1 The impact of open oceanic processes on the Antarctic 2 Bottom Water outflows 3 4 Shinichiro Kida1 5 Earth Simulator Center, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and 6 Technology, Yokohama, Japan 7 8 (Resubmitted to the Journal of Physical Oceanography, April 2011) 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 ____________________ 20 Corresponding author address: Shinichiro Kida, Earth Simulator Center, Japan Agency for Marine- 21 Earth Science and Technology, 3173-25 Showa-machi, Kanazawa-ku, Yokohama 236-0001 Japan. 22 E-mail: [email protected] 23 1 24 Abstract 25 The impact of open oceanic processes on the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) outflows is 26 investigated using a numerical model with a focus on outflows that occur through deep 27 channels. A major branch of the AABW outflow is known to occur as an overflow from the 28 Filchner Depression to the Weddell Sea through a deep channel few hundred kilometers 29 wide and a sill roughly 500 m deep. When this overflow enters the Weddell Sea, it 30 encounters the Antarctic Slope Front (ASF) at the shelf-break, a density front commonly 31 found along the Antarctic continental shelf-break. The presence of an AABW outflow and 32 the ASF create a v-shaped isopycnal structure across the shelf-break, indicating an 33 interaction between the overflow and oceanic processes. Model experiments show the 34 overflow transport to increase significantly when an oceanic wind stress increases the depth 35 of the ASF. This enhancement of overflow transport occurs because the overflow transport 36 is geostrophically controlled by its ambient oceanic water at the shelf-break and the 37 presence of the channel walls allows a pressure gradient in the along-slope direction to 38 exist. Since the ASF is associated with a lighter water mass that reaches the depth close to 39 that of the channel, an increase in its depth increases the density gradient across the shelf- 40 break and therefore the geostrophic overflow transport. The enhancement of overflow 41 transport is also likely to result in lighter overflow water mass although such adjustment of 42 density likely occurs on much longer time scale than the adjustment of transport. 43 2 44 1. Overflows and its interaction with the open ocean 45 Overflows originate from marginal seas where topographic constraints enable the formation 46 of dense water mass through excess evaporation, ice formation, and heat-loss (Warren 47 1980). While the transport of each overflow is on the order of few Sverdrups (Sv), 48 overflows play a significant role on the deep oceanic circulation (Price and Yang, 1998). 49 Those from the Denmark Strait, Faroe Bank Channel, Kara Sea, Mediterranean Sea, Red 50 Sea, and Filchner Bank Channel are some of the overflows known to play such role. 51 Overflows enter the open ocean through sills and channels and then flow along the 52 isobaths of the continental slope as bottom friction (e.g. Smith, 1975) and topographic 53 features like canyons and seamounts (e.g. Wahlin, 2002) cause them to descend. 54 Thermobaricity (Killworth, 1977, Gordon et al. 1993) and baroclinic instability (e.g. Jiang 55 and Garwood, 1996, Tanaka and Akitomo, 2001, Kida et al., 2009) may further enhance the 56 descent. Overflows also entrain upper oceanic water locally near the shelf-break (Price and 57 Baringer, 1994) and induce an upper oceanic circulation (Kida et al. 2008). These past 58 studies of overflows on the continental slope have led to major improvements on its 59 parameterization in General Circulation Models (GCMs) (see Legg et al. 2010 and 60 reference there in). 61 62 a. Can open oceanic processes affect overflows? 63 Do open oceanic processes affect overflows? Overflows enter the open ocean through deep 64 channels but previous studies on the overflow-upper ocean interaction have mostly focused 65 on this dynamics when the overflow is on the slope. The ambient open ocean has often 3 66 been kept quiescent or without externally driven flows. The real open ocean is, however, 67 comprised of flows forced by external processes. Coastal currents and the oceanic 68 stratification are known to affect dense water cascades by changing its density and cross- 69 slope penetration distance (e.g. Chapman, 2000, Gawarkiewicz, 2000, Ivanov and Golovin, 70 2007). Dense water cascades are another form of dense water outflows which involves the 71 dense water entering the open ocean from the continental shelves where the bathymetry is 72 less bounded by sills and channels (see Ivanov et al., 2004, for more complete list of dense 73 water cascades). Dense water cascades are often directly affected by open oceanic flows but 74 overflows originate from marginal seas where open oceanic flows do not directly affect. 75 Thus while overflows are likely influenced by open oceanic flows once it is on the 76 continental slope, whether their initial properties at the channel are influenced by open 77 oceanic processes is still unclear. Studies on the overflow-upper ocean interaction have 78 mostly prescribed this initial property of overflows at the channel when the open oceanic 79 conditions are changed (e.g. Jiang and Garwood, 1998). 80 Our motivation for answering the question raised above comes from the 81 observations of v-shaped temperature and salinity fields along the continental slope of the 82 Weddell and Ross Seas (Figure 1a, b) (Gill, 1973, Jacobs, 1991, Fahrbach et al., 1992). The 83 in-shore side of the v-shape is associated with the outflow of the cold and salty Antarctic 84 Bottom Water (AABW, Orsi et al. 1999) from the shelf. The offshore side of the v-shape is 85 associated with the Antarctic Slope Front (ASF), which is a front that separates the warm 86 and salty Circumpolar Deep Water and the cold fresh surface water on the shelf. The v- 87 shaped structure suggests direct interaction between the AABW outflow and the open 4 88 ocean at the continental shelf-break (Gill, 1973). Although the presence of this v-shaped 89 structure has been known for some time, further details on how the two processes may 90 interact have remained an open question. 91 The ASF is observed almost continuously along the continental shelf-break of 92 Antarctica except for the region just west of Antarctic Peninsula (Whitworth et al. 1998, 93 Heywood et al., 2004). It is located well off-shore where the continental shelf is wide (Gill, 94 1973) but is located close to the coastline where the continental shelf is narrow. It is also 95 co-located with the Antarctic Coastal Current (Whitworth et al., 1998, Bindoff et al., 2000), 96 a westward flow on the continental shelf often found along the front of ice shelf (Jacobs, 97 1991). The ASF/Antarctic Coastal Current system is observed with a transport of about 14 98 Sv at 17W and the ASF is considered to account about half of this transport (Heywood et al., 99 1998). A maximum velocity of about 10 cm s-1 is observed near the surface. The 100 geostrophic shear associated with the v-shape of the ASF suggests a river like flow at the 101 shelf-break even away from the coast (Gill, 1973, Whitworth et al., 1998). The slope 102 current in the Ross Sea that is associated with the v-shape at the shelf-break is observed 103 with a flow speed of more than few cm s-1. A slope front and an along-slope flow are 104 observed along the shelf-break of the western Weddell Sea (Muench and Gordon, 1995). It 105 is suggestive that a slope current with a flow speed of few cm s-1 or more exists along the 106 shelf-break of the Weddell Sea away from the coast. Baines (2009) suggests that mixing 107 between the overflow and the surface water may establish the ASF. The easterly wind that 108 is observed along the coast of Antarctica may also establish the ASF. The easterly wind has 109 traditionally been considered responsible for establishing the ASF that is observed along 5 110 the coastlines because an easterly wind will force a southward Ekman transport, accumulate 111 surface water near the coast, and establish a coastal front. Seasonal variability of the flow 112 speed in the ASF/Antarctic Coastal Current system observed along the coast near 11W is 113 found to correlate well with that of the easterly wind (Figure 1c) (Fahrbach et al. 1992). 114 The ASF along shelf-breaks away from coastlines may establish through the advection of 115 the coastal front along the isobaths of the shelf-break. The ASF/Antarctic Coastal Current 116 system is observed to divide into that along the coast and that along the slope where the 117 shelf widens about 27 W, east of the Filchner Bank Channel, although the transport of each 118 branch remains unclear (Foster and Carmack, 1976). The two mechanisms mentioned here 119 for the establishment of the ASF may very well co-exist and suggest that the ASF is 120 capable of being affected by open oceanic processes. 121 Are AABW outflows affected by oceanic processes through their impact on the ASF? 122 This is the main question investigated in this paper. We will focus on the AABW outflow 123 that occurs through a deep channel, such as that observed from the Filchner depression 124 through the Filchner Bank Channel to the Weddell Sea (Figure 1a), which we will refer to 125 as the AABW overflow hereafter. We will also focus on the initial overflow properties that 126 enter the oceanic basin from the channel rather than that on the continental slope. Note that 127 our focus is not on the dense water cascades like that occurring on the western part of the 128 continental shelves of the Weddell Sea. Overflow properties have been suggested to vary 129 when the surface heat flux or the surface buoyancy change, since they affect the water mass 130 transformation rate. Changes in the local wind field have also been suggested to affect 131 overflows since they may change the barotropic flow field along a channel (Kohl et al. 6 132 2007). Unlike these past studies, this study will focus on the impact of a density front along 133 a shelf-break that is varied by the wind field out in the open ocean. 134 Partly due to difficulties associated with long-term direct observations around Antarctic 135 in the presence of strong tides and sea ice, observations have been limited. Gordon et al. 136 (2009) recently showed that the AABW overflow from the Drygalski trough in the Ross 137 Sea is associated with significant seasonal variability since more pulses of cold dense water 138 events were observed from Spring to Fall (November to May) than from Fall to Spring 139 (Figure 2). This seasonal variability may be induced by the seasonally varying wind field 140 observed in the open ocean which appears to correlate well (Figure 1c): the number of 141 pulses increases as the easterly wind increases towards summer. Such seasonal variability 142 of the easterly wind is found around the shelf-breaks of Antarctica. However, how these 143 varying winds affect the slope current is unclear and the seasonal variability of the slope 144 current may very well be different from that found in the coastal current at 11W. The 145 mechanism responsible for the seasonal variability of the AABW overflow is still an open 146 question and the seasonal variability of the water mass transformation rate is another likely 147 candidate. Current observations only suggest the possible influence that a wind field out in 148 the open ocean may have on the AABW overflow. 149 150 b. A mechanism for the oceanic influence on overflows 151 A mechanism showing how changes in the ASF may influence the AABW outflow was 152 first proposed by Tanaka and Akitomo (2000). They hypothesized that the slope current 153 associated with the ASF may increase the AABW outflow transport by enhancing its 7 154 bottom Ekman transport. This is based on the assumption that the overflow is two- 155 dimensional (constant along-slope properties) and steady, which therefore is more 156 appropriate for dense water cascades. Nonetheless, we will assume that it is still applicable 157 for the AABW overflows. The overflow transport at the shelf-break, Mo, is estimated by the 158 bottom Ekman transport, MEK, integrated in the across-channel direction: 159 M O M EK 160 where Lx and x are the width of the overflow and the bottom stress in the cross-channel 161 direction respectively. CD is the quadratic bottom drag coefficient. |U| is the flow speed, 162 U u 2 v 2 , and u and v are the velocities in the cross-channel and along-channel 163 directions. Eq (1) indicates that the presence of a slope current increases the overflow 164 transport Mo at the shelf-break because its background presence will increase the flow 165 speed of overflows. The slope current is likely westward, which is the same direction as 166 that of the AABW overflow. Based on a numerical model, Tanaka and Akitomo (2000) 167 estimate that more than half of the AABW overflow transport may be caused by this 168 enhancement of bottom Ekman transport by the slope current. CD U u x Lx Lx , f o fo (1) 169 The limitation of Eq (1) is the assumption of a two-dimensional along-slope flow. 170 For AABW overflows that occur through deep channels rather than uniformly along the 171 continental shelf-break such assumption may be inadequate. The Filchner Bank Channel 172 overflow is such case (Foldvik et al. 2004). In the presence of channels, the AABW 173 overflow may occur geostrophically because a pressure gradient can be maintained across 174 the channel. We suggest that the ASF will enhance the AABW overflow through the 8 175 enhancement of this geostrophic flow component. When assuming that the overflow 176 transport is mostly geostrophic and that the upper oceanic flow is absent, the overflow 177 transport Mo can be estimated by that suggested by Toulany and Garett (1984) and 178 generalized by Helfrich et al. (1999) 179 g' h2 MO , 2 fo 180 where g’ is the reduced gravity between the overflow and the open oceanic water, h is the 181 upstream height of overflow water above the sill. Eq (2) is the steady state solution of the 182 along-channel transport for the Rossby adjustment problem in a wide channel setting for a 183 one layer flow. Unlike the original solution (Helfrich et al. 1999), the reduced gravity is 184 used since we are currently focusing on a baroclinic flow. The Rossby adjustment problem 185 is a dam break problem between two density layers which we will consider as the overflow 186 layer and the open oceanic layer (Figure 3a). The familiar solution that establishes a flow 187 along the density front is based on a two-dimensional assumption which is equivalent to 188 having an infinite wide channel (Cushman-Roisin 1994). For a finite channel much larger 189 than the deformation radius, the lateral boundaries will create a flow in the along channel 190 direction and Eq (2) is such solution. We suspect that this physical setting resembles the 191 AABW overflow. The deep channel between the Filchner Depression and the Weddell Sea 192 is roughly 100-200 km wide (Foldvik et al. 2004) which is significantly larger than the 193 local deformation radius of about 5 km. (2) 194 Eq (2) indicates that the overflow transport increases when the depth of the ASF 195 increases. When the ASF is weak (Figure 3a), g’ can be estimated by that between the 9 196 overflow and the deep water in the open ocean, (g, where is the background 197 density, 1025 kg m-3. However, when the ASF is deepened by external processes, lighter 198 surface water is brought down to deeper depth and g’ becomes (g. Since 199 (Figure 3b), this is an increase in g’ which may increase the overflow transport. We suspect 200 such mechanism possible because the flow speed of the AABW overflow is below the 201 gravity wave speed and is subcritical near the shelf-break. Once the overflow is on the 202 continental slope, the flow accelerates and becomes supercritical so that it is unlikely to 203 influence the dynamics upstream. 204 In this paper, we will investigate whether the AABW overflows are affected by 205 open oceanic processes through the changes in the ASF, with a focus on the Filchner Bank 206 Channel overflow. A numerical model is used and the paper is organized as follows. The 207 details of the model configuration are first described in Section 2. The dynamics of the 208 AABW overflow at the shelf-break is examined in Section 3. The sensitivity of the AABW 209 overflow to the changes in the ASF is examined in Section 4. Summary and discussion are 210 presented in Section 5. 211 212 2. A Shelf – Oceanic Basin model 213 A non-hydrostatic ocean model developed at the Earth Simulator Center of Japan Agency 214 for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) is used. This model is named the 215 Multi-scale Simulator for the Geoenvironment (MSSG) (Takahashi et al. 2006, Baba et al. 216 2010) and is an air-sea coupled model but here we only use its oceanic component. MSSG 10 217 is based on a C-grid using the Latitude-Longitude system for the horizontal coordinate and 218 the z-coordinate for the vertical. 219 220 a. Experimental Setups 221 The model is on an f-plane with f set to -1x10-4 s-1. The model domain has 200 grid points 222 zonally and 300 grid points meridionally with a horizontal resolution of 1 km (Figure 4). 223 Vertical resolution is 10 m and the rigid-lid approximation is used at the sea surface. 224 The bathymetry of the model (Figure 4a, b, and c) is set analogous to where the 225 Filchner Bank Channel overflow occurs (Figure 1a). The circular basin in the north, with a 226 maximum depth of 1000 m, represents the Weddell Sea, which we will refer to as the 227 oceanic basin hereafter. A continental slope, with a slope of 0.01, exists along the perimeter 228 of this oceanic basin. The squared basin in the south represents the Filchner depression with 229 a maximum depth of 700 m, which we will refer to as the shelf hereafter. A sill, 500 m high, 230 and a channel, 100 km wide and 50 km long, that connect the oceanic basin and the shelf 231 represents the Filchner Bank Channel. The channel walls are bounded from the bottom to 232 the surface unlike the actual Filchner Bank Channel where it is about 300 m deep, but we 233 have chosen to do so in order to simplify the location of the exchange flow. The model 234 domain is much smaller than the actual Weddell Sea and its continental shelf but the 235 Filchner Bank Channel is well represented and we consider it feasible for examining the 236 basic interaction between the overflow and oceanic processes. 237 Laplacian lateral viscosity and diffusion are used for the sub-grid scale viscosity and 238 diffusion with the coefficients set constant to Kh = 20 m2s-1 and Ah = 20 m2s-1, respectively. 11 239 The slip boundary condition is used for lateral boundaries. Vertical viscosity (Kv) and 240 diffusivity (Av) coefficients are constant in the interior but increases exponentially near the 241 surface with a length scale of 100 m and near the bottom with a length scale of 50 m to 242 represent the surface and the bottom boundary layers: 243 Kv Av 1 10 5 2 10 2 exp( 244 where zs is the depth from the sea surface (z=0) and zb is the height from the bottom. This 245 idealized vertical mixing parameterization allows the overflow to simulate entrainment of 246 oceanic water in the interior while mixing at the bottom and surface boundaries are 247 parameterized. Although an order higher resolution is required to fully resolve the Kelvin- 248 Helmholtz instability, Legg et al. (2010) has shown that some of the entrainment process is 249 permitted with similar resolution using a non-hydrostatic oceanic model. The thickness of 250 the surface enhancement in Eq. (3) is chosen to roughly match with the mixed layer of the 251 initial temperature profile. The thickness of the bottom enhancement is based on 252 observations showing the bottom boundary layer of roughly 50 m at the shelf-break of 253 Antarctica near the Adelie Depression (Hirano et al. 2010). A maximum value of 2x10-2 m2 254 s-1 is chosen close to that observed near the surface and the bottom and to ensure that the 255 model is reasonably resolving the bottom Ekman layer ( 2KV f ), which is about 35 m. 256 Quadratic drag is used for the bottom stress with a drag coefficient, CD, of 2x10-3. 2 2 zs z b2), 2 100 50 (3) 257 The flow field is initially set quiescent. The temperature field is horizontally 258 uniform and decreases exponentially from the sea surface to the bottom with a length scale 259 of 200 m: 12 2 zs ) 200 2 . 260 T ( z ) 2.0 exp( 261 Salinity is set constant to 34.5 psu. These idealized temperature and salinity vertical 262 profiles have the density field close to that observed around the Weddell Sea. (4) 263 264 b. The dense overflow 265 The source water of the AABW overflow is created by cooling the water near the surface 266 within 20 km from the southern boundary of the shelf: 267 Q Qo exp( 268 where Qo is set to 2x10-5 oC s-1 and y is the distance from the southern boundary in 269 kilometers. Ice does not form in the model and a minimum temperature is set to -1.8oC. The 270 magnitude of the prescribed surface cooling is significantly larger than observations 271 (Tamura et al. 2008) locally but its area-integrated value is similar. To avoid the formation 272 of fast descending cold chimney plumes that requires extremely small time-step to resolve, 273 lateral and vertical viscosity/diffusivity coefficients are enhanced to 40 m2s-1 and 1x10-2 274 m2s-1, respectively, where cooling is applied. 2 zs y2 , ) exp( ) 50 2 20 2 275 The only connection between the shelf and the oceanic basin is the channel and so 276 the simulated dense overflow will be inevitably associated with a surface flow from the 277 oceanic basin to the shelf. The flow at the channel is therefore a two-layer exchange flow 278 and not a one-layer outflow. A surface inflow is not observed directly above the AABW 279 overflow at the Filchner Bank Channel so this is a major difference between the simulated 280 overflow and observations. The impact of having a surface inflow directly above an 13 281 overflow will be discussed later. The exact pathway of the surface inflow that eventually 282 becomes the Filchner Bank Channel overflow is not fully understood yet. The Antarctic 283 Coastal Current is observed to intrude onto the shelf along the eastern boundary of the 284 continental shelf (Foster and Carmack, 1976) but such coastal current is not included in this 285 study in order to focus on the impact of oceanic processes through the slope front. 286 287 c. The wind stress and the formation of a shelf front 288 A slope front is created along the coastlines of the oceanic basin by applying a cyclonic 289 wind stress over the northeast part the oceanic basin. The wind stress magnitude increases 290 sinusoidally from the interior towards the coast (Figure 5a): 291 r y 200 (r 70) o sin(140 ) r x y 200 o (r 70) r , r x 100 (r 70) o sin(140 ) r y x 100 (r 70) o r x 1002 ( y 200) 2 ). 292 where r is the distance from the center of the oceanic basin ( r 293 The wind stress magnitude is kept constant over the continental slope so that Ekman 294 upwelling is not forced there. o is set to -0.10 N m-2, a representative value of the easterly 295 wind observed along the coasts of Antarctica and that observed in NCEP reanalysis 296 (Fahrbach et al. 1992). The cyclonic wind stress forces coastal downwelling, tilts the 297 isotherm, and establishes a coastal front. Such coastal front is associated with a cyclonic 298 flow which will advect the coastal front along the shelf-break and establish a slope front. 14 299 Note that this cyclonic flow does not directly enter the shelf since its geostrophic contours 300 are along isobaths and thus in the cross-channel direction. The wind stress is also set zero 301 near the channel so that the wind will not directly force an along-channel flow there. This 302 condition is similar to that in the Weddell Sea where sea ice exists above the shelf-break 303 most time of the year and prevents direct wind forcing. 304 The temperature field in the interior of the oceanic basin is restored to its initial 305 profile to maintain the basic stratification near the center of the oceanic basin. The restoring 306 time-scale is 2 days at the center but increases away from the center (Figure 5b). Restoring 307 is moderately enhanced in the northwestern part of the oceanic basin to prevent the slope 308 front and the overflow water from circulating around the oceanic basin multiple times. 309 310 3. The model flow field and the overflow through the channel 311 The simulated flow field reaches a quasi steady state in about 100 days (Figure 6). A slope 312 front establishes in the oceanic basin (Figure 7a) and is associated with a westward flow 313 along the coast and the shelf-break (Figure 7c). The dense overflow enters the oceanic 314 basin from the channel and flows cyclonically along the continental slope (Figure 7b). This 315 model experiment will be referred to as the control experiment (CTRL) hereafter and the 316 dynamics of its simulated overflow between 120 and 180 days is examined in this section. 317 318 a. The flow field 319 The wind, forced at the northeastern part of the oceanic basin, establishes a coastal front 320 along the coast of the oceanic basin. Coastal downwelling tilts the depth of the thermocline 15 321 above the continental slope roughly within 30 km from the coast. The cyclonic circulation 322 that establishes in the interior of the oceanic basin is forced by Ekman upwelling. The 323 cyclonic current that is associated with the coastal front has a transport of about 3.4 Sv 324 above the slope at y = 200 km. This cyclonic current is largely barotropic with a velocity of 325 about 10 cm s-1, advects the front along isobaths, and establishes a slope front at the shelf- 326 break of the channel. As a result, the isotherms form a v-shape structure at the shelf-break 327 (Figure 7c). The establishment of this v-shape structure suggests that the flow field of 328 CTRL is reasonably close to that observed near the Filchner Bank Channel. 329 The cyclonic circulation in the shelf region is induced by the surface cooling applied 330 along the southern boundary. It is observed with a maximum velocity of about 20 cm s-1 331 near the surface. The cold dense water occupies the western half of the shelf near the 332 surface but occupies the rest of the shelf below. 333 334 b. The transport of the overflow at the strait 335 The overflow enters the oceanic basin through the channel with a time-averaged transport 336 of about 0.36 Sv and velocity weighted temperature of about -1.3 oC. The overflow water is 337 assumed that below 0.0 oC, which is the value of the thermocline that divides the overflow 338 and the oceanic water at the strait. The overflow transport and temperature are estimated at 339 the shelf-break (y = 100 km). The time-average is that taken between 120-180 days of 340 simulation. These definitions of overflow transport and temperature and time average are 341 used throughout this study. g’ is estimated as 8.5x10-4 m2 s-1 when taking the time-averaged 342 density difference between the overflow and upper oceanic water that exist within 20 km 343 from the strait and above the channel depth (500 m). The time averaged thickness of the 16 344 overflow h is about 200 m at the shelf-break. So Eq (2) estimates the magnitude of the 345 overflow transport as 0.17 Sv. This estimate is somewhat smaller but reasonably close to 346 the model result. Time averaged flow component ( u h ) contributes to most of the total 347 transport and the eddy component ( u ' h' ) is negligible. The observed perturbation at the 348 shelf-break appears not to contribute much. The bottom Ekman transport across the shelf- 349 break (y = 100 km) is 0.03 Sv and represents only 8% of the total transport. The overflow 350 transport is therefore likely to be mostly geostrophically controlled. 351 The bottom flow field within the channel shows that the overflow begins to flow 352 along the eastern wall from the shelf, turns westward (across the channel) near the shelf- 353 break, and then enters the oceanic basin along the western wall (Figure 7b). This pathway 354 of the overflow is consistent with the past studies on overflows over a sill (e.g. Helfrich and 355 Pratt, 2010). The time-averaged flow speed in the along-channel direction is strongest near 356 the western and eastern walls, both for the overflow and the oceanic inflow (Figure 7d). 357 The on-shore flow observed at about x = 120 km reflects the flow along the shelf-break 358 which is slightly anticyclonic because the oceanic basin is circular. The observed flow 359 pattern is strongly associated with the tilt of isotherms across the channel, suggesting the 360 importance of the geostrophy. The time variability observed at the strait is weak and has a 361 frequency of about 4-5 days. 362 Once the overflow enters the oceanic basin, it flows cyclonically along the 363 continental slope and descends. A downward sloping of isopycnals is observed within the 364 overflow layer which reflects the adjustment of the overflow to the slope and entrainment 365 of oceanic water. Entrainment on the slope can also be recognized by the weakening of the 366 cold temperature signal associated with the overflow water as it flows away from the 17 367 channel. The overflow loses most of its cold temperature signal upon entering the enhanced 368 restoring region at the northwest part of the oceanic basin. The overflow also appears to 369 become baroclinically unstable on the slope and detach from the coastline. The flow field 370 on the slope is observed with more time variability than that near the shelf-break. The time 371 variability observed on the slope is about 2-3 days which is twice as short as that observed 372 at the shelf-break. While overflow is subcritical in the channel, it appears to become 373 supercritical on the continental slope. The Froude number of the overflow layer on the 374 slope is above one since its flow speed is about 0.15 m s-1 downstream where the thickness 375 is about 100 m and the gravity speed ( g' h ) is about 0.10 m s-1. This indicates that the 376 observed variability of the overflow on the slope is unlikely to influence the dynamics at 377 the channel. 378 379 c. Sensitivity to the width of the strait 380 To further examine whether Eq (2) is a useful tool for estimating the overflow transport, we 381 test the sensitivity of the overflow transport to the width of the strait. The dependence of 382 the overflow transport on the channel width is one of the significant differences between Eq 383 (1) and (2). While Eq (1) suggests linear dependence of the overflow transport to the 384 channel width, Eq (2) suggests that it is insensitive to the channel width. 385 When the channel width is narrowed to 10, 20, and 50 km, the overflow transport 386 became 0.40, 0.37, and 0.39 Sv, similar to that observed in CTRL. All model settings are 387 kept the same as that of CTRL except for the width of the channel. 10 km is an order 388 smaller than the 100 km wide channel used in CTRL but is still wider than the deformation 18 389 radius (about 5 km). The experiment suggests that Eq (2) is indeed a useful tool for 390 overflows that occurs through channels wider than the deformation radius. 391 392 4. The overflow – open ocean interaction 393 CTRL suggests that the AABW overflow enters the oceanic basin as a geostrophic flow. 394 The question is then; are AABW overflows affected by changes in oceanic processes? To 395 answer this question, we will examine the sensitivity of the overflow properties to the 396 magnitude of the wind stress applied in the oceanic basin. 397 398 a. The impact of the wind on the overflow transport 399 When the wind stress is zero (o=0.0), the overflow transport reduces to 0.25 Sv, which is 400 69% of CTRL (Figure 8). This decrease indicates that open oceanic processes do affect the 401 AABW overflow. All model setups in this model experiment except for o are the same as 402 CTRL and we will refer to the experiment as NoWND hereafter. The cyclonic circulation 403 that establishes in the shelf region in NoWND remains similar to CTRL because the shelf is 404 still driven by the surface cooling (Figure 8a). 405 An anti-cyclonic circulation establishes at the surface of the oceanic basin (Figure 406 8b). This circulation is forced by the upper oceanic branch of the exchange flow at the strait, 407 which is toward the shelf, and establishes in the direction of the topographic Rossby wave. 408 The circulation at the surface is opposite from CTRL so the surface flow and the overflow 409 in NoWND are now flowing in the opposite directions on the slope. The v-shape at the 410 shelf-break has also weakened significantly compared to CTRL (Figure 8c). The overflow 411 appears to be more unstable compared to CTRL since more eddies are observed and they 19 412 form much closer to the shelf-break. A slower advection speed in the along-slope direction, 413 due to the absence of a wind-induced cyclonic flow, may have led to this faster growth of 414 instability near the strait. 415 Further model experiments show that the overflow transport increases roughly 416 linearly as the wind stress magnitude increases (Figure 9). This sensitivity is also found to 417 roughly match with the sensitivity of the overflow transport to g’ as expected from Eq (2): 418 h2 M S ~ g ' , 2f 419 where is the difference from CTRL. g’ is found to increase as the magnitude of the wind 420 stress increases. The upstream interface height, h, is set constant to 250 m, which is half the 421 depth of the channel. A weaker dependence is found when h based on that estimated at the 422 shelf-break is used and moreover, it shows a decrease when o =0.25. This occurs because 423 the h there decreases as the wind stress increases. A better fit to model results based on a 424 prescribed channel depth implies that the overflow transports are also affected by the 425 external topographic parameter that constrains the flow between the shelf and the oceanic 426 basin. (5) 427 The observed changes in g’ are mainly associated with the changes in the depth of 428 the slope front near the channel since the overflow temperature remains roughly -1.3 oC. 429 The depth of the slope front, , increases as the magnitude of the wind stress increases. The 430 changes in the depth of the slope front are found almost identical to that of the coastal front 431 along the coastlines, which depends linearly on the magnitude of the coastal upwelling 432 forced by the wind: 20 433 ( w t ) w t S t , f 0 RD 434 where t is the time scale of the flow within the wind-forced area. The downwelling 435 velocity, w, is estimated by assuming that the convergence of surface Ekman transport 436 ( s f 0 ) occurs within the deformation radius (RD) from the coast. g’ can be expressed as 437 g ' T , where is the thermal expansion coefficient of seawater, 7x10-5 oC-1, and T is 438 the time-averaged temperature difference between the overflow and the oceanic water that 439 are located within 20 km from the strait (y = 100 km) and above the depth of the channel. 440 Thus based on Eq (5), Eq (6), and that an increase in the depth of the slope front is 441 associated with a warming of the upper oceanic water on the oceanic basin side of the strait, 442 ( T ) , we find the overflow transport likely to increase linearly as the wind stress 443 increases: 444 h2 h2 M S g ' (T ) S . 2f 2f 445 This sensitivity of the overflow transport to the wind stress does appear to explain the 446 model results well (Figure 9). Note that we have again assumed h as a constant. (6) 447 Since Eq (2) (and 5) assumes a one-layer overflow, we will also discuss how the 448 presence of an upper layer inflow may affect the overflow transport. Hunkins and 449 Whitehead (1992) suggests that for a two-layer exchange flow, Eq (2) is modified to 450 M S ~ 0.156 451 where H is the depth of the channel. This equation is based on an assumption that the 452 interface between the two layers is anti-symmetric about the horizontal center of the g' H 2 f , (7) 21 453 channel and that the exchange flow is fully developed. Eq (7) shows the same linear 454 dependence of overflow transport on g’ as Eq (2) but uses a thickness parameter based on 455 the full depth of the channel and a coefficient of 0.156. The changes in the overflow 456 transports estimated from Eq (7) is found similar to Eq (2) and matches well with the model 457 results (Figure 9). The absolute value of transports estimated from Eq (7) also matches well 458 with that observed with the estimates further improving when bottom Ekman Transport is 459 added. The anti-symmetric assumption of the interface is also reasonably met, supporting 460 the assumption of the formula. The underestimate observed for o =0.25 may be due to the 461 gradual breakdown of the linearity and the assumption of an anti-symmetric interface 462 height as the exchange rate increases with the wind. While there are differences in Eq (2) 463 and (7), we find both equations showing a similar sensitivity of the overflow transport to 464 g’ which matches well with the model experiments. This supports our suggestion that the 465 overflow transport is affected by the changes in the depth of the slope front because it 466 changes g’. Expressed in terms of energy balance, the overflow transport is sensitive to the 467 changes in the slope front because it changes the oceanic stratification and the effective 468 potential energy of the overflow water at the shelf-break. 469 We find similar sensitivity of the overflow transport to the oceanic winds when the 470 upper oceanic inflow occurs not directly above the overflow. This is tested by setting the 471 model bathymetry west of the channel to 250 m rather than a wall so that the upper oceanic 472 inflow occurs along the western boundary (x = 0) while the overflow still enters the oceanic 473 basin through the channel (not shown). We find the overflow transport to increase from 474 0.33 to 0.43 Sv when o increases from zero to 0.10, a similar sensitivity as that found 22 475 between NoWND and CTRL. The presence of an upper layer inflow is, therefore, unlikely 476 to be a major factor affecting the sensitivity of the overflow transport to oceanic processes. 477 478 b. The importance of oceanic stratification 479 We have suggested that oceanic processes affect overflow transports when they change the 480 depth of the slope front and the oceanic stratification near the shelf-break. This mechanism 481 implies that without oceanic stratification, changes in the wind stress are unlikely to change 482 the overflow transport. To test this significance of oceanic stratification, two model 483 experiments similar to CTRL and NoWND are pursued. The initial temperature field is set 484 constant to 2 oC, i.e., no stratification but all other model settings are kept the same as 485 CTRL and NoWND. When o is 0.10, the overflow transport is 0.67 Sv. When o is zero, 486 the transport is 0.69 Sv, which is almost the same. The experiment shows that the oceanic 487 stratification is indeed a key element that enables oceanic processes to enhance the 488 overflow transport and not the direct input of momentum from the wind. Note that the 489 increase in transport from CTRL (or NoWND) likely occurs because the temperature 490 difference across the sill increases when the oceanic basin is 2oC at all depth. 491 492 c. The impact of the slope front on the overflow temperature 493 Since the minimum temperature is set to -1.8 oC in the model, the overflow temperature in 494 the sensitivity experiments remain roughly -1.3 oC. This enables us to examine the impact 495 of the oceanic changes in isolation from the changes that may occur in the overflow 496 temperature. In reality, however, the overflow temperature is likely to change as the 23 497 overflow transport because the residence time on the shelf changes. Here we will discuss 498 how such changes in the overflow temperature may occur. 499 A bulk estimate of the overflow temperature can be solved from the basin integrated 500 mass and heat balance equations of the shelf region: Mo + Mi 0 and Mo To + Mi Ti Q . 501 M is the transport between the shelf and the oceanic basin at the shelf-break, Q is the 502 surface heat flux received within the shelf, and T is the temperature. Subscripts o and i 503 represent the overflow and the surface inflow respectively. Note that we have assumed that 504 the heat balance is in a steady state and that diffusion is negligible. The overflow 505 temperature can then be expressed as 506 To Ti Q , Mo (8) 507 which shows that the overflow temperature will increase as the overflow transport increases 508 assuming that the temperature of the oceanic inflow and surface buoyancy loss remain 509 constant. 510 To examine the sensitivity of the overflow temperature to the changes in the 511 overflow transport, we first express Eq (8) using the temperature difference between the 512 overflow and the oceanic inflow: 513 T (To Ti ) Q . Mo (9) 514 The overflow water is defined as that below 0.0oC and the time-averaged temperature of the 515 overflow and the oceanic inflow, To and Ti respectively, are estimated from the water mass 516 located within 20 km from the shelf-break (y = 100 km) as done previously. The model 517 experiments show an increase in the magnitude of T as the wind stress increases (Figure 518 10), which is a reflection of the warming in Ti since To remains roughly constant. However, 24 519 this increasing trend in the magnitude of T is opposite to that expected from Eq (9). This is 520 found to occur because the magnitude of surface cooling (Q) changes in the model. Any 521 excessive cooling that is applied beyond -1.8oC is neglected and so results in less surface 522 cooling than that prescribed. As the o increases from 0.0 to 0.05, 0.10, 0.15, and 0.25 N m- 523 2 , the ratio of the actual Q compared to that prescribed increases from 0.28, to 0.34, 0.37, 524 0.45, and 0.52, respectively. When this differences in Q are adjusted, the magnitude of T 525 show a decreasing trend as the wind stress increases (Figure 10). Note that the magnitude of 526 Q is adjusted to that estimated when o is zero and that changes in T are assumed to occur 527 linearly with Q. 528 The observed T match well with that estimated directly from Eq (9) using Q, Mo, 529 and the residual tendency and diffusion terms (Figure 10). Slight difference arises from the 530 use of spatial averaging when estimating the overflow and oceanic inflow temperatures 531 rather than just at the shelf-break. This match confirms that Eq (9) is a reasonable and 532 useful tool for examining the sensitivity of the overflow temperature to the exchange rate. 533 The model experiments also indicate that overflow temperatures are likely to take 534 longer time to adjust compared to overflow transports. The time series of the overflow 535 temperature and transport (Figure 6) show the overflow transport quickly adjusting to its 536 quasi-steady state value in about 50 days once it starts entering the oceanic basin while the 537 overflow temperature reaches its steady state gradually in about 100 days. This difference 538 reflects the difference between the dynamical time scale of the channel and the resident 539 time scale of the shelf. A topographic Rossby wave takes about 40 days, about a month, to 540 propagate across the channel. The resident time scale on the shelf is about 200 days 541 assuming a constant exchange transport of 0.36 Sv, which is about half a year. Model 25 542 experiments, therefore, suggest that the overflow transport will likely adjust to the seasonal 543 variability of the wind field in a month or two while the overflow temperature is likely to 544 take more than a season to adjust. Since the actual shelf in the Weddell Sea is much larger 545 than that used in our model, this adjustment in overflow temperature may take more than 546 half a year. Gill (1973) suggests resident time scale of about few years on the shelf. 547 548 5. Summary and closing remarks 549 The main goal of this paper was to answer whether the AABW outflows are affected by 550 oceanic processes through their influence on the ASF. We have focused on overflows 551 through channels, not cascades, and utilized a numerical model to answer this question. 552 Here we summarize and address the implication of our study. 553 554 a. Summary 555 The AABW overflow transport is found to increase significantly when the wind stress 556 increases the depth of the ASF. We find this sensitivity arising from two dynamical aspects 557 present at the strait: 558 (1) The transport of overflows is geostrophically controlled at the strait. The simulated 559 overflow had transport that matches well with the hydraulic formula derived by 560 Toulany and Garrett (1984), Helfrich et al. (1999), and Hunkins and Whitehead 561 (1992). The transport is also found insensitive to the width of the strait as long as it 562 is much wider than the local deformation radius, further supporting the use of the 563 formula. 26 564 (2) When the wind stress increases, it deepens the coastal front and the ASF. This 565 decreases the oceanic stratification near the shelf-break by bringing more light 566 surface water to the depth of the channel. This enables the overflow to interact with 567 lighter oceanic water. 568 Because the overflow transport is geostrophically controlled, it is sensitive to the changes in 569 the density gradient across the shelf-break. So when the oceanic wind increases the depth of 570 the ASF, the density gradient across the shelf-break increases and enhances the overflow 571 transport. In absence of oceanic stratification, such process is absent and the impact of 572 oceanic winds on the overflow transport is absent. 573 An increase in the oceanic wind stress was also found likely to warm the overflow 574 temperature if the magnitude of surface cooling remains constant. This is because enhanced 575 overflow transports lead to shorter resident time on the shelf. However, the adjustment of 576 overflow temperatures depends on the size of the shelf and is likely to take few years. This 577 is much longer than the time-scale expected for the adjustment in transport, which depends 578 on the width of the channel and likely takes 1-2 months. 579 580 b. Closing remarks 581 The entrainment of oceanic water to the overflow may have been insufficiently simulated in 582 our model because the horizontal resolution of 1 km is incapable of fully resolving the 583 Kelvin-Helmholtz instability. While entrainment is crucial part of the overflow dynamics 584 once it is on the slope, we suspect this insufficiency not to significantly affect the results of 585 this study since our focus is on the transport through the channel and not the dynamics after 586 the shelf-break. For the Filchner Bank Channel overflow, entrainment is also thought to 27 587 occur not right after the overflow passes the shelf-break but when it accelerates and 588 increase the velocity shear at much depth (Foldvik et al. 2004). High resolution model 589 simulations of the Filchner Bank Channel overflow by Wilchinsky and Feltham (2009) and 590 Matsumura and Hasumi (2010) show entrainment occurring on the slope away from the 591 shelf-break. 592 Our study suggests that the parameterization of AABW overflows in GCMs needs 593 to incorporate the additional impact from oceanic processes through their influence on the 594 ASF. The observed seasonal and inter-annual variability in the oceanic winds are likely to 595 induce variability in overflow transport. We suspect the seasonal variability to affect the 596 overflow transport the most: stronger transport when the wind is also stronger. Inter-annual 597 variability in the export of AABW from the Weddell Basin to the Atlantic has been 598 observed to correlate well with basin scale interannual climate variability signals at the 599 surface and the role of the wind-driven Weddell gyre has been suggested (Meredith et al. 600 2008, Jullion et al. 2010). 601 The significance of the oceanic impact on overflows may differ with the location of 602 the outflow. The overflow through the Drygalski trough in the Ross Sea has similar depth 603 and width as the Filchner Bank Channel overflow. However, the v-shape structure of the 604 ASF may be absent here (Gordon et al, 2009). A v-shape structure is observed at a location 605 close to the Drygalski trough (Visbeck and Thurnherr, 2009) but the basin view shows that 606 the structure is much narrower and weaker compared to the eastern side of the shelf-break 607 in the Ross Sea (Orsi and Wiederwohl, 2009). The external currents may thus have less 608 influence on the slope front near the Drygalski trough. Entrainment, on the other hand, may 609 be significant near the shelf-break since the flow speed is more than twice as fast as the 28 610 Filchner Bank Channel overflow (Gordon et al. 2009). Entrainment may have large control 611 on the slope front and the oceanic stratification near the shelf-break (Baines, 2009) which 612 suggests that this overflow may be less influenced by the changes in the external oceanic 613 processes compared to what was shown in this study. Gordon et al. (2010) recently 614 suggested that strong winds may also shift of the location of the ASF in-shore and prohibit 615 the escape of AABW outflow. Such mechanism is possible for an AABW outflow from the 616 wide western Weddell shelf where outflows occur through cascades and the location of 617 ASF may be less constrained to the slope. Changes in overflow properties may originate 618 from variability in surface buoyancy loss. Strong tides are observed along the shelves of 619 Antarctic and its importance on export of dense water from the shelf has been suggested 620 (Guan et al. 2009, Muench et al. 2009, Ou et al. 2009, and Padman et al. 2009). The 621 significance of the variability induced by winds, buoyancy losses, and tides on the 622 overflow-open oceanic interaction is likely to depend on the adjustment time scale of the 623 overflow, shelf, ambient oceanic basin, and the ASF and we plan to investigate this 624 problem next. 625 626 Acknowledgments. 627 The author thanks the anonymous reviewers, Drs. Bo Qiu, Jiayan Yang, and Kiyoshi 628 Tanaka for many useful comments on this paper. Assistance from Dr. Keiko Takahashi, Mr. 629 Koji Goto, and Hiromitsu Fuchigami with the MSSG code is also acknowledged. 630 631 References 29 632 Baba, Y., K. Takahashi, T. Sugimura, and K. 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J. Phys. Oceanogr., 14, 649-655 754 Visbeck, M. and A. M. Thurnherr, 2009: High-resolution velocity and hydrographic 755 observations of the Drygalski Trough gravity plume, Deep Sea Res. II, 56, 835-842 756 Warren, B. A., 1980: Deep circulation of the world ocean. Evolution of Physical 757 Oceanography: Scientific Surveys in Honor of Henry Stommel, B. A. Warren and C. 758 Wunsch, Eds., MIT Press, 6–41. 759 Wahlin, A. K., 2002: Topographic steering of dense currents with application to submarines 760 canyons. Deep-Sea Res. I, 49, 305–320. 761 Wilchinsky, A. V., and D. L. Feltham (2009), Numerical simulation of the Filchner 762 overflow, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C12012, doi:10.1029/2008JC005013. 763 Whitworth III, T., A. H. Orsi, S.-J. Kim, W. D. Nowlin, Jr., and R. A. Locarnini, 1998, 764 Water Masses and Mixing near the Antarctic Slope Front., In S. S. Jacobs & R. F. Weiss 35 765 (Eds.), Interactions at the Antarctic Continental Margins (Vol. 74, pp. 1–27), Antarctic 766 Research Series. Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union. 767 768 36 769 List of Figures 770 FIG. 1. (a) The bathymetry of the Weddell Sea and its shelf contoured from -2000 m to 0 m. 771 The shelf is roughly 500 m deep and an overflow enters the Weddell Sea from the Filchner 772 Depression through the Filchner Bank Channel (black arrow). The ASF is observed along 773 the shelf-break (white dash). (b) Vertical sections of the observed potential temperature 774 (left) and salinity (right) observed across the shelf break at about 35W (Whitworth et al. 775 1998, see the close up of the region shown in (a)). Temperature and salinity (solid lines) as 776 well as density (dotted lines) are observed with a v-shape near the shelf-break. (c) A 777 comparison of the flow speed along the ASF near 11W and the surface wind speed 778 (Fahrbach et al., 1992). Both show similar seasonal variability and correlate well especially 779 from 1988 to 1989. 780 781 FIG. 2. The number of cold and fresh water anomaly events detected at the bottom of the 782 shelf-break in the Ross Sea (Gordon et al. 2009). Seasonal variability is observed with more 783 events occurring from November to May than from May to November. Inter-annual 784 variability is also observed. 785 786 FIG. 3. A schematic of an overflow, a shelf front and the open ocean viewed across the sill 787 (left) and at the sill looking toward the open ocean (right). Cooling in the shelf leads to a 788 formation of cold dense water that eventually spills over the sill and become overflows. (a) 789 Without a shelf front: The overflow encounters the deep water of the open ocean at the sill. 790 (b) With a shelf front: Warm surface water is brought down to the depth of the sill and the 791 interface between the surface water and the deep water tilts downward. 792 37 793 FIG. 4. (a) The side view of the model showing the bathymetry and the temperature field. 794 Temperature changes exponentially in the vertical with warm water (shaded) near the 795 surface. (b) The bird’s eye view of the bathymetry. The model domain is roughly 200 km 796 zonally and 300 km meridionally and has two regions separated by a sill 500 m deep and 797 channel 100 km wide. The northern and southern regions represent the oceanic basin and 798 the shelf, respectively. Cooling source is located at the southern boundary. 799 view of the channel that connects the shelf and the oceanic basin. The location of this cross- 800 section is shown in dotted lines in (a). (c) The side 801 802 FIG. 5. (a) The wind stress forced over the oceanic basin. The direction of the wind stress is 803 shown in vectors and its magnitude is shown in gray. The wind stress is cyclonic and 804 increases closer to the coast. (b) The restoring time scale applied in the oceanic basin. The 805 minimum restoring time scale is 2 days and increases exponentially away from the center. 806 Restoring is enhanced in the northwest part of the oceanic basin. 807 808 FIG. 6. The overflow transport and temperature simulated in CTRL with time. The 809 overflow begins to enter the oceanic basin around day 30 and then reaches its quasi steady 810 state in about 50 days. Model analysis is based on the data output between days 120-180. 811 812 FIG. 7. Simulation results from CTRL. (a) A snapshot of the surface temperature and 813 velocity fields at day 120. A cyclonic flow establishes in the oceanic basin. (b) A snapshot 814 of the bottom temperature and velocity fields at day 120. Overflow descends the slope 815 cyclonically as it warms and splits into eddies. (c) A cross-section of the time averaged 38 816 temperature and zonal velocity fields at x = 120 km. The isotherms tilt downward at the 817 shelf-break and create a v-shape. (d) A cross-section of the time averaged temperature and 818 meridional velocity fields across the channel near the shelf-break (y = 100 km). Outflows 819 (positive) are observed along the western and eastern walls. 820 821 FIG. 8. Simulation results from NoWND. (a) A snapshot of the surface temperature and 822 velocity fields at day 120. An anti-cyclonic flow establishes in the oceanic basin. (b) A 823 snapshot of the bottom temperature and velocity fields at day 120. The overflow shows 824 more variability on the slope than CTRL (Figure 7b). (c) A cross-section of the time 825 averaged temperature and zonal velocity at x = 120 km. The v-shape is less pronounced 826 than CTRL. (d) A cross-section of the time averaged temperature and meridional velocity 827 across the channel near the shelf-break (y = 100 km). Outflows (positive) are observed 828 along the western and eastern walls similar to CTRL. 829 830 FIG. 9. The sensitivity of the overflow transport to the wind stress magnitude. Model 831 results (circle) show transport increasing linearly as the wind stress increases. The changes 832 in the transports compared to CTRL is well captured by Eq (5) when h is kept constant (250 833 m) (square) compared to when h estimated at the strait is used (dot). Changes expected 834 from Eq (7) (plus) are similar to Eq (5). The magnitude of the transport estimated from the 835 sum of Eq (7) and (1) (triangle) is also close to the model results. 836 837 FIG. 10. The dependence of the temperature difference between the overflow and the 838 oceanic inflow to the magnitude of the wind stress (circle). The overflow temperature 39 839 matches well with that estimated from Q, Ms, and Eq (16) (square). Model results show an 840 increase in the difference as the wind stress increase (circle) because of the changes in Q 841 but show a decrease (plus) when accounted for the difference in Q. 842 40 FIG. 1. (a) The bathymetry of the Weddell Sea and its shelf contoured from -2000 m to 0 m. The shelf is roughly 500 m deep and an overflow enters the Weddell Sea from the Filchner Depression through the Filchner Bank Channel (black arrow). The ASF is observed along the shelf-break (white dash). (b) Vertical sections of the observed potential temperature (left) and salinity (right) observed across the shelf-break at about 35W (Whitworth et al. 1998, see the close up of the region shown in (a)). Temperature and salinity (solid lines) as well as density (dotted lines) are observed with a v-shape near the shelf-break. (c) A comparison of the flow speed along the ASF near 11W and the surface wind speed (Fahrbach et al., 1992). Both show similar seasonal variability and correlate well especially from 1988 to 1989. 41 FIG. 2. The number of cold and fresh water anomaly events detected at the bottom of the shelf-break in the Ross Sea (Gordon et al. 2009). Seasonal variability is observed with more events occurring from November to May than from May to November. Inter-annual variability is also observed. FIG. 3. A schematic of an overflow, a shelf front and the open ocean viewed across the sill (left) and at the sill looking toward the open ocean (right). Cooling in the shelf leads to a formation of cold dense water that eventually spills over the sill and become overflows. (a) Without a shelf front: The overflow encounters the deep water of the open ocean at the sill. (b) With a shelf front: Warm surface water is brought down to the depth of the sill and the interface between the surface water and the deep water tilts downward. 42 FIG. 4. (a) The side view of the model showing the bathymetry and the temperature field. Temperature changes exponentially in the vertical with warm water (shaded) near the surface. (b) The bird’s eye view of the bathymetry. The model domain is roughly 200 km zonally and 300 km meridionally and has two regions separated by a sill 500 m deep and channel 100 km wide. The northern and southern regions represent the oceanic basin and the shelf, respectively. Cooling source is located at the southern boundary. (c) The side view of the channel that connects the shelf and the oceanic basin. The location of this cross-section is shown in dotted lines in (a). 43 (a) (b) FIG. 5. (a) The wind stress forced over the oceanic basin. The direction of the wind stress is shown in vectors and its magnitude is shown in gray. The wind stress is cyclonic and increases closer to the coast. (b) The restoring time scale applied in the oceanic basin. The minimum restoring time scale is 2 days and increases exponentially away from the center. Restoring is enhanced in the northwest part of the oceanic basin. FIG. 6. The overflow transport and temperature simulated in CTRL with time. The overflow begins to enter the oceanic basin around day 30 and then reaches its quasi steady state in about 50 days. Model analysis is based on the data output between days 120-180. 44 FIG. 7. Simulation results from CTRL. (a) A snapshot of the surface temperature and velocity fields at day 120. A cyclonic flow establishes in the oceanic basin. (b) A snapshot of the bottom temperature and velocity fields at day 120. Overflow descends the slope cyclonically as it warms and splits into eddies. (c) A cross-section of the time averaged temperature and zonal velocity fields at x = 120 km. The isotherms tilt downward at the shelfbreak and create a v-shape. (d) A cross-section of the time averaged temperature and meridional velocity fields across the channel near the shelf-break (y = 100 km). Outflows (positive) are observed along the western and eastern walls. 45 FIG. 8. Simulation results from NoWND. (a) A snapshot of the surface temperature and velocity fields at day 120. An anti-cyclonic flow establishes in the oceanic basin. (b) A snapshot of the bottom temperature and velocity fields at day 120. The overflow shows more variability on the slope than CTRL (Figure 7b). (c) A cross-section of the time averaged temperature and zonal velocity at x = 120 km. The v-shape is less pronounced than CTRL. (d) A cross-section of the time averaged temperature and meridional velocity across the channel near the shelf-break (y = 100 km). Outflows (positive) are observed along the western and eastern walls similar to CTRL. 46 FIG. 9. The sensitivity of the overflow transport to the wind stress magnitude. Model results (circle) show transport increasing linearly as the wind stress increases. The changes in the transports compared to CTRL is well captured by Eq (5) when h is kept constant (250 m) (square) compared to when h estimated at the strait is used (dot). Changes expected from Eq (7) (plus) are similar to Eq (5). The magnitude of the transport estimated from the sum of Eq (7) and (1) (triangle) is also close to the model results. FIG. 10. The dependence of the temperature difference between the overflow and the oceanic inflow to the magnitude of the wind stress (circle). The overflow temperature matches well with that estimated from Q, Ms, and Eq (16) (square). Model results show an increase in the difference as the wind stress increase (circle) because of the changes in Q but show a decrease (plus) when accounted for the difference in Q. 47
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