Keeping CO2 Safely Stored Sarah Gasda, Uni Research CIPR CLIMIT Summit 7-8 March 2017 Outline • Risk Management: inputs, methods and challenges • Contributions: PROTECT project • Case studies: Utsira/Skade, Smeaheia • Outlook Motivation: IEA Road Map for CCS 12.2 Gt stored by 2050 EU Commission, 2014 Managing the risk profile Pre-injection Injection Post-injection Risk Graphic: S. Benson, Stanford University Challenges of CCS scale-up Small scale ~~ 11Mt/y Small Mt/y Safe storage capabilities demonstrated Pressure impacts are local Focus on CO2 plume migration Pressure footprint >> plume Higher overpressures Large scale ~ 10 Mt/y Greater stress on caprock Higher risk for leakage Reach capacity faster Expensive monitoring Uncertainty increases Large, complex simulations Field and Laboratory Data Modeling and Simulation Monitoring and Verification New tools and datasets are needed to assess the risks to caprock during high-pressure CO2 injection Field and Laboratory Data Pressure impacts and geomechanics Modeling and Simulation Multi-scale, upscaling, coupling Monitoring and Verification Reliability and efficiency PROTECT: Protection of caprock integrity for large-scale CO storage 2 Objective: Understand the impact of geomechanics, flow and chemistry on caprock integrity in order to: • ensure injectivity • maximize storage capacity • protect against CO2 leakage. WP1 - Data needs and process understanding WP2 - Detailed models for flow, reaction and deformation WP3 - Large-scale coupled modeling and upscaling Website: www.protect.b.uib.no Industry partners: WP4 - Integration & application WP5 - Best practice guidelines & reporting Geomechanical Data Valuable mechanical data State-of-the-art mechanical testing Direct shear apparatus Rurikfjellet shale samples (Longyearbyen CO2 Lab) Preserved caprock core Field and Laboratory Data Geophysical Data Inversion Monitoring and Verification • Adding value to seismic by joint inversion with CSEM • Improved saturation and pressure monitoring • Verfiy CO2 injection and monitor for leakage saturation Standard seismic inversion pressure CSEM monitoring saturation Joint inversion with CSEM as prior pressure Fine-scale models Modeling and Simulation Increase understanding of potential for leakage along fractures Multi-dimensional fracture-matrix modeling Hydraulic fracture modeling of LYBCO2 Reactive transport Lattice-Boltzmann Large-scale Geomechanical Models COMSOL Multiphysics Mixed-dimensional Multi-phase flow Geomechanics Modeling and Simulation VESA Model Multi-phase flow 2D vertical equil. Analytical uplift Hydromechanics Conservative (fractures) Single-phase flow Large-scale Simulating overpressure and comparing results for relevant field cases Case Study: Utsira What is practically achievable storage capacity? • Prevent leakage by maintaining a safe pressure both during and after injection 15 Gt storage capacity Two-step approach: 1. Simple analytical model 2. Large-scale simulations Kirby et al. 2001 Pressure-limited capacity of the Utsira Δpmax (bar) CO2 mass (Mt) 5 Gt storage in south Utsira Zhou et al. Closed system dV = Vf (βw + αB/ϕ) dp Compressible sand Max dp 15 bar 8.3 Gt storage ~50% NPD Pressure-limited capacity of the Utsira CO2 mass (Mt) 12.2 Gt stored by 2050 5 Gt storage in south Utsira 8.3 Gt storage ~50% NPD 5 Gt CO2 in 50 years (100 Mt/y) Is it sustainable? Maintain local injectivity Plumes are localized Case Study: Smeaheia • Candidate for first ever full- scale CCS • Statoil feasibility study • 1.5 Mt/y injection • Safe storage within local structural traps • Capacity for larger injection? • Planned study in SUCCESS: • Pressure buildup around sensitive faults and anticlines. • Analysis of data and uncertainty Outlook • Keys to safe storage • global vs local pressure management • limiting overpressure in sensitive shallow regions • water production in postinjection can be effective • data-driven simulation • impact of data uncertainty • Future direction • more testing, lab experiments, field data collection, • interpretation of existing data • develop open databases • upscaled fault models • benchmarking People and Info • CIPR • Trond Mannseth • Svenn Tveit • Maria Elenius • Ivar Aavatsmark • IFE • Magnus Wangen • Rainier Van Noort • NGI • Bahman Bohloli • Tore Bjørnarå • Joonsang Park • UiO • Helge Hellevang • Hossein Fazeli • UiB • Jan Nordbotten • Wietse Boon Website: www.protect.b.uib.no Poster Session • PROTECT • SUCCESS Integration (M. Elenius)
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