Review of the Last Lecture • began our discussion of health insurance and its impact on the healthcare market • Defined proportional insurance, indemnity insurance, insurance rate, co-insurance rate, annual deductible, per loss deductible • purpose of deductibles: reduce administrative costs, control moral hazard • then began our discussion of proportional insurance => rotates the demand curve clockwise => equilibrium P and Q rise 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 1 Effect of Insurance on P and Q, and Welfare Loss • Insurance coverage drives up P and Q and total expenditure on HC (see diagram) • Creates a welfare loss: the cost of the additional HC consumed as a result of insurance exceeds the value placed on the additional benefits (see diagram) • Also creates additional producer surplus: a payment to factors of production in excess of what is needed to have them produce HC (see diagram) in this case. • The producer surplus is a transfer from the insured to the providers. • have ignored the wealth effect of buying insurance, premium reduces income => demand curves for all goods shift left./// 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, 2 J. Schaafsma The Slope of the Demand and Supply Curves and the Effect of Proportional Insurance on P & Q • the size of the welfare loss depends on the slopes of the demand and supply curves • the steeper the demand curve the less the increase in P & Q from proportional insurance • if the supply curve is vertical insurance only increases P • if the supply curve is horizontal insurance only increases Q 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 3 A User Fee and the Welfare Loss • suppose there is 100% insurance coverage ~> P to the consumer = 0 • get the maximum welfare loss (see diagram) • user fee ~> an amount paid by the patient per unit of HC consumed • even a modest user fee can reduce the welfare loss substantially (see diagram) Reason ~> user fee reduces consumption of HC units with the largest per unit welfare loss, i.e. it eliminates the most wasteful spending./// 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 4 Proportional Insurance and Shifts in Supply •As noted earlier: proportional insurance rotates the demand curve clockwise and increases its slope • shifts in supply thus have larger P effects and smaller Q effects (explain the economics with a diagram) the steeper the demand curve • Implication: with proportional insurance rising costs on the supply side are easier to pass forward through a higher market P (show). /// 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 5 Indemnity Insurance and Demand • Indemnity insurance reimburses for a loss at a pre-specified unit rate, e.g., $50 for a GP visit, $20 for a flu shot • if the actual unit price is greater, the consumer pays the difference • if the actual unit price is less, the consumer keeps the difference • assume DC without the indemnity is Q = a - bPe Pe= effective price • with indemnity Pe = P-I ~> DC is Q = (a+bI) - bP P = product price •indemnity insurance shifts the DC by the amount of the indemnity, or to the right by bI (see diagram) • equilibrium P & Q , extent depends on slopes of the S & D curves (show) • Indemnity insurance also creates a welfare loss and additional producer surplus (show)./// 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, 6 J. Schaafsma • The Economic Effect of an Annual Deductible three cases: 1. Annual deductible large relative to expected expenditure, believe deductible will never be exceeded ~> consumption decision based on the full price 2. Annual deductible small relative to expected expenditure, believe deductible will be exceeded ~> already from Jan 1 consumption decision based on P(1-ir). 3. Problem area ~> initially believe deductible won’t be exceeded ~> consumption based on the full price. However, as deductible used up ~> may come to believe it will be exceeded after all ~> switch to consumption based on P(1-ir). • Why a problem? ~> don’t know if (when), this switch will be made. 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 7 Maximum Payment Limits • some insurance policies have insurance limits ~> maximum payout • maximum payout could be per person by type of treatment e.g. orthodontic work • could be a maximum lifetime payout, e.g. extended health benefits covered to a maximum of $1,000,000 over the insured’s lifetime. • Problem: lose catastrophic coverage, i.e., very large losses may not be covered, however, these are the very losses you want to insure for. • max payment limits ~> place an upper limit on the insurance company’s losses./// 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 8 Stop Loss • a stop loss is the opposite of a maximum insurance limit => a stop loss places an upper limit on the loss a consumer can incur • e.g., B.C. Pharmacare limits total personal liability for approved prescription drug costs •For example, suppose a family’s income tested deductibles are as follows: if expenditures on pharmaceutical drugs are: $0 – 1000 the family pays 100% pharmacare pays 0% $1001 – 2000 the family pays 30% pharmacare pays 70% $2001+ pharmacare pays 100% the family pays 0% Stop loss here is $1300 per annum (max amount paid by family)./// 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 9 Price Elasticity of Demand for HC • Key issue: how responsive is Qd to P? ~> P elasticity of demand? % change in Qd in response to a % change in P (show on diagram) • Expect: demand is P inelastic since HC is a necessity • P elasticity of demand for HC has been extensively analyzed for: aggregate HC expenditures, and by component (see table 8.2, Text, p. 177) • General agreement: P matters to the consumer • Also, elasticity estimates are generally less than 1 (demand is price inelastic) but vary substantially across studies, and some estimates show elastic demand. Not clear why./// 317_L11, Jan 30 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 10
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