Vol. 36, No. 34 MONDAY, APRIL 17, 2017 Shale-Related Projects Set Record Investment Level in Southwest Pennsylvania Last Year The Pittsburgh Regional Alliance (PRA) said this month that it tracked the largest-ever amount of capital investment in the 10-county region surrounding the city in southwestern Pennsylvania last year, attributing most of the $10.2 billion recorded to shale gas-related growth. PRA, the economic development marketing affiliate of the Allegheny Conference on Community Development, tracks capital investment and economic development deals across the region in an annual scorecard that serves as an economic indicator and helps guide its own strategies. Projects announced by Royal Dutch Shell plc, Tenaska and Energy Transfer Partners LP (ETP) in 2016 helped the region to a “banner year” in which the investments recorded by PRA since 2007 hit their highest levels. Shell’s decision in June to move forward with a $6 billion investment to build a world-scale ethane cracker in Beaver County easily topped the list. ETP’s announcement that it would spend $1.5 billion on a 110-mile natural gas gathering system that would originate in Butler County and a cryogenic processing facility in Washington County also pushed up economic commitments in the area. Tenaska also broke ground last year on a $785 million gas-fired power plant in Westmoreland County that will generate 925 MW of electricity when it enters service late next year. “The table is set for the region’s future by leveraging the combined impact of manufacturing and energy,” said PRA President David Ruppersberger. (continued on page 22) NatGas Price Index Reporting Sees Uptick The number and volume of natural gas transactions — according to FERC Form 552 submissions from up to 680 respondents — were in decline during 2008 to 2014 and flattened in 2015. However, that trend has improved somewhat in 2016, executives with two price reporting agencies (PRA) said in Houston on Tuesday. Last year was “pretty good” for price index reporting, NGI Executive Publisher Dexter Steis said during a forum at the New Risk in Energy conference. On a deals basis, reporting to NGI in the day-ahead market is up by about 3.3%, and the bidweek market is up by almost 1%. Volume was still a little bit flat, he said citing NGI internal data for 2016 because the Commission has yet to release its form 552 report for calendar year 2016. More overall transacted volumes and a greater number of transactions have been part of a tide that has lifted all boats, Steis said. “So we’ve seen more reportable transactions and then more reported transactions © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | in the PRAs.” Since 2008, NGI’s price indexes have been made more robust by the inclusion of transaction data from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) through a protocol that maximizes the amount of relevant data available for use in the NGI indexes while matching and removing those deal reports from ICE that are duplicative to what NGI receives from the companies who report to NGI directly. Last November, Platts struck an agreement with ICE and expects to be including ICE data in its indexes in the coming months. Platts’ Mark Callahan, editorial director for power and generating fuels pricing, said that while 2012-2014 was “not a great time” for PRAs, 2015 saw some stabilization. Last year was a good year with volumes up 5%. So far this year, Callahan said volumes reported have been fairly flat compared with 2016. This has been true of the daily indexes. For the (continued on page 22) NATGASINTEL.COM | News This Week Exco to Sell South Texas Properties to KKR Affiliate for $300 Million........................................... 3 U.S. Onshore Permitting Still Strong for ‘Usual Suspects,’ with California, Colorado Coming On.... 4 Former CFTC Head Says Regulatory Streamlining Ahead: ‘Too Many Regulators’........... 5 NuStar Entering Permian Basin in Nearly $ 1.5B Deal................................................................ 6 DCP Joins Kinder in Permian-Focused Gulf Coast Express Project............................................ 7 FERC Has Environmental Questions on Atlantic Coast Pipeline......................................................... 7 New York State Deals Another Setback to NatGas Infrastructure; Denies Northern Access Permits..... 8 PennEast Receives FEIS, Expects Certificate Order This Summer................................................ 9 Hundreds Comment on Atlantic Coast Pipeline EIS; Forest Service OKs Appalachian Trail Crossing................................................................ 10 Enterprise Products Putting 571-Mile NGL Straw in Permian Basin......................................... 11 Louisiana Lands Another Billion-Dollar Chinese Petrochemical Facility........................................... 11 EIA Sees Henry Hub Averaging $3.10 This Year, $3.45 in 2018........................................................ 12 Ultra Raises Nearly $3B in Financing, Emerges From Chapter 11................................................... 12 Goodrich, Linn Get New Stock Listings; Bonanza Creek to Exit Chapter 11 Soon.............. 13 Stakeholder Midstream Buys Permian Gas Gathering System................................................. 14 Raymond James Turns Bearish on U.S. NatGas for 2018 and Beyond Analysts with Raymond James & Associates Inc. have turned negative on U.S. natural gas prices beyond 2017, as faster-than-anticipated growth in supply, along with surprising gains in renewable power generation capacity, are expected to displace more demand than forecast only four months ago. In early January analysts had said U.S. gas prices were poised for the best prices in 2017 since 2014. While they are maintaining a 2017 forecast of $3.25/Bcf, the 2018 estimate has been slashed to $2.75 from $3.50 and the long-term forecast reduced to $2.75 from $3.00. (continued on page 2) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 Raymond James Turns Bearish (continued from page 1) “All told, we now expect the 2018 U.S. gas market to be 1.1 Bcf/d looser (more bearish) than our previous outlook,” said analysts led by J. Marshall Adkins, John Freeman and Pavel Molchanov. Wells Fargo Securities LLC last month raised its 2017 price outlook to $3.38/ MMBtu but reduced its outlook for 2018 and beyond to $3.25. BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research last month kept unchanged its 2017 average from April through December at $3.50/MMBtu, while Barclays reduced its 2017 forecast to $3.02 from $3.38. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) in March reduced the 2017 spot price to $3.03/MMBtu, 12% lower than its February outlook. The Raymond James team in a note Monday explained how burgeoning domestic gas supply growth beginning in the back half of 2017 and into 2018, coupled with the outlook for demand drivers and the rise of renewables, will impact Henry Hub price forecasts — and not in a good way. “We anticipate that respectable demand growth will simply be overwhelmed by a massive U.S. natural gas supply surge of 5 Bcf/d-plus” on increased pipeline takeaway from the Marcellus/Utica, growth in oildriven associated gas supply mostly from the Permian and a modest recovery from the resurgent Haynesville Shale, analysts said. Associated gas from onshore oil wells also is set to accelerate and pressure gas pricing. In addition, renewables increasingly are cost competitive with gas. Mexican exports are lower and Canadian imports are higher this year, but the surge in renewable power “is likely to crush gas demand growth,” Adkins said. The three variables make the 2018 gas model almost 2 Bcf/d more bearish than originally forecast. By the second half of 2017, U.S. gas supply should begin to accelerate. Compared with the Raymond James forecast early this year, U.S. dry gas production growth now is expected to be about 900 MMcf/d higher in 2017 year/year (y/y), based on revisions by the EIA. U.S. onshore gas production, which had been on a downward trend for more than a year, returned to the upside in January and was set to continuing moving higher into April, according to EIA. © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 2 Output from Raymond James’ modeled dry gas plays, the Marcellus, Haynesville, Fayetteville and Barnett shales, along with the wet gas Utica and Midcontinent, should remain muted for the first half of the year, with slight y/y declines from associated gas in the Eagle Ford and Bakken shales, Niobrara formation and Permian Basin — until the second half of this year. Beyond June, look for gas growth to pick up the pace, first in dry gas, followed by associated gas from oil wells. The mighty Marcellus will carry the day in growth, up overall y/y at 1 Bcf/d “in anticipation of a plethora of midstream capacity planned for 2018,” followed by the Haynesville Shale rising by 0.2 Bcf/d. “Taken together, dry gas production should be up 2 Bcf/d y/y by the end of 2017,” Raymond James analysts said. Associated gas growth should be roughly flat y/y because of minor declines in 1Q2017, but expect growth on that end into the second half of this year too, rising 1 Bcf/d y/y. Raymond James anticipates declines in other gas plays mostly to subside by year’s end, with growth relatively flat entering 2018. Next year expect to see a massive 5 Bcf/d-plus in growth, led by the Marcellus, Utica, Haynesville and associated gas. “Looking to 2018, we anticipate a pronounced recovery (continued on page 3) NATURAL GAS NATGASINTEL.COM | NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 in dry gas production, particularly as a result of increased volumes from the Marcellus/Utica, a continued resurgence in the Haynesville, and growing associated gas production from increased activity in major oil plays (e.g., Permian, Eagle Ford, Niobrara),” Adkins said. Planned pipeline capacity expansions underway should lead to meaningful growth from the Marcellus and Utica in NATURAL GAS NGI INTELLIGENCE 2018. In addition, threshold breakevens in the Marcellus and some areas of the Utica have fallen below $2.00/MMBtu, which has incentivized increased drilling and completion activity, as takeaway is accessible. In the Marcellus alone, Raymond James model indicates 2.2 Bcf/d of y/y (November-November) growth in 2018, contributing 42% of overall dry gas growth for the year. About 6.5 Bcf/d of planned Page 3 unrisked 2018 gas pipeline takeaway capacity also is expected to come online in Appalachia, further accelerating growth. In addition, analysts advised to not underestimate the Haynesville’s gas supply contribution. A resurgence in the North Louisiana/East Texas play should drive “respectable” y/y dry gas volumes in 2018. “The rig count bottomed at 12 rigs in April 2016, but in 2018, we anticipate the rig count to average 42 rigs, up 3.5x times from the trough,” Adkins said. Enhanced completions, mostly because of increased proppant loads, have led to a revival in single well economics. “In 2018, we anticipate dry gas volumes in the Haynesville to increase 0.5 Bcf/d y/y to 6.3 Bcf/d,” analysts said. Meanwhile, associated gas growth from oily basins should be the final straw, with more than 1.5 Bcf/d of growth in 2018 y/y, with nearly all of it (1 Bcf/d) from the Permian. As the Eagle Ford also begins to awaken, dry gas output should be up 0.5 Bcf/d y/y in 2018, making up a “sizable” share of associated growth. Exco to Sell South Texas Properties to KKR Affiliate for $300 Million Exco Resources Inc. announced Monday that it plans to sell its oil and natural gas properties in three counties in South Texas to an affiliate of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. LP (KKR) for $300 million. In a statement Monday, the Dallasbased exploration and production (E&P) company said it had executed a definitive agreement with a subsidiary of Venado © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | Oil and Gas LLC for Exco’s interest in oil and gas properties and surface acreage in Dimmit, Frio and Zavala counties. The properties produced approximately 4,100 boe/d in December 2016, with more than 90% oil. Exco said it expects the transaction, which is subject to customary closing conditions and adjustments, to close in June. “Exco’s planned divestiture of the NATGASINTEL.COM | South Texas oil and natural gas properties represents an important step in its portfolio optimization initiative and will improve its financial flexibility,” the E&P said, adding that it “intends to use the proceeds [from the sale] to fund drilling and development of its core Haynesville and Bossier shale assets in North Louisiana and East Texas, and for other general corporate purposes.” According to Exco, the borrowing base under its revolving credit facility will be $100 million after the transaction closes. The company’s next borrowing base redetermination is scheduled for November. Last May, Exco sold some of its noncore undeveloped acreage, as well as interests in four producing wells, for $12 million. Two months earlier, the E&P slashed its capital expenditures budget for 2016 by more than two-thirds, while also announcing plans to spud and complete a handful of wells in the Haynesville and Bossier shale. Exco shut down its drilling program in the Eagle (continued on page 4) Ford Shale and the NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 Appalachian Basin in November 2015. According to Exco’s 10-K filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on March 16, the company said it holds 82,100 net acres in East Texas and North Louisiana prospective to the Haynesville and Bossier shales. It also told the SEC that it has 49,300 net acres in South Texas prospective to the Eagle Ford. In the Appalachian Basin, Exco reported that it holds 127,000 net acres prospective for the Marcellus Shale and 40,000 net acres in the Utica Shale, predominantly in the play’s dry gas window. KKR and Austin-based Venado formed a partnership, funded by a growth fund from the former, to consolidate proven assets in the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas last September. NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 4 The New York-based equity firm has a long history of energy investments dating back to 2009, when it invested $350 million in privately-held East Resources Inc. (ERI). The next year, a unit of Royal Dutch Shell plc purchased nearly all of ERI’s assets, including KKR’s interest, for $4.7 billion. KKR formed separate joint ventures (JV) with RPM Energy LLC, Hilcorp Energy Co. and El Paso Midstream Group Inc. in 2010. The firm acquired assets from ConocoPhillips, Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc. and Samson Investment Co. and formed a midstream services agreement with Quicksilver Resources Inc. in separate deals in 2011. KKR also acquired assets from Chesapeake Energy Corp. and WPX Energy, and forged a JV with Comstock Resources Inc., in 2012. In 2014, KKR partnered with Riverstone Holdings, another equity giant, to form Trinity River Energy LLC, with E&P focused on the Barnett Shale. The next year, it partnered with Fleur de Lis Energy LLC to purchase assets from Anadarko Petroleum Corp., and formed a JV in Mexico with Monterra Energy. Veresen Midstream, a 50/50 partnership of Calgary-based Veresen Inc. and KKR, said it would fund 55-60% of the construction costs of the proposed $715 million Tower rich natural gas processing plant in the Montney Shale in December 2015. Last March, SM Energy Co. closed on an $800 million gross sale of its non-operated assets in the Eagle Ford, including an ownership interest in associated midstream infrastructure, to Venado EF LP, a unit of Venado. NATURAL GAS U.S. Onshore Permitting Still Strong for ‘Usual Suspects,’ with California, Colorado Coming On U.S. land oil and natural gas permitting the first week of April once again got off to a hot start in Texas, Oklahoma, Wyoming and Louisiana, and while it’s been a bit sluggish elsewhere, commodity price stability should result in robust drilling activity as the year proceeds, Evercore ISI said Tuesday. Through April 7, U.S. land permitting stood at 672, and the four-week rolling average of 725 is “within striking distance” of the last 12 months’ high of 849 from mid-March, said Evercore’s James C. West, senior managing director. “The usual suspects (Texas, Oklahoma, Wyoming, and Louisiana) again were off to © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | extremely hot starts, with Texas poised to break the 1,000 permit for the third month in a row,” he said. West and his team’s April report is a compilation of monthly permitting numbers for the United States, onshore and offshore. All major states and the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management require permits to be filed and approved before an exploration and production (E&P) company may begin drilling a new well or bypass/sidetrack an existing well. Most onshore permits are issued several months before drilling begins, while offshore permits often are secured much further in advance. U.S. land permits outstanding totaled NATGASINTEL.COM | 3,945 in March, 23% higher month/month (m/m) than in February and 116% higher year/year (y/y), and last month saw the highest permit total since October 2015. It was the first March-to-March increase since 2013, West said. Relatively strong permit numbers m/m also were up in California by 41%, in North Dakota at 110%, and Oklahoma, which saw a 37% increase. Declines from February to March were in Ohio, down 17%, and Utah, minus 67%). Texas is Trend-Setter Fueled by a two-times increase m/m in the Permian Basin, Texas permitting jumped 8% in March and rose a whopping 116% y/y. The continuing Texas surge “served as a strong tailwind for improvement elsewhere,” West said. “With nearly half of the working U.S. oil rigs, Texas continues to be the single-most important state in terms of evaluating the magnitude and direction of U.S. permitting trends...” States in the “peripheral” unconventional basins — the Niobrara formation, Woodford and Bakken shales — should “continue their positive trajectory as oil prices improve and ‘fringe’ acreage becomes economical.” West noted that April traditionally has been a weak one permit-wise, down m/m every year since (continued on page 5) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 2012, with the exception of 2016 when permits rose 15% from March. However, as commodity prices have stabilized and E&Ps have provided better visibility for capital expenditures, permitting momentum should continue, allowing operators to lock in incremental production at better economics. California, Colorado ‘in-the-money’ “A broader base of ‘in-the-money’ drilling prospects, particularly beyond ‘sweet spot’ acreage, could serve to boost permitting levels outside of the major petrostates,” he said. By far, California has exhibited the “greatest sequential and y/y improvement” in states beyond the Permian. West called California’s newfound growth “an ode to revamped drilling programs” by companies based in the Golden State, including California Resources Corp., Chevron Corp. and San Joaquin Basin operators. California and Colorado both look promising for robust rig growth from here, West said. “Absolute permit totals do not tell the complete story for projected activity growth, as basin-specific momentum is a better indicator of the rig count directionality,” he said. Texas still garners more than half of NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 5 the oil rig count, but permitting in the state exhibited only slightly higher quarter/ quarter and y/y improvement in 1Q2017 compared to the rest of the United States. “This is indicative not only of the resilience of Texas basins through the downturn (specifically in the Delaware and Midland cores), but also that activity growth will likely moderate in this basin before auxiliary basins hit their stride,” West said. Meanwhile, Colorado permitting grew 49% from 4Q2016 to 1Q2017, and 1Q2017 was 134% above 1Q2016. “While more permits are generally observed per incremental rig added on an absolute basis, Colorado’s recent momentum should yield steep activity increases as crude grinds higher and extended reach drilling improves in the Wattenberg.” The Energy Information Administration’s Drilling Productivity Report in March reported new-well production/rig in the Denver-Julesburg Basin/Niobrara formation “is among the tops in U.S. land, just slightly below the 1,442 b/d observed in the Eagle Ford Shale (and much higher than the 662 b/d in the Permian),” West said. “In addition, California has shown unmatched (and unprecedented) permit growth.” Meanwhile, in the Gulf of Mexico, 17 new permits were issued in March, up 113% from February’s eight and 13% higher y/y. Shallow water permitting held flat at four m/m, with three sidetracks and one bypass approved. Seven new midwater permits were filed versus two in February, while deepwater permitting improved to five, with two new wells and three sidetracks approved. Ultra-deepwater permitting notched a single new well permit in March, flat m/m. The sharpest decline from the 2014 peak (ex-ultra-deepwater) is in shallow water permitting, down 82% in 2017 from year-to-date 2014. “We believe that offshore drilling (and jackup utilization) will continue to languish as long as shallow water permits remain at historically low levels,” West said. “Offshore planning from last month points to modest offshore improvement in the 2Q2017-3Q2017 timeframe, with four drilling plans filed for possible tieback work... “Overall, we remain cautious in allocating optimism to the offshore space, but permitting trends have certainly shown upward momentum over the first quarter of 2017.” NATURAL GAS Former CFTC Head Says Regulatory Streamlining Ahead: ‘Too Many Regulators’ Commodities and securities regulation under the Trump administration will be more open to market participants with less “gotcha stuff” to trip them up, speakers at a Houston conference heard last week. Sharon Brown-Hruska, a former chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and currently a director at NERA Economic Consulting, was also a member of Trump’s landing team for the CFTC. In the months before Trump’s inauguration Hruska was “running around” Washington emphasizing the key priorities of the incoming administration, she told attendees at the New Risk in Energy conference last week. “First we wanted to embrace legislation and policies that promoted economic growth and capital formation and increased competition,” she said of her mandate. “You © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | heard a lot about putting America first...It’s a natural message for us within the independent financial agencies to put a focus on these goals…” Streamlining regulatory processes and relying upon fewer regulators is a Trump priority. “We do believe there are too many regulators,” Hruska said. “There’s substantial overlap between FERC and SEC [Securities and Exchange Commission] and the CFTC and the competition regulators.” There’s no “game plan” yet, she said, but regulatory reform is coming, with an eye toward reducing regulatory overlap. The potential merger of the CFTC and the SEC was talked about by Hruska and other speakers at the conference, with no indication whether the “perennial” idea will pick up traction. “We want to sort of unify the approach and perhaps even look at a regulatory sort NATGASINTEL.COM | of reshuffling for change at the legislative level,” Hruska said. “It’s a perennial question; do we merge the SEC with the CFTC. [Acting CFTC Chairman Chris] Giancarlo and [SEC chief nominee Jay] Clayton, I think, are perfect leaders of the two most powerful, I think, administrative agencies to really look at that and give it an honest appraisal...I believe that the regulatory program of the CFTC is substantially different than the SEC. Even though they both regulate financial instruments, they have fundamentally different goals and purposes…” Hruska said the Trump administration would only pursue merging SEC and CFTC “if it made sense, if there are real synergies there. And there really, I think, aren’t that many. I can’t say that they completely dropped the idea, but I know it’s kind of perennial; it’s (continued on page 6) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 ongoing.” Speaking at the conference via telephone, Jim Newsome, former CFTC chairman and a partner with Delta Strategies, said there would be more discipline among regulators with regard to “gotcha stuff like record-keeping...It’s “a breath of fresh air.” Commenting on the prospect of an NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 6 SEC-CFTC merger, Giancarlo, in recorded comments to the conference, said a combination would have to enhance the mission of the agencies. “Synergies would have to be apparent,” he said, adding that the SEC is primarily concerned with regulating retail markets and the CFTC is geared toward the professional swaps market. Another potential area of reform, Hruska said, would be to “put some teeth into the CFTC’s cost-benefit analysis requirement, and the same thing for” the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. She said holding regulators to tougher economic standards would likely be a priority of the administration at independent agencies across the board. “We want to put some meat behind those bones...Stay tuned.” NATURAL GAS NuStar Entering Permian Basin in Nearly $1.5B Deal San Antonio-based NuStar Energy LP has agreed to acquire Permian Basin crude oil gatherer and transporter Navigator Energy Services LLC for $1.475 billion. Already active in the Eagle Ford Shale, NuStar now would have a long-sought presence in the Permian, management said Wednesday. Navigator’s West Texas assets in the Midland sub-basin include 500 miles of crude oil mainline transportation pipelines with 74,000 b/d, ship-or-pay volume commitments and deliverability of 412,000 b/d through multiple interconnects. Navigator also has a gathering system with more than 200 connected producer tank batteries capable of more than 400,000 b/d of pumping capacity covering more than 500,000 dedicated acres. Of its 1 million bbl of crude storage capacity, about 440,000 bbl is leased to third parties. The deal is expected to close by late May, subject to conditions, including regulatory approvals. “We are excited about starting 2017 with a strategic acquisition, and the addition of Navigator’s Permian assets marks NuStar’s entry into one of the most prolific basins in the United States,” said NuStar CEO Bradley C. Barron. “We expect that the purchase price, when coupled with modest future growth capex to build out the system, will result in a high single-digit multiple as volumes ramp over time.” NuStar is one of the largest independent liquids terminal and pipeline operators in the nation with 8,700 miles of pipeline and 79 terminal and storage facilities that store and distribute crude oil, refined © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | products and specialty liquids. The partnership’s combined system has 95 million bbl of storage capacity with operations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, the Netherlands, including St. Eustatius in the Caribbean, and the United Kingdom. “It’s been no secret that we’ve been actively searching for a way to break into the Permian Basin, which currently represents approximately 40% of all U.S. onshore rig activity,” Barron said Wednesday during a conference call to discuss the transaction. “For the past 18 months or so we’ve actively looked at opportunities in the Permian, but for one reason or another they’ve not met our acquisition criteria or they included assets that were either too risky or were outside of our core areas of expertise.” In September 2015 Dallas-based Navigator began service on its Big Spring Gateway (BSG) Pipeline System, serving the Permian Basin and making deliveries into the Sunoco Logistics-owned West Texas Gulf Pipeline and the Permian Express 2, with initial capability to transport up to 40,000 b/d of crude, which increased to 160,000 b/d by the end of the year. “We continue to see strong demand for NATGASINTEL.COM | crude oil transportation and storage solutions with multimarket access,” Navigator Chief Commercial Officer Matt Vining said at the time. The nearly 450-mile BSG System spans portions of Martin, Howard, Glasscock, Midland and Mitchell counties in Texas, the heart of the Permian Basin region. One year later Navigator said it would provide crude gathering services to Surge Operating LLC for an area of mutual interest spanning 25,000 acres in Howard County, TX, with a new gathering system. The Navigator assets “are located in five of the six most prolific counties in the Midland Basin,” Barron said. “So not only would this be considered first-tier acreage, what we’re talking about here is the core of the core of the Midland Basin…[W] e’re very impressed with the quality of the build. These are mostly newbuild assets, and our operations team is very impressed with their physical construction… “The Navigator assets are consistent with our existing crude oil operations in that there’s no first purchasing or gas processing exposure. Additionally, we expect these assets to provide significant growth prospects through volume ramp from existing producers with bolt-on acquisitions and larger takeaway capacity opportunities. “We will also have opportunities to expand the system organically and bolt on future acquisitions and possibly develop larger takeaway capacity projects, including a solution that could link the Navigator system all the way to our docks at Corpus Christi, TX, by (continued on page 7) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 way of our existing Eagle Ford operations.” During the conference call Barron did not take questions as the company is in a quiet period for an ongoing equity offering. To fund part of the purchase, NuStar has priced an upsized equity offering of 12.5 million common units for $579 million gross, which is scheduled to close Tuesday.. NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 7 Two more capital market transactions are expected. Bridge financing is in place to backstop capital markets activity, Barron said. The Permian Basin generally and the Midland sub-basin in particular have drawn increasing producer and infrastructure development activity. For example, about one month ago, EPIC Pipeline Co. LLC began offering capacity in a proposed crude oil and condensate pipeline that would run from the Permian to Corpus Christi, with multiple receipt points in the western Permian serving producers in the Delaware and Midland sub-basins. NATURAL GAS DCP Joins Kinder in Permian-Focused Gulf Coast Express Project DCP Midstream LP has agreed to participate in developing Kinder Morgan Texas Pipeline LLC’s (KMTP) proposed Gulf Coast Express Pipeline Project, the companies said Tuesday. Gulf Coast Express would provide an outlet for increased natural gas production from the Permian Basin to markets along the Texas Gulf Coast. The project is designed to transport up to 1.7 million Dth/d of natural gas through 430 miles of 42-inch diameter pipeline from the Waha, TX, area to Agua Dulce, TX. The pipeline is expected to be in service in the second half of 2019, subject to shipper commitments. “We are excited to be partnering with one of the larger natural gas marketers in the Permian Basin area, with DCP Midstream currently marketing approximately 600 MMcf/d of natural gas in that region,” said Kinder Morgan’s Duane Kokinda, president of natural gas midstream. “We believe DCP’s strong Permian position, when combined with the downstream market connectivity of Kinder Morgan’s Texas Intrastate network, creates a valuable project for both producers and markets.” A nonbinding open season for firm service on the pipeline is in process. It is anticipated that DCP would be a partner and shipper on the pipeline, while KMI would build and operate it. DCP is the largest natural gas liquids (NGL) producer and gas processor in the United States and operates about 1.3 Bcf/d of processing capacity in the targeted Permian supply area. DCP also operates Sand Hills, an NGL pipeline extending from the Permian to the Mont Belvieu, TX, market. Sand Hills pipeline is currently being expanded from 280,000 b/d to 365,000 b/d. “This opportunity presents a welcome competitive alternative that adds diversity to the market and is complementary to our recently announced Sand Hills expansion,” said DCP CEO Wouter van Kempen. “DCP has a premier portfolio of integrated assets in the Permian offering a full range of services and solutions to our customers.” Gas supply is expected to be sourced into the project from multiple locations, including existing receipt points along Kinder Morgan Inc.’s (KMI) KMTP and El Paso Natural Gas pipeline systems in the Permian, a proposed interconnection with the Trans-Pecos Pipeline, and additional interconnections to both intrastate and interstate pipeline systems in the Waha area. Gas deliveries into the Agua Dulce area would include points into KMTP’s existing Gulf Coast network, KMI-owned intrastate affiliates (KM Tejas and KM Border pipelines), the Valley Crossing pipeline, the NET Mexico header, and multiple other intrastate and interstate natural gas pipelines, KMI said. The newly formed partnership isn’t the only entity targeting the Permian Basin. NAmerico Energy Holdings LLC’s newly formed Pecos Trail Pipeline Co. is planning a 468-mile intrastate gas system originating in West Texas and terminating at various points around Corpus Christi, TX. And Enterprise Products Partners LP plans to tap the Permian with a pipeline to carry NGLs to its fractionation and storage complex in Mont Belvieu. Earlier this year DCP Midstream LLC and DCP Midstream Partners LP combined to create the largest NGL producer and gas processor in the United States. At the time expansion projects in the DJ Basin and on the Sand Hills Pipeline were announced. FERC Has Environmental Questions on Atlantic Coast Pipeline FERC has asked Atlantic Coast Pipeline LLC (ACP) to provide additional information on its proposed natural gas pipeline within 20 days, after taking note of more than 100 items or inconsistencies that raised concerns with federal regulators. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission is preparing a final environmental impact statement (EIS) for the project [CP15-554], which would transport 1.5 Bcf/d of natural gas from the Marcellus and Utica shales to satisfy heating and electric generation demand in the Southeast. © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | In a 36-page letter to the pipeline’s backers — Dominion, Duke Energy and Southern Company Gas — FERC said it had identified seven geological areas of concern. Among them, it found numerous locations along the pipeline’s route that contain known and suspect closed depressions within the project’s current workspace. The locations were listed in an updated karst survey report filed last February. “It appears that many of these features could be avoided by small route variations and/or potential workspace reductions,” NATGASINTEL.COM | FERC said, adding that ACP and Dominion should clarify whether they “propose to incorporate route and/or workspace design revisions to avoid or minimize impacts to these features.” FERC’s letter came after the Commission received hundreds of comments regarding its draft EIS on the pipeline. FERC also asked ACP and Dominion to describe the methods they used to identify orphan oil and natural gas wells along the pipeline route that are not incorporated into state databases (continued on page 8) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 in North Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia. The agency also asked how impacts to wells that may be encountered during construction would be minimized. Among its concerns regarding water resources, federal regulators said a rare species report covering the George Washington National Forest (GWNF), filed last February, had identified 27 waterbodies that would be crossed by the pipeline — 25 of which would be affected by pipeline construction, and two by new permanent access roads. But two subsequent reports contained different numbers. The first, a biological evaluation filed on March 10, said 30 waterbodies within the GWNF would be affected. A revised master waterbody table filed two weeks later listed 25 pipeline crossings and 12 access road crossings in the forest. “Provide an updated waterbody crossing table that accurately addresses the inconsistencies,” FERC said. “Note that we will assume any updated waterbody table that is filed would replace waterbody crossing information presented in previously filed documents...” Other concerns include temporary workspaces and impacts to vegetation, wildlife, fisheries, special status species, land use, special interest areas, and visual and cultural resources. Last week, the U.S. Forest Service told FERC that a proposal to use horizontal directional drilling to bore the pipeline under the Appalachian Trail and the Blue Ridge Parkway was feasible. But the U.S. NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 8 Environmental Protection Agency and the Department of Interior recommended that FERC conduct further analysis before releasing its final EIS. NATURAL GAS New York State Deals Another Setback to NatGas Infrastructure; Denies Northern Access Permits In yet another signal of the potential roadblocks facing the natural gas industry in New York, the state Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC) late Friday © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | denied National Fuel Gas Co. (NFG) subsidiaries water quality certification and other permits for the Northern Access expansion project. NATGASINTEL.COM | NFG said National Fuel Gas Supply Corp. and Empire Pipeline Inc. received word at 11:22 p.m. EDT on Friday that the project would not (continued on page 9) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 be allowed to go forward. The decision came after nearly three years of review and just weeks after NFG’s management anticipated the state’s move by asking FERC to diminish the DEC’s role in approving the project. In a news release on Monday the company made no mention of legal action, but left the door open saying that NFG remains committed to the project. The company said it was still reviewing the agency’s “rationale” for not approving the permits. DEC determined that construction would negatively affect the environment. “These construction activities would certainly have less effect than either exploding an entire bridge structure and dropping it into the Cattaraugus Creek or developing and continuously operating a massive construction zone in the middle of the Hudson River for a minimum of five years,” NFG CEO Ronald Tanski said of DEC-approved projects for Route 219 and the Tappan Zee Bridge. The more than 490,000 Dth/d Northern Access project would expand the Empire and National Fuel systems to move gas from Seneca Resources Corp.-operated wells in Northwest Pennsylvania to markets in New York, Canada, the Northeast and the Midwest. Affiliate Seneca Resources was relying on the project to help alleviate capacity constraints. The project would consist of nearly 100 miles of new pipeline in McKean County, PA, and Allegheny, Cattaraugus, Niagara and Erie Counties NY. “After an in-depth review of the proposed Northern Access pipeline project and following three public hearings and NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 9 the consideration of over 5,700 comments, DEC has denied the permit due to the project’s failure to avoid adverse impacts to wetlands, streams, fish and other wildlife habitat,” the agency said in a statement. “We are confident that this decision supports our state’s strict water quality standards that all New Yorkers depend on.” Friday’s decision would seem to affirm the growing perception — in the Appalachian Basin at least — that the state, under Democratic Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo, is a less than hospitable place for shale gas and the infrastructure projects necessary for those volumes to reach more markets. Two years ago, the state banned high-volume hydraulic fracturing. Additionally, the DEC denied a water quality certification required by the federal Clean Water Act and other permits last year for the Constitution Pipeline after nearly three years of review. As the agency continues to defend that decision in federal court, Millennium Pipeline Co. has filed a preemptive lawsuit to fight against what it argues are unnecessary permitting delays at the agency for an 8-mile lateral that would supply a natural gas-fired power plant under construction in the state. On edge about those proceedings, NFG last month filed a request for rehearing at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission asking it to reconsider the Feb. 3 order authorizing the project. The company claims that the Commission erred by not finding in its order that DEC stream crossing, water withdrawal and wetlands permits are preempted by the Natural Gas Act and not required to begin construction. In a procedural order posted last week, FERC said it would need more time to consider the arguments of NFG and the DEC, which asked the commission to reject the rehearing request in a strongly worded filing defending its role in the permitting process. NFG said Monday that “voluminous” studies by its subsidiaries and their consultants contradict the DEC’s decision and show that construction would have a “temporary and minor” impact on the environment. “What is perhaps the most troubling aspect of this decision is that the NYSDEC waited literally until the eleventh hour to issue this denial, even though we had detailed discussions with NYSDEC staff over a 34-month period and undertook detailed engineering and environmental studies at the agency’s request to support the stream-crossing techniques that now form the basis of their denial,” Tanski said. He added that the agency’s decision “attempts to set a new standard that cannot possibly be met by any infrastructure project in the state that crosses streams or wetlands, whether it is a road, bridge, water, or an energy infrastructure project.” Northern Access was initially scheduled to enter service in late 2016, but NFG said early last year that it would delay the project until late 2017 on reduced drilling activity caused by the commodities downturn. The company said in January that it expected to receive its New York state permits this month after DEC issued notices of complete applications for them. NFG’s latest target in-service date for the project was 1Q2018. NATURAL GAS PennEast Receives FEIS, Expects Certificate Order This Summer FERC on Friday issued a final environmental impact statement (FEIS) for the PennEast Pipeline, bringing the project one step closer to approval. The FEIS came after nearly three years of review and input from various stakeholders. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission staff concluded that approval of the project would result “in some adverse environmental impacts” that could be reduced to “less than significant levels with the implementation of PennEast’s proposed mitigation and the additional measures recommended” in the FEIS. © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | Earlier this year, the Commission said it needed more time to consider additional environmental information and pushed back the FEIS from Feb. 17 until Friday. With the impact statement in hand and the water quality certification required by the federal Clean Water Act that was issued by Pennsylvania in February, the project has cleared two major regulatory hurdles. But with only two of its five seats filled, the Commission still needs a quorum to issue the certificate of public convenience and necessity that would finally approve the pipeline, a FERC spokesperson said. NATGASINTEL.COM | “PennEast supports an expeditious approval of qualified nominees to FERC and looks forward to receiving a favorable order from FERC commissioners,” said PennEast spokeswoman Patricia Kornick. She added that the project still anticipates receiving its certificate in the next few months. While work also still remains with state regulatory agencies in New Jersey and Pennsylvania, Kornick said the FEIS is a “milestone” for the project, which has faced staunch opposition from environmental groups and others. In a routine step before the FEIS, (continued on page 10) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 PennEast applied for a freshwater wetlands impact permit in New Jersey on Thursday to satisfy Clean Water Act requirements. The 120-mile greenfield pipeline would transport 1.11 million Dth/d of Marcellus Shale natural gas to markets in Pennsylvania and New Jersey. It would originate in Luzerne County, PA, and terminate at Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Co.’s interconnection in Mercer County, NJ. The NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 10 project is 90% subscribed under long-term contracts with local gas utilities, power generators and other customers. Despite the uncertainty that remains about filling FERC’s vacant seats, the project’s backers are still targeting an in-service date sometime in the second half of next year. The project is owned by AGL Resources Inc. unit Red Oak Enterprise Holdings Inc. (20%); NJR Pipeline Co. (20%); SJI Midstream LLC (20%), and UGI PennEast LLC (20%). Spectra Energy Partners LP entered a deal last month to purchase PSEG Power LLC’s 10% stake in the pipeline, which would boost Spectra’s ownership to 20% if the deal closes this quarter as anticipated. PSEG would still remain a customer with a 125,000 Dth/d commitment. NATURAL GAS Hundreds Comment on Atlantic Coast Pipeline EIS; Forest Service OKs Appalachian Trail Crossing The U.S. Forest Service (USFS) told FERC that a proposal to use horizontal directional drilling (HDD) to construct the Atlantic Coast Pipeline (ACP) — to avoid impacts to the Appalachian Trail and the Blue Ridge Parkway — is feasible, and it would not object to concurrent construction through other forest lands before the crossing is completed. Meanwhile, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) recommended that FERC conduct further analysis before releasing its final environmental impact statement (EIS) for the project [CP15-554]. The Department of Interior (DOI) also voiced several concerns, including potential disturbance to its stream gauges along the proposed pipeline’s route. The comments by the federal agencies were among nearly 800 filed at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission on Thursday — the official last day for public comments on its draft environmental impact statement (DEIS) for the project — and through mid-day on Friday. In a letter dated last Tuesday, USFS said it had reviewed Atlantic Coast Pipeline LLC’s proposal to use HDD as the primary method to cross the Appalachian Trail and Blue Ridge Parkway, as well as the company’s contingency method to use direct pipe installation (DPI) for the crossing. “ACP’s filings contain sufficient information to assess the feasibility of the proposals. Based on the USFS’ review, the HDD would be feasible at the proposed location and the DPI would be a feasible contingency option,” wrote USFS Forest Supervisor Clyde Thompson. He added that USFS had no further questions or requests regarding the crossing. © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | In January 2016, USFS denied ACP a special use permit (SUP) to cross the Monongahela and George Washington national forests in West Virginia and Virginia. Thompson said USFS told FERC at the time that since ACP had not yet submitted any detailed proposals, any SUP issued to ACP may be conditioned to require successful completion of HDD at the crossing — essentially halting any concurrent construction across forest lands elsewhere. But Thompson said USFS has since decided to drop that condition. “Because ACP subsequently filed adequate documentation for the USFS to assess the feasibility of the primary and contingency proposals, and based on our independent assessment that the proposals are feasible, such a condition in the SUP would no longer be necessary,” Thompson said. “Thus, the USFS would not prohibit concurrent construction at other spread on [National Forest System] lands before the completion of the [Appalachian Trail and Blue Ridge Parkway] crossing.” EPA, DOI voice concerns In a separate letter, EPA Region 3, based in Philadelphia, told FERC that its final EIS for the project would be strengthened if it conducted additional testing and analysis on geology and soils, streams and wetlands, and groundwater and drinking water protection. Specifically, EPA said the project will likely encounter “challenging geologic conditions,” and that blasting — coupled with steep slopes, karst topography, and active and abandoned mines and quarries along the project’s route — pose additional challenges to protecting local residents and their NATGASINTEL.COM | sources for drinking water. “EPA appreciates the special consideration that crossing karst streams and terrain has received in the DEIS,” the EPA said. “In light of the DEIS, which indicates over 50% of karst hazards throughout the 71 miles of karst terrain crossed are identified as ‘high risk,’ we recommend the final EIS consider ecological risks to karst systems, and risk mitigation that includes avoidance measures.” EPA also recommended that the final EIS complete ongoing wetland and stream surveys, and offered to assist in that endeavor. Other recommendations included considering alternative crossings for the Neuse River; the inclusion of various studies on the impacts to watersheds and ecosystems; and additional analysis of cumulative impacts, especially on groundwater, stream crossings and water withdrawals. DOI also voiced concerns in another letter to FERC. Its “greatest concern” is that the ACP will cross the South River upstream of Waynesboro, VA, at a point less than five miles from a former textile plant that discharged high levels of mercury waste between 1929 and 1950. DOI said mercury in the streambed could be disturbed when a trench for the pipeline crossing is built. “If the pipeline route were altered again to where it crossed the South River downstream of this site, or disturbed contaminated areas, the high potential for mercury release could become a critical environmental issue,” DOI said. “Total mercury should be quantified upstream and downstream of the crossing point as an essential element of the water quality monitoring conducted before and after installation of the pipeline.” (continued on page 11) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 DOI added that it was concerned over potential impacts to eight stream gauges operated by its U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) located within one mile of the pipeline route or access roads. The USGS uses the gauges to measure water quantity and quality for a variety of purposes. Other concerns raised by DOI include alerting towns along the pipeline route of construction activities upstream of their public water supply intakes; impacts to drinking water wells; potential damage to nearby pipelines and other structures from NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 11 blasting; the potential for landslides from construction in steep-sloped areas; and potential impacts to aquatic species. Backed by a joint venture between Dominion, Duke Energy and Southern Company Gas, ACP aims to transport 1.5 Bcf/d of natural gas from the Marcellus and Utica shales to satisfy heating and electric generation demand in the Southeast. The project is around 96% subscribed under long-term commitments. ACP filed with FERC for a Natural Gas Act certificate in 2015. Originally it was targeting a 2018 start-up, but the denial of an SUP by USFS caused Dominion to push the in-service date to 2019. Earlier this month, a bipartisan group of lawmakers from all three states the pipeline will traverse sent a letter to FERC, urging the agency to approve the project. Separately, a labor union also hand-delivered nearly 1,600 letters of support to the offices of Virginia’s two senators, both Democrats, Tim Kaine and Mark Warner. NATURAL GAS Enterprise Products Putting 571-Mile NGL Straw in Permian Basin Enterprise Products Partners LP said it will tap the Permian Basin with a new pipeline to carry natural gas liquids (NGL) to its fractionation and storage complex in Mont Belvieu, TX. The 571-mile Shin Oak NGL pipeline would originate at Enterprise’s Hobbs NGL fractionation and storage facility in Gaines County, TX. The 24-inch diameter pipeline would have an initial capacity of 250,000 b/d, expandable to 600,000 b/d. “The Permian Basin is currently the hottest play in North America and is expected to continue its strong growth for years to come,” said Jim Teague, CEO of Enterprise’s general partner. The project is supported by long-term customer commitments and is expected to be in service in the second quarter of 2019, the company said. In addition to mixed NGL supplies aggregated at Hobbs, Shin Oak would provide takeaway capacity for mixed NGLs extracted at natural gas processing plants in the Permian region, including two Enterprise facilities that began service in 2016 and the Orla I plant, which is scheduled to begin operations in the second quarter of 2018. The new pipeline would also increase the company’s capacity to transport purity NGL products from Hobbs to Mont Belvieu. Enterprise is building a ninth fractionator at Mont Belvieu that will increase NGL fractionation capacity by 85,000 b/d following its expected completion in the second quarter of 2018. Mont Belvieu is pipeline-connected to the expanding U.S. petrochemical industry on the Gulf Coast, as well as Enterprise’s liquefied petroleum gas and ethane deepwater marine export terminals on the Houston Ship Channel. “The Shin Oak pipeline project is part of Enterprise’s larger plans in the Permian to leverage our integrated midstream assets to link supplies of cost-advantaged U.S. hydrocarbons to the largest domestic and global NGL markets,” Teague said. “This additional pipeline takeaway capacity to Mont Belvieu will provide Permian producers the flow assurance they need to continue the unfettered development of their reserves with confidence.” Enterprise recently announced plans to add ethylene infrastructure on the Gulf Coast with the anticipation of exporting ethylene in the future. Louisiana Lands Another Billion-Dollar Chinese Petrochemical Facility China’s Wanhua Chemical said it will develop a $1.12 billion chemical manufacturing complex in Louisiana, noting the state’s proximity to abundant natural gas supply as well as waterborne transport. Wanhua plans to produce methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI) at the facility, which would combine a $954 million investment by Wanhua with a $166 million investment by project partners. Site selection is to be made later this year. The company said it had considered locating the facility in Texas but settled on Louisiana. The project would be the second-largest © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | foreign direct investment in Louisiana by a company based in mainland China following the $1.85 billion methanol complex under development by Yuhuang Chemical in St. James Parish. “Today’s announcement of Wanhua Chemical’s decision to select Louisiana is a testament to the strength of Louisiana’s business climate and unmatched transportation logistics,” said Gov. John Bel Edwards. “Our highly skilled workforce, our natural resources and our world-class infrastructure allow companies like Wanhua to make significant investments in our state and create NATGASINTEL.COM | great new jobs while strengthening their competitive edge.” The facility is expected to be a major component of Wanhua’s global development of MDI. An intermediate chemical, MDI is among the fastest-growing categories of chemical production, the company said. It is used for polyurethane foams and elastomers, with applications in such consumer areas as appliances, electronics, furniture, textiles and footwear. MDI also is used in the development of rollers, packing, vibration insulators and synthetic leather for various industries. NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 NATURAL GAS NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 12 EIA Sees Henry Hub Averaging $3.10 This Year, $3.45 in 2018 The Energy Information Administration’s estimated 2017 average Henry Hub spot price, which had tumbled 12% in the agency’s March Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), took an upturn in the April report, rising to $3.10/MMBtu, a 2.2% increase compared with the previous forecast. The 2018 Henry Hub spot price is expected to average $3.45/MMBtu, EIA said in its latest STEO, which was released Tuesday. That’s unchanged from the previous STEO forecast. The price increase next year will come thanks primarily to new natural gas export capabilities and growing domestic gas consumption, EIA said. The front-month natural gas contract for delivery at Henry Hub increased by 53 cents/MMBtu from March 1, settling at $3.33/MMBtu on April 6, EIA said. New York Mercantile Exchange contract values for July 2017 delivery traded during the fiveday period ending April 6 suggest a price range from $2.49/MMBtu to $4.59/MMBtu encompasses the market expectation of Henry Hub natural gas prices in July 2017 at the 95% confidence level, EIA said. “A brief but unseasonably cold period in the middle of March contributed to an increase in natural gas futures prices for the month,” with heating degree days for the week ending March 16 a full 23% higher than normal, EIA said. The Henry Hub spot price averaged $2.88/MMBtu in March, more than $1/MMBtu above the average of $1.73/MMBtu in March 2016. Analysts with Raymond James & Associates Inc. have predicted the reverse of EIA’s forecast, with 2017 prices higher and 2018 prices lower. The group bases its downward trend on faster-than-anticipated growth in supply, along with surprising gains in renewable power generation capacity. This is expected to displace more demand than forecast only four months ago. In early January analysts had said U.S. gas prices were poised for the best prices in 2017 since 2014. Now, however, while they are maintaining their 2017 forecast of $3.25/Bcf, the 2018 estimate has been slashed to $2.75 from $3.50 and the long-term forecast reduced to $2.75 from $3.00. Raymond James analysts in a note Monday said burgeoning domestic gas supply growth beginning in the back half of 2017 and into 2018, coupled with the outlook for demand drivers and the rise of renewables, will negatively impact Henry Hub price forecasts. In a Summer Fuels Outlook released simultaneously with the April STEO, EIA said it expects relatively mild summer temperatures to hold total U.S. power generation to about 2.4% below last summer’s levels. Gas-fired power generation is expected to be 9.1% lower than last summer, and coalfired generation is expected to be 4.2% lower compared with last summer. “Part of the large decline in natural gasfired generation reflects higher forecast natural gas prices, which encourages generation from other types of fuels,” EIA said. “Also, record levels of precipitation along the West Coast are expected to raise hydroelectric generation 28% above summer 2016 levels. “Changes in the mix of electricity generation is also driven in part by changes in the nation’s electric generating capacity. The U.S. electric power sector is now expanding its fleet of generators powered by natural gas, wind, and solar. Natural gas-fired generation capacity by the end of August 2017 is scheduled to grow by 10.5 GW, or 2%, from the capacity level last summer. The electric power sector plans to expand wind capacity by 9.2 GW (12%) and utility-scale solar capacity by 7.5 GW (45%) above the capacity at the end of summer 2016.” EIA last Thursday reported a storage build of 2 Bcf for the week ending March 31. “U.S. working natural gas inventories on March 31, the traditional end of the withdrawal season, were 15% above the five-year average but 17% below last year’s recordhigh level at the end of March,” EIA said. “Winter 2015-2016 and winter 2016-2017 were both unseasonably warm, but natural gas drawdowns were higher this season because of lower natural gas production and higher exports.” EIA expects exports to increase more than production this year, which would move inventories closer to the five-year average by the time heating seasons begins. Domestic dry natural gas production is forecast to average 73.1 Bcf/d this year, a 0.8 Bcf/d increase from the 2016 level. That increase would reverse a 2016 production decline, which was the first annual decline since 2005. Natural gas production in 2018 is forecast to be 4.0 Bcf/d above the 2017 level. Ultra Raises Nearly $3B in Financing, Emerges From Chapter 11 Onshore operator Ultra Petroleum Corp. has completed its in-court restructuring and emerged from voluntary © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | bankruptcy protection, having raised $2.98 billion in exit financing to fully reimburse its creditors and preserve some value for NATGASINTEL.COM | equity holders. The Houston-based company also won approval for its (continued on page 13) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 newly issued common stock to be listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market, with trading to begin on Thursday. It also has added two members to its board of directors. “Today is an exciting day for Ultra Petroleum,” CEO Michael Watford said Wednesday. “We achieved the goals we have diligently pursued throughout our Chapter 11 proceedings: maximizing the value of the company for the benefit of all of our stakeholders. “We are extremely appreciative of the investors and institutions that supported our plan with the substantial equity and debt capital investments reflected in the nearly $3.0 billion of new financings we closed…” He also thanked the employees for their work during the bankruptcy process. NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 13 Ultra last year filed for Chapter 11 in U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas. Under the reorganization plan confirmed by the court, the company completed a $580 million equity rights offering and an $800 million senior secured term loan agreement that matures in seven years. It has $700 million in 6.875% senior notes due in 2022 and $500 million in 7.125% senior notes due in 2025. A $400 million senior secured revolving credit agreement also matures in 57 months. Ultra plans to issue 195 million shares of common stock under “UPL.” Existing stock that traded under “UPLMQ” has been cancelled. Watford has been retained as chairman and four board members also are remaining — W. Charles Helton, Stephen McDaniel, Roger Brown, and Michael Keeffe. Neal Goldman and Alan Mintz have joined the board. Ultra holds more than 104,000 gross (68,000 net) acres in and around the Pinedale and Jonah fields in Sublette County, WY. It also holds 149,000 gross (74,000 net) acres in the Marcellus Shale, with core acreage in Pennsylvania’s Centre and Clinton counties, and 9,000 acres in the Uinta Basin, in Uintah County, UT. Last month, Ultra announced plans to spend $500 million on capital expenditures in 2017, a 46% increase from 2016. It also said it expects overall production to range from 290-300 Bcfe in 2017, compared to the 281.7 Bcfe produced in 2016. NATURAL GAS Goodrich, Linn Get New Stock Listings; Bonanza Creek to Exit Chapter 11 Soon Six months after emerging from bankruptcy protection, common stock in Goodrich Petroleum Corp. began trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Tuesday. Meanwhile, common stock in Linn Energy Inc., which emerged from Chapter 11 in late February, began trading over-the-counter on the OTCQB market on Monday. A third exploration and production company, Bonanza Creek Energy Inc., announced that a bankruptcy court has approved its reorganization plans and expects to emerge from Chapter 11 before the end of the month. Houston-based Goodrich announced last week that NYSE had approved its listing under the symbol “GDP,” and that its common stock would continue trading on OTCQB until the market closed on Monday. CEO Robert Turnham said the NYSE listing “represents an important corporate milestone since our emergence [from bankruptcy protection],” adding that Goodrich expects “the new listing will enhance trading liquidity and expand the pool of potential investors.” Goodrich began trading on OTCQB after NYSE dropped its listing in January 2016, a consequence of the company defaulting in 3Q2015. After failing to win approval of its restructuring plans from stockholders and noteholders, Goodrich © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | voluntarily filed for Chapter 11 in U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas last April. The company had the same assets when it emerged last October but with reduced debt, a new board of directors, $40 million in new capital and new common stock. Linn, also based in Houston, emerged from the same bankruptcy court on Feb. 28. The company cited a sustained decline in commodity prices when it filed as Linn Energy LLC in May 2016 but was able to emerge as Linn Energy Inc. after agreeing to sell its noncore assets in the Williston and Permian basins, as well as in South Texas and California. It also agreed to spin off Berry Petroleum Co. LLC, a company it acquired in 2013 for $4.3 billion. Denver-based Bonanza Creek said the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware had approved its reorganization plans and a rights offering to infuse about $200 million of new liquidity into the company, which voluntarily filed for Chapter 11 three months earlier. “The court’s confirmation of our prepackaged plan represents a significant step toward completing our successful financial restructuring,” said Bonanza Creek CEO Richard Carty. “We will emerge as a strong and deleveraged company with a competitive business plan that will position us well vis-à-vis our industry peers.” NATGASINTEL.COM | Bonanza Creek’s prepackaged plan received unanimous support from its creditors. The plan also incorporates the terms of the previously announced restructuring support agreement (RSA) with certain noteholders and one of its crude oil purchase and sale counterparties, NGL Crude Logistics LLC, and its parent, NGL Energy Partners LP. The RSA and prepackaged plan allow Bonanza Creek to equitize $867 million of its existing unsecured bond obligations and bolster its liquidity position through a $200 million rights offering for new equity, to be backstopped by certain unsecured noteholders. Goodrich is focused primarily on oil and natural gas targets in the Haynesville Shale in North Louisiana and East Texas, the oil window in the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas, and the Tuscaloosa Marine Shale in eastern Louisiana and southwestern Mississippi. Meanwhile, Linn is primarily focused on stacked plays in Oklahoma — SCOOP (the South Central Oklahoma Oil Province) and STACK (the Sooner Trend of the Anadarko Basin, mostly in Canadian and Kingfisher counties). Bonanza Creek operates in the Wattenberg field of Colorado — mostly targeting the Niobrara and Codell formations — and in the Cotton Valley Sands formation in southern Arkansas. NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 NATURAL GAS NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 14 Stakeholder Midstream Buys Permian Gas Gathering System San Antonio-based Stakeholder Midstream LLC has acquired the Lovington Gas Gathering System from Lucid Energy Group effective April 1. The system is in the Northwest Shelf of the Permian Basin in southeastern New Mexico and serves oil and gas producers in Lea and Chaves counties. The Lovington system is composed of 295 miles of gas gathering lines, 7,400 hp of compression and a 35 MMcf/d refrigeration plant. Terms of the sale were not disclosed. “We see a significant opportunity in the Northwest Shelf, where there is increasing activity by producers focused on acreage that provides not only attractive returns, but also a lower-cost entry point than some of the core areas of the Midland and Delaware basins,” said Stakeholder Co-CEO Rob Liddell. “The acquisition of the Lovington system is the first step in developing our ultimate vision for gas gathering, treating and processing in the area.” The acquisition complements Stakeholder’s newly constructed San Andres Crude Gathering System in Yoakum County, TX, and Lea County, NM, which is expected to be fully operational in early May. It currently consists of 60 miles of gathering lines and multiple downstream connections, which would provide access to the market center in Midland, TX, to regional refineries, and to long-haul pipelines capable of delivering crude to the Gulf Coast. Last year Dallas-based Lucid acquired Agave Energy Co., which owned and operated natural gas gathering and processing assets in the Permian’s Delaware sub-basin in southeastern New Mexico and the Powder River Basin of eastern Wyoming. API Says ‘Keep It in The Ground’ Policies Would Mean Millions of Jobs Lost by 2040 The U.S. would lose millions of jobs and trillions in cumulative gross domestic product (GDP) by the year 2040 if the nation’s energy policy adhered to actions championed by the “keep it in the ground” (KIG) movement, according to a study commissioned by the American Petroleum Institute (API). In a 28-page report, “The Impacts of Restricting Fossil Fuel Energy Production,” API contends the United States would lose 5.9 million jobs by 2040 under a KIG scenario, when compared to a reference case similar to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2016 Reference Case. The KIG scenario assumes no new private, state or federal oil and gas leases; a complete ban on hydraulic fracturing (fracking); no new coal mines or expansion of existing mines; no new energy infrastructure, especially pipelines; restricting imports and exports to existing trade infrastructure, and no expansion of international gas pipelines into the U.S. “U.S. energy leadership is generating major economic benefits for American families and businesses,” said Jack Gerard, CEO of API. “Increased energy production and infrastructure investment could create hundreds of thousands of additional jobs. [But] restrictive policies would take the United States back to an era of energy dependence — all based on the false idea that we must choose (continued on page 15) © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | NATGASINTEL.COM | NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 between energy self-sufficiency and environmental progress.” API commissioned Vienna, VA-based OnLocation Inc. to perform the study, using the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) that the EIA uses to compile its AEO reports. In addition to the millions in lost jobs, cumulative GDP (from 2018) would be $11.8 trillion less by 2040 under the KIG scenario, compared to the NEMS model. Annual energy expenditures per household are also predicted to be $4,552 higher under KIG. U.S. crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) production would be an estimated 11.7 million b/d lower, and natural gas production off by 81 Bcf/d, under the KIG scenario. To help offset the drop in domestic production, net liquid petroleum imports would be 11.1 million b/d higher under KIG. Prices for oil and gas would both be higher compared to the NEMS model — $40/bbl more for West Texas Intermediate NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 15 (WTI) crude oil, and $21/MMBtu more at the Henry Hub. The annual cost of oil and gas imports would rise to $129 billion in 2040 under the KIG scenario, compared to net revenue of $54 billion under the NEMS model. Meanwhile, net annual expenditures for crude and product imports would increase by $580 billion in 2040 under KIG, leading to a cumulative increase in outflows of $7.5 trillion by 2040. Retail electricity prices would also be 56.4% higher under KIG, which would reduce the demand for electricity by 8% in 2040. The only bright spot appears to be a 13.1% reduction in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 2040 across the nation’s economy. “Cutting U.S. oil and natural gas production wouldn’t magically reduce world energy demand,” Gerard said. “But it could raise costs significantly for American families and manufacturers, profoundly damage the U.S. economy, diminish our geopolitical influence, and severely weaken our energy security. “With forward-thinking energy policies, we can ensure the U.S. energy renaissance continues to provide benefits for American consumers, workers and the environment.” According to API, the demand for liquid fuels remains relatively constant between the KIG scenario and the NEMS model, with transportation demand shrinking — by 0.7 quadrillion Btu (quads), or 2-3% by 2040 — due to higher prices, but industrial demand is predicted to increase (by 0.5 quads, or 4% by 2040) due to the substitution for natural gas. Although natural gas demand is predicted to be lower across all sectors of the economy under the KIG scenario due to much higher prices, the falloff is especially pronounced in the power sector, where natural gas demand is reduced by more than 10 quads, or 80%, by 2040. NATURAL GAS NatGas, Oil Consumption Up As U.S. EnergyRelated CO2 Drops 1.7% in 2016, EIA Says Growth in natural gas-fired power generation was part of an overall reduction in U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in 2016, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a Monday note. For 2016, U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions totaled 5,170 million metric tons, a 1.7% reduction from 2015 levels, EIA said. Before that, CO2 emissions had dropped 2.7% from 2014 to 2015. “These recent decreases are consistent with a decade-long trend, with energyrelated CO2 emissions 14% below the 2005 level in 2016,” the agency said. The decrease in overall energy-related CO2 emissions came as consumption of both oil and natural gas increased, and as coal consumption decreased “significantly,” EIA wrote. Emissions levels also changed based on shifts in consumption, as natural gas CO2 emissions increased 0.9% and petroleum CO2 increased 1.1%, while coalrelated CO2 declined 8.6%. Overall carbon intensity decreased in 2016 as the U.S. economy grew, EIA said. “Early estimates indicate that gross © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | domestic product grew at a rate of 1.6% in 2016, down from 2.6% in 2015. Taken together with a 1.7% decline in energyrelated CO2, the 1.6% estimate of economic growth implies a 3.3% decline in the carbon intensity of the U.S. economy,” EIA said. “In 2015, carbon intensity of the economy had decreased by 5.3%.” In 2016, CO2 from transportation surpassed CO2 from the power sector, a trend EIA expects to continue in the decades ahead. NATGASINTEL.COM | “CO2 emissions from the electric power sector fell by 4.9% in 2016” amid “a significant reduction in coal use for electricity” in favor of natural gas and renewables. With the increase in renewables and the lower emissions from gas-fired power plants, “data indicate about a 5% decline in the carbon intensity of the power sector, a rate that was also realized in 2015. Since 1973, no two consecutive years have seen a decline of this magnitude, and only one other year (2009) (continued on page 16) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 has seen a similar decline.” EIA said weather played a role in 2016 CO2 emissions as well, with preliminary data indicating 10% fewer energy-intensive heating degree days and a 13% more cooling degree days compared to the norm. NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 16 “Heating degree days in 2016 were the second fewest of any year since at least 1949, consistent with relatively warmer winter months,” EIA said. The recent declines in U.S. energyrelated CO2 emissions come as the oil and gas industry pushes back against “keep it in the ground” activism. The American Petroleum Institute published a report last week that found anti-fossil fuel policies could result in millions of jobs lost by 2040. NATURAL GAS Trump Administration Asks Appellate Court to Delay Cases Over Methane Rules The Trump administration has asked an appellate court to delay a series of lawsuits over proposed rules governing new sources of methane emissions from the oil and natural gas industry, in order to give the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) time to review the rules. The request for an abeyance last Friday in U.S. District Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, follows an executive order (EO) issued by the administration on March 28. The EO includes, among other things, a directive to the EPA to immediately review regulations on energy sources, and then to either suspend, revise or rescind them. At issue are three final rules governing methane emissions that the EPA unveiled in May 2016 by the Obama administration. The rules, collectively updates to the New Source Performance Standards (NSPS), are designed to reduce methane, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and toxic air pollutants. The rules were designed to help meet a goal by the previous administration to slash methane emissions from the oil and gas sector by 40-45% from 2012 levels by the year 2025. Acting Assistant Attorney General Jeffrey Wood asked the court to hold the lead case, American Petroleum Institute (API) et al v. EPA et al, No. 13-1108, as well as several consolidated lawsuits, in abeyance until 30 days after the EPA completed the review called for in the EO. “In light of EPA’s pending review of the 2016 NSPS rule, abeyance of these consolidated cases until 30 days after EPA’s review of the rule pursuant to the EO is warranted,” Wood wrote in Friday’s filing. In a sign the abeyance period could be lengthy, Wood said the EPA “would be willing to submit status reports every 60 days during the abeyance period if that would be helpful to the court.” Under the EO, the EPA administrator has 45 days to submit a review plan to the White House’s Office of Management and Budget. A draft report on the EPA’s actions is due within 120 days of the EO being enacted, and a final report is due within 180 days. Last January, the court consolidated three groups of lawsuits and made the API case the lead one. The other two were Independent Petroleum Association of America (IPAA) et al v. EPA et al, No. 15-1040, and State of North Dakota v. EPA et al, No. 16-1242. Both of those lawsuits also had additional cases consolidated with them. Thirteen states — Alabama, Arizona, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, West Virginia and Wisconsin — plus the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality, are petitioners that oppose the new rules. API, IPAA, the Western Energy Alliance and several state oil and gas, drilling contractor and royalty owner associations are also opposed. Meanwhile, at least nine states — California, Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island and Vermont — joined a coalition of environmental groups in support of the rules. The coalition includes the Natural Resources Defense Council, the Environmental Defense Fund, the Sierra Club, the Clean Air Council, Earthworks and the Environmental Integrity Project. EPA built NSPS upon VOC emission reduction requirements for new oil and gas wells that the agency first unveiled in April 2012. Those requirements called for a twophase process to reduce VOCs: requiring flaring followed by “green completions,” a term that means deploying equipment to capture and sell natural gas emissions that are otherwise lost. EPA previously said it expected NSPS to reduce 510,000 short tons of methane in 2025, which is the equivalent of reducing 11 million metric tons of carbon dioxide. The rules were also expected to reduce other pollutants, including 210,000 tons of VOCs and 3,900 tons of air toxics, by 2025. The Trump administration’s fortunes in court have been a mixed bag. Earlier this month, the U.S. Supreme Court agreed to continue hearing a legal challenge to the controversial Clean Water Rule, which the administration, Republicans and several industries oppose. Last month, attorneys for the Interior Department’s Bureau of Land Management (BLM) asked the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit in Denver to abate a case over a BLM rule governing hydraulic fracturing (fracking) on public and tribal lands because the agency intends to rescind the rule. Economics, Propane Lobby Stymie NatGas Expansion in North Dakota In a state in which the Bakken oil boom produces more than 1.5 Bcf/d of associated natural gas, most smaller towns still depend on propane for their thermal energy needs, and that is likely to continue as economics © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | and the propane suppliers’ lobby tend to keep local communities from making the transformation. Most efforts in this year’s state legislature to address the situation were soundly NATGASINTEL.COM | defeated, except for a proposal (HB 1398) that was passed and is awaiting Gov. Doug Burgum’s signature. The bill would allow communities under 2,500 population to get natural gas service (continued on page 17) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 — delivered by truck, rail or pipeline — and have local authorities establish and regulate rates for the service. Otherwise, proposed incentives and/ or subsidies to help communities get extensions of natural gas distribution pipelines “have been successfully fought by the propane industry,” said Julie Fedorchak, one of three members of state Public Service Commission (PSC). HB 1398 will probably be signed by the governor, Fedorchak told NGI. Modeled after an existing policy in Minnesota, HB 1398 would allow communities to negotiate directly with utility service providers to develop individual plans for serving a particular community. “If they can come to terms on what the service looks like and its cost, then they can seek a waiver from the PSC to avoid state rate/regulatory oversight,” Fedorchak said. “This isn’t a silver bullet for everyone, but it definitely provides an avenue for communities to get creative and find an alternative way to get natural gas to their local area.” HB 1398 is viewed as a bridge or transition to a later time when towns might be able to find a more permanent solution through connection to the state’s existing natural gas network, which is provided principally through the MDU Resources Group’s PSC-regulated utility. North Dakota Pipeline Authority head Justin Kringstad said he is aware that North NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 17 Dakota’s gas transmission pipelines and utility local distribution companies are “continuing to evaluate the prospects of delivering additional natural gas to unconnected communities in the state. “The challenge continues to be a given community’s distance from the existing pipeline systems and the volume of demand in the community. In many cases, it may require a large commercial user around an unconnected community to justify the large upfront investment in new pipeline infrastructure.” While the U.S. shale gas boom has spurred many states to seek ways to expand natural gas service, there are more than 12 million homes that use propane for heating nationwide, according to statistics from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). In North Dakota, more than 360 small communities have no natural gas service while 70, including all of the largest population areas, have traditional gas utility service. North Dakota Propane Gas Association officials said they cannot stop a utility from moving into communities, but they are opposed to efforts that create an “unfair playing field,” although individual manufacturing businesses and the state Association of Rural Electric Cooperatives favor extensions of natural gas service. Claiming significant interest in an open season last year, a unit of Bismarck-based MDU Resources continues to push forward with plans to build a $60 million interstate natural gas transmission pipeline to bring supplies to areas of eastern North Dakota and western Minnesota. An open season for the project was completed last summer. MDU’s WBI Energy Inc. has lined up binding commitments for its 38-mile, 16-inch diameter Valley Expansion Project. Eventually, interconnections north and south of the transmission pipeline could serve small towns in the far eastern part of the state with natural gas, Fedorchak said. “[HB 1398] is really a component of economic and rural development with no real added cost to the state,” said Fedorchak, adding that the PSC has a proposal from MDU to establish service with Bobcat Co., maker and marketer of compact construction, farming and landscaping equipment, and two other potential large customers in Gwinner, ND. “The Bobcat installation is one the state, overall, has been very interested in finding a solution for getting it natural gas service,” Fedorchak said. Not having access to natural gas is viewed as a “global competitive disadvantage for Bobcat,” she said. Fedorchak said the PSC will be reviewing MDU’s proposal in the next two weeks. The project would get its gas supplies from an interconnection with the existing interstate Alliance Pipeline. NATURAL GAS NatGas, Oil Groups Urge Global Sourcing of Steel for Pipelines A quintet of trade associations representing the majority of U.S. pipeline operators engaged in transporting natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, refined petroleum products and carbon dioxide, said Friday they support President Trump’s call for the use of American steel pipeline construction, but warn that there are serious hurdles to be overcome. “If these hurdles are not overcome, government action to increase domestic steel and pipe production could have the unintended result of reducing or significantly delaying new pipeline projects, limiting U.S. pipeline job growth, and hurting American © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | consumers,” according to joint comments filed with the United States Department NATGASINTEL.COM | of Commerce Office of Policy and Strategic Planning by the American Gas Association (AGA), the Association of Oil Pipe Lines (AOPL), the American Petroleum Institute (API), the Interstate Natural Gas Association of America (INGAA) and GPA Midstream Association (GPA). Just days after his inauguration, Trump signed memorandums ordering the Commerce Department to submit a report to him on ways to streamline the federal permitting process for domestic manufacturers within 60 days, and for Commerce to develop a plan to maximize the use of American steel for (continued on page 18) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 pipeline construction within 180 days. “We are, and I am, very insistent that if we’re going to build pipelines in the United States, the pipes should be made in the United States,” Trump said at the time. “[This is] going to put a lot of steel workers back to work. We will build our own pipeline. We will build our own pipes, like we used to in the old days.” The trade associations said in their comments with the Commerce Department that they “support President Trump’s objective to grow domestic jobs and boost the U.S. economy by reinvigorating American manufacturing...However, a number of hurdles unique to pipeline-grade steel and pipe manufacturing must be overcome to expand domestic pipeline production and manufacturing.” Any plan put together by Commerce in response to Trump’s memorandum “should recognize that global sourcing of steel is currently essential for the continued growth of America’s energy pipeline infrastructure and the U.S. economy overall,” they said. The associations said they are concerned that domestic sourcing requirements could undermine the ability to achieve the positive economic impacts, including job growth, associated with pipeline manufacturing and construction, and have the potential to adversely affect maintenance activities and reliability of existing pipelines. “An advantage of trade is that it allows economies to specialize in areas where they have a competitive advantage. The specialized steel, pipe, and equipment required to construct and maintain pipelines necessitates tight controls on NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 18 chemical composition, mechanical properties and quality. Manufacturing facilities need advanced equipment and state-of-theart processes to achieve this result. Current domestic capacity to produce certain materials and equipment used to construct, operate, and maintain energy pipelines is limited,” they said. “Domestic steel and pipeline manufacturing industries would need time to boost their capability to meet the unique demand and support the continued growth of America’s energy pipeline infrastructure. The companies that currently supply the U.S. pipeline industry have spent considerable time and resources perfecting their processes. New entrants would need to consider these costs relative to the size of the niche market for pipeline materials and equipment.” The associations believe that several considerations “are essential” for Commerce’s plan: •• Consider the constraints for materials and equipment that cannot be procured domestically in adequate quantities, at the necessary technical specifications, and in time to meet market demand; •• Consider potential impacts to reliability of existing pipelines if materials and equipment cannot be sourced within the time necessary to meet maintenance requirements; •• Consider the potential for domestic sourcing requirements to have the unintended consequences of reducing or delaying investment, and consequently reducing jobs, in the U.S. energy industry and in pipeline construction; •• Consider the cost and service implications, for industry and for consumers, of any potential domestic sourcing requirements; •• Consider excluding pipeline projects that already have shipper commitments and/or pending or issued federal or state permits, such as interstate projects with a pending or issued FERC certificate, projects that have been approved by the state agency responsible for intrastate transmission and distribution pipelines, and projects that are subject to federal or state agency siting or permitting review; •• Consider the varied operational characteristics, pipe and equipment needs, and regulatory frameworks of transmission, gathering, and distribution pipeline systems; and •• Consider the multiple factors that affect sourcing decisions made by pipeline operators and production decisions made by steel and pipe mills and equipment manufacturers. While Trump’s memorandum directed the development of a domestic sourcing plan “‘to the extent permitted by law,’ neither the presidential memorandum, nor the Federal Register notice, nor any other information now available, provides the legal authority for any such requirement,” the associations said. “Therefore, to assist in the development of a plan that complies fully with the president’s instructions, the associations request that interested stakeholders are given a meaningful opportunity to provide advance comment on the possible legal limitations and ramifications of any plan.” NATURAL GAS Alaska’s Senators Introduce Bill to Reverse Obama’s Block of Offshore Drilling Alaska’s two Republican senators have introduced a bill that calls for conducting lease sales in the state’s offshore areas of the Beaufort Sea and Cook Inlet, and would reverse a decision made during the waning days of the Obama administration to withdraw leasing areas of the Arctic’s Outer Continental Shelf (OCS). Sens. Lisa Murkowski and Dan Sullivan introduced a bill — S 883, also known as the Offshore Production and Energizing © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | National Security Alaska Act of 2017, or OPENS Act — last week. The legislation was read twice Thursday and referred to the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, which Murkowski chairs. “After years of regulatory restrictions and burdens imposed by the Obama administration, this bill charts a much better course for responsible energy production in our Beaufort and Chukchi seas that actually reflects the views of the vast majority of NATGASINTEL.COM | Alaskans,” Murkowski said in a statement. “These areas contain prolific resources that can be safely developed to create jobs, reduce our deficits, keep energy affordable, and strengthen national security.” Sullivan added that the Obama administration “tried to kill responsible resource development in the Arctic, ignoring the fact that the rush to the Arctic is on. Oil and gas will be developed in the region — whether by our nation or (continued on page 19) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 others. It is imperative that exploration and development occur with all of the safeguards required by the United States to protect the environment and the people who live in the region.” S 883, among other things, directs the secretary of the Department of Interior (DOI) to establish a new Nearshore Beaufort Sea Planning Area in the OCS, consisting of the portion of the existing Beaufort Planning Area within three nautical miles of the seaward boundary of Alaska. It also directs the DOI secretary to conduct one annual lease sale each in the Nearshore Beaufort and Cook Inlet planning areas, during fiscal years (FY) 2018, 2019 and 2020. The bill also calls for amending the OCS Lands Act by including the Beaufort, Chukchi, Cook Inlet and Nearshore Beaufort planning areas to its five-year leasing programs. At least three lease sales would be required annually in the Beaufort and NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 19 Chukchi planning areas, and one annual sale each in the Nearshore Beaufort and Cook Inlet planning areas. Last December, President Obama issued a presidential memorandum withdrawing vast areas of the nation’s OCS from future oil and gas drilling. He withdrew 115 million acres in the Arctic OCS and 3.8 million acres in the north and midAtlantic OCS, located off the East Coast. In their joint statement, Murkowski and Sullivan contend that the Trump administration has the authority to revoke Obama’s withdrawals, but decided to introduce a bill “to set a marker that reflects the views of the vast majority of Alaskans.” A poll commissioned last year by the Arctic Energy Center found that 76% of Alaskans support offshore resource development in the state. During his presidential campaign, Trump proposed allowing states to regulate energy development over federal agencies and opening up more federal lands to drilling. The senators added that the Beaufort and Chukchi seas combined form one of the most prospective basins in the world, with an estimated 23.6 billion barrels of oil and 104.4 Tcf of natural gas. Despite the bounty, Royal Dutch Shell plc, once the biggest leaseholder in offshore Alaska, said last May that it will abandon all but one of its leases in the Chukchi, and was evaluating its holdings in the Beaufort. At the time, the international major cited an “unpredictable” regulatory environment and disappointing initial drilling results. Shell, ConocoPhillips, Italy’s Eni SpA and Iona Energy Inc. together relinquished about 350 leases, covering 2.2 million acres of drilling rights, in the Chukchi before a deadline to do so. NATURAL GAS Jordan Cove LNG Project Eyes Third Offtake Contract, Selling Equity Interests, Veresen Reports The backers of the only U.S. West Coast liquefied natural gas (LNG) project still alive, Calgary-based Veresen Inc., is talking to a third prospective Japanese buyer and is considering selling up to a 40% equity interest in the project to offtakers, including two already signed to term sheets, according to company officials. Veresen senior executives outlined plans for Jordan Cove LNG at the four-day international Gastech 2017 conference in Tokyo. Recently granted a pre-filing status by FERC, Jordan Cove plans to re-file its application in the second half of this year. Its executives’ encouraging words in Japan came at the same time the global supply of natural gas is getting even more saturated and there are more doubts about the viability of additional long-term LNG contracts. In Japan, Betsy Spomer, CEO of Jordan Cove, made clear that the Canadian oil/gas infrastructure company is seriously looking at the equity offering to a potential Japanese buyer, and to the Tokyobased electric utility joint venture JERA Co. Inc. and Itochu Corp., who last year signed long-term capacity agreements. Ideally, Veresen wants to have 6 million tons © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | of LNG/year under contract before making a final financing decision on Jordan Cove, Spomer said. NATGASINTEL.COM | The fact that Qatar recently announced it was lifting a long-standing moratorium on development (continued on page 20) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 of part of the world’s largest gas field and the prospective deals are looking at shorterterm contracts does not deter Veresen or Jordan Cove, according to a company spokesperson. “There are a bunch of Qatari gas contracts with Japan that are rolling off so whether it will be added supplies or just replacement is not clear, and the Japanese these days are looking very much for diversification of supply sources,” the spokesperson said. “Security of supply is a big issue, and they don’t have a lot of supply coming from North America yet, but they are trying to build that portfolio, and that is where Jordan Cove comes in.” NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 20 The other advantage for North American supplies is that the Japanese can actually own reserves and have a better grasp of the value chain, according to the spokesperson. “Ownership of the reserves to the transportation in the shipping is possible over here, whereas with Qataris, they are just a customer.” Veresen CEO Don Althoff told the Tokyo conference that in addition to JERA and Itochu each taking 1.5 million tons annually of LNG, collectively half of Jordan Cove’s expected capacity, his company is talking to a third Japanese buyer to sell them 1-2 million tons annually. Althoff said the latest talks are in the advanced stages. “All buyers are interested in taking some equity part of the plan,” he said. JERA reportedly has identified a need for more LNG starting in 2024, which is most likely the earliest that Jordan Cove could come online, given its pre-filing status at FERC, the Veresen spokesperson said. “There have been a couple of things that have happened on the contracts that make us more positive on that front, and on the regulatory front we seemed to have garnered the support of the White House as one of three projects they feel have been mired in red tape, so that is also potentially helpful.” NATURAL GAS Activist Targets BHP Billiton, Calls For Demerger of U.S. Petroleum Business, Other Measures BHP Billiton should jettison its U.S. petroleum business (offshore and on), which is undervalued by the market, does not contribute value to the company and does not mesh with BHP’s traditional mining operations, an activist shareholder said Monday in a letter to company directors. “Based on commonly utilized valuation metrics for comparable businesses, the indicated value for BHP’s U.S. petroleum business is [approximately] US$22 billion, which is well in excess of the current analyst consensus valuation for that business,” said the Elliott Funds, which hold 4.1% of BHP Billiton plc. BHP rejected the Elliott proposals. Elliott said the U.S. business does not provide “meaningful diversification” to BHP as a whole and there are no synergies between the U.S. business and the company’s mining assets. “...[I]ts intrinsic value is being obscured by bundling it with BHP’s other assets,” Elliott said. “We believe that within the confines of the existing group, BHP’s U.S. onshore acreage opportunities are extremely limited. BHP has competing capital allocation alternatives — including its world-beating mining assets such as those within its iron ore division, and highly value-accretive post-unification off-market BHP share buybacks at a 14% discount to market price. “...BHP’s management simply cannot justify allocating the capital which the U.S. onshore assets would need for the U.S. © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | petroleum business to realize its growth potential or meaningful corporate expansion activities.” Demerging and listing the U.S. business separately on the New York Stock Exchange would unlock the value of the assets and allow the business to be properly capitalized, Elliott said. Elliott is making two other recommendations to BHP management. The company’s dual-listed structure should be combined into a single, Australia-headquartered and tax-resident listed company. It said BHP should adopt “a consistent and value-optimized capital return policy…” and cited the company’s misadventure in U.S. shales. “BHP is expected to generate [approximately] US$31 billion of excess cash flow in the next five years, assuming the current 50% payout ratio of net income. Unfortunately, BHP has previously used excess cash to make value-destructive acquisitions when it acquired certain Fayetteville [Shale] assets and Petrohawk.” In early 2011 BHP acquired the Fayetteville Shale assets of Chesapeake Energy Corp. for $4.75 billion in cash. Later that year it acquired Petrohawk Energy Corp. for $12.1 billion. Asset writedowns followed a few years later. BHP, according to its website, currently holds more than 838,000 net acres in the Eagle Ford Shale, Permian Basin, and Haynesville Shale, as well as the Fayetteville. NATGASINTEL.COM | The company was already active in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico where it operates two fields: Shenzi (44% interest) and Neptune (35%). It holds nonoperating interests in three other fields: Atlantis (44%), Mad Dog (23.9%) and Genesis (4.95%). Instead of such “badly timed acquisitions” as the Fayetteville purchase, the company should return value to shareholders through buybacks, Elliott said on Monday. BHP’s offshore U.S. assets should go as well, Elliott said. “We see the demerger of BHP’s Gulf of Mexico assets in combination with the U.S. onshore petroleum assets as providing a standalone U.S. petroleum business with consistent cash flow to fund its own further expansion, allowing BHP to increase its focus on its core competencies and also helping the value of BHP’s remaining core portfolio to positively re-rate.” BHP last December was high bidder in a Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) auction, offering $624 million for the first deepwater partnership ever for Pemex. In a statement Monday BHP said it has reviewed the Elliot proposals and has been in talks with the investor “over many months.” The costs and associated risks of what the firm is proposing would outweigh any potential benefits, BHP said. “Elliott’s [U.S. petroleum business] demerger proposal is based on a view that investors would ascribe a higher value for these assets in a (continued on page 21) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 separately listed entity,” BHP said. “There is no obvious discount in BHP Billiton’s trading multiples relative to the weighted average of relevant mining and oil and gas peers. BHP Billiton has disclosed the NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 21 information the market needs to fully value the petroleum business. “BHP Billiton’s approach is to optimise the long term value of the Petroleum business through operating excellence.” Elliott manages two funds: Elliott Associates LP and Elliott International LP, with assets under management totaling more than US$32.7 billion. NATURAL GAS West Virginia Severance Tax Collections Trending Higher West Virginia’s severance tax collections through the first nine months of fiscal year (FY) 2017 have come in $13 million above estimates, reversing a downward trend that began in 2015 when the state was forced to make spending cuts due in part to the steep decline of commodity prices at the time. Revenue collections released by the state budget office show that from July 2016 through March, the state generated $200.8 million in severance taxes, well above the $187.8 million that was projected for the period. Currently, the state estimates that it will generate $262.5 million for the entire fiscal year. In FY2016, severance tax collections came in $195 million below estimates at $276.4 million, reflecting a tough period for the state’s energy industries. During a briefing with reporters on Thursday, Deputy Revenue Secretary Mark Muchow said increasing natural gas prices are also lifting the price of coal, with more of it being burned by power generators in the competitive market that favors lower costs. The state collected $40.2 million in severance taxes during March, compared to the $27.1 million that was projected for the month. The state is still facing an estimated $123 million revenue shortfall for FY2017. Lawmakers were at work on a legislative fix Friday to plug part of that gap with rainy day funds and money from other accounts heading into the end of the regular session at midnight Saturday. Producers pay 5% for the value of both coal and natural gas. The legislature eliminated additional volumetric fees last year. In other news from the Capitol in Charleston, Gov. Jim Justice signed into law a bill that exempts some oil and gas industry storage tanks from a 2014 law aimed at better protecting public water supplies. The legislature passed a committee substitute for HB 2811 last month and Justice signed it April 4. The bill exempts more than 2,000 industry tanks from part of the Aboveground Storage Tank Act, including the submittal of spill prevention response plans and certified inspections. The aboveground storage act was prompted by a January 2014 incident in which thousands of gallons of coal-cleaning chemicals leaked from a Freedom Industries processing facility on the Elk River, a waterway from which numerous communities draw their water supplies. Ring Drills Seven Horizontal Wells in Permian’s CBP, Grows Production 10.8% in 1Q2017 Midland, TX-based Ring Energy Inc. continues to get results from its horizontal wells in the Permian Basin’s Central Basin Platform (CBP). In a 1Q2017 operations update this week, Ring said it drilled seven new onemile-lateral horizontal wells in its San Andres asset in the CBP during the quarter. The exploration and production company completed five of those wells, which averaged gross 24-hour initial production (IP) rates of 660 boe/d, with a range of 377 boe/d to more than 800 boe/d. Ring, a long-time vertical driller in the CBP, previously detailed the results from its initial three-well horizontal program in the San Andres. This included its Augustus #1H and Tiberius #1H wells, which produced 602 boe/d and 448 boe/d respectively through 45 days, with production 95% weighted to oil. On Wednesday, Ring management said the initial results from the CBP wells completed during 1Q2017 have exceeded © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | expectations. “When we initiated our three-well pilot horizontal drilling program last year, we had certain expectations based on the extensive review and due diligence we performed on both the current and historical results of neighboring operators,” said Danny Wilson, executive vice president of operations. “As of the end of the first quarter, we have drilled a total of 10 horizontal San Andres Wells on our CBP. Of these, two are 1.5 mile laterals, one is a 1.25 mile lateral and the remaining seven are one mile laterals. Our original average net estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) target when starting the program was 55 boe per lateral foot, with the knowledge and understanding that some wells will be more productive than others. “The initial results on the longer laterals are showing preliminary net EURs of 35-55 boe/foot. Based on a net received oil price of $45/bbl and a drill and complete NATGASINTEL.COM | cost of $2.4 million, those wells will yield over a 90% internal rate of return (IRR) on the lower end, up to an IRR over 240% on the higher end.” Wilson said the one-mile-lateral wells are on track for EURs between 40 and 100 net boe/foot, yielding a greater than 70% IRR at $45/bbl and a drill and complete cost of $2 million. Ring’s net production for the quarter totaled 266,000 boe, up 18% year/year and 10.8% sequentially. Average net daily production totaled 3,618 boe/d, compared with 2,370 boe/d in March 2016, the company said. CEO Kelly Hoffman said Ring added 10,000 gross acres to its horizontal footprint in the CBP in 1Q2017, bringing the company’s gross horizontal CBP acreage to more than 54,000 (30,000 net), including over 500 gross (285 net) horizontal drilling locations. “We continue to seek out opportunities that complement (continued on page 22) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 our existing asset base while optimizing our current portfolio and growing our production, inventory and reserves,” Hoffman said. Also during the first quarter, Ring NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 22 drilled two new saltwater disposals in the CBP and continued to expand its oil, gas and water infrastructure in the play. In the Delaware Basin, Ring drilled two new vertical wells and one new saltwater disposal well, and recompleted two existing wells in its Cherry Canyon asset. NATURAL GAS Shale-Related Projects Set Record Investment Level (continued from page 1) “Without the natural resource of the shale gas — for which this region once pioneered extraction — an ethane cracker would not have been a consideration.” While investments in the region reached a high water mark last year, PRA noted that there was a drop in the area’s energy sector deals during the same time. The organization recorded 16, which was down from 31 in 2015. Energy-related manufacturing deals also dropped by 50% year/year from eight to four. PRA said the commodities downturn slowed regional investments, along with the fact that upstream operations are already firmly rooted in the state. Shale gas continued to play a key role in the regional economy. The 2016 scorecard tracked deals across five key sectors to record 245 of them, including attractions, retentions, expansions, and infrastructure and real estate development projects. PRA said the total job impact anticipated from those deals is 11,344, or 5,761 new jobs and 5,583 retained jobs. The greatest total job impact, PRA found, is expected to be in manufacturing (3,667), healthcare (2,893) and energy (2,288). to shale gas abundance — has made fixed price deals less attractive compared with the alternative of just doing index deals. More independent gas producers — thank the shales again — means that a greater share of the producing community is focusing on just completing wells and not worried about marketing gas with fixedprice deals, as larger producers with marketing shops might do. Index deals are also easier for utilities to justify in front of their state regulatory commissions, Steis added. And also, banks have left the physical gas market following the financial collapse and reforms under the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. Finally, the indexes are victims of their own success, Steis said. “I think it’s precisely because the indexes are so dependable, reliable and accurate that people do index deals,” he said. “I’m not sure what we can really do about that.” Of those doing fixed price deals, fewer have been reporting them to publishers, Leonard said. “If you look over time, the fraction of companies that actually report their fixed-price physical gas has been declining pretty significantly since 2008,” he said. “In 2008, just under two-thirds of companies that transacted fixed-price physical gas made reports to the index publishers. Whereas last year for the first time it was just under half... basically half...this is by volume.” The greatest inhibitor of reporting fixed-price deals, panelists seemed to agree, is the perception of regulatory risk, and sometimes that risk is more than just a perception. Prokop said when Deloitte reviews the price reporting practices of client companies, it finds that many are doing a great job with great technology and practices. Malicious behavior has not been about in some time, he said. However, not all companies are in compliance with regulations developed following the natural gas marketer meltdown and price reporting scandals of yesteryear. Responding to those who say they don’t want to report, and ask “why should I report,” NGI’s Steis pointed out that “right now there’s a voluntary system of price reporting. But the Energy Policy Act of 2005 gave FERC certain powers to mandate a system with greater levels of transparency should they deem it necessary. Right now if you report, we ask for location, price, volumes, flow dates, trade date, counterparties optional. So that’s what we receive. “If it becomes a mandated system, the question becomes what manner of information would be required to be reported? Would the Commission require counterparties or profit loss information, trigger deals, EFPs, index trades? This becomes a slippery regulatory slope. “So I would thank the folks who are being good corporate citizens and reporting under the voluntary system. And I would ask those who have made the decision to not report, to re-evaluate.” NatGas Price Index Reporting (continued from page 1) monthlies, the theme has been similar to that of the 2012-2014 period, he said. There are still decreases, but they have been a bit smaller, he said. Well over a decade since price reporting became a headline issue in the natural gas industry, it’s still around. “After about 15 years or so, I can’t believe we’re still talking about price indices and price creation,” said Deloitte’s Michael Prokop, moderator of the conference panel. “Back then, when industry realized there was a problem, trading was being halted or stunted and we got together and fixed it is what we did...put together best practices and figured it out and worked very closely with the regulator…” About 80% of natural gas transactions reported to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission on Form 552 depend on price indices, with the remaining 20% or so being fixed-price and physical basis deals eligible to be reported to index publishers. That ratio of index deals to fixed-price has grown over the last eight years — from about 3.5 times to a ratio of almost eightto-one, said Cornerstone Research Vice President Greg Leonard, whose firm publishes an annual report on the Commission’s Form 552 data. “Eight times as many deals depend on the indices than go into the indices,” he said. The migration toward greater reliance on index deals is due to a constellation of factors, according to Steis. Lower price volatility in recent years — thanks largely © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | NATGASINTEL.COM | NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Monday, April 17, 2017 NATURAL GAS NGI INTELLIGENCE Page 23 PEOPLE Wayne Christian Texas Gov. Greg Abbott appointed Railroad Commissioner Wayne Christian to serve as the official representative of Texas to the Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission (IOGCC). Christian was elected to the Railroad Commission of Texas last year. Christian’s responsibilities as representative to IOGCC include serving as spokesman for the group in Texas, meeting with the governor to discuss current issues, authoring/sponsoring IOGCC resolutions, voting during business session, participating in committees and regularly attending meetings. The appointment is for an indefinite period. INDUSTRY BRIEFS Texas Eastern Transmission | Hilcorp Alaska | Hilcorp Alaska | Drillinginfo | Yuhuang Chemical | Tennessee Gas Pipeline | Total Petrochemical Staff of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission will prepare an environmental assessment (EA) of the Pomelo Connector Pipeline Project and the South Texas Expansion Project, separate but related projects of Texas Eastern Transmission LP (Tetco) intended to support natural gas exports to Mexico. Comments on the projects [CP15-499] are due at the Commission by May 8. The 30-inch diameter Pomelo would run from Tetco’s Petronila Station in Nueces County, TX, to its Valley Crossing interconnect near Agua Dulce. Valley Crossing Pipeline LLC, originally a unit of Spectra Energy since merged with Enbridge Inc., has proposed a Texas pipeline and U.S.Mexico border crossing to serve power generation and other gas demand in Mexico as well as in Texas [CP17-19]. Hilcorp Alaska Monday morning completed emptying a natural gas pipeline in Alaska’s Cook Inlet that is suspected of having a leak. The pipeline is at the Steelhead Platform, which produces natural gas from the Grayling Gas Sand Formation in the Trading Bay Unit on the west side of Cook Inlet. During an investigation prompted by natural gas pipeline leak discovered earlier this year in the Cook Inlet, a metering discrepancy was discovered on the pipeline serving the Steelhead Platform, Hilcorp said in a statement. “As a precaution, we started emptying the A Pipeline of natural gas on Saturday, and that process was completed early Monday morning,” the company said. “The line now contains filtered seawater. “We have decided to leave the line filled with seawater until a later time when we are able to further investigate and address the meter discrepancy.” A crude oil pipeline leak also was recently discovered by Hilcorp in the Cook Inlet. Hilcorp Alaska said Monday that dive crews were working to repair a leaking eight-inch diameter natural gas pipeline in the Middle Ground Shoal area of the Cook Inlet. The leak point, approximately two inches in length, was noted to be on the very bottom of the pipeline resting on a boulder embedded in the seafloor, Hilcorp said. Following completion of the initial repair, further inspection and work will be done to permanently repair the affected segment of pipe. The line will not be returned to service until permanent repairs have been completed, the line has been pressure tested, and regulators have approved a re-start, Hilcorp said. © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | NATGASINTEL.COM | Drillinginfo, a software-as-a-service, or SaaS analytics provider for the oil and gas industry, is allying with software platform provider MineralSoft to expand mineral rights management offerings. The joint venture would allow the Austin, TX-based companies to analyze for mineral owners in real time computer mapping, royalties, revenue, expense, volume data and investment performance. No financial details were disclosed. Drillinginfo in 2016 acquired GlobalView Software and its flagship product MarketView, which allows prices to be monitored while trading. It also in 2016 bought production forecasting assets from Ponderosa Energy, a division of Ponderosa Advisors LLC. In January Drillinginfo also launched a suite of oilfield services software to improve real-time interaction between rig and permit reports. Yuhuang Chemical Inc. (YCI) has completed an $800 million funding agreement for its planned methanol project in St. James Parish, LA, which is being financed by the Bank of China and other Chinese banks. Construction has begun on the world-class methane-to-methanol facility, which is expected to produce 1.8 million metric tons/year of commercial-grade methanol. YCI’s funding agreement represents the largest Chinese-invested project in the U.S. Gulf Coast region and the first U.S. construction project financed entirely by Chinese banks. The project’s three planned phases may exceed $1.85 billion in investment. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has approved Tennessee Gas Pipeline Co. LLC (TGP) to begin tree clearing for and construction of the Connecticut Expansion Project, approved in 2016 [CP14-529]. The project would extend the existing pipeline in New York and Connecticut while adding four miles of underground pipeline in Massachusetts. Nearly two miles of the expansion is to be constructed in Otis State Forest, adjacent to TGP’s two existing underground gas pipelines. The forest is protected as conservation land under Article 97 of the Massachusetts Constitution. The Kinder Morgan Inc. pipeline recently settled with Massachusetts authorities allowing the project to proceed. Total Petrochemical, a joint venture of South Korea’s Hanwha Group and France’s Total SA, plans to expand the Desean refining/petrochemicals (continued on page 24) NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM NATURAL GAS Monday, April 17, 2017 NGI INDUSTRY BRIEFS integrated facility in South Korea to increase ethylene production capacity by 30% to 1.4 million tons/year. Daesan, one of Total’s six world-class integrated platforms and a strategic asset for Hanwha, includes a condensate splitter, steam cracker and polymers, styrene and aromatics units. “The extension will significantly increase the site’s flexibility, enabling it to process competitively priced propane feedstock, which is abundantly available, notably due to the shale gas revolution in the United States,” the company said. The expansion, expected to be completed by mid-2019, would add ethylene production for local demand and supply the nearby fast-growing Chinese market, a significant importer. INTELLIGENCE NGI's Weekly Spot Price Market Summary Apr 10-13 Location Range S. TX Regional Avg. 2.72-3.12 E. TX Regional Avg. 2.75-3.22 W. TX/SE NM Regional Avg. 2.65-2.86 Midwest Regional Avg. 2.69-3.37 Midcontinent Regional Avg. 2.68-2.96 N. LA Regional Avg. 2.75-3.08 S. LA Regional Avg. 2.85-3.18 Southeast Regional Avg. 2.88-3.28 Appalachia Regional Avg. 2.30-3.08 Northeast Regional Avg. 2.40-3.40 Rocky Mtns. Regional Avg. 2.48-2.82 California Regional Avg. 2.78-3.36 National Avg. 2.30-3.40 Henry Hub 2.95-3.18 Page 24 Average 2.92 2.93 2.75 2.99 2.81 2.92 2.99 3.02 2.69 2.92 2.72 3.01 2.89 3.05 Notes: Prices in US$/MMBtu for dry gas. These regional price ranges include prices at citygates and other market area delivery locations as well as delivered to pipeline prices for gas in producing areas. The National Average is a simple average of all of the individual regional averages. For more information see NGI's Price Index Methodology. Natural Gas Intelligence is published weekly, 50 times a year by Intelligence Press, Inc. (800) 427-5747. For breaking natural gas and shale news and more detailed pricing data, please visit us at: http://naturalgasintel.com For a listing of all our premium newsletters and data services, please visit: http://naturalgasintel.com/premiumservices Editor-in-Chief & Publisher: Ellen Beswick; Executive Publisher: Dexter Steis; Managing Editor: Alex Steis (e-mail: [email protected]); Senior Editors: Carolyn L. Davis (Houston), Joe Fisher (Houston), David Bradley. Analysts: Natural Gas Patrick Rau (NYC) and Nathan Harrison. Associate Editors: Charlie Passut, Jamison Cocklin (Pittsburgh), Jeremiah Shelor. Intelligence Correspondents: Bill Burson (Denver), Richard Nemec (Los Angeles), Gordon Jaremko (Calgary), Dwight Dyer (Mexico City). Monday, Contact us: EDITORIAL: [email protected]; PRICING: [email protected]; April 17, 2017 SUPPORT/SALES: [email protected]; ADVERTISE: [email protected] Volume 36 No. 34 Intelligence Press, Inc. © Copyright 2017. Contents may not be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, accessed by computer, or transmitted by any means without a site license or prior written permission of the publisher. © COPYRIGHT INTELLIGENCE PRESS 2017 | NATGASINTEL.COM | NATURAL GAS INTEL | FOR A FREE TRIAL VISIT NATGASINTEL.COM Calendar 1Q17 Earnings Conference Call Dates for Selected Publicly Traded Oil & Gas, and Related Companies Last Updated: April 13, 2017 Ticker Company SLB BAS NEE HAL Schlumberger Basic Energy Services NextEra Halliburton PDS BHI RRC Coverage Date Time (ET) IR Site Business Specialty 21-Apr 21-Apr 21-Apr 24-Apr 8:30 AM 9:00 AM 9:00 AM 9:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site Precision Drilling Baker Hughes Range Resources 24-Apr 25-Apr 25-Apr 2:00 PM 8:30 AM 9:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site Oil Services Oil Services Power Oil Services (Pressure Pumping) Onshore Drilling Oil Services E&P SLCA SPN HES AEP MPC U.S. Silica Holdings Superior Energy Services Hess Corporation American Electric Power Co. Marathon Petroleum 25-Apr 26-Apr 26-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 9:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM 9:00 AM 9:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site Proppant Oil Services E&P Power Oil Refining NOV QEP National Oilwell Varco QEP Resources 27-Apr 27-Apr 9:00 AM 9:00 AM IR Site IR Site Rig Construction E&P FTI PTEN TechnipFMC Patterson UTI 27-Apr 27-Apr 9:00 AM 10:00 AM IR Site IR Site Oil Services Onshore Drilling XEL EQT ESV HP MPLX NBR WLL CRR EQM WFT COG XOM Xcel Energy EQT Corporation Ensco International Helmerich & Payne MPLX LP Nabors Drilling Whiting Petroleum CARBO Ceramics Inc. EQT Midstream Partners Weatherford International Cabot Oil & Gas ExxonMobil/XTO Energy 27-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 27-Apr 28-Apr 28-Apr 28-Apr 10:00 AM 10:30 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:30 AM 11:30 AM 8:30 AM 9:30 AM 9:30 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site Power E&P Offshore Drilling Onshore Drilling Midstream Onshore Drilling E&P Proppant Midstream Oil Services E&P E&P CPN SWN Calpine Southwestern Energy 28-Apr 28-Apr 10:00 AM 10:00 AM IR Site IR Site Power E&P POR PEG NRG NBL CNX EPD Portland General Electric Public Service Enterprise Group NRG Energy Noble Energy CONSOL Energy Enterprise Products Partners 28-Apr 28-Apr 2-May 2-May 2-May 2-May 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 8:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM 10:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site PES PNW NBLX APC Pioneer Energy Services Pinnacle West Noble Midstream Partners Anadarko Petroleum 2-May 2-May 2-May 3-May 11:00 AM 12:00 PM 2:00 PM 9:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site Power Power Power E&P E&P Gathering & Midstream (NGLs) Drilling Power Midstream E&P CPE NI SR SM Callon Petroleum NiSource Spire Energy SM Energy 3-May 3-May 3-May 3-May 9:00 AM 9:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site E&P Utilities Utilities, Pipelines E&P DVN Devon Energy 3-May 11:00 AM IR Site E&P NFX Newfield Exploration 3-May 11:00 AM IR Site E&P SO CXO RIG WMB WPZ Southern Company Concho Resources Transocean Williams Companies Williams Pipeline Partners 3-May 4-May 4-May 4-May 4-May 1:00 PM 9:00 AM 9:00 AM 9:30 AM 9:30 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site ATO DM D Atmos Energy Dominion Midstream Partners Dominion Resources 4-May 4-May 4-May 10:00 AM 10:00 AM 10:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site MDU PXD WPX BKH HK MUR OXY MDU Resources Pioneer Natural Resources WPX Energy Black Hills Corporation Halcon Resources Murphy Oil Occidental Petroleum 4-May 4-May 4-May 4-May 4-May 4-May 4-May 10:00 AM 10:00 AM 10:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site Power E&P Offshore Drilling Pipelines, Midstream Oil & Gas Pipelines, Midstream (NGLs) Utilities, Pipelines Midstream, LNG Gathering & Midstream Pipelines, Utilities E&P E&P E&P, Utilities E&P E&P E&P Significant Shale/Tight Sands/Resource Basin Presence Various Various Various Various Various Ardmore-Woodford, Cana-Woodford, Cleveland/Tonkawa, Cotton Valley, Granite Wash, Marcellus, Mississippian Lime, Upper Devonian, Utica Various Various Bakken, Permian, Utica Bakken, Cana-Woodford, Eagle Ford, Granite Wash, Haynesville, Niobrara-DJ, Piceance, Utica Various Bakken, Green River, Haynesville, Permian, Uinta Various Various, but Marcellus and Permian are the largest concentrations Huron, Marcellus, Upper Devonian, Utica Various Various Bakken, Niobrara-DJ, Permian Various Marcellus Various Eagle Ford, Haynesville, Marcellus, Utica Ardmore-Woodford, Bakken, Duvernay, Haynesville, Marcellus, Montney, Permian, Fayetteville, Lower Smackover/Brown Dense, Marcellus, New Brunswick Eagle Ford, Marcellus, Niobrara-DJ, Permian, Marcellus, Upper Devonian, Utica Various Various Eaglebine, Green River, Haynesville, NiobraraDJ, Permian, Powder River, Uinta, Utica Permian Arkoma-Woodford, Bakken, Eagle Ford, Eaglebine, Permian, Powder River Barnett, Cana-Woodford, Eagle Ford, Horn River, Permian, Powder River, STACK Arkoma-Woodford, Bakken, Cana-Woodford, SCOOP, STACK, Uinta Permian Various Eagle Ford, Green River, Marcellus, Piceance, Uinta Barnett, Haynesville, Permian, Marcellus, Utica Bakken, Powder River Eagle Ford, Permian Bakken, Permian, San Juan Bakken, Piceance, Powder River, San Juan Bakken, Eaglebine, Tuscaloosa Marine, Utica Eagle Ford, Duvernay, Montney Eagle Ford, Permian Ticker Company CLR Coverage Date Time (ET) IR Site Business Specialty Continental Resources 4-May 12:00 PM IR Site E&P CRC MRO California Resources Corp Marathon Oil 4-May 5-May 5:00 PM 9:00 AM IR Site IR Site E&P E&P NE PE Noble Drilling Parsley Energy 5-May 5-May 9:00 AM 9:00 AM IR Site IR Site Offshore Drilling E&P ERF EGN XEC CRK Enerplus Resources Fund Energen Cimarex Energy Comstock Resources 5-May 5-May 8-May 8-May 10:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM 11:00 AM IR Site IR Site IR Site IR Site E&P E&P E&P E&P DUK EOG Duke Energy EOG Resources 9-May 9-May 10:00 AM 10:00 AM IR Site IR Site Utilities E&P GDPMQ PAA Goodrich Petroleum Plains All-American Pipeline 9-May 9-May 11:00 AM 11:00 AM IR Site IR Site Oil Pipelines Significant Shale/Tight Sands/Resource Basin Presence Arkoma-Woodford, Bakken, Cana-Woodford, Niobrara-DJ, SCOOP, STACK Monterey Bakken, Cana-Woodford, Cleveland/Tonkawa, Eagle Ford, Granite Wash, Green River, SCOOP, STACK Permian Bakken, Duvernay, Marcellus Permian, San Juan Cana-Woodford, Permian, STACK Eagle Ford, Haynesville, San Juan, Tuscaloosa Marine Bakken, Barnett, Eaglebine, Eagle Ford, Green River, Haynesville, Horn River, Marcellus, Marmaton, Mississippian Lime, Niobrara-DJ, Permian, Powder River, Uinta Eagle Ford, Haynesville, Tuscaloosa Marine Bakken, Cleveland/Tonkawa, Eagle Ford, Monterey, Niobrara-DJ, Permian *All companies listed are traded on either the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange, or NASDAQ. Dates and times subject to change. Note: NGI will re-run this chart over the next several Monday editions, and will add other conference call dates as they become available. Source: Compiled by NGI from Bloomberg and company press releases
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