Agenda Call to order Committee reports Review of ongoing activities Review/discuss Fall 2010 survey Review/discuss proposed Spring 2011 Survey Any other new/old business Adjournment Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College 101 College Parkway Arnold, MD 21012-1895 http:www2.aacc.edu/csli [email protected] 410.777.2733 1. Housing Commission of Anne Arundel County – 2010-11 Client: Provides housing for low income families and seniors in eight communities ◦ Type of survey: Resident satisfaction and facility condition – used for planning, oversight and HUD accreditation purposes ◦ Methodology: Self-administered at each community. Residents fill them out at the time of contract renewal, producing a quarterly stream of completed surveys for CSLI to use for data entry and report generation. ◦ N=Varies by community ◦ Current status: Waiting for next quarter’s questionnaires. ◦ Income generated: Overall $5100, retained for CSLI operations: $5100. ◦ Students employed: 0-1 2. Fire Department – Strategic Planning Survey Client: Provides fire and EMT services for county residents ◦ Type of survey: Measures citizen awareness, operational trade/off preferences, satisfaction. ◦ Methodology: Telephone (landline only). ◦ N=311 ◦ Current status: Completed ◦ Income generated: Overall $5000, retained for CSLI operations: $558 ◦ Students employed: 10-15 3. Police Department – Accreditation Survey Client: Provides public safety for county residents ◦ Type of survey: Identical to previous surveys – citizens’ perceptions of police professionalism and effectiveness, seriousness of crimes.. ◦ Methodology: Telephone (landline only). ◦ N=Around 350-400 ◦ Current status: Starts Feb. 14. ◦ Income generated: Overall $5000, retained for CSLI operations: $600 (estimated) ◦ Students employed: 10-15 4. Radcliff Scholarship Survey of recipients Client: AACC Foundation/Entrepreneurial Studies ◦ Type of survey: Asks about impact of scholarship, recipients’ current circumstances. ◦ Methodology: Multi-modal – mail, email, Facebook, telephone ◦ N=49 of 86 (57% response rate) ◦ Current status: Completed ◦ Income generated: Overall $1600, retained for CSLI operations: $900 ◦ Students employed: 1-2 5. Coordinating Center Client: Provides medical coordinating services for severely ill patients ◦ Type of survey: Customer satisfaction ◦ Methodology: Mailed with telephone follow-up and second mailing if needed. ◦ N= 690 ◦ Current status: Completed ◦ Income generated: Overall $2860, retained for CSLI operations: $1330 ◦ Students employed: 4-5 1. CSLI student interns ◦ Spring 2011: 2 ◦ Hours: vary depending on projects and needs of the moment but goal is to average five hours per week per intern ◦ Duties: range from data entry, survey design, student supervision, and telephone interviewing. 2. Legislative Interns – Maryland General Assembly ◦ Spring 2011: 10 ◦ Hours: 15-20 hours a week ◦ Duties: Work with members of the General Assembly in various capacities ◦ Other internships – does your area of work have any need for student interns? 3. CSLI student club ◦ Inception: 2006 – designated an official student club. ◦ Organizational structure: Officers include president, vice president, secretary and treasurer, elected at beginning of fall semester. CSLI interns usually chosen as club president/vice president ◦ Budget: Varies yearly–2010-11: $1115 from student association. ◦ 2010-11 Activities: Anticipate visits to Baltimore Council of Foreign Affairs; Annapolis Radio: WNAV – director was interviewed about CSLI fall research findings. Also on radio Nov. 2 for election analysis. Presentations: Director made presentations to Elephants Club, 33rd Democratic Club, Almost 7:30 Democratic Club, Leadership Anne Arundel, and Maryland Government Financial Officers Association. Panel discussion about surveys and local issues moderated by Paul Foer in Annapolis. Newspaper: Various articles in Capital, Baltimore Sun and Washington Post. CSLI Web site: Posted all new presentations and updates to searchable database (see http://www2.aacc.edu/csli). Semi-annual Survey and Web Panel Web panel: We have accumulated a total of around 715 possibly valid email addresses. ◦ About 1/3 of respondents accept request to give email addresses. ◦ Used to do pre-election polling in September. ◦ Will be conducting a spring online survey composed with student input. ◦ Response rate typically around 25%. Semi-annual Survey – Overview of Spring 2011 Results Remarkable stability in right/wrong direction… 57 54 58 62 66 60 61 62 58 58 55 Right 51 53 57 55 51 52 51 50 52 52 52 47 49 Right Wrong Unsure Fa '10 Sp '10 Fa '09 Sp '09 Fa '08 Sp '08 Fa '07 Sp '07 Fa '06 Sp '06 Fa '05 Sp '05 Fa '04 Sp '04 Fa '03 Sp '03 Fa '02 Sp '02 Fa '01 Sp '01 Fa '00 Sp '00 Fa '99 Wrong 34 33 32 31 31 29 29 28 27 28 28 27 25 27 26 27 26 25 25 24 24 23 23 21 21 21 20 23 20 19 20 20 19 19 18 18 16 18 15 17 16 17 17 15 15 14 Unsure 13 12 Sp '99 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 60 50 48 40 38 36 33 30 23 20 10 36 20 15 13 10 8 10 7 7 10 15 12 9 7 17 16 12 10 8 12 13 11 12 0 Fall '04 Spring Fall '05 Spring '05 '06 Fall '06 Spring Fall '07 Spring '07 Fall '08 '08 Spring Fall '09 Spring '09 Fall '10 '10 Economy /Housing Taxes – too high Growth /development Education / Traffic congestion /problems Crime / drugs Mean Percentage saying “excellent” or “good” also stable since March 2009 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 S '09 F '09 S '10 Anne Arundel County F '10 S '09 F '09 S '10 Maryland F '10 S '09 F '09 S '10 USA F '10 80 74 76 74 74 70 71 74 71 71 69 62 56 56 60 CSLI - AA County 55 49 50 40 30 46 42 38 34 26 27 34 48 44 45 10 11 11 38 31 32 28 27 22 17 20 10 Gallup - USA 5 5 0 S'02 F '02 S '03 F '03 S '04 F '04 S '05 F '05 S '06 F '06 S '07 F '07 S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 Some costs have gone down 70 59 60 63 61 56 58 59 59 55 55 56 56 60 53 50 50 42 40 40 44 43 32 30 24 20 10 21 21 13 11 12 21 17 15 10 0 Unable to find affordable Wages or salaries are not Hard to afford the cost housing rising as fast as the cost of transportation of living S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 Hard to afford the cost Taxes are too high in of utilities such as relation to government electricity or gas services provided S '10 F '10 80 70 60 Stock market recovery lessened ‘losses’ percentage 75 71 Unemployment rose sharply from March ‘08 to March ‘09 and hasn’t changed much since 70 Health care anxiety unchanged despite reform… 60 56 51 50 46 47 40 30 10 Minor improvement in readiness to spend 24 24 19 20 44 35 30 29 33 32 34 21 15 11 6 4 6 8 7 7 0 Facing the possibility of Significant losses in your unemployment stock or retirement house foreclosure or loss purchase such as a home unavailable, too expensive accounts or car S '08 F '08 Facing the possibility of S '09 F '09 Delay in making a major S '10 Health care insurance is or inadequate F '10 State Issues: O’Malley vs. Ehrlich for Governor in November County Results in 2006: Ehrlich 56.9 vs. O’Malley 42.0 percent GAP = 14.9 O’Malley won by 6.5 percent statewide in 2006 County Results in 2010: Ehrlich 54.2 vs. O’Malley 43.4 percent GAP =10.8 O’Malley won by 14.5 percent statewide in 2006 Spring 2010 All categs. Some categs Fall 2010 All categs. Some categs Some w/o undecid ed Average GAP 12 14 11 13 17 13.4 O’Malley 35 43 29 32 42 36.2 Ehrlich 47 57 40 45 59 49.6 Other 3 0 2 0 0 -- Undecided 0 0 22 24 0 -- Neither 5 0 1 0 0 -- 10 0 5 0 0 -- 100 100 99 101 101 -- Unsure/NA Total Gubernatorial Races – Anne Arundel County Dem – Rep Vote for Governor Schaeffer 83% Mooney 17% O’Malley on low end of typical Dem vote deficit 66972 Glendening 40% Sauerbrey 60% Schaeffer 49% Shepard 51% -28743 O’Malley 42% Ehrlich 57% Glendening 43% Sauerbrey 57% KK Townsend 35% Ehrlich 65% -27581 -20788 -53215 1990 60000 40000 O’Malley 43% Ehrlich 54% -21963 -2254 1986 80000 20000 0 -20000 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 -40000 -60000 100000 87676 80000 63879 60000 97465 93533 89456 85040 89613 83305 57615 54899 Rep Dem 40000 Other 20000 10486 0 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 12425 GAP 2716 23987 3920 6151 Including Shay Only a few thousand votes separate Dem/Rep candidates 1930 Nov. 2006 June 2010 Online Poll Sept. 2010 Online Poll October 11-14, 2010 Nov. 2 Actual Vote All Categories All Categories All categories Exclude some Exclude all except voters Actual Vote 2 22/31 26 13 14 22 6.5 Johnson/ Conti 49 30 (Owens) 23 (Conti) 28 21 24 37 44.0 Leopold 51 52/54 54 34 38 59 50.5 Other -- 15/16 10 2 3 -- 5.4 Undecided -- -- -- 32 35 -- -- Neither -- 4/7 9 2 -- -- -- Unsure -- -- -- 10 -- -- -- 101 100 101 100 Candidate Gap Total 101/100 Unlike Governor’s race, CE race much harder to predict –much tightening at the end… How informed Very County Executive 15 Governor Somewhat 36 48 Not very 49 17 Total 100 100 35 Issue On this issue are you more favorable to Conti, Leopold or Shay? Conti Leopold L-C Shay Undecided Don’t Undec.+ don’t Allowing slots at Arundel Mills mall 10 17 7 1 27 Improving transportation 13 20 7 1 16 18 2 17 17 Improving public schools 13 Keeping neighborhoods safe Making County government more efficient Preserving the environment know enough know enough 46 73 21 45 66 1 21 44 0 3 24 39 63 24 11 1 19 43 62 13 24 11 1 21 41 62 12 29 17 2 21 37 15 21 6 7 18 39 57 Managing growth 13 29 16 2 18 38 56 Having the right experience for the job 11 32 21 1 21 35 56 Keeping taxes low 14 30 16 1 19 36 55 Encouraging economic development 13 31 18 1 18 37 55 Protecting the needs of vulnerable populations in the county budget Maintaining high ethical standards 65 58 Conti Leopold L-C Shay Undecided Don’t know enough Undecided/Don ’tknow enough 11 32 21 1 21 35 56 13 31 18 1 18 37 55 12 29 17 2 21 37 58 13 29 16 2 18 38 56 Keeping taxes low 14 30 16 1 19 36 55 Improving public schools 13 24 11 1 19 43 62 Keeping neighborhoods safe Allowing slots at Arundel Mills mall Improving transportation Preserving the environment Protecting the needs of vulnerable populations in the county budget 13 24 11 1 21 41 62 10 17 7 1 27 46 73 13 15 20 21 7 6 1 7 21 18 45 39 66 57 16 18 2 1 21 44 65 17 17 0 3 24 39 63 Having the right experience for the job Encouraging economic development Making County government more efficient Managing growth Maintaining high ethical standards U Opponents to the introduction of slot machines at Arundel Mills Mall are circulating a petition to put the county council’s decision to grant zoning needed for slots to referendum in November, potentially reversing the decision. Do you support or oppose this petition effort? Will you be voting for or against Question A on the November ballot? A "for" vote would approve the County Council's zoning decision permitting slots in the county, including at Arundel Mills and Laurel. An 'against' vote would leave the county without slots zoning at any location. Position Spring ‘10 0 Fall ‘10 Actual 0 11 Support 45 42 55.5 Oppose 45 42 44.5 Unsure 7 16 -- No answer 2 -- -- Total 99 100 100 GAP National Issues: % approving of president’s job by party 90 79 80 72 69 70 62 57 60 53 50 53 53 47 43 47 52 35 28 19 20 10 Democrats 42 40 30 Overall 9 24 24 25 24 25 17 6 Indep 0 Sp. '08 Bush Republicans Fa. '08 Sp '09 Fa. '09 Obama Sp '10 Fa '10 National Issues: Presidential job approval 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 61 53 34 33 35 32 30 28 47 42 25 24 Fa ll ' Sp 06 rin g' 07 Fa ll ' Sp 07 rin g' 08 Fa ll ' Sp 08 rin g' 09 Fa ll ' Sp 09 rin g' 10 Fa ll ' 10 39 37 54 47 CSLI Gallup 41 Go to Questionnaire in MS Word
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