Learning Curve Analysis Supplement G To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Learning Curve To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Learning Curve Process time per unit (hr) 0.30 – 0.25 – 0.20 – 0.15 – 0.10 – 0.05 – 0– | | | | | | 50 100 150 200 250 300 Cumulative units produced To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Learning Curve Process time per unit (hr) 0.30 – 0.25 – 0.20 – 0.15 – Learning curve 0.10 – 0.05 – 0– | | | | | | 50 100 150 200 250 300 Cumulative units produced To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Learning Curve Process time per unit (hr) 0.30 – 0.25 – 0.20 – 0.15 – Learning curve 0.10 – Learning 0.05 – period 0– | | | | | | 50 100 150 200 250 300 Cumulative units produced To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Learning Curve Process time per unit (hr) 0.30 – 0.25 – 0.20 – 0.15 – 0.10 – Learning 0.05 – period 0– Figure G.1 Learning curve Standard time | | | | | | 50 100 150 200 250 300 Cumulative units produced To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. The 80% Learning Curve To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% k40 = 50,000(40)(log 0.8)/(log 2) 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% k40 = 50,000(40)-0.322 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% k40 = 50,000(0.30488) 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% k40 = 15,244 hours 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% k40 = 15,244 hours 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% k40 = 15,244 hours 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – 20 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% Cumulative average labor hours = 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve Table H.1 50 Learning – 80% Rate (n = cumulative production) n40 – 1 230 3 . .20 . 38 39 10 40 64 128 0 – – – – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 1.00000 0.90000 0.83403 . . . 0.43634 0.43304 0.42984 0.37382 | 0.24405 | | Cumulative average labor hours = | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve Table H.1 50 Learning – 80% Rate (n = cumulative production) n40 – 1 230 3 . .20 . 38 39 10 40 64 128 0 – – – – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 1.00000 0.90000 0.83403 . . . 0.43634 0.43304 0.42984 0.37382 | 0.24405 | | Cumulative average labor hours = 50,000(0.42984) | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve Table H.1 50 Learning – 80% Rate (n = cumulative production) n40 – 1 230 3 . .20 . 38 39 10 40 64 128 0 – – – – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 1.00000 0.90000 0.83403 . . . 0.43634 0.43304 0.42984 0.37382 | 0.24405 | | Cumulative average labor hours = 21,492 hours | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – Second unit = 50,000(80%) 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – Second unit = 40,000 hours 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – Fourth unit = 40,000(80%) 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – Labor hours required for first unit = 50,000 Learning rate = 80% 30 – Fourth unit = 32,000 hours 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Example G.1 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Direct labor hours per locomotive (thousands) The 80% Learning Curve 50 – 40 – 30 – 20 – 10 – 0– | | | | | | | 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 Cumulative units produced Figure G.2 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Month 1 2 3 4 5 Units per Month 2 3 5 8 12 Cumulative Units 2 5 10 18 30 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit Table H.1 90% Learning Rate (n = cumulative production) n 1 Cumulative 1.00000 2Total Hours 0.95000 3for All Units 0.91540 4 0.88905 5 0.86784 . . . . . . 30 0.69090 64 0.62043 128 0.56069 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 Table H.1 90% Learning Rate (n = cumulative production) n 1 Cumulative 1.00000 2Total Hours 0.95000 3for All Units 0.91540 4 0.88905 5 0.86784 . . . . . . 30 0.69090 64 0.62043 128 0.56069 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 Table H.1 90% Learning Rate (n = cumulative production) n 1 Cumulative 1.00000 2Total Hours 0.95000 3for All Units 0.91540 4 0.88905 28,500(2) = 57,000 5 0.86784 . . . . . . 30 0.69090 64 0.62043 128 0.56069 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 Table H.1 90% Learning Rate (n = cumulative production) n 1 Cumulative 1.00000 2Total Hours 0.95000 3for All Units 0.91540 4 0.88905 28,500(2) = 57,000 5 0.86784 . . 26,035(5) = 130,175 . . . . 23,983(10) = 239,830 30 0.69090 22,224(18) = 400,032 64 0.62043 20,727(30) = 621,810 128 0.56069 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative Total Hours for All Units 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 Cumulative Total Hours for All Units 28,500(2) = 57,000 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 Cumulative Total Hours for All Units 28,500(2) 26,035(5) = 57,000 = 130,175 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 Cumulative Total Hours for All Units 28,500(2) 26,035(5) 23,983(10) 22,224(18) 20,727(30) = = = = = 57,000 130,175 239,830 400,032 621,810 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month 1: Month Month Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 Cumulative Total Hours for All Units 28,500(2) 26,035(5) 23,983(10) 22,224(18) 20,727(30) = = = = = 57,000 130,175 239,830 400,032 621,810 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month 1: 57,000 0 = 57,000 hours Month Month– Units 1 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 Cumulative 5 12 Average Time 30 Total Hours Month per Unit for All Units 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 28,500(2) 26,035(5) 23,983(10) 22,224(18) 20,727(30) = = = = = 57,000 130,175 239,830 400,032 621,810 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month 1: 57,000 0 = 57,000 hours Month Month– Units Month 1 2: 130,175 2 – 57,000 2= 73,175 hours 2 3 5 3 5 10 4 8 Cumulative 18 Cumulative 5 12 Average Time 30 Total Hours Month per Unit for All Units 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 28,500(2) 26,035(5) 23,983(10) 22,224(18) 20,727(30) = = = = = 57,000 130,175 239,830 400,032 621,810 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month 1: 57,000 0 = 57,000 hours Month Month– Units Month 1 2: 130,175 2 – 57,000 2= 73,175 hours Month 2 3: 239,830 3 – 130,175 5= 109,655 hours Month 3 4: 400,032 5 – 239,83010= 160,202 hours Month – 400,03218= 221,778 hoursCumulative 4 5: 621,810 8 Cumulative 5 12 Average Time 30 Total Hours Month per Unit for All Units 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 28,500(2) 26,035(5) 23,983(10) 22,224(18) 20,727(30) = = = = = 57,000 130,175 239,830 400,032 621,810 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month 1: 57,000 0 = 57,000 /150 Month Month– Units Month 1 2: 130,175 2 – 57,000 2= 73,175 /150 Month 2 3: 239,830 3 – 130,175 5= 109,655 /150 Month 3 4: 400,032 5 – 239,83010= 160,202 /150 Month – 400,03218= 221,778 /150 Cumulative 4 5: 621,810 8 Cumulative 5 12 Average Time 30 Total Hours Month per Unit for All Units 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 28,500(2) 26,035(5) 23,983(10) 22,224(18) 20,727(30) = = = = = 57,000 130,175 239,830 400,032 621,810 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Estimating Labor Requirements Example G.2 Units per Cumulative Month 1: 57,000 0 = 57,000 /150 Month Month– Units Month 1 2: 130,175 2 – 57,000 2= 73,175 /150 Month 2 3: 239,830 3 – 130,175 5= 109,655 /150 Month 3 4: 400,032 5 – 239,83010= 160,202 /150 Month – 400,03218= 221,778 /150 4 5: 621,810 8 Cumulative 5 12 Average Time 30 Month per Unit 1 2 3 4 5 30,000(0.95000) = 28,500 30,000(0.86784) = 26,035 30,000(0.79945) = 23,983 30,000(0.74080) = 22,224 30,000(0.69090) = 20,727 = 380 employees = 488 employees = 731 employees = 1068 employees =Cumulative 1479 employees Total Hours for All Units 28,500(2) 26,035(5) 23,983(10) 22,224(18) 20,727(30) = = = = = 57,000 130,175 239,830 400,032 621,810 To Accompany Krajewski & Ritzman Operations Management: Strategy and Analysis, Seventh Edition © 2004 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved.
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