Models and impact assessment tools

BUILDING SOCIAL PROTECTION FLOORS WITH THE ILO
TOGETHER, TO CHANGE MILLIONS OF LIVES
THROUGH DEVELOPING SOCIAL PROTECTION MODELS
AND IMPACT ASSESSMENT TOOLS
THE NEED TO DEVELOP KNOWLEDGE
Social protection is a human right. Therefore, the decision
to develop a social protection floor to ensure a fairer
and more inclusive society is primarily a political decision.
However, implementing a social protection floor has a cost
and therefore demands political decisions to increase fiscal
space.
In order to convince national stakeholders of the importance
of investing in the development of a social protection
system, there is a need to develop evidence on the impact
of social protection on economic growth and society, as
well as in terms of the return on investment governments
can expect. The establishment of social protection systems
also impacts enterprises, necessitating the need for
further documentation of the interdependence between the
provision of social protection and business performance.
PROMOTING SOCIAL PROTECTION THROUGH EX ANTE
MODELS
An ex ante impact evaluation attempts to measure the
intended impacts of future programmes and policies. The
development of ex ante models using existing empirical
evidence on the impact of social protection programmes
and reflect reality, making them very important as evidence
could be used to inform national dialogues intended to
supporting arguments for the establishment of social
define a national strategy on the progressive establishment
protection. The ex post evaluations document the impact of
of a social protection floor. These models could also make
social protection on reducing poverty, attenuating inequality,
significant contributions to defining scheme parameters,
vitalizing local economies, and so on. These evaluations,
maximizing potential positive impacts at micro/individual,
however, sometimes fail to explain the underlying reasons
mezzo/community, and macro/country levels.
for the success or failure of the programmes.
Based on work developed as part of a long-standing
Benefiting from the establishment of the Global Business
partnership with Maastricht University, the ILO’s Social
Network for Social Protection Floors launched in October
Protection Department can continuously update its ex ante
2015, the ILO’s Global Flagship Programme will carry out ex
models and develop complementary analyses to support its
post evaluations to document the impact of social protection
constituents in the establishment of social protection floors.
on businesses.
DEVELOPING EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE USING EX POST
EVALUATIONS
Ex post evaluations measure actual impacts accrued
by beneficiaries that are attributable to programme
interventions. Ex post evaluations have immediate benefits
EXAMPLE OF A RECENT ILO RESEARCH1: LINKING THE PROVISION OF SOCIAL PROTECTION
WITH THE ODDS OF CLOSURE
In an era of globalized competitive pressure, most employers in developing countries do not provide
social protection benefits to their employees. This study tests the presumed argument that such
provisions threaten firm survival by increasing labour costs. The findings suggest that increased
compliance to social protection labour standards (social protection compliance) is associated with
reduced odds of factory closure. This result implies that increased social protection compliance can
enhance the well-being of workers while maintaining a firm’s competitiveness.
1
Jetha, Q.; Linsen, J. 2015. Survival of the fittest, and most compliant: Evidence on the relationship between
firm survival and social protection compliance, Better Work Discussion Paper, No. 19 (Geneva, ILO).
FROM RIGHT TO REALITY WITH YOUR SUPPORT
Produce a series of “Social protection has impact”
The ILO is recognized for its capacity and unique expertise
briefs.
at the macro level in the areas of social protection financing
$
200,000
and the establishment of rights-based legal and institutional
frameworks, inspired by international social security
Develop training material and organize workshops to
standards.
disseminate and discuss the knowledge developed by
With your support, we can accelerate making social
the ILO and its partners at national, regional, and global
protection floors a reality for millions of people by
levels.
documenting its importance for fair and sustainable
$
100,000 per event
development. You can support us to:
Install partnerships with universities to develop ex
LISTENING TO YOUR AMBITIONS
ante models to capture the impacts of social protection
As a donor, you receive regular reports detailing the
development at micro, mezzo, and macro levels.
progress made and have access to ongoing project activities
and performance indicators.
US$ 200,000 per model
To further discuss your needs and the ways you can improve
Adapt these ex ante models to country situations
the lives of millions, you can contact:
and use them as part of national dialogues on social
protection.
Thibault van Langenhove,
$ 100,000 per country
Social Protection policy Officer,
[email protected]
Develop protocols and conduct ex post impact
evaluations for some key projects of the ILO Global
Flagship Programme on Building Social Protection
VISIT OUR WEBSITE:
Floors for All.
http://iloglobalprogramme.social-protection.org
$
200,000 per impact
evaluation
AND FOLLOW US:
www.facebook.com/SPplatform
Support the Global Business Network for Social
www.twitter.com/soc_protection
Protection Floors in developing the business case for
www.youtube.com/user/Ilotv
public social protection schemes.
www.linkedin.com/company/social-protection-platform
$
200,000