Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Energy Efficiency Programs for the California IOUs for the CALIFORNIA PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION (CPUC) Procedures for Site-Specific Impact Analysis under Work Order WO033 Prepared by: Itron, Inc. 1111 Broadway, Suite 1800 Oakland, CA 94607 (510) 844-2800 and KEMA, Inc. 155 Grand Avenue, Suite 500 Oakland, CA 94612 (510) 891-0446 Version 01: January 2012 Table of Contents Table of Contents ...................................................................................................... i Foreword .................................................................................................................. iv 1 General Project Information .............................................................................. 1-1 1.1 Project Description ...................................................................................... 1-1 1.2 Project Management and Contact Information ............................................ 1-2 1.3 Project Schedule ......................................................................................... 1-3 1.4 CPUC’s Evaluation Objectives .................................................................... 1-3 1.5 California Energy Efficiency Evaluation Protocols / California Evaluation Framework ................................................................................................. 1-4 1.6 Useful Definitions ........................................................................................ 1-5 1.7 Level of Effort for Site Work ........................................................................ 1-8 1.8 General Description of Pertinent Program Requirements ........................... 1-9 1.8.1 Participation Eligibility ................................................................................................. 1-9 1.8.2 Ineligible Measures .................................................................................................... 1-9 1.8.3 Measure Baseline ..................................................................................................... 1-10 1.8.4 Early Retirement Claims ........................................................................................... 1-10 1.8.5 Financial Incentive Levels ........................................................................................ 1-11 1.8.6 Itemized Incentives ................................................................................................... 1-11 1.8.7 SPC/NRR-DR Estimation Documentation and Other Software ............................... 1-12 1.8.8 Calculated Approach - Engineering Calculations ..................................................... 1-13 1.8.9 Stages of the Application Process ............................................................................ 1-14 1.8.10 Other Terms and Conditions .................................................................................. 1-15 2 Customer Application Review, Site Specific M&V Plan .................................. 2-1 2.1 Site / Measure Information and Assignment ............................................... 2-1 2.2 Subcontractor Single Point of Contact ........................................................ 2-3 2.3 Quality Control Procedures ......................................................................... 2-3 2.4 Considerations for Safety............................................................................ 2-4 2.5 M&V Rigor Levels ....................................................................................... 2-5 2.6 M&V Protocol for Basic Level of Rigor ........................................................ 2-5 2.6.1 IPMVP Option ............................................................................................................. 2-6 2.6.2 Sources of Stipulated Data ......................................................................................... 2-7 2.6.3 Baseline Definition ...................................................................................................... 2-7 2.6.4 Monitoring Strategy and Duration............................................................................... 2-7 2.6.5 Weather Adjustments ................................................................................................. 2-7 2.7 M&V Protocol for Enhanced Level of Rigor ................................................. 2-7 2.7.1 IPMVP Option ............................................................................................................. 2-8 2.7.2 Sources of Stipulated Data ......................................................................................... 2-9 2.7.3 Baseline Definition ...................................................................................................... 2-9 2.7.4 Monitoring Strategy and Duration............................................................................... 2-9 2.7.5 Weather Adjustments ................................................................................................. 2-9 2.7.6 Calibration Targets ................................................................................................... 2-10 2.8 Gross Energy Impact Protocol .................................................................. 2-10 2.9 Gross Peak Demand Impact Protocol ....................................................... 2-13 Itron, Inc. i Table of Contents Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.10 Scope of Application Review and SSMVP Preparation........................... 2-16 2.11 Lower Rigor Points.................................................................................. 2-18 2.12 Application Budget Allowance, Reporting, and Payment ........................ 2-18 2.13 Site Report Template .............................................................................. 2-20 2.14 Application Review.................................................................................. 2-20 2.15 Completing the Site Specific M&V Plan Template .................................. 2-20 2.15.1 Project Information and Site Data .......................................................................... 2-21 2.15.2 IOU Project Description .......................................................................................... 2-22 2.15.3 M&V Plan Summary ............................................................................................... 2-24 2.15.4 Savings Calculation Method, Uncertainty Analysis, Field Data Collection and Site M&V Cost Estimate.................................................................................................... 2-27 2.16 Calculation Standards ............................................................................. 2-29 2.16.1 Building Simulations ............................................................................................... 2-29 2.16.2 Compressed Air Simulations .................................................................................. 2-30 2.16.3 Annual Hours of Operation ..................................................................................... 2-30 2.16.4 Coincident Peak Demand Reduction / Reported Demand Reduction ................... 2-30 2.16.5 Increases or Decreases in Production ................................................................... 2-31 2.16.6 Interactive Effects ................................................................................................... 2-32 2.17 Electronic File Names, Identification Scheme, and Data Files ................ 2-33 2.18 Itron / KEMA Review of Site Specific SSMVP ......................................... 2-33 3 On-Site Audit Recruiting/Scheduling ............................................................... 3-1 3.1 Utility Representative Contact ..................................................................... 3-1 3.2 Initial Customer Contact.............................................................................. 3-2 3.3 Letter of Introduction ................................................................................... 3-3 3.4 Reminder Calls ........................................................................................... 3-3 4 On-Site Audits and Sampling ............................................................................ 4-1 4.1 Photographs ............................................................................................... 4-1 4.2 Measure Installation Verification ................................................................. 4-1 4.3 Data Collection, Monitoring, and Sampling ................................................. 4-2 4.4 Other Relevant Information ......................................................................... 4-2 4.5 Obtain Other Documentation ...................................................................... 4-3 5 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report ............................................................. 5-1 5.1 Analysis and Write-up ................................................................................. 5-1 5.2 Completing the Site Specific Ex-post M&V Results Template .................... 5-2 5.2.1 Project Information ..................................................................................................... 5-3 5.2.2 Summary of M&V Results .......................................................................................... 5-3 5.2.3 Detailed M&V Findings ............................................................................................... 5-6 5.2.4 Discrepancy Analysis ................................................................................................. 5-6 5.3 Itron / KEMA and Subcontractor Review..................................................... 5-8 5.4 Project Process and Subtasks .................................................................... 5-9 6 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation........................................................... 6-1 7 SSMVP Example ................................................................................................. 7-1 Custom Measure M&V Plan.............................................................................. 7-1 8 Final Site Report (FSR) Template for Impact Evaluation ................................ 8-1 Itron, Inc. ii Table of Contents Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 9 Sample Final Site Report Example for Impact Evaluation .............................. 9-1 10 Ex-ante Review Plan Development Guidelines ............................................ 10-1 11 Appendix 1: Site Data Collection Form ........................................................ 11-1 Site Data Collection and Interview Information ............................................... 11-1 Measure Specific Contextual Data .................................................................................... 11-3 12 Appendix 2: Flowchart for Creation of SSMVP and FSRs .......................... 12-1 13 Baseline Guidance ......................................................................................... 13-1 Itron, Inc. iii Table of Contents Foreword The purpose of this manual is to provide information and instruction to all stakeholders and parties involved in the site-specific impact analyses for the 2010-2012 evaluation of the custom energy efficiency measures implemented through energy efficiency programs administered through the four California IOUs (PG&E, SCE, SDG&E, and SCG). Specific information relating to the background of the program and instructions for conducting the site work and preparing the site reports is contained in the various sections of this document. The procedures in this document were developed in an effort to standardize data collection and reporting for the sites to be evaluated. While this procedures document is specific to custom project evaluation reporting for the 20102012 program years, the guidance and direction might be applicable to other impact evaluation and review efforts. There are several other evaluation efforts being conducted concurrently for the CPUC, most notably in the commercial and residential sectors, that will be coordinated with the custom project evaluation. Note that this procedures document, the level of effort, and the schedules contained herein apply primarily to the ‘before decision’ or BD period (prior to the CPUC ALJ Decision D-11-07-030 issued on July 14, 2011). The BD period covers the period of calendar year 2010 and 2011 Q1 and Q2 projects. Ex post evaluation will be conducted of custom projects for which the CA IOUs claim savings during this time period. There will be some projects completed ‘after decision’ (AD) which are also selected for post-installation evaluation and will require specific instructions and approaches that may differ from those described in this document.1 These sites may potentially incorporate pre-retrofit M&V records, site visits, or data collection into the impact evaluation but savings claims are “frozen” at the values determined during the ex ante review processes conducted under WO002. More details on the ex ante review process will be provided as available and needed for this WO033 evaluation. Background information is provided in Section 1. Section 2 discusses the application review and the preparation of the site specific measurement and verification plans (SSMVPs). Sections 3 and 4 describe customer contact and site visits, respectively. Section 5 discusses the final 1 We refer to these two periods as “before-decision” (BD) and “after-decision” (AD). The before-decision (BD) period includes the program cycle period prior to D. 11-07-030; the after-decision (AD) period refers to the projects completed during the remainder of the program cycle. The BD projects are to be conducted as standard M&V points as in previous impact evaluations; for the AD points, special requirements relating to ex-ante freezing and pre-retrofit measurements will apply. The decision language can be found here: http://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/published/FINAL_DECISION/139858.htm Itron, Inc. iv Forward Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft analysis and preparation of the ex-post M&V results (Final Site Report or FSR). Sections 6 through 10 conclude with the SSMVP template, SSMVP example, final site report template, final site report example and a previous cycle site report example and the equations, tables and figures description section. Training The following training sessions are planned for the custom impact evaluations: January/February 2012: Distribution of WO033 Custom Impact Procedures Manual February 2012: Half-day webinar-based training sessions on the Procedures Manual overview, custom impact evaluation engineering orientation, and integration with net to gross efforts and related topics. February 2012: Begin monthly / bimonthly 90 minute conference call for all subcontractors addressing on-going training needs and quality control / consistency issues. March 2012: Three (3) hour in office training in San Diego and/or Oakland (instructions for site visits, M&V protocols, and finalizing site reports) with all project personnel in respective locations. Ongoing: On the job, one on one training with subcontractors at sites with KEMA, Itron, or assigned lead senior evaluator. Itron, Inc. v General Project Information 1 General Project Information This section provides background information on the 2010-2012 Evaluation of the Custom Impact Energy Efficiency Programs throughout California. 1.1 Project Description The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) has contracted with Itron / KEMA for the impact evaluation of 2010-2012 California investor-owned utilities’ (IOU) energy efficiency programs, focusing on custom measures. A total of approximately 117 programs in the 2010 program year across four different IOUs are covered by the Custom Impact evaluation. The custom impact evaluation includes various programs (e.g. Commercial, Industrial and Agricultural Deemed and Calculated Incentives programs; IOU-specific programs such as the Heavy Industry and Refinery energy efficiency (EE) programs) of Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E); and third party programs across all California IOUs. The custom evaluation includes an ex-post (post installation) assessment of energy savings for a planned sample of approximately 200 M&V projects implemented throughout the state during the BD period. Savings claims for an additional 100 low-rigor sample points will be assessed by carrying out desk reviews and possible verification site visits for larger sites, with or without data collection. The low-rigor sites would be used for more qualitative data gathering and to support IOU program assessment. The goal of the M&V effort in the custom impact evaluation is to compare and contrast the ex-ante (reported) impact estimates found in the financial incentive applications or frozen ex-ante review assessments to what we find (ex-post). In this process, we will use a combination of detailed application review, on-site measurement, data collection and revisions of ex-ante calculations. Additionally, we will collect other project specific information deemed relevant to the custom evaluation research plan. The overall goal of the evaluation is to obtain unbiased, reliable estimates of gross and net energy savings and peak demand reduction over the life of the measure at the project and sample domain levels. Itron, Inc. 1-1 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 1.2 Project Management and Contact Information Itron is providing contract management for this evaluation for the Energy Division (ED) of the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC). Substantive decisions related to the study research plan and associated objectives and procedures are made with the direction of the CPUC’s Energy Division (ED) staff. Ms. Katherine Hardy is the CPUC ED’s manager for this study. In addition, the CPUC ED utilizes other consultants for technical support reviewing and managing 2010-2012 program evaluations. Mr. Steve Kromer, Mr. Pete Jacobs, and Mr. Nikhil Gandhi, Mr. Jeff Hirsch, and the Data Management and Quality Control team (the DMQC) are assigned to support the CPUC with this evaluation. Itron, Inc. is the prime contractor for this WO033 evaluation for custom impact measures; KEMA is the supporting co-prime for the custom impact evaluation. Itron and KEMA are supported by several subcontractors. Current engineering subcontractors which may be responsible for energy impact analysis include Energy Metrics, Michaels Engineering, ERS, SAIC, Robert Thomas Brown, Katin Engineering, and Warren Energy Engineering. Additional subcontractors will be added, including parties involved with non-impact analyses, such as behavioral and net to gross analyses. Mr. Al Lutz (P.E., CEM) is the program manager for the custom impact evaluation and is supported by Mr. Mike Rufo and Mr. Kris Bradley as technical advisors. He leads the gross impact efforts. Ms. Jennifer Fagan and Phil Willems will have a key role in NTG evaluation and reporting. Ms. Fagan will lead the net to gross data collection and analysis efforts. As discussed above, in addition to the gross energy impact analysis task that is the focus of this document, Itron / KEMA will be conducting several other tasks as part of the overall evaluation. These tasks include interviews with utility program managers, participant / non-participant energy efficiency service providers (EESPs), and participant / non-participant end users. These interviews will provide information for the process and market assessment aspects of the evaluation as well as estimation of the program net-to-gross ratio. It is particularly important to note that a separate team will conduct process evaluation and net-to-gross related interviews with each of the end users included in the impact evaluation sample and an additional net to gross only sample. These interviews will be conducted by telephone and will be coordinated with the on-site work conducted by the engineering team. Engineering team members should refer to the Research Plan submitted to the CPUC for more information on specific tasks and overall project objectives. Contact information for lead project staff will be provided and updated as necessary. However, subcontractors should contact Itron / KEMA staff on project-related issues, and SHOULD NOT contact the CPUC ED, ED consultants, or IOUs directly, unless specifically instructed to do so. Itron, Inc. 1-2 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 1.3 Project Schedule Measurement and Verification (M&V) planning, data collection and analysis for the site-specific impact evaluations will began in December 2011 and is scheduled to be completed by June 2012 for the 300 points in the BD period. Full ramp up of site evaluation should begin in February 2012. This schedule requires approximately 50 M&V sites and 25 Lower Rigor sites being completed per month in the BD period. Detailed schedule information will be provided in the task orders (work authorizations) for each subcontractor as required. 1.4 CPUC’s Evaluation Objectives The ED expects the following objectives to serve as guidance for all 2010-2012 EM&V activities. All 2010-2012 EM&V work conducted by and for Energy Division should be consistent with these objectives. EM&V activities shall be planned and implemented to achieve a balance of precision, accuracy, and cost effectiveness while meeting the following objectives: Objective 1 - Evaluation and measurement of programs for the purpose of estimating the energy, demand, and environmental impacts produced by the energy efficiency portfolios. Objective 2 - Development of cost metrics to support portfolio level cost effectiveness analysis. Objective 3 - Development of data to improve portfolio planning estimates and energy efficiency potential analysis. Objective 4 - Conducting research to inform the CPUC’s energy efficiency policy and program planning needs, and to provide feedback to program administrators / implementers for the purpose of improving programs. Objective 5 - Supporting the CPUC's oversight function of ensuring efficient and effective expenditure of ratepayer funds on energy efficiency programs. Objective 6 – Streamlining evaluation efforts by allowing ex-ante freezing of energy savings estimates and the use of deemed values / methodologies, introducing more certainty in the treatment of various non-DEER incented measures. Itron, Inc. 1-3 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 1.5 California Energy Efficiency Evaluation Protocols / California Evaluation Framework The “California Energy Efficiency Evaluation Protocols: Technical, Methodological and Reporting Requirements for Evaluation Professionals”2 (a.k.a. Evaluators’ Protocols, referred to collectively as the Protocols and individually as the Protocol) is the document that is designed to achieve compliance with the CPUC’s evaluation objectives. The document was prepared by the TecMarket Works team - a group of consultants under contract to the CPUC. The document is used to guide the efforts associated with conducting evaluations of California’s energy efficiency programs and program portfolios. The Protocol is the primary guidance tool policymakers use to plan and structure evaluation efforts. It is also the tool that the California Public Utilities Commission’s Energy Division (CPUC-ED), the California Energy Commission (CEC) (collectively the Joint Staff), and the portfolio / program administrators (Administrators) use to plan and oversee the completion of evaluation efforts. The Protocols are also the primary guidance documents evaluation contractors (i.e., Itron / KEMA and its sub-contractors) use to design and conduct evaluations for the energy efficiency programs. The Protocol is a detailed document covering many topics. Topics of particular interest to the site specific energy impact analysis for this project include but are not limited to the following: 2 Impact Evaluation Protocol: The Impact Evaluation Protocol prescribes the minimum allowable methods to meet a specified level of rigor that will be used to measure and document the program (or program component) impacts achieved as a result of implementing energy efficiency programs and program portfolios. The impact evaluation protocol discusses the following: ─ Gross Energy Impact Protocol ─ Gross Demand Impact Protocol ─ Participant Net Impact Protocol ─ Indirect Impact Evaluation Protocol Measurement and Verification (M&V) Protocol: The M&V Protocol is designed to prescribe how field measurements and data collection will be performed to support impact evaluations, updates to ex-ante measure savings estimates, and process evaluations. http://www.calmac.org/events/EvaluatorsProtocols_Final_AdoptedviaRuling_06-19-2006.pdf Itron, Inc. 1-4 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol: The Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol is designed to prescribe the approach for selecting samples and conducting research design and analysis in order to identify, mitigate and minimize bias in support of the Protocols. Evaluation Reporting Protocols: The Reporting Protocol prescribes the way in which evaluation reports are to be delivered and the way information is to be presented in those reports. The Impact Evaluation Protocol is meant to guide the design of evaluations to best provide reliable ex-post participant-focused net impacts. These net impacts include peak kW demand (kilowatt) savings, electrical energy (kilowatt-hours or kWh) savings, and natural gas savings (therms), incorporating behavioral impacts. The Protocol is focused such that program level impacts can be summed to estimate impacts at the Administrator portfolio level. The Impact Evaluation Protocol does not operate in isolation from the other Protocols. The M&V Protocol supports impact evaluations and can often serve in a feedback or support role for process evaluations (if coordinated to allow this function). Similarly, the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol is designed to support impact evaluations, M&V evaluations, and process / market effects evaluations by assuring that the sampling designs provide unbiased estimates based on the information needs associated with each evaluation effort. Finally, the Reporting Protocol is designed to support all of the evaluation activities by detailing the information that must be reported for each type of evaluation. The California Evaluation Framework June 2004, also compiled by TecMarket Works, is referenced in the Protocols, and discusses important topics relating to evaluation. This document, as well as the Protocols, should also be reviewed for a thorough grounding in energy evaluation. 1.6 Useful Definitions The glossary contained in Appendix B of the California Energy Efficiency Evaluation Protocols: Technical, Methodological, and Reporting Requirements for Evaluation Professionals”3 contains useful definitions for both evaluation terms and technical subjects. Other useful definitions are included in this section. Application. An application for financial incentives is received from (or on behalf of) a customer which participates in an energy efficiency program (by way of the installation of program qualifying energy efficiency measures) at one or more company sites. A customer may have prepared a single incentive application to cover either multiple measures or multiple sites or both; an application may also involve a single measure at a single site. 3 http://www.calmac.org/events/EvaluatorsProtocols_Final_AdoptedviaRuling_06-19-2006.pdf Itron, Inc. 1-5 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft California Public Utilities Commission’s Energy Division (CPUC-ED). The CPUC is the end client for this evaluation study. The Energy Division (ED) is the arm of the CPUC responsible for overseeing the delivery of the evaluations. The CPUC's Energy Division develops and administers energy policy and program to serve the public interest, advises the Commission, and ensures compliance with the Commission decisions and statutory mandates. The Energy Division provides objective and expert analyses that promote reliable, safe and environmentally sound energy services at lowest reasonable rates for the people of California. Customer. A customer is a unique company or corporation which purchases energy from one of the California IOUs. Customers that utilize IOU funded energy efficiency (EE) incentive programs are participants. Data Management and Quality Control (DMQC) Contractor. DMQC is an ED consultant team that ensures that evaluation data support the ED in performing its tasks and are appropriate for those purposes. The CPUC ED utilizes ED consultants, including the DMQC, for technical support reviewing and managing the 2010-2012 program evaluations. Evaluation Team. The “evaluation team” is composed of all individuals and firms involved in a specific application review. The evaluation team will review the “ex-ante” (i.e., forward looking, submitted) calculations that are included in the application documents, perform a site investigation, and adjust the energy savings or demand reduction estimates “ex-post” (after the fact and pso-installation) and review the results. Evaluator. The “evaluator” is the individual responsible for the application specific impact investigation. Ex-ante frozen savings values. The “ex-ante” (i.e., forward looking) frozen savings values are determined by ED based on an ex-ante review (EAR) of the sampled applications of the IOUs’ custom projects. The frozen values will also form the savings basis for the ex post evaluation. Ex-ante Review (EAR). A review by the ED of the IOUs’ initial savings estimates and methodologies used to estimate savings for custom measures. This process may involve preinstallation M&V activities. This effort is undertaken under WO002 and encompasses projects which are currently planned but not yet installed and are in the IOU ‘pipeline’ of prospective projects. As such, EAR projects will fall in the ‘AD’ period of ex post evaluation. Coordination is required with WO002 to allow pre/post M&V activities, preferably by the same team where possible. For sites with EAR performed and savings estimates frozen, the ex-post assessment will use those values and methodologies for the ex-post determination. In this case, the ex-post M&V efforts will not be focused on the baseline, but will emphasize the measure verification and performance after installation. Itron, Inc. 1-6 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Ex-ante savings / ex-ante calculations. The “ex-ante” (i.e., forward looking) savings estimates and calculations are included in the application documents and were reported by the IOUs as the estimated savings. These values and calculations form the savings basis for the evaluation work. Ex-post savings / ex-post calculations. The “ex-post” (after the fact) savings estimates are the evaluation results after revised savings parameters or calculation methodologies are applied by the evaluation team to adjust the ex-ante energy savings or demand reduction estimates. In a few cases, where operating reports supplement installation reports, the IOUs may have also conducted some post installation measurements and to true-up initial ex ante savings estimates. Such revisions are reflected in the tracking database of claimed savings. Impact Evaluation. Itron / KEMA and its subcontractors are performing an ex-post “impact evaluation” for the custom measures in the 2010-2012 IOU programs. This evaluation is designed to yield accurate estimates of energy savings that actually resulted from custom measures. Investor-Owned Utilities (IOUs). The impact evaluation will be focused on custom measures implemented in energy efficiency programs administered by the four California Investor Owned Utilities (IOUs): Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), Southern California Edison (SCE), Southern California Gas (SCG), and San Diego Gas and Electric (SDG&E). Project Sponsor. A project sponsor is the entity that executes and submits the application to the IOU. Customers can serve as their own sponsor or may elect to have a third party (such as an ESCO, a lighting contractor, a HVAC contractor, or other IOU program implementers, collectively referred to as energy efficiency service providers or EESPs) execute the agreement on their behalf. The project sponsor generally receives the incentive payment unless they direct the IOU to pass it onto the customer. Gross Realization Rate. The ratio of the ex-post to the ex-ante savings is the “gross realization rate”. If energy savings result from the measure reviewed, the realization rate is positive. When a measure increases energy use, the gross realization rate would be negative. Strata. There are five “stratum” or tiers for this evaluation; these strata refer to the quantity of expected energy savings for both gas and electric measures. IOU Reviewer. Many IOU energy efficiency programs typically include a review process. The “reviewer” may be IOU staff or may be an outside contractor hired by the IOU to review and approve the applications. Tracking System. Each IOU has its own tracking system, a database configured to track various pertinent parameters of the custom (and other EE) project applications. The tracking Itron, Inc. 1-7 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft system is periodically updated. Itron / KEMA will receive this data periodically from the IOUs and maintain its own statewide tracking system to support this evaluation. For a given application, there can be multiple measures (such as high efficiency AC packaged units and the installation of a VFD on a chiller) that apply to a single end use. Note that multiple tracking system records may be created when an IOU tracks either multiple measures or multiple applications for a given customer. Each project (M&V point or sampling unit) may cover one tracking system entry (record) or combine multiple entries (records). Itron or KEMA will, in these cases, provide instructions on the specific measures to be evaluated. 1.7 Level of Effort for Site Work Unlike previous custom evaluations, most site specific impact evaluation efforts for M&V points will fall into the one category, a standard level of effort, typically involving an average of $7,000 per site (which should encompass all needed expenses and coordination). However, there are adjustments which might entail more or less work at each site. Table 1-1 details likely engineering effort levels for the standard, increased, and decreased levels. The levels of effort are averages. Some sites may require substantially more effort, while some sites may entail less effort. It will be important to identify sites that may be simple to evaluate and thus require much less effort in order to allow more effort at more complex sites. Most site specific impact evaluation efforts for Lower Rigor points will fall into the category for lower rigor level of effort, typically involving an average of $2,500 per site, which should encompass all needed expenses and coordination. However, there are exceptions and adjustments which might entail more or less work at each site. All adjustments should be noted in the SSMVPs in the cost section for approval before proceeding with work. Itron, Inc. 1-8 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 1-1: M&V Description for Proposed Engineering Effort Levels Effort Level Description Increased Level of Effort Largest and most complex projects. Detailed application review, on-site verification, collection of data on key parameters, billing/interval data analysis, calibrated simulation models, spot measurements, long-term post monitoring, pre-verification and short-term measurement. May require larger teams, including senior staff and multiple site visits. Standard Level of Effort Small, medium and large scale projects that may or may not require monitoring or metering. Detailed application review, on-site verification, collection of data on key parameters, revised engineering calculations, billing data analysis, and possible spot measurements / short term post monitoring. Decreased Level of Effort Smaller, simpler projects. Detailed application review, on-site verification, collection of data on key parameters, revised engineering calculations, billing data analysis, and possible spot measurements. Lower Rigor Level of Effort Lower rigor projects. Application desk review, telephone interviews, verification only site visits (with spot measurement in rare cases), and possible revised engineering calculations; primarily for qualitative assessment. 1.8 General Description of Pertinent Program Requirements The following section includes an overview of pertinent general requirements for the programs. The individual IOU program policies and procedures manuals and other program documentation for the appropriate program year(s) contain details on each program. These manuals will be made available for each program and pertinent information summarized as needed by the prime contractors. 1.8.1 Participation Eligibility Each IOU program has its own participation and eligibility rules. A key aspect of the evaluation is reviewing the program participation rules and determining if the application meets the requirements. Program eligibility may be restricted by NAICS code, annual energy consumption or peak demand, measure type, economic criteria, customer type, equipment age, etc. 1.8.2 Ineligible Measures Most programs exclude certain types of measures. It is very important for the evaluator to determine if the measure being evaluated is eligible for program participation. Common ineligible measures often include, but are not limited to: Itron, Inc. 1-9 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Power generation or co-generation projects. Fuel substitution or fuel-switching projects, especially without the three prong test. Any repair or maintenance project (generally, replaced equipment must be operable before retrofitting) – an exception may be retrocommissioning programs. Measures that save energy because of operational changes. Measures not permanently installed that can be easily removed. Technologies with a useful life of less than a minimum number of years. Measures that are installed before an application is approved. 1.8.3 Measure Baseline Each program has its own measure baseline definition. Understanding the baseline of the measures being evaluated is paramount in correctly performing the evaluation. It is extremely important to determine the appropriateness of the baseline that was used in the ex-ante calculations. The ex-ante baseline should be verified as meeting the program guidelines, the evaluation protocols, and ED policy. If the baseline is correct, it is used as the baseline for the ex-post analysis. If the baseline is not correct, then the correct baseline must be established and used for the ex-post analysis. When the baseline was established in projects that were reviewed by ED as part of the Ex-ante Review process, a new baseline assessment should not be made. In general, incentives are paid only on the energy savings above and beyond minimum federal and state mandated energy efficiency performance. If there are no standards, current standard (or standard industry) practices are used to establish the baseline. The sources for these baseline estimates must be cited and represent current standard industry practice. More details on baseline and industry standard practice are being developed for these important overarching issues and will be provided when available. 1.8.4 Early Retirement Claims Some projects may include an “Early Retirement” claim. This feature describes the acceleration of the retirement of older less efficient equipment with new high efficiency replacements. This feature can be typically applied to existing equipment with five or more years of remaining useful life. Note that the new units must exceed current efficiency standards. The baseline is set at the efficiency of the existing equipment for the remaining useful life of the replaced equipment (verses a baseline set at the current existing federal/state efficiency standards or industry standard practice). To claim early retirement and the generally higher level of savings, the replacement must be program induced. For the remainder of the useful life of the new equipment, the baseline is the currently applicable federal/state efficiency standard or standard Itron, Inc. 1-10 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft practice. Ex-ante and ex-post calculations are calculated with these different baselines for the respective periods. Evaluators should refer to the baseline and industry standard practice documents available as projects are being evaluated. 1.8.5 Financial Incentive Levels Many programs have unique incentive levels. In some cases, the program may use other established energy efficiency programs (such as the Standard Performance Contract - SPC, Non Residential Retrofit - NRR, or Express Efficiency) for some (or all) of their incentive levels. In other cases, incentive levels are unique and may consist of non-financial incentives, such as technical assistance or advice. For the custom impact evaluation, many of the custom projects will entail an incentive based on the kWh or therms saved annually. 1.8.6 Itemized Incentives Some of the programs may use itemized incentives. Itemized incentive measures may also have energy savings that have been pre-determined or “deemed” based on assumptions concerning the pre-retrofit and post-retrofit operating parameters. In general, this custom impact evaluation will not include deemed measures with prescribed savings, unless those measures have gone through the EAR (ex-ante review) process. Individual program procedures manuals and other associated program manuals for programs such as Standard Performance Contract- SPC, Non Residential Retrofit-NRR, Non Residential New Construction-NRNC, and Express Efficiency have listings of itemized measures and their incentives. The measures involving itemized incentives have prescribed incentives as well as prescribed energy benefits. The energy savings have been predetermined and the incentives based upon the deemed savings level. Thus, there is no need to provide ex-ante calculations for the energy savings in the individual incentive applications to document the ex-ante impacts. For this evaluation, separate baseline and ex-post calculations should be developed (if not developed in the EAR process) based upon conditions found at the time of the ex-post evaluation to determine the impacts. In addition, the evaluator will be responsible for reviewing the IOU specific technical analysis and other relevant program materials available in order to calculate the baseline energy use and ex-ante savings calculations upon which the program incentive was based. Ex-post calculations would be made based on actual operating data and analysis based on the SSMVP and analysis plan. Itron, Inc. 1-11 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 1.8.7 SPC/NRR-DR Estimation Documentation and Other Software Some of the programs may use the Statewide Customized Offering program, Standard Performance Contract program (or SPC) and NRR-DR financial incentive programs for estimating the ex-ante impacts and financial incentives. The SPC and NRR-DR programs have developed energy savings estimation software (the “Customized CalculationTool” or CCT) for many measures. Some of the programs may use their own rules but still use the calculator to estimate ex-ante impacts. The software and documentation can be downloaded from selected websites.4 The calculator can be used by the implementation team to complete the details required to file a project application and also to perform estimates of energy savings and financial incentives for some of the following energy efficiency measures listed in this section (although not all of these are expected to be represented in this custom impact evaluation). The documentation also lists ineligible measures under the Statewide Customized Offering program. 4 Lighting Lighting Controls Packaged A/C and Chiller Replacements (including Early Retirement) Early Retirement of Process Chillers Cool Roofs A/C Economizers Variable Speed Drives for Cooling Tower Fan Motors Variable Speed Drives for Centrifugal Chillers Variable Speed Drives for HVAC Fans with Motors > 100 hp Demand Control Ventilation (DCV) Carbon Monoxide Sensors for Parking Garages Variable Speed Drives for Process Applications High Efficiency Motor Replacement (including Early Retirement) Compressed Air System Upgrades Professional Wet Cleaning Replacement (including Early Retirement) High-Efficiency Injection Molders Pulse Cooling for Injection Molders Cold Storage Rapid Close Doors Refrigerated Tank Insulation Dairy Vacuum Pump Variable Speed Drives Tape Drip Irrigation Rules and regulations and software may be downloaded from the following web site: http://www.aescinc.com/download/SPC/. Please ensure the year of interest if not the current year (i.e., 2010, etc.) and ensure that documentation for the applicable program year is used for this evaluation (as opposed to the default current year documentation). Itron, Inc. 1-12 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Pump Controllers for Oil Wells Wastewater Retro-commissioning Natural Gas Boiler Measures Thermal Oxidizer Upgrades The CCT (or SPC “calculator” for certain applications) is useful in the context of this evaluation for the purpose of updating the calculation methods used by the IOU but may not be sufficient because of the many simplifications it employs. For example, it does not always calculate interactive effects or other system interactions correctly. It is expected that more comprehensive calculation tools —potentially custom tools developed by the evaluator — consistent with CPUC/ED policy, the Evaluation Framework, and the IPMVP will be used by the evaluation team to calculate the ex post verified savings. 1.8.8 Calculated Approach - Engineering Calculations Many of the custom projects will have unique customized engineering calculations provided as the basis of the ex-ante impacts. For some programs, utility staff, utility assigned reviewers, or program implementers were responsible for determining the appropriateness of the ex-ante savings calculations and methodologies at the time of application and/or installation. Under this evaluation, the evaluators are responsible for the review and appropriate modification, if necessary, of these calculations. Most programs require that engineering calculations be performed using accepted engineering procedures with documentation to support the submitted calculations. Existing calculations and algorithms are acceptable, if accurate and appropriate, given the scope and budget for this evaluation. New algorithms can be developed and calculations performed by the evaluators, in conformance with the guidelines included in the protocols and summarized in this procedures document. It is reasonable to expect that ex-ante documentation and engineering calculations provided with each financial incentive application / invoice documentation should: a. Include Process / Measure Description 1. Existing process/equipment (without the measure), 2. Proposed new equipment retrofit or enhancement, and 3. Resultant equipment and/or process (post installation). b. Establish Baseline Annual Energy Use Most programs provide incentives to customers that install equipment/improvements that go beyond standard efficiency or “baseline” equipment. “Standard efficiency” refers to equipment that meets either Itron, Inc. 1-13 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft state/federal efficiency requirements or current industry practice. Therefore, baseline energy use is established using accepted standards for currently available equipment. c. Establish Post-Installation Annual Energy Use While the baseline energy use calculation is based on “standard efficiency” equipment, the post-installation calculation is based on the projected performance of the new equipment or process. d. Calculate Energy Savings / Incentive Amount Once the baseline and post-installation annual energy use estimates are completed, the savings estimate is calculated as the difference between the annual baseline and post-installation use estimates. Savings (kWh/year) = Baseline Energy Use - Post-Installation Energy Use The total incentive amount is then calculated by multiplying the savings estimate by the appropriate incentive rate as given in the individual program policy and procedures manual and applying any limitations or caps if required. 1.8.9 Stages of the Application Process Each program has its own application process. Refer to the policy and procedures manuals and documentation for each individual program for specific details. In general, the stages are: Stage 1 – Application Submission: The customer or project sponsor submits the application and supporting savings calculations and documentation to the program administrator. Stage 2 – Application Review: The application is reviewed and savings calculations are adjusted, if necessary. The application is then accepted by the program administrator. This stage may include a pre-installation site inspection to verify the accuracy of the parameters provided in the application. An incentive offer and project acceptance is formalized at this stage. Stage 3 – Installation Report: Following the installation, the program reviewer performs a site inspection to verify the installation and make adjustments, if necessary, to the energy and demand savings claim. Except in cases where measurement is required (see below), the financial incentive is quantified and paid to the project sponsor based on this assessment. A useful supporting document is the Installation Report Review (IRR). Stage 4 – Operating Report: In some cases, the program administrator requires measurement (commonly referred to as “Measurement and Verification” or “M&V”) Itron, Inc. 1-14 General Project Information Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft of the savings for the project. In these cases, the financial incentive is based on the results of the measurement documented in the operating report. A utility representative may perform a site inspection as part of the approval process for the operating report. The incentive is paid after the review and approval of the operating report with adjustments as necessary. Stage 5 – Post-Installation Report: Following the installation, the program reviewer may perform a site inspection to verify the installation and make adjustments, if necessary, to the energy and demand savings claim. Except in cases where measurement is required (see below), the financial incentive is quantified and paid to the project sponsor based on this assessment. This is also a useful form to review to determine conditions closely following a retrofit or installation. 1.8.10 Other Terms and Conditions Both the customer and the project sponsor have agreed, by virtue of participating in the programs, to participate in any evaluation of the program by representatives of the CPUC. Participation generally includes answering questions about the project and allowing site visits to verify project details. Any difficulties with site cooperation should be referred to the prime contractor immediately. Itron, Inc. 1-15 General Project Information 2 Customer Application Review, Site Specific M&V Plan This section describes the initial steps to be undertaken by the evaluators for each of the sites included in the impact evaluation sample. 2.1 Site / Measure Information and Assignment Sites will be assigned to each evaluation team based upon the need to cluster evaluators regionally (to eliminate unnecessary travel) and based on the expertise of a specific evaluator. Evaluation teams will be assigned packets consisting of several applications with the expectation that each project’s SSMVP and final site report (FSR) will be completed in a timely manner, as dictated by the scope and scale of the work required, as outlined in the SSMVP, and the requirements of the associated task order and work authorization. The M&V sites will also involve completing an Ex-ante Review Form, and a qualitative Lower Rigor assessment for that site. In general, additional applications will not be assigned until there is substantial completion of the current assignment. Teams that are responsive, complete the work within budget in a timely manner, and provide high quality work products will receive additional work assignments. In some cases, sites will need to be reassigned for inability to complete the site visits, or other nonperformance issues, including the ability to produce high quality products within the time allotted. Evaluation teams will be provided with hard copy and/or electronic documentation for each site. A Site Tracking Tool containing IOU tracking information and site assignments (with expected budgets, report due dates, levels of rigor, etc.) for each application will be provided to each evaluation team lead. The tool contains fields populated by Itron / KEMA and fields that will be populated by the evaluator assigned to the site. Evaluators for each site or project will need to provide details about IOU contact dates, participant (customer) contact dates, SSMVP submission and resubmission dates, and relevant note for the net to gross impact team for this work order WO033. Itron, Inc. 2-1 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft The Site Tracking Tool is expected to be in both an online and an MS Excel™ format. The tool will be provided electronically to Itron / KEMA and/or uploaded to an accessible website for real time updates. Itron / KEMA will provide training on using the Site Tracking Tool and on accessing and navigating the online site and an overview of its contents in a future training session. It is expected that the online version of the tool will not include any identifying IOU or participant information. The online version would be dynamic and updated in real time for project status and customer contact. The excel version would be relatively static, and contain most IOU and participant information, including multiple participant points of contact, referred to by number (and not name) in the online tool. Application ID numbers come directly from the IOUs and, if provided in any documentation, and should not be altered. Itron / KEMA Project ID numbers are generated by Itron. Evaluators should add any additional site contacts that are identified during the Application Review to the site contacts section of the Site Tracking Tool, the SSMVP and the FSR. Note that the site address, phone numbers and email addresses for each of the site contacts and IOU executives/ representatives/managers are provided when available. The Site Tracking Tool data fields include the lead individual in the evaluation team, the relevant assignments and due dates, the project status, and specific information for that site such as the level of rigor (enhanced or basic), interactive effects, primary measure to be evaluated, and other items of interest. More explanation of the evaluation level of rigor can be found in other sections within this document. Comment tabs for gross impact and net impacts are included and may be used by Itron / KEMA and the evaluator to enable the sharing of information between these two teams. Note that the name and site contact information should be included only in one place within the SPT, SSMVP, or FSR in order to facilitate the cleansing of the document for public review, in order to protect the confidentiality of the participant. Confidentiality should be protected by referring only to Itron / KEMA identifying numbers when feasible and minimizing the inclusion of information where possible (such as more detailed site descriptions than necessary, locations, and unique customer identifying numbers, e.g., oil well numbers, etc.). The SIC code and the 2007 NAICS code must be filled in, if it is not already. SIC codes can be found on the OSHA website (http://www.osha.gov/pls/imis/sicsearch.html), and NAICS codes can be found at the U.S. census website (http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics/). The DEER Building Prototype should also be filled in if available. The Site Specific M&V Plan (SSMVP), the Final Site Report (FSR), the Ex-ante Review (EAR) forms and the Lower Rigor assessments are to be completed for each project using Microsoft Itron, Inc. 2-2 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Word 2007™. Using the templates provided and filling in concise information will save time and effort. Use of the templates is mandatory. This mandate will also keep product deliverables consistent. The user-inputted text in the provided template tables and sections should be filled in using the following default fonts and sizes to ensure consistency across multiple authors and versions: Headers: Arial 12 Table Text: Times New Roman – Size 11 (size 10 acceptable only if needed) Paragraph Text: Times New Roman – Size 12 Additional footnotes or any subscript text: Times New Roman - Size 10 2.2 Subcontractor Single Point of Contact Each subcontractor will assign a single point of contact (POC) for the custom evaluation project. The POC will be a senior engineer who is experienced in the energy efficiency field (preferably a registered professional engineer). Itron or KEMA will also assign a primary POC for each evaluation team. The subcontractor’s POC will be responsible for coordinating the work of their team, tracking progress on each project review, becoming intimately familiar with the documentation and technical requirements of the work to be performed under the evaluation contract (the Evaluator’s Protocols, Evaluation Framework, IPVMP, etc.), ensuring that quality control procedures (described below) are implemented, and reporting on project review progress and any issues to Itron / KEMA on a regular basis. 2.3 Quality Control Procedures The subcontractor will be responsible for implementing quality control procedures for each site and application review. At a minimum, the POC will ensure that each draft report has been reviewed by a registered professional engineer (P.E.) or other qualified person for accuracy, clarity and adherence to the reporting requirements outlined in this document before the document is forwarded to Itron / KEMA for review. The peer reviewer may be the POC for that evaluation team. Professional level writing is expected for this project. All tables, exhibits, etc. will be numbered and referenced in the text of the report. Reports are expected to be concise and written at a level that can be comprehended by an energy efficiency industry professional who may not have an engineering background but who has a conceptual understanding of the technical aspects of the profession. Itron / KEMA expect to receive documentation that is clear, concise, and error free. Itron, Inc. 2-3 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Each report will be tracked from inception through completion and the SPT will include fields that identify the company and the first and last name of the primary evaluator, as well as the peer reviewer. 2.4 Considerations for Safety Evaluators are required to review appropriate OSHA/NFPA guidelines and rulings, and all other applicable codes and standards regarding electrical and workplace safety. Evaluators should ensure that all personnel working on this project have received appropriate training on topics including, but not limited to, the proper use of equipment, safety considerations for all conditions under which work will be performed, and the use of proper safety equipment (electrical safety gloves, protective eyewear, earplugs, appropriate footwear and clothing, etc.). It is envisioned that the effort will involve the placement of data loggers, use of spot measuring equipment such as clamp-on ammeters, placement of vibration sensors on rotating equipment, installation of current transformers (CTs) and potential transformers (PTs), opening electrical panels and other control panels, and the placement and removal of other monitoring and metering equipment. In general, the monitoring function will be accomplished utilizing the equipment supplied by the evaluation team. In some cases, measurements may be obtained utilizing instrumentation in place at the site. Also, in rare instances, the customer may allow use of their own short or long term monitoring equipment. When possible, instrument installation, placement, and removal tasks should be performed by personnel employed by the customer at the facility being evaluated. The safest and most secure arrangement for installation should be planned prior to the site visit, documented, and then reassessed during the field visit. In the planning and evaluation process, the use of site equipment or personnel, and their cooperation/timely response should not be presumed at any point of the evaluation process. Each evaluator is responsible for the labor and costs associated with the safe and proper placement and installation of monitoring and data acquisition equipment as outlined in the SSMVP, both as submitted and as adjusted for field conditions. In addition to electrical safety gear, any persons planning to visit a site shall be prepared to comply with the customer’s safety requirements for visitors and should have their individual personal safety glasses, ear plugs, hard hat, electrically insulated rubber-soled boots (steel or reinforced toe as required by the site) and other required PPE available for use at each site visit where required. Itron, Inc. 2-4 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.5 M&V Rigor Levels Rigor is defined by the level of expected reliability of ex-post savings estimates. Higher levels of rigor correspond to a higher confidence that the results of the evaluation are both accurate and precise, i.e., reliable. Reliability is discussed in the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol and in the Evaluation Framework,5 where it is noted that sampling precision does not equate to measurement precision and accuracy. Both are important components in the definition of reliability, as used by the CPUC in guiding these evaluations. In accordance with the Impact Evaluation Protocol, M&V requirements are set according to two levels of rigor. The CPUC has in the past set rigor levels for each program according to the overall evaluation objectives. Itron / KEMA will advise the evaluators on the level of rigor for each application. Each rigor level provides a set of allowable methods that offers flexibility for the M&V contractor (or evaluator) to propose the most cost-effective method considering the site specific conditions for the measure being evaluated. The principle is to establish a minimum set of expectations. The M&V contractor is free to propose more rigorous M&V activities during evaluation planning or as directed by Itron/KEMA. The two levels of rigor are “basic” and “enhanced” and are described in the following sections. Itron / KEMA has in the past received flexibility for these large site specific evaluations and has incorporated a new ‘hybrid” rigor level. This level allows incorporation of the best approaches for each site, and may involve setting the de facto rigor level higher or slightly lower than indicated by the program. The evaluator should consider the use of hybrid approaches, and Itron / KEMA may advise, in select cases, whether or not the evaluator should consider a hybrid approach. 2.6 M&V Protocol for Basic Level of Rigor The M&V Protocols for the basic level of rigor are summarized in Table 2-1. Further explanations of the provisions of this Protocol may be found in the Evaluator’s Protocols. Note that stipulated sources include utility work papers and common practice, as well as the Database for Energy Efficiency Resources (DEER). 5 California Evaluation Framework, TecMarket Works, pages 287-314. Itron, Inc. 2-5 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 2-1: Summary of M&V Protocol for Basic Level of Rigor Provision Requirement Verification Physical inspection of installation to verify correct measure installation, measure operation, and installation quality IPMVP Option Option A6 Source of Stipulated Data DEER assumptions, program work papers, engineering references, manufacturers catalog data, on-site survey data Baseline Definition May include federal or Title 20 appliance standards effective at date of the incented equipment installation or in some cases manufacture, Title 24 building standards in effect at time of building permit application, pre-existing equipment conditions, or common replacement / design practices. Monitoring Strategy and Duration Spot or short-term measurements (depending on measure type) Weather Adjustments For weather dependent measures, normalize to long-term average weather data as directed by the Impact Evaluation Protocol Calibration Criteria Not applicable Additional Provisions None 2.6.1 IPMVP Option The standard M&V Protocol shall conform to IPMVP Option A - Partially Measured Retrofit Isolation.7 Savings under Option A are determined by partial field measurement of the energy use of the system(s) to which an energy efficiency measure (EEM) was applied, and are generally separate from the energy use of the rest of the facility. Measurements may be spot measurements, short-term or continuous. Partial measurement means that some parameter(s) affecting the systems (or buildings) energy use may be stipulated, if the total impact of possible stipulation error(s) is not significant to the resultant savings. Savings are estimated from engineering calculations based on stipulated values and spot, short-term and/or continuous postretrofit measurements. Field-verified measure installation counts used in conjunction with deemed savings estimates alone do not meet the level of rigor required by this Protocol. 6 Exceptions to this provision are programs offering comprehensive measure packages with significant measure interactions; commissioning, and retro commissioning programs; and new construction programs. Evaluation of measure savings within these programs conducted using engineering methods will typically follow the enhanced rigor M&V Protocol and use building energy simulation modeling under IPMVP Option D. 7 See the California Evaluation Protocols, pages 57 -59. Itron, Inc. 2-6 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.6.2 Sources of Stipulated Data Stipulated data may be able to be obtained from DEER unit energy savings analysis assumptions, efficiency measure work-papers, secondary research, engineering references, manufacturers’ catalog data, and/or on-site survey data as applicable. Values and sources for stipulated values must be documented in the SSMVP and FSR. 2.6.3 Baseline Definition The baseline used for M&V activities shall be determined consistently per guidance issued by the CPUC in Attachment B of Decision 11.07.030. This may include applicable state and/or federal efficiency standards or codes for appliance or building energy efficiency, existing equipment efficiency, or industry common replacement and design practices (standard practice or industry standard practice). 2.6.4 Monitoring Strategy and Duration Spot or short-term measurements may be used, considering the timeframe and emphasizing the importance of the measurement strategy and duration being sufficient to allow calculation of energy savings and peak demand reduction within the uncertainty bounds prescribed by the Impact Evaluation Protocol. Pre-installation monitoring may be performed for projects installed in the AD period as directed by ED in the ex-ante review process.8 The Evaluation Framework provides more information on monitoring strategy and duration.9 2.6.5 Weather Adjustments Impacts of weather-dependent measures shall be normalized to long-term average weather data as directed by the Impact Evaluation Protocol for the standard California climate zones. Weather conditions prevailing during the monitoring period should be included in the weather adjustments. Weather data may be obtained from the nearest representative NOAA or utility weather station or collected on-site. Techniques used to perform the weather adjustments must be documented in the SSMVP and in the FSR. 2.7 M&V Protocol for Enhanced Level of Rigor The M&V Protocols for the enhanced level of rigor are summarized in Table 2-2. Additional explanations of the provisions of this Protocol may be found in the Evaluator’s Protocols. The M&V contractor is free to propose more rigorous M&V activities during evaluation planning or as directed by Itron. 8 Specific requirements for pre-installation monitoring are not stated in this Protocol, but are a consequence of the uncertainty analysis conducted during M&V Planning. 9 California Evaluation Framework, TecMarket Works, 183-188. Itron, Inc. 2-7 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 2-2: Summary of M&V Protocol for Enhanced Level of Rigor Provision Requirement Verification Physical inspection of installation to verify correct measure installation and installation quality. Review of commissioning reports or functional performance testing to verify correct operation. IPMVP Option Option B or Option D Source of Stipulated Data May include DEER assumptions, measure work papers, engineering references, manufacturers catalog data, on-site survey data. Baseline Definition Consistent with Attachment B of the CPUC Decision 11.07.030. May include federal or Title 20 appliance standards effective at date of incented equipment installation, and in some cases manufacture, Title 24 building standards in effect at time of building permit application, existing equipment conditions or common replacement / design practices. Monitoring Duration Sufficient to capture all operational modes and seasons. Weather Adjustments For weather dependent measures, normalize to long-term average weather data as directed by the Impact Evaluation Protocol. Calibration Criteria For Option D, building energy simulation models calibrated to monthly billing or interval demand data, with optional calibration to end-use metered data. Additional Provisions Hourly building energy simulation program compliant with ASHRAE Standard 140-2001. 2.7.1 IPMVP Option The enhanced rigor described in the M&V Protocols indicate the use of IPMVP Option B Retrofit Isolation10 or IPMVP Option D - Calibrated Simulation.11 Under Option B, savings are determined by field measurement of the energy use of the systems to which the EEM was applied, unless these systems are generally separate from the energy use of the rest of the facility. Savings are estimated from direct measurements and first-hand observations. Stipulated or deemed values are not allowed. Under Option D, savings are determined through simulation of the energy use of components or the whole facility. Simulation routines should be demonstrated to adequately model actual energy performance measured in the facility. Savings are estimated from energy use simulation, calibrated with utility interval data, monthly utility billing data, and/or end-use metering. The protocols specified in the Evaluation Framework should be used as a guide and generally should be followed. 10 See the Evaluation Framework, pages 166-168. 11 See the Evaluation Framework, pages 176-182. Itron, Inc. 2-8 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.7.2 Sources of Stipulated Data As mentioned above, stipulations are not allowed under IPMVP Option B. Under IPMVP Option D, stipulated values used to define the energy simulation model may be used if the uncertainties are within allowable limits at the discretion of the evaluator. Sources of stipulated data may include DEER unit energy savings analysis assumptions, efficiency measure work papers, secondary research, engineering references, simulation program default values, manufacturers’ catalog data and/or on-site survey data. It is impractical to list and reference all data used to define a simulation model. However, model input assumptions that are highly influential in predicting energy and/or peak demand savings shall be identified and documented within the SSMVP. Simulation program name, full version number including applicable release information, and input files shall be provided as documentation in electronic formats. 2.7.3 Baseline Definition The baseline used for the M&V activities shall be determined consistently per guidance issued by the CPUC in Attachment B of Decision 11.07.030. This may include applicable state and/or federal efficiency standards or codes for appliance or building energy efficiency, existing equipment efficiency or industry common replacement and design practices (standard practice or industry standard practice). 2.7.4 Monitoring Strategy and Duration While long-term monitoring is preferred, short-term monitoring may be used if sufficient to capture or infer all operational modes and seasons applicable to measure performance. Preinstallation monitoring may be performed for projects installed in the AD period as directed by ED in the ex-ante review process.12 The Evaluation Framework provides more information on monitoring strategy and duration.13 2.7.5 Weather Adjustments Impacts of weather-dependent measures estimated under Option B shall be normalized to longterm average weather data for the CEC climate zone (CTZ) in which the site is located. Weather conditions prevailing during the monitoring period should be used to adjust for monitoring period conditions and reported. Weather data may be obtained from the nearest representative NOAA or utility weather station or collected on-site. Techniques used to perform the weather adjustments must be documented. Simulation analysis under Option D shall be conducted using long-term average weather data for the CEC CTZ in which the site is located. 12 Specific requirements for pre-installation monitoring are not stated in this Protocol, but are a consequence of the uncertainty analysis conducted during M&V Planning. 13 California Evaluation Framework, TecMarket Works, 183-188. Itron, Inc. 2-9 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.7.6 Calibration Targets It is expected that building energy simulation models developed under Option D shall be calibrated to monthly energy consumption data. If interval demand data or other more discrete data are available, these data shall be used in lieu of monthly energy consumption data. Certain conditions govern the proper application of the models used. For instance, for some models, if the modeled floor space area does not match the metered floor space area within 20%, model calibration is not required. Modelers shall make reasonable attempts to meet the calibration targets listed in Table 2-3 below.14 In some cases, forcing a model to meet a particular calibration target may introduce biases in the energy savings estimates. Models not meeting the calibration targets shall be identified and reasons why it is not reasonable to meet these targets must be documented. Itron / KEMA may impose additional requirements for short-term end-use monitoring of systems affected by the energy conservation measure during evaluation plan development and review. In the case of interval metered data with a 15 minute interval, the hourly calibration targets shall be used. Additional guidelines may be issued, depending on the requirements of other evaluation efforts and parties. Table 2-3: Model Calibration Targets Data Interval Maximum Root Mean Square (RMS) Error Maximum Mean Bias Error Monthly 15% 5% Hourly 30% 10% 2.8 Gross Energy Impact Protocol The overall goal of the Direct Impact Evaluation Protocol (which includes the Gross Energy Impact Protocol) is to obtain unbiased reliable estimates of net energy and demand reduction over the life of the measure (and thus, the expected net impact). The Gross Energy Impact Protocol is summarized in Table 2-4. Further description, additional requirements, clarification, and examples of this specific protocol are presented in the Evaluator’s Protocols. The methods used and the way in which they are used and the results that are reported should meet all the requirements in the Evaluator’s Protocols to the maximum extent possible (i.e., not only those requirements explicitly listed or contained within this document) to provide unbiased reliable estimates of program level gross energy impacts. The Protocols sometimes reference the Evaluation Framework or other documents which provide examples of applicable methods. The governing requirements, however, are those stated in specific and relevant ED guidance and policy documents and then the Protocols, which take precedence over all other protocols, unless otherwise countermanded by Itron / KEMA in specific or general 14 California Evaluation Framework, TecMarket Works, 180-183. Itron, Inc. 2-10 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft application. Guidance documents are being developed by ED and will be made available when finalized. All M&V referred to in the Impact Evaluation Protocol should be planned, conducted and reported according to the M&V Protocol. M&V may be conducted at a higher level of rigor, with more inputs measured or metered, or with greater precision than the minimum shown within the Impact Evaluation Protocol, but not with a lower level of rigor, unless specifically documented in the SSMVP and approved through Itron / KEMA. Itron, Inc. 2-11 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 2-4: Required Protocols for Gross Energy Evaluation Rigor Level Minimum Allowable Methods for Gross Energy Evaluation Basic 1. Simple Engineering Model (SEM) with M&V equal to IPMVP Option A and meeting all requirements in the M&V Protocol for this method. Sampling within sites according to the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol. 2. Normalized Annual Consumption (NAC) using pre- and post-program participation consumption from utility bills from the appropriate meters related to the measures undertaken, normalized for weather, using identified weather data to normalize for heating and/or cooling as is appropriate to measures included. Twelve (12) months preretrofit and twelve (12) months post-retrofit consumption data is required. Sampling according to the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol. Enhanced 1. A fully specified regression analysis of consumption information from utility bills with inclusion/adjustment for changes and background variables over the time period of the analysis that could potentially be correlated with the gross energy savings being measured. Twelve (12) months post-retrofit consumption data are required. Twelve (12) months pre-retrofit consumption data are required, unless program design does not allow pre-retrofit billing data, such as in new construction. In these cases, well-matched control groups and post-retrofit consumption analysis is allowable. 15 Sampling must be according to the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol, ideally utilizing power analysis as an input to determining required sample size(s). In general, a minimum of six data points will be required for a valid regression-based estimate. 2. Building energy simulation models that are calibrated as described in IPMVP Option D requirements in the M&V Protocols. If appropriate, evaluators may alternatively use an engineering model (e.g., bequest, AIR Master+) with calibration as described in the M&V Protocols. Sampling according to the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol. 3. Retrofit isolation engineering models as described in IPMVP Option B requirements in the M&V Protocols. Sampling according to the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol. 4. Experimental design established within the program implementation process, designed to obtain reliable net energy savings based upon differences between energy consumption between treatment and non-treatment groups from consumption data.16 Sampling according to the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol. 15 Post-retrofit only billing analysis collapses the analysis from cross-sectional time-series to cross-sectional. Given this, extreme diligence is expected with regard to controlling for cross-sectional issues that could potentially bias the savings estimate. 16 The overall goal of the Direct Impact Protocols is to obtain reliable net energy and demand savings estimates. If the methodology directly estimates net savings at the same or better rigor than the required level of rigor, then a gross savings and participant net impact analysis is not required to be shown separately. Itron, Inc. 2-12 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.9 Gross Peak Demand Impact Protocol The Gross Demand Impact Protocols are summarized in Table 2-5. Further description, additional requirements, clarification and examples of these specific Protocols are presented are presented in the Evaluator’s Protocols on pages 25 to 32. For an evaluation to be in compliance with the Gross Demand Impact Protocol, the methods used and the way in which data are used and reported must meet all the requirements in the Evaluator’s Protocols. The intent is to provide unbiased reliable estimates of program level demand impacts for those programs that are expected to reduce electricity demand. The Protocols sometimes reference the Evaluation Framework which provides examples of applicable methods. The governing requirements, however, are those stated in specific and relevant ED guidance and policy documents and then the Protocols, which take precedence over all other protocols, unless otherwise countermanded by Itron / KEMA in specific or general application. Guidance documents are being developed by ED and will be made available when finalized. The Gross Demand Impact Protocol has two rigor levels: Basic and Enhanced. The Basic rigor level uses primarily secondary data to allocate gross energy savings to determine demand savings. The Enhanced level requires primary data collection either through field measurement according to the M&V Protocols or using regression analysis of demand or interval consumption data. Itron, Inc. 2-13 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 2-5: Required Protocols for Gross Demand Evaluation Rigor Level Minimum Allowable Methods for Gross Demand Evaluation Basic Reliance upon secondary data for estimating demand impacts as a function of energy savings. End-use savings load shapes or end-use load shapes from one of the following will be used to estimate demand impacts: 1. End-use savings load shapes, end-use load shapes or allocation factors from simulations conducted for DEER. 2. Allocation factors from CEC forecasting models or utility forecasting models with approval through the evaluation plan review process. 3. Allocation based on end-use savings load shapes or end-use load shapes from other studies for related programs / similar markets with approval through the evaluation plan review process. Enhanced Primary demand impact data must be collected during the peak hour during the peak month for each IOU’s system peak for all sites, as possible. Estimation of demand impact estimates based on these data is required. If the methodology and data used can readily provide 8,760 hour annual output, these should also be provided.17 Sampling requirements can be met at the program level but final reporting should be by climate zone (according to CEC’s climate zone classification). 1. If interval or time-of-use consumption data are available for participants through utility bills, these data can be used for regression analysis, accounting for weather, day type and other pertinent change variables, to determine demand impact estimates. Pre-retrofit and post-retrofit billing periods must contain peak periods. This requires using a combination of power analysis, evaluations of similar programs, and professional judgment to determine sample size requirements for planning the evaluation. The analysis should be conducted to meet the requirements of the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol. 2. Spot or continuous metering/measurement of peak pre-retrofit and post-retrofit demand during the peak hour of the peak month for the utility system peak to be used with full measurement (outlined in IPMVP Option B) or a calibrated engineering model (outlined in IPMVP Option D) meeting all requirements as provided in the M&V Protocol. Pre-retrofit data must be adjusted for weather and other pertinent variables. The analysis should be conducted to meet the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol with a program target of 10% precision at a 90% confidence level. 3. Experimental design established within the program implementation process, designed to obtain reliable net demand savings based upon differences between energy consumption during peak demand periods between treatment and nontreatment groups from consumption data or spot or continuous metering. 18 Sampling should be complaint with the Sampling and Uncertainty Protocol. 17 This includes the use of 15-minute interval data or building energy simulation models whose output is 8,760 hourly annual data. 18 The overall goal of the Impact Protocols is to obtain reliable net energy and demand savings estimates. If the methodology directly estimates net savings at the same or better rigor than the required level of rigor, then a gross savings and participant net impact analysis is not required to be shown separately. Itron, Inc. 2-14 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Itron and KEMA have reviewed the California statewide utility system peak for 1990-2000. With the exception of one year, the statewide peak occurred during the months of July or August. For this evaluation, particularly for the BD period, M&V for all enhanced level rigor weather sensitive measures or measures with seasonal variation will be performed during July and August, when possible. September also contains the peak demand days for some climate zones (see Table 2-6), and this month can also be a desirable month for peak demand measurements. For the purposes of the Gross Demand Impact Protocol, demand impacts at the program level must be reported as energy savings estimates for six time periods for each of four months (June, July, August and September) as follows: 12 pm – 1 pm, 1 pm – 2 pm, 2 pm – 3 pm, 3 pm – 4 pm, 4 pm – 5 pm, and 5 pm – 6 pm. This should be done for each climate zone in which there are program participants. These demand savings are to be estimated using the Typical Meteorological Year from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the CEC CTZ long-term average weather data, the Administrator’s long-term average weather year or the CEC’s rolling average weather year. Other weather sources and weather data collected on site may be used as approved in the SSMVP. For reporting average and peak demand impacts in this evaluation, the analysis of peak demand will utilize the California Energy Efficiency Protocol and the guidelines therein for estimating peak demand impact at the enhanced or basic rigor level. It will also follow the peak demand guidelines described in decision R.06-06-063, which established peak as it is currently defined in DEER. DEER defines peak kW for weather sensitive measures as the average grid-level impact for the measure between 2 pm and 5 pm during the three consecutive weekdays containing the weekday with the hottest temperature of the year. These three days vary by climate zone, as shown in Table 2-6. For non-weather sensitive measures, the peak demand savings is determined by the average demand savings in the 2 pm to 5 pm period on summer weekdays from June to September. Demand savings estimates will be informed from site measurements where possible, using, for example, model calibration for near-peak conditions. Itron, Inc. 2-15 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 2-6: Peak Demand Days by Climate Zone Climate Zone 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Reference City Eureka Napa Oakland, San Francisco San Jose Santa Maria Los Angeles (LAX) San Diego Long Beach Los Angeles (Civic Center) Riverside Red Bluff Stockton Fresno Barstow Brawley Bishop Peak Days* Sep. 30 – Oct. 2 Jul. 22-24 Jul. 17-19 Jul. 17-19 Sep. 3-5 Jul. 9-11 Sep. 9-11 Sep. 23-25 Aug. 6-8 Jul 8-10 Jul. 31-Aug. 2 Aug 5-7 Aug 14-17 Jul. 9-11 Jul 30-Aug 1 Aug. 6-8 *Based on a 1991 reference year for defining weekdays and long term average weather data from the California Climate Thermal Zone (CTZ) weather datasets. Itron / KEMA have required that these studies are to include reporting the kW impacts for all 8,760 hours annually for electric impacts. The 1991 base year will be the base year for the reporting requirements for this and other 2010-2012 impact evaluations; this is compliant with current versions of eQuest. This will allow the results of the evaluation work of all evaluation contract teams in this and other work orders to be rolled-up at the IOU Portfolio level. Itron / KEMA have developed an Excel-based 8,760 hour reporting tool to facilitate this requirement. This is separate from the SSMVP and FSR templates provided in this document and to be used in this evaluation. 2.10 Scope of Application Review and SSMVP Preparation Itron / KEMA has requested application data from the IOUs, through the CPUC, at the finest data level available. In most cases, this is at the individual measure level. An application may contain multiple measures, covering different end uses such as lighting and industrial process. Different measures within a site may be related or interactive and may need to be considered together. The assigned applications will include specific instructions from Itron / KEMA on what measures are to be evaluated, the required level of rigor, what effort level (below average, average, or above average) they are to be evaluated at, and, in some cases, guidance regarding the recommended or required evaluation approach. The evaluator’s application review and Itron, Inc. 2-16 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft SSMVP will focus on the instructions provided. Any questions that the evaluator has regarding the work assignment should be clarified with the Itron / KEMA before proceeding. The scope for a given application should cover all of the sites and sub-measures within the target measure, to the degree possible and with adjustments where necessary, given the budget allotted to that application. For example, if an application for a customer with multiple refrigerated warehouses consisted of five facilities with nearly identical refrigeration system retrofits, the scope would most likely be limited to a comprehensive assessment of impacts at two or three selected facilities, with the results extrapolated to the remaining facilities. Sampling should be conducted to comply with the sampling and uncertainty protocol. Some projects and applications comprising the assigned sampling unit may contain multiple records (a multi-record site) or contain more than one measure. It may not be possible to evaluate all measures. In general, if one or some of the measures are chosen for evaluation, the analysis should isolate the impact for all aspects of those measures or records, including energy impacts, interactive effects, non-energy benefits, and economic information. The ex-ante savings claim (kWh and kW) must be extracted if necessary and reported for the realization rate calculations. This will allow the results of the impact analysis to be valid for the evaluated components and then extrapolated to the entire program. Given the timeline of providing results for projects assigned from February 2012 through May 2012 is June 2012, and the level of effort and expenses capped at an average of $7,000 per project, it will be important to thoroughly understand the ex-ante calculations and assess whether they can be used, with modifications for variables and other factors that have changed, for the ex-post savings estimation. For those measures that have had savings values and methodologies frozen by Ex-ante Review, it will also be critical to identify variables that have changed and may result in changes to the ‘frozen’ ex-ante values. There are several requirements in the Protocols relating to ex-post impact evaluation that are unique to this evaluation and not always performed by energy efficiency professionals. It is important to keep these objectives in mind when planning site activities. These requirements include but are not limited to: Providing the evaluation results in an 8,760 hour annual format. Using site level sampling techniques when a census is not taken. Applying qualitative site level uncertainty analysis to the SSMVP. Compliance with engineering based error tolerance levels for impact estimates. Development of demand reduction impacts using the Protocols’ definition. Normalizing for weather sensitive measures. Attention to RUL and baseline issues. Consideration of data requirements of, and coordination with, net impact teams. Itron, Inc. 2-17 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.11 Lower Rigor Points A unique aspect of this evaluation is the inclusion of Lower Rigor (LR) points. These LR points are intended to provide a qualitative assessment of how programs are working and the quality of documentation, baseline decisions, reasonableness of savings, etc. The process for documenting these low rigor points would require its own form or, as it is developed, a portion in the EAR forms (which are completed for both the EAR point and the M&V points). Assessment of exante values and methodologies, baselines used, any non-energy benefits, incremental and total cost review, RUL and EUL estimates, program eligibility determinations, and documentation quality are examples of information to be reported for LR projects. The on-site data collection form in the appendices is also expected to be useful for all LR projects that receive a site visit. In some cases, spot metering or collection of data may be relevant and should be noted. In other cases, desk review (with or without telephone verification) and reporting are the only requirements. The determination is made through submission of a brief plan to, and instruction from, Itron / KEMA. 2.12 Application Budget Allowance, Reporting, and Payment Each application (or project) has a budget allocated based on the complexity of the project and the anticipated M&V requirements. It is envisioned that each evaluator will be provided a number of applications in multiple packets throughout the 2010-2012 evaluation cycle; these may be concentrated into simple projects allowing a below average level of effort, more common sites requiring an average level of effort, and more complex sites, requiring a high, above average level of effort. In aggregate, each evaluator will carefully manage the budget allocated for each packet of applications. As previously discussed, some applications may require more hours and expense than the average and as initially assigned, and some may involve fewer hours and less expense. Each evaluator and their respective team are required to carefully plan and execute all activities to stay within budget. Bi-weekly and monthly reporting on overall program progress will be required. These reports will describe the accomplishments to date (on a percent complete, task, and hourly basis). Expenses to date and anticipated expenses should also be recorded. Any variation from the previous plans, changes to the SSMVPs, and changes from previous reports will be noted. Budgets are assigned for different levels and each level should be grouped to allow easy comparison. Table 2-7 shows the approximate budgets for each effort level for this project. Itron, Inc. 2-18 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 2-7: Approximate Budget by Effort Level Level Hours per Site Average Cost Maximum Cost Minimum Cost Sites per group M&V 40 $7,000 $12,000 $3,000 200 – BD Period Lower Rigor 15 $2,500 $ 3,500 $ 500 100 – BD Period Note: The evaluation (M&V/LR) budgets include labor and all communication / travel / metering expenses. A standard biweekly / monthly budget and progress report template for evaluator reporting will be provided by Itron / KEMA by the subcontractor. It is envisioned that these would be excel based tools that would feed into any site tracking tools used for project tracking for this WO033 custom impact evaluation. The bi-weekly and monthly progress reports will be used for tracking and approving interim and final payments. Interim payments will be authorized upon achieving specific milestones relating to the Lower Rigor reports, the EAR forms, the Site Specific Measurement and Verification Plans, the site work / field activities, and the Final Site Reports (FSRs); these are set as a percentage of per-site costs as indicated below in Table 2-8. Invoices will be based on actual expenses, including rental charges for equipment, and actual labor hours incurred. Invoiced expenses should not exceed the target payment unless previously adjusted. Table 2-8: Task Status with Corresponding Portion of Payment Task Status Code Target Payment Labor Portion of Evaluation Budget M&V Site Visit(s) Complete - 50% 50% of average cost Site Completed through ED - 100% 100% of average cost Lower Rigor Site completed and Site Visit (if applicable) complete - 50% 50% of average cost Lower Rigor Site - 100% - Approved by ED 100% of average cost Invoicing should be provided at monthly intervals on a time and materials basis with a cost not to exceed as detailed above and as modified via written authorization by Itron / KEMA on a task order or site-specific basis. Evaluators are required to provide exception reporting at any time for specific applications for which budgeted labor or expenses may be exceeded at the earliest indications of this issue. Itron, Inc. 2-19 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.13 Site Report Template The templates for the site specific SSMVP and the Final Site Report are included in this document. These templates will be provided electronically to each evaluation team. Please use the electronic template for all reports so that there is consistency in the format of the evaluation. The following sections provide the necessary guidance for completing the SSMVP and Final Site Report (FSR) templates. 2.14 Application Review Each team will begin by commencing review of the tracking database information and application documentation plus any additional details for each application (provided by Itron / KEMA). The application may include hard copy and electronic application records, utility bills, tracking system data, customer contact information, etc. 2.15 Completing the Site Specific M&V Plan Template The following paragraphs below refer to the creation of the Site Specific M&V Plan (SSMVP) in the form shown in this document. The evaluator will first contact the IOU account executive to alert the participant of the evaluation effort. The evaluator will, after briefly reviewing the application, contact the participant to guarantee access to the project to be evaluated. The evaluator may reference the CPUC introduction letter in either of these efforts. With assurance of site access, the evaluator can complete and submit an SSMVP. The draft SSMVP must include a quality control review by the subcontractor. The draft SSMVP must be submitted at least one week in advance to Itron / KEMA for approval before scheduling a site visit. The draft SSMVP will receive review and comments from Itron / KEMA and the DMQC or other ED consultants. This process will help the evaluator identify new or missing data that can be collected at the site, requested from site personnel, or requested from the program administrators. Preparation of the Site Specific SSMVP also helps ensure that the evaluator is well prepared for the site visit. The SSMVP developed will be reviewed and refined, as necessary, at this stage. To streamline and expedite field efforts, the evaluator should aim for an average of two hours per initial SSMVP write-up, focusing their attention on concisely written bullet steps, tasks, methods to be employed, and contingency plans. Evaluators should complete a review of all applications provided in the application packet and make a comprehensive list of any missing information to be requested from the program Itron, Inc. 2-20 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft administrators or reviewers. Evaluators should forward this ‘data request’ (DR) to Itron / KEMA for submittal and tracking. Evaluators should also note any requests to contact IOU personnel or other implementers or reviewers for each application. It is important to note that all participants (the IOUs’ customers) are participating anonymously in the evaluation. The reports and communication (to the extent possible) should not reference any customer name, account numbers, location, email addresses, phone numbers or other identifying information in multiple places (i.e., other than those places specifically identified in the templates) that could allow identification of the customer or IOU (except as noted below). There should not be any way to identify the customer, location or utility from information provided in the free-form answers and contextual data provided in the report. This requirement applies equally to all tables, figures, and spreadsheets that are pasted or embedded into the document. The following sections provide instructions on completing each section of the SSMVP template. A complete example SSMVP is included in the Appendix. Note that all fields require an input. “Not applicable” (N/A) or “Not provided” are acceptable entries. It is not expected that the evaluator will be able to – and is not required - to fill in the SSMVP and FSR completely for all sites. The best effort to complete all relevant entries clearly and concisely within the budgets for this evaluation is expected. On-site work shall not commence if there is insufficient information to clearly identify the scope of work. In exceptional cases, KEMA / Itron staff may conduct initial site visits and/or telephone calls which might be required for sites where no data was provided. 2.15.1 Project Information and Site Data The following tables include basic instructions on completing the Project Information and the Site Data sections. Project Information IOU Application ID Application Date Program ID Program Name Program Year Project ID IOU Claim IDs Project Description Itron, Inc. Fill in the utility name (e.g. PGE) IOU provided project application number Date on incentive application Utility EE Program Number (listed within project application files) Utility Program Name (e.g. NRR–DR Customized Energy Efficiency incentive Program) Year of measure(s) installation Itron / KEMA assigned project number Unique Claim IDs – may be more than one per application Brief (30 word max.) description of the measure from project application 2-21 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Field Engineer Supervisor/Reviewer Type of SSMVP Name of the assigned site engineer Name of the reviewing engineer Select one or of multiple of the following choices: Pre-Installation M&V Post-Installation M&V (EAR) Post-Installation M&V (ex-post impact evaluation) Pre-Installation verification Post-Installation verification Site Data Contact Name Contact Title Contact Phone Number / Email IOU Representative Name IOU Representative Phone / Email 19 Site Visit Consent (required) Date of Scheduled Visit Name of the site / facility point of contact Title of the point of contact Phone number of the facility contact Name of utility account manager/ representative Phone number of the utility representative Yes/No and Date Date of initial M&V visit Please note these are the only sections where any customer or IOU identifying information is included in the report. The information is contained in the draft report to facilitate the Itron / KEMA review and tracking process only. Other contacts such as alternate site contacts and implementers should be listed below this section. 2.15.2 IOU Project Description The IOU Project Description section provides a summary of the IOU measure and full details of the implemented action. An example of this section may be seen below in a completed Example SSMVP in this document. The following table includes instructions on completing the IOU Project Description section. 19 Consent to visit site is a pre-requisite for SSMVP development. A site-specific SSMVP should not be prepared unless participant has agreed to allow access to perform M&V. Itron, Inc. 2-22 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 2-9: IOU Project Description Description IOU Proposed Ex-ante Data or Frozen Ex-ante Data Project Baseline Type (Early Replacement, Normal Replacement, Capacity Expansion, New Construction) Provide a baseline type assessment Project Cost Basis (Full Cost, Incremental Cost) Provide the project cost basis as reported in the project application RUL (required for early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) Brief notation on the remaining useful life of the baseline equipment – determined based on application review EUL Provide the effective useful life of the measure a listed in the project documentation or IOU tracking system extracts. If none provided, refer to other measure life resources such as DEER to obtain the EUL First Year kWh Savings Provide the annual kWh savings as reported in the project application here First Year Peak Demand Reduction (kW) Provide the peak coincident Demand reduction (kW) as reported in the project application here First Year Therms Savings Provide the annual therms savings as reported in the project application here Annual kWh Savings (RUL Period) Provide the annual kWh savings for the remaining useful life period of the baseline equipment here (if applicable) Peak Demand Reduction (kW) (RUL Period) Provide the peak coincident Demand reduction (kW) for the remaining useful life period of the baseline equipment here (if applicable) Annual Therms Savings (RUL Period) Provide the annual therms savings for the remaining useful life period of the baseline equipment here (if applicable) Annual kWh Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Provide the annual kWh savings for the RUL period and post-RUL period to verify the (weighted) average savings over the EUL of the measure. Peak Demand Reduction (kW) (EUL – RUL Period) Provide the peak coincident Demand reduction (kW) resulting from the measure life assessment (effective useful life period savings – remaining useful life period savings) Annual Therms Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Provide the annual therms savings resulting from the measure life assessment (effective useful life period savings – remaining useful life period savings) Annual non-IOU Fuel Impact (RUL Period) Provide the annual non-IOU fuel impact (if any) resulting from the measure implementation for the RUL period Annual non-IOU Fuel Impact (EUL – RUL Period) Provide the annual non-IOU fuel impacts (if any) for the RUL period and post-RUL period to verify the (weighted) average savings over the EUL of the measure. Itron, Inc. 2-23 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.15.3 M&V Plan Summary The following table provides instructions for completing the M&V Plan Summary section. See A subsequent section for a completed example M&V plan. Changes to M&V plans may occur based on in situ conditions and customer input. These changes should be noted in the As Implemented section by adding text and describing why the change was necessary. If required documentation is missing, state “Not Provided” and enumerate any filenames or other references to the underlying calculations, if known. A follow-up data request may be required to obtain the additional missing information. Generally, the SSMVP provided to the on-site evaluator will have been subject to an initial review of data requirements and will be as complete as possible. Changes from an approved M&V plan should be communicated to Itron / KEMA from the site. M&V Plan Summary Plan As Implemented Measure Type Provide the measure category and sub-category To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or expansions Operation Provide the application or customer self-reported value for the hours of operation and the M&V approach to verify To be completed after the initial site visit; provide the on-site confirmed typical hours of operation and the method s used if different than planned Site & IOU Data Dependency Provide a description of the dependency of the M&V plan on IOU and facility metered data (e.g., metered data for pumps at the pre-and postretrofit sites, or EMS/SCADA/other logged data ) To be completed after the initial site visit; provide revisions or reasons for any discrepancies or deviations from the original plan based on data availability M&V Scope Provide the boundaries of on-site M&V activities. The scope must include the following sections at the least: To be completed after the initial site visit; provide revisions or reasons for any discrepancies or deviations from the original plan for each activity. Itron, Inc. Plan for the verification of measure installation (e.g., verify installation of new pipes rerouting feedwater and water processing) Plan for data collection and measurement of the implemented measure and baseline equipment where available (e.g., collect kW & kWh usage data for pumps for all leases for pre- and post-installation) Address the additional verification items (e.g., confirm sizes of pumps and verify that no extra transport energy costs) Collect contextual data (such as type of facility, operating characteristics, etc.) – see the on site data collection form for more detail 2-24 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Plan As Implemented Quantity Verification (Full or Sample)20 Provide the proposed method of installed measure quantity verification (full or census / sample); for sampled verification, provide a brief description of the sampling procedures To be completed after the initial site visit; provide revisions or reasons for any discrepancies or deviations from the original plan IPMVP Option Provide the selected IPMVP option. If a hybrid of IPMVP options is used, provide a brief description of the combined option (e.g., hybrid of Option A and Option C) To be completed after the initial site visit; provide revisions or reasons for any discrepancies or deviations from the original plan Measurement21 This block provides the plan for the basis of onsite metering data and provides the methods used. This section must also include a description of the methods proposed for the calibration of measurement equipment used to collect data at the site. To be completed after the initial site visit; provide any revisions or reasons for any discrepancies or deviations from the original plan An example is as follows: Use SCADA system and kWh gauges, collect energy usage, collect flow rates (in gpm), obtain screen shots. Confirm pre-retrofit and post-retrofit flow rates, kW & kWh on the (2) 2000 HP pumps through facility records. Confirm or obtain RUL estimates of the existing 11 water processing and 8 individual generator feedwater pumps that were displaced. Determine if this is a weather or seasonally dependent measure. Determine the frequency of SCADA instrument calibration. Specification Verification Provide a description of the need to obtain equipment specifications and for which equipment To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Eligibility Verification Verify measure eligibility by checking the rules of the program and the retrofit To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Project Cost Verification Provide the method of verifying equipment costs, labor costs, incremental costs, etc. (e.g., invoices, quotes, determine incremental cost using DEER for various systems, etc.) To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Billing History/PPP Describe use of billing history and verify need to determine PPP (public purpose program) status To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for 20 When using sampling for verification, briefly describe the sampling method. 21 Explain the reasons for the selection of the above mentioned IPMVP option. Itron, Inc. 2-25 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Plan As Implemented Status Verification22 for participant eligibility deviations from the planning phase Fuel Switching Analysis23 Provide a brief description of the plan for reviewing pertinent parameters for verifying inputs for fuel switching analysis, if applicable (e.g. gathering cost data, source Btu data and environmental data for use in the three – prong test to verify a fuel-switching project qualification) To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase, including relevant variables that have changed RUL Provide a brief description of the plan for assessing the remaining useful life and indicate what was provided in the application documentation To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Provide a brief description of the plan for determining the validity of the installed measure’s baseline using code analysis or market research; indicate ex-ante baseline determination To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Sample Stratum Provide the stratum number of which the current project is a part of, typically provided by Itron or KEMA Same as planning phase stratum level if no changes are reported after the M&V visit Sample Weight Provide the sample weight of current project, typically provided by Itron Same as planning phase value if no changes are reported after the M&V visit HVAC Interactive Effects Provide a brief description of the plan for calculating savings due to HVAC interactive effects resulting from the measure installation To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Non-HVAC Provide a brief description of the plan for assessing the non-HVAC interactive effects To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Provide a brief description of the plan for determining the spillover effect due to current measure installation To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Provide a brief description of the plan for contextual data collection To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Assessment24 Code or Industry Standard Practice Determination25 Interactive Effects26 Spillover Assessment Contextual Data Collection 22 The participant should provide a 12-month billing history and must be paying into PPP funds. Additional details will be provided. 23 Verification of and data used for the three-prong test for the ex-ante process must be provided by the IOU. 24 Coordinate with the Itron net to gross (NTG) group. 25 Briefly describe the plan to research standard practice, if needed for this project. Include the ex-ante and proposed ex-post source, if any, for code or standard practice. 26 This would include a direct multiple measure interaction assessment that would impact gross savings. Itron, Inc. 2-26 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 2.15.4 Savings Calculation Method, Uncertainty Analysis, Field Data Collection and Site M&V Cost Estimate The following tables provide instructions for completing the Savings Calculation Method, Uncertainty Analysis, Field Data Collection and the Site M&V Cost Estimate27sections of the SSMVP template. A filled in example may be seen in subsequent sections. Savings Calculation Method Plan As Implemented Engineering Calculations28 Provide the planned approach and/or algorithms for ex-ante and proposed ex-post evaluation To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase Energy Use Modeling29 Provide the type, background and pertinent information relevant to any energy modeling tools or methods that were / will be used To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase DOE Software (Insulation, AirMaster+, Fan Systems, Pumping Systems Provide the background and pertinent information relevant to the use of DOE software tools, where applicable To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase ED-Approved Custom Model Provide the background and pertinent information relevant to the use of a custom calculations model, where applicable To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase 8760 Load Shape Development Method Provide the basis for calculation of the 8760 hour load profile (e.g., possibly apply average kW reduction if not seasonally dependent and maintenance periods are not fixed.) To be completed after the initial site visit; may include revisions or reasons for deviations from the planning phase 27 Show either lump sum estimates or line item hours and costs by category if needed for estimating costs: SSMVP preparation, instrument charge, data collection, data analysis and site-specific reporting. 28 Ex-post engineering calculation formulas may be included now or before preparing an abbreviated site-specific report. 29 Specify eQuest, DOE2, EnergyPro or other software. Itron, Inc. 2-27 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft At the M&V planning stage for uncertainty analysis, the evaluators will qualitatively access the variables and their importance in the savings estimates using the table in the SSMVP for all projects. For selected larger projects, Itron or KEMA will instruct the evaluators to more quantitatively address the combined errors, using techniques such as propagation of errors as described in the California Evaluation Framework. Propagation of error will be assessed in a standardized format by utilizing various computer programs, such as Crystal Ball or @ Risk. Other commercially available programs may also yield acceptable results and may be considered. The evaluator will estimate the range of low, expected and high values for inputs and measurements (including instrument errors), along with their respective distribution curves. Evaluators should also indicate the type of distribution expected for these values (e.g., uniform, normal, lognormal, etc.) to facilitate this analysis. The low and high values should represent a 90% confidence interval, i.e., there is a 90% confidence that the actual value will be within the range selected. Uncertainty Analysis30 Variable Provide the base variable (e..g., amps or hours) for the most important savings determinants Time Frame Measurement period of this variable (e.g., 1 year, 3 weeks, etc.) Estimated Value Provide the estimated value of the variable (e.g., 8,000 hrs/yr) Accuracy Min/Max Provide the accuracy of the sensitive variable (e.g., accuracy +/- 0.5%) Provide the minimum / maximum expected values of the variable (e.g., 7000, 8760 hrs/yr) Distribution Type Provide the distribution type (normal, exponential, gamma, etc) Field Data Collection Plan In the following table, identify the measured variables and provide the measured parameter range, metering equipment information (name, quantity, rated accuracy and accuracy at the measured values), metering duration, and measurement interval. Rows are needed only for parameters measured. 30 Include ex-ante estimate of uncertainty and expected reduction in uncertainty. Itron, Inc. 2-28 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Parameter to Parameter M&V M&V Rated Accuracy of Planned Planned Verify/Measure Range Equipment Instrument Full Scale Expected Metering Metering Brand and Qty Accuracy Measurement Duration Interval Model Operating Hours31 0 – 168 hours Dent SmartLogger 25 +/- 1% f.s. . +/- 1% m.v. 1 week Continuous – 1 sec. resolution kW 0 – 5,000 kW IOU and plant equipment 3 IOU meters; 2 plant meters +/- 0.5% +/- 0.5% 1 year 1 hour Site M&V Cost Estimate32 The total site M&V hours and costs are provided in this section. (e.g., estimate of 40 labor hours, includes travel costs (5 hrs each way with one site visit), no metering costs, total $7,000). Ex-ante Savings Calculations (Additional Details) Provide additional details if needed about the ex-ante and proposed ex-post calculation methods. 2.16 Calculation Standards This section is a brief overview of the available software tools, expected standards, and procedures for performing typical custom impact calculations. 2.16.1 Building Simulations Where required, building simulations performed for the evaluation will generally use DOE 2.2 or the latest available version. The interface using eQuest may be utilized. Simulations will be calibrated to metered end uses data, utility bills and weather, when applicable, using IPMVP option D for guidance. Simulations should be calibrated to both actual energy use and demand plus actual weather obtained from NOAA or other reliable sources for the pre-retrofit period (including on site data collection). Simulations will then be run using NOAA actual weather 31 For lighting specify panel-level measurement, CT logging and/or light loggers. 32 Show line item hours and cost by billing category for SSMVP preparation, instrument charge, data collection, and data analysis and site-specific reporting. Itron, Inc. 2-29 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft data for site specific impacts (to determine the model validity) and CEC climate zone weather data for pre- and post-retrofit scenarios to estimate impacts at the climate zone level for the population. Results will be reported for the weather data applicable to the CEC climate zone. 2.16.2 Compressed Air Simulations Simulations for compressed air systems will use AIR Master + (latest available version), which can be down loaded from: http://mm3.energy.wsu.edu/amplus/default.stm The simulation shall be calibrated to field measured data. Complex flow measurements may be available from the site instrumentation or vendor / installer provided instrumentation (such as during a start up or commissioning exercise). The validity of this information should be confirmed before using in savings estimations. In all cases, accuracy of the values should be indicated. 2.16.3 Annual Hours of Operation All calculations will standardize the number of annual hours to be 365 days/year x 24 hours/day (8,760 annual hours). Calculations will accurately account for weekends, holidays and actual hours of operation (determined from the customer representative interview). 2.16.4 Coincident Peak Demand Reduction / Reported Demand Reduction Coincident peak demand impacts are generally the demand impact from the installed measure estimated at the highest 15 minute demand interval as recorded by each individual utility. This value sets the maximum system demand. For this program, the peak demand will be calculated and reported using the definition provided in the Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) issued decision R.06-06-063 on June 29, 2006 in which the definition for peak was established as it is currently defined in DEER. This definition of peak coincident demand (peak kW) is: “The average grid level impact for a measure between 2 pm and 5 pm during the three consecutive weekday periods containing the weekday with the hottest temperature of the year”. DEER identifies these three contiguous peak kW days, for each of the 16 California climate zones, based on the weather data sets developed for the California Title 24 Building Energy Efficiency Standards. Therefore, for simulation-based projects, peak kW demand reduction is always calculated as the difference between the as-built and baseline peak coincident demand Itron, Inc. 2-30 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft where both kW values are calculated using the appropriate CA climate zone weather files and the 1991 calendar year. The use of or local weather files and corresponding “actual” calendar years is not appropriate for peak coincident demand reduction calculations for simulation-based projects. These may be accessed by the following URL: http://eega.cpuc.ca.gov/deer/ While this definition of kW does not explicitly segregate weather sensitive measures and nonweather sensitive measures, the peak load kW impact for a non-weather sensitive measure would be expected to correspond to the average kW reduction on a typical summer weekday (in the months of June through September) between 2 pm and 5 pm. For weather-dependent measures, the peak load kW impact for a non-weather sensitive measure would be expected to correspond to the average kW reduction on the hottest summer weekdays (June through September) between 2 pm and 5 pm (with climatic conditions that are typical of the weather data sets for that climate zone). When building simulations are performed, the reporting of peak kW can be calculated accurately by using the days DEER defined peak kW days. For other measures, monitoring should be conducted during (or modeling should be performed using) climactic conditions similar to those contained in the weather data sets. If the monitored period contains the DEER identified three day period, peak kW impacts should also be reported at these time periods. 2.16.5 Increases or Decreases in Production For industrial measures, changes in production capacity between the pre-installation and postinstallation periods must be considered in a manner consistent across this evaluation. Changes in production capacity, whether exercised during the evaluation period or not, have a direct impact on total energy usage and impact claims. The procedures to be followed in this evaluation are consistent with those described in Section 3.4 of Appendix J of the CADMAC evaluation protocols.33 In order to adjust the baseline, an industrial process application must clearly elaborate how an increase in production between the base case and the improved case is traceable to market conditions and not to production improvements due to the implementation of the incentivized measures. If the causes for production increases are not adequately described, 33 http://www.calmac.org/events/APX_J%200698.pdf. Protocols and Procedures for the Verification of Costs, Benefits, and Shareholder Earnings from Demand-Side Management Programs. Appendix J. Quality Assurance Guidelines for Statistical, Engineering, and Self-Report Methods for Estimating DSM Program Impacts. Revised March 1998. Itron, Inc. 2-31 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft then impacts shall be calculated using the production prior to the installation of the measures (to prevent subsidization of additional, load-inducing production equipment). For example, a baseline condition may have resulted in 4,000 hours per year of equipment use for 100 units of production. Efficiency increases may have reduced the necessary use to 3,000 hours per year for the same 100 units. Shift schedules then, however, resulted in 4,000 hours per year of use in which 120 units were produced. If the efficiency improvement induced the customer to increase the production, then the baseline and post retrofit energy use should be calculated on the original 100 units of production. However, if market conditions required 120 units of production, and shift hours would have been increased to produce these 120 units with the original equipment, then the baseline should be adjusted for the 120 units. The determination of whether market conditions caused the actual change should be investigated through interviews with the customer during the site visit (or with written documentation from the initial application file). There are also cases in which the production has decreased and the measure did not cause the change in output. The post retrofit equipment and pre retrofit equipment should be evaluated using the post retrofit production levels. Thus, if production decreased from 100 to 80 units due to market conditions, the baseline should be adjusted for the 80 units. In the unlikely event that the output of 80 units was due to the change in process or equipment (for example, for better quality), the baseline pre-retrofit energy use should be adjusted from the pre retrofit production of 100 units to 80 units. The intent is to incentivize the production efficiency for those 80 units. Decisions on whether adjustments are made for changes in productivity must be reviewed and approved by Itron / KEMA if there is any uncertainty as to the appropriateness of the adjustment. 2.16.6 Interactive Effects The protocols require that all impacts be estimated net of interactive effects. For instance, if the measure is a lighting retrofit in a refrigerated warehouse or cooled space, the potential reduction in refrigeration energy consumption is included in the ex-post estimate. In a cooled space, this would be an interactive effect. Other interactive effects could be the reduced steam use due to a process retrofit in a refinery, where this steam was used in other processes but that now needs to be provided by another source, such as running an existing boiler at higher loads. When the interactive effects are large relative to overall energy or costs savings (5% or greater), evaluators should make clear note of this in the SSMVP and incorporate procedures and measurements to account for the interactive effects. Itron, Inc. 2-32 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Note that DEER prescribes cooling and heating interaction factors (energy and demand) for certain measures, building types and climate zones. These should be used for reference only and should be calculated when expected for a certain measure. 2.17 Electronic File Names, Identification Scheme, and Data Files The requirements for file naming schemes shall include the following, in the order indicated, separated by undercores: CPUC1012 Itron / KEMA Site ID, Initials of primary author, SSMVP or FSR, Date (expressed as day.month.year)., and DRAFT or FINAL An example would be:CPUC1012_B126_AJL_01.09.2012_DRAFT.doc Another example could be: CPUC1012_CF002_JCB 12.30.2011_FSR_FINAL.doc All Microsoft Office files (Microsoft Word, and Excel) must be submitted in a Microsoft Office 2007 compatible format. All raw data files must be provided, and are acceptable in ASCII text format if downloaded from the data collection device in that format. Raw data and processed (cleaned) data files are required to be submitted. The SSMVPs and FSRs should, however, be complete and comprehensible and defensible, as stand-alone documents. Do not use “embedded” documents inside of Word documents as these often are not compatible across different versions of MS Word, and sometimes cause problems with email spam and virus filtering software. Reference any supporting data with document names in the plan or report submitted if that data or model is required to verify and validate the analysis. Any updated versions of calculations must also be provided when revisions are made. 2.18 Itron / KEMA Review of Site Specific SSMVP Itron / KEMA staff will review the site specific SSMVP upon submittal by each evaluation team. The subcontractor’s point of contact (POC) and senior engineering team will ensure that each Itron, Inc. 2-33 Customer Application Review, SSMVP Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft draft report has been peer reviewed by a seasoned energy evaluation professional with a minimum of ten years experience in the energy field for accuracy, clarity and adherence to the reporting requirements outlined in this document before the document is forwarded to Itron / KEMA for review. Professional level writing is required. All tables and exhibits (if used) will be numbered and referenced in the SSMVP or FSR. The SSMVP should be submitted within two weeks of assignment to maintain the project schedule, to enable timely review, and to allow equipment ordering and efficient site visit scheduling. Itron’s POC will provide guidance for specific situations, including potential scheduling difficulties, conflicts of interest, baseline and remaining useful life determination, and interpretations of program rules and measure eligibility. In some cases, it may be appropriate to exclude or reassign a given application. Each subcontractor is encouraged to engage in active discussions with Itron / KEMA, particularly at the beginning of the project. This will help reduce needed time and effort and provide for a better work product. The SSMVP will be submitted to the CPUC ED and ED assigned consultant(s) for review after Itron / KEMA has reviewed the document and effected any needed modifications. The length of time for any review should be minimized; review and comment on each subsequent draft report submission should occur within one week of receipt by Itron. Once the SSMVP is approved by pertinent Itron / KEMA project managers and ED consultants, each evaluator will proceed with the site visit scheduling (following the initial recruitment steps before the SSMVP was drafted) and continue with the work at that site, coordinating with the net to gross team and Itron / KEMA, especially with regards to site visits. Whenever possible, site visits should be scheduled with a lead time of ten calendar days to allow ride along and other participation by Itron, KEMA, CPUC ED staff, and ED consultants. When a shorter lead time is required, immediate notification to the evaluation team is critical to allow for last-minute scheduling changes to accommodate sites with significant impact claims. Late scheduling is highly undesirable and will be allowed on a case by case basis and only in exceptional cases. Itron, Inc. 2-34 Customer Application Review, SSMVP 3 On-Site Audit Recruiting/Scheduling 3.1 Utility Representative Contact Itron / KEMA will provide the contact information for each customer’s utility account executive or representative, or the local program coordinator. Before contacting the customer, the evaluator must contact the customer’s utility account representative or the local program coordinator to inform them of the intent to contact the customer regarding the evaluation. The utility account representative should identify or confirm the current contact information, telephone number, email addresses, cellular numbers, and alternate contact information. The account representative should also be informed that they may wish to alert the customer of the names of the individuals and firms conducting the evaluation for Itron. The most efficient approach is generally by direct phone calls to office and cellular lines, followed by emails with a record of the conversation and the evaluators contact information and Itron’s / KEMA’s POC contact information. It may be beneficial to include the customer along with the utility representative in any email correspondence to support legitimacy in the mind of the customer contact. All contact (by telephone, email, fax, etc.) with the customer’s utility account representative or the local program coordinator should be recorded in a IOU / participant contact file that includes the date, time, name of parties and outline of the discussion or voice message. Include dates of attempted contact. Pertinent information should be entered in real time in the site tracking system in the field for gross impact team notes. It is useful to ask the account representative for a customer contact and honor requests for time for the customer’s utility account representative or the local program coordinator to advise the customer. If any difficulties are encountered contacting the IOU representative, Itron / KEMA should be informed and will provide assistance. The IOU tracking data extracts and other documentation will, in some instances, contain outdated or inaccurate contact information. Note that Itron / KEMA may have already contacted the utility account representative for gross or net activities. These evaluations will include a net to gross phone interview of many of the program participants. The individual surveyed may or may not be the same person involved with the site specific gross impact evaluation. If the phone interview occurs first, Itron / KEMA or the phone Itron, Inc. 3-1 On-Site Audit Recruiting/Scheduling Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft interviewer will inform the customer that they will be contacted by evaluators for a site specific on-site evaluation effort. Attempts to verify the site contact information will be made. If customer contact is first made by the evaluator, the evaluator will inform the customer of the pending NTG phone interview (and attempt to identify the most appropriate individual – the ‘decision-maker’ - for this interview and their contact information). Itron / KEMA should be informed when each customer has been alerted and the proper names and contact information for participant personnel. 3.2 Initial Customer Contact The evaluator may contact the customer after alerting the IOU representative and reviewing the application documents provided by Itron / KEMA to assist in the understanding of the project, the ex-ante savings calculations, any interactions, and the pending formulation of the SSMVP and upcoming site visit activities. The evaluator may wish to contact the utility reviewer or reviewing firm at this stage. Recruiting and scheduling appointments will be the responsibility of the evaluator assigned to a given application. All contact with the customer should be recorded in an IOU / participant contact file that includes the date, time, name of parties, and outline of the discussion or message. Site contact information will be provided based on program tracking system records and will be updated by Itron / KEMA as necessary. If any difficulties are encountered contacting with the customer, Itron / KEMA should be informed and will provide assistance. Tracking data will, in some instances, contain outdated or inaccurate contact information. Again, efficient contact is usually performed through a combination of alerting emails and phone contact to contact participants and schedule site visits. Senior level engineers familiar with the application should perform initial recruiting efforts. When contacting the customer, it is important to identify yourself as a consultant acting on behalf of the CPUC, explain the purpose of the project to the customer, and inform them that you would like to schedule a site visit. The customer should be informed that the evaluation report will not reference their company name or the name of any site representative contacted and that they are participating anonymously. It can be stressed that there are no changes in the incentive monies and no penalties associated with this review. It also may be noted, as necessary to gain permission to visit the site; that site visits for post implementation review may be required under the program application agreement that the customer has executed to participate in the incentive program. Itron, Inc. 3-2 On-Site Audit Recruiting/Scheduling Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft It is often helpful to offer some specific details about the application you are evaluating to increase your credibility. An example would be a statement such as “your company participated in the 2010 Non-residential Retrofit Program and received incentives for the replacement of five plastic injection molding machines with higher efficiency machines. At this time we are evaluating the retrofit of IMM #3, Model DCX400, a 400 ton all-electric machine.” It is helpful for evaluators to have a complete list of all EE measures or retrofits that the customer participated in or about that time period, to direct the participant to the correct measure, to determine any system interaction, and because the project might be best grouped with other projects at the same facility. Success in this project will greatly depend on establishing credibility with the customer from the first telephone contact and continuing through the first meeting and subsequent site visits. It is usually best to discuss metering or monitoring equipment installation requirements after a level of credibility has been established (verses during initial telephone conversations or by email). Also provide an accurate, but somewhat optimistic estimate of time constraints and gain a good understanding of the customer’s need for oversight of on-site work. At this stage, special protective equipment (PPE) and the needs for clearances, particularly at government facilities and refineries, should be identified. Notification to the Itron / KEMA POC should be made immediately following the scheduling of any visit to any customer. This should be done on both an individual basis and summarized in the biweekly / monthly reporting. 3.3 Letter of Introduction Letters from Itron / KEMA (on CPUC letterhead) and picture identification should be carried by personnel conducting site visits. The site or company contact may call the applicable CPUC representative identified on the letter or the Itron / KEMA POC to verify the purpose of our study or to address other concerns. These letters will be made available to all evaluating subcontractors by Itron / KEMA. 3.4 Reminder Calls Reminder calls the day prior to a given appointment help ensure that no conflicts have arisen that would impact the site visit or data collection activities. Arrange an appropriate meeting place considering site access constraints, identification requirements, and provide your celular phone number and request the best number to reach the contact upon your arrival at the site, along with alternate contacts. Itron, Inc. 3-3 On-Site Audit Recruiting/Scheduling 4 On-Site Audits and Sampling 4.1 Photographs With the customer’s permission, photographs should be taken for each site visited. Photographs should focus on items pertinent to the evaluation. Photographs should be taken to document measurement points, showing the instrument used and where the measurement is taken. For most sites, ten or fewer photographs should suffice. Photographs should not be included in the final site reports but should be submitted in a separate electronically labeled MS Word or zipped file (with separate jpeg files) to Itron. Each photograph will include a description of its relevance to the evaluation in the title. If a building simulation is proposed, photographs pertinent to the building model, such as screen shots, exterior exposures, typical spaces, and mechanical equipment should be included, unless a suitably complete set of plan drawings are provided. If plan drawings are on-site and a means of copying them is available, ask for permission to copy the relevant sheets. If not allowed to remove the drawings for this purpose, high-resolution digital photographs of the drawings and mechanical tables may suffice. For an evaluation requiring a building simulation, it is possible that more than 10 photographs would be required to provide the needed background. All photos should be saved with the smallest resolution possible, while still enabling clarity, in order to facilitate transmission. 4.2 Measure Installation Verification The objectives of measure installation verification are to confirm that: 1) the measures were actually installed, 2) the installation meets reasonable quality standards, 3) the measures are operating correctly and as described in the IOU application, and 4) the measures have the potential to generate the predicted savings. Measure, make, model number, and capacity data should be collected and compared to the documentation contained in the application. Taking photographs (if permitted) of equipment, nameplate data, screen shots, or other pertinent documents and clearly labeling them, including differentiating between pre-install and postretrofit, can provide useful documentation and supporting information following the site visit. Good photographs are invaluable, and can provide others performing review or quality control with better understanding and confidence in the validity of the ex-post analysis. Itron, Inc. 4-1 On-Site Audits and Sampling Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft As-built construction drawings may be used to verify measures and to establish sampling plans where access is difficult or impossible. To the extent possible, the installation of all accessible measures for the site visited should be verified. Forms and templates, such as examples of measure verification and site data collection forms, will be provided by Itron / KEMA. 4.3 Data Collection, Monitoring, and Sampling On-site data collection should be completed using the M&V plan developed for this site and the requirements set forth in Section 2. Opportunities to enhance the original plan should be pursued as appropriate, given the schedule and budgeted level of effort. Sampling may be employed at large facilities with numerous measures installed. Itron / KEMA will work with each assigned site engineer to develop a sampling plan as part of the SSMVP prior to the engineer arriving on-site. However in some situations, sampling decisions will need to be made on site. The assigned engineer will attempt to contact the Itron / KEMA POC to discuss on-site sampling strategies prior to implementing the revised plan. If Itron / KEMA review is not possible, the assigned engineer shall follow standard procedures for conducting appropriate measure sampling. Any substantial deviations from the M&V plan should be communicated by phone from the site with the Itron / KEMA contact. A determination will be made in real-time on whether to involve other ED consultants. Substantial deviations would be, for instance, to stipulate values versus measuring values where measurement would entail placing 18 versus 19 loggers at a site, necessitated due to unforeseen unavailability of facility staff for fixture or panel access. Training seminars will highlight other examples of substantial and minor deviations from M&V plans. Monitoring shall not be done only on equipment that is convenient to monitor. Random sampling and stratified sampling (see Chapter 13 of the California Evaluation Framework Study) shall be employed as appropriate. Evaluation team members should also review the measure sampling discussion in Chapter 7 (Measurement and Verification), p. 193, of the California Evaluation Framework Study. 4.4 Other Relevant Information In addition to developing the ex-post energy savings and demand reduction estimates, evaluators are required to collect and report on the following items in the appropriate section of the final site report. This data collection should be performed during a thorough interview with the customer or knowledgeable site representative. Itron, Inc. 4-2 On-Site Audits and Sampling Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Determine the source of the cost estimate for the energy efficiency measure(s) either onsite or in the application documentation for the measure(s)/project(s) reported in the application. Provide a statement in the final site report concerning the perceived accuracy of the cost estimate. Special attention should be given as to whether the incentive cap calculation used the full cost of the measure or the incremental cost of the measure. The evaluator should assess the appropriateness of this basis, given the program and this evaluation’s baseline requirements and definitions. Determine, from the customer’s perspective, the non-energy benefits of the measure(s). Possibilities include, but are not limited to: replaced aging equipment that was maintenance intensive, provided increased capacity or production, increased comfort, provided higher quality energy service (e.g., increased lighting lumens), reduced emissions, produced water savings, increased security, reduced labor hours, enabled higher quality product with less rejects, etc. In some instances, customers will indicate that there are no perceived non-energy benefits; this should also be noted. Determine if the customer has any reason to believe that there will be changes in the operation of the primary measure that will impact the energy savings or demand reduction in the future. For instance, a customer may have retrofitted a compressed air system and is aware that the current hours of operation of the compressed air system (upon which the ex-post analysis is to be based) will change in the future. The timing of these changes is important, as this information might be used to adjust savings figures in future years. 4.5 Obtain Other Documentation In many instances, it may prove useful to obtain data from manufacturers’ representatives, manufacturer’s contact information (telephone number and location), and service provider information, including IOU reviewers and implementers. Note that contact information or serial numbers that may reveal the location of the project should not be included in the Final Site Report. Itron, Inc. 4-3 On-Site Audits and Sampling 5 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report The Final Site Report will be prepared after the completion of site work, data collection and analysis. If changes are made to the Site-Specific SSMVP during the review process after the site visit, the SSMVP must be updated to reflect the final version since the Site Specific SSMVP contains some information that is not carried over to the Final Site Report. A completed example of the FSR with the M&V results is included in subsequent sections. 5.1 Analysis and Write-up The sample Final Site Report (FSR) template is provided below as a guideline that should be used to complete all sections of the final site report. It is important to note that the final site report is a stand-alone document and other non-primary source documents should not be referenced. The report should be intelligible without any attachments; no spreadsheets will be attached to or embedded with the site reports when released outside the evaluation team. All required tables and exhibits (if any) should be included in the FSR document in Microsoft (MS) Word 2007. Supporting documents, including raw and processed data must be provided to Itron/KEMA with the FSR submission. The ex-post evaluation should segregate the targeted measure(s) in the application. Generally, there is only one measure type assigned for each application, however; each application may have more than one installation of that measure type at any particular site. The work assignment summary prepared by Itron / KEMA for each application will describe the measure(s) assigned for ex-post evaluation for each application. In some cases the evaluators will assist in determining the measures to evaluate. For applications with multiple measures or end uses, the evaluator must review the application to determine the site(s), measure(s), cost, energy savings and other parameters associated with the assigned measure. These parameters are segregated and the ex-ante and ex-post results reported only for the assigned measure (as opposed to the application as a whole, which may contain more than one end use or multiple measures in one end use). As described in previous sections, the installation of other measures should be verified as possible during the site visit and the verification noted in the verification section of the report. Evaluating the energy impacts of these additional measures is not included as part of the scope of the ex-post evaluation work. However, interactive effects for the evaluated measure are part the Itron, Inc. 5-1 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft evaluation scope. Contact Itron / KEMA for clarification if there is any question about the scope of the ex-post evaluation. It is emphasized that customers and IOUs are participating anonymously in the evaluation. The reports should not reference any customer name, account numbers, location or other information that could allow identification of the customer or IOU (except in the title block). It should not be possible to identify the customer, location or utility in the report. This also applies to tables, exhibits, and other documentation which are pasted into the document. 5.2 Completing the Site Specific Ex-post M&V Results Template The following sections will provide the necessary guidance required for completion of the site specific ex-post M&V results contained in the FSR. Itron, Inc. 5-2 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 5.2.1 Project Information IOU From Site Specific SSMVP Application ID From Site Specific SSMVP Application Date From Site Specific SSMVP Program ID From Site Specific SSMVP Program Name From Site Specific SSMVP Program Year From Site Specific SSMVP Project ID From Site Specific SSMVP Incentive Amount From Site Specific SSMVP DEER Building Type Provide DEER building prototype information here Sample Stratum From Site Specific SSMVP Sample Weight From Site Specific SSMVP ED Ex-ante Review Status Yes/No Measure Name Provide the measure name Project Description From Site Specific SSMVP Date of Site Visit Provide date of M&V visit Date of Report Date of Final Site Report Primary Author and Firm Provide authorship and firm affiliation details Review Supervisor and Firm Provide reviewer and firm Type of M&V Provide the evaluation rigor level Basic or Enhanced and Pre/Post or Post Only 5.2.2 Summary of M&V Results Description IOU Ex-ante or Frozen Ex-post Results Ex-ante Claim Data Project Baseline Type (Early From Site Specific SSMVP Replacement, Normal Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP Replacement, Capacity Expansion, New Construction) Project Cost Basis (Full Cost, From Site Specific SSMVP Incremental Cost) Measure Quantity Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP Measure quantity from ex- Verified quantities from M&V visit ante application data Itron, Inc. 5-3 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Description IOU Ex-ante or Frozen Ex-post Results Ex-ante Claim Data RUL (Early retirement From Site Specific SSMVP projects only, otherwise n/a) EUL Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP From Site Specific SSMVP Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP First Year kWh Savings From Site Specific SSMVP Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP First Year Peak Demand From Site Specific SSMVP reduction (kW) First Year Therms Savings Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP From Site Specific SSMVP Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP Annual kWh Savings (RUL From Site Specific SSMVP Period) Peak Demand Reduction (kW) reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP From Site Specific SSMVP (RUL Period) Annual Therms Impact (RUL RUL From Site Specific SSMVP Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP From Site Specific SSMVP Period)34 Annual Peak Demand Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP Period) Annual kWh Savings (EUL – Report differences if any from the SSMVP and Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP From Site Specific SSMVP Reduction (kW) (EUL – RUL Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP Period) Annual Therms Savings (EUL From Site Specific SSMVP – RUL Period) Annual non-IOU Fuel Impact reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP From Site Specific SSMVP (RUL Period) Annual non-IOU Fuel Impact Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP From Site Specific SSMVP (EUL – RUL Period) 34 Report differences if any from the SSMVP and Report differences if any from the SSMVP and reasons for change or deviations from SSMVP Since the RUL does not apply to NC projects, the totals here would be first year savings for NC projects. The annual savings fields should net out the non-IOU fuel impacts from direct measure savings. Itron, Inc. 5-4 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Description IOU Ex-ante or Frozen Ex-post Results Ex-ante Claim Data Net-to-Gross Ratio From IOU tracking database Report the ex-post net to gross ratio from the or n/a if not provided net impact evaluation N/A Ratio of verified quantities from M&V visit and Installation Rate the ex-ante project application claimed quantity (reported in percent – may range from 0% 100%+) Gross Realization Rate - kWh N/A Ratio of ex-post kWh savings and the ex-ante project application claimed kWh savings (reported in percent – may range from 0% 100%+) Gross Realization Rate - kW N/A Ratio of ex-post peak coincident kW demand reduction and the ex-ante project application claimed peak coincident kW demand reduction (reported in percent – may range from 0% 100%+) Gross Realization Rate - N/A Ratio of ex-post therms savings and the ex-ante Therms project application claimed therms savings (reported in percent – may range from 0% 100%+) Itron, Inc. 5-5 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 5.2.3 Detailed M&V Findings Reviewed Parameter Analysis IOU Proposal: Provide a detailed summary of the IOU project eligibility criterion from the ex-ante application. Project Eligibility ED Assessment: Provide a detailed summary of the ex-post project eligibility assessment. IOU Description and Quantity: Provide a detailed description of the IOU measure specifications and quantities. Measure Specification and Quantity As-Found Description and Quantity: Provide a detailed summary of the onsite M&V visit findings. Include any discrepancies or changes to the IOU description. Provide a detailed summary of the desk review activities for Lower Rigor M&V Projects without an on-site verification visit. IOU-Documented Operation: Provide a detailed description of the IOU measure operation and schedules. Measure Operation As-Found Operation: Provide a detailed summary of the on-site M&V visit findings. Include any discrepancies or changes to the IOU description of the measure operation. Project Gross Savings Baseline (for early retirement projects only, include RUL through EUL baseline) IOU Assignment: Provide details of the IOU baseline description. Project Cost Review (for early retirement projects only, include RUL through EUL cost basis treatment) IOU Documented Cost: Provide a detailed summary of the IOU project costs. ED Assessment: Provide the evaluated project gross savings baseline assessment details, as reported in the original SSMVP with changes, if any, due to the on-site M&V visit findings. Reasons for the change and deviations from the SSMVP are to be reported, where needed. ED Assessment: Provide a detailed description of the ex-post project cost assessment activities. 5.2.4 Discrepancy Analysis35 The following table presents impacts on the claimed project savings as a consequence of various discrepancies found during the M&V effort. These adjustments are shown as positive or negative 35 Show the difference as positive or negative adjustment to claimed savings. Itron, Inc. 5-6 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft impact and a percentage (and/or low, medium, or high) impact on the IOU-claimed savings. Where it is possible to calculate the discrepancy, values should be given for each factor. Discrepancy Factor kWh Impact kW Impact Therms Impact Tracking Data Discrepancy with Application Paperwork Ineligible Measure Measure Count Inappropriate Baseline Equipment Specifications Operating Conditions Calculation Method Un-quantified Fuel Impacts Itron, Inc. 5-7 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 5.3 Itron / KEMA and Subcontractor Review As Final Site Reports are completed, they should be labeled as DRAFT versions and the electronic file naming convention for this project should be used (See Section 2.17 ). The subcontractor will be responsible for implementing quality control procedures for each site and application review. At a minimum, the POC will ensure that each draft report has been reviewed by a seasoned energy evaluation professional with a minimum of ten years experience for accuracy, clarity and adherence to the reporting requirements outlined in this document before the document is forwarded to Itron / KEMA for review. Professional level writing is expected for this project. All tables, exhibits, etc. will be numbered and referenced using MSWord auto-numbering and referencing conventions in the text of the report. Reports are expected to be concise and written at a level that can be comprehended by an energy efficiency industry professional who may not have an engineering background but who has a conceptual understanding of the technical aspects of the profession. Itron / KEMA expect to receive documentation that is clear, concise, and error free and respect confidentiality requirements as discussed later in this document. Each report will be tracked from inception through completion and include a table that identifies the company and the first and last name of the primary evaluator, as well as the peer reviewer. Following subcontractor in-house quality control review, all reports and associated supporting calculations, photographs and collected data should be promptly submitted to Itron / KEMA for review and approval. All spreadsheets used for calculations, with all cells active so that underlying formulas and calculations can be reviewed and edited, must also be submitted as an attachment (no embedded documents). The final savings analysis should be summarized on a single worksheet and table (with formatting matching the FSR) and with cells referenced to any other analysis contained in other worksheets or workbooks. A listing of all supporting documents used in the analysis for each project shall be provided. Frequent review of the work in progress is anticipated to allow appropriate inputs at various stages of the project. This will enable projects to meet high technical standards while remaining on schedule. Review and comment for each submission of draft reports, plans, comments or questions, by either Itron / KEMA or by any subcontractor, are targeted for response within one week but must in all cases occur within two (2) weeks for each submission, to allow proper scheduling and project completion. It is incumbent upon the members of the evaluation team to effectively communicate deadlines and priorities. Itron, Inc. 5-8 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft 5.4 Project Process and Subtasks Several steps or subtasks have been outlined in Section 2 and assigned a payment target based on the level of effort. Each evaluator is responsible to manage these subtasks and the allotted pool of site applications within the budget as given in subcontractor task orders. The assigned payment target sets the costs not to exceed for a particular task, and invoicing is submitted on a time and materials basis. Expenses are to be reimbursed at cost or the maximum values allowed by the CPUC ED. These figures and mileage rates will be provided as required to each subcontractor. The estimated budget for each level is also indicated in Section 2. These estimates are to be used for guidance only. The total budget for each site in the SSMVP is the amount not to be exceeded and includes all expenses such as travel and metering costs. However, in any group of sites, offsets for one site at a certain level can be used to account for overruns for other sites at the same level. The engineering portion of the work includes preparation, Site Specific SSMVP development, site visit(s), monitoring, analysis, and the FSR / M&V Results (Final Site Report). The subcontractor management function includes preparation, oversight, quality control and standardization of results, as well as statistical and analytical tasks. Itron, Inc. 5-9 Impact Analysis and Final Site Report 6 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Custom Measure SSMVP36 Project Information37 IOU Application ID Application Date Program ID Program Name Program Year Itron Project ID IOU Claim ID(s) Project Description Field Engineer Supervisor/Reviewer Type of SSMVP Select one or of multiple of the following choices: Pre-Installation M&V Post-Installation M&V (EAR) Post-Installation M&V (ex-post impact evaluation) Pre-Installation verification Post-Installation verification 36 The electronic most current version of this template is designed for use in conducting pre-installation or postinstallation M&V as part of the ex-ante review process or ex-post impact evaluation. Before visiting a site, only the plan columns should be filled out. Within a week of the site visit, as implemented column should be filled out and posted on the Upload site. 37 Many entries are from IOU upload data. Itron, Inc. 6-1 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Site Data Contact Name Contact Title Contact Phone Number IOU Representative Name IOU Representative Phone # Site Visit Consent (required)38 Date of Scheduled Visit IOU Project Description Description IOU Proposed Ex-ante Data or Frozen Ex-ante Data Project Baseline Type (Early Replacement, Normal Replacement, Capacity Expansion, New Construction) Project Cost Basis (Full Cost, Incremental Cost) RUL (required for early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) EUL First Year kWh Savings First Year Peak Demand Reduction (kW) First Year Therms Savings Annual kWh Savings (RUL Period) Peak Demand Reduction (kW) (RUL Period) Annual Therms Impact (RUL Period) Annual kWh Savings39 (EUL – RUL Period) 38 Consent to visit site is a pre-requisite for SSMVP development. A site-specific SSMVP should not be prepared unless participant has agreed to allow access to perform M&V. 39 Since the RUL does not apply to NC projects, the totals here would be the first year annual savings for NC projects. The total savings fields should net out the non-IOU fuel impacts from direct measure savings. Itron, Inc. 6-2 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Description IOU Proposed Ex-ante Data or Frozen Ex-ante Data Peak Demand Reduction (kW) (EUL – RUL Period) Annual Therms Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Annual non-IOU Fuel Impact (RUL Period) Annual non-IOU Fuel Impact (EUL – RUL Period) M&V Plan Summary Plan As Implemented Measure Type Operation Site Data Dependency M&V Scope Quantity Verification (Full or Sample)40 IPMVP Option Measurement41 Specification Verification Eligibility Verification Project Cost Verification Billing History/PPP Status Verification42 Fuel Switching Analysis43 RUL Assessment44 40 When using sampling for verification, briefly describe the sampling method. 41 Explain the reasons for the selection above mentioned IPMVP option. 42 The participant should provide a 12-month billing history and must be paying into PPP funds. 43 Verification and collection of data used for the three-prong test. Itron, Inc. 6-3 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Plan As Implemented Code or Industry Standard Practice Determination45 Sample Stratum Sample Weight HVAC Interactive Effects Non-HVAC Interactive Effects46 Spillover Assessment Contextual Data Collection Savings Calculation Method Plan As Implemented Engineering Calculations47 Energy Use Modeling48 DOE Software (Insulation, AirMaster+, Fan Systems, Pumping Systems ED-Approved Custom Model 8760 Load Shape Development Method 44 Coordinate with the NTG group. 45 Briefly describe the plan to research standard practice, if needed for this project. Include an existing source for code or standard practice (SP). 46 This would include direct multiple measure interaction assessment that would impact gross savings. 47 Engineering calculation formulas may be included now or before preparing an abbreviated site-specific report. 48 Specify eQuest, DOE2, EnergyPro or other ED-approved software. Itron, Inc. 6-4 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Uncertainty Analysis49 Variable Time Frame Estimated Standard Value Deviation Min, Max Distribution Type Field Data Collection Plan Parameter to Parameter M&V M&V Rated Full Accuracy Planned Planned Verify/Measure Range Equipment Instrument Scale of Metering Metering Brand and Quantity Accuracy Expected Duration Interval Model Measurement Operating Hours50 Fluid Temperature Surface Temperature Ambient air temperature Exhaust Gas Temperature Amperage Power Factor Voltage 49 Include ex-ante estimate of uncertainty and expected reduction in uncertainty. 50 For lighting, specify panel-level measurement, CT logging and/or light loggers. Itron, Inc. 6-5 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Parameter to Parameter M&V M&V Rated Full Accuracy Planned Planned Verify/Measure Range Equipment Instrument Scale of Metering Metering Brand and Quantity Accuracy Expected Duration Interval Model Measurement True Power Air Pressure Flow51 Humidity Leakage Other (Specify) Note: Unneeded rows should be deleted. Site M&V Cost Estimate52 51 Specify air, steam, fluid, etc. 52 Show line item hours and cost by billing category for SSMVP preparation, instrument charge, data collection, data analysis and site-specific reporting. Itron, Inc. 6-6 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation 7 SSMVP Example Custom Measure SSMVP Custom Measure M&V Plan Table 7-1: Project Information IOU SCG Application ID 5000858938 Application Date 10/15/2009 Program ID SCG 3611 Program Name Savings By Design Program Year Other Project ID (Claim ID) 2010 2010*3611*5000858938*10 Itron Project IDs G10 Project Description The customer produces fruit juice concentrates, essences and oils. The customer installed a new high efficiency industrial evaporation system (with seven effects vs. three effects) to increase facility throughput. A new 1,500 HP high efficiency steam boiler with oxygen trim controls, blow down heat recovery, flue gas heat recovery and increased R value piping insulation was also installed. Field Engineer/Firm Keith Rothenberg/Energy Metrics Supervisor/Reviewer Al Lutz/Itron Type of M&V Plan [Pre-Installation M&V, Post-Installation M&V (EAR), PostInstallation M&V (ex post impact evaluation), Pre-Installation Verification, or Post-Installation verification] Post-Installation M&V Itron, Inc. 7-1 SSMVP Example Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 7-2: Site Data Contact Name Michael xxxxxx Contact Title VP Operations Contact Phone Number xxxxxxxxxxxxxx IOU Representative Name Rebecca Aleshire IOU Representative Phone # 213.244.1200 Site Visit Consent (required) Yes Date of Scheduled Visit January 9, 2012 Table 7-3: IOU Project Description Description IOU Proposed Ex Ante Data or Frozen Ex Ante Data Project Baseline Type (Early Replacement, Normal Replacement, Capacity Expansion, New Construction) New Construction Project Cost Basis (Full Cost, Incremental Cost) Full Cost RUL (required for early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) NA EUL 15 years First Year kWh Savings 0 First Year Peak Demand kW Savings 0 First Year Therms Savings 583,312 Annual kWh Savings (RUL Period) 0 Peak Demand kW Savings (RUL Period) 0 Annual Therms Impact (RUL Period) NA Annual kWh Savings (EUL – RUL Period) 0 Peak Demand kW Savings (EUL – RUL Period) 0 Annual Therms Savings (EUL – RUL Period) 583,312 Annual Non-IOU Fuel Impact (RUL Period) NA Annual Non-IOU fuel Impact (EUL – RUL Period) NA Itron, Inc. 7-2 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 7-4: M&V Plan Summary (TBD or NA to be used as appropriate; not all fields require entries) Plan As Implemented Measure Type Custom Custom Operation 6,570 hours annually 5,475 hours annually Site Data Dependency Monthly production data from customer, monthly gas meter data from IOU, performance data from equipment manufacturer Data obtained. M&V Scope M&V scope limited to new evaporator impacts. This measure’s ex ante impact is estimated to be 467,633 therms/yr (80%) of the total ex ante impacts (583,312 therms/yr for six heating system measures). No change. Verify installation of the new evaporator and as many of the other measures as possible during the site visit. Collect monthly evaporator throughput production data for the pre and post project periods- minimum 1 year each period. Obtain manufacturer performance data for ex ante baseline evaporator and actual installed evaporator. Quantity Verification (Full or Sample) Full IPMVP Option Option A- Partially measured retrofit isolation No change. Measurement Obtain customer evaporator throughput production data in gallons per month or tons per month. No change. Specification Verification Obtain manufacturer’s selection data for baseline and new installed evaporator showing steam consumption versus product throughput. No change. Eligibility Verification Eligible under Program rules Eligible under Program rules Itron, Inc. No change. 7-3 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Plan As Implemented Project Cost Verification Total cost to be verified by invoices included in application documentation. Incremental cost determination beyond the scope of this assignment due to budget limitations.. No change. Billing History/PPP Status Verification Request monthly gas billing data 2007 to present from IOU Data obtained. Fuel Switching Analysis NA No change. RUL Assessment NA No change. Code or Industry Standard Practice Determination Beyond the scope of this assignment due to budget limitations. An industry standard practice assessment is recommended. Manufacturers will be queried regarding typical evaporators used in this application. No change. HVAC Interactive Effects NA No change. Non-HVAC Interactive Effects NA No change. Sample Stratum Table 7-5: Savings Calculation Method Plan As Implemented Engineering Calculations Determine average annual throughput of new evaporator. Determine pounds of steam per unit of throughput for the installed evaporator and the baseline evaporator. Calculate annual pounds of steam saved. Convert annual pounds of steam saved into annual boiler input therms saved. No change. Energy Use Modeling NA No change. DOE Software (Insulation, NA AirMaster+, Fan Systems, Pumping Systems No change. ED-Approved Custom Model NA No change. 8760 Load Shape Development Method NA No change. Itron, Inc. 7-4 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Table 7-6: Uncertainty Analysis Variable Value in reducing Estimated (important uncertainty Value savings (high/medium/low) determinants) Accuracy Min, Max Distribution Type Annual throughput (lbs) High 262,800,000 lbs +/- 15% 223,380,000- Normal 302,220,000 lbs. Baseline evaporator steam consumption/ product throughput (full capacity) High 10,300 lb/hr +/- 20% steam/40,000 lbs/hr product 8,240-12,360 Normal lb/hr steam/40,000 lbs/hr product Installed evaporator steam consumption/ product throughput (full capacity) High 4,400 lb/hr +/- 20% steam/40,000 lbs/hr product 3,520-5,280 Normal lb/hr steam/40,000 lbs/hr product Table 7-7: Parameter to Verify/Measure (delete nonapplicable rows) Parameter Range Operating Hours 0-7,000 annually Product Flow 0-40,000 lbs/hr. M&V Equipment Brand and Model M&V Instrument Qty Rated Full Scale Accuracy Accuracy of Expected Measurement Planned Metering Duration Planned Metering Interval na na na na na na Customer SCADA TBD TBD 2 years TBD Other (Specify) Note: Operating hours will be determined from customer interviews. Itron, Inc. 7-5 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Draft Site M&V Cost Estimate M&V plan preparation: Site Visit preparation: Instrument charge: Site Work: Data collection and data analysis: Site-specific reporting: Total: $ 978 $ 340 $ $ 1,920 $ 2,040 $ 1,700 $ 6,978 Ex-Ante Engineering Calculation (additional details) NA Itron, Inc. 7-6 SSMVP Template for Impact Evaluation 8 Final Site Report (FSR) Template for Impact Evaluation Site-Specific Ex-post M&V Results Project Information IOU Application ID Application Date Program ID Program Name Program Year Project ID Incentive Amount DEER Building Type Sample Stratum Sample Weight ED Ex-Ante Review Status ED Measure Name Project Description Date of Site Visit Date of Report Primary Reviewer and Firm Review Supervisor and Firm Type of M&V Itron, Inc. Yes/No Basic or Enhanced and Pre/Post or Post only 8-1 Final Report Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Summary of M&V Results Description IOU Claim or Frozen Exante Claim Data Ex-post Results Project Baseline Type (Early Replacement, Normal Replacement, Capacity Expansion, New Construction) Project Cost Basis (Full Cost, Incremental Cost) Measure Quantity RUL (Early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) EUL First Year kWh Savings First Year Peak Demand kW Savings First Year Therms Savings Annual kWh Savings (RUL Period) Peak Demand kW Savings (RUL Period) Annual Therms Impact (RUL Period) Annual kWh Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Peak Demand kW Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Annual Therms Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Annual Non-IOU Fuel Impact (RUL Period) Itron, Inc. 8-2 Final Report Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Description IOU Claim or Frozen Exante Claim Data Ex-post Results Annual Non-IOU fuel Impact (EUL – RUL Period) Net-to-Gross Ratio Installation Rate Gross Realization Rate Detailed M&V Findings Reviewed Parameter Project Eligibility Analysis IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: Measure Specification and Quantity IOU Description and Quantity: Measure Operation IOU-Documented Operation: As-Found Description and Quantity: As-Found Operation: IOU Assignment: Project Gross Savings Baseline (for early retirement ED Assessment: projects only, include RUL through EUL baseline) Project Cost Review (for early retirement projects only, include RUL through EUL cost basis treatment) Itron, Inc. IOU Documented Cost: ED Assessment: 8-3 Final Report Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Reviewed Parameter Analysis RUL (required for early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) IOU Assignment: EUL IOU Assignment: ED Assessment: ED Assessment: Savings Assumptions IOU Assumptions: ED Assessment: Calculation Method IOU Method: ED Method: Pre- and/or PostInstallation M&V53 IOU M&V: ED M&V Results: Net-to-Gross Review IOU Assignment: ED Assessment: Reference ED-developed documents such as standard practice research. Discrepancy Analysis54 The following table presents adjustments made to the claimed project savings on account of various discrepancies found during the M&V effort. These adjustments are shown as positive or negative impact on the IOU-claimed savings. 53 Reference SSMVP as appropriate. 54 Show the difference as positive or negative adjustment to claimed savings. Itron, Inc. 8-4 Final Report Template for Impact Evaluation Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Discrepancy Factor kWh Impact KW Impact Therms Impact Tracking Data Discrepancy Ineligible Measure Measure Count Inappropriate Baseline Equipment Specifications Operating Conditions Calculation Method Un-quantified Fuel Impacts Itron, Inc. 8-5 Final Report Template for Impact Evaluation 9 Sample Final Site Report Example for Impact Evaluation FSR (Site-Specific Ex-post M&V Results) Project Information IOU SCG Application ID 5000858938 Application Date 10/15/2009 Program ID SCG 3611 Program Name Savings By Design Program Year 2010 Project ID 2010*3611*5000858938*10 Incentive Amount $375,000 for the measure evaluated, $500,000 total DEER Building Type TBD Sample Stratum TBD Sample Weight TBD ED Ex Ante Review Status No ED Measure Name TBD Project Description The customer produces fruit juice concentrates, essences and oils. The customer installed a new high efficiency industrial evaporation system to increase facility throughput. A new 1,500 HP high efficiency steam boiler with oxygen trim controls, blow down heat recovery, flue gas heat recovery and increased R value piping insulation was also installed. Date of Site Visit 1/9/2012 Itron, Inc. 9-1 Sample Final Site Report Example Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Date of Report 1/13/2012 Primary Reviewer and Firm Keith Rothenberg/Energy Metrics Review Supervisor and Firm Type of M&V Post-Only Summary of M&V Results Description Frozen Ex Ante Claim Data Ex Post Results Project Baseline Type (Early Replacement, Normal Replacement, Capacity Expansion, New Construction) New Construction New Construction Project Cost Basis (Full Cost, Incremental Cost) Incremental Cost Incremental Cost Measure Quantity 1 1 for the measure evaluated. Site visit verification revealed that boiler blow down heat recovery was not installed. RUL (Early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) NA NA EUL 20 20 First Year kWh Savings 0 0 First Year KW Savings 0 0 First Year Therms Savings 467,633 therms are associated with the measure evaluated 99,162 therms are associated with the measure evaluated Total kWh Savings (RUL Period) Total KW Savings (RUL Period) Therms Impact (RUL Period) Total kWh Savings (EUL – RUL Itron, Inc. 9-2 Sample Final Site Report Example Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Description Frozen Ex Ante Claim Data Ex Post Results Installation Rate NA 1 for the measure evaluated. Site visit verification revealed that boiler blow down heat recovery was not installed. Gross Realization Rate N/A 0.212 (therms) Period) Total KW Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Total Therms Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Total non-IOU Fuel Impact (RUL Period) Total non-IOU fuel Impact (EUL – RUL Period) Net-to-Gross Ratio Detailed M&V Findings Reviewed Parameter Analysis Project Eligibility IOU Proposal: Eligible ED Assessment Eligible Measure Specification and Quantity IOU Description and Quantity A new 7 effects evaporator was installed with a design feed rate of 40,000 lbs./hr. As-Found Description and Quantity Same Measure Operation Itron, Inc. IOU-Documented Operation 9-3 Sample Final Site Report Example Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Reviewed Parameter Analysis Average feed rate 36,000 lbs./hr., 6,570 hours annually. As-Found Operation Average feed rate 33,930 lbs./hr., 5,475 hours annually. Project Gross Savings Baseline (for early retirement projects only, include RUL through EUL baseline) IOU Assignment: Project Cost Review (for early retirement projects only, include RUL through EUL cost basis treatment) IOU Documented Cost: $750,000 estimated incremental cost. Documentation for incremental cost for this measure is not included. Installed measure cost documentation is included. 3 effects evaporator with a design feed rate of 40,000 lbs./hr. ED Assessment: 5 effects evaporator with a design feed rate of 40,000 lbs./hr. ED determined that 5 effects is the current minimum used in the industry. ED Assessment: Unable to verify incremental cost for the measure evaluated. Itron, Inc. 9-4 Sample Final Site Report Example Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Reviewed Parameter Analysis RUL (required for early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) IOU Assignment: NA ED Assessment: NA EUL IOU Assignment: 20 years ED Assessment: 20 Years Savings Assumptions IOU Assumptions: Average feed rate 36,000 lbs./hr., 6,570 hours annually, 7 effects evaporator compared to 3 effects evaporator baseline. ED Assessment: Feed rate and annual hours assumptions were reasonable for ex ante estimates, however the 3 effects evaporator baseline was not appropriate. Calculation Method IOU Method: Spreadsheet analysis ED Method: Spreadsheet analysis Pre- and/or PostInstallation M&V IOU M&V: None ED M&V Results: Average feed rate and annual hours of operation were provided by the customer. Net-to-Gross Review IOU Assignment: ED Assessment: Itron, Inc. 9-5 Sample Final Site Report Example Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Discrepancy Analysis The following table presents adjustments made to the claimed project savings on account of various discrepancies found during the M&V effort. These adjustments are shown as positive or negative impact on the IOU-claimed savings. Discrepancy Factor kWh Impact KW Impact Therms Impact Tracking Data Discrepancy Ineligible Measure Measure Count Inappropriate Baseline -341,372 (-73%) Equipment Specifications Operating Conditions -27,099 (-6%) Calculation Method Unquantified Fuel Impacts Itron, Inc. 9-6 Sample Final Site Report Example 10 Ex-ante Review Plan Development Guidelines This WO033 may be supported by ex ante freezing activities in WO002 and by pre-retrofit metering in that work order for sites sampled in this custom impact evaluation. The guidelines for plan development are similar to those in this effort and that document should be reviewed by evaluators for this evaluation. Ex Ante Review and Lower Rigor Findings for Program Assessment Project Information IOU Application ID Application Date Program ID Program Name Program Year Project ID IOU Ex Ante Savings Date ED Measure Name Project Description Date of ED Review Primary Reviewer and Firm First & Last Name/Itron Review Supervisor and Firm First & Last Name/Subcontractor Firm Type of Review (Desk, Onsite, Full M&V, Tool) ED Recommendation Itron, Inc. (For EARs, sample verbiage: No Approval – Additional Information Requested. For prospective reviews: “Pending Delivery of Additional Information Requested.” 10-1 Ex-ante Review Development Guidelines Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Measure Description Insert measure description here; a concise paragraph or two at the most will suffice. Summary of Review Describe the documents reviewed in first paragraph. Describe your understanding or lack of understanding of the project based on all of the documents provided in paragraph 2. Describe any discrepancies, missing information, problems or issues observed with project or analysis in the third, fourth, etc. paragraph. The last paragraph can include the final application savings submitted, such as therm, kWh, and peak demand savings were X therms, Y kWh and Z kW, respectively, with an incentive level set at $XXX,000. Include any inconsistencies in the values highlighted in the documents provided. Review Conclusion For EARs can say “not approved”, or “pending submission of additional data request and analysis”. Can provide specific program eligibility issues or baseline issues here. In this section you can also describe a recommended ISP baseline study or ex ante NTG interview. Any pertinent conclusions of findings can be listed here, in one concise paragraph. For prospective reviews, remove any approval language, since this project was implemented. Description IOU Proposed Ex Ante Data Project Baseline Type (Early Replacement, Normal Replacement, Capacity Expansion, System Optimization) Concise descriptions in these boxes. ED’s Recommendations Project Cost Basis (Full Cost, Incremental Cost) RUL (Early retirement projects only, otherwise N/A (not applicable) EUL First Year kWh Savings First Year Peak kW Savings First Year Therms Savings Total kWh Savings (RUL Period) Peak kW Savings (RUL Period) Total Therms Impact (RUL Period) Total kWh Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Itron, Inc. 10-2 Ex-ante Review Development Guidelines Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Description IOU Proposed Ex Ante Data ED’s Recommendations Common verbiage: Not available (spell out “Not available”, N/A means not applicable) Common verbiage: Assessment not completed Peak kW Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Total Therms Savings (EUL – RUL Period) Total non-IOU Fuel Impact (RUL Period) Total non-IOU fuel Impact (EUL – RUL Period) Net-to-Gross Ratio Itron, Inc. 10-3 Ex-ante Review Development Guidelines Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Detailed Review Findings Reviewed Parameter Analysis Project Gross Savings Baseline (for early retirement projects only, include RUL through EUL baseline) IOU Proposal: Provide more detailed descriptions, qualifiers, and explanations than previous table. ED Assessment: ED Recommendation: Project Cost Basis (for early retirement projects only, include RUL through EUL cost basis treatment) IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: ED recommendation: RUL (required for early retirement projects only, otherwise n/a) IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: ED recommendation: EUL IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: ED Recommendation: Savings Assumptions IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: Itron, Inc. 10-4 Ex-ante Review Development Guidelines Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Reviewed Parameter Analysis ED Recommendation: Calculation Methods/Tool review IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: ED Recommendation: Pre- or PostInstallation M&V Plan IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: ED Recommendation: Net-to-Gross Review IOU Proposal: ED Assessment: ED Recommendation: Itron, Inc. 10-5 Ex-ante Review Development Guidelines Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Table 10-1: Summary of Lower Rigor Review Program Assessment Factor Required by Program (yes/no) Provided for Project (0 - no, 1 – partial, 2 -full) Should be Required / Provided in Future Ex ante conditions vary from as found Ineligible measure (maintenance, short life, etc.) Code or Industry Standard Practice Inappropriate Baseline Program Rule Violation RUL considered Appropriate Calculation Method Reasonable Savings Claim Reasonable Input Values Interactive Effects Correctly treated Properly Quantified Interactive Impacts Fuel Switching Allowed Fuel Switching Supported with 3 prong Test Customer Pays Fully into PPP Charges Itron, Inc. 10-6 Ex-ante Review Development Guidelines 11 Appendix 1: Site Data Collection Form This form is used to collect site and contextual data and is for guidance and internal use by each evaluator. Reporting instruction for this data will be provided in future instructions and trainings. CPUC 2010-2012 WO033 Custom Impact Site Data Collection Form Site Data Collection and Interview Information Itron Project ID/Customer Name: Measure(s) Evaluated: Primary Services or Products: Seasonal variations in the level of occupancy or use: Does evaluated measure(s) operate when facility is closed? Are there any regularly scheduled plant shut downs when the measure does not operate (hrs/days)? 1) Early retirement requires calculation of energy savings using the existing equipment as the baseline for energy use (verses the current standards), but only for the remaining useful life of the equipment. This can apply to all measures, particularly lighting and equipment replacement. If the measure is an early retirement measure: a) At the time the equipment was replaced, how many years were left in its useful life (without major repairs which may have led to replacement)? ____________ b) How old was the equipment that was removed and replaced? _______________ c) Was the existing equipment fully functional, fully functioning but with significant problems, or non-functional? __________________________________________ d) How often was major non-scheduled maintenance required and of what type? _____________________________________________________________ Itron, Inc. 11-1 Site Data Collection Form Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 e) How often had the equipment failed recently, and over what time period? _________________________________________________________________ f) How satisfactory was the performance of the old equipment? ________________ g) How long would the old equipment have met the technical and performance needs of the facility? _____________________________________________________ 2) Does the customer have any reason to believe that there will be any changes in the operation of the primary measure? a) Changes in hours ___________________________________________________ b) Changes in load ____________________________________________________ c) Impact on annual kWh savings ________________________________________ d) Impact on peak Demand reduction (kW) _______________________________________________ 3) Any perceived non-energy benefits, e.g., increased production, increased comfort, new equipment, environmental branding, etc.? _______________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________ 4) Were there any drawbacks to the energy efficiency measure? ___________________ ___________________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________ 5) Was there a production increase when the new measure was installed? _________ If answer YES, then: a) Was the production increase enabled by the new equipment? ________________ _________________________________________________________________ b) Would you have increased your production if you had not installed the new equipment? ________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ 6) Record all measure specific contextual data. (see below) ___________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________ Itron, Inc. 11-2 Baseline Guidance Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Measure Specific Contextual Data Heating System Winter occupied setpoint (F) Monitored heating system type (furnace, air/water/ground source heat pump, boiler) Monitored heating system year of installation All Non-Residential Comfort Cooling Measures Summer occupied setpoint (F) Total non-backup capacity in tons associated with measure Monitored system type—type of coils in supply air fan (refrigerant, chilled water) Monitored system supply air flow control strategy (constant, variable volume, or cycling) Monitored system outside air strategy (none, fixed %, fixed cfm, economizer) Monitored compressor type (reciprocating, screw, centrifugal, scroll, other) Monitored packaged unit or chiller make and model number Water-Side Measure on Chilled Water-Based Cooling System Chilled water temperature control strategy (constant, reset based on OAT, reset based on load, other) Condenser water temperature control strategy (constant, Outdo reset, OAT wb reset, load reset, other) Supply Air Fans Predominant summer supply air temperature setpoint for areas affected by measure (F) Supply air temperature control scheme for system affected by measure (constant, reset, manually adjusted, other) Supply air pressure reset control scheme for system affected by measure (constant, reset, manually adjusted, other) Monitored fan type (forward curved, back inclined, airfoil, vane axial, other) Monitored fan flow control (constant volume, cycle, VSD, inlet vane, outlet damper, variable pitch, other) Monitored motor nameplate hp, volts, amps, efficiency, and power factor Pumps (Chilled Water and Condenser Water) Monitored pump flow control (constant volume, cycle, VSD, throttle, other) Monitored motor nameplate hp, volts, amps, efficiency, and power factor Cooling Towers Condenser water temperature control strategy (constant, OAT db reset, OAT wb reset, load reset, manual reset, other) Fan control strategy (single speed, two-speed, variable speed, multiple motors, combination) Process Refrigeration - Heat Rejection Side Measures Condenser approach temperature (F) Minimum head pressure setpoint (psi) Process Refrigeration - Evaporator Side Measures Defrost type (hot gas, resistance, timer, etc.) Load type (refrigerated storage, frozen storage, chilling product, freezing product) Agricultural Pumping Acres under irrigation Itron, Inc. 11-3 Baseline Guidance 12 Appendix 2: Flowchart for Creation of SSMVP and FSRs Step 1 Itron ManagementReview Application/Project File Step 10 Step 19 CPUC TaskReview Draft SSMVP Itron ManagementReview Revised Final Report Step 11 Step 20 Step 2 Itron ManagementReview CPUC Comments CPUC TaskReview Draft Final Report Itron ManagementApplication Assignment Summary (type of eval) Step 12 Step 21 Evaluator TaskRevise SSMVP if necessary Itron ManagementReview CPUC Comments Step 3 Evaluator TaskReview Application/Project File Step 13 Step 22 Itron ManagementApprove SSMVP Evaluator TaskRevise Final Report Step 4 Itron ManagementDirect M&V Plan Step 14 Step 23 Evaluator TaskSite Work Itron ManagementReview and Approve Final Report Step 5 Evaluator TaskPrepare Draft SSMVP Step 15 Evaluator TaskCompile Draft of Final Report Step 6 Evaluator TaskDraft SSMVP Internal Quality Control and Review Step 16 Evaluator TaskDraft FSR QC & Review Step 7 Itron ManagementReview Draft SSMVP Step 17 Itron ManagementReview Draft of Final Report Step 8 Evaluator TaskRevise SSMVP Step 18 Evaluator TaskRevise Draft of Final Report Step 9 Itron ManagementReview Final SSMVP Itron, Inc. 12-1 Baseline Guidance 13 Baseline Guidance Energy Division Methodology for Determination of Baseline for Gross Savings Estimate (Current Version) Itron, Inc. 13-1 Baseline Guidance Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 Review of Baseline for Gross Savings Estimates The estimation of ex ante saving values requires the selection of a baseline performance for every project. The baseline selection and specific baseline parameters are of primary importance to establishing the ex ante savings estimates. The baseline parameters are selected by establishing the project category from the possible alternatives including New Construction or Major Renovations, program induced Early Retirement, Standard Retrofit or Normal/Natural Replacement/Turnover, and Replace on Burnout. These alternative categories result in the utilization of alternative baseline parameters set by Code or Standard requirements, industry standard practice, CPUC policy, or other considerations. In the review of IOU projects, Energy Division will follow the guidelines as presented here in establishing the baseline for all gross savings estimates. Pre-existing equipment55 baselines are only used in cases where the preponderance of evidence indicates the program has induced the replacement rather than merely caused an increase in efficiency in a replacement that would have occurred in the absence of the program. This preponderance is based on the more convincing evidence and its probable truth or accuracy, and not on the amount of evidence. Pre-existing equipment baselines are only used for the portion of the remaining useful life (RUL) of the pre-existing equipment that was eliminated due to the program. These early or accelerated retirement cases may require the use of a “dual baseline” analysis that utilizes the pre-existing equipment baseline during an initial RUL period and a code requirement/industry standard practice baseline for the balance of the EUL of the new equipment. A pre-existing equipment baseline is used as the gross baseline only when there is compelling evidence that the pre-existing equipment has a remaining useful life and that the program activity induced or accelerated the equipment replacement. This baseline can only apply for the RUL of the pre-existing equipment. A code requirement or industry standard practice baseline is used for replace on burnout, natural turnover and new construction (including major rehabilitation projects) situations. This baseline applies for the entire EUL as well as the RUL+1 through EUL period of program induced early retirement of pre-existing equipment cases (the second period of the dual baseline case). 55 Here the term equipment is intended to cover all technology cases including envelope components, HVAC components and process equipment and may also include configuration and controls options. Itron, Inc. 13-2 Baseline Guidance Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 CPUC policy rules and IOU program eligibility rules govern the baseline A careful review of utility and third-party program and CPUC policy rules must be undertaken and adjustments applied to gross savings in some cases. Adjustments are indicated for gross savings when there was clear evidence from program or policy rules that savings claims could not be made nor rebates paid for the baseline in question. Program rules come into play with respect to gross baseline requirements, for example, when those rules specify: a minimum required efficiency level; a minimum percentage improvement above applicable minimum code requirement; a minimum RUL of the existing equipment; the type or range of retrofits that are allowed be included in a program. CPUC policy may apply to establishing gross baseline when Policy Manual Rules, a CPUC Decision or a decision maker Ruling includes special requirements or consideration for the situation or technologies of a measure. For example, projects or sites that involve fuel switching, co-generation or renewable technologies are usually subject to special baseline considerations (or other considerations) that must be considered in the savings estimates. Minimum production level or service requirements govern the baseline In some situations, a measure for which savings might be claimed could be determined to be the only acceptable equipment for an application. In such cases, the baseline must be set at the minimum needed to meet the requirements, which may be the same as the equipment planned for installation. An example would be an industrial process where only a variable-speed drive pumping system could meet the production requirements. For situations where the baseline conditions or requirements were changed (such as production level changes), the baseline equipment is defined as the minimum equipment needed to meet the revised conditions. If the pre-existing equipment is not capable of reliably meeting the new requirement (such as production change) for its remaining life, then a new equipment baseline must be established utilizing either minimum code requirement or industry standard practice equipment, whichever is applicable. Industry standard practice baselines are established to reflect typical actions absent the program Industry standard practice baselines establish typically adopted industry-specific efficiency levels that would be expected to be utilized absent the program. Standard practice determination must be supported by recent studies or market research that reflects current market activity. Typically market studies should be less than five years old; however this guideline is dependent on the rate of change in the market of interest relative to the equipment in question. For example, Itron, Inc. 13-3 Baseline Guidance Evaluation of the 2010-2012 Custom Impact Evaluation Procedures Documents – Jan 2012 the lighting markets may change significantly in the next two years while larger process equipment markets might change more slowly. Regulatory changes might cause very rapid market practice shifts and must also be considered. For example, changes in federal standards relating to linear fluorescent ballasts will result in rapid market shifts of equipment use. Itron, Inc. 13-4 Baseline Guidance
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