The Value of an Investment Process Advance Capital Management, Inc. is an SEC registered investment adviser. Registration with the SEC does not imply any level of skill or training. THIS MATERIAL IS FOR INSTITUTIONAL/RIA USE ONLY. NOT FOR USE WITH THE PUBLIC. Who We Are – Advance Capital Chris Kostiz President & Chief Investment Officer John Pelon Institutional Business Director 2 Strategy Behind Every Move Your average financial adviser 3 Strategy Behind Every Move Your average financial adviser Consistency across client portfolios Client retention Identifying problems early Contingency planning SEC scrutiny 4 Performance Strategy Behind Every Move 2016 “Typical” SEC-Registered Investment Advisor 9 26-100 employees clients 103 accounts Source: IAA Newsletter 5 Strategy Behind Every Move The investment process – NYU 6 Strategy Behind Every Move Looks like an investment process? Pick only 4 and 5 star mutual funds Wholesaler’s best ideas Your firm’s “select” list Favorite funds Gut feeling 7 Strategy Behind Every Move What makes a “good” investment process? Plan + Discipline = Investment Process 8 Strategy Behind Every Move What makes a “good” investment process? 9 Strategy Behind Every Move Process defines “absolutes” Size Tenure Return Buy or sell? 10 Strategy Behind Every Move Example: Manager Departure 11 Strategy Behind Every Move An art or a science? 12 Strategy Behind Every Move Example: Did Not Agree Templeton Global Bond Fund (Thesis past few years) - China growth remains intact U.S interest rates to increase Long European periphery currency 13 Strategy Behind Every Move Developing an Investment Process 14 Strategy Behind Every Move Investment Process Checklist Investment Policy Statement Capital market assumptions Security screening criteria & process Due diligence Implementation & trading Ongoing monitoring Performance attribution analysis Reporting 15 Strategy Behind Every Move Investment Process: Summary Risk Management Build Expected Return Forecasts Client Risk and Return Objectives Client Investment Constraint Asset Class & Strategy Selection Portfolio Construction Forward looking return expectations Long-term time horizon Correlation analysis Ex-Ante Applied throughout the investment process In-depth analysis and review of client objectives Proprietary search criteria and performance evaluation In-depth quantitative and qualitative manager due diligence Selection and on-going monitoring Ex-Post Ongoing portfolio reviews: (Performance, exposures, attribution) Evaluation of absolute and relative risks Beta Standard deviation Information ratio Alpha Downside volatility Ongoing active management Multiple quantitative and qualitative factors analyzed Past performance does not guarantee future results. Portfolio managers may use some or all of the techniques described herein. No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee returns or eliminate risk in any market environment. 16 Strategy Behind Every Move ACM 7-Step Screening & Due Diligence Process 17 Strategy Behind Every Move Step 1 – Idea Generation & Research Prioritization 18 Industry Contacts Quantitative screens Continuing Education Existing Relationships Strategy Behind Every Move Step 2 – Performance Analysis Style Consistency Risk‐Adjusted Performance Metrics • Alpha • Sharpe Ratio • Information Ratio • Expense Level vs Peers 19 Strategy Behind Every Move Step 3 – Due Diligence Questionnaire Investment Philosophy_______________ Portfolio Style__________________ Compensation Structure________________ Expense Levels____________________ Team Bios__________________ Risk Policies_____________________ 20 Strategy Behind Every Move Step 4 – Interview Portfolio Managers Integrity Sustainable process Execution Conviction Team structure 21 Strategy Behind Every Move Step 5 – ACM Team Collaboration 22 Strategy Behind Every Move Step 6 – Final Follow Up 23 Strategy Behind Every Move Step 7 – Ongoing Monitoring Attribution analysis 24 Scorecard Strategy performance Regular reviews with managers Exposure & risk assessment Strategy Behind Every Move Final Thoughts investment teams investment teams 25 Strategy Behind Every Move
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