Probabilities of Poker Hands The following is a list of possible winning poker hands ranked from best to worst hand: Royal Flush (10, J, Q, K, A of the same suit) Straight Flush (5 in order of the same suit) Four of a Kind (4 of the same number) Full House (2 of a kind and 3 of a kind) Flush (5 cards of the same suit) Straight (5 in order of varying suits) Three of a kind (3 of the same number) Two pairs (2 of one number and 2 of another number) Two of a kind (2 of the same number) Find the number of hands of 5 cards that you could be dealt (there are 52 cards in a deck). Find the number of possible hands of each type and the probability of getting each of the above hands. Solution: 52 52! Total possible hands: 2598960 5 48!5! There are 52 cards in the deck, and we are choosing 5 of these cards. 5 4 J, Q, K, A of the same suit): 1 4 4 Royal Flush (10, 5 1 There are 5 cards to choose from, and we need all of them. Then, we must choose 1 of the 4 suits that they will be. 4 P(E) 0.0000015 2598960 9 4 Straight Flush (5 in order of the same suit): 9 4 36 1 1 There are 9 possible orders you could have (2, 3, 4, 5, 6; 3, 4, 5, 6, 7; 4, 5, 6, 7, 8; etc.). Then, we must choose one suit for this order. 36 P(E) .00001385 2598960 13 4 48 Four of a Kind (4 of the same number): 131 48 624 1 4 1 We must first choose the rank of our 4 of a kind. Then, we want all 4 suits of this rank. Lastly, we must choose our final card from the remaining 48 in the deck. 624 P(E) .00024 2598960 13 4 12 4 Full House (2 of a kind and 3 of a kind): 13 4 12 6 3744 1 3 1 2 First, let’s choose our 3 of a kind. There are 13 ranks (or numbers) to choose from. The rank we chose then has four suits, we must choose 3 of these 4 suits. Now, we can choose our two of a kind. There are only 12 remaining ranks to choose from. After choosing our rank, we must then pick two of the 4 suits for this rank. 3744 P(E) .00144 2598960 4 13 Flush (5 cards of the same suit): =5148 1 5 There are 4 suits; we will choose one of them. Then, we are going to choose any 5 cards from the 13 cards of that chosen suit. 5148 P(E) .00198 2598960 Straight (5 in order of varying suits): (9)(45)= 9,216 There are 9 possible orders you could have (2, 3, 4, 5, 6; 3, 4, 5, 6, 7; 4, 5, 6, 7, 8; etc.). Each of the 5 cards you have can be 4 different suits, which gives us 45. 9216 P(E) .0035 2598960 13 4 49 49! Three of a kind (3 of the same number): 13 4 61152 47!2! 1 3 2 Choose a rank, then choose 3 suits for this number to be. Next, we have to choose two of the remaining 49 cards. 61152 P(E) .024 2598960 13 4 12 4 48 Two pairs (2 of a #, 2 of another #): 13 6 12 6 48 269568 1 2 1 2 1 First we choose the rank of the first pair, then choose 2 suits of that rank. Then, we choose the rank of our second pair from the remaining 12.then, we choose the suit of these cards. Lastly, choose a card from the remaining 48 cards. 269568 P(E) .1037 2598960 13 4 50 50! Two of a kind (2 of the same number): 13 6 1528800 47!3! 1 2 3 Choose the rank of the pair. Then, choose two of the four suits. Lastly, choose 3 cards from the remaining 50 cards. 1528800 P(E) .588 2598960
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