Module 35 History and Alternative Views of Macroeconomics John Maynard Keynes & Milton Friedman KRUGMAN'S MACROECONOMICS for AP* Margaret Ray and David Anderson What you will learn in this Module: • Why classical macroeconomics wasn’t adequate for the problems posed by the Great Depression • How Keynes and the experience of the Great Depression legitimized macroeconomic policy activism • What monetarism is and its views about the limits of monetary policy • How challenges led to a revision of Keynesian ideas and the emergence of the new classical macroeconomics Classical Macroeconomics: Money and the Price Level •%∆ M = % ∆ PL •Short-Run Effects Unimportant •Focus on the LongRun •Keynes - “ (in the long run) we are all dead.” Classical Macroeconomics: The Business Cycle •The Business Cycle •No theory of business cycles •Lack of consensus •Necessity is the mother of invention Keynes’s Theory •The General Theory •Classical View •Keynesian View •“Animal Spirits” (business confidence) Keynes’s Theory Classical Theory Keynesian Theory Challenges to Keynesian Economics: The Revival of Monetary Policy •A Monetary History of the United States, 1867 - 1960 •Great Depression caued by Fed contracting the money supply •Monetary policy is important - less political University of Chicago Economist, Milton Friedman Challenges to Keynesian Economics: Monetarism •Monetarism •Discretionary Policies - bad •Crowding Out •Monetary Policy Rule •Quantity Theory of Money, MV = PY •Velocity of Money •Erratic Velocity undermines Monetarism Challenges to Keynesian Economics: Inflation and the Natural Rate of Unemployment •Natural Rate Hypothesis •Limit to Discretionary Policy •Stagflation of 1970s proof of Hypothesis •Natural Rate widely accepted Challenges to Keynesian Economics: The Political Business Cycle •Consequences of Keynes on Politics •Election Day Economics •Political Business Cycle President Obama and Senator McCain •The need for central bank independence Rational Expectations, Real Business Cycles, and New Classical Macroeconomics • New Classical Macroeconommics • Rational Expectations • New Keynesian Economics • Real Business Cycle Theory Unnumbered Figure 35.1 The End of the Great Depression Ray and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First Edition Copyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers Figure 35.2 Fiscal Policy with a Fixed Money Supply Ray and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First Edition Copyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers Figure 35.3 The Velocity of Money Ray and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First Edition Copyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers
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