Source: http://www.archdaily.com/
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Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision
Thomas Nowak
Secretary General EHPA
Scenario implications 1,5C and 2C
Source: Rogelj, J.: http://www.iea.org/media/workshops/2016/etp2017/3_Rogelj_IEA_ETP_WB2DS_Workshop_20160620_distri.pdf
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Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
We need to
decarbonise
the energy system!
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!! % values apply
on total!
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EHPA contribution to CoolingEU | Thomas Nowak | 30.09.2016
Source: Fraunhofer ISI et al. (2016): Report WP 1, p.83
Final energy demand for EU28 by end-use for H/C in all
sectors in 2012 [total: 12 820 TWh]
We need to
decarbonise
the heating sector!
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Maybe still not obvious, yet:
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Decarbonizing the energy system
How much CO2 emissions are available for heating?
Mt5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
Source:
edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu
Own calculations
1,000
500
0
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Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
Last CO2 emitting
heating technology
sold
Investement in
demand reduction / efficiency
Reduction of CO2 emissions in the heating sector
Investment in efficiency AND technology essential
Investement in heating technology
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Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
Linear emission reduction: necessary steps by 2050
100
90
80
70
%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2015
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2022
2029
2036
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
2043
2050
Avg. CO2 emissions/kWh: status quo 2015 & target values
(Source: EU building stock 2015, Entranze, own calculations)
g CO2/kWh
0,50
0,45
0,40
0,35
Average
emissions
per kWh
=100%
0,30
0,25
0,20
0,15
0,10
0,05
0,00
10
2015
50
2022 29
2036 43
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Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
Source: http://www.energyplan.eu/
Moving heat pumps at the center of the energy system
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Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
HP business models
”Re-think the heating heat pump industry…
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R&D
“re-design
manufacturing
“re-tool
installation
“re-skill
maintenance
Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
…within 35 years
In my 2050 vision, heat pumps fit everywhere
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•Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016
Thomas Nowak
[email protected]
+49 176 6320 1140
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Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016