Embodied Energy of Lost Water: Evaluating the Energy Efficiency of Infrastructure Investments Craig Aubuchon, Analysis Group, Inc. 111 Huntington Avenue, 10th Floor Boston, MA 02199 (617) 425-8000 J. Alan Roberson, American Water Works Association West 1300 Eye Street NW Washington, DC 20005 (202) 628-8303 ABSTRACT In recent years, the water and wastewater industries have seen an increased interest in research, funding, and application of energy efficiency investments related to the production and distribution of clean water. However, during this same period, funding needs for traditional distribution and infrastructure issues have also continued to increase. Since a primary concern with infrastructure investments is to reduce the amount of non-revenue or lost water, the current research combines data from three novel sources to estimate the embodied energy of nonrevenue water. We find that the mean embodied energy of lost water for 270 utilities in 2010 was 1,849 MWh of electricity and 1,360 short tons of CO2. These findings compare favorably to other energy efficiency programs implemented for water and wastewater treatment plants under the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. Therefore, the magnitude of these findings suggests that for some utilities, investment in infrastructure replacement may provide significant energy efficiency benefits. KEYWORDS Non-Revenue Water; Embodied Energy; Carbon Emissions INTRODUCTION The Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) estimates that drinking water and wastewater systems account for almost 4% of total U.S. energy use. 1 In part to address the significance and magnitude of this number, the 2009 American Recovery and Re-investment Act (“ARRA”) initiated several new investments in energy efficiency projects for water and wastewater utilities.2 These investments came at a critical time and demonstrated a renewed interest in water utility infrastructure, particularly as it relates to energy use . However, as the groundbreaking AWWA report, ‘Buried No Longer’ highlighted, the necessary investments to replace underground infrastructure could approach over $1 trillion over the next 25 years. 3 This fact alone explains why ‘infrastructure’ is consistently identified as one of the top industry concerns over the next five years (Murphy, 2011). However, the same State of the Industry Report also identified ‘infrastructure’ as the most inadequately addressed issue. To help address the current gap between funding available for energy efficiency energy projects and the growing financial needs for underground infrastructure investment, this analysis estimates the embodied energy non-revenue/lost water for a subset of utilities from the 2010 American Water Works Association/Raftelis Financial Consulting (AWWA/RFC) rates survey. In particular, we find that by combining simple engineering estimates of unit electricity consumption with regional emissions rates, the mean embodied energy of lost water for 270 utilities in 2010 was 1,849 MWh of electricity and 1,360 short tons of CO2. The magnitude of these findings suggests that for some utilities, investment in infrastructure replacement may provide significant energy efficiency benefits. Where does Efficiency fit into the Water-Energy Nexus? Two statistics are often used in the context of a discussion of the water-energy nexus; the first has already been mentioned: EPA estimates that drinking water and wastewater systems account for approximately 4% of total U.S. energy use. The second refers to water consumption by energy utilities: thermoelectric power generation water withdrawals account for roughly 50% of total U.S. withdrawals (USGS, 2009). Others have offered refinements on these general estimates, but the end goal is the same – to estimate the resource consumption of one sector from another sector. 4 Typical energy efficiency investments in the water sector have focused on efforts to reduce energy use for water treatment and distribution. These include strategies to optimize pumping systems, treatment systems and to generate energy resources on-site (EPA, 2008, 2010; ACEEE, 2013). These investments are an important strategy to reduce overall energy use and lower carbon emissions since they target one of the largest sectors of electricity nation-wide. The point of the present research is not to suggest that energy efficiency investments are poor allocations of public funds or revenue; rather, the question is how to best maximize scarce resources among often times competing and important priorities. Thus, consideration of the water-energy nexus helps to show that reductions in water demand can also reduce energy consumption, since less raw water must be treated, regardless of the pump efficiency. Equally important, reductions in water demand at the distribution/retail stage also benefit electricity generation units to the extent that there is less demand on raw water sources. Non-revenue water, defined as the difference between the water that leaves the treatment plant and the water that is metered at the customer tap requires energy to produce and at the same time, represents raw water that is not available to other uses such as power generation. As the name suggests, it costs the utility money to produce the water, but because the water is lost during distribution, it is not available to generate revenue. Thus, non-revenue water represents an important win-win-win opportunity by reducing energy use through an optimization of treatment volumes, increasing raw water supplies for other uses, and increasing revenues (or decreasing production costs) for water utilities. By presenting the energy-efficiency benefits from investments in distribution infrastructure, it may be possible to align funding needs more closely with spending priorities. The growing gap between funding priorities and needs is illustrated by the 2007 Drinking Water Infrastructure Needs Survey and Assessment (DWSRF, 2009), which estimated that infrastructure spending needs for the 2007-2026 period was $334.8 billion, with 60% of that need for transmission and distribution and 22% for treatment. In contrast, during the 2009 program cycle, the Drinking Water State Revolving Fund (“DWSRF”) allocated 37% of assistance to transmission and distribution and 43% to treatment needs. The 2009 DWSRF annual report notes that funding for treatment projects better meet the public health protection objective of the DWSRF, while distribution projects are more often financed by cash reserves or on a pay-as-you-go basis. However, the 2009 ARRA funding demonstrated a higher level concern with energy efficiency: the Department of Energy received $28.5 billion in awards for contracts/grants/loans, while the EPA and the Clean Water and Safe Drinking Water Revolving Funds received $4 and $2 billion, respectively. METHODOLOGY To calculate the embodied energy in lost water, we combine several data sources in a novel manner. In particular, we use: • • • The 2010 AWWA/RFC rates survey, which sampled over 300 water and wastewater utilities. This survey includes data on Utility size, region, rates, capacity, demand, and lost water. Unit Energy Consumption estimates from the 2002 Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) report that underlies the 4% energy consumption number routinely cited from the EPA. CO2 emissions rate models from the EPA Emissions & Generation Resource Integrated Database (eGRID) for the year 2009 power generation sector. The 2010 AWWA/RFC rate survey is among the largest and most detailed rate surveys of its kind. Figure 1 shows the distribution of surveyed utilities across the U.S. An important caveat to using the AWWA/RFC data is that the survey is not a random sample of utilities; in particular, it is known to oversample larger utilities, particularly in the west and southwest. Therefore, it is important to consider that the average energy use values or average carbon emissions presented here may not be representative of a true national average. Instead, what is important is the general magnitude of the findings and the method by which individual utilities can easily replicate these results using their own utility specific data in a benefit cost analysis test for future infrastructure projects. The rate survey classifies utilities into three groups (group A utilities have average daily sales greater than 75 MGD; group B utilities serve greater than 20 MGD per day, and group C utilities serve less than 20 MGD) and four regions (Northeast, South, West, Midwest). Within the survey, not all utilities reported values for daily treatment capacity, lost water as a percentage of total sales, and annual rates. After dropping utilities without relevant data, we were able to estimate the embodied energy of 270 utilities; 39 group A utilities, 78 group B, and 153 group C utilities. Of these 270, 82 were located in the West, 112 in the South, 52 in the Midwest, and 24 in the Northeast. Figure 1. Water and Wastewater Utilities in the 2010 American Water Works Association/ Raftelis Financial Consulting Survey For each utility, the embodied energy of lost water was calculated as: Equation 1. 𝐸𝑚𝑏𝑜𝑑𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 (𝑀𝑊ℎ) 𝑜𝑓 𝐿𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑊𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑟 = 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑆𝑜𝑙𝑑 (𝑀𝑀𝐺𝑎𝑙) ∗ 𝑘𝑊ℎ 1𝑀𝑊ℎ 𝐿𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑊𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑟 (%) ∗ 𝑈𝑛𝑖𝑡 𝐸𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 �𝑀𝑔𝑎𝑙� ∗ (1000𝑘𝑊ℎ) Table 1 provides the EPRI (2002) estimates for the total unit electricity consumption by treatment plant size and source water. Table 1: Total Unit Electricity Consumption by Plant Size Treatment Plant Size Unit Electricity Consumption (MGD) (kWh/Mgal) 1 5 10 20 50 100 1,483 1,418 1,406 1,409 1,408 1,407 Note: GW is 30% higher, independent of the size of pump From the AWWA/RFC data, we were able to estimate unit electricity consumption for each utility based on its source water and size. First, the utility was matched to the EPRI data based on its daily treatment capacity (for example, a utility with a daily treatment capacity of 17 Mgal was assumed to have a unit electricity consumption of 1,409 kWh/Mgal). Second, we calculated the weighted average of electricity consumption from the proportion of source water from surface and ground water, with ground water requiring 30% higher energy consumption. We assumed that all wholesale purchases of water came from surface water plants; this is a conservative estimate for the embodied energy consumption, particularly since it doesn’t account for the energy required for transmission between wholesale provider and the distribution utility. Table 2 provides descriptive statistics for the lost water (in pct and Mgal) and embodied electricity consumption for the utilities in our sample. 5 The AWWA/RFC survey includes the question: “Please provide the estimated percentage of water loss for your utility in your 2009 operating period” Unfortunately, this question does not differentiate between lost water and non-revenue water. AWWA (1996) defines ‘lost water’ as: unidentified leakage, meter inaccuracies, theft, underestimated accounts, improperly typed and sized meters, meter reading errors, and accounting errors. It is unclear how utilities interpreted this question; in contrast to non-revenue water, lost water could include known leaks and losses. The water loss percentage reported on the survey form could either overstate non-revenue water, if it includes known leaks, or it could understate non-revenue water if it does not fully account for unknown losses. In the present analysis, we do not differentiate among the reasons for lost water. Although our focus is on recapturing lost water due to leakage, increases in meter accuracy and accounting errors could also reduce demand, particularly if they require the customer to pay for water they had previously been unbilled. Most utilities self-reported lost water values less than 10%, the recommended measure from AWWA (1996). However, the utilities with the greatest water loss all reported values greater than 20%, irrespective of size or region. Within the current panel, water loss is highest, both in maximum percentages and in mean loss, for the Northeast and Midwest. In both regions, nearly 60% of the current infrastructure was built prior to 1940 (AWWA, 2012) and contains a high percentage of cast iron pipes. The same is true for the total amount of water lost (in Mgal). In contrast, the Northeast has the lowest unit electricity cost, possibly reflecting a higher proportion of surface water systems in the sample. The mean unit electric rate is 1,480 kWh/Mgal in the Northeast, 1,577 in the Midwest, 1,522 in the South and 1,530 in the West. In terms of gross embodied energy, the Northeast still has the highest average, while larger systems (with a larger volume of total water lost) also have higher rates of lost embodied energy. Table 2: Reported Values for Lost Water (% and Mgal/year) and Estimated Unit Energy Consumption of Lost Water Lost Water (pct) Utility Sub-Sample Total A B C West South Midwest Northeast Min 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 Max 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.32 0.23 0.31 0.38 0.38 Mean 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.17 Median 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.10 0.12 0.16 Std 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.09 Count 275 41 79 155 84 114 53 24 Lost Water (Mgal) Total A B C West South Midwest Northeast 0.11 613 86 0.11 0.11 14.28 23.11 65.42 35,837 35,837 5,181 7,923 6,768 25,316 19,357 35,837 1,591 6,576 1,317 452 1,040 1,516 1,487 4,027 522 4,977 1,071 274 455 523 435 1,628 3,474 7,052 955 824 1,473 2,883 3,174 7,957 269 39 78 152 81 112 52 24 Embodied Energy Consumption of Lost Water (MWh) Total A B C West South Midwest Northeast 0.18 863 134 0.2 0.18 20 42 94 50,423 50,423 7,290 11,147 13,048 38,826 27,235 50,423 2,369 9,762 1,955 685 1,586 2,288 2,231 5,695 787 7,468 1,561 423 703 791 613 2,292 5,059 10,175 1,353 1,178 2,304 4,439 4,547 11,185 269 39 78 152 81 112 52 24 Next, we use emissions rate data from the EPA eGRID database 6 to calculate the embedded CO2 emissions in lost water as a function of the embodied energy used during production. Carbon emission rates vary regionally based on the electricity generating units within each power region. The eGRID database calculates the average annual emission rate based on 2009 power plant data for actual CO2 emissions and generation rates. Regions with more coal units have higher emission rates, while regions with more natural gas or hydropower generation units have lower CO2 rates. Aggregated up from the EPA subregions to the AWWA/RFC regions, the mean emission rate for energy consumed by water utilities was 817 lbs CO2 per MWh for the Northeast, 934 lbs CO2/MWh in the West, 1200 lbs CO2/MWh in the South, and 1617 lbs CO2/MWh in the Midwest. Figure 3, taken from the EPA eGRID database, shows the 22 subregions of the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC). Figure 2.EPA eGRID sub-region representational map The current version of the eGRID power profiler zip code tool allows data users to input up to 2000 zip codes, and it then automatically determines the eGRID sub-region and displays total output emission rates for CO2, N20, and CH4. Previous iterations of the eGRID database have also provided data for non-base load emission rates. The total CO2 emissions embodied was determined as: Equation 2. 𝐸𝑚𝑏𝑜𝑑𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝐸𝑚𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 (𝑠ℎ𝑜𝑟𝑡 𝑡𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝐶𝑂2) 𝑜𝑓 𝐿𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑊𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑟 = 𝑙𝑏𝑠 𝐶𝑂2 𝐸𝑚𝑏𝑜𝑑𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝐿𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑊𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑟 (𝑀𝑊ℎ) ∗ 𝑒𝐺𝑅𝐼𝐷 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑚𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 ( 𝑀𝑊ℎ ) RESULTS We were able to calculate embodied CO2 emissions for 270 utilities in the AWWA/RFC rate survey. The wide range of values depends on three main factors: the volume of lost water, the amount of energy required to treat and produce the water, and the underlying generation technology to produce the electricity. Table 3 provides additional details on the embedded CO2 emissions. Values range from a low of 0.06 short tons of CO2 in the 2009 year for a small utility in the West to a high of 22,941 short tons of CO2 for a large utility in the South. The average embodied emissions for the full sample is 1,333 short tons of CO2, but due primarily to the volume of lost water, larger systems tend to have higher total embodied CO2 emissions. Utilities in the Northeast have the highest mean level of embodied CO2 at 2,094 short tons of CO2, while the West has almost a third as much, at 780 short tons of CO2 for the average utility. Table 3: Estimated Embodied CO2 Emissions in Lost Water Utility SubSample Min Max Mean Total 0.06 22,941 1,333 A 788 22,941 5,601 B 80 3,053 1,039 Embodied C 0.06 5,281 395 Emissions (Short tons West 0.06 10,395 780 CO2) South 12 22,941 1,376 Midwest 32 20,706 1,764 Northeast 34 15,396 2,094 Median 452 4,413 917 218 264 468 501 814 Std 2,707 5,192 681 623 1,403 2,652 3,493 3,953 Count 270 39 78 153 82 112 52 24 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS These findings compare favorably to other energy efficiency programs implemented for water and wastewater treatment plants. For example, in 2007, the Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection (MassDEP) initiated a pilot program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and energy use at water treatment facilities by 20%. This program later received significant funding under the 2009 ARRA and highlighted as an EPA pilot project. 7 The project included 14 utilities (7 each from the water and wastewater sectors) and included a wide variety of size and technologies. The program included a wide range of stakeholders, including academic institutions, energy efficiency non-profits, regional government divisions, and major electric and gas providers, who offered energy audits to the water participants. The MassDEP estimates that these green investments, at a total of 21 completed project sites, will ultimately save 22,000 tons of CO2 and 29 million kWh of electricity. Within this total, the majority of water and wastewater plants identified annual CO2 reductions of approximately 400 tons. The largest exceptions were for wastewater treatment plants that identified Digester and HVAC improvements, resulting in large decreases in natural gas usage and a larger GHG reduction. 8 Indeed, for just the Northeast region alone, the estimated embodied CO2 emissions in lost water was slightly more than 50,000 tons of CO2 and 136 million kWh. This suggests that lost water may be a critically important area for energy efficiency measures. The 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act provided much needed funding to the Clean Water and Safe Drinking Water State Revolving Funds. The majority of this money was spent on traditional projects, while 29% was allocated to Green Project Funding in terms of both water efficiency and energy efficiency. However, as this research demonstrates, investments in water efficiency, and even more narrowly, investments in distribution infrastructure, are not exclusive from energy efficiency investments. The estimates presented here suggest that the embodied energy of lost water is comparable to, and in many instances greater than, the reported energy efficiency savings from other ARRA EE investments in the water sector. The mean embodied energy of lost water in the AWWA/RFC sample was 2,300 kWh and 1,333 tons of CO2, with findings varying significantly by region and utility size. This research presents an important first step in addressing the stated need for infrastructure funding and the actual allocation of investment dollars. Future research should consider how water utilities can apply and present generalized versions of rate payer funded energy efficiency cost-effectiveness tests to their more traditional resource and infrastructure spending needs. Under these costeffectiveness tests, utilities should consider the non-resource values embedded in electricity costs and external social pollution, such as carbon dioxide. By presenting these benefits to other stakeholders, including energy providers, state regulators, and energy-efficiency non-profits, the water utility sector can broaden its base of supporters for infrastructure funding and continue to address the significant infrastructure challenges on the horizon. ................................. 1 For example, see: http://water.epa.gov/infrastructure/sustain/energyefficiency.cfm. This 4% number appears to be based on the initial work presented in EPRI (2002) and accounts for the production, conveyance, and treatment of water and wastewater. More broadly, estimates indicate that energy for water services such as end-use heating may be as high as 12% of total U.S. energy use (Sanders and Webber, 2012). 2 For example, see: http://water.epa.gov/infrastructure/sustain/energyefficiency.cfm and http://www.mass.gov/dep/water/priorities/eerewwu.htm. 3 http://www.awwa.org/portals/0/files/legreg/documents/buriednolonger.pdf 4 For example, Macknick et al. (2011) have refined the USGS estimate of water needs by the power sector and developed technology specific estimates of water withdrawal and consumption rates by generation technology. 5 We have excluded utilities that reported zero lost water or zero annual total sales. 6 The EPA eGRID database is available for public download at: http://www.epa.gov/cleanenergy/energyresources/egrid/index.html The 2012 release presents emissions rate data from 2009 power plant reported values. The power profiler tool calculates the average CO2 emissions at a zip code level. 7 See: http://water.epa.gov/aboutow/eparecovery/upload/2010_01_26_eparecovery_ARRA_Mass_EnergyCasyStudy_lowres_10-28-09.pdf 8 The primary constituent of natural gas is methane (CH4), which is 21 to 25x more potent than CO2 as a GHG over a 100 year time period (IPCC, 2007). Totals by facility: the Barnstable Wastewater Treatment Facility (1,931 tons of CO2), Falmouth Wastewater Treatment Facility (3,200 tons of CO2), Greater Lawrence Sanitary District (5,887 tons of CO2), and Pittsfield Wastewater Treatment Facility (3,252 tons of CO2). See: http://www.mass.gov/dep/water/priorities/empilot.htm for specific details of plant programs. REFERENCES American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy. Water and Wastewater Treatment. Accessed February 2013. Available at: http://aceee.org/sector/local-policy/toolkit/water. Aubuchon, C. 2013. From What Perspective? Distributional Accounting within Cost Benefit Analysis. Under Review, Journal American Water Works Association. Aubuchon, C.P. and P. Hibbard. 2013. Summary of Quantifiable Benefits and Costs Related to Select Targeted Infrastructure Replacement Programs. Prepared on behalf of the Barr Foundation. 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