Wireless Industry Overview: The Impact of Competition and Financialization on Wireless Workers CWA Wireless Workers Conference November 2016, San Antonio, TX 1 The Wireless Communications Industry is Dynamic 2 Wireless coverage approaching 100%. Majority of households soon to be wirelessonly Market penetration at 116% of subscribers Data is taking off! Wireless Data Traffic (Billions of MB) 77,200 9,650 867 3,230 2011 2013 Sources: CTIA and Cisco 2015 2020 (est.) Content Companies & Network Carriers in the Wireless Industry: A Virtuous Circle Google, Netflix, Facebook, etc. Content: Web Sites Social Media Music Video VOIP Games Smart Car Smart Home AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, Sprint Infrastructure: Cell sites Spectrum Satellites Fiber Copper Services: Voice, Text, Email, Internet Access 3 The Companies Who Build and Service the Networks New Entrants: Google Cable Cos. 4 Networks Require Greater Investment than Apps & Social Media CapEx for Wireless and Content Companies in 2015 ($ billion) $11.7 Network Carriers Content Providers $9.9 $8.9 $6.0 $4.7 $2.5 $0.5 AT&T Mobility 5 Verizon Wireless T-Mobile Sprint Google Facebook LinkedIn $0.0 Pandora Employment at the Network Carriers Leveling Off – but watch out for contractors Direct Wireless Carrier Employees 250,393 235,818 233,067 184,449 Contractors 68,165 21,382 2,727 1985 1990 1995 Source: CTIA, Annual Wireless Survey 6 2000 2005 2010 2015 Wireless Market Share (and the fight over subscribers) Total Wireless Subscribers for Wireless Service Providers 2Q2016 (millions) 142.8 131.8 67.4 58.4 Verizon Wireless AT&T Mobility Source: FierceWireless, August 15, 2016 7 Sprint T-Mobile Price Competition Drives Down ARPU (average revenue per unit) Estimated Monthly ARPU 2010 vs. 2016 $51.51 $48.92 $49.68 $47.96 Negative ARPU trend puts pressure on network companies to deliver profits Company response: $46.50 $37.89 $33.89 $34.77 – – Verizon Wireless AT&T Mobility Source: BoA Merrill Lynch 8 Sprint T-Mobile 2010: Solid Color 2016: Striped Sales programs to attract and retain customers “efficiency” programs to cut labor costs Company Response: Attract and Retain Customers Company Goals: – – – 9 Maintain current customers to stabilize churn Acquire new customers to increase profitability Increase number of devices, services, accounts per customer Company Tactics: Sales and marketing programs – – – – – Bundling Early Termination Fee buyouts Free devices No contracts - EIPs Retention Company Response: “Efficiencies” to Target Workers Company Goals: – Reduce overhead and labor costs Company Tactics: – – – – – – 10 Performance metrics Monitoring “At risk” pay Outsourcing Replace workers with technology Forced overtime Outsourcing – Tactic to Cut Costs Use non-union, low-wage call centers – – – – Shift retail function to third-party, authorized dealers – – 11 AT&T has presence in the Philippines, Mexico, and elsewhere VZ contracted out over 5,000 jobs in the Philippines, Dominican Republic, and Mexico TMUS has 17 in-house and 25 outsourced centers Sprint has cut 6,000 customer service jobs in three years due to technology and outsourcing – GameStop now owns 1,421 AT&T authorized stores 20% of 10,000 T-Mobile retail stores, are corporate owned All carriers sell through Best Buy, Costco, Target, etc. Unreasonable Metrics Drive Bad Customer Service Ratio of Consumer Complaints about Fraudulent Enrollment per One Million Subscribers, 2013-16 10.1 7.1 5.9 5.0 T-Mobile 12 Sprint Verizon AT&T In This Competitive Environment, Some Prosper More than Others Changes in Productivity, Share Price, and Wages for Customer Service Representative at AT&T Mobility Texas 2004-2015 (2004=100) 147% 108% 43% Productivity 13 Share Price Wages Some Prosper More than Others, Part 2 Wirelesss Industry and Inequality John Legere (3-year avg) TMUS Call Center Worker Wichita, KS $20,405,296 $29,286 R. Stephenson (3-year avg) AT&T Mobility CSR 1 Texas $20,750,211 $36,656 L. McAdam (3-year avg) 14 VZ retail worker Brooklyn $23,940,766 $58,421 Financial Strip Mining at AT&T and Verizon Financialization = Financial strip-mining: – – Shareholder Reward = Dividends + Share Buybacks – – 15 Company is seen as a cash cow Rewards flow to shareholders 126% of net income at AT&T, 2011 - 2015 98% of net income at Verizon, 2011 - 2015 Consquences of Financial StripMining in a Competitive Industry 16 Competition exerts Could lead to pressure on revenue – Increases in debt and earnings – Delay in network upgrades Financialization – Decline in network siphons off profits for quality investors and execs, so less money is available – Decline in service quality – Increase in income for cap ex and wages inequality and benefits Summing Up… 17 Wireless industry is dynamic Content companies are thriving but not paying their fair share of building the network Network carriers in fierce competition Pressure to cut costs harms workers Aggressive sales tactics harm customers and may be unethical CEOs and shareholders rewarded handsomely The Challenge for CWA Union-Eligible Jobs in the Wireless Industry Organized Increase union presence Unorganized Sprint 13% AT&T Mobility 33% TMobile 21% VZW 33% 18 Contractors CWA’s Goals: Negotiate for our share of success Take on Wall Street One Industry, One Workforce, One Fight
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