Final Report A Carbon Footprint for UK Clothing and Opportunities for Savings July 2012 1 WRAP’s vision is a world without waste, where resources are used sustainably. We work with businesses, individuals and communities to help them reap the benefits of reducing waste, developing sustainable products and using resources in an efficient way. Find out more at www.wrap.org.uk Written by: Bernie Thomas, Matt Fishwick, James Joyce and Anton van Santen Environmental Resources Management Limited (ERM) Front cover photography: [Add description or title of image.] While we have tried to make sure this report is accurate, we cannot accept responsibility or be held legally responsible for any loss or damage arising out of or in connection with this information being inaccurate, incomplete or misleading. This material is copyrighted. You can copy it free of charge as long as the material is accurate and not used in a misleading context. You must identify the source of the material and acknowledge our copyright. You must not use material to endorse or suggest we have endorsed a commercial product or service. For more details please see our terms and conditions on our website at www.wrap.org.uk Document reference: [eg WRAP, 2006, Report Name (WRAP Project TYR009-19. Report prepared by…..Banbury, WRAP] 2 0.0 Executive summary Environmental Resources Management Limited (ERM) was commissioned by WRAP to conduct a life cycle carbon footprint study for UK clothing. The objective of the research was to provide WRAP with an overview of the carbon impacts of UK clothing through the clothing life cycle, identifying the most significant contributions to the carbon footprint (ie the ‘hotspots’), and quantifying opportunities for carbon footprint reduction. Estimated Current Carbon Footprint for UK Clothing A strategic-level carbon footprint study was undertaken based on published data and information about UK clothing. UK Clothing is defined as all clothing, both new and existing, in use in the UK over the period of one year. The analysis covers both clothing manufactured and used in the UK and clothing manufactured abroad and used in the UK. The datum is 2009, as the year for which the most recent data are available. The study’s results present the annual climate change impact associated with UK clothing, in terms of its carbon footprint. This includes the impacts associated with the quantity of clothes that are produced for the UK and consumed and disposed of each year, as well as the impacts associated with clothing that is actively worn and cleaned each year (approximately 1.1 million tonnes of new clothing is consumed in the UK each year, ~2.5 million tonnes is in active use. Note that this is greater than the annual consumption of clothing, because clothes last for more than one year). Figure 1 presents the baseline (current) carbon footprint estimate for all clothing in use in the UK in 2009. The results are broken down by both life cycle stage and fibre type to show their relative contributions to the total footprint. The following conclusions can be drawn from the results. The total annual carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 (i.e. the volume consumed, and the actively worn quantity) is approximately 38 million tonnes of CO2e (~0.6 tonnes per person per year). Because the majority of clothing is manufactured outside the UK, it is estimated that ~32% occurs within the UK (contributing to the UK’s direct carbon footprint) and 68% occurs abroad. Based on this estimate, the direct impact of clothing in the UK can be estimated to be ~12 million tonnes of CO2e. Note that this baseline analysis does not examine the effect of uncertainties, which are considered further in the sensitivity analysis section of the report (Section 4.6). To put this carbon footprint of UK clothing into context, the total direct GHG emissions in the UK in 2009 were reported as 566 million tonnes of CO2e (DECC, 2011). It should be noted that this total for the UK does not include GHG emissions associated with imported goods or services or international travel. Therefore, the direct carbon footprint of clothing contributes approximately 2% to the UK’s total direct carbon footprint. The carbon footprint of new garments ONLY, in use in the UK in 2009, can also be calculated by dividing the carbon footprint of both new and existing clothing by its anticipated lifetime. This figure is approximately 17 million tonnes of CO2e. The most dominant life cycle stage is fabric production (comprising weaving/knitting etc. and treatment of fabric), representing 33% of total life cycle GHG impacts. The carbon footprint of a tonne of garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 ranges from around 15 to 46 tonnes CO2e, depending on the fibre type of the garment. The carbon footprint of each garment, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 ranges from around 1 to 17 kg CO2e. The per person carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 is around 0.6 tonnes of CO2e. 3 Figure 1: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented as a total for the UK, broken down by life cycle stage and fibre type 4 Savings Achieved in the Central scenario The study also quantifies the potential effect of a number of example impact reduction measures relative to the estimated baseline footprint. Reduction measures are presented for a realistic ‘Central’ future reduction scenario, and also an aspirational ‘What If?’ reduction scenario. Options for reduction are considered across the life cycle (eg eco-efficiency in the manufacture, retail and distribution of clothing, washing at lower temperatures, increasing load size, more reuse etc.). Table 1 and Figure 2 below present the estimated carbon saving from the baseline footprint for 2009. Baseline (t CO2e) Reduction (t CO2e) Reduction % Eco-efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) Central scenario - 5% reduction for all fibres across supply chain 38,175,293 1,563,219 -4.1% Design for Durability (and product lifetime optimisation) - Central scenario - 10% longer lifetime of clothing 38,175,293 2,941,203 -7.7% Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres - Central scenario replace 10% of cotton with 50:50 polycotton. [Data exclude in-use savings] 38,175,293 164,150 -0.4% Clean clothing less - Central scenario washes per year reduced by 10% 38,175,293 989,905 -2.6% Wash at lower temperature - Central scenario - weighted average wash temperature of 39.3C 38,175,293 549,604 -1.4% Increase size of washing and drying loads - Central scenario - load increases to 3.7kg 38,175,293 531,538 -1.4% Use the tumble dryer less - Central scenario - 30% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer 38,175,293 430,367 -1.1% Dispose less - reuse more - Central scenario – 15.4% of clothing ultimately reused in UK 38,175,293 272,063 -0.7% Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres - Central scenario - 5% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) 38,175,293 352,144 -0.9% Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) Central scenario - 38% of all clothing is recycled open loop 38,175,293 195,729 -0.5% 7,989,921 -20.9% Reduction measure Cumulative reduction Table 1: Savings achieved by each reduction measure of the Central scenario 5 Figure 2: Savings achieved by each reduction measure of the Central scenario From the estimates presented in Table 1 and Figure 2, the following points are evident. A potential 21% reduction in the carbon footprint of UK clothing would occur if all reduction measures considered for the Central scenario were achieved. The largest carbon footprint reductions are achieved by extending product lifetime (8%), ecoefficiency across the supply chain (4% reduction) and washing clothing less (3% reduction). As calculated, reduction measures resulting in minimal reductions in carbon footprint include increasing open loop recycling, increasing reuse and a shift in the market to a larger proportion of synthetic fibres. [Note: the term ‘synthetics’ is used here to include man-made fibres such as viscose.] Table 2 presents all the reduction measures considered in order of effectiveness for the Central scenario. Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reduction Measure Stakeholder Design for Durability (and Product lifetime optimisation) - central scenario - 10% longer lifetime of clothing Eco efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) - central scenario - 5% reduction for all fibres across supply chain Manufacturer/ consumer Clean clothing less - central scenario - Washes per year reduced by 10% Wash at lower temperature - central scenario - weighted average wash temperature of 39.3C Consumer Increase size of washing and drying loads - central scenario - load increases to 3.7kg Use the tumble dryer less - central scenario - 30% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres - central scenario - 5% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) Consumer Dispose less - reuse more - central scenario - 15.4% of clothing reused in the UK Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) - central scenario - 19.5% of all clothing is recycled open loop Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres - central scenario - Replace 10% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton Consumer Manufacturer Consumer Consumer Consumer Consumer Manufacturer/ consumer Table 2: Reduction measures of the Central scenario in order of effectiveness 6 Savings Achieved in the What If? Scenario Figure 3 presents the potential estimated carbon saving from the baseline generated by each reduction measure in a more ambitious ‘What If?’ scenario. Figure 3: Savings achieved by each reduction measure of the ‘What If?’ scenario The estimated reductions presented in Figure 3 indicate the following. A 71% reduction in the carbon footprint of UK clothing will occur if all reduction measures considered by the ‘What If?’ scenario are achieved. The largest carbon footprint reductions are achieved by extending product lifetime (27% reduction), eco-efficiencies across the supply chain (24% reduction) and washing less (4% reduction). Reduction measures resulting in the smallest reductions in carbon footprint include increasing closed loop recycling, increasing open loop recycling and a shift to a higher proportion of synthetics. In addition to the reduction measures presented in the above scenarios, a series of consumer interventions were analysed in the study to examine their influence on carbon footprint results. The impact of ten post-sale in-use interventions was examined through a change in the behaviour of 10% of the UK population under each measure). The purpose of this exercise was to compare the effectiveness of a variety of measures to change consumer behaviour during the use phase once the clothing has been purchased. Consistent with the findings of the main scenarios, the in-use interventions resulting in the greatest savings are a shift towards behaviours that lead to an increase in clothing lifetime by one year and cleaning clothing less, followed by less reliance on tumble drying. The report also presents a series of sensitivity analyses to investigate the study’s key uncertainties. These examine the sensitivity of the results and conclusions to a change in a particular assumption or data point. The sensitivity analyses undertaken were: the influence of a future decarbonised electricity grid on the impact of the use phase; the influence of fibre type on washing and drying impacts; the influence of product lifetime on results; the influence of washing frequency on results; and the influence of UK fibre mix on results. The findings of these analyses indicate the following. Future ‘decarbonisation’ of UK electricity will decrease the direct carbon footprint associated with the cleaning of clothing. The significance of the use phase (primarily washing and drying) 7 impacts, relative to upstream life cycle stages (raw materials, manufacture and distribution, retail) and end of life impacts will reduce. Where the energy use impacts of tumble drying are allocated to clothing based on the relative drying time of fibre types (rather than by its mass only as they are in the main analysis), the carbon footprint increases from the baseline for natural fibres (by ~2-5%) and decreases for synthetic fibres (by ~3-5%). The total remains the same. Where loads are mixed and drying energy is based on the slowest drying item of clothing (ie natural fibres), the carbon footprint for each fibre type increases from the baseline. This reflects an increase in the drying time of all fibre types caused by a natural fibre type being present in each load. This is in comparison to a baseline average energy usage where some loads are mixed and some are separated. When the difference in washing temperature is also considered, the reduction achieved from the shift towards synthetics in both the central and ‘What If?’ scenarios is around a third larger. The longer the lifetime of clothing (eg from clothing simply being retained in use by the consumer for longer, design for durability, reuse, or from leasing or resale), the lower the carbon footprint (reduced supply chain impacts, primarily) and the shorter the lifetime of clothing that is used, the higher the carbon footprint. Where it is assumed in the analysis clothing is washed 5 times per kilogram per year, the total carbon footprint is 13% less than that of the main analysis (where it is assumed clothing is washed 9.9 times). The carbon reductions achieved through use phase improvement actions are less and those of non-use phase improvement action are greater. Where it is assumed clothing is washed 15 times per kilogram per year, the total carbon footprint is 13% greater than that of the main analysis carbon footprint. The carbon reductions achieved through use phase improvement actions are greater and those of non-use phase improvement action are less. The baseline carbon footprint total with an alternative Carbon Trust fibre mix data set for UK clothing consumption is 12% less than the baseline total where the Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. For the ‘What if?’ scenario, the reduction achieved where Carbon Trust fibre mix data is used is 11% less than the reduction achieved where Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. Although absolute reduction values change, the order of improvement actions changes less with the new fibre mix, with the top three and bottom three improvement actions remaining the same with both fibre data. (The Metrics group of the Sustainable Clothing Action Plan is currently (July 2012) preparing to collate actual UK retailer data on fibre mix and sales volumes, which could allow the footprint analysis to be updated at a later date.) Conclusions Overall, the total carbon footprint associated with clothing produced for, and in use in, the UK in 2009 is estimated at approximately 38 million tonnes of CO2e (~0.6 tonnes per person per year). Because the majority of UK clothing is manufactured outside the UK, it must be noted that ~32% occurs within the UK and ~68% occurs overseas as a consequence of the garments manufactured for UK consumers. Per tonne of clothing, the footprint ranges from around 15 to 46 tonnes CO2e per year, depending on the fibre type of the garment. To put this carbon footprint of UK clothing into context, the total direct GHG emissions in the UK in 2009 were reported as 566 million tonnes of CO2e (DECC, 2011). It should be noted that this total for the UK does not include GHG emissions associated with imported goods or services or international travel. Therefore, the direct carbon footprint of clothing is approximately 2% of the UK’s total direct carbon footprint. 8 Ten potential options for carbon footprint reduction are presented. According to the study, measures aimed at reducing the impacts associated with the production of clothing (in design and eco-efficiency measures in the supply chain and reuse), and also the use phase (less and better washing and drying by the consumer), show the greatest potential. This is not unexpected, since these life cycle phases currently contribute the greatest impacts. For the reduction measures examined in the Central scenario, the combined effect of the ten measures across the entire life cycle is estimated to be 21%. In the aspirational What If? Scenario, this is increased to an estimated carbon reduction of 71%. However, it should be noted that the study does not examine the practicability of implementing each option, or consider other non-carbon sustainability impacts for these options. It should also be noted that these reductions from the baseline do not include the potential decarbonisation of energy (electricity) production, which will also reduce the carbon footprint of clothing in future. The findings from the study sensitivity analysis indicate that, amongst other factors, the fibre mix of UK clothing affects the magnitude of the footprint and the overall savings achievable, but has less influence on the order of the reduction measures. Overall, the analysis confirms the rationale for encouraging reduction measures at each and every stage of the life cycle, including nudging consumer behaviour towards favourable outcomes. If UK electricity is decarbonised, the sensitivity analysis undertaken for the study indicates sustainable production and consumption measures aimed at reducing the production impacts of clothing will further increase in importance over time, relative to use phase interventions. The study provides an initial analysis into the potential indirect effects on the washing and drying footprint if the market is shifted towards one type of fibre over another. There are uncertainties associated with the findings of this analysis, but it indicates that fibre choice affects the magnitude of impact in the use phase. 9 Contents 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Executive summary ..................................................................................................................... 3 Estimated Current Carbon Footprint for UK Clothing ........................................................................... 3 Savings Achieved in the Central scenario ........................................................................................... 5 Savings Achieved in the What If? Scenario ......................................................................................... 7 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................................... 8 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 About this study .................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Goal of this Study ................................................................................................................ 1 Project Approach ......................................................................................................................... 1 2.1 Project Scope...................................................................................................................... 1 2.2 System Boundary ................................................................................................................ 2 2.3 Functional Unit .................................................................................................................... 3 2.4 Literature Search................................................................................................................. 5 2.5 Carbon Footprint Calculation ................................................................................................ 5 2.6 Reduction Measures ............................................................................................................ 6 2.7 Baseline and Future Scenarios .............................................................................................. 7 2.8 Further In-use Interventions ................................................................................................ 7 2.9 Sensitivity Analyses ............................................................................................................. 7 2.10 Excel Model ........................................................................................................................ 7 Life Cycle Inventory ................................................................................................................... 10 3.1 Life cycle Description ......................................................................................................... 10 3.1.1 Production of Fibre ................................................................................................ 10 3.1.2 Production of Yarn ................................................................................................ 10 3.1.3 Production of Fabric .............................................................................................. 10 3.1.4 Treatment of Fabric .............................................................................................. 11 3.1.5 Production of Garments ......................................................................................... 11 3.1.6 Distribution and Retail ........................................................................................... 11 3.1.7 Use...................................................................................................................... 11 3.1.8 End of Life ........................................................................................................... 11 3.2 Key Data Sources .............................................................................................................. 13 3.3 Key Data – All Life cycle Stages .......................................................................................... 18 3.4 Key Data - Production of Fibre, Yarn, Fabric and Garments ................................................... 19 3.5 Key Data - Distribution and Retail ....................................................................................... 21 3.6 Key Data – Use ................................................................................................................. 22 3.6.1 Washing............................................................................................................... 22 3.6.2 Drying ................................................................................................................. 23 3.6.3 Ironing................................................................................................................. 23 3.7 Key Data - End of Life........................................................................................................ 24 3.8 Reduction Measures .......................................................................................................... 26 3.9 Baseline and Future Scenarios ............................................................................................ 26 3.10 Data Quality ..................................................................................................................... 29 Impact Assessment ................................................................................................................... 31 4.1 Baseline Scenario .............................................................................................................. 31 4.1.1 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK – UK Total ............................................................................................ 31 4.1.2 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or Imported to the UK – per person ........................................................................................ 34 4.1.3 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or Imported to the UK – per tonne.......................................................................................... 36 4.1.4 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or Imported to the UK – per garment ...................................................................................... 38 4.2 Savings Achieved in the Central Scenario ............................................................................. 40 4.3 Savings Achieved in the ‘What If?’ Scenario ......................................................................... 43 4.4 Benchmarking Against Other Studies ................................................................................... 45 4.5 Further Analysis ................................................................................................................ 46 10 4.5.1 Further In-use Interventions .................................................................................. 46 Sensitivity Analyses ........................................................................................................... 48 4.6.1 Decarbonisation of Grid Electricity (Sensitivity 1)...................................................... 48 4.6.2 Influence of Fibre Type on Drying (Sensitivity 2a and 2b) ......................................... 53 4.6.3 Influence of Fibre Type on Washing (Sensitivity 3) ................................................... 56 4.6.4 Longer Product Lifetimes (Sensitivity 4a and 4b) ...................................................... 58 4.6.5 Washing Frequency (Sensitivity 5) .......................................................................... 62 4.6.6 UK Fibre Mix (Sensitivity 6) .................................................................................... 62 4.7 Conclusions of Sensitivity Analyses ..................................................................................... 63 4.7.1 Decarbonisation of Grid Electricity (Sensitivity 1)...................................................... 63 4.7.2 Influence of Fibre Type on Drying (Sensitivity 2a and 2b) ......................................... 64 4.7.3 Influence of Fibre Type on Washing (Sensitivity 3) ................................................... 65 4.7.4 Longer Product Lifetimes (Sensitivity 4a and 4b) ...................................................... 65 4.7.5 Washing Frequency (Sensitivity 5) .......................................................................... 66 4.7.6 UK Fibre Mix (Sensitivity 6) .................................................................................... 66 Conclusions ................................................................................................................................ 66 5.1 Summary of this Study ...................................................................................................... 66 5.2 Summary of Baseline Results.............................................................................................. 67 5.3 Summary of Reduction Scenarios ........................................................................................ 67 5.4 Further Analysis Findings ................................................................................................... 68 5.5 Findings from Sensitivity Analyses ....................................................................................... 69 5.6 Concluding Remarks .......................................................................................................... 69 5.7 Suggested Next Steps ........................................................................................................ 70 References ................................................................................................................................. 71 4.6 5.0 6.0 11 1.0 Introduction 1.1 About this study WRAP (Waste & Resources Action Programme) works in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland to help businesses and individuals reap the benefits of reducing waste, develop sustainable products and use resources in an efficient way. Environmental Resources Management Limited (ERM) was commissioned by WRAP to conduct a life cycle carbon footprint study for UK clothing and indicate the scope for footprint reduction. Many previous studies have assessed the carbon impacts of various clothing types and modelled reduction initiatives. However, none has focused on measuring the carbon footprint of UK clothing as a whole and modelled the total potential for reduction. To this end, WRAP commissioned ERM to undertake research on the life cycle carbon impact of clothing in the UK. This study required a strategiclevel carbon footprint for UK clothing, based on published data and information. The footprint was expressed in a number of ways to show the contribution and scope for reduction. Furthermore, a scenario assessment was made for a number of different options for footprint reduction. 1.2 Goal of this Study The stated objective of this research was to provide WRAP with an overview of the impacts of UK clothing on carbon emissions through the clothing life cycle, identifying the most significant contributions to the carbon footprint (ie the hotspots), and quantifying opportunities for savings. The study follows on from a study undertaken for WRAP by URS on the water footprint of UK clothing entitled ‘Review of Data on Embodied Water in Clothing and Opportunities for Savings’ (URS, 2011). 2.0 Project Approach This section describes the scope considered in the project and summarises the approach used. 2.1 Project Scope The scope of the project was to undertake a strategic-level carbon footprint of UK clothing over the entire life cycle using secondary data available in the literature. UK clothing has been defined in this study as all clothing, both new and existing, in use in the UK over the period of one year. The analysis covers both clothing manufactured and used in the UK and clothing manufactured abroad and used in the UK. The comparatively small amount of clothing manufactured in the UK and exported abroad was not considered in the analysis. The datum for this analysis is 2009, as the year for which the most recent data are available. The project assesses total quantities of all major fibre types purchased (and in use) within the UK during 2009. The fibre types assessed comprise: acrylic; cotton; flax / linen; polyamide (nylon); polyester; polypropylene; silk; viscose; and wool. 1 These are the fibres selected by the Metrics group of the Sustainable Clothing Action Plan as the most important fibres within their sales mix. There are other fibres in use, but rather less significant in terms of quantity sold. The scope of the project also includes consideration of a number of example reduction measures (eg washing at lower temperatures, increasing load size etc.), whereby potential savings in relation to the 2009 ‘baseline’ are quantified for a ‘Central’ reduction scenario and a ‘What If?’ reduction scenario. In addition to carbon footprint results for each of these three defined scenarios, the scope includes the provision of an Excel model for use in this project that allows the modeller to examine new scenarios, where values for each reduction measure can be changed. The study provides a carbon footprint assessment. Therefore, it does not consider other potential social, economic and environmental impacts such as toxicity or labour standards. 2.2 System Boundary The entire life cycle of UK clothing is considered. Therefore, this study can be considered a full cradle-tograve or business-to-consumer carbon footprint. Exclusions to the assessment have been made following the general specifications given in PAS 2050 (1). In addition, other exclusions have been made based on their ‘materiality’, ie any process anticipated to contribute <1% of total life cycle GHG emissions has been excluded. The following life cycle stages have been included in the carbon footprint assessment: extraction of raw materials required for the production of fibres; processing of materials (e.g. production of synthetic polymer resin); production of fibres (either at farm or factory); production of yarn; production of fabric; treatment of fabric (eg bleaching, dyeing etc.); production of garments; packaging of garments; transportation of materials and goods to and from production locations; waste at all stages of production; transportation of garments to the UK; storage at regional distribution centre (RDC) in the UK; transportation from RDC to retail outlets; storage at retail outlets in the UK; use of clothing (eg washing (energy, water and detergent use), tumble drying, ironing); and end of life of clothing (eg reuse, recycling, landfill and incineration) The following life cycle stages/burdens have been excluded from the carbon footprint assessment: transportation of consumers to and from the point of retail purchase; packaging of packaging used at all life cycle stages; fabric softeners, colour catches etc. or other material inputs used during washing; water use for ironing; preparation for reuse burdens (2); and stain removers used during the use phase. In addition, the following aspects have been excluded, which cover more than one life cycle stage: capital goods (eg the manufacture of weaving looms, washing machines, irons etc.); (1) PAS 2050:2008 - Specification for the assessment of the life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of goods and services http://www.bsigroup.com/Standards-and-Publications/How-we-can-help-you/Professional-Standards-Service/PAS-2050 (2) Preparation for Reuse burdens results from the checking, cleaning or repairing recovery operations, by which products or components of products that have become waste are prepared so that they can be re-used without any other pre-processing. The impacts associated with them are typically trivial relative to those at other end of life impacts. 2 2.3 human energy inputs to processing; and animals providing transport services. Functional Unit In Life Cycle Assessment and carbon footprinting methods, environmental impacts are represented in terms of a metric known as the functional unit. The functional unit allows a quantified environmental impact to be expressed as a function of the desired purpose of the product or service and ideally allows for a straightforward comparison between similar products or services. The carbon footprint results of this assessment are represented in terms of the following functional unit: The entire life cycle of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009. The results provided in the study relate to the annual impacts associated with UK clothing. They include the impacts associated with the quantity of clothes that are produced for the UK and consumed and disposed of each year, but they also include the impacts associated with clothing that is actively worn and cleaned each year (approximately 1.1 million tonnes of new clothing is consumed in the UK each year, ~2.5 million tonnes is in active use - note that this is greater than the annual consumed clothing because clothes last for more than one year). The chosen functional unit is the total carbon footprint of clothing (both new and old) in a given year (ie in 2009). As such, it uses the anticipated lifetime of each garment type to consider the proportion of clothing manufactured and disposed of in 2009. Use phase impacts are for one year for all clothing in active use (both new and old) in 2009. The rationale behind including both new and existing clothing within the functional unit is that it follows an inclusive approach where the annual impact of all clothing is considered. An alternative approach, that would yield identical results (assuming sales are static), is to look at new clothing only throughout its life cycle, whereby life cycle impacts are considered throughout all years of use (ie 2009, 2010 and a portion of 2011). This is the approach used in a water footprinting study recently carried out by URS for WRAP. It was decided not to use this approach as, with the ultimate aim of the SCAP in mind, measuring total impacts of all clothing on an annual basis shows in full the opportunities for reduction and any progress towards targets that can be fully measured year on year. The method that was used to calculate the quantity of clothing in use in a given year (both new and old, by using the annual quantity of clothing purchased and the anticipated lifetime of that clothing) has three main assumptions. Firstly, it is assumed that purchasing behaviour has remained static insofar as the quantity of clothing purchased in 2009 was the same in previous years and will be the same in future years1. In other words, new clothing will eventually replace existing clothing on a one for one basis. Secondly, as the quantity of clothing purchased was used to calculate the quantity of clothing in use, there is an assumption that all clothing purchased is used, rather than being purchased and never used. Thirdly, the ‘wardrobe stockpile’ is treated separately and is not considered within the functional unit of this study. The ‘wardrobe stockpile’ includes clothing that is retained within the home but not in active use (eg stored away in wardrobes, boxes, the loft, garage etc.) and therefore was thought not to constitute clothing in use. The rationale for including both clothing manufactured and used in the UK and clothing manufactured abroad and used in the UK is that it places the emphasis of ‘burden ownership’ on the user; the ultimate reason for the product. In this approach, the GHG emissions associated with clothing manufactured in China and exported to the UK for use, for example, are covered under the UK’s clothing carbon footprint. However, those GHG emissions associated with the comparatively small amount of clothing manufactured in the UK and exported to Italy for use in Italy, for example, are not considered under the UK’s clothing carbon footprint (i.e. they ‘belong’ to Italy). The chosen functional unit reflects a consumption-based approach to GHG reporting. 1 This assumption is noted as a simplification and a limitation. It is likely that consumption has grown and may continue to grow in line with gross domestic product (GDP) or retail price index (RPI). However, it was thought that accounting for economic growth adds further complexity and is unnecessary for the purposes of this study. 3 4 As alternative expressions of this functional unit, carbon footprint results are also presented in this study in terms of: one tonne of garments in use in the UK in 2009; garments used by one UK resident in 2009; and one garment used in the UK in 2009. Carbon footprint results are broken down per life cycle stage and per fabric or garment type, and are presented in terms of the impact of those garments manufactured in the UK, those garments imported to the UK and a sum of the two. 2.4 Literature Search Numerous studies have been published that examine life cycle impacts of clothing. These studies vary widely in scope. For example, some focus on particular garment or fibre types, some are qualitative or semi-quantitative, they may consider different impact categories, and some focus on individual life cycle stages (e.g. the use phase, in particular) rather than the entire life cycle. Alongside the information on the environmental impacts of clothing, much of the available research also lists potential opportunities for reduction. Therefore, at the start of the project, it was felt that the available literature would provide data and information sufficient for a strategic-level carbon footprint of UK clothing. The literature search initially focused on assessing previous ERM clothing studies, publications recommended by WRAP, studies undertaken as part of the Sustainable Clothing Roadmap programme and references cited by each of these publications and a general literature search of government, industry and academic publications. References are provided in Section 6 of the report. Relevant data were extracted from the literature sources, collated and reviewed for quality. Relevant data included: life cycle inventory (LCI) data of input and outputs to a particular process; individual data points, such as energy used for a particular process; GHG emissions factors for a particular process (eg for GHG emissions associated with 1 kWh of electricity or 1 litre of tap water); production information, such as location of raw material and finished garments by fibre type; consumption information, such as total quantity of each fibre and garment used in UK; information on production processes of fibre, yarn, fabric, textiles and clothing; consumer behaviour information, such as ironing times, washing temperatures etc.; information on clothing attributes, such as typical mass, lifetimes etc.; and suggested carbon footprint reduction measures for estimating potential savings in the future. A brief search of the academic literature concerning the different physical properties of clothing fibre was undertaken for the study. No robust data were identified from this search to establish a relative index of water retention or other properties for fibres which might affect the size of use phase burdens. The uncertainty associated with the relative cleaning and drying impacts of different fibre types was subsequently examined in further analysis (Section 4.6). 2.5 Carbon Footprint Calculation Product carbon footprinting is a technique used to assess the global warming potential of a product or service. Carbon footprinting usually takes a systematic view of the supply chain from raw material extraction through to the final disposal (ie cradle to grave). As with any carbon footprint assessment, this study therefore began by defining the scope of assessment, i.e. the system boundary. The inputs and outputs of each process within the system boundary were quantified in a process of inventory analysis. The life cycle inventory (LCI) was built entirely from relevant data collected from the literature. An impact assessment followed, which first assessed the inventory for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and quantified these over the entire life cycle. GHGs considered include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons and sulphur hexafluoride. The most significant of these in terms of global contribution to global warming are carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O). 5 The total emissions of individual greenhouse gases were subsequently normalised to CO2 using global warming potentials which consider the ability of each gas to absorb infra-red radiation and its lifetime in the atmosphere over a certain period of time (usually 100 years). The resulting metric is a quantity of carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2e). The impact method applied in this study uses the 100 year global warming potentials from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in BSI (2008). This study follows the ‘attributional’ Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) approach, whereby environmental burdens are attributable to a life cycle as described, as opposed to the consequential approach, where possible consequences (indirect effects) of a life cycle on the wider world are considered. One advantage of the attributional approach is that it allows the relative contribution of each process of the life cycle to be assessed and ‘hotspots’ to be identified. However, as with many attributional carbon footprints, it was necessary in this study to use consequential thinking for certain aspects of the life cycle (eg using a system expansion approach to consider avoided products as a result of reuse and recycling). The study did not consider the indirect consequential effects of the reduction options on consumption patterns, for example of clothing in countries to which UK second hand clothing is sent. Another consequential effect not considered was that, for reduced clothing consumption scenarios, the effect of purchasing less clothing may indirectly reduce the demand for land to produce natural fibre clothing, hence reducing land use change and the implications to the carbon cycle of land use change. Wearing more layers or different types of clothing might result in less household heating required during the winter. Neither did the study consider potential ‘rebound effects’. These are changes in consumption patterns as a consequence of an action or behaviour. For example, the outcome of an initiative to reduce clothing consumption might be a reduction in consumer spending on clothing. In theory, this could lead to an outcome where households spend more of their disposable income on environmentally damaging activities. 2.6 Reduction Measures Many options for environmental impact reduction of clothing have been suggested in previous research literature, some more effective and practicable than others. The approach taken in this study was to use the initial results of the carbon footprint assessment to identify ‘hotspots’ in the life cycle, where carbon impacts are largest. This hotspot analysis helped to focus attention on those areas of the life cycle where the greatest savings could be achieved, which in turn dictated which reduction measures should be considered. The number of identified reduction measures was narrowed down by ERM to 17. For each of these, the potential stakeholders involved in each reduction measure were identified and a simple communication message underpinning each option formed. WRAP and selected stakeholders of the Sustainable Clothing Action Plan (SCAP) were consulted and the number of reduction options considered for analysis was subsequently reduced to 10. Hence, the final options examined are based on expert understanding of the sector and measures currently being/likely to be considered, rather than quantitative cost benefit analysis. Three scenarios (or three ‘versions’ of the carbon footprint model) were developed for each reduction measure, which are listed below and discussed in the next section: A baseline scenario: the current (2009) situation in the UK; A Central scenario: a realistic future situation in the UK where modest reductions have occurred for each measure; and A ‘What If?’ scenario; an optimistic future situation in the UK where significant reductions have occurred for each measure. 6 2.7 Baseline and Future Scenarios To consider the effectiveness of a reduction measure, a baseline needs to be established against which potential savings can be reported. The baseline scenario for this assessment is the current situation in the UK (based on 2009 data), which assumes that none of the reduction scenarios considered is in place. This was created through the collation and review of data, and used to build up a carbon footprint model of the entire life cycle of UK clothing (described in Section 2.4 and Section 2.5). Two different future scenarios were created in order to assess the mid-range (Central scenario) and upper aspirational (‘What If?’ scenario) potentials for reduction. Each reduction measure considered can be selected individually or in combination to assess the potential savings in carbon footprint that can be made. When a reduction measure is selected, only data associated with that measure are changed in the model; all other data will remain fixed, as per the baseline. The Central scenario can be considered a credible future situation in the UK where modest reductions occur for each measure. A review of data in the literature and other sources provided insight into likely values for reduction for each measure (eg based on commitments by manufacturers or retailers). Where possible, the values for potential reductions were aligned to the URS water footprint report for consistency (see Section 3.8). The ‘What If?’ scenario can be considered to be an optimistic future situation in the UK, where significant reductions have occurred for each measure. In the same approach as above, sources were used to create values for an optimistic reduction for each measure. Again, the values were aligned with the URS water footprint report where possible. WRAP and selected industry stakeholders were consulted with regard to the magnitude of each reduction to be represented in the modelling. 2.8 Further In-use Interventions The SCAP ‘In-use’ group identified the use phase as an area warranting further analysis. Therefore, in addition to the reduction measures presented in the future scenarios, a series of consumer interventions were tested for their influence on carbon footprint results. In a similar approach taken to identifying the overall reduction measures, ERM presented a number of in-use interventions to WRAP and selected stakeholders from the SCAP group, who agreed on which interventions should be modelled. 2.9 Sensitivity Analyses In product carbon footprinting, it is inevitable that surrogate data and assumptions will be required for certain aspects of the life cycle, which will lead to uncertainty in the results. For key uncertainties, sensitivity analyses can be performed to examine the sensitivity of results and conclusions to a change in a particular assumption or data point. By performing sensitivity analyses, the significance of a particular assumption or use of a particular data point can be tested. A number of sensitivity analyses were performed in this study. 2.10 Excel Model Figure 1 provides a summary of the main information flows in the project. The modelling began with the development of carbon footprint models in the LCA software tool SimaPro for fibre production, manufacturing, distribution and retail by fibre type. Results for each fibre type, by life cycle stage, were transferred to an ERM-developed Excel model. This model enables results for each of the three defined scenarios (ie baseline, central and ‘What If?’) to be calculated and broken down by fabric type and life cycle stage. A set of results is presented for garments manufactured in the UK, garments manufactured outside of the UK and a sum of the two. Each of these results can be represented in terms of each of the functional unit and the three alternative expressions of the functional unit. These results can be considered fixed, or static, as they reflect the three scenarios that ERM has defined. 7 Figure 4 below summarises the stages involved in this project. Figure 4: Summary of project As well as the fixed outputs generated by the model, its dynamic aspect allows the modeller to develop additional reduction scenarios (see Figures 5 and 6). For each reduction measure, the modeller is able to change parameters to observe the effect on the carbon footprint. For example, the modeller can investigate the impact on carbon footprint of increasing the average size of washing loads by 20%, and/or if more of the population washed at 15oC. The results of this exercise are presented in terms of the carbon footprint of the scenario created versus the baseline, where savings are given for each reduction measure and cumulatively for all reduction measures selected (see Section 4.2). Figure 5 and Figure 6 below show some screen shots of the Excel model for illustrative purposes. 8 Figure 5: Screen shot of the use phase and end of life calculator of the Excel model Figure 6: Screen shot of the transformation section of the Excel model 9 3.0 Life Cycle Inventory This section provides a description of the life cycle under investigation and the key data used in the study to build up the life cycle inventory of clothing in use in the UK. 3.1 Life cycle Description Figure 7 shows a generic process map of the life cycle of clothing both manufactured in and imported to the UK. The process map represents all fibres of this study (ie acrylic, cotton, linen, polyamide, polyester, polypropylene, silk, viscose and wool). Inputs and outputs are displayed for each process relevant to this carbon footprint assessment. For each input of materials and energy to a process, there are associated GHG emissions occurring upstream from this process. Similarly, for each waste output from a process, there are associated GHG emissions occurring downstream from this process. Where more than one product arises from a process (i.e. co-products such as wool and meat from livestock rearing), GHG emissions of that process are allocated on an economic or mass basis. 3.1.1 Production of Fibre The production of natural fibre involves various farming activities; broadly, either the cultivation of crops; or the rearing of livestock. Cotton and linen fibre is produced through the cultivation of crops, where fertilisers, seeds, water, pesticides (crop protection) and fuel are among the many inputs required. Outputs include the fibre, coproducts (eg seed, oils, and straw), waste and direct GHG emissions, which are released through the breakdown of nitrate fertilisers, combustion of fuels and breakdown of crop residues. Some further processing is required to produce fibres from crops. For example, cotton needs to be ‘ginned’, which is a process of separating fibre from seeds. Wool and silk are produced from livestock, where inputs include feed and water. Outputs include the fibre, co-products (eg meat, bone and skin), waste and direct GHG emissions from enteric fermentation, the breakdown of manure and combustion of fuels. The production of synthetic fibre usually involves the production of a base material, in the form of a resin or granulates, then conversion of this base into a fibre. Polyamide, polyester, polypropylene, acrylic and viscose are all made by a process of polymerisation, which involves inputs of chemicals, energy and water. The resulting polymer output is processed further to produce a synthetic fibre, which in turn requires more inputs of materials and energy and produces more waste. 3.1.2 Production of Yarn Spinning is the approach that is generally used to manufacture yarn from both natural and synthetic fibres. This method involves twisting fibres to create a continuous length of yarn. Before spinning can take place, other processes are sometimes required to prepare the fibre (eg roving). Inputs to this process comprise fibre – either virgin, waste fibre from industry or from post-consumer waste – and energy. Outputs comprise yarn, direct GHG emissions from combustion and waste fibre/yarn. 3.1.3 Production of Fabric Yarn is then used to produce fabric using a variety of methods, including weaving, knitting, crocheting, braiding, lacing and felting. Again, virgin material, industrial waste or post-consumer waste can be used as the yarn feedstock and, of course energy is required. Outputs comprise the fabric itself, direct GHG emissions from combustion and waste fabric/yarn. 10 3.1.4 Treatment of Fabric Fabric then undergoes various treatment processes to enhance its properties, depending on its application. These processes may include dyeing, bleaching, printing and adding substances to preventing creasing, to reduce water retention etc. Inputs of fabric (virgin or recycled), chemicals, water, energy and fuels are required and outputs comprise the finished fabric and waste fabric. 3.1.5 Production of Garments Finished fabric is then used to produce garments through a process of measuring, cutting, gluing, sewing and packaging. Other input material in the form of fibre is required for the sewing process in addition to energy. Outputs comprise the finished and packaged garments, direct GHG emissions from combustion and waste fabric/garments. 3.1.6 Distribution and Retail This stage involves transportation of finished garments by road, air and sea from the manufacturer to RDC in the UK and transportation by road from RDCs to retail outlets. Inputs of fuel and outputs of GHG emissions from combustion are associated with the process of transportation. This stage also involves the storage of garments in RDC and retail outlets, with associated inputs of energy required to heat, cool and light buildings and outputs of GHG emissions from combustion. 3.1.7 Use Activities of the use phase comprise washing, drying and ironing. Washing requires material inputs of water, detergent and potentially fabric conditioner. Drying generally requires no inputs of materials. Water use in ironing was not included, but is likely to be insignificant All activities of the use phase require inputs of energy. Each of these activities is assumed to use electricity as an energy source and therefore no direct GHG emissions are released (ie emissions from combustion occur upstream at power stations). Although clothes are normally washed and dried as mixed loads, each garment is actually likely to require a different quantity of electricity to be washed or dried, depending on its weight and the composition of fibres and the physical properties of these fibres (e.g. drying kinetics). However, there is considerable uncertainty in quantifying these differences. Therefore, in common with previous studies, such as Biointelligence (2009), electricity used for washing, drying and ironing was allocated to clothing on a mass basis, rather than differentiated by fibre type. Subsequently, a sensitivity analysis was performed to consider the impact of fibre type on drying (Section 4.6.2). In terms of materials outputs in the use phase, only wastewater from washing processes is considered. 3.1.8 End of Life Five potential routes are modelled for clothing considered by consumers to be at the end of its useful life, as follows. 1. Reuse – The garment is directly reused in the UK or outside of the UK. The clothing may be reused in the UK through family/friendship networks; internet-based exchanges; car boot sales/jumble sales; charity shops etc, or collected through charities; bring banks; or kerbside collection and prepared for reuse, including the segregation of clothing unfit for reuse. Where the garment is reused, there is said to be an output of an avoided product. In other words, by reusing the garment, the need to manufacture a new garment is displaced. 11 2. Closed loop recycling – The garment is collected from the consumer for recycling and, being of good enough quality, fibres can be reprocessed and reused by the clothing industry to make another garment. 3. Open loop recycling – The garment is collected from the consumer for recycling but, being of low quality (torn, worn or stained) it is converted into wiping cloths or processed back into fibres to be used in equally low grade products. Uses for reclaimed fibres include filling materials for mattresses, car insulation, roofing felts or furniture padding. 4. Disposal – The garment is disposed of by the consumer as domestic ‘black bin’ waste and either sent to landfill or incineration. Both processes can recover energy, so there is an avoided product of grid electricity (and possibly heat) through the combustion of clothing or landfill gas. 5. Storage – The garment is no longer used by the consumer and stored (eg in the loft or wardrobe). 12 Figure 7: Generic process map for clothing (both synthetic and natural) in the UK 3.2 Key Data Sources Key sources of data used in this project are provided in Table 3 and Table 4 below. Table 3 provides the ultimate data source per fibre type for each production stage and Table 4 provides the data sources for the remaining life cycle stages (which are the same regardless of fibre type). A full list of references used in this study is provided at the end of this report. 13 Fibre production Yarn Production Fabric Production Wet Treatment – all fibres treated the same Garment Production (Making up) – all fibres treated the same Acrylic Ecoinvent, 2010 for all stages – ‘Polyacrylonitrile fibres (PAN), from acrylonitrile and methacrylate, prod. Mix, PAN’. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste and total energy. Ecoinvent 2010 for breakdown of energy per fuel type. ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1993 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Cotton Ecoinvent, 2010 for all stages – ‘Cotton fibres, ginned, at farm/CN U’. Ecoinvent, 2010 for production energy and transportation of incoming materials – ‘yarn production, cotton fibres/GLO U’. Roberts, 1980 for waste. Ecoinvent, 2010 for production energy and transportation of incoming materials – ‘weaving, cotton fibres/GLO U’. Danish EPA, 1993 for waste. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Linen (flax) INRA, 2006 for all stages. LCI data refers to flax production in France/Belgium. Ecoinvent, 2010 for production energy and transportation of incoming materials – ‘Yarn production, bast fibres/IN U’. Roberts, 1980 for waste. Ecoinvent, 2010 for all aspects of production – ‘weaving, bast fibres/IN U’. Danish EPA, 1993 for waste. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Polyamide Australasian, 2004 for all stages – ‘Polyamides (Nylon) PA 6’. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste. ERM M&S study for total processing energy. Ecoinvent 2010 for breakdown of energy per fuel type. ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1993 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Polyester Ecoinvent, 2010 for all stages of resin – ‘Polyethylene terephthalate, granulate, amorphous, at plant’, used as a proxy for polyester granulate. ERM M&S study for production of fibre. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste. ERM M&S study for total processing energy. Ecoinvent 2010 for breakdown of energy per fuel type. ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; ERM M&S study, 2002 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Fibre Type 14 Polypropylene Ecoinvent, 2010 for all stages – ‘Polypropylene fibres (PP), crude oil based, production mix, at plant’, crude oil based, production mix, at plant’. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste. ERM M&S study for total processing energy. Ecoinvent 2010 for breakdown of energy per fuel type. ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1993 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Silk ERM data on input output analysis from FAO public data for silk fibre production. Ecoinvent, 2010 for production energy and transportation of incoming materials – ‘yarn production, cotton fibres/GLO U’. Roberts, 1980 for waste. Ecoinvent, 2010 for production energy and transportation of incoming materials – ‘weaving, cotton fibres/GLO U’. Danish EPA, 1993 for waste. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Viscose Ecoinvent, 2010 for all stages – ‘Viscose fibres, at plant/GLO’. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste and total energy. Ecoinvent 2010 for breakdown of energy per fuel type. ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1993 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Wool Biswal et al. (2010) for Australian wool used for all stages Ecoinvent, 2010 for production energy and transportation of incoming materials – ‘yarn production, cotton fibres/GLO U’. Roberts, 1980 for waste. Ecoinvent, 2010 for production energy and transportation of incoming materials – ‘weaving, cotton fibres/GLO U’. Danish EPA, 1993 for waste. Kazakevičiūtė et al, 2004 for materials, waste and production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. EDIPTEX, 2007 for waste; Danish EPA, 1995 for production energy; ERM assumption for transportation of incoming materials. Table 3: Key data sources for all production stages, per fabric type 15 Fibre Type All Fibres Packaging of Garments ERM assumptions based on previous study. Distribution to the UK ERM assumption for departure ports; Portworld, 2011 for distances; ecoinvent, 2010 for vehicle GHG emissions factors. Storage at RDC and Retail Outlet Based on previous ERM study. Washing URS, 2011 for washing frequency and average load per wash; ERM previous study for washing machine energy. Drying Defra, for drying behaviour; manufacturer websites for drying energy. Ironing End of Life Biointelligence, 2009 for ironing behaviour and energy consumption. Calculations informed by Oakdene Hollins, 2009, ERM, 2006 and WRATE, 2010 for GHG emissions per tonne of waste via each disposal pathway; Defra, 2010 for fate of waste in the UK; WRAP, 2011 Benefits of Reuse; Oakdene Hollins/Defra, 2009 for fate of separated clothing. Table 4: Key data sources for all other life cycle stages 16 Figure 8: Composition of each garment type based on data from Biointelligence (2009) 17 3.3 Key Data – All Life cycle Stages Information on typical clothing attributes was necessary to model a number of life cycle stages. Of these, clothing mass and anticipated lifetime are considered to be the key data, since these have greatest influence on the magnitude of the final footprint. Table 5 below shows typical masses of clothing and anticipated lifetime of clothing from URS (2011), originally from Biointelligence (2009). Figure 8 displays a breakdown of each garment by fibre type. Garment Type Mass (grams) Lifetime (Years) Tops 388 2 Underwear, nightwear and hosiery 129 2 Bottoms 568 2 Jackets 821 3 Dresses 1,125 3 Suits and ensembles 921 3 Gloves 52 2 Sportswear 475 3 Swimwear 140 3 Scarves, shawls, ties etc 98 3 Table 5: Key attributes of clothing per garment type Based on the volumes of each fabric type given in Table 6, the lifetime of each garment type and the composition of clothing (ie proportion of each fabric type used in garments) given in Table 5, the ‘average’ weighted lifetime of clothing in the UK was calculated to be approximately 2.177 years. Data on clothing lifetime remains consistent with the URS (2011) report. It should be noted that this lifetime refers to the length of time clothing is in active use, rather than being retained within the home as ‘wardrobe stock’. In addition, the variability surrounding data on the lifetime of clothing is large and therefore represents an area of uncertainty in this study. Total quantities of new clothing in use in the UK in 2009 were extracted from the URS (2011) report on the water footprint of UK clothing, which was given as 1,143,039 tonnes. As the defined functional unit in this study considers all clothing in use in the UK in a year, rather than just new clothing, the quantity provided by URS was uplifted by 2.177 years to 2,488,396 tonnes; then production impacts and end of life impacts were allocated per annum. Note that this method is compatible with calculations made in the URS water footprint. This information is provided in Table 6 below. (The proportion of clothing manufactured in the UK is 10% and is taken to be the same for all fibre types.) Fabric Type Cotton Proportion of Total Consumption Total Quantity (tonnes) Total Quantity Imported to the UK (tonnes) Total Quantity Manufactured in the UK (tonnes) 43% 1,070,010 963,009 107,001 Wool 9% 223,956 201,560 22,396 Silk 1% 24,884 22,396 2,488 Flax / linen 2% 49,768 44,791 4,977 Viscose 9% 223,956 201,560 22,396 Polyester 16% 398,143 358,329 39,814 Acrylic 9% 223,956 201,560 22,396 Polyamide 8% 199,072 179,164 19,907 Polyurethane / polypropylene 3% 74,652 67,187 7,465 2,488,396 2,239,556 248,840 Total Table 6: Total quantity of clothing in use in UK in 2009 The data on fibre mix shown in Table 6 are taken from Biointelligence (2009): in the absence of a complete and reliable UK specific dataset regarding the split of UK clothing by fibre type, EU average 18 data from the IMPRO textiles study was used. The original source of this data is the EUROPROM database and combines information of the production, imports and exports of manufactured textile products in Europe. (Section 4.6.6 provides a sensitivity analysis for the carbon footprint, calculated using a different estimate of the fibre split for UK clothing. This reduced the footprint estimate, but had little impact on the relative importance of the carbon footprint reduction measures modelled in this study.) 3.4 Key Data - Production of Fibre, Yarn, Fabric and Garments A large quantity of data was used to model the production of fibre, yarn, fabric and finished garments for each fibre type. To provide all inventory data for these stages is beyond the scope of this report. However, all data are referenced in this report. Key data are presented here as an example of the approach. The weighted average locations of major producers of fibre and major producers of garments (for modelling purposes) are summarised in Table 7 (per fibre type)1. (For more information on the detail of locations, see Appendix 1 of the URS report.) Using this information, production stages for each fibre type were modelled separately for each geographic location where large scale production occurs. Where country-specific inventory data were available, they were used in the carbon footprint model. Fibre Type Locations of Major Producers of Fibres Location of Major Overseas Producers of Garments for UK Acrylic 60% China, 40% India2 100% China Cotton 47% China, 33% India, 20% USA 18% Bangladesh, 48% China, 18% India, 16% Turkey Linen 15% Belgium, 85% France 100% China Polyamide 60% China, 40% India 100% China Polyester 60% China, 40% India 100% China Polypropylene 60% China, 40% India 100% China Silk 89% China, 11% India 50% China, 18% France, 32% Italy Viscose 58% China, 24% Indonesia, 18% Europe 100% China Wool 81% Australia, 19% New Zealand 71% China, 29% Italy Table 7: Modelling assumptions – locations of major producers of fibre and finished garments In cases where country-specific inventory data were not available, inventory data were adjusted to reflect the situation in the exporting country. The key adjustment made was to the fuel mix for grid electricity. This was considered to be an important adjustment due to the relative contribution of electricity to the carbon footprint. Table 8 gives examples of fuel mixes for grid electricity for major producers of fibre and fabric used in the study (International Energy Agency, 2011). 1 The URS report on the water footprint of clothing provides a more detailed breakdown of locations for fibre raw materials and garment production by fibre type in Tables A1 and A2. In the absence of robust data on locations of fibre production, data on locations of fibre exports were used as a proxy in some cases. The URS report provides more detail on data sources and identifies the fibres for which alternative data were used (as export data did not provide a reliable basis for modelling). 2 Global man-made fibre production for 2009/10. The split recognises China and Southern Asia as the majority synthetic fibreproducing regions of the world. Indian production was taken as a proxy for all Rest of World countries for the data. This is considered fair given variability in the carbon intensity of electricity production across the countries. Production country of origin data was not available for synthetic fibre types individually. (Data taken from Oerlikon (2012), The Fibre Year 2009/10, A World Survey on Textile and Non Wovens Industry, World Man Made Fibre Volumes 2009) Alternative data were sought following a peer review of the URS water footprint study, identifying China as the leading synthetic fibre producing country (for the process steps of polymerisation and resin conversion into fibre). 19 Fuel Type Quantity per kWh of electricity in China (kWh) Quantity per kWh of electricity in India (kWh) Quantity per kWh of electricity in USA (kWh) Quantity per kWh of electricity in UK (kWh) Hard coal 0.78979 0.67762 0.48179 0.31541 Oil 0.00676 0.02868 0.01305 0.01519 Natural gas 0.00897 0.12221 0.20572 0.44000 Wood 0.00068 0.00219 0.01134 0.02014 Waste incineration n/a n/a 0.00501 0.00715 Nuclear 0.01976 0.02048 0.18927 0.13066 Hydropower 0.16909 0.11749 0.06389 0.02304 Geothermal n/a n/a 0.00384 n/a Photovoltaic 0.00005 0.00003 0.00055 0.00004 Wind power 0.00378 0.01971 0.01258 0.01767 Imports 0.00112 0.01158 0.01295 0.03071 Table 8: Fuel mixes for grid electricity for major producers of fibre and fabric Two aspects of the inventory thought to be central to this assessment are the electricity required and the waste fibre/yarn/fabric created in the production of yarn, fabric and garments. These data are given in Table 9 and Table 10, respectively. Fibre Type Electricity required for Yarn Production (kWh per kg) Electricity required for Fabric Production (kWh per kg) Electricity required for Wet Treatment (kWh per kg) Electricity required for Making Up (kWh per kg) Acrylic 7.7 3.5 4.1 0.0806 Cotton 8.5 10.1 4.1 0.0806 Linen 2.7 0.7 4.1 0.0806 Polyamide 3.6 3.5 4.1 0.0806 Polyester1 3.6 2.9 4.1 0.0806 Polypropylene 3.6 3.5 4.1 0.0806 Silk 8.5 10.1 4.1 0.0806 Viscose 7.7 3.5 4.1 0.0806 Wool 8.5 10.1 4.1 0.0806 Table 9: Production energy required for yarn, fabric and garment manufacturing stages 1 There are two common routes to polyester manufacture: spinning; and filament, with the latter reported as representing around 65% of the market. Data are available for the filament route, but none were found for polyester spinning. Therefore, it is noted as a limitation that only one of the two major routes to polyester manufacture has been modelled in this study, although it is not thought significantly to affect the results. 20 Waste created from Fabric Production (kg per kg) Waste created from Wet Treatment (kg per kg) Waste created from Making Up (kg per kg) Fibre Type Waste created from Yarn Production (kg per kg) Acrylic 0.176 0.015 0 0.143 Cotton 0.176 0.031 0 0.143 Linen 0.176 0.015 0 0.143 Polyamide 0.176 0.015 0 0.143 Polyester 0.176 0.015 0 0.143 Polypropylene 0.176 0.015 0 0.143 Silk 0.176 0.031 0 0.143 Viscose 0.176 0.015 0 0.143 Wool 0.176 0.031 0 0.143 Table 10: Waste fibre, yarn and fabric created at yarn, fabric and garment manufacturing stages 3.5 Key Data - Distribution and Retail Transportation routes were assumed for all stages of the life cycle, including transportation of raw materials, fibre to yarn production, yarn to fabric production, garments to UK RDC, garments to stores and waste to waste treatment facilities. Table 11 below displays transportation distances used to model the distribution of finished garments to the UK as the most environmentally significant transport stage. These were calculated based on the assumed transportation routes for each major producer. Data on the proportion of garments imported to the UK via sea and air were extracted from the Biointelligence (2009) report and found to be 92% sea, 8% air. In addition, assumed transportation routes included transportation by road to and from ports (at either end of the journey). Country Distance transported by sea (km) Distance by air (km) Distance by road (km) (1) India 11,047 7,859 650 Pakistan 10,679 6,595 650 Bangladesh 13,408 8,720 300 Sri Lanka 11,882 9,472 300 Turkey 5,199 2,703 450 Western Europe 2,454 2,147 650 USA 5,408 6,453 650 Australia 20,902 18,639 650 New Zealand 20,955 19,947 650 Middle East 11,138 5,363 450 6,052 2,769 650 Russia Eastern Europe China World average 2,163 1,591 450 18,639 10,050 300 9,330 7,097 485 Table 11: Distances to the UK by sea, air and road Storage at Retail Distribution Centre (RDC) is based on ERM’s experience of carbon footprinting retail operations. Metrics of electricity and gas use per pallet per day were applied to the assumed volume of (1) Transport from manufacturer to exporting port and UK transport to RDC. Additionally, transport preceding these stages was also included in the calculations. 21 clothing for an assumed duration of 30 days. A similar approach was used for storage at retail outlet, where the assumed duration was 20 days. 3.6 Key Data – Use 3.6.1 Washing The proportion of UK washing by hand is very small (Biointelligence, 2009). Therefore, 100% machine washing use was assumed. An important data point is the frequency of washes. Defra (2009) provide a value of 274 washes per household per year, which was extracted from a report by the Market Transformation Programme (2006). The original source of this data point is the research carried out by the Oxford Environmental Change Institute (published in Lower Carbon Futures for European Households, 2000). As the carbon footprint is based on the mass of UK clothing, it was necessary to normalise washing frequency to a metric of ‘number of washes per kilogram of clothing’. This was achieved by multiplying the number of washes per household by the number of UK households (26,300,000) and the average washing load size (3.43 kg), which provides the mass of clothing washed in the UK 1. This value was subsequently divided by the mass of clothing in use in the UK (2.49 million tonnes), to provide a value of 9.9 washes per kilogram of clothing per year2. The data can be seen as a ‘top-down’ estimate of the number of times clothing is typically washed in a UK household. This approach was seen more representative than using ‘bottom-up’ data on the number of washes per garment, as there are uncertainties surrounding the variation in washing frequency between individual items of clothing of the same garment type (e.g. not all shirts will be used at the same frequency; some may be worn once a week, some may not be worn at all, or very infrequently). Supporting the figure of 274 washes per household per year, a separate study from Danish Energy Agency (1995) provides a value of 4.6 washes per household per week (~240 washes per household per year). In terms of materials consumed during use, water and detergent use during washing were considered. For water use, data from the Biointelligence (2009) report of 46 l per wash was used. The value used for detergent use was 78 g per wash, which is an averaged value of manufacturers’ recommended doses from a selection of commonly used brands (see Table 12 below and http://www.mysupermarket.co.uk/#/grocery-categories/laundry_detergent_in_tesco.html). Price (£) Mass (kg) Number of washes Persil 2in1 7.15 2.03 23 Persil Biological Powder 7.15 2.125 25 Persil Biological Powder 12.00 4.25 50 Persil Biological Colour Powder 3.59 0.85 10 Persil Biological Colour Powder 7.15 2.125 25 Tesco 2in1 Biological Gel 2.19 0.63 18 Tesco 2in1 Powder 5.60 3.36 42 Tesco 2in1 Powder 4.00 2 25 Tesco Biological Powder 5.99 3.36 42 Table 12: Manufacturers’ data used to calculate detergent mass and price per wash (1) Mass of washed clothing per year = washing frequency per household per year (274, from Defra, 2009) x number of households in the UK (26,300,000, from Office for National Statistics, 2012) x average washing load size (3.43, Biointelligence, 2009) = 24,717,266,000 kg (2) Washing frequency per kilogram per year = mass of clothing in use in the UK (2,488,395,661 kg) / mass of washed clothing per year (24,717,266,00 kg) = 9.9 kg 22 Table 13 below displays data on the energy consumption of different washing machines (per load) at various temperatures, ranging from 15oC to 90oC. Energy consumption values for 20oC and 50oC were interpolated from this data. This data was calculated in a study by MTP (2009). In addition, energy consumption of the washing machine in ‘stand by’ mode was also considered, which was taken from the same study and given as 0.019 kWh per load. Power Consumption (kWh/load) Washing Temperature A++ Rated A+ Rated A Rated 90°C 1.39 1.66 1.77 60°C 0.83 1 1.06 40°C 0.5 0.6 0.64 30°C 0.312 0.379 0.401 15°C 0.0435 0.06 0.061 Table 13: Power consumption of washing machines at different temperatures per load of washing In terms of washing behaviour, Biointelligence (2009) gave the average washing temperature for Europe as 46oC (where 6% of households wash at 20oC; 18% wash at 30oC; 37% wash at 40oC; 9% wash at 50oC; 23% wash at 60oC; and 7% wash at 90oC). Biointelligence (2009) also give the average washing load size as 3.4 kg. A Defra (2009) report states that A-rated washing machines are the most widely used. Therefore, an assumption was made that all washing machines used in 2009 were A-rated. 3.6.2 Drying An important piece of data on drying behaviour is the proportion of the population drying clothes using a tumble dryer. A report by Defra (2009) gave a figure for the UK of 32%. The remaining 68% is assumed to be dried on washing lines, balconies, clothes horses, radiators etc., where no additional energy or material inputs are assumed to be required. The same Defra (2009) report highlights the possible negative indirect consequences of drying indoors on radiators, in that increased ventilation (eg opening windows) to remove moisture could lead to loss of heat from the home. No consideration was given to this aspect in this assessment, nor to additional demand on central heating systems from indoor drying. Other key data covered aspects such as the energy required to operate the dryer (per load), the average size of load and the speed of spin cycle during the washing phase. The Biointelligence (2009) report provided data for power consumption of a tumble dryer per load and the typical mass of a load, which were given as 2 kWh and 3.4 kg respectively. The impact of speed of spin cycle is captured within both the energy consumption of a washing machine and the energy consumption of a dryer. 3.6.3 Ironing Table 14 below shows typical ironing times for each garment type, weighted by the mass of each garment and the proportion of washes where the garment is ironed. The information provided in this table was calculated using data from Biointelligence (2009). To calculate energy consumption, the weighted ironing time was then applied to the typical power rating of an iron taken from Defra (2009), which was given as 0.75 kW. 23 Proportion of washes where garment is Ironed Ironing Time (hours per garment) Ironing Time (hours per kg of garment) Tops 0.043 0.017 100% 0.017 Underwear, nightwear and hosiery 0.057 0.007 0% 0.000 Bottoms 0.072 0.041 100% 0.041 Jackets 0.040 0.032 100% 0.032 Dresses 0.075 0.084 100% 0.084 Suits and ensembles 0.050 0.046 0% 0.000 Gloves 0.000 0.000 0% 0.000 Sportswear 0.033 0.016 100% 0.016 Swimwear 0.000 0.000 0% 0.000 Scarves, shawls, ties etc 0.033 0.003 0% 0.000 Garment Type Weighted Ironing Time (hours per kg of garment) Table 14: Ironing time per garment Based on the weight of each garment type given in Table 5 and the weighted ironing time for each garment type given in Table 14, the average weighted ironing duration of clothing in the UK was calculated to be 0.022 hours per kg of washed clothing. 3.7 Key Data - End of Life Table 15 below provides a breakdown of the fate of clothing waste in the UK, which was extracted from a study carried out by ERM for WRAP entitled the ‘Benefits of reuse, case study: clothing’, and relates to the quantities of clothes that are ultimately reused, rather than the proportion of waste clothing collected for reuse/recycling before any rejects and the directly reused fraction which together are greater than the percentage reuse fraction in this table. Fate of Waste Proportion to this Route Reuse (UK) 13.9% Reuse (abroad) 33.7% Recycling (closed loop) Recycled (open loop) 0.0% 14.5% Incineration (with energy recovery) 7.2% Incineration (without energy recovery) 0.0% Landfill 30.7% Table 15: Fate of clothing waste in the UK For each fate, there are both positive and negative implications on the carbon footprint. GHG emissions result from activities such as transportation, sorting, recycling, the operation of an incinerator or from the decomposition of waste in landfill. To an extent, these impacts are offset by activities that displace the need to produce equivalent items elsewhere in the economy. For this, a benefit is given. For example, reusing clothing displaces the need to buy new clothing; incinerating clothing generates electricity, which displaces the need to generate electricity from conventional means; and recycling clothing displaces the need to produce fibres. In some cases, the benefit of the displaced product outweighs the burdens associated with the waste management and consequently a net benefit is seen, reported as a negative carbon footprint. Table 16 below shows carbon footprint values associated with each of the fates of clothing waste described in Table 15. These values were calculated using the following approach. 24 Reuse abroad – Clothing that is reused abroad is not considered to displace any UK clothing and therefore burdens and impact for this fate are zero. Reuse in UK – The displaced product from reuse was assumed to be a finished garment of the same fibre type as the reused garment. GHG emissions associated with this benefit were calculated using cradle-to-gate carbon footprints of finished garments from this study. The calculation assumes that reused clothing displaces 60% of a new finished garment (Farrant, 2008). GHG emissions associated with the sorting of clothes for reuse were calculated using a value from WRATE (2010) of 37.8 kWh per tonne for sorting and assumes that clothing is transported 50 km to a regional sorting facility and sorted clothing is transported 50 km to a RDC. Closed Loop Recycling – The displaced product from closed loop recycling was assumed to be fibres of the same fibre type as the recycled garment. GHG emissions associated with this benefit were calculated using cradle-to-gate carbon footprints of fibres from this study. The calculation assumes that clothing collected for closed loop recycling displaces 90% of new fibre (WRATE, 2010). GHG emissions associated with the process of closed loop recycling were calculated using values from WRATE (2010) of 37.8 kWh per tonne for sorting and 400 kWh per tonne for recycling. Clothing was assumed to be transported 50 km to a sorting facility and 250 km to a reprocessing plant. Open Loop Recycling – The displaced product from open loop recycling was assumed to be a low grade product (such as a wiping cloth) made from a 50:50 mix of cotton and polyester fibres. This assumption was based on information from studies by ERM, 2006 and Oakdene Hollins, 2009. GHG emissions associated with this benefit were calculated using cradle-to-gate carbon footprints of 50% cotton fibre and 50% polyester fibre from this study. The calculation assumes that clothing collected for open loop recycling displaces 90% of low grade fibre (WRATE, 2010). GHG emissions associated with the process of open loop recycling were calculated using values from WRATE (2010) of 37.8 kWh per tonne for sorting and 700 kWh per tonne for recycling. Clothing was assumed to be transported 50 km to a sorting facility and transported 50 km to an RDC. Incineration – Default values from WRATE (2010) were extracted for natural and synthetic fibres. Landfill – Default values from WRATE (2010) were used. 25 Fate of Waste Carbon Footprint (kg CO2e per tonne waste) (1) References Reuse in UK (cotton) -14,904 Reuse in UK (wool) -27,083 Reuse in UK (silk) -13,429 Reuse in UK (flax/Linen) -6,604 Reuse in UK (viscose) -16,447 Reuse in UK (polyester) -10,680 Reuse in UK (acrylic) -21,872 Reuse in UK (polyamide) -12,658 Reuse in UK (polyurethane) Reuse abroad (all fibres) Closed loop recycling (cotton) Closed loop recycling (wool) Closed loop recycling (silk) Closed loop recycling (flax/linen) Informed by Farrant (2008), WRATE (2010) -9,674 0 -1,280 -18,412 -1,529 -3 Informed by Oakdene Hollins (2009), WRATE (2010) Closed loop recycling (viscose) -1,607 Closed loop recycling (polyester) -4,522 Closed loop recycling (acrylic) -6,520 Closed loop recycling (polyamide) -6,964 Closed loop recycling (polyurethane) -2,488 Open loop recycling (all fibres) -2,259 Informed by ERM (2006), Oakdene Hollins (2009), WRATE (2010) Incineration (synthetic fibres) 1006 WRATE (2010) Incineration (natural fibres) -433 WRATE (2010) 222 WRATE (2010) Landfill (all fibres) Table 16: Carbon footprint associated with the treatment of clothing via various routes 3.8 Reduction Measures Table 17 describes the reduction measures considered in the study. 3.9 Baseline and Future Scenarios The three defined scenarios considered in this study, as previously described in this report, are a baseline scenario, a Central scenario and a ‘What If?’ scenario. Table 17 describes the data used for each scenario with regard to each reduction measure. Where possible, values for realistic (central) and optimistic (‘What If?’) reductions were taken from the URS (2011) water footprint report for consistency. References for each data source are provided in the table. In addition to the reduction measures provided for each reduction scenario, an extra intervention was also considered. This addressed the issue of the transportation method used to import garments to the UK. The baseline scenario that has been used for this study assumes 92% sea freight and 8% air freight, based on data extracted from the Biointelligence (2009). In order to calculate the reductions achievable by reducing air transportation, two reduction measures were modelled. The Central scenario is that the proportion of clothing transported by air is reduced by 10% (ie 92.8% sea freight and 7.2% air freight). The ‘What If?’ scenario is that the proportion of clothing transported by air is reduced by 50% (ie 96% sea freight and 4% air freight). Results are presented separately from the other reduction measures, as it was thought the potential to influence a reduction is lower than the other ten reduction measures. (1) Note that the emission factors used in the study relate are by fibre type and relate to the calculated upstream impacts for fibre type. These are different from those in WRAP 2011 Benefits of Reuse research. The UK reuse factors include preparation for reuse burdens and displace UK clothing. 26 Clothing Working Group Design & production Design & production Design & production In use In use Principal stakeholders Message Reduction Measure Lean production Eco efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) Baseline comprises production based on most recent published ecoinvent data and 2010 energy mix (per country) Longer product lifetime Design for Durability [and product lifetime optimisation] A weighted lifetime of clothing in the UK is taken as 2.2 years. Considering both lifetime of each garment type and proportion of total UK clothing each garment represents. Manufacturer / retailer / consumer Buy differently Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres ~45% of fabric used in the UK is synthetic Consumer / retailer Reduce consumer footprint through behavioural change Consumer / retailer Reduce consumer footprint through behavioural change Manufacturer / retailer Manufacturer / retailer / consumer What If? Scenario (Optimistic) References 30% reduction in GHG emissions for all fibres and across supply chain Central scenario - trade associations, manufacturers and retailers have committed to various qualitative work/objectives/eco innovation. What If? 30% Tesco commitment to reduce supply chain carbon footprint by 30% by 2020 33% longer lifetime of clothing, same end of life Central: both Biointelligence, 2009, Defra 2009. URS report What If? from WRAP Resource efficiency GHG. Quick win scenario for Product lifetime optimisation Replace 10% of cotton fabric with a 50:50 poly-cotton blended fabric 40% of cotton replaced Baseline from Defra 2010 report on Emerging Fibres Central: Biointelligence and URS What If?: Beyond best practice WRAP (2010) RE and GHG Clean clothing less 100% washing machine use (as opposed to hand washing). Weighted average lifetime washes (52.7) Washing machine use unchanged. Lifetime washes reduced by 10%. Washing machine use unchanged. Lifetime washes reduced by 15%. Baseline: Biointelligence, 2009. Central: URS. What If? ERM assumption Wash at lower temperature Weighted average wash temperature for Europe is 46oC (ie weighted averaged behaviour for 20oC, 30oC, 40oC, 60oC, 90oC) Weighted average wash temperature for Europe is 39.3oC (6% at 20oC, 55% at 30oC, 9% at 40oC, 30% at 60oC) Weighted average wash temperature for Europe is 32.9oC (40% at 20oC, 29% at 29oC, 12% at 40oC, 6% at 50oC, 11% at 60oC, 2% at 90oC) Baseline, Central and What If?: washing temperature for Europe, Biointelligence, 2009. Baseline Scenario Central Scenario 5% reduction in GHG emissions for all fibres and across each stage of supply chain 10% longer lifetime of clothing, same end of life 27 Consumer / retailer In use Consumer / retailer In use Reuse & recycling Reuse & recycling/ Design & Production Reuse & recycling Consumer / retailer Manufacturer / retailer / consumer Consumer / retailer Reduce consumer footprint through behavioural change Reduce consumer footprint through behavioural change Reuse more Increase size of washing and drying loads 3.7 kg both wash and dry (8.8% increase) 4 kg both wash and dry (17.6% increase on baseline) Baseline, Central and What If?: from Biointelligence, 2009. Use the tumble dryer less 32% of clothing is dried in a tumble dryer. The rest being either dried on clothes lines, balconies, clothes horses, radiators etc. For six months of the year (ie summer and spring) a 30% reduction from baseline is achieved by an increase in the proportion of clothing dried on washing lines etc. For the other half of the year (ie autumn and winter) there is no change from the baseline. For six months of the year (ie summer and spring) a 50% reduction from baseline is achieved by an increase in the proportion of clothing dried on washing lines etc. For the other half of the year (ie autumn and winter) there is a 15% reduction from the baseline achieved by an increase in the proportion of clothing dried on radiators etc. Baseline: Defra, 2009. Central and What If?: from Biointelligence, 2009. Dispose less reuse more It has been estimated ~47.6% of clothing is ultimately reused (13.9% is reused in the UK). 52.6% of clothing ultimately reused (15.4% is reused in the UK). This is in addition to baseline end of life for reuse and disposal. 62.6% of clothing reused (18.3% is reused in the UK). This is in addition to baseline end of life for reuse and disposal. Baseline: WRAP 2011 Benefits of Reuse), ERM. Central and What If? ERM assumptions. Currently little or no clothing is closed loop recycled (0% for the baseline). 5% of all fibres are recycled (closed loop) resulting in reduction of production burden (1:1 basis assumed). This is in addition to baseline end of life for reuse and disposal. 10% of all fibres are recycled (closed loop) resulting in reduction of production burden. This is in addition to baseline end of life for reuse and disposal. Baseline: WRAP, ERM. Central and What If? ERM assumptions. ~14.5% of clothing is recycled (open loop). 19.5% of all clothing recycled (open loop). This is in addition to baseline end of life for reuse and disposal. 24.5% of all fibres are recycled (open loop). This is in addition to baseline end of life for reuse and disposal. Baseline: WRAP, ERM. Central and What If? ERM assumptions. Recycle more Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres Recycle more Dispose less recycle more (open loop) 3.4 kg for both washing and drying Table 17: Defined scenarios for each reduction measure (included in this study) 28 3.10 Data Quality All assessments of this type will have data quality issues and it is important that these are communicated. Due to the strategic-level nature of this study, a formal data quality review as required by ISO 14044 (1) or PAS 2050 is out of the scope. However, ISO 14044 or PAS 2050 have been used to help to define the data quality criteria that consideration should be given to, which are: reliability; precision; completeness; temporal specificity; geographical specificity; and technological specificity. Each data set (rather than individual data points) has been assessed against these data quality criteria and ranked according to a simple traffic light system (eg red = poor quality; amber = moderate quality; and green = good quality). The criteria assessment is based on the lowest quality data point within the data set. The resulting matrix below (Table 18) provides a quick guide to the likely uncertainty which may be associated with the data set. Life Cycle Stage Reliability Precision Completeness Temporal Correlation Geographical Correlation Technological Correlation Fibre production Yarn production Fabric production Fabric treatment Garment production Packaging Distribution to the UK Storage at RDC Storage at retail outlet Washing Drying Ironing End of life Table 18: Data quality assessment matrix Data highlighted as having poor data quality are as follows. Natural fibres - Where secondary data for production of a natural fibre were not specific to the country modelled. Agricultural inputs were not changed due to the limited scope of this study. It is likely that agricultural inputs and outputs will vary between countries and therefore it is seen as a limitation that the model does not consider these. (1) ISO14040 series of life cycle assessment standard. Reference ISO 14044:2006 Environmental management -- Life cycle assessment -Requirements and guidelines. http://www.iso.org 29 Production of silk fibre - The inventory was created using economic input output data (I/O), which have a large inherent uncertainty due to their generic nature. Production of polyamide fibre – Secondary data used for the production of polyamide fibre were taken from the Australasian database, which contains data from as early as 1993. Despite the age of these data, it was felt to be the most appropriate available, as its format allowed grid electricity mixes to be altered to be specific to the country of fibre production. Lifetime of clothing – The best data available were used to model the lifetime of clothing. However, the variability between the lifetimes of individuals’ clothing is large and therefore it may be difficult to capture this in an ‘average’ value. Washing frequency - The data used for the number of times clothing is washed per year are uncertain. There is variability in washing frequency between households, different garment types and even within the same garment group (ie occasional wear versus every day wear). Therefore, it is very difficult to represent the typical washing frequency of all clothing in the UK. Ironing – As with clothing lifetime data, data on the proportion of clothing ironed are highly variable. It is noted that, despite the best data available being used, this is a potential data limitation. However, ironing does not contribute to a significant proportion of life cycle GHG emissions (see results section). Transportation of finished garments to the UK – Assumptions on the transportation routes were made to build a model of the distribution of clothing to (and within) the UK. There is inherent uncertainty within these assumptions that can only be reduced with detailed modelling of transport routes into the UK. A hotspot analysis of results was carried out to identify those life cycle stages that make the greatest contribution to the total carbon footprint. Washing, drying and fabric production were identified as major hotspots. For each of these life cycle stages, ‘good’ or ‘moderate’ quality data were used. Therefore, despite the use of ‘poor’ quality data for certain aspects of the life cycle, the overall quality of data can be considered to be reasonable, and at an appropriate level for the aims of this study. 30 4.0 Impact Assessment This section provides description and interpretation of the main results of this study. A separate Excel model is also provided alongside this report, which contains all the results of this study. Note: values for the use-phase impacts are presented for all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, not just for new clothing in use bought in 2009. If values for the use phase impacts of only new clothes in use are required, then the use phase impact values presented in this section should be divided by the factor 2.177. 4.1 Baseline Scenario 4.1.1 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK – UK Total Table 19 below displays the baseline carbon footprint results of all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK. Results are presented as a total for the UK and broken down by both life cycle stage and fibre type. This is shown graphically in Figure 9. The contribution of each life cycle stage and fibre type to the total baseline carbon footprint is shown in Figure 10. 31 Carbon Footprint (tCO2e) Fibre Type Cotton Wool Silk Flax / linen Fibre production Yarn production Fabric production Garment production Distribution Retail Use washing Use drying Use ironing End of life TOTAL 862,591 3,933,342 6,738,624 328,311 756,870 227,091 2,479,140 1,638,070 104,532 -1,161,070 15,907,502 2,138,740 885,909 1,472,743 67,392 155,982 47,531 518,890 342,852 21,879 -417,159 5,234,758 23,211 79,600 139,099 7,510 15,480 5,281 57,654 38,095 2,431 -24,658 343,704 5,253 76,659 131,673 14,673 39,079 10,562 115,309 76,189 4,862 -27,628 446,632 Viscose 217,837 1,907,296 534,496 66,029 175,854 47,531 518,890 342,852 21,879 -254,415 3,578,248 Polyester 979,687 493,853 1,496,878 117,384 312,630 84,499 922,471 609,514 38,896 -305,691 4,750,120 Acrylic 779,454 1,902,845 901,967 66,029 175,854 47,531 518,890 342,852 21,879 -331,992 4,425,307 Polyamide 737,950 246,673 801,748 58,692 156,315 42,250 461,235 304,757 19,448 -177,984 2,651,085 Polyurethane / polypropylene 106,194 92,597 300,656 22,010 58,618 15,844 172,963 114,284 7,293 -52,521 837,937 5,850,917 9,618,774 12,517,884 748,029 1,846,682 528,120 5,765,441 3,809,464 243,098 -2,753,116 38,175,293 TOTAL Table 19: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented as a total for the UK, broken down per fibre type Figure 9: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented as a total for the UK, broken down per fibre type 32 Figure 10: Contribution to the total carbon footprint of each life cycle stage and fibre type 33 From Table 19, Figure 9 and Figure 10, the following points are evident. The total annual carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 (ie the volume consumed, and the actively worn quantity) is approximately 38 million tonnes of CO2e (~0.6 tonnes per person per year). Because the majority of clothing is manufactured outside the UK, it is estimated that ~32% occurs within the UK (contributing to the UK’s direct carbon footprint) and ~68% occurs abroad. Based on this estimate, the direct impact of clothing in the UK can be estimated to be ~12 million tonnes of CO2e. To put the direct carbon footprint of UK clothing into context, the total direct GHG emissions in the UK in 2009 were reported to be 566 million tonnes of CO2e (DECC, 2011). It should be noted that this total for the UK does not include GHG emissions associated with imported goods or services, or international travel. Therefore, the direct carbon footprint contributes approximately 2% to the UK’s total direct carbon footprint. The carbon footprint of new garments ONLY, in use in the UK in 2009, can also be calculated by dividing the carbon footprint of both new and existing clothing by its anticipated lifetime. This figure is approximately 17 million tonnes of CO2e. The dominant life cycle stage is fabric production (comprising weaving/knitting etc. and treatment of fabric), representing 33% of total life cycle GHG impacts. The second most dominant life cycle stage is use, representing 26% of total life cycle GHG impacts. Of the activities in the use phase, washing represents is the largest contributor (15%), followed by drying (10%) and ironing (1%). Of all life cycle stages, garment production, distribution and retail contribute the least to the total carbon footprint: contributing 2%; 5%; and 1%, respectively. Of all the fibre types, the contribution of cotton to the total carbon footprint is the largest (42%), primarily due to the large proportion of cotton used in the UK (43%). It is worth noting that this baseline calculation does not take into account potential differences in laundry impacts between fibre types, which is examined further in Section 4.6. 4.1.2 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether Manufactured in or Imported to the UK – per person Table 20 below displays the baseline carbon footprint results of all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK. Results are represented as per person figures (UK population of 62.262 million) and broken down by both life cycle stage and fibre type. This is shown graphically in Figure 11. From Table 20 and Figure 11, the following points are evident. The per person per annum carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 is around 0.6 tonnes of CO2e. The general comments made on Table 19, Figure 9 and Figure 10 also apply to these results. 34 Carbon Footprint (kgCO2e) per person Fibre Type Fibre production Yarn production Fabric production Garment production Distribution Use washing Retail Use drying Use ironing End of life TOTAL Cotton 13.9 63.2 108.2 5.3 12.2 3.6 39.8 26.3 1.7 -18.6 255.5 Wool 34.4 14.2 23.7 1.1 2.5 0.8 8.3 5.5 0.4 -6.7 84.1 Silk 0.4 1.3 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 -0.4 5.5 Flax / linen 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.9 1.2 0.1 -0.4 7.2 Viscose 3.5 30.6 8.6 1.1 2.8 0.8 8.3 5.5 0.4 -4.1 57.5 Polyester 15.7 7.9 24.0 1.9 5.0 1.4 14.8 9.8 0.6 -4.9 76.3 Acrylic 12.5 30.6 14.5 1.1 2.8 0.8 8.3 5.5 0.4 -5.3 71.1 Polyamide 11.9 4.0 12.9 0.9 2.5 0.7 7.4 4.9 0.3 -2.9 42.6 1.7 1.5 4.8 0.4 0.9 0.3 2.8 1.8 0.1 -0.8 13.5 94.0 154.5 201.1 12.0 29.7 8.5 92.6 61.2 3.9 -44.2 613.1 Polyurethane / polypropylene TOTAL Table 20: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented per person, broken down per fibre type Figure 11: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented per person, broken down per fibre type 35 4.1.3 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether Manufactured in or Imported to the UK – per tonne Table 21 below displays the baseline carbon footprint results of all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK. Note: use phase impacts relate to all clothing in use for one year’s use. Results are represented as per tonne and broken down by both life cycle stage and fibre type. The data do not differentiate the ‘in-use’ carbon footprint by fibre type – which may underestimate the carbon footprint of water-retaining fibres, notably cotton. The baseline analysis does not examine the effect of uncertainties which are considered in further analysis (Section 4.6). These results are shown graphically in Figure 12. From Table 21 and Figure 12, the following points are evident. The total carbon footprint of a tonne of clothing in 2009 ranges from around 15 to 46 tonnes CO2e, depending on the fibre type of the garment. The life cycle stages garment production, distribution, retail and use have the same associated GHG impact for each fibre type (see also research suggestions in Section 5.7 and sensitivity analyses of Section 4.6.2 and 4.6.3). Wool displays the largest carbon footprint of all the fibre types (around 46 tonnes of CO2e per tonne across the entire life cycle), with fibre production contributing most to the carbon footprint (45% of total life cycle impacts). This is explained by the large impact of agriculture inputs and outputs associated with livestock (eg methane emissions from manure management, nitrous oxide emissions from fertilisers etc.). It is acknowledged that the assumption that all clothing is washed and dried at the same frequency and temperature regardless of fibre type is uncertain. It is possible that some fibre types, for example wool, may be washed less frequently and at lower temperatures than others and may not be tumbledried. However, data on washing behaviour by fibre type is lacking and it cannot be assumed that washing and drying recommendations of clothing manufacturers will be followed. Flax/Linen displays the smallest carbon footprint of all the fibre types (around 15 tonnes of CO2e). The main reason for this is the relatively small carbon footprint allocated in the production of fibre (335 kg CO2e per tonne), which can be explained by the fact that linen is a low value co-product from the production of a higher-value product, linseed oil. 36 Carbon Footprint (kgCO2e) per tonne of fibre Fibre Type Cotton Fibre production Yarn production Fabric production Garment production Distribution Use washing Retail Use drying Use ironing End of life TOTAL 1,755 7,961 13,710 668 1,540 462 2,317 1,531 98 -2,362 27,679 20,790 8,654 14,316 655 1,516 462 2,317 1,531 98 -4,055 46,284 2,031 6,964 12,169 657 1,354 462 2,317 1,531 98 -2,157 25,425 335 3,353 5,760 642 1,709 462 2,317 1,531 98 -1,209 14,999 Viscose 2,118 18,540 5,196 642 1,709 462 2,317 1,531 98 -2,473 30,139 Polyester 5,357 2,700 8,185 642 1,709 462 2,317 1,531 98 -1,671 21,329 Acrylic 7,577 18,551 8,768 642 1,709 462 2,317 1,531 98 -3,227 38,427 Polyamide 8,070 2,700 8,768 642 1,709 462 2,317 1,531 98 -1,946 24,351 Polyurethane / polypropylene 3,097 2,700 8,768 642 1,709 462 2,317 1,531 98 -1,532 19,792 Wool Silk Flax / linen Table 21: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented per tonne, broken down per fibre type Figure 12: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented per tonne, broken down per fibre type 37 4.1.4 Carbon Footprint of all Clothing in Use in the UK in 2009, whether Manufactured in or Imported to the UK – per garment Table 22 below displays the baseline carbon footprint results of all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK. Results are represented as per garment and broken down by life cycle stage. These results are shown graphically in Figure 13. From Table 22 and Figure 13, the following points are evident. The carbon footprint of each garment, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 ranges from around 1 to 17 kg CO2e. The garment types displaying the largest carbon footprint are suits and ensembles (17 kg CO2e), dresses (15 kg CO2e) and jackets (13 kg CO2e), which can be explained by their relatively large mass. Those garments displaying the smallest carbon footprint are gloves (1 kg CO2e), scarves, shawls, ties etc. (2 kg CO2e) and swimwear (2 kg CO2e), which can be explained by their relatively small mass. 38 Carbon Footprint (kgCO2e) per garment Garment Type Tops Underwear, nightwear and hosiery Bottoms Jackets Dresses Suits and ensembles Gloves Sportswear Swimwear Scarves, shawls, ties etc. Fibre production Yarn production Fabric production Garment production Distribution 1.1 1.8 2.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 -0.5 6.5 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 -0.1 1.9 1.1 2.4 2.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 -0.6 8.7 3.7 2.5 3.9 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.9 1.3 0.1 -1.0 13.3 2.2 3.7 4.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 2.6 1.7 0.1 -1.0 14.8 5.4 3.2 4.7 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.1 1.4 0.1 -1.3 16.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.1 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.0 -0.4 6.1 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 -0.1 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 -0.1 1.8 Retail Use washing Use drying Use ironing End of life TOTAL Table 25: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented per garment, broken down per garment type Figure 13: Carbon footprint all clothing in use in the UK in 2009, whether manufactured in or imported to the UK, represented per garment, broken down per garment type 39 4.2 Savings Achieved in the Central Scenario Table 23 and Figure 14 below display the carbon saving from the baseline generated by each reduction measure of the Central scenario. The baseline is the total carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 (ie the volume consumed, and the actively worn quantity), given in tonnes of CO2e. The figure in the next column is the reduction in total carbon footprint of all garments after the reduction measure is put in place. Baseline (t CO2e) Reduction (t CO2e) Reduction % Eco-efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) Central scenario - 5% reduction for all fibres across supply chain 38,175,293 1,563,219 -4.1% Design for Durability (and product lifetime optimisation) - Central scenario - 10% longer lifetime of clothing 38,175,293 2,941,203 -7.7% Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres - Central scenario replace 10% of cotton with 50:50 polycotton. [Data exclude in-use savings] 38,175,293 164,150 -0.4% Clean clothing less - Central scenario washes per year reduced by 10% 38,175,293 989,905 -2.6% Wash at lower temperature - Central scenario - weighted average wash temperature of 39.3C 38,175,293 549,604 -1.4% Increase size of washing and drying loads - Central scenario - load increases to 3.7kg 38,175,293 531,538 -1.4% Use the tumble dryer less - Central scenario - 30% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer 38,175,293 430,367 -1.1% Dispose less - reuse more - Central scenario – 15.4% of clothing ultimately reused in the UK 38,175,293 272,063 -0.7% Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres - Central scenario - 5% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) 38,175,293 352,144 -0.9% Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) Central scenario - 38% of all clothing is recycled open loop 38,175,293 195,729 -0.5% 7,989,921 -20.9% Reduction measure Cumulative reduction Table 23: Savings achieved by each reduction measure of the Central scenario 40 Figure 14: Savings achieved by each reduction measure of the Central scenario From the estimates presented in Table 23 and Figure 14, the following points are evident. A potential 21% reduction in the carbon footprint of UK clothing would occur if all reduction measures considered for the Central scenario were achieved. The largest carbon footprint reductions are achieved by extending product lifetime (8%), ecoefficiency across the supply chain (4% reduction) and washing clothing less (3% reduction). As calculated, reduction measures resulting in minimal reductions in carbon footprint include increasing open loop recycling, increasing reuse and a shift in the market to a larger proportion of synthetic fibres. An eco-efficiency measure across the supply chain (production, distribution and retail) of 5% for all fibres results in reduction in the total carbon footprint of 4.1%. Increasing the lifetime of clothing by 10% results reduction in carbon footprint of 7.7%. However, as an indirect negative consequence of this measure, it is possible that a longer lifetime might result in poorer quality clothing at the end of life. As a consequence, there would be less benefit for reuse items, although this was not examined in the study. This potential indirect effect is more relevant to a situation where clothing lifetime has increased through a behavioural change rather than a technological one. A shift to synthetic fibres by replacing 10% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton only results in a very small reduction in carbon footprint (0.4%). The savings are a result of the lower embodied carbon value associated with polyester production in comparison to cotton. However, the difference between these two values is small. It is possible that more significant savings may result from this shift to synthetics, due to their relative physical properties resulting in less energy required for washing, drying and ironing. This thesis is tested in a sensitivity analysis in Section 4.6 of this report. A 10% reduction in the number of washes per year results in significant carbon footprint savings (2.6%). This is a consequence of the use phase representing such a large proportion of total life cycle emissions and the fact that both drying and ironing are reduced by 10% when the number of washes is reduced. A reduction of average washing temperature from 46oC to 39.3oC results in a carbon footprint reduction of 1.4%. This is an example of where a reduction in input results in a significant reduction in overall carbon footprint, due to the significance of the life cycle stage. 41 An increase in washing and drying load sizes from 3.4 kg to 3.7 kg results in a carbon footprint reduction of 1.4%. A reduction in machine drying by 30% in the summer results in a modest reduction in carbon footprint of 1.1%. Although machine drying is very energy-intensive and represents a significant proportion of total life cycle impact, machine dryer use in the UK is already quite low (around 32%) and therefore a 30% reduction in use does not translate into a large absolute reduction in use. In terms of indirect effects of this measure, there may be a positive knock-on effect of increasing the clothing lifetime through less shrinkage or other damage to clothing whilst machine drying. An increase in the final reuse of clothing in the UK from 13.9% to 15.4% results in a modest carbon footprint reduction of 0.7%. It is noted here that the proportion of UK clothing reused in the UK is around one third, which explains the relatively small saving achieved by increases reuse as only the UK reused fraction is given a displacement benefit in this study. On a ‘per tonne of clothing’ basis reuse results in significant carbon reduction and is generally favoured as a waste management option from a carbon footprint perspective1. An increase in closed loop recycling from 0% to 5% results in a carbon footprint reduction of 0.9%. As with closed loop recycling, increasing open loop recycling from 14.5% to 19.5% does not result in significant savings in carbon footprint. It should also be noted that the number of decimal places of results displayed in Table 26 and Table 27 does not represent the level of precision, rather these are illustrative, to allow for distinction between reduction measures. The above reduction measures can be grouped into potential savings from consumer actions, potential savings as a result of business actions or combination of the two. The total potential reduction in the carbon footprint of UK clothing is broken down into these three groups: Potential savings as a result of consumer actions – 8.7% Potential savings as a result of business actions – 4.1% Potential savings as a result of both consumer and business actions – 8.1% In addition, further savings can be achieved from encouraging the use of a particular fibre type due to the differentiation in use phase impacts between fibre type (see sensitivity analyses in Section 4.6.2 and Section 4.6.3). Due to the potential for large savings to be achieved through consumer actions at the use phase, the significance of in-use interventions has been tested further in this study (see Section 4.5). In addition, through reducing the proportion of clothing that is imported to the UK by air by 10% (ie to 7.2%), the total carbon footprint of UK clothing is reduced by 0.2%, or 90,770 t CO2e. (1) Note that the benefits given to ‘recycling’ collection in some carbon reporting metrics (eg Defra/Decc GHG Protocol and the Scottish Carbon Metric) are dominated by the proportion of clothes collected for ‘recycling’ which are subsequently separated for reuse. To the greatest extent the benefit given is dependent on the proportion that is reused, and in this study in particular, the proportion that is reused in the UK. To a lesser extent, the benefit given for recycling is associated with that remainder which is materials recycled or recovered. 42 4.3 Savings Achieved in the ‘What If?’ Scenario Table 24 and Figure 15 below display the carbon saving from the baseline generated by each reduction measure of the ‘What If?’ scenario. The baseline is the total carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 (ie the volume consumed, and also the quantity actively worn), given in tonnes of CO2e. Baseline (t CO2e) Reduction (t CO2e) Reduction % Eco-efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) - 'What If?' - 30% reduction for all fibres across supply chain 38,175,293 9,338,795 -24.5% Design for Durability (and product lifetime optimisation) - 'What If?' - 33% longer lifetime of clothing 38,175,293 10,432,516 -27.3% Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres - 'What If?' - replace 40% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton [Data exclude in-use savings] 38,175,293 632,288 -1.7% Clean clothing less - 'What If?' - washes per year reduced by 15% 38,175,293 1,480,805 -3.9% Wash at lower temperature - 'What If?' weighted average wash temperature of 32.9C 38,175,293 1,032,401 -2.7% Increase size of washing and drying loads 'What If?' - load increases to 4kg 38,175,293 1,030,254 -2.7% Use the tumble dryer less - 'What If?' 50% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer, 15% reduction in winter 38,175,293 1,072,163 -2.8% Dispose less - reuse more - 'What If?' – 18.3% of clothing reused in the UK 38,175,293 799,980 -2.1% Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres - 'What If?' - 10% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) 38,175,293 696,184 -1.8% Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) 'What If?' - 43% of all clothing is recycled open loop 38,175,293 383,353 -1.0% 26,898,739 -70.5% Reduction measure Cumulative reduction Table 24: Savings achieved by each reduction measure of the ‘What If?’ scenario 43 Figure 15: Savings achieved by each reduction measure of the ‘What If?’ scenario From the estimates presented Table 24 and Figure 15, the following points are evident. A 71% reduction in the carbon footprint of UK clothing will occur if all reduction measures considered by the ‘What If?’ scenario are achieved. The largest carbon footprint reductions are achieved by extending product lifetime (27% reduction), eco-efficiencies across the supply chain (24% reduction) and washing less (4% reduction). Reduction measures resulting in the smallest reductions in carbon footprint include increasing closed loop recycling, increasing open loop recycling and a shift to a higher proportion of synthetics. An eco-efficiency measure across the supply chain (production, distribution and retail) of 30% for all fibres results in a reduction in carbon footprint of 24.5%. Increasing the lifetime of clothing by 33% results in a large reduction in carbon footprint of 27.3%. A shift to synthetics by replacing 40% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton only results in a very small reduction in carbon footprint (1.7%). However, this result excludes savings during the in-use stage. A 15% reduction in the number of washes per year results in significant carbon footprint savings (3.9%). A reduction of average washing temperature from 46oC to 32.9oC results in a carbon footprint reduction of 2.7%. An increase in washing and drying load sizes from 3.4kg to 4kg results in a carbon footprint reduction of 2.7%. A reduction in machine drying by 50% in the summer and 15% in the winter results in a reduction in carbon footprint of 2.8%. An increase in the direct reuse of clothing from 13.9% to 18.3% results in a modest carbon footprint reduction of 2.1%. It is noted here that the proportion of UK clothing reused in the 44 UK is around one third, which explains the relatively small saving achieved by increases reuse as only the UK reused fraction is given a displacement benefit in this study. On a ‘per tonne of clothing’ basis reuse results in significant carbon reduction and is generally favoured as a waste management option from a carbon footprint perspective1. An increase in closed loop recycling from 0% to 10% results in a carbon footprint reduction of 1.8%. As with closed loop recycling, increasing open loop recycling from 14.5% to 24.5% does not result in significant savings in the carbon footprint. The above reduction measures can be grouped into potential savings from consumer actions, potential savings as a result of business actions or combination of the two. The total potential reduction in the carbon footprint of UK clothing is broken down into these three groups: Potential savings as a result of consumer actions – 17.0% Potential savings as a result of business actions – 24.5% Potential savings as a result of both consumer and business actions – 29.0% In addition, further savings can be achieved from encouraging the use of a particular fibre type due to the differentiation in use phase impacts between fibre type (see sensitivity analyses in Section 4.6.2 and Section 4.6.3). Due to the potential for large savings to be achieved through consumer actions at the use phase, the significance of in-use interventions has been tested further in this study (see Section 4.5). In addition, through reducing the proportion of clothing that is imported to the UK by air by 50% (ie to 4%), the total carbon footprint of UK clothing is reduced by 1.2%, or 453,850 t CO2e. 4.4 Benchmarking Against Other Studies The results generated in this study were compared to a selection of published reports, in order to sensecheck the results. It should be noted here that often a direct comparison with other studies is difficult as there may be differences in the scope; in particular the chosen functional unit. A study from the Carbon Trust (2011) gives a value of the production of new clothing at around 150 kg CO2e per person footprint, albeit the study has a different functional unit. To allow a fair comparison, we must adjust this value to reflect both new and existing clothing over the entire life cycle. In order to do this, we can assume production represents 75% of life cycle impacts and new clothing only represents 45% of total clothing in use (based on a lifetime of 2.2 years). The resulting carbon footprint for all clothing over the entire life cycle is 435 kg CO2e per person, which is closer to the results of this study (613 kg CO2e per person). All studies considered highlight the use phase as being dominant. Although the use phase contributes a large proportion (~25%) of the GHG impact of clothing in this study, it is a considerably lower proportion than suggested in other studies. A study by Business for Social Responsibility (2009) suggests that, in most studies, the use phase accounts for 40-80% of life cycle GHG impacts. For example, a study by the University of Cambridge (2006) calculates that the use phase of T-shirts represents 60% of energy impacts. It is thought that washing frequency is a major contributor to these differences. In the studies with which this assessment has been compared, the washing frequency data come from product/garment level studies and assume that new clothing is bought and used. However, in this study, an average cleaning frequency was calculated top down, based on average washing loads and load size (see Section 3.6.1). The resultant wash frequency is less than predecessor studies and (1) Note that the displacement benefit given for closed loop and open loop recycling in this study refers to materials that are recycled. The benefits given to ‘recycling’ in some carbon reporting metrics (eg Defra/Decc GHG Protocol and the Scottish Carbon Metric) are dominated by the proportion of clothes collected for ‘recycling’ which are subsequently separated for reuse. To a lesser extent, the benefit given for recycling is associated with that remainder which is materials recycled or recovered. 45 suggests a significant proportion of all new clothing (perhaps half) is bought and then not used, or is infrequently used. In terms of impact per tonne of finished garment per fibre type, the Biointelligence (2009) report provides values of 22.5 and 27.2 kg CO2e per kg for the production of cotton and polyester garments, respectively (up to the garment manufacturer gate). The values given in this study for cotton and polyester garments are 27.7 and 21.3 kg CO2e per kg, respectively. For polyester fibre, a study carried out by Shen et al. (2010) of Utrecht University provides a value of 4.1 kg CO2e per kg, which is in line with the value from this study of 5.3 kg CO2e per kg. 4.5 Further Analysis 4.5.1 Further In-use Interventions The SCAP ‘In-use’ group identified the use phase as an area warranting further analysis, given its contribution to the carbon footprint. Therefore, in addition to the reduction measures presented in the scenarios above, a series of consumer interventions were tested for their influence on carbon footprint results. To this end, the impact of 10 in-use interventions was tested through a behavioural change shift in 10% of the population for each reduction measure (ie 10% of the UK population adopt each measure). These measures are described in Table 25. The purpose of this analysis is to compare the effectiveness of a variety of measures to change consumer behaviour during the use phase of clothing after the clothing was purchased. Reduction Measure Reduction Scenario Increase size of washing and drying loads 10% shift in population from 3.4kg loads to 4kg loads Clean clothing less 10% shift from weighted average of 21.6 to 18.4 lifetime washes (ie 15% reduction) Use the tumble dryer less 10% shift in population from 32% dryer use (year round) to 16% in the summer and 27% in the winter. Wash at 30oC (effect of a wash at a lower temperature campaign) 10% shift in population from average wash temperature of 46oC to 32.9oC, where no bio fouling prevention is undertaken Wash at 30oC and periodic biofouling service wash (variant of above) 10% shift in population from average wash temperature of 46oC to always washing at 32.9oC, bio fouling ‘service’ wash (90oC) every six weeks Wash at 30oC and periodic biofouling service wash and descaling/detergent removal (variant of above) 10% shift in population from average wash temperature of 46oC to always washing at 32.9oC with monthly bio fouling ‘service’ wash (90oC with integrated lime scale and detergent remover and additional machine efficiency benefit of this) Enhanced energy efficiency of washing - improved appliance rating of washing machines OR achieved by more use of existing economy wash setting for washing machine 10% shift in population from A rated to A+ rated washing machines OR a 10% in consumer behaviour to use economy setting resulting in equivalent carbon saving Increased spin drying of washing machine 10% shift in population from spin cycle of 1000rpm to 1600rpm with positive consequences for drying1 Reduced detergent use 10% shift in population to reduce detergent use by 10% 1 Increasing the speed of spin drying of washing machines reduces the moisture content of clothing and therefore reduces energy consumption of dryers. A study by Defra (2009) entitled ‘Reducing the environmental impact of clothing’, states that an increase in washing machine spin drying speed from 1000 rpm to 1600 rpm can reduce drying energy by 13%. 46 Better washing and drying behaviour results increase in lifetime of clothing 10% of the population adopt better washing and drying behaviour, which increases the in use life of their clothing by 1 year. Behavioural changes comprise washing at lower temperature, washing clothing less, using the tumble dryer less and performing ‘service washes’ to reduce bio fouling. Table 25: In-use interventions considered in this study Bio-Fouling The prevention of bio-fouling (the build-up of unsightly and odorous residues and mould in washing machines) may have benefits in terms of appliance longevity and efficiency. Washing machine manufacturers generally recommend that high temperature, no load ‘service’ washes should be run periodically to minimise bio-fouling, blockages etc. In these service washes, consumers may also include limescale/detergent removal tablets to help to prevent the build-up of limescale in hard water areas and/or to remove detergent. In addition to the benefits achieved from the prevention of bio-fouling, there are also associated burdens, principally resulting from the energy used in the service wash. Data from a 2009 WRAP report carried out by ERM entitled ‘ Environmental Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) Study of Replacement and Refurbishment options for domestic washing machines’ suggests that 77% of the energy consumption of a washing machine is associated with heating and that, over time, limescale build up can reduce heating element efficiency by 10% (i.e. a 7.7% overall reduction in efficiency is a result of limescale build up). However, the washing temperature modelled in the 2009 WRAP study was higher than the average washing temperature of this study, and therefore savings were scaled down to an illustrative 4%. No data were found on the reduction of efficiency associated with the build-up of detergent and mould within the machine, and therefore an illustrative 1% was assumed as the reduction in efficiency caused by this build up. In this assessment, it was assumed that a service wash is undertaken at a recommended high temperature (90oC) every six weeks. This was modelled using data on the power consumption of an A rated washing machine, given in Table 13. The embodied carbon of limescale remover was assumed to be equal to that of washing powder; 50g was assumed to be added to every service wash. Table 26 below displays the carbon saving generated by a 10% shift in population towards each in-use intervention. 47 In-use intervention % Reduction in total carbon footprint Rank 10% shift in the washing and drying behaviour of population, increase the length of time clothing is use for by 1 year. Behavioural changes comprise washing at lower temperature, washing clothing less, using the tumble dryer less and performing ‘refresh washes’. -5.44% 1 10% shift from weighted average of 21.6 to 18.4 lifetime washes (ie 15% reduction) -0.41% 2 10% shift in population from 32% dryer use (year round) to 16% in the summer and 27% in the winter. -0.30% 3 10% shift in population from 3.4kg loads to 4kg loads -0.29% 4 10% shift in population from average wash temperature of 46oC to 32.9oC, where no bio fouling prevention is undertaken -0.18% 5 10% shift in population from spin cycle of 1000rpm to 1600rpm with positive consequences for drying -0.15% 6 -0.15% 7 -0.14% 8 -0.07% 9 -0.07% 10 10% shift in population from average wash temperature of 46oC to always washing at 32.9oC, with monthly bio fouling ‘service’ wash (90 oC) 10% shift in population from average wash temperature of 46oC to always washing at 32.9oC with monthly bio fouling ‘service’ wash (90oC with integrated lime scale and detergent remover and additional machine efficiency benefit of this) 10% shift in population to reduction in detergent that results in 10% reduction in impact 10% shift in population from A rated to A+ rated washing machines OR a 10% in consumer behaviour to use economy setting resulting in equivalent carbon saving Table 26: Savings achieved by each in-use intervention From the results presented in Table 26, the following points are evident. 4.6 The most significant in-use intervention is a behavioural shift resulting in an increase in clothing lifetime by one year (reduction in overall carbon footprint of 5.4%). This behaviour shift reduces both in-use and production impacts of clothing. Cleaning clothing less, increasing the size of washing loads and reducing tumble dryer use result in combined carbon footprint savings of greater than 1%. Other interventions have a less significant impact. Sensitivity Analyses In this study, a number of uncertainties were identified that warranted further investigation through sensitivity analyses. Sensitivity analysis is a technique to explore the sensitivity of results and conclusions to a change in a particular assumption or data point. The sensitivities examined are: the influence of the likely decarbonisation of grid electricity; the influence of fibre type on washing and drying; the influence of product lifetime; the influence of washing frequency; and the influence of UK fibre mix. 4.6.1 Decarbonisation of Grid Electricity (Sensitivity 1) 48 The Government has committed to reducing emissions of UK greenhouse gases by at least 80% by 2050 and 34% by 2020, on 1990 levels. In the latest Carbon Plan1 it sets out plans for achieving the target. A fourth carbon budget is established in the plan, which covers the period 2023–2027, and requires overall emissions to be cut by 50% on 1990 levels. The contribution that the UK energy sector can make to these targets is fundamentally dependent on two factors: future energy demand (economic growth/energy efficiency); and how clean is the future electricity supplied (either through change in technology/grid efficiency or through carbon mitigation/capture technologies). The Carbon Plan gives an Emissions Performance Standard for new electricity production of 450 gCO2 per kWh in 2013, but does not set targets for each energy generation technology or a future decarbonisation target for the energy sector overall. Hence, the sensitivity examined in this study uses the Climate Change Committee (2008) recommendation that the overall carbon intensity of UK grid needs to be reduced to 70 gCO2 per kWh in 2030. Figure 16 shows the potential pathway to achieving this proposed reduction, which was extracted from chapter 5 of a 2008 report by the Climate Change Committee entitled Building a low carbon economy. Figure 16: Potential pathway to decarbonisation of grid electricity in the UK The purpose of this sensitivity analysis is to assess the sensitivity of results and conclusions to the anticipated decarbonisation of grid electricity. In particular, does the priority of reduction measures change when considered in the context of a future UK with decarbonised electricity? Electricity is used in many stages over the life cycle of clothing (some within the UK and some outside the UK). However, in terms of contribution to the overall carbon footprint, the electricity used in the use phase is the most important. Therefore, this sensitivity analysis only considers the change in UK grid electricity emissions for the use phase. In this study, the carbon intensity of 2009 UK grid electricity is taken from ecoinvent and calculated to be 610 gCO2e per kWh. For this sensitivity analysis, the carbon intensity of UK grid electricity used in the use phase of clothing was reduced to 70 g CO2 per kWh (ie recommended 2030 levels). Table 27 presents the main results of this study recalculated using this reduced emission factor for grid electricity. Use Phase Grid 1 Use Phase Grid % Difference The Carbon Plan (2011) is accessible at http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/tackling/carbon_plan/carbon_plan.aspx 49 Electricity Emissions Factor 610 g CO2e per kWh Electricity Emissions Factor 70 g CO2e per kWh Fibre production 5,850,917 5,850,917 0% Yarn production 9,618,774 9,618,774 0% 12,517,884 12,517,884 0% Fabric production Garment production 748,029 748,029 0% 1,846,682 1,846,682 0% 528,120 528,120 0% Use - washing 5,765,441 2,731,655 -52.6% Use - drying 3,809,464 437,600 -88.5% Use - ironing 243,098 27,925 -88.5% Distribution Retail End of life TOTAL -2,753,116 -2,753,116 0% 38,175,293 31,554,469 -17.3% Table 27: Sensitivity analysis to access the effect of a decarbonised grid on use phase impacts From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented Table 27, the following points are evident. With the reduced carbon intensity of grid electricity applied to the use phase, the total carbon footprint for UK clothing is reduced by 17%. The value is comparable in scale to the majority of potential reductions across the supply chain estimated for the Central scenario; The largest contributor in percentage terms is the reduction in drying impacts (reduced by 88.5%); The reduction in carbon footprint of washing is only 52.6%, due to the influence of washing detergent, which is not affected by the decarbonisation of UK grid electricity in the sensitivity analysis. However, the reduction in terms of tonnes CO2e is roughly equivalent to that achieved in the drying phase (Figure 17); The significance of the use phase decreases relative to upstream life cycle stages (ie such as manufacture) and also at end of life. It should be noted here that only use phase grid electricity decarbonisation was modelled in this sensitivity. However, as the majority of clothing is manufactured outside of the UK, it is anticipated that modelling decarbonisation in all life cycles stages would not alter this conclusion significantly; With electricity being entirely responsible for the carbon footprint for drying and ironing, a reduction in the carbon intensity of electricity results in a direct reduction in carbon footprint. Sensitivity analysis 1 indicates that the relative importance of non-use life cycle stages is increased when electricity is decarbonised. Therefore, when considering reduction initiatives, some non-use phase measures increase in importance when grid electricity is decarbonised. As it is likely that UK grid electricity will be decarbonised in the future, both use phase and non-use phase reduction measures should be considered. This is considered further in Table 28, which displays the difference in ranking of carbon reduction measures where UK grid electricity is decarbonised. 50 Use Phase Grid Electricity Emissions Factor 610 g CO2e per kWh Use Phase Grid Electricity Emissions Factor 70 g CO2e per kWh Reduction due to measure from baseline (%) Cumulative Reduction (%) 1,563,219 -4.1% -4.1% 2 31,554,469 29,991,250 1,563,219 -5.0% -5.0% 2 33,670,871 4,504,422 -7.7% -11.8% 1 31,554,469 27,116,255 4,438,214 -9.1% -14.1% 1 38,175,293 33,506,721 4,668,572 -0.4% -12.2% 10 31,554,469 26,952,105 4,602,364 -0.5% -14.6% 9 38,175,293 32,516,816 5,658,477 -2.6% -14.8% 3 31,554,469 26,624,283 4,930,186 -1.0% -15.6% 4 Wash at lower temperature - Central scenario - weighted average wash temperature of 39.3C 38,175,293 31,967,212 6,208,081 -1.4% -16.3% 4 31,554,469 26,359,617 5,194,852 -0.8% -16.5% 6 Increase size of washing and drying loads - Central scenario - load increases to 3.7kg 38,175,293 31,435,674 6,739,619 -1.4% -17.7% 5 31,554,469 26,140,377 5,414,092 -0.7% -17.2% 7 Total Baseline Carbon Footprint (t CO2e) Total Reduced Carbon Footprint (t CO2e) Eco-efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) Central scenario - 5% reduction for all fibres across supply chain 38,175,293 36,612,074 Design for Durability (and Product lifetime optimisation) - Central scenario - 10% longer lifetime of clothing 38,175,293 Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres - Central scenario replace 10% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton Clean clothing less Central scenario - washes per year reduced by 10% Cumulative Reduction (t CO2e) Rank Total Baseline Carbon Footprint (t CO2e) Total Reduced Carbon Footprint (t CO2e) Cumulative Reduction (t CO2e) Reduction due to measure from baseline (%) Cumulative Reduction (%) Rank 51 Use the tumble dryer less - Central scenario - 30% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer 38,175,293 31,005,308 7,169,985 -1.1% -18.8% 6 31,554,469 26,083,767 5,470,702 -0.2% -17.3% 10 Dispose less - reuse more - Central scenario – 15.4% of clothing ultimately reused in UK 38,175,293 30,733,245 7,442,048 -0.7% -19.5% 8 31,554,469 25,811,704 5,742,765 -0.9% -18.2% 5 Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres Central scenario - 5% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) 38,175,293 30,381,101 7,794,192 -0.9% -20.4% 7 31,554,469 25,459,560 6,094,909 -1.1% -19.3% 3 Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) - Central scenario - 38% of all clothing is recycled open loop 38,175,293 30,185,372 7,989,921 -0.5% -20.9% 9 31,554,469 25,263,832 6,290,638 -0.6% -19.9% 8 Table 28: Sensitivity analysis to access the impact on the central reduction scenario of grid decarbonisation 52 From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented in Table 28, the following points are evident. The reduction achieved through the following measures is increased by the shift to a decarbonised grid: eco-efficiency across the supply chain; open and closed recycling; reuse more; shift towards synthetic fibres; and design for durability. The reduction achieved through the following measures in decreased by the shift to a decarbonised grid: cleaning clothing less; using the tumble dryer less; increased load sizes; and lower washing temperature. Therefore, in a decarbonised UK, non-use phase reduction measures become more important relative to use phase reduction measures. 4.6.2 Influence of Fibre Type on Drying (Sensitivity 2a and 2b) Consistent with the findings of previous environmental analyses of clothing, machine tumble drying has been identified in this study as a significant aspect of the life cycle with respect to the carbon footprint of clothing. Drying is also one stage of the life cycle with scope for potential intervention/innovation, ie technological innovation (either in tumble drier functionality, or indirectly through alternative fibres with faster-drying properties), or through consumer behavioural change (ie better separation, or selective drying and use). Also consistent with the previous research, the carbon footprint model of this study allocates the burden associated with using a tumble dryer to clothing on a mass basis, regardless of the type of fibre of which the clothing is made. For example, a kilogram of cotton shirts is ascribed the same GHG emissions for drying as a kilogram of polyester shirts. The rationale behind this allocation choice is that there is considerable uncertainty in the data available with regard to fibre type and drying properties. In particular, the influence of the combined physical properties of different fibres when dried in mixed loads is uncertain. A second argument for the mass allocation is that clothes are dried as mixed fibre loads. However, this mass allocation choice carries a level of uncertainty with evidence in the public domain that different fibre types possess significantly different drying properties. Therefore, the sensitivity of results to this allocation choice was tested through two sensitivity analyses: Sensitivity 2a - An index of relative drying rates was created for each fibre type, which was in turn used to allocate the impacts of drying to clothing of each fibre type, based on how quickly each fibre type dries. In this model, there is an assumption that either clothing will be separated by the consumer according to fibre type, or that dryers have appropriate technology / sensors such that drying time will reflect the fibre types being dried. Where different fibre types are present in the dryer, it will be assumed in this analysis that they have no influence on each other’s’ drying rate. The resulting total carbon footprints are compared with those where a mass-based allocation was used to determine the influence on results. Sensitivity 2b - Using the index of relative drying rates for each fibre type, further data were collected and used to examine the influence fibres have on each other’s drying rate. Resulting carbon footprints were compared with those of the current model. For sensitivity 2a, two approaches were considered for the construction of a relative index of drying times. The first was to gather data on the physical properties of fibre types in relation to the diffusion of water through clothing. Some outputs of this research are summarised below: A publication by Manich et al. (2005) describes that the key parameters determining drying kinetics are the amount of moisture retained on the outside of the fibres and the diffusion of moisture within the fibres. The rate of drying from the surface of clothing is dependant largely on the temperature, humidity and mass of the air in the dryer doing the drying, but not fibre type. Therefore, there is effectively no difference in drying rate at the surface between fibre types. 53 Conversely, the process of diffusion of water within fibres is strongly determined by fibre type and it is this parameter that affects the relative drying times of different fibre types most significantly. Of the fibres tested by Manich et al., polypropylene had the lowest water retention (4.1%) and quickest drying rate (7.5% per minute), viscose had the highest water retention (83.3%) and modal had the slowest drying rate (3.2% per minute) (cotton or wool were not assessed). There are many other studies concerning the drying kinetics of one fibre type or comparing two fibre types, but Manich et al. was the most comprehensive study identified. However, Manich et al. did not access all fibre types required for this study. A second approach to constructing a relative index of drying times was to gather data on the energy requirements of a tumble dryer for different fibre types. It was thought that this approach was more representative than considering the physical properties of fibre types and was therefore used in this sensitivity analysis. Product guides for tumble dryers were reviewed for information on drying times based on fibre type. As an example, a product guide for a Hotpoint tumble dryer is summarised in Table 29 below. Fibre type Cottons Synthetics Drying Time (mins) Temperature 130 High heat 80 Low heat Table 29: Drying time of different fibre types Based on the information on relative drying times provided in user manuals, an assumption was made for this sensitivity analysis that all synthetic fibres should be given a relative value of 0.5 and all natural fibres should be given a relative value of 1 (as per Table 30 below). In this sense, if separated, clothing made of nature fibres is assumed to use twice the energy to dry in comparison to clothing made of synthetic fibres. These relative values were applied to drying energy data for the first drying sensitivity analysis (ie where clothing is separated for drying). It is recognised that there are uncertainties with using this approach and further testing of tumble dryers by manufacturers is required to fill the gap in available research. Fate of Waste Relative Index of Drying Time Cotton 1 Wool 1 Silk 1 Flax / linen 1 Viscose 0.5 Polyester 0.5 Acrylic 0.5 Polyamide 0.5 Polyurethane / polypropylene 0.5 Weighted average 0.78 Table 30: Relative index of drying time of different fibre types For sensitivity analysis 2b (ie where mixed loads are dried together), all clothing was assumed to dry at the same rate as natural fibres. Manich et al. (2005) suggest that some fibre will have more influence on drying rates than others and that the relative quantity of fibres type in a load is also an important factor. The influence different fibre types have on each other is a complex issue but becomes a less important consideration if clothing is not typically removed from the dryer as it dries – in which case the rate of drying of mixed loads is largely determined by the slowest drying fibre type. 54 A final consideration is that for some fibre types it is not recommended that they are tumble dried at all. The Fabric Care Research Association Handbook (1988) suggests that wool should not be tumble dried as it is prone to shrinkage, silk should not be tumble dried as it is too fragile and linen should not be tumble dried as it creases very easily. Whilst it may be the case that some consumers follow washing instructions, it is not known what proportion of the population do this. In addition, some delicate fibre types have been improved by manufacturers, so it is less easy for consumers to damage them by drying (eg easy care wool) and it is not known what proportion of these types of clothing are being tumble dried. Therefore, for these sensitivity analyses, results are presented where considering both inclusion and exclusion of delicates (wool, silk and linen) to the tumble dryer. Table 31 presents results of sensitivity analysis 2a and Table 32 presents results of sensitivity analysis 2b. The proportion of the population that excluded delicates (ie wool, silk, flax) from tumble dryer loads is not known; the results of the sensitivity analysis are presented both where delicates are tumble dried and where they are excluded. Total Carbon Footprint (t CO2e) Drying energy All fibres use Drying energy based on based on relative drying relative drying rate of fibres, rate of fibres, clothing clothing separated, the same separated, energy to dry delicates dried Fibre Type (baseline) in tumble dryer Cotton 15,907,502 16,383,070 5,234,758 Silk Flax / linen % Difference delicates not dried in % Difference from tumble dryer baseline 3% 16,383,070 3% 5,334,296 2% 4,891,906 -7% 343,704 354,763 3% 305,609 -12% 446,632 468,752 5% 370,443 -21% Viscose 3,578,248 3,456,591 -4% 3,456,591 -4% Polyester 4,750,120 4,533,840 -5% 4,533,840 -5% Acrylic 4,425,307 4,303,650 -3% 4,303,650 -3% Polyamide 2,651,085 2,542,945 -4% 2,542,945 -4% 837,937 797,385 -5% 797,385 -5% 38,175,293 38,175,293 0% 37,585,440 -2% Wool Polyurethane / Polypropylene TOTAL from baseline Table 31: Sensitivity analysis to assess the influence on relative drying times of fabric types on results (where clothing is separated) From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented in Table 31, the following points are evident. Where drying energy is allocated according to the relative drying time of fibre types, the carbon footprint increases from the baseline for natural fibres and decreases for synthetic fibres. This can be explained by the hydrophobic nature of synthetic fibres causing them to hold less water and therefore to dry more quickly (using less energy) than natural fibres. Clearly, when the assumption is made that delicates are not dried in the tumble dryer, there is a large reduction in carbon footprint relative to the baseline for fibre types considered delicates (ie wool, silk and linen). The overall carbon footprint of UK clothing remains the same, whether allocation of dryer energy is carried out according to mass or relative drying time of fibre type. 55 Where delicates are not tumble dried, a small reduction of the overall carbon footprint of UK clothing is observed, which is due to the removal of drying burden for three fibre types. Total Carbon Footprint (t CO2e) Drying energy based on Drying energy relative drying based on rate of fibres, relative drying clothing All fibres use rate of fibres, mixed, the same clothing mixed, delicates not energy to dry delicates dried Fibre Type (baseline) in tumble dryer Cotton 15,907,502 dried in % Difference tumble dryer % Difference 16,383,070 3% 16,383,070 3% 5,234,758 5,334,185 2% 4,891,906 -7% Silk 343,704 354,751 3% 305,609 -12% Flax / linen 446,632 468,727 5% 370,443 -21% Viscose 3,578,248 3,677,675 3% 3,677,675 3% Polyester 4,750,120 4,926,879 4% 4,926,879 4% Acrylic 4,425,307 4,524,735 2% 4,524,735 2% Polyamide 2,651,085 2,739,464 3% 2,739,464 3% 837,937 871,079 4% 871,079 4% 38,175,293 39,280,566 3% 38,690,861 1% Wool Polyurethane / Polypropylene TOTAL Table 32: Sensitivity analysis to assess the influence on relative drying times of fabric types on results (where clothing is mixed) From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented in Table 32, the following points are evident. Where loads are mixed and drying energy is based on the slowest drying item of clothing (ie natural fibres), the carbon footprint for each fibre type increases from the baseline. Where it is assumed that delicates are not tumble dried, there is a large reduction in carbon footprint relative to the baseline for fibre types considered delicates. The overall carbon footprint of UK clothing is increased from the baseline by virtue of the increase in mixed load tumble drying. The increase in the carbon footprint of UK clothing is less apparent where delicates are not tumble dried, due to the reduction in impact for these fibre types. 4.6.3 Influence of Fibre Type on Washing (Sensitivity 3) In addition to examining the effect of fibre type on drying, the SCAP in-use group is interested in the effect of fibre type on washing. Physically, there are differences in the fibre properties (eg water and detergent retention) that mean there may also be a rationale for differentiation in the allocation of washing impacts in mixed loads, but this is even less certain than for drying. However, for some types of clothing, such as white cotton, it is certainly traditional to wash these separately from other clothes at a higher temperature. 56 In the current version of the carbon footprint model, data on washing method (eg temperature of wash) does not consider any differences between fibre types, which can be seen as a limitation. Therefore, this sensitivity analysis assesses how significant differentiation in washing method between fibre type affects results, using the shift of market from cotton to poly-cotton as an example. It is anticipated that the reduction achieved from a shift to poly-cotton will be greater when clothing is considered to be separated for washing. This is because, in addition to lower manufacturing impacts associated with poly-cotton in comparison to cotton, the washing energy required for synthetics is also likely to be lower. In a report in 2006 by the University of Cambridge entitled ‘Well Dressed?’, a typical washing temperature for a cotton t-shirt in the UK was given as 60oC, whereas the typical washing temperature for a viscose blouse was given as 40oC. In addition, the report also assumed the cotton t-shirt would be machine dried and ironed whereas neither of these activities were considered necessary for the viscose blouse. Based on information from the ‘Well Dressed?’ report, the sensitivity analysis considered in this report assumes the temperature of a cotton only wash to be 60oC and that of a poly-cotton only wash to be 45oC (ie the average European temperature of 46oC used in the current model for all clothing). The following scenarios are considered for this sensitivity analysis. Central scenario – a shift in market where 10% of cotton is replaced with 50:50 poly-cotton mix, where clothing is not separated for washing and washed at an average temperature of 46oC. Central scenario sensitivity - a shift in market where 10% of cotton is replaced with 50:50 polycotton mix, where clothing is separated for washing and washed at a temperature appropriate for that fibre type (ie 60oC for cotton and 46oC for poly-cotton). ‘What If?’ scenario – a shift in market where 40% of cotton is replaced with 50:50 poly-cotton mix, where clothing is not separated for washing and washed at an average temperature of 46oC. ‘What If?’ scenario sensitivity - a shift in market where 40% of cotton is replaced with 50:50 poly-cotton mix, where clothing is separated for washing and washed at a temperature appropriate for that fibre type (ie 60oC for cotton and 46oC for poly-cotton). Table 33 below displays the reduction from baseline achieved by a shift in the market towards synthetics where, firstly, clothing is not separated for washing and washed at an average temperature of 46oC and, secondly, where clothing is separated for washing and washed at a temperature appropriate for that fibre type. The shift towards synthetics is illustrated with two scenarios: the Central scenario of replacing 10% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton; and the ‘What If?’ scenario of replacing 40% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton. 57 Reduction % – where clothing is not separated for washing and washed at an average temperature of 46oC Reduction % – where clothing is separated for washing and washed at a temperature appropriate for that fibre type Central scenario - replace 10% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton -0.4% -0.7% ‘What If?’ scenario - replace 40% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton -1.7% -2.8% Reduction measure Table 33: Sensitivity analysis to assess to test the influence of fibre type on washing impacts From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented Table 33, the following points are evident. The reduction achieved from the shift towards synthetics in both the central and ‘What If?’ scenarios is over a third larger when the difference in washing temperature is also considered. If the difference in washing temperature at which different fibre types are washed was considered in this study, the carbon footprint results represented per fibre type and per garment type would be different. However, the total carbon footprint results for UK clothing as a whole would remain the same, as the weighted average temperature used considers all washing behaviour (including separating clothing based on fibre type to wash at a higher or lower temperature). 4.6.4 Longer Product Lifetimes (Sensitivity 4a and 4b) Of the reduction measures modelled in central and ‘What If?’ scenarios, one identified as warranting further sensitivity analysis is the measure to extend the lifetime of clothing. This measure could be brought about by a technological change (ie improving the durability of clothing through redesign) and/or (solely) through behavioural change (ie consumers choosing to use their clothing for longer). With the former approach, there may be an increased burden associated with manufacturing that is necessary to bring about the extension in lifetime (eg heavier material, coating, dye etc). Therefore, the sensitivity of the results to the requirement of an increase in manufacturing burdens to extend the lifetime of clothing warranted testing through a sensitivity analysis. This sensitivity compares the benefits of extending clothing lifetime where extra manufacturing is required with the benefits of extending clothing lifetime where no extra manufacturing is required (ie current approach). The following scenarios are considered: Central scenario – a 10% longer lifetime of all clothing, where no increase in manufacturing burdens is necessary; Central scenario sensitivity - a 10% longer lifetime of all clothing, brought about by a 10% increase in manufacturing burdens; ‘What If?’ scenario - a 33% longer lifetime of all clothing, where no increase in manufacture burdens is necessary; and ‘What If?’ scenario sensitivity - a 33% longer lifetime of all clothing, brought about by a 10% increase in manufacturing burdens. In addition, there is also considerable uncertainty over the lifetime of clothing, which warrants further investigation through a sensitivity analysis. In the current carbon footprint model, an ‘average’ weighted lifetime of clothing in the UK of 2.177 years was used, which was based on data from the URS (2011) report. However, it is well known that the variability between the lifetimes of individuals’ clothing is large and therefore it may be difficult to capture this in an ‘average’ value. For example, an unpublished Defra report undertaken by ERM presents results of a survey asking participants for how long they would normally expect to use certain products. For jumpers, answers from one year to 17 years were given, with the median result being two years. 58 The sensitivity of results to the choice of using 2.177 years as the weighted average lifetime of clothing was considered in this sensitivity analysis. This was achieved by comparing the results where a weighted average of 2.177 years was used to results where other data on clothing lifetime is used in its place. Table 34 below provides the data on garment lifetime used to base weighted average lifetimes of clothing in this sensitivity analysis. Lifetime (Years) Garment Type URS (2011) Defra / ERM (2011) Biointelligence (2009) Tops 2 1.5 3 Underwear, nightwear and hosiery 2 No data 2 Bottoms 2 2 2 Jackets 3 2 3 Dresses 3 No data No data Suits and ensembles 3 3 No data Gloves 2 No data 2 Sportswear 3 No data No data Swimwear 3 No data No data Scarves, shawls, ties etc 3 No data No data 2.177 1.770 2.493 Weighted average lifetime (years) Table 34: Data on clothing lifetimes used in sensitivity analysis The lifetime of clothing can be extended through either consumers retaining clothing for longer or manufacturers increasing durability. In the latter scenario, it could be argued that an extra manufacturing burden is required to allow clothing to be made more durable. However, in the current carbon footprint model, it was assumed that no extra manufacturing burden would be required to extend product lifetime. This sensitivity analysis tests the impact of this assumption. Table 35 displays results of this sensitivity analysis; comparing the reduction from baseline achieved by extending the lifetime of clothing where a 10% extra manufacturing burden is required in comparison to where extra manufacturing burden is not required. Reduction measure Central scenario – a 10% longer lifetime of all clothing ‘What If?’ scenario - a 33% longer lifetime of all clothing Reduction % – excluding extra manufacturing burden Reduction % – including extra manufacturing burden -7.7% -1.0% -27.3% -22.4% Table 35: Sensitivity analysis to access the impact of considering extra manufacturing burden required to extend the lifetime of clothing From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented Table 35, the following points are evident. For both the central and ‘What if?’ scenarios, the reduction achieved from extending the lifetime of clothing is less when a 10% extra manufacturing burden is required to achieve this extension. The decrease in reduction achieved is greater for the Central scenario than for the ‘What If?’ scenario. This is due to the fact the increase in manufacturing impact remains the same for each scenario but the savings from extended lifetime are far greater for the ‘What If?’ scenario. In addition to assessing the sensitivity to results of considering extra manufacturing in extending the lifetime of clothing, another sensitivity analysis related to product lifetimes was carried out. This considers the choice of using 2.177 years as the weighted average lifetime of clothing. Data from two other sources was used to calculate two alternative weighted average lifetimes of clothing, as described 59 above. These lifetimes were applied to the carbon footprint model and results are presented in Table 36 below. Carbon Footprint (t CO2e) Lifetime of 2.177 years Lifetime of 1.770 years Lifetime of 2.493 years Fibre production 5,850,917 7,196,298 5,109,285 Yarn production 9,618,774 11,830,548 8,399,547 12,517,884 15,396,290 10,931,181 748,029 920,033 653,213 1,846,682 2,271,314 1,612,606 528,120 649,557 461,178 Use - washing 5,765,441 5,765,441 5,765,441 Use - drying 3,809,464 3,809,464 3,809,464 Use - ironing 243,098 243,098 243,098 -2,753,116 -3,386,178 -2,404,145 38,175,293 44,695,867 34,580,867 Fibre Type Fabric production Garment production Distribution Retail End of life TOTAL Table 36: Sensitivity analysis to access the impact on results of the clothing lifetime data choice From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented Table 35, the following points are evident: The choice of clothing lifetime data greatly influences results; The longer the weighted average lifetime of clothing that is used, the lower the carbon footprint; The shorter the weighted average lifetime of clothing that is used, the higher the carbon footprint; Impacts from production, retail and end of life are allocated on a per annum basis and therefore, the longer the clothing lifetimes the smaller the carbon footprint; and Use phase impacts per annum remain the same regardless of the lifetime of clothing. Table 37 below shows the carbon saving from the baseline generated by each reduction measure of the Central scenario using a clothing lifetime of 2.177, 1.770 and 2.493 years. This table shows the sensitivity of results of the central reduction central to the lifetime of clothing. 60 Lifetime of 2.177 years Lifetime of 1.770 years Lifetime of 2.493 years % Reduction Rank % Reduction Rank % Reduction Rank Eco efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) - Central scenario 5% reduction for all fibres across supply chain -4.1% 2 -4.3% 2 -3.9% 2 Design for Durability (and product lifetime optimisation) Central scenario - 10% longer lifetime of clothing -7.7% 1 -8.0% 1 -7.5% 1 Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres Central scenario - replace 10% of cotton with 50:50 polycotton -0.4% 10 -0.5% 10 -0.4% 10 Clean clothing less - Central scenario - washes per year reduced by 10% -2.6% 3 -2.2% 3 -2.9% 3 Wash at lower temperature Central scenario - weighted average wash temperature of 39.3C -1.4% 4 -1.2% 4 -1.6% 4 Increase size of washing and drying loads - Central scenario - load increases to 3.7kg -1.4% 5 -1.2% 5 -1.5% 5 Use the tumble dryer less Central scenario - 30% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer -1.1% 6 -1.0% 6 -1.2% 6 Dispose less - reuse more Central scenario – 15.4% of clothing ultimately reused in the UK -0.7% 8 -0.7% 8 -0.7% 8 Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres - Central scenario - 5% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) -0.9% 7 -1.0% 7 -0.9% 7 Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) - Central scenario - 38% of all clothing is recycled open loop -0.5% 9 -0.5% 9 -0.5% 9 Cumulative reduction -20.9% -20.7% -21.1% Table 37: Sensitivity analysis to access the impact on the central reduction scenario of the clothing lifetime data choice From the results of the sensitivity analysis presented in Table 37, the following points are evident: Although the absolute carbon reduction varies greatly when a different lifetime of clothing is assumed, the percentage reduction for each reduction measure does not change greatly; As a result, the order of effectiveness of reduction measures doesn’t change; For use phase reduction measures, the longer the assumed lifetime of clothing, the greater the reduction, which is due to use phase impacts remaining static relative to other life cycle stages when clothing lifetime is changed; and 61 For non-use phase reduction measures, the longer the assumed lifetime of clothing, the smaller the reduction, which is due to impacts of these life cycle stages changing relative to the use phase when clothing lifetime is changed. 4.6.5 Washing Frequency (Sensitivity 5) The data used for the number of times clothing is washed per year are uncertain. There is variability in washing frequency between households, different garment types and even within the same garment group (ie occasional wear versus ‘everyday’ wear). Therefore, it is difficult to represent the typical washing frequency of all clothing in the UK. Currently, the number of washes per year is derived from a Defra study (2009). This study provides a value 274 washes per household per year, which was extracted from a report by the Market Transformation Programme (2006). The original source of this data point is from the research carried out by the Oxford Environmental Change Institute (published in Lower Carbon Futures for European Households, 2000). As the carbon footprint is based on the mass of UK clothing, it was necessary to normalise washing frequency to a metric of ‘number of washes per kilogram of clothing’. This was achieved by multiplying the number of washes per household with the number of UK households (26,300,000) and the average washing load size (3.43 kg), which provides the mass of clothing washed in the UK. This value was subsequently divided by the mass of clothing in use in the UK (2.49 million tonnes), to provide a value of 9.9 washes per kilogram of clothing per year. In order to test the sensitivity of results to the washing frequency upper and lower values of 5 and 15 washes per kilogram of clothing per year were entered into the carbon footprint tool. Where it is assumed clothing is washed 5 times per kilogram per year, the total carbon footprint is 13% less than that of the current carbon footprint, where it is assumed clothing is washed 9.9 times. As a consequence, the carbon reductions achieved through use phase improvement actions are less and those of non-use phase improvement action are greater. Where it is assumed clothing is washed 15 times per kilogram per year, the total carbon footprint is 13% greater than that of the current carbon footprint. The carbon reductions achieved through use phase improvement actions in this case are greater and those of non-use phase improvement action are less. 4.6.6 UK Fibre Mix (Sensitivity 6) The UK fibre mix modelled may not be representative of the UK clothing market. The original source of the fibre mix data is Biointelligence 2009, which reflects a European rather than UK specific fibre mix. This data was first used in URS’ 2011 water footprint study and subsequently used in this study for consistency. In order to test the sensitivity of results to fibre mix data, the results for the baseline results and ‘What if?’ scenario results extracted from the carbon footprint tool where a different mix was entered. This fibre mix data is from a Carbon Trust (2011) report entitled ‘International Carbon Flows’, which is shown in Table 38 below alongside Biointelligence data for comparison. 62 European Fibre Mix (Biointelligence, 2009) UK Specific Fibre Mix (Carbon Trust) Cotton 43% 32% Wool 9% 2% Silk 1% 2% Flax / linen 2% 6% Viscose 9% 4% Polyester 16% 45% Acrylic 9% 4% Polyamide 8% 5% Polyurethane / polypropylene 3% 0% Fibre Type Table 38: European fibre mix data used in this study in comparison to UK specific fibre mix data used for sensitivity 6 The baseline carbon footprint total with the Carbon Trust fibre mix data is 12% less than the baseline total where Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. For the ‘What if?’ scenario, the reduction achieved where Carbon Trust fibre mix data is used is 11% less than the reduction achieved where Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. Although the absolute reduction values change, the order of improvement actions does not change with the new fibre mix. 4.7 Conclusions of Sensitivity Analyses 4.7.1 Decarbonisation of Grid Electricity (Sensitivity 1) Figure 17 summarises the life cycle carbon footprint of UK clothing where an electricity emission factor of 70 g CO2e per kWh is used for the use phase, in comparison to that where 610 g CO2e per kWh is used. Figure 17: Graph to compare the carbon footprint of UK clothing where an electricity emission factor of 70g CO2e per kWh is used for the use phase, in comparison to that where 610g CO2e per kWh is used With the reduced carbon intensity of grid electricity applied to the use phase, the total footprint for UK clothing is reduced by 17%. The result of this anticipated decarbonisation of grid electricity is that the significance of the use phase will decrease relative to upstream life cycle stages (ie such as 63 manufacture) and also at end of life, further increasing the importance of production stages. It should be noted here that only use phase grid electricity decarbonisation was modelled in this sensitivity analysis. However, as the majority of clothing is manufactured outside of the UK, it is anticipated that modelling decarbonisation in all life cycle stages would not alter this conclusion significantly. The reduction achieved through the following measures is increased by the shift to a decarbonised grid: eco-efficiency across the supply chain, open and closed recycling, reuse more, shift towards synthetic fibres and design for durability. The reduction achieved through the following measures is decreased by the shift to a decarbonised grid: cleaning clothing less; using the tumble dryer less; increased load sizes; and lower washing temperature. Therefore, in a decarbonised UK, non-use phase reduction measures become more important relative use phase reduction measure. Sensitivity analysis 1 indicates that, with the decarbonisation of grid electricity, the use phase becomes a smaller proportion of the total life cycle carbon footprint of UK clothing. Therefore, when considering reduction initiatives, some non-use phase measures increase in importance when grid electricity is decarbonised. As it is likely that UK grid electricity will be decarbonised in the future, both use phase and non-use phase reduction measures should be considered. 4.7.2 Influence of Fibre Type on Drying (Sensitivity 2a and 2b) Figure 18 below summarises the life cycle carbon footprint of UK clothing where different assumptions are made on the allocation of drying energy according to fibre type. Figure 18: Graph to compare the carbon footprint of UK clothing where different assumptions are made on the allocation of drying energy according to fibre type Where drying energy is allocated according to the relative drying time of fibre types, the carbon footprint increases from the baseline for natural fibres (by ~2-5%) and decreases for synthetic fibres (by ~3-5%), but the total remains the same. The shift of drying energy burden towards natural fibres reflects the fact they typically take longer to dry than synthetics. Where loads are mixed and drying energy is based on the slowest drying item of clothing (ie natural fibres), the carbon footprint for each fibre type increases from the baseline. This reflects an increase in the drying time of all fibre types caused by a natural fibre type being present in each load. Sensitivity analysis 2 indicates that the choice of allocation approach in the drying stage affects the carbon footprint of each fibre type but has little effect on the overall carbon footprint of UK clothing. With regard to carbon reduction, any measure to encourage the use of synthetic fibres will result in a reduction in the carbon footprint from drying, provided clothing is separated according to fibre type. 64 4.7.3 Influence of Fibre Type on Washing (Sensitivity 3) Sensitivity analysis 3 shows that the reduction achieved from the shift towards synthetics in both the central and ‘What If?’ scenarios is around a third larger when the difference in washing temperature is also considered. Based on this sensitivity analysis, more weight can be put on the benefits of shifting consumer purchasing behaviour away from natural fibres and towards synthetic fibres. Combined with the reduced impact in production and in drying, this sensitivity indicates that a shift towards synthetics is an effective reduction measure. However, it should be noted that this study only considers the carbon footprint of clothing. If other impact categories were considered, a recommendation to use synthetic fibre may not still be valid. For instance, synthetic fibres are derived from finite hydrocarbon resources and therefore encouraging their use would further increase resource depletion. 4.7.4 Longer Product Lifetimes (Sensitivity 4a and 4b) Sensitivity 4a shows that for both the Central and ‘What if?’ scenarios, the carbon reduction achieved from extending the lifetime of clothing is not as great when a 10% extra manufacturing burden is required to achieve this extension. The decrease in reduction achieved is greater for the Central scenario than for the ‘What If?’ scenario. This is due to the fact the increase in manufacturing impact remains the same for each scenario but the savings from extended lifetime are greater for the ‘What If?’ scenario. Therefore, when considering the carbon savings achieved through extending the lifetime of clothing by increasing its durability, it is important to consider if extra manufacturing burdens are required. In addition, this sensitivity also shows that rather than extending clothing lifetimes through better design it may be more effective to encourage consumers to keep clothing for longer. Figure 19 below summarises the life cycle carbon footprint of UK clothing where different assumptions are made on the lifetime of clothing, which is an output of sensitivity 4b. Figure 19 Graph to compare the life cycle carbon footprint of UK clothing where different assumptions are made on the lifetime of clothing. Sensitivity 4b shows that the longer the weighted average lifetime of clothing that is used, the lower the carbon footprint and the shorter the weighted average lifetime of clothing that is used, the higher the carbon footprint. In addition, impacts from production, retail and end of life are allocated on a per annum basis and therefore, the longer the clothing lifetime, the smaller the carbon footprint, and use phase impacts remain the same regardless of the lifetime of clothing. In terms of the effectiveness of a 65 reduction measure to increase clothing lifetime, in both central and ‘What If?’ scenarios this measure is ranked the highest when either 1.770, 2.177 or 2.493 years are used. From sensitivity 4b, it can be seen that the choice of data on clothing lifetimes is particularly important as it influences the results greatly. Due to this importance, and to the uncertainty of the data available, our recommendation to undertake primary research on clothing lifetimes (including sales and clothing stock) is reinforced. In addition, sensitivity 4b indicates that consumers should be encouraged to retain clothing for longer and the ‘disposable fashion’ end of the clothing market should be discouraged. This initiative to retain clothing longer should be coupled with an initiative of encouraging reuse. 4.7.5 Washing Frequency (Sensitivity 5) The results of sensitivity analysis 5 show that, where it is assumed clothing is washed 5 times per kilogram per year, the carbon footprint is 13% less than that of the current carbon footprint. Where it is assumed clothing is washed 15 times per kilogram per year, the carbon footprint is 13% greater than that of the current carbon footprint. The change in carbon footprint is apparent only in the use phase, when the burden is increased or decreased, respectively, with a decrease or increase in wash frequency. The higher assumed washing frequency, the greater the carbon reduction achieved through use phase improvement actions and the lesser the carbon reduction achieved through non-use phase improvement actions. This is due to the increase in washes, increasing use phase burden so that it represents a larger proportion of the total carbon footprint, relative to non-use phase life cycle stages. 4.7.6 UK Fibre Mix (Sensitivity 6) Sensitivity analysis 6 shows that carbon footprint results for both baseline and improved scenarios are affected by a change in fibre mix data. The carbon footprint total with the Carbon Trust fibre mix data is 12% less than the baseline total where Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. For the ‘What if?’ scenario, the reduction achieved where Carbon Trust fibre mix data is used is 11% less than the reduction achieved where Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. This result is to be expected as the carbon footprint of each fibre type is different. From sensitivity 6, it can be seen that the choice of fibre mix data is significant, as the results are influenced greatly. However, as the order of improvement actions changes very little, the use of the carbon footprint tool to compare improvement actions is unaffected by the use of this different fibre mix data. 5.0 Conclusions This section summarises the overall conclusions of the core study and provides suggestions for further research. 5.1 Summary of this Study This study provided a strategic-level carbon footprint of UK clothing over the entire life cycle using secondary data available in the literature. A number of example reduction measures were considered and potential savings in relation to a baseline were quantified for both a central reduction scenario and a ‘What If?’ reduction scenario. In addition, an Excel model was developed that allows the modeller to examine new scenarios, where values for each reduction measure can be changed. Carbon footprint results were represented in terms of the following functional unit: The entire life cycle of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009. The results provided in the study relate to the annual impacts associated with UK clothing. They include the impacts associated with the quantity of clothes that are produced for the UK and consumed and 66 disposed of each year, but they also include the impacts associated with clothing that is actively worn and cleaned each year (approximately 1.1 million tonnes of new clothing is consumed in the UK each year, ~2.5 million tonnes is in active use - note that this is greater than the annual consumed clothing because clothes last for more than one year). As alternative expressions of this functional unit, carbon footprint results were also presented in terms of one tonne of garments in use in the UK in 2009; garments used by one UK resident in 2009; and one garment used in the UK in 2009. 5.2 5.3 Summary of Baseline Results The total annual carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 (ie the volume consumed, and the actively worn quantity) is approximately 38 million tonnes of CO2e (~0.6 tonnes per person per year). Because the majority of clothing is manufactured outside the UK, it is estimated that ~32% occurs within the UK (contributing to the UK’s direct carbon footprint) and 68% occurs abroad. Based on this estimate, the direct impact of clothing in the UK can be estimated to be ~12 million tonnes of CO2e. Note that this baseline analysis does not examine the effect of uncertainties, which are considered further in the sensitivity analysis section of the report (Section 4.6). To put this carbon footprint of UK clothing into context, the total direct GHG emissions in the UK in 2009 were reported as 566 million tonnes of CO2e (DECC, 2011). It should be noted that this total for the UK does not include GHG emissions associated with imported goods or services or international travel. Therefore, the direct carbon footprint of clothing contributes approximately 2% to the UK’s total direct carbon footprint. The carbon footprint of new garments ONLY, in use in the UK in 2009, can also be calculated by dividing the carbon footprint of both new and existing clothing by its anticipated lifetime. This figure is approximately 17 million tonnes of CO2e. The most dominant life cycle stage is fabric production (comprising weaving/knitting etc. and treatment of fabric), representing 33% of total life cycle GHG impacts. The carbon footprint of a tonne of garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 ranges from around 15 to 46 tonnes CO2e, depending on the fibre type of the garment. The carbon footprint of each garment, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 ranges from around 1 to 17 kg CO2e. The per person carbon footprint of all garments, both new and existing, in use in the UK in 2009 is around 0.6 tonnes of CO2e. Summary of Reduction Scenarios For the reduction measures examined in the Central scenario, the combined effect of the ten reduction across the entire life cycle) is estimated to be 21%. In the aspirational ‘What If?’ scenario this is increased - it is estimated a carbon reduction of 71% could be potentially achieved. However, it should be noted that the study does not examine the practicability of implementing each option, nor assess other non-carbon sustainability impacts for these options. It should also be noted that these reductions do not include the potential decarbonisation of energy (electricity) production, which will also reduce the carbon footprint of clothing in future. Table 39 and Table 40 below rank reduction measures in order of effectiveness, for both the central and ‘What If?’ scenarios, respectively. 67 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reduction Measure Stakeholder Design for Durability (and Product lifetime optimisation) - central scenario - 10% longer lifetime of clothing Eco efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) - central scenario - 5% reduction for all fibres across supply chain Manufacturer/ consumer Clean clothing less - central scenario - Washes per year reduced by 10% Wash at lower temperature - central scenario - weighted average wash temperature of 39.3C Consumer Increase size of washing and drying loads - central scenario - load increases to 3.7kg Use the tumble dryer less - central scenario - 30% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres - central scenario - 5% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) Consumer Dispose less - reuse more - central scenario - 15.4% of clothing reused in the UK Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) - central scenario - 19.5% of all clothing is recycled open loop Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres - central scenario - Replace 10% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton Consumer Manufacturer Consumer Consumer Consumer Consumer Manufacturer/ consumer Table 39: Reduction measures of the Central scenario in order of effectiveness As can be seen from Table 39, the most effective reduction measures of the Central scenario considered are design for durability, eco-efficiency across the supply chain and cleaning clothing less frequently. Rank Reduction Measure Stakeholder 1 Design for Durability (and Product lifetime optimisation) - 'what if?' - 33% longer lifetime of clothing Manufacturer/ Consumer 2 Eco efficiency across supply chain (production, distribution and retail) - 'what if?' 30% reduction for all fibres across supply chain Manufacturer 3 Clean clothing less - 'what if?' - Washes per year reduced by 15% Use the tumble dryer less - 'what if?' - 50% reduction in tumble dryer use in summer, 15% reduction in winter Wash at lower temperature - 'what if?' - weighted average wash temperature of 32.9C Consumer Consumer 8 Increase size of washing and drying loads - 'what if?' - load increases to 4kg Dispose less - reuse more - 'what if?' - 18% of clothing reused in the UK Start closed loop recycling of synthetic fibres - 'what if?' - 10% of all clothing is recycled (closed loop) 9 Shift in market to higher proportion of synthetic fibres - 'what if?' - Replace 40% of cotton with 50:50 poly-cotton Manufacturer/ Consumer 10 Dispose less - recycle more (open loop) - 'what if?' - 24.5% of all clothing is recycled open loop Consumer 4 5 6 7 Consumer Consumer Consumer Consumer Table 40: Reduction measures of the ‘What If?’ scenario in order of effectiveness As is apparent from Table 40, the most effective reduction measures considered in the ‘What If?’ scenario are design for durability, eco-efficiencies across the supply chain and cleaning clothing less. 5.4 Further In Use Analysis Findings Of the 10 potential in-use behavioural change interventions examined, the hybrid intervention, in which a shift in consumer behaviour towards better clothing care also indirectly increased the lifetime of clothing, showed the greatest benefit. The intervention reduced both the in-use and production impacts and, as such, represents a potential ‘win:win’ reduction measure. 68 5.5 Findings from Sensitivity Analyses Sensitivity analyses were undertaken to investigate key uncertainties of the study. These examined the sensitivity of results and conclusions to a change in a particular assumption or data point. The sensitivity analyses undertaken were: the influence of a future decarbonised electricity grid on the impact of the use phase; the influence of fibre type on washing and drying impacts; and the influence of product lifetime on results. The results of these sensitivity analyses indicate the following. 5.6 Future ‘decarbonisation’ of UK electricity will decrease the direct carbon footprint associated with the cleaning of clothing. The significance of the use phase (primarily washing and drying) impacts, relative to upstream life cycle stages (raw materials, manufacture and distribution, retail) and end of life impacts will reduce. Where the energy use impacts of tumble drying are allocated to clothing based on the relative drying time of fibre types (rather than by its mass only as they are in the main analysis), the carbon footprint increases from the baseline for natural fibres (by ~2-5%) and decreases for synthetic fibres (by ~3-5%). The total remains the same. Where loads are mixed and drying energy is based on the slowest drying item of clothing (ie natural fibres), the carbon footprint for each fibre type increases from the baseline. This reflects an increase in the drying time of all fibre types caused by a natural fibre type being present in each load. This is in comparison to a baseline average energy usage where some loads are mixed and some are separated. When the difference in washing temperature is also considered, the reduction achieved from the shift towards synthetics in both the central and ‘What If?’ scenarios is around a third larger. The longer the lifetime of clothing (eg from clothing simply being retained in use by the consumer for longer, design for durability, reuse, or from leasing or resale), the lower the carbon footprint (reduced supply chain impacts, primarily) and the shorter the lifetime of clothing that is used, the higher the carbon footprint. Where it is assumed in the analysis clothing is washed 5 times per kilogram per year, the total carbon footprint is 13% less than that of the main analysis (where it is assumed clothing is washed 9.9 times). The carbon reductions achieved through use phase improvement actions are less and those of non-use phase improvement action are greater. Where it is assumed clothing is washed 15 times per kilogram per year, the total carbon footprint is 13% greater than that of the main analysis carbon footprint. The carbon reductions achieved through use phase improvement actions are greater and those of non-use phase improvement action are less. The baseline carbon footprint total with the alternative Carbon Trust fibre mix data is 12% less than the baseline total where Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. For the ‘What if?’ scenario, the reduction achieved where Carbon Trust fibre mix data is used is 11% less than the reduction achieved where Biointelligence fibre mix data is used. Although absolute reduction values change, the order of improvement actions changes less with the new fibre mix, with the top three and bottom three improvement actions remaining the same with both fibre data. Concluding Remarks Overall, the analysis confirms the rationale for encouraging reduction measures at each and every stage of the life cycle, including nudging consumer behaviour towards favourable outcomes. If UK electricity is decarbonised, the sensitivity analysis undertaken indicates sustainable production and consumption measures aimed at reducing the production impacts of clothing will increase further in importance over time, relative to use phase interventions. The study provides initial analysis into the potential indirect effects on the washing and drying footprint if the market is shifted towards one type of fibre over 69 another. The findings from the study sensitivity analysis indicate that, amongst other factors, the fibre mix of UK clothing affects the magnitude of the footprint and the overall savings achievable, but has less influence on the order of the reduction measures. 5.7 Suggested Next Steps This study is a strategic level assessment of UK clothing and, as such, there are a number of opportunities for improvement. Below is a list of suggestions. This report is transparent with respect to the data sources used and assumptions taken to calculate the carbon footprint. These data and assumptions would benefit from further review. Therefore, it is suggested that interested stakeholders (eg consumer groups, detergent manufacturers and washing machine manufacturers) be provided with a copy of the report in order to validate the information and to provide new data if necessary, with the overall aspiration of developing consensus around the data. It is also noted that there is potential for improving the data quality of the study through the collection of primary data from a representative number of manufacturers. In particular, a more detailed assessment of the difference between the production of fibre, yarn, fabric and garments from the most significant countries producing clothing for the UK would be desirable to improve the representativeness of data used for production. This is particularly relevant to the natural fibres, such as cotton and wool where agricultural inputs and outputs are likely to vary significantly between countries. There is currently an evidence gap with respect to the influence of the physical properties of different fabrics on relative cleaning impacts (washing, drying and ironing). The use phase contributes a significant proportion of life cycle impacts and therefore it is a sensible area to target carbon footprint reduction measures. However, in this study, through allocating use phase impacts on a mixed load, mass basis, each fibre type is given the same impact in the main analysis. Despite this issue being examined in this study as a sensitivity analysis, more primary research could be undertaken by manufacturers to gain a better understanding of consumer behaviour, including the impact of modern low-temperature detergents and fabric treatments on the size of use phase impacts. It should also be noted that some preliminary research was carried out within this study on the novel fibre polylactic acid (PLA). Reasonable quality data were gathered to model the manufacture of clothing made from this material. However, as PLA fabric is currently produced in very small quantities and the market share in the future in uncertain, it was not included in this report. It would be valuable to undertake research into the market potential for innovative fibres (PLA and others) and subsequently to evaluate their impacts in the use phase since these fibres are often reported as having characteristic physical properties. Improvements could be made on data relating to garment sizes, weights and lifetimes with the aspiration of providing example data for industry baseline reporting and monitoring carbon reduction. Consequential impacts such as rebound effects are an area of potential research interest and analysis may be appropriate for sustainable clothing, and more generally, for the impact assessment of sustainable consumption and production policies. As a final point, of the most effective reduction measures in each reduction scenario, most require behavioural change. Therefore, the development of consensus UK-specific data on the consumer cleaning behaviour and product lifetimes for clothing would be extremely advantageous. 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