University of Utah Exploring Gender Differences in State Legislators' Policy Preferences Author(s): Sarah Poggione Source: Political Research Quarterly, Vol. 57, No. 2 (Jun., 2004), pp. 305-314 Published by: Sage Publications, Inc. on behalf of the University of Utah Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3219873 . Accessed: 05/08/2013 14:06 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . Sage Publications, Inc. and University of Utah are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Political Research Quarterly. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions in ExploringGenderDifferences State Legislators'PolicyPreferences SARAH POGGIONE, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY Whilea greatdealofresearch documents womenelectedofficials' moreliberalpolicyattitudes andconcludes thatincreased women's willproducemoreliberalpolicies,I arguethattheinfluence ofgender representation and ultimately theinfluence of women'srepresentation remainunclear.First,constituency demandsmay ofgendermayvaryamonglegislators. I findthat Second,theinfluence explainobserved genderdifferences. interests do havea significant womencontinue toexpresssignificantly morelibeffect, although constituency eralwelfare I findthatgenderdifferences thanmen.In addition, in legislators' policypreferences preferences aregreater andconservative thanamongDemocratic andliberallegislators. ConamongRepublican legislators theimpactofincreasing women's on policyis likelytobe morecomplex sequently, predicting representation thanpreviously thought. dealofworkonwomenandpolitics contends great thatwomenelectedofficials interest expressgreater inrepresenting women'sissuesandholdmoreliberal policyopinionsthantheirmalecolleaguesbecauseof their in theprivatesphere(e.g., and responsibilities experiences and Powell Diamond 1977; Leader Niemi, 1998; Carey, 1977). Muchofthisworkconcludesthatincreasednumbers ofwomenelectedofficials willproducemoreliberalpublic Mandel and Dodson 1993; Mezey 1994; (see policy e.g., Thomas Thomas and Welch 1991). 1981; 1994; Sapiro the volume of the research womenlegDespite documenting islators' moreliberalpolicyattitudes, theinfluence ofgender on members'preferences remainsunclear.Manystudiesof in menand womenstatelegislators' differences policyattitudesareinconclusive becausetheyfailto accountforalternativeexplanations of observedgenderdifferences, namely theeffect of constituency demands.If constituency characratherthangender, observed teristics, explain genderdifferencesin legislators' then the conclusion thatthe preferences electionofmorewomento publicoffice willproducemore liberalpolicymaybe incorrect. In thisarticle, I conducta morecompletetestoftheeffect ofgenderon statelegislators' policypreferences. Usingdata I estimate collectedfroma mailsurveyof statelegislators, theeffects ofgenderand constituency interests on statelegislators'welfarepolicy attitudes.This projectexamines in legislators' rather genderdifferences policypreferences, than observablelegislativebehavior,because policyattitudesmayprovidea betterestimate oftheimpactofgender. NOTE: A previousversionof thisarticlewas presentedat the annual meetingof the SouthernPoliticalScience Association,Atlanta 2000. This researchwould not have been possiblewithoutthe generoussupport of the National Science Foundation(SES 9905432) and assistancefromtheCollegeof LiberalArtsat the I wouldalso liketo thankMichael StateUniversity Pennsylvania WilliamBianco,JannaDeitz,and SusanWelchfortheir Berkman, helpfulcomments. Political Research Vol.57, No. 2 (June2004): pp. 305-314 Quarterly, In comparison, members'recordedvoteson legislation, the mostcommondependentvariablein studiesof legislative behavior(see Tamerius1995),maybe theproductofstrateof genderedattigic calculationsratherthana reflection tudes.For example,ifa womanlegislator believesthather constituents a bill that is oppose particular unlikelyto pass of her she decideto vote vote, regardless maystrategically bill the and her ifshe herconstituents even against satisfy selffavorsthebill. However,in otherless observablelegislativearenas,like the committee stage,she mayactively work towardthe objectivesspecifiedin the bill and the eventualpassageof similarlegislation.Investigating men's and women'spolicypreferences an to provides opportunity estimatethe influenceof genderoutsideof thesestrategic considerations and gaina betterunderstanding oftheeffect of genderon legislators'less public legislativeactivitiesactivities thatnot onlycomprisea greatdeal of legislative workbut also have a substantial influenceon the policyHall 1996). makingprocess(see I focuson legislators'attitudestowardwelfarepolicy because more generalideologicalorientations and policy mask small but in men differences priorities may significant and women'spolicypositions.In addition,priorworksugare likelyto express geststhatmenand womenlegislators different on like thataffect welfare, policyopinions issues, in and families children,women, particular(Diamond 1977; Leader1977). So ifgenderdoeshavean independent one would expectto observeitseffect on legislainfluence, tors'welfarepolicypreferences. Consistentwithpreviousresearch,I findthatwomen hold moreliberalpreferences on welfarepolicythantheir malecolleagues,evenafteraccounting forotherfactors like I and find demands,party, ideology. However, constituency in legislators' thatgenderdifferences aregreater preferences and conservative among Republican legislators.While Democraticand liberalwomentypically hold moreliberal welfarepolicyopinionsthanRepublicanand conservative womenand Democraticmen;Republicanand conservative women hold significantly more liberalpreferences than 305 This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 306 POLITICALRESEARCHQUARTERLY men. These resultssuggest Republicanand conservative of thattheincreasing presence womenin stategovernment willproducemoreliberalstatepolicies,and thatincreasesin women'srepresentation mayhave a larger,relativeimpact on policywherewe mightleastexpectit-whenconservative and Republicanwomenreplacetheirmalecounterparts. EXPLAININGGENDER DIFFERENCES IN LEGISLATORS' PREFERENCES bothin has foundthatwomenlegislators, Priorresearch liberal thestatesand in Congress,hold moreideologically attitudeson policythan men, even afteraccountingfor politicalparty(e.g., Carey,Niemi,and Powell1998; Flammang 1997; Thomas 1994; Thomas and Welch 1991).1 Womenlegislators' greaterliberalismis evidencedin their like areasofwomen'sinterest on traditional policypositions (Clark1998; Diamond1977; health,andwelfare education, forgender Leader1977). The widelyacceptedexplanation in legislators' attitudesis thatwomen'sexperidifferences in the privatesphereinfluence ences and responsibilities theirattitudesand behavior(Mandel and Dodson 1993; Mezey1994; Tamerius1995; Thomas1994). Althoughthe genderexplanationappears to be supin members'policyopinions, portedby genderdifferences cannotbe disalternateexplanationsforthesedifferences demandsare missed. Because measuresof constituency absentfromtheseanalyses,it eitherinadequateor entirely is impossibleto conclude that gender and men and in their women'sexperiencesexplainobserveddifferences notes of Burrell For attitudes. 157) (1996: example, policy womenin Congressthat,"The femalemembers'slightly of greaterliberalismduringthisperiodmaybe an artifact bases ratherthansex: thatis, womentended constituency witha moreliberalpoliticalouttobe electedfromdistricts a liberalvotingrecordin accordwiththe look, fostering ratherthan an ideology ideologyof theirconstituencies their from gender." emanating in menand women'sconstituenIfsystematic differences betweengenderandlegislators' ciesexplaintherelationship than rather itself,thenthe impactof gender preferences, in previousresearch have been overestimated may gender The commonconcluinterests. thatexcludesconstituency sion of thesestudiesthatthe electionof morewomento will alterthe policiesadoptedby these statelegislatures institutions maybe erroneous.On theotherhand,ifmen and womenareelectedfromsimilartypesofconstituencies, thenconstituency pressures maycausethemtoexpresssimilar policyattitudes.In thiscase, priorworkthatfailsto demandsmay includeadequatemeasuresof constituency in men and womenlegislators' differences underestimate impactof conpolicyopinions.Giventhe demonstrable in legislative behavior genderdifferences 1 Researchalso findssignificant and Haynie1999; Dodson 1991; Dolan 1997; Frankovic1977; (Bratton Leader 1977; Swers 1998, 2002; Tamerius1995; Thomas 1991; and Thomasand Welch1991; Vegaand Firestone1995; Welch1985). stituencypressureson legislators'decisionsobservedby scholars(Fenno1978; Fiorina1974; Kingdon congressional 1989), the omission of constituency preferencesfrom in legislators' modelsofgenderdifferences policyattitudes work. the need for further suggests in legislators' attiThe fewstudiesofgenderdifferences findthat tudesthathaveincludedmeasuresofconstituency and may attitudes thesemeasuresare relatedto legislators' reducethe observedeffectof gender(Carey,Niemi,and Powell 1998 and Thomasand Welch 1991). While these moreliberalpreferstudiessuggestthatwomenlegislators' encesare,in part,a productof theirconstituencies; given or eithertheirroughmeasuresof constituency preferences theirfailureto includerelevantcontrolvariables,theydo not providerigoroustestsof the independenteffectof attitudesinclude Whilefewstudiesof legislators' gender.2 severalstudiesofgender measuresofconstituency interests, in thebehaviorofCongressmembersand state differences measuresof conlegislatorshave includedsophisticated and Haynie1999; characteristics (see e.g.,Bratton stituency Swers 1998, 2002). These studies also find that conon legislahavea significant effect characteristics stituency tors'behavior.Giventhisevidence,I arguethatin orderto ifgenderexplainswhymenand women'spolicy understand in legislamodelsof genderdifferences differ, preferences mustalso includemeasuresof constituents' tors'attitudes controlvariables. and relevant preferences MODELING LEGISLATOR'SPREFERENCES of as a function I modellegislators' welfare policyattitudes controlvariand relevant preferences, gender,constituency ables. Previousstudiessuggestthat party,ideology,and like age, socioeconomic characteristics sociodemographic controlvariablesto status,race,and religionare important includein modelsoflegislators' (Bamello1999; preferences Bratton and Haynie1999; Carey,Niemi,and Powell1998; Darcy,Welchand Clark1994; Thomas1994; Thomasand arenot Welch1991).Giventhatmanyofthesecharacteristics butmayalsobe correlated attitudes onlyrelatedtolegislators' theindependent withgenderand constituency preferences, as controlvarivariablesofinterest, includingthesefactors areestimated ablesinsurethatthekeyrelationships correctly. Usingdata collectedfroma mail surveyof morethan from in 24 statesas well as information 2,500 legislators effect webpages,I evaluatetheindependent statelegislative welfarepolicypreferences. of genderon statelegislators' 2 Thomasand Welch's(1991) measure,district urbanization, maybe an opinion.The measureof district inadequatemeasureof constituency witheither used in thisanalysisis not highlycorrelated urbanization demographicor subjectivemeasures of constituencypreferences. Niemi,and Powell(1998) includeadequatemeasuresof Although Carey, characteristics, pertheydo notcontrolforthelegislators' constituency likeeducationand age. Giventhatthesecharacteristics sonalattributes theirexclusion withgenderand policypreferences, maybe correlated oftheimpactofgender. mayproducebiasedestimates This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions EXPLORINGGENDERDIFFERENCESIN STATELEGISLATORS' POLICY PREFERENCES The survey, conductedin 2000, was mailedto 2,526 state all legislators, membersof thelowerhousesof24 selected statelegislatures.3 After threeseparatemailings, 530 legislatorsrespondedto thesurvey, including407 men and 123 an overallresponserateofabout21 perwomen,producing centand a responserateof 21 percentforbothmen and women.Theresponseratevariedconsiderably amongstates froma low of8 percentin Texasand Illinoisto a highof39 percentin Nebraska. Theoverallresponserateofthesurvey is lowerthanthose however, reported byotherstudiesofstatelegislators; many otherstudiesof genderand statelegislators relyon interin a singlestateora few viewsordatacollectedon members states(Flammang1985; Kathlene1995; Reingold2000; Saint-Germain 1989). Whilethesestudiesmakesignificant it maybe inaccurateto generalize scholarlycontributions, to thelargerpopulafromthesestudiesoffewerlegislatures In orderto confirm tionofstatelegislators. thatgenderdifferences existamongthelargerpopulation ofstatelegislators itis imporandnotjustwithina particular setoflegislatures, in a largenumberofdiftantto collectdatafromlegislators ferent selectedfor typesof states.The 24 statelegislatures thisstudyvaryby region,statelegislative professionalism, and partycontrolofthe percentofwomenin thelegislature, Thisinsuresthattheresultsdo notapplyto only chamber. or a particular one particular typeof legislature legislature for More importantly (e.g., onlyprofessional legislatures). thisstudy,collectingdata froma largenumberof states insuresvariationin legislators' partisanbackgrounds, personalcharacteristics, andconstituency interests andprovides fora morerigorous testofthegenderhypothesis. in the. Despitetherelatively largenumberof legislators studyandthelargenumberofstatesincludedin thesample, Ifcertaintypesof thelowresponseratemaybe problematic. in a survey, are less likelyto participate then respondents can introduce selectionbiasintoevena surveynonresponse randomsampleand ultimately threaten theinferential value oftheempiricalanalysis(see Groves,Cialdini,and Couper forpossibleselectionbias 1992). In ordertotestand correct fromthelowresponserate,I use a Heckmanselecresulting tionmodel(see Sherman2000 fora discussionofHeckman modelsin surveydata).The HeckmanmodelI employuses maximumlikelihoodto simultaneously full information estimatea systemoftwoequations.The first equation,the selectionequation,predictstheprobability thata member ofthesamplerespondedtothesurveyandis includedin the second equation.The second equation,the substantive regressionequationof interest, predictsstatelegislators' The 2,526legislators includethepopulationoftheunicameral Nebraska statelegislatures: and thelowerhousesoffollowing Arkansas, legislature Colorado,Connecticut, Delaware,Idaho,Illinois,Louisiana, California, North Maine, Michigan,Missouri,Montana,Nebraska,New Jersey, SouthCarolina,SouthDakota,Tennessee, Dakota,Ohio, Pennsylvania, WestVirginia, and Wyoming. These24 stateswereranTexas,Vermont, levelsoflegislative professionalism, domlyselectedto represent varying and thepercentofwomen. partycontrol, 307 Thisprocedure corrects forselecwelfare policyliberalism. biasandproduces efficient consistent, asymptotically tivity estimates (see Greene1993; Heckman1979). parameter thecoefficients oftheHeckman modelcanbe Consequently, variable wasobserved as though thedependent interpreted inotherwords, as though all legforthecomplete sample, islatorshad respondedto survey.4 PolicyPreferences Welfare Measuring To measurethedependentvariable,I developa summative index of welfarepolicy liberalismcomposed of 17 itemsindicating dichotomous supportor oppolegislators' sition to principlesof welfarereformand initiatives or populationsat risk.Table 1 designedto help recipients liststhe17 itemsand theircorrelations withtheindexcomwiththerequirements of putedwithouttheitem.Consistent correlated with summative scalesall 17 itemsarepositively one anotheras well withtheindexcomputedwithoutthe coeffiitem;this,combinedwiththe largeand significant cientof reliability forthescale (Cronbach'soa= .84), indicates thatthe itemsdo reflectthe underlying dimension, welfarepolicy liberalism.5 The welfarepolicy liberalism index rangesfromzero, indicatingthe mostconservative themostliberal policy,to 17, indicating positionon welfare is 9.13. The position.The meanscoreforall respondents meanscoreformale legislators is 8.44, and the mean for womenis 11.46,suggesting thatwomendo appearto hold moreliberalpreferences thantheirmale colleagues.A difinmeanstestrevealsthatthisthreepointgenderdifference ferenceis statistically significant(t = -8.56, p = .000). How- ifwomen'sgreater welfare ever,in orderto determine policy in liberalism is a productofgenderratherthandifferences a multivariate or othercharacteristics, theirconstituencies testis necessary. Variables Independent In thisanalysis,genderis coded 1 forwomenand 0 for men. Other sociodemographicvariablesincludingage, relaregression underlying 4 The Heckmanmodelassumesthefollowing However, is onlyobservedifzA + u2j> 0 where tionship: = x P yj yj N (0,1) and corr(u1,u2) = p. Whenp #0 OLS will , ~-N (0,or),u2 -+ulj. producebiasedestimatesof 3. The Heckmanselectionprocedureproduces consistent, estimatesof P thatrepresent efficient asymptotically the marginaleffectsof the independentvariablesin the underlying regression equation(see Heckman1979). Summative scalingassumesthattheitemsand thesumoftheitemtrace 5 linesaremonotonically dimensionand thatall relatedto theunderlying itemsare relatedto a single commonfactor(McIverand Carmines aremet,thena summative scale ofordinal 1981). Iftheseassumptions or dichotomousitemsis an intervallevel measureof the underlying dimension andcorrected scale (seeJacoby1991). Thepositiveinter-item and itemcorrelations as wellas a factoranalysisin whichall 17 items load highly thattheseconditions on a singlecommonfactor demonstrate are satisfied and thattheresulting scaleis an interval-level measure.The resultingsummativeratingscale correlateshighly(r = .97) withthe factor measure. This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 308 POLITICALRESEARCHQUARTERLY TABLE1 WELFAREPOLICY INDEX ITEMS fundedwelfare Oppose eliminating government Oppose family caps Oppose timelimits forable-bodiedrecipients Oppose workrequirements Allowindividualdevelopment accounts(IDA) forrecipients Providerelocation for expenses workingrecipients Providechildcareservicesforat-risk children Provideincreasedpublictransportation forworkingrecipients Provideincreased for job training recipients Matchrecipients' depositsto IDAs Supportchildcareforworkingrecipients ProvideGED andjob counseling forteenparents shelters for at-risk/homeless families Support state earned income tax credit Support Providetuitionvouchersforrecipients Rewardrecipients foracademicorjob relatedsuccesses Supportteenagepregnancy prevention programs Mean St. Dev. .69 .24 .16 .03 .46 .34 .70 .68 .89 .28 .69 .92 .70 .62 .56 .29 .86 .46 .43 .36 .18 .50 .48 .46 .47 .31 .45 .46 .27 .46 .49 .50 .45 .35 Correlationa .41 .48 .42 .25 .47 .42 .58 .59 .45 .45 .59 .37 .54 .48 .48 .33 .30 ofreliability Note.Allitemsaredichotomous variables.The coefficient (Cronbach's or)is .84. betweentheitemand thecorrected aCorrelation welfare policyindex(theindexcomputedwithouttheitem). maritalstatus,religion, and socioeconomic statuswerepriweb sitesof statelegislamarilyobtainedfromtheofficial tures,members'ownweb sites,and theProjectVoteSmart databaseofstatelegislators. Maritalstatusis measuredusing a set of dichotomousvariablesindicating whetheror not legislatorsare divorced,single,or widowed.Religionis measured using a set of four dichotomousvariables: andno religious non-traditional Catholic, Christian, Jewish, Marriedand Protestant are the omittedcatepreference. gories.Socioeconomicstatusis coded 1 ifthememberhas obtaineda collegedegreeand 0 otherwise. Race,coded 1 for black legislators and 0 otherwise, was obtainedfromthe NationalBlackCaucusofStateLegislators' NBCSLLegislative and theJointCenterforPoliticalEconomicStudDirectory ies' BlackElectedOfficials: A Statistical 2000. Summary, in I employseveralmeasuresofconstituency preferences thisanalysisincludingdemographic variablesand legislaoftheirconstituents' tors'subjectiveassessments concerns. Basedon themeasuresemployedin previousstudies(Brattonand Haynie1999; ThomasandWelch1991),I use aver(in thousands agehouseholdincomein statehousedistricts in thedistrict, ofdollars),thepercentunemployed thepercentofthedistrict havingearneda collegedegreeas wellas a dichotomous measureofdistrict urbanesstomeasureconstituents' welfarepolicypreferences.6 District welfareliberalism, a subjective measure of constituencyopinion obtainedfromthesurvey, has fivecategories from0 ranging to 4 (veryliberal). (veryconservative) 6 Allfourvariablesreflect forstatehousedistricts fromLilley, 1997 figures TheAlmanacofStateLegislatures: PatDeFranco,and Bernstein, Changing terns1990-1997(Washington DC: Congressional 1998). Quarterly, Legislatorpartyis measuredusing two dichotomous ifthelegislator variablesindicating is a memberofa Democraticor Progressive is a member partyand ifthelegislator of thirdpartyor is unaffiliated withany party.Beinga is theexcludedcatRepublicanor Independent Republican egory.The measureof legislator's ideologywas obtained fromthesurvey;based on a questionfroma similarstudy to place them(Welchand Peters1977), I ask legislators selveson a five-point scalethatrangesfrom0 (veryconservative)to 4 (veryliberal). Selection EquationVariables on surveynonresponse Literature suggeststhatsociodecharacteristics likeage,gender,race,and socioemographic conomicstatusare important of thedecisionto predictors in a survey(see e.g.,DeMaio 1980; Smith1983). participate In additiontothesegeneralcharacteristics, theprofessionalismofthelegislature and members' legislative seniority may also influence thelikelihoodthatlegislators willparticipate I expectthatmembers in a survey. who servein moreprofessionallegislatures-institutions thatgenerally havehigher workloadsandmeetforlongersessions-may be lesslikelyto completethesurveygiventhenumerousdemandson their time(see Squire1992).7Moreseniormembers mayalso be lesslikelytoparticipate giventhattheyaremoreinvolvedin 7 The measureof statelegislative professionalism, developedby Squire sessionlength,and staff (1992), reflects salary, support.States'scoreson all threeattributes areexpressedas a percentage oftheCongress's score, and thenthe threepercentages are averagedforeach state.I use an updatedversionoftheindex(see Reenock2001). This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 309 EXPLORINGGENDERDIFFERENCESIN STATELEGISLATORS' POLICY PREFERENCES TABLE2 HECKMANMODEL OF LEGISLATORS' ATTITUDESON WELFAREPOLICY INDEX Age District income District education District unemployment Education Gender(female) Liberalism Divorced Single Widowed Democrat Otherparty Race (blacklegislator) Catholic Jewish Non-traditional Christian No religious preference Statelegislative professionalism Yearsin legislature (constant) Uncensoredobservations Totalobservations p X2(p = 0) X2 Welfare PolicyIndex -.01 (.01) -.01 (.02) .03* (.02) .04 (.06) .45 (.40) 1.25*** (.38) 1.52*** (.21) .61 (.50) .55 (.69) -.63 (.68) 1.80*** (.53) .91 (1.24) -1.05 (.88) .29 (.30) .61 (.69) .25 (1.38) .42 (.27) 1.58 416 2198 .72 21.38*** 889.95*** SelectionModel .02** (.004) .20** .001 (.08) (.07) .03 .45 -.50*** (.06) (.60) (.19) -.84 -.01 -.69 (.81) (.01) Note.Robuststandarderrorsin parentheses forclustering on states). (corrected *p< .05,**p< .01,***p< .001 In addition,party thedecisionsmade in theirlegislatures. in thedecisionsof membersto participate mayalso affect thesurveyThe survey's focuson welfare policymayinterest Democraticlegislatorsmore than theirRepublicancolleagues,and Democratsmay be morelikelyto respond. ConsequentlyI model the decisionto participatein the surveyas a functionof age, gender,race,socioeconomic ofthelegislature, senstatus,theprofessionalism legislative and iority, party.8 Table 2 presentstheresultsof the Heckmanselection model.First,considertheselectionmodel.Note thatage, and racehavesignificant effects on theprobabileducation, 8 is characterized lower Onlyonesubgroupoflegislators bya substantially thatwere responserate.Elevenpercentofthe192 blackstatelegislators surveyedresponded.This low responserateand the resultingsmall numberofblacklegislators does notprovidesufficient variationin the uncensoredobservations fromwhichto draw conclusionsabout the effect of race on legislators' welfarepolicyattitudes.Othersubgroups, like widowedand Jewishlegislators and otherpartymembers,have fewmemhigherresponseratesbutarequitesmall,producing relatively bersof thesegroupsin theuncensoreddata. Becausethe presenceof thesevariablesprovidesfora morerigorous testoftheeffect ofgender,I includerace,maritalstatus,and religiondespitethe smallnumberof in someofthesesubgroups. respondents itythata legislator respondsto thesurveyOlderand more educatedrespondents are morelikelyto participate in the and blacklegislators arelesslikelyto do so. In addisurvey, indicatethattheselection,theHeckmanmodelparameters tionmodelis usefuland appropriate in thissituation.The estimate ofp, thecorrelation oftheerrortermsoftheselectionequationand substantive regression equation,is quite large(p = .72), whichindicatesthattheerrortermsof the two equationsare relatedand thatordinaryleastsquares (OLS) would produce biased parameterestimates.The Wald testofindependent equations,whichteststhesignificance of p, the X2(p = 0) statistic, is largeenough(X2 = = thatp equals 21.38, p .000) to rejectthenullhypothesis 0 and thatthetwoequationsareindependent. Basedon the of theHeckmanmodeland thepossibility of performance inferences theeffects ofkey drawinginaccurate concerning variablesfromOLS results,I reportHeckman independent selectionmodelresultsforthisanalysis. THE INDEPENDENT EFFECT OF GENDER Table3 presentstheHeckmanmodelresultsusingthree different measuresof constituency preferences including demographicmeasures,legislators' subjectiveassessments This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 310 RESEARCH POLITICAL QUARTERLY - TABLE 3 THE EFFECTS OF GENDERAND CONSTITUENCYON WELFAREPOLICY LIBERALISM Model2 Model 1 Age income District District education District unemployment welfare liberalism District Urbandistrict Education Gender(female) Liberalism Divorced Single Widowed Democrat Otherparty Race (blacklegislator) Catholic Jewish Non-traditional Christian No religiouspreference (constant) Uncensoredobservations Totalobservations p X2(p = 0) X2 -.01 -.01 .03* .04 .45 1.25*** 1.52*** .61 .55 -.63 1.80*** .91 -1.05 .29 .61 .25 .42 1.58 416 2198 .72 21.38** 889.95*** (.01) (.02) (.02) (.06) -.02 (.40) (.38) (.21) (.50) (.69) (.68) (.53) (1.24) (.88) (.30) (.69) (1.38) (.27) .47 1.29*** 1.47*** .80 .49 -.53 1.61** .86 -1.08 .21 .42 .17 .37 1.97 403 2198 .70 18.37*** 990.96*** .50** Model3 (.01) (.17) (.37) (.36) (.22) (.47) (.70) (.77) (.56) (1.17) (.84) (.31) (.72) (1.27) (.28) -.01 (1.24) .59** .51 1.28*** 1.60*** .59 .30 -.73 1.64** .81 -1.39 .30 .73 .29 .47 1.82 416 2198 .73 19.40*** 879.47*** (.21) (.38) (.37) (.21) (.69) (.69) (.57) (.56) (1.23) (.82) (.31) (.69) (1.24) (.28) withrobuststandarderrorscorrected forclustering on statesin parentheses. Note.Heckmanmodelcoefficients *p< .05,**p< .01,***p< .001 oftheirconstituents' on welfare, liberalism and thedistrict men,evenafteraccounting fortheeffects ofparty, ideology, urbanessmeasure.9 Giventhattheselectionequationsforall and personalcharacteristics. Models2 and 3 constituency, three specifications are nearlyidenticalto the results estimate similareffects forgender.In orderto puttheeffect in Table2, I reportonlytheresultsofthesubstanof genderin context, it maybe usefulto compareit to the reported tiveequationspredicting statelegislators' welfare effect ofparty. Democratic scorebetween1.61 and policyliblegislators eralism.Allthreeanalysesutilizerobuststandard errors cor1.80 pointshigheron the welfareliberalismscale than In comparison rectedforclustering on statesto allow forthe factthat arestathen,genderdifferences Republicans. in all threemodelsand observations withinstates. andsubstantively maybe correlated tistically significant and Acrossall threemodelsgenderexertsa significant smallerin magnitude thanpartisan differences. justslightly In eachmodel,themeasuresofconstituency Womenlegislators do havemoreliberalprefpositiveeffect. preferences erenceson welfarepolicy than theirmale counterparts. havea significant welfare impacton legislators' policyliberNoticethatevenafter forparty, andvaralism.Legislators whoseconstituencies havea greater controlling ideology, perious measuresof constituency whoassesstheirconstituencies concerns,genderhas a subcentageofcollegegraduates, stantialimpact on members'welfarepolicy attitudes. as more liberalregarding welfarepolicy,and who have to Model 1, womenlegislators scoreabout1.25 urbanconstituencies, aremorelikelyto holdliberalpreferAccording than enceson welfare thatconstituency policyliberalism pointshigheron theindexofwelfare policy.Thisdemonstrates concernsdo influencelegislators'attitudes,and more thatgendercontinuesto influence importantly, legislators' policypreferences despitetheinclusionofseveraldifferent 9 There are 2,198 censored cases. Although2,526 legislatorswere used in theselectionmodelcould includedin thesample,information measuresofconstituency opinions. only be obtainedfor2,198 legislators.While about 530 legislators Liberalismand politicalparty(Democrat)exertsignifiinformation on the dependentvariablewas respondedto the survey, on legislators' welfare cant,positiveeffects policyliberalism In addition,severalotherindeunavailableforabout 30 respondents. as for the coefficients and education expected. Although age in not be obtained for variables all could pendent resulting legislators arein thepredicted about416 uncensored cases. directions, theyfailto achievestatistical This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions EXPLORING INSTATE GENDER DIFFERENCES LEGISLATORS' POLICY PREFERENCES = 311 TABLE4 THECONDITIONAL EFFECT ONWELFARE OFGENDER POLICY LIBERALISM Model2 Model 1 Age District income District education District unemployment Education Gender(female) Gender*Democrat Gender* Liberalism Liberalism Divorced Single Widowed Democrat Otherparty Race (blacklegislator) Catholic Jewish Non-traditional Christian No religiouspreference (constant) Uncensoredobservations Totalobservations p X2(p = 0) X2 -.02 -.02 .03* .03 .52 2.42*** -1.82** (.01) (.02) (.02) (.06) (.43) (.61) (.69) 1.53*** .72 .53 -.50 2.09*** .57 -.99 .33 .68 .26 .40* 1.62 416 2198 .72 (.21) (.49) (.67) (.70) (.48) (1.22) (.87) (.30) (.71) (1.27) (.25) 1.31 24.03*** -.02 -.01 .03" .04 .52 3.03*** (.01) (.02) (.02) (.06) (.43) (.83) -.88** 1.75*** .80 .56 -.56 1.71*** .82 -1.02 .23 1.02 .64 .37 (.31) (.25) (.49) (.67) (.74) (.55) (1.33) (.86) (.29) (.73) (1.49) (.26) 416 2198 .76 21.91*** 896.63*** 898.61*** Note.Heckmanmodelcoefficients withrobuststandarderrorscorrected on statesin parentheses. forclustering *p < .05, **p< .01, ***p< .001 in all threespecifications of the model. The significance coefficient forrace is negativebut not statistically signifiin the cant. Giventhe small numberof black legislators of analysis,thisresearchis not a reliabletestof theeffect race on statelegislators' welfarepolicyattitudes; however, theinclusionofracedoes providefora morestringent test of the effectof gender.None of the religiouscategories in anyof thespecifications, achievessignificance and joint testsof significance findthatthereligionvariablescollecadditionalexplanatory tivelyfailto contribute powerto the models(e.g.,formodel1, x2= 2.72, p = .61). Whilenone oftheindividualcoefficients forthethreemeasuresofmaritalstatusarestatistically a jointtestshowsthat significant, maritalstatusdoes contribute additionalexplanatory power to themodels(e.g.,formodel1, X2= 10.32,p = .02). CONDITIONING THE EFFECT OF GENDER The resultsof this analysisconfirmthatgenderdoes exertan independent impacton legislators' policyopinions, forconstituency ideevenafteraccounting concerns,party, and other the characteristics; however, relationship ology, betweengenderand members' policyopinionsmaybe more differences complex.As previousworksuggestssubstantial existamongwomenlegislators (e.g.,Dolan and Ford1998), I especiallyin termsof partyand ideology.Consequently, examinetheinteractive effects of partyand ideologywith gender.Table 4 presentsthe effectof genderon welfare thehighcorpolicyliberalism includingtheseinteractions; relationofthetwointeraction terms(r = .88) precludesestiin one model.1' matingtheireffects The resultsofModel 1 indicatethattheeffect ofgender is significantly ofgender,as conditioned bypartyTheeffect in thepreviousmodels,is positiveand significant. However, 10 Thegender-ideology interaction at .87 withgenderand .49 is correlated withideology.The gender-party is correlatedat .72 with interaction thatthefindings genderand .39 withpartyIn orderto establish regardofgenderarenota productofmulticollinearity, effect ingtheconditional I createinteraction terms fromstandardized measures ofgender, ideology, and partyThe interaction ofstandardized genderand ideologyis correlatedwithgenderat .35 andwithideologyat .17. Theinteraction ofstanis correlated withgenderat .00 andat .11 with dardizedgenderandparty I re-estimated themodelsfrom terms, partyUsingthesenewinteraction Table4. The resultsofthisanalysisproducednearlyidenticalresultsto thosepresented inTable4. In bothmodels,theinteraction termsarenegativeandstatistically and thecomponent arepositive variables significant and significant. Thissuggeststhattheconditional effects ofgenderpreofmulticollinearity. sentedin Table4 arenotproducts This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 312 POLITICALRESEARCHQUARTERLY - FIGURE 1 THE CONDITIONALEFFECT OF GENDERON WELFAREPOLICY LIBERALISM 16- 14 12 Welare Female Average 10 Legislator LibLiberaleralism 8ism -1 .....--~- AverageMale 2- 021 Legislator 1 3 4 Liberalism of oftheinteraction thesignificant and negativecoefficient thatgenderdifgenderand Democratic partydemonstrates areless pronouncedamongDemocratic ferences legislators and more pronouncedamong Republicans.Because the effect ofgendercan no longerbe interpreted independently, scoreson theindex it maybe helpfulto considerpredicted of welfarepolicyliberalismforaveragemale and female Democratsand Republicans. in the firstcolumnof coefficients Usingthe regression ofthe Table4 and themean,median,or modalcategories I computedthewelfare liberalotherindependent variables, woman ismscoresofan averageDemocratic andRepublican and an averageDemocratic and Republicanman.The averon womanhas themostliberalpreferences age Democratic welfarepolicyofall averagelegislators, scoringa 7.2 on the index.The averageRepublicanwomanscores6.9 on the lessliberalin herwelfare scale,onlyslightly policyopinions thanherfemaleDemocratic colleague.The averageDemoclessliberal raticmanhas a scoreof6.6 on theindex,slightly thaneithertheaverageDemocraticor Republicanwoman. In contrast, theaverageRepublicanmanholdssignificantly on welfareas indicatedbythescore less liberalpreferences of4.5 on theindex.Whileonlya modestgenderdifference of averagemen existsbetweenthewelfarepolicyattitudes and womenDemocraticlegislators (.6 points),genderdifferencesare much morepronouncedamongRepublicans ofparty, womenaremoreliberalin (2.4 points).Regardless their opinions on welfarepolicy than men, especially withpriorwork is consistent Republicanmen.Thisfinding thatfindsthatRepublicanwomenaremorelikelyto defect fromtheirpartyand castliberalvotes,introduce bills,and theirparty's moreconact in otherwaysthatdo notreflect servative agenda(see e.g., Carey,Niemi,and Powell1998; Wolbrecht 2000). Model2 in Table4 demonstrates thatideologyalso sigconditionsthe effectof gender.Similarto the nificantly withgender,thesignifiresultsforpartyand itsinteraction of gender cant and negativecoefficient of the interaction and liberalism demonstrates thatgenderdifferences areless andmorepronounced pronounced amongliberallegislators Figure1 graphstheaveragemaleand amongconservatives. femalelegislator's predictedscoreson theindexofwelfare policyliberalismforthe rangeof all possibleideological values. For mostvalues of ideology,the averagewoman on welfarethantheaverexhibitsmoreliberalpreferences theconservative age man.At thelowestvaluesofideology, end of the spectrum,genderdifferences are most promore nouncedand womenon averagehold considerably thanmen.Forhighervaluesofideology, liberalpreferences bothmenand womenexpressmoreliberalpreferences on betweenthe averageman and welfareand the differences woman'sscorenarrows.For thehighestvalue of ideology, theaveragemalelegthemostliberalend ofthespectrum, islator's scoreis justslightly higheror moreliberalthanthat of the averagewoman; howeverthis difference is quite small.For themostpartwomenhold moreliberalpolicy attitudes on welfare thanmen,and thesegenderdifferences are more pronouncedamongconservatives. Conservative withrespecttowelwomenareactuallyfarlessconservative farepolicythantheirmalecounterparts. This content downloaded from 199.79.254.152 on Mon, 5 Aug 2013 14:06:43 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 313 IN STATELEGISLATORS' POLICYPREFERENCES EXPLORING GENDERDIFFERENCES CONCLUSION Consistentwithpreviousworkon womenelectedofficials, I findthatwomenstatelegislatorsdo in facthold on welfarepolicythanmen,even moreliberalpreferences afteraccountingfornumerousmeasuresof constituency While demands,party, ideology,and othercharacteristics. both men and women legislatorsrespondto theirconstituents,women legislators hold significantlymore lib- eralopinionson welfarethanmen.I also findthatgender differences are greateramongRepublicanand conservativelegislators. withtheexpectaAlthoughtheseresultsare consistent tionthattheincreasing presenceofwomenin electedoffice will produce more liberalpolicy,the policy impact of is mediatedbylegislative and womenlegislators institutions and O'Connor withinthem(see Berkman women'spositions 1993; Dodson 1998; Norton1995, 2002; Reingold2000; Rosenthal1998; Saint-Germain 1989; Swers2002; Thomas demandsmay constrain 1994). In addition,constituency somelegislators, womenrepresenting conservaparticularly in termsofrollcallvotingand other tivedistricts, especially easily observed activities.However,women legislatorsmay have the opportunityto influence policy in less public venues. For example,the decisionto take part and be on a givenbill,espeactivelyinvolvedin thedeliberation motivated ciallyat the committee stage,affords legislators an opportunityto influencepolicy that is not easily observedby thepublicand maybe less structured by condemands(see Hall 1996, 1987; Hall and Wayman stituency issues 1990). Giventhatwomenaremoreactiveon welfare and more likelyto serveon welfarerelatedcommittees and Haynie1999; Dodson 1991; Dolan and Ford (Bratton 1998; Saint-Germain 1989; Thomas1994, 1991; Thomas and Welch1991), womenlegislators maybe able to act on and influence theirmoreliberalwelfarepolicypreferences and even policydespitetheirpositionin the institution when theyrepresentconservativeconstituencies. While this researchspecifically addressesthe issue of welfare,it mayhave implicationsforotherpolicyareas. This workdemonstrates thatmenand womenlegislators' policy preferences differfor welfare, a highly partisan issue. If gender exerts such a strong effectin this policy on other influence area,thengendermayhavea significant policyareas,especiallyareasin whichthepartieshaveless defined positions. In fact, many scholars argue that on a numberof womenwillexpressdistinctive preferences policy issues. For example,Carroll(1990: 11) argues, "[R]egardlessof whetherthe issue is foreignaid, the womenare morelikelythan budget,or theenvironment, men to considerthepossibleimpactof thepolicyon the livesofwomenand children."Giventhestronginfluence of genderevidencedin this and otherstudiesand the expectationthatgenderis likelyto influenceotherpolicy areas, understanding how gender structures legislators' attitudesand behavior is vital to understandinglegislative decisionmakingand representation. 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