Scholar Workbook Mod 8: Being Bankable RCP Case (E) – October 2014 Proprietary & Confidential Page 1 Table of Contents Introduction: Being Bankable ..................................................................................................... 3 Mod 8_1: Funders’ Panel........................................................................................................... 4 Mod 8_2 Exercise RCP: CASE (E) ............................................................................................ 5 Mod 9 Pre-Work: Scholar Final Presentation – Growth Pitch .................................................. 10 Introduction: Being Bankable Being Bankable incorporates much of the learning from the earlier modules and is designed to move you closer to the completion of your growth plans and prepare you to access the capital that might be needed to achieve your growth goals. The main goal of Being Bankable is to help you describe your growth opportunities using financial terms and other metrics and then determine potential sources of funding. The day begins with the Funders Panel. This panel will be made up of local professionals that represent the types of funding available in your local ecosystem. This panel will help you understand the variety of funding options and what is important to know and understand of each. After a debrief of the panel, you will help two scholars evaluate their 5-year forecast discussing the struggles in developing a forecast and the lessons learned. The day will then move into discussions on business valuation and what tools can be used to value your own business. The remainder of the day will be spent presenting and refining your Funding Pitches. We will have outside guests from the community who will observe your pitches and advise on how to improve those pitches. Learning Goals & Objectives Understand the different funding options available for scholars’ businesses, including the difference between debt and equity and the pros and cons of each Finalize financial forecast and understand the elements in a good forecast Develop a funding strategy and plan for attracting the necessary capital Use relative valuation techniques to estimate the value of a business Practice communicating the financial aspects of a growth opportunity Mod 8_1: Funders’ Panel Description Panel Selection The participants on the Funders’ Panel to be selected by the GS Program Officer and CC team as representative of the types of funding available in the local entrepreneurship ecosystem. Three particularly types of funders are always included: 1) the local 10KSB partner for access to capital, an equity provider (angel or venture capitalist), and 3) a local bank with a strong SBA loan guarantee program. Each participant should be pre-screened as to their ability to communicate about their programs and services in an engaging and informative manner. Learning Objectives Please note this panel is a key learning unit in the day, and the overall learning objectives we hope to achieve are as follows: Understand and delineate between the variety of funding alternatives Understand the components of a properly formatted funding request Understand, distinguish and discuss SBA, Commercial Bank and CDFI loan parameters Understand and discuss equity investor parameters Understand the importance and the required actions to build a good banker/investor relationship Panel Process Panel participants should be asked to arrive 30 minutes prior to the start of the panel for a briefing. The goal of the panel is to move beyond “talking heads” in order to have a highly interactive discussion between the business support service providers and the scholars. The panel participants will be provided the opening questions prior to their arrival. Mod 8_2 Exercise RCP: CASE (E) Financial Statement Fundamentals: Valuation By Richard T. Bliss and Michael Fetters, Babson College Background At the end of 2013, Reuse Consumer Products (RCP) was in a tenuous financial position and the company’s survival was in question. In the (D) case of the RCP series, the focus is on turning the company’s five-year strategy into a financial forecast for the period 2014-2018. The (D) case also considers two scenarios and their impact on 2014 financial performance and the need for funding. The objective is to evaluate the feasibility of RCP’s turnaround strategy. In this case, we turn to the valuation of RCP. Valuation is important to all businesses large and small, and is often a critical factor in raising capital. Rather than look at the company in 2013, when the financial picture was bleak, this case asks the question “What might RCP be worth in five years if they are able to successfully execute the turnaround strategy described in the base case five-year financial forecast?” Introduction There are many approaches to valuing a business, including the following: Liquidation Asset replacement Discounted cash flow (DCF) Comparable analysis (multiples or relative valuation) The most widely used are DCF and comparables analysis. In this exercise we will use comparable analysis as it is often used to value small or new ventures and is computationally straightforward. There are two approaches to comparables analysis Transaction multiples – merger and acquisition (M&A) transactions or firms going public (IPOs) are used as the benchmark Trading multiples – comparable public companies are used as the benchmark The methodology is similar for both approaches: 1. Select the transactions/comparable companies most applicable to the venture being valued. 2. Collect relevant financial data on the comparable transactions/companies. 3. Calculate the appropriate multiples for the comparable transactions/firms 4. Apply the multiples to the venture being valued and interpret the results Figures 1 and 2 below contain data needed for two types of analysis: Comparable M&A transactions Comparable IPO transactions Please note that in all cases, the selection of benchmark companies is subjective and no comparable is exactly like RCP. In fact, many differ significantly. For the M&A and IPO transactions in Figures 1 and 2, all of the deals are in the Consumer Discretionary & Staples industry, yet there is a wide range of segments, business models, transaction sizes, and dates. In practice, valuation methodologies should both recognize and accommodate these data limitations.1 Figure 3 contains RCP’s 2014-2018 financial forecast which is taken from the (D) Case. Assignment 1. Which set of data (Figures 1 and 2) would you recommend using to value RCP at the end of 2018? Explain the factors behind your choice. 2. Using the data in Figures 1 and 2, estimate the value of RCP’s equity at the end of 2018 based on the following: a. M&A comparables (transaction multiples) b. IPO comparables (transaction multiples) 3. Explain any significant differences in your results from Question 2. Which valuation estimates do you think are most reliable? Why? 1 Sometimes valuation methods will be dictated by the data available and in these cases adjustments to the calculated valuations can be applied. For example, if data availability necessitates using publically traded companies, valuation professionals often discount the calculated value by 20%-35% to reflect the size differential and lack of marketability of a smaller, private company. For more detail, see Valuing a Business, 5th edition, Shannon Pratt, © 2008, McGraw-Hill. Figure 1 – Recent M&A Transactions: Consumer Discretionary & Staples Industries Capital IQ Transaction Screening Report Screening Criteria 1) 2) 3) 4) All Transactions Closed Date: [6/1/2011-12/31/2013] Merger/Acquisition Features: Acquisition of Majority Stake Industry Classifications (Target/Issuer): Consumer Discretionary (Primary) Consideration Offered: Cash Purchase Price Close Date 08/31/2011 04/22/2012 Target Data LTM (last 12 months) Target Concorde Career Colleges, Inc. ($millions) Buyer Revenue EBITDA Net Profit $114.4 Liberty Partners $90.89 $8.07 $4.20 New Orleans Nights $4.9 Rick's Cabaret International Inc. Peterson Partners LP; Sorenson Capital Enliven Marketing Technologies Corporation. $4.05 $0.82 $0.46 $60.34 $8.41 $4.45 $5.03 $1.12 $0.92 07/16/2012 MITY Enterprises, Inc. $79.1 10/30/2012 Springbox, Ltd. $9.8 11/04/2012 Back Yard Burgers, Inc. $43.6 Cherokee Advisors LLC $45.43 $4.25 $1.34 01/03/2013 Fox Factory, Inc. $85.0 Compass Diversified Holdings (NYSE:CODI) $98.73 $9.20 $8.53 01/27/2013 Marlin Firearms Company, Inc. $48.5 Remington Arms Co. Inc. $71.47 $5.38 $2.58 Faculty Guidebook Mod 8 – Updated July 2015 Proprietary & Confidential Page 7 of 10 Figure 2 – Recent IPO Transactions: Consumer Discretionary & Staples Industries IPO Transactions (Consumer Discretionary & Staples) Year of IPO Announcement ($000s) Announced Date Target/Issuer Market Cap @ IPO ($000s) 07/11/2011 Tootie Pie Company Inc (OTCBB:TOOT) $4,760 $1,540 $295 $1,000 09/01/2011 Heelys, Inc. (NasdaqCM:HLYS) $134,930 $69,310 $14,200 $21,560 06/20/2012 $132,000 $99,300 $12,350 $34,120 07/06/2012 Vitacost.com, Inc. (NasdaqGM:VITC) Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ULTA) $153,710 $43,500 $19,850 $39,270 07/26/2012 K12, Inc. (NYSE:LRN) $108,000 $32,450 $11,900 $12,360 08/10/2012 Healthy Fast Food, Inc. (OTCBB:HFFI) $5,100 $2,350 ($682) ($550) 05/02/2013 Mood Media Corporation (TSX:MM) Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (NasdaqGS:LOPE) $26,650 $11,400 $4,215 $126 $126,000 $120,500 $17,900 $23,600 05/13/2013 06/30/2013 Revenue EBITDA BV of Equity $9,550 $4,690 $2,350 $1,265 12/18/2013 ID Watchdog, Inc. (TSXV:IDW) Mead Johnson Nutrition Company (NYSE:MJN) $720,000 $235,700 $123,500 ($6,850) 12/22/2013 Bridgepoint Education, Inc. (NYSE:BPI) $141,750 $76,320 $35,900 $29,560 Faculty Guidebook Mod 8 – Updated July 2015 Proprietary & Confidential Page 8 of 10 Figure 3 – RCP Financial Forecast: 2014-2018 Income Statement Revenues CGS Gross Profit Selling G&A Development Operating Profit (EBIT) Interest EBT Tax Expense Net Income Balance Sheet Assets Cash Accounts Receivable Inventory Total Current Assets PP&E, Gross Less: Accumulated Depreciation PP&E, Net Other Assets Total Assets Liabilities Accounts Payable Accrued Expenses Credit Card Line of Credit Other Liability (Loan from Executive) Total Current Liabilities Long term Debt Total Liabilities Stockholders' Equity Common Stock Retained Earnings Total Stockholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity EBITDA 2013 (act.) $4,200,000 ($2,800,000) $1,400,000 ($720,000) ($520,000) ($150,000) $10,000 ($60,000) ($50,000) $0 ($50,000) Forecast 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $4,578,000 $5,173,140 $5,690,454 $6,088,786 $6,332,337 ($2,929,920) ($3,259,078) ($3,528,081) ($3,714,159) ($3,799,402) $1,648,080 $1,914,062 $2,162,373 $2,374,626 $2,532,935 ($766,240) ($813,851) ($855,236) ($887,103) ($906,587) ($520,000) ($553,800) ($581,490) ($601,842) ($613,879) ($137,340) ($155,194) ($170,714) ($182,664) ($189,970) $224,500 $391,216 $554,933 $703,018 $822,499 ($68,250) ($64,750) ($56,000) ($45,500) ($43,750) $156,250 $326,466 $498,933 $657,518 $778,749 ($54,688) ($114,263) ($174,626) ($230,131) ($272,562) $101,563 $212,203 $324,306 $427,387 $506,187 2013 (act.) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $20,000 $500,000 $350,800 $870,800 $662,000 ($140,000) $522,000 $20,000 $1,412,800 $32,326 $457,800 $390,656 $880,782 $700,000 ($170,000) $530,000 $20,000 $1,430,782 $62,235 $517,314 $434,544 $1,014,093 $730,000 ($200,000) $530,000 $20,000 $1,564,093 $186,798 $569,045 $470,411 $1,226,254 $760,000 ($230,000) $530,000 $20,000 $1,776,254 $551,009 $608,879 $495,221 $1,655,109 $790,000 ($260,000) $530,000 $20,000 $2,205,109 $1,034,072 $633,234 $506,587 $2,173,892 $820,000 ($290,000) $530,000 $20,000 $2,723,892 $405,000 $66,000 $75,000 $300,000 $150,000 $996,000 $450,000 $1,446,000 $366,240 $71,179 $75,000 $250,000 $150,000 $912,419 $450,000 $1,362,419 $407,385 $76,142 $50,000 $250,000 $50,000 $833,527 $450,000 $1,283,527 $441,010 $80,372 $25,000 $175,000 $0 $721,382 $450,000 $1,171,382 $464,270 $83,580 $0 $175,000 $0 $722,850 $450,000 $1,172,850 $474,925 $85,522 $0 $175,000 $0 $735,447 $450,000 $1,185,447 $1,580,000 ($1,613,200) ($33,200) $1,412,800 $1,580,000 $1,580,000 $1,580,000 ($1,511,638) ($1,299,434) ($975,128) $68,363 $280,566 $604,872 $1,430,782 $1,564,093 $1,776,254 $1,580,000 ($547,742) $1,032,258 $2,205,109 $1,580,000 ($41,555) $1,538,445 $2,723,892 $30,000 Faculty Guidebook Mod 8 – Updated July 2015 $254,500 $421,216 $584,933 Proprietary & Confidential $733,018 $852,499 Page 9 of 10 Mod 9 Pre-Work: Scholar Final Presentation – Growth Pitch The formal course component of our Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses initiative is coming to a close in Session 9, and each of you will have the opportunity to present your Growth Plan Pitch to the entire class. As you prepare for your pitch, keep in mind that this exercise is meant as the beginning of the next steps you will take to grow your business. You’ve learned the importance of having a clear understanding of how your business operates your goals for the business, your plan to grow your business through both revenues and job creation. You’ve also learned how to measure your progress along your chosen path, and how you will tactically act to achieve those goals and objectives. Part of the focus of this final mod is to practice how to clearly and succinctly communicate these ideas to investors, partners, employees, vendors, clients and colleagues in - (drum roll here) an efficient, effective, and compelling manner. Your pitch should be completed, reviewed and practiced (multiple times) before the session so that you are comfortable with all the material and are able to speak to the issues and concepts clearly and in an easy to understand manner. Please plan on crafting a ‘Rocket Pitch’ of your pitch in MS PowerPoint which should be 3 slides in length and should cover a maximum of 3 minutes time. A ‘Rocket Pitch’ is simply an abbreviated, ‘to-the-point’ pitch that covers only essential material in very clear and direct format. The goal is to ‘get your point across’ quickly, simply and effectively so that all listeners will understand completely and be inspired by the message you wish to convey. Thus, it does not contain jargon, Your Final Growth Plan Pitch should include a statement of “What is your Business” followed by these 3 components: 1. What are the 3 Key Points of your Growth Plan? 2. What are the Critical Success Factors you identified to Track through your Dashboard? 3. What are the 3 Key Steps you will next execute to Grow your Business? The best pitches include specific metrics that allow the audience to understand your business and where you are going to take that business, as well as the how. Faculty Guidebook Mod 8 – Updated July 2015 Proprietary & Confidential Page 10 of 10
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