CEESA WP1/WP5: LCA Screening Thomas Astrup & Karsten H. Jensen Institut for Miljø & Ressourcer Danmarks Tekniske Universitet Screening: Objectives The main objectives for carrying out the LCA screening on the initial energy systems (scenarios) are with respect to environmental aspects: Evaluation of main differences between the scenarios Identification of important processes and parameters Identification of critical methodological issues and potential uncertainties Initiation of data collection Functional unit LCA screening has been done on the two low consumption scenarios (wind + biomass) the scenarios are completely comparable they both meet the demands of electricity, heat, and transport The functional unit is defined as the production and distribution of these energy services over one year Impacts associated with system capacities are distributed over capacity lifetime Primary energy supply 140 120 Solar thermal TWh/y 100 Wave power Photo Voltaics 80 Wind power 60 Biomass 40 20 0 Bio scenario Wind scenario Biomass scenario Renewable electricity production MW TWh/y Onshore wind Offshore wind Photo Voltaic Wave power 3000 3000 1500 882 Hydrogen capacity storage 7.02 11.69 1.5 3 Electrolysis, grid 2 Electrolysis, grid 3 MW-e TWh/y 0 0 0.15 0.15 Onshore wind Offshore wind 7.02 11.69 Fuel balance (TWh/y) Biomass Renewable H2 etc. DHP CHP2 CHP3 Boiler2 Boiler3 PP 0.72 13.46 22.81 1.13 1.63 6.52 0 0 0 0 Elc.lys.s -12.14 Wind scenario Renewable electricity production MW TWh/y Onshore wind Offshore wind Photo Voltaic Wave power 3000 12000 1500 882 Hydrogen capacity storage 7.02 46.77 1.5 3 Electrolysis, grid 2 Electrolysis, grid 3 MW-e TWh 5000 5000 1.5 1.5 Onshore wind Offshore wind 7.02 46.77 Fuel balance (TWh/y) Biomass Renewable H2 etc. DHP CHP2 CHP3 0.72 4.50 0.34 0.57 8.22 Boiler2 Boiler3 2.50 1.04 PP Elc.lys.s 0.02 2.02 2.48 -26.57 Net differences Biomass for CHP/PP Biomass used in boilers Unit Bio scenario Wind scenario Difference in TWh/y 42.79 6.86 Operation TWh/y 2.76 2.52 Operation Offshore wind power TWh/y 11.69 46.77 Capacity + Operation Electrolysis capacity Electrolysis operation MW-e TWh/y 0 0 10000 14.43 Capacity Operation H2 for CHP H2 used in boilers H2 storage TWh/y TWh/y TWh/y 0 0 0.30 8.79 3.52 3.00 Operation Operation Capacity Differences in capacity Offshore wind power Elektrolysis Hydrogen storage Biomass gasification Technologies Biomass for CHP/PP Biomass used in boilers Technology applied SOFC plants using producer gas from two-staged biomass gasification Boiler based on wood chips (grate firing) Offshore wind power Offshore wind turbines Electrolysis capacity Electrolysis operation Reversed SOFC plants H2 for CHP H2 used in boilers H2 storage SOFC plants using H2 Boilers High pressurized tanks (glass fiber laminated steel tanks) Biomass resources Biomass resource use 400 350 Fiberfraction in manure not utilized Fiberfraction in manure utilized Primary energy (PJ/y) 300 Energy crops Manure fiberfraction 250 Waste, combustible 200 Manure biogas 150 100 Wood 50 Straw 0 Wind scenario Bio scenario Wind scenario Bio scenario Energy crops are assumed to cover differences between scenarios Data sources LCA's Offshore wind power SOFC and elektrolysis facilities Biomass plants Energy crop production (willow) Process/product data Biomass combustion in boilers Two-staged biomass gasification H2 storage in pressurized tanks Gabi processes Production and disposal of materials GABI modeling: Biomass scenario BIOMASS scenario WIND scenario GABI modeling: Wind scenario Modeling approach Primary energy consumption (materials + manufacturing) Long term choice of marginal energy technologies outside DK extremely uncertain Energy consumption/production separated from other impacts: an energy balance can be made: – good indicator – feedback to scenario modeling in EnergPLAN Sensitivity analysis for various energy technologies can be made Flexibility is maintained wrt. further work Primary energy: Total Energy consumption 3.5 Primary energy (TWh/y 3.0 2.5 Energy for material production 2.0 Energy for manufacturing, disposal 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Biomass scenario Wind scenario Extra: 0.3 - 1 % electricity and 0.6 - 5 % heat compared with 100 % RE scenarier Primary energy: processes Energy consumption 3.5 Electrolysis capacity, SOFC cells Primary energy (TWh/y) 3.0 Electrolysis capacity, plant 2.5 Wind turbine farm 2.0 Transport of biomass 1.5 H2 storage capacity 1.0 Energy crop production 0.5 Bio gasification plant 0.0 Biomass scenario Wind scenario Environmental impacts, Normalised Slag and ashes Hazardous waste Bulky waste Wind scenario Photochemical ozone formation Biomass scenario Stratospheric ozone depletion Nutrient enrichment Global warming Acidification 0 50 100 150 1000 PE 200 250 BIOMASS scenario, Environmental impacts, Normalised Slag and ashes Bio gasification plants Hazardous waste Bio gasification process Bulky waste Bio boiler operation Photochemical ozone formation Energy crop production Stratospheric ozone depletion H2 storage capacity Nutrient enrichment SOFC bio operation Global warming Wind turbine farms Acidification 0 50 100 150 1000 PE 200 250 WIND scenario, Environmental impacts, Normalised Bio gasification plant Slag and ashes Bio boiler operation Hazardous waste Electrolysis capacity, plant Bulky waste Photochemical ozone formation Electrolysis capacity, SOFC cells Stratospheric ozone depletion Energy crop production Nutrient enrichment H2 storage capacity Global warming SOFC bio operation Wind turbine farms Acidification 0 50 100 150 1000 PE 200 250 Toxicity potentials, Normalised Human toxicity water Human toxicity soil Wind scenario Human toxicity air Biomass scenario Ecotoxicity water chronic Ecotoxicity water acute Ecotoxicity soil chronic 0 200 400 600 1000 PE 800 1000 BIOMASS scenario, Toxicity potentials, Normalised Human toxicity water Bio gasification plants Human toxicity soil Bio gasification process Human toxicity air Bio boiler operation Ecotoxicity water chronic Energy crop production Ecotoxicity water acute H2 storage capacity Ecotoxicity soil chronic SOFC bio operation 0 200 400 600 1000 PE 800 1000 WIND scenario, Toxicity potentials, Normalised Electrolysis capacity, plant Human toxicity water Electrolysis capacity, SOFC cells Human toxicity soil Energy crop production Human toxicity air H2 storage capacity Ecotoxicity water chronic Wind turbine farms Ecotoxicity water acute Bio boiler operation Ecotoxicity soil chronic SOFC H2 operation 0 200 400 600 1000 PE 800 1000 BIOMASS scenario, Resource consumption, Weighted EDIP 1997, Zinc [kg] Wind turbine farm EDIP 1997, Uranium [kg] H2 storage capacity EDIP 1997, Nickel [kg] EDIP 1997, Natural gas [kg] Pesticides EDIP 1997, Manganese [kg] EDIP 1997, Lignite [kg] Cuttings EDIP 1997, Lead [kg] Fertilizer K EDIP 1997, Iron [kg] EDIP 1997, Hard coal [kg] Fertilizer N EDIP 1997, Crude oil [kg] EDIP 1997, Copper [kg] Fertilizer P EDIP 1997, Aluminum [kg] 0 1 2 3 4 1000 PR 5 6 7 8 WIND scenario, Resource consumption, Weighted EDIP 1997, Zirconium [kg] Electrolysis capacity, plants EDIP 1997, Zinc [kg] EDIP 1997, Yttrium [kg] EDIP 1997, Uranium [kg] Electrolysis capacity, SOFC cells EDIP 1997, Nickel [kg] EDIP 1997, Natural gas [kg] EDIP 1997, Manganese [kg] Energy crop production EDIP 1997, Lignite [kg] EDIP 1997, Lead [kg] EDIP 1997, Iron [kg] H2 storage capacity EDIP 1997, Hard coal [kg] EDIP 1997, Crude oil [kg] EDIP 1997, Copper [kg] Wind turbine farms EDIP 1997, Chromium [kg] EDIP 1997, Aluminum [kg] 0 500 1000 1500 1000 PR På 5-6 år har DK brugt sin del af Yttrium for alle fremtidige generationer (!) WIND scenario, Resource consumption, Weighted, Excl. Yttrium EDIP 1997, Zirconium [kg] Wind turbine farms EDIP 1997, Zinc [kg] EDIP 1997, Uranium [kg] EDIP 1997, Nickel [kg] H2 storage capacity EDIP 1997, Natural gas [kg] EDIP 1997, Manganese [kg] Electrolysis capacity, plants EDIP 1997, Lignite [kg] EDIP 1997, Lead [kg] EDIP 1997, Iron [kg] Electrolysis capacity, SOFC cells EDIP 1997, Hard coal [kg] EDIP 1997, Crude oil [kg] EDIP 1997, Copper [kg] Energy crop production EDIP 1997, Chromium [kg] EDIP 1997, Aluminum [kg] 0 5 10 15 20 1000 PR 25 30 35 Most important impact categories Nutrient enrichment Ecotoxicity Waste management and disposal Consumption of scarce resources Effects related to consumption of energy for material production and manufacturing? depending on technologies and fuel uncertain Landuse and biodiversity Energy crops Offshore wind farms Important differences Biomass scenario Larger: Nutrient enrichment Ecotoxicity Global warming Acidification from energy crop production Larger areas used for energy crop production: about 20-40 % of farm land (0-15 % in wind scenario) Wind scenario Larger consumption of scarce resources: Yt for SOFC-cells Pb, Zn, etc. for wind power More waste: wind power, hydrogen storage, electrolysis Higher energy consumption for material production Larger costal areas affected by offshore wind farms Important processes Plant capacities (manufacturing/disposal) Offshore wind farms Hydrogen storage (?) Electrolysis facilities Biomass gasification Operation Energy crop production Main issues I Time horizons involved Energy technologies used outside DK Possible feedback to EnergyPLAN scenarios (fuel consumption) Geographical scope of production Systems for storage and distribution of hydrogen Size of offshore wind mills Utilization of energy crops relative to residues, fiber fractions from manure Types of energy crops, yields, fertilizing, pesticides, etc. Transport Main issues II Materials based on hydrocarbons (e.g. plastics) - may be fossile or renewable Utilization of materials in the future Disposal and management of waste, and related emissions System expansion for inclusion of land use aspects (food, etc.) Comparability and inclusion of other (new) impacts such as biodiversity, visual impacts, ...
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