From current carbon trends to climate stabilization Pep Canadell Executive Director Global Carbon Project CSIRO, Australia Monday, 16 February 2015 4:45 – 6:00 PM ARD Large Pod The atmospheric accumulation of carbon dioxide from human activities, leading to climate change, is the result of a fine balance between emissions and the partial removal of those emissions by natural CO2 sinks in the oceans and on land. I’ll provide an update on the global sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. First, the current trends in fossil fuel emissions, which together with the mitigation commitments by some of the largest emitters, provide insights into plausible climate scenarios over the coming decades. A key discussion in this context is the large role expected from landbased mitigation options to achieve low temperature targets versus what the environment might sustainably produce. Second, I’ll discuss trends of the natural carbon sinks on land and oceans, and particularly changes in observed vegetation structure and function and its possible consequences for future climate. Sponsored by The Center for Ecosystem Science and Society, and Climate Science and Solutions, Northern Arizona University
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