Boosting manure-biogas through external carbon inputs - Environmental consequences and system perspectives on how to prioritize the biomass ressources Lorie Hamelin [email protected] Nordic Biogas Conference, Reykjavik, August 2014 Outline • WHY biogas is a good idea • WHEN biogas is a good idea • HOW biogas is a good idea 2 Context • Extremely interconnected world • Strategic research: Must quantified in a future perspective: – Decisions are taken TODAY, but will generate consequences in the FUTURE 3 The future • Background conditions for possible futures: – – – – More people to feed More meat & dairy on the menu Increased demand for land-dependant bioenergy Uncertainty prospects for yield increase (P accessibility, pollinator decline, climate change impacts, etc.) 4 System Integration Agricultural / land system Energy system (Organic) waste system 5 System Integration Agricultural / land system Energy system BIOGAS (Organic) waste system 6 1) The land system (why) 7 Global outlook on land use (today) 13 Gha of land area on Earth: •4.89 Gha agricultural land 1.53 Gha arable land; 3.36 Gha pastures •4.04 Gha forest 3.76 Gha natural forest; 0.28 Gha plantations Uncultivable 19% Rest 12% Arable land 12% Pasture 26% Forest 31% •4.09 Gha other land 2.50 Gha uncultivable (tundra, ice, desert); 1.59 Gha rest (built-up land, savannah, etc.) (FAOSTAT, retrieved in 2012; FAO 2010; Kampman et al. 2008; Kok et al. 2008) 8 Land use changes DLUC LUC Food/feed crop Energy crop ILUC LUC Nature Cropland Intensification 9 2) The energy system (why/when) 10 The challenge of fluctuating renewables Circles: surplus wind In pink: wind not enough Electricity produced from wind power vs demand. Modelled as 2008 capacity + 3000 MW (to represent 2020), for January (744 hours). Adapted from Hansen (2011). 11 3) Case study example (HOW) - external C co-substrates to boost manure-based biogas (in Denmark) 12 Context • Ambition (DK): 50% of the manure produced to be digested by 2020 • Carbon rich co-substrates necessary to ensure economical sustainability 13 Aim Goal: investigating environmental consequences of different co-substrate strategies for drastic increase in manure-biogas FU: 1 ton manure ex-animal 1.002 ton manure exhousing Energy crops (maize silage) Straw Household biowaste Commercial biowaste + Garden waste Sourcesegregated solid manure None (Monodigestion) =>: 7 baseline scenarios 14 LCA System boundary - Energy crop (maize silage) Greener agriculture for a Bluer Baltic Sea 28-08-2014 15 LCA System boundary - Energy crop (maize silage) Greener agriculture for a Bluer Baltic Sea 28-08-2014 16 LCA System boundary - Energy crop (maize silage) ILUC Greener agriculture for a Bluer Baltic Sea 28-08-2014 17 Lost alternatives 1.002 ton manure exhousing Energy crops (maize silage) LUC Straw Household biowaste Combustion Commercial biowaste + Garden waste Compost Sourcesegregated solid manure None (Monodigestion) Ref. manure mgmt 18 Selected LCA results - Global Warming 1018 ILUC Impacts 2000 1000 0 -1000 -143 -101 -32 -128 -313 -2000 -3000 -1256 AVOIDED REFERENCE MANURE MANAGEMENT Savings kg CO2 eq. per FU 3000 19 Conclusions • In a 100% RES, biomass is the only source of C. • The environmental cost (GHG-wise) of biomass is potentially very high • Biogas, because it is storable and versatile, allows to use biomass efficiently • Significant environmental benefits of avoiding reference manure management, whenever this is possible • Biogas strategy based on energy crop: important to remember why we produce biogas at the first place • Straw and biowastes better used for manure-biogas than for their other uses (not universal for all substrates, though!) • C recycling: biogas is also a key for maintaining soil C balances • Biogas as a key to integration between land and energy systems: Any strategy allowing to minimize land use is a must for a “sustainable” future.20 Questions & Discussions [email protected] For more details: •Hamelin L, Naroznova I, Wenzel H (2014). Environmental consequences of different carbon alternatives for increased manure-based biogas. Applied Energy 114, 774-782. •Hamelin L. (2013) Carbon management and environmental consequences of agricultural biomass in a Danish renewable energy strategy. PhD Thesis, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark. The correspondence for all references cited in this presentation can be found in the above-mentioned PhD thesis. 21
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