PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Experiences of applying R&D 128, the ERICA Tool and RESRAD-BIOTA: Use and ‘misuse’ Mike Wood University of Liverpool Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 1 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Scope • Practical application of the approach(es) you are familiar with – R&D 128 (SP1a) – ERICA – RESRAD-BIOTA • Specifically – What works? – What doesn’t work? – What extra may be required? – etc…. Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 2 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Drigg coastal sand dunes, UK • North West of England (West Cumbria) • 10km south of Sellafield • Adjacent to the Low-Level Repository near Drigg Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 3 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 4 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Why dunes? • Protected site – NATURA 2000 – Site of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI) – Lake District National Park – Local nature reserve • Support a number of protected species • Potential to be impacted by anthropogenic radionuclide contamination • Includes a ‘non-standard’ contamination pathway (sea-to-land transfer) • Includes organisms for which few or no radioecological data exist (e.g. transfer data for reptiles) – opportunity to test model assumptions and predictions Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 5 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Data collection • Sampling undertaken at Drigg dunes 2005 – present – Part-funded by EC 6th Framework ERICA project, Environment Agency and English Nature (Natural England) • Collected media and biota samples • Sampling undertaken by UoL and analysis by CEH (with support from UoL and WSC) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 6 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Data available ENVIRONMENTAL MEDIA Medium Samples Soil/sediment Soil/sediment from foredunes Soil/sediment from rear of the dunes Water Pool water (Dune slacks) Total deposition BIOTA Organism Group Species (common) Species (latin) Amphibian Common Toad Bufo bufo Common frog Rana temporaria Great Crested Newt Triturus cristatus Natterjack Toad Bufo calamita Palmate Newt Triturus helveticus Bird Mallard Anas platyrhynchos Teal Anas crecca Invertebrate Caterpillar Mammal Mouse Apodemus sylvaticus Vole Microtus agrestis Reptile Common Lizard Lacerta vivipara Adder Vipera berus Slow worm Anguis fragilis Vegetation Heather Calluna vulgaris Lichen Marram grass Ammophila arenaria Moss Red Fescue Festuca rubra Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 7 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Comparing the models • Measured activity concentrations in media and biota for a range of radionuclides including Sr-90, Cs-137 and Am-241 • Opportunity to compare models on the basis of – ‘Model – Measured’ comparison for activity concentrations in a range of biota – ‘Model – Model’ comparison for dose rate predictions • Aim to use the three models that are readily available to third parties as a minimum – ERICA – R&D 128 – RESRAD-BIOTA Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 8 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Comparing the models • Measured activity concentrations in media and biota for a range of radionuclides including Sr-90, Cs-137 and Am-241 • Opportunity to compare models on the basis of – ‘Model – Measured’ comparison for activity concentrations in a range of biota – ‘Model – Model’ comparison for dose rate predictions • Aim to use the three models that are readily available to third parties as a minimum – ERICA – R&D 128 – RESRAD-BIOTA Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 9 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) R&D 128 (SP1a) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 10 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) R&D 128 assessment • The model needs to be parameterised to enable predictions to be made for specific organisms • R&D 128 is an Excel-based spreadsheet tool so there are no wizards to help you do this • Effectively need to create a new organism by modifying values in the spreadsheets Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 11 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) R&D 128 assessment • Three important decisions – Geometry • 17 geometries for terrestrial organisms. Which do I choose? Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 12 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Geometry • Geometries set up for particular reference organisms but…. – geometry is just a shape used to define the DPUC value • To identify geometry to use for a new organism need to know the dimensions of the organism (x, y, z) • Can often get average or maximum length from ecological references but rarely, if ever, get all 3 dimensions • Calculate from images has become a fairly common solution • How do you decide which of the 17 geometries (and hence DPUC values) to select? • Comparing organism you wish to create with default reference organism geometries on the basis of ‘surface area:volume ratio’ is the best approach Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 13 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Geometry Technetium vs. area/volume Tritium vs. area/volume 1.E-04 1.E-07 1.0996 y = 7E-13x R2 = 0.9838 1.E-08 y = 1E-09x 1.103 R2 = 0.9953 1.E-05 Bat DPUC DPUC Bat Bird Newt 1.E-09 1.E-07 1.E-10 1.E-11 1.E+01 1.E-06 BirdNewt 1.E+02 1.E+03 area/volume (m-1) 1.E-08 1.E+01 1.E+04 Argon vs. area/volum e 1.E+02 1.E+03 area/volume (m-1) 1.E+04 Caesium vs. area/volume 1.E-03 Newt Bat Bird Bat 0.0736 Newt y = 0.0002x Bird 2 R = 0.981 Ar: y = 5E-4x^0.0783 r2 = 0.99 DPUC DPUC (Gy h-1/Bq kg-1) 1.E-02 1.E-03 1.E-04 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 area/volume (m-1) 1.E+04 Krypton vs. area/volum e -1 ) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated 1.E-02Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 14 1.E-04 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 area/volume (m-1) 1.E+04 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Geometry • SP1a ranks default organisms on the basis of ‘surface area:volume ratio’ so can select the reference organism geometry to use for your new organism • Problem – SP1a does not tell user how to calculate ‘surface area:volume ratio’ for an ellipsoid based on x,y,z • Solution – Google it! • BUT – An example of where guidance information could be improved Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 15 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) R&D 128 assessment • Three important decisions – Geometry • 17 geometries for terrestrial organisms . Which do I choose? – Concentration factors • Appropriate concentration factors to use for the species under assessment • Where possible, used defaults for the organism type e.g. for Mallard used bird • Where not possible, followed SP1a guidance and used CFs for similar organism e.g. for Great Crested Newt used reptile – Occupancy factors – In soil? – On soil? – In air? • Information from R&D 128 defaults, ecological references and knowledge of species Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 16 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Parameters for R&D 128 model run Organism Marram grass (Ammophila arenaria) Heather (Calluna vulgaris) Red Fescue (Festuca rubra) Lichen (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Moss (Non-specific) Caterpillar (Non-specific) Common Toad (Bufo bufo) Natterjack Toad (Bufo calamita) Common frog (Rana temporaria) Great Crested Newt (Triturus cristatus) Palmate Newt (Triturus helveticus) Slow worm (Anguis fragilis) Common Lizard (Lacerta vivipara) Adder (Vipera berus) Teal (Anas crecca) Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) Mouse (Apodemus sylvaticus) Vole (Microtus agrestis) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Occupancy (fraction of time) At soil In soil surface In air 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 0 0 1 0.25 0.75 0 0.6 0.4 0 0.25 0.75 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.75 0.25 0 0 0.25 0.25 0 0.3 0.25 0.5 0.5 0 0.2 0.8 0 17 Reference organism geometry selected Herb Shrub Herb Lichen Herb Lichen Caterpillar Reptile Reptile Reptile Bird egg Bird egg Reptile Bird egg Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Concentration ratios based on which R&D128 default organism? Herb Shrub Herb Lichen Herb Lichen Caterpillar Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Bird Bird Rodent Rodent PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Parameters for R&D 128 model run Organism Marram grass (Ammophila arenaria) Heather (Calluna vulgaris) Red Fescue (Festuca rubra) Lichen (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Moss (Non-specific) Caterpillar (Non-specific) Common Toad (Bufo bufo) Natterjack Toad (Bufo calamita) Common frog (Rana temporaria) Great Crested Newt (Triturus cristatus) Palmate Newt (Triturus helveticus) Slow worm (Anguis fragilis) Common Lizard (Lacerta vivipara) Adder (Vipera berus) Teal (Anas crecca) Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) Mouse (Apodemus sylvaticus) Vole (Microtus agrestis) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Occupancy (fraction of time) At soil In soil surface In air 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 0 0 1 0.25 0.75 0 0.6 0.4 0 0.25 0.75 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.75 0.25 0 0 0.25 0.25 0 0.3 0.25 0.5 0.5 0 0.2 0.8 0 18 Reference organism geometry selected Herb Shrub Herb Lichen Herb Lichen Caterpillar Reptile Reptile Reptile Bird egg Bird egg Reptile Bird egg Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Concentration ratios based on which R&D128 default organism? Herb Shrub Herb Lichen Herb Lichen Caterpillar Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Reptile Bird Bird Rodent Rodent PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) R&D 128 assessment • Tool is a spreadsheet system with worksheets that cannot be modified • For each run of the tool, can only use one set of CFs and OFs for a particular geometry • All new organisms based on reptile or bird egg geometry • Need to re-run tool a number of times – Time consuming – Lots of copying and pasting involved Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 19 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) ERICA • Tool help file & D-ERICA • Again need to parameterise but facilitated by ‘Add organism’ wizard • Define geometry in tool based on x,y,z • Enter mass • Assign occupancy factors • Define concentration ratios – used default values – NOTE: Drigg data used in derivation of CRs in latest version of tool so changed back to preDrigg CRs (avoid selfvalidation) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 20 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Parameters for ERICA model run Organism Marram grass (Ammophila arenaria) Heather (Calluna vulgaris) Red Fescue (Festuca rubra) Lichen (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Moss (Non-specific) Caterpillar (Non-specific) Common Toad (Bufo bufo) Natterjack Toad (Bufo calamita) Common frog (Rana temporaria) Great Crested Newt (Triturus cristatus) Palmate Newt (Triturus helveticus) Slow worm (Anguis fragilis) Common Lizard (Lacerta vivipara) Adder (Vipera berus) Teal (Anas crecca) Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) Mouse (Apodemus sylvaticus) Vole (Microtus agrestis) Occupancy (fraction of time) At soil In soil surface In air 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.25 0.75 0 0.6 0.4 0 0.25 0.75 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.75 0.25 0 0 0.25 0.25 0 0.3 0.25 0.5 0.5 0 0.2 0.8 0 Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Dimension (m) A 0.05a b 0.05a 0.0401c 0.05a 0.0401c 0.02d 0.0799e 0.06 0.0799e 0.16 0.09 0.4 0.14 0.65 0.3f 0.3f 0.081 0.09 21 B 0.01a b 0.01a 0.00229c 0.01a 0.00229c 0.0075d 0.03e 0.03 0.03e 0.015 0.012 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.1f 0.1f 0.03 0.035 C 0.01a b 0.01a 0.00229c 0.01a 0.00229c 0.0075d 0.025e 0.04 0.025e 0.013 0.0135 0.015 0.02 0.02 0.0802f 0.0802f 0.03 0.035 Mass (kg) 0.00262a b 0.00262a 0.00011c 0.00262a 0.00011c 0.000589d 0.0314e 0.02 0.0314e 0.0085 0.004238 0.034 0.01 0.0725 1.26f 1.26f 0.02 0.03 Concentration ratios based on which ERICA default organism? Grasses & herbs Shrub Grasses & herbs Lichen & bryophyte Grasses & herbs Lichen & bryophyte Gastropod Amphibian Amphibian Amphibian Amphibian Amphibian Reptile Reptile Reptile Bird Bird Mammal (rat) Mammal (rat) PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Parameters for ERICA model run Organism Marram grass (Ammophila arenaria) Heather (Calluna vulgaris) Red Fescue (Festuca rubra) Lichen (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Moss (Non-specific) Caterpillar (Non-specific) Common Toad (Bufo bufo) Natterjack Toad (Bufo calamita) Common frog (Rana temporaria) Great Crested Newt (Triturus cristatus) Palmate Newt (Triturus helveticus) Slow worm (Anguis fragilis) Common Lizard (Lacerta vivipara) Adder (Vipera berus) Teal (Anas crecca) Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) Mouse (Apodemus sylvaticus) Vole (Microtus agrestis) Occupancy (fraction of time) At soil In soil surface In air 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.25 0.75 0 0.6 0.4 0 0.25 0.75 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.4 0.6 0 0.75 0.25 0 0 0.25 0.25 0 0.3 0.25 0.5 0.5 0 0.2 0.8 0 Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Dimension (m) A 0.05a b 0.05a 0.0401c 0.05a 0.0401c 0.02d 0.0799e 0.06 0.0799e 0.16 0.09 0.4 0.14 0.65 0.3f 0.3f 0.081 0.09 22 B 0.01a b 0.01a 0.00229c 0.01a 0.00229c 0.0075d 0.03e 0.03 0.03e 0.015 0.012 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.1f 0.1f 0.03 0.035 C 0.01a b 0.01a 0.00229c 0.01a 0.00229c 0.0075d 0.025e 0.04 0.025e 0.013 0.0135 0.015 0.02 0.02 0.0802f 0.0802f 0.03 0.035 Mass (kg) 0.00262a b 0.00262a 0.00011c 0.00262a 0.00011c 0.000589d 0.0314e 0.02 0.0314e 0.0085 0.004238 0.034 0.01 0.0725 1.26f 1.26f 0.02 0.03 Concentration ratios based on which ERICA default organism? Grasses & herbs Shrub Grasses & herbs Lichen & bryophyte Grasses & herbs Lichen & bryophyte Gastropod Amphibian Amphibian Amphibian Amphibian Amphibian Reptile Reptile Reptile Bird Bird Mammal (rat) Mammal (rat) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Organism 23 Microtus agrestis Apodemus sylvaticus Anas platyrhynchos Anas crecca Vipera berus Lacerta vivipara Anguis fragilis Triturus helveticus Triturus cristatus Rana temporaria Bufo calamita Bufo bufo Caterpillar (Nonspecific) Moss (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Lichen (Nonspecific) Festuca rubra Calluna vulgaris Ammophila arenaria Activity concentration (Bq/kg FW) PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Sr-90 activity concentrations Activity concentrations in biota 1000 100 10 Measured ERICA R&D 128 1 0.1 0.01 Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Organism 24 Microtus agrestis Apodemus sylvaticus Anas platyrhynchos Anas crecca Vipera berus Lacerta vivipara Anguis fragilis Triturus helveticus Triturus cristatus Rana temporaria Bufo calamita Bufo bufo Caterpillar (Nonspecific) Moss (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Lichen (Nonspecific) Festuca rubra Calluna vulgaris Ammophila arenaria Activity concentration (Bq/kg FW) PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Cs-137 Activity concentration Activity concentrations in biota 10000 1000 100 10 Measured ERICA R&D 128 1 0.1 0.01 Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Organism 25 Microtus agrestis Apodemus sylvaticus Anas platyrhynchos Anas crecca Vipera berus Lacerta vivipara Anguis fragilis Triturus helveticus Triturus cristatus Rana temporaria Bufo calamita Bufo bufo Caterpillar (Nonspecific) Moss (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Lichen (Nonspecific) Festuca rubra Calluna vulgaris Ammophila arenaria Activity concentration (Bq/kg FW) PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Am-241 activity concentrations Activity concentrations in biota 100 10 1 Measured ERICA R&D 128 0.1 0.01 0.001 Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Organism 26 Microtus agrestis Apodemus sylvaticus Anas platyrhynchos Anas crecca Vipera berus Lacerta vivipara Anguis fragilis Triturus helveticus Triturus cristatus Rana temporaria Bufo calamita Bufo bufo Caterpillar (Nonspecific) Moss (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Lichen (Nonspecific) Festuca rubra Calluna vulgaris Ammophila arenaria Dose rate (uGy/h) PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Cs-137 Total unweighted dose rate Predicted unweighted total dose rate 1.00E+00 1.00E-01 ERICA R&D 128 1.00E-02 Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Organism 27 Microtus agrestis Apodemus sylvaticus Anas platyrhynchos Anas crecca Vipera berus Lacerta vivipara Anguis fragilis Triturus helveticus Triturus cristatus Rana temporaria Bufo calamita Bufo bufo Caterpillar (Nonspecific) Moss (Non-specific) Mixed herbage (Non-specific) Lichen (Nonspecific) Festuca rubra Calluna vulgaris Ammophila arenaria Dose rate (uGy/h) PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Am-241 Total unweighted dose rate Predicted unweighted total dose rate 1.00E+00 1.00E-01 1.00E-02 ERICA R&D 128 1.00E-03 1.00E-04 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Perch Lake, Canada • • • • • EMRAS BWG scenario Canadian shield lake Received inputs of Sr-90, Co-60, Cs-137 and H-3 (amongst others) AECL have activity concentration data for a range of biota in the lake UoL and NRPA ran RESRAD-BIOTA as ‘informed users’ (experienced with other tools but not RESRAD-BIOTA) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 28 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Valuable exercise • Applied by people involved with development of other tools but no previous experience of RESRAD-BIOTA • For model intercomparisons – important distinction between applications by developers and applications by ‘informed users’ • EMRAS has compared the ‘mathematics’ and started comparing applications (mainly by developers). There is a need to direct effort towards applications by users – Tool developers may access ‘inaccessible’ parts of tool – Tests tool user friendliness and accompanying documents – Realistic application – Begin to quantify a different aspect of tool uncertainty (the user) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 29 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Approach • RESRAD-BIOTA 1.22 beta version • Scenario required calculation of • Whole-body activity concentrations for key receptor species (Bq/kg FW) • Internal unweighted dose rates (µGy/h) • External dose rates (µGy/h) – NOTE: RESRAD-BIOTA only gives total dose • Application guided by – Tool + help – User guide (US DOE, 2004) – Some reference to technical reports (US DOE, 2002) – Web-based database (bioaccumulation factors and distribution coefficients) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 30 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) The RESRAD-BIOTA Tool • The tool can be used for either terrestrial or aquatic (freshwater) assessments • Four generic organisms that have been parameterised: – Aquatic animal – Riparian animal – Terrestrial animal – Terrestrial plant • Assessments can be run to predict doses to these organisms • Level 3 includes ‘New organism’ wizard – possibility to create additional organisms based on one of the four generic organisms – allows calculations to be performed for specific species Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 31 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Organism Group Aquatic Primary Producers Free-floating (unrooted) submergents Rooted, submergent macrophytes Rooted, floating-leafed macrophytes Emergent macrophytes Aquatic Invertebrates Zooplankton Macroinvertebrates Snails Freshwater mussels Fish Forage Fish Benthivorous Fish Piscivorous fish Amphibians Reptiles Aquatic Mammals Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) Species Cyprinid spp Pumpkinseeds Brown Bullhead Yellow Perch Northern Pike Green frogs Bullfrogs Painted Turtle Common Snapping Turtle Star Nose Mole American Water Shrew 32 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Level 3 Assessment • Sediment data entry – dry weight or fresh weight – Not clear from tool, help or user guide – UoL assumed dry weight, NRPA assume fresh weight – First major decision and already the ‘informed users’ are taking different approaches! – Another example of where assessor needs clearer guidance • • Predictions for specific biota so ‘New organism’ wizard used When setting up new organisms need to parameterise – UoL decided to run allometrically for all organisms that were identified as particular species in the scenario and use BiVs for the rest – NRPA used BiVs only – UoL decision to run allometrically for everything (including a snail!) was probably not the best! However, no clear guidance as to extent of allometric functionality when using the tool – NRPA decision to run all with default BiVs may result in overly conservative predictions Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 33 Freshwater Invertebrates Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 103 10 Snails Zooplankton Macroinvertebrates 2 101 100 60 Modeled-to-Measured Co-60 Modelled-tomeasured ratio Co Concentration PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 H) E C ) 8 UR 12 PA A D R ( E N R& AST A( CA I A C I E R C E ER 34 ) ) ax OD keCo (UK PA m M R D A O (N La A OT EC I T B O DBI A D SR RA S RE RE Model Freshwater Fishes Co-60 Modelled-tomeasured ratio Modeled-to-Measured 60Co Concentration PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) 1000 100 10 1 0.1 0.01 CL ICA AE ER EA N IRS ) ) ax OD keCo (UK RPA M Dm a O L T A A (N EC BIO IOT -B AD SR RAD Model E S R RE PA NR Brown Bullhead Cyprinids Pumpkinseeds Yellow Perch Minimum Measured (bullhead) Maximum Measured (bullhead) Minimum Measured (cyprinids) Maximum Measured (cyprinids) Minimum Measured (pumpkinseed) Maximum Measured (pumpkinseed) Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 35 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Summary: What works? • All three tools do what they are designed to do • Predictions of measured data ‘aren’t bad’ • R&D 128 is generally conservative Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 36 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Summary: What doesn’t work? • Guidance (in tools and supporting documentation) – R&D 128 • How do you calculate the ‘surface area:volume ratio’? – RESRAD-BIOTA • Do you enter sediment as fresh weight or dry weight? • When is it appropriate to run allometrically? Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 37 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Summary: What extra may be required? • To facilitate the creation of new organisms, it would help if the R&D 128 spreadsheets could be set up to allow the same geometry to be run for a number of CF and OF combinations at the same time • To improve decision making it would be helpful to have the dose rate report from RESRAD-BIOTA showing internal and external dose rates as well as total dose rates Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 38 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Summary: etc……! • There are differences in predictions due to ‘mathematics’ and assumptions behind tools • EMRAS BWG work helping to quantify and explain this – Effectively get handle on tool ‘error’ when compared to ‘real’ values • BUT…..of potentially greater significance in terms of error is that associated with the user • EMRAS BWG has focussed on intercomparison of tools by the tool developers • The one scenario where two tool developers attempted to run another organisation’s model revealed major differences in the approach and results obtained Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 39 PROTECT Work Package 2 Meeting (June 2007) Summary: etc……! • Valuable to investigate this aspect further – Take each tool in turn and have the developer and a number of ‘informed users’ run the tool for a particular scenario – Start to quantify the ‘error’ associated with the user – Help tool developers to identify areas of their tool and associated documentation that could be revised to provide clearer instruction to the assessor – Especially important for freely available tools that can be used by third parties – Hopefully this afternoon may start this process!! Institute for Sustainable Water Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research (SWIMMER) 40
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