still faced with an impenetrable market, poor customer service and widespread bad practice. Fuel Poverty Is the Government on track to meet its target of eliminating fuel poverty by 2016 and will reduced Government spending in this area affect their ability to achieve this target? 15. The latest official fuel poverty statistics showed that 4.75 million households in the UK, approximately 19%, were in fuel poverty in 2010. These figures do not take into account recent price rises and the income of many households rising by significantly less than inflation in the intervening period. Without a significant increase in Government spending on the energy efficiency of fuel poor homes the number households in fuel poverty is as likely to increase by 2016 as be eliminated. Research carried out on behalf of the Energy Bill Revolution estimated that 6.2 million households in England will be living in fuel poverty by 2016. We are therefore extremely disappointed that from January this year, following the closure of the Warm Front scheme, there ceased to be a Government funded energy efficiency programme in England. 16. The Green Deal and Energy Company Obligation, which is designed to replace existing schemes, will not, in our opinion, be sufficient to eliminate fuel poverty. Analysis by the Association for the Conservation of Energy found that the total budget targeted at fuel poverty in England will fall to £879 million in 2013 from £1.19 billion in 2009.5 We are also disappointed that the Energy Company Obligation will be funded through consumer energy bills. This is regressive and may have the perverse effect of pushing some households who do not benefit from the scheme, but will contribute to paying for it, into fuel poverty. Has the Hills Review resulted in any changes to fuel poverty policy? How could its findings be used to improve the efficacy of fuel poverty policy? 17. Citizens Advice welcomed the final report of the Hills Review which gave a thorough, well researched analysis of the causes and devastating consequences of fuel poverty. Overall, we are also fairly supportive of the proposed change to the definition of fuel poverty to the Low Income High Costs (LIHC) approach favoured by Professor Hills, although we did raise concerns about particular aspects. In its response to the final report the Government proposed to implement the majority of Professor Hills’ recommendations. The Hills Review has therefore made a significant contribution to our knowledge regarding the causes and consequences of fuel poverty as well as prompting a significant change to the way in which fuel poverty will be defined in the future. 18. We were particularly pleased that the Government also announced in its response that it would be going ahead with Hills’ recommendation that the government should set out a “renewed and ambitious strategy for tackling fuel poverty, reflecting the challenges laid out in (the) report and the framework set out (in the report) 5 Association for the Conservation of Energy (2012) The impact on the fuel poor of the reduction in fuel poverty budgets in England cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 95 for understanding them.” This is long overdue. It is more than two years since the Spending Review in 2010 in which the Government announced its intention to commission an independent review to look at the fuel poverty definition and more than eighteen months since Professor Hills and his team were commissioned to carry out this task. Furthermore, as welcome and vital as the commitment to draw up a new strategy to combat fuel poverty is, this will take further valuable time to put together and longer still to implement. Meanwhile the fuel poor continue to suffer in cold homes. 19. While it is undoubtedly important to have an appropriate definition of fuel poverty which allows the Government and other stakeholders to accurately identify those most in need of assistance, it is now time to stop quibbling over the precise definition of fuel poverty and take action. Endless debate around the merits or otherwise of various definitions and indicators has been a significant distraction for all involved in the fuel poverty debate, at the end of which we are no closer to finding a solution. Will the Government’s proposals to ensure that consumers are on the cheapest tariff have any impact on fuel poverty? 20. Citizens Advice welcomed the Government’s proposal to ensure that consumers are made aware of the cheapest tariff their supplier offers. In our view providing consumers with personalised estimates of the savings to be made from switching tariffs on relevant communications can reasonably be expected to act as a prompt for some consumers to contact their suppliers and switch tariff. The level of consumer interest and level of trust in the energy market is sufficiently low, however, that many consumers do not read the correspondence sent to them by their supplier and there is no guarantee that even those who do read the correspondence will be prompted to take action. Furthermore, while a consumer may be able to save some money by switching, and should therefore be encouraged and helped to do so, for many households even the cheapest tariff currently available is far from affordable and the efficacy of this proposal as a tool for alleviating fuel poverty should not be overstated. 21. That being said, as part of the wider package of reforms proposed by Ofgem and DECC we believe that this remedy will help some consumers to engage and reduce their energy bill. This may begin to help to alleviate fuel poverty for some households and is therefore worth pursuing. To what extent do fuel-poor households engage in switching? What are the barriers to greater levels of switching from these groups? 22. Alongside the barriers to switching faced by all households, such as the complexity of the market, there are some groups of consumers who may face additional barriers. For example, consumers who are in debt to their energy supplier may be prevented from switching by their existing supplier. 23. A CAB in London reported the case of a man who wanted to switch supplier but was prevented from doing so due to fuel arrears of £800. He was told by his supplier that would need to pay £99 every two weeks which, as he was reliant on JSA and housing benefit for his income, was far from affordable. The client felt that he was being “held hostage” as he was unable to change to a supplier whose lower price would make his fuel bills more affordable. While the CAB could advise him how to ask his supplier for a more realistic payment schedule, they were unable to help him to switch to a cheaper deal. 24. Similarly, the options for those who have elected , or been obliged by their supplier, to use a pre payment meter are significantly more limited than the options for those on a standard meter. In addition, some of the cheapest deals available are only available to those paying direct debit and/or choosing to manage their account online. 25. Fuel poor vulnerable customers may face further barriers to engagement. Official fuel poverty statistics released by the Government show that 18% of vulnerable households6 in the UK were fuel poor in 2010, compared to 16% of all households.7 Vulnerable consumers, such as the elderly, disabled and those with mental health issues can find it particularly difficult to understand overly complex bills and communications from suppliers and can find it more difficult to exercise their rights and get problems put right. 26. A CAB in the North of England saw a lone parent with mobility problems living in rented accommodation. Following a discussion with the representative of an energy supplier she decided to switch her supply to his company. She was told by the sales representative that they would take care of the switching process, implying that it would be stress free for her. She was told by the supplier that she needed to provide up to date meter readings but she could not access her meters due to her mobility problems. She explained her difficulty and they said they would come and read them for her but she would need to make an appointment. She was left in a queue to speak to someone at customer services to arrange this appointment for so long that she gave up. She then received repeated calls from her original supplier asking why she had decided to leave them and stated that the quote she given by the new supplier was not correct for her usage and persuaded her to keep her supply with them instead. The client found the whole experience to be very confusing and stressful and wished she had never started the switching process at all. 6 7 A vulnerable household is classed as one containing children, the elderly, and/or someone with a long-term illness/disability DECC (2012) Fuel Poverty 2012—Detailed Tables. Table 1. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 96 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 27. Experiences like these can be a key factor in damaging consumer confidence and trust in suppliers and discourage them from engaging in the market in the future. The complexity of the range of the tariffs available can also be particularly bewildering for some vulnerable consumers. Therefore, as recognised by Ofgem and the Government in their respective proposals for retail market reform, vulnerable consumers, and particularly those who are fuel poor, often need additional help and support to engage effectively in the market and make good switching decisions. Energy Best Deal, a scheme Citizens Advice runs in conjunction with Ofgem, which provides extra information and support to vulnerable people to help give them the confidence and skills to engage in the energy market and switch to the best deal for them provides an example of how this can be facilitated. To what extent do fuel-poor houses currently take advantage of energy efficiency schemes? Could anything be done to increase the uptake? 28. Suppliers responsible for delivering the Carbon Emissions Reduction Target (CERT) and the Community Energy Saving Programme (CESP) have reported significant difficulty generating sufficient take-up of energy efficiency measures to meet their targets, particularly in regards to the “super priority group”. The Warm Front scheme has experienced similar difficulties and Citizens Advice were extremely disappointed that over £50 million, more than a third of the total budget, went unspent in 2011–12 and was returned to the Treasury. The scheme closed to new applications in January this year and we expect that the scheme will once again have failed to spend its budget despite the decision to award £25 million to the new local authority fuel poverty fund. 29. It is important to note that each of these schemes offered free energy efficiency measures and in some cases suppliers were even offering cash incentives to certain groups to allow them to fit measures for free. The Green Deal, the Government’s new flagship energy efficiency scheme, is based on consumers taking out a loan to pay for energy efficiency measures, to be paid back over time through their energy bill. It is likely, therefore, that Green Deal participants will face considerable challenges in generating sufficient interest from consumers. 30. One of the key factors in the underspend in the final two years of the Warm Front scheme was the failure of the Government and Carrillion to adequately publicise the scheme. Citizens Advice, along with other organisations with similar concerns such as Consumer Focus, took part in two campaigns to improve awareness and take up of the scheme in its final months, both of which contributed to a significant boost in take up. It is clear, therefore, that future energy efficiency schemes, starting with the newly introduced Energy Company Obligation, must be accompanied by an adequately resourced, sustained publicity campaign. February 2013 Written evidence submitted by SSE SSE is a UK owned and based energy company. It is involved in the generation, transmission, distribution and supply of electricity and the production, storage, distribution and supply of gas. This response considers all three parts of the inquiry. Summary Energy prices — There are a number of costs which feed directly into customers’ energy bills. The wholesale costs of energy make up around half of the average bill. The rest is largely made up of the costs of using the energy networks and funding Government mandated schemes. — Around 90% of the costs in the average energy bill are out of suppliers’ control. — In recent years three principal factors have increased energy prices: the wholesale costs, the costs of using and improving the energy networks and the costs of Government mandated schemes, particularly those intended to improve household energy efficiency. — The UK’s energy prices are, on average, cheaper than in comparable EU countries. Government statistics show that in the first six months of 2012 the UK had the cheapest gas prices and the fourth cheapest electricity prices in the EU 15 (including taxes).8 Energy company profits — SSE is a broad-based utility. In its Annual Report and Consolidated Segmental Statements it is transparent about the levels of profit which it makes.9 — Given the breadth of SSE’s operations, and the many factors which make up energy prices, drawing correlations between energy prices and company profits is misleading. — SSE has publicly stated that over the medium term (3–5 years) it expects to make around 5% profit per customer account (less than a £1 per week per customer). This level of profit is reasonable for a business of the scale of SSE. It is less than other household services such as telecommunications. 8 9 DECC (2013)—DECC Energy Price Statistics www.sse.com/uploadedFiles/Controls/Lists/Reports_and_Results/SSE_ConsolidatedSegmentalStatement_31032012.pdf cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 97 — Across the SSE group it currently invests more in the UK’s energy infrastructure than it makes annually in profit. It needs to make fair and reasonable profits across each of its businesses areas in order to continue investing at similar levels going forward. Fuel poverty — SSE will spend around £50 million on support for its most vulnerable customers this year. — Any attempts to address fuel poverty must address the key issue of identifying vulnerable customers and tailoring support to meet their specific needs. SSE advocates that a central “agency” be appointed to match customers in need with the available support. — Household energy bills are dependent on the amount of energy used, therefore rising energy prices do not necessarily equate to similar rises in customer bills. Improved household insulation has reduced energy usage. So much so that if customers continued to use the same amount of energy as they did in 2005, a typical SSE customer bill would be around £400 higher using current prices. Part 1: Energy Prices How energy prices are determined 1. There are a number of costs which feed directly into customers’ energy bills. Currently the wholesale costs of buying electricity and gas on international markets accounts for around half of the average customer bill. The rest is largely determined by the costs of using the energy networks (25% of the average bill), the costs of funding Government and regulator mandated schemes (10% of the average bill) and VAT at 5%. See figure 1 in annex.10 2. The majority of these costs, almost 90%, are determined by either international markets or set by the Government or Ofgem. These costs are largely outside of the control of energy suppliers and are passed through to customers in their energy bills. 3. As wholesale costs account for just half of an energy bill, attempts should not be made to draw conclusions solely by considering the relationship between the wholesale and retail prices of energy. The three principal factors which are increasing energy prices: — The price of energy in the wholesale markets—SSE (and the UK) operates in a global commodities market. SSE has a responsibility to secure the gas and electricity that customers need and prevent its customers facing the volatility of global markets. It does this buying energy in advance, sometimes up to three years. — The cost of using the electricity and gas networks—suppliers have to pay the companies which own the UK’s electricity and gas network for transporting energy along the wires, cables and pipes to customer’s homes. The cost of using the networks is controlled through a long-term regulatory formula determined by Ofgem and increases in costs are a result of significant and necessary investment undertaken by the networks in this infrastructure. — The costs of Government and regulator mandated schemes—these principally account for suppliers’ social spending, energy efficiency measures, feed-in-tariffs and support for renewable energy. These costs are introduced by the Government on the basis that they will be paid for by consumers through their bills (see points 9—14 for more). 4. Whilst UK energy prices have increased in recent years, UK consumers are, on average, paying less for their electricity and gas than those in many comparable markets in neighbouring European countries. DECC statistics show that in the first six months of 2012 the UK had the cheapest gas prices and the fourth cheapest electricity prices in the EU 15 (including taxes).11 This statistic not only assists when seeking to benchmark UK prices, it also demonstrates one of the benefits of the UK’s liberalised energy supply market. How the factors making up energy prices have changed over time: 5. SSE has taken a number of steps to improve the transparency about how it determines energy prices. This includes publishing a market outlook which details the likely medium-term direction of energy prices. See figure 2 in annex.12 6. The contribution of each of the factors within energy prices has changed in recent years. Looking backwards, the trends from the last eight years are: — Wholesale prices have been volatile and have doubled due to international events, such as the Arab Spring and the Fukushima nuclear accident. However, these costs now make up less of the total costs in an energy bill than was the case eight years ago. — Retail prices broadly reflect wholesale prices. Its movement has a slight lag after the wholesale price reflecting the fact that companies buy energy up to three years ahead of customer use. 10 11 12 www.sse.com/MarketOutlook/ DECC (2013)—DECC Energy Price Statistics www.sse.com/MarketOutlook/ cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 98 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence — — The costs of Government and regulator mandated schemes and network (UoS) costs have increased. Profit margins have varied significantly and been both positive and negative at different times. Since 2004 they have been net negative. The rising costs of Government and regulator mandated schemes: 7. Of the factors changing energy prices over time, the costs of mandatory schemes are rising significantly. These costs are forecast to continue increasing in the coming years. 8. These costs account for policies such as supplier social spending (such as the Warm Home Discount), the Renewables Obligation, and energy efficiency programmes such as CERT, CESP and, from January 2013, the Energy Company Obligation (ECO). Next year a typical duel fuel customer could be paying over double the amount paid in the previous year to fund these schemes. 9. Of these costs it is the delivery of energy efficiency obligations which is principally causing this increase in costs. Research carried out by the economic consultancy NERA concluded that the annual cost of delivering ECO could be over £2.35 billion, far exceeding the £1.3 billion forecast in DECC’s Impact Assessment13. The costs of ECO will be borne by all customers of the larger energy suppliers and on a per customer basis this could equate to almost £100 a year rather than the £52.50 forecast by DECC in the IA. 10. The reasons for the potential ECO cost escalations are the potentially low take-up of Green Deal and the subsequent costs to suppliers of meeting their carbon reduction obligations. At the same time the costs to suppliers of identifying “hard to reach” customers to offer energy efficiency measures. 11. One of the reasons why the costs per customer of delivering the ECO are increasing is that these costs are not borne by smaller suppliers and their customers. In effect this means that smaller suppliers (>250,000 customers) are able to offer customers deals that do not account for the £100 in costs incurred by larger suppliers. This is detrimental to the majority of UK consumers and competition in the retail market. 12. If the Government intends to encourage competition in the retail market it should address barriers to entry not exempt small suppliers from policy costs. In the interests of equity across all UK energy consumers and to ensure cost reflectivity, all suppliers should therefore be levied (in some way) for the costs of delivering this Government policy. 13. Whilst SSE firmly supports the principle of improving the energy efficiency of UK homes as part of a long-term strategy to reduce household energy bills, this must be done cost-effectively. The Government should take these issues into account as ECO develops. For these reasons SSE has called for Government to cap the cost of ECO. Part 2: Energy Company Profits 14. SSE is a broad based utility. The majority of its operations are in England, Scotland and Wales. SSE also has a growing business in Ireland. It is the second largest electricity generator in the UK, owns and operates economically-regulated electricity networks and has a 50% ownership of gas distribution networks. It also supplies electricity and gas to over 9 million customers. As well as this within its core businesses SSE is also the UK’s largest street lighting contractor, owns gas production and storage facilities and runs businesses in the water and telecoms sectors. 15. It reports to shareholders on its financial performance across the three core segments that make up its business: wholesale, retail and networks. With energy retail just one part of SSE’s business, and given the many factors that determine energy prices, attempting to drawing correlations between energy price rises and company-wide profits is misleading. 16. SSE is transparent in how it reports its financial performance to shareholders and customers. It breaks down performance in each part of its business in its Annual Reports14 and publishes Consolidated Segmental Statements to Ofgem which breakdown profits by each of the three core segments that make up its business.15 17. It has consistently said that it aims to achieve an average profit margin of around 5% over the medium term (3–5 years) in its retail business (this equates to less than a £1 per week per customer). A profit level of 5% in the retail business is fair and reasonable for a business of its size and scale. It is comparable to other household sectors such as food retailers and below that of telecoms providers. 18. Across the UK and Ireland SSE employs around 20,000 people and is investing the equivalent of almost £4 million a day in the UK’s energy infrastructure to maintain secure supplies and help decarbonise the UK’s economy. Without reasonable profits across each of its businesses, this level of investment would not be sustainable. 19. As a UK owned and based company SSE is a responsible tax payer and makes a significant UK tax contribution. PWC’s annual survey of the tax contributions paid by the companies in the FTSE 100 confirms 13 14 15 www.energy-uk.org.uk/publication/finish/5/752.html SSE (2013)—Reports and results—www.sse.com/Investors/Reports_And_Results/ www.sse.com/uploadedFiles/Controls/Lists/Reports_and_Results/SSE_ConsolidatedSegmentalStatement_31032012.pdf cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 99 that SSE is one of the most significant taxpayers in the UK contributing almost £400 million in 2011/12. This makes SSE the 17th highest tax contributor in the FTSE 100.16 Earning the right to make a profit: 20. SSE is aware that it needs to earn the right to make a profit, particularly in its customer facing retail business. Its customer service is consistently rated as among the best of the energy suppliers however it recognises that further steps could be made to improve transparency, simplicity, service and fairness for its customers. SSE has been first in the sector in introducing the following changes: — Restoring simplicity: by reducing the number of tariffs from over 60 to just three core products; — Enhancing transparency: by voluntarily improving wholesale electricity market liquidity and publishing a breakdown of costs on customer’s bills; — Improving customer service: by introducing a Sales Guarantee and offering all customers an Annual Energy Review to ensure they are on the right products and taking advantage of energy efficiency measures and financial assistance; — Introducing Customer Service Guarantees: in which SSE will give customers £20 if it does not meet the service standards which it sets itself. Part 3: Fuel Poverty 21. Fuel poverty is caused by three principal factors i) the price of energy ii) household income and iii) the level of insulation and energy efficiency in homes. There are practical ways in which energy suppliers can support those customers who are in need, however it can only do this in collaboration with Government, local authorities, other interested stakeholders and the customer themselves. 22. SSE broadly concurs with the conclusions of the Hills Review into fuel poverty. What is needed following the report is a series of practical solutions which ensure measures target those customers most in need of support with their energy costs. 23. As a leading UK energy supplier SSE will spend almost £50 million in this year alone to provide support to customers who are struggling to pay for the energy they need. This accounts for a variety of assistance including the Warm Home Discount, access to discounted or free energy efficient products and benefit entitlement checks. The level of spend will increase in the coming years. 24. For SSE, the greatest challenge to addressing fuel poverty is identifying customers potentially at risk of fuel poverty and offering them the support that is available. Put simply, suppliers do not have the tools to identify those potentially at the greatest need, as for most customers they are equipped only with names, addresses and payment information. The data-sharing which informs the Warm Home Discount Scheme has seen some improvement in this area. However, there are concerns that suppliers are being obliged to seek information about their customers that are beyond the normal customer/commercial company relationship, such as benefits data and health conditions. 25. Therefore, any solutions to fuel poverty must address the key issue of identifying vulnerable customers and tailoring support to meet their needs. SSE has long advocated that some form of central “agency” be appointed to match customers in need with the support available. This will help to ensure that policies are meeting their intended aims. Energy efficiency is the long-term solution: 26. Rising energy prices do not necessarily have to equate to similar rises in customer bills. The size of a customer’s bill is not just determined by the movements in prices, it also depends on the amount of energy used. Measures to reduce energy usage and improve the energy efficiency of UK homes are the long-term solution to reducing the cost to the consumer. 27. Household insulation has been improved in recent years through policies such as CERT and CESP and improvements in the energy efficiency of household technology. As figure 3 in the annex shows, this has reduced average energy demand for gas and electricity. The effect of this should not be underestimated. Using current tariff prices and usage for a typical SSE customer, bills would be around £400 higher if customers continued to use the same amount of energy as they did in 2005.17 28. As a result of the energy efficiency measures installed by SSE and other companies these trends are expected to continue for gas usage over the next few years. Electricity demand is harder to predict as electrical appliance usage is expected to increase. 29. Too often research into the relationship between wholesale and retail prices ignores the impact of reduced average demand. This is the case with Ofgem’s Supply Market Indicators, which can lead to an overestimate of profits as margin is attributed to sales that never happened as the energy was not used. 16 17 www.pwc.co.uk/tax/issues/total-tax-contribution.jhtml www.sse.com/MarketOutlook/ cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 100 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 30. Over the long-term the Green Deal presents a significant opportunity for the further improvement of the energy efficiency of UK homes. SSE is fully committed to its objectives and continues to work hard to deliver a programme which works in the best interests of consumers. February 2013 ENERGY PRICES, PROFITS AND FUEL POVERTY INQUIRY: SSE RESPONSE Annex Figure 1 HOW ENERGY PRICES ARE DETERMINED Figure 2 HOW THE FACTORS MAKING UP ENERGY PRICES HAVE CHANGED OVER TIME cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 101 Figure 3 REDUCTIONS IN ENERGY DEMAND FOR SSE CUSTOMERS Supplementary written evidence submitted by SSE These Questions are Related to Electricity Only 1. What percentage of your total electricity trades are over-the-counter (OTC) versus trades on the wholesale exchange? Currently approximately 25% of SSE’s electricity trades in the “day ahead” are OTC rather than over an exchange. For “forward” contracts, which make up the main proportion of SSE trades, OTC is closer to 100%. 2. What are your criteria for trading OTC versus on the wholesale exchange? As a market participant, SSE will trade where the liquidity is, and currently in the “day ahead” for electricity there is most liquidity on exchanges. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 102 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 3. What is the average difference in price for your OTC versus wholesale exchange trades? In terms of market prices there is no difference between trading OTC or via exchanges. A potential difference will be on the credit terms that various market participants can receive in relation to their size. Over an exchange market participants are required to post collateral ahead of delivery to mitigate default risk, and due to limited credit and collateral due to the size of their businesses, small suppliers will have difficulty in trading in forward markets via exchanges. SSE has attempted to mitigate this natural barrier for small suppliers to trading in forward electricity markets by launching our Small Supplier Trading Commitment which assists smaller suppliers to trade along the curve and mitigating exposure to short term market volatility by SSE voluntarily taking on the credit risk for small suppliers via OTC trades. 4. Does your company deal in long-term contracts? Who has access to the information contained in the contracts? SSE trades via a number of contracts on variable contract terms and lengths, with a number of market participants. The detail of these contracts will be dependent on the deal agreed bilaterally, and due to commercial sensitivities will remain between SSE and the counterparty. SSE is open to trading with any market participant if on favourable terms. This being said, long-term contracts represent a small proportion of SSE’s electricity trading. The value of these trades will be appropriately apportioned to the relevant business area within SSE, and SSE looks to leave minimal profit/loss in the trading statement under Ofgem’s Consolidated Segmental Statements. Given that profit of all segments is disclosed and reconciled to the group’s UK accounts, there is no possibility to entirely disguise or hide profit. These Questions are Related to Gas Only 5. What percentage of your total gas trades are over-the-counter (OTC) versus trades on the wholesale exchange? Currently approximately 99% of SSE’s gas trades are OTC rather than over an exchange. 6. What are your criteria for trading OTC versus on the wholesale exchange? As any market participant, SSE will trade where the liquidity is, and currently for gas there is most liquidity OTC. 7. What is the average difference in price for your OTC versus wholesale exchange trades? In terms of market prices there is no difference between trading OTC or via exchanges. The difference will be on the credit terms that various market participants can receive, relative to their size. As a large supplier of gas with a strong credit rating, SSE can secure favourable terms on many OTC contracts. If the trades had taken place on an exchange SSE would not be able to pass on the financial benefit to its supply customers accruing from its strong credit rating. Smaller energy suppliers will face additional costs on OTC, without favourable terms being offer by producers, due to the natural limitations in credit and collateral. Due to the international nature of the gas market, looking to address this across would create additional costs to secure international gas supply contracts to the detriment to consumers and the wider UK plc. 8. What announcements have you made in accordance to REMIT? Where is it posted? If you trade gas outside of the UK within the EU, where do you post announcements for other EU markets? In compliance with REMIT, all of SSE outages have to be posted on it’s REMIT reporting site. SSE’s GB trading operation does not trade gas outside of UK and any trades made with international producers will be for delivery at the point of entry in the UK. As a group which operates solely in the GB and Irish (inclusive of NI and ROI) markets, SSE does have a trading team for our operations in Ireland, but as with the GB market they do not trade outside of the point of delivery in Ireland. 9. What access to market information do your traders have about any other division of your company? Do they have access to storage levels, upstream information if applicable (geological data), or daily production/ consumption data? There are Chinese walls in place between the regulated gas storage part of our business and trading, as with the regulated networks part of the business. SSE only sees public information from these parts of the business. For SSE’s non-regulated Storage and Generation assets it is subject to the rules of REMIT and cannot act on any outage data until these have been published on REMIT websites. For Exploration & Production (E&P) business, REMIT notifications are published by the field operators and SSE is unable to trade on any cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 103 information until they have published the relevant notification. Storage levels for SSE’s operations are publicly available through the NGT website. Longer term generation planning is published in OC2 data which is available through the Elexon bmreports website. A huge amount of other generation and consumption data about our assets and the system in general are also available through the bmreports website. 10. Does your company deal in long-term contracts? Who has access to the information contained in the contracts? SSE trades in a number of contracts on variable contract terms and lengths, with a number of market participants. The detail of these contracts will be dependent on the deal agreed bilaterally, and due to commercial sensitivities will remain between SSE and the counterparty. SSE is open to trading with any market participant. The value of these trades will be appropriately apportioned to the relevant business area within SSE, and SSE looks to leave minimal profit/loss in the trading statement under Ofgem’s Consolidated Segmental Statements. Given that profit of all segments is disclosed and reconciled to the group’s UK accounts, there is no possibility to entirely disguise or hide profit. Additional Questions 11. How many of “immobile” customers do you have? Consumers are not homogenous and all have the ability to switch supplier in a competitive market. It is for this reason why SSE works hard to engage its customers to ensure that they are on the right deal for them. In 2011 it introduced Annual Energy Reviews to help customers understand the tariffs which are available, ensure they are on the right payment plan and to help them to take advantage of available energy efficiency measures to reduce their consumption and energy bills. SSE prioritised its most vulnerable customers when rolling out these Annual Energy Reviews. For prepayment meter customers SSE recently signed a voluntary agreement with Ofgem to increase the limit of debt at which they can switch suppliers to £500 (up from £200 previously). SSE has also committed to a number of awareness raising measures for their customers. This is intended to help switching amongst prepayment meter customers who are in debt to their supplier. Whilst switching supplier is regarded by some as an indicator of a competitive market, it is not the only indicator. As a result of the Annual Energy Reviews, and other measures to engage customers, many customers are switching between SSE tariffs. This level of switching within the same supplier is an important indication of consumer engagement. 12. Do you offer all customers all of your tariffs? If not, what are the reasons for not offering the full suite of tariffs? SSE simplified its tariffs in February 2012. It was the first large supplier to do so. Customers are able to access all of SSE’s tariffs, wherever possible. In some cases there are technological or practical reasons why they may not. For example, in the case of prepayment meter customers there are technological limitations on the number of tariffs which can be offered. In December 2012, however, SSE took steps to ensure a fairer deal for prepayment meter customers by giving them access to its cheapest tariff— something which cannot be said for all suppliers. SSE has taken further steps to help customers get onto the best tariff for them. In February 2013 it introduced a set of Customer Service Guarantees. Under these Guarantees SSE committed to always find ways to save customers money when they call. This could include informing them about the tariffs and deals that suit their needs; explaining how they could benefit from the discounts available; or offering practical tips to cut usage. To emphasise how seriously SSE takes its commitment to saving customers money, it discounts £20 off a customer’s next energy bill if it does not meet this commitment. SSE also signed up to a voluntary agreement with Government in April 2012 to always tell customers about the cheapest tariffs available. 13. What can you do to reduce the cost of customer service yet also improve your quality? SSE is the UK’s second largest energy supplier and its customer service has consistently been rated as the best of the large energy suppliers. It has been voted Best for Customer Service and Most Likely to be Recommended eight consecutive times in the uSwitch Customer Satisfaction Reports. It is also the only energy supplier to be awarded five stars by Consumer Focus for its customer complaints performance. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 104 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence An analysis of the most recent Consolidated Segmental Statements demonstrates that SSE has one of the lowest operating costs of the large energy suppliers. Cost to serve includes all costs to serve overheads and metering but excludes energy efficiency spend. Taking domestic electricity as an example: Domestic Electricity SP EDF EON RWE BG SSE Average Cost to Serve per cust £ 67.42 £ 87.50 £ 72.44 £ 92.63 £ 55.44 £ 47.06 £ 67.62 It is not possible to judge how this compares to the smaller energy suppliers as they do not publish this information or submit a Consolidated Segmental Statement. Nonetheless, SSE is always looking to ways to more efficient and reduce costs to consumers whilst maintaining quality. Any efforts to reduce the cost to serve are impeded by the increasing amount of regulation imposed on suppliers. For example, under the Energy Company Obligation suppliers have to complete ten forms to verify that a boiler repair meets ECO rules. It is critical that efforts are taken to cut this level of regulation as doing so could yield tangible cost benefits for consumers. 14. What proportion of calls/correspondence are caused by billing queries and by how much do you anticipate this will fall after the advent of smart metering? In the last financial year 2012–13 around 65% of calls/correspondence related to billing queries. This will inevitably come down once smart meters are rolled out to more UK homes. At this stage however an exact figure is difficult to quantify as it is dependent on consumer behaviours. May 2013 Supplementary written evidence submitted by SSE SSE Commitments made in Oral Evidence Dr Whitehead: No, I am talking about the major generators and suppliers here; all the integrated generators and suppliers. Alistair Phillips-Davies: Okay, so ScottishPower, EDF, E.ON, RWE, British Gas and SSE—I am just saying there are significant differences in the purchase costs of energy that appear in their accounts that Ofgem sign off and have been looked at by BDO. You may not have seen the information, but I can give you our view of the information. There are very significant differences in those costs. I will send you a table if you want. I understand exactly what you are saying and I am just saying from what I see from analysing what public information Ofgem make available, we see significant differences and we would be happy to send that through to the Committee afterwards so you can have a look at it and decide what you make of it. There are also significant differences in cost to serve and things like that as well. Some people have much higher cost to serve than we do. From Consolidated Segmental Statements Range £78.20/MWh and £57.30/MWh = over 30%—as mentioned in oral evidence. Domestic Electricity Turnover EBIT Margin Volume Sales ppu Purchase cost ppu Indirects Customer Numbers (mill) Cost to Serve per cust Cost to serve per MWh Domestic Gas Turnover EBIT Margin SP £m EDF £m EON £m RWE £m BG £m SSE £m Average £m 1489 -128 -8.6% 1673 -44 -2.6% 2426 159 6.6% 1751 -34 -1.9% 3027 145 4.8% 2504 93 3.7% 2145 32 1.5% 12.4 120.1 78.2 209 3.1 £ 67.42 £ 16.85 14.7 113.8 57.8 315 3.6 £ 87.50 £ 21.43 20 121.3 61.8 326 4.5 £ 72.44 £ 16.30 14.9 117.5 57.3 352 3.8 £ 92.63 £ 23.62 25.6 118.2 58.7 377 6.8 £ 55.44 £ 14.73 20.8 120.4 66.4 240 5.1 £ 47.06 £ 11.54 SP £m EDF £m EON £m RWE £m BG £m SSE £m Average £m 1026 117 11.4% 888 -80 -9.0% 1507 -81 -5.4% 1344 -22 -1.6% 4903 399 8.1% 1828 157 8.6% 1916 82 4.3% 303 4.5 £ 67.62 cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 105 Domestic Gas Volume Sales ppth Purchase cost ppu Indirects Customer Numbers (mill) Cost to Serve per cust Cost to serve per therm SP £m EDF £m EON £m RWE £m BG £m SSE £m 928.2 110.5 53.6 155 1.5 £ 103.33 £ 0.17 865.6 102.6 60.0 190 1.8 £ 105.56 £ 0.22 1453 103.7 63.3 243 3.0 £ 81.00 £ 0.17 1239 108.5 57.1 293 2.4 £ 122.08 £ 0.24 4099 119.6 62.4 623 9.1 £ 68.46 £ 0.15 1552 117.8 64.3 196 3.5 £ 56.00 £ 0.13 Average £m 283 3.6 £ 79.81 Written evidence submitted by RWE npower Key Messages — RWE npower welcomes the opportunity to respond to the Committee’s inquiry, especially as the level of trust in the energy industry is currently at a very low point. We believe that an honest and open debate about the drivers of energy prices and the true level of profit earned by energy companies will help to increase customers’ trust and engagement. — The majority of the final energy bill is made up of costs outwith the supplier’s control. Of the portion that suppliers do control (ca.15%), they have been extremely successful in reducing their operating costs in recent years through significant investment in systems and services. — By contrast, the upward pressure on prices in future years is increasingly driven by Government policies and not just wholesale energy costs. To minimise the risk of further rises in the short term, RWE npower is calling for a cap on ECO costs, a broadening of qualifying measures and amendments to eligibility criteria in order to improve the efficiency of delivery to ensure that costs do not exceed DECC’s estimate of £1.3 billion per annum. — Customers need an appreciation as to why energy prices are rising, but also that they can take action to mitigate some of the impact of these inevitable price rises by implementing energy efficiency measures. — RWE npower welcomes the thrust of Ofgem’s Retail Market Review but believes that tariff simplification must not be brought about at the expense of consumer choice or reduced competition and innovation. The perception and rhetoric regarding profits contributes to mistrust but is not borne out by the evidence. For example, Consolidated Segmental Statements (CSSs), produced for Ofgem, show that the large vertically integrated energy companies’ domestic supply margins have on average been less than 4% over the three reported years 2009–11. — The Government’s current policies are insufficient to achieve its Fuel Poverty targets and we endorse many of the recommendations of the Hill’s review as being an appropriate way of addressing fuel poverty. — Wider data-sharing is needed to improve the identification and targeting of vulnerable households eligible for free energy efficiency measures to ensure that delivery is as efficient and cost-effective as possible, particularly given that the costs are recovered from other consumers. — Energy efficiency measures also need to be joined up with the provision of Warm Home Discount, tariff advice and Benefit Entitlement Checks to give vulnerable households a comprehensive package of income maximisation measures. Response to Questions Prices 1. What factors determine energy prices (wholesale prices, company operating costs, green levies, company profits etc)? What contribution do these factors currently make towards a typical household energy bill and how might this change over time? 1.1 The wholesale cost of energy is the largest component of both electricity and gas prices. For gas, wholesale costs are determined by global gas prices; for electricity, the wholesale price is determined by the underlying fuel costs and the “merit order” of plant. For electricity, the cost of carbon (driven by Government policy) will increase significantly in future to around 6% of electricity bills by 2020. 1.2 Networks costs (distribution and transmission) are the next highest component of energy bills. Suppliers cannot control these costs and rely on Ofgem to ensure that increases in costs are minimised. We cannot comment on the level of profit derived by the transmission and distribution companies from this component of bills. 1.3 Environmental and social costs (including carbon) account for c14% of domestic electricity prices and 7% for gas. For electricity, this could increase to c30% by 2020 whereas, for gas, the percentage is estimated to remain flat. We regard this distribution of policy costs as perverse against a backdrop where Government cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 106 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence needs to incentivise consumers to switch from gas to electricity if it is to achieve its carbon reduction goals. The recent announcement on the Levy Control Framework (LCF) mean that the costs of supporting low carbon generation will be capped at £7.6 billion in 2020 [ca. £74 per customer pa in 2020], providing a limit on future customer costs. Capacity mechanism and ECO costs are separate from LCF, with the latter uncapped and spread over domestic customers only. 1.5 Energy bills depend on consumption levels and DECC estimate that “by 2020 households will be spending, on average, 7% less compared to what they would be spending in the absence of policies”. However different policies will result in different impacts on different customer groups depending on each individual’s consumption level and their ability to make changes to this. Electricity prices will increase more rapidly than gas as a result of Government policies being levied mainly on electricity bills, while the potential energy efficiency benefits of ECO/Green Deal are seen mostly in gas consumption (to the particular disadvantage of off gas grid vulnerable customers), assuming there is sufficient uptake. 1.6 Company operating costs and profits are two areas of the bill where suppliers have direct control—in total accounting for c15% of the bill. Despite inflationary pressure, CSSs show that cost cutting initiatives by large suppliers have resulted in operating costs falling between 2010 and 2011 by c£100 million or 3% with further falls likely in 2012. 2. To what extent (if at all) should the Government or the regulator intervene in the market to affect the prices consumers (or certain groups of consumers) pay for their energy? Should any changes be made to the Government’s current approach? 2.1 There are two key justifications for market intervention: market failure and policy objectives. As regards market failure, there is no evidence (as opposed to rhetoric) of problems on the supply side. Ofgem’s key RMR concern is with disengaged customers. Whilst we support measures to improve customer engagement, concerns on this score can be over-stated. Our research shows that, in areas where npower used to be the incumbent supplier, 96% of customers have engaged in the market through switching to another supplier, changing tariff or changing payment type. Therefore, the extent of tariff simplification to encourage engagement needs to be weighed against reduced consumer choice and innovation opportunities. 2.2 We recognize that energy is unique as an essential product, provided in a competitive market, and this strengthens the need for consumer protection. However, an intrinsic feature of markets is that those who take the time and trouble to search for available offers get the best deal. The danger of applying this too indiscriminately is that it undermines the very objective that Ofgem is trying to promote, namely customer motivation to engage in the market. 2.3 The main justification for intervention in the prices for certain groups relates to the policy goal of alleviating fuel poverty. There are two main drawbacks to the current approach as compared to using the tax/ benefit system: 1. Energy suppliers do not have such ready access to information on those who qualify as Government does; and 2. Not all suppliers offer the Warm Home Discount. 2.4 As discussed elsewhere, a number of the Government’s market interventions have the effect of increasing prices. It is, therefore, important that Government designs these policies to deliver their intent in the most efficient way possible. 3. How effective is Ofgem in ensuring consumers get a fair deal? Are there any areas for improvement? 3.1 Given the modest and, at times, even negative profits of suppliers, it is clear that customers are receiving a very good deal. It is unclear to what extent this is due to Ofgem or to the vigorous competition that characterises the retail market. 3.2 Given the importance of customer choice in the market and the benefits of innovation, we believe Ofgem’s proposals to improve customer engagement through limiting suppliers to offer only four core tariffs are too restrictive. In order to offer choice and to allow for innovation, we believe that there needs to be at least six. However, we do agree that customers would benefit from enhanced information including some communication standardization (eg commons terms and the annual statement). We agree that supplier’s cheapest tariff messaging could increase engagement but such messages must be caveated to avoid misunderstandings and suppliers should be able to promote products with other characteristics that customers value. 3.3 We do have concerns around Ofgem’s treatment of discounts and rewards and believe that its proposals will make it more difficult to reward customer loyalty. 3.4 We believe that the powers to be given to Ofgem under the Energy Bill enabling customer redress where a supplier is in breach of its licence or other regulatory obligation need to be balanced by suppliers being able to appeal the decision on its merits rather than on the present vires or procedural bases. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 107 3.5 We also have some concerns that the proposals in the Energy Bill which focus Ofgem’s role on delivering Government policy may undermine the potential for it to act as a “critical friend” to Government in questioning whether policy is designed in a cost effective way for the benefit of consumers. 4. Could it be possible to benchmark energy prices to provide greater certainty about whether consumers are getting a fair deal? If so, how might this be achieved in practice? 4.1 Whilst we see a role for benchmarks, we do not see the Tariff Comparison Rate (TCR) as the way forward given that best buy tables already exist. TCRs run the risk of misleading customers into making inefficient decisions due to their national calculation basis. Their unit of representation (p/kWh) is likely to cause confusion relative to billed rates. Annual bill £ would be a more suitable unit but this then gives little value over personal projections. 4.2 Crude benchmarking may be an initial stage to promote customer engagement but, for actual switching decisions, we would advocate the use of personalised projections of costs based on a customer’s Estimated Annual Cost of their existing tariff and consumption level, which are already provided to customers. 5. Could any other measures be put in place to ensure consumers are paying fair prices for energy and to provide consumers with greater confidence in this? 5.2 We believe collective switching offers a way forward for some customers who have not engaged and who may be responsive to community-based or special-interest groups, possibly on a not for profit basis, but the success of collective switching as a feature of the UK energy market depends upon customer commitment and greater clarity on the roles and controls on agents Profits 6. Many consumers believe that energy company profits are the reason the energy bills have been going up in recent years. Is this perception fair? 6.1 This perception is incorrect. Ofgem’s own benchmarking analysis concluded that reasonable energy supply profits “vary from 3% for a fully hedged utility to 9% for an independent supplier purchasing energy up to two years forward. The average energy retail margin over 2005–10 lies below the range of these benchmarks. However, the average energy retail margin for 2010 lies within this indicative margins.”18 6.2 This is supported by the CSSs where aggregate EBIT margins for domestic electricity and gas supply for 2010 and 2011 were c3%. Profits at these levels are not excessive when compared with other industries and government statistics show supermarkets, banks, clothing retailers and telecoms all returning higher margins; in many cases, substantially more. 7. Why is there so much uncertainty about the level of profits the large, vertically integrated energy companies are making? What could be done to improve clarity? 7.1 We don’t agree that there is uncertainty about the profitability of large, vertically integrated energy companies as they produce CSSs annually setting out revenues, costs and profits for gas and electricity supply (domestic and non-domestic) as well as generation. Whilst Ofgem continually looks for further standardisation there is a limit to how far this can be taken. 7.2 The profits energy utilities operating in the UK make are extremely transparent compared to other industries’ standards of reporting. All of the major suppliers provide detailed insights into their financial and social performance in their annual reports. This has been further enhanced by the publication of the CSSs, which we feel should be rolled out to all energy market participants. 8. How useful are Ofgem’s electricity and gas supply market indicators in monitoring the level of profits made by energy companies? Could they be improved? 8.1 As Ofgem states in Supply Market Indicator (SMI) Methodology (January 2012), paragraph. 1.6: “We are not trying to model supply business profits.” The paragraph explains that its modelling is based on a typical customer and does not take into account discounted and fixed price tariffs. Plainly, this approach understates costs and overstates profitability. 8.2 We believe that the SMI Report could be improved by breaking out Other Supply Costs to explicitly set out Social Costs, Environmental Costs and Delivery Costs. Releasing the full detail of the methodology including each element’s value to public scrutiny would further improve it. 8.3 The SMIs are a useful tool for giving directional guidance on profits made by energy companies. However, as noted by Ofgem in the past (see 8.1 above), they are not an absolute forecast of large suppliers’ 18 (Retail Market Review—Findings and initial proposals Supplementary Appendices, Appendix 9 (March 2011), para. 1.12, p.43); cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 108 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence profitability. There are a number of key differences between this Ofgem report and the costs experienced in reality, as set out by NERA analysis conducted in October 2011.19 9. How useful are the segmental generation and supply statements that major energy suppliers are required to produce in understanding where companies are making their profits? 9.1 We believe that the CSSs are useful in providing information on companies’ revenues, costs and profits for supply and generation. Although we have noted the limitations on standardising different companies’ financial models, there might be benefit for all the large companies to report on a calendar year basis. Given the stated purpose of the CSSs to provide new entrants with information on suppliers’ profitability, we consider that it would be appropriate for all suppliers to publish such information. This would also facilitate transparency around the case for exemption from delivery of Government social and environmental obligations and ensure the level of any exemption or relief is proportionate when compared with the economy of scale benefits enjoyed by larger suppliers. 10. Do Ofgem’s supply market indicators and the segmental reports provided by energy suppliers help to increase transparency and public trust in energy companies? Could they be improved to provide greater transparency? 10. More should be done to raise public awareness of these reports and greater transparency could be provided by regularly publishing the full detail of the methodology of Ofgem’s SMI Report (SMI) including each element’s value. The increased public scrutiny would be expected to lead to improvements in the Report. 11. To what extent does the way energy companies communicate profits to the general public influence the public’s perception of these companies? 11.1 We announce our financial results in much the same way as many other companies along with additional information provided by the CSS required under our licences. However, we see the public’s perception of energy suppliers’ profitability being much more heavily influenced by what the Regulator, politicians, stakeholder groups and the media say and publish. 11.2 One of the major problems the energy industry faces is that, due to the scale of the companies involved, the absolute level of profits quoted by the media are substantially higher than many other major UK companies despite margins being considerably lower. Similarly the volatility in profitability the industry faces means profit often moves from breakeven to low meaning a high percentage change. Many of the integrated suppliers have tried to influence the public’s perception by quoting £/customer profits in residential energy supply or pence in the pound profit but the success of such initiatives appears limited in the face of widespread negative media/ stakeholder comment. Fuel Poverty 12. Is the Government on track to meet its target of eliminating fuel poverty by 2016 and will reduced Government spending in this area affect their ability to achieve this target? 12.1 As recent data shows, Government (in England) is falling well-short of the necessary level of reduction in fuel poverty and we do not believe that this situation will fundamentally change by 2016. 12.2 We do not believe that the answer is to replace Government spending (for example, on Warm Front) with programmes funded through energy bills, such as the Energy Company Obligation. The regressive nature of social and environmental obligations placed on energy suppliers is exacerbated by the fact that vulnerable customers may be the least likely to move to small suppliers, who are exempt from these costs and obligations. The cost of obligations is therefore very likely fall disproportionately on fuel poor customers. 13. Has the Hills Review resulted in any changes to fuel poverty policy? How could its findings be used to improve the efficacy of fuel poverty policy? 13.1 Not as yet as the Government has thus far only consulted on the new definition of fuel poverty proposed by Professor Hills. RWE npower welcomed the results of the Hills Review into Fuel Poverty and we hope that the Government will implement all its key recommendations as soon as possible. Please see our answers to 14 and 15. 14. To what extent are current fuel poverty policies reaching the right people? Are there any particular groups that are currently not getting the necessary support? And will this change under the move to ECO? 14.1 It is very difficult to establish whether current fuel poverty policies are reaching the right people, given the difficulties inherent in the identification of, and engagement with, those customers by suppliers. However, the Hills report suggests that even those households who are in receipt of a means-tested benefit account for only 62% of those in fuel poverty (according to the LIHC definition). This suggests that almost 40% of 19 Energy Supply Margins Estimated by Ofgem and NERA: Review of the Differences, http://www.energy-uk.org.uk/publication/ finish/5/435.html, Commissioned by Energy UK cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 109 those in fuel poverty are not eligible for help, even assuming that suppliers were able to identify and engage with them. 14.2 As the Hills report makes clear, by moving from the 10% ratio to the LIHC measure, the composition of the fuel poor will change dramatically. Therefore there will need to be a corresponding change in the targeting of supplier obligations—in particular the replacement or broadening of the core element within the Warm Homes Discount 14.3 We believe that the move to ECO may exacerbate the situation given that the majority of ECO funding is targeted at hard to treat properties. Also limiting the Affordable Warmth target to those in private tenure only, will significantly increase the difficulty (and therefore cost) of finding eligible recipients as well as preventing many fuel poor customers in social housing from accessing support under ECO. 15. What support is available for fuel poor households living in solid-wall and hard-to-treat properties? Could this be improved? 15.1 Under the ECO, fuel poor households living in solid-wall and hard to treat properties can access ECO funding under the Carbon Emissions Reduction (CERO) and the Carbon Saving Communities Obligations (CSCO). However, suppliers are obligated to discharge their ECO obligations as cost-effectively as possible, and will seek to maximise the carbon savings from every £ of ECO subsidy provided. As CERO is not focused on fuel poor households, this will almost certainly mean that households that are able to take out a Green Deal loan or can part self-finance will be more attractive to suppliers. This could be remedied by revising the targets and scoring system to compensate for this, while ensuring the overall cost of ECO is not increased. 16. Will the Government’s proposals to ensure that consumers are on the cheapest tariff have any impact on fuel poverty? 16.1 We agree with Government that these proposals may have a marginal effect for some customers but they will not in themselves make a significant reduction to the number of households in fuel poverty, particularly given the rising trend in Government policy costs over the remainder of this decade. 17. To what extent do fuel-poor households engage in switching? What are the barriers to greater levels of switching from these groups? 17.1 Consumer Focus’ recent report “Switched on—consumer experience of energy switching” found that vulnerable customers are much less likely to shop around, with the wealthiest consumers being around three times as likely to use a price comparison service as those in the poorest social groups. 17.2 Vulnerable customers therefore need access to meaningful information that will help them engage with the competitive market and make efficient switching decisions. We support proposals to standardise terminology. The Government’s proposals for cheapest tariff messages may help to promote switching within this group as could collective switching schemes run by trusted intermediaries such as charities or Local Authorities. Suppliers have also funded and supported activities such as Big Energy Saving Week and Energy Best Deal which seek to proactively engage vulnerable customers with the switching process by bringing the competitive market to them. 18. To what extent do fuel-poor households current take advantage of energy efficiency schemes? Could anything be done to increase uptake? 18.1 We do not believe it is possible (for us or anyone else) to confirm to what extent fuel-poor households take advantage of energy efficiency schemes, given that the identification of the fuel-poor is often the key issue. This is compounded by the known difficulties of engaging with the non-fuel poor in relation to delivering energy efficiency measures. 18.2 We believe that, whilst not a panacea, improved data sharing would provide a significant boost to take up of energy efficiency measures, as it would remove the need for households to prove that they were eligible for support. 18.3 We are concerned that the current commentary around tariff reform as a means of ameliorating energy costs is in danger of diverting customer attention away from energy efficiency, which is the only long term solution for delivering real and sustainable reductions in consumer energy bills. February 2013 cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 110 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Supplementary written evidence submitted by RWE npower RWE Commitments to Provide Follow up Answers 1. A breakdown of the costs of our social/environmental (CERT/CESP) costs in relation to the CSS? Our CERT/CESP costs are as follows: 2009—£149 million. 2010—£104 million. 2011—£139 million. They are required to be included as part of Other direct costs in the Ofgem Consolidated Segmental Statements rather than Indirect costs, which is where we would treat them internally. 2. A note reiterating/explaining our corporate tax position Paul Massara’s letter to Tim Yeo of 17th April sets out our corporate tax position. The factsheet we produced on 18th April quantified the three main adjustments in moving from Operating Profit towards taxable profits as described in that letter. For convenience they are both enclosed as attachments. 3. How often you have check listed, as relates to trading activities, the “another part of business” box? We reviewed very carefully the Business Functions Template, including its Explanatory notes shown on page 9 and 10 of our YE 2011 CSS to ensure that it was prepared in absolute accordance with Annex 2 of the Ofgem Guidelines. The Business Functions Template accurately and fairly represents where business functions are performed and in which segment the profit or losses of these functions are recorded. Trading is involved in performing certain aspects of the specified business functions, as explained on pages 9 and 10 of our YE 2011 CSS (published on our website at http://www.npower.com/idc/groups/wcms_content/ @wcms/@resi/documents/residential/con_seg_statement_2011_pdf.pdf and enclosed as attachment). In all cases where the functions are performed in “Another part of the business”, the profit or losses are reflected in the appropriate Generation or Supply segment. All these activities are performed under arms-length, commercial arrangements and are at fair value in accordance with all applicable legislation and standards. 4. Clarification of the difference between the profit numbers cited by Ian Lavery and those cited by Paul Massara There appears to be some confusion as to why there is not just one single measure of profit in circulation. We would like to point out that this is directly because different users of financial information require it to be presented on different bases. The main examples, as they apply to RWE npower, are as follows: A. Companies House—the Companies Acts require UK financial statements to be filed for each individual legal entity. These are often referred to as the statutory accounts. There is no requirement on us to file group accounts. We prepare our UK entity accounts under UK rather than International accounting standards. It is the profit before tax in these entity accounts which is the starting point for the computation of UK taxable profits, which (unlike in some other countries) is also done on an entity by entity basis. B. Ofgem—as a condition of our generation and supply licences, our Regulator requires “Consolidated Segmental Statements” (CSS) which have a strictly defined content. The main profit measure is EBIT (earnings before interest and tax) stated for each business segment. However this does not correlate to the results of any particular legal entity or group of entities, not least because certain items are required by Ofgem to be excluded—either because they relate to activities not regulated by Ofgem, or because they are of a one off nature and could be misleading to include in what is intended to be a profitability measure than can be compared on a like for like basis with competitors. C. Parent Company Accounts—in common with three of the other five large companies at the hearing, RWE npower is part of a larger group (in our case headed by RWE AG of Germany). Multinational groups report under International rather than UK accounting standards. It is common to refer to the results of respective divisions or countries using Operating Profit as the measure. For RWE, this is EBITA (earnings before tax, interest and amortisation). It also does not include “non-operating” costs, for example the one off impairment of our coal station value of £249 million in 2010. In RWE npower’s follow up letter to Tim Yeo, as Chair of the ECC Select Committee, we quoted our profitability (or lack of it) at the EBIT level per the Ofgem CSS mainly because each of the 6 main energy suppliers are required to file these statements under a comparable basis. The aggregate EBIT for the years 2009–11 was actually £31 million, although I believe I incorrectly rounded this to £40 million in the hearing when presented with the cumulative Operating Profit figure of £766 million. Although it necessarily exposes some of the complexity around the preparation of the CSS results, for completeness we also enclose a reconciliation between the Operating Profit referenced by Mr Lavery (£766 million) and the EBIT we referenced in our letter earlier last week (£31 million). cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 111 See attached Table 1 5. Peter Lilley asked for greater clarity with regard to how much of the [customer] bill is profit and how this is divided between retail and generation The sum of all the individual bills that householders receive effectively equates to the turnover of our domestic supply business. The profit for the retail business is that turnover less its costs, which importantly includes the cost of buying the power and/or gas and then distributing it. Our retail business pays distribution costs to the infrastructure/energy companies that own the respective gas/electricity networks. Ofgem regulates these businesses as well as our retail business, but RWE npower does not own any network assets, so there is no profit element in these costs for us. As regards the cost to the retail business of buying the gas and power, it does not buy it from our generation business. The commodity cost to the retail business cannot be related to any one particular producer of gas or electricity. In other words we do not self-supply, and so the retail business simply uses the wholesale prices it pays as one of the costs after which retail profits are measured. The question as posed could not be similarly applied to a retail supplier with no generation assets at all. But it is no more applicable to us, not only because we do not self-supply, but also because neither our generation output nor our gas production is matched to our retail supply. Our profits from generation can be seen separately from the CSS, and reflect the extremely competitive nature of the generation market. Currently very thin margins can be made from generating from gas fired plant. These profits are required to fund the massive investment we have made in our generation portfolio. In summary: — The profit on the customer bill reflects how much we make from our supply business and so is comparable with other supply companies; — We do not “self-supply” and so use the wholesale prices as a reference from which profit can be measured; — Similarly we have little in the way of upstream gas production and so source our gas for customers almost exclusively from the wholesale market. 6. Should trading be included in the Consolidated Segmental Statements? RWE Supply & Trading GmbH (“RWEST”) is RWE’s global trading business that is headquartered in Germany with trading desks in Swindon, London, Singapore and New York. Being a global business engaged in almost all aspects of energy trading, the majority of its business areas are not only irrelevant to the UK consumer bill, it is simply not possible (or at all helpful) to allocate a percentage of its profits or losses to a GB energy supply or generation business. Indeed, there is simply no correlation between the relatively volatile profit or loss of a global trading business and the UK customer’s bills and therefore inclusion of its results would make comparison between companies impossible. Furthermore competitors have, for various commercial and operational reasons, significantly different approaches to trading, again making comparisons difficult if trading company results were included. RWE’s trading business is separately managed and under a different ownership structure from the GB licensed retail and generation businesses. It has no influence over customer pricing decisions nor does its P& L affect the performance of the retail supply company. Despite this business separation, RWE believes it is important that UK customers benefit from the economic efficiency that wholesale markets provide and also from the economies of scale that derive from having access to RWE’s existing trading facilities. As such, both the retail and generation businesses have Service Level Agreements with RWEST for it to provide certain services at arms-length (cost-based) prices. For 2011, charges were approximately £2 million for the retail business and £3.4 million for the generation business. These fees cover out-of-hours operations, nominations to central systems, shared IT resources, use of credit and brokerage fees. All commodity transactions between the companies are entered into at arms-length, fair market prices which are subject to stringent intercompany audits and fair-value checking procedures. There is no transfer of profit or loss between the licensed GB retail and generation businesses and RWE’s global trading business. 7. Dividends paid The ECC Select Committee asked how much we had paid out in dividends. Please find below a record of the dividends paid out of the UK in the period 2009–12: 2009: £120 million. 2010: £120 million. 2011: £125 million. 2012: £125 million. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 112 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence This was less than Mr Massara estimated during the hearing. No future dividends from the UK are currently planned. Follow up Questions from ECC Select Committee Questions on Trading These questions are related to electricity only 1. What percentage of your total electricity trades are over-the-counter (OTC) versus trades on the wholesale exchange? UK Power: In 2011, on a gross basis (ie trades where RWE was either a buyer or a seller) RWE traded 406TWh of power via almost 243,000 trades. Of these trades 203,000 (or 18TWh) were exchange traded and 39,000 (or 389TWh) were non-exchange traded. That is, 84% of trades in terms of number and 4% in terms of volume were exchange traded. The significant difference between the number and volume of trades is that the exchange markets in the UK mainly operate in the short-term. 2. What are your criteria for trading OTC versus on the wholesale exchange? Our criteria for trading OTC versus on an exchange are a combination of (a) product availability, (b) product price, (c) transaction costs (ie broker charges, exchange and clearing costs), (d) collateral costs and (d) remaining risks (including credit risk). The most important driver of all of these criteria is product price—we will normally transact wherever the price is most attractive (ie the highest if we are selling the product or the lowest if we are buying the product). It is this access to different markets and products through traded markets that ensures that we are able to procure commodities for the most efficient prices for our customers. 3. What is the average difference in price for your OTC versus wholesale exchange trades? There is no systemic difference between the price of OTC versus exchange trades. The market ensures that any significant difference in price, over and above that due to differences in the product, timing or transaction costs—is removed by arbitrage; traders buy the cheaper product (wherever it was traded) and sell the more expensive product (on the other platform) to ensure that prices return to an equivalent basis. Other than the means of execution, many other aspects of OTC and exchange trades are also increasingly similar. For example, many OTC trades are now given up for clearing and—under REMIT—data on OTC volumes and prices will be reported to regulators and published on a commensurate basis to exchange trades. 4. Does your company deal in long-term contracts? Who has access to the information contained in the contracts? RWE Group does sometimes enter into longer-term UK power contracts, the details of which are commercially confidential. It should be noted that these agreements are occasional, highly-tailored and bespoke arrangements that would not be expected to affect day-to-day trading and pricing in the wholesale markets. Although not explicitly controlled or restricted, the distribution of contract details is kept to a minimum to protect commercial confidentiality and any information pertaining to those contracts which qualifies as inside information is covered by strict internal REMIT compliance rules and procedures. These questions are related to gas only 5. What percentage of your total gas trades are over-the-counter (OTC) versus trades on the wholesale exchange? UK Gas: In 2011, on a gross basis (ie trades where RWE was either a buyer or a seller) RWE traded 50.5 billion therms of gas via almost 49,000 trades. Of these trades 7,900 (or 500 million therms) were exchange traded and 41,000 (or 50 billion therms) were non-exchange traded. That is, 16% of trades in terms of number and 1% in terms of volume were exchange traded. 6. What are your criteria for trading OTC versus on the wholesale exchange? See answer 2 above. 7. What is the average difference in price for your OTC versus wholesale exchange trades? See answer 3 above. 8. What announcements have you made in accordance to REMIT? Where is it posted? If you trade gas outside of the UK within the EU, where do you post announcements for other EU markets? RWE Group complies fully with REMIT regulations. All relevant information relating to the electricity business is published on the RWE transparency website “www.rwe.com/rwetransparency“ which provides all essential information about the individual units of the power stations. This page can easily be found by a cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 113 simple search in an internet search engine and as a result, any interested user can gain a precise picture of the output of RWE power stations. RWE’s sole subsidiary company with gas production assets is RWE DEA, which supplies gas from its portfolio of equity gas fields. The production capacity at each of RWE DEA’s fields is significantly lower than the level at which changes in their availability would be likely to significantly affect wholesale gas prices and hence qualify as inside information which is required to be published under REMIT. RWE DEA nevertheless has the facility to publish information on field availabilities here: http://www.rwe.com/web/cms/en/1375240/ rwe-dea/at-a-glance/transparency/ in the event that disclosure should be required to meet our obligations under REMIT. RWE will also fully comply with regulations to report OTC transactions under REMIT and the Regulation on OTC Derivatives, Central Counterparties and Trade Repositories. ACER and ESMA and national regulatory authorities are currently consulting on the definition of the technical standards and protocols to facilitate this. 9. What access to market information do your traders have about any other division of your company? Do they have access to storage levels, upstream information if applicable (geological data), or daily production/ consumption data? RWE Group complies fully with REMIT regulations and therefore our traders only have information that has already been made publicly available under REMIT or which is not classified as inside information under REMIT. RWE does not own any gas storage assets in the UK and to the extent storage capacity is required it is contracted for with third party providers by each Group subsidiary. RWE Supply and Trading (RWEST) has gas supply contracts with RWE DEA (DEA) which provides DEA with a route to market for their gas production from the UK Continental Shelf, although—as noted in the response to question 8—the level of flows under that agreement would not qualify as inside information under REMIT. RWE Npower procure and hedge the consumption of their gas consumers independently on an arm’s length basis with RWE Supply & Trading and at prices prevailing in the wholesale gas market. 10. Does your company deal in long-term contracts? Who has access to the information contained in the contracts? See answer 4 above, which is the same for both UK Gas and Electricity. Additional Questions 11. How many of such “immobile” customers are there? Based on 2012 data, our best estimate is that approximately 410,000 electricity customers (or 7.2% of our 5.7 million domestic energy base) havd been supplied continually by npower in the same property on our standard (or equivalent) tariff since deregulation. This data is taken from our SAP and legacy billing systems and excludes those customers who have at some point since 1999 taken gas from us, or have selected a nonstandard tariff. Assumptions Inclusions 1. “Standard” tariff includes both single rate and Economy 7, in addition to legacy complex-metered tariffs, such as SuperTariff or off-peak given that stakeholders and customers would also see these as “standard” 2. Customers who have changed name—such as on death, marriage or divorce—are included where the account name has been amended as opposed to a new account being opened. This is the agreed business process in the majority of cases where an existing family member continues to live in the property Exclusions 1. Customers who have moved from an npower-supplied into another npower-supplied property are deemed to have engaged. At home move they would have contacted us to provide their details and our business process is to offer gas at that point (which they may or may not have taken) 2. Customers who have requested that their current account be closed and a new one opened on divorce or death are excluded. This typically happens when there are significant legal processes in place that require the customer’s current account to be closed. Note that we are unable to accurately track customers in this scenario Customers who have at some point selected gas or an alternative electricity tariff from npower. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 114 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 12. Do you offer all customers all of your tariffs? If not, what are the reasons for not offering the full suite of tariffs? It is our policy not to distinguish between new and existing customers when we make products available. From time to time, we may incentivise customers to take a tariff through a particular channel such as internet, telesales and, again, these offers would be available to both new and existing customers. However, some customers (whether new or existing) may be excluded from taking a particular tariff due to their choice of payment method, meter type or service channel. 13. What can you do to reduce the cost of customer service yet also improve their quality? We have already started a number of initiatives to help with the two major contributors to cost. Firstly the implementation of a new customer management system is specifically designed to take steps out of the process that slowed down the efficiency of activity. This makes it easier for the customer facing teams to process customer requests, reducing time taken and improving accuracy and quality of delivery. The second element of the strategy in Customer Service is a top to bottom diagnostic review of every process, performance management system and organisational design to make sure that the customer is the first thought for the whole organisation. By engaging directly with the people who serve customers and stream lining the processes they use, giving them more skills, focusing on the way we treat customers and building the right support organisation, we will deliver more efficiency and reduce cost but also drive a better customer quality. This is about delivering on customer promise, all the time, every time. In a highly competitive market everyone needs to focus on cost reductions. Over the period 2010–12, we took out over £300 million of costs from the business and have further plans to reduce costs in 2013 and 2014. These cost reduction programs where the main reason that we moved from loss making in retail in 2009, 2010 and 2011 to a small profit in 2012. 14. What proportion of calls/correspondence are caused by billing queries and by how much do you anticipate this will fall after the advent of smart metering? In 2012, we received 5.2 million inbound contacts relating to billing enquiries. Total inbound enquiries were 9.1 million. The Smart business case assumes that there will be a substantial decrease in billing enquiries but technical queries will replace most of them. We don’t anticipate any net saving until 2018. We haven’t split billing calls out specifically from other types of call but have assumed that in 2013 we will get 1.45 calls per Smart customer reducing to 0.95 calls by 2019. This would equate to 8.2 million calls in 2013 and 5.3 million in 2019. 15. If the billing problems were sorted out, do you think this could encourage new entrants to come into the Supply business, as you might not have the big upfront cost of establishing large customer call centres to cope with the inevitable problems. Big contact centres are often seen as a cost of failure, but it is also true to say that a significant percentage of customers still like the personal touch of a voice. The real challenge is to get the right balance between access to people who can explain and guide but also giving the customer the choice about how they contact us. Clearly, today the bill is a key generator for contact but it can’t continue to be the main reason. Building a relationship with customers based on trust and the right expert advice should increasingly be the driver and is clearly the way forward. In order to maintain dialogue and build that trust sometimes a voice can help more than a web site but choice is the key element. Hence, even if new entrants are able to avoid billing problems, they will still need to communicate with customers. Provided they can do it more efficiently than incumbents, it should not be a barrier to entry. May 2013 (81) OFGEM Earnings before interest/tax (as per our website) 145 (238) 12 (81) 22 (5) (38) (154) 64 (128) (128) (18) (249) (43) (73) 117 233 272 (88) Made up of Generation Domestic Supply Non-domestic supply 220 £m (135) (73) 12 247 €M 2010 Items to be adjusted per OFGEM guidance Out of scope (non-regulated) activities, mainly Cogen One off item—coal station impairment (not tax deductible) Other one off items Other adjustments Differences between International and UK accounting in 2009–10 Pensions—mainly deficit payment not in IAS P&L Amortisation—“non-operational” so not in IAS operating profit Operating result in GBP under UK GAAP (IAS for 2011) Operating result of division in RWE AG group accounts in € “Operating result” is earnings before interest, tax and non-operating amortisation Operating result in GBP (but still under IAS) 2009 168 (56) 128 240 240 (50) 12 (33) n/a n/a 311 311 357 2011 RWE NPOWER RESULTS—RECONCILIATION FROM RWE AG ACCOUNTS TO OFGEM STATEMENTS Table 1 31 440 £m 764 3-year total Notes cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 115 cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 116 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Written evidence submitted by Age UK Key Points — We welcome recent proposals to simplify the number of energy tariffs available; this will have a positive impact on older consumers many of whom are on poor value legacy tariffs. — We have been frustrated by the length of time it has taken the regulator to effect change in reducing the complexity of the energy market and would be concerned if there was any further delay in implementing these changes. — Whilst we welcome current Government action on fuel prices it is entirely focused on gas and electricity prices, with no proposals for households off the gas-grid. We would like to see the Government take more steps to encourage collective purchasing for heating oil and LPG. — The most effective way of making progress on fuel poverty for this and future generations is to improve the energy efficiency of our housing stock. — Green Deal and ECO may make valuable contributions to improving energy efficiency of homes but they are insufficient to make any significant impact on the numbers of people living in fuel poverty, including the many older people who live in cold homes. — Age UK want to see a more vigorous programme of investment, starting with the areas of poorest quality and thermal efficiency which could be funded by the new receipts Government will receive from carbon taxes (estimated to be about £63 billion between 2011 and 2027). Introduction 1. Age UK welcomes the opportunity to respond to this inquiry into energy pricing by the Energy and Climate Change Select Committee. Age UK”s mission is to improve the lives of older people, making a practical difference to people today whilst working for a better later life in the future. We are a charity and a social enterprise that in 2012 provided quality information and advice products to over six million older people. We are driven by the needs and aspirations of people in later life. Our vision is of a world in which older people flourish and we believe that as well as confronting the challenges that come with an ageing society, we should also focus on maximising the benefits of living longer. 2. In 2011 Age UK received over 75,000 calls from older people to our national Advice line, seeking advice on Spread the Warmth issues; helped 7,000 people through home energy checks; distributed over 513,000 copies of an information guide full of tips on how to stay warm and well in winter and distributed 640,000 thermometers to help older people check and keep their homes at the right temperature. We help to disseminate Met Office Cold weather alerts throughout the winter period which enables older people to be targeted with support. 3. Around six million older people in the UK are living in fuel poverty20 and every winter, tens of thousands of older people die or become seriously ill in the UK because of the cold. Age UK calculated this costs the NHS in England £1.36 billion, not to mention the associated cost to social care services which is likely to be substantial, and the personal impact this has on the families of those individuals affected. Rising energy prices, which threaten to push ever more older people into fuel poverty, are a key factor in this as is the poor quality of much of our housing stock (much colder countries than the UK have significantly lower death rates thanks in part to better insulated homes) and a lack of awareness of the need to keep warm 4. Below are our views in more detail on two of the main areas highlighted by the Committee in its call for evidence. Prices 5. Energy prices are rising significantly and consumers are increasingly confused by the range of tariffs, payment options and information available to them. 6. Age UK has conducted research into the coping strategies of older households on low incomes.21 While this found that older people went to great lengths to buy their food as cheaply as possible they had real difficulty in making accurate fuel price comparisons. The report concluded that the complex, opaque information from energy suppliers resulted in “confusion and anxiety in being unable to manage their energy bills”. The report called for “simple clear information and advice about energy prices and a way of being able to compare different tariffs that is not only internet based.” 7. It is simply unrealistic to expect consumers to be in a position to tell if they are paying a fair price for their energy. It is the role of the regulator to ensure fair pricing, make the market work more effectively in the interests of consumers and to be prepared to step in and take action if needed. We are concerned that it has not delivered effectively on this responsibility in recent years. 20 21 Age UK estimate derived from analysis of Trends in Fuel Poverty England, DECC 2012 http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/ cms/statistics/fuelpov_stats/fuelpov_stats.aspx (Table 17). For the years 2003 to 2010, households where the oldest person is aged 60 or over made up over 50% of all fuel poor households. For the last reported year (2010) there were 1,886,000 households 60+ in fuel poverty compared to an all-age total of 3,536,000 (53.34%) Living on a Low Income. February 2012 cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 117 8. It is clear from Ofgem”s retail market review that the energy market at present does not currently operate for the benefit of consumers, the market is too complex and many people do not feel empowered to switch suppliers due to the lack of clear and straightforward comparisons and general levels of scepticism about the process and what benefits it may have. 9. The multiplicity of tariffs merely causes consumer confusion. We therefore welcome recent proposals to reduce the number of tariffs that energy companies can offer. A maximum of four tariffs per payment method is reasonable and we would agree with the conclusions of Ofgem”s final consultation on the Retail Market Review (RMR) that it will allow some flexibility for suppliers to innovate without having too much complexity for customers. 10. The proposals are likely to mainly benefit “sticky” customers who thus far have not switched. This would include many older people, who have never switched from their original monopoly supplier and are on poor value legacy tariffs. If properly implemented, this would be a positive development. 11. Age UK has been disappointed to date by the length of time it has taken the regulator to get any significant change in the multitude of energy tariffs on offer, given that these problems were first identified in Ofgem”s Energy Supply Probe published in 2008. We hope that the decision to include these requirements in the Energy Bill will not lead to further delay. We do however welcome Ofgem”s commitment to give greater priority to monitoring that energy companies are adhering to their licence conditions. 12. Age UK wants to see a far greater degree of transparency in fuel bills, all households have the right to know what contributes to their energy bills. This is particularly necessary if consumers are to be able to make a true comparison. Social and environmental obligation costs are increasing but they are not shown separately on energy bills. We think it is disingenuous to encourage consumers to reduce their energy consumption if they remain unaware of the charges in their energy bills not affected by their consumption. 13. As well as being shown separately, environmental and social costs should be charged on the basis of consumption rather than, as at present, on a per household basis. Low income households tend to use less energy, so charging by consumption would be less regressive. In addition it is not clear how older people who receive Warm Home Rebate will be made aware that they will lose this rebate if they switch to a smaller supplier who does not have social and environmental obligations. 14. Collective switching, which is increasingly an avenue being explored in some parts of the country, may also help some people achieve lower energy prices, but as with any other form of switching after the initial switch it will offer diminishing returns. It is important to remember that 4.6 million people in England do not have access to mains gas, of which we calculate around 1.5 million are over 65. In the absence of regulating fuel oil we think that practical solutions such as collective purchasing would be helpful. Around half of those off-gas use oil heating which is expensive and has high exposure to market price fluctuations. 15. Access to the cheapest rates should not be prejudiced against older people, many of whom are on low incomes and prefer to pay by standard credit rather than direct debit to ensure they do not go overdrawn. One reason for this is that energy suppliers continue to predominately offer direct debit payments on a calendar month basis, despite the fact that the banks have advised us that they could offer direct debits with different time periods. If customers could be offered direct debit payments on a weekly or four weekly basis, it could encourage more low income customers to switch to this cheaper method of payment. Fuel Poverty 16. The recent review by Professor Hills recommended a new measure of fuel poverty. We agree that it is important to have a robust measure in order to effectively target resources where they are most needed. We think that the new definition is based on more rigorous principles than the current definition but think that the current definition is under-responsive to changes in energy prices and does not adequately capture the link between a household”s need for energy and its ability to afford energy. The new measure will bring some additional households into fuel poverty, but will exclude others currently counted, including many older people, some of whom are likely to be among the 26,700 excess winter deaths recorded in England and Wales each year. 17. We are mindful of the time it has already taken to consider the definition and also the fact that changing it will do nothing to change the reality for many older people who struggle to keep themselves warm in hard to heat homes; and for those who die as a result. 18. The state of UK”s housing stock is deplorable and increasing the energy efficiency of homes is by far the most effective way forward. It will reduce levels of fuel poverty for vulnerable people (including many older people) and leave a lasting legacy for future generations. 10% of dwellings in England fail the “decent homes” criteria because they do not provide adequate thermal comfort.22 Over half a million older households live in properties that are “hard to heat”.23 19. Age UK wants to see a more vigorous programme of investment into improving the energy efficiency of the housing stock, starting with the areas of poorest quality and thermal efficiency. Age UK thinks this 22 23 English Housing Survey 2012 J Pett (2002) Affordable Warmth in “Hard to Heat” Homes: Finding a way forward, Association for the Conservation of Energy cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 118 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence could be funded from the new receipts Government will receive from carbon taxes estimated to be about £63 billion between 2011 and 2027. 20. As Hills has observed, energy efficiency policies targeted on low-income households are a very effective way to address fuel poverty. In addition, using carbon taxes in this way could stimulate the economy, create jobs, decrease household expenditure and save consumers money on their energy bills in the long term. 21. Now that the Warm Front grant scheme to improve heating and/or insulation has finished, the Government is relying on the Green Deal and ECO alone to improve the energy efficiency of the UK”s housing stock. Whilst these programmes are likely to make welcome contributions they are simply insufficient to deliver warm and well-insulated homes on the scale that is needed to reduce levels of fuel poverty. 22. We are aware that the question of how many people Green Deal and ECO will actually help has been a matter of some debate. The Government”s own impact assessment estimates that the net reduction in fuel poverty from Green Deal and ECO is only between 125,000 to 250,000 households by 2023, a mere drop in the ocean compared to the four million households currently classified as being in fuel poverty. In our view, it is important that there is a clear, agreed method for monitoring the success of the policy 23. The Green Deal is a market-based system that enables people to fund home energy-efficiency measures such as cavity wall and loft insulation from the future savings generated. This takes the form of a loan of up to 25 years, with loan levels limited to ensure that the repayments are no greater than the savings made. 24. Alongside this, the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) will provide grants for vulnerable customers and hard-to-insulate properties, for example, those with solid walls. These groups are unlikely to be able to qualify for Green Deal because the measures for these types of home are considerably more expensive. 25. We estimate that even if the whole of £1.3 billion ECO funding is targeted at the fuel poor it is not nearly enough to eradicate fuel poverty. As it is, only between 40–50% will be targeted in this way, also in effect meaning that poorer households will be subsidising the better off since ECO costs will be levied on a flat rate basis. 26. Many older people express serious concerns about taking on debt. While technically the Green Deal loan would be secured on the property, with interest rates expected to be around six–8%, it is unlikely to be attractive to many older people. 27. Rural fuel poverty work has also been under-resourced and needs greater attention from the Government and energy companies to improve housing stock in these areas. In excess of 1 million rural households were living in fuel poverty in 2009—that is around one in four of all rural households. Fuel poverty is exacerbated in rural areas due to the high number of solid wall properties and off-main gas households and lower than average wages. This is particularly an issue for older people as the rural population contains around twice the percentage of retired people as the general population. 28. There are other avenues that should also be explored. In terms of changing behaviours Age UK think that providing personalised advice to customers and training people (such as tradesmen) to be energy aware can be highly effective. In addition to providing specific energy efficiency checks all our handypersons in our handy van service are trained to help and advise people on the simple things they can do to improve their home”s energy efficiency. February 2013 Written evidence submitted by Which? 1. Introduction 1.1 Since the cost of energy is consumers’ number one financial concern,24 it is worrying that three quarters pay more than they need on expensive standard tariffs—a collective overpayment of £4 billion annually. While the factors and costs that determine prices are complex, the current market arrangements provide little assurance to consumers about the fairness of energy prices. 1.2 When the GB market was liberalised there was an expectation that all consumers would benefit from competitive prices. This has not materialised. Competition in the retail market is weak, with only 5–10%25 of consumers actively engaged,26 providing little incentive for suppliers or generators to be efficient and offer the lowest prices. Furthermore, the effectiveness of wholesale market competition is not clear due to a lack of transparency and information. Finally, there is little scrutiny of how government policy costs are attached to consumers’ bills, with considerable faith placed on the energy market to deliver programmes efficiently and cost effectively. 24 25 26 82% of consumers cited energy prices as their top financial concern. Populus, on behalf of Which?, interviewed 2060 UK adults online between 4th and 7th January 2013. “Retail Marker Review—Initial Findings and Proposals Report”, Ofgem, 2010. Which? does not consider this level of engagement is ever sufficient to drive effective competition. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 119 1.3 These factors are not only important for today’s prices, but also future energy bills since Electricity Market Reform relies on effective wholesale market competition to provide robust reference prices that will act as benchmarks for future generation. 1.4 The opportunity presented by the Energy Bill and Ofgem’s Retail Market Review to tackle retail market competition must not be missed. Action is also needed to ensure that wholesale markets become truly competitive and the costs of government policies are scrutinised rigorously. Without reform, consumers will continue to have little confidence in the fairness of the prices they pay and it will be difficult to convince consumers to support the £110 billion investment needed to decarbonise and renew the energy system. 2. What factors determine energy prices (wholesale prices, company operating costs, green levies, company profits etc)? What contribution do these factors currently make towards a typical household energy bill and how might this change over time? 2.1 Consumers’ energy prices are constructed of six costs.27 Greater evaluation is needed of the effectiveness of the retail and wholesale markets and the cost of government programmes to their influence on the prices consumers pay. 2.2 Wholesale costs constitute over 60% of domestic energy bills.28 These have contributed to the substantial increase in prices in recent years and require particular analysis. These costs are derived from a complex set of interactions with suppliers sourcing energy through self-supply arrangements within verticallyintegrated companies; purchasing it directly from a vertically-integrated or independent electricity generator/ gas producer; or buying it from the wholesale markets. 2.3 The volume of energy that goes through each of these routes is not clear. Furthermore, it is not possible to know how much energy is traded over the wholesale markets. However, in 2010 it is estimated that equivalent of 6% electricity and 10% gas consumption volumes were traded over-the-counter (OTC) over wholesale markets.29 It is important to note that this trading influences the prices paid by suppliers wherever they source their energy from. Price information from the markets is limited but is often used to inform the transfer prices that dictate the cost of selling energy within a vertically integrated company30 as well as informing the direct contracts between suppliers and generators.31 These arrangements raise a number of concerns that are set out in 3.7. 2.4 The impact of government programmes on electricity bills has been relatively small so far. However, as low-carbon generation makes up a larger share of electricity and the EU ETS carbon price increases, the impact of support costs on prices and bills will grow.32 Since the majority of these costs are applied through electricity bills, people with electric heating—often the fuel poor—will be disproportionately affected. 2.5 There is significant uncertainty about the cost of the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) and its impact on bills. DECC estimates that the costs could range from £0.53 to £3.09 billion annually33—though there is no cap on the cost. If Green Deal finance is unattractive to consumers then ECO costs may increase as suppliers spend more to meet their ECO obligations. 2.6 Other government programmes also attach costs to consumers’ bills, such as smart metering. This is estimated to cost £11 billion and the main control mechanism on these costs is the retail market, which is acknowledged to be ineffectively competitive. As with ECO, there is no cap on the final price that consumers will pay for this programme. 2.7 Finally, while the cost of retailing energy should be a small component of consumers’ bills, ineffective competition reduces pressure on suppliers to ensure that their costs are as efficient as possible and also limits downward pressure on wholesale costs. This will remain a source of inefficient costs unless competition in the retail market becomes more effective. 3. To what extent (if at all) should the Government or the regulator intervene in the market to affect the prices consumers (or certain groups of consumers) pay for their energy? Should any changes be made to the Government’s current approach? 3.1 Competition driven by engaged and informed consumers is often the most effective mechanism to drive efficient prices. However, since the current regime is failing consumers, the Government and regulator must intervene. 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Wholesale energy, supply costs and profit margins, distribution charges, transmission charges, VAT, environmental charges and other costs—source: “Updates household energy bills explained”, Ofgem, January 2013 “Updated household energy bills explained”, Ofgem, January 2013 “UK Energy Policy and the End of Market Fundamentalism”, edited by Ian Rutledge and Philip Wright, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, 2010 “Ofgem Segmental Statements Review”, BDO LLP, January 2012 Gas: “Continental European Gas Hubs: Are they fit for purpose?”, page 62, Patrick Heather, June 2012. Electricity: For example, EDF Energy offer power purchase agreements that are index linked. http://www.edfenergy.com/products-services/large-business/ large-business-products/export-low-carbon.shtml “Household Energy Bills—Impact of Meeting Carbon Budgets”, Committee on Climate Change, December 2011 Green Deal and Energy Company Obligation consultation, DECC, November 2011. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 120 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 3.2 The Government and Ofgem’s intervention via their tariff proposals contains a serious risk of allowing competition to remain weak since it will not improve the comparability of energy tariffs. Prices still cannot be compared at a glance and this will constrain competitive pressure on energy bills. 3.3 The Government should further amend the Energy Bill to introduce single unit pricing for energy tariffs. This should address the problem of consumer disengagement in a way that is less restrictive and more conducive to innovation than explicitly capping the total number of tariffs a supplier can offer. 3.4 Alongside this proposal, our recent report “The Imbalance of Power—The Retail Market” sets out a package of measures34 that offer the best chance to make competition work effectively. If these reforms are introduced and consumer outcomes still do not improve by 2015, then the wider structure of the retail market should be fully reviewed including consideration of a “fair price guarantee”. 3.5 A fair price guarantee does not equate to a return to a full price cap model for all tariffs. There are energy markets, such as in the US State of Illinois and Northern Ireland, where both regulated and competitive tariffs exist. These hybrid models can enhance rather than hamper competition, while ensuring the interests of consumers are protected. The regulated tariff acts as a price to beat for competitors, delivering choice for those that want it while ensuring fair prices for those who do not engage. 3.6 The Government should take backstop powers to enable the regulator to introduce a fair price guarantee for the default open-ended variable rate tariff. This would send a clear message that every effort must be made to improve outcomes for consumers. If effective competition does not develop, then the government will have the power to intervene swiftly. 3.7 Beyond action in the retail market, the Government must consider the steps necessary to ensure that the wholesale electricity and gas markets are transparent and competitive. As set out in 2.3, the fact that wholesale markets are dominated by uncleared OTC trading—with 80% of electricity traded and 70% of gas traded in this manner35—raises concerns. Uncleared OTC trading has similar vulnerability to manipulation as Libor— including no formal data collection—and accusations of this occurring have recently been made. This raises questions about whether contracts linked to OTC indexes are value for money. Furthermore, there are issues with the competitiveness of the wholesale electricity market36 and there have been allegations of manipulation in the gas market. As a result, questions must be asked about whether prices are as competitive as they should be. 3.8 The Government and regulator should also consider how the six major suppliers benefit from wholesale electricity and gas prices, as well as the way that their business structure has a wider impact on competition in the wholesale markets. These suppliers are part of larger vertically-integrated companies covering 98% of the retail market and 70% of total GB electricity generation capacity.37,38 This structure appears to present little incentive for companies to keep wholesale prices efficient, if it reduces the overall margin for their generation business. The vertically integrated structure also obscures the interactions between the most influential group of generators and suppliers, since their dealings are behind closed doors. This reduces the information available to external observers and raises questions of how costs are passed through to bills. 3.9 Given the role that wholesale markets play in encouraging investment and therefore their impact on future energy prices, the Government and regulator should consider what action is needed to ensure that price information is robust and that the markets are competitive. Which? called for the Government to establish an independent review to scrutinise the above issues following the six major suppliers’ price rises in October 2012. Such a review should identify the measures required to increase wholesale market transparency and competition. 3.10 This Select Committee inquiry should therefore explore the full range of actions available to the Government and regulator to deliver transparent and competitive wholesale markets. Which? believes that this should include consideration of a self supply restriction and the legal separation of the supply and generation divisions. The latter option could be informed by the approach taken by the regulator for distribution and network businesses that are owned by vertically integrated companies. 3.11 Our call for a review in October 2012 also argued that Government action is necessary to ensure that there is more robust scrutiny of the cost of policies. For example, the Government cannot simply pin its hopes on the retail market to keep a lid on the cost of smart metering. For ECO, a system must be in place to allow 34 35 36 37 38 The package of measures set out in “The Imbalance of Power—The Retail Market” includes: Introduce a single unit rate— deliver “at a glance” comparability by charging the same price for each unit of energy; limit segmentation—allow one default tariff and make all tariffs available for all payment methods; Ofgem to review the case for national pricing; switching sites and the switching process must be improved; ensure that market conditions—in the retail and wholesale markets—enable new entrants to thrive; and implementation of Ofgem’s proposals on communications, complaints and market monitoring at the earliest opportunity. Electricity: “GB wholesale electricity market liquidity”, Ofgem, summer 2011 assessment. Gas: “Continental European Gas Hubs: Are they fit for purpose?”, Patrick Heather, June 2012 The GB electricity market is known to have low levels of liquidity and churn, as well as wide-bit offer spreads for certain types of electricity products, as documented in the liquidity work stream of Ofgem’s Retail Market Review. There is not the same degree of vertical integration of upstream/ mid stream gas as there is of electricity generation. This reflects two drivers of vertical integration in the British energy markets—the expensive nature of electricity generation assets and changes to the electricity trading arrangements. However, there is some vertical integration in gas production and supply. “Retail Market Review: Intervention to enhance liquidity in the GB power market”, Ofgem, February 2012 cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 121 Ofgem to monitor how much is passed through to consumers in bills and to scrutinise these costs to ensure value for money. 3.12 Finally, the Energy Bill should be amended to ensure that a robust regime of scrutiny is put in place to protect consumers from the costs related to Electricity Market Reform. As previously recommended by the Energy and Climate Change Select Committee, transparency and scrutiny of the contract process must be written into the Bill to ensure that consumers are protected as far as possible. The Bill should ensure that the independent panel of experts has consumer representation and is responsible for scrutinising strike prices and that all strike prices are published before Contracts for Difference are signed. 4. How effective is Ofgem in ensuring consumers get a fair deal? Are there any areas for improvement? 4.1 Ofgem’s remit is to protect consumers through promoting effective competition. Competition was intended to be primarily price-focused, with additional customer service benefits stemming from it. Consumers were to be the engine of competition, choosing the cheapest offers without compromising on service. Yet, despite the fact that the price of energy is a primary financial concern, people appear powerless to take advantage of what limited competition the market offers. 4.2 For too long Ofgem has ignored the need for comparability, instead prioritising supplier claims of a need for complex tariff structures to recover different types of costs and deliver “choice” and “innovation”—two areas where suppliers have delivered little that is beneficial. 4.3 The limited competition that exists is played out in a small segment of the market where suppliers vie for the most engaged consumers with attractive fixed term deals. As a result, many people are effectively excluded from the most competitive deals, while accusations of loss leading are a common complaint from suppliers struggling to gain a foothold in the market. 4.4 Ofgem recognised these problems in the Energy Supply Probe in 2008, yet its review of the retail market has been ongoing for the last five years and its approach has changed markedly in that time. Whereas the Probe attempted to ban discrimination between different groups of customers, the Retail Market Review (RMR)— correctly, in our view—seeks to improve outcomes for consumers through more effective competition. 4.5 There is much to welcome in the latest RMR package. The focus on increasing wholesale market liquidity and transparency is of fundamental importance in ensuring independent suppliers and new entrants can mount a credible challenge to the six major suppliers. Furthermore proposals to simplify bills and other communications, improve the switching process, provide better reporting of complaints data and monitor the development of competition in a more meaningful way are welcome. 4.6 However, the tariff proposals will not allow prices to be compared at a glance, limiting competitive downward pressure on bills. Furthermore segmentation based on payment method or online account management will still be possible, meaning any competitive pressure that there is cannot be guaranteed to deliver benefits across all consumer groups. 4.7 Ofgem should amend their RMR proposals and finally enable consumers to play their designated role of driving effective competition to keep prices in check. This requires Ofgem to introduce unit pricing; limit segmentation by allowing one default tariff and make all tariffs available for all payment methods; review the case for national pricing; and improve the switching process. 4.8 Ofgem have attempted to improve the transparency of the link between the generation and supply arms of the vertically integrated companies through the introduction of market indicator reports, reporting requirements and an investigation into transfer pricing. 4.9 With regard to the wholesale markets, Ofgem has focussed on the ability of small suppliers to gain access to energy to challenge the major suppliers’ position. While the regulator acknowledges that reference prices must be improved, information and transparency has not been viewed as a vital element to improve confidence in the efficiency of wholesale markets. Ofgem should now address this. Unless information is available, it is difficult to see how the regulator will determine whether the markets are working effectively and whether consumers can be confident in the prices they pay. 5. Could it be possible to benchmark energy prices to provide greater certainty about whether consumers are getting a fair deal? If so, how might this be achieved in practice? 5.1 Benchmarks could be an effective mechanism to provide confidence in prices. Furthermore, a benchmark could be used as a robust basis for tracker tariffs. 5.2 Two options could be considered, a wholesale market index or a benchmark retail price, such as the fair price guarantee set out in 3.5. Both would require improvements to the transparency and robustness of the underlying wholesale energy market, as set out in 8.2. However, an international benchmark should be avoided since comparisons of international energy prices are often misleading and cannot be compared on a like-forlike basis. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 122 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 5.3 Both the State of Illinois and the Northern Ireland hybrid markets have an effective benchmark retail price through a regulated default tariff. This allows consumers to benchmark the value of other tariffs and it is a price to beat for suppliers. 6. Could any other measures be put in place to ensure consumers are paying fair prices for energy and to provide consumers with greater confidence in this? 6.1 Ofgem’s RMR sets out a new set of measures of competition, which should give a truer assessment of the effectiveness of competition and whether consumers pay a fair price. If consumer outcomes have not improved by 2015, the hybrid model set out above should be considered, as set out in 3.5. This model could guarantee a fair price to all, whether they engage or not, through a regulated benchmark tariff and give more confidence in the value of energy tariffs. 7. Many consumers believe that energy company profits are the reason energy bills have been going up in recent years. Is this perception fair? Why is there so much uncertainty about the level of profits the large, vertically integrated energy companies are making? What could be done to improve clarity? 7.1 The major suppliers are part of vertically-integrated companies and able to move risk and margins around the company. This means that a supply business may look less profitable because the charges applied to that business are higher than would otherwise be expected. This is compounded by the fact that four of the large energy companies are international, so risks and margins can be shifted within the national and international dimensions of the companies. This has limited the usefulness of the new segmental information and there remains a lack of transparency and clarity. 8. How useful are Ofgem’s electricity and gas supply market indicators in monitoring the level of profits made by energy companies? Could they be improved? 8.1 Ofgem’s indicators are speculative projections of net margins on “typical” accounts based on estimations of expected wholesale and operational costs, as well as purchasing practices. The analysis reveals little more than was already known—that retail competition is weak and that companies may take advantage of this. 8.2 Building on the proposed new market indicators, Ofgem should monitor generation, production activity and margins; wholesale energy trading, including volumes of physical and financial trading; and the numbers of market participants. Ofgem should develop robust wholesale energy indexes against which movements of domestic tariffs could be monitored. 9. How useful are the segmental generation and supply statements that major energy suppliers are required to produce in understanding where companies are making their profits? 9.1 While these statements are welcome, their usefulness is limited to a top-level assessment of where the margins and costs lie across the generation and supply businesses. The statements do not differentiate trading arms, they do not provide information on the different business structures or the ways that companies assign risks and margins to different business arms. The pan-European nature of four major suppliers adds an additional dimension as costs are not only moved within companies but also between national entities. As a result, limited insights can be drawn. 9.2 Ofgem should require a breakdown of trading activity. Further analysis of transfer pricing activity would enable a better assessment of the allocation of risk and margins between the supply, generation and trading functions in these companies. February 2013 Written evidence submitted by E.ON Summary i. We still believe a competitive market is the most effective structure to ensure customers pay no more than they have to for their energy. However we are supportive of appropriate intervention to help make the market work better for customers and particularly to increase customer trust. Our Reset programme has led us to a simple but innovative presentation of our tariffs through a new online tool and supported by customer communications and advertising, encouraging customers to check that they are on the best deal for their circumstances. This is underpinned by our strategy focused on making sure that all of our customers get a fair deal. Since we launched our customer communication and advertising campaign towards the end of last year, over 300,000 customers have already switched to one of our new products. ii. We are actively taking steps to deepen engagement with our customers, providing information to explain why energy bills are changing and to be transparent about the profitability of our activities. Having an open and honest conversation with the public will, in our view, help to regain public trust. This must be supported by other groups who influence customers’ trust in energy companies. We would like to see greater use of companies’ segmental reports and the market indicators report in commentary. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 123 iii. The report by Professor Hills on the nature of fuel poverty is timely. We support his view that the fundamental cause of fuel poverty is low energy efficiency and that attention should therefore be focused on addressing the causes of this. iv. The introduction of the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) is a welcome step forward with greater emphasis on ensuring more efficient and effective heating systems for customers on low incomes and hard to treat homes. However the current structure of ECO should be reviewed to minimise cost to the customer. The Government, however, must give clear guidance to local authorities and social housing providers to apply a consistent and positive approach to solid wall insulation under planning regulations. Without this the costs of ECO will be higher and some schemes beneficial to fuel poor customers may be deferred. Prices What factors determine energy prices (wholesale prices, company operating costs, green levies, company profits etc)? What contribution do these factors currently make towards a typical household energy bill and how might this change over time? 1. The key drivers of energy prices include the cost of purchasing energy in the wholesale market, regulated network charges, the cost of meeting government environmental and social obligations and taxation policy. This is illustrated in Figure 1. Figure 1 THE COMPONENTS OF AN AVERAGE WEIGHTED E.ON DUAL FUEL BILL 2. We expect the cost of meeting environmental and social obligations to rise during this decade. For example, the cost of the Government’s social schemes, which often focus on providing subsidised or free insulation, have more than doubled in the last twelve months. In addition, the introduction of a carbon price floor will impact bills from April 2013. There is also a need to upgrade the network infrastructure to connect new generation particularly in Scotland, Wales and parts of England in addition to new offshore requirements which will drive up regulated transportation charges. Network costs are now more than 10% higher than last year and are expected to climb higher still in 2013. To what extent (if at all) should the Government or the regulator intervene in the market to affect the prices customers (or certain groups of customers) pay for their energy? Should any changes be made to the Government’s current approach? 3. It should be clear what Ofgem and Government are each trying to achieve. For Ofgem this means a vision of how the market is expected to work later this decade; for Government it means clarity over its role and the regulator’s. Without this clarity, innovation and new entry might be inhibited and there will be doubts over the stability of UK regulation. 4. A competitive market is the most effective structure to ensure customers pay no more than they have to for their energy. Ofgem should intervene only if action is needed to help make the market work better for customers. Examples include the steps Ofgem are taking to increase transparency over suppliers’ cheapest cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 124 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence tariffs and to ensure clear and consistent presentation of tariffs. We support these steps, although Ofgem needs to ensure that the changes they make will actually make the market work better. 5. If, however, there are remaining concerns, the industry should be referred to the Competition Commission for an in-depth analysis of how the market is operating. Government also has an important role to play to deliver objectives that are broader than competition, for example introducing policies that are targeted at a particular group of customers, such as with the Warm Home Discount (WHD). Where intervention has been deemed appropriate, it is important that successor policies are developed so that there is a settled regime before the existing policies end, which in the case of the WHD is little more than two years away. How effective is Ofgem in ensuring customers get a fair deal? Are there any areas for improvement? 6. Our Reset programme has led us to a simple but innovative presentation of our tariffs through a new online tool and supported by customer communications and advertising, encouraging customers to check that they are on the best deal for their circumstances. This is underpinned by our strategy focused on making sure that all of our customers get a fair deal. Since we launched our customer communication and advertising campaign towards the end of last year, over 300,000 customers have already switched to one of our new products. Whilst we do not agree with all of the RMR proposals, we wholeheartedly support the overall objective of increasing customer trust in the market. 7. We have also called on Ofgem to have a vision of the market later this decade. This vision should reflect Ofgem’s view of what competition and customer choice should look like, the potential for innovation and Ofgem’s role in the market. We believe Ofgem should be confident in its ability to manage principles based regulation whilst avoiding the restriction and risk of detailed regulation to ensure customers get a fair deal in the market. Could it be possible to benchmark energy prices to provide greater certainty about whether customers are getting a fair deal? If so, how might this be achieved in practice? 8. In principle a pre-tax comparison with other EU countries will give reassurance that the GB market is delivering a fair deal for customers. We would suggest that DECC commission such a study. This would need to separately identify differences arising from geography, such as wholesale gas costs, from those associated with competition, such as operating costs, or regulation, such as networks charges. 9. Within the GB market, customers should be able to benchmark themselves through clearly comparable prices. Then, if they are aware of other prices and hence price differences, they are presumably comfortable with them. Ofgem’s change in direction from a uniform standing charge and national unit rates, as set out in the initial RMR proposals envisaged in 2011, to a tariff cap and a Tariff Comparison Rate (TCR) will make this much more difficult for customers. We have urged Ofgem to look again at their original proposal of a uniform standing charge (set by the regulator) and national unit rate which we believe will easily comparable for customers. Could any other measures be put in place to ensure customers are paying fair prices for energy and to provide customers with greater confidence in this? 10. Ofgem could do more to promote customer awareness of cheaper deals. Government have encouraged this transparency through the voluntary agreement to signpost cheaper tariffs on bills. We would expect Ofgem to develop this lead through requiring: — a cheapest tariff presentation on annual statements; — prompt communication to online account managed customers of new offers; and — transparency on supplier websites of lower priced deals, including regional variations. 11. We would also expect Ofgem to ensure customers go on to the cheapest tariff whenever this can be done in a way that is consistent with their known preferences. In particular, at renewal, customers should go to the cheapest tariff of the same type, which could mean rollover to another, identically structured, fixed price contract. This is in customers’ interest, allowing them to stay on their preferred tariff type with least effort. 12. Government should legislate to bring third party intermediaries (TPIs) within the regulatory framework. Confidence in TPIs, and the energy savings shown by TPIs, will be essential for the energy market to evolve to a more customer led engagement. Licensing of TPIs would allow Ofgem to require investment in the residential sector, with the benefit of simpler and more helpful presentations which increase customer trust, and to raise standards in the small business sector. 13. These measures, when combined with strengthening Ofgem’s powers to require redress, will make the framework in energy as robust as in financial services and telephony. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 125 Profits Many customers believe that energy company profits are the reason the energy bills have been going up in recent years. Is this perception fair? 14. No. Looking at last year, we reduced prices in February, and then held back from increasing our prices for as long as we possibly could whilst at the same time have worked hard to reduce our own costs as a business so that our customers can get the best price possible. We believe our profit levels are fair. Last year our domestic profit margin was less than 2%, and in the previous year, was below 1%. However, some 16 months after our last price increase, and almost a year since we actually cut our electricity prices, we recently had to make the difficult decision to increase our prices because the other costs which make up energy bills are rising: — The wholesale price is higher than it was and this year the Government’s Carbon Price Floor will add another charge to electricity bills which we regard as simply a tax. — Network costs are rising too, to finance much needed investment to upgrade the system, and are expected to continue to rise over the coming years. — The cost of the Government’s social schemes, which often focus on providing subsidised or free insulation and bill rebates through the Warm Home Discount scheme, have more than doubled in the last twelve months and is expected to increase further over the next few years. — Finally, the cost of increasing the amount of energy we secure from renewable sources is rising as deployment increases as is required to comply with the EU 2020 legally binding targets. As with the other costs mentioned above, this is expected to continue to rise over this decade. Why is there so much uncertainty about the level of profits the large, vertically integrated energy companies are making? What could be done to improve clarity? 15. Although E.ON has interests in both generation and supply, we are set up to run these activities as separate profitable entities, and hence operate in practice as a vertically disintegrated company. We have reported generation and supply in our accounts for many years and also support Ofgem’s segmental reporting requirements. 16. We support no cross-subsidy between entities and non-discrimination. To underpin this, we propose amending the Electricity Generation Licence Condition 17A and the Electricity Supply and Gas Supply Licence Conditions 19B so that there is a clear and consistent prohibition of cross-subsidy between the generation and supply activities that are within the same group. Furthermore we believe there is merit in re-introducing some form of a self supply restriction, based on a traded volume obligation. These two measures will help to provide more clarity. How useful are Ofgem’s electricity and gas supply market indicators in monitoring the level of profits made by energy companies? Could they be improved? 17. The indicators used by Ofgem are able to monitor underlying trends in the profitability of supply and generation. Such information is likely to be of some assistance to potential new entrants. We would also highlight that our own accounts provide segmented cost and profit levels in a segmented way. 18. As we set out above, E.ON operates effectively as a vertically disintegrated company. This is not necessarily the case across the market, and so it is not easy to compare data across companies, particularly where there may be circumstances in which one part of a business is helping to cross subsidise another activity. We believe this is not in the interests of customers as it distorts the market, and would therefore welcome measures to prevent such practices, similar to that which was in place prior to full market liberalisation. How useful are the segmental generation and supply statements that major energy suppliers are required to produce in understanding where companies are making their profits? 19. The requirement on major energy suppliers to produce segmental statements on generation and supply activities is primarily aimed at disclosing the costs of these separate activities. The information is also a valuable tool to help inform interested stakeholders of the underlying profitability of generation and supply. We would like to see greater focus on the detail of these statements and the information being used to support comments via politicians and the media which influence customers’ trust of the sector. Do Ofgem’s supply market indicators and the segmental reports provided by energy suppliers help to increase transparency and public trust in energy companies? Could they be improved to provide greater transparency? 20. Yes. Taking measures to ensure no cross-subsidy between entities and non-discrimination as we have already outlined will help to provide greater transparency. Whilst segmental accounting is welcomed, they have been misrepresented by the media and other stakeholders, which in our view has contributed to the current perceived lack of trust in energy companies. We believe the way to increase transparency and public trust is cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 126 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence for energy companies to better engage with their customers and explain how their bill is made up and what is driving change. To what extent does the way energy companies communicate profits to the general public influence the public’s perception of these companies? 21. We are actively taking steps to engage with our customers and explain why prices are changing. As part of this strategy, we are also explaining to customers and other stakeholders the margins that our supply business is making, highlighting that these are relatively low compared with other retail operations that they will be familiar with. We accept that there is more that can be done. But by being open and clear with customers to explain why bills are changing is in our view the way to regain public trust in energy companies. Fuel Poverty Is the Government on track to meet its target of eliminating fuel poverty by 2016 and will reduced Government spending in this area affect their ability to achieve this target? 22. Our understanding is that the government’s target is to take whatever action is reasonable, within the current resource constraints, to alleviate fuel poverty, rather than to actually eliminate fuel poverty. We are not able to say whether current actions are as much as could reasonably be done, but as supporters of the Energy Bill Revolution, believe that activity should be increased as soon as practicable. Has the Hills Review resulted in any changes to fuel poverty policy? How could its findings be used to improve the efficacy of fuel poverty policy? 23. Yes. The Hills review has shifted emphasis from total numbers (in fuel poverty) towards the depth of fuel poverty and consequently helps ensure measures are directed at those most in need. 24. We therefore welcomed the depth of the analysis of the nature of fuel poverty provided by the report commissioned by Government from Professor Hills. We support his view that the fundamental cause of fuel poverty is low energy efficiency and that attention should therefore be focused on progress in addressing this. We agree with his insight that those with an average or below average cost of ensuring adequate warmth, even with very low incomes, should not be considered as fuel poor. This would require policy to focus on households with low incomes that consume above average levels of energy, which we believe is the right approach. To what extent are current fuel poverty policies reaching the right people? Are there any particular groups that are currently not getting the necessary support? And will this change under the move to ECO? What support is available for fuel poor households living in solid-wall and hard-to-treat properties? Could this be improved? 25. As recognised by the Hills Review, energy efficiency improvements provide a long-term, sustained solution for households suffering from fuel poverty, whereas financial support offers only short-term respite and must be provided on a repeat basis. 26. Households in or at risk of fuel poverty have benefited from the Warm Home Discount, which is complemented by CERT and CESP, providing funding for energy efficiency measures. However whilst some households with low disposable income and above average energy consumption levels have benefited from this, harder to treat properties have been largely ignored. 27. We therefore welcome the role of the new Energy Company Obligation (ECO) in improving energy efficiency and ensuring more efficient and effective heating systems for customers on low incomes and hard to treat homes. However our central forecast of the cost of ECO is around £2bn per annum, with a significant risk of higher costs for energy customers compared with DECC’s forecast of £1.3bn. 28. The short first period of ECO to March 2015 is particularly disappointing as Government had raised expectations of a longer term scheme which would give confidence to develop longer term partnerships. To reduce the risk of ECO costs spiralling, Government should allow energy suppliers to have greater flexibility in how they meet targets over time, with a defined consequence that a shortfall in one period means that more has to be delivered in the next period. 29. The Government must give clear guidance to local authorities and social housing providers to apply a consistent and positive approach to solid wall insulation under planning regulations. Without this the costs of ECO will be higher and some schemes beneficial to fuel poor customers may be deferred. Will the Government’s proposals to ensure that customers are on the cheapest tariff have any impact on fuel poverty? To what extent do fuel-poor households engage in switching? What are the barriers to greater levels of switching from these groups? 30. Yes. Customers should go on to the cheapest tariff whenever this can be done in a way that is consistent with their known preferences. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 127 31. We do not have data on switching by fuel poor customers, but note that Customer Focus’s recent report “Switched on?” shows that switching is almost as high amongst prepayment meter customers as direct debit customers (page 12). Switching is less amongst quarterly billed customers, which is more commonly the payment method used by the elderly. We believe the key barrier is a perceived lack of trust in the market. However suppliers and, in the relevant parts of the RMR, Ofgem are doing all that is reasonably practicable now to increase trust. February 2013 Supplementary written evidence submitted by E.ON Questions on Trading These questions are related to electricity only 1. What percentage of your total electricity trades are over-the-counter (OTC) versus trades on the wholesale exchange? This varies on a season by season basis but generally around 20% of our electricity trades are exchange based on a gross volume basis 2. What are your criteria for trading OTC versus on the wholesale exchange? Our decision is based on maximising value, and takes account of: — Best liquidity (which platform(s) the products we trade are actively traded on); — Price (we seek to trade at the best possible price); — Transaction cost (the fees charged to complete the transaction “brokerage, clearing fees etc” ); and — Credit (the level of exposure we are prepared to take on against a potential counterparty default and the costs of managing this exposure) 3. What is the average difference in price for your OTC versus wholesale exchange trades? This may be a very misleading figure as the exchange trades are all at a relatively short period of time before delivery and therefore the “basis” is different. The longer time between the execution of a trade and its delivery the greater the risk premium that it contains. For the last winter period 0.81 £/MWh was the average difference in price between our exchange trades and OTC trades—the exchange price being the lower. 4. Does your company deal in long-term contracts? Who has access to the information contained in the contracts? Yes we do deal in long-term contracts (by which we mean something that is delivers from four years onwards with an external counterparty). Access to the contract details is limited to those people within our organisation who need to operate the contracts. Clearly these contracts are commercially confidential and so externally only the named counterparties, their agents and associates, along with any competent authority making a proper request have access to the information contained in the contract. If such a contract refers to industry standard documents (for example Grid Code, Balancing and Settlement Code, EFET or GTMA), then clearly these are a matter of public record. These questions are related to gas only 5. What percentage of your total gas trades are over-the-counter (OTC) versus trades on the wholesale exchange? Generally around 30% of our total gas trades are on the wholesale exchange as opposed to over-the-counter. 6. What are your criteria for trading OTC versus on the wholesale exchange? — Best liquidity (which platform(s) the products we trade are actively traded on); — Price (we seek to trade at the best possible price); — Transaction cost (the fees charged to complete the transaction “brokerage, clearing fee’s etc” ); and — Credit (the level of exposure we are prepared to take on against a potential counterparty default and the costs of managing this exposure. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 128 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 7. What is the average difference in price for your OTC versus wholesale exchange trades? We do not calculate any price difference for our past gas trades. We do not believe this would be possible as it would assume that at any time both markets would have had attractive prices. 8. What announcements have you made in accordance to REMIT? Where is it posted? If you trade gas outside of the UK within the EU, where do you post announcements for other EU markets? For both power and gas, REMIT requires announcements about information on assets that if made public would be likely to significantly affect the prices of the related wholesale energy products. For power, the threshold for such announcements has been clearly set at 100MW across all EU markets. For gas a threshold has not been set. Ofgem has recently asked what an appropriate GB gas market threshold for inside information would be and we are contributing to this consultation fully. Our view, provided to the regulator, is that 10 million cubic metres (mcm) should be adopted as it is already in place in the Great Britain gas market as the threshold for real-time gas flows into the NTS. This means that E.ON is making announcements on power, using the sites listed on the link below, but E.ON has not made any announcements for gas. http://www.eon.com/en/business-areas/trading/market-transparency.html 9. What access to market information do your traders have about any other division of your company? Do they have access to storage levels, upstream information if applicable (geological data), or daily production/ consumption data? E.ON Global Commodities (our stand alone trading business) does not have access to storage levels, upstream information, daily production/consumption data from other divisions other than that which has been made available by National Grid Gas on their transparency platform or that is available in the public domain. 10. Does your company deal in long-term contracts? Who has access to the information contained in the contracts? Yes we do deal in long term contracts. Access to the contract details is limited to those people within our organisation who need to operate the contracts. These contracts are commercially confidential and the information is only available to the named counterparties, the agents and associates, along with any competent authority making a proper request. Where (and if) such contract refer to industry standard documents these are a matter of public record. Additional Questions 11. How many of such “immobile” customers do you have? The tables below show the number of customers who are currently on-supply with us listed by the length of tenure, as well as the number of customers who have switched away in similar periods. The statistics will not always necessarily add up to our exact customer numbers. This is because the customer switching numbers include those who have switched to another supplier and then switched back to us again. At the end of September 2012 we launched a new range of tariffs designed to make things simpler for our customers and have been actively encouraging our customers to think about whether they are on the best E.ON deal for them. So far we have seen approximately 424,000 customers moving from one of our old tariffs to one of our new, simpler tariffs. E.ON customers that are currently on-supply by tenure Customer Tenure 0–5 years 5–10 years 10–15 years Over 15 years Volume of Customers 2,556,475 1,016,537 632,614 679,624 cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 129 Absolute customer losses in five year intervals Period of time Customers switching (inclusive of customer switching in and out) 2008 to 2013 2003 to 2008 1998–2003 Pre 1998 3,740,947 3,697,294 1,211,951 19,239 12. Do you offer all customers all of your tariffs? If not, what are the reasons for not offering the full suite of tariffs? The only restrictions on which tariffs our customers are offered are based on meter type, loyalty and vulnerability. We do not engage in so-called “deep discounting” and offer the same tariffs to new customers as to our existing customers with additional loyalty rewards after one year. Below is a breakdown of our tariffs by meter type and any restrictions. Credit Customers E.ON Energy Plan—open to all credit meter customers E.ON Energy Discount—open to all credit meter customers E.ON one year fixed—open to all credit meter customers E.ON two year fixed—open to all credit meter customers Age UK one year fixed—restricted to those credit meter customer over 60, or over 50 and on the Priority Services Register. These restrictions exist as this is a tariff specifically designed along with Age UK to cater for older and more vulnerable customers Prepayment Customers Prepayment standard—open to all prepayment customers Prepayment Reward—open to all prepayment customers who have been E.ON customer for more than a year. The restriction exists as this is a tariff designed to reward loyalty 13. What can you do to reduce the cost of customer service yet also improve your quality? At E.ON we have a clear focus on providing our customers with excellent service; including helping them find their “Best Deal” and actively aiding them in reducing their energy use. Over the last eighteen months, we have made a concerted effort to improve our service to all new and existing customers through our Reset Programme. For example: — Our customers told us that our bills were too long and complicated. In response we made changes to our bill, reducing it down to a single page and simplifying the language and layout. — Our customers told us that they wanted to be on our best deal for them and they felt the process to get there was too complicated. As a result we simplified our tariffs, offering a choice of no more than five tariffs and proactively contacted customers encouraging them to check if they were on the best deal. We also designed an online tool for customers to easily check if they were on the best E.ON deal for them as well as proactively mentioning it to customers when they called us. — Our customers were not happy paying to call us and wanted a free or local rate number to call instead. So last year we moved the vast majority our lines to either cheaper or free rate numbers. These are just a few examples of changes that we’ve made and continue to make. We believe these changes are working and were delighted to win the uSwitch Service Award in 2012. However, we know there is still more to be done. We’re also focused on reducing our own operating costs. Improving our internal processes and getting more efficient helps our customers and minimises costs as it reduces the likelihood that they will need to contact us because something has gone wrong. We also continue to invest in our colleagues to ensure better service for our customers. For example, we’re training all our customer service and field colleagues in energy efficiency. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 130 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 14. What proportion of calls/correspondence are caused by billing queries and by how much do you anticipate this will fall after the advent of smart metering? Approximately 5.7 million customer contacts each year (including telephone, email, mail, online) are in some way related to billing issues, this is around two thirds of all contact. We believe smart metering offers the opportunity to simplify processes for both us and our customers making it easier for customers to understand the energy they are using and reduce the need to contact us. Assuming we get near 100% coverage for the network responsible for communicating with the meters and this is reliable (as has been promised by those bidding for the Data Communications Company contract) we expect to see a significant drop in calls of this nature as all bills will be based on actual readings rather than estimated readings. The Department for Energy and Climate Change’s Impact Assessment, using statistics verified on aggregate by suppliers, estimated inbound call volumes could fall by around 30% over time. 15. If the billing problems were sorted out, do you think this could encourage new entrants to come into the Supply business, as you might not have the big upfront cost of establishing large customer call centres to cope with the inevitable problems? Any new entrants to the retail market today already start with new, clean data and therefore we would not expect them to have historic issues with billing in the same way as do existing suppliers. This would be the case providing that the registration process is managed properly and the new entrants provided upfront investment to ensure effective systems were in place. It is worth noting that, as smart metering becomes more established across the country and the quality of data improves, these costs will be reduced. E.ON Commitments made in Oral Evidence Barry Gardiner: It may be an unfair question to put to you on the spur of the moment. Perhaps you could write to the Committee, all of you, and say whether you have allocated those profits and losses to the other part of the business box. Tony Cocker: Can I just add, we will write to you as well. I am told that we have not ticked that box and the Ofgem accounts cover the retail business here in the UK and the generation business in the UK, and it is as simple as that. — We assume that Mr Gardiner is referring to Table 4 of the Consolidated Segmental Report, which we published in accordance with OFGEM’s 2012 Amended Guidelines. Table 4 has three categories to which certain business functions are allocated. These categories are; “Generation”, “Supply”, and “Another part of the business”. The “tick” that Mr Gardiner refers to indicates that the business function and any profits and losses related to this function reside in the same business area. Mr Gardiner’s question is whether we have allocated any profits and losses outside the supply or generation parts of the business to “Another part of the business”. As Dr Cocker said in the witness session, we have not done so. — As can be seen in Table 4 of our Consolidated Segmental Report (http://www.eon-uk.com/E.ON_ 2011_Segmental_Report.pdf), all but one of the business functions’ profits and losses reside in the same business area as that function. The exception is—”Responsible for determining hedging policy”. The function is displayed in the table with a “P/L” in the “Generation” category, indicating that this business’s financial performance is affected by the hedging policy of the Group. The F in the “Another part of the business” category indicates that generation hedging policy is determined elsewhere. . It must be emphasised that this function is about responsibility for determining hedging policy, not implementing the hedging activities. The “Supply” category contains a “tick” indicating that it does determine its own hedging policy and has its financial performance affected by the realised results of that policy. — Table 4 was included in the Consolidated Segmental Report for the first time last year, as a result of specific guidance received from OFGEM. We feel it is worth noting that we discussed the presentation of the “ticks” with OFGEM extensively prior to publication. — We had extensive discussions with OFGEM concerning the presentation of the mark to market (by which we mean the transitory impact of valuing a derivative at the balance sheet date) impacts of valuing our derivative financial instruments within the Consolidated Segmental Report. — The result of these discussions was that we agreed to disclose the mark to market results as part of our reconciliation to the audited E.ON UK plc Annual Report & Accounts in Table 2 of the Report (under the heading “Net derivative losses”), rather than within the Consolidated Segmental Statement (Table 1) itself. — This is because these changes in valuations of derivatives could be very misleading and would prevent meaningful comparisons between different companies’ statements and also between different years for the same company. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 131 — — To illustrate the volatile nature of these figures, our 2010 Consolidated Segmental Report Table 2 shows net derivative gains of £185 million, the comparative figure in our 2011 Report shows net derivative losses of £693 million. Neither of these losses or gains were actually realised and this was just a valuation adjustment at the time of reporting; only upon maturity can their true value be assessed. Therefore, derivative financial instruments that are held in any part of E.ON’s business that have not yet reached the point of maturity are not included in the Consolidated Segmental Statement. At any point in time before a derivative has reached maturity, its value is based on the current market price. The potentially volatile nature of such derivatives means that if they were to be included in the Consolidated Segmental Statement they would give a false impression of overall profitability. This view is shared by Ofgem as well as the reviewing accountancy firms—BDO and Pannell Kerr Forster. May 2013 Supplementary written evidence submitted by E.ON RENEWABLES OBLIGATION CERTIFICATES—INCOME 2006–2012 Overview The energy sector makes a significant contribution to UK economic growth and will continue to do so in years to come. We support the desire to encourage more transparency, which in turn promotes important discussions around how the energy sector can continue to thrive economically with the right policies in place. We provide a significant economic contribution to the UK from both taxation and investment in infrastructure, regularly exceeding our profits. Over the last five years our total profits for E.ON business in the UK were nearly £5 billion. Of that, our total tax contribution was £2 billion including corporation tax, PAYE, National Insurance, VAT and CCL. Our total UK investment figure in that period was around £6 billion and we also paid £330 million on business rates. At the ECC Committee we were asked for details of the income we receive from Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs)—that is the income received after an investment has been made and once the project is generating. ROC Value There are two types of benefit received under the RO—buyout avoidance and income from the redistribution of the buyout fund. For the purposes of government financial planning, the value of a ROC is made up of the buyout price, ie the payment avoided by the supplier for presenting ROCs to Ofgem, plus the portion of the buyout fund redistributed to suppliers who presented ROCs. Eligible renewable electricity generators report the amount of renewable electricity they generate on a monthly basis to Ofgem. Ofgem issues ROCs to electricity generators relating to the amount of eligible renewable electricity they generate. Generators sell their ROCs to suppliers (or traders), which allows them to receive a premium in addition to the wholesale electricity price. Suppliers present their ROCs to Ofgem to demonstrate their compliance with the RO. Suppliers who do not present enough ROCs to meet their obligation must pay a penalty (known as the “buy-out price”). The money Ofgem collects in the buy-out fund is re-distributed on a pro-rata basis to suppliers who presented ROCs. E.ON’s Renewables business in the UK acts as an agent to our customer business in the purchase and sale of ROCs to allow our customer business to meet its obligation. This is comprised partly of ROCs representing our own renewable energy generation and partly of ROCs representing generation from the market. This has increased as we have grown our renewable portfolio (as can be seen from the number of ROCs). We now have four operational offshore wind farms (including our share in London Array), 19 onshore farms and two operational biomass plants (including the conversion of our Ironbridge coal fired power station). cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 132 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence The table below sets out the prices between 2006 and 2012 as published by Ofgem, the number of ROCs claimed by E.ON and the benefit received by our generating assets. 2006–07 2007–08 2008–09 2009–10 2010–11 2011–12 EON Asset ROC Claims Buy-Out Price £/ROC 371,309 448,807 556,361 791,835 1,424,156 1,910,741 £33.24 £34.30 £35.76 £37.19 £36.99 £38.69 Recycle Overall ROC Value £/ROC £/ROC 16.04 18.65 18.61 15.17 14.35 3.58 £49.28 £52.95 £54.37 £52.36 £51.34 £42.27 Overall Benefit to EON £18,298,108 £23,764,331 £30,249,348 £41,460,481 £73,116,169 £80,767,022 May 2013 Written evidence submitted by National Energy Action 1. Prices 1.1 What factors determine energy prices (wholesale prices, company operating costs, green levies, company profits etc)? What contribution do these factors currently make towards a typical household energy bill and how might this change over time? 1.2 Final domestic energy bills comprise wholesale energy costs, network costs, metering and other supply costs, supplier margins, VAT and the impacts of energy and climate change policies. Whilst there is a degree of fluctuation in the individual components of the bill the cumulative effect results in energy costs are currently at unprecedented levels and with all projections indicating a continued upwards trend.39 1.3 Ofgem publishes estimates of the constituent elements of domestic energy bills on a weekly basis. These estimates detail the proportion of the bill attributable to discrete factors including supplier margins. Dual Fuel Customer bill Wholesale costs VAT and other costs Gross margin Operating costs Total indicative net margin for the next 12 months Rolling net margin Jan-09 Jan-10 Year Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 £1,215 £710 £395 £110 £125 -£20 -£20 £1,140 £520 £420 £200 £130 £75 £45 £1,155 £510 £460 £180 £130 £50 £30 £1,330 £625 £510 £195 £130 £65 £50 £1,420 £620 £550 £250 £130 £120 £80 1.4 NEA is not well-placed to speculate on some of the factors leading to rising (or falling energy bills) including the effect of trends in global energy prices. However we would note that facilitating low carbon transition will require major capital expenditure. The efficiency and cost-effectiveness of future design, construction, maintenance, and operation of this new energy system will play a key role in either mitigating or exacerbating fuel poverty levels. 1.5 The scale of the required investment in the Government’s decarbonisation strategy, some £110 billion across the electricity industry over the next decade, is likely to be recovered through electricity bills. The Government asserts in various related analyses that energy bills will either be lower in real terms or lower than they would otherwise be under the current fuel mix. Whilst the Impact Assessment published alongside the Energy Bill suggests that the net impact of Electricity Market Reform (EMR) on domestic electricity prices, relative to the base case(s), would be to reduce the scale of fuel poverty up to 2025, NEA believes the Government has failed to undertake a rigorous and convincing analysis and fully consider the adverse consequences of the Bill. NEA is extremely concerned at the potential imposition of (as yet unquantified) new and additional costs that render one of the keystones of energy policy, affordability, a distant prospect for millions of low-income and vulnerable consumers. 1.6 In addition, through our written and oral evidence to the current Energy Bill Committee, NEA has sought to challenge a number of assumptions used to determine the impact of these policies, in particular, the accessibility of current domestic energy programmes that might reduce a household’s exposure to the costs of the EMR policies. 39 According to DECC’s Energy Statistics; average domestic expenditure on energy has more than doubled since 2000. Since 2004 the price of domestic energy has more than doubled. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 133 2. To what extent (if at all) should the Government or the regulator intervene in the market to affect the prices consumers (or certain groups of consumers) pay for their energy? Should any changes be made to the Government’s current approach? 2.1 There are two key issues that influence any response to these questions. The first concerns the level of profit made by energy suppliers in the retail energy market; the second concerns the Government’s commitment to ensure that energy costs are affordable. 2.2 Despite the assertion of sceptical media commentators that the market is somehow “rigged” in favour of dominant energy suppliers we note that Ofgem has produced no evidence of any such market manipulation. However it is of crucial importance that the issue of public and media concern be fully addressed and this will best be achieved through forensic scrutiny of the structure and economics of the energy market. We would assume that responsibility in this area would be taken by Ofgem; however we note that the draft work programme for the Regulated Industries Unit incorporates exploration of: the relationship between traded energy markets, wholesale costs, retail bills and supplier profits to bring clarity to the debates on how increased levels of transparency at key points in the supply chain could determine and show whether consumers are paying a fair price.’ NEA believes that such transparency would benefit both consumers and the industry itself. 2.3 NEA would also note that even in a fair and competitive market the Government must adopt different approaches in making energy costs more affordable. In the context of energy prices this would imply extension of the Warm Home Discount to ensure consistent eligibility criteria and legal entitlement for all financially disadvantaged vulnerable households. 3. How effective is Ofgem in ensuring consumers get a fair deal? Are there any areas for improvement? 3.1 In the early years of the competitive retail energy market Ofgem prioritised development of competition and switching over fairness within the market. This approach resulted in a degree of institutional unfairness as suppliers offered preferential terms to “out of area” customers whilst imposing what was effectively a surcharge on those “sticky” customers who remained with the original electricity supplier (this was predominantly an issue in the electricity market). More recently, Ofgem has taken action to eliminate unfair practices in the market through insistence on cost-reflective pricing and other proposals within the Retail Market Reform recommendations. 4. Could it be possible to benchmark energy prices to provide greater certainty about whether consumers are getting a fair deal? If so, how might this be achieved in practice? 4.1 We are not clear what is implied in this question. Prices could be “benchmarked” against other suppliers’ offerings but this would offer no certainty of fairness. Prices could be benchmarked against charges for domestic consumers in comparable EU States but, again, this would provide no conclusive evidence; however, we would note that (excluding taxes) UK domestic electricity prices in 2011 were the fourth highest in the EU 15 whilst gas prices were third lowest. 4.2 Within the retail market there are minimal differentials in charges made by the Big Six energy suppliers to domestic consumers. Supplier British Gas EDF Energy E.ON Npower ScottishPower SSE Average Domestic energy bills 2013 Current bill New bill £1,260 £1,202 £1,260 £1,244 £1,349 £1,235 £1,258 £1,336 £1,332 £1,370 £1,356 £1,368 £1,354 £1,352 Effective from November16 December 7 January 18 November 26 December 3 October 15 2012 2012 2013 2012 2012 2012 4.3 It can be argued that it is inevitable that energy bills will not diverge significantly between suppliers since the entire industry is subject to similar global energy price movements and infrastructure costs. Whilst recognising the merits of this argument we consider the entrenched nature of a market dominated by the Big Six energy suppliers to be unhelpful in encouraging innovation and new entrants to the industry. 5. Could any other measures be put in place to ensure consumers are paying fair prices for energy and to provide consumers with greater confidence in this? 5.1 As indicated above NEA believes that Ofgem’s Retail Market Reform should address a number of issues of “fairness” within the retail market. But, of course, the wider concerns relate to the need to restore public confidence in the integrity of the industry itself. We note that similar concerns about the operation of the nonmains fuel market were largely dismissed in a recent report from the Office for Fair Trading. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 134 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence 6. Profits 6.1 Many consumers believe that energy company profits are the reason the energy bills have been going up in recent years. Is this perception fair? 6.2 We allude to this issue above in noting that consumer scepticism can only be allayed through independent scrutiny of the operation of the industry. We believe that such scrutiny is in the interests of the industry itself since it is unhealthy and undesirable that companies supplying services crucial to the health and welfare of consumers should be subject to suspicion and frequent antipathy. 7. Why is there so much uncertainty about the level of profits the large, vertically integrated energy companies are making? What could be done to improve clarity? 7.1 NEA believes that the answer is implicit in the question; greater transparency is required. We would draw the Committee’s attention to an analysis published in 2008 which purported to show levels of profits where increases in energy bills bore little resemblance to increases in wholesale charges. The authors claimed that: “Gas and electricity expenditure by household consumers increased very significantly between 2003 and 2006. They spent a total £22.5 billion on these two sources of energy in 2006, £8.2 billion or 58% more than the £14.3 billion they spent three years earlier. Suppliers’ expenditure on the wholesale fuel to meet householders’ needs accounted for only a little more than half of this increase rising by £4.5 billion from £4.4 billion to £8.9 billion over the three years. Increases in other charges such as VAT, network charges including profits from owners of these assets, support for renewables and home energy efficiency accounted for a further £1.4 billion. Consequently consumers’ expenditure rose by £8.2 billion; the costs we have been able to assess increased by £5.9 billion in total and margins or perhaps unaccounted for costs thus rose by £2.3 billion, of which the vast majority appears to be attributable to increases in profits from electricity generation.” 8. How useful are Ofgem’s electricity and gas supply market indicators in monitoring the level of profits made by energy companies? Could they be improved? 8.1 In NEA’s experience these updates are of minimal value. They generalise about energy supplier costs and margins and are more likely to confuse than to illuminate. For example, the table below appears to show that energy suppliers lost a minimum of £20 per household in providing energy services to dual-fuel domestic consumers in 2009. Extrapolated across the customer base this implies that this element of the industry subsidised consumers to the extent of £500 million in that year. This is not credible. Dual Fuel—January 31 Customer bill Wholesale costs VAT and other costs Gross margin Operating costs Total indicative net margin for the next 12 months Rolling net margin Jan-09 Jan-10 Year Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 £1,215 £710 £395 £110 £125 -£20 -£20 £1,140 £520 £420 £200 £130 £75 £45 £1,155 £510 £460 £180 £130 £50 £30 £1,330 £625 £510 £195 £130 £65 £50 £1,420 £620 £550 £250 £130 £120 £80 9. How useful are the segmental generation and supply statements that major energy suppliers are required to produce in understanding where companies are making their profits? 9.1 NEA does not access this level of information and cannot comment on their value. 10. Do Ofgem’s supply market indicators and the segmental reports provided by energy suppliers help to increase transparency and public trust in energy companies? Could they be improved to provide greater transparency? 10.1 As indicated above, assertions by energy suppliers that they sell gas and electricity to consumers at or below cost is not credible. Clearly, this can do nothing to promote public trust. However, if an authoritative independent analysis were to confirm the figures it could only improve the relationship between suppliers and consumers. 11. To what extent does the way energy companies communicate profits to the general public influence the public’s perception of these companies? 11.1 NEA does not believe that energy suppliers do communicate information about profits to the general public. Rather information emerges through publication of annual or bi-annual financial statements which are then filtered through media commentary which is itself often hostile. Of course energy suppliers could itemise energy bills to illustrate their claims about the modest returns they achieve on investment—but they will not be believed without the process being subject to a rigorous independent audit. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 135 12. Fuel Poverty 12.1 Is the Government on track to meet its target of eliminating fuel poverty by 2016 and will reduced Government spending in this area affect their ability to achieve this target? The scale of fuel poverty 12.2 Over the course of autumn and early winter, all of the Big Six energy suppliers increased their charges to domestic consumers with the result that the average household energy bill currently stands at £1,352. Rising energy costs are the major factor in the upward trend in fuel poverty; the table below shows the movement in domestic gas and electricity prices since the low point of the early 2000s. The most recent official statistics indicate that 3.5 million households in England were fuel poor in 2010 and the Government has estimated that 3.9 million households were in fuel poverty in 2012. Year Number and % of fuel-poor households in England—1996 to 2012 Number of fuel-poor % of fuel-poor Number of vulnerable % of vulnerable households households households fuel-poor households in fuel poverty 1996 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201240 5,100,000 1,722,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,500,000 2,400,000 2,800,000 3,300,000 4,000,000 3,536,000 3,500,000 3,900,000 26.0% 8.1% 5.9% 5.9% 7.2% 11.5% 13.2% 15.6% 18.4% 16.4% 16.4% 18.5% 4,000,000 1,416,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,900,000 2,300,000 2,700,000 3,200,000 2,830,000 - 30% 9.8% 6.6% 6.4% 7.8% 12.8% 14.6% 17.5% 20.7% 18.1% - 12.3 Fuel poverty results from a combination of low household income, inadequate heating and insulation standards and high energy costs. Energy prices are now at unprecedented levels and a combination of increasing global energy costs and national policies such as Electricity Market Reform means that costs will inevitably continue to rise with adverse consequences for financially disadvantaged vulnerable households, The table below illustrates domestic energy price movements over the life of the current UK Fuel Poverty Strategy which was published in 2001. The average domestic fuel bill has increased by 133% over a period when average incomes have increased by 27.4% and the State Retirement Pension has risen by 48.2%. The table below shows the near-relentless increases in domestic gas and electricity prices over the last decade or so. Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Trends in domestic energy prices in England from 2001 Fuel Gas Electricity £293 £310 £320 £333 £386 £475 £537 £625 £708 £682 £749 £837 £246 £244 £245 £251 £281 £335 £376 £433 £443 £431 £469 £496 Fuel poverty targets 13. Following the introduction of the Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act 2000 the UK Fuel Poverty Strategy was published. The Strategy followed the requirements of the legislation and committed the Government to the eradication of fuel poverty within a fifteen-year timescale thereby setting a deadline of November 2016. The target was not however unequivocal since the wording of the Act specifies: “a target date for achieving the objective of ensuring that as far as reasonably practicable persons in England or Wales do not live in fuel poverty.” The “reasonably practicable” provision means that there is no absolute duty on Government to eradicate fuel poverty provided it is seen to demonstrate good faith in designing and implementing policies and programmes to address fuel poverty. In fact the UK Fuel Poverty Strategy voluntarily adopted an interim target to eradicated fuel poverty for vulnerable households by 2010; however, as we know, 40 Figures are estimates published in the Annual Report on Fuel Poverty, DECC, 2012. Vulnerable households generally represent 80% of all fuel-poor households. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [E] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Ev 136 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence that target was missed by a considerable distance and, regrettably, we see no prospect of the 2016 target being achieved either. Fuel poverty failure and Judicial Review 14. The issue of “good faith” on the part of Government was tested in 2008 when Friends of the Earth and Help the Aged sought Judicial Review on the grounds that Government action on fuel poverty did not represent all that was “reasonably practicable”. The legal challenge followed concerns that the scale of fuel poverty continued to increase despite investment of considerable financial resources over almost a decade and a perceived lack of urgency in the Government response. Ultimately, judgement41 was made in favour of the Government with the court taking the view that: “It [the Government] imported a statutory duty to make those efforts [eradicate fuel poverty]. It did not assume a statutory duty to achieve the desired results, whatever the cost.” 14.1 NEA recognises that the term “reasonably practicable” affords Government legal protection but does not believe that it justifies Government claims that it is adhering to the letter and spirit of the law in relation to the Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act. There is a world of difference between requiring Government to commit sufficient resources to completely eradicate fuel poverty and requiring Government to maintain or increase financial support for fuel poverty programmes. 14.2 The Comprehensive Spending Review42 in October 2010 announced reductions in funding for Warm Front. Funding would fall (from £345 million in 2010–11) to £110 million in 2011–12 and to £100 million the following year after which the programme would cease. In fact the Government announced in January 2013 that no further applications for Warm Front would be accepted after January 19 2013. This decision marks the first time since 1978 when there will be no Government-funded domestic energy efficiency programme. NEA notes that Defra (the relevant department at the time of the Judicial Review) submitted a note indicating that this would represent a breach of the legal obligation: “the Defendants say (for example) that the Act and Strategy would not (as presently formulated) permit the Government to eliminate Winter Fuel Payments in their entirety or cut Warm Front funding to zero.” 14.3 The Government stated in the Spending Review that: “In determining its spending priorities, the Government has taken into account its responsibilities under… the Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act 2000. The Government considers the Spending Review to be consistent with its obligations in relation to fuel poverty.” NEA believes these assertions contradict Government evidence during the Judicial Review process and that the termination of Warm Front is a breach of the legal duties contained in the Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act. to be unfounded and is particularly concerned that the Exchequer is abdicating responsibility for funding fuel poverty programmes and is simply shifting the burden on to energy consumers. Fuel poverty expenditure 15. The Government has developed a fuel poverty infrastructure that addresses the three main factors that contribute to fuel poverty: — The Winter Fuel Payment and the Cold Weather Payment of the Regulated Social Fund can help pay high winter fuel bills. Overall expenditure on the Winter Fuel Payment will reduce as the qualifying age (female retirement age) rises whilst expenditure on Cold Weather Payments is dependent on the severity of the winter weather. — The Warm Home Discount offers a mandatory reduction of £130 on electricity bills for low-income older households and, on a discretionary basis, for other financially disadvantaged vulnerable households. The total amount to be spent on this scheme is prescribed by Government, delivered through energy suppliers and funded by a levy on energy consumers. — The Energy Company Obligation (ECO) will provide £540 million to fund energy efficiency measures for low-income vulnerable households under the Affordable Warmth and Carbon Saving Communities elements of the Obligation. In addition the Carbon Saving Communities Obligation contains a “rural safeguard” of 15% to ensure that non-urban households are not totally excluded from the scheme. The ECO is also funded through levies on domestic consumers’ bills. Energy efficiency 41 42 43 Expenditure on fuel poverty programmes 2009/2010 and 201343 Programmes 2009/2010 Expenditure Programmes 2013 Warm Front £370 million Carbon Emissions Reduction Target £564 million Expenditure Warm Front terminated January 2013 ECO Affordable £302 million Warmth Case No: CO/3373/2008, Royal Courts of Justice, 23/10/2008. Spending Review 2010, HM Treasury, 2010. Table from The Impact of Fuel Poverty Budgets in England, Association for the Conservation of Energy, 2012. cobber Pack: U PL: CWE1 [O] Processed: [26-07-2013 10:04] Job: 031434 Unit: PG01 Energy and Climate Change Committee: Evidence Ev 137 Energy efficiency Income support Energy price support Total Expenditure on fuel poverty programmes 2009/2010 and 2013 Programmes 2009/2010 Expenditure Programmes 2013 Communities Energy Saving Programme £101 million Winter Fuel Payments44 £2.497 billion Cold Weather Payments £250 million Voluntary price support £132 million ECO Carbon Saving Communities Obligation Winter Fuel Payments Cold Weather Payments (estimate) Warm Home Discount £3.913 billion Expenditure £164 million £1.723 billion £228 million £237 million £2.689 billion 15.1 Despite constant assurances from Ministers that the loss of Warm Front would not compromise fuel poverty targets, because expenditure on heating and insulation schemes to assist fuel-poor households would be greatly increased under the Energy Company Obligation, this has not proven to be the case. We are reshaping the architecture for delivering energy efficiency and ending fuel poverty, on a far greater scale than anything attempted by the previous Government. The right hon. Lady knows that we were not on course to deliver the fuel poverty objectives of the 2016 target to which the previous Government were committed. We are looking at things much more ambitiously. Greg Barker MP, Energy Minister, Draft Electricity and Gas (Carbon Emissions Reduction (Amendment) Order 2010, July 26 2010. 15.2 Despite Government insistence that the new Energy Company Obligation would be a more than adequate replacement for previous schemes it is estimated that the new Energy Company Obligation (and any associated Green Deal measures) might remove between 125,000 and 250,000 households from fuel poverty over the period to 2023. At best this would provide affordable warmth for around 6.4% of current fuel-poor households. We note that Professor Hills’ Review indicated that current policies might, by 2016, have reduced fuel poverty by 10% (not in absolute terms but compared with what it otherwise would
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