발행일 : 2015년 12월 24일 Factors influencing on users’ continuance intention toward car sharing service: An extension of the expectation-confirmation model Seulgi Lee Department of Management Engineering, KAIST Abstract Car sharing is a service that provides temporary mobility ownership, and its market is growing in global size. Due to its several environmental merits, car-sharing is considered as a promising sustainable service. This paper aims to investigate potential factors leading customers to continuously use car-sharing service. The original model was constructed from Expectation Confirmation Theorem. The existing model is extended by introducing two additional factors; Economic Incentives and Environmental Self-identification. Findings from this study will help car-sharing service to improve user retention rate and grow further in business size. ໋Supervisor: Professor Jaemin Jung Copyright by Graduate School of Green Growth, College of Business, KAIST. All Rights Reserved. All Pages cannot be copied without permission Table of Contents 1. INTRODUCTION 2. BACKGROUND REVIEW 4 CAR-SHARING SERVICE 4 2.1. 2.1.1. 2.2. 3. 3 TYPES OF CAR-SHARING SERVICE 5 EXPECTATION CONFIRMATION MODEL EXTENDED EXPECTATION CONFIRMATION MODEL 3.1. EXPECTATION CONFIRMATION MODEL 3.2. ECONOMIC INCENTIVE 3.3. ENVIRONMENT SELF-IDENTIFICATION 4. 7 METHODOLOGY 11 14 4.1. QUESTIONNAIRE DEVELOPMENT 4.2. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS 16 REFERENCE 18 10 14 12 10 1. Introduction In order to hand down a sustainable Earth to future generations, it is universally agreed upon by researchers that global temperature increase should be kept below 2°C by controlling greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration in the atmosphere. The objective of this plan, called the “2°C Scenario”, is to cut energy-related GHG emissions by more than the half of 2009 in 2050 [26]. It is undeniable that transportation sector is largely responsible for causing environmental issues. A study revealed that automobile emits major portion of GHG into the atmosphere; 25 percent of Carbon dioxide, 70 percent of Carbon monoxide, 45 percent of Nitrogen Oxides and 33 percent of Hydrocarbon is generated from automobile usage [20]. As a response to growing environmental concern, car-sharing service is rising as a possible solution. Car-sharing is a service that provides temporary mobility ownership [8]. This service can not only reduce GHGs from inefficient personal automobile use, but also preserve landscape by preventing over construction of automobile related infrastructures. As this service is actively offered in North America and Europe, South Korean market also began to join the global trend. Car-sharing service in South Korea is growing in fast rate. One head-starting brand in Korea, SOCAR, was launched in 2011, and already achieved 500 thousands members in four years. It is notable that the number is more than five-folds of the number a year ago [31]. Currently there are more than two thousands cars actively utilized for the service [31]. For more convenient user environment, the company announced plans to expand its sphere of service. The future of car-sharing industry in Korea seems very bright and sustainable. Car-sharing service is mainly served through mobile application or Internet webpage. Extensive distribution of smartphone throughout the country accelerated spread of the service. Meanwhile, for this service to settle completely, the key is about how to attract KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper loyalty from existing users. In this sense, research objective of this paper is to identify potential factors that influence consumers’ continuous intention to use car-sharing service. The theoretical background stems from Expectation Confirmation Theory [3]. ECT enables us to understand how consumers’ post-purchase continuance intention is determined. In addition to the original factors from past study, the existing model will be extended by incorporating economic incentive and environmental self-identification as additional factors. 2. Background Review 2.1. Car-sharing service Through revolutionary mass production development, car has become a common personal property in the twenty-first century. Especially in South Korea, the nation that went through unprecedented innovation over last decades, number of cars increased tremendously. Consequently, construction of additional parking and driving infrastructure was inevitable. However, an argument sparked on questioning whether those cars are being fully utilized. For instance, numbers of automobiles are easily found idling in parking lots. One research discovered average car is being driven for only one hour or less during a day [24]. Moreover, convenience provided from personal automobile leads car owners to give little consideration before driving. Most of the time people decide to drive even for short distance trips. Due to this inefficient car using habit, valuable raw materials are used in vain. As people become more conscious about environment issues, such ignorant behavior was pointed first to fix. Traditionally, the only way of driving a car was either by purchasing or through rental service. However, increasing economic cost from insurance, maintenance and fluctuating fuel cost made it burdensome to possess a personal car [14]. Consequently, more people began to cry out for affordable alternatives. KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper As the concept of sharing economy opened up a new pathway to sustainability, the idea of car ownership has transformed. Sharing economy, or also known as collaborative consumption, is obtaining, giving or sharing peer-to-peer activity via community based online service [16]. According to Botsman and Rogers, there are three conceptual requirements for a system to be accepted as sharing economy: Product service, Redistribution markets and Collaborative lifestyle [7]. Car-sharing service, in all aspects, satisfies requirements for sharing-economy, and frequently mentioned as a very promising sustainable mobility service. So far car-sharing lacks related academic study and official technical definition. Carsharing Association (CSA) specifies it as a service designed for local drivers in support of short time transit and environmental goals [8]. Its aim is less about financial achievement but mostly represented by environmental and social vision [8]. As business size expands, it will settle down as representative ancestor of sustainable business. 2.1.1. Types of Car-sharing service Car-sharing service may take several different forms. The form of service depends on whose car is provided to whom and ultimate vision of service providers. The history of car-sharing starts in the form of B2C, Business to Consumer. B2C carsharing companies own cars and provide access to their members. What is known as car rental service is a traditional form of B2C car-sharing. To rent a car from a rental brands, customers need to visit a desired rental company’s office and rent for promised period of time. The process requires steps of agreement paper work. The charging fee is in daily unit, and customers should return the car to the same company’s office. Automobile manufacturing companies such as BMW, Peugeot and Daimler also share their cars to members in a similar way. For a long time, this form of the service was served for short period use. KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper In contrast to traditional B2C service, the latest form of B2C car-sharing is provided by car-sharing companies. Although it is very similar to traditional rental service, there are some differences that make B2C unique and modern. The most desirable characteristic is smaller charging unit. Customers are free to choose their convenient time in minute-base. Plans and rates may differ across companies but they are reasonable considering inclusion of gas and insurance fee. For instance, Zipcar provides different plans for individual, business and student customers. On the other hand, Korean companies charge in time basis only. The minimum rental time is 30 minutes and it can be elongated by in the unit of 10 minutes. Shorter rental time unit lets drivers to drive and pay efficiently, which consequently lead to voluntary energy saving. Convenience is another merit to be praised. Dispersed stations throughout service area provide more flexible access to customers. Since the service is provided via web and mobile phone application, development of high speed Internet, mobile broadband and GPS system facilitate advanced service quality. Customers can easily find the nearest station and check available car models during suitable period. Needless to go through compulsory paper works, customers can simply sign in and make an appointment instantly. B2C car-sharing business is still a developing sector, and providers are eager to promote the service quality. Although relatively rare, Not-for-Profit car-sharing companies also exist. The service format is exactly the same as B2C. However, the NFP car-sharing companies put aside financial ambition and focus more on social and environmental missions. Currently, City Car Share, Philly Car Share and I-GO Chicago are well known NFP car-sharing brands. Companies do not necessarily have to own cars to provide car-sharing service. Peer-toPeer car-sharing serves a market for individuals who are willing to share personal vehicle with their neighbors. The service match car seekers with available car owners. This service gives monetary motive to car owners and minimizes waste of personal automobiles by utilizing cars as much as possible. RelayRides, Whipcar, Wheelz and Getaround are KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper companies with P2P car-sharing market. However, due to cultural and self-boundary issue, some consumers are less willing to put their properties out to the public market. Regardless of its form, car-sharing is growing globally with notable record. In 2009, car sharing successfully reduced Carbon dioxide emission by 482,170 tons [29]. With 10,405 cars being shared in North America with 516,100 users, the impact of one rented car was revealed to substitute 15 cars on the road [29]. Such remarkable numbers confirmed that car-sharing service has bright future for sure. [Table 1] Types of Car-sharing service Type Characteristics Examples Auto Maunfacturers: BMW, Peugeot, Daimler Business to Car-sharing companies own cars and Rental Brands: Hertz, Customer (B2C) provide access to their members. WeCar Car-sharing Brands: Zipcar, StattAuto, GoGet Similar to B2C, companies provide automobile to their members. Not-For-Profit Focuses on social and environmental City Car Share, Philly Car Share, I-GO Chicago missions, rather than Individual puts own vehicle to share in Peer to Peer (P2P) the market, and service members are allowed to use cars out in the market. RelayRides, Whipcar, Wheelz, Getaround Source: The Bright Future of Car-sharing [29] 2.2. Expectation Confirmation Model Theoretical background of Expectation Confirmation Model (ECM) is Expectation Confirmation Theory (ECT). ECT was established to study the mechanism of consumers’ repurchase behavior. While pre-purchase consumer behavior was majorly discussed in the KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper past, this theory was novel in a way by approaching influence of post-purchase satisfaction on continuous use intention. [Figure 1] Expectation Confirmation Theorem The process of repurchase decision making described by ECT is illustrated in Figure 1. Specific process is as follows [23]. Before purchasing certain product, consumers build up pre-purchase expectation of the product. This initial expectation leads them to purchase and experience the product for the first time. Through initial experience, consumers evaluate its performance and attain perceptions about it. After consumers’ cognitive assessments about the product are made, either confirmation or disconfirmation is formed. If perceived performance concords well with pre-purchase expectation, confirmation ensues. However, occurrence of discrepancies between the two cognitive variables results disconfirmation. There are two types of disconfirmation: positive and negative. If products outperform or meet the ex-ante expectation, consumers are positively disconfirmed. In the opposite case, consumers are negatively disconfirmed [10]. The final level of confirmation affects satisfaction, which leads customers repurchase or continue to use the product. As an extension to the theory, Bhattacherjee suggested that ECT could also be applied to investigate one’s continued Information System usage decisions. In fact, most part of contemporary service is similar to traditional tangible products. Before adoption decision is made, IS users have certain expectation about the service before their initial experience. The KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper ex-ante expectation is a stimulus, which makes consumers to end up with adoption decision. The perceived quality of the service experience is highly influenced by the prior expectation. Thus, either confirmation or disconfirmation leads continuous or discontinuous use of IS. The scenario seems to perfectly fit for ECT. However, in order to extend the idea to a different context, Bhattacherjee made additional improvement on the theory and established a new model, Expectation Confirmation Model (ECM). [Figure 2] Expectation Confirmation Model There are key conversions made in ECM, which differentiate the model from the construction of ECT. Entire model is illustrated in Figure 2. One modification comes from different perceived time of cognitive variables. ECT primarily looked into both pre and post acceptance level of perceptions. ECM, on the other hand, selected to examine postacceptance variables only. This does not mean pre-acceptance level of expectation was neglected in ECT. Instead, the effect of pre-acceptance variables was captured in confirmation and satisfaction. Additional amendment was made on some old constructs. The new model included postacceptance expectation into the model, which was not considered in the original theory. Expectation is time changing cognitive variable, and especially in IS usage context, this perception is more vulnerable to change. Therefore expectation after purchase is more appropriate to incorporate. This concept was named as perceived usefulness in the new KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper model. Although post-purchase expectation seems more encompassing, definition of perceived usefulness justifies the revision. Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) defines perceived usefulness as “the degree to which a person believes that using a particular system would enhance his or her job performance” [13]. With suitable extension and alternation, ECM is accepted widely as a good mechanism for investigation of factors influencing on IS continuous use. 3. Extended Expectation Confirmation Model 3.1. Expectation Confirmation Model With theoretical support from ECT, similar hypotheses can be justified in the context of car-sharing service. From the initial car-sharing service experience, customers form confirmation according to their perceived cognition state. ECT suggests the confirmation has positive influence on perceived usefulness. The resulted perceive usefulness and confirmation both act upon satisfaction as positive antecedents. Finally, satisfaction has positive impact on continuance intention to use car-sharing service. The list below summarizes suggested hypotheses. H1: Confirmation from car-sharing experience has positive influence on Perceived Usefulness. H2: Confirmation from car-sharing experience has positive influence on Satisfaction level of users. H3: Perceived Usefulness of car-sharing service has positive influence on Satisfaction level of users. H4: Perceived Usefulness of car-sharing service has positive impact on continuance intention to use car-sharing service. H5: Satisfaction level of users has positive impact on continuance intention to use car-sharing service. KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper 3.2. Economic Incentive Living the most capital-centered era, we cannot deny the fact that economic incentive is irresistible attraction to contemporaries. Perhaps, price is the first coming factor people take account of in the process of purchase decision making. Yet, in order to maximize one’s utility, rational consumers refer to the perceived value over labeled price and figure out consequent economic outcome from purchase commitment. Although sharing economy is often understood as ecological practice, it is also regarded as economically sound act [16]. Therefore, decision by participants of sharing economy is made for the sake of their own utility maximization. In fact, economic incentive, such as potential rewards, is a strong extrinsic motivation to rational consumers [17]. Furthermore, such extrinsic motivation has significant positive influences on intentions to participate in sharing economy [16]. Beyond the adoption process, economic incentive has overreaching influence even after the adoption. Bolton and Lemon named post-purchase perceived economic incentive by payment equity. Payment equity represents the shift in evaluation of the economic fairness level earned from user experience in relation to paid cost. Their study revealed that expectation is supportive antecedent of price equity and, simultaneously, it has positive influence on overall satisfaction of customers [5]. Therefore, it is reasonable to extend the idea to car sharing context and hypothesize confirmation, which involves expectation, has positive influence on economic incentive. With the same logic applied, the economic incentive is a fair antecedent of customer’s satisfaction. H6: Confirmation from car-sharing experience has positive influence on Perceived Economic Incentive. H7: Perceived Economic Incentive from car-sharing experience has positive influence on Satisfaction level of users. H8: Perceived Economic Incentive from car-sharing experience has positive impact on continuance intention to use car-sharing service. KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper 3.3. Environment Self-identification Every individual bears certain image about oneself in mind. The concept of such selfillustration is referred to as self-identity [11]. Multiple past studies have revealed strong causal relationship between self-identity and behavioral intention. Especially, self-identity is a strong motivator on consumption and adoption decision [11]. Environmental self-identity is the degree of how one illustrates oneself to behave environmental friendly [33]. The idea can be implied to car-sharing. In all aspects, car-sharing is pro-environmental service. Thus, environmental self-identification becomes a major driver to initiate and continue service use. After the experience, users generate positive or negative service impression. Motivation to participate in sustainable behavior in the future is intensified or weakened respectively [21]. Finally, individual environmental self-identification is adjusted after the post-environmental experience. A study from Sparks and Shepherd verified performance of certain behavior affirm related self-identity. [25] Similarly, confirmation from car-sharing service experience may have positive influence on environmental self-identification. Moreover, the act of sustainable behavior carried out by environmental self-identity has positive psychological consequences such as satisfaction, strengths, and mental well-being [32]. Therefore, users with strong environmental identity will have greater satisfaction from service experience. Furthermore, Charng et al. discussed the impact of repetitive behavior on related self-identity. Regardless of one’s old attitude toward the behavior, repetition may bolster associated self-identity [9]. In a similar vein, it is reasonable to claim that environmental self-identity effectively persuades individual to frequently use car-sharing service. From legitimate assumptions, suggested hypotheses are as follows. H9: Confirmation from car-sharing experience has positive influence on Environmental selfidentification. H10: Environmental self-identification has positive influence on Satisfaction level of car- KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper sharing service users. H11: Environmental self-identification has positive impact on continuance intention to use carsharing service. [Figure 3] Research Model [Table 2] Operationalization of Constructs Construct Operational definition User’s perception of the congruence between Confirmation expectation of car-sharing service use and its actual performance Source Bhattacherjee 2001 [3] Perceived User’s perception of the expected benefits of car- Davis et al. 1989 Usefulness sharing service use [12] Economic User’s extrinsic rewards from car-sharing service Hamari et al. Incentive use 2015 [16] Environmental The degree of how one illustrates oneself to Whitmarsh et al. Self-identification behave environmental friendly 2010 [33] KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper Satisfaction IS Continuance Intention User’s affect with feelings about prior car-sharing service use Spreng and Olshavsky 1993 [27] User’s intention to continue using car-sharing Bhattacherjee service 2001 [3] 4. Methodology 4.1. Questionnaire Development In this study, there are six constructs to be measured; confirmation, perceived usefulness, economic incentive, environmental self-identification, satisfaction, and IS continuance intention. Table 2 summarizes operational definition and academic origin of each construct. Original constructs from ECT will be measured by paraphrasing existing measures to fit car-sharing context. For new constructs, appropriate measurement will be brought to evaluate each construct. Economic incentives will be assessed by importing questions established by Bock et al. [4]. For the measurement of Environmental Self- identification, Spark and Shepherd’s measurement method will be utilized [25]. All questions will be measured in a base of 7-point Likert scale, 1 as strong disagreement and 7 as strong agreement. Before actual survey is conducted, validity and reliability tests will be hold to evaluate construct measurement. Some questions will be eliminated or clarified for accuracy improvement. Specific list of measurement method follows in Table 3. [Table 3] Construct Measurements Construct Confirmation Questions Source My experience with using car-sharing service was Bhattacherjee better than what I expected. 2001 [3] KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper The service level provided by car-sharing service was better than what I expected. Overall, most of my expectations from using the car-sharing service were confirmed. Using car-sharing service improves performance of my mobility. Perceived Usefulness Using car-sharing service improves skill of my portability. Davis et al. 1989 [12] Using car-sharing service enables me to access wide ranges of location to travel. I can save money if I participate in car-sharing. My participation in car-sharing benefits me Economic Incentive financially. My participation in car-sharing can improve my Bock et al. 2005 [4] economic situation. My participation in car-sharing saves me time. I think of myself as an environmentally-friendly consumer. I think of myself as someone who is very Environmental Selfidentification concerned with environmental issues. Cook et al. 2002 [11]; Sparks and I would be embarrassed to be seen as having an environmentally-friendly lifestyle (reversed score). Shepherd 1992 [25] I would not want my family or friends to think of me as someone who is concerned about environmental issues. Using car-sharing service makes me feel very Satisfaction satisfied. Using car-sharing service makes me feel very Spreng and Olshavsky 1993 [27] KAIST Graduate School of Green Growth Working Paper pleased. Using car-sharing service makes me feel very contented. Using car-sharing service makes me feel very delighted. I intend to continue using the car-sharing service rather than discontinue its use. IS Continuance Bhattacherjee My intentions are to continue using the car- Intention 2001 [3] sharing service rather than use any alternative means. 4.2. Data Collection and Analysis Data for analysis will be collected through online survey. Subjects of the survey are members of Korean car-sharing brand. They are required to have experience with car-sharing service. Filtering out unfinished or inappropriate answers, only valid survey will be accounted in the final data analysis. The suggested model will be tested through LISREL 9.2. A Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) will be conducted as the first step of structural equation modeling. CFA refers to several representative variables to figure out model fit of the suggested model. Different variables can be included in analysis such as standardized root mean square residual (SRMSR), goodness-of-fit (GFI), and comparative fit index (CFI) [2]. 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