Strategic Management Journal Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) Published online 24 April 2007 in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/smj.612 Received 2 July 2003; Final revision received 19 September 2006 ACQUISITIONS OF PRIVATE VS. PUBLIC FIRMS: PRIVATE INFORMATION, TARGET SELECTION, AND ACQUIRER RETURNS LAURENCE CAPRON1 * and JUNG-CHIN SHEN2 1 Strategy Department, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France School of Administrative Studies, Atkinson Faculty of Liberal and Professional Studies, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada 2 The acquisition of privately held firms is a prevalent phenomenon that has received little attention in mergers and acquisitions research. In this study, we examine three questions: (1) What drives the acquirer’s choice between public and private targets? (2) Do acquisitions of private targets elicit a more positive stock market reaction than acquisitions of public targets, which, on average, destroy value for acquirers’ shareholders? (3) Do acquirers gain when their selection of a public or private target fits the theory? In this paper, we argue that the lack of information on private targets limits the breadth of the acquirer’s search and increases its risk of not evaluating properly the assets of private targets. At the same time, less information on private targets creates more value-creating opportunities for exploiting private information, whereas the market of corporate control for public targets already serves as an information-processing and asset valuation mechanism for all potential bidders. Using an event study and survey data, we find that: (1) acquirers favor private targets in familiar industries and turn to public targets to enter new business domains or industries with a high level of intangible assets; (2) acquirers of private targets perform better than acquirers of public targets on merger announcement, after controlling for endogeneity bias; (3) acquirers of private firms perform better than if they had acquired a public firm, and acquirers of public firms perform better than if they had acquired a private firm. These results support the expectation that acquirer returns from their target choice (private/public) are not universal but depend on the acquirer’s type of search and on the merging firms’ attributes. Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. INTRODUCTION The volume of acquisitions involving privately held targets far surpasses that of publicly traded firms. Based on the SDC database, we find that between 60 and 75 percent of the firms acquired in the United States between 2000 and 2004 were privately held. Other studies find similar results across longer time periods and countries Keywords: acquisitions; private firms; target selection; acquirer return; private information *Correspondence to: Laurence Capron, Strategy Department, INSEAD, Boulevard de Constance, 77300 Fontainebleau, France. E-mail: [email protected] Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (Moeller, Schlingemann, and Stulz, 2004; Faccio, McConnell, and Stolin, 2006). Yet, despite some notable exceptions (Graebner and Eisenhardt, 2004; Graebner, 2004; Reuer and Ragozzino, 2007), acquisitions of private firms remain largely unexplored. Most existing studies of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) performance have focused on acquisitions of public targets by public acquirers (Chatterjee, 1986; Singh and Montgomery, 1987; Lubatkin, 1987; Seth, 1990). The lack of research on acquisitions of private targets raises the question of whether some of the key established findings of research on M&As hold for acquisitions of private firms. In this paper, we examine three questions: (1) What 892 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen drives the acquirer’s choice between public and private targets? (2) Do acquisitions of private targets elicit a more positive stock market reaction than acquisitions of public targets, which, on average, destroy value for acquirers’ shareholders (Andrade, Mitchell, and Stafford, 2001)? (3) Do acquirers gain when their selection of a public or private target fits the theory? Previous research has either treated the first research question (strategy studies) or the second research question (finance studies) separately. Existing studies in strategy have focused on the acquirer’s choice of target (Shen and Reuer, 2005) without dealing with performance implications. Existing finance studies have dealt with the performance question without considering the endogeneity of the acquirer’s choice of target (Chang, 1998; Fuller, Netter, and Stegemoller, 2002). Selecting a private vs. a public target is not random. Empirical models that do not account for this selection process are potentially misspecified (Shaver, 1998). Because we treat the questions of the acquirer’s target choice and acquirer performance in the same study, we can address the third research question that examines the economic consequences of the acquirer’s target choice. To address these three questions, we draw on strategy, finance, and information economics literature to outline differences between acquisitions of private and public targets. We argue that differences in information availability on private vs. public firms influence both the acquirer’s choice of target as well as its performance. Lack of information on private firms limits the breadth of the acquirer’s search and increases its risk of not evaluating properly the assets of private targets (Reuer and Ragozzino, 2007). Acquirers may thus prefer to buy private targets for local search and resort to public targets for more distant search or when the value of assets is highly uncertain (Shen and Reuer, 2005). Meanwhile, the lack of information available on private firms provides more opportunities for acquirers to exploit private information situations and thus gain abnormal returns from buying private targets (Makadok and Barney, 2001). The market of corporate control for public firms serves as an information processing and asset valuation mechanism for all potential bidders. Besides, acquirers of private targets can better appropriate the value of their private information thanks Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. to the weaker bargaining power of private targets. At a more theoretical level, examining both the acquirer’s choice and its abnormal returns helps us integrate the contribution of information economics with that of strategic factor market theory (Barney, 1986). Information economics sees information asymmetry as a friction in factor markets that creates constraints in the target selection process (Akerlof, 1970), whereas strategic factor market theory views information asymmetry as an opportunity for firms with superior informationprocessing capabilities to create value (Makadok and Barney, 2001). The notion that information asymmetry is a double-edged sword becomes clear only when one considers both the acquirer’s choice and its performance implications. Furthermore, by developing arguments that focus on the role of information in the acquisition process, we complement studies in finance that have focused on liquidity of shares (Fuller et al., 2002) and control concentration (Chang, 1998) to account for returns to acquirers of private and public targets. Based on an event study and survey data, we find that acquirers are more likely to buy private targets that are located in an industry where the acquirer has its core business or has accumulated acquisition experience, and where the target’s assets are neither geographically spread nor highly intangible. Acquirers are more likely to buy public firms when they enter new business domains and when the value of assets is highly uncertain (target with intangible assets). After controlling for endogeneity bias, we find that acquisitions of private targets elicit a much more positive stock market reaction than those of their public counterparts. We also present evidence that acquirers who purchased a private firm perform better than if they had acquired a public target, and acquirers who purchased a public firm perform better than if they had acquired a private target. This supports the expectation that acquirer returns from target choice (private/public) are not universal but depend on the acquirer’s type of search and the merging firms’ attributes. This paper is organized as follows. We examine the role of information in the acquirer’s choice between private and public targets and in acquirer abnormal returns. We next describe our methods and measures. We then present the results. In the Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms final section we discuss the implications of our results for managers and for future research. BACKGROUND The ‘private firm discount’ Why would the market react favorably to acquisitions of private firms compared to those of public firms? Finance scholars have named this phenomenon ‘the private firm discount.’ Because the acquirer can buy private firms at a substantial discount relative to public firms, it benefits from a more advantageous split of the value among the merging firms. For example, Koeplin, Sarin, and Shapiro (2000) find that private firms are purchased at an average 18 percent (book multiples) or 20–30 percent (earning multiples) discount compared to equivalent public firms. Kooli, Kortas, and L’Her (2003) find the median private target discount is 20 percent (cash flow multiples) and 34 percent (earning multiples). Yet, these studies have methodological and theoretical limitations. First, there are methodological concerns with the studies that aim at measuring directly acquisition discount of private firms. Private firms have no observable price to serve as an objective measure of market value from which to calculate a private firm discount. These studies therefore match them with a sample of public targets that were acquired around the same time and with similar size and in the same industry. Yet, recent studies in strategy on private targets show that size and industry affiliations are not sufficient to differentiate acquisitions of private targets from those of public targets (Graebner and Eisenhardt, 2004; Shen and Reuer, 2005). Second, these studies fail to explain the causes of the private firm discount. The prominent explanation has been that private firms suffer from a lack of market liquidity1 (Fuller et al., 2002). The existence of an active market for shares of public firms provides a public seller with a readily available alternative to cash out its shares rather than to sell them to a potential acquirer (at the market price plus a premium). In contrast, lower liquidity of shares of private targets limits its means to sell off, and thus commands a private seller a relatively 1 Liquidity refers to the speed with which an asset can be converted into cash without the owner incurring substantial transaction costs or price concessions (Bajaj et al., 2001). Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 893 disadvantageous position to appropriate the value in transaction. Yet, no empirical studies have found support for the liquidity discount (Faccio et al., 2006), which makes these authors conclude that the superior performance of acquirers of private firms is not just a liquidity effect. In this paper we argue that value appropriation (which could stem from share liquidity but also from other sources of bargaining power between target and acquirer) represents one aspect of differences between private and public firm acquisitions. Another key aspect that has been neglected is the role that information plays in the selection and value-creating process. ACQUIRER RETURNS WHEN BUYING PRIVATE VS. PUBLIC TARGETS Differences in information availability on private vs. public targets One key difference between private and public firm acquisitions is the quantity and quality of information available on private vs. public targets. Information on public firms is more widely available to bidders, whereas managers of private firms typically have better control over the information they want to communicate (Reuer and Ragozzino, 2007; Arikan, 2005). The IPO process, the regulatory disclosure requirements, the greater ties to investment banks, and the greater coverage by analysts and the press increase the visibility of public firms and decrease the uncertainty about their value. In addition, public firms are already priced by the market and are subject to market feedback through the role of professional arbitrageurs. In summary, the market for corporate control for public firms serves as an information-processing and asset valuation mechanism, which is available to all bidders and complementary to the acquirer’s own informationprocessing and asset valuation capabilities. In contrast, acquirers are typically less aware of the existence of private targets because those targets are less visible and transparent to the investment community than public targets, and are therefore more difficult to locate as exchange partners and to value (Deeds, De Carolis, and Coombs, 1999). Private targets, notably small ones, tend to face greater difficulties to signal their value to investors (Becchetti and Trovato, 2002). Accordingly, acquirers incur higher search costs when buying a private firm, and private sellers have to make efforts to Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj 894 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen increase their marketability in the market for corporate control. We argue that these informational differences between private and public targets influence (1) the acquirer’s choice between public and private targets as well as (2) the acquirer’s performance when buying a private vs. a public target. Effect of information availability on selection of private vs. public targets Information discrepancy between private and public targets is likely to affect the acquirer’s breadth of search as well as its confidence in evaluating the target’s assets when considering private targets. Acquirers are more likely to be aware of private targets that are close to their businesses or markets and less aware of private targets that are in more peripheral domains. Acquirers may also prefer to acquire private targets when they are confident in their ability to correctly evaluate the target’s assets—although we recognize that once an acquirer has approached a target (be it public or private) the acquirer can pursue the same level of due diligence, and can still benefit from using the investors’ collective assessment arising from the stock market on public targets when buying assets whose value is highly uncertain. We detail below some hypotheses that outline conditions that influence the acquirer’s ability to identify and evaluate private targets. Some of these hypotheses have been examined in Shen and Reuer (2005), but on a different sample and for different research purposes. While the main objective of Shen and Reuer’s work is to examine the likelihood of acquiring a private vs. a public firm, the examination of drivers of selection of private vs. public firms is the first step of our performance model. Our objective is to show that the choice of a private target is driven by information-related drivers, and such endogeneity needs to be taken into account in order to estimate the relationship between target ownership and acquirer returns in an unbiased manner. Diversifying acquisitions Compared to outsiders, industry insiders can more easily identify private targets because of higher business proximity. Industry insiders can also rely on their knowledge base and their familiarity with the target industry to assess the value of the assets Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. and growth prospects of the target (Chatterjee, 1986; Singh and Montgomery, 1987). In contrast, an acquirer that buys a firm outside its core business runs a greater risk of overvaluing the target’s assets. Bidders will therefore face a higher likelihood of adverse selection in inter-industry transactions than in intra-industry deals (Balakrishna and Koza, 1993). Shen and Reuer (2005) find that acquirers are less likely to acquire private targets when the deal is outside their core business. Hypothesis 1a: Acquirers are less likely to acquire private targets than public targets when they make an acquisition outside their core business. Acquirer acquisition experience in targeted industry Acquirers lacking acquisition experience in the targeted industry are likely to have a narrower search and run a higher risk of adverse selection when dealing with private firms than with public firms. Acquisition experience provides opportunities for the acquirer to improve its skills in screening potential targets with refined selection criteria, and to price more accurately new targets based on prior experience. In contrast, firms with lower acquisition experience may prefer public targets as these firms are easier to locate and already have a market price, which helps potential buyers calibrate their bid. Hypothesis 1b: Acquirers are more likely to acquire private targets than public targets when their acquisition experience in the targeted industry is high. Target geographic scope Information asymmetry, search costs, and valuation difficulties are also likely to increase if targets have geographically dispersed activities. Firms have a lower ability to evaluate distant assets (Rosenkopf and Almeida, 2003), particularly if they span multiple national settings. As geographic distance increases, inter-firm linkages decrease, which also reduces the opportunities for gathering information on targeted resources through social networks and collaboration. Along a similar line, Reuer and Shen (2004) find that a sequential Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms divestiture strategy through an IPO is attractive relative to an outright sale when firms in the industry are geographically dispersed, since it allows the increase of seller visibility. We therefore make the following hypothesis: Hypothesis 1c: Acquirers are less likely to acquire private targets than public targets when the target’s geographic scope is multinational. Meanwhile, a broad geographic scope of the target business enhances its visibility, which may increase potential bidders’ awareness when screening targets. Alternatively, we propose: Hypothesis 1c- alt: Acquirers are more likely to acquire private targets than public targets when the target’s geographic scope is multinational. Target intangible assets We argue that acquirers refrain from acquiring private targets whose assets’ value is highly uncertain, such as for intangible assets. Intangible assets are information-based assets that include employees’ know-how, company reputation, intellectual property rights, trademarks, etc. (Itami, 1987). The knowledge held by the seller on the assets’ quality is more difficult to communicate and to verify, which increases the likelihood of ex ante misrepresentation. If the seller cannot send the buyer a credible signal that enables the buyer to distinguish high- from low-quality firms, it creates a risk of adverse selection (Akerlof, 1970). Acquirers can cope with this problem by contingent earnouts, a lower premium bid, lengthy negotiations, or stock payment (Coff, 1999; Reuer and Ragozzino, 2007). They can also turn to the equity market as a means of screening targets. Being listed in an uncertain environment can serve as a signal that a firm is of high quality and likely to survive in the long run. Consistent with this argument, Shen and Reuer (2005) find that in R&D-intensive industries bidders tend to purchase public rather than private targets. Hypothesis 1d: Acquirers are less likely to acquire private targets than public targets when the targeted assets are highly intangible. Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 895 Target age The level of evaluative uncertainty is also associated with the target’s age. On the one hand, there is a clear association between firm age and the extent and quality of information available on the firm. Longstanding firms produce more objective data about their operations (Henderson, 1999), whereas new firms have little objective data to disclose to prospective investors (Sanders and Boivie, 2004). This suggests that it is difficult to assess the value of young targets. The valuation difficulties associated with the acquisition of young companies tend to be lower for public targets, however. This is because information disclosure regulations and observable stock prices help buyers calibrate their bids. Managing the IPO process successfully can be viewed as a signaling mechanism that discriminates high- from low-quality firms (Spence, 1974). The acquirer can also use secondary indicators such as the quality of third-party endorsements (Stuart, Hoang, and Hybels, 1999) or the proportion of equity divested by venture capitalists during the IPO (Sanders and Boivie, 2004) to assess the quality of young, newly public firms. We propose: Hypothesis 1e: Acquirers are less likely to acquire private targets than public targets when the target is young. On the other hand, it could be argued that older firms are more likely to be listed than younger firms. As they become more mature, firms have more opportunities to go public than younger firms because of investors’ confidence in longstanding firms, the firm’s higher ability to file for an IPO, and the increasing need to make acquisitions. Thus, in the population of old targets, acquirers are more likely to buy a public firm due to a ‘population effect’ and vice versa (i.e., young targets tend to be private). Alternatively, we could propose: Hypothesis 1e-alt: Acquirers are more likely to acquire private targets than public targets when the target is young. Effect of information availability on returns of acquirers of private vs. public targets We have argued that access to more information on public targets broadens the acquirer’s search and reduces the risk of misevaluating the public target’s assets. Yet, greater information disclosure on Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj 896 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen public targets also means that any acquirer may not have intrinsic differences over another acquirer in terms of its differential knowledge about the target, i.e., not have private information. According to strategic factor market theory (Barney, 1986), the most fundamental type of asymmetry capable of generating competitive advantage is inter-firm differences in skills at collecting, filtering, and interpreting information about the future value of resources. If firms competing in factor markets collect identical information, they will have similar expectations about the value of the resources, and will ultimately invest in the same ones. Bidder competition for the same resources will drive up prices for those resources until the net present value for the successful bidder is close to zero. As a result, acquirers can earn abnormal returns only when the market for corporate control is imperfectly competitive, i.e., when there is information heterogeneity between potential bidders or unique fit between the merging firms (Barney, 1988). In addition, acquirers can appropriate a greater percentage of the value from acquisitions of private firms because private sellers, on average, have a weaker bargaining power than their public counterparts due to (1) lower bidder competition, (2) firm price discount, and (3) lower publicity in the acquisition process. private sellers often consider dealing with a preferred buyer more important than creating a competitive bidding process. Cultural fit or employee welfare are often more important in the selloff decision of private sellers than the price per se (Graebner and Eisenhardt, 2004). In contrast, governance-based mechanisms in public firms, such as shareholder litigation, exert pressure on directors and managers to foster bidder competition in order to find the best purchasing price for their shareholders (Thompson and Thomas, 2004). Private firm price discount Information asymmetry associated with private targets puts buyers at a risk of overpaying. The classic response to the threat of adverse selection is to reduce the offer price (Akerlof, 1970). When a buyer targets a private firm, even if it has private information on that specific target that no one else has, it may discount its offer to reflect the possibility that the target will turn out to be a lemon. In addition, the value of the target’s shares may be discounted to reflect their illiquidity. Last, the private firm does not have a threshold price established by the stock market. Lower bidder competition for private targets Lower publicity on the acquisition process of private targets Bidders face less competition in the market for private firms. The lack of visibility, transparency, and market price associated with private firms creates frictions in the buying of private firms. Acquisitions of public and private firms also involve different negotiation processes, which affect each party’s bargaining power. The selling of public targets is typically auction-like in nature. Auctionlike contests are more likely to attract entrants when more is known about the target (Milgrom, 1987). In contrast, private targets are typically sold through negotiations based on voluntary exchange (Koeplin et al., 2000). Although a private target can contact as many bidders as it wants and promote an auction-like atmosphere, it often lacks financial resources and social connections with reputable investment bankers to do so. Moreover, private sellers often have different motivations than public sellers when selling their company. Graebner and Eisenhardt (2004) find that A bid—or pre-bid rumors—on a public firm that reveals new forward-looking information on the target gets dissipated to other potential bidders due to the publicity and visibility of bids on public targets, and is thus likely to be fully incorporated in the target stock price (Schwert, 1996). In contrast, private information on private targets is less likely to be dissipated because of the lower publicity on the acquisition of private firms. Furthermore, even if private targets become aware of the existence of the bidder’s private information during the negotiation process, they have no available means of appropriating the value of it (unless they solicit rival bids). In summary, we expect private information to be a greater source of value creation in acquisitions of private targets than in those of public targets. We also expect acquirers to be more likely to appropriate the value created from deals with private targets because of lower bidder competition, higher Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms price discount and lower publicity associated with private targets. We propose: Hypothesis 2: All else being equal, the mean of acquirer returns for private targets is higher than the mean of acquirer returns for public targets. Contingency of the relationship between target ownership and acquirer returns Do acquirers gain when their selection of a public or private firm fits the theory, or is all the performance driven by whether they acquire a public or a private firm? If an acquirer, on average, earns a higher return when buying a private target than when buying a public target, the question naturally arises as to why not all acquirers buy private targets. In accordance with the above-presented arguments, we argue that acquirers make more profitable acquisitions when their public/private target choice is consistent with what theory would predict, i.e., when they choose a target based on the type of search they need to conduct, on their information-processing and evaluation skills, as well as the target’s attributes. Although acquiring a public firm, on average, generates a lower return for the acquirer than acquiring a private one, the choice of a public target may be optimal under certain circumstances. Acquirers who turn to a public target under conditions that are favorable to the purchase of a public firm (such as low familiarity with the target’s market, high uncertainty of the target assets’ value) enjoy performance superior to that had they bought a private target. For instance, firms that chose to enter a new business domain by acquiring a public firm may have done worse had they acquired a private target to achieve the same objective. In addition to the uncertainty associated with entering a new business domain, the acquirer would have faced high information asymmetry associated with private targets. Adding up these two levels of uncertainty is likely to be detrimental to the acquirer’s performance. By the same logic, acquirers who turn to a private target under conditions that are favorable to the purchase of a private firm (such as high familiarity with the target’s market, low uncertainty of target assets’ value) enjoy performance superior to that had they bought a public Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 897 target. When the public information on a public target is at least as good as the information produced by the acquirer’s information-processing and evaluation capabilities, the acquirer pays a price premium for information and evaluation services provided by the stock market that are redundant to the services provided by its own capabilities, and fail to capture value from acquiring identical assets owned by a private target at a lower price. Hypothesis 3: Selecting a public over a private target in theoretically appropriate conditions increases acquirers’ returns; i.e., acquirers who buy a public (private) target under conditions that are favorable to the purchase of a public (private) target perform better than if they had bought a private (public) target. DATA AND METHODS Our methodology combines (1) an event study of acquirer returns and (2) a post-acquisition survey of acquiring firms. This approach corresponds to recent studies in finance that combine event studies with surveys to account for firms’ attributes and actual behavior (Jarrell, 1998). Among the 273 responses of our survey, we include in our sample only the 101 acquirers that were stock-listed and for which an event study could be conducted. We considered acquisitions where the acquirer was acquiring more than 50 percent of the target. We then used the SDC Platinum to determine the targets’ ownership status. Among the 101 targets, 52 were public and 40 were private (the nine remaining targets were not included as they were government subsidiaries). A detailed description of the survey design can be found in Appendix 1. We used a survey to collect specific data on private targets that would not have been possible to collect through public databases, notably for private targets that reside outside the United States. In some European countries (like Germany), to gather financial information on private firms can be an extremely difficult task, while in others (like Italy), timeliness of information is a recurring issue. Despite the survey’s information richness, the relatively small sample size is a limiting factor of the study. To better understand how our sample’s features may affect the Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj 898 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen Table 1. Comparison of our sample with other samples Our study Acquirer countries Chang (1998) Journal of Finance Fuller et al. (2002) Journal of Finance U.S. bidders U.S. bidders Acquirer industries Multinational sample (bidders from U.S., U.K., and France representing 77% of bidders) Manufacturing industries All industries except financial services Data source Survey + SDC # of observations Deal value ($ million) 92 • Public targets: 826 • Private targets: 158 • Public targets: 53% of public targets have a relative size ≥25% to their acquirer • Private targets: 33% of private targets have a relative size ≥25% to their acquirer (Measure of size: firm sales) >50% stake 17% (survey measure) 1988–92 Mergerstat Review + CRSP 281 • Public targets: 262 • Private targets: 156 • Public targets: 0.39 All industries except utility and financial services SDC Relative size of target to acquirer Type of acquisition Diversifying acquisitions Time period Methodology Control for endogeneity bias OLS Yes ways in which our findings might be generalized, we have traced differences between our sample and the samples used in two reference studies on similar issues that have been published in the Journal of Finance: Chang (1998) and Fuller et al. (2002). These differences are presented in Table 1. Our sample shares similarities with the studies by Chang (1998) and Fuller et al. (2002). Like these two studies, the average deal value for private targets of our sample ($158 million) is significantly smaller than the deal value for public targets ($826 million). Similarly, the relative size of target to acquirer is significantly smaller for private targets than for public targets. We all focus on similar types of transactions where the acquirer purchases more than 50 percent of the target. There is also significant overlapping in the time period across the three studies. Chang’s study covers our Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. • Private targets: 0.27 (Measure of size: firm market value) >50% stake n.a. • Public targets: 1981–88 • Private targets: 1981–92 OLS No 2,516 • Public targets: 1,200 • Private targets: 69 • Public targets: 41% of public targets have a relative size ≥20% to their acquirer • Private targets: 13% of private targets have a relative size ≥20% to their acquirer (Measure of size: firm market value) >50% stake 40% (SIC) 1990–2000 OLS No period for private targets but also covers earlier deals (early 1980s), while Fuller et al. covers part of our time period but also covers later deals (up to 2000). To control for time effects, we also rerun our model by adding each year as a control variable, and the results did not change. Our sample is also quite distinct (international diversity, predominance of horizontal and related acquisitions, manufacturing industries). The higher international diversity of our sample can affect our results in several ways. First, there is less information available on public firms outside the United States than in the United States. Historically, U.S. dealmakers had access to more sophisticated capital markets, and therefore accessed superior information on public firms. Less information discrepancy between public and private targets may reduce the acquirer return differences between the two types of targets. Second, due to the limited size Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms of many European countries, a large percentage of deals are cross-border. This creates additional challenges, both in the due diligence and in the integration processes. In the United States, the sheer size of the domestic market provides more opportunities for domestic deals; 79 percent of acquisitions in our sample are cross-border, while other studies are dominated by domestic mergers. Higher evaluation difficulties can also reduce acquirer abnormal returns. We add two control variables—‘U.S. target’ and ‘U.S. acquirer’—which aim at capturing the effects of U.S. acquisition specificities. Our sample is also dominated by horizontal and related acquisitions, while other samples have a higher proportion of inter-industry transactions (40% in the study by Fuller et al., 2002). Higher proximity with a target business reduces difficulties of evaluating the target and increases potential for recombination of resources and economies of scale. This aspect of our sample may favor acquirer returns. We also control for inter-industry transaction in our model. Last, our sample focuses on manufacturing industries that are also included in the other two studies. Yet, the other studies also include acquisitions in service industries (excluding financial services) that can be intensive in hard-to-evaluate human assets. This feature of our sample may reduce the risk of overpayment for assets that can walk away and may favor acquirer returns. Yet, in our sample, we also control for targets with high intangibles vs. those with low intangibles. Altogether, our sample shares similarities with larger samples used in finance studies, and exhibits distinct features that we have tried to control for in our statistical analyses. In spite of its relatively limited size, the international diversity of our sample complements previous studies by providing results that apply beyond the U.S. context. 899 Independent variables of the acquirer return model Using information provided by the SDC Platinum database, we created a binary variable, ‘Private ownership,’ that is equal to 1 if the target is privately held and 0 if the target is listed. Independent variables of the target selection model We used a binary variable, ‘Diversifying acquisition,’ obtained from the survey, that takes the value of 1 when the acquirer made the acquisition in its core business and 0 otherwise. We used the number of previous acquisitions made by the acquirer within the 5 years prior to the focal transaction in the target’s industry to construct the variable ‘Acquirer M&A experience in target industry.’ Another survey-based measure, ‘Target international scope,’ captures the international scope of the target’s activities: domestic (1), regional (2), and global (3). We used a binary variable, ‘Target intangibles,’ that takes the value of 1 when the target comes from high-tech industries and 0 otherwise. Measuring the degree of intangibility of the target’s assets is difficult to do for private firms for which we have little firmlevel data on R&D spending and for which a Tobin’s Q (market-to-book value) cannot be calculated. To measure target intangibles, we also used three survey measures of ex post transfer of target resources to acquirer: redeployment of innovation, redeployment of engineering, and redeployment of marketing resources (for more details on those post-acquisition measures, see Capron, Dussauge and Mitchell, 1998). Using these measures rather than the binary variable did not change our results. We therefore reported the simpler binary variable. ‘Target age’ was a self-reported measure on a 5point scale. Measures Dependent variable: Acquirer’s abnormal returns Independent variables of the fit model We estimate acquirer abnormal returns using an event study methodology. The cumulative average abnormal return (CAAR) has been calculated following the standard approach described by McWilliams and Siegel (1997: 628–629). The date of announcement of the acquisition was collected through the use of several data sources: SDC, Reuters, and LexisNexis. To address the issue of the economic significance of the acquirer’s choice, we created a variable, ‘Fit,’ which captures the fit between an acquirer’s actual choice between a public or private firm and what the discrete choice model predicted that it should do. Given that the dependent variable of the discrete choice model is equal to 1 if the target is private and 0 if it is public, the fit variable is equal Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj 900 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen to p (the probability of choosing a private target predicted by the model) if the target is private and 1 − p if the target is public. Control variables Differences in the acquirer’s returns of acquisitions of private vs. public firms can also be attributable to differences in the characteristics of (1) the deal, (2) the target, and (3) the acquirer. Deal attributes Competing bidder. Higher competition decreases the acquirer’s abnormal returns (Schwert, 1996). Although competition tends to be higher for public targets, we disentangle the ownership effect from competition per se. We used a binary variable, ‘Competing bidder’ (as reported in SDC), that equals 1 when there is at least one other bidder for the same target and 0 otherwise.2 Target relative size to acquirer. Because public targets tend to be larger (and more visible) than private targets, these two effects are often confounding (Moeller et al., 2004). Size confers greater opportunities for outside options. Research on IPO finds that the likelihood of an IPO increases with the firm’s size (Pagano, Panetta, and Zingales, 1998). Greater relative size provides greater bargaining power to the target (Kooli et al., 2003). Also, greater relative size provides greater potential for recombination and scale economies. Acquiring a large target is likely to be a more important economic event for the acquirer than acquiring a small target (Agrawal, Jaffe, and Mandelker, 1992). We used a 5-point scale measure to assess the relative proportion of the target’s sales to the acquirer’s sales: ‘Target relative size.’ All-cash deal. Research on returns to bidders often focuses on whether cash, stock, or a combination of methods is used to pay for a deal, with target firms preferring cash (Fuller et al., 2002). We created a variable, ‘all-cash deal,’ which accounts for the proportion of cash in the deal according to SDC Platinum. Target attributes Target pre-merger profitability. A highly profitable target is likely to have valuable resources to be leveraged in an acquisition. Meanwhile, strong profitability commands bargaining power to the target. We measured ‘target pre-merger profitability’ relative to its industry average, using a 5-point scale, ranging from ‘much less profitable’ to ‘much more profitable.’ Target industry growth. Strong demand in the target industry can increase target bargaining power: targets with growth prospects are more sought after by bidders and may induce some acquirers, especially those seeking to buy growth, to overpay. Kooli et al. (2003) find that the discount for private firms is lower for targets with high growth potential. Private firms may also have more opportunities to go for an IPO. Empirical studies have found that the likelihood of an IPO increases with the industry’s market-to-book ratio (Pagano et al., 1998). We used a 5-point scale variable to capture ‘Target industry growth.’ U.S. target. We also tested whether our results are driven by the U.S. market for corporate control idiosyncrasies. The U.S. market is more active than others (Schneper and Guillen, 2004). We used a binary variable, ‘U.S. target,’ that takes the value of 1 if the target is U.S. and 0 otherwise. Acquirer attributes 2 We are aware of the limits of our measure, which has been frequently used in finance studies. With this proxy competition is rare, but is more frequent for large acquirers than for small acquirers (Moeller et al., 2004). Boone and Mulherin (2002) show that an acquisition by one public bidder can follow a private auction in which many firms participate. Another problem with our proxy for competition is that in a competitive market a firm might choose to be very aggressive and offer a very high premium to deter competition. Hence, we might conclude that there is no competition when, in fact, potential competition strongly impacts the premium. To alleviate some of these problems, we used an alternative measure for competition that we drew from our survey and did not find different results. Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Acquirer international scope. The geographic diversity of the acquirer’s activities can help screen and integrate firms from different environments. Firms spanning several geographic settings tend to develop organizational structures (multidivisional forms) capable of managing complex informationprocessing and decision-making requirements. In contrast, a more focused domestic firm may lack the necessary organizational routines that the multinational form grants (Anand, Capron, and Mitchell, Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms 2005). We used a 3-point variable to measure the ‘acquirer’s international scope’: (1) domestic, (2) regional, and (3) global. Acquirer pre-merger profitability. Poorly performing acquirers may be enticed to make acquisitions to hide their poor results or to find new ways of growing. They may also have limited skills at enhancing the target’s value. We measured ‘acquirer pre-merger profitability’ relative to its industry average, using a 5-point scale, ranging from ‘much less profitable’ to ‘much more profitable.’ U.S. acquirer. For the reasons we mentioned earlier, we tested whether our results were attributable to the specificities of the U.S. market for corporate control. Table 2 reports a matrix of correlations of our variables. Our survey measures are reported in Appendix 2. Model specifications 901 The coefficient for Lambda in the return model therefore captured the effect on performance of all unmeasured differences between acquisitions of private targets and public targets. Incorporating Lambda enabled us to test the presence of endogeneity biases and to remove them so as to obtain unbiased estimates for the effects of target ownership on acquirer returns. Final model The final model to test the effect of ownership on acquirer returns is as follows: Acquirer returns = β0 + β1 (Private target) +β2 (Competing bidder) +β3 (Target relative size) +β4 (All-cash deal) +β5 (Target pre-merger profitability) +β6 (Target industry growth) +β7 (U.S. target) +β8 (Acquirer international scope) +β9 (Acquirer pre-merger profitability) +β10 (U.S. acquirer) +β11 (Lambda) +β12 (Diversifying acquisition) +β13 (Acquirer M&A experience in target industry) +β14 (Target international scope) +β15 (Target intangibles) +β16 (Target Age) +ε. Lambda variable: Correction for endogeneity bias Modeling the acquirer’s choice between public and private firms is important not only for deepening our understanding of the differences between acquisitions of private and public firms, but also for obtaining unbiased estimates of the effect of target ownership on acquirer returns. We modeled the acquirer’s propensity to acquire a private target as a function of the degree of information asymmetry that the acquirer faces. More precisely, we used a probit model to estimate the likelihood of private firm acquisition. The dependent variable is a binary variable that equals 1 when the target is private and 0 when the target is public. The independent variables are: ‘diversifying acquisition,’ ‘acquirer M&A experience in target industry,’ ‘target international scope,’ ‘target intangibles,’ and ‘target age.’ To correct for endogeneity biases, we used a Heckman (1979) two-step estimation procedure (Shaver, 1998). The first step was to estimate the choice model (i.e., the acquirer’s choice between a private and a public target). At the second stage of the Heckman procedure we estimated a model of acquirer abnormal returns, including the Lambda endogeneity bias control variable (the inverse of the Mills ratio) obtained from the selection model. Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. RESULTS Acquirer’s choice between private and public targets We now turn to the analysis of the factors that drive the acquirer’s propensity to buy a private target rather than a public target. The results of our probit model are presented in Table 3. We find strong support for Hypothesis 1a: acquirers are less likely to buy a private target when they enter a new business domain. Only 8 percent of private targets were used for diversification purposes, while 24 percent of public targets were outside the acquirer’s core business. This result suggests that acquirers are less likely to identify a private firm outside their core business or face greater evaluative uncertainty when evaluating a private target in an unfamiliar area. Likewise, private sellers have a narrower market for selling their company since they are less likely to be bought by an acquirer outside their industry. Similarly, we find that acquirers are more likely to acquire private targets when they have accumulated acquisition experience in the targeted industry, supporting Hypothesis 1b. We Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Statistically significant at ∗∗∗ 0.43 0.50 −0.21∗∗ −0.21∗∗ 0.15 ∗∗ 3.22 1.16 3.43 0.93 0.19 0.39 −0.14 0.06 −0.14 0.24∗∗ −0.05 −0.08 0.04 0.02 0.24∗∗ −0.11 0.21∗∗ −0.14 1.86 1.28 −0.10 1 0.05 6. 0.16∗ 0.07 0.13 −0.03 0.15∗ 0.76∗∗∗ 0.10 0.21∗ 0.19∗ 1 5. 0.17∗ 0.10 −0.12 0.04 p < 0.05; ∗ p < 0.10 0.05 0.22 0.13 0.06 0.11 −0.15∗ 0.02 −0.07 0.01 0.02 0.22∗∗ −0.07 −0.03 −0.19∗ −0.11 −0.02 0.03 −0.07 0.02 −0.16∗ 0.10 −0.12 −0.05 −0.21∗∗ −0.03 −0.12 −0.01 0.12 −0.16∗ −0.14 −0.04 −0.01 −0.05 −0.18∗ 1 4. −0.02 3. 1 −0.03 1 0.15∗ −0.03 2. −0.18∗ −0.17∗ 0.10 1 1. p < 0.01 (two-tailed); 1. Private target ownership dummy 2. Competing bidder dummy 3. Target relative size (1–5) 4. Target pre-acquisition profitability (1–5) 5. Target industry growth (1–5) 6. U.S. target dummy 7. Acquirer international scope (1–3) 8. Acquirer pre-merger profitability (1–5) 9. U.S. acquirer dummy 13. All-cash-deals dummy 14. High-tech target industry dummy 15. Diversifying acquisition dummy 16. Acquirer M&A experience in target industry 17. Target age (1–5) 18. Target international scope (1–3) Mean S.D. Table 2. Descriptive statistics 2.62 0.65 −0.01 0.15∗ 0.13 1 0.00 0.04 9. 0.08 −0.14 1 −0.04 13. −0.12 −0.03 1 14. 3.66 0.90 0.21 0.41 44.66 45.44 0.16 0.37 16. 0.15 0.36 17. 18. 5.38 4.51 1.75 6.99 0.94 0.76 0.10 1 0.08 0.07 1 −0.15∗ 1 1 15. 0.14 −0.15∗ −0.04 −0.21∗∗ −0.14 −0.17∗ 0.20∗∗ −0.16∗ 0.11 −0.06 0.03 −0.12 −0.04 −0.05 0.20∗∗ 0.06 0.10 −0.13 1 8. 0.11 −0.08 0.00 −0.10 1 7. 902 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms Table 3. 903 Effect of target ownership on acquirer abnormal returns Probit (1 if target is private) (1) 22.01∗∗ (11.09) −5.83∗ (5.16) 0.83 (0.89) 0.01 (0.02) 1.96∗∗ (0.96) −0.91 (1.13) 29.09∗∗ (12.38) 0.24 (1.72) −1.77 (1.47) 0.91 (3.28) −12.92 (7.69) Private target ownership (binary variable) Competing bidder (binary variable) Target relative size (1–5) All-cash-deal (binary variable) Target pre-merger profitability (1–5) Target industry growth (1–5) U.S. target (binary variable) Acquirer international scope (1–3) Acquirer pre-merger profitability (1–5) U.S. acquirer (binary variable) Correction for endogeneity of target choice (λ) Fit (‘aligned’ choice of private target) −1.81∗∗ (0.91) 0.05∼ (0.04) −0.74∗∗ (0.37) −1.60∗ (0.92) −0.93∗∗∗ (0.33) 5.24 (1.76) 92 −43.06 0.30 Diversifying acquisition (binary variable) Acquirer M&A experience in target industry Target international scope (1–3) Target intangibles (binary variable) Target age (1–5) Constant n Log-likelihood R2 Statistically significant at ∗∗∗ p < 0.01 (two-tailed); ∗∗ 0.36 5.64∗∗ (2.38) −6.75∗ (5.07) 0.64 (0.86) 0.02 (0.02) 2.20∗∗ (0.95) −1.86 (1.10) 20.54∗∗ (7.83) 0.89 (1.57) 0.43 (1.13) −0.73 (3.01) 13.87∗ (7.22) −2.46 (2.64) 0.07 (0.16) 2.64∗ (1.45) −25.19∗∗∗ (8.43) −0.26 (1.13) −19.51 (10.67) 92 0.38 p < 0.05; ∗ p < 0.10; ∼p < 0.10 (one-tailed). Standard errors in parentheses. also find support for Hypothesis 1c: acquirers are more likely to buy private targets when the targeted assets are geographically concentrated in one area rather than dispersed across several countries. We find support for Hypothesis 1d, which posits that firms refrain from buying private firms when there is high uncertainty about the value of the assets. We find that acquirers are less likely to buy a private target in a high-tech industry. The proportion of private targets in a high-tech industry is 8 percent, while this proportion is 21 percent for public targets. This result implies that the equity market acts as a screening mechanism when Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 0.82 (2.83) 0.02 (0.16) 3.94∗∗ (1.72) −30.61∗∗ (11.59) 1.06 (1.46) −21.41 (11.89) 92 (2) the value of the target is highly debatable. An alternative explanation of the result could be that, given that intangibles are ill-suited to debt financing (Hall, 2002; Arikan, 2002), highly intangible firms are more likely to be publicly traded.3 Last, we find support for Hypothesis 1e-alt, which predicts that acquirers are more likely to acquire private targets that are younger than public 3 In both types of explanations (acquirer selection intent or target self-selection) the implications for our research are similar: public targets are qualitatively different from private targets, and such heterogeneity must be taken into account to single out the effect of target ownership on acquirer performance. Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj 904 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen targets. Although young private targets are associated with high information asymmetry, older firms are more likely to be listed than younger firms. Acquirers are more likely to buy older public firms due to a ‘population effect.’ Altogether, these results suggest that firms consider buying private firms when their resources, business, geographic position, and their prior acquisition experience provide them with sufficient capacity to search and evaluate assets from private firms. The choice between a private and a public target is therefore not random, and we need to control for the endogeneity of the target choice when comparing the returns to acquirers of private and public firms. Acquirers’ returns in acquisitions of private vs. public targets Figure 1 shows the daily CAAR of acquirers of public and private targets for the event window [−20;10]. It shows that announcements of acquisitions of private targets elicit a more positive response from the stock market than those of public targets. To test the robustness of our results, we used two other time windows: [−20;5], [−20;1]. These two time windows, notably the latter [−20;1], are shorter to better isolate the effects of the acquisition event from potential other confounding effects (McWilliams and Siegel, 1997). We find that the acquirer returns for private targets are significantly higher than those for public targets by 4.70, 3.43, and 2.78 across the three time windows, [−20;10], [−20;5], and [−20;1], respectively. These differences are all statistically significant at the 1 percent level. The superiority of acquirer returns on private acquisitions is remarkable for two reasons. First, the relative average value of the bids for private targets is lower than the bids for public targets (U.S. $158 million for private targets vs. U.S. $826 million for public targets, t = −2.56; p < 0.01). Other things being equal, the smaller bids should have a lower impact on the equity value of the acquiring firms. Second, the strong positive returns on the announcement of bids for private targets suggest that the market did not fully anticipate the private target bids. The lack of market anticipation of acquisitions of private firms is consistent with the hypothesis of higher private information for private targets. In contrast, information on bids for public targets seems to be disseminated before the announcement: Figure 1 shows the downward shift in acquirer returns a few days before the announcement. This pre-bid decrease in the stock price of acquirer of public targets might be the Acquirer CAAR 4% Public targets 3% Private targets 2% 1% Days 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 0 -1 2 -1 4 -1 -1 6 8 -1 -2 0 0% -1% -2% -3% Figure 1. Acquirer abnormal returns in acquisitions of private vs. public targets Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms mirror effect of the pre-bid run-up of the price of public targets documented by Schwert (1996). We also recognize that alternative interpretations are consistent with our results. For instance, the downward shift in acquirer returns prior to the announcement of a public firm acquisition may just be a result of insider trading (unobservable, of course, in private firms). Our results (see Model 1 of Table 3) show that the relationship between private target ownership and acquirer returns is significant and positive after controlling for endogeneity bias, which supports Hypothesis 2. We used the residuals of the probit model to construct Heckman’s Lambda in order to control for endogeneity bias and unobserved differences between private and public targets. Therefore, the coefficients of the other predictors in our equation are unbiased. In summary, our second hypothesis is supported after controlling for endogeneity bias. Acquirers of private targets do better for their shareholders than acquirers of public targets at the announcement of the acquisition. Contingency of the relationship between target ownership and acquirer returns Do acquirers gain when their selection of a public or private firm fits the theory, or is all the performance driven by whether they acquire a public or a private firm? We constructed the variable, ‘fit,’ to test whether the acquirer’s choice of target corresponds to our theory that target selection improves acquirer abnormal returns. The results show that the fit variable is significantly and positively related to acquirer returns (see Model 2 of Table 3). Acquirers who turn to private targets when undertaking local search (high fit) enjoy superior performance, whereas acquirers who turn Table 4. 905 to private targets when undertaking more distant or risky search (low fit) pay a performance toll. These results suggest that acquirers make more profitable acquisitions when their public/private target choice is consistent with what theory would predict, based on their information processing and evaluation skills, as well as the attributes of the target. To provide further evidence on the economic significance of fit, we follow the procedure laid out by Shaver (1998). We first estimate the acquirer return model (1) separately for public and private acquisitions. Using the parameters estimated on the subsample of public firms, we compute the predicted acquirer returns for both public and private targets. This enables us to estimate what the performance of acquirers of public firms would have been, had they acquired private targets. Conversely, we use the parameters of the model estimated on the subsample of private firms to predict acquirer returns for both private and public firms. Table 4 shows the mean acquirer returns in these four conditions. The results from Table 4, combined with the results from Table 3, support Hypothesis 3. The mean predicted return of acquirers of public firms is −0.72 percent. Had these acquirers chosen a private firm instead, their performance would have dropped to −12.08 percent (t = −8.2, p < 0.001). Similarly, the mean predicted return of acquirers of private firms is 4.17 percent. Had they chosen a public firm instead, their performance would have dropped to −5.10 percent (t = −7.7, p < 0.001). This analysis shows that our result that acquirer returns are generally superior when buying private firms than when buying public firms does not necessarily imply that firms that consider buying a public firm should opt for a private target instead. Economic implications of the acquirer’s public/private target choice on acquirer returns Real situation ‘What if’ analysis Returns for acquirers of public targets when buying public targets 0.72% Returns for acquirers of private targets when buying private targets 4.17% Statistically significant at ∗∗∗ Mean difference Returns for acquirers of public targets had they bought a private target instead of a public target −12.08% Returns for acquirers of private targets had they bought a public target instead of a private target −5.10% 11.36∗∗∗ 9.27∗∗∗ p < 0.01 (t-tests) Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj 906 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen In fact, it suggests that firms, on average, are making informed choices by selecting the type of target that best corresponds to the type of search that the acquirer is conducting, the acquirer’s information skills, and the other merging firms’ characteristics. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION Our study outlines three main results: (1) acquirers choose their target (private vs. public) based on information-based deal attributes and the merging firms’ attributes. Acquirers favor private targets in familiar industries and turn to public targets to enter new business domains or industries with a high level of intangible assets; (2) acquirers of private targets perform better than acquirers of public targets on merger announcement, after controlling for endogeneity bias; (3) acquirers of private firms perform better than if they had acquired a public firm, and acquirers of public firms perform better than if they had acquired a private firm. These results contribute to the M&A literature in several ways, and point to areas where future research could be conducted. Contribution Our study contributes to the M&A literature by exploring an important segment of the market for corporate control that has been underexplored. Our empirical findings complement prior studies on the determinants of private vs. public targets (Shen and Reuer, 2005) and on acquirer returns of private vs. public targets (Chang, 1998; Fuller et al., 2002). Research on the determinants of the acquirer’s choice was useful for our research to build our selection model but it does not examine whether the acquirer’s target choice helps acquirer returns. Also, research on acquirer performance interestingly shows that the stock market usually tends to react more favorably to acquisitions of private firms but it does not explore the contingency factors of this largely unexplained phenomenon. Notably, not considering the acquirer’s target choice is problematic because the relation between the acquirer’s target choice and performance cannot be accurately assessed without an appreciation of the factors that lead to the acquirer’s choice of target. Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. In this paper, we present empirical evidence that is consistent with the role of private information on acquirer performance: private information not only affects the acquirer’s choice of targets but also influences its abnormal returns. While empirical evidence exists for inimitable and unique cash flows between a bidder and target (Capron and Pistre, 2002), the value of private and unique information has received little attention. Our results emphasize the role of private information and inter-firm information heterogeneity on the acquirer’s target selection and its returns. At a more theoretical level, our paper articulates the link between private information and returns of acquirers of private vs. public firms, which helps clarify the relation between information economics and strategy factor market theory in M&A literature. Information economics views information asymmetry as a friction in factor markets that constrains the acquirer’s selection of targets (Akerlof, 1970). Bidders and sellers have to spend considerable resources to address the problems arising from information asymmetry in the market for corporate control: sellers use various ways to signal their quality and prospects to potential buyers, such as sequential divestiture through IPOs (Reuer and Shen, 2004) or endorsement through ties with prestigious third parties (Stuart et al., 1999). Bidders also use several remedies to mitigate information asymmetry, such as contingent earnouts (Reuer and Ragozzino, 2007), lower premium bid, lengthy negotiations (Coff, 1999), or screening through the equity market (Shen and Reuer, 2005). In contrast, the strategic factor market theory considers information asymmetry as an opportunity for value creation by exploiting private information, and outlines information collection strategies that aim at maximizing inter-firm heterogeneity in information acquisition (Barney, 1986; Makadok and Barney, 2001). Our study helps clarify the seemingly contradictory arguments by revealing two facets of information asymmetry in the market for corporate control: a bidder prefers low information asymmetry vis-à-vis target in order to reduce transaction costs and minimize decision errors,4 but high information asymmetry vis-à-vis competing 4 More precisely, bidders prefer one-way information asymmetry: they know more about the target in order to minimize transaction costs and decision errors, but they prefer the target to know little about their M&A intent and valuation. The target should not be aware of the existence of the private information; otherwise it could disseminate it to competing bidders Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms 907 bidders in order to benefit from its private information. In addition, the results from the fit model highlight the role of acquiring managers’ decision making that has been downplayed in the finance studies on acquisitions of private firms. If returns to acquirers of private targets are unconditionally superior to those to acquirers of public targets, acquirers’ choice of public targets needs to be explained. The fit model allows us to examine the economic significance of acquiring managers’ choice of target and suggests that managers make informed choices. On average, acquiring managers’ choice of target is optimal under the constraints they face, such as their capabilities to search and evaluate a target and the nature of resources embedded in the target. Previous studies on different strategic choices, such as foreign entry mode (Shaver, 1998) or outsourcing choice (Masten, 1993), reach similar conclusions. These studies support the interpretation that firms make strategic choices based on the expected performance of their targets. Therefore, ‘there is value in highlighting what conditions lead to strategy choice and how this relates to performance’ (Shaver, 1998: 584). acquirer may not have intrinsic differences over another acquirer in terms of its differential knowledge about the target. In terms of value appropriation, the market for corporate control of public firms is more competitive than that of private firms. Bidder competition and bargaining power of public targets are key elements of value appropriation for target shareholders. Acquirers of public targets should also watch the ‘auction-like’ atmosphere of public deals. Our study also bears implications for sellers of private firms. Our results are consistent with a ‘private firm discount,’ or at least acquirers manage to appropriate a significant proportion of the value in acquisition. Sellers of private firms should strive to find mechanisms to enhance their visibility and convey the value of their assets. Several alternative mechanisms can be used, such as patenting activity, formation of alliances, and IPO. Sellers of private firms, which might have weaker negotiation skills or at least lower acquisition experience than their public acquirers, should also be careful when they negotiate ‘psychological benefits’ for themselves or their employees at the expense of the purchasing price (Graebner and Eisenhardt, 2004). Prescriptive implications Limitations Our study has prescriptive implications for managers. From a normative perspective, investigating simultaneously an acquirer’s choice and its performance implications is critical in evaluating the value of a theory as a basis for managerial prescriptions. As Masten (1993) emphasizes, if managers are mistaken or ill informed, studies on the determinants of acquisitions of private targets will say little about the choice’s actual influence on acquirer performance. Our evidence suggests that acquirers should take into account information asymmetry when choosing a target. Contrary to what the prior studies in finance would imply, acquisitions of private targets may not universally improve acquirer performance. Ignoring the factor of information asymmetry when choosing a target simply deteriorates acquirer returns. In terms of value creation, greater information disclosure on public targets is really a doubleedged sword. When the target is public, any These empirical results, however, have a few important limitations. First, we have combined an event study and survey data to examine the target ownership effect. While survey data offer detailed information on acquisition characteristics, the limited sample size and the subjective measurements may weaken the generalizability of the findings. Replication of our findings by using large sample data and objective measurements could examine the external validity of our results. Second, our arguments are more applicable to developed economies, where efficient capital markets are assumed. Our paper assumes that firms operate in a developed equity market, where capital is saved and channeled to the most profitable investment projects through aggregating heterogeneous information and spreading unsystematic risks, i.e., risks that do not affect an entire financial market but are rather specific to its participants. Such equity market efficiency provides the foundation for informational advantages between acquirers of public and private targets. Our arguments will need substantial revision when applied in developing and capture the increased value from higher valuation of target assets (Barney, 1988). Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj 908 L. Capron and J.-C. Shen economies, where capital markets are inefficient, and where institutional voids proliferate. Third, and related, the focus of this study has been on acquirer returns at the announcement period, which may diverge from long-term performance. Comparison of long-term performance of acquisitions of public and private firms could shed light on the nature of the remarkable acquirer returns on announcement of acquisitions of private targets. It would be interesting to examine whether the market overreacts to the announcement of the acquisition of a private target or changes its expectations over time. Future avenues for research This study has several implications for future research. Further work in this field might explore more thoroughly the full array of sources of value creation and value appropriation that might affect returns to acquirers of public and private firms. Future research could also examine the variance of acquirer returns within the sample of private targets and explore the role of contingent factors such as target governance, management features (Villalonga and Amit, 2006), and negotiation expertise on acquirer returns. Future research could also investigate post-acquisition management across public and private targets to understand how target ownership affects integration efforts and outcomes. Private targets may raise new integration challenges for a public acquirer due to the shifts in culture and governance systems, the presence of a close-knit culture, and different rules of internal labor markets associated with private targets. Another area for future research would be to use different performance measures to capture directly the extent of private firm discount. The rare studies on the issue have constructed comparable samples of private and public targets based on size and industry. Yet, we find that broader qualitative differences differentiate private targets from public targets. Moreover, to capture differences between private and public targets in a more comprehensive way, one has to endogenize the decision to go public from the target’s perspective. Although several theoretical IPO models are available (e.g., Chemmanur and Fulghieri, 1999), empirically examining the decision to go public is difficult due to data unavailability on private firms as well as the limited explanatory power of the Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. existing models (Pagano et al., 1998). The convergence of IPOs and M&A literature could be a fruitful avenue for future research. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We are grateful to Gautam Ahuja, Allan Afuah, Asli Arikan, Ilgaz Arikan, Pierre Chandon, Melissa Graebner, Andrew Henderson, Kevin Kaiser, Mauro Guillėn, Dan Levinthal, Constas Lioukas, Jeff Reuer, Lori Rosenkopf, Andrew Van Nordenflycht, Rosemarie Ziedonis, James Westphal, and participants at INSEAD, University of Michigan, Wharton, University of Texas—Austin and York University, who provided stimulating comments and constructive suggestions on earlier versions of this manuscript. We also thank the two anonymous SMJ reviewers and Associate Editor Rick Bettis for their valuable help during the review process. REFERENCES Agrawal A, Jaffe J, Mandelker G. 1992. The post-merger performance of acquiring firms: a re-examination of an anomaly. Journal of Finance 47(4): 1605–1621. Akerlof GA. 1970. The market for ‘lemons’: quality uncertainty and the market mechanism. Quarterly Journal of Economics 84(3): 488–500. Anand J, Capron L, Mitchell W. 2005. 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We chose the period 1988–92 to exclude older acquisitions for which managerial turnover made it difficult to gather detailed information, and recent acquisitions where post-acquisition consolidation may not yet have taken place. Sources of information include the International Merger Yearbook (1990, 1991, 1992), Mergers and Acquisitions Sourcebook (1990, 1991, 1992), Mergers and Acquisitions International (1990, 1991, 1992), and Fusions and Acquisitions (1989, 1990, 1991, 1992). Procedure The data collection process comprised four phases. First, we developed measurement scales by reviewing relevant literature and by conducting 25 on-site interviews with CEOs from large firms, academics, and consultants. We pre-tested these scales with a group of academics, consultants, and managers. These pre-tests led to the revision of several items with a view to improving their clarity and adding new items identified during the interviews. The third stage consisted of on-site interviews with CEOs or executives in charge of their acquisition programs in 10 large firms, resulting in the final version of the questionnaire. In the final stage, we mailed the survey to the acquiring companies included in the sampling frame described above. We addressed the surveys to the chief executives of the business units which Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. undertook the acquisition. In the cover letter, we requested that the survey be completed either by the CEO or by a senior executive with overall responsibility for the acquisition case studied. According to Dillman (1978), we mailed a followup letter and a replacement questionnaire. Achieved sample From the initial sample, questionnaires were mailed to the 1,778 acquirers for whom we obtained addresses. A total of 273 completed questionnaires were returned, representing a response rate of 15 percent. This response rate is comparable with that for most recent large-scale surveys involving executives. Such a response rate is reasonable, given the setting (more than a dozen countries in two continents, diverse firms, and high-level respondent positions (CEO, president, executive chair, vice president of finance and managing director)) and the sensitivity of the information. Of the responses, 20 were eliminated since they did not represent horizontal acquisitions. A comprehensive analysis of the measure reliability and validity can be found in a previous paper (Capron, 1999). Among these 273 responses, we only include the acquirers that were stock-listed and for which we could perform an event study. Our final sample is made up of 101 acquisitions. Among these 101 targets, 52 were public targets, 40 were private targets, and nine were government subsidiaries. APPENDIX 2: SURVEY ITEMS 1. At the time of the acquisition, did you intend with this merger to diversify into a new line of business? 1. NO 2. YES 2. Relative size of target to acquirer (relative annual sales) in the line of business concerned: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. <25%; 25–49%; 50–74%; 75–100%; >100% Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj Acquisitions of Private vs. Public Firms 3. Geographic scope of the acquired firm’s operations 1. Domestic/national 2. International (but limited to one geographic zone; i.e., Europe, U.S., or Asia) 3. International/global 4. Target age: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. <2 years; 2–5 years; 6–10 years; 11–15 years; >15 years 5. Profitability (profit/capital employed) of the acquired business relative to industry average before the acquisition: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Much less profitable Less profitable Equivalent More profitable Much more profitable 6. Demand trends in your industry just before the acquisition? 2. 3. 4. 5. 911 Slightly increasing Stable Slightly declining Sharply declining 7. Acquirer acquisition experience: number of firms acquired in the target industry in the past 5 years. 8. Geographic scope of the acquirer’s operations 1. Domestic/national 2. International (but limited to one geographic zone; i.e., Europe, U.S., or Asia) 3. International/global 9. To what extent have you used resources from the acquired business to assist your existing business? NOT AT ALL TO SOME EXTENT TO A VERY LARGE EXTENT 1. Use of acquired business's product innovation capabilities 1 2 3 4 5 2. Use of acquired business's know-how in manufacturing processes 1 2 3 4 5 3. Use of acquired business's marketing expertise 1 2 3 4 5 1. Sharply increasing Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 28: 891–911 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/smj
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