Endangering Cotonou! EPAs: Towards Development or Disempowerment? Muyatwa Sitali JCTR/Jubilee-Zambia ESA EPA Information Seminar 31 May 2007, Lusaka – ZAMBIA Who’s Afraid of EPAs That “EPAs are a threat to progress of development including the attainment of MDGs” is a widely expressed concern by many organisations, associations, groups and societies. “... we come to the conclusion that they (EPAs) are not in line with our principles. On the contrary, they are a threat to the well-being of our people and our economic development. While we appreciate the development objectives of the Cotonou Partnership Agreement, we are mindful that in the current negotiations the European Union and our governments have lost sight of these objectives.” 24 Church organisations meeting in Tanzania, April 2007 EPA process and Concerns Concerned that at this advanced stage of the negotiations, Africa’s priorities have not been positively and adequately addressed by the European Commission” Ministers responsible of Trade of the African Union—January 2007. “There is still no confidence yet in the ability of EPAs to be pro-development.” UNECA, December 2006 “A major concern is the impact that the trade liberalisation to be wrought by EPAs would have on fiscal revenue… The prospect of falling government revenue…imposes a heavy burden on your countries (ACPs) and threatens to further hinder your ability to achieve the Millennium Development Goals.” Former UN Secretary General, Kofi Annan EPA process and concerns “We are not ready to embark on full market reciprocity arrangements…” Hon. Dora Siliya, Dep. Minister of MCTI, Zambia, April, 2007. “I am more convinced that the EPAs stand to knock us back. EPAs stand to harm us…. They will only benefit our European partners. The ACP must sit up and look at this issue critically.” Kwame Osei-Prempeh, Ghanaian MP at a Joint EU – ACP Parliamentary Assembly in Brussels; 2005 Why the concerns? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. EU’s limited view on development Uncertainties about how much should be liberalised – EU’s proposals to liberalise 80 per cent of all trade. Divergences on Benchmarks and the Review clause Differences on Differential Treatment and commitments Misunderstanding Art. XXIV on “substantially all trade” Ambiguities regarding WTO Compatibility --“Reasonable length of time” Pressure to meet 2007 deadline rather than development Double standards on financial cooperation and assistance 1. EU’s limited view on development The EC favours an approach that would indiscriminately open ESA markets inline with the EUs Lisbon Strategy of 2000 which aims at making Europe "the most competitive and dynamic knowledge-driven economy by 2010“ by: Reduced Non-tariff barriers to the EU exports and investments: “We need to look at the whole operating environment in third countries” says the Commission, and make sure regulation is transparent, non discriminating and the least restrictive possible. Better access to raw material inputs in order to compete on a “fair basis”; the main goal here is to completely eliminate export taxes and other export restrictions which trading partners use to secure their own raw materials supply. The opening up of public procurement markets! This is an “enormous untapped potential” for EU exporters says the Commission however practices in partner countries “impede” the “fair” participation of EU suppliers and “…shut [them] out from important exporting opportunities”. Improvement of the application of trade defence (anti-dumping) mechanism by third countries, which often cancels out the obtained market access for EU in ACPs. 2. Uncertainties about how much should be liberalised – EU’s proposals to liberalise 80 per cent of all trade is contrary to EU’s development history 3. Different views on Benchmarks and the Review clause ESA group proposed to link regional integration and development before liberalisation EC response to this proposal is dismissive and fails to recognise the need of ACP regions to develop before opening up “As it is formulated, this review clause is not acceptable. While we are not against well defined review clauses, we (EC) think that they should be limited in their scope and mainly aimed at accelerating or extending liberalisation…. As it is, it may void the agreement of its sense.” The EC forgets that the ‘sense’ of the agreement is to deliver for development, not market opening for the sake of it. EC suggestion is review be based on timeframes 4. Differences on Differential Treatment and commitments ESA region proposed to exempt LDCs from market opening commitments as part of a full draft text in August 2006. EC’s response showed a characteristic intransigence. • The LDC opt-out is “not acceptable ... Exemption from commitments for LDCs would impair the achievement of the regional integration and development objectives of the agreement.” EC’s acknowledges its negotiating mandate that LDCs have the choice to continue the EBA arrangement which is typical of a differentiation between LDCs and non LDCs. On the contrary, the EC has accepted a similar proposal from the Pacific ACP which is “not based on free a trade agreement, and would allow each pacific ACP country to either opt in or opt out.” (Oxfam, January 2007) 5. Misunderstanding Art. XXIV on “substantially all trade” Under WTO, there is no common understanding of what substantially all trade means, it is subject to interpretation by means. Consistent urge to negotiate issues beyond the challenge at WTO, e.g services, investments, procurement and competition policy In WTO negotiations LDCs have been exempt from having to commit to new services liberalization. Furthermore, the Cotonou agreement does not require services liberalization, and suggests it should only happen “after they have acquired experience in applying the Most Favoured Nation (MFN) treatment under GATS.” Outcomes could result in obligations that go beyond those agreed in the WTO (WTO-plus), and introduce into the bilateral context, issues that contributed to the failures of Cancun (investment, competition and government procurement) and of Seattle (labour and environment). 6. Ambiguities regarding WTO Compatibility --“Reasonable length of time” The EC has interpreted the ‘reasonable length of time ‘to be 10 years, stating that it may be longer in exceptional cases. However, longer implementation periods are the norm not the exception. For example, even an FTA between developed countries partners such as Australia and the US, Includes up to 18-years implementation periods. ESA countries need time to develop their domestic economies before opening up. ESA draft, for example, proposes longer implementation periods than the EU has proposed: up to twenty-five years for finished goods, with a ten year implementation moratorium (Art. 14), as well as an unknown number of sensitive products to be exempt from liberalization commitments (Art. 15). 7. Alternatives, EC putting non-LDCs in a dilemma EC would only begin to consider alternatives if a particular country stops to negotiate. The EC have said they are not looking at “Alternatives because all ACPs have continued to negotiate.” This overthrows calls by the AU countries to have alternatives. A country can only make that choice when they know what other options are available. It makes sense to have options first then countries can make a choice. If the EC withdraws Cotonou preferences on 1st January 2008, the Community would breach the Cotonou agreement, which prescribes “a new framework for trade which is equivalent to their existing situation and conformity with WTO rules.” The European Commission appears to lack the political will to comply with that commitment in the Cotonou Agreement. 8. 2007 deadline and waiver There is no agreement yet on a number of items on the EPA check list either on the trade or development dimension ESA negotiators have already quoted many reasons including capacities and supply side constraints that necessitate the extension of the negotiation and the waiver defacto. Almost a year past following the expiry of the Lome waiver in January 2000 before it was renewed, and no WTO members complained. EPA negotiations were to be finalized three years after the end of the DOHA negotiations to build on the expected more pro-development multilateral trade rules, including further clarity of flexibilities under WTO/GATT Article XXIV. However, in the DOHA negotiations, deadlines have been missed by the day. Without a clear conclusion from the DOHA Round, there is no urgency for finalizing EPA negotiations. 9.Double standards on financial cooperation and assistance The EC is interested to fund only those issues which they prefer rather than those outlined by ESA. For example, the EC is ready to finance capacity building for trade-related issues, like trade facilitation; competition, investment, and transparency in public procurement but not for preparatory studies to undertake negotiations on trade in services. When west African negotiators asked for an extension in the negotiations, EC’s response was that failure to sign EPAs on time would lead to higher tariffs on more than 1 bio Euro or 9.5 per cent of West Africa trade to EU Conclusion The areas of divergence are many Outcries from different countries asking their governments not to sign EPAs because of unclarified issues indicate peoples perceptions of EPAs Time for deep introspection is now Poor countries chance to move up the ladder of development and meet the MDGs is now but poor countries are kicking away the ladder Partnership, not patronage is the imperative of this era, age and generation. Until the EC and our governments demonstrate to us how CPA’s commitment to poverty reduction will be operationalised through an EPA, CSOs must continue to oppose EPAs. END Thank you for listening in
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