Labour market reforms in OECD countries: some lessons Raymond Torres, OECD 1 Social protection and regulations have long been seen as bad for job creation Welfare benefits may inhibit work incentives Labour regulations (minimum wages, dismissal regulations, etc.) may: 2 make employers reluctant to hire (lower labour demand); and slow down allocation of resources (lower labour productivity Point 1: If well designed, welfare benefits may promote labour supply The “mutual obligations” approach 3 Governments offer good re-employment services, financial incentives to work, non-financial services like child-care – the “rights” Beneficiaries should take active steps to find work – the “obligations” This may require a minimum wage set at right level = > This can be very effective to bring disadvantaged groups into employment 4 Sw Ic itz elan e d N rlan D orw d en ay m U N Sw ar ni et e k te he de d r N Ki lan n ew ng ds Ze dom U C ala ni a nd te na d d A Sta a us te tra s Ja lia A pan u Fi stri n a To Po lan ta rtu d Cz l O gal ec I E C h re D Re la pu nd G Lu e bl xe rm ic m an bo y K urg o Fr rea an Sp ce M ai n Be exic Sl lg o ov ak G ium Re ree p c H ubl e un ic ga r Ita y Po ly Tuland rk ey Nordics, Netherlands: top employment performers… Proportion of people of working age who are employed, 2003 Employment as a percent of population aged 15-64 % 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 Source: OECD Employment Outlook 2004. Point 2: Employment regulations can be made consistent with employment Overly rigid dismissal regulations can be a problem. It can inhibit job creation, Contribute to labour market duality and Reduce mobility But some degree of regulation can help 5 This will force firms to internalise cost of dismissal decisions: see Austrian reform, experience rating in the US Helps find better job match (productivity) How strict are employment protection regulations in OECD countries? Index measuring the strictness of employment protection legislation in 2003 Regulation on temporary forms of employment Specific requirements for collective dismissal Protection of regular workers against (individual) dismissal 2003 (Scale 0-6) 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 6 U Un nite ite d S d Ki tate ng s Ne C dom w ana Ze d al a a Ire nd A la Sw ust nd itz rali er a Hu lan ng d a Cz D Jap ry ec en an h m Re ar pu k Sl ov b a k K lic o Re re pu a Fi blic nl a Po nd la Ne Au nd th str er ia la nd s G Ita er ly m Be an lg y No ium r Sw wa ed y Fr en a G nce re ec Sp e M ain ex Tu ico Po rke rtu y ga l 0.0 Source: OECD Employment Outlook 2004 . Protection of regular employment against individual dismissal, 2003 (Scale 0-6) EPL overall including collective dismissal (version 2), 2003 (Scale Regular Regular work work individual total Regular individual Regular work total 5.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 -2.5 0.0 -2.50.0 1.0 -1.5 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Regular work individual 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.01.01.5 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 2.0 1.52.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 Temporary Temporary work 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.50.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Wide cross-country differences in union density and collective bargaining coverage, 2000 Percentage of wage and salary earners 100 Austria Belgium France 90 Sweden Finland Netherlands Spain 80 Italy Australia Portugal Denmark Norway Collective bargaining coverage (%) 70 Germany Luxembourg 60 Slovak Republic 50 Switzerland Poland 40 Canada Hungary United Kingdom 30 New Zealand Czech Republic 20 7 Japan United States Korea 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Trade union density (%) 70 80 90 100 Point 3: Better skills are needed Information and communications technology has opened up new growth possibilities: 8 New technology may help raise productivity of existing firms; it may also create new market opportunities; and has raised knowledge externalities But, this productivity potential will not be realised automatically: it needs better human capital for all and new work practices Big shift away from low-educated employment… 9 Training reduces the risk of unemployment Low-estimate of the probability change High-estimate of the probability change 0.4 0.2 0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 10 -0.8 -1 Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland ITALY Netherlands Portugal Spain …Employer-employee bodies help promote human capital C hart 4. Trainin g particip atio n is greater in firm s w ith a joint CV T agreem ent Percentage of em ployees in all enterprises with/w ithout a joint CV T agreement with social partners participating in employer-sponsored CV T courses, 1999 a % 70 Average 50 Coefficient of variation 0.24 32 0.42 60 50 40 30 20 10 W ithout ry ga nd un H la Po ec re G tri a (b e ) s nd us he rla A N et Sp ai n y m er U W ith an ga l om rtu G K ni te Lu d xe Po gd in bo I ta ly g ur ay m or w nd N la Ire ar m en D pu bl k ic ) (b Re ch ze C B el gi um an ce d Fr an nl en Fi ed Sw 11 0 Point 4 : there is no single policy strategy One approach is not to do anything, which in countries where benefit dependency is high will entail nonemployment persistence Another approach is to reduce benefit levels and their duration, and reduce demand-side barriers (the deregulation approach): 12 This will enhance work incentives and will also raise labour demand It is also cheaper for public purse But it will not be enough in certain cases (lone parents) ... ... And as such does not help improve career prospects and may lead to labour market insecurity A third approach is to reform benefits, maintaining them at an adequate level, but introducing a “mutual obligations” approach and modernising labour law: 13 Provision of benefits, employment-conditional support and active programmes, in return for effective job-search Promoting skill development Reform of EPL and wage formation systems This may give job incentives and possibly facilitate transitions to a higher productivity logic... ... But it is costly and complex Thank you 14
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