South East Europe Regional Consultation
Meeting
Bucharest, Romania
6 – 7 October 2016
Session II: Opportunities and Challenges in RE Deployment in the Region
Slovenia
Renewable energy target for 2020
Directive 2009/28/ES– 25 % RES in final energy use
Sectoral goals by NREAP 2020:
Renewable energy [PJ]
 Electricity – 39 %
 Heating & cooling – 34 %
 Transport – 10 %
80
70
Transport
TARGET 25%
60
Heat
Electricity- other RES
50
40
Hydro PP
30
20
10
0
2008
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
REPUBLIKA SLOVENIJA
MINISTRSTVO ZA
INFRASTRUKTURO
Achieving Intermediate goals of RES in 2014
RES share in gross final energy use [%]
45%
38,9%
40%
33.9%
33.5%
35%
28.7%
30%
34,0%
33.3%
26.3%
25%
25.0%
21.9%
18.9%
20%
20.1%
15%
16.0%
9,9%
10%
4.0%
5%
0.3%
2.6%
0%
2004
2006
NAP-proposal: RES-total
SHARES: Heating&cooling
NAP-proposal: Transport
SHARES: RES-total
NAP-2010: Electricity
2008
2010
2012
SHARES: RES-total
NAP-proposal: Electricity
SHARES: Transport
NAP-2010: Heating&cooling
SHARES: Electricity
2014
2016
2018
2020
NAP-proposal: Heating&cooling
SHARES: Electricity
NAP-2010: RES-total
SHARES: Heating&cooling
NAP-2010: Transport
Role of RES in primary energy supply
RES Use [mio toe]
2,0
1,8
1,6
1,4
1,2
1,0
0,8
0,6
0,4
0,2
0,0
2000
Vir: IJS CEU, 2011
2005
Biomass
2008
2010
2015
2020
2030
Hydro
Other RES (solar, wind, geotermal)
Sectoral Goals for achieving RES target
30%
RES in groos Final Energy Consuption
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2005
2010
2015
Staistical Data
Heat
Electricity
2020
2025
2030
NREAP Projections
Transport
Vir: 2005-2014 podatki (SURS), 2015-2030 projekcija AN OVE (IJS CEU)
2020 target
Proposed 2030 target
5
REPUBLIKA SLOVENIJA
MINISTRSTVO ZA
INFRASTRUKTURO
RES for heating to 2030
700
600
Energija [ktoe]
500
400
300
Tekoča biogoriva
Sončna energija
Bioplin
Geotermalna energija
Obnovljiva energija iz toplotnih črpalk
Biomasa - trdna
200
100
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Electricity generation from RES in 2014 (%)
Photovoltaic
4%
Biomass
1%
Bioplini
2%
Wind
0%
Hydro
93%
Scenario for Electricy Production
from RES to 2030
REPUBLIKA SLOVENIJA
MINISTRSTVO ZA
INFRASTRUKTURO
3.000
LBM
BP
VE
mHE
SE
HE>10 MW
35
44
45
1.500
33
14
31
36
33
43
33
43
30
166
159 163
29 161 160
33
21 160
334
34
44
32
45
184
35
182
180
44
56 179
357 380
426
473
519 565
185
32
45
32
45
32
235
45 220
204
192
188
33
45
193
190
187
733 794
855 916
611 672
1.338
1.338
1.309
1.309
1.241
1.205
1.205
1.170
1.122
1.079
1.079
1.015
962
962
962
960
958
914
914
12 58
914
912
873
154 4
143 143 151 1
35
44
34
34 44
35 174 177
44
11 170
48
247 255 265 288 311
9 158 160 159 174
867
500
38
12
866
1.000
30
29
836
Instalirana moč [MW]
2.000
33
44
32
45
1.241
2.500
33
45
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
REPUBLIKA SLOVENIJA
MINISTRSTVO ZA
INFRASTRUKTURO
Exploatation of river potential until 2030
Until 2030 further 13,6 p.p. exploited;
share of exploatation of river increased to 62%,
included two location in Natura 2000
Izkoriščen potencial,
stanje 2014
32,5%
37,8%
48,6%
Povečanje po AN OVE,
2030
Neizkoriščen potencial,
projekcija za leto 2030
13,6%
18,9%
Potencial, obravnavan v
postopku CPVO
Natura 2000
Slovenia with the highest share
of area under Natura 2000
Reference scenario:
25,8% RES without HE in Natura 2000
CHALLENGES
– Natura 2000 covers 38% of our territory: barriers for
exploitation of hydro potential!
– Conflict between protection of Natura and RES goals at EU
level;
– Long procedure to demonstrate overriding public interes;
in energy sector on EU level has not been performed yet
– RES investmets therefore not clear and more expensive
(conservation and compensatory measures)
– costs of habitats protection should not be turned over to
investors (long-term monitoring, various detailed
studies…)!
Energy refurbishment of Buildings
Lower energy
consumption in
buildings
• -16% by 2030
Higer RES
use
• 2/3 in 2030 (without District heating
and electricity)
Lower
aggregate RES • -6 % by 2030
consumption
Low potential
in Heating for
increasing
agregate RES
Only
potentials in
Electricity
Natura 2000?
RES potential in Heating
Use of RES in
industry
Limited
Higher EE of
boilers
Lower RES
Air polution
policy
Use of biomass
limited
Energy consumption by sectors
Share in gross final energy use [%]
100%
RES - transport
90%
80%
70%
Other energy carriers transport
60%
RES - heating and cooling
50%
Other energy carriers heating and cooling
40%
RES - electricity
30%
20%
Other energy carriers electricity
10%
0%
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Discussion
• Benchmarks by sectors (E, H&C, T)
• RES target must support other goals; like air
pollution, biodiversity, competitiveness, EE,
security of supply
• National targets or measures on EU level (RES
market?)
Opportunities from the uptake of renewables
Renewable Energy
Sources
Electricity
RES production
[ktoe/year]
Support in 2015−2020
[mio EUR]
Investments
2015−2020
CO2 reduction
(2020)
[mio EUR]
[ktCO2/year]
Employment for
operating
(2020)
[No. of Employees]
Employment for production,
construction, insatalation
(2015−2020)
[years of employment]
59,09
79,58
520,50
377,95
134
3.432
Hydro
33,74
11,69
262,38
215,80
50
808
Solar
13,18
26,40
141,24
84,33
46
2.405
Wind
7,82
13,73
69,57
50,05
10
117
Biomass
4,34
27,76
47,31
27,76
28
104
165,62
156,30
670,98
359,49
460
1.725
2,77
5,87
12,13
6,38
9
35
3,83
10,01
75,27
8,82
37
275
132,78
110,49
383,14
283,85
314
1.043
26,25
29,93
200,44
60,44
99
372
128,47
0,00
0,00
395,80
/
/
12,85
0,00
0,00
39,27
/
/
115,62
0,00
0,00
356,53
/
/
353,18
238,13
1.191,47
1.133,23
594
5.157
Heating/cooling
Geothermal
Solar
Biomass
Heating Pumps
Transport
Bioetanol/bio-ETBE
Biodizel
Total
•
1500 jobs, 1 mrd investments
16
Expected future developments in the frameworks for renewables
•
Revised National Renewable Energy Action Plan with focus on 2030
•
New feed-in support scheme according to new Energy Act (2014)
•
Energy Concept - long-term energy strategy to 2050 in preparation
17
Potential areas for required support
•
Procedure for determing overriding public interest;
RES, climate change mitigation : biodiversity
18
Thank you for your attention !
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energetika
http://www.energetika-portal.si/