October 14-15, 2014 The World Bank Group | Preston Auditorium | 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC | USA Day 1 | Tuesday, October 14 Breakfast and Registration (8:30am – 9:00am) Opening Keynote: Bertrand Badré, Managing Director and WBG Chief Financial Officer 9:00am – 9:10am Welcoming Remarks: Anabel Gonzalez, Senior Director, Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice 9:15am – 9:25am Keynote: Dani Rodrik, Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, New Jersey 9:30am – 10:10am Panel 1 – Measuring the Impact of the New Growth Strategies (10:15am – 11:30am) Speakers Andreu Mas-Collel (Minister for Economy and Knowledge, Catalonia Government, Spain), Dani Rodrik (Institute of Advanced Studies), Philippe Aghion (Harvard University) Moderator Ivan Rossignol (Chief Technical Specialist, Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice, WBG) In many places, five to ten years have passed since the push for new growth strategies began. Given that Themes these strategies often start with a range of coordinated actions (in a sub-jurisdiction ‘enclave’), with the hope to catalyze – indirectly – wider growth, they create serious methodological and substantive issues in defining and measuring their impact. How do they fit into, or reshape, traditional growth theory? Based on that, how can we adequately assess whether they are succeeding or failing? What are the implications, for theory and practice? Panel 2 – Institutional Means to Support New Growth Strategies (11:45am – 1pm) Speakers Dato' Sri Idris Jala (Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department and CEO of Performance Management & Delivery Unit (Pemandu), Malaysia), Arun Maira (Former Member for Industry, Planning Commission, Government of India, and Founder, India Backbone Implementation Network – IbIn), Christian Ketels (Harvard University), Charles Sabel (Columbia University) Moderator Pierre Jacquet (President, Global Development Network) If traditional institutions struggled with ‘old’ industrial policy, in an era of less volatile and uncertain Themes markets, they are liable to be wholly inadequate to new growth strategies. New institutions thus need to be developed, which will require new concepts, and may be demanding (even unfeasible) in their requirements on governance and political economy. In practice, what new institutions are emerging and how are they faring? What are their demands on and risks for governance? What new concepts do they require? Where could they be pursued, and where not? Lunch Break (1pm-1:30pm) FUNDING FOR THE CONFERENCE PROVIDED BY: Panel 3 – New Growth Strategies in Developed Economies (1:30pm – 2:30pm) Speakers Jane Frances (Director, Growth and Public Services, The Treasury, New Zealand), (TBC) Senior European Commission Official Moderator (TBC) Shahid Yusuf (Chief Economist, The Growth Dialogue, George Washington University) Job creation has been the defining challenge for developed countries as much as for developing ones Themes since the latest financial crisis. With persisting low growth, high unemployment and rising inequality, the former have been juggling with the same key question as the latter: how does one encourage the growth of job-creating industries in an era of open trade? The European Union and the government of New Zealand have recently engaged on new competitiveness and growth strategies for job creation, which both integrate the new realities of globalized trade and fast innovation in offering a package to encourage investment, growth and job creation. What are the defining features of these policies, and the key challenges in implementing them? What can developing countries learn and adapt? Panel 4 – Competitive Cities: New Growth Policies & Urban Development (2:45pm – 4:00pm) Speakers Ravi Naidoo (Executive Director for Economic Development, City of Johannesburg, South Africa), (TBC): Enrico Moretti (University of California, Berkeley), Tracey Nichols (Director of Economic Development, City of Cleveland), William Kerr (Harvard University) Moderator (TBC) With rapid urbanization in much of the developing world, cities are becoming the locus of the jobs Themes challenge, a key nexus for global trade, but are also where economic inequality is felt most starkly. Cities’ success or failure in improving livelihoods and increasing economic opportunities for their residents cuts across urban management and economic development –beyond the technical challenges of building city roads and delivering treated water. How can cities and local governments tackle income inequality and economic segregation while increasing global competitiveness? What should cities be doing more of, and what should they be doing less of? Can new high tech industries provide an answer to this challenge? What else can cities do to change their own economic trajectory? Panel 5 – Global Value Chains – Perspective From the Private Sector (4:15pm – 5:30pm) Speakers (TBC) Gary Gereffi (Director, Duke University), Ted Chu (IFC Chief Economist), High-level representatives from leading international manufacturing and agribusiness firms Moderator Anabel Gonzalez (Senior Director, Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice, WBG) Directed country interventions to favor the development of some value chains, like the automotive Themes sector, have led to mixed results. What is the perspective of business leaders on what are the main constraints on business investment, growth, and job creation? What are drivers for different industries and value chains? What types of interventions can have the greatest effect on company decision-making? Closing Remarks: TBC (5:30pm – 5:45pm) FUNDING FOR THE CONFERENCE PROVIDED BY: Day 2 | Wednesday, October 15 Deep-dives on work in progress related to the themes raised during the conference Breakfast (8:30am – 9:00am) Deep-dive 1 – Regional Focus: Manufacturing in South Asia (9:00am – 10:15am) Presenters Moderator Themes Arvind Subramanian (Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Center for Global Development), (TBC) Saquib Shirazi (CEO, Atlas Honda, Pakistan) Onno Ruhl (Country Director, India, WBG) Few combinations of sector and region combine the importance and the challenges of manufacturing in South Asia. The region’s demographic boom makes job creation (at a rate of 1 million per month) ever more important, but the sector – historically a key source of employment in the transition to middle-income – is much smaller than in other regions at a similar stage of development. What is holding it back? What is the balance between regional and country-specific factors? What are the success stories, and what can be learned from? Deep-dive 2 – Parallel sessions (10:30am – 11:30am) Competitive Cities Knowledge Base: Review Making Skills Programs Work Austin Kilroy & Megha Mukim (Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice, WBG) Manish Sabharwal (Teamlease CEO and former member, PM’s commission for skills, Government of India), Amit Dar (Director, Education Global Practice, WBG) How can cities generate more jobs? For the last six months, a multi-Practice team has been working to assemble evidence, to support task teams in responding quickly and efficiently to cities’ needs. The session will review draft results structured around three questions: (1) what explains job creation in cities worldwide? (quantitative analysis and five city case studies); (2) how can priorities be determined? (3) how can project plans and strategies be turned into action and success? Skills are a defining factor for competitiveness, and greater human capital is perhaps the most positive-sum route to reducing inequality, and hence sharing prosperity. Yet firms tend to under-provide training, while skills programs are among the most difficult to deliver in practice. Such market and government failures persist globally, but in a few cases, new cooperation models seem to have worked. Under what conditions? What role have different institutions (firms, unions, government) played? How have they been better integrated in practice? Deep-dive 3 – Parallel sessions (11:45am – 12:45pm) Climate Change and Growth Strategies Making Tourism work for the poor: defining a systematic methodology Alexios Pantelias (Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice, WBG), 1-2 other speakers TBC. TBC New growth strategies can’t be decouple from the risks and opportunities presented by climate change. As mentioned by Jim Kim, this new reality in the growth agenda will shape our next development challenge. Recent reports found a number of key climate compatible policies would lead to global GDP gains of between $1.8tn and $2.6tn a year by 2030. The challenge is that climate change requires a global agenda and commitment to ensure an even playing field. This session will focus on the challenge climate change poses to growth strategies, policies that can address both challenges of ensuring growth and mitigating climate change, and examples of countries and circumstances where this is being done. TBC FUNDING FOR THE CONFERENCE PROVIDED BY:
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