Using solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) to constrain global gross primary productivity in the process-based terrestrial biosphere model BETHY-SCOPE Alex Norton, Peter Rayner, Marko Scholze, Ernest Koffi June 7, 2017 Outline I I I I I I I BETHYSCOPE system; Observations; Information Content; How well do we fit SIF data? Prognostic and diagnostic LAI? GPP estimates; Future work. acknowledgements I I I OCO2 team especally Christian Frankenberg; SCOPE team, Christiaan van der Tol; BETHY team, Wolfgang Knorr, Thomas Kaminski; System at a glance BETHY “Biosphere, Energy Transfer Hydrology”, KNORR 2010 (doi:10.1029/2009JG001119), carbon, energy and water balance, prognostic or diagnostic phenology; SCOPE “Soil-Canopy- Observation of Photosynthesis and the Energy balance”, van der Tol et al. 2009 (doi10.5194/bg-6-3109-2009). 1d canopy radiative transfer incl. spectrally resolved fluorescence, mechanistic model of leaf fluorescence; Coupling Pass parameters from BETHY to SCOPE, use SCOPE GPP in BETHY carbon balance. Setup Continued Spatial Resolution 13 PFTs, many parameters at PFT level and some global, 2×2◦ resolution; Key Parameters Phenological parameters, Vcmax (25C ), chlorophyll; Computation Jacobians calculated by finite-difference, inner-outer loop minimisation, chlorophyll held constant through first outer loop; GPP Calculate GPP from optimised parameters and uncertainties from GPP jacobians. Data July 2015 SIF Uncertainties January 2015 SIF from OCO2 Uncertainties from OCO2 I Monthly mean OCO2 SIF for 2015 aggregated to 2×2◦ ; I Data uncertainty taken from product but aggregated conservatively; Information Content I I I I I Norton et al. (2017) (doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-34); Prior uncertainty on global GPP ≈ 13 PgC/y; Reasonable constraint on phenological parameters, Vcmax ; ≈ 80% reduction in GPP uncertainty; Always optimistic, especially it ignores the ability to actually match observations. Assimilation with Prognostic LAI residuals of LAI for prior model residuals of LAI for posterior model. Prescribed LAI Fit to zonal mean SIF for prior and posterior model Seasonal Cycles Seasonal fit to regionally averaged SIF for North American boreal forests: prior (grey), optimised (green) and (obs) dots. Seasonal fit to regionally averaged SIF for Amazonian tropical forests: prior (grey), optimised (green) and (obs) dots. GPP Prescribed LAI Prior annual mean GPP from BETHYSCOPE Posterior annual mean GPP from BETHYSCOPE Notes I I I I global GPP increases from 82 to 100 PgC/y; Probably still slight underestimate with failure to fit some high SIF values; Hybrid data product where we use SIF/GPP relationships from BETHYSCOPE coupled to BETHY GPP produces 113 PgC/y; The regressions from this hybrid are an interesting emulator. Future Work I I I I More interprettation; Simultaneous assimilation of SIF and APAR; Improving water-balance of SCOPE; Validate or assimilate COS and CO2 . Conclusions I I I I We can credibly assimilate SIF into a mechanistic biosphere model; We can’t do this with prognostic penology; there still appears to be a problem matching high SIF values; Chlorophyll is a key nuisance variable.
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