Corporate Finance MLI28C060 Lecture 14 Thursday 27 October 2016 Exam Structure • 2 Parts • 3 Hours duration (start 9am with finish at 12 midday) • First Part: Two Numerical calculation questions (30 marks each) – Maximum – 60% of marks • Second Part: Three short answer questions – each question is worth 20 marks – Maximum – 40% of marks WACC and Capital Budgeting Cost of Equity and Debt • Cost of equity is calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) k e k rf (k m k rf ) Where ke krf km β = expected rate of return on equity = risk free rate on bonds = expected rate of return on the market = coefficient of firm’s systematic risk • The normal calculation for cost of debt is analyzing the various proportions of debt and their associated interest rates for the firm and calculating a before and after tax weighted average cost of debt Estimating the Cost of Debt • For developed countries, the target’s local or the acquirer’s home country cost of debt. • For emerging countries, the cost of debt (k d ) is as follows: k d R f CRP FRP where Rf = Local risk free rate or U.S. treasury bond rate converted to a local nominal rate if cash flows are in the local currency; if cash flows in dollars, the U.S. treasury rate CRP = Specific country risk premium expressed as difference between the local country’s (or a similar country’s) government bond rate and the U.S. treasury bond rate of the same maturity FRP = Firm’s default risk premium (i.e., additional premium for similar firms rated by credit rating agencies or estimated by comparing interest coverage ratios used by rating agencies to the firm’s interest coverage ratios to determine how they would rate the firm.) Weighted Average Cost of Capital k WACC E D k e k d (1 t) V V Where kWACC = weighted average cost of capital ke = risk adjusted cost of equity kd = before tax cost of debt t = tax rate E = market value of equity D = market value of debt V = market value of firm (D+E) Capital Budgeting Net Present Value (NPV) • Net Present Value (NPV): Net Present Value is found by subtracting the present value of the after-tax outflows from the present value of the after-tax inflows. 9-8 Net Present Value (NPV) • Net Present Value (NPV): Net Present Value is found by subtracting the present value of the after-tax outflows from the present value of the after-tax inflows. Decision Criteria If NPV > 0, accept the project If NPV < 0, reject the project If NPV = 0, technically indifferent Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 9-9 Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the discount rate that will equate the present value of the outflows with the present value of the inflows. • The IRR is the project’s intrinsic rate of return. 9-10 Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the discount rate that will equate the present value of the outflows with the present value of the inflows. • The IRR is the project’s intrinsic rate of return. Decision Criteria If IRR > k, accept the project If IRR < k, reject the project If IRR = k, technically indifferent Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 9-11 NPV Profile -- Multiple IRRs Net Present Value ($000s) 75 Multiple IRRs at k = 12.95% and 191.15% 50 25 0 -100 0 40 80 120 160 Discount Rate (%) 200 Payback Period (PBP) 0 -40 K 1 2 3 10 K 12 K 15 K 4 5 10 K 7K PBP is the period of time required for the cumulative expected cash flows from an investment project to equal the initial cash outflow. Payback Solution (#1) 0 -40 K (-b) Cumulative Inflows 2 3 (a) 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K (d) 7K 10 K 22 K 37 K (c) 47 K 54 K 1 4 PBP =a+(b-c)/d = 3 + (40 - 37) / 10 = 3 + (3) / 10 = 3.3 Years 5 Critical appraisal of all three techniques Comparing Methods Basis of measurement Measure expressed as Strengths Limitations Payback period Cash flows Number of years Easy to Understand Net present value Cash flows Profitability Dollar Amount Considers time value of money Internal rate of return Cash flows Profitability Percent Considers time value of money Allows Accommodates Allows comparison different risk comparisons across projects levels over of dissimilar a project's life projects Doesn't Difficult to Doesn't reflect consider time compare varying risk value of money dissimilar levels over the projects project's life Doesn't consider cash Hedging methods • Two contexts: A/R versus A/P • 4 HEDGING METHODS – – – – UNHEDGED FORWARD MONEY MARKET OPTION – See the worked calculations/seminars Strategy Choice and Outcome Hedging Strategy Outcome/Payout Remain uncovered Unknown Forward Contract hedge @ $1.754/£ $1,754,000 Money market hedge @ 8% p.a. $1,755,396 Money market hedge @ 12% p.a. $1,772,605 Put option hedge @ strike $1.75/£ Minimum if exercised $1,722,746 Maximum if not exercised Unlimited Concepts Corporate governance: International comparative governance: The structure of Multinational Enterprises (MNEs) and Business Groups Structure: - MNE and Business Group structure - Introduction to transfer pricing - Introduction to expropriation via “shareholder tunneling” Reading: Claessens, S., Djankov, S. & Lang, L. H. P. (2000). The separation of ownership and control in East Asian corporations. Journal of Financial Economics, 58, 81-112 Khanna, T., & Palepu, K. (2000). Is group affiliation profitable in emerging markets? An analysis of diversified Indian business groups. Journal of Finance, 55(2): 867-891 Khanna, T., & Rivkin, J. W. (2001). Estimating the performance effects of business groups in emerging markets. Strategic Management Journal, 22: 45-74 Khanna, T., & Yafeh, Y. (2007). Business groups in emerging markets: Paragons or Parasites? Journal of Economic Literature, 45(2): 331-372 Business Groups and MNE’s • Part 1 – Hard control – Pyramiding – Cross shareholder networks • Part 2 - Soft control – Shared directors between constituent firms – Director interlock – Presidential clubs (e.g. Japanese keiretsu) Part 1 – Hard control • Pyramiding Firm 1 >51% Minorities <49% Firm 2 >51% Minorities <49% Firm 3 >51% Minorities <49% Firm 4 Profit repatriation/ tunnelling Part 1 – Hard control • Cross shareholder networks Firm 2 Firm 1 Firm 4 Firm 3 Part 2 – Soft Control • Shared directors amongst firms • Socialization – e.g. through common training and/or “presidential clubs” (e.g. Japanese keiretsu) • Director “interlock” Institutions and legal systems What are institutions? • Institutions are the humanly devised constraints that structure political, economic and social interaction. They consist of both informal constraints (sanctions, taboos, customs, traditions, codes of conduct), and formal rules (constitutions, laws, property rights) • D.C. North, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1991. Institutions defined (again) • Douglas North: ”Institutions are the humanly devised constraints that structure human interaction. They are made up of formal constraints1, informal constraints2 and their enforcement characteristics. Together they define the incentive structure of societies and specificially economies”. – 1) rules, laws, constitutions – 2) norms, behavior, conventions • … or simply ’the rules of the game’ Why civil society is key – Institutional and normative set-up of international finance Figure: Ideal influence patterns Differences in Legal system Civil Code vs. Common Law • Features of Civil Code law (as opposed to common law) - Inquisitorial (vs. accusatorial) - Code-based (vs. case law) - History: Roman Law - Branches: public / private – criminal / civil - Career judges - Written proceedings (vs. oral proceedings) Comparison of Civil-Law and Common-Law Systems (III) • Manner of legal reasoning - Civil-Law → Deductive - Common-Law → Inductive • Structure of Courts - Civil-Law → Integrated Court system - Common-Law → Specialty Court system • Trial process - Civil-Law → Extended process - Common-Law → Single-event trial Comparison of Civil-Law and Common-Law Systems (IV) • Judges - Role in trials. * Civil-Law → elevated role * Common-Law → «referee» - Judicial attitudes. *Civil-Law → mere appliers of the law * Common-Law → search creatively for an answer - Selection and training. * Civil-Law → a part of the civil service * Common-Law → selected from a political process So…….there are 2 questions: •1: where (location) do we raise finance? •2: what type of finance do we use? • Firms almost always exhaust internal sources of capital first before considering external sources – why? • Answer: Internal sources draw on ”Internal Capital Market” within firm and it’s network (network in case of business groups or family firms) • Entrepreneurial firms – lifecycle: – Internal sources exhausted by entrepreneur (friends, family and business groups in case of network economies) – Then Business Angels (BA) early stage investors – Then Venture Capital (VC) – The ultimate goal/aim is for firm to achieve a stock market IPO (Intitial Public Offering) • Normally after internal sources bank finance/lending is preferable to external capital markets – why? • One answer is ”informational” i.e. – For a firm to issue bonds to external investors there are huge costs in terms of auditing, accounting transparency, issuing prospectuses etc – This is in order to provide investors with confidence through firm incurring ”bonding costs” as in bonding with investors – Alternative is bank lending – with relationship with bank mitigating informational costs • Bank lending is also a useful indicator to investors – i.e. if banks continue to supply credit to firm then given their close relationship – this is a good sign of credit-worthiness of firm – The presence of banking relationships thus impacts positively on value of firm’s equity and debt (bonds) • Now………. Where do firm’s raise finance: • This has everything to do with costs of debt and costs of equity – This is the subject of tommorow’s (Friday’s) lecture
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