A Better Way to Measure Community College Performance: An Achieving the Dream Cross-State Data Initiative 2009 SHEEO/NCES Network Conference and IPEDS Workshop May 21, 2009 J. Keith Brown North Carolina Community College System Success is what counts. Presentation Summary: Overview of Achieving the Dream and the CrossState Data Workgroup Recommendations for an Alternative Set of Measures for Community College Performance Introduction of Intermediate Milestones and Final Measures of Student Performance Implications for Policy and Practice Success is what counts. Achieving the Dream Overview National initiative to help more community college students succeed (earn degrees, earn certificates, or transfer) Particularly concerned about student groups that have faced the most significant barriers to success, including low-income students and students of color Success is what counts. 82 Institutions in 15 States AR, CT, FL, HI, MA, MI, NC, NM, OH, OK, PA, SC, TX, VA, WA Success is what counts. Achieving the Dream Values Student-centered Equity and excellence Culture of evidence, inquiry, accountability, and shared responsibility Success is what counts. Cross-State Data Workgroup Initial States Connecticut Florida North Carolina Ohio Texas Virginia Success is what counts. States Joining Arkansas Massachusetts New Mexico Oklahoma South Carolina Washington Data Workgroup Goals Develop a set of indicators to: More effectively track student performance Evaluate the effectiveness of interventions Learn from the strengths of other community college systems Success is what counts. Test Drive: Six States Pilot Better Ways to Measure and Compare Community College Performance Success is what counts. Recommended Changes: Prior Enrollment Current Federal Method ATD Work Group Method First-time-in-college students only Same as federal method Enrollment Status Current Federal Method ATD Work Group Method Full-time students only Full-time and part-time students Intent at time of Enrollment Current Federal Method ATD Work Group Method Only students seeking a certificate or degree Same as federal method Success is what counts. Recommended Changes: Timeframe Current Federal Method ATD Work Group Method Three years (150% of “normal time” to completion) Six years Success Outcomes Current Federal Method ATD Work Group Method Earned degree or certificate - Earned degree or certificate - Transferred without an award - Enrolled in year 6 with at least 30 hrs Success is what counts. Recommended Changes: Tracking transfer students within the 2-year sector Current Federal Method ATD Work Group Method Reporting is based on individual college; doesn’t track outcomes of students who transfer to another college; simply reported as transferred out Reporting is based on statewide community college system; tracks outcomes within the system (therefore across colleges) Success is what counts. Recommended Changes: Controlling for factors associated with success Current Federal Method ATD Work Group Method Part-time students excluded Disaggregated results by partfrom analysis; no disaggregation time and full-time status and age of results by age at initial at initial enrollment enrollment Success is what counts. Results of Cross-State Comparison Success is what counts. Results of Cross-State Comparison AGE DISTRIBUTION OF ENROLLMENT 100% 2% 3% 2% 7% 2% 2% 15% 90% 23% 22% 22% 23% 80% 43% PERCENT SHARE 70% 60% 50% 40% 83% 74% 76% 75% 74% 30% 51% 20% 10% 0% Connecticut Florida Success is what counts. North Carolina 22< 23-45 Ohio 46> Texas Virginia Results of Cross-State Comparison GENDER DISTRIBUTION OF ENROLLMENT 100% 90% 80% PERCENT SHARE 70% 55% 54% 56% 45% 46% 44% Connecticut Florida North Carolina 53% 54% 56% 47% 46% 44% Ohio Texas Virginia 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Success is what counts. Male Female Results of Cross-State Comparison Success is what counts. Results of Cross-State Comparison Distribution of Awards and Transfer w/o Award Outcomes (all students) 50% 40% 30% 25% 23% 22% 19% 20% 16% 14% 14% 10% 9% 10% 13% 12% 7% 6% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% CT FL Success is what counts. Award of Less Than AA Degree NC OH Associate's Degree TX Transfer w/o Award VA Results of Cross-State Comparison Students Who Earned an Award or Transferred OR Who Are Still Enrolled with 30+ Credits (all students) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 9% 8% 40% 30% 8% 9% 20% 10% 3% 5% 36% 42% 40% 35% 30% 23% 0% CT FL Success is what counts. Total Earned Award or Transfer NC OH TX Still Enrolled w/o Award with 30+ Credits VA Results of Cross-State Comparison Younger Students (< or = 22) Who Earned an Award or Transferred and Who Are Still Enrolled with 30+ Credits 100% 90% 80% Percentage 70% 60% 50% 10% 8% 40% 30% 4% 5% 10% 20% 10% 10% 39% 40% FL NC 45% 35% 38% 25% 0% CT Success is what counts. Total Earned Award or Transfer OH TX Still Enrolled w/o Award with 30+ Credits VA Results of Cross-State Comparison PERCENTAGE OF STUDENTS EARNING AN AWARD WHO SUBSEQUENTLY TRANSFER TO A 4-YEAR INSTITUTION (FULL-TIME STUDENTS) 100% 90% 80% 72% PERCENTAGE 70% 60% 47% 50% 40% 36% 30% 20% 54% 54% 22% 17% 15% 12% 10% 5% 7% 7% 0% Connecticut Florida Success is what counts. North Carolina % of Certificate Earners Ohio Texas % of Associate's Degree Earners Virginia Results of Cross-State Comparison PERCENTAGE OF STUDENTS EARNING AN AWARD WHO SUBSEQUENTLY TRANSFER TO A 4-YEAR INSTITUTION (PART-TIME STUDENTS) 100% 90% 80% PERCENTAGE 70% 59% 60% 50% 43% 43% 40% 34% 29% 30% 23% 20% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 0% Connecticut Florida Success is what counts. % of Certificate Earners North Carolina Ohio Texas % of Associate's Degree Earners Virginia Next Steps: Developing Intermediate Benchmarks to Measure Student Progress Success is what counts. Intermediate milestones to track students First-Year Milestones • Persisted fall to spring • Passed 80% or more of attempted hours • Earned 24 or more hours Second-Year Milestones • Persisted fall to fall • Completed developmental math by year 2 • Earned 48 or more hours Third-Year Milestones • Passed gatekeeper English or higher by year 3 • Passed gatekeeper math or higher by year 3 Success is what counts. First-Year Milestones Returned spring semester 16% increase in final success outcomes for full-time students; 28% for part-time students Earned 24 credits (full-time) or 18 credits (part-time) by the end of the first year 25% increase in final success outcomes for full-time students; 66% for part-time students Passed 80% of credits attempted 12% increase in final success outcomes for full-time students; 46% for part-time students Success is what counts. Second-Year Milestones Returned in fall of second year 23% increase in final success outcomes for fulltime students; 53% for part-time students Returned and earned 42 credits (full-time) or 24 credits (part-time) by the end of the second year 32% increase in final success outcomes for fulltime students; 49% increase for part-time students Success is what counts. Second-Year Milestones Passed developmental mathematics course by the end of the second year 84% increase in final success outcomes for fulltime students; 110% increase for part-time students Passed developmental English course by the end of the third year 17% increase in final success outcomes for fulltime students; 39% increase for part-time students Success is what counts. Third-Year Milestones Passed “gatekeeper” mathematics course by the end of the third year 45% increase in final success outcomes for fulltime students; 147% increase for part-time students Passed “gatekeeper” English course by the end of the third year 17% increase in final success outcomes for fulltime students; 59% increase for part-time students Success is what counts. Tracking toward final success measures Fourth- and Sixth-Year Measures • Award of less than associate’s degree w/o transfer • Award of associate’s degree or higher w/o transfer • Award of less than associate’s degree and transferred • Award of associate’s degree or higher and transferred • Transferred w/o an award • Still enrolled with 30 or more college hours • Total success rate Success is what counts. Next Steps…finishing data runs • Run benchmarks at state and institutional levels • Disaggregate and analyze performance by: o academic readiness o income o ethnicity o gender • Identify and document promising interventions Success is what counts. What does all this mean and what are the policy implications? Success is what counts. Context of the Data Reflects the mission of colleges/state systems Examples: age distribution, award distribution Reflects differences in state priorities/policies Example: college transfer policy Not all measures pertain to all students Example: gatekeeper math course Success is what counts. AGE DISTRIBUTION OF ENROLLMENT 100% 2% 3% 2% 7% 2% 2% 15% 90% 23% 22% 22% 23% 80% 43% PERCENT SHARE 70% 60% 50% 40% 83% 74% 76% 75% 74% 30% 51% 20% 10% 0% Connecticut Florida Success is what counts. North Carolina 22< 23-45 Ohio 46> Texas Virginia Distribution of Awards and Transfer w/o Award Outcomes (all students) 50% 40% 30% 25% 23% 22% 19% 20% 16% 14% 14% 10% 9% 10% 13% 12% 7% 6% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% CT FL Award of Less Than AA Degree Success is what counts. NC OH Associate's Degree TX Transfer w/o Award VA Context of the Data Reflects the mission of colleges/state systems Examples: age distribution, award distribution Reflects differences in state priorities/policies Example: college transfer policy Not all measures pertain to all students Example: gatekeeper math course Success is what counts. Impact of state policy on outcomes Differences in transfer patterns reflect policy differences o Encouraging transfer after earning a degree • e.g. FL – 69% transfer after degree & 7% before o Encouraging transfer without a degree • e.g. TX – 25% transfer without degree o Absence of strong transfer policies • e.g. OH – 22% transfer after degree & 6% before o Balanced approach to transfer • e.g. NC – 16% transfer after degree & 14% before Success is what counts. Context of the Data Reflects the mission of colleges/state systems Examples: age distribution, award distribution Reflects differences in state priorities/policies Example: college transfer policy Not all measures pertain to all students Example: gatekeeper math course Success is what counts. Implications of the Data: College Perspective Identification of at-risk students Student advising Review of policies/practices Examples: Course taking sequence/timing Drop/add policies Success is what counts. Implications of the Data: State/System Perspective Policy development to improve student success Review of regulations Performance indicators Development/refinement of student database Benchmarking Success is what counts. Implications of the Data: National Perspective More appropriate measure of student success: accountability Financial aid policy Expand the body of knowledge on successful community colleges/practices Success is what counts. Acknowledgements The following individuals are gratefully acknowledged for their contributions to this presentation: Chris Baldwin: Jobs for the Future Pat Windham: Florida Donna Jovanovich: Virginia Corby Coperthwaite: Connecticut Success is what counts. Achieving the Dream Success is what counts. ww.achievingthedream.org Success is what counts.
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