The housing world is changing Contents 04 About us 10 Investing for a smarter future 12 A committed business 20 An agile business 16 A digital business 22 The outcomes 24 Our financial performance highlights 27 Risk management Plan delivery 26 2015 was a watershed year for housing in the UK. The Government introduced far-reaching changes to national policy, aimed at increasing homeownership and reducing the welfare bill. These shifts in policy led to fundamental changes in the housing sector, with major implications on us, including a significant reduction in our future rental income and a stronger focus on the provision of affordable homeownership products, rather than on new homes to rent. Our robust response to these changes means that we will continue to be a financially viable and effective business, setting us up for a successful future. In summary we are: Implementing measures in the three years from 2016/17 to 2018/19 that will reduce our operating costs, improve value for money and maintain our EBITDA MRI in excess of 120% Reducing and reshaping our development programmes with more emphasis on shared ownership and housing for open market sale Absorbing around a third of the rent reduction impact in lower levels of surplus. We’re likely to see further changes to our sector over the life of this business plan, so we will remain adaptable and open to opportunities. Our strong and experienced Board and executive leadership teams have a track record of successfully managing change and there is a depth of expertise throughout our staff team that prepares us well for the future. Click here to see our Senior Management Team Click here for profiles of our Board Members 03 Local Authority Area General needs rented Supported housing (excl sheltered) Sheltered Home Ownership Total Bristol 1,477 450 51 280 2,258 Bath and North East Somerset 644 113 48 84 889 South Gloucestershire 1,049 115 57 94 1,315 North Somerset 951 138 132 286 1,507 West of England sub total 4,121 816 288 744 5,969 Mendip 766 135 0 129 1,030 Sedgemoor 702 175 0 77 954 Taunton Deane 938 194 27 158 1,317 South Somerset 551 170 0 69 790 West Somerset 110 93 0 8 211 Somerset sub total 3,067 767 27 441 4,302 Sub total 7,188 1,583 315 1,185 10,271 Other areas 736 85 16 304 1,141 Overall total 7,919 1,668 331 1,489 11,412 West of England Somerset About us Knightstone is a leading provider of affordable homes for rent and sale and related support services in the West of England and Somerset. We’ve been a key player in the region for over forty years. We’re committed to building strong, stable and safe communities where people can make their homes. We provide services to over 23,000 people in 11,400 homes and have an active development programme which helps us play our part in solving the UK’s housing crisis. 04 Our purpose Rented properties by bedroom size To create better futures together. Rented properties by type Our vision To be the leading investor in homes, people and their communities in the West of England and Somerset, delivering great customer service. 814 managed by others inc 55% 65% Two and three bedrooms Bedsit and one bedroom Houses/bungalows Flats 7% 38% Four or more bedrooms 32% 3% Bedsits/single rooms in supported housing 05 Knightstone Housing Group Limited Registered Society no. 29867R Registered Provider reg. no. L4436 Non Charitable Group-wide Committees Audit and Assurance Finance and Scrutiny Remuneration and Nominations Knightstone Housing Group structure and governance arrangements Knightstone Housing Association Limited Registered Society no. 29867R Registered Provider reg. no. L4436 Charitable Great Western Assured Growth Limited Knightstone Charitable Housing Limited Private Company Limited by Shares Registered Society Company No. 02525892 Non charitable and non Registered Provider 06 No. 19165R Exempt Charity Non Registered Provider Knightstone Capital Plc Arc Developments South West Limited Arc Homes (South West) Limited Public Company Limited by Shares Private Company Limited by Guarantee Private Company Limited by Shares Company No. 08691017 Company No. 05716836 Company No. 06447504 Non Charitable and non Registered Provider Non Charitable and non Registered Provider Non Charitable and non Registered Provider (DORMANT) 07 Customer profile Age 22.8% Under 35 49.5% 12.8% Not known 14.9% 74.9% White British Ethnic 16.5% origin 8.6% Not known Black or other minority ethnic origin 35-64 65 and over Tenants who receive housing benefit Not known 40.8% 19.4% No housing benefit 1.5% Full housing benefit 60.3% 08 Partial housing benefit 38.3% Household composition 13.3% 28.9% 10.9% Two or more adults 19.3% Men One adult One adult with child/ren Women 39.7% 27.6% Two or more adults with child/ren Mobile phone Gender Not known Digitally 34.8% connected Email address 65.3% 09 Investing for a smarter future The Knightstone of 2021 We have big plans to transform the way we work and engage with our customers during the course of this Business Plan. To be true leaders in the sector and a leading business in the West of England and Somerset, we will ensure we remain both relevant and contemporary, better connected with our staff and customers. 10 Knightstone will be: A committed business An agile business A digital business These are the three key priorities we’ll focusing on during the next five years. be They translate into strategic programmes within our annual corporate plans, supported by individual project plans. People move with technology far faster than a business can. But we will endeavour to keep pace to enable us to build the strong relationships we need with our customers, our stakeholders and our staff. We will be a leaner, more effective business, delivering value for money services without waste. Our staff will truly live our values of empathy, professionalism, integrity and commitment. These values are what make us who we are and are fundamental to the way we work. We’ll be an organisation the right people want to work for and an organisation the right people want to do business with. Whilst doing all this, we will remain true to our roots of being a great landlord and provider of housing. We’ll have built over 1500 new homes for rent and sale to help solve the housing crisis and will have invested over £60 million in improving our existing homes as well as investing in our communities to make them strong, safe and stable places to live. 11 Committed A committed business Investing in homes and communities for the long term We will: Develop over 1500 new homes between 2015 and 2021 through our development programmes for Knightstone, Arc Homes and our KeyWest development partnership Replace homes sold under the Right to Buy our roots are in providing affordable homes for people who need them. 12 Redevelop over 500 supported housing properties acquired through a stock swap in 2013/14, subject to clarification of the impact of rent reduction and welfare reform on the viability of the portfolio Invest £60 million in our existing homes through the delivery of our asset management and planned maintenance programmes Deliver a targeted programme of empowerment activities to support at least 40 communities through our Achieving What Matters plans, enabling an estimated 3,750 self-reliant and connected people to take action together Actively manage our property assets, reviewing their social and economic performance with a view to selling 30 underperforming properties per year. This will generate an estimated £20 million over the next five years which we’ll invest in new homes and regeneration. Our roots are in providing affordable homes for people who need them. We are determined to help end the housing crisis, so, as a leading housing provider in the West of England and Somerset, we’re committed to delivering over 1500 new homes between 2015 and 2021. We’ll develop these new homes through our development programmes for Knightstone, Arc Homes and our KeyWest development partnership, which includes Alliance Homes, United Communities and SHAL Housing. 13 Committed Development Programme 2015/16 - 2020/21, including Arc Homes Local Authority Area General Needs Supported Housing Home Ownership Total Outright Sale Overall Total For KHA For KHA For KHA For others For KHA For others Arc Homes Bristol 117 0 88 0 205 0 0 205 BANES 11 0 9 0 20 0 0 20 North Somerset 70 0 15 0 85 0 0 85 South Gloucs 81 8 62 0 151 0 51 202 West of England sub total 279 8 174 0 461 0 51 512 West of England Somerset Mendip 5 0 29 0 34 0 0 34 Sedegmoor 116 0 4 15 120 15 0 135 South Somerset 4 0 2 0 6 0 12 18 Taunton Deane 81 68 52 90 201 90 52 343 West Somerset 8 0 4 0 12 0 0 12 Somerset sub total 214 68 91 105 373 105 64 542 Unidentified 0 0 25 0 25 0 0 25 Total 2015/16 - 2017/18 493 76 290 105 859 105 115 1079 2018/19 - 2020/21 150 0 150 0 300 0 150 450 76 440 105 1159 105 265 1529 Overall total 2015/16 - 2020/21 543 We support the Government’s aim to increase the supply of new housing and the concept of helping people create better futures for themselves. These goals chime with our social purpose. While we will continue to provide secure, affordable rented accommodation, we have re-shaped our development programme and increased the proportion of shared ownership homes. We’d previously planned that 85% of our new homes would be for affordable rent and 15% for shared ownership. We’ll now be building 43% shared ownership and this will increase to 50% by 2018/19. 14 We’ll build the majority of these homes as part of the Homes and Communities Agency’s 2015/18 development programme. From April 2018, Knightstone will deliver a minimum development programme of 100 new homes per year (50 for rent and 50 for shared ownership). Arc Homes will deliver 115 new homes by 2017/18 and 50 per year thereafter. The profit from Arc Homes’ commercial activity will provide an essential contribution to subsidising the development of affordable homes for rent and shared ownership. In 2016/17, for example, we expect Arc Homes to contribute 13% of our Group turnover and 10% of our net profit. We’ll replace every home sold under the Right to Buy with another, although not necessarily with one of the same tenure or in the same location. Our sales and replacement programme will be informed by the findings of national pilots. Investing in our existing homes and communities is an important priority, for our residents and for the long term health of our property assets. We’ll complete our 2014/19 Asset Management Strategy and develop our 2019/24 investment strategy. In doing so, we’ll be investing £60 million in our existing homes between 2016 and 2021. Due to the rent reductions, we’ve scaled back and reprioritised our investment plans. We’ll continue to deliver more than the basic decent homes standard. In addition, we’ll invest any extra available resources in health and safety improvements, such as installing hard wired smoke and CO2 detectors. By prioritising these features we won’t be able to make some of the improvements that residents have requested, such as energy efficiency measures and showers. We’ll reinstate those programmes later, if we can afford to. In 2016, we’ll re-profile our properties to reflect the impact of rent reduction and other changes to property performance. Each year between 2016 and 2021 we’ll sell 30 properties that are no longer socially or economically viable, unless there’s a compelling reason to keep them. We expect to achieve gross proceeds of £20 million, which we’ll use to build new homes or regenerate existing ones. Our investment in our properties is for the long term, so we make sure that the communities we create are places people want to live and remain. We’ll achieve this by helping residents in new communities to establish themselves and by working with residents in higher risk communities to address issues and make improvements. We’ll deliver a targeted programme of activity of this kind throughout the life of this plan. In 2013/14, as part of a wider stock swap, we acquired 507 properties in the West of England and Somerset that provide accommodation for people with learning difficulties. These homes had suffered from under investment for many years. So, subject to clarity on the financial impact of rent reduction and other welfare policy changes, we’ll carry out a major programme of remodelling, repairs, redevelopment and new development to upgrade the portfolio. We’ll fund this in part by selling over 100 of the properties. The programme will take eight years to complete. 15 Agile An agile business Adapting to an ever-changing world We will: Proactively manage the risks associated with changing national policies, and the impacts they’ll have on our customers and our business. For example, Right to Buy, Pay to Stay, rent reductions and welfare reforms Critically evaluate the services we deliver and the way we work to drive value for money and efficiency savings throughout the business Develop our approach to partnership-working and actively explore opportunities to expand our services and introduce new products that have potential to help us deliver our purpose more efficiently and effectively Transform our culture to become more agile, experimental and flexible, really living by our one team, one purpose ethos and enabling staff to feel more empowered and to take greater personal ownership Improve how we communicate internally with each other and externally with residents and partners, better promoting what we do to key stakeholders and opinion shapers. 16 The world in which we operate is constantly changing. Our business must be agile. We will adapt to remain relevant and contemporary and to thrive in this challenging environment. The need to cut our costs gives us the opportunity to seek better, more efficient ways of doing things and to deliver better value to our customers. We will proactively manage the risks associated with changing national policies, and the impacts they’ll have on our business. We’ll deliver our rent reduction plans, in line with the targets in our Internal Financial Framework. These plans are designed to deliver a £5 million a year improvement in our operating costs. We’ll continue to review the savings required and will reflect these in future iterations of our Long Term Financial Plan. The world in which we operate is constantly changing. our business must be agile. 17 Agile We’ll review who we house, in line with the changing environment in which we work. For example, we’ll continually monitor our ability to deliver supported housing services, based on whatever rent and welfare benefit restrictions the Government introduces for these customers. Delivering services to these residents is an important part of delivering our social purpose and we will continue doing so in ways we can afford. We will monitor the continued viability of these services and our capacity to sustain them in the medium and longer term. Going the extra mile is embedded in our culture, often taking us beyond the strict scope of our tenancy agreements and regulatory requirements. Delivering services to these residents is an important part of delivering our social purpose. 18 This can be costly, so we’ll develop a more rigorous definition of what we do and don’t do, critically re-evaluating our products, services and our service standards. We’ll also assess the social impact of our services. Reviewing our work in this way will provide clarity on the relative costs and benefits of the services we offer. This will enable us to make informed decisions on the future scope and shape of our services, delivering what matters most for our customers more efficiently. We’ll review how we work to ensure we are efficient and have the skills and expertise we need to thrive in the new housing era. Our ongoing programme of systems thinking service reviews will be crucial to this, as will our 2016/17 organisation and management review. This review will see us better align our organisation and management structures with our objectives, facilitating a more collaborative style of working. We will reduce the number of managers we have and the layers of management between the customer and senior decision-makers. The review will also lead to changes in our management style and organisational culture. By introducing new ways of working internally and with other organisations, we can reduce costs and improve services. So, we’ll develop our approach to partnerships and will actively explore opportunities that have serious potential to help us deliver our purpose more efficiently and effectively. This will include exploring the benefits and risks of expanding our in-house maintenance service in advance of re-procuring our maintenance contracts in 2018/19. 19 Digital A digital business Transforming the way we work We will: Transform our culture and services for digital delivery, enabling residents, customers and staff to be better connected Implement strategies to encourage residents to embrace our digital services and to do more for themselves at any time and from any device Collect and use customer and property data intelligently to help us plan, design and personalise services. We have ambitious plans to modernise our service. This transformational programme has twin aims: improving our customers’ experience and reducing the costs of delivering our core services. Our operating environment will be increasingly challenging. So, to carry on delivering additional support to individuals and communities, we need to cut the costs of delivering our core landlord services. At the same time, we want our customers to get a better service, to be able to carry out the majority of their transactions and get answers to most of their enquiries online, at any time of day and from any device. Delivering our digital vision will require a wholesale transformation of our business and our culture. The work needed is substantial. Staff will need to think differently, bringing digital delivery and data management to the forefront of their minds. 20 We’ll redesign our processes for seamless, end-to-end digital delivery, fully integrating the front and back ends of our systems. We will develop a data strategy that will encourage better ownership, use and pro-active management of data across the organisation. Our customers will benefit from a service designed with them at the heart of it. We’ll offer choice in a way we’ve not been able to before. Our digital services will be designed mobile-first in response to trends in customer behaviour. By transforming our service delivery model, we’ll be able to reallocate resources to support those customers who may not be able to access services digitally and to handle more complex enquiries that will always need a conversation. Our staff will also benefit with easier access to data, systems and functions from any location. Our aim will be to give them a more complete view of every customer and tenancy at the touch of a button. Delivering integrated data and systems will reduce costs at the same time as improving customer service. our customers will benefit from a service designed with them at the heart of it. 21 Delivering what matters most for customers and reducing our operating costs by £5 million a year. The outcomes we’ll deliver By delivering all of this, by 2021, We will have: Helped to solve the housing crisis by building over 1500 new homes for rent, shared ownership and sale and replacing homes sold under the Right To Buy with new properties Improved the efficiency and value for money of our services, delivering what matters most for customers and reducing our operating costs by £5 million a year Invested in our existing homes and communities to protect our property portfolio and make sure our communities remain places where people want to live and make their homes Transformed our business by redesigning our services for digital end-to-end delivery, ensuring that our culture, systems, processes and approach enable us to thrive in a new housing era Evidenced that we continue to be a financially viable and resilient business that has successfully absorbed the impact of government policy changes and is fully compliant with our Internal Financial Framework. 22 23 Our financial performance Our highlights: A fully covenant compliant long term financial plan, after we’ve mitigated the rent reductions A strong balance sheet with relatively low gearing A well-secured loan and derivative portfolio with good levels of headroom to protect against changes in house prices and long term interest rates A substantial pool of unencumbered properties to secure future borrowings of approximately £176 million Healthy liquidity levels of £40 million at the end of March 2016, plus £49 million receivable in November 2017 via a deferred bond. This is sufficient to cover our borrowing requirements for at least the next 18 months Our long term financial plan demonstrates that, by delivering our rent reduction plans, we will remain a financially strong organisation. We will be fully covenant compliant, and deliver a strong surplus position, with significant headroom above lender covenants. In particular, our performance against our gearing covenant shows balance sheet and asset strength, especially when combined with the significant numbers of unencumbered properties we own and the availability of our £49 million deferred bond proceeds in 2017. Another of our financial strengths is that 97% of our charged loan security is valued on a Market Value Subject To Tenancies (MVSTT) basis. At the time of writing, the value of property being used to secure our existing loans is £459 million and the headroom above our lender asset cover requirements is £134 million. We have over 2,000 unencumbered properties, (2000 rented and 675 shared ownership) which are suitable for charging. We estimate these will support additional borrowings of approximately £176 million. We will recalibrate our financial plan on a regular basis to reflect both positive and negative changes in our financial position and in the external environment. In March 2016 the HCA awarded us its highest rating for financial viability, V1. Our October 2015 Financial Forecast Return to the Homes and Communities Agency (HCA) was subject to detailed scrutiny. The Brixx model on which our long term forecast is built was externally verified by Altair and the forecast was independently stress tested by our treasury advisers, TradeRisks, using a variety of agreed scenarios. Although the impact of rent reductions is significant, our mitigating action means it does not materially impair our financial position and we’ll continue to exceed all lenders’ covenants. Long standing relationships with the main housing sector lenders A strong track record of delivering promised efficiency savings A south west heartland location in an attractive and economically active part of the UK. 24 25 Risk management We have a medium appetite for risk. This sets the context for our business and financial planning decisions, where the aim is to balance acceptable levels of headroom above our lender covenants with the resources we allocate to delivering services. With the exception of our modest commercial development programme, our diversified activity is minimal. We have robust systems to identify and manage risk at both a strategic and operational level. Our Board carries out a full review of the corporate Risk Register twice a year, with interim reviews by the Audit and Assurance Committee and our Senior Management Team. We have mitigation plans for the most serious strategic risks and control measures for all identified risks. Our auditors, Mazars, independently test the effectiveness of our control measures, through a programme of business assurance reviews. Mazars also provide advice and challenge to our Senior Management Team and Audit and Assurance Committee on the adequacy and completeness of our risk management process. We’ve based our Internal Financial Framework on prudent assumptions and we measure and report performance against it on a monthly basis. Our preferred measure for assessing financial risk is EBITDA MRI interest cover, as this is our tightest covenant. The measure includes first tranche shared ownership sales but not open market sales. 26 Our Internal Financial Framework has a minimum EBITDA MRI requirement on this basis of 120% with an aspiration of 130%. The assumptions underpinning our long term financial plan are in line with the market. The plan has been independently tested to breaking point by Trade Risks under a series of single and multiple scenarios. The scenarios were designed to show what combinations of extreme circumstances will result in covenant breaches and when those breaches will first arise. The results of the stress testing scenarios show that our main vulnerabilities come from a scenario of high costs and a scenario of high interest, low inflation. The stress testing results assume that the Board doesn’t take mitigating action. In reality, if these scenarios looked likely to happen, we would deploy a range of identified mitigating actions to manage the impact. Plan delivery and monitoring Our strategic Business Plan programmes are broken down into annual corporate and project plans. The Senior Management Team and Board monitor delivery of the programmes on a quarterly basis and adjust priorities if necessary. The principal risks to delivery of the Business Plan are the impact of any future changes in government policy or significant adverse changes to the economic environment. These and other emerging risks will be closely monitored by the Board and Senior Management Team. The Business Plan is underpinned by supporting strategies: Treasury, Value for Money, IT, HR and Communications, approved by the Board. 27
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