Oil and Gas Insurance Lessons for East Africa 31-Jul-17 East Africa Market Outlook Trends in Oil and Gas in East Africa Recent discoveries in oil and gas across the East African region have brought new focus on upstream activities Discovery of oil in Uganda in 2006. Resources in place: 6.5B barrels. Recoverable reserves: over 1.4 billion barrels. Bid round ongoing. 9 oil discoveries with 2C 616M and 3C 1.29B barrels. 3 gas discoveries with one estimated to have about 1.8 Tcf of natural gas and the other about 25m net pay. Exploration ongoing. Methane gas production in Lake Kivu. Policies being developed. Exploration at its early stage. Western arm of the East African Rift System. Over 53 Tcf of Natural Gas discovered. Gas monetization projects in top gear. © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 2 The opportunities for local insurance companies in oil and gas sector cut across the segments Upstream Off-shore Wells On-shore Wells Central Processing, Storage Field Processing, Gathering Systems Downstream Midstream Distribution & End-Use Pipeline Transport Residential Consumers Commercial Consumers LNG Transport Industrial Consumers LPG © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Electric Utility Consumers 3 These opportunities also traverse the related goods and services supply chain INDIRECT SERVICES • Mostly available and well serviced in EA • Not very specialized but requires some expertise • Need to improve standards • Some investment required ($) Emergency Services Hotel/Accom. Communications Custom Clearance Camps/Accom. Environmental Services Field Construction Construction Materials Catering Civil Well Services Seismic Services Electricals Rig Hire Feed Office Supplies Telecoms Unskilled Labour Infield Transport Training Mud/ Cuttings Infield Services Freight Forwarding Waste Management Personnel Transport Security Crane Hire Inspections Int. Freight Services Medical Site Prep. Tangibles Mechanical IT Services Specialist Trades FPSO/Wellhead Spare Parts HR Fuel General Trades Facilities Management DIRECT SERVICES • More specialized • Stringent compliance to safety and operational standards • Requires significant investment ($$) • Not widely available in EA SPECIALIST SERVICES • Highly specialized • Strictest standards for operations and safety • Critical services (mistakes ground operations and increase losses exponential) • Heavy investment in service provision + R&D ($$$) • Not available in EA © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 4 Closer Look Lessons from Nigeria Nigeria: timeline of selected Oil & Gas sector developments 1958 First oil (~ 5,000 bopd) 1956 First commercial discovery 1971 Joined OPEC 1972 ranked 7th largest producer globally 1977 Established NNPC 1995 1st petroleum pool plans begin + collapse 1999 2nd attempt with 60 companies – not launched 2003 Insurance Act passed 2010 Nigerian content law passed 2007 NAICOM raises capital requirements © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 2011 NAICOM publishes guidelines 2012 NOGIP with USD 20M capacity launched 2015 Pool with Africa Re as manager launched 6 Some basic statistics on how the local insurance sector has been developing No. of Companies • 108 -> 59 Insurers NNPC • 4 -> 2 • ~30 Re-insurers • 55% O&G • 45% CAPTIVE LOCAL • ~USD 74M NON-LIFE Top 10 companies cover 75% Retention Rates • 10% 2010 • 30% 2013 • 60% 2015 © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 7 Challenges exist in the prospects of underwriting insurance for oil and gas locally Regulatory frameworks High capital base requirements Coordination issues with innovative solutions such as pools, etc. Limited technical capacity to assess risks, limits, and other considerations for underwriting Industry arrangements especially offshore require global solutions Concerns with integrity and ethical practice © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 8 Lessons for East Africa Regulatory frameworks need to be clear + regulator is key Services become localized and insurance follows Role of the national oil company in development of local retention is important Some areas will have to remain global in nature (100% might be harder to achieve) Local content law opens the door (significant improvement) but competency + capacity still matter Business rules still apply – returns have to be right, successes will become targets © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 9 © 2015 KPMG Kenya, a registered partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 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