BRIEFING PAPER Number 07682, 31 January 2017 Industrial strategy By Federico Mor Contents: 1. Defining ‘industrial strategy’ 2. Industrial strategy under the May Government 3. Risks and opportunities of Brexit 4. Industrial strategy under the Cameron Government, May 2015 to July 2016 5. Industrial strategy under the Coalition Government, 2010 to 2015 www.parliament.uk/commons-library | intranet.parliament.uk/commons-library | [email protected] | @commonslibrary 2 Industrial strategy Contents 1. Defining ‘industrial strategy’ Horizontal vs sectoral industrial policies Mission-based industrial policies 2. 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 Industrial strategy under the May Government Early policy statements The industrial strategy green paper Northern Powerhouse and Midlands Engine Policies not covered by the green paper Reactions to the green paper ARM takeover Role of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Cabinet Committee for industrial strategy BEIS Committee inquiries 6 6 6 9 9 10 11 12 13 14 3. 3.1 3.2 3.3 Risks and opportunities of Brexit State Aid Trade and investment Research and Development 15 15 16 17 4. Industrial strategy under the Cameron Government, May 2015 to July 2016 Steel industry crisis 19 19 Industrial strategy under the Coalition Government, 2010 to 2015 20 5. 4 4 5 Cover page images copyright: Communications hardware by Tom Blackwell; pills, pills, lots of pills by .pst; Robots in the Tesla Factory manufacturing line by Patrick Herbert; Construction, Aldgate by John Wilson; Licensed under CC BY 2.0 / images cropped. 3 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 Summary Defining ‘industrial strategy’ Industrial strategy is about coordinating a wide range of economic policies to achieve particular objectives, which need not be purely economic. Industrial strategy under the May Government During her leadership campaign and early into her premiership, Theresa May signalled a return to a more active and explicit industrial strategy, compared with the previous Coalition Government and Cameron Government. The publication of the green paper called Building our Industrial Strategy on 23 January 2017 is the latest development in this policy area. Whilst the current Government’s strategy marks a clear shift towards more prominence and emphasis placed on industrial strategy, there is also a significant degree of continuity with previous policies. The difference in substance may turn out to be less great than in letter, though much detail remains to be determined. The strategy set out in the green paper is not “the last word, but [the] start [of] a consultation.” The Government invites organisations and the public to respond. The consultation closes on 17 April 2017. Key goals of the Government’s industrial strategy • Build on UK strengths and extend excellence into the future; • close the gap between the UK’s most productive companies, industries, places and people and the rest; and • make the UK one of the most competitive places in the world to start or grow a business. The green paper identifies ten ‘pillars’ for the industrial strategy that are said to drive growth. The actions described under each pillar are a mixture of existing policies and ‘new commitments’. The bulk of the strategy proposes ‘horizontal’ policy interventions, such as investments in skills, research and infrastructure, facilitating access to finance and keeping costs down for businesses. Risks and opportunities of Brexit In common with many areas of Government policy, industrial strategy could be radically altered by the UK’s decision to leave the EU. Aspects of industrial strategy that could see significant risks and opportunities from Brexit include state aid rules, trade, investment, and research. The Government’s green paper contains little analysis of what Brexit might mean for industrial strategy. The paper states that the Government will welcome an agreement to continue to collaborate with European partners on major science, research and technology initiatives, and that procurement policy will no longer be constrained by EU law. There are no other explicit attempts to link up the Government’s industrial and Brexit strategies. 4 Industrial strategy 1. Defining ‘industrial strategy’ ‘Industrial strategy’ is traditionally understood as a set of government interventions which seek to support or develop specific industries – especially manufacturing, but not only. 1 However, current usage of the term is much broader. Industrial strategy in recent times has been more about coordinating a wide range of economic policies to achieve particular objectives, which need not be purely economic. For example, an industrial strategy can have social and environmental aims. A recent roundtable (24 November 2016) with representatives from industry, policy and academia produced this summary of how industrial strategy should be approached: Industrial Strategy should be seen as a framework rather than as a collection of specific industrial policies. … …The purpose of industrial strategy should be to identify what is societally necessary and beneficial, and thus to align with other key national strategies (for example on economic growth, wellbeing or environmental sustainability). 2 Intervention in industry can occur with varying degrees of intensity: • At one extreme, an intensive industrial policy could involve government taking full control of a particular industry through nationalisation. • At the other extreme, government would allow domestic industries to collapse under the pressure of international competition, regardless of the importance of the industry in terms of employment or strategic advantage. In recent decades, UK industrial policies can be placed somewhere between these poles. Governments have generally not taken ownership of key firms within sectors that they view as important, but neither have they allowed the market to completely dictate the industrial and geographical structure of the economy. Interventions can take many forms, ranging from tax breaks and deregulation to strategic procurement decisions and specific investment in particular skills and places. Horizontal vs sectoral industrial policies One way to classify the interventions governments take to support or develop industries is to distinguish between ‘horizontal policies’ and ‘sectoral policies’. Horizontal policies are polices which address market-wide issues. They provide the “resources and economic environment” which make it easier for businesses and individuals to be productive. Examples of this type of policy include adjustments to regulatory frameworks, 1 2 Warwick, K. (2013), “Beyond Industrial Policy: Emerging Issues and New Trends”, OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers, p. 15 Written evidence from UCL (ISG0194) to BEIS Select Committee’s Industrial strategy inquiry, “Supplementary submission based on UCL industry-policy roundtable on industrial strategy”, 9 January 2017. Industrial strategy is about coordinating a wide range of economic policies to achieve particular objectives, which need not be purely economic. 5 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 establishing tax regimes which favour business, polices which foster innovation or polices which encourage skill development. 3 Sectoral policies (sometimes called ‘selective’ policies) include any policies directed towards one specific sector in the economy. Examples include agricultural subsides, providing ‘seed funding’ for high technology clusters and support for research and development in particular industries. In practice, industrial policies generally have aspects of both categories, and the two types of policies are “highly complementary.” 4 For example, an education system which seeks to emphasise the importance of science, engineering and maths (‘STEM’ subjects) is horizontal in ambition because it seeks to provide pupils with a grounding in subjects which are valuable in almost all careers. But this strategy could also be viewed as sectoral or selective because it targets particular sectors and skills. Mission-based industrial policies As the earlier definition implies, an industrial strategy can be mission driven. A mission-driven strategy uses economic policy to pursue solutions to particular public policy challenges. Mission-based policies are unlikely to neatly fit into the horizontal vs sectoral categories. For example, challenge funds can be directed at issues which are crosssectoral in nature, such as low carbon innovation. In her oral evidence to the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Select Committee, Professor Mariana Mazzucato put it this way: What industrial strategy can do is give a direction to economic growth. …a more mission-orientated industrial strategy… is based on big problems the nation might have that many different sectors can work on together. Going to the moon in the past required more than 10 sectors. 5 3 4 5 Department for Business, Innovation and Skills, Industrial strategy: UK sector analysis, September 2012, p. 7 Ibid BEIS Committee, Oral evidence: Industrial Strategy, HC 702, Tuesday 22 November 2016, Q295 6 Industrial strategy 2. Industrial strategy under the May Government During her leadership campaign and early into her premiership, Theresa May signalled a return to a more active and explicit industrial strategy, compared with the previous Coalition Government and Cameron Government. The publication of the green paper called Building our Industrial Strategy on 23 January 2017 is the latest development in this policy area. Whilst the current Government’s strategy marks a clear shift towards more prominence and emphasis placed on industrial strategy, there is also a significant degree of continuity with previous policies. The difference in substance may turn out to be less great than in letter, though much detail is still to be determined. The strategy set out in the green paper is not “the last word, but [the] start [of] a consultation.” 6 2.1 Early policy statements In the speech launching her campaign to be Conservative Party Leader, Theresa May outlined proposals to “make the economy work for everyone”, which included many ideas related to industrial strategy: 7 • Continued work towards higher productivity • Research and development policies that encourage investment • Reliable, lower-cost energy • Delivery of infrastructure projects, including more house building • Continued support for regional development of cities and areas outside London • Stricter merger and acquisition rules, with more emphasis on a ‘public-interest test’ for foreign take-overs • New corporate governance structures, including consumer and employee representation on boards, and greater transparency around executive pay 2.2 The industrial strategy green paper The May Government published a green paper called Building our Industrial Strategy on 23 January 2017. The Government’s stated objective is “to improve living standards and economic growth by increasing productivity and driving growth across the whole country.” 8 The paper sets out how the Government proposes to build its industrial 6 7 8 Building our Industrial Strategy, January 2017, p. 8 Conservative Party, Speech by Theresa May: together we can make Britain a country that works for everyone, 11 July 2016. This speech is sometimes referred to as the “Birmingham speech”. Building our Industrial Strategy, January 2017, p. 9 The Government’s objective is “to improve living standards and economic growth by increasing productivity and driving growth across the whole country.” 7 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 strategy, and invites organisations and the public to respond. The consultation closes on 17 April 2017. Key goals of the Government’s industrial strategy: 9 • Build on UK strengths and extend excellence into the future; • close the gap between the UK’s most productive companies, industries, places and people and the rest; and • make the UK one of the most competitive places in the world to start or grow a business. The Government identified ten ‘pillars’ for its industrial strategy that are said to drive growth. The ten ‘pillars’ of the industrial strategy: 10 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Investing in science, research and innovation Developing skills Upgrading infrastructure Supporting businesses to start and grow Improving procurement Encouraging trade and inward investment Delivering affordable energy and clean growth Cultivating world-leading sectors Driving growth across the whole country Creating the right institutions to bring together sectors and places The bulk of the strategy proposes horizontal policy interventions, such as investments in skills, research and infrastructure, facilitating access to finance and keeping costs down for businesses. The eighth pillar, though, is explicitly sectoral. Underpinning the Government’s approach to sectors is the idea of “sector deals”: Leadership from business has been key to the success of sectoral policies in the UK and other countries. We propose to set an ‘open door’ challenge to industry to come to Government with proposals to transform their sectors through ‘Sector Deals’. The Government will work with sectors that organise themselves behind strong leadership to help deliver upgrades in productivity. This could involve: addressing regulatory barriers; promoting competition and innovation; working together to increase exports; and working together to commercialise research. 11 The idea of “sector deals” – having an open door for sectors to develop proposals with Government – is reminiscent of Sajid Javid’s description of his approach to sectors during his time at the helm of the old Business, Innovation and Skills Department (May 2015 to July 2016). Javid talked about “[a] willingness to deal with representatives of all 9 10 11 Building our Industrial Strategy, January 2017, p. 6 Building our Industrial Strategy, January 2017, p. 11 Building our Industrial Strategy, January 2017, p. 20 8 Industrial strategy sectors and to respond positively to industry-led solutions.” 12 Similarities notwithstanding, the new strategy marks a shift in emphasis, as noted earlier. A departure from the previous Government’s approach is a greater focus on place. The new strategy aspires to do more regionally across the UK, seemingly building on the Northern Powerhouse & Midlands Engine approach. Pillar number nine captures this aspiration. The green paper describes a mixture of ‘actions under way’ (existing policies) and ‘new commitments’. The number of ‘new commitments’ amounts to about 60% of the total number of actions described. Not all ‘new commitments’, however, are entirely new. Some of the new commitments are about consulting the public to further develop existing plans, funding and programmes. For example, the Government seeks views on how it should invest its R&D funding, setting out options ranging from investment in local science and increased support for commercialisation, to investing in future research talent. The green paper also consults on the priority challenges for the ‘Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund’, a cross-sectoral mission-based fund first announced at the Autumn Statement 2016. The fund supports collaborations between business and the UK’s science base in tackling specific challenges. It is modelled on the USA’s Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. The fund will “back technologies at all stages where the UK has the potential to take an industrial lead, from early research to commercialisation.” 13 Other commitments in the green paper express or restate the Government’s intention to carry out reviews. Examples include a review of the opportunities to reduce the cost of decarbonisation, a review of the Government’s procurement policies, and reviews of the roles and priorities of the Department for International Trade and Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs). The Government also commits to new sector deals, and explicitly lists the following five industries: life sciences, ultra-low emission vehicles, industrial digitalisation, nuclear and the creative industries. Finally, the green paper also describes specific projects, such as £170m of capital funding for the creation of Institutes of Technology to deliver higher technical education in STEM subjects (science, technology, engineering and mathematics). Other specific projects committed to include road investments, such as the M60 North West Quadrant, the A66 and the A303 Stonehenge route. 12 13 BIS, Sajid Javid speech to Mansion House, 3 March 2016. See section ‘4. Industrial Strategy under the Cameron Government’. Building our Industrial Strategy, January 2017, p. 30 9 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 Northern Powerhouse and Midlands Engine One of the hallmarks of the Cameron Government was the ‘Northern Powerhouse agenda’. This was a loosely defined combination of transport infrastructure projects, increased funding for business and research, and increased political devolution to the North of England, particularly around Manchester. Since Theresa May became Prime Minister there has been no formal change of Government policy in this area. However, there were reports of “reluctance” from Theresa May to endorse the Northern Powerhouse agenda. It was suggested that the Prime Minister prefers a regional policy which explicitly promotes a wide range of rural and urban areas outside London, rather than focusing exclusively on the North of England. 14 Nevertheless, the industrial strategy continues to include references to the Northern Powerhouse (14 in total) and the Midlands Engine (seven in total). Further information can be found in the House of Commons Library briefing paper on The Northern Powerhouse. A debate pack was prepared by the Library on The Midlands Engine too. Policies not covered by the green paper The ten pillars broadly capture Theresa May’s early policy statements (as listed in sub-section 2.1), with one notable exception – merger and acquisition rules. In her leadership speech, Theresa May stated the following on corporate takeovers: A proper industrial strategy wouldn’t automatically stop the sale of British firms to foreign ones, but it should be capable of stepping in to defend a sector that is as important as pharmaceuticals is to Britain. 15 Building our Industrial Strategy does not mention corporate take-overs. However, it was reported that a separate document is being prepared on the issue of foreign ownership of critical national infrastructure, and is expected to be published by the end of March. 16 In her leadership speech, Theresa May also talked about corporate governance and executive pay: And I want to see changes in the way that big business is governed. The people who run big businesses are supposed to be accountable to outsiders… So if I’m Prime Minister, we’re going to change that system – and we’re going to have not just consumers represented on company boards, but employees as well. … I want to make shareholder votes on corporate pay not just advisory but binding. I want to see more transparency, including the full disclosure of bonus targets and the publication of “pay multiple” data: that is, the ratio between the CEO’s pay and the 14 15 16 The Times, End of powerhouse feared as May shifts focus, 6 August 2016 Conservative Party, Speech by Theresa May: together we can make Britain a country that works for everyone, 11 July 2016. Sky News, Doncasters defence arm to be hived off over China security fears, 25 January 2017 10 Industrial strategy average company worker’s pay. And I want to simplify the way bonuses are paid so that the bosses’ incentives are better aligned with the long-term interests of the company and its shareholders. Whilst the industrial strategy green paper does mention corporate governance, the issue is covered in more depth in the Government’s Corporate Governance Reform green paper, published on 29 November 2016. The corporate governance paper explores options for strengthening the link between executive pay and long term company performance, encouraging greater investment by firms. Reactions to the green paper Reactions to the Government’s green paper were broadly positive, though criticisms were made too. Reactions from industry British Chambers of Commerce called the strategy a “first milestone in a renewed partnership between business and government, working together to create the conditions for future growth.” 17 The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) commented that it “has long-called for a new Industrial Strategy and it’s welcome to see the Government creating an opportunity for all sectors to get involved.”18 Terry Scuoler, CEO of EEF, the manufacturers’ organisation, said: [The industrial strategy] must live up to the promise of driving different behaviours and outcomes for the British economy, which requires the whole of Government working together to support it with clear leadership from the Prime Minister and her Cabinet. The fact that the PM has unveiled these plans herself suggests that this message too has successfully landed. 19 However, Terry Scuoler is also reported to have said that “the jury is still out”, and that the main significance of the strategy was that it was spearheaded by the prime minister. 20 Research by Ipsos Mori — who interviewed 114 board members at the top 500 UK companies by turnover — found that only a third thought new industrial policies would encourage growth (though interviews were prior to the publication of the Government’s green paper). 21 The Financial Times believes that skilled immigration is important to solving the UK’s productivity problems, and that trade and immigration policies cannot be easily separated: If the productivity problem is to be solved, Britain must make it easy and attractive for skilled immigrants to enter and work. This issue is mentioned [in the Government’s industrial strategy green paper] only in the limited context of attracting researchers to universities. The key role of letting international students in technical fields stay after they complete their degrees receives not BCC: Harness potential of places to make success of Industrial Strategy, 23 January 2017 18 CBI: A modern Industrial Strategy will be a landmark opportunity, 22 January 2017 19 EEF comments on industrial strategy announcement, 23 January 2017 20 FT, Theresa May’s industrial strategy meets with faint praise, 23 January 2017 21 Ipsos MORI: Captains of Industry place infrastructure at the top of their wish list, 24 January 2017 17 11 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 a word. Neither do work visas. As Prime Minister Theresa May discovered in India, exports, especially exports of services, are tied very closely to movements of people. Given the politics of Brexit, the omission of a discussion of immigration might have been politically necessary for Mrs May. It is certainly economically dangerous. 22 Reactions from politics George Osborne, former Chancellor of the Exchequer under the Cameron Government, congratulated Greg Clark, Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS): I congratulate my right hon. Friend on the intelligent approach set out in the Green Paper, building on what has been achieved over the past six years but taking it much further in skills, science and, in particular, the northern powerhouse. 23 Clive Lewis, Labour’s shadow business secretary, welcomed the broad thrust of the document but said it was thin on detail. “Unless the government puts a lot of flesh on these bones, this will be a strategy of spin rather than substance.” 24 Iain Wright, Chair of the BEIS Select Committee, said he welcomed the concept of a long-term strategy but said the paper had “no real vision” and was a “mishmash of mostly existing policies.” 25 2.3 ARM takeover On the 18th July 2016, it was announced that Arm Holdings, a Cambridge-based technology firm, had accepted a £24 billion takeover bid from Japanese firm SoftBank. Greg Clark welcomed the bid, characterising it as “a huge vote of confidence in the British economy…” and highlighting the fact that SoftBank wants to increase employment at ARM and keep ARM’s headquarters in Cambridge. However, the Government’s support for this takeover led some commentators to question the robustness of the new industrial strategy, and of the Prime Minister’s caution around foreign takeovers. Nesta – an innovation charity – commented that: 26 …we can perhaps deduce that [Theresa] May considers some industries more requiring of intervention than others... Iain Wright MP, Chair of the BEIS Select Committee, commented that: 27 … There is a tension… On the one hand, it is a good thing that Britain is open for business… [but there is]… always the risk that foreign-owned firms headquartered in other [countries] than Britain will move things away from the UK. Industrial policy in the UK, without the industry, 23 January 2017 Parliamentary proceedings | 620 cc41-67, 23 January 2017 24 FT, Theresa May’s industrial strategy meets with faint praise, 23 January 2017 25 FT, Theresa May’s industrial strategy meets with faint praise, 23 January 2017 26 Nesta, Industrial strategy back on the agenda, 22 July 2016 27 Financial Times, Government welcomes ARM takeover but tech leaders mourn loss, 18 July 2016 22 23 12 Industrial strategy The need to maintain inward investment following the EU referendum result has been suggested as a possible motivation for the rise of the industrial strategy agenda. Nesta have suggested that: 28 …private investment may take a hit [following the EU referendum result], and industrial strategy may be a method of introducing economic stimulus. Further information on takeovers and Government policy in this area can be found in the House of Commons Library Briefing Paper on the topic: Mergers and takeovers: the public interest test. 2.4 Role of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy One of Theresa May’s first acts as Prime Minister was to create a new Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) by combining most of the functions of the old Department for Business, Innovation and Skills, and the Department for Energy and Climate Change. This move was characterised as “the re-introduction of ‘industrial strategy’ to the political lexicon.” 29 Even though BEIS is nominally in charge of industrial strategy, important elements of the strategy sit with other departments. For example, higher education and skills are now with the Department for Education, procurement policy is led by the Cabinet Office, and infrastructure and productivity are mostly led by the Treasury. BEIS’s responsibilities regarding industrial strategy are summed up in the memorandum attached to the Ministerial Statement outlining the Machinery of Government changes introduced by Theresa May: 30 • Business and enterprise: cementing the UK’s position as the best place in Europe to start and grow a business – by supporting local growth, entrepreneurs, and making it easier for businesses to resolve disputes quickly and easily. • Competitiveness: developing a long-term industrial strategy, supporting competitive markets, cutting red tape and protecting intellectual property. • Science and innovation: ensuring that the UK is the best place in Europe to innovate, maintaining our world-leading research and science base to drive growth and productivity while reforming the system to maximise value from our investments. Nesta, Industrial strategy back on the agenda, 22 July 2016 Nesta, ICYMI innovation policy roundup: industrial strategy back on the agenda, 22 July 2016 30 Prime Minister Machinery of Government: Merging the Department of Energy and 28 29 Climate Change with the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills to create the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy 18 July 2016 Even though BEIS is nominally in charge of industrial strategy, important elements of the strategy sit with other departments. 13 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 Box 1: Ministerial responsibilities in BEIS The Ministerial responsibilities in BEIS are as follows: 31 • Rt. Hon. Greg Clark MP, Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, with overall responsibility for the Department. • Nick Hurd MP, Minister of State for Climate Change and Industry, leads on industrial strategy, with particular responsibility for advanced manufacturing, materials and automotive policy. • Jo Johnson MP, Minister of State for Universities, Science, Research and Innovation (joint minister with Department for Education), with responsibility for research and innovation policy, in addition to higher education. • Lord Prior of Brampton, Lords lead on all BEIS issues. • Margot James MP, Minister for Small Business, Consumers, and Corporate Responsibility, with responsibility for regional and regulatory issues. • Jesse Norman MP, Minister for Industry and Energy, supports Nick Hurd on industrial strategy, and has responsibility for aerospace, in addition to energy. In a speech delivered to The Royal Society, Greg Clark (Secretary of State at BEIS) introduced his approach to the Department’s areas of responsibility. Regarding industrial strategy he emphasised the following: 32 • • • • • • Successful industries in the UK must be recognised and supported, including automotive, aerospace and space Scientific research must be encouraged through support for relevant institutions New industries and technologies must be allowed to develop The interests of consumers must be protected and served through innovation and competitive pricing The contribution of employees and businesses owners must be recognised Local areas must be encouraged through transport, skills and “probusiness leadership”. 2.5 Cabinet Committee for industrial strategy A Cabinet Committee for industrial strategy was established in July 2016 and includes the Secretaries of State for 11 departments in order that the Government’s industrial strategy has input from all policy areas. The Committee is chaired by Theresa May. The Cabinet Committee met for the first time on Tuesday 2 August 2016. A press release summarised the Committee’s priorities: The new committee, which will bring together Secretaries of State from more than 10 government departments, will help to drive forward an industrial strategy that will aim to put the United Kingdom in a strong position for the future, promoting a diversity of industrial sectors and ensuring the benefits of growth are shared across cities and regions up and down the country. In particular, it will focus on addressing long-term productivity growth, encouraging innovation and focusing on the industries and technologies that will give the UK a competitive advantage. 31 32 BEIS website, 27 January 2017 Greg Clark speech to Royal Society: Introducing BEIS, 28 July 2016 14 Industrial strategy 2.6 BEIS Committee inquiries The Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Select Committee is conducting an inquiry into the Government's Industrial Strategy. The scope of the inquiry is outlined below: The Committee will consider what the Government means by industrial strategy and questions how interventionist in the free market it should be, such as whether it should prevent foreign takeover of UK companies. Priorities for the private sector, in terms of what businesses want from a revamped industrial strategy, the pros and cons of a sectorial approach and possible geographical emphasis will also be explored by the Committee. It will also look at the industrial strategies of previous governments and of other countries to see if there are any lessons to be learnt. The BEIS Committee is also conducting an inquiry into Corporate Governance. The scope of the inquiry is outlined below: The [BEIS] Committee has launched an inquiry on corporate governance, focussing on executive pay, directors’ duties, and the composition of boardrooms, including worker representation and gender balance in executive positions. The BEIS Committee is conducting an inquiry into the Government’s Industrial Strategy, and another inquiry into Corporate Governance 15 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 3. Risks and opportunities of Brexit This section provides an overview of how the EU exit might change important policy areas, and how these changes might affect industrial strategy and industry more broadly. The Government’s green paper contains little analysis of what Brexit might mean for industrial strategy. The paper states that the Government will welcome an agreement to continue to collaborate with European partners on major science, research and technology initiatives, 33 and that procurement policy will no longer be constrained by EU law. 34 There are no other explicit attempts to link up the Government’s industrial and Brexit strategies. The implications of Brexit are still very uncertain, though. Further information on the impact of Brexit on a range of policy areas can be found in the House of Commons Library Brexit online hub. 3.1 State Aid EU rules strictly prohibit most instances of financial support from Government to failing or threatened industries. These rules are known as ‘State Aid rules.’ Further information on their operation is available in a House of Commons Library Briefing Paper: State Aid. The UK will be a member of the EU until negotiations have been finalised. Until the UK’s formal exit, State Aid rules will still apply. After the UK exits the EU, the extent to which State Aid rules will apply will depend on the nature of the relationship with the EU that is negotiated. If the UK became a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), like Norway, then State Aid rules would still apply since they are broadly replicated in the EEA agreement. 35 If the UK negotiated a unique trade deal with the EU, then the likelihood is that some form of State Aid rules would still apply since the EU would probably require some form of state aid control – and vice versa. 36 If the UK were to leave without entering into any formal relationship with the EU, then theoretically, no form of State Aid controls would apply to the UK Government, and it would be free to provide any assistance to industries. However, various factors mean that the UK Government would be unlikely to begin subsidising failing industries: • The UK has historically been averse to providing direct financial support to failing industries 33 See p. 28 of Building our Industrial Strategy See p. 71 of Building our Industrial Strategy EEA website, State Aid Wolters Kluwer (competition law blog), Together forever? How state aid law will affect the UK even after Brexit, 2 July 2016 34 35 36 Some form of state aid controls is likely to remain 16 Industrial strategy • As a member of the World Trade Organisation (WTO), the UK is bound by the WTO Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures, which restricts the use of subsides, although less stringently than the EU State Aid rules. 37 3.2 Trade and investment “Encouraging trade and inward investment”, and “Cultivating worldleading sectors” are two pillars of the Government’s strategy. One of the reason that trade and investment are important is because they can enhance productivity growth. Productivity matters because it is a crucial contributor to a country’s long-term economic growth potential – the rate at which it can grow sustainably over many years. This connection is reflected in the green paper’s stated objective, “to improve living standards and economic growth by increasing productivity and driving growth across the whole country.” Section 6 of the House of Commons Library briefing paper on Productivity in the UK explains the channels through which Brexit can affect future productivity and growth prospects: The impact of Brexit on productivity will be felt principally via trade and investment. Economic theory and academic literature show a link between an economy’s degree of openness to foreign trade and investment and its productive capacity. 38 Many UK industries trade extensively with EU and non-EU member states. Whilst the UK is a member of the EU, trade deals are negotiated at EU level by the European Commission, meaning that trade negotiations have not formed part of the UK’s industrial strategy for many years. The precise nature of the trade relationship with the EU following the UK’s exit will determine the extent to which the current tariff-free trading relationship with other EU members will be replicated. The Government is aiming for a “comprehensive, bold and ambitious free trade agreement”. 39 Regarding trade with non-EU members, the UK will likely be able to negotiate new trade deals after leaving the EU. This might mean setting its own tariffs and other regulations. 40 The only scenario following Brexit where the UK would not have the power to set its own external trade policy would be if it stayed within the EU Customs Union, like Turkey. That scenario has been ruled out by the Prime Minister: in her 17 January 2017 speech, Theresa May stated that she did not want Britain to be bound by the Common External 37 38 39 40 WTO website, Overview of the Agreement on Subsides and Countervailing Measures House of Commons Library, Productivity in the UK, 22 November 2016, p. 15 Theresa May, The government's negotiating objectives for exiting the EU: PM speech, 17 January 2017 LSE Centre for Economic Performance, Life after BREXIT: What are the UK’s options outside the European Union?, February 2016 17 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 Tariff and prevented from striking trade agreements with other countries. 41 In a post on the Government’s industrial strategy, Chris Cook (Policy editor, Newsnight, BBC) explains that Brexit poses important trade risks to some of the industries that the Government is explicitly targeting in its industrial strategy: …there is a Brexit issue here. Pharma and car-makers are lucrative – but they are both heavily regulated around the world. Both are vulnerable as we leave the EU to the prospect that a British stamp of regulatory approval won’t mark them as safe abroad, as they are now in Europe. …The problem we need trade deals to fix is not tariffs, so much as that sort of finicky market-entry regulation.… Our top goods are unusually vulnerable to getting stuck in tiresome market approval processes. 42 3.3 Research and Development The very first pillar of the Government’s Building our Industrial Strategy is “Investing in science, research and innovation”. The green paper explains that the UK is currently very successful at attracting foreign investment for R&D and securing funding from the EU for R&D: The proportion of the UK’s business R&D investment financed from abroad is considerably higher than other countries: 22 per cent in 2013, compared to seven per cent in the OECD. Under the current European Union programme, Horizon 2020 (2014-2020) [this is the largest EU Research and Innovation programme], the UK has to date secured €2.63 billion, the second highest level of funding. 43 The EU has historically contributed large funds to UK R&D. In 2015 EU funding for research and innovation in the UK amounted to €1.3bn, or £1.1bn. 44 The vast majority of this funding comes from Horizon 2020. £1.1bn is equivalent to 19% of the UK Government’s £5.8bn budget for research and innovation in 2015-16. 45 As mentioned earlier, it is possible that the UK will decide to pay into EU research programmes such as Horizon 2020 in order to be able to continue participating in them. 46 The UK can also replace the funding domestically. Setting questions of funding aside, Brexit also presents opportunities for UK research. In its inquiry report on Leaving the EU: implications and opportunities for science and research, The Science and Technology 41 42 43 44 45 46 Theresa May, The government's negotiating objectives for exiting the EU: PM speech, 17 January 2017 Chris Cook, A few scattergun thoughts ahead of today’s industrial strategy, 23 January 2017 P. 27 Conversion at the 27 Jan 2017 exchange rate. European Commission data: http://ec.europa.eu/budget/library/biblio/documents/2015/internet-tables-20002015.xls Science and Technology Committee report, The science budget, 3 November 2015, p. 9 See p. 28 of Building our Industrial Strategy. 18 Industrial strategy Committee explores the following opportunities: revising VAT rules to stimulate university-business collaboration; regulatory reform; and creating a new visa regime that prioritises researchers at all career levels. 47 John Bell, regius professor of medicine at Oxford University, wrote in the Financial Times about the opportunities to deregulate that Brexit presents for UK science: Britain is more inclined towards a relatively liberal risk-based regulatory environment that allows fields to move quickly — to reflect on ethical issues but not to over-regulate. …We need light touch regulation similar to Switzerland so that Britain can become a global leader in life sciences, data, genomics, regenerative medicine and other innovation-based fields. State aid and industrial policy should be routine. 48 47 48 Science and Technology Committee report, Leaving the EU: implications and opportunities for science and research, 16 November 2016, p. 18-20 FT, Brexit offers opportunities for UK scientists, 25 August 2016 19 Commons Library Briefing, 31 January 2017 4. Industrial strategy under the Cameron Government, May 2015 to July 2016 The Conservative Party victory at the 2015 General Election marked a change of tone related to industrial policy, relative to the Coalition Government’s policy in this area, and the nascent industrial strategy of the May Government. The Secretary of State at BIS during the Cameron Government, Sajid Javid, told the Financial Times that “I don’t particularly like the word strategy coupled with industrial.” The term ‘industrial approach’ was widely used instead. 49 Sajid Javid outlined the Cameron Government’s industrial policy at a Mansion House speech in March 2016: 50 My approach can best be described as non-interventionist but highly engaged. It’s about building on previous success, with a much wider dialogue. About listening to businesses from all sectors, working with them to remove barriers to growth and productivity, and creating the conditions in which they can thrive. We’ll still be talking to and working with the main sector councils. They do great work and they know their areas better than anyone. But I’ve taken the old strategy’s closed shop and replaced it with an open door. A willingness to deal with representatives of all sectors and to respond positively to industry-led solutions. Steel industry crisis Sajid Javid’s time as Secretary of State with responsibility for industrial strategy coincided with the crisis in the UK steel industry of 2015 and early 2016. The Cameron Government’s actions around this time illustrate how Javid’s “non-interventionist but highly engaged” industrial policy operated. As steel plants in Teeside and South Wales closed in the face of plummeting global steel prices, the Government did not provide direct financial support to keep them open. Rather it worked with potential buyers to secure deals that might preserve the industry in some areas. In addition, it developed re-training packages for areas which had seen closures, lobbied for changes to trade policy at EU level, and worked to find ways of mitigating price pressures in the UK including business rates and energy prices. Further information on the steel industry and the Cameron Government’s response to the crisis can be found in the House of Commons Library Briefing Paper, Steel industry: statistics and policy. 49 50 Financial Times, Sajid Javid heralds Thatcherite approach to business policy, 16 September 2015 BIS, Sajid Javid speech to Mansion House, 3 March 2016 20 Industrial strategy 5. Industrial strategy under the Coalition Government, 2010 to 2015 The Coalition Government came to power as the UK was recovering from the recession of 2008 and 2009. The Secretary of State at BIS, Vince Cable, expressed enthusiasm for a sector based industrial strategy as a way of boosting economic growth. Vince Cable set out the Coalition Government’s approach to industrial policy in a speech in September 2012. In summary, he highlighted that the Government has confidence in the market enabling economic growth, but that in some circumstances, “market failures” mean intervention is required: 51 A good industrial strategy allows for failures, and recognises that innovation may strike in an unpredictable place - we must be ready for that too. But as the credit crunch showed, there are huge risks to taking a complacent, hands off approach. The Coalition Government’s industrial strategy featured five key themes: • Boosting the development of 11 key sectors • Supporting the development of eight key technologies • Increasing access to finance for businesses • Developing the skills of employees in key sectors • Using public procurement to create opportunities for UK firms and supply chains A particularly important aspect of the strategy was the support for specific sectors. This involved the Government identifying sectors that they saw as strategically important, “tradeable” and with a “proven commitment to innovation.” 52 Further information on how the Government chose the sectors is available in the Government document, UK sector analysis. 53 The Government’s intervention in each of these sectors involved a highlevel forum (such as the Automotive Council) that brought together industry leaders and relevant senior Government figures to discuss barriers to growth and other issues specific to the sector; a commitment to the development of specific training institutions or initiatives within the sector and some match-funded financial commitments to certain aspects of the sectors. Further information can be found in the House of Commons Library Briefing, Industrial strategy, 2010 to 2015. Vince Cable, Speech: Industrial Strategy: Cable outlines vision for future of British industry, 11 September 2012 52 Vince Cable, Speech: Industrial strategy: next steps, IPPR conference, 27 February 2012 53 BIS, Industrial strategy: UK sector analysis, September 2012 51 About the Library The House of Commons Library research service provides MPs and their staff with the impartial briefing and evidence base they need to do their work in scrutinising Government, proposing legislation, and supporting constituents. As well as providing MPs with a confidential service we publish open briefing papers, which are available on the Parliament website. Every effort is made to ensure that the information contained in these publicly available research briefings is correct at the time of publication. Readers should be aware however that briefings are not necessarily updated or otherwise amended to reflect subsequent changes. If you have any comments on our briefings please email [email protected]. Authors are available to discuss the content of this briefing only with Members and their staff. If you have any general questions about the work of the House of Commons you can email [email protected]. Disclaimer This information is provided to Members of Parliament in support of their parliamentary duties. It is a general briefing only and should not be relied on as a substitute for specific advice. The House of Commons or the author(s) shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any loss or damage of any kind arising from its use, and may remove, vary or amend any information at any time without prior notice. BRIEFING PAPER Number 07682 31 January 2017 The House of Commons accepts no responsibility for any references or links to, or the content of, information maintained by third parties. This information is provided subject to the conditions of the Open Parliament Licence.
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