Land-Climate Interactions Chapter 2 Land energy and water balances Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Outline: Lecture 2 Global / Land energy and water balances Global energy balance terms Global water balance terms Radiative forcing, Albedo Turbulent fluxes and feedbacks to water and heat budgets Ground heat flux, soil temperature Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich The global energy balance (IPCC 2007) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Shortwave vs longwave radiation UV Visible NIR mid- and long infrared H2O vapor is the most important greenhouse gas. Absorption [%] shortwave longwave CO2 is the most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas. CH4 N2O O2,O3 CO2 H2O Wavelength [μ] Land-climate interactions, 2008 (Peixoto and Oort, 1992) Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Global water cycle Oceanic Precipitation (350%) Oceanic Evaporation (390%) Atmospheric transport (40%) Terrestrial Precipitation (100%) Terrestrial Evapotranspiration (60%) Streamflow (40%) (Flux estimates: Oki and Kanae, Science 2006) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Global water cycle (Oki and Kanae, Science 2006) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Land energy and water balances Land energy balance Land water balance H2O, CO2 SWnet LWnet LH=E SH Changes in energy content P E Soil moisture changes E Rs dS/dt Rg G Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Land energy and water balances Land energy balance Land water balance Change in energy storage (soil temperature, snow melting, ..) H2O, CO2 SWnet LWnet Changes in energy content LH=E SH E P E Net radiation Latent Sensible = net Soil shortwave moisture dS/dt heat flux heat flux changes - net longwave (also “LH”) Rs Ground heat flux Rg G Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Land energy and water balances Land energy balance Land water balance H2O, CO2 SWnet LWnet LH=E SH Changes in energy content P Net shortwave E E radiation Soil moisture changes Net longwave radiation dS/dt Rs Rg Albedo G Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Land energy and water balances Land energy balance Land water balance Change in water storage (soil moisture, snow, surface water, groundwater) H2O, CO2 Precipitation SWnet LWnet Changes in Evapoenergy content transpiration G Land-climate interactions, 2008 LH=E Surface runoff SH Groundwater runoff P E Soil moisture changes E dS/dt Rs Rg Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Outline: Lecture 2 Global / Land energy and water balances Global energy balance terms Global water balance terms Radiative forcing, Albedo Turbulent fluxes and feedbacks to water and heat budgets Ground heat flux, soil temperature Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Spatial maps of energy balance components • Distribution of energy balance components strongly dependent on region / latitude • Strong contrasts between land and ocean surfaces Next maps: from Raschke and Ohmura (2005) and Ohmura and Raschke (2005); In: Hantel, M. (Ed.), Landolt-Börnstein, V/6 (Geophysics/Climatology), Springer (based on satellite measurements from International Satellite Clouds Climatology Project (ISCCP) and reanalysis product from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF reanalysis, ERA-40) Annual values Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Downward shortwave radiation Downward shortwave radiation [W/m2] No data 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Net shortwave radiation Net shortwave radiation at the ground [W/m2] No data Land-climate interactions, 2008 45 70 95 120 145 170 195 220 245 270 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Downward longwave radiation Downward longwave radiation at the ground [W/m2] No data 135 170 205 240 275 310 345 280 415 Land-climate interactions, 2008 450 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Net longwave radiation Net longwave radiation at the ground [W/m2] No data Land-climate interactions, 2008 0 -15 -30 -45 -60 -75 -90 -105 -120 -135 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Total net radiation Total net radiation at the ground [W/m2] No data 0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Sensible heat flux Sensible heat flux [W/m2] No data Land-climate interactions, 2008 15 0 -15 -30 -45 -60 -75 -90 -105 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Latent heat flux Latent heat flux [W/m2] No data -25 -50 -75 -100 -125 -150 -175 -200 -225 NB: 1W/m2 1.06 mm/mth 0.035 mm/d 1mm/d 28.4 W/m2 Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Outline: Lecture 2 Global / Land energy and water balances Global energy balance terms Global water balance terms Radiative forcing, Albedo Turbulent fluxes and feedbacks to water and heat budgets Ground heat flux, soil temperature Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Global precipitation 1.4-2.7 mm/d > 5.5 mm/d 4.1-5.5 mm/d 2.7-4.1 mm/d 0.7-1.4 mm/d < 0.7 mm/d Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Global runoff 0 0.01 0.03 0.14 0.27 0.55 1.4 2.7 5.5 13.7 [mm/d] (Oki and Kanae, Science 2006) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Global soil moisture (Dirmeyer et al., BAMS 2006) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Some results from the GLACE experiment Mean of 8 AGCMs (Atmospheric Global Circulation Models), 1994 SSTs (sea surface temperatures), JJA (June-July-August) Observations (climatologies) Land-climate interactions, 2008 16 16 14 14 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 (Seneviratne et al., JHM 2006) Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Some results from the GLACE experiment Mean of 8 AGCMs (Atmospheric Global Circulation Models), 1994 SSTs (sea surface temperatures), JJA (June-July-August) 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 16 16 14 14 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 Land-climate interactions, 2008 0 (Seneviratne et al., JHM 2006) Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Outline: Lecture 2 Global / Land energy and water balances Global energy balance terms Global water balance terms Radiative forcing, Albedo Turbulent fluxes and feedbacks to water and heat budgets Ground heat flux, soil temperature Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Radiative forcing Greenhouse effect & Climate change (IPCC 2007) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Radiative forcing (IPCC 2007) Examples: Radiative forcing from greenhouse gases Radiative forcing from albedo Radiative forcing from aerosol concentrations Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Radiative forcing NB: For land use changes, only impacts through albedo changes are considered here (IPCC 2007) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Albedo Albedo = Reflected portion of downward shortwave radiation Surface Conditions Albedo () Snow old / fresh 0.45 / 0.85 Clouds 100 m thick 0.4 500 m thick 0.7 Ice Oceans, Lake 0.25-0.35 Zenith angle 30o 0.05 60o 0.10 85o 0.6 Grassland 0.2-0.3 Forest 0.1-0.2 Global mean 0.3 (Dingmann 1993) Changes in land cover (vegetation, snow, land use) can impose a radiative forcing on climate Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Snow/Vegetation - Albedo Snow/Vegetation albedo feedbacks Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Snow/Vegetation - Albedo Old bias (March-April 1996, 850 hPa T day5 error) For example: Impact of representation of vegetation/snow-albedo for forecasts of the ECMWF New bias (March-April 1997, 850 hPa T day5 error) (Viterbo and Betts 1999, JGR) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Vegetation - climate interactions Radiative forcing of deforestation/afforestation? (Betts et al., Agr. For. Met. 2007) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Ice/snow - albedo feedback • Strongest effect at limit of snow/ice cover • Also relevant for global warming T • “Snowball Earth” in past climate? Radiation absorbed at surface Land-climate interactions, 2008 Snow and ice extent ; Albedo Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Ice/snow - albedo feedback Impact of ice/snowalbedo feedback for projected changes in temperature Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Albedo: Variations with spectral bands The total albedo is not equivalent to the albedo in the visible only: significant fractions of shortwave radiation in UV and NIR (NearInfrared) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Soil moisture - albedo feedbacks? Albedo anomalies during the 2003 heatwave: Constrasting feedbacks in the visible and near infrared! Anomalies in the visible Anomalies in the near infrared (NIR) Net albedo anomalies (Teuling and Seneviratne, 2008, GRL) NB: Combined effects of changes in vegetation and soil albedo Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich NDVI (R. Stöckli, MeteoSwiss) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Satellite measurements –spectral properties of vegetation: phenological state – can be retrieved from satellite data (e.g. MODIS satellite) –empirical relationships relate NDVI to biophysical parameters like LAI (leaf area index = ratio of total leaf area to surface area; typically between 0 for bare ground and 6 for dense forest) Graph courtesy Wolfgang Buermann, Boston University NB: From NDVI, FPAR (Fraction of Photosynthetically Active Radiation absorbed by the green leaves of the canopy) can be estimated (R. Stöckli, MeteoSwiss) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Phenology • Vegetation activity has a seasonal cycle (phenology) • Phenology is controlled by climate variables (e.g. temperature) but can also feed back upon the climate system (e.g. summer 2003) (Stöckli and Vidale 2004, Int. J. Remote Sensing) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich FPAR: e.g. summer 2003 (Jolly et al., GRL 2005) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Outline: Lecture 2 Global / Land energy and water balances Global energy balance terms Global water balance terms Radiative forcing, Albedo Turbulent fluxes and feedbacks to water and heat budgets Ground heat flux, soil temperature Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Land energy and water balances Land energy balance Land water balance H2O, CO2 SWnet LWnet LH=E Changes in energy content SH P E Soil moisture changes E Rs dS/dt Rg G The partitioning of the net incoming energy (net radiation) in the latent and sensible heat fluxes is controlled by soil moisture if it is the limiting factor for evapotranspiration Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich The concept of limiting factors for evapotranspiration (Nemani et al., Science 2003) (Based on modelling and observational estimates; slight variations are possible depending on chosen product / model) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Bowen ratio Bowen ratio: Ratio between sensible und latent heat fluxes: B = SH LH => B << 1 moist surface, LH dominates over SH => B >> 1 dry surface, SH dominates over LH Low Bowen ratio High Bowen ratio [For more details, see lecture 4] Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Effects for recent heatwaves Number of hot days (> 90%ile) Observations Reference simulations With soil moisture climatology (Fischer et al. 2007, GRL) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Land-atmosphere coupling: Role of vegetation Impact of vegetation cover for surface exchanges during the 2003 heatwave August 1, 2000 August 10, 2003 crops and pastures NDVI: active vegetation NDVI: -0.35 IR: soil temperature NDVI: -0.00 forest Aster Satellite (NASA/Japan) +20 ºC +11 ºC 500 m 27 ºC 42 ºC 5x5 km view in Central France 500 m 32 ºC 47 ºC Land-climate interactions, 2008 (Zaitchik et al. 2006, Int. J. Clim.) Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Role of soil moisture for climate-change projections Impact on summer temperature variability in Europe (present / future) Standard deviation of summer (JJA) temperature, simulations with CHRM regional climate model CTL (1970-1989) SCEN (2080-2099) Impact on occurrence of heatwaves! CTLUNCOUPLED (Schär et al. 2004, Nature) Land-climate interactions, 2008 SCENUNCOUPLED (2080-2099) No interannual variations of soil moisture (Seneviratne et al. 2006, Nature) Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Role of soil moisture for To variability Soil moisture [mm] Seasonal Cycle of Soil Moisture no limitation on evapotranspiration wet climate CTL (1961-1990) SCEN (2071-2100) transitional climate Month Threshold for soil moisture limitation on evapotranspiration close to plant wilting point in all years dry climate Absolute threshold for evapotranspiration (plant wilting point) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change percentage of To variance explained by coupling [%] T2 (COUPLED ) T2 (UNCOUPLED ) T2 (COUPLED ) land-atmosphere coupling strength parameter analogous to GLACE • Shift of region of strong soil moisture-To coupling from the Mediterranean to most of Central and Eastern Europe in future climate more future heatwaves in this region (Seneviratne et al. 2006, Nature) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Comparison with IPCC AR4 GCMs Indirect measure of coupling between soil moisture & To: Correlation between summer evapotranspiration and temperature (ET,T2M) Negative correlation: strong soil moisturetemperature coupling (high temperature as result of low/no evapotranspiration) Positive correlation: low soil moisturetemperature coupling (high temperature leads to high evapotranspiration) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Comparison IPCC AR4 GCMs: (ET,T2M) CTL time period SCEN time period Climate-change signal RCM 3 “best” GCMs All GCMs (Seneviratne et al. 2006, Nature) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Summary • The projected enhancement of To variability in Central and Eastern Europe is mostly due to changes in landatmosphere coupling • Climate change creates a new hot spot of soil moisture To coupling in Central and Eastern Europe in the future climate (shift of climate regimes) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Outline: Lecture 2 Global / Land energy and water balances Global energy balance terms Global water balance terms Radiative forcing, Albedo Turbulent fluxes and feedbacks to water and heat budgets Ground heat flux, soil temperature Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Ground heat flux, soil temperature • Ground heat flux is often a negligible term of the energy balance (averaged over one day, averaged over one year) • Can be nonetheless important in some situations: soil temperature memory, permafrost; also indicative of soil properties (soil physical properties, soil moisture content may be used as indirect measurement) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Vertical heat conduction in soils Combine with Fourier’s law: Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Thermal properties of soil constituents and soils (Hillel 1998) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Diurnal and seasonal cycle of soil temperature (see also Hillel 1998, Chap. 12) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Snow and soil temperature (Bonan 2002) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Outline: Lecture 2 Global / Land energy and water balances Global energy balance terms Global water balance terms Radiative forcing, Albedo Turbulent fluxes and feedbacks to water and heat budgets Soil temperature, ground heat flux Quiz Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich Vegetation-climate interactions (Serengeti, Tanzania) Land-climate interactions, 2008 Sonia Seneviratne / IAC ETH Zurich
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